id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ad4pxo2jpkl | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pz0o5ddpxdf",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Nathan Wei | q4VTd4bI9AhllLAhb2nK | public | contract | 1,716,328,636,443 | when-will-i-leave-manifold | nathanwei | When will I leave Manifold? | d9f5fo3xu4g | null | 740.597752 | YES | 1e44874a094e | |
bhfunw6l4h | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "LessOnline/Summer Camp prop bets still open - if you have things to add but don't want to pay the fee, lmk and I'll add them for you 🧡 ",
"t... | stefanie | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,716,328,660,876 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | shankypanky | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 89.041388 | YES | 1760a3f1a6ab | |
eqq70w41vi | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pz0o5ddpxdf",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Nathan Wei | q4VTd4bI9AhllLAhb2nK | public | contract | 1,716,328,682,751 | when-will-i-leave-manifold | nathanwei | When will I leave Manifold? | d9f5fo3xu4g | null | 740.597752 | YES | 1e44874a094e | |
irqly38pli | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jiicghl1raf",
"label": "Stralor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Haws | d7T1Crw7LzTMQoDwk0ko | public | contract | 1,716,328,690,431 | will-changpeng-zhao-cz-do-any-priso | Haws | Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) do any prison time for money laundering? | mosrsr0ll | 0.989931 | 588.588064 | YES | null | |
3ynyi3jcinh | false | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "08wpVA4F6JqRIvamOELs",
"label": "TimDuffy",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | notarealuser | s3UGpxXnOPyNnii5yKZU | public | contract | 1,716,328,807,409 | will-starlink-have-over-ten-million | notarealuser | Will Starlink have over ten million subscribers by the end of 2025? | 08wpVA4F6JqRIvamOELs | 0.55 | 476.085565 | YES | null | |
i03ucdpimod | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I will also add for any1 wondering, the only way this resolves NO (at this point since sentencing has already taken place) is if for whatever reason he... | Haws | d7T1Crw7LzTMQoDwk0ko | public | contract | 1,716,328,857,433 | will-changpeng-zhao-cz-do-any-priso | Haws | Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) do any prison time for money laundering? | mosrsr0ll | 0.989931 | 588.588064 | YES | null | |
bsadkwxdi2t | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Self-driving Robotic car vacuum mole beasts yo",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ernie | 7B1RHOYKkSVIe3mU9CNO | public | contract | 1,716,328,866,903 | robotic-car-vacuum-beast-by-mid-203 | Ernie | Robotic car vacuum beast by mid 2035 | null | null | null | null | null | |
wyk4s41fiac | false | W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2b0stx0jitu",
"label": "Mqrius",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Evan | ws2bbQX7WVUK4T5yVD9q | public | contract | 1,716,328,969,648 | on-what-date-will-the-first-crewed-0c96846dd209 | EvanDaniel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c | On what date will the first crewed Boeing Starliner lift off happen? | z2bkl9gi3u | null | 61.918209 | NO | e0fca584dccd |
6tcck13ey5f | false | B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "56c6xd6nobs",
"label": "andri",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Elliot Davies | ZFoP4zq9qSOjsuOtkacm | public | contract | 1,716,328,978,682 | will-i-bench-70kg-and-squat-100kg-b | ElliotDavies | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c | Will I bench 70kg and squat 100kg by EOY 2024? | 8m1ph3jqzbs | null | null | null | null |
qq60plfaxa | false | DsMiQTKKm3diNnb8m3rVoIc0HC72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "See my rabbit review here: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
... | Gabe Garboden | 6ixWQXfzdwYC32nGQ5La | public | contract | 1,716,329,019,588 | will-i-like-the-humane-pin-or-the-r | GabeGarboden | Will I like the Rabbit R1 better than the Humane Pin? | null | null | null | null | null | |
6ul0h0v26g4 | false | AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qq60plfaxa",
"label": "GabeGarboden",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | niko | 6ixWQXfzdwYC32nGQ5La | public | contract | 1,716,329,156,588 | will-i-like-the-humane-pin-or-the-r | Nikos | Will I like the Rabbit R1 better than the Humane Pin? | qq60plfaxa | 0.82057 | 778.689711 | YES | null | |
ta28jb5y8va | false | EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ou6mpu6mmtp",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Chris Billington | HoDBWOiNZ6iulWTJDmGO | public | contract | 1,716,329,213,230 | how-can-manifold-improve | chrisjbillington | How can Manifold improve? | n8rkda1enqd | null | null | null | null | |
3sf8fg41f0p | false | DsMiQTKKm3diNnb8m3rVoIc0HC72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6ul0h0v26g4",
