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By our estimate, a CCU acquisition of XM under Acquisition Scenario Two would be dilutive to EPS for three years, or until 2011E, and dilutive to FCF/Share for five years, or until 2013E..
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We are dropping equity research coverage of Caremark (CMX) following the completion of the merger with CVS. Our final rating on Caremark is Market Perform.
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Comcast Total Cable Operations, Annual (continued) Pro Forma for Time Warner Cable/ Adelphia Transactions in 4Q06 and Beyond.
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The Gold Versapack will represent an upgrade opportunity for all VersaPack users.
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Although majority of senior executives spent their entire career at the same company, "mother DuPont" (which is typical for most of the US chemical companies), the new generation is more likely to be charged in re-inventing the new DuPont.
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In fact, Enron could even move to outsourcing in its purest form by outright purchase of a client's asset system and fully integrating it into its nationwide energy delivery grid.
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payments, we forecast that the company will pay $0.50 in dividends in 2005.
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We think it is too early to have confidence in that conclusion.
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(c) As of 2Q97, includes Whirlpool credit card receivables and Metropolitan Mortgage and Transamerica Mortgage Company receivables.
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If we assume that one-third (27MM) become subscribers throughout the year, multiplied by $2.50/month, we arrive at the potential subscription revenue generated from that user.
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Importantly, fixed annuity spreads increased from 4Q01, and JHF expects to maintain spreads at roughly 200 bp in 2003; the company has aggressively managed crediting rates to keep pace with falling investment yields.
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We expect a relatively stable net interest margin, good fee income growth from remaining businesses, and tight expense control to drive results for National City in 2007 and 2008.
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That said, much of the downward revision in ADC's core business estimates comes from Digivance a product area where Adtran doesn't participate.
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We do not look at NRx market-share trends during a generic launch period since refill Rx get captured as new Rx when a brand goes generic.
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We are enthusiastic about an HPV vaccine candidate (2007E approval) against cervical cancer.
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Moreover, with respect to equity underwriting, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter ranks second in worldwide common stockofferings behind Goldman Sachs, and first in international initial public offerings as of June 30, 2000, the most current ranking available..
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PD, with its high operating leverage to copper price changes and unit cost changes, remains a solid play on copper.
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Net outflows excluding money market funds totaled $9.9 billion in the second quarter.
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Costs were lower due to the capitalization of project development costs ($22 million year-over-year EBIT), favorable resolution of ad valorem tax issues ($8 million EBIT impact), and higher revenues from improved storage prices and expansion projects.
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No more charges are expected for the BPR program.
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Moreover, the company reiterated its long-term growth and profitability targets: Total Revenue EPS IMG Operating Margin CMG Operating Margin 15% 25% 23-25% 13-15%..
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We note that the announced domnick hunter deal (estimated annual sales of $300M) is not accounted for in the guidance since the deal has not yet closed, although close is expected in late October.
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This is conceivable given leverage from 1) higher volume, 2) the mix shift to the lucrative 777, 3) impressive cost cuts, and 4) potential for above-average initial 7E7 margins.
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GS | Q2 2006 - A Strong Quarter Punctuated by One-Time Gains.
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The company's strategic focus remains on core brand development complemented by opportunistic use of licenses and international growth.
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Key takeaways: Kinko's the focus of the meeting, with FDX setting goal for annual rev.
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On Monday, Verizon announced an agreement to spin off and merge certain properties in Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont with FairPoint Communications for $2.715B.
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Commercial revenue increased by 48% (excluding divested revenue from 1QF04) to approximately $495 million in 1Q05.
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More flexibility in deal structure suggests that what CA has done makes sense.
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Following this clarification (which we expect to be issued soon give that we are getting closer to the time when the remedies have to be applied) we expect the industry to appeal the RICO ruling with the District Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia..
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On the whole, oilfield services revenues should remain healthy as the decline in North America begins to abate and eventually increase in the second half of 2002..
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At year-end, management had indicated that it hoped to ultimately get to 225-250 square ft.
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As a result, the stock could materially underperform peers if a retreat in domestic gas prices caused the group to sell off.
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Investment Conclusion: We are lowering our rating on Capital One to Hold from Buy based upon valuation and an outlook for declining long-term margins.
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California workers' compensation progress has only started to show up in results and could positively impact expenses in the next few quarters.
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Despite recent entrants in the market, Medtronic continues to command a dominant presence in the bradycardia market through its Kappa line of products.
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The Wall Street Journal is also reporting that private equity firm Warburg Pincus plans to buy a stake in the spun off entity, which is being valued at around $4 billion.
