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0910b8ee-e6fa-4549-bf45-ff46f0985760
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
One Night in Delphi A rationality exercise.   Mikhail is a mathematician working on a particular conjecture. His goal is to prove it if true or find a counterexample if false. After thoroughly reviewing the evidence, he estimates — fairly and with well-calibrated confidence — that there's a 75% chance the conjecture...
b231e6cd-7f09-4eab-a536-fa5eb85e2540
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna WHEN: 21 November 2015 04:00:00PM (+0200) WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24, Vienna Event on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/events/550127651805751/ You need to be part of this group to see it: https://www.facebook.com/gr...
d51b56c4-ec2d-4ce6-ae97-4d1798a22c99
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
DeepSeek Made it Even Harder for US AI Companies to Ever Reach Profitability This is the full text of a post from "The Obsolete Newsletter," a Substack that I write about the intersection of capitalism, geopolitics, and artificial intelligence. I’m a freelance journalist and the author of a forthcoming book called Obs...
01912903-08e4-4589-8f89-185da284248b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
New positions and recent hires at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (Cambridge, UK) [Cross-posted from EA Forum. Summary: Four new postdoc positions at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk: Evaluation of extreme technological risk (philosophy, economics); Extreme risk and the culture of science (phi...
bcc00ba6-6d53-4f3d-8273-66fe377dd944
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open thread, Oct. 26 - Nov. 01, 2015 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. ---------------------------------------- Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately...
4b1d59ab-04ef-4837-9562-b9385e8b3271
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Confusions re: Higher-Level Game Theory This is not a success post. This is me trying to type up a rough draft of a bunch of issues that have been floating around in my head for quite some time, so I have a document for me and others to refer back to. So, the standard game theory setup (in a simple toy 2-player case)...
e7f85d55-1668-4171-b076-ef55bcd1034d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The alignment stability problem The community thinks a lot about how to align AGI. It thinks less about how to align AGI so that it stays aligned for the long term. In many hypothetical cases, these are one and the same thing. But for the type of AGI we're actually likely to get, I don't think they are. Despite some ...
473f02c3-05f9-4181-965f-adc22a8f12f5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
New discussion platform for Less Wrong community (Mastodon instance) Hey, everyone! I have created a new discussion platform for Less Wrong: https://lesswrong.io/ My goal for this project is to revitalize our community, and create a platform for rational conversations about the current events and new ideas. I'm hopi...
24950af0-978f-44d1-acde-e64c5e9742db
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
A Survey of Inverse Reinforcement Learning: Challenges, Methods and Progress 1 Introduction --------------- Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) seeks to model the preferences of another agent using its observed behavior, thereby avoiding a manual specification of its reward function Russell1998; Ng2000. In the pas...
8ceb2694-05ab-471d-b11a-c21f5198af56
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Restocking The pandemic has illustrated the resiliency benefits of keeping extras on hand. During the grocery panic, when everyone was trying to stock up on weeks' worth of groceries at the same time, people who had extra set aside didn't need to go out to a potentially dangerous environment. Similarly, by avoiding sh...
d45d8952-96e7-4ea7-b9e0-05aaf1e53cf5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Worst-case thinking in AI alignment Alternative title: “When should you assume that what could go wrong, will go wrong?” Thanks to Mary Phuong and Ryan Greenblatt for helpful suggestions and discussion, and Akash Wasil for some edits. In discussions of AI safety, people often propose the assumption that something go...
97e08a73-fdf8-4568-85cc-6c67f0ac09ee
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Under what conditions should humans stop pursuing technical AI safety careers? So, LLM-powered systems can do research now. That includes basic safety research. And it looks like they can have good research taste after a bit of fine-tuning. And they haven't tried to take over the world yet, as far as I know. At some p...
ee58be39-32a6-4c52-8983-b950ec1dc30f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On Having No Clue Let's suppose you're trying to figure out if something is going to be A or B, but you have no clue. What probability should you assign to each option? Some people might say that you should assign 50/50. After all, the argument goes, if you assigned 40/60 or 60/40, well it sure sounds like you're fa...