"label": "Nikos",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Gabe Garboden | 6ixWQXfzdwYC32nGQ5La | public | contract | 1,716,329,263,491 | will-i-like-the-humane-pin-or-the-r | GabeGarboden | Will I like the Rabbit R1 better than the Humane Pin? | qq60plfaxa | null | null | null | null | |
mamk7hr3wy | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ta28jb5y8va",
"label": "chrisjbillington",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | stefanie | HoDBWOiNZ6iulWTJDmGO | public | contract | 1,716,329,318,708 | how-can-manifold-improve | shankypanky | How can Manifold improve? | n8rkda1enqd | null | null | null | null | |
xtputc5atb | false | 6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "vch5yjgwm1",
"label": "Arky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | James Baker | yJz5aRBDwqdm9ihZ3BDx | public | contract | 1,716,329,321,178 | should-manifold-let-the-mana-float | JamesBaker3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c | Should Manifold let the Mana float? | vch5yjgwm1 | null | null | null | null |
gj1ous439a7 | false | DsMiQTKKm3diNnb8m3rVoIc0HC72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Data from this forum indicates that VIN to delivery timeline is ~1-3 weeks. Probably going to be close!",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Gabe Garboden | DmHNc6MvEibyaGNw3YoP | public | contract | 1,716,329,371,659 | will-i-take-delivery-of-a-cybertruc | GabeGarboden | Will I take delivery of a Cybertruck before June 1st 2024 | null | null | null | null | null | |
vt3ioyusu1r | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If only it weren't right before the neurips deadline...",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "d... | Andrew G | AVAAlDpuYE1LnQtKKsUQ | public | contract | 1,716,329,431,443 | taco-tuesday-0430-secret-handshake | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Taco Tuesday 05/21: Party Games | null | null | null | null | null |
flbj65pxb4 | false | GT0mk4hhaShtv3Q8rRnBqBulFcD2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fkqw432w6zf",
"label": "GustavoLacerda",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Paul Crowley | WniqmZSD5cN6z9542P7Z | public | contract | 1,716,329,887,068 | will-daniel-kokotajlo-get-back-the | PaulCrowley | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZuco7y9b1_mQq46_bGZ98J61suu_S_IDQzyxSFSidAg=s96-c | Will Daniel Kokotajlo get back the equity he gave up through not signing an NDA? | fkqw432w6zf | 0.593898 | 185.00068 | YES | null |
tzmzmxahozr | false | TWTidsyddMdMSC3pHoJGiTF5IKv1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "by 2050 for sure there will be many cases that are cured from diabetes .... ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
... | ed | oJhI6XyTCMn7VAHTMJXX | public | contract | 1,716,330,023,229 | will-over-a-billion-people-worldwid | 3d | Will over a billion people worldwide be living with diabetes by 2050? | null | 0.43 | 75.333096 | NO | null | |
af0hsx4p9wq | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "19qzh1570nn",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Timothy Johnson | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,330,139,965 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,661.256438 | NO | b3c5aaa8c26f |
43io3kq0zca | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "381enm9nbg2",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7 | public | contract | 1,716,330,303,516 | who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af | Joshua | Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase? | 381enm9nbg2 | null | 12,030.146354 | YES | 46eb49f725e1 | |
9fq9l1nm0zl | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "af0hsx4p9wq",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | stefanie | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,330,445,652 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | shankypanky | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,049.843861 | NO | 08463c5f4f91 | |
e41v8fw05yc | false | cInsKX5arUUjPs8PXeSTlQybYeC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3ynyi3jcinh",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Tim Duffy | s3UGpxXnOPyNnii5yKZU | public | contract | 1,716,330,474,414 | will-starlink-have-over-ten-million | TimDuffy | Will Starlink have over ten million subscribers by the end of 2025? | 08wpVA4F6JqRIvamOELs | 0.55 | 1,045.113353 | NO | null | |
pfe4ftjiev | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2",
"label": "Gigacasting",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Daniel Tello | Ymb30JpgOcNPPxDNlxom | public | contract | 1,716,330,679,143 | bitcoin-low | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | Bitcoin low— | sFog5ysVVm0pRbJtMG1K | null | 870.346799 | YES | b772028a7b50 |
jmgrm481fxs | false | RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xtputc5atb",
