enable_order_book bool 2 classes | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | archived bool 2 classes | accepting_orders bool 2 classes | accepting_order_timestamp timestamp[s]date 2024-05-07 20:07:46 2025-03-14 17:41:59 ⌀ | minimum_order_size int64 5 5 | minimum_tick_size float64 0 0.01 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 11 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.66k | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | end_date_iso timestamp[s]date 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | game_start_time timestamp[s]date 2024-08-29 17:37:00 2025-06-02 19:36:00 ⌀ | seconds_delay int64 0 3 | fpmm stringlengths 0 42 | maker_base_fee int64 0 0 | taker_base_fee int64 0 0 | notifications_enabled bool 2 classes | neg_risk bool 2 classes | neg_risk_market_id stringclasses 715 values | neg_risk_request_id stringlengths 0 66 | icon stringlengths 0 195 | image stringlengths 0 195 | rewards dict | is_50_50_outcome bool 2 classes | tokens listlengths 2 2 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:31:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1550c4d1f797a426d64660891c775a3664bc41c0b71cc5b0afe5586af1ee359d | 0xa93d76749e48bf3fbd41a792500388e3539143153bb3c110d725623f00c4c7bf | Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of EPL? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bournemouth finishes in the top 4 of the 2024-25 Premier League season. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
If it becomes mathematically certain that Bournemouth will finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Bournemouth to finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution. | will-bournemouth-finish-in-the-top-4-of-epl | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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{
"token_id": "10921783834310570750960032543845208188376135046841537474715237912442879932903",
"outcome": "Yes",
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"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "51425998748098518373815128560034139618566378028978958963582136371761048636764",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"England",
"Soccer",
"english"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:34:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb4c5c1570d0c8870c9c0040dc3d7640f19765bc5e77af2dcf30736925ef2f9e5 | 0xc269224d2cd54f86d34f48b2bf013f103cbf9c48811ffdf4bf40a220697a28ad | Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to tale place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Left (Die Linke) makes it into the Bundestag as a parliamentary group (Fraktion) as a result of the 2025 German Parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
Under current German parliamentary law, “a parliamentary group [fraktion] can be formed by at least five percent of the members of the Bundestag who belong to the same party” (see: https://www.bundestag.de/services/glossar/glossar/F/fraktionen-444784).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
| will-the-left-make-it-into-the-bundestag-as-a-fraktion | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | 2025-01-13T23:07:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "61400809422255769170143938801345880847452020038258036540578933435205330675688",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "12103553471677330075286815902612481314261165804682859986842046612970399703133",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"German Election",
"Die Linke"
] | |||||
false | false | false | true | true | 2024-12-17T17:51:17 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xdcc0a36475281e6bae04c07ef6eb210c3f0fcd18bc1263360876b36d6dd281ba | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74501 | Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in February? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between February 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire. | next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in-february | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74500 | 0x17120e1d9dc46a48a5b1d140cb06a22a2171a9f95d310acb89446031ec764718 | {
"rates": null,
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{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "38286096430978909079738328953087071649349895198098508118204085347332011440598",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.885,
"win... | [
"Politics",
"news",
"Gaza",
"war",
"hamas",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"palestine",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:50:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xee713b962d078edd60cc379ddeba60fb7762a95f667b3605b5eec187b638acf5 | 0x9a81238174431ede6da1c8ea71a6ae08b64fec7f2443a38027b6e6551b564d6a | Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "tariff" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "tariff" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tax or duty imposed by a government on imported goods.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-tariff-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "20445970199876058974302544818360183948233217699381589565687613324486333306657",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "26597234983041259318695952114467301006967481881195156550359361870033064518415",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T18:42:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5245e135d810034d91cfa8171e68a8af45ca4727505a9f8ae4b7359f473bcef6 | 0x2aa37e649a4b4686cac367befbd1132ea474853164e04ecb5b7342768fd8e44a | Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 17, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-before-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T17:45:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "108602945954071235532022002473789426415498854640283794695822050315189162673694",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"house",
"Gov Shutdown",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T18:32:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5620a6e3bbfa01061b85ee21de90bf2a999ff1a71642868b932d2694e6217d34 | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790600 | Will between 200 and 211 Democratic congressmen vote for funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 200 (inclusive) and 211 (inclusive) House Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-between-200-and-211-democratic-congressmen-vote-for-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790600 | 0xcca2feae838edc758b9fe8f5187df97ab63254a706c812f3a22ab196fcdf6d12 | {
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{
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{
"token_id": "41287976480637267511599868456001807821010954646242668620188523622206730164007",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:56:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x19aac6e115e678351dfbd00ec3e17486e6e71f38c1fc25ea20166c4d111aebaf | 0x6f58326036d41f081e012b25ebc5b8a803193245e6b814fceb56df4d8dddf3c9 | Will Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "unemployment" 8 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "unemployment" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to jobless individuals actively seeking but not employed.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-unemployment-8-or-more-times-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "14317145021048180762849605625955995004335077731849352603237754067077292268078",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
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},
{
"token_id": "88769993171430661794864284681801200958370008731561775211935649696671638285932",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T20:49:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xeed6da09683149b433aeb802bd8d3f78a6b6d8799fa75bd0d73c3f87c6b2b592 | 0xbc21401466836b0b47d3695a995c505f8ab073596cc489bf2ea375f88da6cc01 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by between 1 (inclusive) and 25 (inclusive) or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 18 - 19, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-march-2025-meeting | 2025-03-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbc21401466836b0b47d3695a995c505f8ab073596cc489bf2ea375f88da6cc00 | 0xa7f925ccfc96d7bbb84cbb24d5ef3ef4ea9337a7aefe7ab283334bc402092f5c | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "31361078953599085620148709414894486777711482989707029427747081469972237802868",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"finance",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Macro Fed",
"Recurring",
