enable_order_book bool 2 classes | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | archived bool 2 classes | accepting_orders bool 2 classes | accepting_order_timestamp timestamp[s]date 2024-05-07 20:07:46 2025-03-14 17:41:59 ⌀ | minimum_order_size int64 5 5 | minimum_tick_size float64 0 0.01 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 11 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.66k | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | end_date_iso timestamp[s]date 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | game_start_time timestamp[s]date 2024-08-29 17:37:00 2025-06-02 19:36:00 ⌀ | seconds_delay int64 0 3 | fpmm stringlengths 0 42 | maker_base_fee int64 0 0 | taker_base_fee int64 0 0 | notifications_enabled bool 2 classes | neg_risk bool 2 classes | neg_risk_market_id stringclasses 715 values | neg_risk_request_id stringlengths 0 66 | icon stringlengths 0 195 | image stringlengths 0 195 | rewards dict | is_50_50_outcome bool 2 classes | tokens listlengths 2 2 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-10T20:59:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x128d8360cd32742310771cd1856023098ab4cbe1fb559ca52b4233252200c518 | 0x2f242b0529c1f47b3a9c7c8db778fd6240900b6fa31d65b64743973424607103 | Will Syria hold national elections by January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syria conducts elections for a new national government by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying elections must allow for voting by the populace across a majority of the territory within Syria’s borders.
Elections which exclude specific regions or population groups will qualify. However, elections limited to a small group, such as tribal leaders or other restricted bodies without broad public participation, will not count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-syria-hold-national-elections-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
"token_id": "113637994742995954850119804779057122195765067128462686449286260535709449533143",
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{
"token_id": "1126187055541117054040457942968983136801612921652248514449811883075333467357",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Syria",
"Middle East",
"Geopolitics"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:20:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcffdaa998a246349ac03a493126555e6a5284fd10b46341a88828aac5eec64b2 | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02109 | Will Gian Van Veen win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gian Van Veen wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-gian-van-veen-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x7a378171bff25c561d507858c13a25b24f1e178a1d343d4e37151e45fad26a99 | {
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"token_id": "97719939868794534098343627809995610862886424607212838897773229388348871816616",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:03:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9742996b5423a569f012ee3e4702182f6b44aac7d51799eec3fadb2444beef20 | 0xf0b1736c77a5c64bc2888d9d22222314ebdb564bd10872891d7d6e99b067a4de | Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Sing Sing" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-sing-sing-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:04:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc3d28ab88753aef173543b5aebb2ec15389d931b827fcf97d15cf56b02d5b7d1 | 0x857bef03fd7ddbfb7b9774aab055132e22e509af5930fca641a8fc8670330f0e | Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "A Real Pain" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-a-real-pain-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
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"token_id": "5399213552646241399758526346963923893707773966118900537360111893113091092777",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:03:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xca6c5d6c5b0f1eb03f28e9a6009854a076f6e7e2fd9400d26e7a85aa1a841806 | 0x8d62cbf79b6e5c2f62739be4602bbeeda533887410a33b94ff82b47007eacd9c | Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Emilia Perez" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-emilia-perez-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T22:07:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4a347d52256d1a8ff28044a5d21699b411dac5371eca5a6b9b33167cfff17f8f | 0x51ea72138a94a32b51209ea89164dcc4527833163ac055d92161ba8e9ebd02f7 | Will Tucker say "Jew" or "Jewish" during Lavrov interview? | Tucker Carlson announced he recently recorded an interview with Sergey Lavrov (see: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1864092222091657502).
This market will be based solely on what Tucker Carlson says during this interview. Words spoken by other participants will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker says "Jew" or "Jewish" during the interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Jew" or "Jewish" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Judaism faith or a follower of Judaism
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview. | will-tucker-say-jew-or-jewish-during-lavrov-interview | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": tr... | [
"tucker carlson",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:20:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9139727359b1717f59ebc1ef1a0a6d9cc6751819aa0263dcde982bcc95560dfb | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02108 | Will Rob Cross win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rob Cross wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-rob-cross-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x4a737386bd2d972c70e4a12f0e4201ee550b9b9ca4d1c6eb56ca34a1b780c636 | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
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"Tournaments",
"Darts"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T22:09:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x13dc4065ca76377ee7429ec6ea26ef58cd9aa08126e0205ec71075bbe2c45f26 | 0xb40788d94d378193134424ea201ed29b23eb2d64d23f8800f11d75536bc9ca7b | Will Tucker say "Prigozhin" during Lavrov interview? | Tucker Carlson announced he recently recorded an interview with Sergey Lavrov (see: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1864092222091657502).
This market will be based solely on what Tucker Carlson says during this interview. Words spoken by other participants will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker says "Prigohzen" during the interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Prigozhin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former head of Wagner Group Yevgeny Prigozhin.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview. | will-tucker-say-prigozhin-during-lavrov-interview | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-10T16:42:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd86c9acdd163a1eeaceca01ae7629d91189d23443d5c7984a5385807ce895285 | 0x10e7334db7805a26f106cb260558335296d0a6e4cc0ed51681f97a17d5bb242f | Hawk Tuah OnlyFans by January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hawk Tuah podcast host Haliey Welch starts an OnlyFans page featuring herself by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If she starts an Onlyfans page but doesn't have any posts yet it will still suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The primary resolutions source for this market will be from Haliey Welch and OnlyFans, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| hawk-tuah-onlyfans-by-january | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Twitter",
"Culture",
"internet",
"Hailey Welch"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:27:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x72219182f8b9773563f2b03490695b55dac5796da5689049bfd6447cfd4b5251 | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e04 | Will Damar Hamlin win NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Damar Hamlin wins the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Damar Hamlin is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-damar-hamlin-win-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e00 | 0x1f7e566856e19c3e2a9f730fa0d7d347314fc845a4a21ad7154aec583ff73f5f | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"football",
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"damar",
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"Joe Burrow",
"Roger Goodell"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T22:08:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9e8abec8d7a6918b901e159a83d09d2929f2fc7c53924f423cdd5a8488c8ab2e | 0x0cc221ce64e437517561c5446501379f91a3bd6f79a0fc745b913c3ebe7de06d | Will Tucker say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Lavrov interview? | Tucker Carlson announced he recently recorded an interview with Sergey Lavrov (see: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1864092222091657502).
This market will be based solely on what Tucker Carlson says during this interview. Words spoken by other participants will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview. | will-tucker-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-lavrov-interview | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-09T21:33:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe86eff0530332efc274ccddcf61156fea40b95c1f73d536d3ffa30e2dd29a04f | 0xacc81aba8dbcbb6116c79367c25f252c57293caf902c0e1809c99858a873a3b0 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | On December 9, 2024, police detained Luigi Mangione in Altoona, Pennsylvania, in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mangione pleads guilty to any charges stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
Only guilty pleas to charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. a guilty plea to charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify).
