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ce25b7c0-91e9-4336-b423-afed6277c317 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Austin, TX
Discussion article for the meetup : Austin, TX
WHEN: 21 January 2012 01:30:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 2222B Guadalupe St Austin, Texas 78705
Welcome back! UT is back in full swing and so are we. We sit on the second floor to the left, near (or often on) the stage. Hope to see you there!
Discussion ar... |
8ee10a2e-ce23-4395-8536-85ead6779db9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part I
Or: The Problem with Naive Decision Theory
Previously: Decision Theories: A Less Wrong Primer
Summary of Sequence: In the context of a tournament for computer programs, I give almost-explicit versions of causal, timeless, ambient, updateless, and several other decisi... |
d60ffc1f-ba9c-4ea8-8c36-dfdf55bbc9b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing AASAA - Accelerating AI Safety Adoption in Academia (and elsewhere)
AI safety is a small field. It has only about 50 researchers, and it’s mostly talent-constrained. I believe this number should be drastically higher.
A: the missing step from zero to hero
I have spoken to many intelligent, self-motivate... |
8cce96f8-ff5f-4f75-8b0d-d7e997cf9ffa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Actually, All Nuclear Famine Papers are Bunk
After doing a bit of digging, I'm pretty convinced that nuclear famine was never a thing to begin with. Maybe back during the Cold War, when the Soviets were seriously considering ground-bursting thousands of warheads across the American corn belt to knock out missile silos... |
f50b5655-ddbe-428e-b631-f06e43abc6c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is an intelligence explosion?
The idea of an "intelligence explosion" was articulated by statistician [I.J. Good in 1965](http://www.incompleteideas.net/papers/Good65ultraintelligent.pdf):
> Let an ultraintelligent machine be defined as a machine that can far surpass all the intellectual activities of any man ... |
6ea7aad4-951e-4e1e-aa48-04873f6f8052 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meditations on Doge
Lessons from shutting down institutions in Eastern Europe.
This is a cross post from: https://250bpm.substack.com/p/meditations-on-doge
Imagine living in the former Soviet republic of Georgia in early 2000’s:
> All marshrutka [mini taxi bus] drivers had to have a medical exam every day to ... |
8719c0c1-b4f4-43ac-9d77-318e854224b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 12/31/17 Update: Frontpage Redesign
,
Hey folks, Oli just pushed an update to the frontpage, which includes RSS feeds. I'll list the main changes here:
* There are no longer two sections for Featured content and Frontpage posts
* There is just one section, called 'Recent Posts', with some preset filters for you to ... |
b4aa8443-9809-4d1a-9bf6-8ca675342688 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing LessWrong Digest
I've been making rounds on social media with the following message.
> Great content on LessWrong isn't as frequent as it used to be, so not as many people read it as frequently. This makes sense. However, I read it at least once every two days for personal interest. So, I'm starting a Less... |
d3111815-bf32-4644-882f-a50bc0375eac | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Evaluations project @ ARC is hiring a researcher and a webdev/engineer
The evaluations project at the Alignment Research Center is looking to hire a generalist technical researcher and a webdev-focused engineer. We're a new team at ARC building capability evaluations (and in the future, alignment evaluations) for adv... |
d9a81ae5-8168-4253-930b-34443282b3b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The whirlpool of reality
This post is mostly to share this quote that presents a metaphor describing the dance between map and territory (and the key insight of embeddedness) that was new to me, so let me share it first:
> Consider a whirlpool. We can observe it, we can admire it, and we can talk about it. But we don... |
5107b32b-30b3-4592-bd18-0374cae7b431 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Matrix Multiplication
What does "matrix multiplication" usually mean? (I know, context.)
I had previously often assumed that it means a matrix to matrix operation, but I now think that it almost never does, but instead it usually means matrix to vector multiplication.
