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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
zRAIsxuet473BMFniAGy | when-will-slay-the-spire-2-be-fully | 146.73363460962128 | When will Slay the Spire 2 be fully released? | 1798757940000 | 9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712781145908 | Fedor | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Slay the Spire 2 has been announced for Steam Early Access during 2025, but when will it be fully released out of early access?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All options set after Slay the S... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7613043953290304, "platformFee": 0.7613043953290304, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 210 | Fedor | 1716251737177 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "8c2e9ccdcdec", "prob": 0.06962845596245172, "text": "Summer Solstice 2025 (21st June)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.326179188261818, "userId": "9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 124.615886011218, "textFts": "'2025':3 '21st':4 'june':5 'solstic':2 'summer':1", "contractId": "zRAIsxuet473BM... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678129247577 | 0 | [{"name": "Slay the Spire", "slug": "slay-the-spire", "groupId": "0SFua7i6YIvMhBZUPvqU", "createdTime": 1712781146131}] | ["slay-the-spire"] | 0.25 | 1716251733942 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4EQbPzlWWpaxnBb0SUHc | in-2030-where-will-irish-electricit | 0 | In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]? | 1893542340000 | XKP93t1PoJMflFYbIciohNoAV602 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1712781179855 | Ronan McGovern | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Predict the ranking of Ireland's electricity prices in 2030 compared to the following countries: Australia, Finland, Denmark, Netherlands, Estonia, United Kingdom, Switzerland, and Singapore.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | Ronan | 1712781180161 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJdeA6ZnQOmm66Qy4cHz-ezeeo1ZaRtdk_-39Ft3ho_lttLwh_lnw=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712507876861 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712781180011}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712781180074}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "crea... | ["politics-default", "technology-default", "energy"] | 0.25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4984646000483134 | LJ6Mjx8cETWsrrMnMPgm | {"NO": 138.36088878880568, "YES": 141.664767331434} | 0.49256562683137056 | will-bloomberg-ipo-before-the-end-o | 12 | Will Bloomberg IPO before the end of 2035? | 2082776340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712781244482 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -4.996003610813204e-16, "week": -4.996003610813204e-16, "month": -4.996003610813204e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | strutheo | 1712844318886 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1712781244852}, {"name": "Investing", "slug": "investing", "groupId": "uVOFCm1wHEnCBkk8fwY2", "createdTime": 1712781244863}, {"name": "Companies", "slug": "companies", "groupId": "GHdHJ6FMRw0TnBSvH0cP", "createdTime": 171278... | ["business", "investing", "companies", "ipo", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712844315553 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9ZQEwalyAXfla40vyekS | metaculus-how-many-chinese-aircraft | 1861.3880536402883 | [Metaculus] Max no. of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's ADIZ in a single day [may 15 - jun 15]? | 1718492340000 | rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712781277648 | draaglom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Between May 15th and Jun 15th 2024 inclusive.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as this Metaculus question:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "c... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.585193266244348, "platformFee": 2.1176530980660475, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719095331617 | 340 | draaglom | 1718492340000 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "00c91ea0cbfa", "prob": 0.01, "text": "< 5", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.7408757712076124, "userId": "rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 295.8320935511462, "textFts": "'5':1", "contractId": "9ZQEwalyAXfla40vyekS", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2", "createdTim... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680650651402 | 0 | [{"name": "Taiwan", "slug": "taiwan", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1712781277904}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1712781277926}, {"name": "South China Sea", "slug": "south-china-sea", "groupId": "364b2d83-e4cf-4d9e-adab-e760ce55f39a", "cre... | ["taiwan", "china", "south-china-sea", "metaculus"] | 0.25 | 1717949799184 | 1716426638338 | 0.05 | rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4991707989208015 | VZbSnCHlcuLvU3qYNDmG | {"NO": 119.00990099009904, "YES": 121.00000000000001} | 0.49502499876243805 | will-at-least-7-of-my-manifold-ques | 1 | Will at least 10 of my manifold questions be tweeted in 2024? | 1712794094143 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.380203044602111 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1712781445932 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 4.996003610813204e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712794094143 | 120 | StochasticParrot | 1712794094143 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | True | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712781630180 | 0.5 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27469573608004044 | L0Xen5aWb3CAAe15d9k0 | {"NO": 158.26023249228206, "YES": 5933.878937026153} | 0 | at-the-end-of-420-will-joe-bidens-f | 5494.689802065801 | At the end of 4/20 will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight? | 1713671940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.345748918265229 | True | play | NO | public | 1712781595746 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Biden: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/joe-biden/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/joe-biden/", "class": "b... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.010000000000000009} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.911570027842154, "platformFee": 4.911570027842154, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713697937793 | 480 | strutheo | 1713671940000 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712781595927}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712781595925}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden"... | ["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "the-life-of-biden", "politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713659599281 | 1713275286169 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6069911557249021 | j2A4mFxKiB4bjNczgPdh | {"NO": 3129.178621792438, "YES": 14.034919584317414} | 1 | will-fc-cincinnati-ii-beat-new-engl | 3420 | Will FC Cincinnati II beat New England II during regular time on Wed, Apr 10, 2024?⚽ MLS Next Pro | 1712793995889 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.636268096066962 | True | play | YES | public | 1712781686997 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ FC Cincinnati II vs New England II", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Wednesday, April 10, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]},... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0023872143115482025} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712794591583 | 160 | FranklinBaldo | 1712794593597 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712781687217}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712793814450 | 1712794592986 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Yip47vpLIRICWX3HqqPX | the-10-people-closest-to-me-and-fut | 240 | The 10 people closest to me, and futurism and exciting stuff that happens, MultiMarket by mid 2030 | 1909119540000 | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712781962977 | Ernie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My circle includes me and 9 other people socially close to me. This market is about what futuristic or interesting life changes happen to me. Even if my life changes, I won't change the identity of the people the above claims relate to. It's very ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 655 | Ernie | 1712813781765 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "9a7ca9a13246", "prob": 0.9, "text": "One of us will ride in a CyberTruck", "index": 0, "poolNo": 95, "userId": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10.555555555555552, "textFts": "'cybertruck':8 'one':1 'ride':5 'us':3", "contractId": "Yip47vpLIRICWX3HqqPX", "createdTime": 1712781962977... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668384110640 | 0 | [{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1712781963271}] | ["personal"] | 0.25 | 1712813778536 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41248964648161796 | aZYScja4nBZVll4PQpEM | {"NO": 132.22473086431742, "YES": 265.5273851643632} | 0.25905274307689524 | will-destiny-talk-to-adam-friedland | 117 | Will Destiny talk to Adam Friedland before the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712782096336 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | strutheo | 1712894379050 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Podcasts", "slug": "podcasts", "groupId": "8cvSruaMBLaZqnfLaLA0", "createdTime": 1712782096488}, {"name": "Comedy", "slug": "comedy", "groupId": "5422cc5a-ad91-46f9-89d4-be7ecbc9dcd8", "createdTime": 1712782096505}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime":... | ["podcasts", "comedy", "internet", "dalibanhq", "destinygg"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712894375788 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8pZ5wpGsmmbOH7cdv8hH | in-january-2030-how-many-properties | 0 | In January 2030, how many properties will be available to rent in all of Ireland on Daft.ie? | XKP93t1PoJMflFYbIciohNoAV602 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1712782190161 | Ronan McGovern | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The poll will resolve on January 30th 2030 based on the number of properties available for rent at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.daft.ie/property-for-rent/ireland", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://w... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | Ronan | 1712782190693 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJdeA6ZnQOmm66Qy4cHz-ezeeo1ZaRtdk_-39Ft3ho_lttLwh_lnw=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712507876861 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712782190310}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1712782190326}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "crea... | ["technology-default", "energy", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8272356604225554 | GI3LtO2V8Ccs2zSQT7k8 | {"NO": 1217.7241648138547, "YES": 921.7525722825291} | 0.8634945770454577 | will-joe-biden-reduce-his-voteshare-6be5c208bdc4 | 301 | Will Joe Biden reduce his voteshare amongst latino voters in 2024? | 1735621140000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.819687576335633 | False | basic | public | 1712782320172 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if his two-way vote share in 2024 per Catalist is less than 63%. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Clinton had 71% and Obama had 70%.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "http... | BINARY | {"day": 0.0005817342597664865, "week": 0.0005817342597664865, "month": 0.0005817342597670416} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.04742445990787099, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 5 | 1000 | SemioticRivalry | 1720203536997 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712782320603}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712782320608}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "the-life-of-biden", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720203533693 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.29324539283555334 | eK5r4BPyflEQrG9wDWjq | {"NO": 941.2197112894535, "YES": 1110.5404119970735} | 0.2601673040718651 | will-i-personally-know-someone-with | 642.8950320603317 | Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032? | 1988168340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.592143838404441 | False | basic | public | 1712782329090 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.113784372516409, "platformFee": 0.9558348517644328, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1717405101537 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712782329308}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1712782329417}, {"name": "Neuralink", "slug": "neuralink", "groupId": "7a8763d0-504f-446d-a291-f... | ["technology-default", "science-default", "neuralink", "braincomputer-interface", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717405097695 | 1713116071172 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4300116465363008 | 7bOp6w5DWDL8v4V92d22 | {"NO": 920.1926973809435, "YES": 1025.5597785211594} | 0.4036656891140322 | does-lantern-bioworks-product-to-pr | 1727.956631938643 | Does Lantern Bioworks' product to prevent cavities also eliminate "morning breath"? | 1798693260000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.842345994727424 | False | basic | public | 1712782687458 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1777854752635691247"}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If reliable information demonstrates that Lantern Bioworks' product to prevent cavities also prevents morning breath, before 2027, this market resolves YES. If reliable informat... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.020035297025307597} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.926044716467086, "platformFee": 13.479936202179625, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bayesian | 1719074249193 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1712782687671}, {"name": "cavities", "slug": "cavities", "groupId": "ec2be633-154a-4ef5-b7d8-f8d2a3b0dae2", "createdTime": 1712782687702}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZ... | ["twitter", "cavities", "technology-default", "lantern-bioworks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719074246108 | 1712807990561 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
yXhdIksmh4epK3PvuEgu | next-openai-image-creation-model-mu | 102.16143706294105 | Next OpenAI image creation model multimarket | 1744873140000 | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712782943346 | Ernie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is only about the image generation part directly. i.e. you input a prompt <or something else> and ask to generate an image out.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is about the next paid... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5166839803775911, "platformFee": 0.14235677576048322, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 420 | Ernie | 1718573711376 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "8b7f39142889", "prob": 0.5386493293414494, "text": "It will allow resolution greater than 1792x1024 px in terms of megapixels", "index": 0, "poolNo": 44.67950726710191, "userId": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 38.26779227140658, "textFts": "'1792x1024':7 'allow':3 'greater':5 'meg... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668384110640 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1712875603661}, {"name": "DALLE3", "slug": "dalle3", "groupId": "2eecc88f-7aec-43e1-b9c4-d9349b466734", "createdTime": 1712875606740}, {"name": "DALLE4", "slug": "dalle4", "groupId": "19f73d5a-4f86-4283-9978-cffa7a5a92a4", "creat... | ["openai", "dalle3", "dalle4", "ai-image-generation"] | 0.25 | 1718573708305 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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F4O2rjJDpS6lxi1SQIiO | which-pieces-of-global-infrastructu | 953.1295641557797 | Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS] | 1767243540000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712787909132 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting from the creation of this market on April 10th 2024. I reserve the right to N/A any redundant, inappropriate, or overly obscure additions. Attacks which are obviously manmade will resolve Yes even if the specific perpetrator is unclear. Th... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.157386731562081, "platformFee": 1.0821093947945803, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1165 | Panfilo | 1717800444968 | 0 | 18 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "45884eac7f9b", "prob": 0.21294155405768653, "text": "Suez Canal (Egypt)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25.14243709746477, "userId": "U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 92.92957195086595, "textFts": "'canal':2 'egypt':3 'suez':1", "contractId": "F4O2rjJDpS6lxi1SQIiO", "createdTime": 1712787909... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1712787909405}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1712787909408}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1712787909... | ["wars", "energy", "economics-default", "terrorism"] | 0.25 | 1717800441878 | 1713009561098 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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rrBCvfpC61i74iI7mNsd | which-pieces-of-global-infrastructu-d24aba7d4a09 | 3076.7145494093793 | Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS] | 1925009940000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712788121702 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting from the creation of this market on April 10th 2024. I reserve the right to N/A any redundant, inappropriate, or overly obscure additions. Attacks which are obviously manmade will resolve Yes even if the specific perpetrator is unclear. Th... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.697208335636149, "platformFee": 0.7263553257327774, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 2430 | Panfilo | 1719711189888 | 0 | 31 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5b18b57fea65", "prob": 0.2956800384686915, "text": "Suez Canal (Egypt)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 69.73491302780364, "userId": "U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 166.11094721002783, "textFts": "'canal':2 'egypt':3 'suez':1", "contractId": "rrBCvfpC61i74iI7mNsd", "createdTime": 1712788121... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "Terrorism", "slug": "terrorism", "groupId": "dWSuGqoMKLTROX8ar0Fz", "createdTime": 1712788121973}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1712788121977}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 171... | ["terrorism", "energy", "economics-default", "wars"] | 0.25 | 1719711186451 | 1712838386089 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.728415460679164 | dGNxCq701Kznvfxkiqdk | {"NO": 2268.868955664504, "YES": 37.331972328669856} | 1 | will-penarol-beat-caracas-fc-during | 2111 | Will Penarol beat Caracas FC during regular time on Thu, Apr 11, 2024?⚽ Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712800964034 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.682659097032188 | True | play | YES | public | 1712789190293 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Penarol vs Caracas FC", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competitio... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.006101073083470188} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712801788702 | 160 | FranklinBaldo | 1712801791247 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712789190463}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712800891554 | 1712801790107 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.34283914675280724 | Rvvc3mOLlFpIXrSZxgOa | {"NO": 900.0832036045064, "YES": 1155.9427756777168} | 0.28887548785082307 | will-firstuserhere-use-alts-for-ban | 349.133415405458 | Will firstuserhere use alts for ban-evasion and be caught doing it, by EOY 2024? | 1735707540000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.638315288288016 | False | basic | public | 1712789972937 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Unfortunately firstuserhere, of 100k steps fame, was banned today. Will he be found to be evading the ban with more alts, by EOY 2024?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0006340489677974515} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0313899204285673, "platformFee": 0.9839514815608775, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bayesian | 1719074261867 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Moderators", "slug": "moderators", "groupId": "jZmh6MwBUpUMBwcqVgCn", "createdTime": 1712789973074}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712789973077}] | ["moderators", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719074258803 | 1713071790255 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
snlY3Ge7XqkrRvqZUNRc | fide-chess-candidates-tournament-ro-7f928516f9f7 | 35084.93762509491 | FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 7 Prop Bets | 1712890740000 | FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712790098613 | Weezing | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "You are welcome to add your own options.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Games start 12th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (~19 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.", "type": "text"}]}, ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712924077721 | 3960 | Weezing | 1712926655033 | 0 | 17 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "6e2b3bb293af", "prob": 0.008723377111219168, "text": "Nepo and Gukesh are still in the lead after the round is over", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.895092954547927, "userId": "FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1010.7894674100286, "textFts": "'gukesh':3 'lead':8 'nepo':1 'round':11 'still':5... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700212225777 | 0 | [{"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime": 1712790099292}, {"name": "Chess candidates 2024", "slug": "chess-candidates-2024", "groupId": "09ea3682-1d3f-4f69-8ce4-b68d4fe77f12", "createdTime": 1712790099288}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupI... | ["prop-bets", "chess-candidates-2024", "chess"] | 0.25 | 1712878207998 | 1712926654360 | 0.66 | FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5718080295191219 | 3c0CFhgLX7QMGbBXIfe5 | {"NO": 780.3590030591799, "YES": 57.98981318796967} | 0.9472859217426438 | will-i-be-able-to-buy-mealsquares-2 | 736.5267805764763 | Will I be able to buy MealSquares 2.0 in May? | 1717300740000 | SPIsEuortUNfKeTUeaE3vHLsAF93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712790318135 | Sailfish | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Hello, Mealsquares 2.0 are launching soon. We are pausing operations while we move manufacturing to Nevada. We apologize for any inconvenience. We are currently expecting to launch the new Mealsquares in early May... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.044664676296922, "platformFee": 1.7935915021316515, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | Sailfish | 1719279485098 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1674249837379 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712790318272}, {"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1712790318288}] | ["technology-default", "food"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717296993037 | 1719279483408 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7637157027426528 | 09sOQQlLj63DSZVTwXAa | {"NO": 538.981514454304, "YES": 1296.996982746509} | 0.5732281613274797 | ba-stock | 34968.127017782535 | Ba stock | 0fwVslpHnUYlepocaJIyIzSFOgg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.475051599252025 | False | basic | public | 1712790411910 | Xiao Ming | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "The Vietnamese General. The Father Of Jasondaween. The Guy Who Started It All.... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0.027684329238069072, "month": 0.027684329238069072} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 94.24725370685023, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1250.75 | chinabroker | 1719965624576 | 0 | 81 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712751362345 | 0 | [{"name": "Twitch", "slug": "twitch", "groupId": "VTvoakLdTRfbosPA4BGZ", "createdTime": 1712790412102}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1712790413479}, {"name": "Unsubsidized", "slug": "unsubsidized", "groupId": "f08f4130-3410-4030-9bf5-f67... | ["twitch", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized", "all-stonks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1719965609968 | 1719965623211 | 0fwVslpHnUYlepocaJIyIzSFOgg2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