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-mangione-plead-guilty | 2025-05-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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} | false | [
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"token_id": "98669277206656290628375358289696272793326648555388846626927307364068744732811",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Culture",
"UnitedHealthcare",
"Brian Thompson",
"Luigi Mangione"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T23:29:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0ba6d0a2f35fbb9a38aaee50b4a44b21093f4da96a2c3a3b49704b488a6b6b20 | 0xb876ef6f03f1a6cf215a18bcb822c93288f2f5aa55095d70197d32bbea14bcc2 | Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Liz Cheney receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-biden-pardon-liz-cheney | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T22:26:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbe5b27359c2d0330d5edc82b1e3ebdcadfb54de6ccafa5cbcee4fdd3a970dd99 | 0xd213da4c75fb39d149e0483ae8265dcdb29e5558a856a224602d753853f91319 | Will Drake Maye break the QB rushing record? | In 2001, Michael Vick set the NFL record for yards per carry by a quarterback in a season at 9.3 yards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake Maye of the New England Patriots records an average of 9.4 or more Yards per Carry during 2024-25 NFL Regular Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Vick's record is only considers QB seasons where the player played a minimum of 8 games, and averaged 3+ carries per game. This will have no effect on the resolution of this market: this market only relates to whether or not Drake Maye's season long average will be 9.4 or more yards per carry.
The resolution of this market will be official stats by the National Football League (see: https://www.nfl.com/players/drake-maye/stats/). | will-drake-maye-break-the-qb-rushing-record | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"YPC",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:19:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x86425c0a3904f58149a7f1601a8b37ca16777890d463c5bbc654999a4c1a90f4 | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02106 | Will Chris Dobey win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Dobey wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-chris-dobey-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x3d7c8c65526b11fbc1f59d080c7556d7d44300eca756b31849b87fa8078b01af | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:14:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4e28d3543c88517551a134ee299ed6ef6ab5926116c7a03af3ed32a5029d6d5e | 0xe803f33ded23450feec432d196fb1076d3ef4bdd0515f310f2f3cdee51f6d535 | Belichick next UNC head coach? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Belichick signs an agreement to join the University of North Carolina as their next head football coach by January 19, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is announced that Bill Belichick has signed as a Head Coach win another team, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the University of North Carolina, Bill Belichick, or his representatives. | belichik-next-unc-head-coach | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-09T16:39:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3c1d2240601193cf3bc0e8877584ec83aafcdbc6f513f8818331de19dfc406c7 | 0x3d42ecc8fcd04e8af2661a20bea28d87867483a226317c40c160ce1b23cfbedc | Jay-Z in jail before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Shawn Corey Carter (a.k.a. "Jay-Z"), serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between December 8, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| jay-z-in-jail-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "68975199819353829719403415696733803208937531131314008178876351997250786927778",
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"Music",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:27:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x84a67fbdc32b89fe1ab03b8aadab08462cc49fa1d9e932760e79957adde762ac | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e03 | Will Anthony Richardson win NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Richardson wins the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Anthony Richardson is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-anthony-richardson-win-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e00 | 0xbdce4e89b64ece48bf4895b6c65eb8b9f82799ea53653dbf3533c523270c7d87 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:25:43 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2a1f525f8ebebc6c80b2c2db3c0f0f9a006b2f43db26bb860de244187e347414 | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02112 | Will Luke Woodhouse win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if this Luke Woodhouse wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-luke-woodhouse-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x335eea91d99971f18177d08d5f0088b6053332492bea3854cdc78472d33ec5d9 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T23:30:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcde81adc8f07ce43f0287684a259ac4a6b3612a73c71c0247c6bc8b2bc97a691 | 0x2eb986a53f658398652bbf23ae37760ffaf30d20d4f182ffd322885510a78f61 | Will Biden pardon Jim Biden? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Brian "Jim" Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-biden-pardon-jim-biden | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:17:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x981b5f33124bc5efc6a1c9a5ee5cf861f440c3e953400c82eac3eeea2f72476b | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02102 | Will Gary Anderson win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gary Anderson wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-gary-anderson-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x5b594d6613f7f4d609d6738ca740b2a4ec05ad8fedde26d1366202e7ae71b92b | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:20:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x445f374a707d5e1631d9c94af28028913d9c0c130c4569fbd0fa7228186a0c2e | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba0210a | Will Gerwyn Price win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gerwyn Price wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-gerwyn-price-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x97ab3b9249e35713f358a356aec9b403e7bd76c16ca4fb52426b0a77b8698cfb | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-09T16:40:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4c9be9748d3f5f82c04c5eb6fb7e9439989e315d3262768a1d7acaef8ca6a7e6 | 0x0471b72037975cfda43a56bce894acacb85f96fa921784a6c311c3628c9c0ea1 | Jay-Z arrested in 2024? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Shawn Corey Carter (a.k.a. "Jay-Z") is arrested between December 8, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Jay-Z and information from Jay-Z's legal representatives will also be used. | jay-z-arrested-in-2024 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-09T16:25:41 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa631b8c0a69210de06c6766480a5fde9aa49a68683808cafabb111a8b17ec3cd | 0x6f853fb678ca7049411c11b1243bcc07d5e4ff60f8e277ae2c14bc85c1ca7d8c | Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March? | In May 2018, the US State Department added HTS to the Nusrah Front's existing December 2012 designation as a foreign terrorist organization (see: https://www.state.gov/foreign-terrorist-organizations/).
This market will resolve to "Yes " if the U.S. removes Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from it's list of designated foreign terrorist organizations by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-us-remove-hts-from-terror-list | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": true... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:18:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x065aae9b93ba1507546d012f521d6dad9441930daac6957bdf2115af4b76a5af | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02105 | Will Michael Smith win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Smith wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-michael-smith-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x4c13f61d2b14f6201d7cdfe1ef7afef55ea4060d5594ad8b005d9a6e87f44017 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T22:09:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8df26b62ecdee68c1bc25f98f0dd0abcfd9804ed9b7bba2543316ae6eccab8f0 | 0x3fa7a111e73da0c336f7ac70e02827399671f8ad612f7bc4ab8fec5dfe7bd98b | Will Tucker say "buffer" during Lavrov interview? | Tucker Carlson announced he recently recorded an interview with Sergey Lavrov (see: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1864092222091657502).