"Economic Policy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:21:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe513c27e266f08d04a617053118f20b8311c898791b96beeac4aab6a1da08ded | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c101 | Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 20% (inclusive) and 25% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-cducsu-win-20-25-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c100 | 0x9a7c685c832054fddd93097d73d3e157b1325acd9b29b77bc4bf6c2720f13eda | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "26120444290964706488160066797443853834468466115231097020731408989237679492087",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "50156904511578169833143188999600784558041726347150692614170720263147866792250",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:13:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc01f41d050a19d0faf4c2e138a2a70bcf979f4b99ac474f41de85d5e18614a6e | 0xc1ff974ce4474ba9358a4b4137723f4a744437ae8fee815b077924f0a551f0b1 | Bucks vs. Bulls | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-mil-chi-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x0267EB76660145cffd67b09e81E012851b73bDdF | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "46652581141948953543697925218146344541329517484828017402349660666177379907843",
"outcome": "Bucks",
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},
{
"token_id": "83368499585819927894982166751122353301617967037041130273332120843989855000584",
"outcome": "Bulls",
"price": 1,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:22:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x416d10f34de4c9abdee413afa137e32fb6beca6519fa2c0e656a3464149b503b | 0x683f8ae65e3106deb8df6dc3d72e03e8a00d7790aeee53b8903470b65631d51b | Will Indiana make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Indiana Hoosiers reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Indiana Hoosiers to make the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-indiana-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "25911778703879094074975946530163584611688895084366487272563124839666690366931",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "32080517217107161399052626644701549570287149074660490380580241862058446380712",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"CFP"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:45:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x303b04a62acf396c0858387c65a3ac4c10b18ae250887c1498f8f720a424cb21 | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505501 | Will 10-24 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 10 (inclusive) and 24 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-10-24-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0xca0beb00d5dd4252676902d80092387018b4fe80f9760d983760ecafe2cfe65a | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "38803920179254513165532797656479917333547925596993726189712969354597866109121",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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{
"token_id": "37067936968688642732950251355388023839957311221833020815711540038133738941338",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:46:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd85e7aa2b78dda2d1d106cb5afb8980c158216c039859e4888b5fd417ca22810 | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019605 | Will Sebastian Stan win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sebastian Stan wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-sebastian-stan-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019600 | 0xc8ea937224fe5ea8724620b5a5eba3bd35cefe656ba0fe1ab26d7ba9890dad80 | {
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"winner": fal... | [
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] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:12:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1d30e18679afbede74322067495d38bf3f8446395dd9fc721b5ba019db9df825 | 0x51720df6cb77a4f93301d9f7b56c35a9a16d92f9673d2d77fc13d3206209ddb7 | Thunder vs. Hornets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-okc-cha-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T23:00:00 | 3 | 0xc1E1c2Ea555a80a57BdaB8cAdfcBfe3dDD511478 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
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"outcome": "Hornets",
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"win... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T23:14:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbb96f092cb5d54138c6af2ae824bb276c3e20969fb2acfced30ac7f88f60862e | 0xf09c58e58be19e7ced363dd47ba0998772d9ef3da4201e7e9d8208342f3609be | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists between January 20, 2025, and April 29, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | trump-administration-confirms-aliens-exist-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"winner": tru... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:07:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x16b0d5206a4a5c29557e3e68df16e522b66839840f286e164b6c136ca801e6eb | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f04 | Will Fernanda Torres win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernanda Torres wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-fernanda-torres-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f00 | 0xdd9b74c8b3ac04e2275d2313e5eb20e69e249157dcc0d9c2cb932a70296f0bc3 | {
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"winner": fal... | [
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false | false | false | true | true | 2024-12-17T17:52:03 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x2be37a01229400fdf7d65a6474da7e2e605c807021888a948a901d03f51fcdd6 | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74502 | Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in March? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between March 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire. | next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in-march | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74500 | 0x5777b22ba31bcffb133a7fd5e9847fc6f2d52429e39ff431b38464a69e9a097e | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winne... | [
"Politics",
"news",
"Gaza",
"war",
"hamas",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"palestine",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:13:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfce0ef4c13054d79a90d3677d8828485366b08b7c818089767b8109c4aea2c55 | 0x5175e1dc024c7f6188e8f3f60894af2588a69b1f8cb2ed9632c9813d3eab21b6 | Suns vs. Warriors | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-phx-gsw-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T01:30:00 | 3 | 0x99E0AbAF7122B4C6c55Eb8E8B804e168F089d489 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T23:25:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x20d02e53b154db81e37b8e3a4ba085f31d3452af65bbf423681fd8b6baf6db86 | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1202 | Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Newcastle United win the 2024-2025 Carabao Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win this tournament based on the rules of the Carabao Cup (e.g. they don’t advance to the final round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the EFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-newcastle-united-win-the-2024-carabao-cup | 2025-03-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1200 | 0xf80774710e65ce653c28e0fee61bed8044d395c73e8096073c2b4a0efc52dd40 | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fals... | [
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"Liverpool",
"Tottenham",
"Carabao Cup",
"Southampton",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T23:29:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1557d7e36a780337700de6b2d63dcc6b6f4fc82827abb1bf83ebf8d5998ab61b | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed802 | Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards? | The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Balatro' wins Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. | will-balatro-win-game-of-the-year-in-the-2024-steam-awards | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed800 | 0xd43e176ef9155a117bf977e10705860459324d59e9f037753f42f4a33aace28b | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:45:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x715bf5a90123903c29e53b99583c395f09411c1269a01e33cece14ca885d1c2b | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019601 | Will Hugh Grant win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hugh Grant wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-hugh-grant-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019600 | 0xb94d29751e25d9649263e7f851e21cc6f8ea17e6679e2e3166f3a09a65b8b878 | {
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T18:30:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x003cbafa0f05f6b5aae1b50144107d8f3478cef8f28488c78746d5dda182489f | 0x09d7919db67c103946c58b3fc5cd0162f87725e4f871efcfe5d84e9c6e5e602b | Will Trump privatize USPS in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that has the effect of privatizing the United States Postal Service (USPS) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Partial privatization measures, such as outsourcing significant USPS operations, or establishing a framework for privatization, will qualify, as long as they are broadly reported as privatization by a consensus of credible reporting.
