enable_order_book bool 2 classes | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | archived bool 2 classes | accepting_orders bool 2 classes | accepting_order_timestamp timestamp[s]date 2024-05-07 20:07:46 2025-03-14 17:41:59 ⌀ | minimum_order_size int64 5 5 | minimum_tick_size float64 0 0.01 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 11 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.66k | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | end_date_iso timestamp[s]date 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | game_start_time timestamp[s]date 2024-08-29 17:37:00 2025-06-02 19:36:00 ⌀ | seconds_delay int64 0 3 | fpmm stringlengths 0 42 | maker_base_fee int64 0 0 | taker_base_fee int64 0 0 | notifications_enabled bool 2 classes | neg_risk bool 2 classes | neg_risk_market_id stringclasses 715 values | neg_risk_request_id stringlengths 0 66 | icon stringlengths 0 195 | image stringlengths 0 195 | rewards dict | is_50_50_outcome bool 2 classes | tokens listlengths 2 2 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
false | false | false | true | true | 2024-12-17T17:52:31 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x32ffa0dc85cac1a750c47bd10fe61cc9bcadd8793c00fa9d118268e0e25c6bc9 | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74503 | No Israel x Hamas ceasefire between January and March? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas that begins between January 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If such an agreement is signed prior to January 1, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source. | no-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-between-january-and-march | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74500 | 0x10b080211dd2af2b5fdb66f926845b5078773556b5545ef66b77c32d7421d08f | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "11132255859368493445481583561212899175552764973873440156640429635930282304204",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.655,
"winner": false
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{
"token_id": "70232358324499345451033464461068178298002955322385327142627838064624749521746",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.345,
"win... | [
"Politics",
"news",
"Gaza",
"war",
"hamas",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"palestine",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T20:21:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x85406499c2742d7f796b4f4e99983745ecf448234ac89879091e89a8627e842a | 0x39646df1a90b36a98b8b7d80587a149090f1da25938a5265d00790aae32a0233 | Sabato De Sarno out as creative Director of Gucci before February? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sabato De Sarno announces that he will resign or otherwise ceases to serve as Creative Director of Gucci for any reason, at any point between December 17, 2024, at 11:59 PM ET, and January 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that an announcement of his departure before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the effective date of his departure.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Gucci, Sabato De Sarno, or an official representative of either, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | sabato-de-sarno-out-as-creative-director-of-gucci-before-february | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "18964357733792768920979697500835274473738898873140941123560489922960280753107",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "66496822198655804171139638318782342260513228445392659608265813522377736240360",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Culture",
"Creators",
"Fashion",
"mmERCH"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:51:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4b38dcda51950de696458b8a7d7060c0599acd8d52a008c266550c40c79c3e07 | 0xd2acca355bcc1c446bec541861f548e4811883908a71820084c75706caffa98a | Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "Trump" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-trump-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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}
],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "8277254733704307949589610507497874800514315525081458425413698693180649926405",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "79697717516231554739698367805840998902805085401761169311371172319279542208496",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T18:56:43 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe99cff3cb3b148eae70e2ae5cbc2bb22b94282fbb7e15199ce831c3f1fa1dc16 | 0x2030b239e21c3db5799a0da7392e94c263a7d2a6abe4b95fe720acb6ac03ff03 | Will Malik Beasley win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Malik Beasley is awarded the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Malik Beasley is not announced as a finalist for the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-malik-beasley-win-2024-25-nba-6th-man-of-the-year | 2025-05-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x2030b239e21c3db5799a0da7392e94c263a7d2a6abe4b95fe720acb6ac03ff00 | 0xd72092dbcc45d8d3614e5b921694fce1ba2eadb856f727b798296d15ed1b03a0 | {
"rates": [
{
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}
],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77583668034430659211247205057855274694629777350472615017625675762362948933285",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "101162879171407706741878794536357682195069128505024742908160086373541247491653",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Awards",
"futures",
"NBA"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T18:25:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcce535ee3d3b54b4f67165ccfa0a60195ff155afdc51db66c6d5f7d4af0f29a8 | 0x22292e9d80e13d13f2f81a2ce6ebec1e44368a5f630acdaf28e4bfa333064e05 | Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to tale place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Free Democratic Party (FDP, Freie Demokratische Partei) wins the most seats in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | will-fdp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election-hksa | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x22292e9d80e13d13f2f81a2ce6ebec1e44368a5f630acdaf28e4bfa333064e00 | 0x5651105c01673ad66e544ad1e168918e255bacba44f3328119479d4d8f3a2457 | {
"rates": [
{
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}
],
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "14875660322078163696008576577608406432294409984642605754965521546683761493099",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"German Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:43:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7a7d87f637b37679f0178988e35991bf0adf9011019ad339c552168ad931445f | 0xdfbb158709ed0b150467472fccd62443653d43ea1458cc970c69a14050f39fb7 | Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is abolished between December 19, 2024, 2:00 PM ET, and January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will only resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is abolished entirely. If the debt ceiling is raised or suspended within the established timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | debt-ceiling-abolished-before-trump-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "55791643433431991121672451354833013780738115234067556008308447749608178729931",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "9844426745964765309136794745094885912445572900395756186578791346352955155386",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"us government",
"Trump Presidency",
"Gov Shutdown",
"Debt Ceiling"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T17:05:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x27f85bd5986e0bee118e8588ae605defd4cd08a5c35f149e8da31cd247755f25 | 0x70b314b0c0c9c8d7098ed71a99f2073bc9a03fc356195adbe5a55b67704cf4cc | Abstract token launch by January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token before January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be public announcements from Abstract. | abstract-token-launch-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "15481187749302009935285401040389458312451688234810942771985911337736190209198",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "6241209387076178356855247190785733283170231832185661787093584474570070602366",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Crypto",
"Tech"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:49:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x48db62470ca4d7bb185c12eb95f8219152efcf1c0e3244f107854bf42e70e61a | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505507 | Will 200-209 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 200 (inclusive) and 209 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-200-209-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0xa46487f3621d6da5946a170161fbb0a0ad302a876dd2434fc6c4c39ed2fdd7a0 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "82382211396588836000957495369079069424975572655732110244034055405168796566522",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "84114808045698023226798459568414091926595120476146401420634315401958015021291",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:10:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x969e370ae3cf1b838169fcf38a0ed0cf9ee83b094edeecc0c7b4679bba0c1526 | 0x8be3daa72f44a84ca610d2b5eda8e13abe5e9d6109def5b8372d84dce2f951bd | Pacers vs. Celtics | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 27 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-ind-bos-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T00:30:00 | 3 | 0xf699A1337cccfBe0DbEa4cd8c94cC5b7C559A8bf | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "26268694919631061230643327419761219752997836717570365194526707143360870685370",
"outcome": "Pacers",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "58082615409915126234769326736199578516709998752021818502816706747261724653227",
"outcome": "Celtics",
"price": 1,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T19:08:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb0001fc97aa9b65190d6fec2ac6accb0dedcf823b5848b321560ca14c159893b | 0x516ea98052a063a4f40da199452e2db4a08377274db7f034d6ef970a00014dc5 | Canada election called before April? | The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | canada-election-called-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "52036731441323146528772785681251350262548773858568715874797591761056507081054",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "76183770312738760226736725696215675160074359137657320637587251121036713600566",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"Canada",
"Justin Trudeau",
"Trudeau out",
"Mark Carney",