This market will be based solely on what Tucker Carlson says during this interview. Words spoken by other participants will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker says "buffer" during the interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "buffer" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a thing that prevents incompatible or antagonistic people or things from coming into contact with or harming each other.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview. | will-tucker-say-buffer-during-lavrov-interview | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": t... | [
"tucker carlson",
"interview",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:25:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf86841f2bf48a7edeea573771efa98d5ae892ac5f3344b90e6dab413914f9cba | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02111 | Will Peter Wright win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if this Peter Wright wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-peter-wright-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x569516c570d71cc5583726fd8c134f7e97893572faf5630108d5976f5b32cf28 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-09T16:35:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3b003bd0a9bc184b74d12ad8475023444a7b826f1735ada593616281d8286b9b | 0x6b836fa232f51abb27d49a3b6f9db197be7f1427c1a011fe52a9e2d2aa0c4b21 | Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April? | On December 9, it was reported that Jay-Z has been accused in a civil lawsuit of raping a 13-year-old with hip-hop star Sean “Diddy” Combs. Jay-Z has claimed this is a blackmail attempt (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/12/9/jay-z-accused-in-lawsuit-of-raping-13-year-old-girl-with-diddy-in-2000).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Jay-Z has reached a settlement with the plaintiff by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-jay-z-settle-with-his-accuser | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:25:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x853a816a09712cc53b9b2beb738eb97c27f46204c9a1bd02a24e8a5b88aedc01 | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e01 | Will Kyler Murray win NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kyler Murray wins the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kyler Murray is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-kyler-murray-win-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e00 | 0xdd70cec34ab95e522d9c1b77c7b69cdacc3a2bb0555029897f0c4ecb30ac3f63 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:18:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb2bbe3ae2003aa0aefc2e0ad8ea13d4b3e5214865ce8bec0e2f7b385ab6ef16b | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02104 | Will Mike De Decker win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike De Decker wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-mike-de-decker-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0xa4fce1fac2775a971f22319f05391d731c57b8eb589812a014926566fd487c0b | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T20:47:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x15c2d1edc3bbd2f1731a0f136b6f8c72bc28e256a6cf041487e26b77dbb14d74 | 0x20a99ed6818f0f72e113a2bf5a17826933104a69d10e729566d79a2719bcf2a1 | Eric Adams a Republican before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Mayor of New York Eric Adams announces he is becoming or has become a Republican between December 5, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first such announcement made by Adams. If Adams later retracts this statement or never makes the formal change, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Eric Adams or his representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | eric-adams-a-republican-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:28:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1d77d12105700b29dc30ceaea6356ba9e9e6cd1fbb0eff82a2daf8c6ec3aa697 | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e05 | Will Russell Wilson win NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Wilson wins the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Russell Wilson is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-russell-wilson-win-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e00 | 0xfe175d220f59d459263324695a2ed7bf59ca0d2cdf4b61278ce0b314c1061cb5 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T23:29:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x072acaa7dd352c795948d495e019eec539539d36698225ab98b2f55c692d1b0c | 0xe1d35c813d68c41c0608d69c6baf2975961554b034c4693c4df60d00dc89e0a4 | Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Schiff receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-biden-pardon-adam-schiff | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": fa... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:26:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xad3ee791b667c21756c1df2ca65e6cba38020e52526d6f1dc36c97b69a59a2ca | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e02 | Will Kirk Cousins win NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins wins the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kirk Cousins is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-kirk-cousins-win-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e00 | 0xdefad7c8d027918bd296793fa88f0d18a3966219aa41fd9ed9d21f86f27377a6 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:16:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x912f772a0eb83626e3890a5fc0eed3fc835d70b705ad74bdc461cf61a6d8d80f | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | Will Luke Littler win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Luke Littler wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g. they don’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-luke-littler-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0xa658f3a910044e2daa596bd18fe45d85967cfc3e583803ca71d884f8f2d4195b | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:24:31 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x44099269ad11b23d6f419391243b6b0c83de064d456426d1c5621d283799d117 | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba0210f | Will Ryan Joyce win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if this Ryan Joyce wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-ryan-joyce-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0x12bcd64dd5d09274b415f7ca9564a8d3bd4011d44aaaf5321611cb2362857376 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:32:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x21fffb770788076e00b80d85b2ecdf80b4b9b7c1697f7ef101538c444a2b3bdf | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e09 | Will Nick Chubb win NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nick Chubb wins the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Nick Chubb is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-nick-chubb-win-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e00 | 0x6528fa081be29f5a2c2982c2aaf4122d5c595f234c696eb26de48c7d2f7a22af | {
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-06T21:31:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1a2e42f00bedf0c5b75c9dbd618fa027f3f6fdc068cc80bff3b0d77908ee5d76 | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e07 | Will Justin Herbert win NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Herbert wins the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Justin Herbert is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-justin-herbert-win-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb81ea91999c252bee38e81055e6d8dc43d3e930581cc133f7fbbfe80702f3e00 | 0x3e4b961a9b54ee90656b96710b52d4a128a34976fdfac7f87a352daa9394c9bf | {
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:23:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe3d508b81b1ce143939c1cebee4373ff3d43ac87d726fe53726cf91fd2876847 | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba0210e | Will Callan Rydz win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if this Callan Rydz wins the 2024-25 PDC World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament based on the rules of the PDC (e.g., he doesn’t advance to the finals), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the PDC (https://www.pdc.tv/results). | will-callan-rydz-win-the-2024-25-pdc-world-championship | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9f8581f3bd79a6742d1c0643a82d736e10dea54b4af5efe78e54154baba02100 | 0xf5af114c21fb25b7033d3dfef183e66517929e60218ad61a4dbc61ef84c47040 | {
"rates": null,
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{
"token_id": "30209324795918528522361463896905704766104105580380640734559478827657804315887",
"outcome": "Yes",
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"token_id": "60672784613309535088703169206364392948309873542985110354807146336574643562210",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"futures",
"Tournaments",
"Darts"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-04T22:09:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2059b372f08c027ae5ee2bae940a683541c4488a11bf790323cfaad0eac633cd | 0x3abed5faf56919f44470f0a496af75aba36574889d71f67eed3e4f926a6c2b9f | Will Tucker say "Wagner" during Lavrov interview? | Tucker Carlson announced he recently recorded an interview with Sergey Lavrov (see: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1864092222091657502).