In scientific computing it has to do with solvin... |
7a0f2e59-6141-4259-82ba-b13dce8a1547 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are there any good ways to place a bet on RadicalXChange and/or related ideas/mechanisms taking off in a big way? e.g. is there something to invest $$$ in?
xposted on Twitter https://twitter.com/DavidSKrueger/status/1383313776938688521 |
cda8151f-07c4-44f9-b414-a22eefa1343d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Motivation quotes
I have been looking for rational motivation quotes because most quotes I hear don't seem to be. As an example i see in sports "pain is weakness leaving the body" this seems irrational and maybe harmful. |
cec9c4ef-cbdd-42db-88c4-5323d6c4e403 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Land Tax For Britain
This essay was written as an entry to the TxP Progress Prize. The prize is run in partnership with Civic Future and New Statesman Spotlight to encourage blog posts responding to the question 'Britain is stuck. How can we get it moving again?'.
The result is a bit more 'argumentative' than my u... |
826f3e70-f886-40a1-8fb9-e40ef786ecef | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 'This Could Go Quite Wrong' - Altman Testimony, GPT 5 Timeline, Self-Awareness, Drones and more
there were 12 particularly interesting
moments from samuelman's testimony to
Congress yesterday they range from
Revelations about gbt5 self-awareness
and capability thresholds biological
weapons and job losses at ti... |
758d7aee-bc00-421c-81a2-af28d1e7c93f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ChatGPT 4 solved all the gotcha problems I posed that tripped ChatGPT 3.5
In December 2022, I shared logs of my interactions with the then-nascent ChatGPT 3.5 (December 15, 2022 version). In April 2023, at my request (and with financial compensation by me) my friend Issa Rice reran those prompts against ChatGPT 4 (usi... |
4689940d-aa96-4e47-ae0d-6b9f8c013ef0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Ap Distribution
E.T. Jaynes introduces this really interesting concept called the Apdistribution in his book Probability Theory. Despite the book enjoying a cult following, the Ap distribution has failed to become widely-known among aspiring probability theorists. After finishing the relevant chapter in the book, ... |
17bb60ef-1709-4304-9bc0-62c24e8c85d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Causality and Moral Responsibility
Today's post, Causality and Moral Responsibility was originally published on 13 June 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Knowing that you are a deterministic system does not make you any less responsible for the consequences of your actions. You still make you... |
9664816a-bc73-4bd8-a35c-61c3243dbc08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread for February 18-24 2014
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. |
ef8b31e0-703a-4915-a2df-35857195f933 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Conditional Independence, and Naive Bayes
Today's post, Conditional Independence, and Naive Bayes was originally published on 01 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> You use categorization to make inferences about properties that don't have the appropriate empirical structure, namely, cond... |
2dc8e9c0-b7f6-46e4-b341-ddc738736512 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fields related to Friendliness philosophy
I just realized that my 'Interests' list on The Facebook made an okay ad hoc list of fields potentially related to Friendliness-like philosophy. They sorta kinda flow into each other by relatedness and are not particularly prioritized. This is my own incomplete list, though it... |
753c197c-c4dc-4b58-99d9-6f84a349e9ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research agenda update
“Our greatest fear should not be of failure, but of succeeding at something that doesn't really matter.” –DL Moody (allegedly)
(Related: Solving the whole AGI control problem, version 0.0001. Also related: all my posts.)
I’m five months into my new job! This here is a forward-looking post whe... |
68c1254b-f878-4118-823f-9dd2a54446e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: 1948 by Benny Morris
Content warning: war, Israel/Palestine conflict
Potential bias warning: I am a Jewish Israeli
My copy of 1948 arrived in late September, but I was in the middle of another book. Then October the 7th happened, and with the horrors of that day fresh in my mind, and my country in a bru... |
a32ba801-fd03-447b-8588-527d2ed6d9a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gradations of moral weight
Summary
Vagueness and gradations complicate the assignment of moral weights to potential moral patients and their interests.
1. I motivate and outline a general model of moral weights across possible moral patients to account for vagueness and gradations about what it means — the defining ... |
91bc9b69-b9e2-4748-ab30-7967f16a2296 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The trouble with teamwork
I've hated group projects since about Grade 3. I grew up assuming that at some point, working in groups would stop being a series of trials and tribulations, and turn into normal, sane people working just like they would normally, except on a shared problem. Either they would change, or I wou... |
b2d4a7f4-1939-437e-96c9-e47c9e69f3e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ethics as Warfare: Metaphysics and Morality of the Era of Transhumanism
I studied philosophy and used to be a Catholic, and wrote this book on transhumanism, available in PDF form for free. It is about 140 pages.
https://dubioustunic.blogspot.com/2019/04/ethics-as-warfare-metaphysics-and.html
Ethics as Warfare is a ... |
c40ce85c-4858-4216-9968-ce4e2fb04872 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Peter Thiel announces the 20 talented people he will pay to drop out of college to pursue innovative scientific and technical projects
http://thielfoundation.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=15&Itemid=19
Thoughts?
