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85e0df40-0f85-4691-a654-ca9441b657b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moral Error and Moral Disagreement
Followup to: Inseparably Right, Sorting Pebbles Into Correct Heaps
Richard Chappell, a pro, writes:
> "When Bob says "Abortion is wrong", and Sally says, "No it isn't", they are disagreeing with each other.
>
> I don't see how Eliezer can accommodate this. On his account, what Bo... |
26ab1a91-9a03-4a52-bcb3-0982b98cc7d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ideas for CoT Models: A Geometric Perspective on Latent Space Reasoning
Disclaimer: These ideas are untested and only come from my intuition. I don’t have the resources to explore them any further.
intro
CoT and test time compute have been proven to be the future direction of language models for better or for worse.... |
220ce35c-6f0c-4d82-b5d0-17f49b9eb4c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Generalized element
In [https://arbital.com/p/-4c7](https://arbital.com/p/-4c7), a **generalized element** of an object $X$ of a category is any morphism $x : A \to X$ with [codomain](https://arbital.com/p/3lg) $X$. In this situation, $A$ is called the **shape**, or **domain of definition**, of the element $x$. We'll ... |
e5643dd5-d638-4cdb-aaf3-1afac6c3f010 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Outperforming the human Atari benchmark
I haven't paid much attention to Atari in a long time, and so would appreciate takes from anyone who follows this more closely. My take:
A single architecture that can handle both the games that require significant exploration, and the games that require long-term credit assign... |
57b16849-8fa3-4384-b817-454efea89477 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Extending rational models of communication from beliefs to actions.
Extending rational models of communication from beliefs to actions
Theodore R. Sumers1, Robert D. Hawkins2, Mark K. Ho1, Thomas L. Griffiths1,2
1Department of Computer Science, Princeton University
2Department of Psychology, Princeton University
fsumer... |
a40f3e7b-63fa-4796-b15b-fd7f22172d8e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Organizing a debate with experts and MPs to raise AI xrisk awareness: a possible blueprint
*Thanks to Leon Lang from University of Amsterdam for proposing this post and reviewing the draft. Any views expressed in this post are not necessarily his.*
We ([Existential Risk Observatory](https://www.existentialriskobs... |
ec7ff39f-7b27-438c-be6b-4dfa8f56fece | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Teaching CS During Take-Off
I stayed up too late collecting way-past-deadline papers and writing report cards. When I woke up at 6, this anxious email from one of my g11 Computer Science students was already in my Inbox.
Student: Hello Mr. Carle, I hope you've slept well; I haven't.
I've been seeing a lot of new med... |
f44df2f9-278d-40c3-b19c-f3873444db81 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nice Clothes are Good, Actually
This is just some casual thoughts about how to dress nice. I think dressing nice is a useful skill, but nobody told me in a way that convinced me. So this is written in the spirit of what I wish someone would have told 15 year old me.
For most of my life I thought dressing nicely was a... |
2983c673-9663-41d6-b3e0-ef29b12caf1e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preschoolers learning to guess the teacher's password [link]
A Slate article by psychologist Alison Gopnik about how preschoolers have already learned to accept what the teacher says rather than exploring things to develop their own understanding:
> [...] Daphna ran through the same nine sequences with all the childr... |
e451fa19-3241-4bd5-a113-eb04454da0db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : VA Callibration/Biased games meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : VA Callibration/Biased games meetup
WHEN: 25 August 2013 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 4238 Wilson Boulevard, Ballston Common Mall, Arlington, VA 22203, USA
We'll be meeting in the food court to play calibration games and and biased boardg... |
0e329c83-8f8e-4542-8e5e-6538fd8ed8f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A way to beat superrational/EDT agents?
Suppose you have two identical agents with shared finances, and three rooms A1, A2, B.
Flip a fair coin.
* If the coin comes up H, put the agents in A1, A2.
* If it comes up T, flip the coin again.
* If it comes up H, put the agents in A1, B.
* If it comes up T, put ... |
da4251c9-5606-4183-835f-98ea6568ae22 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Preface to CLR's Research Agenda on Cooperation, Conflict, and TAI
The [Center on Long-Term Risk (CLR)](https://longtermrisk.org/) is focused on [reducing risks of astronomical suffering](https://foundational-research.org/cause-prioritization-downside-focused-value-systems/), or *s-risks*, from transformative artific... |
3a2cb799-c7d9-4485-9215-2bf72e406ebb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Technical AI Safety Research Landscape [Slides]
I recently gave a technical AI safety research overview talk at EAGx Berlin. Many people told me they found the talk insightful, so I’m sharing the slides here as well. I edited them for clarity and conciseness, and added explanations.