This market will be based solely on what Tucker Carlson says during this interview. Words spoken by other participants will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker says "Wagner" during the interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Wagner" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Russian state-funded private military company PMC Wagner.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview. | will-tucker-say-wagner-during-lavrov-interview | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "63689917431705298913105362467114908430818442995396343318362357935327346171526",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"tucker carlson",
"interview",
"Mentions"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:04:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb49e4419786bb1ab3ff73b9bc76b6488f8a29a88d1766ed3934e83222e876cca | 0x7d59263c27db37b89b36a44207ac647679fca6c3a7f5e648f24118dac38cb291 | Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 12, 2024, 16:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $4,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-4500pt00-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "89342240923276432973476370076731182253505490223661664721695496067579993814994",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "99264831499025246060928897393357890400496207060289458129280949499708021401058",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T22:16:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdd6e9462edff12429df58434e93dbb7ff92739dae3f815484afd16a263665ef5 | 0xd9475bc558f6d94ec7abf4dbf0662d1901df946dfb5ce9e75e47764bc32b698b | Netanyahu out before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Netanyahu has remained Prime Minister of Israel for the entire duration without interruption.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | netanyahu-out-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "34996909774408006983465793668527782029593466616142659201642376666970135044483",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T16:18:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x19a37d92b8f361f7880189201515e6732b6e99a4213cb388e4d7e2313aa1e087 | 0x3626a9ce730f2a11200bf37f795c6f69e4efa8b2f89056a04c16fbf713588476 | Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the McDonald's worker who gives a tip leading to the arrest of Luigi Mangione receives any amount of official reward money by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-mcdonalds-worker-get-reward-money-for-reporting-luigi | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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"token_id": "95249647710446231147747400931735906200391722267109758395195960594252769388832",
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{
"token_id": "78487625756126142603153082178712905271024837782491221573121737864312297703039",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Culture",
"UnitedHealthcare",
"UHC",
"Luigi Mangione"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T18:04:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xed3f699d49c03b25f3138d1ffb580e7640be4a032b18073652b36f9db2b25860 | 0x80e69060dfe8db96537cbd90cbcf38b98e84bc82ee9bf98400022bfdc533b600 | Will US annual inflation be 2.6% or less in December? | This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending December 2024 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 2.6 percent or less over the 12 month period ending December 2024 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS December 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. | will-us-annual-inflation-be-2pt6-or-less-in-december | 2025-01-15T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x80e69060dfe8db96537cbd90cbcf38b98e84bc82ee9bf98400022bfdc533b600 | 0x21ba17c993b46aa33f77e66a8d540fafdeee484c117b051e9f4196710c41f0e1 | {
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"token_id": "65279822498819844738722898594860620018776971805489991042631780341292843504494",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Inflation",
"bls",
"Macro Inflation"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T23:22:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xde7ddec7196cba82452911bc51ca8f422445c1f9680a2b977b123cd3a89cd257 | 0x61a29b72ae9b9c68ae62f85514dc7b6cbb20ea79b5bb0cab86414d61f3d04b5a | Feds raid Jay-Z before April? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if any property owned by Shawn Corey Carter, a.k.a. Jay-Z, is raided by U.S. law enforcement by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This encompasses any actions taken by any U.S. law enforcement including police and federal agencies to search properties owned by Jay-Z.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government or law enforcement agencies. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | feds-raid-jay-z-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "21498743208802046184763920643448405211193264004380408300258597715088609724688",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Music",
"Culture",
"Diddy",
"Jay-Z"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T17:18:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x54789d52943aecb23f549a290b852c43516b0197c1d90d3a85ceb1338fb0a1e1 | 0xd6a9d078f14782ecd771445245d50ae18ff5e6b2e27ecb906ae3d1917de8e03e | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 13, 2024, 13:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $90,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
| will-bitcoin-dip-to-90000-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
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{
"token_id": "53793605319949699873648418857408747875736306160042190137691369185559824940847",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T16:13:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd56ec61993961904aac4095c8e0e0a5c2b56dacc35463613e67f6368ac2ee48d | 0x5a91b6a01492c09c1d44b944b98af9f9f98e62fceebbddfc9e12310b61b42b9c | Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Zuckerberg attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-mark-zuckerberg-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "67932028851768755543330196038730858424388517029647623926694802006335613248228",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": false... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:09:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1f44bd0ee7132279c4f0a4db305650f84a3abccdf5d6bf3f96bdcbcd7119ff64 | 0x7bb8099b1bb0a296c7447cc5d7f65607103de260924826d6b9b4007c97c61089 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 12, 2024, 16:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $110,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
| will-bitcoin-reach-110000-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "83864485229102369229361373963526851303324863263182272372449177896769073039959",
"outcome": "Yes",
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"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "96568761500819282526984589608485668631984467927873108656777090428440028937648",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:30:15 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4421ddf25598700841a09acfc93a847e721d4b5ee5dfc064781ae32dd3d30be3 | 0x9ef8db32c6b8bd57d79218a14d85d851bf4f563e4646528c67812b7e425ce200 | Will US unemployment be 4.1% or lower in December 2024? | This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for December 2024.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for December 2024 is 4.1% or less, otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
The next data release is scheduled for January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| will-us-unemployment-be-4pt1-or-lower-in-december-2024 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ef8db32c6b8bd57d79218a14d85d851bf4f563e4646528c67812b7e425ce200 | 0x249877ce45ad92535fdfa214cace461c3021b6594b639b3caecffbbe602fa506 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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"token_id": "91395709030231804405382454161772658567347067370459124586645101972952779745375",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Politics",
"employment",
"unemployment",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Unemployment"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:09:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3eca1798b9cff1867ec876a014e181c8b2d725d3616e04c2f846e659e467b02c | 0x41bf224849230e74c7716bbf5b467139e587d171cf9ebe64e5f20811392aa4a9 | Will 'September 5' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "September 5" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-september-5-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "16882157695214605799133873002564430339850918902933529749045793413918741191752",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:52:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf01a06b395cd30e194b27052c72d3a40f031aa9364c9d2cda96892725524c9f0 | 0x7c46d9d7510f2d7eda87c2cbf5c143e9c3bf47f6787a0e97954bfc60cb59150f | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state, between December 10, 2024, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "68517584828418885503325995698734165275444028802415630900392842469022831892635",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Middle East",
"U.S. Politics",
"Geopolitics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Foreign Policy",
"First 100 days",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:07:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9d2399f73bcf8a21d50a4f148cb821958aaf3b66104cd51b472f9c7fcef16a66 | 0xbdd28ecb828b9026ab25432d0ff422b466d919ff4b76caf74900847d15d72ae1 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 12, 2024, 16:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $150,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
| will-bitcoin-reach-150000-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "18901913408966847793996927589213484623356734677962635946348128326268493744264",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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},
{