"label": "JamesBakerc884",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Arky | yJz5aRBDwqdm9ihZ3BDx | public | contract | 1,716,330,797,570 | should-manifold-let-the-mana-float | Arky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c | Should Manifold let the Mana float? | vch5yjgwm1 | 0.975071 | 7,407.808969 | YES | null |
o6bll6vcghr | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2",
"label": "Gigacasting",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Daniel Tello | rOkLWBe3SB273yjEdWVb | public | contract | 1,716,330,856,205 | bitcoin-low-c3c08de42569 | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | Bitcoin low— | null | null | 750.244469 | YES | 98846a15b492 |
1lx6itggl3m | false | HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "How to make a permanent market?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Niel S | 4LJFqojHSk8n3g0YEJE7 | public | contract | 1,716,330,928,726 | banning-permanent-markets-stock-per | NielS | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c | Banning permanent markets stock [permanent] | null | null | null | null | null |
mafutlgtdej | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9fq9l1nm0zl",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Timothy Johnson | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,330,935,326 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,661.256438 | NO | b3c5aaa8c26f |
gpau38i0w08 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "mafutlgtdej",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | stefanie | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,331,007,219 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | shankypanky | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,049.843861 | NO | 08463c5f4f91 | |
t13qojax61 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "13/24",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds":... | stefanie | KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm | public | contract | 1,716,331,021,280 | will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24 | shankypanky | Will I eat ass in the next 24...? | 71crycw6lw6 | null | 753.375109 | NO | e46ef40a0bed | |
df2sqoxctk | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jmgrm481fxs",
"label": "Arky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Joshua | yJz5aRBDwqdm9ihZ3BDx | public | contract | 1,716,331,110,556 | should-manifold-let-the-mana-float | Joshua | Should Manifold let the Mana float? | vch5yjgwm1 | null | null | null | null | |
81uamo9jget | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "it went pretty quickly from a general statement about obeying authority to drawing the line between men obeying competent authority and women being mor... | stefanie | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,331,114,665 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | shankypanky | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,049.843861 | NO | 08463c5f4f91 | |
lsw72wrn3oo | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "81uamo9jget",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Timothy Johnson | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,331,271,187 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,661.256438 | NO | b3c5aaa8c26f |
nydun97p0vf | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Hi Secretary ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6he61qk9u27",
"label": "HillaryClinto... | Bruno | RdDaOvPvcZI0QtBFZ1oz | public | contract | 1,716,331,277,989 | who-will-win-the-2032-united-states-55f2f77770ba | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES] | 6he61qk9u27 | null | 0 | NO | 171d241df428 |
e5vya57ynyl | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "tm2f2oqigg",
"label": "SimonGrayson",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bruno | covjrSDhzeAeLmDQmReS | public | contract | 1,716,331,426,284 | what-do-you-miss-most-from-before-t | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | What do you miss most from before the pivot? | tm2f2oqigg | null | null | null | null |
q4960ckes5 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "43io3kq0zca",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7 | public | contract | 1,716,331,508,720 | who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af | Ziddletwix | Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase? | 381enm9nbg2 | null | 201.41731 | YES | b0a3c61184de | |
gs8nz5pe9ik | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "q4960ckes5",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7 | public | contract | 1,716,331,591,837 | who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af | Joshua | Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase? | 381enm9nbg2 | null | 12,030.146354 | YES | 46eb49f725e1 | |
oq4de45q85o | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "According to all known laws of aviation...",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | ldm1H6jHwzWAwLUwrZKK | public | contract | 1,716,331,635,057 | are-bees-sentient | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Are bees sentient? | null | null | null | null | null |
