p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
zRAIsxuet473BMFniAGy
when-will-slay-the-spire-2-be-fully
146.73363460962128
When will Slay the Spire 2 be fully released?
1798757940000
9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712781145908
Fedor
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Slay the Spire 2 has been announced for Steam Early Access during 2025, but when will it be fully released out of early access?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All options set after Slay the S...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7613043953290304, "platformFee": 0.7613043953290304, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
210
Fedor
1716251737177
0
https://firebasestorage.…d6d-1b2c6bbfbc21
4
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "8c2e9ccdcdec", "prob": 0.06962845596245172, "text": "Summer Solstice 2025 (21st June)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.326179188261818, "userId": "9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 124.615886011218, "textFts": "'2025':3 '21st':4 'june':5 'solstic':2 'summer':1", "contractId": "zRAIsxuet473BM...
0.3333333333333333
1678129247577
0
[{"name": "Slay the Spire", "slug": "slay-the-spire", "groupId": "0SFua7i6YIvMhBZUPvqU", "createdTime": 1712781146131}]
["slay-the-spire"]
0.25
1716251733942
False
4EQbPzlWWpaxnBb0SUHc
in-2030-where-will-irish-electricit
0
In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]?
1893542340000
XKP93t1PoJMflFYbIciohNoAV602
none
0
1000000
False
public
1712781179855
Ronan McGovern
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Predict the ranking of Ireland's electricity prices in 2030 compared to the following countries: Australia, Finland, Denmark, Netherlands, Estonia, United Kingdom, Switzerland, and Singapore.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Ronan
1712781180161
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJdeA6ZnQOmm66Qy4cHz-ezeeo1ZaRtdk_-39Ft3ho_lttLwh_lnw=s96-c
9
0
0.3333333333333333
1712507876861
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712781180011}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712781180074}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "crea...
["politics-default", "technology-default", "energy"]
0.25
0.4984646000483134
LJ6Mjx8cETWsrrMnMPgm
{"NO": 138.36088878880568, "YES": 141.664767331434}
0.49256562683137056
will-bloomberg-ipo-before-the-end-o
12
Will Bloomberg IPO before the end of 2035?
2082776340000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712781244482
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -4.996003610813204e-16, "week": -4.996003610813204e-16, "month": -4.996003610813204e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
strutheo
1712844318886
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
3
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1712781244852}, {"name": "Investing", "slug": "investing", "groupId": "uVOFCm1wHEnCBkk8fwY2", "createdTime": 1712781244863}, {"name": "Companies", "slug": "companies", "groupId": "GHdHJ6FMRw0TnBSvH0cP", "createdTime": 171278...
["business", "investing", "companies", "ipo", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1712844315553
9ZQEwalyAXfla40vyekS
metaculus-how-many-chinese-aircraft
1861.3880536402883
[Metaculus] Max no. of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's ADIZ in a single day [may 15 - jun 15]?
1718492340000
rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1712781277648
draaglom
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Between May 15th and Jun 15th 2024 inclusive.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as this Metaculus question:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "c...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 11.585193266244348, "platformFee": 2.1176530980660475, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719095331617
340
draaglom
1718492340000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a3e-1dbfa72b78a4
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "00c91ea0cbfa", "prob": 0.01, "text": "< 5", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.7408757712076124, "userId": "rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 295.8320935511462, "textFts": "'5':1", "contractId": "9ZQEwalyAXfla40vyekS", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2", "createdTim...
1
0.3333333333333333
1680650651402
0
[{"name": "Taiwan", "slug": "taiwan", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1712781277904}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1712781277926}, {"name": "South China Sea", "slug": "south-china-sea", "groupId": "364b2d83-e4cf-4d9e-adab-e760ce55f39a", "cre...
["taiwan", "china", "south-china-sea", "metaculus"]
0.25
1717949799184
1716426638338
0.05
rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2
False
0.4991707989208015
VZbSnCHlcuLvU3qYNDmG
{"NO": 119.00990099009904, "YES": 121.00000000000001}
0.49502499876243805
will-at-least-7-of-my-manifold-ques
1
Will at least 10 of my manifold questions be tweeted in 2024?
1712794094143
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
cpmm-1
0
2.380203044602111
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712781445932
Stochastic Cockatoo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 4.996003610813204e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712794094143
120
StochasticParrot
1712794094143
0
https://firebasestorage.…fe2-84ed34157855
1
0
0.3333333333333333
1650319241876
True
0
0.25
0.5
1712781630180
0.5
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
0.27469573608004044
L0Xen5aWb3CAAe15d9k0
{"NO": 158.26023249228206, "YES": 5933.878937026153}
0
at-the-end-of-420-will-joe-bidens-f
5494.689802065801
At the end of 4/20 will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?
1713671940000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
7.345748918265229
True
play
NO
public
1712781595746
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Biden: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/joe-biden/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/joe-biden/", "class": "b...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.010000000000000009}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.911570027842154, "platformFee": 4.911570027842154, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713697937793
480
strutheo
1713671940000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
20
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712781595927}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712781595925}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden"...
["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "the-life-of-biden", "politics-default", "us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1713659599281
1713275286169
0.01
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
0.6069911557249021
j2A4mFxKiB4bjNczgPdh
{"NO": 3129.178621792438, "YES": 14.034919584317414}
1
will-fc-cincinnati-ii-beat-new-engl
3420
Will FC Cincinnati II beat New England II during regular time on Wed, Apr 10, 2024?⚽ MLS Next Pro
1712793995889
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
4.636268096066962
True
play
YES
public
1712781686997
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ FC Cincinnati II vs New England II", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Wednesday, April 10, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]},...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0023872143115482025}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712794591583
160
FranklinBaldo
1712794593597
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712781687217}]
["soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1712793814450
1712794592986
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
Yip47vpLIRICWX3HqqPX
the-10-people-closest-to-me-and-fut
240
The 10 people closest to me, and futurism and exciting stuff that happens, MultiMarket by mid 2030
1909119540000
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712781962977
Ernie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My circle includes me and 9 other people socially close to me. This market is about what futuristic or interesting life changes happen to me. Even if my life changes, I won't change the identity of the people the above claims relate to. It's very ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
655
Ernie
1712813781765
0
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
2
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "9a7ca9a13246", "prob": 0.9, "text": "One of us will ride in a CyberTruck", "index": 0, "poolNo": 95, "userId": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10.555555555555552, "textFts": "'cybertruck':8 'one':1 'ride':5 'us':3", "contractId": "Yip47vpLIRICWX3HqqPX", "createdTime": 1712781962977...
0.3333333333333333
1668384110640
0
[{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1712781963271}]
["personal"]
0.25
1712813778536
False
0.41248964648161796
aZYScja4nBZVll4PQpEM
{"NO": 132.22473086431742, "YES": 265.5273851643632}
0.25905274307689524
will-destiny-talk-to-adam-friedland
117
Will Destiny talk to Adam Friedland before the end of 2024?
1735707540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712782096336
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
strutheo
1712894379050
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Podcasts", "slug": "podcasts", "groupId": "8cvSruaMBLaZqnfLaLA0", "createdTime": 1712782096488}, {"name": "Comedy", "slug": "comedy", "groupId": "5422cc5a-ad91-46f9-89d4-be7ecbc9dcd8", "createdTime": 1712782096505}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime":...
["podcasts", "comedy", "internet", "dalibanhq", "destinygg"]
0.25
0.5
1712894375788
8pZ5wpGsmmbOH7cdv8hH
in-january-2030-how-many-properties
0
In January 2030, how many properties will be available to rent in all of Ireland on Daft.ie?
XKP93t1PoJMflFYbIciohNoAV602
none
0
1000000
False
public
1712782190161
Ronan McGovern
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The poll will resolve on January 30th 2030 based on the number of properties available for rent at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.daft.ie/property-for-rent/ireland", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://w...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Ronan
1712782190693
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJdeA6ZnQOmm66Qy4cHz-ezeeo1ZaRtdk_-39Ft3ho_lttLwh_lnw=s96-c
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1712507876861
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712782190310}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1712782190326}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "crea...
["technology-default", "energy", "politics-default"]
0.25
0.8272356604225554
GI3LtO2V8Ccs2zSQT7k8
{"NO": 1217.7241648138547, "YES": 921.7525722825291}
0.8634945770454577
will-joe-biden-reduce-his-voteshare-6be5c208bdc4
301
Will Joe Biden reduce his voteshare amongst latino voters in 2024?
1735621140000
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
cpmm-1
0
9.819687576335633
False
basic
public
1712782320172
Semiotic Rivalry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if his two-way vote share in 2024 per Catalist is less than 63%. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Clinton had 71% and Obama had 70%.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "http...
BINARY
{"day": 0.0005817342597664865, "week": 0.0005817342597664865, "month": 0.0005817342597670416}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.04742445990787099, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
5
1000
SemioticRivalry
1720203536997
0
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
13
1
0.3333333333333333
1669063432873
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712782320603}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712782320608}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "...
["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "the-life-of-biden", "us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1720203533693
0.29324539283555334
eK5r4BPyflEQrG9wDWjq
{"NO": 941.2197112894535, "YES": 1110.5404119970735}
0.2601673040718651
will-i-personally-know-someone-with
642.8950320603317
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
1988168340000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.592143838404441
False
basic
public
1712782329090
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.113784372516409, "platformFee": 0.9558348517644328, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1717405101537
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
27
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712782329308}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1712782329417}, {"name": "Neuralink", "slug": "neuralink", "groupId": "7a8763d0-504f-446d-a291-f...
["technology-default", "science-default", "neuralink", "braincomputer-interface", "culture-default"]
0.25
0.5
1717405097695
1713116071172
0.4300116465363008
7bOp6w5DWDL8v4V92d22
{"NO": 920.1926973809435, "YES": 1025.5597785211594}
0.4036656891140322
does-lantern-bioworks-product-to-pr
1727.956631938643
Does Lantern Bioworks' product to prevent cavities also eliminate "morning breath"?