Outline
This presentation contain... |
ff99c320-a54c-4e99-bf50-ad6089e88eb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experiment: a good researcher is hard to find
> See previously “A good volunteer is hard to find”
Back in February 2012, lukeprog announced that SIAI was hiring more part-time remote researchers, and you could apply just by demonstrating your chops on a simple test: review the psychology literature on habit formation... |
c02a8806-5d1d-4d23-958f-506e66649347 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Mapping Out Alignment
This week, the [key alignment group](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EnnCnnjB52MDGtiYF/solving-key-alignment-problems-group), we answered two questions, 5-minute timer style:
1. Map out all of alignment (25 minutes)
2. Create an image/ table representing alignment (10 min.)
You are free to stop... |
ecd2cf49-340c-406d-b3cc-57ece73f9455 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Eradicate Global Extreme Poverty [RA video with fundraiser!]
Cross-posted from the EA Forum
In this video, we outline a plan to eradicate global extreme poverty using cash transfers. The approach is based on GiveDirectly's internal research and documentation about the topic. Allen Liu, the first author of thi... |
65acfc98-b4d6-4294-bb5d-027ec6f82e6c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] People are biased against creativity
A lot of people probably saw this on hacker news but I thought I'd share it anyway - People are biased against creative ideas, studies find
To sum up, most people dislike uncertainty so much that they'll reject pretty much anything new, good or not. The article states that ... |
f28a0c8c-441f-403c-9464-c7d4faa23f63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Claims & Assumptions made in Eternity in Six Hours
This is a list of claims and assumptions made in the FHI paper, Eternity in Six Hours. It is not exhaustive. I collected this list as part of my attempt to answer the questions:
* Which parts of the paper Eternity in Six Hours are iffy?
* What are the claims/argum... |
24777bb7-bfd0-48c9-929d-1762884a723f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Why deceptive alignment matters for AGI safety
**Update:** I changed the title from "Why AGI safety researchers should focus mostly on deceptive alignment" to "Why deceptive alignment matters for AGI safety". I think my original message was too strong and I'm actually much more uncertain about failure modes from AGI t... |
6af9335a-c6fb-4e93-a218-751fee18698d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #115]: AI safety research problems in the AI-GA framework
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world
Newsletter #115
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsl... |
ff970275-12de-4aa9-8dad-5af6421b7ee2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Non-myopia stories
*Written under the supervision of Lionel Levine. Thanks to Owain Evans, Aidan O’Gara, Max Kaufmann, and Johannes Treutlein for comments.*
This post is a synthesis of arguments made by other people. It provides a collection of answers to the question, "Why would an AI become non-myopic?" In this pos... |
e34e9cc4-d8dd-4ce8-b948-9ec57e3ffaad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sharing about my mental illness and popularizing future-oriented thinking: feedback appreciated!
I'd appreciate feedback on optimizing a blog post that shares about my mental illness and popularizes future-oriented thinking to a broad audience. I'm using story-telling as the driver of the narrative, and sprinkling in ... |
8dca7e08-35fd-441d-ae47-ca332d797a60 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Projects I would like to see (possibly at AI Safety Camp)
I recently discussed with my AISC co-organiser Remmelt, some possible project ideas I would be excited about seeing at the upcoming AISC, and I thought these would be valuable to share more widely.
*Thanks to Remmelt for helfull suggestions and comments.*
... |
4ac40723-3570-43b9-8705-64547ac509b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can you prevent negative long-term effects of bad trips with sleep deprivation?
The idea is that you need sleep in order to consolidate your memories. If you deprive yourself of that after a bad trip on psychedelics, or after a traumatic event or re-traumatization, the newly formed bad memories don't consolidate.
I’v... |
addfde7b-a762-4003-b79c-7f7069f2d607 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Non-Fiction Book Reviews
I have moved this post to my blog: http://squirrelinhell.blogspot.com/2016/08/non-fiction-book-reviews.html |
28d94aeb-34a0-4741-b7f9-004b2960a52a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dual-Useness is a Ratio
A lot of AI-risk-concerned people are struggling with how to relate to dual-use research, and relatedly, to doing alignment research inside of AI orgs. There's a pretty simple concept that seems, to me, to be key to thinking about this coherently: the dual-useness ratio. Most prosaic alignment ... |
6de960f4-f39d-45d3-a06e-8b5d65e07fa7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No One Knows Stuff
Take a second to go upvote You Are A Brain if you haven't already...
Back? OK.
Liron's post reminded me of something that I meant to say a while ago. In the course of giving literally hundreds of job interviews to extremely high-powered technical undergraduates over the last five years, one thin... |
8319de34-f56a-481a-8ba4-e7a839c54ba2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver!
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver!
WHEN: 09 March 2013 03:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 2505 west broadway, vancouver bc
I haven't been able to think of a worthy topic, so we can have a rambling topicless general hangout meetup. I'm sure it will be much fun.