o26nhlo4zy9 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "gs8nz5pe9ik",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7 | public | contract | 1,716,331,653,340 | who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af | Ziddletwix | Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase? | 381enm9nbg2 | null | 239.352056 | YES | b0a3c61184de | |
5zjeph1lvrg | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "o26nhlo4zy9",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7 | public | contract | 1,716,331,708,016 | who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af | Joshua | Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase? | 381enm9nbg2 | null | 12,030.146354 | YES | 46eb49f725e1 | |
la28eitiuy | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "81uamo9jget",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Timothy Johnson | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,331,760,834 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,661.256438 | NO | b3c5aaa8c26f |
73ie4yfq2wx | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "lsw72wrn3oo",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | stefanie | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,331,783,208 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | shankypanky | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,049.843861 | NO | 08463c5f4f91 | |
6gkw709bhmr | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "la28eitiuy",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | stefanie | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,331,848,508 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | shankypanky | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,049.843861 | NO | 08463c5f4f91 | |
lt3qorx3sa | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "5zjeph1lvrg",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7 | public | contract | 1,716,331,854,374 | who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af | Ziddletwix | Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase? | 381enm9nbg2 | null | 239.352056 | YES | b0a3c61184de | |
nqhqc6yd2p | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "lgfjo2b236l",
"label": "DanMan314",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ben Shindel | GexKUqn5ElyB7gVZsyQo | public | contract | 1,716,331,860,290 | what-will-sam-altman-do-next-add-an | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | What will Sam Altman do by June 1, 2024? (Add answers!) | kg4s27otgv7 | null | 132.003814 | NO | 87a21299e498 |
wwqmtv8mqv | false | rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "the house always wins",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Tumbles ♠︎ Misses Manifold | l67hFMTePYyGpbCQBnwa | public | contract | 1,716,332,044,458 | manifold-lottery-tickets-10x-return | Tumbles | Manifold lottery tickets 10x return possible | null | 0.09 | 7,856.640433 | NO | null | |
lifrcspb4kn | false | vEGHPznXKbTXFIzEf8iLwwO3okY2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Two days left! How do we feel now that we're fully post-pivot?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"ty... | Marnix | SMpDe7NFZVG1mUpoHDxX | public | contract | 1,716,332,050,260 | do-you-think-the-manifold-pivot-is | Marnix | Do you think The Manifold Pivot is more sensible or more foolish? | null | null | null | null | null | |
ec5m5hqw3m4 | false | EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "sFog5ysVVm0pRbJtMG1K",
"label": "deagol",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Chris Billington | Ymb30JpgOcNPPxDNlxom | public | contract | 1,716,332,135,380 | bitcoin-low | chrisjbillington | Bitcoin low— | sFog5ysVVm0pRbJtMG1K | null | null | null | null | |
dpa8u4bhb7c | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2",
"label": "AmmonLam",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | FNHydUH7mcyKM66WWGDc | public | contract | 1,716,332,173,091 | how-much-creator-earnings-will-stru | Ziddletwix | How much Creator earnings will @strutheo get in league season 13? | null | null | 400.206446 | YES | 359ff7ea1f8f | |
dths1on52rd | false | 6Q1UZ4BfBoUNAtN8KTY35joPlXi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zxwuj6l51ff",
"label": "Odoacre",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joe and Seth | YNsC29Fl1BlfMtidAMjB | public | contract | 1,716,332,648,633 | whowhat-do-manifold-users-think-the | JoeandSeth | Who/what do Manifold users think they could beat (unarmed) in a fight? [Add responses.] | yyyqv5wmq7a | null | 72.028845 | YES | 9a9818b77909 | |
3b6jtvqz40r | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "2nd caveat - we will cross the bridge of \"If CZ evades prison\" if we cross it lol. This question requires CZ to enter a prison cell even for 1 hour ... | Haws | d7T1Crw7LzTMQoDwk0ko | public | contract | 1,716,332,771,428 | will-changpeng-zhao-cz-do-any-priso | Haws | Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) do any prison time for money laundering? | mosrsr0ll | 0.989931 | 588.588064 | YES | null | |