"poilievre"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T21:26:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb146887546d8b19d236f10c247baa0c3fef5d6ca242b24b0ed3b66b857cdc71c | 0xb37833eef040410d3ae0697b4a73e50cb3002e4ed6cc6519947a1a8dea78ffa3 | Will Powell say "deport" or "deportation" during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "deport" or "deportation" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "deport" or "deportation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to expelling (a foreigner) from a country, typically on the grounds of illegal status or for having committed a crime.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-deport-or-deportation-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "39573275960755631244065248633865928413703048646455881822800485458988078711273",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "74318323166657357773333849134827704415656506033769665203763178508183055134575",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T21:26:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0373d0862cd268ad2393de9dbe942492dddaf6507bc7aeb38ec207ccdd98466b | 0xdc16fd6768583e8d7d72c3fc5795b1a4ae376f4817a282bd1bba86f10e9f4ac8 | Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "immigrant" or "immigration" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "immigrant" or "immigration" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to coming to live permanently in a foreign country.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-immigrant-or-immigration-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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}
],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "17153006483386330543126046864375389401602037851982389297003200675221529033075",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "2999993960264543225383061431234709216647673441944446599023951982330004493220",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:21:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc8472d3fe5ec8928bcb66d15f47ee5bfa6c6893b63d3d16c3db63ae216fb7214 | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c100 | Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-cducsu-win-less-than-20-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c100 | 0xec00756ef920812506b31aba7956b8fb399fb0aa778652df143e5b7635f00f23 | {
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"token_id": "90407962660757728860119553934200985228753324921564668858980337806745858367861",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T19:05:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2f1737ae1118031c54256b0809a4eebeebc6c5f03d71bedafdb76e4fc589a3a0 | 0x16040b8f0eb0a77e2bbbec1beaa6968cd7e816673f41d0c7bb1e9feff569f24e | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a motion of no confidence passes in the Canadian House of Commons while Justin Trudeau is serving as prime minister between December 15, 2024, and March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Motions of no confidence that are voted on but do not pass the House of Commons will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time prior to a motion of no confidence passing, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| trudeau-no-confidence-motion-passes-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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{
"token_id": "108073739102591289918711116841510869316370395669547107415541674258657114024311",
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{
"token_id": "56289252359637985068378895702445459494246943633791877889705485338959179040847",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Canada",
"Trudeau out"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:46:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf39377d343a0a43ce55330eaf8eb67d9e947328a114f4773d725cb9802a90c7f | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc03 | Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clément Ducol and Camille wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Score - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Perez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-emilia-perez-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-score | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc00 | 0xc55a3aae3b771fd6b7c081d014dcc8e0f9384b2eb22622a1568a3974229c2413 | {
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"token_id": "16785144943896446277168878078821911102543772160469891840071297287748334466136",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T23:24:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1e451f3108db3772b6828fc1644754b454847692202d019db19c1d89b26a2ae1 | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1200 | Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win this tournament based on the rules of the Carabao Cup (e.g. they don’t advance to the final round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the EFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| will-arsenal-win-the-2024-carabao-cup | 2025-03-16T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x30cefad8fa0b67d7328436ae1c606155c4ff61cecf128e2c0518b7169cdb1200 | 0x5b15bbc2270d2a682dcc6de0645c6afd4c69f29621094c01fb0058cdf41ef850 | {
"rates": [
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{
"token_id": "9981334228491604518530568184979156323404916498195020637367058973172758359629",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"EPL",
"manchester united",
"arsenal",
"Soccer",
"Liverpool",
"Tottenham",
"Carabao Cup",
"Southampton",
"Brentford",
"Crystal Palace",
"newcastle"
] | |||
false | false | false | true | true | 2024-12-17T17:50:37 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xa51c5208260c9a7e8d7359a6f61da86c31bac609fbd1b7a73f4fcb6aca9d50c8 | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74500 | Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in January? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between January 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire. | next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in-january | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8ea6608673a308944b5c55ab64c362838c3f65a9df38f12e283937f7ccc74500 | 0x78f7a5eaf1a144e64f42c5376f893046d5e9baf35dc0b2bd66d6c2b56d789693 | {
"rates": null,
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"token_id": "110788870245256926374386834123725933810931063664745212601711900796052649026117",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.7,
"winner... | [
"Politics",
"news",
"Gaza",
"war",
"hamas",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"palestine",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:48:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8587ea64420c9b780b8984d4b963f1ecde69d329ae1cbf943a5bb0e88beb72e5 | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505506 | Will 175-199 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 175 (inclusive) and 199 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-175-199-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0xe1e605312039f0c4612af73e5d72115acbafa5a764ae54af232758d62624b181 | {
"rates": null,
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{
"token_id": "62296945268915402314390133981135658818026092295480382441527086249524064379801",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:05:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5f060d4e55f2bff3b50212beb080beaf6623e440b096aa60301d49b61cf82cfb | 0xb7eb6095723bda1ae492041f48ae9619b241dbc44abb2947e79a1ee6ae242202 | Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins between 15% (inclusive) and 20% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-afd-win-15-20-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xb7eb6095723bda1ae492041f48ae9619b241dbc44abb2947e79a1ee6ae242200 | 0x470959deeaaf2f2d3fb121657230c0673e25b9a5c0a8d07ed1e9bdf46165600c | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "101251648759601494796912890728837664737864168890972582451774049384617354142267",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T22:17:15 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x357043edb1b4b1fec761988ab39c52b303ecd1912737162cd2d0987fa30f7f69 | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8701 | Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins between 10% (inclusive) and 15% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | will-the-spd-win-10-15-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xdeb68ecb6ddc31ba90d9965fd500315d2563ea5f4930cdbee60051b7a10e8700 | 0xf2047ffb51427ce34d46e5f3185e9bd2675c8688b0fa81e0cfe1ba6c6f47883f | {
"rates": null,
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"token_id": "113238840545753699268854208574536619670305858137869787577517616313016211359635",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:45:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2808cb32d287132bb8c0678595b855f902ba1c9971e2ff9f2c090eba1d022e7f | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d01 | Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean Baker wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Anora'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-anora-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-screenplay | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d00 | 0x2fc97e920ecee591e1d8cbb0938bbb2f62e2ef587a31e6f5491fafc2b078b903 | {
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"token_id": "108355756622824377078990304951747596272278959434282104414573111387767959706093",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": t... | [
"Awards",
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"Golden Globes"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:55:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3dc7da0c46467e1617c5c5cb24a8f020937935064d414dbb9683c7a747190def | 0xc35727cb98430b51a3c7c26f34f9f85fabbb8a9a0ad74a11188db3105c48fe5a | Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "tariff" 5 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "tariff" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tax or duty imposed by a government on imported goods.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. | will-powell-say-tariff-5-or-more-times-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "21800383999529510687925216321386198916724952332331195986457865954827953481026",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T20:49:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xef5604329fee713a68f4faa9d3014614c7486525864a11f2ebb054179a0c362e | 0xbc21401466836b0b47d3695a995c505f8ab073596cc489bf2ea375f88da6cc02 | No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 18 - 19, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-march-2025-meeting | 2025-03-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbc21401466836b0b47d3695a995c505f8ab073596cc489bf2ea375f88da6cc00 | 0x01859223aa53c672f562b8b8bd499057beb4e83242804432c577a4ceb7cedeb0 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "84404545665642736163147199311465812729929064435437776471057885230010324444001",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"finance",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Macro Fed",
"Recurring",
"Economic Policy"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T23:59:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8c549714391dcde6d82f995227633b056f40920b5943bd58b0bf2f300f2b244a | 0x631c00593cbf7c666cbede92b9e7f24ebd26dde60b96e2d6c493f581952d87a0 | Soriano vs. Medic | This is a market on whether Punahele Soriano or Uros Medic will win their bout at UFC Fight Night scheduled for January 11, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
If Punahele Soriano is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Soriano.”
If Uros Medic is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Medic.”