"token_id": "18192361639528957333940641429575124115983021310925031684989515309862438520297",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:10:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf3ded3a2cef2bd890d391e40824e09bde5681d57bc2c0cf808854e3eb87693ad | 0xcf15b5637f329067c26536b4d094d85b26b790330a25c1af2d8096c93d8de7e1 | Will 'Blitz' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Blitz" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-blitz-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "33976536607797914371585069047396561557527874165898480435138330747945477786512",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T19:25:28 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0efe5b8d0c680f24a7ce71379e8f5bf58318018649bc07722f6656f834d58298 | 0x5265079d2f23c7236d3c9192467ebce8a025ee107542adb66e69c59eb2da73c8 | Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump? | Donald Trump issued pardoned 144 individuals during his first term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden issues 145 or more pardons during his first term. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government (see: https://www.justice.gov/pardon/pardons-granted-president-joseph-biden-2021-present) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-biden-issue-more-pardons-than-trump | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T20:38:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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}
],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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},
{
"token_id": "115144312233731967128758180848833912948045421552885356576421604732990687069450",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Biden",
"Hunter"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:53:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdba6293def68f632668fadc52ad32f07ed6c11e930b162a613fe1b688a2a2c5a | 0xbd788fcde6e169ad56eae0a771a39b175a48ef98b95617f07c050f002e7750be | Will Lebron James be traded? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lebron James of the Los Angeles Lakers is traded before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA, the Los Angeles Lakers, or the Klutch Sports Group, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| will-lebron-james-be-traded | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77612041668303207271558260381945028206311416262622396354892792250377668975568",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "4930652860033598319210415201207923359406659970920662294178845630407242986661",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"warriors",
"NBA",
"LA",
"Los Angeles",
"Lebron",
"Lebron James",
"Rob Pelinka"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:04:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4e9e1271a85c381ee19ad89866bc06df26f37793c77b6933a24bef8c4bfe2dc0 | 0xf6e7c22d6a83497ce4444a38b2c752a0c55377e1d39010d573819a09b58d5dc7 | Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 12, 2024, 16:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $7,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-7000pt00-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "35622770682776465516155250036155878695887790091077041566457579821977099641768",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "76372992239244345169421567291947847804191994155487419038889783596579786248204",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:30:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5223a88202095ceb6b3091bf8ac2aaba5b74e92ec846b1a5cd37a1e51f59f48b | 0x9ef8db32c6b8bd57d79218a14d85d851bf4f563e4646528c67812b7e425ce201 | Will US unemployment be 4.2% in December 2024? | This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for December 2024.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for December 2024 is 4.2%, otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
The next data release is scheduled for January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| will-us-unemployment-be-4pt2-in-december-2024 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ef8db32c6b8bd57d79218a14d85d851bf4f563e4646528c67812b7e425ce200 | 0xbda4baff4fa2df29be2a59271f8fa11fa95ea920409d6ed06d0a67db4405802f | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 10
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],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "38578322631585739140935890178555087862541618559056954394954781749050199794931",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"employment",
"unemployment",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Unemployment"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:06:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3c27f7a946e994abe62e26b724fba9a50118b458902b4db794a6717756c5ef9e | 0x01d69af2fa0f2b453305d5db6750719354e876b6db3fbd2ace1a4d7f52a84586 | Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "A Complete Unknown" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-a-complete-unknown-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "101962157253245690493877071168263866510465623662446987356042737166417606798256",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:46:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x93b9a0b92b572e7ce67a78af85d8b37460a94db29a50f923fc31e8eb891a566a | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439105 | Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Los Angeles Clippers? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is traded to the Los Angeles Clippers before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Miami Heat, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jimmy-butler-get-traded-to-the-los-angeles-clippers | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439100 | 0x954312bc8da05cc6711949f898135a2f89d5e0eeb4aca3d4f5c46cb0a417659b | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "93807998966704518433149442313137795576821654384669633568425341402330417242058",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"warriors",
"mavericks",
"NBA",
"Miami",
"Houston",
"Buckets",
"Butler",
"Jimmy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:43:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xddf49ac45f081424c0850388a6a312f03d67a2edd2341c08f4b6bbbea3b05bd6 | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439101 | Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Golden State Warriors? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is traded to the Golden State Warriors before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Miami Heat, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jimmy-butler-get-traded-to-the-golden-state-warriors | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439100 | 0x0dbd5ee798e8b3432dfd3a83ebafbbaae10f2df77b8f2d4d333fe6ee414d3583 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "56242938815654918692986765075855018147607304911865143572334022676448949105100",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"warriors",
"mavericks",
"NBA",
"Miami",
"Houston",
"Buckets",
"Butler",
"Jimmy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T17:08:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x93470dae43046f17fb3f8ab5e29b5db497f41dc815c3b1472b526aa0059dbf37 | 0x2718daf4c93c1d9472f0d4b620a95f9e65b434e96ae851ec70ed29781cae87d7 | Will Ethereum dip to $3,500.00 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 13, 2024, 12:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $3,500.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-3500pt00-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "3321196445228518393234593302516053441463284061975139976753402123245768244004",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "81254337412200781735050995512393846794267409386615310523431552347035431454906",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:26:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x331aeacc3b83bf93df7800514fa83cd123f545ae95bc73447e02a1ba9a5ad337 | 0xcfc1e7e29a21f8b364cb3d4c68a784ac4c76e659145c3caeafa809668592d806 | Will Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? | Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus on January 26, 2025. If no candidate achieves a majority, a second round of elections will be scheduled between the top two candidates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sergei Syrankov wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Belarusian Government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Цэнтральная выбарчая камісія Беларусі, CEC) (https://www.rec.gov.by/en/). | will-sergei-syrankov-win-the-2025-belarus-presidential-election | 2025-01-26T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcfc1e7e29a21f8b364cb3d4c68a784ac4c76e659145c3caeafa809668592d800 | 0xfd5671b8504f79b973a83de50311ddc7c2c4fe338e4c4c426d2cf966e72a6bdc | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "34285564950300908308565131698591168354637428937450029443205459028293568661650",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "29564677832235936407051969575800962666277927357530880512192888907625822177191",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"belarus"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T22:56:41 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7a771604bfe9025037a13a72d3d6f2fe6d2249be8a0b688f298cb3db60cb1270 | 0x482d1c8f07b9b25c2817cfc9699e403d66015734129eb482553c5b1d8dabd600 | Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6? | Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz said there were more than two dozen confidential human sources (CHSs) in the crowd outside the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 (see: https://abcnews.go.com/US/probe-finds-no-evidence-feds-involved-inciting-jan-6/story?id=116721978).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of a current or former FBI employee or informant stemming from their involvement in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-an-fbi-agent-be-charged-for-inolvement-in-jan-6 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "78198270237241946505643470853503930084745152706674905063876533700391297653981",
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{
"token_id": "10009994458292778207198430073671038680166822944420050859994625241234699489770",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Courts",
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] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:08:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x38b273fca8fb6b95ffa407e69a18f266802cd09e809665aa5044bc44c7d01799 | 0xf51380fe60f900a2b22d1bf919e63e17976ae16f608ace99a613ab967d4420f3 | Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "The Substance" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-substance-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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}
],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "90992535272147567931508137629092419903145779789552007385817623243259081817819",
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{
"token_id": "112050965724963176646680630632767812634280014319419640668361967417736052131131",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:56:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3700dffddb0882c7e03f6bd601db0c8dfd13d4ea536bb308ca20c064dc355e8a | 0xca4194a127cf92cc889059a72ff16b83c2f6394412228fba7e6d46a1590ffc37 | Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Türkiye formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trkiye-recognize-syrian-government-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