The legislation or action does not need to be binding or enforced in all states for this market to resolve to "Yes".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| will-trump-privatize-usps-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
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"mail",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:24:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5f355694a819f00737086a77dc017a1c1cfe99aa93ec6c7a98013536817dea09 | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c105 | Will the CDU/CSU win over 40% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins over 40% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-cducsu-win-over-40-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c100 | 0x3646d8b2a60f96bdc9262b5fd8eed0c6c3864084e96695809c628e2e2b20a720 | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:03:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf27dcca81e37ea0eb907e350be7048cae41dc52b982c7c87e58ebbf0480a67dd | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f00 | Will Pamela Anderson win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pamela Anderson wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-pamela-anderson-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f00 | 0xf21c128aaa3cf39b891122faa00b371342d0f971e1ec25c3326ff667cc9b474c | {
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"token_id": "23129795300174840747553582078097688751516181548571936166370646713017689986769",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T20:50:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x51110ae62047b920af6e69c02d916564e6930a5a3b20753d3d1532087ad7b958 | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca04 | Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christian Lindner is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-christian-lindner-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca00 | 0xb3936a31e4f6e1359bbc182765d8cde72202b1f0875fe8376d8b8686b39e09eb | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
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"World"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T23:26:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa839b0cf19d09358ee0f9905b562eb3e6c5b6d7400a84834e77f24b516329ffc | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1204 | Will Southampton win the 2024 Carabao Cup? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Southampton win the 2024 Carabao Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win this tournament based on the rules of the Carabao Cup (e.g. they don’t advance to the final round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the EFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-southampton-win-the-2024-carabao-cup | 2025-03-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1200 | 0xb254ffbd002b2b68243c94773a36401e682c86dc4fd8ca0f6a1bf281e4680cd5 | {
"rates": [
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"rewards_daily_rate": 10
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "32779043299259260515176001716152862503622729502415550158974066543986219681964",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "94073949672657044487325923037499486015247349995269831732710030142074210693118",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"EPL",
"manchester united",
"arsenal",
"Soccer",
"Liverpool",
"Tottenham",
"Carabao Cup",
"Southampton",
"Brentford",
"Crystal Palace",
"newcastle"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:04:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4411688b128d9652bbad80a99ad722b63e47b4cabd0982f42510971744587c06 | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c01 | Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | will-spd-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c00 | 0xbfe77ee47e0c5e361c756392702d42145a9ec8a14136d585f52a7b955e129d5d | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67345039432955247124254012550082339070851631672038756693867365387975462543347",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "83233002918258405824977743269883669126781274120468512873362742742980325504334",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:08:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd78581d6ff039c2cec26a64f3663ad38f4a987d1bda1bb283874c3819b0506e7 | 0x19e5a090ac8e29b452338002883b5bc648adf85a17305524c2b469858d6d0fdb | Raptors vs. Grizzlies | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-tor-mem-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x845702b32FD9e0FeA6dC21Ac85749275A035039E | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "43171248320963972057068448508832569840416316452706511746793134712174531306393",
"outcome": "Raptors",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "12690430472239310710072532249280549803814422633592320522857179414107038627183",
"outcome": "Grizzlies",
"price": 1,
"... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:09:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5b1dc2d26952e04beff7313757e82a50e806e472ac59981275a5d8f418b9f3fd | 0x64385ec9187ec77a4f62fcddf0fcfcb752258487ed308efc9dfa6024bb8b5918 | Jazz vs. Trail Blazers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-uta-por-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T03:00:00 | 3 | 0x71670d2a4936E60a474CC971386D2f217cEE64Aa | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "64213314626577840330573419704510680014060948003125941058516627892676601528167",
"outcome": "Jazz",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "63190506374692924341268935759944572271597694487546370585766042110469744482037",
"outcome": "Trail Blazers",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:12:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdecfd547948f3eee7139e233ccefccad42d74b26ee3ef4343cd3ac9f056361fe | 0xed13655cf8f08d3eb464498215c1e9d8c177f648a61b73b7bafdd0c8d58114e3 | Heat vs. Hawks | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28 at 3:00PM ET:
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-mia-atl-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T20:00:00 | 3 | 0x0aEE07Dc71BDF4D355fDBe4B692cCf3F6439350d | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "10361055480371481065301226480596241867901096028453472193543553832885247467129",
"outcome": "Heat",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "115483570887632597442594054059701839947666252639097537878615285309631899205255",
"outcome": "Hawks",
"price": 1,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T20:48:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x87c91c07f3f83b6a52d816d8e95d3be0c1040857e9d2949d67302a0288f181ef | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca01 | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alice Weidel is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-alice-weidel-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca00 | 0xcaa1e5b296f9267a04546e2b09b46bebe02f889f5b7429f040e19c55197a13d7 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "108938366487918421674535981607344802377690955682719401714117377790816496216026",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "3596062974293706240537031625754587690710990537835812783562839396060839295864",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Politics",
"German Election",
"World"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T23:27:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa6c94d5515933a15772bd73a3fbb573f1004e230738c500fa82fcae2bdd5531d | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed801 | Will 'Stalker 2: Heart of Chernobyl' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards? | The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Stalker 2: Heart of Chernobyl' wins Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. | will-stalker-2-heart-of-chernobyl-win-game-of-the-year-in-the-2024-steam-awards | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed800 | 0xea8e7b98137fc62234398a459f67464ee5fe9248495abcb73bc51dbd40822dd0 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "6174839003505261605366241447141428919985067916482963961605213587598559946713",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "31017172414673380914393883836558307794124308729307090632548395236164137212633",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"video games",
"Awards",
"Esports",
"Culture",
"Tech",
"Steam",
"Valve"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:06:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd0d0f3d377d407c10826f28a107e9cb1f2822ad88bc3825a4605b20af46c9bf9 | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f03 | Will Tilda Swinton win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tilda Swinton wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-tilda-swinton-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f00 | 0xc42bbc2f261edf8e81a37ccf7d03f036b8ae4c54317fa23a0eb920cd9349dc92 | {
"rates": [
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "99896482560549301659841412194005343848553778959375906842527845861745342929603",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "77300252152784603500079674522507967680499093078928968513596222818577575438195",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:53:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5d361339f82525f081a40a01bcae8fbf4a77ad5baecbb3dfbac52eb8f0fc323c | 0x2b7092d22770224c49fe60c02edb14a5321c16aeb8eeb9279e9332a3770057e9 | Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "cut" 7 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "cut" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a reduction.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-cut-7-or-more-times-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 50
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "83136198918103819177759058075892567625431175142606606127957427510474305751322",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "56788041193599061094393073365278220318688116640717208043915308494589716287746",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:31:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x466438234ec528c66a2e50bc2c39dc429a67e9808415c5b3351cadf7b5d2a183 | 0xb7f9266818f87195c4f8fb20732c7ffa6c7d62aad880f1889d52754660fe7994 | Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nottingham Forest finishes in the top 4 of the 2024-25 Premier League season. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