As is usual lately, 15:00 at Be... |
169c9530-d33c-4a21-827d-5304f8199e13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Request] Feedback on my Writing
I've written some posts.
I'd like to get better at writing posts.
I still have some more material for posts.
I'd like to write it well.
So, would people be willing to critique my work so far?
Particularly helpful-awesome would be pointing out things I did well somewhere that I ... |
c57dced4-a1c9-4be0-8a31-35ccd477e6a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Joshua Achiam Public Statement Analysis
JOSHUA ACHIAM IS THE OPENAI HEAD OF MISSION ALIGNMENT
I start off this post with an apology for two related mistakes from last week.
The first is the easy correction: I incorrectly thought he was the head of ‘alignment’ at OpenAI rather than his actual title ‘mission alignment... |
574b6f95-978a-476f-a01e-d2110081cbba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What do we now know about long-term consequences of a COVID-19 infection?
At the beginning there were concerns about permanently reduced lung-function and CFS after some COVID-19 infections. I haven't kept up with the discourse in the last two months. What's the current state of what we now about the long-term effects... |
9bd16005-7ef5-45ec-bc84-38a84284a056 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Task-directed AGI
A task-based AGI is an AGI [intended](https://arbital.com/p/6h) to follow a series of human-originated orders, with these orders each being of limited scope - "satisficing" in the sense that they can be [accomplished using bounded amounts of effort and resources](https://arbital.com/p/4mn) (as oppose... |
530368fa-e1d5-4064-be7b-5ef88112eb8a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AGI-Automated Interpretability is Suicide
Backstory: I wrote this post about 12d ago, then a user here pointed out that this could be capability exfohazard since it could give the bad idea of having the AGI look at itself, so I took it down. Well I don’t have to worry about that anymore since now we have proof that th... |
15d50f73-19ff-4013-9801-9304882b309b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | If I were a well-intentioned AI... II: Acting in a world
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-sp... |
467feb0a-75d8-4f8b-b4f9-9e11a0b25317 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Curiosity Looks Like
See also: Twelve Virtues of Rationality, The Meditation on Curiosity, Use Curiosity
What would it look like if someone was truly curious — if they actually wanted true beliefs? Not someone who wanted to feel like they sought the truth, or to feel their beliefs were justified. Not someone who... |
d01ec8ca-e78f-4386-a0b7-88416e1fe9f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #63] How architecture search, meta learning, and environment design could lead to general intelligence
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter. I'm always happy to hear feedback; you can se... |
1f000217-2dab-4253-a58b-547a788947ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tagging (Click Gear Icon to filter Coronavirus content)
A couple weeks back, as coronavirus content took over LessWrong, we thought "Hmm, so... we've almost finished this new tagging feature. Maybe we should hurry to finish that up so that we can use it to help manage this avalanche of COVID-19 posts?"
For the past w... |
29393dc6-3dd9-49f7-9275-57b951bce400 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Lightning Talks | Beneficial AGI 2019
[Music]
[Applause]
different models have been used over the
years but there's a sense in which you
just kind of slap them in to prevent
your values from blowing up and speed up
training and you're good to go
but I want to argue there's a much
deeper story here that comes out of th... |
e9fdd1c2-40c1-4ca9-bd7b-144c7022657a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group rationality diary, May 24th - June 13th
This is the public group rationality diary for May 24th - June 13th, 2015. It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like:
* Established a useful new habit
* Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about some ... |
502f1c68-d98e-44e0-91a3-bd6494cd0261 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AIS Berlin, events, opportunities and the flipped gameboard - Fieldbuilders Newsletter, February 2025
Crossposted on Substack and the EA forum.
Gergő from ENAIS here with this month’s updates! Please consider forwarding this email to other community builders who you think could benefit from reading, or encourage them... |
a05c8586-fa9c-4dcc-85d3-72c4d278e768 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Any rationalist judges?
Are there any rationalist judges, or anyone studying with the intention to become a judge? It seems like an area where rationalist thinking could have a broader impact. For example, judges often have some discretion when deciding prison sentences and other punishments. They also have the abilit... |
2f1a116c-ed0f-4faa-9241-9da571636efc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How should technical AI researchers best transition into AI governance and policy?
*In the spirit of*[*Career Conversations Week,*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HqxvGsczdf4yLB9FG/p/FWmnwCcKiBLstFtYL) *throwing out some quick questions that I hope are also relevant for others in a similar position!*
I'm an ea... |
d77c9330-3cfb-4208-9bfd-5c4a3cefe8f6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Edouard Harris - Emerging problems in machine learning: Making AI “good”
hey everybody welcome back to the
podcast i hope you're doing well um my
name course is jeremy i'm the host of
the tourist data science podcast and i'm
also on the team
over the sharpest minds data science
mentorship program and
we actually took ... |
c58b3063-5ae4-4c9d-9234-e1d53c7f8182 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Legibility
According to Nick Cammarata, who rubs shoulders with mystics and billionaires, arahants are as rare as billionaires.