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"token_id": "95793358329365279836301791041190578520598975119835971629709233622807490151734",
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"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Syria",
"Middle East",
"Geopolitics",
"Turkey",
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"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:49:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x856f77335dedb49d53954b9686ee09471388ce460a6ecc2a8dbb48978d6c876f | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439108 | Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is not traded before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Miami Heat, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jimmy-butler-stay-with-the-miami-heat | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439100 | 0x34e2eb062a0aa9c621780b9ec6792aa066a6eea45484cbf073a6bf88bb639899 | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "29985819051149046773064472257042824873509332520338587922697618885887667112127",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"warriors",
"mavericks",
"NBA",
"Miami",
"Houston",
"Buckets",
"Butler",
"Jimmy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:16:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc3b18ab70f92880a5b6179562811ba2efd3f3ce5245bc646cfabceaf74a62f69 | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e010a | Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used. | will-nodirbek-abdusattorov-win-the-2024-world-blitz-championship | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | 0x33d422cbdf119a96656caf8d7700b29e7c2e0497b60165a6847fb654bf7e1144 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "91906531146338232285385108823082888709508047748251240060560960638558363059915",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Esports",
"Chess",
"Tournaments",
"FIDE",
"Magnus"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:13:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd38c59c42b6d1b0dc02b8f70bff0e8dbe8cd4111f6bff706226fe54b893ca361 | 0xc31d26a6a8376f88edbc5901d63080da07cd6d0b65893ee8cb15e0abd3248502 | Will US add between 150k and 200k jobs in December 2024? | Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 227,000 in November 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 150,000 (inclusive) and 200,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November, scheduled to be released on January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm | will-us-add-between-150k-and-200k-jobs-in-december-2024 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc31d26a6a8376f88edbc5901d63080da07cd6d0b65893ee8cb15e0abd3248500 | 0xf29b3cb4b54e596cfe3e08dd873ebb0749a254adfba603ad79a8ac78036330b8 | {
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{
"token_id": "103895320840576643137203692318482806995061414070505523362935377687761041845937",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"jobs",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Jobs",
"payroll",
"nonfarm",
"farm"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:26:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb039c08d2a899e7d372d9d82b933e42143373e4742c1134badf9c9a69962960d | 0xcfc1e7e29a21f8b364cb3d4c68a784ac4c76e659145c3caeafa809668592d805 | Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? | Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus on January 26, 2025. If no candidate achieves a majority, a second round of elections will be scheduled between the top two candidates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sergei Bobrikov wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Belarusian Government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Цэнтральная выбарчая камісія Беларусі, CEC) (https://www.rec.gov.by/en/). | will-sergei-bobrikov-win-the-2025-belarus-presidential-election | 2025-01-26T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcfc1e7e29a21f8b364cb3d4c68a784ac4c76e659145c3caeafa809668592d800 | 0x392f61524da940b84f06ebaa806adf023b7b1cffbd1c43ffc9f69f292ec0e736 | {
"rates": [
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "4602927279859420532336332072059734645200319525185668969568858454710945598269",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"belarus"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T20:50:29 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x81a5a62a6498ef99ddd51951e09a3dd0c7544b5bf14f7fab837270715de2f954 | 0x8d630ee4dd865eb9d10ac0b118783fabd1f77bf8cddf14cf5e9d615743d57676 | FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) withdraws or suspends its approval from any polio vaccine currently on the market between December 12, 2024, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If FDA approval is withdrawn or suspended for any specific population group (e.g. infants, toddlers, children), it will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
For the purposes of this market an announcement by the FDA that it will withdraw or suspend its approval will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when it goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FDA and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-the-fda-revoke-polio-vaccine-in-trump-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "73997598498943230201941106067952702857459814941927168459089159019105740229313",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "67413396648292379711423739187622005521440946076037186090903756601252880993499",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"robert f. kennedy jr.",
"MAGA",
"Trump Presidency",
"Cabinet",
"FDA",
"vaccine",
"Polio",
"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:44:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe158be551577383ae7a2086cbd3569fef52d04f696c84f2deb279631bd4c25c4 | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439102 | Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Brooklyn Nets? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is traded to the Brooklyn Nets before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Miami Heat, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jimmy-butler-get-traded-to-the-brooklyn-nets | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439100 | 0x622f3536eab7c1bceb25dba182ef1c5bf71ca96de1b1cf6d027efa3592224e42 | {
"rates": [
{
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "60317345121788739575574626735449362724525870808975284449806129909708390044697",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "287608133162055885750285790096435600251532272451073692413173276765470577206",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": true... | [
"Sports",
"warriors",
"mavericks",
"NBA",
"Miami",
"Houston",
"Buckets",
"Butler",
"Jimmy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:11:29 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x781b006ede44195c58fdb7b90828b02dcb6721036e6eaf9603489edcfd7cb479 | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0102 | Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arjun Erigaisi wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used. | will-arjun-erigaisi-win-the-2024-world-blitz-championship | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | 0x819b4730324d13f3b31b377d405adf38b366f5a05e63cacbf353b3c3048f37ce | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "22319402116848451179751262021437632108586970714320451701856013069915100077888",
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{
"token_id": "49285015764701039542063374541210594108206051343158870375172550499432329714068",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Esports",
"Chess",
"Tournaments",
"FIDE",
"Magnus"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T00:30:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd88d7e52c787ac49b7ed9a996c6c91b81e296f694a37199107e14fd1b89f3b5c | 0x64b6feef8bbb94d9e496d74be6063bbeb57dd4a3f4a9d5f99654604f9f397080 | Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare? | On Thursday it was reported that there was no indication Luigi Mangione was ever insured by UnitedHealthcare (see https://www.nbcnewyork.com/manhattan/no-indication-luigi-mangione-ceo-killing-insured-unitedhealthcare/6064863/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that either of Luigi Mangione's parents were policy holders with UnitedHealthCare at any point in the past. Otherwise, this market to resolve to "No".
The resolution source for the market is a consensus of credible reporting. If there is no confirmation by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET that either parent was a policy holder, this market will resolve to "No". | do-luigi-mangiones-parents-have-unitedhealthcare | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "80926271078072387445192506015252833427193060893504869366506031667333071440326",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Luigi Mangione"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T17:08:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcd535d325aedb103869b25915473e8861c893c5f4fa1fbd514cde9173cc8ba87 | 0x7a57ada391ca8c2a6b5341759b476efbbfccfc4389cba4baaa208217be4f4dc2 | Will Ethereum dip to $3,000.00 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 13, 2024, 12:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $3,000.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-3000pt00-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "41763308011144599210675423077596380329188517974304000244673059569432983746487",
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{
"token_id": "54128726175920333004811481388398350853293532903900674721117850569956158781649",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:13:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe14c50866db2d1f77426253620a607746fdb1a831682ed43227fcca44e3b036a | 0xc31d26a6a8376f88edbc5901d63080da07cd6d0b65893ee8cb15e0abd3248501 | Will US add between 100k and 150k jobs in December 2024? | Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 227,000 in November 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 100,000 (inclusive) and 150,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November, scheduled to be released on January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm | will-us-add-between-100k-and-150k-jobs-in-december-2024 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc31d26a6a8376f88edbc5901d63080da07cd6d0b65893ee8cb15e0abd3248500 | 0xc787a8e0b593b6454cff622af89ada9e70394e0270a1e74685c4757658246140 | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "77766744782362599872351065234194383230042502922768551844786563582454184297225",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"jobs",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Jobs",
"payroll",
"nonfarm",