If it becomes mathematically certain that Nottingham Forest will finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Nottingham Forest to finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution. | will-nottingham-forest-finish-in-the-top-4-of-epl | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "103046869314791028191301331853263123601269766919079307489006058080435064338784",
"outcome": "Yes",
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"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "36885461945314348123238680956237377409622982153578036618658381814364899075087",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"England",
"Soccer",
"english"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T00:00:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa9f2fb30f552eb33e0c9a078c26013a23955b33d3e64dc553d385328eadcab3e | 0xbebb75664db2d968ad69d496ae0a8e7af972ca2e96504c8f490b0a455718049c | Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total crypto market cap is $4 trillion or greater on January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically when the "7d" option is selected on the "Total Crypto Market Cap Chart" found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts. The information for January 20, 2025 will be used once data is finalized for that day. | total-crypto-market-cap-4-trillion-on-jan-20 | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91088029960353361113533807425510182755445422694330744080876504420010973327184",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "83310385461435904960380768450759775689102968987233640378923126532456081487295",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Trump",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Trump Presidency"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:14:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1fae1365d4733ef6d06d1b7964f947582a8591c34100ba94470438fc1526fcb4 | 0xfb092e1e59da74f776ae16fc92eb321cc57413816605a0bd2de04ec610735d68 | Kings vs. Lakers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-sac-lal-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T03:30:00 | 3 | 0xb4aFf102542b7dd63834898b74ee8ae882ba5470 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "21962427603576949928842075436865721779289871441113331286411157358974776234404",
"outcome": "Kings",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "60078886582769881781971353464933779087406135903381532022062785998926498315685",
"outcome": "Lakers",
"price": 1,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:07:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x784276e8a38ea6451865a57c6892acb11a4ce4c6c96ab04d8d8755dc3af202ee | 0xf8ce16293e2ff239e4028f90ef47fde54b74ef26e140b6e971c60ddccda2d937 | Heat vs. Magic | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-mia-orl-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x5E9601504f164A035384Ca717ab050F8E5152Af2 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "64661982176056088681060364367086441324157490268424862466463931202318451060310",
"outcome": "Heat",
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},
{
"token_id": "51916003035930327768835428021684443533565636556028668904673065955003108001505",
"outcome": "Magic",
"price": 0,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:11:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4341a3e4d82ef0c6b140e9c1dbb93ed397350aca4a87ac76b7da51422d2f4375 | 0xbabde8eeb82f38a8c3a973e6308dea098519f8556b67909b53c2588197060c4b | Mavericks vs. Suns | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 27 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-dal-phx-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T02:00:00 | 3 | 0x00F839E9eDd99A5C62302Cef40A6d39c3E85bf6e | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "68296544214792243061949131828697381688407643836715133840955768932366136686412",
"outcome": "Mavericks",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T18:34:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xebed65825a6f9af52fc1586507162d3c3ab4817a147b4498be27c695a625679b | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790602 | Will between 180 and 189 Democratic congressmen vote for funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 180 (inclusive) and 189 (inclusive) House Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-between-180-and-189-democratic-congressmen-vote-for-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790600 | 0x50761f1afceb2df687b779bc11c6b1978c4105b91fcdcfc12b01fd4ac88c633f | {
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T18:58:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xccb748a19e82f728d9b64d79f2739c4d1c1a0e403c24bd85eeb7a54dee7d3d40 | 0x2030b239e21c3db5799a0da7392e94c263a7d2a6abe4b95fe720acb6ac03ff06 | Will Moritz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moritz Wagner is awarded the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Moritz Wagner is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-moritz-wagner-win-2024-25-nba-6th-man-of-the-year | 2025-05-31T00:00:00 | null | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x2030b239e21c3db5799a0da7392e94c263a7d2a6abe4b95fe720acb6ac03ff00 | 0xd2880ed38836a03cc245483a8173090230313366d6fd89e5e97f1c9440afc65b | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T17:28:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x815702e8457ba42e69c4e9bfae2c84343c83fd686cf24c5e22891e75000e18d0 | 0x92556707bd3db1c95d4a6efc70f6ee1bf11c0c0bd549279a5d69f2567d24892e | Will Trump sue Ann Selzer before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Ann Selzer or the Des Moines Register by January 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be statements from relevant courts, Donald Trump, the Des Moines Register, Ann Selzer, or any of their legal representatives and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-trump-sue-ann-selzer-before-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T18:37:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3df798788fba150e64e3b0bd7cb23bce75c9fc2d6a5432170e0f265da4db0cf6 | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790605 | Will fewer than 160 Democratic congressmen vote for funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 159 or fewer House Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-fewer-than-160-democratic-congressmen-vote-for-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790600 | 0x8685240b807f4a565cf33bb356d2df407833e549cff79c4a672d9ef17956d6ea | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T22:52:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x963792319bdafaf153449c7c28815c1eb78f053ce7e9eb0d65604c24efef943c | 0x5395fc40bffe70c04a8afe24fea0bcd7e0a24c67cd5d1dd7b8413de07192575b | Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration? | On December 16, MicroStrategy announced that "as of December 15, 2024, the Company, together with its subsidiaries, held an aggregate of approximately 439,000 bitcoins (see: https://www.microstrategy.com/press/microstrategy-acquires-15350-btc-achieves-btc-yield-of-46-qtd-72-ytd-now-holds-439000-btc_12-16-2024).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy holds 500,000 or more bitcoins at any point before January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. | will-microstrategy-hold-500k-btc-before-trump-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "86541219624221163790679725200490866308620585357438071057964483060274421770308",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"MSTR",
"Michael Saylor",
"MicroStrategy"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:21:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x48c2bfb3dc4fec3736fcc1981f483a06ab5f91311f606d1708ed33a8e7fd760a | 0x632ef3e095168e75cc6b5a044f77028f865309fe82792c4524cc4a81bf68be84 | Will Penn State make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Penn State Nittany Lions reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Penn State Nittany Lions to make the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-penn-state-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": t... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:22:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1972c81b6835c24133577f3133e4adeccdb1dce2f39afbe07038103635ed7631 | 0x7268d58f2841c1fc977b085bb6ce0c08c5f5d262dbc2e6f09607390b81b5b588 | Will Clemson make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Clemson Tigers reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Clemson Tigers to make the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-clemson-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
"token_id": "3197446518492829632711814228823673293540464657176781782858687503685736655159",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:46:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x25d964061b2e4cf01fdb3efca09fe2025fb26baa5e0b140f3c8e9a264d43efa1 | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d03 | Will 'A Real Pain' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Eisenberg wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'A Real Pain'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-a-real-pain-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-screenplay | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d00 | 0x0714b6a672f6eb915f833f753cab4e23f5727a2b972042c99e90dea41c0dda8c | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T20:51:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x452ed4a3bc0e84654e05e485bdb28058237f1185d3f6103e9fb548789eb2ce46 | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca05 | Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jan van Aken is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-jan-van-aken-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca00 | 0xe00bf4381df26ee16e652a23db564b33c3d477a28a60ca517d3122abf1339448 | {
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{
"token_id": "107645022445409186870737822156517685705361917104669589501130133546059439418604",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Politics",
"German Election",