yKM1C3IQzQhUqWUZTGrj | how-will-i-feel-about-mealsquares-2 | 257.71354651049825 | How will I feel about Mealsquares 2.0? | 1722571140000 | SPIsEuortUNfKeTUeaE3vHLsAF93 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712790464005 | Sailfish | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Hello, Mealsquares 2.0 are launching soon. We are pausing operations while we move manufacturing to Nevada. We apologize for any inconvenience. We are currently expecting to launch the new Mealsquares in early May... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4321405350379826, "platformFee": 0.7833429612641657, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | Sailfish | 1718170436944 | 0 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "ad9186802c35", "prob": 0.5717848619678813, "text": "Better", "index": 0, "poolNo": 85.46057680346703, "userId": "SPIsEuortUNfKeTUeaE3vHLsAF93", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 64.00224127349632, "textFts": "'better':1", "contractId": "yKM1C3IQzQhUqWUZTGrj", "createdTime": 1712790464005, "probChanges": {"day": -0.... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1674249837379 | 0 | [{"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1712790464536}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712790464538}] | ["food", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 1718170433787 | 1712910629998 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gseN5diVD6IMj7Vci7r7 | stephen-curry-career-regular-season | 102.19475718780505 | Stephen Curry Career Regular Season Made 3 Pointers | 1899788340000 | Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712790706602 | vibhav | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "DM/comment with any questions", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Fairly self explanatory", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thank you for part... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7513491606152654, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | vibhav | 1718483038562 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1f4cf29c329d", "prob": 0.018087472890061365, "text": "3700-3740", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0768983149704852, "userId": "Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 58.46145298020768, "textFts": "'-3740':2 '3700':1", "contractId": "gseN5diVD6IMj7Vci7r7", "createdTime": 1712790706602, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705419897240 | 0 | [{"name": "Steph Curry", "slug": "steph-curry", "groupId": "3eb3b2ff-9291-4d10-8887-1c5497494f31", "createdTime": 1712790706984}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712790706982}, {"name": "Stephen Curry", "slug": "stephen-curry", "groupId": "2bb7e086-a2d... | ["steph-curry", "sports-default", "stephen-curry", "nba", "basketball"] | 0.25 | 1718483034390 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.3771026048661493 | smcdLxgxq6WZaVxGqFfA | {"NO": 89.34379921755624, "YES": 240.52026754441906} | 0 | will-i-get-into-stanford-university | 176.19131671036408 | Will i get into Stanford University math camp / SUMaC? | 1712969793984 | S61Mw8J3ieX0kfBLPiGFyduBPop1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4845834859195444 | True | play | NO | public | 1712795221079 | jay jayjay | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "sophmore (co 2026)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "solved like 5 or 6", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "aime", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "last minut... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.18359519395356852} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712969793984 | 140 | jayjayjay | 1712969793984 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyysI5QHaKkAvS_e2Wkkn08rEVXWJskshnVu-mKZjA=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711759693512 | 0 | [{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1712795221235}] | ["competition-math"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712809059460 | 0.18 | S61Mw8J3ieX0kfBLPiGFyduBPop1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3128966052142441 | 32VNeAmZUp17XAkZS2Jc | {"NO": 633.1638668674798, "YES": 2414.9026353230247} | 0.106662293894977 | will-the-espionage-act-charges-agai | 2007.4647441615084 | Will the Espionage Act charges against Julian Assange be dropped by the Biden Administration in 2024? | 1735711140000 | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.798771434180066 | False | basic | public | 1712795234230 | Noah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://news.sky.com/story/us-considering-dropping-julian-assange-prosecution-joe-biden-says-13112352", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://news.sky.com/story/us-considering-dropping-julian-assange-prosecution-joe-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.11333770610502386} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 19.029739024053647, "platformFee": 6.805905529825301, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Noah1 | 1719350653606 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c | 22 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699627416651 | 0 | [{"name": "Julian Assange", "slug": "julian-assange", "groupId": "d1f10c28-9909-4ba0-822d-4e93410b882a", "createdTime": 1712795234375}, {"name": "Censorship", "slug": "censorship", "groupId": "03e29c51-fa0b-4adb-9c72-be87f3ef4e1a", "createdTime": 1712795234379}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "... | ["julian-assange", "censorship", "the-life-of-biden", "law-order", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719350650516 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ZEu186bVS29bRWnRJMA5 | what-shows-will-win-an-emmy-in-2024 | 181.02464393293138 | What shows will win an Emmy in 2024? [Mega Market] | 1726469940000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712795256978 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Emmy’s! Who will win in any category this year*? All correct answers Resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "*Must be at the Primetime Emmy Awards", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.38829507203132146, "platformFee": 0.38829507203132146, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 920 | mattyb | 1714214143517 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "f5bcec1c522b", "prob": 0.5, "text": "3 Body Problem", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'3':1 'bodi':2 'problem':3", "contractId": "ZEu186bVS29bRWnRJMA5", "createdTime": 1712795256978, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1712795257235}, {"name": "Emmys 2024", "slug": "emmys-2024", "groupId": "cd97f4f9-adf6-49ba-9752-5532c216a376", "createdTime": 1712795257233}, {"name": "Awards Shows", "slug": "awards-shows", "groupId": "30d37... | ["television-film", "emmys-2024", "awards-shows", "entertainment", "tv"] | 0.25 | 1714214140149 | False | prob-desc | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20423252053829496 | CMdActKlgX9dq5DpVEl1 | {"NO": 976.8335481518362, "YES": 918.7193263245124} | 0.21438181837909598 | will-a-space-trash-laser-be-used-to | 1273.8789691985482 | Will a space trash laser be used to clean orbital debris before 2030? | 1893477540000 | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.699000761122221 | False | basic | public | 1712795455150 | Noah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQKpMmBDtZo", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQKpMmBDtZo", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 activ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6371667623274463, "platformFee": 0.6371667623274463, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Noah1 | 1715518680792 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c | 21 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699627416651 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712795455297}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712795455322}, {"name": "Lasers", "slug": "lasers", "groupId": "9d8e0f83-9a85-450d-a448-88926bb7979d", "cre... | ["technology-default", "space", "lasers", "kessler-syndrome"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715518677481 | 1712846891820 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BHH08kUbGhaY9kjmKEQI | when-will-ukraine-hold-their-next-p | 625.6138496802333 | When will Ukraine hold their next Presidential election? | 1902715140000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712795517051 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.352731414154132, "platformFee": 5.649244528573912, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SemioticRivalry | 1720002215285 | 0 | 14 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "b740835e1994", "prob": 0.13990712115527437, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 34.85709299855899, "userId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 214.28743024463768, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "BHH08kUbGhaY9kjmKEQI", "createdTime": 1712795517051, "probChanges": {"day": -5.55... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "Elections: World", "slug": "elections-world", "groupId": "w5UI0a5OgD7u18Y4gxJs", "createdTime": 1712795517344}, {"name": "🇷🇺 Russia", "slug": "russia", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1712795517345}, {"name": "🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxX... | ["elections-world", "russia", "ukrainerussia-war", "politics-default", "ukraine"] | 0.25 | 1720002212090 | 1715014546145 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FVv7iFDXy6tQHI0R6lOG | should-we-continue-building-bigger | 0 | Should we continue building bigger and bigger particle colliders? | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1712795838821 | Noah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Stuff like the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Future Circular Collider", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_Circular_Collider", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | Noah1 | 1713238862037 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c | 112 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699627416651 | 0 | [{"name": "Particle Physics", "slug": "particle-physics", "groupId": "QznxLLOqmyw75xdyOOOa", "createdTime": 1712795853122}, {"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1712795856117}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwO... | ["particle-physics", "physics", "technology-default", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 1713238861409 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5184198256527144 | fD0AE0ZKq7XeowGqIzkY | {"NO": 235.86008475352241, "YES": 205.76316986189516} | 0.5523636873832308 | will-another-top-20-market-creator | 71 | Will another top 20 market creator be found to be using alts to boost their numbers, by EOY 2024? | 1735707540000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712795950201 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "May have been top 20 market creator in the past, if there is proof. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: firstuserhere, a market creator that had a lot of markets about AI, got banned tod... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0024065583013519465} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.03730418568699313, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | Bayesian | 1719074276690 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Meta", "slug": "meta", "groupId": "6641f4ac-95bf-4770-b8e5-80354a830ec2", "createdTime": 1712795950375}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1712795950376}, {"name": "Market creators", "slug": "market-creators", "group... | ["meta", "predictions-on-predictions", "market-creators", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719074273619 | 1712808795642 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lXcOC95TFOsFlApsjhj6 | which-manifold-users-will-get-band | 2053.5020187185837 | Which manifold users will get band over the next 24 hours? | 1712840220000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712797005904 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712840928621 | 410 | jim | 1714558369810 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "4c54119cd719", "prob": 0.02, "text": "@jim", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.4796782742694345, "userId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 283.33333333333337, "textFts": "'jim':1", "contractId": "lXcOC95TFOsFlApsjhj6", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "create... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1712797006201}] | ["manifold-users"] | 0.25 | 1712816427555 | 1714558367869 | 0.02 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42079956382417905 | 5QkUu8oBnBS7137ksmMt | {"NO": 918.640532611967, "YES": 1114.1330570046898} | 0.3746243009184765 | will-bte-get-unbanned-before-the-en | 833.6637954818281 | Will BTE get unbanned before the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.769383826537023 | False | basic | public | 1712798747746 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He was banned today.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.011733240373018983} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.447966283370446, "platformFee": 7.49339018657763, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bayesian | 1719074287578 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712798747965}, {"name": "Manibans", "slug": "manibans", "groupId": "54w7ywmVRtwkShAAhknZ", "createdTime": 1712798748453}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manibans"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719074284513 | 1712809373651 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2VU3conE9gtCQ50LNzSR | blue-or-red | 0 | Blue or Red | 1712905140000 | TVmI6MwoxXbGNR3gAwscoV1bmyk2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712798750683 | adrnz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712905141028 | adrnz | 1712798750683 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjSABC4g2kPN6r-YHkP_VRxQe03_T_DboTvxmVrTyLpGL4cQ=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712715053482 | 0 | 0.25 | ["1287d522e47e"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
K8qYZs3WyZOIXOvSbTpu | will-the-majority-of-physicists-acc | 1080.1956173185856 | Will the majority of physicists accept Strong Anthropic Principle as the most likely solution for fine tuning? | 2524719540000 | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712798783624 | Oleg Eterevsky | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "fine tuning problem", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fine-tuned_universe", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:de... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1565 | OlegEterevsky | 1712863713750 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | 7 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "44a246e95022", "prob": 0.049999999999999996, "text": "Before 2030", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.170980654442763, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 250.2486324344125, "textFts": "'2030':2", "contractId": "K8qYZs3WyZOIXOvSbTpu", "createdTime": 1712798783624, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703105455482 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712798784481}, {"name": "Physics", "slug": "physics-a6878c3ad095", "groupId": "92473248-f029-4aca-bc21-094d95940b06", "createdTime": 1712798784478}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRn... | ["space", "physics-a6878c3ad095", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 1712863710415 | False | alphabetical | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TigXEzzpsKuMYAoSKLMD | what-celebrities-will-be-seen-with | 729.8432657686628 | What celebrities will be seen with Donald Trump before the election | 1730955540000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712799123823 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any celebrity photographed or widely reported to be seen with Donald Trump will resolve yes. Will resolve yes if Donald Trump seen with their dead body.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "please add answers", "type": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7616308888851814, "platformFee": 0.4069151208555575, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1718640617230 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 19 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "ac303a88ec77", "prob": 0.9134418956809245, "text": "Joe Biden", "index": 0, "poolNo": 298.3711320101814, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 28.273762887879826, "textFts": "'biden':2 'joe':1", "contractId": "TigXEzzpsKuMYAoSKLMD", "createdTime": 1712799123824, "probChanges": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712799124052}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712799124046}, {"name": "🧑🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "... | ["2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "celebrities", "politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1718640614166 | 1713232799770 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.30608985680740886 | m4pK3j7H6VVXbudWqDJl | {"NO": 117.21042463491032, "YES": 346.6063156317183} | 0.1298051643526336 | will-fuhs-100k-steps-market-be-know | 182 | will fuh's 100k steps market be known to have been faked, by EOY 2025? | 1767243540000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712799333278 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If firstuserhere admits to have faked it or similar, by the end of next year.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.002950378496769407} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.057508472916931744, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | Bayesian | 1719074298678 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712799333588}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719074295621 | 1712799347596 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pS7alK1n2AaoWZUqcBm3 | do-you-believe-that-firstuserhere-f | 0 | Do you believe that @firstuserhere faked the successful 100k steps attempt? | 1717225140000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1712799393322 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Given recent events, what do you think?", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717225140861 | mattyb | 1713315920614 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712801909700}, {"name": "🏆 ManiFans", "slug": "-manifans", "groupId": "3cpr3RrU1ZCe19JQGIRK", "createdTime": 1712801915004}, {"name": "firstuserhere", "slug": "firstuserhere", "groupId": "2b8cc740-0f73-4bb5-962... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "-manifans", "firstuserhere", "manifold-users"] | 0.25 | 1712940438310 | ["9dc6749a806e"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BfLdF1q1Ewxbj8AyIbOi | what-celebrities-will-be-seen-with-060e180a8a1f | 767.6563839192634 | What celebrities will be seen with Joe Biden before the election | 1730955540000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712799452510 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any celebrity photographed or widely reported to be seen with Joe Biden will resolve yes. Will resolve yes if Joe Biden seen with their dead body.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "please add answers", "type": "text"}... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8450756960647459, "platformFee": 0.5489519616636509, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1785 | JamesF | 1719891321426 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 29 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "89738ca46424", "prob": 0.8809428203260552, "text": "Donald Trump", "index": 0, "poolNo": 416.5408133182803, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 56.29443059018346, "textFts": "'donald':1 'trump':2", "contractId": "BfLdF1q1Ewxbj8AyIbOi", "createdTime": 1712799452510, "probChang... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712799452891}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712799452894}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-polit... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "celebrities", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 1719891317192 | 1712946623893 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4606429602503885 | eHwNweLvHymOQvfppwoZ | {"NO": 143.55281250828872, "YES": 292.0111423614258} | 0.29570322883387434 | will-any-banned-account-get-removed | 737.3879180754845 | Will any banned account get removed from the leaderboard, by the end of July? | 1722484740000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712799570804 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/leaderboards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/leaderboards", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5380236403871262} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.0752732659953, "platformFee": 2.759726740905695, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Bayesian | 1719207224473 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712799577212}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719207221408 | 1719207188572 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5947035474549979 | eAFiYUN9oNtE9f6TjYpx | {"NO": 1004.589914441234, "YES": 113.11966717476594} | 1 | gerd | 900.453564650831 | GERD | 1712810068369 | tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6548702074489519 | True | play | YES | public | 1712799906812 | nash | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Y. B. GERD.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.38325509311319916} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712810068369 | 300 | nash | 1712810068369 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKRbLXLtRzNTNCmzG3dAv2AWGkOk0C1YjtDSd8a93JDbbxvfzt8=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712799655015 | 0 | [{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712799906976}] | ["jasontheween"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712810064036 | 1712803773223 | 0.93 | tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LF5Vv8PayStNgaGEoFAj | how-much-will-trump-raise-by-the-en | 1092.6431064202322 | How much will Trump raise by the end of April 2024? | 1716263940000 | iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4r3f1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | 67a1031a97cd | public | 1712800073525 | Mick Bransfield | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How much money will former President Donald J. Trump raise by the end of April? This question will be resolved based on receipts listed on the FEC ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "here", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "h... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 17.975940545131092, "platformFee": 17.975940545131092, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716296815684 | 1000 | MickBransfield | 1716263940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7wtbRzM8LxtnW8APyehAwWYjCwYtgGP9I_hQ5S=s96-c | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "fa8a8e977a5c", "prob": 0.03829974807176641, "text": "<$120 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 29.91959749347476, "userId": "iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4r3f1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 751.2760761023712, "textFts": "'120':1 'million':2", "contractId": "LF5Vv8PayStNgaGEoFAj", "resolverId": "iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1671671131306 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712800073751}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712800073753}, {"name": "Campaign funding", "slug": "campaign-funding... | ["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "campaign-funding", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1716253712868 | 1715795936990 | {"67a1031a97cd": 100} | iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4r3f1 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5224961351555524 | 3xgi1cvCHFMXtGQweWPY | {"NO": 189.86314817816418, "YES": 136.24011839153067} | 0.6039449818299208 | will-there-be-production-of-twin-oa | 30 | Will there be production of Twin Oaks tofu in March 2025? | 1740805140000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712800089144 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve YES if there is at least one production day taking place at the production facility on Twin Oaks property any time during the month of March 2025.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.011937870618901392} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1368518218357397, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AdderOaks | 1717862812410 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712800089383}, {"name": "Brands", "slug": "brands", "groupId": "f004f664-7d97-4cc1-bad1-01ae11fa815e", "createdTime": 1712800089696}, {"name": "Companies", "slug": "companies", "groupId": "GHdHJ6FMRw0TnBSvH0cP... | ["twin-oaks", "brands", "companies", "vegan"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717862809284 | 1712843577337 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cr6GKTUo5srzYDkIwFSV | what-mlb-franchise-will-trevor-baue | 215 | What MLB franchise will Trevor Bauer sign with? (Add your own answer) | 1735718340000 | 2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712800136939 | Kakonomics | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 1}, "content": [{"text": "3 potential landing spots for former Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://calltothepen.com/2023/01/10/3-potential-landing-spots-forme... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.15421126664667698, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 205 | Yoae | 1719926644840 | 0 | 6 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2d7998442805", "prob": 0.0374303706837035, "text": "Baltimore Orioles", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.115663081810967, "userId": "2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 182.98833406906408, "textFts": "'baltimor':1 'oriol':2", "contractId": "Cr6GKTUo5srzYDkIwFSV", "createdTime": 1712800136939, "p... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699261495830 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712800137272}, {"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1712800137404}, {"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1712801663017}... | ["sports-default", "mlb", "baseball"] | 0.25 | 1719926641419 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
h8GDB9MNq4SmrJu2o5Yo | boplympics | 0 | BOPLYMPICS | 1712800150117 | tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712800143518 | nash | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712800150117 | nash | 1712800143518 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKRbLXLtRzNTNCmzG3dAv2AWGkOk0C1YjtDSd8a93JDbbxvfzt8=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["rnwgqCuJKSC0GLuAYotu"] | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712799655015 | 0 | 0.25 | tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2 | 250 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5304553029869836 | UoA61kfgNfnnjC9ks3C1 | {"NO": 129.0016008677205, "YES": 192.33896281667413} | 0 | will-sophie-cat-be-shaven-as-of-apr | 154.70973934074107 | Will Sophie cat be shaven as of April 30, 2024? | 1714622340000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712800191429 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.166792660311855, "platformFee": 1.166792660311855, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714779754168 | 160 | AdderOaks | 1714622340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712800191587}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714601400684 | 0.43 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