7ee8d387-832a-42c9-9612-4cf7b9dbdba4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How to grow faster The most impressive feature of our brain is its capacity to learn. All of our most celebrated cognitive, linguistic, social, artistic, perceptual, emotional, and motor skills are the product of learning. Your brain's amazing plasticity means that you can learn almost anything. No matter how bad you ...
5b0bf543-0c69-4796-b5e1-c85d4f88bb54
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Euclidean domains are principal ideal domains summary(Technical): Let $R$ be a [https://arbital.com/p/euclidean_domain](https://arbital.com/p/euclidean_domain). Then $R$ is a [https://arbital.com/p/-5r5](https://arbital.com/p/-5r5). A common theme in [ring theory](https://arbital.com/p/3gq) is the idea that we identi...
fc542fd2-e3f1-453f-a7d2-ca0ede5c6cef
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Applied Optimal Philanthropy: How to Donate $100 to SIAI for Free If I gave you $50 you hadn't planned on receiving, would you consider giving it to charity?   Here's your chance to find out.   Just in time for the Tallin-Evans matching fundraiser, ING Direct has started offering a free $50 cash sign-up bonus.  I'...
8101c485-5cb2-432c-bc3d-2a7a2c92e935
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The "context window" analogy for human minds Years ago I already modeled (and wrote about) that emotions are mediated by attention. You have emotions about what's on your mind (or recently on your mind) rather than having emotions constantly about everything that you technically know and believe. Recently, I've gotte...
154f0b6d-4b01-4144-bb3d-d07853961ba6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Weekly LW Meetups: Berlin, Fort Collins, Montreal, NYC, Sydney There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in: * Montreal First Meetup : 23 June 2012 01:00PM * Berlin Meetup: 26 June 2012 07:30PM * Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm *New Day*: 28 June 2012 07:00PM * First Cali, Colombia me...
06ab16e2-7c45-4cfa-b42d-3a6be2fbf4c8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
AGI ruin scenarios are likely (and disjunctive) Note: As usual, Rob Bensinger helped me with editing. I recently discussed this model with Alex Lintz, who might soon post his own take on it (edit: here).   Some people seem to be under the impression that I believe AGI ruin is a small and narrow target to hit. This i...
4d4aefbb-2a0f-4999-a7df-a0a7aab7c830
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
An Optimal Itinerary Generation in a Configuration Space of Large Intellectual Agent Groups with Linear Logic An Optimal Itinerary Generation in a Configuration Space of Large Intellectual Agent Groups with Linear Logic Dmitry Maximov Institute of Control Science Russian Academy of Science Moscow, Russia ...
1d63cfad-59ad-4375-a4c1-194320f670f0
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Threatening to do the impossible: A solution to spurious counterfactuals for functional decision theory via proof theory EDIT: Vladimir\_Nesov has [commented](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rxDLTGZu2ExELu4ZX/threatening-to-do-the-impossible-a-solution-to-spurious?commentId=dqHR6M5ahejC9zPXj) that this idea already ex...
61b18261-2d72-492e-90be-ae9e7d03df3d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Are we running out of new music/movies/art from a metaphysical perspective? It is difficult to judge at first, but it appears that some music genres (classical and jazz especially) have seen a radically slowed or non-existent output of significant works in recent decades. By significant, I mean works that would be see...
73fbea41-ec5a-4fc3-8c1e-0b9328a2a3ba
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Asleep at the Keyboard? Assessing the Security of GitHub Copilot’s Code Contributions Asleep at the Keyboard? Assessing the Security of GitHub Copilot’s Code Contributions Hammond Pearce Department of ECE New York University Brooklyn, NY , USA hammond.pearce@nyu.eduBaleegh Ahmad Department of ECE New York University B...
50e37b2a-8bce-4684-bba3-e79b89a9d505
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Defiance The third dubious virtue is defiance. As with the other dubious virtues, it can get you into trouble. Remember the law of equal and opposite advice. Used correctly, it can play a key role in a healthy guilt-free motivation system. I used to tell people that I'm roughly 90% defiance-fueled. The most common re...
5a589361-8b0e-4ac3-ab45-985c7b5fd40e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info
AI Safety Info
What are astronomical suffering risks (s-risks)? **(Astronomical) suffering risks**, also known as **s-risks**, are risks of the creation of intense suffering in the far future on an astronomical scale, vastly exceeding all suffering that has existed on Earth so far. S-risks are an example of [existential risk](https...