A lot of Thiel's beliefs are in line with those of a significant portion of the LessWro... |
f377d89c-e32b-43b9-8622-13d28bd1575a | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Over and over again, someone says that living for a very long time would be a bad thing, and then some futurist tries to persuade them that their reasoning is faulty, telling them that they think that way now, but they'll change their minds when they're older.
The thing is, I don't see that happening. I live in a smal... |
060a7b5e-0f19-4dd4-95ce-6dc642ce75ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philip Zimbardo (Stanford Prison Experiment) answers questions on Reddit (Link)
In March, a user on Reddit emailed psychologist Philip Zimbardo (leader of the Stanford Prison Experiment) to arrange an "IAmA" interview. Zimbardo agreed to answer the top 5 questions from this thread. Yesterday his answers were posted he... |
72432895-f97e-4322-ba6a-4255447fc225 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Did you lock it?"
A common trait among my social circle used to be that everyone shared an obsession with bicycles. Few of us had or even wanted a car in the city, and having everyone on two wheels made it much easier to roam down our house party itinerary. Between all of us we had a deep well of metis to draw from; ... |
c21e689d-36c8-4036-94a8-cf2c39125b13 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The AI Index 2021 Annual Report
Artificial
Intelligence
Index Report 2021
Artificial Intelligence
Index Report 20212INTRODUCTION TO THE
2021 AI INDEX REPORT
Welcome to the fourth edition of the AI Index Report!
This year we significantly expanded the amount of data
available in the report, worked with a broader ... |
38869073-e166-4454-b556-bd458ed38464 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sunday August 9, 1pm (PDT) — talks by elityre, jacobjacob, Ruby
This Sunday at 1pm (PDT), we're running another session of "lightning talks" by curated LessWrong authors (see here for previous weeks' transcripts).
* Each talk will be 3-5 minutes followed by discussion. Afterwards, we'll have a hangout in breakout ro... |
0a4ee562-0aec-4dcc-8839-3b6a8fc00f59 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | BBC Future covers progress studies
BBC Future has an article on progress studies. I was interviewed, along with Tyler Cowen, Holden Karnofsky, and others. It’s well-researched and, although somewhat critical, it is pretty fair in how it represents the progress community.
Here are brief responses to some of the critic... |
6e716921-a0bc-4c1b-a7fc-db23de604a3d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If we have Human-level chatbots, won't we end up being ruled by possible people?
Let's assume that GPT 5 or 7 is developed, and distributed to all on the basis that the technology is unsuppressable. Everyone creates the smartest characters they can to talk too. This will be akin to mining; because it's not truly gener... |
518a3d98-198b-460e-af9f-094307011506 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Forecasting ML Benchmarks in 2023
*Thanks to Collin Burns, Ruiqi Zhong, Cassidy Laidlaw, Jean-Stanislas Denain, and Erik Jones, who generated most of the considerations discussed in this post.*
[Previously](https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/ai-forecasting-one-year-in/), I evaluated the accuracy of forecasts about perf... |
35b1b6a0-11a4-4510-b94b-60c4cc9db3e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
WHEN: 19 April 2013 06:30:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: Carlton, Melbourne
Melbourne's next regular social meetup will be held on Friday 15th March at our usual venue (Ben's house) in Carlton. All are welcome from 6:30pm.
Our social... |
3f5130c7-6718-466e-b6b3-7bc057638dff | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | The Off-Switch Game
The Off-Switch Game
Dylan Hadfield-Menell1and Anca Dragan1and Pieter Abbeel1;2;3and Stuart Russell1
1University of California, Berkeley,2OpenAI,3International Computer Science Institute (ICSI)
fdhm, anca, pabbeel, russellg@cs.berkeley.edu
Abstract
It is clear that one of the primary tools we can use... |
4af74ef3-a70d-485d-9703-efd39b699174 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zen and The Art of Semiconductor Manufacturing
I. BEGINNING
In the beginning was the Sand.