V3gt9axpRedoZFBy9RtZ | when-will-twin-oaks-temporarily-mig | 137.69078755651802 | When will Twin Oaks temporarily migrate cooking community meals away from ZK? | 1746071940000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712800398937 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.3604365244316927, "platformFee": 0.5895214155331986, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 235 | AdderOaks | 1718156571351 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "ae05738782a6", "prob": 0.23975021900310656, "text": "May - June 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.039167742442897, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 44.51830845431914, "textFts": "'2024':3 'june':2 'may':1", "contractId": "V3gt9axpRedoZFBy9RtZ", "createdTime": 1712800398937, ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712800399746}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 1718156568154 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
yksWYqFkDiRpFYozH6Ys | who-winning-the-boplympics | 0 | Who winning the Boplympics? | tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1712800461917 | nash | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | nash | 1712800462050 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKRbLXLtRzNTNCmzG3dAv2AWGkOk0C1YjtDSd8a93JDbbxvfzt8=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712799655015 | 0 | [{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712800462050}] | ["jasontheween"] | 0.25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
veONEOjBwF4oXCC1LV4K | sa-post-birthday-predictions-900sha | 0 | Sa *POST BIRTHDAY* Predictions (900/share as of this post) | 1713585540000 | 3G32vi4wEPhUYk5p7XL3clXGd4M2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712800879320 | bomedesu | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Where do y’all think Sa’s stock will land post birthday stream (4/20)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "POLL CLOSES 4/19", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713585541137 | bomedesu29420 | 1712802320533 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712730100000 | 0 | [{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712800879843}, {"name": "Jason Stonks", "slug": "jason-stonks", "groupId": "814343e2-8a54-49ac-bb69-591627ca31b7", "createdTime": 1712802296910}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets"... | ["jasontheween", "jason-stonks", "permanent-markets"] | 0.25 | ["faaae12e0fe9"] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5LR7t5Z21ykgwIPtBcSo | what-will-be-the-next-twin-oaks-car | 106.1680115136034 | What will be the next Twin Oaks car to be retired? | 1746158340000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712801057869 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This pertains only to the regular cars (not trucks/vans). Counts if it gets retired for any reason.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3013607999377054, "platformFee": 0.3013607999377054, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 320 | AdderOaks | 1715115332437 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "145eacfe3c74", "prob": 0.045469909992136195, "text": "WF", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.24932123247404, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 173.17442105997213, "textFts": "'wf':1", "contractId": "5LR7t5Z21ykgwIPtBcSo", "createdTime": 1712801057869, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801058078}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 1715115329088 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40133905569405215 | lMe1YXRBvKaghamlXsRu | {"NO": 111.0180666735253, "YES": 254.1967570317016} | 0 | will-there-be-a-wednesday-night-gay | 107.20294871145816 | Will there be a Wednesday night gay bar night at Twin Oaks in April? | 1714535940000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712801220290 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES if there is a party in Ollie's room with at least 5 attendees (not including Ollie) on a Wednesday evening, during April 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.46002217992385097, "platformFee": 0.46002217992385097, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714778574084 | 160 | AdderOaks | 1714535940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801220459}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714531081291 | 0.23 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4554546916576758 | diotMoJCMEDdiZ4MgQiV | {"NO": 141.13351545511648, "YES": 182.99033501263142} | 0.3921266012810871 | will-adders-mexican-friend-get-preg | 50 | Will Adder's Mexican friend get pregnant during her April attempt? | 1714780738660 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1712801468897 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Adder's friend is taking a 2nd attempt at in-vitro fertilization using eggs previously fertilized by Adder. They will be transferred during April. Will resolve to YES if she is confirmed to be pregnant by her doctor.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714780738660 | 160 | AdderOaks | 1714780769229 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801469162}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712971692278 | 1714780768138 | 0.39 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6010587626649851 | Mj52joaPIq9vtYaq5jLZ | {"NO": 841.9260704593539, "YES": 134.52461873742112} | 1 | will-stonks-be-changed-before-the-e | 706.458717051775 | Will stonks be changed before the end of April? | 1713023961009 | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5194203130537054 | True | play | YES | public | 1712801574885 | Gabrielle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Can be a positive change or a negative change, or even removing them, just needs to be any change for them", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.09588356507622675} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713023961009 | 300 | Gabrielle | 1713023961009 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1641356493109 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1712801575092}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712801575119}] | ["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713023278867 | 1713023354686 | 0.9 | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7270702623475358 | eP1yZw3zx017WMIMbLwZ | {"NO": 1649.3022799808418, "YES": 658.5902153969948} | 0.8696440078710581 | youngbasedgo-stock | 16692.36032543484 | YOUNGBASEDGO Stock | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.87711036592253 | False | play | public | 1712801621867 | Pat Scott🩴 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5579853197884921, "platformFee": 0.5579853197884921, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 870 | Stralor | 1716338475657 | 0 | 74 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1677017053373 | 0 | [{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712801622011}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712801622058}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b... | ["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized", "all-stonks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1714369457430 | 1712879206078 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fy5cWTTxiepvFqjXNokN | how-many-numbered-labor-sheets-will | 35 | How many numbered labor sheets will there be at the end of April 2024? | 1714535940000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1712801956195 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is our \"population\" count based on the numbered labor sheets as of the week starting 4/26.", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7929004185442273, "platformFee": 0.7929004185442273, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714840210880 | 140 | AdderOaks | 1714535940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "fecf60bfc5d5", "prob": 0.03406130755766374, "text": "75-76", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.2888526468384316, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 93.26799976614079, "textFts": "'-76':2 '75':1", "contractId": "Fy5cWTTxiepvFqjXNokN", "resolverId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "crea... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801956507}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 1713823159944 | 1714840187605 | {"a1e3403eee56": 78.35017038744957, "fe626773114c": 21.649829612550434} | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gKbwY9836fqsPWsup40q | premier-league-golden-boot-award-wi | 3099.771611059801 | Premier League Golden Boot Award winner 23/24 season? | 1716091140000 | IinL5ns1rXND5HQu50OoGRCPsPn2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1712801985862 | B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Top Contenders for the 23/24 Premier League Golden Boot Award 🏆", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Who will win it ⁉️", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "ht... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.486022055900651, "platformFee": 12.486022055900651, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716645288009 | 1000 | B068b | 1716091140000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI0cBHA65E6SiamWxuQnfZSEUaQJMafYPP4BG78nfJspAcZjmID=s96-c | 25 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "043a057029de", "prob": 0.9587691216937627, "text": "Haaland 🇳🇴", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1346.903322279012, "userId": "IinL5ns1rXND5HQu50OoGRCPsPn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 57.92218972701802, "textFts": "'haaland':1", "contractId": "gKbwY9836fqsPWsup40q", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4S... | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712796469320 | 0 | [{"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1712801986039}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712801986059}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTi... | ["premiere-league", "soccer", "sports-default", "premier-league-20232024", "football"] | 0.25 | 1715633867486 | 1716641360630 | 0.07 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nvVICC4bQjsJgzOZ3Eub | how-many-numbered-labor-sheets-will-9d492c4489ea | 30 | How many numbered labor sheets will there be at Twin Oaks the end of October 2024? | 1730433540000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712802080667 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is our \"population\" count based on the numbered labor sheets.", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | AdderOaks | 1712977267973 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "dd5b59c3046c", "prob": 0.0718937872513356, "text": "70-75", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.958038858636769, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 89.8241606144826, "textFts": "'-75':2 '70':1", "contractId": "nvVICC4bQjsJgzOZ3Eub", "createdTime": 1712802080667, "probChanges": {"day": 0... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802081662}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 1712977264640 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
tGfxvdp3RfPFjl5fXxlC | how-many-numbered-labor-sheets-will-f6c7494db5d2 | 10.000000000000007 | How many numbered labor sheets will there be at Twin Oaks the end of December 2024? | 1730433540000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712802159303 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is our \"population\" count based on the numbered labor sheets.", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | AdderOaks | 1712972217917 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "e1b0da4fd21c", "prob": 0.20672012667471917, "text": "70-75", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.414664875785348, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 43.803300880140746, "textFts": "'-75':2 '70':1", "contractId": "tGfxvdp3RfPFjl5fXxlC", "createdTime": 1712802159304, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802159753}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 1712972214635 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5770789149269515 | PZmzIjCUnzrfUBLeuZPj | {"NO": 360.5386422517082, "YES": 84.40393558371454} | 1 | will-uncle-trouts-band-play-at-twin | 218.7519334780463 | Will Uncle Trout's Band play at Twin Oaks on the weekend of 4/20? | 1713585540000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.294204161258486 | True | play | YES | public | 1712802318370 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.14644268941730054} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6368161328488313, "platformFee": 0.6368161328488313, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713817246217 | 160 | AdderOaks | 1713585540000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802320286}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713560863856 | 0.85 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kg14ZaqC494tXsyFppw3 | how-many-pounds-of-potatoes-will-be | 34.99999999999998 | How many pounds of potatoes will be harvested at Twin Oaks in the *summer* harvest of 2024? | 1719806340000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712802548286 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5981803524731567, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | AdderOaks | 1717862750976 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "172e8238cd73", "prob": 0.038610832752364606, "text": "500-600", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.7710690356064447, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 93.89761010925082, "textFts": "'-600':2 '500':1", "contractId": "Kg14ZaqC494tXsyFppw3", "createdTime": 1712802548286, "probChanges": {... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802548512}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 1717862747719 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5087045551713529 | Z554Cimp4YcPp18zypIr | {"NO": 129.90554240176766, "YES": 110.98573150175875} | 0.54790948364945 | kyedae-stock | 12.059978455215314 | Kyedae Stock | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712803823387 | nikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ... | STONK | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -0.004081914585396196, "month": -0.004081914585395641} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.03447914301704658, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | nikki | 1719705468758 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678327601414 | 0 | [{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803823616}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803823618}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b... | ["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | True | 1719705465624 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21486613710519134 | IlhZAoH3rPFuLMmemWPs | {"NO": 466.06070773837246, "YES": 12627.051509846233} | 0 | will-trump-announce-a-vp-pick-befor | 18123.7849477015 | Will Trump announce a VP pick before July? | 1719817140000 | R1FYWUk3bveksTL1k9kJCmuJjey1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | NO | public | 1712803858038 | zaperrer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be an official announcement, not a passing comment or suggestion.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.10416541304606813, "month": -0.3037832095651698} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 113.88167472824037, "platformFee": 10.987002607223008, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719863863374 | 1000 | zaperrer | 1719817140000 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681846792957 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712803858385}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712803858388}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "cr... | ["donald-trump", "us-politics", "magaland", "trump-vp", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719812507224 | 0.01 | R1FYWUk3bveksTL1k9kJCmuJjey1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7983484334918775 | ARKXyScVIHQ8kstpQo95 | {"NO": 863.0563844427072, "YES": 581.4819647009233} | 0.8545700455603528 | kacey2x-stock | 2058.507189580943 | Stable Ronaldo Stock | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.234402318263243 | False | play | public | 1712803892729 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.40540824611878, "platformFee": 0.40540824611878, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 660 | strutheo | 1716338361288 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803892887}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803892899}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b... | ["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | True | 1713844942729 | 1713318298180 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 |
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