1798693260000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
9.842345994727424
False
basic
public
1712782687458
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1777854752635691247"}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If reliable information demonstrates that Lantern Bioworks' product to prevent cavities also prevents morning breath, before 2027, this market resolves YES. If reliable informat...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.020035297025307597}
0
{"creatorFee": 14.926044716467086, "platformFee": 13.479936202179625, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Bayesian
1719074249193
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
33
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1712782687671}, {"name": "cavities", "slug": "cavities", "groupId": "ec2be633-154a-4ef5-b7d8-f8d2a3b0dae2", "createdTime": 1712782687702}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZ...
["twitter", "cavities", "technology-default", "lantern-bioworks"]
0.25
0.5
1719074246108
1712807990561
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
yXhdIksmh4epK3PvuEgu
next-openai-image-creation-model-mu
102.16143706294105
Next OpenAI image creation model multimarket
1744873140000
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712782943346
Ernie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is only about the image generation part directly. i.e. you input a prompt <or something else> and ask to generate an image out.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is about the next paid...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5166839803775911, "platformFee": 0.14235677576048322, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
420
Ernie
1718573711376
0
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
9
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "8b7f39142889", "prob": 0.5386493293414494, "text": "It will allow resolution greater than 1792x1024 px in terms of megapixels", "index": 0, "poolNo": 44.67950726710191, "userId": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 38.26779227140658, "textFts": "'1792x1024':7 'allow':3 'greater':5 'meg...
0.3333333333333333
1668384110640
0
[{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1712875603661}, {"name": "DALLE3", "slug": "dalle3", "groupId": "2eecc88f-7aec-43e1-b9c4-d9349b466734", "createdTime": 1712875606740}, {"name": "DALLE4", "slug": "dalle4", "groupId": "19f73d5a-4f86-4283-9978-cffa7a5a92a4", "creat...
["openai", "dalle3", "dalle4", "ai-image-generation"]
0.25
1718573708305
False
0.4912954448286465
FSAWaexgBWaCytiYWOHb
{"NO": 110.09009009009009, "YES": 131.00000000000003}
0.44800860176515367
will-playing-a-fps-game-like-doom-o
11
Will playing a FPS game like doom or system shock that flickers at 40Hz be shown to stimulate glymphatic clearance?
2461467540000
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712783954174
Stochastic Cockatoo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
StochasticParrot
1712784158369
0
https://firebasestorage.…fe2-84ed34157855
2
0
0.3333333333333333
1650319241876
0
0.25
0.5
1712784154911
0.15570707180190405
0187ZtudwDiKbMLI6wKI
{"NO": 156.8680838518332, "YES": 27.318884019064797}
0.5143220880463569
will-pausing-ai-developments-isnt-e
49
Will "Pausing AI Developments Isn't Enough. We Need..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1738368000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712784060192
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.289832290435185, "month": 0.289832290435185}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.3378712908701873, "platformFee": 0.02359443015843165, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
LessWrong
1719703779859
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c
4
1
0.3333333333333333
1706554674237
0
[{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1712784060886}]
["lesswrong-annual-review"]
0.25
0.14
1719703776765
0.6684466517477622
syuCE2pizy7bsF0phOau
{"NO": 1987.0471589484116, "YES": 98.30160347479098}
1
will-nvidia-nasdaq-nvda-close-highe-ca428354400b
2489.3028461431454
Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close higher Apr 11 than Apr 10?
1712863800000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
2.094484346874764
True
play
YES
public
1712784068990
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NVIDIA Corp - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Resolves to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Nasdaq Historical Data", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.02395030365948614}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712875898621
340
KeenenW
1712863800000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
18
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1712784069336}, {"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3", "createdTime": 1712784069328}, {"name": "AI Stocks", "slug": "ai-stocks", "groupId": "Jf4rKNcxovEVEE8CyOgN", "createdTime":...
["finance", "nvidia", "ai-stocks", "tech-stocks", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1712863372706
0.98
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
xeuqFqiaJkSyobl0hoTh
what-was-the-best-game-of-the-2024
0
What was the best game of the 2024 Men's March Madness tournament? (video recaps in description)
1713412740000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
none
0
1
True
public
1712784113987
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Options listed in chronological order, all games are in 2nd tweet of threads embedded below:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "#14 Oakland beats #3 Kentucky 80-76 in Rd of 64 (2nd video below)", "...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713412741202
dglid
1712793265957
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
26
0
0.3333333333333333
1643941084707
0
[{"name": "⛹️ March Madness 2024", "slug": "march-madness-2024", "groupId": "9a003f6b-9fd1-46ab-871d-2904953c4d5b", "createdTime": 1712784114221}, {"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1712784114255}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId":...
["march-madness-2024", "basketball", "sports-default", "march-madness", "college-basketball"]
0.25
["7abf5dbc8ae9"]
0.6380429803581176
Vv0lBqkg6ZqgKc8teO1j
{"NO": 1465.8946233871966, "YES": 99.62751935583245}
1
will-apple-nasdaq-aapl-close-higher-611343d0feab
1489.8812074169944
Will Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) close higher Apr 11 than Apr 10?
1712863800000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
1.9387525824568685
True
play
YES
public
1712784115054
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Apple Inc - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Resolves to", "type": "text"}, {"text": " Nasdaq Close Price", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/aapl/h...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.037123936739771324}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712875865947
300
KeenenW
1712863800000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
16
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "AAPL", "slug": "aapl", "groupId": "2b9a9be2-80c3-4e15-860a-55fbe48b31f5", "createdTime": 1712784115356}, {"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1712784115357}, {"name": "AI Stocks", "slug": "ai-stocks", "groupId": "Jf4rKNcxovEVEE8CyOgN", "createdTime": 1712784...
["aapl", "apple", "ai-stocks", "stocks", "tech-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1712860935594
0.96
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
0.6085479617183237
5WADeO1S7xvpi4tAFKU2
{"NO": 1302.3316377835724, "YES": 94.05693286631438}
1
will-reddit-nyse-rddt-close-higher-1571d6d669e4
1078.7699629510696
Will Reddit (NYSE: RDDT) close higher Apr 11 than Apr 10?
1712863800000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
1.8920470073867404
True
play
YES
public
1712784187235
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Reddit Inc - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Resolves to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "NYSE Close Price", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nyse.com/quote/XNYS:RDDT", "class": "brea...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.04439473832763796}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712875807291
300
KeenenW
1712863800000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
15
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712784187431}, {"name": "Reddit", "slug": "reddit", "groupId": "DGXfEkwxk3kRk6Tz6tzV", "createdTime": 1712784187508}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1712784187516}, {"...
["stocks", "reddit", "finance", "tech-stocks", "ai-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1712862993128
0.96
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
4tf6ojamyvNAaGdPreXu
jason-ween-love-stocks-multistonk-d
5187.763942911612
Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting
253402329540000
fBFdG15kdfeBmjRVEajSMLayZ2y1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.051629310740948
False
basic
public
1712784316414
Jason Memes
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 5.347425015125869, "platformFee": 5.347425015125869, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1735
JasonMemes
1715297183183
0
https://firebasestorage.…a90-643a06e01ee3
72
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "86a3d0bc4ab4", "prob": 0.1029561970792517, "text": "Alyssa Stock", "index": 0, "poolNo": 59.499587271536406, "userId": "fBFdG15kdfeBmjRVEajSMLayZ2y1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 518.4120776837642, "textFts": "'alyssa':1 'stock':2", "contractId": "4tf6ojamyvNAaGdPreXu", "createdTime": 1712784316414, "probChan...
0.3333333333333333
1712779339543
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712784316747}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1712854556513}]
["jasontheween", "nonpredictive"]
0.25
False
1715297179770
1713024483299
True
prob-desc
0.2699879978939421
lSujMnEIGDZQOaQFZc5w
{"NO": 103.60352020948781, "YES": 3758.2775488654293}
0
will-manchester-city-win-the-champi-89a226bc8a72
4030.585730057148
Will Manchester City win the champions league?
1713478040287
GDC1V9Q3bGUAScAh7ir1eJv0rYe2
cpmm-1
0
2.42070397506606
True
play
NO
public
1712784458832
orange drink
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The final will be played, on July 1st, 2024. This question will close on July 1st, 2024, at 11:59. Will the English team defend their title?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.010092407452889418}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.098282512106223, "platformFee": 8.098282512106223, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713478040287
340
orangedrink
1713478040287
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLc7uq31YAbtSGCb_I1F27WPWRMPp8f3XSRr85_Qt4mXQ=s96-c
15
0
0.3333333333333333
1706477938024
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712784458976}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1712784458986}, {"name": "Manchester City", "slug": "manchester-city", "groupId": "02108b1d-9c6a-...
["soccer", "uefa-champions-league", "manchester-city", "uefa", "sports-default"]
0.25
0.5
1713436975424
0.01
GDC1V9Q3bGUAScAh7ir1eJv0rYe2
0.5621062061368417
quJbzReT7EVW7UbaUSe1
{"NO": 1036.0860145416043, "YES": 968.4094785722995}
0.5786575289033484
is-hadwigers-conjecture-true
178.85673909700657
Is Hadwiger's conjecture true?
4133977140000
y0ZRYqguQQU3W2wD87kFsgT9M4j2
cpmm-1
0
9.729900280685156
False
basic
public
1712786182788
Pazzaz
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Hadwiger's conjecture ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hadwiger_conjecture_(graph_theory)", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 activ...
BINARY
{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.14608163988011316, "platformFee": 0.14608163988011316, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Pazzaz
1714646169652
0
https://firebasestorage.…15b-c6ca2e9ba1b8
10
0
0.3333333333333333
1656841884981
0
[{"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1712786182943}]
["mathematics"]
0.25
0.5
1714646166382
oIcTzECuvjteBLUBVS1v
should-manifold-unband-cosmiccookie
0
Should Manifold Unband CosmicCookie from the Discord?
