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We believe this should support pent up demand when the economy and capital spending improve.
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Quarter strengthens our conviction on 2000 estimates, but doesn't cause us to raise them.
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We estimate US Fabrazyme sales represent a modest percentage of total revenue for Genzyme near term, and the ultimate US and European market potential for the drug is roughly $200-250 million.
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Retail Store Automation provides self service check-out and point-of-sale scanning systems to improve store operating efficiencies.
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We are particularly encouraged by Clorox's targets for sales growth (9% annually), operating margin expansion (80-130 basis points annually), capital spending programs, and improving working capital efficiency.
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Also, while there are always changing operational and competitive dynamics that affect all companies' businesses, in the case of 3M, some risks that have recently caught investors' attention include: (a) emergence of new competitors entering some of 3M's highest margin businesses with comparable but cheaper products, particularly in 3M's medical and display graphics businesses; (b) the status of the future pipeline for new drugs, particularly IRMs; (c) the impact of escalating raw material input costs, particularly for energy; (d) rising concerns about intellectual property infringement and even theft,.
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(For detailed quarterly analysis and yearly estimates, please refer to Exhibits 1 and 2.) The company's Neurological and Diabetes sales increased 11% (9.5% FX neutral) to $408 million -- $17 million below our estimate.
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As previously mentioned, we have lowered our U.S. cable network advertising growth estimate to 5.5% from 6.5%.
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We assume 6.4% US advertising growth in 2005, incorporating TV station advertising growth of 1.5%..
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Five-Acre Pilot Appears Promising: In addition to growth opportunities associated with the SEIS, Pinedale production could also benefit from down-spacing.
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EOG increased their drilling activity substantially in 2005 as they drilled 208 net wells after initiating the play in 2004.
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Multiple Sclerosis market continues to be highly competitive, a negative for Avonex.
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The company's growth is expected to be driven primarily by its wireless segment (about 30% of semiconductor revenues), though certain smaller segments (broadband access, automotive and digital consumer), are all expected to show healthy growth.
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Prevacid sales increased 12% to $709 million, about $118 million higher than our estimate as rebate reversals have positively impacted Q4 results.
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But we increased our fiscal 3Q01 estimate for Investment Services, assuming seasonal (and other) improvement.
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We have raised our 2001 EPS estimates to $1.30.
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The shortfall was due to higher raw material costs which reduced earnings by $0.23 versus an initial expectation of $0.12-$0.15.
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Moody's cannot envision a combined rate and spread scenario.
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Liquidity incl. $393m of cash and $592m of capacity on $650m facility (also $200m remaining on existing equity/debt shelf).
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Consumer revenues of $315mm were up 63% y/y, beating our $301mm forecast.
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First Chicago NBD (FCN): First Chicago National Bank (FCNB), the predecessor to FCN, was evidently really the first, opening for business on July 1, 1863, the same day that the Union and Confederate armies arrived at Gettysburg.
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We believe the typically higher unit volume traffic growth rate generated by UNP over the past 10 and 20 year timeframes as a western rail, greater management focus on ROIC and free cash flow, sound and enhancing yield management, and improving financial position (i.e., reducing debt) augur well for a slightly higher multiple over time.
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The stock has not made much upward progress following its gap from early August, which typically can lead to further selling pressure.
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Grainger is scheduled to present Tues, May 22, at our Boston Industrial Internet Conference.
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We consider this a very risky situation and continue to recommend that investors avoid the stock, or if still involved, sell their shares.
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We were expecting delivery growth of 23% and a 4% increase in ASP.
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Tapping into the exploding demand for content delivery over the internet, we believe the company can show revenue and earnings growth in excess of 30% for the next several years.
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These enhanced replacement blades will be priced at $10.99 for a pack of 4, about 15% higher than the current cost of Mach3Turbo blades.
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Our earnings model only includes acquisitions already completed.
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However, the higher 3Q03 base moves our subsequent estimates higher.
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CC expects to incur after-tax charges of $35MM (or approximately $0.17 per share) for lease terminations, fixed asset disposals, and to a lesser extent, severance and other costs.
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These are comprised of investment management (51%), processing (35%), and benefit consulting/brokerage (14%).
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We could be seeing investors selling who had been waiting for the spin to occur..
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AMD's long history of losing money, we think AMD's exit of the NOR flash business and established success at the high-end of the server space has structurally improved its margin profile at least for the next two to three years, making average 5-year margins unlikely to be negative.