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Turning to our investment viewpoint on the Downstream, we maintain our positive fundamental outlook on the R&M sector, which was outlined in our recently published report "The Golden Age of Refining: Circa 2005" (01-13-05).
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Top ten funds represent 76.8% of total Janus Capital Group Inc. mutual fund assets at Jun 07.
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More than half of this total is related to WTC losses and it includes paid loss recoverables.
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Stock Ratings: The common stock of Schlumberger Ltd. currently has a Underperform rating.
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Indian Point has gained notoriety since the facility began operations in the 1970s due to its spotty operational performance and proximity to New York City.
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The P&C operations produced a combined ratio of 87.5%, which was better than our estimate of 86.7%, as well as the underlying combined ratio in the fourth quarter last year of 91.9% (excluding a 73.0 point negative impact due to the 2005 hurricanes and the Winterthur independent actuarial decision in the fourth quarter).
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In the June quarter, GPRS represented 33% of wireless sales, and this increased to 40% in the third quarter, and was responsible for the sequential growth within the wireless segment.
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We are initiating coverage of Delta with a Neutral Weight rating.
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We forecast Nextel will continue to draw down on its credit facility, to fund losses, working capital requirements, and capital expenditures.
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In ROW, all regions reported year-over-year increases (similar to January and February, Europe continued to post positive results; Latin America and Asia Pacific in particular remained healthy).
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In this section, we thought it would be helpful to lay out the potential timing for the roughly $2.184 billion cash involved in the updated Consensus Plan.
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For further detail on the numbers and for our analysis, please reference the excel document attached to our client e -mail.
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Second, the other half of the company securities processing partly reflects our theme of growth in global capitalism given that half of this business is outside the U.S. (especially U.K., Nordic, and Dutch markets).
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The message is, customers can't afford downtimes, period.
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The bottom line, we believe, is that there is no impact to the bottom line for PM USA and the net effect of this change is that retailers will have a bit more flexibility relative to managing gross margins, with the smart choice (in our view) being to drive volume on Marlboro and Basic, thereby collecting the Rewards Funds on the incremental volume.
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*** Meredith's Track Record Of Outperforming Peers Should Continue; Publishing Segment Benefiting From Diversity Of Revenue Streams As Magazine Advertising Trends Remain Uneven *** TV Group Turnaround On Track Despite Recent Management Turnover; Strong Team In Place, "Heavy-Lifting" Already Completed *** Debt Load Lowered Significantly Over The Past Few Years; "Size" Dividend Hike Likely In 2005 *** Modestly Tweaking Estimates Given Improvement At Broadcasting Group.
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We recently visited UTX's Pratt & Whitney Canada (PWC) facility in Quebec.
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Our discounted cash flow model indicates fair value of $52 at year-end 2001.
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If the oil and gas price assumptions are reduced to $15.00/bbl and $1.50/mcf, NAV would be about $26.
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Investment Conclusion: Following recent declines in KRB's share price, we are raising our rating to Hold (from Underperform).
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Adjusting for the one-time settlements, EBITDA margin of 18.9% was 30 basis points below than our 19.2% estimate.
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E&C operating income fell 10.1% and operating margin contracted 100bps to 15.5%.
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CPN's 1Q03 EPS loss of ($0.12) was down from 1Q02 recurring EPS of $0.10, primarily due to weaker market spark spreads which averaged $4.37/MWH in 1Q03, down from.
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Consequently, our sense is that management is under increasing pressure to pursue a more meaningful acquisition as a means to diversify the earnings mix and solidify TSYS' growth prospects.
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However, with the introduction of each new application, we believe that the appeal of the Bioanalyzer increases.
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-- The company is planning to issue $1.1 billion in debt and $0.4 billion in convertible notes to repay the bridge loan used to finance the transaction.
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Unlike during past ballot initiatives, the tobacco industry, under the leadership of Philip Morris USA and Reynolds, has mounted aggressive campaigns in various states to defeat the proposals.
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This is because stores open with higher initial volumes, fewer incremental depots are required and become more efficient serving more warehouses, and so on.
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The rating affirmation reflects: NWL's satisfactory credit metrics following its most recent acquisitions; a diverse product line of brand name consumer products; continued emphasis on the consumer, including product and cost innovation, and on global product development; and reduction of manufacturing overhead and labor costs.
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The industry is dominated by proprietary pipelines, owned and operated by the major oil companies.
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We also believe that our "sum of the parts" valuation --railroad ($7.89), financial services ($52.42), and business services ($11.35) -- supports our view that KSU has several subsidiaries whose values are not fully reflected in the parent company's stock price..