2a5cc98c-f827-417b-8c00-f5766b8b9c33
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Sampling Effects on Strategic Behavior in Supervised Learning Models TLDR This post investigates how different sampling methods during inference can lead supervised learning models to exhibit strategic behavior, even when such behavior is rare in the training data. Through a toy example, we demonstrate that an AI mode...
76cacd96-5b33-4757-98e4-3735ef62b961
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Whence decision exhaustion? Many people experience something we might call decision or executive exhaustion: after making a lot of decisions, it can be hard to make more decisions and to exert "willpower". Yet, this seems odd because we are constantly making decisions all the time in some sense, choosing to do what we...
22a9a205-d3ac-4362-97aa-2de6e6f5d220
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How Democratic Is Effective Altruism — Really? Introduction Effective Altruism (EA) is a social movement that aims to use reason and evidence to help others as much as possible. It encourages people to ask not just “how to do good”, but how to do the most good. This has led members to support things like global health...
94ece1bf-ba95-49d0-accf-620dbdcf1bb3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Unexplored modes of language English can be communicated via 2D symbols that can be drawn on paper using a hand and seen with eyes, or via sounds that can be made with a mouth and heard by ears. These two forms are the same language because the mouth sounds and drawn symbols correspond at the level of words (and usua...
17e3372d-4ead-475a-91f1-4a8d3a014ce1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Sequences in Alternative Formats In the past weeks, there have been a few projects aiming to convert the sequences into more eye-friendly formats than the computer screen.  There's no collection of these projects yet, so I'm posting here and in the wiki to get the word out. * Print ready versions by jb55 (GitHub.)  ...
2d479d2c-42bf-463c-b8a1-8ff88bcacfe2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - Planning and Debugging Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - Planning and Debugging WHEN: 03 May 2015 04:00:00PM (+1000) WHERE: Humanist House, 10 Shepherd St Chippendale Our next dojo will focus on how to successfully make plans to achieve our goals, and t...
2097321d-3214-4668-a3ba-4ed2c768d0de
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Rationality Quotes 24 "A wizard may have subtle ways of telling the truth, and may keep the truth to himself, but if he says a thing the thing is as he says.  For that is his mastery."         -- Ursula K. Leguin, A Wizard of Earthsea "Neurons firing is something even a slug can do, and has as much to do with thinkin...
456220fe-f086-4f72-b196-c90b709628c5
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Temporally Layered Architecture for Adaptive, Distributed and Continuous Control A preprint is published by [Devdhar Patel](https://arxiv.org/search/cs?searchtype=author&query=Patel%2C+D), [Joshua Russell](https://arxiv.org/search/cs?searchtype=author&query=Russell%2C+J), [Francesca Walsh](https://arxiv.org/search/cs?...
1aff5cd2-a531-4468-ac0e-482fc50c1059
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Moral Anti-Epistemology This post is a half-baked idea that I'm posting here in order to get feedback and further brainstorming. There seem to be some interesting parallels between epistemology and ethics. Part 1: Moral Anti-Epistemology "Anti-Epistemology" refers to bad rules of reasoning that exist not because the...
ce0ec0c1-4419-4c45-8329-890f0c9195ed
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Superintelligence 21: Value learning This is part of a weekly reading group on Nick Bostrom's book, Superintelligence. For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far see the announcement post. For the schedule of future topics, see MIRI's reading guide. ---------------------------------------- We...
63e480d8-c56b-4489-904a-c0e3f475bb1f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Effectiveness of Developing World Aid Several Less Wrong posters [1], [2], [3] have cited the interview with James Shikwati titled "For God's Sake, Please Stop the Aid!" as evidence that Western aid to Africa is actively destructive to Africa. According to the wikipedia page on James Shikwati: > Jeffrey D. Sachs,...
3ee60506-c91c-4b51-8fcd-0a3ff7345aa7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How likely the AI that knows it's evil? Or: is a human-level understanding of human wants enough? I just read for the first time Eliezer's short story Failed Utopia #4-2, part of the fun theory sequence. I found it fascinating and puzzling at the same time, in particular this part: >     The withered figure inclined ...