1713441540000
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
none
0
1
True
public
1712787880296
jim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "She never did anything wrong! If you are in favour of freedom, that means freedom for CosmicCookie, too!", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713441540571
jim
1713463936351
0
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
31
0
0.3333333333333333
1690863320225
0
0.25
1713463935586
["404b09df847a"]
F4O2rjJDpS6lxi1SQIiO
which-pieces-of-global-infrastructu
953.1295641557797
Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS]
1767243540000
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712787909132
Panfilo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting from the creation of this market on April 10th 2024. I reserve the right to N/A any redundant, inappropriate, or overly obscure additions. Attacks which are obviously manmade will resolve Yes even if the specific perpetrator is unclear. Th...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.157386731562081, "platformFee": 1.0821093947945803, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1165
Panfilo
1717800444968
0
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
18
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "45884eac7f9b", "prob": 0.21294155405768653, "text": "Suez Canal (Egypt)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25.14243709746477, "userId": "U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 92.92957195086595, "textFts": "'canal':2 'egypt':3 'suez':1", "contractId": "F4O2rjJDpS6lxi1SQIiO", "createdTime": 1712787909...
0.3333333333333333
1695066009476
0
[{"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1712787909405}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1712787909408}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1712787909...
["wars", "energy", "economics-default", "terrorism"]
0.25
1717800441878
1713009561098
False
0.3264519787969594
opuYCRcMOE2alnQCw1K7
{"NO": 72.99958179068699, "YES": 1704.363378357633}
0
is-the-preprint-quantum-algorithms
1527.758968906374
Is the preprint "Quantum Algorithms for Lattice Problems" accurate?
1713576742852
UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2
cpmm-1
0
2.616638129419145
True
play
NO
public
1712788015446
Greg Rosenthal
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://eprint.iacr.org/2024/555", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://eprint.iacr.org/2024/555", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decora...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.020336942025520638}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.449714764204998, "platformFee": 5.449714764204998, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713576742852
240
gregrosent
1713576742852
0
https://firebasestorage.…ef2-37c836fda9cd
9
0
0.3333333333333333
1690354568795
0
[{"name": "Cryptography", "slug": "cryptography", "groupId": "q82xXEDGUflqiEo7cXcF", "createdTime": 1712788015586}, {"name": "Quantum Computing", "slug": "quantum-computing", "groupId": "WppmGHiwW2nxSiHi2FiQ", "createdTime": 1712788015604}]
["cryptography", "quantum-computing"]
0.25
0.5
1713552313291
1713574567234
0.02
UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2
rrBCvfpC61i74iI7mNsd
which-pieces-of-global-infrastructu-d24aba7d4a09
3076.7145494093793
Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]
1925009940000
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712788121702
Panfilo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting from the creation of this market on April 10th 2024. I reserve the right to N/A any redundant, inappropriate, or overly obscure additions. Attacks which are obviously manmade will resolve Yes even if the specific perpetrator is unclear. Th...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 6.697208335636149, "platformFee": 0.7263553257327774, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
2430
Panfilo
1719711189888
0
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
31
1
ANYONE
[{"id": "5b18b57fea65", "prob": 0.2956800384686915, "text": "Suez Canal (Egypt)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 69.73491302780364, "userId": "U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 166.11094721002783, "textFts": "'canal':2 'egypt':3 'suez':1", "contractId": "rrBCvfpC61i74iI7mNsd", "createdTime": 1712788121...
0.3333333333333333
1695066009476
0
[{"name": "Terrorism", "slug": "terrorism", "groupId": "dWSuGqoMKLTROX8ar0Fz", "createdTime": 1712788121973}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1712788121977}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 171...
["terrorism", "energy", "economics-default", "wars"]
0.25
1719711186451
1712838386089
False
0.728415460679164
dGNxCq701Kznvfxkiqdk
{"NO": 2268.868955664504, "YES": 37.331972328669856}
1
will-penarol-beat-caracas-fc-during
2111
Will Penarol beat Caracas FC during regular time on Thu, Apr 11, 2024?⚽ Copa Libertadores 🌎
1712800964034
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
4.682659097032188
True
play
YES
public
1712789190293
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Penarol vs Caracas FC", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competitio...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.006101073083470188}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712801788702
160
FranklinBaldo
1712801791247
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
5
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712789190463}]
["soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1712800891554
1712801790107
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0.34283914675280724
Rvvc3mOLlFpIXrSZxgOa
{"NO": 900.0832036045064, "YES": 1155.9427756777168}
0.28887548785082307
will-firstuserhere-use-alts-for-ban
349.133415405458
Will firstuserhere use alts for ban-evasion and be caught doing it, by EOY 2024?
1735707540000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
9.638315288288016
False
basic
public
1712789972937
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Unfortunately firstuserhere, of 100k steps fame, was banned today. Will he be found to be evading the ban with more alts, by EOY 2024?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0006340489677974515}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.0313899204285673, "platformFee": 0.9839514815608775, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Bayesian
1719074261867
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
14
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "Moderators", "slug": "moderators", "groupId": "jZmh6MwBUpUMBwcqVgCn", "createdTime": 1712789973074}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712789973077}]
["moderators", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
0.5
1719074258803
1713071790255
snlY3Ge7XqkrRvqZUNRc
fide-chess-candidates-tournament-ro-7f928516f9f7
35084.93762509491
FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 7 Prop Bets
1712890740000
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1712790098613
Weezing
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "You are welcome to add your own options.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Games start 12th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (~19 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.", "type": "text"}]}, ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712924077721
3960
Weezing
1712926655033
0
https://firebasestorage.…9ac-b0dfa544f276
17
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "6e2b3bb293af", "prob": 0.008723377111219168, "text": "Nepo and Gukesh are still in the lead after the round is over", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.895092954547927, "userId": "FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1010.7894674100286, "textFts": "'gukesh':3 'lead':8 'nepo':1 'round':11 'still':5...
1
0.3333333333333333
1700212225777
0
[{"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime": 1712790099292}, {"name": "Chess candidates 2024", "slug": "chess-candidates-2024", "groupId": "09ea3682-1d3f-4f69-8ce4-b68d4fe77f12", "createdTime": 1712790099288}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupI...
["prop-bets", "chess-candidates-2024", "chess"]
0.25
1712878207998
1712926654360
0.66
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
False
0.5718080295191219
3c0CFhgLX7QMGbBXIfe5
{"NO": 780.3590030591799, "YES": 57.98981318796967}
0.9472859217426438
will-i-be-able-to-buy-mealsquares-2
736.5267805764763
Will I be able to buy MealSquares 2.0 in May?
1717300740000
SPIsEuortUNfKeTUeaE3vHLsAF93
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712790318135
Sailfish
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Hello, Mealsquares 2.0 are launching soon. We are pausing operations while we move manufacturing to Nevada. We apologize for any inconvenience. We are currently expecting to launch the new Mealsquares in early May...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.044664676296922, "platformFee": 1.7935915021316515, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
Sailfish
1719279485098
0
https://firebasestorage.…1db-5ada78e920f0
10
0
3
0.3333333333333333
1674249837379
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712790318272}, {"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1712790318288}]
["technology-default", "food"]
0.25
0.5
1717296993037
1719279483408
0.7637157027426528
09sOQQlLj63DSZVTwXAa
{"NO": 538.981514454304, "YES": 1296.996982746509}
0.5732281613274797
ba-stock
34968.127017782535
Ba stock
0fwVslpHnUYlepocaJIyIzSFOgg2
cpmm-1
0
9.475051599252025
False
basic
public
1712790411910
Xiao Ming
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "The Vietnamese General. The Father Of Jasondaween. The Guy Who Started It All....
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0.027684329238069072, "month": 0.027684329238069072}
0
{"creatorFee": 94.24725370685023, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1250.75
chinabroker
1719965624576
0
https://firebasestorage.…d19-722b31bed056
81
2
0.3333333333333333
1712751362345
0
[{"name": "Twitch", "slug": "twitch", "groupId": "VTvoakLdTRfbosPA4BGZ", "createdTime": 1712790412102}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1712790413479}, {"name": "Unsubsidized", "slug": "unsubsidized", "groupId": "f08f4130-3410-4030-9bf5-f67...
["twitch", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1719965609968
1719965623211
0fwVslpHnUYlepocaJIyIzSFOgg2
yKM1C3IQzQhUqWUZTGrj
how-will-i-feel-about-mealsquares-2
257.71354651049825
How will I feel about Mealsquares 2.0?
1722571140000
SPIsEuortUNfKeTUeaE3vHLsAF93
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712790464005
Sailfish
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Hello, Mealsquares 2.0 are launching soon. We are pausing operations while we move manufacturing to Nevada. We apologize for any inconvenience. We are currently expecting to launch the new Mealsquares in early May...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.4321405350379826, "platformFee": 0.7833429612641657, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
Sailfish
1718170436944
0
https://firebasestorage.…1db-5ada78e920f0
9
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "ad9186802c35", "prob": 0.5717848619678813, "text": "Better", "index": 0, "poolNo": 85.46057680346703, "userId": "SPIsEuortUNfKeTUeaE3vHLsAF93", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 64.00224127349632, "textFts": "'better':1", "contractId": "yKM1C3IQzQhUqWUZTGrj", "createdTime": 1712790464005, "probChanges": {"day": -0....
0.3333333333333333
1674249837379
0
[{"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1712790464536}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712790464538}]
["food", "technology-default"]
0.25
1718170433787
1712910629998
True
gseN5diVD6IMj7Vci7r7
stephen-curry-career-regular-season
102.19475718780505
Stephen Curry Career Regular Season Made 3 Pointers
1899788340000
Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712790706602
vibhav
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "DM/comment with any questions", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Fairly self explanatory", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thank you for part...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7513491606152654, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
vibhav
1718483038562
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "1f4cf29c329d", "prob": 0.018087472890061365, "text": "3700-3740", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0768983149704852, "userId": "Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 58.46145298020768, "textFts": "'-3740':2 '3700':1", "contractId": "gseN5diVD6IMj7Vci7r7", "createdTime": 1712790706602, "probChanges...
0.3333333333333333
1705419897240
0
[{"name": "Steph Curry", "slug": "steph-curry", "groupId": "3eb3b2ff-9291-4d10-8887-1c5497494f31", "createdTime": 1712790706984}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712790706982}, {"name": "Stephen Curry", "slug": "stephen-curry", "groupId": "2bb7e086-a2d...
["steph-curry", "sports-default", "stephen-curry", "nba", "basketball"]
0.25
1718483034390
True
0.4689784409869673
wiDCVDrZxZ0JTb6vkRrC
{"NO": 28.46232624872863, "YES": 2488.549662963298}
0
will-the-agi-fire-alarm-alert-level-d5ba992327f8
2335.2386663504303
Will the AGI Fire Alarm alert level be raised above Sapphire Sky 4 before May 2024?