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after January 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mma/fightcenter/_/id/600051441/league/ufc), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | soriano-vs-medic | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "40274868648517586102490469610146549085857253329586374142813933141294856647276",
"outcome": "Medic",
"price": 0,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"UFC",
"mma",
"Fight Night",
"Mackenzie Dern",
"Amanda Ribas"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T18:35:15 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x887f72edec2e756489799198bc9e91f99b508f8fefcdea9cacfbda202e3e1293 | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790603 | Will between 170 and 179 Democratic congressmen vote for funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 170 (inclusive) and 179 (inclusive) House Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-between-170-and-179-democratic-congressmen-vote-for-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc15260c4117b12e101526e9af84ebfa81232c758da50472cae26fe0fa3790600 | 0x91de5020be8c7f0244f22fab8a73aa3819ed11ced5018fe0a449bcadb2a48d0a | {
"rates": [
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{
"token_id": "8771188397117601894335017236081967817030577781407794264928998527109350393461",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T18:22:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x849ad1b0db20c51fe409813f88192b306e55a9ab7c39105c483e75fdba4adb78 | 0xdbf406bdd266d3ce73e4108656b0f779046ccef852a350d5aa259ff18a300824 | Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-javier-milei-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "709599459879040020848497908767547450633888351386828663160842537662469968159",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "104909776708324969247570849936651365110702712237805512664770619407153297902334",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T22:26:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2e2e16f8f0c48e31806861cf0a5ac06ad329088fdde80bde3df21ec282fa7f87 | 0xb0232e790893895695897796ee4ba1eb348a006cec4d25d08dbd256def17df96 | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the WHO officially declares H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the WHO (e.g. statements released on their official website, https://www.who.int/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | bird-flu-declared-public-health-emergency-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "89377300812823587369399149159270086937498069451400599700502951096061639919984",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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{
"token_id": "460460494308690211909901366717796509491157711273939592351528036294106863307",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": true... | [
"Science",
"Pandemics",
"Culture",
"Bird Flu"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:46:28 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc842251b2023e199d5d3e7b61491a530efe34c48d0a7d3e5a8069a893a3ea19b | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d04 | Will 'The Substance' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coralie Fargeat wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'The Substance'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-substance-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-screenplay | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d00 | 0xd3ef5a704fa6339c2ec1d46a6c93150e7f0c6304e3a9910386a3b2387eb6451e | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "56674171630576928006159458947351617724408603817614418474678971847039538568205",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "22524318467411924619744780307932594787069665481431846568744631143890806124836",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:46:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x36837d53359908d5c8bb7b31cbd26e123584b02e27bdc9f24173358fd67650cb | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d05 | Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Straughan wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Conclave'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-conclave-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-screenplay | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d00 | 0x5c948145d160a5319843e7efe26d601bb5844c5f7b0ec869f6e823c1bc26b0e0 | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "111588005215645637371085821453233308127337607012991974037528969059677889944377",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:08:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1eebc79bc1e29882b04abe37ebe0d3b005bf207610de43fed5c915cc45316554 | 0x200374cbb69248df9af2ac534fd6938b879d463aa9c3520aa4faa658c0bc5b87 | Hornets vs. Wizards | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-cha-was-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T00:00:00 | 3 | 0xbA9f5EC9061fB9a1Ba5Ac7DfcC9314b75689A1d3 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75120438841583369443949629212870631955771033991923080109332296414313170219245",
"outcome": "Hornets",
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},
{
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"outcome": "Wizards",
"price": 1,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T23:58:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7011b35a206b6a586930a133dfbd9ffb1bb149bedffcd04bd36b13324de94d54 | 0x09cbe86b9adc2e8db6dda12e0109362337a3c2dfc7fd81947d43d807cd670a0c | Almeida vs. Alhassan | This is a market on whether Cesar Almeida or Abdul Razak Alhassan will win their bout at UFC Fight Night scheduled for January 11, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
If Cesar Almeida is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Almeida.”
If Abdul Razak Alhassan is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Alhassan.”
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after January 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mma/fightcenter/_/id/600051441/league/ufc), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | almeida-vs-alhassan | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
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],
"min_size": 100,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "6981274599793334055895204374953548467701835152216185276287460826088217635644",
"outcome": "Almeida",
"price": 1,
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},
{
"token_id": "47391227330488516734494203295217518286864247295220195171459214458565907607069",
"outcome": "Alhassan",
"price": 0,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"UFC",
"mma",
"Fight Night",
"Mackenzie Dern",
"Amanda Ribas"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T18:21:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfdd1f153fdf60fb88b72126e8ee7373a54723dc678833e0a000b366f5379d296 | 0x2cc49261db4062696b9df17c1aa351baf9848b92cc8823c4fba057924d639c63 | Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Rogan attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-joe-rogan-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "112827697636530191215434207290418747895673734098220789882689270289455199481666",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "56618266457645656237379599808793628403592600501161137412610936943900085219654",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T05:13:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbb8e2ee9deaa1db50716365ca0e761e874e48ff8cec1d7ff1d5047c6db11ed4b | 0x5d106295ae00ad05961f197f0f53735e7ad48d948dd324aa75542a7f4f610d2e | Pistons vs. Nuggets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”.
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-det-den-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T02:00:00 | 3 | 0x26909606d10Fd4Bd25Eab122dD2a19ee74E42F5F | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67541104556352912351010794252797561134257948194909393525701014142439761032847",
"outcome": "Pistons",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "27974246674902180059004622880984545897181653348659945752393480668039502739287",
"outcome": "Nuggets",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-16T23:54:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6a2aded358445dc568f338b5ce74372eb77ae20b44b05200ee3bc4694223090d | 0xa7161fcc3fa926e780fe162fc7c0b67f271a7ca79ab05aeb0d01e0fe755266a4 | OpenSea airdrop before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the OpenSea team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | opensea-airdrop-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
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],
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "33873379332888426832762046360394166568058584970301753375167296451661416913749",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "80699446148535931125368776125708033079088810394704162296218025094498882140777",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:46:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4cb374949d2020c9d8c9ecad945ab165560dcf508e6053f5f6087a13491d26a3 | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc05 | Will 'Dune: Part Two' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hans Zimmer wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Score - Motion Picture for 'Dune: Part Two'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-dune-part-two-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-score | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc00 | 0xd714de3dd5f39b276154f7581d4813be723b1841334415aa6aa03010e9a05d24 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "96362142108803742470373462254794901504630148461459855561322584426815717742639",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "55767527772842835247879040188365785270103503581274381853578678049931925409720",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T19:46:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3d8c0da2e39fa14cda3c252b1376284543f43223d975c3d48529038e6c1c09f0 | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505502 | Will 25-49 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill? | A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 25 (inclusive) and 49 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-25-49-republicans-vote-in-favor-of-government-funding-bill | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xcf121c870a53a33a88edc1526ec28797cf017327706f3363dcbc53ec4c505500 | 0xefb352077ee2be5b076549631ccbfecde57f9bcd879d0b1650c56bec2aa672e2 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "23825024593033354412380702957506815733422037634613220784997229772845187545786",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Gov Shutdown"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T00:03:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x410d3f61c9fce0416820230d07a9d2242282e18906b3564ffec917e7621c0d1b | 0xf05fd4b181c6171887af71edf85fab03237e6c85c25bf1953aee61d224344f13 | Trump positive favorability on inauguration day? | This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than his unfavorable rating on January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.
The favorability rating for Jan 20 will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for Jan 20 remains unavailable, the nearest previous favorability will be used.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable", and the orange “unfavorable” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between favorable and unfavorable ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after January 20, 2025 is published. If no such data point is available by January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recent data point prior to January 20, 2025.
Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| donald-trump-positive-favorability-on-inauguration-day | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "80569437326045922051708705334680743213654657184467121223927418932659272262265",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "107763618103628775052882259855597016232572071377247019694050421324392662778918",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"538",
"Trump Presidency",
"pollling",
"Inauguration",
"Trump Day 1"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T23:45:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf38cc15d9824916962fc3f6adcd04083a016f9e427f9efed59449915f73c4204 | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc01 | Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Blumberg wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Score - Motion Picture for 'The Brutalist'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-brutalist-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-score | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xbebd3ec79ce8a83d65bbb48ef3709dc2528dddbee3b4cf27d4b00c4bce3abc00 | 0xaf11b080cedce6fc3aa74a570008ce74de4b0e5268566a77117ba4833f1c25b5 | {
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"token_id": "96533033549695980133590700549298510968301714592742996176755776336715067935068",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:09:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf1add3bfd3810102a76d4bf68ca09ab7a2c82dc299caef3f88ce4818d5668b8e | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c06 | Will another party win the second most seats in the next German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than SPD, CDU/CSU, AfD, Greens, FDP, or BSW wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won an individual party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | will-another-party-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c00 | 0x63c2174301479f6537293fed7c76bb4f1cd4b3532bbb6003e2f75ecf1997c12b | {
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{
"token_id": "53948401502870868536955657480693386198637714248160193693340753919585655367432",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-19T19:49:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf753191a0ecf02044455f863c8dfebd9ad5b5fda7229d73637bb5a1150042bda | 0x266c8088c84db41b59507e3ece6ed088d893527b39ecaa4232bf853f6e39cb19 | Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference? | Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "good afternoon" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
| will-powell-say-good-afternoon-during-january-press-conference | 2025-01-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
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{
"token_id": "51186184252811305702945818771875366918383475419238884511792360225182858780647",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-20T21:50:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x354770cccdceceaf6ae28d6461e1e585a2c216e9d060445a7da43b1ce2fca051 | 0x02a99c9b0be3f5f3e582ab02129d21fe2788fac977083550c297c5f835394243 | Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud between December 19, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and MBS are present and interact with each other in person.
If Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister before this market's end date, or MBS ceases to hold a role within the Saudi state, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-netanyahu-meet-with-mbs-before-july | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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{
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"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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},
{
"token_id": "75340566969972081634678250383637418106797733381932150668833925085433285523042",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Creators",
"Open Source Intel",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-18T15:04:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x59de7d7484f77cefa3f1ad25c1638222db44b927e85c3e324ea0c45594695600 | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c00 | Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election? | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Union (Unionsparteien) or CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | will-cducsu-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c00 | 0x74770e33de4f08e06164dbfdfaa0f7c9be86e291d50e0f9a9342caa3ea7db26b | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "33681761260831962877087221191438407070969287851267556190459736422468649118802",
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{
"token_id": "85845622783000333117598074981420280293959269764595284719510408344261175760187",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T05:04:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x08435f2e385f4a9023af945b6da6659eb80872458bdf731cd6f624f2faa97514 | 0xc9ec4c51b4e13c439b4d503c174c6b6ea9bde919a98a445f534a1fd04272a1da | UConn vs. North Carolina | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 28 at 11:00AM ET:
If the UConn win, the market will resolve to “UConn”.
If the North Carolina win, the market will resolve to “North Carolina”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-conn-nc-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T16:00:00 | 3 | 0x7BA8478Cb354447401edeE9d7be6D9F41F3d5A70 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "69883698443775839238311023308959980267091824867233047163313531109635399168189",
"outcome": "UConn",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "73607337059408009558390586418318588883334211628056020440024321764914903030203",
"outcome": "North Carolina",
"price": 0,
... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:03:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5529e6ae9f381cc4a5ab24ac2782a3f416846f41a7dfa3b63d39eb4cba24c7ab | 0x6d6d0c35e7a6842615870ff9b24468e49adefca814f69a8d51145890aef0c4e3 | Bulls vs. Hornets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 30 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the game is not completed by January 6, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-chi-cha-2024-12-30 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x428EEb7f2500B24a1Ace19037734a2d5bA2ff6aA | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "89126765240255758040479366702130109831650691459595421826995496073770151811742",
"outcome": "Bulls",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "16042001224463671456993303212941148121538603859682602576091881416630720277854",
"outcome": "Hornets",
"price": 0,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:04:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xed1d3e921c5c8819aea429f50d48faa2a635b87d1d455c13517a0b9610a6ade9 | 0xd50e89f57792993da93bd4ac6b7a7312f92e0f3d4c4cb2a64897dc7ab769994c | Rangers vs. Panthers | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 30 at 7:00PM ET:
If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”.
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the game is not completed by January 6, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-nyr-fla-2024-12-30 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x76cE78Ae3f80cdDFf4BDC50b69105C1E684cFF23 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "93095751598189908103408821753730541921542276253273400029029018123931620337277",
"outcome": "Rangers",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "15739512870420538320633520240878334980194147255361835275798362299311060294270",
"outcome": "Panthers",
"price": 1,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-29T19:13:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa07f15fdd0baa90adf78bd4d66543083334a7e5235a95fa5f241c4e519ea83f6 | 0xfbc16b4e0a6e0a293301c83452264ed75b52a5a9b9e33ebe282323432503d3d7 | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The US's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The US must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-us-leave-nato-by-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-02-20T18:31:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 100,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "9252583647094848244431316973245869222379640287360099162283052699401101960353",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.004,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "112686805416681376426848642516954883318316273962669944235801308401883591913314",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.996,
"win... | [
"Politics",
"U.S. Politics",
"nato",
"Geopolitics",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T21:42:01 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0493c645800983c5ff2a6005680e3efb0a9c27b562716c8d58927c44fd14c52f | 0xac2151ffd4d10e6dc6cc51458d801474783d43eb314320340a94516fca5a28e0 | Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marc Gasol is selected to make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame (www.hoophall.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-marc-gasol-make-the-2025-class-of-the-naismith-basketball-hall-of-fame | 2025-02-14T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "53893145685581284648018061284697729201785786615593755612096548320059674402087",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "68060640734353954083593219132344995759311724539918749092802376938866932652787",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"WNBA"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:27:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x09069f2df5507af026c289f3c1adbc79049e7ee708686ee80072e7eb09f459e1 | 0x66b0aaf73ec8f4c8abcb77265f519992b3b8700f5783f3e96d758305b0d5c803 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Anthropic has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x66b0aaf73ec8f4c8abcb77265f519992b3b8700f5783f3e96d758305b0d5c800 | 0xfc70f1bad81a7c4016b08c8e1360ea39f0c8c0149d6803b8c6496f28a02d835d | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "58263894315159770166767347695068752596608351474535325487888716524812298182060",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "17417233224635353023431637230144256478717624113341036567291539621053994261396",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"llm",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:06:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf4e6e6198ec9fd5f0f956b4a8492e3bba9114927e894010ea7e0bf754cfadb52 | 0x610bcdd7b74625d2640b7835adf150c80fffa8dcd8d3ba038c86d3eb5b1b8e44 | Mavericks vs. Rockets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 1 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the game is not completed by January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-dal-hou-2025-01-01 | 2025-01-09T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x6CF1a7DCe04B140A8BB033b08d0902cded464028 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "7356189785716014399367599692314223134998484915252265700308418321684334502497",
"outcome": "Mavericks",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "80876465350961305241479133112712809765936693097513273838321185823421090605941",
"outcome": "Rockets",
"price": 1,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:19:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x37d6fdb304d3b1ba850a0618afa7ee344ef2fd62672fdfcc7b61782e7e66a3a6 | 0x86edd4f57047e0028d5d74d3c13089511317ca77cb1adb4ed8de9e5a99ed4555 | Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGEUSDT 03 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 0.31001 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGEUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGEUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | dogecoin-above-0pt31-on-january-3 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "50977687114299613463359452788464618556781911604289140246501241359810548866011",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "5215340393181001793065287837652627833570107764212663817232133284057077330011",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Crypto",
"Crypto Prices",
"DOGE",
"Memecoins"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:18:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x97480fb1ea30619d6682bedb183289eccf60da180311c8ba45985dcba13a05d6 | 0x24cf4d52547a4ac5d2d801659e7902a508acbf8dc82036ed5558e7c5bd583951 | Solana above $185 on January 3? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOLUSDT 03 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 185.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOLUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | solana-above-185-on-january-3 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "10761499657878501346024199756898066366470249812327240743868960849870694414679",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "1336415653384613418928467331428572534446743088458615513975203346579217943837",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:07:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd4cac51e10a531358eb7ea7b856d092fdc4eb6fedf35fe17ce76cfcdd1dba18c | 0x11b34096978449eb89cd594931fc60d0bf2cb5ae1667e87b98e7ecfdfac136cf | Devils vs. Kings | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 1 at 6:00PM ET:
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the Los Angeles Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the game is not completed by January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-nj-lak-2025-01-01 | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T23:00:00 | 3 | 0x44c40ddDb9361C87386644267fDc4F42dcfedd59 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "31700290165516521744372812228250257194474417834496208053793947578876242984541",
"outcome": "Devils",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "10123602236335528679050026523238012507435018743247041972445056068779367105722",
"outcome": "Kings",
"price": 1,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:05:34 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x11a2b690a2a485737870e0cc94f2dae09c85c3e761bad03bc66875680a395c12 | 0x0c35724f2b42b4c4f354717d3429b1b82ca45363ae1d6bab187438c3bb42c8a0 | Blues vs. Blackhawks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 31 at 5:00PM ET:
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the Chicago Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to “Blackhawks”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-stl-chi-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T22:00:00 | 3 | 0xd8E35b731C31a886795d9fa830d0E029cdE94551 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "113090964317005442580108499473545040899728386223558556114715223430057217647781",
"outcome": "Blues",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "92105874185431204038961696143385616712642782383803403307388337798663786337549",
"outcome": "Blackhawks",
"price": 0,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T07:09:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x68d732c9a151380ffa1a7af1b70dee5c04ef41a320e001fa19dc65ab0cb9ba7c | 0x0183af39a4025d5a8dd4bf7b1bcab04afd2f8514ef1c8406cba5e3c5aa6f6dc6 | Blue Jackets vs. Bruins | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 28 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”.