"farm"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:25:17 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x707ff881ec00c968da161007839fda5f4175b8bda8e47626bd0962bc7417b7f1 | 0xcfc1e7e29a21f8b364cb3d4c68a784ac4c76e659145c3caeafa809668592d803 | Will Olga Sustanova win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? | Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus on January 26, 2025. If no candidate achieves a majority, a second round of elections will be scheduled between the top two candidates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olga Sustanova wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Belarusian Government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Цэнтральная выбарчая камісія Беларусі, CEC) (https://www.rec.gov.by/en/). | will-olga-sustanova-win-the-2025-belarus-presidential-election | 2025-01-26T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcfc1e7e29a21f8b364cb3d4c68a784ac4c76e659145c3caeafa809668592d800 | 0x69f8e37b607c580106c716f6afc3aa9dd43cf4bd59dddc4b3c80c54e7d4fdd94 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "26317413384768246587958869732431150740197382242622928929561271856055920697095",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"belarus"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:05:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8b983af0d3bb4339f809efb01439cf825331c02522c2c70c1b53f13ea4a5432d | 0x78b4831c1c2c8f216378eee591d412cf320a068e93fc40cf00d742d75402da5a | Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Nickel Boys" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-nickel-boys-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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"winner": fal... | [
"Awards",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T20:58:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x786bf853ca4097873aafc7fe54180e1f6b6ab4d72c0297c7b0d357afd6ddb364 | 0x43b61d377f17cb728c651ec35cdc6da87ada8de69688086ccb9590bfa300f46c | Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31? | On November 18, Texas Representative Giovanni Capriglione introduced H.B. 1598, a bill to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve within the state treasury (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/texas-house-introduces-bill-to-establish-a-strategic-bitcoin-reserve.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if H.B. 1598, the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act, is signed into law by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Texas Legislature or credible reporting from outlets such as the Texas Tribune or Associated Press. | texas-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-act-signed-into-law-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "105076539435804845499494408625472663662495421210937220477747647529439702017421",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:12:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x41fb6511efe1de18bd60be3f7a21b55776ebd8de5e502788e325d334ed3983af | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0104 | Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used. | will-hikaru-nakamura-win-the-2024-world-blitz-championship | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | 0x03c78bc5d27a745404b6b1e3ac72d4b13d00acee51b4214c03307b9f03251072 | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:31:15 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x14703a80cc0238cd7264712e27fb3470b5be4f69fba7974eaf8675788f427604 | 0x9ef8db32c6b8bd57d79218a14d85d851bf4f563e4646528c67812b7e425ce202 | Will US unemployment be 4.3% in December 2024? | This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for December 2024.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for December 2024 is 4.3%, otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
The next data release is scheduled for January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| will-us-unemployment-be-4pt3-in-december-2024 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ef8db32c6b8bd57d79218a14d85d851bf4f563e4646528c67812b7e425ce200 | 0x73628361e612ea8a5be1401d0e139ef014f2e24b29851280ed3911babb529c8f | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"employment",
"unemployment",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Unemployment"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T21:55:43 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe226982316ce20de2e72dfd693a2caa0829ae20c612746534b24a4d700d366c3 | 0x3de47f798450d9b14a185f8e333de20ec21daad110ce31f087632d298051b610 | Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state of the European Union formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-an-eu-nation-recognize-syrian-government-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
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"Middle East",
"Geopolitics",
"Turkey",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:13:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x733e9395092f6c77ffc9104c474f07adbcb011e2eff59f346789c4f7a3881ce0 | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0106 | Will Wesley So win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wesley So wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used. | will-wesley-so-win-the-2024-world-blitz-championship | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | 0xd6a140f04bc18ae615c220795cca58a15f6b8f7e1904b95d89131147d16a2e41 | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T23:04:17 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3610ae06425dab843b276102e4c8648654c05dd292e0e96a97a14493cdcfbbed | 0xe823c03081a7e8a3718d0d39c403186210900a66cc28614cbb2978dcea82a32f | Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 12, 2024, 16:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $6,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-6000pt00-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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{
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{
"token_id": "78858050230406420219025549716722669880165907316584879450530262331402327476556",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:09:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x31f44648301a3ba591cef8e9de397bfdf74c64de40dee9458b07dbc7629a6088 | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Magnus Carlsen wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used. | will-magnus-carlsen-win-the-2024-world-blitz-championship | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | 0x18ba473f7c78756f292789d6283914c55720961412bbe6cd7cbe5c90a53322f3 | {
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"token_id": "78472993027278281081248555577607409191296509936744736475448410964931667908111",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T16:40:28 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x32689488020e7e8c5f93ed95ffced589e7a149016a1185bf806a98fdda51f999 | 0x49cc95d87b183eec5e6241f69cf5300c5f9b28fbe35b2b67a45f5a6162e71d02 | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York in February? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione, the suspected shooter of United Healthcare CEO, is extradited to the state of New York between February 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
"Extradited" to New York means Luigi Mangione enters the territory of New York state while in custody. If he is flown to or over New York, he must set foot on the ground within the state for it to count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official government sources from the relevant extraditing and receiving institutions, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | luigi-mangione-extradited-to-new-york-in-february | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x49cc95d87b183eec5e6241f69cf5300c5f9b28fbe35b2b67a45f5a6162e71d00 | 0x041060d44d85ab0d2e433e8d92286f0b6f7cf7b484ca600bba87d2b20bf1f32f | {
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"token_id": "55612962774663320449913835457720821459529912303721777225094063711850371700300",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Culture",
"internet",
"UnitedHealthcare",
"UHC",
"Luigi Mangione"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:13:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x96494576d09c156fe67eb087b72dd6372f3a13199e79c6c729aeb2c353822b16 | 0x20be71aad5b41b29875f92c7a5b5dffb6fb8e295499c0e82da6d6bf743d6be10 | Will 'The Seed of the Sacred Fig' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "The Seed of the Sacred Fig" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-seed-of-the-sacred-fig-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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} | false | [
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"token_id": "95256566383480312433988451491253310710707233915223521570088402500343648576289",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:47:17 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa3c4131f70353c045bb80fae077cda0d0435b8935a4a2edeba85543f7c719480 | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439106 | Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Phoenix Suns? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is traded to the Phoenix Suns before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Miami Heat, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.3 | will-jimmy-butler-get-traded-to-the-phoenix-suns | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439100 | 0xb96edd4bccf558bcfee44490fd1582b3f61446534ccfdbd0c0708fb622625a80 | {
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],
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{
"token_id": "61899001380368044884285029155071716612207655704819325030777948451713613883942",
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{
"token_id": "15099833999328728009057911248099526111102632379607786297418531331638878265615",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"warriors",
"mavericks",
"NBA",
"Miami",
"Houston",
"Buckets",
"Butler",
"Jimmy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T23:19:43 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x16b33145d31ee3b79dbebaaf7d8b8a15befb6f4f6e31793ef73a0ecfd06157d8 | 0x9c8a1999679fc42b0b29fc8733a1426017147c14d68b2ca4b6c7dad2f619f723 | Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-xi-jinping-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "99220647323461296015245362042234366341132204208350546114812627465810434965599",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "29320667180278698077470335230471833260762204267050342479744084856339467169306",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T15:59:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5cb6ce8bcbb9daa89e5ce0a2f8ac9fe54c9a47119f31c3db2ddb9139a47209b2 | 0xf73537fab2cfec7085e80cc4b1a85c3f234b754c2b23143747acc35c64d6818e | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Luigi Mangione is gay or bisexual by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Mangione, his legal representation, and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| fact-check-is-luigi-mangione-gay | 2025-04-30T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "9740786486968585172521181220369665089300187569521932521225473564365904172983",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "24802628900261030886005017763437922171683295905645216072204478400380244017739",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Culture",