1714729011288
v2ZmPlrosBS4sSWaHRiKnQd9NEm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712791619797
MalachiteEagle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as yes if the alert level of the twitter account ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/agifirealarm", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/agifirealarm", "class": "break-anywhere hov...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.37509401598191, "platformFee": 4.37509401598191, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714729011288
235
MalachiteEagle
1714729011288
0
https://firebasestorage.…83c-d8d52263dde6
8
0
0.3333333333333333
https://firebasestorage.…8ba-54f2cb900dbf
1702047230813
0
[{"name": "AGI Fire Alarm Alert Level", "slug": "agi-fire-alarm-alert-level", "groupId": "1481fea0-a6f4-4488-b2b0-3b5e987d2ff5", "createdTime": 1712791621939}, {"name": "AGI Fire Alarm", "slug": "agi-fire-alarm", "groupId": "396a8af5-4c7d-43b5-b1a5-ae30320f8386", "createdTime": 1712791621944}, {"name": "AGI", "slug": "...
["agi-fire-alarm-alert-level", "agi-fire-alarm", "agi"]
0.25
0.5
1714713223565
1714728958036
0.01
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
0.2581665820456982
KmgHoUisWGcQv9A18nYc
{"NO": 76.66509536237369, "YES": 1343.8926888656379}
0
will-an-nfl-player-be-arrested-for-2dd918af7b9d
1935.687657496843
Will an NFL player be arrested for an auto or domestic violence incident b4 the draft ends on 4/27/2024? (Post R. Rice
1714366740000
o7Tu72Hb0cfLG8oKEfiaMszxuJ82
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712791723541
Lester Crafton
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Self Explanatory. This is the follow-up post in a running series beginning post Rashee Rice arrest.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.019466556362455287}
0
{"creatorFee": 14.615578308402078, "platformFee": 14.615578308402078, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714428741637
260
LesterCrafton
1714366740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJNn7nhYlR8GZkNQK-rITEHLOSMfzRLyqqUXnIDmU5MQRQ=s96-c
13
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697430672705
0
[{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1712791723683}, {"name": "NFL Draft", "slug": "nfl-draft", "groupId": "6489a62f-1dcd-4e12-bb31-7f28c7c87983", "createdTime": 1712791723688}]
["nfl", "nfl-draft"]
0.25
0.5
1714366299033
1714117699356
0.02
o7Tu72Hb0cfLG8oKEfiaMszxuJ82
0.7077103567118267
vdDYX8uQVNT5kd1dNBve
{"NO": 462.46698527838913, "YES": 849.6476366888526}
0.5685758769087775
jira-stocks
4704.617842589908
Jira stocks
tRv77jxSIaVaO86wF1P7k310qRa2
cpmm-1
0
9.97099571355174
False
play
public
1712791934933
Xinoko
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.3024388397953035, "platformFee": 2.3024388397953035, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
730
Xinoko
1716338350223
0
https://firebasestorage.…34d-6d9d99f2109e
32
0
0.3333333333333333
https://firebasestorage.…b1b-49977483a165
1712748861790
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712791935135}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712791935125}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1715468749529
n4lhJ9TF4KB5rZwCZmhu
how-many-events-will-the-vibecamp-t
75
How many events will the Vibecamp team put on in 2024?
1735711140000
D3BpLMGzAKMr4DuCxSHxrzX4xq13
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712792127493
vibecamp
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the number of events that I (Brooke) consider to have been organized under the Vibecamp banner in the year 2024. So far this year we've had Vibeclipse, and Vibecamp (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "vibe.camp", "type": "text", ...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9631691147880949, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
vibecamp
1718307743725
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocINUe1vlgsDmowYwAw2XZvzzLLvspiB-PY4udeM8nBEyQ=s96-c
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "78abe593693b", "prob": 0.0427068216500497, "text": "1-2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.280391852282509, "userId": "D3BpLMGzAKMr4DuCxSHxrzX4xq13", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 118.36242791902595, "textFts": "'-2':2 '1':1", "contractId": "n4lhJ9TF4KB5rZwCZmhu", "createdTime": 1712792127493, "probChanges": {"day": -0....
0.3333333333333333
1705110963599
0
[{"name": "Vibecamp", "slug": "vibecamp", "groupId": "d1e873dd-c328-4a3f-a39a-64b5da070546", "createdTime": 1712792127709}]
["vibecamp"]
0.25
1718307740556
True
0.5819800396546504
5R5jktJVnFWFAQgS8yZ1
{"NO": 3248.170135343863, "YES": 47.240549794797516}
1
will-this-1985-rolex-watch-sell-for
3294
Will this 1985 Rolex watch sell for >$1 million (USD) at its upcoming Phillips auction? (pic included)
1715533508790
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1712792412425
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On May 12th, Phillips will host the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "\"Geneva Watch Auction: XIX featuring the Guido Mondani Collection\"", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.phillips.com/auctions/auction/CH08022...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.60744713027408, "platformFee": 6.60744713027408, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715533508790
280
Ziddletwix
1715533643701
0
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
11
0
0.3333333333333333
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1712792412573}, {"name": "Arts", "slug": "arts", "groupId": "rvlLWOxULpzwHIaMDePa", "createdTime": 1712792412580}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqa...
["economics-default", "arts", "entertainment", "auctions", "culture-default"]
0.25
0.5
1715448260975
1715533642364
0.99
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
NzY4LEyZyIVG61uBe9a7
how-many-unique-attendees-will-show
64.63114472797585
How many unique attendees will show up for Vibecamp-hosted events in the year 2024?
1719181535949
D3BpLMGzAKMr4DuCxSHxrzX4xq13
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
a04e49e588b0
public
1712792906141
vibecamp
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "An event counts as hosted by Vibecamp if you are able to purchase tickets for them through ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://my.vibe.camp", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://my.vibe.camp", "class": "break-any...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9793425530189922, "platformFee": 0.9793425530189922, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719181535949
140
vibecamp
1719181535949
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocINUe1vlgsDmowYwAw2XZvzzLLvspiB-PY4udeM8nBEyQ=s96-c
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "c0f92057379a", "prob": 0.02665256164317465, "text": "200-400", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.1121165569620004, "userId": "D3BpLMGzAKMr4DuCxSHxrzX4xq13", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 113.6540164184389, "textFts": "'-400':2 '200':1", "contractId": "NzY4LEyZyIVG61uBe9a7", "resolverId": "D3BpLMGzAKMr4DuCxSHxrzX4xq13", "...
0.3333333333333333
1705110963599
0
[{"name": "Events", "slug": "events", "groupId": "FJ1qV3KPOVUBjlCS0IWj", "createdTime": 1712792906388}, {"name": "Vibecamp", "slug": "vibecamp", "groupId": "d1e873dd-c328-4a3f-a39a-64b5da070546", "createdTime": 1712792906401}]
["events", "vibecamp"]
0.25
1716312825393
{"a04e49e588b0": 100}
D3BpLMGzAKMr4DuCxSHxrzX4xq13
True
h1fn0o07xRzr2lQUlN7Z
which-current-saturday-night-live-s
548.2540615115743
Which current Saturday Night Live (SNL) cast members will leave the show before the premiere of the next season?
1730433540000
aY5Y69raPSVhT9URnCjk6hBhPb83
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712793396723
Market Maker
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Every year there is speculation about who will leave the cast of SNL prior to the beginning of the next season. This market will resolve on the day following the premiere of Season 50 which should be at some point in October 2024.", "type": "text"}...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.3348573267680925, "platformFee": 1.3348573267680925, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ManifoldMarketmaker
1716139986696
0
https://firebasestorage.…65a-6b1d06f8f0ef
10
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "b0f721dac6c8", "prob": 0.21888112940600857, "text": "Michael Che", "index": 0, "poolNo": 30.731894342883376, "userId": "aY5Y69raPSVhT9URnCjk6hBhPb83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 109.67260021670904, "textFts": "'che':2 'michael':1", "contractId": "h1fn0o07xRzr2lQUlN7Z", "createdTime": 1712793396723, "probChan...
0.3333333333333333
1709683973849
0
[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712793396963}, {"name": "🧑‍🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1712793396965}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "gro...
["entertainment", "celebrities", "television-film", "tv"]
0.25
1716139983359
False
9UHnQCwK758BLYYJ2fUD
which-jockey-will-have-the-most-win-df22461acfec
500
Which jockey will have the most wins at Keeneland on April 12th?
1712958480000
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1712793484135
Stuart Slagle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Results verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Equibase.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Equibase.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712964149204
270
ovals
1712958480000
0
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
2
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "c181d846b2dd", "prob": 0.48, "text": "Irad Ortiz, Jr.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 38.061224489795904, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 40.54959785522789, "textFts": "'irad':1 'jr':3 'ortiz':2", "contractId": "9UHnQCwK758BLYYJ2fUD", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIs...
1
0.3333333333333333
1697477345360
0
[{"name": "Jockey", "slug": "jockey", "groupId": "383cbd3e-b514-4419-ba36-e121d65d7b2f", "createdTime": 1712793484407}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712793484413}, {"name": "Horse racing", "slug": "horse-racing", "groupId": "ef96178c-314c-4aed-be84-...
["jockey", "sports-default", "horse-racing", "keeneland"]
0.25
1712958346986
0.06
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
False
0.44146969373092865
6ma9VMfiXBYQ63Pnpn3Q
{"NO": 179.6885495141711, "YES": 280.2163490078587}
0.33636477781805935
will-nathan-fielder-win-an-emmy-in
132.72935295775207
Will Nathan Fielder win an Emmy in 2024?
1726469940000
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712794688303
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He made ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "The Curse", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13623608/?ref_=ext_shr_lnk", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:de...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.2802530262598457, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
mattyb
1717442078520
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712794688475}, {"name": "Nathan Fielder", "slug": "nathan-fielder", "groupId": "d67e44a4-f1cb-4546-b604-04b36818c11d", "createdTime": 1712794688472}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "televi...