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Coventry Healthcare Reports Solid 4Q07 -- No Change to 2008 Outlook CVH reported 4Q08 EPS of $1.18, up 22% from $0.97 in the year-earlier period and a penny ahead of our estimates.
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While this data is not perfect, together it shows a trend that competitors have been increasingly pillaging Bank One's customer base while it has been focused on aligning its retail business on one platform..
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During its bankruptcy proceeding, the company went through "fresh start" accounting, where all assets and liabilities were effectively marked to market.
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In 2000, we expect about 4% revenue growth, and minimal expense growth comps as a result of cost savings initiatives earlier in 1999.
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While NetApp currently has less than 2% share in FC SAN, it has been growing at 3-10x the total FC SAN market over the past eight quarters.
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Our rating remains Neutral and our target price is under review and could be increased by $1 to $2 per share based on positive results from WMB's reserve report (audited by either audited by Netherland, Sewell & Associates, Inc).
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As expected, Dell affirmed street consensus EPS of $0.26 for Q3, noting that it expected to achieve revenue of about $10.5B, up 15% on unit growth of better than 25% (Q2 unit growth was 27%).
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4Q earnings overview: Texas Instruments (TI) reported 4Q sales of $3,591mn (of which the semiconductors business contributed $3,226mn), and EPS of $0.40.
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Just over half of the offshore budget will be allocated toward the properties acquired from BP.
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Health segment operating earnings, at $173 million, were $2 million below our view for $175 million.
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Of the approximately 12.7 million subscribers served by TWX at March 31, 2000, approximately 1.9 million are in systems owned by TWI Cable Inc. (TWI Cable), a wholly owned subsidiary of Time Warner, and approximately 10.8 million are in systems owned or managed by TWE.
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Commercial losses were unchanged and delinquencies decreased 5 bps.
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We anticipate that Tenet will post its 4Q EPS above consensus at $0.63 vs. last year's $0.51 and the consensus estimate of $0.61.
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MedImmune drops top- and bottom-line 2003 guidance on disappointing FluMist uptake.
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Fink, the former head of fixed income at First Boston in the 1980s, formed his firm in 1988.
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It has long been our view that on an economic basis, the "cash" accounting practice resulted in VA writers reporting inflated earnings results during periods of rising equity markets as they directly reduced reported GMDB claims on a short-term basis.
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The service was first launched in Atlanta in January 1998.
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Key Points � On October 28, VZ reported Q3 2003 results that were slightly better than our expectations.
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Rising corporate expenses, input prices prompt estimate cuts.
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The company acquired the non-metals part of the operations from AIG in December 1997 for just $221.2 million.
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Operational Simplicity: Oracle added a lot to automate the administration and tuning of its database, which has been a perceived weakness for Oracle relative to Microsoft.
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The company noted that competitive conditions have worsened in frozen food, a key area in Consumer.
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This shift has since been partially reversed to return greater pricing authority to local property managers, resulting in occupancy improvement during Q1 2003.
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First, eBay is beginning to co-ordinate with large retailers to list product SKUs on its site with no up front fees and higher final value fees.
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For 2006, our revenue estimate comes down by roughly $200 million to $7.908 billion (+25.9%) and our pro-forma EPS estimate is lowered by $0.04 to $0.98.
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On the ag side, carloadings declined 4.4% in 3Q as export demand, particularly from Asia, declined during the quarter.
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Based upon our own analysis and forecasts, including an admittedly subjective expense allocation process that splits expenses between core Yahoo! and the third party network, we believe that Yahoo!'s core cash flows will grow from roughly $340 million in 2003 to about $660 million in 2004 (+94%), $890 million in 2005 (+35%), and $1.16 billion in 2006 (+30%).
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Fitch Ratings Comments on Anthem/WellPoint Merger Fitch Ratings-Chicago-December 1, 2004: Anthem, Inc. (Anthem) and WellPoint Health Networks Inc. (WellPoint) today announced the completion of their merger, creating WellPoint Inc., the largest health insurance and managed care company in the U.S. Fitch expects total revenues for the company, on a combined basis, to exceed $42 billion in 2004.
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National City lacks scale in businesses such as 401(k) plans, where it does business with 2,500 plans with 100,000 customers--to remedy this, it has entered into a joint venture with Hewitt to outsource the back-office functions for plans with over $5 million in assets, and it outsources completely to PFPC for plans with under $5 million of assets.
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A review of patient population sub-groups demonstrated significant clinical efficacy ranging across severity, etiology, race and age.
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owing to higher investment spending (amount not disclosed but total 4Q04 expenses up $400 mil.
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The company has become increasingly efficient, has improved processes, and can take advantage of its size.
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