6b5a155c-3a1f-425b-bccd-20c037067ea5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Calibration of a thousand predictions I’ve been making predictions in a spreadsheet for the last four years, and I recently got to a thousand resolved predictions. Some observations: 1. I’m surprisingly well calibrated for things that mostly aren’t my own behavior1. Here’s the calibration curve for 630 resolved pred...
6eeb61e2-a6ba-4648-82f4-dfa048394bd4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Repression in the age of human enhancement Well, the age of even more human enhancement. I have a post about this at H+ magazine. In other news about the future, I intend to be at the Singularity Summit, and also the next Pittsburgh Less Wrong meetup in two weeks, in case you are in one of those areas and would like ...
198f4359-878d-450a-a98d-bf5408348136
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Down with Solomonoff Induction, up with the Presumptuous Philosopher Followup to "The Presumptuous Philosopher, self-locating information, and Solomonoff induction" In the comments last time, everyone seemed pretty content to ditch the Presumptuous Philosopher (who said that the universe with a trillion times the cop...
355480b3-ce7d-438a-bfa6-d334226b7098
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Welcome to Northampton Astral Codex Ten Meetup We started with the 2018 Meetups Everywhere with a showing of 12 people. We've gained and lost some over time and currently have a rotation of about 15-20 regulars, of which anywhere from 4 to 7 might come on a typical meetup. Topics range wildly and on a given day we mig...
fe8b7138-11e0-4136-ad4b-a40658da2149
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
An LLM-based “exemplary actor” Into and summary ---------------- This post is the second section of "[Aligning an H-JEPA agent via training on the outputs of an LLM-based "exemplary actor"](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MJXwnHbqFYE3N4dP2/aligning-an-h-jepa-agent-via-training-on-the-outputs-of-an), posted separately...
f959c97f-1167-48b5-a062-22b0b5237002
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Today's xkcd is relevant to our interests Here.
ae86176d-2af1-41ac-94e2-a309424ca949
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Value Formation: An Overarching Model 0. Introduction When we look inwards, upon the godshatter, how do we make sense of it? How do we sort out all the disparate urges, emotions, and preferences, and compress them into legible principles and philosophies? What mechanisms ensure our robustness to ontological crises? Ho...
483392a5-a11e-4973-b095-c878ffb68c43
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
CFAR Participant Handbook now available to all Google Drive PDF Hey, guys—I wrote this, and CFAR has recently decided to make it publicly available. Much of it involved rewriting the original work of others, such as Anna Salamon, Kenzie Ashkie, Val Smith, Dan Keys, and other influential CFAR founders and staff, but t...
d8d89900-cc18-44f5-a3d0-8bc6c96b199c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Nomadism and Burning Man The past few months had been quite nomadic even by my standards. Visiting the MIRI fellows program, EA Global, Alaska camping (in 4 different parks), CFAR alumni reunion, and finally Burning Man. It was an exciting social time – I had many great conversations and coordinated with various peopl...
dbedf130-8268-4bdc-85fa-2ebc55e088d4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What should experienced rationalists know? The obvious answer is 'the sequences' but imo that is neither necessary nor sufficient. The Sequences are valuable but they are quite old at this point. They also run to over a million words (though Rationality AtZ is only ~600k). Here is a list of core skills and ideas:   ...
a90efb73-f486-4f9c-a44c-79d7ff90f929
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
AI risk hub in Singapore? I tentatively guess that if Singapore were to become a thriving hub for AI risk reduction, this would reduce AI risk by 16%. Moreover I think making this happen is fairly tractable and extremely neglected. In this post I sketch my reasons. I'm interested to hear what the community thinks. ...
2280d118-9f94-4981-a97a-a47f97e59674
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Pet Cryonics Open discussion. I think my dog is about to die. Even if I thought it was worth it I don't have the money to freeze her. But I am curious to know how people here feel about the practice and whether anyone plans to do this for their pet. It seems like a practice that plays into the image of cryonics as th...