["entertainment", "nathan-fielder", "television-film", "hollywood", "tv"]
0.25
0.5
1717442075360
0.5996268030423023
ahhoRI2AyS63WBwEfFPq
{"NO": 255, "YES": 136.71796596459515}
0.7363831309290472
will-nathan-fielder-be-nominated-fo
75
Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for an Emmy in 2024?
1726469940000
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712794717902
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He made ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "The Curse", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13623608/?ref_=ext_shr_lnk", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:de...
BINARY
{"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
mattyb
1712824993807
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "Hollywood", "slug": "hollywood", "groupId": "qnJlrpEJJ1i5tEJ6J2jM", "createdTime": 1712794718046}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1712794718051}, {"name": "Nathan Fielder", "slug": "nathan-fielder", "groupId": "d67e44a4-f1cb-4546-b604-04b36818c11d", "createdTim...
["hollywood", "tv", "nathan-fielder", "television-film", "entertainment"]
0.25
0.5
1712824990541
0.49860135347709417
ROR41JmKwACuTqyFWIUr
{"NO": 135.75723371959094, "YES": 144.33081161856728}
0
will-barcelona-sc-beat-talleres-cor
18
Will Barcelona SC beat Talleres Cordoba during regular time on Thu, Apr 11, 2024?⚽ Copa Libertadores 🌎
1712811600000
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.1144183581969562
True
play
NO
public
1712794883455
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Barcelona SC vs Talleres Cordoba", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 02:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.48329763576687235}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712822616523
140
FranklinBaldo
1712822618602
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
3
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712794884000}]
["soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1712810227357
1712822617970
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
sVC0wCbwsOi2TPBEjMMf
how-many-seats-will-volt-europa-hol
26036.10691348368
How many seats will Volt Europa hold in the EP after the 2024 elections?
1721167140000
KxMresZBkXU5KQ1ZxzzXdSZaQ793
cpmm-multi-1
0
9.456439694660304
False
basic
public
1712795192153
Transparent
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Volt Europa's seats as of July 16, 2024, i.e, during the first plenary session of the European Parliament after the European elections", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_European_Parliament_electi...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 203.07696957023225, "platformFee": 1.2912610315119044, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
4245
Transparent
1720002758162
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJBbeQ-hP-K6_pIhWM5Am74vBF_htcO3AZdWy6faz8ojA=s96-c
19
2
DISABLED
[{"id": "037b69162889", "prob": 0.0028737457103571247, "text": "0", "index": 0, "poolNo": 32.68370635943677, "userId": "KxMresZBkXU5KQ1ZxzzXdSZaQ793", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 11340.523826110482, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "sVC0wCbwsOi2TPBEjMMf", "createdTime": 1712795192153, "probChanges": {"day": 1.9920641...
0.3333333333333333
1703883830375
0
[{"name": "Europe", "slug": "europe", "groupId": "ue52QI4BQgJgAJJNjLHr", "createdTime": 1712795192392}, {"name": "European Union", "slug": "european-union", "groupId": "yDH8ujgF86zAYx8XpCc1", "createdTime": 1712795192387}, {"name": "European Elections", "slug": "european-elections", "groupId": "6091a62e-fa6b-43ec-b403-...
["europe", "european-union", "european-elections", "ep2024"]
0.25
1720002754882
1718123997629
True
66R6daM7Hcq8WqPFDQ1Q
what-shows-will-be-nominated-for-an
2481.9101557825143
What shows will be nominated for an Emmy in 2024? [Mega Market]
1726469940000
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712795212336
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Emmy’s! Who will get a nomination this year? All correct answers Resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "*Must be at the Primetime Emmy Awards", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 46.87055780460085, "platformFee": 0.31255326629337066, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1060
mattyb
1719857440375
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
25
3
ANYONE
[{"id": "350888b966fd", "prob": 0.8871085778013248, "text": "3 Body Problem", "index": 0, "poolNo": 174.33009833142654, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 22.184852255004593, "textFts": "'3':1 'bodi':2 'problem':3", "contractId": "66R6daM7Hcq8WqPFDQ1Q", "createdTime": 1712795212336, ...
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1712795212662}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712795212667}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30X...
["television-film", "entertainment", "tv", "emmys-2024", "awards-shows"]
0.25
1719857436976
False
liquidity
0.3771026048661493
smcdLxgxq6WZaVxGqFfA
{"NO": 89.34379921755624, "YES": 240.52026754441906}
0
will-i-get-into-stanford-university
176.19131671036408
Will i get into Stanford University math camp / SUMaC?
1712969793984
S61Mw8J3ieX0kfBLPiGFyduBPop1
cpmm-1
0
2.4845834859195444
True
play
NO
public
1712795221079
jay jayjay
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "sophmore (co 2026)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "solved like 5 or 6", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "aime", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "last minut...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.18359519395356852}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712969793984
140
jayjayjay
1712969793984
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyysI5QHaKkAvS_e2Wkkn08rEVXWJskshnVu-mKZjA=s96-c
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1711759693512
0
[{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1712795221235}]
["competition-math"]
0.25
0.5
1712809059460
0.18
S61Mw8J3ieX0kfBLPiGFyduBPop1
0.3128966052142441
32VNeAmZUp17XAkZS2Jc
{"NO": 633.1638668674798, "YES": 2414.9026353230247}
0.106662293894977
will-the-espionage-act-charges-agai
2007.4647441615084
Will the Espionage Act charges against Julian Assange be dropped by the Biden Administration in 2024?
1735711140000
HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2
cpmm-1
0
9.798771434180066
False
basic
public
1712795234230
Noah
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://news.sky.com/story/us-considering-dropping-julian-assange-prosecution-joe-biden-says-13112352", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://news.sky.com/story/us-considering-dropping-julian-assange-prosecution-joe-...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.11333770610502386}
0
{"creatorFee": 19.029739024053647, "platformFee": 6.805905529825301, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Noah1
1719350653606
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c
22
3
0.3333333333333333
1699627416651
0
[{"name": "Julian Assange", "slug": "julian-assange", "groupId": "d1f10c28-9909-4ba0-822d-4e93410b882a", "createdTime": 1712795234375}, {"name": "Censorship", "slug": "censorship", "groupId": "03e29c51-fa0b-4adb-9c72-be87f3ef4e1a", "createdTime": 1712795234379}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "...
["julian-assange", "censorship", "the-life-of-biden", "law-order", "us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1719350650516
ZEu186bVS29bRWnRJMA5
what-shows-will-win-an-emmy-in-2024
181.02464393293138
What shows will win an Emmy in 2024? [Mega Market]
1726469940000
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712795256978
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Emmy’s! Who will win in any category this year*? All correct answers Resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "*Must be at the Primetime Emmy Awards", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.38829507203132146, "platformFee": 0.38829507203132146, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
920
mattyb
1714214143517
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
5
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "f5bcec1c522b", "prob": 0.5, "text": "3 Body Problem", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'3':1 'bodi':2 'problem':3", "contractId": "ZEu186bVS29bRWnRJMA5", "createdTime": 1712795256978, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0...
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1712795257235}, {"name": "Emmys 2024", "slug": "emmys-2024", "groupId": "cd97f4f9-adf6-49ba-9752-5532c216a376", "createdTime": 1712795257233}, {"name": "Awards Shows", "slug": "awards-shows", "groupId": "30d37...
["television-film", "emmys-2024", "awards-shows", "entertainment", "tv"]
0.25
1714214140149
False
prob-desc
0.20423252053829496
CMdActKlgX9dq5DpVEl1
{"NO": 976.8335481518362, "YES": 918.7193263245124}
0.21438181837909598
will-a-space-trash-laser-be-used-to
1273.8789691985482
Will a space trash laser be used to clean orbital debris before 2030?
1893477540000
HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2
cpmm-1
0
9.699000761122221
False
basic
public
1712795455150
Noah
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQKpMmBDtZo", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQKpMmBDtZo", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 activ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.6371667623274463, "platformFee": 0.6371667623274463, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Noah1
1715518680792
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c
21
0
0.3333333333333333
1699627416651
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712795455297}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712795455322}, {"name": "Lasers", "slug": "lasers", "groupId": "9d8e0f83-9a85-450d-a448-88926bb7979d", "cre...
["technology-default", "space", "lasers", "kessler-syndrome"]
0.25
0.5
1715518677481
1712846891820
BHH08kUbGhaY9kjmKEQI
when-will-ukraine-hold-their-next-p
625.6138496802333
When will Ukraine hold their next Presidential election?
1902715140000
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712795517051
Semiotic Rivalry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 7.352731414154132, "platformFee": 5.649244528573912, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
SemioticRivalry
1720002215285
0
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
14
1
DISABLED
[{"id": "b740835e1994", "prob": 0.13990712115527437, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 34.85709299855899, "userId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 214.28743024463768, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "BHH08kUbGhaY9kjmKEQI", "createdTime": 1712795517051, "probChanges": {"day": -5.55...
0.3333333333333333
1669063432873
0
[{"name": "Elections: World", "slug": "elections-world", "groupId": "w5UI0a5OgD7u18Y4gxJs", "createdTime": 1712795517344}, {"name": "🇷🇺 Russia", "slug": "russia", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1712795517345}, {"name": "🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxX...
["elections-world", "russia", "ukrainerussia-war", "politics-default", "ukraine"]
0.25
1720002212090
1715014546145
True
FVv7iFDXy6tQHI0R6lOG
should-we-continue-building-bigger
0
Should we continue building bigger and bigger particle colliders?
HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1712795838821
Noah
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Stuff like the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Future Circular Collider", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_Circular_Collider", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Noah1
1713238862037
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c
112
0
0.3333333333333333
1699627416651
0
[{"name": "Particle Physics", "slug": "particle-physics", "groupId": "QznxLLOqmyw75xdyOOOa", "createdTime": 1712795853122}, {"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1712795856117}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwO...
["particle-physics", "physics", "technology-default", "science-default"]
0.25
1713238861409
0.5184198256527144
fD0AE0ZKq7XeowGqIzkY
{"NO": 235.86008475352241, "YES": 205.76316986189516}
0.5523636873832308
will-another-top-20-market-creator
71
Will another top 20 market creator be found to be using alts to boost their numbers, by EOY 2024?