m32eqzbbls | false | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does this mean the full Congress (House + Senate) or either chamber?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
... | houstonEuler | 15g3WcUDLSovre9aDMco | public | contract | 1,716,333,118,488 | will-bibi-netanyahu-address-the-118 | houstonEuler | Will Bibi Netanyahu address the 118th Congress? | null | null | null | null | null | |
nixe8oh04f | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Other odds for comparison:",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,... | Joshua | 1EThWNpPwqwzgRimLRhi | public | contract | 1,716,333,184,409 | acx-2024-who-will-win-the-2024-mexi | Joshua | Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? [ACX 2024] | null | null | 234.751243 | YES | d43e608550cd | |
b6sdcs00cla | false | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "m32eqzbbls",
"label": "houstonEuler",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Semiotic Rivalry | 15g3WcUDLSovre9aDMco | public | contract | 1,716,333,224,778 | will-bibi-netanyahu-address-the-118 | SemioticRivalry | Will Bibi Netanyahu address the 118th Congress? | m32eqzbbls | 0.768504 | 1,481.59155 | YES | null | |
mnuvxj7wtcf | false | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Base | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,716,333,297,193 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | Base | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | 314.652598 | NO | ac6058baf341 | |
2fqq7fw8mbk | true | xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | FairlyRandom | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,716,333,303,763 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | null | null | null | |
em98l9j5qp | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": 0,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lang... | Haws | d7T1Crw7LzTMQoDwk0ko | public | contract | 1,716,333,317,271 | will-changpeng-zhao-cz-do-any-priso | Haws | Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) do any prison time for money laundering? | null | 0.989931 | 588.588064 | YES | null | |
mrnrbqp1x5a | true | xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | FairlyRandom | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,716,333,362,589 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | null | null | null | |
arhg7463035 | false | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Base | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,716,333,368,038 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | Base | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | 314.652598 | NO | ac6058baf341 | |
tray79wjvvn | true | xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | FairlyRandom | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,716,333,370,087 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | null | null | null | |
bjlouml41up | true | xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | FairlyRandom | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,716,333,423,212 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | null | null | null | |
oo533n25ix8 | false | v1sXfDTUK2gOSWrK4pYrJ7boLJx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is such a sad statistic.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Krantz | YvVqSYEdyiYn7Mdj4oCc | public | contract | 1,716,333,494,733 | will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the | Krantz | Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria) | null | 0.32 | 30.086014 | YES | null | |
msf2rpz369 | false | Ucf9gSx91qSILEaE9hWzxqVcfnF2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is already true, no? The iPhone was talked about but ChatGPT convinced some people the singularity was nigh. Talk about AI has just exploded in th... | William Dewey | 5xvZ2ZVhzaVIEWIUkYsr | public | contract | 1,716,333,501,733 | 5-years-from-now-will-chatgpt-be-se | WilliamDewey | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEUFzf9eRwSwv9JXyMV7z4aITfNnqch9PTaFKTPMZl=s96-c | 5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?" | null | 0.867817 | 70.84602 | YES | null |
ik1grkya1w9 | false | Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I feel like the big \"if\" of this market is the AGI part. That's a very big bar to clear!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": ... | Lorxus PhD 🦊 | s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk | public | contract | 1,716,333,652,118 | will-we-have-an-agi-as-smart-as-a-g | Lorxus | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c | Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025? | null | 0.215572 | 3,043.177011 | NO | null |
xyhkbje06h | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Joshua | Hx6ztBBnhHTGss9lI5OG | public | contract | 1,716,333,817,290 | manifold-top-traders-leaderboard-20 | Joshua | Manifold Top Traders Leaderboard 2024 Megamarket | null | null | 88.897031 | YES | 899d596c15d6 | |