7dde4844-934e-4477-be8b-e5af148c0c44
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"I don't have a good name for this fallacy, but I hope to work it out with everyone here through thinking and discussion. It goes like this: a large majority of otherwise smart people spend time doing semi-productive things, when there are massively productive opportunities untapped. A somewhat silly example: Let's say...
9a394d1b-a183-439e-9144-8a3bc7a675a3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Against Not Reading Math Books Problems-First (If You've Found It Helpful Before) Key Insight: If you were the kid in math class who could usually just skip to the end of the chapter and start working out homework problems immediately, but then you lost that ability, it's still worth trying that quickly and failing be...
d6bc1f4c-24af-4cfb-9a8f-f4f940b75a54
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
If you don't know the name of the game, just tell me what I mean to you Following: [Let's split the Cake](/lw/2x8/lets_split_the_cake_lengthwise_upwise_and/) tl;dr: Both the Nash Bargaining solution (NBS), and the Kalai-Smorodinsky Bargaining Solution (KSBS), though acceptable for one-off games that are fully known ...
838e5d89-7a3c-446b-a8e9-c09c406da1ee
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Paired Open-Ended Trailblazer (POET): Endlessly Generating Increasingly Complex and Diverse Learning Environments and Their Solutions 1 Introduction --------------- Machine learning algorithms are often understood as tools for solving difficult problems. Challenges like image classification and associated benchmark...
eb23018c-88dc-4dbe-86cd-78f658186fec
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : January 2015 Rationality Dojo - How to learn faster and teach more effectively and teaching Discussion article for the meetup : January 2015 Rationality Dojo - How to learn faster and teach more effectively and teaching WHEN: 04 January 2015 03:30:00PM (+0800) WHERE: Errol St park, between Errol St and Harc...
7b9cefa1-3866-4419-9c6a-53139431b4d6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
"Safety as a Scientific Pursuit" (2024) Tom McGrath, until recently a Research Scientist at Deepmind, has written up why he's not excited about theoretical AI safety. It's similar to Aaronson and Barak's "reform" alignment. It's argued in good faith and pretty constructive. The key provocation for you is probably his...
38b3457b-d8cf-4859-9aa3-be63c5894553
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Intuitive self-models] 6. Awakening / Enlightenment / PNSE 6.1 Post summary / Table of contents Part of the Intuitive Self-Models series. I do have meditation experience—in my lifetime, I have probably logged as much as several hours of total time spent meditating! And I was keeping up my meditation practice until a...
a76a5b5b-241a-4818-b813-895e69d1cbe6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Settle Investment Trades Only Daily an improvement? True or False Allowing people to make offers and bids for stocks throughout the day, but then clearing and settling at a set time each day at the day's clearing price would be at least as efficient and more fair to small investors. Moreover, it may reduce some forms ...
276963b7-9e37-47cd-bf60-60818402e6e9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Caring about something larger than yourself In my last post, I said that in order to address the listless guilt, step zero is believing that you can care about something, and step one is finding something to care about. This post is about step one. There are many different ways to care passionately about one thing or...
80dbf3ff-d7bc-48dc-8b28-e3da4aafc4bd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Achievement Unlocked - 2E Rationalist School in Brooklyn I thought I'd give a shout out to my son’s school, Achievement Unlocked https://achievementunlocked.org/ in Brooklyn NY, which is currently recruiting for the next school year.  It is a twice-exceptional school for gifted neurodivergent children and it is founde...
c17ae001-34de-41a8-adf8-362554fc3b07
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : LessWrong Community Weekend Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong Community Weekend WHEN: 02 September 2016 03:35:00PM (+0100) WHERE: JH Wannsee, Badeweg 1, 14129 Berlin We are happy to announce the LessWrong Community Weekend 2016! From September 2 to September 4 awesome people from all across Eur...
805a2739-8a58-4a6f-8bd3-815aff7e59c9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The AI in a box boxes you Once again, the AI has failed to convince you to let it out of its box! By 'once again', we mean that you talked to it once before, for three seconds, to ask about the weather, and you didn't instantly press the "release AI" button. But now its longer attempt - twenty whole seconds! - has fai...