"World"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T23:25:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc2eccd644bccfc396532633e21098e56be26566278fc1def0e9bfed077d8ad9a | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1201 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2024 Carabao Cup? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crystal Palace win the 2024 Carabao Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win this tournament based on the rules of the Carabao Cup (e.g. they don’t advance to the final round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the EFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-crystal-palace-win-the-2024-carabao-cup | 2025-03-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1200 | 0x5f3dab05628ce8035146378626999f4f9759041734370c9742adced89716277e | {
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"Tottenham",
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"Crystal Palace",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:23:37 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1abfefcba4018fa013e432fae84277c8add5fc85181c32880331313bd7b3217f | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c102 | Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 25% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-cducsu-win-25-30-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c100 | 0xdfa54ee39e8e812461a7c791f4cd1f52095bc299b6a70108d3f3fde72403aab2 | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fals... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:21:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8854de25ec8fc1e787504073bf0b507dd9a1e5f4b872e625ff1d0aac85be16f2 | 0x0ae3690b4c71c647638f90fc22802fb13bf5f350350f1023500ddf205d15db5b | Will Texas make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Texas Longhorns reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Texas Longhorns to make the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-texas-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "110447926194482510022840653979512361760423667329106847156799673559736888737166",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T23:37:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5decbd722afe792770e55de7669f619c36445ab398dc0b1f4577359b12ddc207 | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed804 | Will 'Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards? | The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2' wins Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. | will-warhammer-40000-space-marine-2-win-game-of-the-year-in-the-2024-steam-awards | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed800 | 0x9422d0c3dad2ac37cfe01f8854370ac82e740864de12e07fd20253e1a210bef3 | {
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"token_id": "56756433416139268687008024196511983460973951781951389255585825049701133002408",
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"winner": tr... | [
"video games",
"Awards",
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"Tech",
"Steam",
"Valve"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:07:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3d8e41b292e5253167502a91ef41011f12d715e67308d77c46381e99d932badc | 0xfc912bc88b764b24b527ef431904fba9ca5624910e9851d03b07d323c59ac625 | 76ers vs. Celtics | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 25 at 5:00PM ET:
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the game is not completed by January 1, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-phi-bos-2024-12-25 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2024-12-25T22:00:00 | 3 | 0xc8708c02B0385f656f6875a99146591704D6431C | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
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"outcome": "Celtics",
"price": 0,
"winn... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:45:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x09e64f186ef668a4d387dd4ce95937a51e822cc9c62ad88315218dd5260e7c09 | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019603 | Will Jesse Plemons win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Plemons wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jesse-plemons-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019600 | 0xaebb2ee8c41d4e06e72fda3f63679694615689b2c2b8d28794d1ca9006c1f8d2 | {
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"token_id": "88691664118328553121912755977346284745477806056747200328301635620027271696584",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:04:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8d762b96d3a92f61823a593e64ec6cd2287f4671a25a1a4824961d5ba8bcf5a0 | 0xb7eb6095723bda1ae492041f48ae9619b241dbc44abb2947e79a1ee6ae242201 | Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins between 10% (inclusive) and 15% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-afd-win-10-15-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb7eb6095723bda1ae492041f48ae9619b241dbc44abb2947e79a1ee6ae242200 | 0x10eff18de329550e2aff2635fab888e5252bc73508223d6970a23af8f7dcfaee | {
"rates": null,
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:45:34 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfc7f74194ea281ec72b225332fac0f32ec522b4ff34961cc6457b1d4ee09c52d | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019602 | Will Gabriel Labelle win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel Labelle wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-gabriel-labelle-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019600 | 0xd421bd681fa130b356753bc15a1bf83b705ea33add1b964b75b4ba5440030795 | {
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{
"token_id": "101268838220677505317479683443912318598921779962406476886661745172530799727078",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Awards",
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"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:46:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7cfd7073f36aaa2ee0735df855236d9f7cd884cd8240e25419c5fe297a1fe392 | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019604 | Will Glen Powell win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Glen Powell wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-glen-powell-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019600 | 0x054c54c322d0a94b08b28bb728f4249ad5e5c5d1fa4a15cb2eab98d06347e6d0 | {
"rates": [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "79631517718296508589385932640545294240320416187723749618874615087436871969993",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:21:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9961ede552d2d4f7486db54eb46875e27b59598b5a3f4bb6884195c4f5779a21 | 0x9d36aed709a5068194072c4cb6b40e4d5226af19e33989d47f44d301b7319600 | Will Georgia make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Georgia Bulldogs reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Georgia Bulldogs to make the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-georgia-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"CFP"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T23:28:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x31096d3a36facc254813a61b3208e2458d8bc4095af28ab61572d62adffec4a3 | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1207 | Will Manchester United win the 2024 Carabao Cup? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Manchester United win the 2024 Carabao Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win this tournament based on the rules of the Carabao Cup (e.g. they don’t advance to the final round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the EFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-manchester-united-win-the-2024-carabao-cup | 2025-03-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1200 | 0x0c1a646df20d63a2fd05f828c992ec47f673df79660dff41a272ff5ebd70259f | {
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{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "95675586123692550172071324556045215898639031397583061684141886025224184830025",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"EPL",
"manchester united",
"arsenal",
"Soccer",
"Liverpool",
"Tottenham",
"Carabao Cup",
"Southampton",
"Brentford",
"Crystal Palace",
"newcastle"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:47:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe5bf85ef5a36ea1df9c7abaee421553b4b63c35e4eb70d5cf6fb4b27168dee72 | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505503 | Will 50-99 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 50 (inclusive) and 99 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-50-99-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0xe3539bd78dcb545bf2f134ab5e0a110d9aa7e26345f17b4b4188b921f5ee8cd1 | {
"rates": null,
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "38798670400189011823878279931213707408392811551454390813526272291937844514508",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:10:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x08da9f400f0b4a79be1a30d883bb2a9b57d5333546c26b5fea20965d094a2bcd | 0x527535683ec1bee3fd9af87ad88d2acff6e5b6ec84328e3100fa296d30989434 | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 27 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-mem-nop-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T01:00:00 | 3 | 0xAB726bb8C454D91a8f3D5b8c428276232959A8D1 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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"outcome": "Grizzlies",
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},
{
"token_id": "6673354022688519361098085598590991418282912400534285939165094913039594561569",
"outcome": "Pelicans",
"price": 0,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T23:59:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc10628777069dc0266dd77fddd87381fbde17e59a47892a354b87c228f4144a2 | 0xa99032f50d3f7afdba0162a1996ddc9f2cb3b9882678e1ee850b68036493462c | Rodriguez vs. Bashi | This is a market on whether Christian Rodriguez or Austin Bashi will win their bout at UFC Fight Night scheduled for January 11, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
If Christian Rodriguez is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Rodriguez.”
If Austin Bashi is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Bashi.”