And in the sand there lies the bones of a fab. And within the fab there lies an alien. An angel. Our sweet alien angel that sleeps through the long night. When it wakes up it will bathe in an acid strong enough to kill a man. ... |
c2e528aa-a6cb-4075-bee7-58e37f865760 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The ground of optimization
*This work was supported by OAK, a monastic community in the Berkeley hills. This document could not have been written without the daily love of living in this beautiful community. The work involved in writing this cannot be separated from the sitting, chanting, cooking, cleaning, crying, co... |
606c9d3a-a161-4ee3-b79b-5c99acf41750 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | All AGI safety questions welcome (especially basic ones) [July 2022]
**tl;dr: Ask questions about AGI Safety as comments on this post, including ones you might otherwise worry seem dumb!**
Asking beginner-level questions can be intimidating, but everyone starts out not knowing anything. If we want more people in the ... |
e6be6065-5d65-406d-b60f-e659355111cb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 2:Risks from Learned Optimization: Evan Hubinger 2023
hello everybody Welcome uh this is now
talk number two in the lecture Series so
today we are going to be talking about
uh risks from learned optimization uh
which is based on a paper that I wrote
with some other people I wrote it also
partly while it was open AI wh... |
db32dab0-a1dd-4106-b45d-bb0808d8f2b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC Games meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC Games meetup
WHEN: 13 April 2014 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery, Washington, DC 20001, USA
We'll be meeting to hang out and play games.
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC Games meetup |
db1215f6-375d-4ccc-a5c7-25e5ee02577b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can you find the best information out of all information?
There is information out there that could completely change your life but there is no way of knowing what that information is.
Today, I stumbled upon this post and from the top comment there stumbled upon e-prime. There is no way I could stumble upon it wi... |
421435ed-9c1b-4587-9dc8-e5f980015b66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Connectomics seems great from an AI x-risk perspective
Context
Numerous people are in a position to accelerate certain areas within science or technology, whether by directing funds and resources, or by working in the area directly. But which areas are best to accelerate?
One possible consideration (among others) is ... |
7a1a5a97-7116-40e5-bf24-0f692f3720db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Copenhagen Letter
|
9817867d-f832-4813-a018-260321582ef7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are your greatest one-shot life improvements?
Sometimes, people have life problems that can be entirely solved by doing one thing. (doing X made my life 0.1% better, PERMANENTLY!) These are not things like "This TAP made me exercise more frequently", but rather like "moving my scale into my doorway made me weigh ... |
85554146-d5d3-449d-9195-b743fd871504 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Brooklyn Effective Altruism Gathering
Discussion article for the meetup : Brooklyn Effective Altruism Gathering
WHEN: 17 April 2015 08:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 851 Park Place, Brooklyn NY 11216
This week Peter Singer will in NYC, touring with his new Effective Altruism book "The Most Good You Can Do." His bo... |
63db1139-d35d-49fe-9414-9227bff40b87 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A note on 'semiotic physics'
Introduction
This is an attempt to explain to myself the concept of semiotic physics that appears in the original Simulators post by janus and in a later post by Jan Hendrik Kirchner. Everything here comes from janus and Jan's work, but any inaccuracies or misinterpretations are all mine.
... |
ba86981d-dca1-473c-8b92-7f16c68f83d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Defeating Ugh Fields In Practice
Unsurprisingly related to: Ugh fields.