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Banc One's net interest margin also got an estimated 11 bp boost from the seasonal uptick in its tax refund anticipation note program.
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Nonetheless, we remain concerned with the heightened integration risk associated with these latest transactions and will be monitoring ADC's progress closely.
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Southwest Airlines reported first quarter earnings of 4 cents per share, a penny above our estimate.
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The stated goals of the Task Force's collective effort from the beginning was to determine the causes of the blackout and to develop recommendations for the prevention of a similar event in the future.
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On the 4Q07 earnings call, new CEO Jeff Bewkes gave a strategic overview focusing on three initiatives: (1) improve operating performance: this will include cutting corporate costs by 15% (annual run rate savings of $50 million) and streamlining costs at the Newline studios; (2) having the right businesses: TWX announced it has started a formal discussion with TWC over its 84% ownership stake in cable and said it will divide the AOL business into two separate units (access and ad); (3) managing the balance sheet: management wants to maintain healthy leverage (3.0x) and also generate return for shareholders..
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That means the company will clear the channel of outgoing Acrobat and Illustrator versions during FQ1:03, which will, in our view, lead to a larger sequential revenue decline than current consensus suggests.
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Globalstar (GSTRF, $9, not rated) announced on June 30 that it had previously drawn on a credit facility partially guaranteed by LMT.
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Interest rates and credit availability are critical to new home sales, whether manufactured or site-built.
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We believe these conditions will continue to drive lower trading and generation earnings over the next 12-18 months; these concerns underlie our 4H (Underperform, High Risk) rating on MIR and our $0.95 2003 EPS est..
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Thus, this is the second time this quarter that important information has been introduced in a somewhat questionable manner.
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In October 1998, NTL Inc., an alternative telecommunications company in the U.K, acquired Comcast U.K. CMCSK received 4.8 million shares of NTL in exchange for all of its U.K shares.
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With a reduction in our earnings forecast, it is still growing at 2.2x that of the market on 2001 estimates.
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growth rate of 9% between now and 2005 Display Technologies.
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On Oct. 1, 2005, MYG had approximately $974 million of notes outstanding.
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Overall, this was a strong quarter for GD nearly across the board.
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several challenges at its European division (which includes Great Britain, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Luxembourg, and represents about 23% of CCE's volume and 28% of sales).
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The law legalized VLTs at five race tracks and other locations pending local approval, and excluded three tracks, including Belmont Park.
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Other applications inculde carpet and flooring and construction products EVOCAR-Specialty latex NEOCAR-Branched vinyl ester latex UCAR POLYPHOBE-Rheology modifiers FOUNDATIONS--Latex.
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The other product finishes market where SHW has a limited position is automotive.
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At present the United Kingdom, Germany and France all offer breakfast, while Sweden just launched its service..
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Operating margin improved year-over-year by about 140 basis points due to the higher level of sales and benefits from past reorganization efforts and focus on cost efficiencies taking effect.
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We are reducing our estimates, as we believe an inventory correction is unfolding in the PLD industry, as evidenced by the November 29 pre-announcement from Altera, in addition to the November 20 pre-announcement from Avnet, Xilinx's largest North American distributor.
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The final vendor was eliminated because it "did not come prepared for the sales pitch.".
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We view this as the potential beginning of a deeper relationship between AEP and Centrica, which could broaden into a large amount of PPAs for Centrica's expanding retail electricity and natural gas operations in the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada.
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The timing of the announcement could also signal an attempt by Allegheny to respond to investor demands for a management change to garner additional votes for tomorrow's shareholder referendum on eliminating the preemptive rights provision of the corporate charter.
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Ph III done, More safety studies initiated in 1Q02 Revised 1/22/03.
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Contribution from timeshare operations was lower than our projections.
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If PCS can demonstrate its ability to execute on this set of strong assets, we believe that it will translate into positive momentum from the investment community.
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Our new target price goes to $26 (up $4), reflecting the benefit of tighter funding spreads.
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BR's long-term production and reserve growth outlook is dependent on its ability to make property acquisitions, which is inherently difficult to predict.
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Importantly, the label reaffirmed the drug's cardiovascular safety profile.
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Risks to this range include a deterioration in primary and secondary fixed income businesses and a continued drought in the M&A business.