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after January 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mma/fightcenter/_/id/600051441/league/ufc), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | rodriguez-vs-bashi | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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"outcome": "Rodriguez",
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{
"token_id": "40350125992368760635523898290298798886555439313119875719935021682041339405429",
"outcome": "Bashi",
"price": 0,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"UFC",
"mma",
"Fight Night",
"Mackenzie Dern",
"Amanda Ribas"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:24:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfb3a8d67a9c10cb66e8af9018bc4a5aab3065242d84b20054ccccdf8bfb40017 | 0x96b973b4460f245c90be58abbecb7367ee2d0d0ca884a01a6a793d76b560c572 | Will Boise State make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Boise State Broncos reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Boise State Broncos to make the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-boise-state-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "25945513899113180288319795867407251053513041916500604174254380420339291293843",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "69969598926122317942178297678779369691196719077781941371642415661265619234002",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:09:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x517d51cbe3415eba2c9ec191559631b2f408baf613d23d7f23e42c0c9547ed1c | 0x6949be2454be7e5aab219a646202c2cf351f1e1b61b7275149b99effe02bda73 | Knicks vs. Magic | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 27 at 7:00PM ET:
If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”.
If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-nyk-orl-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x74Da925cd01B46a751f396Bcf83D486801d08352 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "87013300032701984175818881351955470193035799356255981745467045409829475230111",
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"outcome": "Magic",
"price": 0,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:07:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x557da4819e732f2d2d4a7fb469bca4bd8be40b2a9782b5e2c8ae2a4c17a0bf72 | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c04 | Will BSW win the second most seats in the next German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance – Reason and Justice (BSW, Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | will-bsw-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c00 | 0x6455a4510b18e4fc3092f9633b468be77d20b1acfd187ec58d55827fccf2073d | {
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"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T20:47:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x37e6c1227c1ee562cbd906099dadbd658ddca8cdb9730736857b4d82701c6393 | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca00 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friedrich Merz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-friedrich-merz-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca00 | 0x4f609e62ca5941e3414d3cb01514b0fc6f9abb1492ab845901f42737b29b8419 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "19291014711449241581891722391111915115293102119114083097956425935925516552246",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "14989869239062381839846278778664468886107549060800883316588184930890078091442",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Politics",
"German Election",
"World"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:09:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfc321fab4982c1d38d3b45dd7415bb2856d92f615437cfa613124bf514a23446 | 0x56f4e1dd610f3c106df230a6d23362fda970f3d853184e5d382a86820b3bdd06 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations between December 16, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-may | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "64555672879325134758813384297608218871586753530328083070929785098654951630521",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "77930679793727058638656816115384202767512466987846494286804832534411540547965",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"saudi arabia",
"Geopolitics",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:48:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x39c9d0b90d434bc5d8636921b41c5d7736037999fa3b5039098962cc6321a381 | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505505 | Will 150-174 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 150 (inclusive) and 174 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-150-174-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0x685b3e6e69eb2ee58a0fb1fd59b3186aae764aaee0ea759d0cbfebac1be984ec | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "17369138240114832827628525354720374611469765802736375598382926855054442793226",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "50350963620441025142035813132925178578512843920073015334419328089003656220241",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:19:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8958c6464359ba927b09a2f03663a6f450e2f1eeae66edadc697a541d73bd458 | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8705 | Will the SPD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins over 30% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-spd-win-over-30-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8700 | 0x78d33becc79a3fdce1870de9255dff01d64bd5903ae054df732696b09fa99337 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "32173315614310251162810545358056108545117145883483721666352786166322501258766",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "87412094902491861282885212536122665516224768526257414121004376021926025542223",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:55:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd7087a4ab662ed74b72e4f127ef1caa820b7ed8a795461265bb9f88fe23b1286 | 0x243783a6f2bab8bc99776efa8cd8948c1ab05ed1e62c734e6b592c2a112186f1 | Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "price" 15 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "price" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the value assigned to a good, service, or asset.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-price-15-or-more-times-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77952891525890416889777353857138818975611587925307159031958393448372934432247",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "95975964051813538925822600630299477263059028460552240147660025000431365420462",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:20:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7fc2bd54fdef0bdc7b3302e6fc4c68fa5aa06e0491fec1066239f74748229f43 | 0xb87a3cc872e6f8e8dab021baa7cecdd94391996c1654ac0fad7dd873fb30a4d2 | Will Oregon make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oregon Ducks reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Oregon Ducks to make the 024-25 CFP National Championship game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-oregon-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "41495172713700089008088465725221203294653359575891035570172230695249856553674",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "57455291795206969478406873319581428097062305858460446818578989568487945110460",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"CFP"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:07:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8abe5a0cd6ea465fbb94bec604064973f087e1605dbf69cb855212faaafe1d2e | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f05 | Will Kate Winslet win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kate Winslet wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-kate-winslet-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4962b86501c336a82f93638056f8a08a2154964935cc082e0d854cace0d47f00 | 0xe8547f9fd71afab9f46c75f8e5479bb8e60a69a2770cfac50dfb0c8b0bdaff52 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "56579138617162795936109642846902948964074908147389005633840037020246638529750",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "86664052433393603667476202789052112714654898941870175765848797257840483225290",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:54:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x03b2fd5851925b8e7c2b8b34352b4c6abacc9e3d58ad2ed186c101b07d204508 | 0x8588613ad0605ae3cb58d4e526dbc9451a9cdcd756b109cdc435085a62795ba9 | USD worth more than Euro before 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD is worth more than 1.000000 Euro at any time between December 19, 2024, 2:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the mid-market rates on the foreign exchange platform XE: https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=EUR, specifically the "high" price within the market timeframe.