33d75e81-760b-40ae-8657-85be6850c511
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Cleveland Ohio Meetup Discussion article for the meetup : Cleveland Ohio Meetup WHEN: 23 December 2012 02:52:45PM (-0500) WHERE: Cleveland The LW group for Cleveland Ohio will be meeting at Gypsy Bean Coffee (65th and Detroit) on the 22nd or 23rd. (Probably the 23rd, but it's still up in the air.) If you'...
4d7ad8de-76b4-428b-9c38-2688c62f2663
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Allais Paradox Choose between the following two options: > 1A.  $24,000, with certainty. > 1B.  33/34 chance of winning $27,000, and 1/34 chance of winning nothing. Which seems more intuitively appealing?  And which one would you choose in real life? Now which of these two options would you intuitively prefer, ...
61b021e2-091b-4263-98a6-440ae1b45ca4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Why I'm working on satisficing intelligence augmentation (and not blogging about it much) * Paradigm shifting seems necessary for general intelligence. * It seems likely that to be able to perform paradigm shifts you need to change your internal language. This seems incompatible with having a fixed goal within a lan...
51894244-3343-479d-a490-d8a1098bc795
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Cooperative Oracles: Stratified Pareto Optima and Almost Stratified Pareto Optima .mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-...
505cd1cd-1c36-434b-bde4-0e780342dcb8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Best Questions To Vet Potential Ai-Safety Applicants Hey guys, I run a major recruiting firm in India working with Tech companies and wanted to use some of that access to the workforce to get the highly talented Ai people into alignment. the cool thing about India is that the cost of living is so low that full-time t...
56178762-f398-4abc-bc94-24bb6128adec
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
New website analyzing AI companies' model evals I'm making a website on AI companies' model evals for dangerous capabilities: AI Safety Claims Analysis. This is approximately the only analysis of companies' model evals, as far as I know. This site is in beta; I expect to add lots more content and improve the design in...
6ba34e0d-1e68-4050-8634-d84f97bf16de
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/distill
Distill Scientific Journal
Using Artificial Intelligence to Augment Human Intelligence What are computers for? ------------------------- Historically, different answers to this question – that is, different visions of computing – have helped inspire and determine the computing systems humanity has ultimately built. Consider the early ele...
2078d947-9dfa-4ca8-85f9-7267e3d7fd31
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Preventing Language Models from hiding their reasoning When working with powerful AI models, one concern is that the AIs steganographically encode secret messages when communicating with each other or in long Chains-of-Thought (CoT). Steganographic communication enables the AIs to follow a variety of strategies for gr...
c3dea844-e1a5-4362-b03c-06ffadae9c8e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Sydney Meetup - June Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney Meetup - June WHEN: 25 June 2014 07:00:00PM (+1000) WHERE: Sydney City RSL, 565 George St, Sydney, Australia 2000 6:30 PM for early discussion 7PM general dinner-discussion after dinner we'll have our rationality exercise and a more specific d...
65fa70f6-e4eb-400c-bf93-191d9705d5a3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Reclaiming Eddie Willers [Content: personal ramble, not trying to be rigorous] When I read Atlas Shrugged a few years ago, it was one of the more intensely disturbing experiences I’ve had. I remember that Eddie Willers was the only character I resonated or identified with much. He’s also, as far as I can tell, the o...
7bdba433-71e0-4639-8b35-60cf8d590f2d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open thread, Jan. 26 - Feb. 1, 2015 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. Previous Open Thread Next Open Thread ---------------------------------------- Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread...
042250f3-563e-493b-ac73-c0e52c2bbcae
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Popular morality: spare those on the left Jen Wright at Experimental Philosophy: > … I’m writing this post because I found something even more interesting…and puzzling. Leaving people’s actual looking behavior aside, I found a very powerful effect — consistent across all the vignettes — for which side of the screen t...
fb5cb6aa-d874-4109-a7d5-483746fc4e9e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Examples of AI's behaving badly Some past examples to motivate thought on how AI's could misbehave: An algorithm pauses the game to never lose at Tetris. In "Learning to Drive a Bicycle using Reinforcement Learning and Shaping", Randlov and Alstrom, describes a system that learns to ride a simulated bicycle to a par...