mxsmjiujzab | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6gkw709bhmr",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Timothy Johnson | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,716,333,825,628 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 5qyl1or13z8 | null | 1,661.256438 | NO | b3c5aaa8c26f |
tuxymhqtn9a | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2",
"label": "Gigacasting",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Daniel Tello | ySxznMWI4cYQc3glx25f | public | contract | 1,716,333,868,153 | crypto-cycle-low | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | Crypto Cycle Low | null | null | 611.258928 | YES | fb159412a16c |
uuj78nnuu0s | false | LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "s0ldr5zq7zc",
"label": "josh",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Harrison Lucas | Ovdg7Im8LLYrEETn39g0 | public | contract | 1,716,333,873,435 | someone-changes-reality-to-profit-o | HarrisonLucas | Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035? | s0ldr5zq7zc | 0.42654 | 185.00068 | YES | null | |
b45uw7v3ha | false | ct6oydGUOWPw4mriOThe4VKvjp02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "t1cfbybeib",
"label": "draaglom",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Craig Talbert | PuRCWFIi6gxMijOuRHPo | public | contract | 1,716,333,916,558 | will-the-international-criminal-cou-3572841109f7 | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu by the end of 2024? | t1cfbybeib | 0.665224 | 117.472562 | NO | null |
jgx5svt1fp | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ec5m5hqw3m4",
"label": "chrisjbillington",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | Daniel Tello | Ymb30JpgOcNPPxDNlxom | public | contract | 1,716,333,925,230 | bitcoin-low | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | Bitcoin low— | sFog5ysVVm0pRbJtMG1K | null | 870.346799 | YES | b772028a7b50 |
04j9dh1kluh6 | false | vhOb9Oblv0UdSWE0t95c7C18nxt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "oo533n25ix8",
"label": "Krantz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ṁ710 | YvVqSYEdyiYn7Mdj4oCc | public | contract | 1,716,333,932,007 | will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the | ElmerFudd | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FElmerFudd%2FO_VjM6kAYN.07?alt=media&token=41234898-830b-4e46-ae81-5236cc9e8349 | Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria) | oo533n25ix8 | 0.32 | 951.83315 | YES | null |
wi7nbc6uo1 | false | A6hZXGj8r0NPjD78ELxkTNbTtNC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Well, given that there was the 2 week condition and the flight is scheduled to occur no earlier than May 25th, I'm going to go ahead and resolve this a... | Anonymous | ymfkRJdmQw6JIJFZeN25 | public | contract | 1,716,333,951,565 | will-the-boeing-starliner-crewed-fl | Anonymous0000 | Will the Boeing Starliner Crewed Flight Test (Boe-CFT) be successful? | null | null | null | null | null | |
yxgm6kjbnk | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Dang still no update for April. Someone quit? Bumping out the close date on this market. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "... | Archibald Crone | WviL2TdAXHOpfIiUItnj | public | contract | 1,716,333,970,650 | in-what-country-will-the-next-mass | BlueDragon | 📢✊In what countries will mass public protests start in 2024? | null | null | 180.116238 | YES | e41e47504bcc | |
knre9bveqbo | false | vhOb9Oblv0UdSWE0t95c7C18nxt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "lcl6zGScna87T7M2vhLK",
"label": "yard",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ṁ710 | QVPb8yrukyYnTMDyXxTo | public | contract | 1,716,334,050,916 | will-israel-win-the-2023-israelhama | ElmerFudd | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FElmerFudd%2FO_VjM6kAYN.07?alt=media&token=41234898-830b-4e46-ae81-5236cc9e8349 | Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war? | lcl6zGScna87T7M2vhLK | null | null | null | null |
txoe3oqbdxd | false | IHDLxybqxuUw6eITbJRATOukljJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y8y6s0k7n5f",
"label": "blorppppp",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Michael Lee | 1sfbjcTu6zgqjCVjqWA2 | public | contract | 1,716,334,238,752 | will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre | MichaelLee121b | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcf18lcTJaqrchOtEMvJ-eXO_445JlTyL8Cqv_p0zxqX10=s96-c | Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025? | y8y6s0k7n5f | 0.03995 | 184.471175 | YES | null |
elv3fuf0iyk | false | v1sXfDTUK2gOSWrK4pYrJ7boLJx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "04j9dh1kluh6",
"label": "ElmerFudd",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Krantz | YvVqSYEdyiYn7Mdj4oCc | public | contract | 1,716,334,398,740 | will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the | Krantz | Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria) | oo533n25ix8 | 0.32 | 30.086014 | YES | null | |
y4p7c6fmhk | false | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "e41v8fw05yc",