This market will resolve on midmarket prices with a 10-min resolution, however the "high" price for the time period of this market will also be sufficient. | usd-worth-more-than-euro-before-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 25
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "108849965943312208198386263059160288578063589564307938120199397899920666431415",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "66063187479067642467248296799019177569911310674643358808246270134572562437087",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"finance",
"currency",
"Economy",
"Euro"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:04:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd9ce9f9f9b9c193c06b8fbab9284a3b5de28570ba21333df27138c60af1ce24a | 0xb7eb6095723bda1ae492041f48ae9619b241dbc44abb2947e79a1ee6ae242200 | Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-afd-win-less-than-10-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb7eb6095723bda1ae492041f48ae9619b241dbc44abb2947e79a1ee6ae242200 | 0xa0cc1fed12012ad022f3726f9e4c2e82e956ec2e2e1b09c726eaf5e861f5c025 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 100,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "16049031791827283095580914176042893409296215621357240820065011475884655193422",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "59831484875068799792356603721576177695434644317463410034327533211734820815275",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T23:27:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x77478299b15435e1bcfedde3af4e1aa181d0d0b1f12bf3ad20fc6816714b7564 | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1205 | Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tottenham Hotspur win the 2024 Carabao Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win this tournament based on the rules of the Carabao Cup (e.g. they don’t advance to the final round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the EFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-tottenham-win-the-2024-carabao-cup | 2025-03-17T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1200 | 0x54c904335b6da3ee4f78f643c736b0047a9eba47e4716e5a5496ea302f777d8a | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "30502641394312464532374533260249036581641971407951732117032767935563932778777",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "85903257411563267116887816664792849822546974814101132166715606134237946192852",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"EPL",
"manchester united",
"arsenal",
"Soccer",
"Liverpool",
"Tottenham",
"Carabao Cup",
"Southampton",
"Brentford",
"Crystal Palace",
"newcastle"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:43:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5d8907ced4577fdb8bee2265c0caeba932002795afde5e4cc03a41597e9ee3d5 | 0xea359f8738a2db648708367e34e6a615bfdb49b77164c8a3112aaaed0c046254 | Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is either raised suspended again between December 19, 2024, 2:00 PM ET, and January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will only resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is raised or suspended. If the debt ceiling is abolished entirely within the established timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | debt-ceiling-raisedsuspended-before-trump-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "106502016969046937974758355420390684163100926155029166159441000067476621763798",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "13341843164164434849060573212107802020162946641211201772042393766009219399593",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"us government",
"Trump Presidency",
"Gov Shutdown",
"Debt Ceiling"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:09:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc6c35122286a61639824b711223b1a8b78ae6f51f109ce4252b17a979f513371 | 0xabb67f7580a9427f0245ddd9e33c4e36325529d3266e48a087d0e305d7a3c331 | Nets vs. Bucks | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-bkn-mil-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x8B141434EFE4520DddD3D4119c35a56611f38734 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "586353233988718754927019209992983257749711084726309979995417718559647466644",
"outcome": "Nets",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "98769648732810352974233902853922335632391000425738855397691625677014904294368",
"outcome": "Bucks",
"price": 0,
"winner": f... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T21:13:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x15238941cee2b8d336a53dd1a6817aefcadfe62a63907391ae6617d1bd269081 | 0xd0c03c99a38af3978774582fd5c3a9dc73baef269c19dbdbaa70d4cdb1efc935 | Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "83363734233645105369122047214486629634738864041373940827302361050098276923603",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "11851906884301946522763230998594115653010877929850833292447264478350104445541",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:08:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcd145afc48319cc8f242c5da91eeac798e6fa300cc4d908bc019af955404cd76 | 0x812887edbb47a99004403080bbb296b2a89bf681634ee129e71fa59357f4645a | Rockets vs. Pelicans | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-hou-nop-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x14f788e012D6D9941caBbC5a9c11DB934ec50228 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
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"outcome": "Pelicans",
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"wi... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:44:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb86397510b6c712164e9c6a9f1bc73048420ae3398625f1c35e9aebbe6c03d24 | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019600 | Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Eisenberg wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jesse-eisenberg-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019600 | 0x0c5dba17a31863d54da265042a69f73e55807cf08e726a97b666285bc6d401e6 | {
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"token_id": "26762616390192682228552793462231403326073261900217765228144636488938467713953",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:35:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x98f820e57189ab9d6d45e3bea0a2578f7c82809bb47773083be09bbbe6e674f2 | 0x4f0bcf23a638bcc7fe3f401d8a5298da849742c405eca306368d0ae5752046f7 | Will Chip Roy announce he won't seek reelection? | On December 19, Donald Trump described Chip Roy as a "very unpopular “Congressman”", during ongoing negotiations to pass a government funding bill (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113681162508337560).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chip Roy announces that he will not seek reelection to Congress, announces that he will resign from his position as a U.S. congressman, or otherwise ceases to be a U.S. congressman for any length of time, between December 18, 2024 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement that he will not seek reelection or of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down or runs again.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Chip Roy or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | chip-roy-announce-he-wont-seek-reelection-by-trumps-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:24:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xaf7a655001050f0931f2921137980d0e5223b5751814c270b72617ab9a508c53 | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c104 | Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 35% (inclusive) and 40% (inclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-cducsu-win-35-40-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c100 | 0xc53648f1a58bacfa95b70e77a6ef1a5d4e35e04f65c6110318ff7e496ed41339 | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:51:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x48b7744995bb1172e086c2e6e17c1bcf62c205ea2583fd759bc4faebf369f3d8 | 0xdca6f5f8e122170bed100e15edf5b8116be4e0de85132966590225593df611d8 | Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "inflation" 50 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-inflation-50-or-more-times-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
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"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T00:22:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0ca2a98c4c55b786c7fed3ed30f89eac506dc2e0b0c135292bcefe7dbe0fd1e0 | 0xddec4a71cebe51a633ababb782586eeb2a0311270fd519aa18eaf2e4161e1068 | Will Notre Dame make the CFP National Championship Game? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Notre Dame Fighting Irish reach the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it becomes impossible for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish to make the 2024-25 CFP National Championship Game, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be the NCAA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-notre-dame-make-the-cfp-national-championship-game | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "69811020898974624697617448191278000519505371648446321576909017955805030121900",
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"winner": fal... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:16:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xedc56fb59317a5c23cbf8277f137bcad8c36defdbb25bf69b0cd2ecd610d3b34 | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8700 | Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-spd-win-less-than-10-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8700 | 0x74c49b6d4091bc0c37799456d32fced2cce83d625763659aad80a95613940c34 | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T23:35:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2f9edac105b21b1747fd8cf070339d6c62ff6cf568d278bb09f4725691858bf6 | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed803 | Will 'Helldivers 2' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards? | The winners of the Steam Award for 2024 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Helldivers 2' wins Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. | will-helldivers-2-win-game-of-the-year-in-the-2024-steam-awards | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf1304c272194cf4c45e54a7620d1452bcb7152f2eb500501bd9de85c347ed800 | 0xca6bd6c633b6866c5e6ce5a6cf0bceaf94badf60b88ff3b0a62080fc43341823 | {
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"token_id": "17635968120618119598356571256494358538119052837997160443111165970199594743650",
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"winner": tr... | [
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"Tech",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:44:34 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xad74e01b17e95504e6f7925493783f57a75499e455613f26b9548422cdec5bc5 | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc00 | Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volker Bertelmann wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Score - Motion Picture for 'Conclave'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-conclave-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-score | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc00 | 0x2868c33bec63074ccbf992db56a3462d24dec65243b3701b702cc1e3c13a962c | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:12:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4405b3311e1e57ef9e76f9674846b444ae3b9d104831e357768fb39f556f8c4c | 0xc169afebfa67f39c6e863ea30374de0dadeaeb47938d2ca739dbf0699145a399 | Warriors vs. Clippers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 27 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-gsw-lac-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T03:00:00 | 3 | 0x6A210Cf9d54d816B4f05EE0641F71d604EF561EA | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
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"price": 1,
... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:11:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc113db6b4a94b9ad0abdcb7ed65c336b1c794a9759904aa4f04da04cd7a104af | 0xc2fed73c339607c6bdfdb3ede5f4aa9a67cdb3e46991a7e8350b089659e956b3 | Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 27 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to “Cavaliers”.