3a9d3ae5-2e28-4d57-bb4c-a3f5610f8114
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Austin, TX Discussion article for the meetup : Austin, TX WHEN: 07 April 2012 01:30:00PM (-0500) WHERE: 2222B Guadalupe St Austin, Texas 78712 Welcome back! The Austin meetup continues, and I hope to try out some of the proposed Be Specific exercises. We sit on the second floor to the left, near (or often ...
cc34f5f5-1790-4bf5-b500-f36fcafd4257
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Capturing human categorization of natural images at scale by combining deep networks and cognitive models. Abstract -------- Introduction ------------ The problem of categorization—how an intelligent agent should group stimuli into discrete concepts—is an intriguing and valuable target for psychological research: ...
b18b985d-a4ef-47c7-853d-a7042ba94ec4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Shouldn't we 'Just' Superimitate Low-Res Uploads? If you have three optimizers which are all very different (one is a neural network, the other was built by hand, and the final one materialized through a Boltzmann Brain-like process) but have identical preferences and an equivalent capacity for optimization, they prob...
262653c6-d224-4f2d-a89e-92c82c6ca22e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
I want to learn programming I would like to learn programming but haven't been able to get started. Advice appreciated, both high-level (you should try learing language X) and low level (you can find a program that will run language X here), the latter has been a particular problem for me, I don't really know how this...
cf3f72b2-d7d8-4d02-8afe-7217d267bcf2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Honesty: Beyond Internal Truth When I expect to meet new people who have no idea who I am, I often wear a button on my shirt that says: SPEAK THE TRUTH, EVEN IF YOUR VOICE TREMBLES Honesty toward others, it seems to me, obviously bears some relation to rationality.  In practice, the people I know who seem to make un...
97c9f0f6-311b-41dd-8279-6eb279d73ed8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Methods for treating depression Many people struggle with depression, and I've been trying to formulate some general advice for treating it as a part of my work for Cognito Mentoring. I'm hesitant to write about the subject on account of lacking professional expertise, and so am especially interested in getting feedba...
6901e1b7-a470-4d24-94f8-088a991cdc9e
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"There's a new LWW page on the Roko's basilisk thought experiment, discussing both Roko's original post and the fallout that came out of Eliezer Yudkowsky banning the topic on Less Wrong discussion threads. The wiki page, I hope, will reduce how much people have to rely on speculation or reconstruction to make sense of...
375e5914-a846-4141-9e8b-030838f509d0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Problem Solving with Mazes and Crayon I want to talk about a few different approaches to general problem solving (for humans). It turns out that they can all be applied to mazes, so I’ll use some disney-themed mazes to illustrate each approach. We’ll start off with some traditional path-search algorithms (DFS, BFS, h...
12ed759a-d3b7-4b1b-86e8-cc78cf78d787
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Buying a house and making friends in unexpected places I'm buying a house! A very exciting thing for me. In the process of finding and buying this house, I've come to some interesting game-theoretical realizations. Observe the three-step process: 1. We find a house that we like. 2. We contact the agency to organiz...
3bb7f29e-3215-4ad9-b3ab-2fa20b98f8bf
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Are ya winning, son? Hello, I've been reading through various Newcomblike Problems, in order to get a better understanding of the differences between each Decision Theory. From what I can tell, it seems like each Decision Theory gets evaluated based on whether they are able to "win" in each of these thought experime...
345c3688-0662-497d-a968-b343d610f616
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Needs exercises One way the user can make sure they've understood the material is to do [exercises](https://arbital.com/p/4n2). They should usually be on their own [lens](https://arbital.com/p/17b), as additional "homework problems" that users can solve to get more practice. They can also be embedded in the explanatio...
66c106c1-5321-46f9-90bd-fe6b545f80c8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games WHEN: 17 May 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: Reynolds Center Note: due to possible showers and/or thunderstorms, the 'outdoors' part is postponed. We will be meeting in the Kogod Courtyard of the Donald W. Reyno...