"UnitedHealthcare",
"UHC",
"Luigi Mangione"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T15:58:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x877cfad1018abf8c99bc7d3c5c363ff6abcbf7726e26341a5443c02bb225be9f | 0x62193b452ec3a16f5799cfc293f619590924ffe506a71f950ee2ad4413dd144d | Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione? | When Luigi Mangione, the suspect in the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, was detained by the police, ~$8,000 in cash was found on him. In a court appearance, Luigi claimed that money was planted.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that money was planted on Luigi Mangione by another individual or agency by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Mangione, his legal representation, and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | fact-check-money-planted-on-luigi-mangione | 2025-04-30T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "110744647666021888267041995808783872433798191780357643046108168522268732399196",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "45837679317353451513482727301612804166858421636573859353080618897530068431007",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Culture",
"Luigi Mangione"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:50:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa608eaa7068b777e08e88c6b5a23fd8d0b8054ed883d28f7c169d8921c2661c0 | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439109 | Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Memphis Grizzlies? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is traded to the Memphis Grizzlies before the NBA Trade Deadline for the 2024-25 NBA Season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Miami Heat, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jimmy-butler-get-traded-to-the-memphis-grizzlies | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439100 | 0x53e4672ab6410d56175fe29a2035e1faf03473aef85b3525db14cd043f36bdf6 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "6152945546853942497948767600899368707902431388771242648245572901226752120081",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "6315318043928070539794753804738205489469607765233968969949776673847249549967",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": true... | [
"Sports",
"warriors",
"mavericks",
"NBA",
"Miami",
"Houston",
"Buckets",
"Butler",
"Jimmy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T23:44:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe23729e83a35359e820dfb0df0360bf85b74b65af67dbeed98ca4f71edcafa92 | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439103 | Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Dallas Mavericks? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is traded to the Dallas Mavericks before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Miami Heat, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jimmy-butler-get-traded-to-the-dallas-mavericks | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa72fbe8554708cd6d063d483838f9589038886a6e26640cdf2f875ec32439100 | 0x428c113eb1e33c7286a12cc06c59af60ca9088312b7f29e5defaceb939421dba | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "92790507603129708277949706874411453401925880774155028216504511241754533126745",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "17695484993618354432585294008295919002701339146555350762551701611384146577334",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"warriors",
"mavericks",
"NBA",
"Miami",
"Houston",
"Buckets",
"Butler",
"Jimmy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T00:56:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7f697cf4dcabd2440273944aef7a6867471b02f2f462f9703229abd8c2745b22 | 0x86056e462e7039d44c1ace533ea197d904ae5ea9cb4bd17b61d849d5216f6141 | Will Biden pardon Hillary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-biden-pardon-hillary | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "66812141875809414235940512278522288370199790684192242389082173617737821940463",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "47293485846606420786095809867049706744698734188560774743642245741601400760590",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Biden",
"clinton",
"Hunter",
"Creators",
"zerohedge",
"pardon",
"Hillary"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:11:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x018e52bb9120d5cb7293d48d17a40c6b3cc10e32a1592832f5538051aaa4582c | 0x73e46a6a0b292651e75ca11089aeb13a6fce1511d93092c5630e7bfc572f575e | Will 'Challengers' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Challengers" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-challengers-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "106124606603253014598710528659186278479494442996460010129243257316537903936557",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "42392241498764529227049798458044618986039872101558312093943861400630136579252",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:17:01 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9d864fc55c1b39d43bded9fe15092151fb91e3eb49eaf61424bf8348ac46b7f8 | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e010c | Will Volodar Murzin win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodar Murzin wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used. | will-volodar-murzin-win-the-2024-world-blitz-championship | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | 0x932650b4db1e50bc46b24a42b75e088f82fab17e7a06841bbafa3356eb0a0505 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 15
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75558026419468781655556446462826724790971094053601621191934253929601928618442",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "24232702542443586179298952533392334484778098494288017595285188559429837904099",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Esports",
"Chess",
"Tournaments",
"FIDE",
"Magnus"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-10T19:11:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xba780af753a228d086cc846079c4ee551f1ab186b25769ba3bbbf45ad850cbb2 | 0xdcb261bfb6bf9081fd5ac47934ed0f0d4dbdf53746d5d8dd553504d33c5d7390 | Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? | This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first reach $90,000.00 or $100,000.00 between December 10, 2024, 2 PM ET, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "90k" if $BTC drops to $90,000.00 or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "100k" if $BTC reaches $100,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe.
If the price of $BTC neither drops to $90,000.00 or below nor reaches $100,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | will-bitcoin-hit-90k-or-100k-first-1-31-25 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "69359125924018876524937363516126358581413622814163806343856605774249218924683",
"outcome": "$90k",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "36085751848134966596215843950116742471967166272982117586262356018521726884711",
"outcome": "$100k",
"price": 1,
"winner"... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-13T17:19:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x98d9781facbf448a67bd1e1e0d538b2afca6e538d73f278308d0211fbfc87c94 | 0x8f6cfbc4aa0b2e235120fef0f41745781e170047270097bb7980e3f770bbbdd8 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 13, 2024, 13:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $70,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
| will-bitcoin-dip-to-70000-by-march-31 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "112558755924718460234886660735924945440101652053027076572983682174857414560700",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "45411404249175765872960610692620299620240155519322981330571643381900240699387",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:15:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe536e0278df39197f481f85df843c251dfb86faa9049ce3fb6c1eadeab81ca2f | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0109 | Will Wei Yi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wei Yi wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used. | will-wei-yi-win-the-2024-world-blitz-championship | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe13c2ec90aaa20bf0a2aa70c54accdf26567c769b135c35af3c439127e9e0100 | 0x4400b73cc8dfd5128e555666ed27e2c5833aa4b0264aa410559651eb1dc18fba | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "18180625294922671564988467133878624610383161971180997151177331728614874808669",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "103398976634550082750041594879779847916585612585555087362811593372361462006549",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Esports",
"Chess",
"Tournaments",
"FIDE",
"Magnus"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-11T19:10:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9c0197b8f2d14e0b7d1cc7a6a363efc89d5499b74c815cf1539835b0475684e1 | 0xd8b9599dbb35b0ad1afd1dfc2e868ed6269d40921d1dc6e70c0bd59c1fba1ffe | Will 'Nosferatu' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture? | The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Nosferatu" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-nosferatu-be-nominated-for-oscar-for-best-picture | 2025-01-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "70107851796254851256550131323680162861915303716570160476164262541864168848203",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "91129262031415306337846861683941945267499438177680407919369102453214763879537",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-12T00:56:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1b406282c1239f565eef6c559367b2f303b221c3add36cb7725c3044a431cf2a | 0x5736e6d95511009a58806dbb80d9de973a87d7d19c3c95c3dff8fdf10ea0c74a | Lula out before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | lula-out-before-february | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | 2024-12-12T15:37:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "70269367615849049555592632748139262258423874302040680209849669342050600128807",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "1421418766434715076167466620120815274405771798816447700746807147644449860854",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Brazil",
"lula",
"silva",
"World"
] |
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