1735707540000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712795950201
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "May have been top 20 market creator in the past, if there is proof. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: firstuserhere, a market creator that had a lot of markets about AI, got banned tod...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0024065583013519465}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.03730418568699313, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
Bayesian
1719074276690
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
7
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "Meta", "slug": "meta", "groupId": "6641f4ac-95bf-4770-b8e5-80354a830ec2", "createdTime": 1712795950375}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1712795950376}, {"name": "Market creators", "slug": "market-creators", "group...
["meta", "predictions-on-predictions", "market-creators", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
0.5
1719074273619
1712808795642
lXcOC95TFOsFlApsjhj6
which-manifold-users-will-get-band
2053.5020187185837
Which manifold users will get band over the next 24 hours?
1712840220000
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1712797005904
jim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712840928621
410
jim
1714558369810
0
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
4
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "4c54119cd719", "prob": 0.02, "text": "@jim", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.4796782742694345, "userId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 283.33333333333337, "textFts": "'jim':1", "contractId": "lXcOC95TFOsFlApsjhj6", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "create...
1
0.3333333333333333
1690863320225
0
[{"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1712797006201}]
["manifold-users"]
0.25
1712816427555
1714558367869
0.02
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
False
0.42079956382417905
5QkUu8oBnBS7137ksmMt
{"NO": 918.640532611967, "YES": 1114.1330570046898}
0.3746243009184765
will-bte-get-unbanned-before-the-en
833.6637954818281
Will BTE get unbanned before the end of 2024?
1735707540000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
9.769383826537023
False
basic
public
1712798747746
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He was banned today.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.011733240373018983}
0
{"creatorFee": 12.447966283370446, "platformFee": 7.49339018657763, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Bayesian
1719074287578
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
18
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712798747965}, {"name": "Manibans", "slug": "manibans", "groupId": "54w7ywmVRtwkShAAhknZ", "createdTime": 1712798748453}]
["manifold-6748e065087e", "manibans"]
0.25
0.5
1719074284513
1712809373651
2VU3conE9gtCQ50LNzSR
blue-or-red
0
Blue or Red
1712905140000
TVmI6MwoxXbGNR3gAwscoV1bmyk2
none
0
1
True
public
1712798750683
adrnz
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712905141028
adrnz
1712798750683
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjSABC4g2kPN6r-YHkP_VRxQe03_T_DboTvxmVrTyLpGL4cQ=s96-c
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1712715053482
0
0.25
["1287d522e47e"]
K8qYZs3WyZOIXOvSbTpu
will-the-majority-of-physicists-acc
1080.1956173185856
Will the majority of physicists accept Strong Anthropic Principle as the most likely solution for fine tuning?
2524719540000
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712798783624
Oleg Eterevsky
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "fine tuning problem", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fine-tuned_universe", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:de...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1565
OlegEterevsky
1712863713750
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
7
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "44a246e95022", "prob": 0.049999999999999996, "text": "Before 2030", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.170980654442763, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 250.2486324344125, "textFts": "'2030':2", "contractId": "K8qYZs3WyZOIXOvSbTpu", "createdTime": 1712798783624, "probChanges": {"day...
0.3333333333333333
1703105455482
0
[{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712798784481}, {"name": "Physics", "slug": "physics-a6878c3ad095", "groupId": "92473248-f029-4aca-bc21-094d95940b06", "createdTime": 1712798784478}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRn...
["space", "physics-a6878c3ad095", "science-default"]
0.25
1712863710415
False
alphabetical
TigXEzzpsKuMYAoSKLMD
what-celebrities-will-be-seen-with
729.8432657686628
What celebrities will be seen with Donald Trump before the election
1730955540000
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712799123823
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any celebrity photographed or widely reported to be seen with Donald Trump will resolve yes. Will resolve yes if Donald Trump seen with their dead body.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "please add answers", "type": "...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7616308888851814, "platformFee": 0.4069151208555575, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JamesF
1718640617230
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
19
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "ac303a88ec77", "prob": 0.9134418956809245, "text": "Joe Biden", "index": 0, "poolNo": 298.3711320101814, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 28.273762887879826, "textFts": "'biden':2 'joe':1", "contractId": "TigXEzzpsKuMYAoSKLMD", "createdTime": 1712799123824, "probChanges": ...
0.3333333333333333
1701462146149
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712799124052}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712799124046}, {"name": "🧑‍🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "...
["2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "celebrities", "politics-default", "us-politics"]
0.25
1718640614166
1713232799770
False
0.30608985680740886
m4pK3j7H6VVXbudWqDJl
{"NO": 117.21042463491032, "YES": 346.6063156317183}
0.1298051643526336
will-fuhs-100k-steps-market-be-know
182
will fuh's 100k steps market be known to have been faked, by EOY 2025?
1767243540000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712799333278
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If firstuserhere admits to have faked it or similar, by the end of next year.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.002950378496769407}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.057508472916931744, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
Bayesian
1719074298678
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712799333588}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
0.5
1719074295621
1712799347596
pS7alK1n2AaoWZUqcBm3
do-you-believe-that-firstuserhere-f
0
Do you believe that @firstuserhere faked the successful 100k steps attempt?
1717225140000
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
none
0
1000000
True
public
1712799393322
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Given recent events, what do you think?", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717225140861
mattyb
1713315920614
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
42
0
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712801909700}, {"name": "🏆 ManiFans", "slug": "-manifans", "groupId": "3cpr3RrU1ZCe19JQGIRK", "createdTime": 1712801915004}, {"name": "firstuserhere", "slug": "firstuserhere", "groupId": "2b8cc740-0f73-4bb5-962...
["manifold-6748e065087e", "-manifans", "firstuserhere", "manifold-users"]
0.25
1712940438310
["9dc6749a806e"]
BfLdF1q1Ewxbj8AyIbOi
what-celebrities-will-be-seen-with-060e180a8a1f
767.6563839192634
What celebrities will be seen with Joe Biden before the election
1730955540000
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712799452510
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any celebrity photographed or widely reported to be seen with Joe Biden will resolve yes. Will resolve yes if Joe Biden seen with their dead body.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "please add answers", "type": "text"}...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.8450756960647459, "platformFee": 0.5489519616636509, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1785
JamesF
1719891321426
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
29
1
ANYONE
[{"id": "89738ca46424", "prob": 0.8809428203260552, "text": "Donald Trump", "index": 0, "poolNo": 416.5408133182803, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 56.29443059018346, "textFts": "'donald':1 'trump':2", "contractId": "BfLdF1q1Ewxbj8AyIbOi", "createdTime": 1712799452510, "probChang...
0.3333333333333333
1701462146149
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712799452891}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712799452894}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-polit...
["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "celebrities", "the-life-of-biden"]
0.25
1719891317192
1712946623893
False
0.4606429602503885
eHwNweLvHymOQvfppwoZ
{"NO": 143.55281250828872, "YES": 292.0111423614258}
0.29570322883387434
will-any-banned-account-get-removed
737.3879180754845
Will any banned account get removed from the leaderboard, by the end of July?
1722484740000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712799570804
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/leaderboards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/leaderboards", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5380236403871262}
0
{"creatorFee": 14.0752732659953, "platformFee": 2.759726740905695, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
Bayesian
1719207224473
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
7
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712799577212}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
0.5
1719207221408
1719207188572
0.5947035474549979
eAFiYUN9oNtE9f6TjYpx
{"NO": 1004.589914441234, "YES": 113.11966717476594}
1
gerd
900.453564650831
GERD
1712810068369
tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2
cpmm-1
0
1.6548702074489519
True
play
YES
public
1712799906812
nash
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Y. B. GERD.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.38325509311319916}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712810068369
300
nash
1712810068369
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKRbLXLtRzNTNCmzG3dAv2AWGkOk0C1YjtDSd8a93JDbbxvfzt8=s96-c
12
0
0.3333333333333333
1712799655015
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712799906976}]
["jasontheween"]
0.25
0.5
1712810064036
1712803773223
0.93
tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2
LF5Vv8PayStNgaGEoFAj
how-much-will-trump-raise-by-the-en
1092.6431064202322
How much will Trump raise by the end of April 2024?
1716263940000
iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4r3f1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
67a1031a97cd
public
1712800073525
Mick Bransfield
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How much money will former President Donald J. Trump raise by the end of April?  This question will be resolved based on receipts listed on the FEC ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "here", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "h...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 17.975940545131092, "platformFee": 17.975940545131092, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716296815684
1000
MickBransfield
1716263940000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7wtbRzM8LxtnW8APyehAwWYjCwYtgGP9I_hQ5S=s96-c
13
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "fa8a8e977a5c", "prob": 0.03829974807176641, "text": "<$120 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 29.91959749347476, "userId": "iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4r3f1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 751.2760761023712, "textFts": "'120':1 'million':2", "contractId": "LF5Vv8PayStNgaGEoFAj", "resolverId": "iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4...
1
0.3333333333333333
1671671131306
0
[{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712800073751}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712800073753}, {"name": "Campaign funding", "slug": "campaign-funding...
["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "campaign-funding", "us-politics"]
0.25
1716253712868
1715795936990
{"67a1031a97cd": 100}
iTQO3gSfwWeu1D70TyOxP5x4r3f1
True
0.5224961351555524
3xgi1cvCHFMXtGQweWPY
{"NO": 189.86314817816418, "YES": 136.24011839153067}
0.6039449818299208
will-there-be-production-of-twin-oa
30
Will there be production of Twin Oaks tofu in March 2025?
1740805140000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712800089144
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve YES if there is at least one production day taking place at the production facility on Twin Oaks property any time during the month of March 2025.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.011937870618901392}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.1368518218357397, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
160
AdderOaks
1717862812410
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712800089383}, {"name": "Brands", "slug": "brands", "groupId": "f004f664-7d97-4cc1-bad1-01ae11fa815e", "createdTime": 1712800089696}, {"name": "Companies", "slug": "companies", "groupId": "GHdHJ6FMRw0TnBSvH0cP...