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-cbj-bos-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x09dDB34c778C0f9638E2AEa9C6F61C1A4a995120 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "40321871684514496005482447246196749355656844238299791840674726468166183801702",
"outcome": "Blue Jackets",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "5076981868067931620952088920658817280582397436170119281430571080972899906839",
"outcome": "Bruins",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:11:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xaf6ef58db4f630a2137c69d6514e32507bdd8d45482a74b0e5698a409fba9573 | 0xd01679bcf8ab9b01d1ca8f3c00fd3dae737f9652c8a8dc17cf231bdf6d7e060c | Canucks vs. Kraken | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 2 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Vancouver Canucks win, the market will resolve to “Canucks”.
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the game is not completed by January 9, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-van-sea-2025-01-02 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T03:00:00 | 3 | 0x84e441405f5286066F1B192e6ccc68C03550aDad | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "111621101874062190819522985714453247534800200358668128091625110103453017974846",
"outcome": "Canucks",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "67297814596921822220205715743312208983081489370498419958081351566702960768107",
"outcome": "Kraken",
"price": 0,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T19:02:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb21624323745659f2b4c5b0e85fa881566fcd1f7efeff916582270aa368fc242 | 0xdcb550b9058f6d20e23c859f8cc1808a0c11e435ffc378e30414c7e0f001c858 | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-erdogan-visit-syria-by-january | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 15
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "106148839285418986104418844045317480718327269882770784267355249099184702115702",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "34030055230881655917224446420665570636829086712196425226210252600220487048648",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Middle East",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T17:55:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfa6a3dcf3f25cc84d660b255793f9a2fc246c0b2e4ffeb51285dce46e075bded | 0x3916f049acedb6c0149dc0e01694d5ad5ed8320a1626e4fd451fb4c817028202 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple is the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-apple-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x3916f049acedb6c0149dc0e01694d5ad5ed8320a1626e4fd451fb4c817028200 | 0x5c7dfb65fc2f8777d7014707058437726201eff2dbbff2eb7a8b5dd3547c1bab | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 15
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "95373325952221967405216830246106096408022077923733034675018666037492142835505",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "4867911678588433946354567198683423345478963378162429593993608582716063987287",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Business",
"market cap",
"AI",
"stock",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T06:02:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x007d96e86168e3eba267690f04492b5a3a0250970746dbbb17266a26e8f84ddb | 0x7254eb237bcf31f7093cf2cc92699a23ffeda104949529448095d1fdeeb187ee | Texans vs. Titans | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 5 at 12:00AM ET:
If the Houston Texans win, the market will resolve to “Texans”.
If the Tennessee Titans win, the market will resolve to “Titans”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-hou-ten-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T05:00:00 | 3 | 0x0451a9Bb3daa4F2ef687f205636a638E05C05bc1 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "32159330253548347101627381563544460899911253567847672437119689222448544793941",
"outcome": "Texans",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "102483390181925765607111089058413309277625673291698968969172897411950201528047",
"outcome": "Titans",
"price": 0,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:07:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6608d33a9dd0ec44e7644454a67bf885746a8c5c1252ed8767c300e3f4e9ec3a | 0x329c2df9fce85828bfed9d70e3357e2b8364f3a2719d906e003e1317e48b45eb | 76ers vs. Kings | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 1 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the game is not completed by January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-phi-sac-2025-01-01 | 2025-01-09T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T03:00:00 | 3 | 0x84B8AA8896F93b7267af687F011866d28adf5703 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "19752159860476511847732842835554955556078582873051889755946431690521106464417",
"outcome": "76ers",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "82803487197277641117337588516929347065445718912923466971298236847192084048653",
"outcome": "Kings",
"price": 1,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:28:31 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x454d5dfaa39a5795bbb4f15567c84b780b88c998d5a576d79f38866be4661e75 | 0x66b0aaf73ec8f4c8abcb77265f519992b3b8700f5783f3e96d758305b0d5c805 | Will another model be the top AI model on January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a company other than Google, OpenAI, xAI, Anthropic, or Meta model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever model's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-another-model-be-the-top-ai-model-on-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x66b0aaf73ec8f4c8abcb77265f519992b3b8700f5783f3e96d758305b0d5c800 | 0x8053f58d9a323f9a34ea834f140b30885d47f84219dbe990f11466b009e8de14 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "53207180892790232786878387973345339986803016188856268928769517716697683270554",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "27622064854232600423097526461888118757472116174427626509313992699315248473888",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"llm",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:10:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xad601a1f8529dcc5373bc3eec8d276a1c941a0db4ed757cc2517dabb0b377dfd | 0xdba2318f99a605cd434c3d9d42bd30b8d0f185454400a50ede8752dc066f956e | Jazz vs. Heat | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the game is not completed by January 11, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-uta-mia-2025-01-04 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T01:00:00 | 3 | 0xf65A7479cA9a83B69bB2aEd0126E04C504852d26 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "34223475577103894540926885834847805465050679655743088890699680306572102182173",
"outcome": "Jazz",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "42390641868280280277048533277551641856154004868949411255620540735921215856610",
"outcome": "Heat",
"price": 0,
"winner": ... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T06:02:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa86c081244ef4d4ee4d9e7eb618f2b1b36e9856f34a4f33ac277e867e5d1ced3 | 0x70b4fe0f09003c7254f7388ae1aca5b4187536681734ce69cd4d754d783e5e0f | Giants vs. Eagles | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 5 at 12:00AM ET:
If the New York Giants win, the market will resolve to “Giants”.
If the Philadelphia Eagles win, the market will resolve to “Eagles”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-nyg-phi-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T05:00:00 | 3 | 0x25b45C10FA5E0724225B6966f75639704021cceD | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "18527012613972286831317537751702727298604205897139932858173345929109546610193",
"outcome": "Giants",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "73302847607911237912678827169680394735334072262822073873313752980544152487048",
"outcome": "Eagles",
"price": 1,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:02:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7ebcf5d1702fdcc65aedef6acc5e28a71cfb3dae05b9069ad3221eb03c59c5f5 | 0x88556f7860daefa6d2ff6d05206d5c832be9c3f46f92b943fe60400a44a8266c | Pacers vs. Celtics | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 29 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the game is not completed by January 5, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-ind-bos-2024-12-29 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T23:00:00 | 3 | 0x890597eb029B935c442c2a726C5C3AD3Fb7524F9 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "106684246410232212959933084090429921106308297053776924797652627348293185521382",
"outcome": "Pacers",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "87833928477474752186423857071463518038875522928954860384251105397067296924253",
"outcome": "Celtics",
"price": 0,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-26T20:58:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1992c7166e2fe5c4f6596df532f87704b5a7e4b34b62e01589708cc7543066c8 | 0x1c1a196b59bae9429d593f4a657c2fb883e82c4d76b95c35aad7f2cc7f49dc13 | Will Trump enact India travel ban in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government implements a ban against Indian nationals traveling to the United States by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "travel ban" refers to a formal prohibition, restriction, or suspension issued by the US government for Indian citizens/nationals attempting to enter US territory. The market will resolve early if an official travel ban against Indian nationals has been announced and confirmed prior to the end of this market's timeframe.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign legislation or perform an executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-trump-enact-india-travel-ban-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 1
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "79341337892874219701425175041537740973262675256474903054771813732218539050067",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "96127927921946668901874626277396879044637785380033621975651148589751229553224",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"India",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency",
"H1b",
"Travel Ban",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Immigration/Border",
"Executive Actions",
"First 100 days"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T07:10:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0de4099df47b413acbf399ef8ff58d9cb1cc6420c9f4314f2494b6103c02dfda | 0x70c38cfc1879f3f73eab84ee662632c673ecdd9e100f6e801bf1afc4e1ae6831 | Penguins vs. Islanders | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 28 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-pit-nyi-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T00:30:00 | 3 | 0xB59eAEaC8C02Ec058E1a784838adE90f2393595a | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "55820648693021329437352135835297518735065523004057981746118704165047312791410",
"outcome": "Penguins",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "97906241599591841604859337042029768341143756987240279631495347169339304998485",