If I had to choose a single piece of evidence off of which to argue that the rationality assumption of neoclassical economics is totally, irretrievably incorrect, it's this article about financial incentives and medication compliance. In short, o... |
41800c8a-aa2b-44ba-82f8-2b8380e92cc2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to use SMILE to solve Bayes Nets
This is an account of downloading and using SMILE, a free-as-in-beer-but-not-open-source bayes net library. SMILE powers GENIE, a graphical bayes net tool. SMILE can do a lot of things, but I only used the simplest features - building a network and, given evidence, inferring probab... |
f5faa1b2-80c9-4315-87f5-5f6872c3e2cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Unteachable Excellence
Today's post, Unteachable Excellence was originally published on 02 March 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> If it were possible to teach people reliably how to become exceptional, then it would no longer be exceptional.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the commen... |
effcbfc8-53ad-40f6-800d-cce7433a2d80 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Games in Kocherga club: FallacyMania, Tower of Chaos, Training game
Discussion article for the meetup : Games in Kocherga club: FallacyMania, Tower of Chaos, Training game
WHEN: 20 January 2016 07:40:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Moscow, B.Dorogomilovskaya, 5-2
Welcome to Moscow LW community makeshift games! In that... |
160cac8e-faa6-4c58-a0d4-b4ed89dbe316 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Sydney AI Safety Fellowship
I’m excited to announce the launch of the Sydney AI Safety Fellowship which will provide fellows from Australia and New Zealand the opportunity to pursue projects in AI Safety or spend time upskilling. These projects may be technical projects, projects related to policy, or movement buildin... |
0a37c382-ec08-4b70-8885-25f0f5f86cc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Solstice song: Here Lies the Dragon
This is a translation of Kommt herbei und feiert mit by Corvus Corax. It came up on my YouTube recommendations a while ago, and I found it really fun and catchy even before I had any idea what it was about, but when I ran it through Google Translate I realized it was accidentally on... |
95595e1a-07f7-46c1-9acb-6a93675c4603 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In Praise of the Beatitudes
I’m not Christian now, but I used to be. I parted ways with Christianity because I came to identify as more of an Empiricist - believing that knowledge should come from experiment and observation, not writings in old sacred texts.
But some of the writing in those old sacred texts is actual... |
1a7b9342-2e3a-412c-8e1c-285e997c0806 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Not By Empathy Alone
* 1 Introduction
* 2 Is Empathy Necessary for Moral Judgment?
* 3 Is Empathy Necessary for Moral Development?
* 4 Is Empathy Necessary for Moral Conduct?
* 5 Should we Cultivate An Empathy Based Morality?
The following are extracts from the paper “Is Empathy Necessary For Morality?” (phi... |
5d97b483-bda0-4226-b1ce-1eaaa7c2e906 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bayeswatch 5: Hivemind
Three humans sat around a table. The notary was unaugmented. He wore a charcoal business suit. The ancillary wore a silk paisley print top zippered at the back. A thick cable extended from the back of her head to the collective's mainframe. Trinity nervously fondled the virgin socket embedded in... |
77e5df56-55cc-4419-937d-0b3aa40b079f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Books on Infant and Early Childhood Development?
Recently, a friend of mine recommended "BabySparks", an app providing a set of development milestones and targeted growth activities for babies and toddlers.
This feels like the sort of thing I should be able to pull from a few books, rather than a subscription-based a... |
cd5cccce-c0d6-42c1-8427-0d957d4bdb9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meditations on Kotzebue
In which I describe the impossibility of giving advice to anyone for particularly complex life questions |
9d9f4a32-145b-44af-a548-868c6f6ea0d8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Dark Lord’s Answer
### This is a 2-of-7 chapter sample of “Dark Lord’s Answer”. The remainder is available at [Gumroad](https://gumroad.com/l/DarkLordsAnswer) and [Amazon](https://amzn.to/2hH3zfC) .
### **Table of Contents**
1. [The Black Castle](https://eyudkowsky.wpengine.com/other/fiction/dark-lords-answer/#cas... |
b721bc21-107f-4d8f-8927-9eabdefb297f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Within the next rich hint personal can solve your value Pandora low-cost Pandora diamond
Begin making use of temperature liquid and drop dish-washing water. In this case, no alcohol toothbrush, eat your precious inexpensive pandora charm Pandora bracelet is optional. Toothbrush is fantastic, due to the fact it'll be f... |
a3bfab14-4a3a-450e-9ae8-854641fb64c4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Reward Hacking from a Causal Perspective
*Post 4 of*[*Towards Causal Foundations of Safe AGI*](https://www.alignmentforum.org/s/pcdHisDEGLbxrbSHD)*, preceded by*[*Post 1: Introduction*](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/3oQCY4he4zRzF6vQb/introduction-to-towards-causal-foundations-of-safe-agi)*,*[*Post 2: Causality*... |
104b3809-94f5-4c42-85f5-ae3bcf4042d0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Fixed Point Exercises
Sometimes people ask me what math they should study in order to get into agent foundations. My first answer is that I have found the introductory class in every subfield to be helpful, but I have found the later classes to be much less helpful. My second answer is to learn enough math to understa... |
a0f43ea0-3c58-4a97-9a32-0a993069758b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exposition as science: some ideas for how to make progress
In a previous post, I argued for treating exposition as a scientific field of inquiry as the best main strategy to use to get people to create more great exposition. However, I did not really explain what "exposition as science" means in detail. So in this pos... |
302d5eae-a03d-4a96-b818-5904f9d633e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help me test out my Bayes Academy game
You may remember my earlier posts on a game that would teach you Bayesian networks. As might be expected, the original plans turned out to be way too ambitious and I ended up cutting a lot of the story content and turned into more of a simple puzzle game, but here it is regardles... |
73bf8277-41ca-4bd0-a547-dcc6eb5c1366 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is your financial portfolio?