["twin-oaks", "brands", "companies", "vegan"]
0.25
0.5
1717862809284
1712843577337
Cr6GKTUo5srzYDkIwFSV
what-mlb-franchise-will-trevor-baue
215
What MLB franchise will Trevor Bauer sign with? (Add your own answer)
1735718340000
2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712800136939
Kakonomics
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 1}, "content": [{"text": "3 potential landing spots for former Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://calltothepen.com/2023/01/10/3-potential-landing-spots-forme...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.15421126664667698, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
205
Yoae
1719926644840
0
https://firebasestorage.…9b9-ed72121a5535
6
1
ANYONE
[{"id": "2d7998442805", "prob": 0.0374303706837035, "text": "Baltimore Orioles", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.115663081810967, "userId": "2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 182.98833406906408, "textFts": "'baltimor':1 'oriol':2", "contractId": "Cr6GKTUo5srzYDkIwFSV", "createdTime": 1712800136939, "p...
0.3333333333333333
1699261495830
0
[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712800137272}, {"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1712800137404}, {"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1712801663017}...
["sports-default", "mlb", "baseball"]
0.25
1719926641419
True
h8GDB9MNq4SmrJu2o5Yo
boplympics
0
BOPLYMPICS
1712800150117
tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2
none
0
1
True
public
1712800143518
nash
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BOUNTIED_QUESTION
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712800150117
nash
1712800143518
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKRbLXLtRzNTNCmzG3dAv2AWGkOk0C1YjtDSd8a93JDbbxvfzt8=s96-c
0
0
0
["rnwgqCuJKSC0GLuAYotu"]
0.3333333333333333
1712799655015
0
0.25
tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2
250
0.5304553029869836
UoA61kfgNfnnjC9ks3C1
{"NO": 129.0016008677205, "YES": 192.33896281667413}
0
will-sophie-cat-be-shaven-as-of-apr
154.70973934074107
Will Sophie cat be shaven as of April 30, 2024?
1714622340000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712800191429
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.166792660311855, "platformFee": 1.166792660311855, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714779754168
160
AdderOaks
1714622340000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
5
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712800191587}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
0.5
1714601400684
0.43
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
V3gt9axpRedoZFBy9RtZ
when-will-twin-oaks-temporarily-mig
137.69078755651802
When will Twin Oaks temporarily migrate cooking community meals away from ZK?
1746071940000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712800398937
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 2.3604365244316927, "platformFee": 0.5895214155331986, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
235
AdderOaks
1718156571351
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "ae05738782a6", "prob": 0.23975021900310656, "text": "May - June 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.039167742442897, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 44.51830845431914, "textFts": "'2024':3 'june':2 'may':1", "contractId": "V3gt9axpRedoZFBy9RtZ", "createdTime": 1712800398937, ...
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712800399746}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
1718156568154
False
yksWYqFkDiRpFYozH6Ys
who-winning-the-boplympics
0
Who winning the Boplympics?
tYMmsg8yaTMk23olC7BS4mtZnSI2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1712800461917
nash
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
nash
1712800462050
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKRbLXLtRzNTNCmzG3dAv2AWGkOk0C1YjtDSd8a93JDbbxvfzt8=s96-c
14
0
0.3333333333333333
1712799655015
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712800462050}]
["jasontheween"]
0.25
veONEOjBwF4oXCC1LV4K
sa-post-birthday-predictions-900sha
0
Sa *POST BIRTHDAY* Predictions (900/share as of this post)
1713585540000
3G32vi4wEPhUYk5p7XL3clXGd4M2
none
0
1
True
public
1712800879320
bomedesu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Where do y’all think Sa’s stock will land post birthday stream (4/20)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "POLL CLOSES 4/19", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713585541137
bomedesu29420
1712802320533
0
https://firebasestorage.…82b-0a34df3fa53c
11
0
0.3333333333333333
1712730100000
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712800879843}, {"name": "Jason Stonks", "slug": "jason-stonks", "groupId": "814343e2-8a54-49ac-bb69-591627ca31b7", "createdTime": 1712802296910}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets"...
["jasontheween", "jason-stonks", "permanent-markets"]
0.25
["faaae12e0fe9"]
5LR7t5Z21ykgwIPtBcSo
what-will-be-the-next-twin-oaks-car
106.1680115136034
What will be the next Twin Oaks car to be retired?
1746158340000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712801057869
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This pertains only to the regular cars (not trucks/vans). Counts if it gets retired for any reason.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.3013607999377054, "platformFee": 0.3013607999377054, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
320
AdderOaks
1715115332437
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "145eacfe3c74", "prob": 0.045469909992136195, "text": "WF", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.24932123247404, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 173.17442105997213, "textFts": "'wf':1", "contractId": "5LR7t5Z21ykgwIPtBcSo", "createdTime": 1712801057869, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"...
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801058078}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
1715115329088
True
0.40133905569405215
lMe1YXRBvKaghamlXsRu
{"NO": 111.0180666735253, "YES": 254.1967570317016}
0
will-there-be-a-wednesday-night-gay
107.20294871145816
Will there be a Wednesday night gay bar night at Twin Oaks in April?
1714535940000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712801220290
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES if there is a party in Ollie's room with at least 5 attendees (not including Ollie) on a Wednesday evening, during April 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.46002217992385097, "platformFee": 0.46002217992385097, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714778574084
160
AdderOaks
1714535940000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
6
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801220459}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
0.5
1714531081291
0.23
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
0.4554546916576758
diotMoJCMEDdiZ4MgQiV
{"NO": 141.13351545511648, "YES": 182.99033501263142}
0.3921266012810871
will-adders-mexican-friend-get-preg
50
Will Adder's Mexican friend get pregnant during her April attempt?
1714780738660
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712801468897
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Adder's friend is taking a 2nd attempt at in-vitro fertilization using eggs previously fertilized by Adder. They will be transferred during April. Will resolve to YES if she is confirmed to be pregnant by her doctor.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714780738660
160
AdderOaks
1714780769229
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
3
0
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801469162}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
0.5
1712971692278
1714780768138
0.39
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
0.6010587626649851
Mj52joaPIq9vtYaq5jLZ
{"NO": 841.9260704593539, "YES": 134.52461873742112}
1
will-stonks-be-changed-before-the-e
706.458717051775
Will stonks be changed before the end of April?
1713023961009
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
cpmm-1
0
1.5194203130537054
True
play
YES
public
1712801574885
Gabrielle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Can be a positive change or a negative change, or even removing them, just needs to be any change for them", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.09588356507622675}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713023961009
300
Gabrielle
1713023961009
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
10
0
0.3333333333333333
1641356493109
0
[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1712801575092}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712801575119}]
["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
0.5
1713023278867
1713023354686
0.9
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
0.7270702623475358
eP1yZw3zx017WMIMbLwZ
{"NO": 1649.3022799808418, "YES": 658.5902153969948}
0.8696440078710581
youngbasedgo-stock
16692.36032543484
YOUNGBASEDGO Stock
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
cpmm-1
0
9.87711036592253
False
play
public
1712801621867
Pat Scott🩴
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5579853197884921, "platformFee": 0.5579853197884921, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
870
Stralor
1716338475657
0
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
74
0
0.3333333333333333
1677017053373
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712801622011}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712801622058}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1714369457430
1712879206078
Fy5cWTTxiepvFqjXNokN
how-many-numbered-labor-sheets-will
35
How many numbered labor sheets will there be at the end of April 2024?
1714535940000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CHOOSE_MULTIPLE
public
1712801956195
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is our \"population\" count based on the numbered labor sheets as of the week starting 4/26.", "type": "text"}]}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7929004185442273, "platformFee": 0.7929004185442273, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714840210880
140
AdderOaks
1714535940000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "fecf60bfc5d5", "prob": 0.03406130755766374, "text": "75-76", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.2888526468384316, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 93.26799976614079, "textFts": "'-76':2 '75':1", "contractId": "Fy5cWTTxiepvFqjXNokN", "resolverId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "crea...
1
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712801956507}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
1713823159944
1714840187605
{"a1e3403eee56": 78.35017038744957, "fe626773114c": 21.649829612550434}
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
True
gKbwY9836fqsPWsup40q
premier-league-golden-boot-award-wi
3099.771611059801
Premier League Golden Boot Award winner 23/24 season?
1716091140000
IinL5ns1rXND5HQu50OoGRCPsPn2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1712801985862
B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Top Contenders for the 23/24 Premier League Golden Boot Award 🏆", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Who will win it ⁉️", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "ht...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 12.486022055900651, "platformFee": 12.486022055900651, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716645288009
1000
B068b
1716091140000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI0cBHA65E6SiamWxuQnfZSEUaQJMafYPP4BG78nfJspAcZjmID=s96-c
25
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "043a057029de", "prob": 0.9587691216937627, "text": "Haaland 🇳🇴", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1346.903322279012, "userId": "IinL5ns1rXND5HQu50OoGRCPsPn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 57.92218972701802, "textFts": "'haaland':1", "contractId": "gKbwY9836fqsPWsup40q", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4S...
2
0.3333333333333333
https://firebasestorage.…69b-ed07e2853e39
1712796469320
0
[{"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1712801986039}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712801986059}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTi...
["premiere-league", "soccer", "sports-default", "premier-league-20232024", "football"]
0.25
1715633867486
1716641360630
0.07
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
False
nvVICC4bQjsJgzOZ3Eub
how-many-numbered-labor-sheets-will-9d492c4489ea
30
How many numbered labor sheets will there be at Twin Oaks the end of October 2024?
1730433540000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712802080667
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is our \"population\" count based on the numbered labor sheets.", "type": "text"}]}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
AdderOaks
1712977267973
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "dd5b59c3046c", "prob": 0.0718937872513356, "text": "70-75", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.958038858636769, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 89.8241606144826, "textFts": "'-75':2 '70':1", "contractId": "nvVICC4bQjsJgzOZ3Eub", "createdTime": 1712802080667, "probChanges": {"day": 0...
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802081662}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
1712977264640
True
tGfxvdp3RfPFjl5fXxlC
how-many-numbered-labor-sheets-will-f6c7494db5d2
10.000000000000007
How many numbered labor sheets will there be at Twin Oaks the end of December 2024?