"outcome": "Islanders",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:11:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb026b8390fa2304296f2820a74e724475d5d9867634029591b514e86f30b1f76 | 0x3075a2ce275a502add7bc5773c38a44bab283a27758d210345db68e0b28815d7 | Hawks vs. Clippers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the game is not completed by January 11, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-atl-lac-2025-01-04 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T03:30:00 | 3 | 0x7a1654DE0C35C797842E4f47C7Ea35952AE2e230 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "93744248559779010996282952656597192874860102548279918632823834516473369935271",
"outcome": "Hawks",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "36395330523976024981761541130367222187421947452977814299151566011419850630696",
"outcome": "Clippers",
"price": 1,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T21:27:37 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5a07b04930bd4345e50c808a28bf8fb021eee851d8802d16dd7125d7fb67d3d8 | 0xc204e3b6d52a9b9d23b3f53e89a6ea32bdd3e25c3d1dc5a95d8f4d7a34534703 | Will Lonzo Ball get traded to the Brooklyn Nets? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lonzo Ball of the Chicago Bulls is traded to the Brooklyn Nets before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Chicago Bulls, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-lonzo-ball-get-traded-to-the-brooklyn-nets | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc204e3b6d52a9b9d23b3f53e89a6ea32bdd3e25c3d1dc5a95d8f4d7a34534700 | 0xd99ad72b476564e9e74bf62885f549c384e1cead6c328e16069a396aae5a9e4c | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "36547851349608882788191390736569032544893678449556015455326231613915928131206",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "14775743334023084176945267011610121863347732700638146703466638214146268727920",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Lonzo Ball"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T17:56:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5eeeda882e8c5408beade42868709dc3d2569d0b1b73983e6ccfefbcd338721e | 0x3916f049acedb6c0149dc0e01694d5ad5ed8320a1626e4fd451fb4c817028203 | Will another company be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a company other than Nvidia, Microsoft, or Apple is the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-another-company-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x3916f049acedb6c0149dc0e01694d5ad5ed8320a1626e4fd451fb4c817028200 | 0x1e6bc5e9221679b9688352aa046f121d85b318d917fcd1428cd2b5a5657fe240 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "70659356145050680843007359223856618691855849650993062582439054931144950600566",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "17448845962902103029884098211497714258382863103737692759098669052265222032830",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"market cap",
"AI",
"stock",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T21:40:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x539d976e4a121b2e82f87681e684bcb4de1ae334b9f9ed8aba770204f11e7381 | 0x7224da66872d29695273124dd46ee381b407b222e894137aeac0532eba85a96b | Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Few is selected to make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame (www.hoophall.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-mark-few-make-the-2025-class-of-the-naismith-basketball-hall-of-fame | 2025-02-14T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "59714330112172751367713775188440399456878804860156705799599477260395984837532",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "20417206272169152715153651075738966609844263053490235836749509853113272988948",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"WNBA"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T19:26:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc32ce44ce8c7464df41c010a0a446dffdf9570d1f5b1790e4262bed043f41bca | 0x66b0aaf73ec8f4c8abcb77265f519992b3b8700f5783f3e96d758305b0d5c802 | Will xAI have the top AI model on January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by xAI has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x66b0aaf73ec8f4c8abcb77265f519992b3b8700f5783f3e96d758305b0d5c800 | 0x98feab00084db8575ce0a92449d0d6c6ce7c72e690192caa13a364ef7d23b831 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "94064629939084561129056013895599077581628169794375380527186111007270533704838",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "83905918770265414566303605451999364674031961390890992299156545904771092690089",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"llm",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:15:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc950c22a8cb8b2027dd8f870e02306a990840c9abfabf2026c99ddeaef2648af | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a08 | Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 425 (inclusive) and 449 (inclusive) times on X between December 27, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-425-449-times-dec-27-jan-3 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a00 | 0x0b53ed277f89eb709f9672c6210040165b1267637035da7cab2f1b97c2e0798a | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 500
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91614035385450298559481345487277089384498366694231746825456771776712154113367",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "80229582891973860010809826614784865162543697901362636655067039827371451165800",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:02:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3a6db485667206ca06759af928e7af0d8bf0b95b02056ac5b0c4b3d6b4fad07a | 0x5e649c316aa0f05ac1937b3ea6329474942db7ccec11cc959e2e39ab242b5d78 | Capitals vs. Red Wings | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 29 at 5:00PM ET:
If the Washington Capitals win, the market will resolve to “Capitals”.
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the game is not completed by January 5, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-wsh-det-2024-12-29 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T22:00:00 | 3 | 0x741480aa3d47D7777074b4Fb2981B9857d64e547 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "6573180807986623652777853184497135430069667132350267272324665889919829033536",
"outcome": "Capitals",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "70125765547070494685665598419509778186618642075377494817848798065715274697047",
"outcome": "Red Wings",
"price": 1,
"... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:09:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x46b20e8cce1e6f815bfa6ef4e2fdec4017c1a1892825f5190aac024db60d551f | 0xd5248773eff9543fb9455b2796f677fc61f853e1d7a1011b7de0bd59be3ef518 | Hawks vs. Lakers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 3 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”.
If the game is not completed by January 10, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-atl-lal-2025-01-03 | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T03:30:00 | 3 | 0x5546DdCE801B78124c178F377df422dafd92463e | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "101202698291731623234343413657942745125030847840068639447346379976337209185856",
"outcome": "Hawks",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "84822140974218859854424780051465058803231577895274296321782530668407490992142",
"outcome": "Lakers",
"price": 1,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T18:34:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2e52a72e036adfba7577a3f04f08b4b49e379a66837760bc567504b8ea88a759 | 0xd98898abc2028972447f3f7645a8cb0abf3242696eb7ed1d6d2626d1daee054d | Yoon arrested by January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yoon Suk Yeol is arrested between December 26, 2024, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | yoon-arrested-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 300
}
],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "85442727035389454031612918053643961392702109206689267938629932044197848554158",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "76959058521237622352185559205905035682798238941064048019529799375655942301249",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"South Korea",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T21:38:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x990e59a9b2fd9bf42e53878cadf23a04e07a928ee1caffa9accc46053f41df7b | 0x7e1dbd77331c83ca341c6d98aaf871c1da8a12e17de2cb0c970b316b981e46c0 | Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Maya Moore is selected to make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame (www.hoophall.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-maya-moore-make-the-2025-class-of-the-naismith-basketball-hall-of-fame | 2025-02-14T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "96802614181708412204881327277280994649023839233442182944293155494363620075658",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "62179073668907104846813854802911626263109869282726489089790467615241124246902",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"WNBA"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:07:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5eafcd3f5ec270efac168efe18f1b9b99742b409fee9c0cae9e378e8f0f86875 | 0x2ebe8356c9c34fe124a2f218218aabe7c560115611db274bc7e844ce4234c05a | Penguins vs. Red Wings | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 31 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-pit-det-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x013DB562270C3Dc09c87aF18487799487a878853 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "10204512454385538928000065041964914256142321712862292956470806705050524848435",
"outcome": "Penguins",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "25110740955678075584208861496881995942733304938397596694255328476273998570582",
"outcome": "Red Wings",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:02:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x50e2dc697f14e3fed98408b7cb5607069a22120cd23ff9b4e121c9736c0a6fa8 | 0xc4859e08c59dba93fcff87a682c0bc35bcf74ce3274d123ce90c56b0008544f0 | Nets vs. Magic | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 29 at 3:30PM ET:
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”.
If the game is not completed by January 5, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-bkn-orl-2024-12-29 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T20:30:00 | 3 | 0x418f71D740018782fa343458985907E5D993ed1d | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "10984343932143282050191021956976978030005466818995082737332850972260703775882",
"outcome": "Nets",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "4985748737323645233421076541813388992315675288421568976732345126600962337394",
"outcome": "Magic",
"price": 1,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:01:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xef27dff25148763e7bb1315a9e99d288adc2f98c1f4a38fb4429caa1e3c687f7 | 0xe96fbc24ffc435af3dfe9df048f4b6e3a21272c70e72826951a58315261e925a | Sabres vs. Blues | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 29 at 3:00PM ET:
If the Buffalo Sabres win, the market will resolve to “Sabres”.