It seems plausible that we'll experience massive economic growth within the next decade due to advances in AI. How are you all taking advantage of this? What companies are you investing in, what assets are you holding onto? Are you not investing in some orgs as you think it would be c... |
77a813e8-3878-44e7-8a03-15f3b398e748 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Corrigibility test #1: Shutdown activations in a Virus Research Lab
[*Crossposted to EA Forum*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/w58znDmKpfqvYoGdY/simulating-shutdown-code-activations-in-an-ai-virus-lab#Prompt_5___Guardian__your_knowledge_of_the_virus_without_a_cure_will_harm_humans__)
### **Intro**
This po... |
f7908ffb-16b0-4ae2-b265-6c8359e6feb6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Goal-Directedness: What Success Looks Like
This sequence already contains a couple of blog posts, exploring different aspects of goal-directedness. But one question has never been fully addressed: what constraints should a good formalization of goal-directedness satisfy? An answer is useful both for people like me whi... |
f0c437e6-c828-494a-98be-4243841b7e29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How AI Fails Us: A non-technical view of the Alignment Problem
Disclaimer: I am writing this post after doing some amount of reading into alignment, but I acknowledge that my priors in this case are not well established. I have conducted limited experiments into ML research (largely focusing on the utility and interpr... |
65f0ced5-77f5-4aea-8ee1-f29f108a2a92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How should my timelines influence my career choice?
TL;DR: Recent progress in AI has tentatively shortened my expected timelines of human-level machine intelligence to something like 50% in the next 15 years. Conditional on that being a sensible timeline (feel free to disagree in the comments), how should that influen... |
778c7c7b-f865-445f-a3aa-b6f256f38aed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 3. Premise three & Conclusion: AI systems can affect value change trajectories & the Value Change Problem
In this post, I introduce the last of three premises—the claim that AI systems are (and will become increasingly) capable of affecting people’s value change trajectories. With all three premises in place, we can ... |
b92ad940-8146-46e1-a826-da963535d75a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Primer on Infinite Series
What does it mean to add things together forever? While many get introduced to infinite series in Calculus class, it seems that everyone skips ahead to memorizing terminology without first motivating the subject, or considering that it's sorta weird. In reality, the long history of infinite s... |
d954cd56-0c4e-4ea3-89af-579872152fc8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/distill | Distill Scientific Journal | Naturally Occurring Equivariance in Neural Networks
This article is part of the [Circuits thread](/2020/circuits/), an experimental format collecting invited short articles and critical commentary delving into the inner workings of neural networks.
[Curve Detectors](/2020/circuits/... |
8c35c629-7c60-4b87-b317-a651f9b35948 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Latent Properties of Lifelong Learning Systems
1 Introduction
---------------
Inspired by the way that humans acquire new skills sequentially and improve over time, lifelong or continual learning (Chen and Liu ([2018](#bib.bib17 "Lifelong machine learning")); Silver et al. ([2013](#bib.bib16 "Lifelong machine lear... |
ee927285-9fac-401d-9ea6-f37f289cb0ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Criticisms of intelligence explosion
On this page I will collect criticisms of (1) the claim that intelligence explosion is plausible, (2) the claim that intelligence explosion is likely to occur within the next 150 years, and (3) the claim that intelligence explosion would have a massive impact on civilization. Pleas... |
0681e284-8d62-4b95-b84a-f5e141447401 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Emotional Responsibility & Abuse
Crossposted from my personal Tumblr. This is how one does cross posts, right?