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We believe that membership mass will become an increasingly critical success factor going forward, especially given the recent positive earnings announcements by the larger hospital companies..
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The deal will create the world's third largest PC company with annual revs of $12B and volume of roughly 12M units (8% WW share based on 2003 results).
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Market leader of personal security systems for the nursing home market.
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In its entirety, EES already comprises more than 4,000 individuals including fleets of mechanical, electrical construction, HVAC and facilities management engineers.
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Through the merger, Harrah's will also acquire the newly developed 18-hole Rio Secco golf course and golf training center, located in suburban Las Vegas.
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Also, as with any acquisition related story, investors need to be aware of inherent integration risks.
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The result of fewer shares outstanding accounted for the remaining $0.14-per-share increase.
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We note our estimates are not adjusted for the planned spin-off of the yellow pages operation.
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Stripping out $0.02 loss from Protiviti, results in line with guidance.
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Our June channel survey surfaced new evidence that Emulex (ELX $23.67) offered aggressive late quarter pricing on 1 Gbps Fibre Channel adapters, and was successful in generating some orders.
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� Property casualty written premium � modestly below: Net written premium fell 3%, as the company stepped away from the middle market (down 9%) and specialty commercial (down 8%).
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The advantage of this hybrid system is that company-owned houses allow the brewers to maintain control and focus in the geographic markets that require close management; InBev in Northwest Europe, AmBev in Sao Paolo or SABMiller in Warsaw or the larger cities in South Africa are examples we have seen up close.
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We expect gross margin to remain at current levels through the remainder of the year.
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In addition, leverage loan activity was very robust during the quarter for similar reason.
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(2) 2Q98 The effective tax-rate with the extraordinary net benefit of $9.4 million would have been 36.4%.
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Moving on to division performance, CRM sales of $420M + 24% y/y came in slightly below our $429M estimate.
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Memory pricing grew roughly 3% QoQ at Micron, above our estimate of a 5% QoQ decline due to better than expected pricing of DDR memory.
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We believe that this agreement effectively formalizes what has been happening over the last 2 years, as Dell has mitigated its selling efforts for HPQ and ramped up its focus in offering LXK.
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Mortgage Insurance / Rated: Market Weight October 15, 2003.
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3Q Industry Net Adds Affirm Health Our observation from the strong results by AWE (AWE, $21.53 ,SB), Verizon, Sprint PCS (PCS, $37.00, B) Cingular, AT and others affirms the strength of industry growth.
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As server-based technologies became popular in the late 1980s, Oracle seized that opportunity and began shipping the first widely accepted DBMS product for the server.
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Second, if the economy continues to improve, we may in fact see less tolerance, as excuse of weak end markets disappears and poor execution and inefficiency will be even more starkly revealed.
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Our sum-of-the-parts analysis yields a valuation of $26 per share.
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We expect that the last remaining expenditures will be booked in 1Q03 at about $10 million.
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End markets include CAT machinery; electric power generation; on-highway vehicles and locomotives; marine, petroleum, construction, industrial, agricultural; and related parts.
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In September, wind storm caused additional expenses of $14 million ($0.05), and in the second quarter, the company took a charge of $8 million ($0.03) for a counterparty default in marketing operations.
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Even the accounting regulators in the U.S. recognized this in their 2001 decision to stop the automatic amortization of goodwill over periods of as along as 40 years and to instead require testing of the value of goodwill on an annual basis.
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Given the write-down, we do not expect the company to obtain this $60MM benefit.
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The risks to our investment thesis include the following: continued profitability of the Medicare Choice and Medicaid Program, current contract renewal process for the TRICARE program, continued cost saving gains from IT infrastructure customer service projects, favorable resolution of ongoing HMO litigation in Miami (a.k.a.- MDL 1334), and improving profitability of its Commercial segment.
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Operating profit, excluding restructuring, outperformed our expectations by approximately $0.03.
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Moreover, management's stated intention to grow via M&A creates unquantifiable risk in the event of a large and potentially dilutive deal..
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The move will be a real enticement to all customers/patients who are not insured and all customers/patients who are insured whose co-payments are more than $4; that is, it will entice pretty much everybody.
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The primary endpoint (rate of rise of hemoglobin) was met.
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Since the duo's arrival in late 1993, PVT has methodically transitioned from a one-time industry laggard into the nation's dominant provider of individual disability (DI) insurance.
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