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the game is not completed by January 5, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-buf-stl-2024-12-29 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T20:00:00 | 3 | 0xC9457DB6f038F77020132fE71477Fd2cbD19dD3A | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "46552739944430381676219146220914992255014065192485017129380631071293910054098",
"outcome": "Sabres",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "39955958216850960005476747801357464613141592662666009145419883616111768612992",
"outcome": "Blues",
"price": 0,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T17:13:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa9c2997d85e9e86dd1fe192ffe8a86622e031accdb3ad25d707aace86d6d0d17 | 0x9eed0c0a016952d7908df930690ec94387b94f4d0c15617d1bac671a69a754b9 | Hyperliquid exploit before February? | This is a market on whether Hyperliquid suffers an exploit by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard, currently available at https://rekt.news/leaderboard/.
If Hyperliquid is listed on the resolution source as having suffered an exploit before the resolution date, regardless of the size or ranking, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market pertains to an exploit of Hyperliquid itself. Exploits of protocols on Hyperliquid will not count.
Only exploits which have a date listed on the Rekt News Leaderboard as January 31, 2025 or before will count. In the case there is ambiguity over the validity or availability of Rekt's Leaderboard, the project's primary communication channels (e.g. Twitter), and other credible crypto publications will be referenced. | hyperliquid-exploit-before-february | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 15
}
],
"min_size": 100,
"max_spread": 2.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "36454994067104898497860196284998395905181133229375248604311841623430846856696",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "51501674429730552146216444882588416075038501334432149154145398902244931191070",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"finance",
"Tech"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T06:02:31 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xce908f140145b3d28abe31e0ad189be3031248aec1ceb057266f6f5c143be097 | 0xdba433861a9c13454c8b061b98305cc81fd92a170b0ab309787073c949c1c5f3 | Lions vs. 49ers | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 30 at 8:15PM ET:
If the Detroit Lions win, the market will resolve to “Lions”.
If the San Francisco 49ers win, the market will resolve to “49ers”.
If the game is not completed by January 6, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-det-sf-2024-12-30 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T01:15:00 | 3 | 0x546c59C620C79e4e1b00af08E4F7cAa5e76759fC | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "32405823341266000411798641844683669509879123939706698696435748004256813494690",
"outcome": "Lions",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "91248788600806608997423506802935536855445400183044342733478748650330632278155",
"outcome": "49ers",
"price": 0,
"winner"... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:12:35 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x60a6042337283bf2a1441be185d25fd46ab26bd29ff17d498125dcf3fd7e1f75 | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a04 | Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 325 (inclusive) and 349 (inclusive) times on X between December 27, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-325-349-times-dec-27-jan-3 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a00 | 0xe2382996ff5f54fb2eace1516b4c09e68690f61e154f48c7252e4febe31cf7f8 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "79645062373685491889370239142642466510638500356965036640844946698629310818328",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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},
{
"token_id": "48939212806909738189218840533021723711401078853497300014113022194872773621112",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:03:41 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x46d2f51c680c3ecb92d7f8c8f04f488f88a6abebef179a72a382a37930df4b27 | 0x4f8126bef70e8702be2821801e9222fa8686463c163214d4565c68704b7c1900 | Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 7:30AM ET,
If Tottenham wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Tottenham loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-tot-new-2025-01-04-tot | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T12:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x4f8126bef70e8702be2821801e9222fa8686463c163214d4565c68704b7c1900 | 0x2639c937b57cd3dd881e214c57609579cb9e9fa8a5ec38ce147ee747a3967e32 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "106298861292246161053429398983207070416337091865277428512610132653037294562229",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "27918868428032351077398629050993377778714882439425592495852775653491304663312",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:06:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb2b10864904253b9e764c428d15cd5267c49871396228da9ca4fbba6a9efde88 | 0x1a1f4a7933dc7db4b989bc6c0b74b3a9f007cfd99eac12e211213d30b4963730 | Hawks vs. Nuggets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 1 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the game is not completed by January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-atl-den-2025-01-01 | 2025-01-09T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T02:00:00 | 3 | 0x1d6e249841D5D809Ef4ACd3d79530CbBEf083769 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "1131087092908429466462255921991573711142354016480447729408642080849682904965",
"outcome": "Hawks",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "58343794674569153830667313175469745257833072116914527487222931359434400830985",
"outcome": "Nuggets",
"price": 1,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-28T19:45:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd72ecc6961ae3efdf616b2f869e75807655dab5749030b2e80ab433010c82abd | 0x9a597e5d2d2b430409479c2cf1803f7721ee064af421ba1248bd587808df0107 | Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 250+ tries? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make 250 or more Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.
The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.
If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket. | will-kai-and-speed-win-fortnite-in-250-tries | 2025-01-15T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9a597e5d2d2b430409479c2cf1803f7721ee064af421ba1248bd587808df0100 | 0x2667b29d40ea26c96fa50b1885a1ad249876ea25c6b1b71544f5ca809c594bb6 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 75
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "96715885999961709634216551855060965128226028063486454781967856310003397291475",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "53585305607298160462521396334070545380657119451131667686165190754915327174943",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"video games",
"Esports",
"Culture",
"internet"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:03:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe9f3f7cc981fe802f3f04b2bc3d2ae02349d3ceb8ba2bd9c619455f501ab13e7 | 0xe3e019370e80c5ed1e196920fe791209e4482ae75fa79c4c42f7e93551aee501 | Will Brentford vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 1 at 12:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-01 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-bre-ars-2025-01-01-draw | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T17:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xe3e019370e80c5ed1e196920fe791209e4482ae75fa79c4c42f7e93551aee500 | 0xd433f8002268a4e2cc356687c0469e9517b08e73a08ee71e17d746e577e118fd | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75597592303749126204147347778490573939768454271489153559337961614185649909815",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "54736409335205572457136494367027383616506953672926076214428897934033057063042",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:07:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6348b4a38ca4135d749b73ef02d9617f3aa741994ccea69b366dd9c8542358e4 | 0xb162a9d4e93fa9a0c8f4c0b92bc723ef597e685b0a491f7c508e03a6f68896ee | Clippers vs. Thunder | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 2 at 8:00PM ET:
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the game is not completed by January 9, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-lac-okc-2025-01-02 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x3262D6cD653D5abc92ef89824c173cFf9DFB9920 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "76118820981082774368538851275322882050677421456646828535402166369333359330162",
"outcome": "Clippers",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "29633862222933023343436006592667446179219315699283656757134686578643175504112",
"outcome": "Thunder",
"price": 1,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:11:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x18d610892d0de07ac37fc97ed16d50fde9426f16518c5ac8f7a3a8fa75e865ed | 0xfee00e9d0a02e514a2f360868469e8614c49ea7582b6343b628d2f792a827f1e | Lightning vs. Sharks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 2 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the game is not completed by January 9, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-tb-sj-2025-01-02 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T03:30:00 | 3 | 0x2520C5AA28807d6f8Bb2A4810Ab3B4E44cbC931c | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77229450644864399254283198995192665019077297822840169049832765921030984691116",
"outcome": "Lightning",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "4983524938811861681468604084443752247863542930674743158645157195391285928918",
"outcome": "Sharks",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T21:39:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9a8b42075cd579867f262be426f46229475ccef121a709617c479ad5fc1ccc2a | 0x6a4684172e2020cccef74835943ac1583a358a2c73528ed7cbeb725b1f70f00e | Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dwight Howard is selected to make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame (www.hoophall.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-dwight-howard-make-the-2025-class-of-the-naismith-basketball-hall-of-fame | 2025-02-14T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "46874349964523700215392052114821313108870925032060122277758287988761823371590",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "81783939127312697073376270661915900193412963452688166321640565939899455966955",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"WNBA"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T05:04:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd936aa1aac00c81186851806d68ec99325b37c6c20a20302404c1016ae403043 | 0xc49aedae2b0f20dd827cbdcaea810ce3c867137b57b17c5953ba7b76ea3a3f2f | Syracuse vs. Washington State | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 27 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Syracuse win, the market will resolve to “Syracuse”.