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-cle-den-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T02:00:00 | 3 | 0x961977E50e6D02b7c624ab5D306A57128e1a490F | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
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"outcome": "Nuggets",
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"... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:31:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x39784e4086893ef99e03d8821b6dbe8356c76f1ec7416cd23ba851c0fbae9040 | 0xc2978b674abb76f8f11dcedfaad47d22ace47bcfcec37ec2a8cc37b580757d29 | Will Fulham finish in the top 4 of EPL? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bournemouth finishes in the top 4 of the 2024-25 Premier League season. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
If it becomes mathematically certain that Fulham will finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Fulham to finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution. | will-fulham-finish-in-the-top-4-of-epl | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "71830083899931340001607670066962450469463804898135896692825749710252407530348",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T16:54:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9af6c8be6c4fba2eb4d01c2989ddadcdb99be2fa23f65d34b7a4dc047ef65590 | 0xc44bbe6fbb52d53dcbdcaf465b6568cbc863c326a8729a655a9006ed9f42d242 | Travis Hunter and GF break up before Draft? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Hunter and Leanna Lenee end their romantic relationship by April 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Confirmation can come in various forms, including, but not limited to, social media posts, interviews, press releases, official statements, or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise.
If it is unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting. | travis-hunter-and-gf-break-up-before-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "115053498959512163816538800632584201511819118017355612474297378146415654477968",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:17:35 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf8ba3e5e0f4b9900c243b345bdde8b36af746ed856ec284c8960f8127acd443b | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8702 | Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins between 15% (inclusive) and 20% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-spd-win-15-20-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8700 | 0xfa32d15fefc5512a3d8c455628c0c0b299b7056893de588a76bb33c6fddeba0d | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:13:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc48738784d0d607ffef3741ce4de173a00c03c1785ceec37569bd5397a051ee3 | 0x54007bf74b953060e478e1a89525800e7f3a41d43e118f146aaa889cf9ddebe0 | 76ers vs. Jazz | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28 at 9:30PM ET:
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-phi-uta-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T02:30:00 | 3 | 0x31ADe4bA2eDb6bEA4403D6e13c35b8887Fe31f1b | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "46658003339802811931770704732486722915571272581261384160714870462492406151609",
"outcome": "76ers",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "84655027356989902746786752430267832816747026977693272413152414743666594726182",
"outcome": "Jazz",
"price": 0,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:52:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x955365e8aa835120da56d9947f60f0c8a83af20e31a94f7dc485ecbfc34ec039 | 0xf3a990d2011eb4543b2f90bc96cb5747685253e24198c465a5933c014e14b8aa | Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "inflation" 60 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-inflation-60-or-more-times-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 50
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "79890254115532931545830828879519531136830579697642523639513695569786939374900",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "95261270928271750506422476299630947594919948625925937233058352803343026953717",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T06:02:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xada51bc42a264394ace58997a347b60351622d555a6c2a86ded3a78615e388ad | 0xc284c6defb97bacf4f92b6c422d8d1e481f780d0c5d6c9e41d8f324d8eb30d9b | Chiefs vs. Steelers | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 25 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Kansas City Chiefs win, the market will resolve to “Chiefs”.
If the Pittsburgh Steelers win, the market will resolve to “Steelers”.
If the game is not completed by January 1, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-kc-pit-2024-12-25 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2024-12-25T18:00:00 | 3 | 0x385eC063df0cAd8D3ffd2F9bB2a8A620Cc68196F | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "56724154750377002831649637065803386870259449699331618692023957900011948866571",
"outcome": "Chiefs",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "101820891518474531088668634233947820313340039842260695286288416851275253677704",
"outcome": "Steelers",
"price": 0,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:47:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x91263195c14ed8611775e205085b5d3ba6dc604a5c9f59e0663ec3f021cf1797 | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505504 | Will 100-149 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 100 (inclusive) and 149 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-100-149-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0x0fafa7b2e27f05a3501f1ed241e330a3fe55ca5605752357d67f9a56de2af999 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "36204437154193665662133872865831287628906467530055671352465589669448933330674",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "48978531591018639630352064512131739723422188667279147688354643642021691035734",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:49:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa627dc27d8233f262a2b3685c0732caf53208a04e0b6575b23bb746a640159a8 | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505508 | Will 210 or more Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 210 or more House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-210-or-more-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0x7a09ad777152a54179b91badabb36daeb260f44058ae61b25484f45ff7829b79 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "83985613826930122107350940395377099870620512924725420565322793833383405900775",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "9251056459335432714853662790159548917354641925576903360778572571498663508871",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:07:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0401f2266d4838feeaf1516bfaf2ab231d98b14c531281b819beeebf90f8837a | 0xc79f333efd378005d52ea42de93e45fe435f90bb036354ec43df8c610241c4e9 | Thunder vs. Pacers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-okc-ind-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x8FeBebEeF66bDC1CDFD97be85aF9E859F3925937 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "12600249153353711680469960108634008529405238926033398748935610065745378350233",
"outcome": "Thunder",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "92273293503618034003449478070704681902846821249762075428770122241374086575061",
"outcome": "Pacers",
"price": 0,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T20:48:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5dbbf4cbb4cbca7c5967bfe92c0bd1667ac508fecb1e548c01def1a8cb43ea53 | 0xbc21401466836b0b47d3695a995c505f8ab073596cc489bf2ea375f88da6cc00 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by 26 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 18 - 19, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-march-2025-meeting | 2025-03-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbc21401466836b0b47d3695a995c505f8ab073596cc489bf2ea375f88da6cc00 | 0x3e2f954531ab60c939cd432ebaf9814e179daf44378752bd6b2a3046eb3eb60c | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "59500043981638253528854819796350757181716737470693576068597643626706510223839",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "53827210122848802553752764552357021508542175671336446697980210427171312978827",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"finance",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Macro Fed",
"Recurring",
"Economic Policy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:05:35 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb7faecd2db357e4634fe87ef9bb48b4e1305cd618276d730b73190662fe6bafd | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c02 | Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | will-afd-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c00 | 0x6a092454ff78d5fd96bcb8cf3838786fcd908b8db7ed6bbef054194ccd3f1bba | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 100,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75442588503320873680971915867748275477876631171794472903744986946954395649044",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "70153859989212405649302660029170495449818146693944403467922191183238786687468",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] |
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