1730433540000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712802159303
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is our \"population\" count based on the numbered labor sheets.", "type": "text"}]}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
AdderOaks
1712972217917
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "e1b0da4fd21c", "prob": 0.20672012667471917, "text": "70-75", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.414664875785348, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 43.803300880140746, "textFts": "'-75':2 '70':1", "contractId": "tGfxvdp3RfPFjl5fXxlC", "createdTime": 1712802159304, "probChanges": {"day...
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802159753}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
1712972214635
True
0.5770789149269515
PZmzIjCUnzrfUBLeuZPj
{"NO": 360.5386422517082, "YES": 84.40393558371454}
1
will-uncle-trouts-band-play-at-twin
218.7519334780463
Will Uncle Trout's Band play at Twin Oaks on the weekend of 4/20?
1713585540000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-1
0
8.294204161258486
True
play
YES
public
1712802318370
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.14644268941730054}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.6368161328488313, "platformFee": 0.6368161328488313, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713817246217
160
AdderOaks
1713585540000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
5
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802320286}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
0.5
1713560863856
0.85
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
Kg14ZaqC494tXsyFppw3
how-many-pounds-of-potatoes-will-be
34.99999999999998
How many pounds of potatoes will be harvested at Twin Oaks in the *summer* harvest of 2024?
1719806340000
Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712802548286
Adder Oaks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5981803524731567, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
AdderOaks
1717862750976
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "172e8238cd73", "prob": 0.038610832752364606, "text": "500-600", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.7710690356064447, "userId": "Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 93.89761010925082, "textFts": "'-600':2 '500':1", "contractId": "Kg14ZaqC494tXsyFppw3", "createdTime": 1712802548286, "probChanges": {...
0.3333333333333333
1711741065144
0
[{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1712802548512}]
["twin-oaks"]
0.25
1717862747719
True
0.3499208945650626
6sUzkgVHPUxWyphpylHU
{"NO": 255.87039064530026, "YES": 2506.150453475482}
0
will-destiny-talk-to-qorantos-by-th
3461.2897586323797
Will Destiny talk to Qorantos by the end of April 2024?
1714546740000
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712802958244
Punished Furry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Qorantos just quit as Destiny's KoK and has vowed to not talked to him or come on his stream again.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will a talk between them happen anyways? The talk must be at...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 26.52331201497155, "platformFee": 26.52331201497155, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714546820951
600
PunishedFurry
1714546740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c
30
0
0.3333333333333333
1666746014983
0
[{"name": "DalibanHQ", "slug": "dalibanhq", "groupId": "7m4wLsWHjWcnZgzXm0Xs", "createdTime": 1712802958392}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1712802958400}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 17128029...
["dalibanhq", "youtube", "destinygg", "celebrities"]
0.25
0.5
1714518527216
1714359019773
0.05
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
0.5332992384983688
rouwf3lTYwHsvtCgMfCc
{"NO": 140.1028885674907, "YES": 138.43166204613186}
0.5362847737654478
clix-stock
63.2048102295953
Clix Stock
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803041559
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": -0.06371603973453377, "month": -0.06371603973453399}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.6923012029140144, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
strutheo
1719698746845
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
3
1
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803041709}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803041738}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719698743566
0.653824835572016
hhMt22pxQyo4Ci6GrxKJ
{"NO": 398.5909865162631, "YES": 173.9255847364746}
0.8123271458395915
misahere-stock
947.8744292735329
Misahere Stock
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803044251
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
240
mattyb
1716338373141
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
14
0
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803044402}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803044407}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1712855857651
0.5367363700984819
R4S5fzDkKOaR1F9T9gai
{"NO": 159.93502588005043, "YES": 158.3160067029332}
0.5392653134447167
rayasianboy-stock
101.16099027543656
Ray Asian Boy Stock
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803248562
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": -0.0558725333038802, "month": -0.0558725333038802}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7669858747258411, "platformFee": 0.13699796978712975, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
160
strutheo
1719698728257
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
4
1
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803248903}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803248911}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719698725032
0.6270775667294052
MN6ppBk0N5P2dWw7glkG
{"NO": 276.7986943239478, "YES": 182.26704294011893}
0.718597916312563
kailey-stock
1454.9812630729998
Kailey Stock
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803347269
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0011458986168586538}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.1540090660987172, "platformFee": 1.1346528996663638, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
Bayesian
1719074311149
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
9
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803347697}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803347700}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1719074308079
1712817915582
0.5539122363283483
fCvMfX6SXgIKMR9DQzBp
{"NO": 189.77256189650052, "YES": 170.19376898850686}
0.5806346544688892
asianjeff-stock
423.61393624599503
Asian Jeff Stock
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803442177
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -0.04765492373216851, "month": -0.04765492373216862}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.6135018575044388, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
strutheo
1719698714825
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
5
1
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803442352}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803442364}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719698710964
0.5167480194031493
0Njys3uP2XrGAArT7y0Y
{"NO": 269.53555537906027, "YES": 286.9803794427315}
0.501075901496205
ybg-gerd-stock
1118.4088851539611
YBG Gerd Stock
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803585439
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0017373604002096643}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.03380288275814589, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
280
Bayesian
1719074317198
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
12
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803585590}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803585622}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719074314135
1712815057176
0.5000000000000001
uCLUgxeqBj4UCK2BO6jL
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5000000000000001
suhweina-selena-stock
59.66666666666667
Suhwiena Stock
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803597650
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": -0.04751131221719462, "month": -0.04751131221719462}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.33333333333333265, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
mattyb
1719698720552
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
2
1
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803597874}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803597880}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719698717335
0.8560755631916475
WhNoGChSCH5s9WcF0wo8
{"NO": 1205.216050805459, "YES": 1312.9007047313116}
0.8452066442247591
emily-stock
23747.53817671802
Emily Stock
jJKKvReInISFjWugYegjN6Hiwhq1
cpmm-1
0
9.59250101307352
False
basic
public
1712803632409
electi0n
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 29.770869198379817, "platformFee": 29.770869198379817, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1345
electi0n
1716338431043
0
https://firebasestorage.…630-e9e4ea84b48f
117
0
0.3333333333333333
1712739742154
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803632558}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803632568}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1715916998608
1713050986425
0.5690418246266975
Yq0xjJxZ6AGvRBVyF1nx
{"NO": 305.94485809485656, "YES": 142.2351318970119}
0.7395953084439528
sunny-miata-stock
704.447403592023
Sunny "Miata" Stock
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803646040
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0010896305969191333}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.017938760011630302, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
Bayesian
1719074321966
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803646191}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803646217}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719074318831
1712818124173
0.6306210393545719
KDQavRvTThp2Jz21nN1c
{"NO": 298.3773784723607, "YES": 147.78051581059017}
0.7751307990832125
suppycolleen-stock
884.6789951266868
Suppy Colleen Stock
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803707094
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
strutheo
1716338443045
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
7
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803707329}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803707349}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1713227859167
0.49974452270978137
MA71l9TcKLTMSTl7wnHo
{"NO": 276.16359451562147, "YES": 260.21354476196217}
0.514613060881222
jasontheweenie-stock
2212.4711352525915
JasonTheweenie Stock
WrMOxIFDEMXeLfiuejl79T7179u1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803722816
JJ Futz
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0.10494344486516222, "month": 0.10494344486516222}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.7151441948325736, "platformFee": 0.4947738873465052, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
280
JJFutz
1719705453761
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIUcEO3ZvNXd9AKpvCo81yRE__31JjHWaVLJhyEZna-b5mNTqvL=s96-c
10
2
0.3333333333333333
1712740912281
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803722951}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803722947}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719705450609
0.5623367586472726
ZfsijPJQpeCIVouqt1xK
{"NO": 289.8377507860257, "YES": 173.43597569997445}
0.6822570774474904
bill-stock
615.3886223976585
Bill Stock
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803745053
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.001304692339965774}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.021801731857145918, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
Bayesian
1719074327871
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803745201}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803745850}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719074324809
0.5506031758884782
p0lutgsC8PzwHbvKjkmR
{"NO": 226.73224599069306, "YES": 208.86615870794625}
0.5708167383019835
jynxzi-stock
1239.2677540093068
Jynxzi Stock
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803765487
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": -4.440892098500626e-16, "week": -4.440892098500626e-16, "month": -4.440892098500626e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
mattyb
1716338447938
0
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803765717}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803765719}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1712961414999
0.5087045551713529
Z554Cimp4YcPp18zypIr
{"NO": 129.90554240176766, "YES": 110.98573150175875}
0.54790948364945
kyedae-stock
12.059978455215314
Kyedae Stock
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712803823387
nikki
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -0.004081914585396196, "month": -0.004081914585395641}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.03447914301704658, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
nikki
1719705468758
0
https://firebasestorage.…497-f98cb9862793
2
1
0.3333333333333333
1678327601414
0
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803823616}, {"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803823618}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["permanent-markets", "jasontheween", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1719705465624
0.21486613710519134
IlhZAoH3rPFuLMmemWPs
{"NO": 466.06070773837246, "YES": 12627.051509846233}
0
will-trump-announce-a-vp-pick-befor
18123.7849477015
Will Trump announce a VP pick before July?
1719817140000
R1FYWUk3bveksTL1k9kJCmuJjey1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
NO
public
1712803858038
zaperrer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be an official announcement, not a passing comment or suggestion.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.10416541304606813, "month": -0.3037832095651698}
0
{"creatorFee": 113.88167472824037, "platformFee": 10.987002607223008, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719863863374
1000
zaperrer
1719817140000
0
https://firebasestorage.…0f8-44002cc485a0
23
3
0.3333333333333333
1681846792957
0
[{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712803858385}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712803858388}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "cr...
["donald-trump", "us-politics", "magaland", "trump-vp", "politics-default"]
0.25
0.5
1719812507224
0.01
R1FYWUk3bveksTL1k9kJCmuJjey1
0.7983484334918775
ARKXyScVIHQ8kstpQo95
{"NO": 863.0563844427072, "YES": 581.4819647009233}
0.8545700455603528
kacey2x-stock
2058.507189580943
Stable Ronaldo Stock
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.234402318263243
False
play
public
1712803892729
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.40540824611878, "platformFee": 0.40540824611878, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
660
strutheo
1716338361288
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
28
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1712803892887}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1712803892899}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b...
["jasontheween", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"]
0.25
0.5
False
True
1713844942729
1713318298180
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2