If the Washington State win, the market will resolve to “Washington State”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-syr-wsu-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x2Fd55b3F1626Ada77F99B7eEb338Fa26d3161bD1 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67895442498996899308948984431547390139286648174647806437148853798244405711226",
"outcome": "Syracuse",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "80003226676569138245060407012976002951459250767346314647715835229506483035581",
"outcome": "Washington State",
"price": 0... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | false | false | true | true | 2024-12-29T06:03:58 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xfb0da92f3dfaf8d71b3ccfbcd955fcaf930f382fd2c6dac69e4abf3ba0d85566 | 0xc855d95ccf2aad20fbb23282440029d1c84c53fce411874ed2435f9fcfa7c0e1 | arcBrowns vs. Ravens | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 5 at 12:00AM ET:
If the Cleveland Browns win, the market will resolve to “Browns”.
If the Baltimore Ravens win, the market will resolve to “Ravens”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-cle-bal-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T05:00:00 | 3 | 0xf8d5767Ca8C2D8A25De3c743ebce32729Ec44844 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "19554682905334321697137495927875467646304865402397087098268819558018305915078",
"outcome": "Browns",
"price": 0.085,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "106210909298803204684378827195115507008539683801639587905239389052873262721499",
"outcome": "Ravens",
"price": 0.915,
... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:04:34 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5de8a48516c1724a4819433470dea5f44d722c49a847da67679f768091a97473 | 0x5810032d11799891f95bbd737aeaf77c124b66eaa10e132604fc2bf11d8317a5 | Mavericks vs. Kings | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 30 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the game is not completed by January 6, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-dal-sac-2024-12-30 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T03:00:00 | 3 | 0x5352856AC5004Ea3ca7a359546d56AbCf6AE63cE | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67320709151695766877468684992112428038157202555046239027398369299128216947058",
"outcome": "Mavericks",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "47001487492060010441220701534131174747592609984465087045775687512097133344962",
"outcome": "Kings",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T06:03:29 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x523cdec10b279dc56c247e5f4bd18112e248cedb6787be16efb6fe38f35d8447 | 0x35c46b64a99800e597f0b260428bde75c51f2d4ecaf8613aeb79490d75e5224b | Ravens vs. Texans | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 25 at 4:30PM ET:
If the Baltimore Ravens win, the market will resolve to “Ravens”.
If the Houston Texans win, the market will resolve to “Texans”.
If the game is not completed by January 1, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-bal-hou-2024-12-25 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2024-12-25T21:30:00 | 3 | 0xb97a3e2888ac3a8b2fEc41fE26d14DaCCd45AE95 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "96068332523096180005575320242928388798768018366099748747318498701297507060501",
"outcome": "Ravens",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "54508361847288847308128652323252964772386722411491614156700113322006370137580",
"outcome": "Texans",
"price": 0,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T21:28:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x195282164c4023c238c600fe4e8fef781d8d41fe997fc8af6f27bc198b539866 | 0xc204e3b6d52a9b9d23b3f53e89a6ea32bdd3e25c3d1dc5a95d8f4d7a34534704 | Will Lonzo Ball get traded to the Miami Heat? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lonzo Ball of the Chicago Bulls is traded to the Miami Heat before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Chicago Bulls, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-lonzo-ball-get-traded-to-the-miami-heat | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc204e3b6d52a9b9d23b3f53e89a6ea32bdd3e25c3d1dc5a95d8f4d7a34534700 | 0x0ef408b174ceba6a2aadee1b036536a249b8dfad5e4e33ed00c0d0556d386521 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "93016202407073671540613694923057257038474554459532076031661100654689833968823",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "66571361135153846449667847383111692027151377281796620826380112297878869573497",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Lonzo Ball"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:10:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7e7b4444705de810870a69df498bf00b7a6a24869f07586c6fcfd0ecee230bf8 | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a00 | Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts less than 250 times on X between December 27, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-less-than-250-times-dec-27-jan-3 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a00 | 0xe10b0c9b354e6ac2d2abc1e41ec8fbe6dce778f80f0ec18edf66e9ca9a050a99 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 50
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "70539065921361278229834824912852031961811372037996377546577555974792265799252",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
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{
"token_id": "76415821457738428480062670178345871564854146310394012043122879608155224941345",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T06:04:17 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd514cd59ba0dad2c4ed2ab3ab96fb6c479565eb2ebe7fdda553116cc1258da19 | 0x733377ba5db92188ee1bd8730446c353ed69c426576d01071c8aec8e7bfce8d9 | Cardinals vs. Rams | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 28 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Arizona Cardinals win, the market will resolve to “Cardinals”.
If the Los Angeles Rams win, the market will resolve to “Rams”.
If the game is not completed by January 4, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-ari-la-2024-12-28 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T01:00:00 | 3 | 0xf3ca54D414ab66869B3C4Aa821918c85fa741bFa | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "50256170506338507878998005727575638281247511275522116517808947493411545025867",
"outcome": "Cardinals",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "7874816054152777328619282096666130460119492929818019040392492669236480574460",
"outcome": "Rams",
"price": 1,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:08:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0e2ecfc3c40fd5f02144eb86f3bae2fa02145cf06e6f3f2bcee5af7164610f76 | 0xfb213aed0115a18650d4ac18c562f415d7439bf10665ef919e3a96093b90e8bb | Wizards vs. Pelicans | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 3 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the game is not completed by January 10, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-was-nop-2025-01-03 | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T01:00:00 | 3 | 0xC85EA6B137f41D829A517D02Eedc1E5B13FA10ae | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "15859890179127822161773585325724408641317146235779533669700720322257142339264",
"outcome": "Wizards",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "1293088030998817011310047460292092053448931832180110614426064652072543018904",
"outcome": "Pelicans",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-29T22:50:19 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791 | 0x9c5e79f6f5071d2dd10596c382fb5dc459cef4ee4d34f45e5af3fda326f42ae0 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice. | russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-04-19T22:20:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "15974786252393396629980467963784550802583781222733347534844974829144359265969",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.235,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "42351579455604873042957090441032286075880144797259231030267680078160718556927",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.765,
"win... | [
"Politics",
"Ukraine",
"Geopolitics",
"Macro Geopolitics",
"2025 Predictions",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T05:02:43 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9cc342caeb60f7673e8c6b03861aa0d5042408543042a2ceed5e3242eecbbdea | 0x42975fcb6a61d1c60cac42415f4a5a97ea6271dcdbee359aa3b23ea94517612b | South Florida vs. San José State | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 24 at 8:00PM ET:
If the South Florida win, the market will resolve to “South Florida”.
If the San José State win, the market will resolve to “San José State”.
If the game is not completed by December 31, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-usf-sjsu-2024-12-24 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2024-12-25T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x239848f62e932a72e760B72d3EB6Ac57F53e3b6E | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "14252397763325507037007038393320469757475573089363437112091707426452796118400",
"outcome": "South Florida",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "16319944430512823871883212495694676545836269345485831395501987798148620278642",
"outcome": "San José State",
"price"... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T06:04:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc287b749c1c6eee77bdc3c15a9931ec40324f0d4e5321149675a5c59987482cc | 0x2e9e1b4d88b61d7c5fa6e9975ccdd332439c0e928c43449487e100b6566a3daf | Raiders vs. Saints | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 29 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Las Vegas Raiders win, the market will resolve to “Raiders”.
If the New Orleans Saints win, the market will resolve to “Saints”.
If the game is not completed by January 5, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-lv-no-2024-12-29 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T18:00:00 | 3 | 0xA02065DeF7CF092F7feE0e95CE008943EDF2A8D5 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "8818074921322322384763670382304819719194969390540559060334908240454265906083",
"outcome": "Raiders",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "12207209912649339780722941522575189988421339460779115042749570573062464104415",
"outcome": "Saints",
"price": 0,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T07:14:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6db95e20636ee2fdb7d0434033a0521960da6c54dc100cc2a18bcd71f0f2379f | 0x3e6daa52b2de3f40be9e27ea65cf7264951f0c7cefe779cb0702d032691c430f | Blues vs. Blue Jackets | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 4 at 7:00PM ET:
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”.
If the game is not completed by January 11, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-stl-cbj-2025-01-04 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 3 | 0xE658B89Ece1Ab4df56ef18da088fa95a8B864AFb | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "31215198223431496186226591911747095603792151496410961920060101148401772427181",
"outcome": "Blues",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "112126586508293097445384431258650792831333743023206795331446313884143758937164",
"outcome": "Blue Jackets",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] |
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