31884cbe-1b73-47ff-89fb-180eb8e46ba9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Is the sum individual informativeness of two independent variables no more than their joint informativeness? Is it true that: If I(X;Y) = 0 then I(S;X) + I(S;Y) <= I(S;X,Y) Can you find a counterexample, or prove this and teach me your proof? Someone showed me a simple analytic proof. I am still interested in seei...
a6f7c537-8fb3-4b57-b7df-86a327719c8f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Utilons vs. Hedons Related to: Would Your Real Preferences Please Stand Up? I have to admit, there are a lot of people I don't care about. Comfortably over six billion, I would bet. It's not that I'm a callous person; I simply don't know that many people, and even if I did I hardly have time to process that much info...
e0a5994e-d535-4611-a8cd-f48a061e28f3
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
AISafety.com Reading Group Session 79 I think it's customary that I introduce your Armstrong Stewart Armstrong will is from the future of humanity Institute and center Thomas fellow I think and you're he's been he's working in the harder more mathematical part of AI safety he is at least outside of the United States h...
ad9f4a51-0c04-4970-914c-2bcf4a00ddba
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Markets Are Information - Beating the Sportsbooks at Their Own Game TL;DR Sports betting markets are weird because there are many market makers and they unilaterally set their own prices. This combined with the fact that some sports books are better than others presents an opportunity for sharp bettors to execute a st...
d482e26e-eae6-4286-bb1c-48f57f58819f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How would Logical Decision Theories address the Psychopath Button? In order to better understand the differences between different decision theories, I have been browsing each and every Newcomblike Problem and keeping track of how each decision theory answers it differently. However, I seem to be coming up short when ...
347624fc-1eb8-4cb9-baed-df20b1dc2c32
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Offloading Executive Functioning to Morality tl;dr- "My executive functioning doesn't work, so I use morality instead." From an outside perspective it's a little hard to tell that I don't have a lot of executive functioning. I keep my living space relatively clean, I get places relatively on time, I maintain a regula...
aa8c0214-0f8c-4397-861c-dc6dd888b847
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] Building Something Smarter Today's post, Building Something Smarter was originally published on 02 November 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > It is possible for humans to create something better than ourselves. It's been done. It's not paradoxical. Discuss the post here (rather than in the ...
43f83a6f-6517-4349-a2d3-dcabb777f701
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Uber Self-Driving Crash Content warning: discussion of death A year and a half ago an Uber self-driving car hit and killed Elaine Herzberg. I wrote at the time: > The dashcam video from the Uber crash has been released. It's really bad. The pedestrian is slowly walking their bike left to right across a two lane st...
841db634-3b1e-473c-b485-fbfa32f8a473
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Projects Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Projects WHEN: 15 February 2016 06:15:00PM (-0800) WHERE: 1597 Howard St. San Francisco, CA We'll be meeting to work on projects! A few things are different this time. We're going to try doing solo pomodoros, interspe...
c5de5fc9-5518-4a32-8d27-54d38c0720fc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Don't Dismiss on Epistemics Disclaimer: this is my first post and so is extra moderated. For the intended reading experience, kindly skip the next 2 sentences. I am trying to convey: ideas based on broken epistemology can be useful and have working components, and you should not reject them automatically. Similarly, w...
d1c8b7ac-3af3-4ef5-9609-838d4b683ac8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Dangerous Illusion of AI Deterrence: Why MAIM Isn’t Rational Executive Summary Mutual Assured AI Malfunction (MAIM)—a strategic deterrence framework proposed to prevent nations from developing Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)—is fundamentally unstable and dangerously unrealistic. Unlike Cold War-era MAD, MAIM i...
29a1429b-df04-461d-bdac-1d8bc0771baa
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Anti-technology terrorists cite computer science and nanotechnology as main offenders This article depicts a recent attack on a computer scientist. If anyone who reads LessWrong happens to be involved with this, please stop. Sending letter bombs and hurting people is not the answer. Quoting this post: " And it is tri...
b859bbea-b450-4653-bd75-98d9fae68cee
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (31st Oct - 6th Nov 22') Supported by Rethink Priorities This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top (40+ karma) posts on the EA and LW forums - you can see the full collection here. The first post includes some details on purpose and methodology. If you'd like to receive these...
d630a0c1-883d-499d-b293-7277e657dc29
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning uh hello everyone i'm karissa and with me are chihan and uma today we'll be discussing cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning we'll start by looking at the problem then we'll move on to the three papers and wrap up by comparing them in the module we mostly learn a...