"label": "TimDuffy",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | notarealuser | s3UGpxXnOPyNnii5yKZU | public | contract | 1,716,334,584,238 | will-starlink-have-over-ten-million | notarealuser | Will Starlink have over ten million subscribers by the end of 2025? | 08wpVA4F6JqRIvamOELs | 0.55 | 476.085565 | YES | null | |
v75g7tnszh | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "t13qojax61",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Pat Scott🩴 | KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm | public | contract | 1,716,334,871,827 | will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24 | Stralor | Will I eat ass in the next 24...? | 71crycw6lw6 | null | 282.45773 | YES | a06afbcc5807 | |
iqumplrvdqm | false | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Semiotic Rivalry | TlAwFxpxKC9rP2hZkCtf | public | contract | 1,716,334,972,155 | who-will-win-the-georgia-state-supr | SemioticRivalry | Who will win the Georgia State Supreme Court election today? | null | null | 57,691.957069 | YES | d2631b7f9996 | |
ehewy3f2tgs | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | stefanie | EnIPKs1K04vlHWBLgbbn | public | contract | 1,716,335,067,393 | when-will-a-rafah-ground-invasion-b | shankypanky | When will a Rafah Ground Invasion be reported by the NYT? (Weekly) | null | null | 6,176.173042 | NO | 660100ebb0f1 | |
8rkemo84xiv | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "v75g7tnszh",
"label": "Stralor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | stefanie | KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm | public | contract | 1,716,335,204,987 | will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24 | shankypanky | Will I eat ass in the next 24...? | 71crycw6lw6 | null | 753.375109 | NO | e46ef40a0bed | |
et4exwobko6 | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "33mfdyyugne",
"label": "AnnaCherry",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | vK9bujGHVRqn4pMqGLaJ | public | contract | 1,716,335,220,166 | do-you-enjoy-gooning | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Do you enjoy gooning? | bm7kqd8ox3q | null | null | null | null |
hg8q7a7wdst | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | nikki | Hx6ztBBnhHTGss9lI5OG | public | contract | 1,716,335,253,622 | manifold-top-traders-leaderboard-20 | nikki | Manifold Top Traders Leaderboard 2024 Megamarket | null | null | 80.041816 | YES | 516add6b6530 | |
7owdo6szs15 | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is not a bug or exploit, it's intended behaviour",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc... | nikki | Hx6ztBBnhHTGss9lI5OG | public | contract | 1,716,335,270,688 | manifold-top-traders-leaderboard-20 | nikki | Manifold Top Traders Leaderboard 2024 Megamarket | hg8q7a7wdst | null | 80.041816 | YES | 516add6b6530 | |
4s8h11ondxt | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "nqhqc6yd2p",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Dan | GexKUqn5ElyB7gVZsyQo | public | contract | 1,716,335,296,442 | what-will-sam-altman-do-next-add-an | DanMan314 | What will Sam Altman do by June 1, 2024? (Add answers!) | kg4s27otgv7 | null | 475.63489 | YES | f584a4fa76ac | |
4ndp4ab846d | false | NkVYTWX3UVUiy2z5fc1SknVeEXt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ptaff7ih07j",
"label": "Odoacre",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | dionisos | YNsC29Fl1BlfMtidAMjB | public | contract | 1,716,335,480,280 | whowhat-do-manifold-users-think-the | dionisos | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaBN5h-fDSn1z_PVqv7Ig7DoyQe7_sl0KXlw4bokw=s96-c | Who/what do Manifold users think they could beat (unarmed) in a fight? [Add responses.] | yyyqv5wmq7a | null | 27.035936 | NO | 5bd18463c12a |
8l5paa13kyh | false | LOGbOF5vIAVmbEm9xiueZTNEPEg2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What about the infamous $1 settlement? Doesn’t seem in the spirit of the proposition ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "par... | T S | E0edSLrDpEBvWiu5vsbF | public | contract | 1,716,335,867,199 | will-scarlett-johansson-receive-mon | TS80c3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKjxGzBCpgj73wh0bMPvbetjH95JFcKV5DEYmOR2x4hvaEDiSjU=s96-c | Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
f9vjwm4p0q | false | n9g6oDj4dqgJQyE0P0PBsex1sWI2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2sx1gjmqxnw",
"label": "deagol",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Daniel Tilkin | uf33loWsm4Vx3OM8EEjr | public | contract | 1,716,336,065,781 | will-apple-stock-aapl-fully-break-1-6af0c8e45876 | DanielTilkin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaD_F3MPbut-et9lJUiLj_dMo5cRkQ70utJs_egAQ=s96-c | Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $190 before $170? (fourth round!) | 2sx1gjmqxnw | 0.989303 | 36.91434 | YES | null |