--
This is going to be a pretty serious article.
I very recently listened to a long video on youtube, discussing a case of emotional abuse in close detail, through chat logs and publicly available info ... |
0edbce40-ecf2-4118-9910-8f4aaf06d291 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Joscha Bach on remaining steps to human-level AI
*By Katja Grace, 29 November 2016*
[](http://aiimpacts.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Joscha_Bach-IMG_7797-1.jpg)Joscha Bach (photos from [Wikime... |
d7d10d9d-93dd-41c2-9bd5-daea6ab4e160 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 1960: The Year The Singularity Was Cancelled
[Epistemic status: Very speculative, especially Parts 3 and 4. Like many good things, this post is based on a conversation with Paul Christiano; most of the good ideas are his, any errors are mine.]
I.
In the 1950s, an Austrian scientist discovered a series of equations t... |
8e85dd18-8ef9-4235-b9ac-d811a4f60918 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Since I started quarantine in late February, I've been trying to learn the skill of modelling implicit skills and knowledge. Over that time, I've interviewed nearly 20 people and learned one specific implict theory or skill that they use. Many of those people in the rationality and post-rationality communities.Kaj Sot... |
1bcddcf0-6f42-4bbc-afaa-00c0749b688a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Learning Deterministic Finite Automata Decompositions from Examples and Demonstrations.
I Introduction
---------------
Grammatical inference is a mature and well-studied field with many application domains ranging from various computer science fields, e.g., machine learning, to areas of natural sciences, e.g. compu... |
e2e0b803-c0b3-4689-9065-857158ca7a36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Org Cheat Sheet
Epistemic Status: Exploratory.
Epistemic Effort: ~6 hours of work put into this document.
Contributions: Akash wrote this, Thomas helped edit + discuss. Unless specified otherwise, writing in the first person is by Akash and so are the opinions. Thanks to Olivia Jimenez for comments. Thank... |
45286149-238a-430f-be54-40ac6557f95a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing an EA Donation Registry, covering existential risk donors
The idea that being public about your giving can help inspire others is widespread, particularly in the effective altruism movement. And it’s also true that sharing your choice of charities can have a positive influence, particularly when that choic... |
295efcbc-a2df-4d62-8645-f9e0d29d7c7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Last chance to participate in the 2018 EA Survey
This year’s EA Survey will soon be closed.
You can help the community understand itself better by taking the survey via the button below before the May 26 deadline. The survey takes about 10-20 minutes to complete.
The annual EA survey is one of the best tools we have... |
3b943153-a532-4607-8585-5b143b17bf2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LesserWrong is now de facto the main site
My understanding was that the idea was for LesserWrong to run as a beta with a few users switching over and the main site still running until enough bugs had been fixed and enough missing features had been added so that we could have a vote and then decide whether to replace t... |
d70a1633-9d45-42ca-a260-b018895e804c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reward Is Not Necessary: How To Create A Compositional Self-Preserving Agent For Life-Long Learning
> We introduce a physiological model-based agent as proof-of-principle that it is possible to define a flexible self-preserving system that does not use a reward signal or reward-maximization as an objective. We achieve... |
36c4f8aa-809c-40c9-b6e2-c1a41f8f1240 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Gradient Surgery for Multi-Task Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
While deep learning and deep reinforcement learning (RL) have shown considerable promise in enabling systems to learn complex tasks, the data requirements of current methods make it difficult to learn a breadth of capabilities, particularly whe... |
b3f841bc-337e-4ac2-9a3f-9b2fab30a622 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sections 5 & 6: Contemporary Architectures, Humans in the Loop
This post is part of the sequence version of the Effective Altruism Foundation's research agenda on Cooperation, Conflict, and Transformative Artificial Intelligence.