5tm7h4zt6z9 | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Do later months resolve yes or no if he's imprisoned in an earlier month?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | gT1o9AbV1cuLNgYhOmLI | public | contract | 1,716,336,179,927 | in-which-month-will-cz-be-taken-int | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | In which month will CZ be taken into BOP custody? | null | null | null | null | null |
jhbjle6tyrh | false | cInsKX5arUUjPs8PXeSTlQybYeC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y4p7c6fmhk",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Tim Duffy | s3UGpxXnOPyNnii5yKZU | public | contract | 1,716,336,301,565 | will-starlink-have-over-ten-million | TimDuffy | Will Starlink have over ten million subscribers by the end of 2025? | 08wpVA4F6JqRIvamOELs | 0.55 | 1,045.113353 | NO | null | |
sqe88zlni1 | false | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qklhdv391c",
"label": "nikki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | singer | ntrts8wCTG4JSzUIKubO | public | contract | 1,716,336,321,383 | hourly-coinflip-limits-at-51-49 | singer | Daily coinflip with better odds (Limits at 51, 49) | w144rdzq4qd | 0.500726 | 39.033842 | NO | null | |
wfh9ju9e1ir | false | EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hk3xfifcpgk",
"label": "BonjTwo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Chris Billington | THPsMRwQWcaZttCDbZvv | public | contract | 1,716,336,615,438 | in-starshipsuperheavy-ift4-will-sta | chrisjbillington | Will Starship IFT-4 survive past the point of maximum re-entry heating? | hk3xfifcpgk | 0.562917 | 279.063885 | NO | null | |
8a5cck2ewq2 | false | HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Seems like this market is kind of broken post pivot? Needs some subsidisation",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
... | Daniel | tPLAFk3FPVm3xrBmldfh | public | contract | 1,716,336,662,426 | who-will-be-elected-president-in-20 | Daniel_MC | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c | Who will be elected president in 2028? | null | null | 595.917262 | YES | b8eacca76898 |
k2bxid6s1tf | false | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "egjlxwk50b",
"label": "tbird",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | singer | Bpfc4T19JTzSDlmihAIf | public | contract | 1,716,336,997,962 | which-of-the-following-groups-do-yo | singer | Which of the following groups do you feel the strongest compassion and moral concern for, on an emotional level? | vzwgzxz9hx | null | null | null | null | |
1chellmxq8z | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "5tm7h4zt6z9",
"label": "TheAllMemeingEye",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | Haws | gT1o9AbV1cuLNgYhOmLI | public | contract | 1,716,337,032,226 | in-which-month-will-cz-be-taken-int | Haws | In which month will CZ be taken into BOP custody? | 5tm7h4zt6z9 | null | null | null | null | |
yxlz40j14db | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "🤞",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Snarflak | gRDpRW8YwRoMNUFPSMnO | public | contract | 1,716,337,216,012 | will-star-voting-pass-in-eugene-ore | Snarflak | Will Star Voting pass in Eugene, Oregon? | null | 0.747074 | 0 | YES | null | |
2pffetjy4yo | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm surprised by how high, \"Until the end of 2024,\" is. Pre-pivot, I was planning to make a sequel and run it ~a year after the original. Now I'm not... | Plasma Ballin' | hEbhleOcmNZCn1wo8TVo | public | contract | 1,716,337,244,574 | how-long-will-i-be-able-to-resist-t | PlasmaBallin | How long will I be able to resist the temptation to create a another Manifold Survey? | null | null | 1,027.115863 | NO | a8dc40438d22 | |
83r8dwy85ia | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ehewy3f2tgs",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | EnIPKs1K04vlHWBLgbbn | public | contract | 1,716,337,352,865 | when-will-a-rafah-ground-invasion-b | Joshua | When will a Rafah Ground Invasion be reported by the NYT? (Weekly) | ehewy3f2tgs | null | 0 | NO | 31406418826d | |
lyhqh7dvgg | false | VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does it count if e.g. A CEO is murdered by her husband in a domestic violence incident unrelated to her being the CEO of a major lab? What about if a C... | Madge | WKccMXY8ApRiFcqBw7S7 | public | contract | 1,716,337,373,769 | will-there-be-an-assassination-atte-e11b3ab4b5c7 | Mad | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c | Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? | null | null | null | null | null |
2lq2b9x5ngc | false | czCd79lUs5ZFHvpY7bA5vWiEw122 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does the seniors tour count?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content":... | Christopher ONeil | H9ZpjZB7jcOzkkKHKNMO | public | contract | 1,716,337,715,347 | tiger-woods-will-win-another-pga-to | ChristopherONeil | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcivQLmrcF6Y_Qc_O3YYNpACIr1wq4MxpdZr416kn8WkkYo=s96-c | Tiger Woods Will Win Another PGA Tournament | null | null | null | null | null |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.