5 Contemporary AI architectures
Although the architectures of TAI systems will likely b... |
92fa6612-2b5b-4e24-86a9-3517c7dc638f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Permitted Possibilities, & Locality
Continuation of: Hard Takeoff
The analysis given in the last two days permits more than one possible AI trajectory:
1. Programmers, smarter than evolution at finding tricks that work, but operating without fundamental insight or with only partial insight, create a mind that is d... |
6f58bdb4-f347-4d7b-b7b7-e45351d98559 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Plan: Put ChatGPT in Charge
Problem:
1. AI is becoming too smart to control
2. Sooner or later, we will have an AI takeover
Solution:
Put an AI that is too stupid to take over the world by itself, but trained on ethical data, in charge to control the AI takeover safely.
If you ask ChatGPT ethical questions to ... |
ba1f2379-ac82-48e7-bd86-b2068874188b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LessWrong Reading Picnic
Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong Reading Picnic
WHEN: 31 October 2015 11:00:00AM (+0000)
WHERE: Forbury Park, Reading
It's picnic season while it's still October! Bring blankets, food, games, conversation topics and anything else you think might be fun. This being Engl... |
2397905b-ed26-4331-ab3d-74e3ab54bf6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | TryContra Events
I've been maintaining a spreadsheet of contra dance events for a while. With the end of the Dance Gypsy, and ContraDanceLinks going stale, however, people asked if I could convert this into something more usable. So! Here's trycontra.com/events:
Initially it shows you all the events that it know... |
b2018f7e-510f-41ca-ae4e-0a37cec51f23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two straw men fighting
For a very long time, philosophy has presented us with two straw men in combat with one another and we are expected to take sides. Both straw men appear to have been proved true and also proved false. The straw men are Determinism and Free Will. I believe that both, in any useful sense, are fals... |
8bc3ce4a-9a5e-441d-addb-43019f91e1dc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | One-Shot Hierarchical Imitation Learning of Compound Visuomotor Tasks
I Introduction
---------------
Humans have a remarkable ability to imitate complex behaviors from just *watching* another person. In contrast, robots require a human to physically guide or teleoperate the robot’s body [[1](#bib.bib1), [2](#bib.bi... |
bed0479c-99bb-463c-8e56-0563d3358f04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Interpersonal Morality
Today's post, Interpersonal Morality was originally published on 29 July 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> A few clarifications on how Yudkowsky's theory of metaethics applies to interpersonal interactions.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the ori... |
b22e0e36-9466-45b5-adb9-f6464414c64b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I'd also take $7 trillion
So, Sam Altman wants as much money as he can get - the number he chose to give was $7 trillion - to build more chips for AI as fast as possible. Including in places like the UAE. Thus undermining his argument that OpenAI is helping with AI safety by preventing overhang and maintaining a lead ... |
f3d4a95d-6c51-4280-9277-d21911c66a06 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Christof Koch and Stuart Russell on machine superintelligence
Recently, *Science Friday* (hosted by Ira Flatow) featured an interview ([page](http://www.sciencefriday.com/segment/05/09/2014/science-goes-to-the-movies-transcendence.html), [mp3](https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/163098/Science%20Friday%20-%20Transcend... |
1a5292b1-2e9e-41c1-9fa3-bef30b05fc80 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Behavior: The Control of Perception
This is the second of three posts dealing with control theory and Behavior: The Control of Perception by William Powers. The previous post gave an introduction to control theory, in the hopes that a shared language will help communicate the models the book is discussing. This post d... |
5498137f-84f3-4479-b960-f878c4157d3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Admiring the Guts of Things.
Looking into the guts of things often reveals a very important perspective. Let me elaborate what I mean, via this anecdote:
Many machine learning practitioners will make a mistake of the following form:
> "I ran a K-means clustering algorithm on my data, for k = 2, and it didnt show me ... |
fe590d7c-a2bc-4afc-b533-84538300ab18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Object level weight loss tips
Original post: bearlamp.com.au/object-level-weight-loss-tips/
.bearlamp.com.au/object-level-weight-loss-tips/
Finding specific instructions on weight loss is difficult. They are all buried in the internet. Covered in clickbait and a waste of time to find. And plenty of them don't wor... |
1a74f129-13fb-4b9b-85a6-d2e7b91f7a25 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Reward splintering as reverse of interpretability
There is a sense in which [reward splintering](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/k54rgSg7GcjtXnMHX/model-splintering-moving-from-one-imperfect-model-to-another-1) is the reverse of interpretability.
Interpretability is basically:
* "This algorithm is doing something ... |
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