This surprised me, because there are 2+[1] thoroughly-awakened people in my social circle. And that's just in meatspace. Online, I've interacted with a couple others. Plus I met someone with... |
2baad2ab-156c-4902-aa36-65e738e47bcc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What AI companies would be most likely to have a positive long-term impact on the world as a result of investing in them?
Ever since GPT-3 was unveiled, I've been thinking pretty heavily about increasing my investment in AI-related companies. My first thoughts were to invest in Microsoft and Alphabet (Google) - Micros... |
b40b9a5f-de22-47f4-bf8a-0342da8a7b28 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
WHEN: 16 May 2014 06:30:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: 7/24 Green St, Windsor 3181 VIC
Our social meetup is on as regularly scheduled! This month we're meeting in Windsor.
Come along for a friendly chat and maybe a game or two. We'll... |
fbcd8185-6f13-4aac-aaff-8085a69cb92e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Houston Meetup: Saturday, 11/19
Discussion article for the meetup : Houston Meetup: Saturday, 11/19
WHEN: 19 November 2011 02:25:07AM (-0600)
WHERE: 2010 Commerce St, Houston, Tx. 77002
Saturday at 3PM, we will be having a meetup on pure logic and mental content, hosted by a philosopher friend of mine. If ... |
7d68fb7b-be1e-4e9e-8d27-4ebb3938ab92 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | ARC is hiring theoretical researchers
**The Alignment Research Center’s Theory team is starting a new hiring round for researchers with a theoretical background. Please apply [here](https://jobs.lever.co/alignment.org/617488b1-d742-4990-a037-b7f0e2ba68c9/apply).**
What is ARC’s Theory team?
--------------------------... |
fd5be112-2ccd-4840-988f-daf7c63d038b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Meetup : Bielefeld Meetup, December 5th
Discussion article for the meetup : Meetup : Bielefeld Meetup, December 5th
WHEN: 05 December 2012 07:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Grill/Bar Verve, Klosterplatz 13, Bielefeld
The second meetup of this group.
We will have some topics prepared for discussion, although we do... |
2a573964-8035-4f15-b24b-978af1abe217 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 10 Reasons You’re Lazy About Dating
Everyone complains that dating isn't working, but no one want to put the work into dating. Here are 10 reasons why.
Cross-posted from Putanumonit, this is part 3/4 of a sequence on selfless dating.
----------------------------------------
In years of writing and talking to people... |
51f121c7-5a76-4027-9c30-224af2365f6c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Vienna Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Vienna Meetup
WHEN: 23 April 2016 03:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24, Vienna
Location: (often depicted wrong, come to U2 Stadlau)
Event on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/events/1688124771426353/
Topic: room for ope... |
f7e72f03-00b0-4b3f-9601-5e4e3f5ab444 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | the word "syntax" in programming, linguistics and LISP
the word "syntax" in programming, linguistics and LISP
------------------------------------------------------
in programming, the word "syntax" is used to describe quite superficial characteristics of a programming language: what an if/else statement looks like,... |
2951e5de-d906-458a-bab6-25763e82c361 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What can we learn about childrearing from J. S. Mill?
[EDIT: This is an April Fool's post. Please don't raise your kids like this.]
John Stuart Mill
> was given an extremely rigorous upbringing, and was deliberately shielded from association with children his own age other than his siblings. His father, a follower ... |
6832cf89-2f8a-4766-88cb-e4977fb67774 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why would I want a female role model?
People have always talked about the need for female role models, and until recently I didn’t understand how this was meant to help.
Why would I want a female math teacher to be my role model, when that bit of selection power might be used to get someone with more math skill? It s... |
23c8fc80-05fa-4e37-8195-a27e2640b332 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | NYC Solstice and Megameetup Funding Reminder
Hey all, we're coming up on the final weekend of our Kickstarter. Details in previous post, and a couple updates here:
* Megameetup has 16 confirmed attendees. This is shaping up to be a really good chance to form productive conversations and friendships with other ration... |
a7590620-bc2c-49b7-91fe-709b1cfa543e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing the AI Safety Field Building Hub, a new effort to provide AISFB projects, mentorship, and funding
Tldr: If you’re interested in working on an AI safety field building project similar to those listed below (e.g. researcher outreach): please fill out this application form or nominate someone ($200 bounty)! Hi... |
98e5857b-56f0-4d28-8a55-9db5b5aa2353 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What I wish the internet had: pharmaceutical forum
Maybe this exists already; maybe it would be drastically illegal; but it would be awesome.
I want a forum where people compare their experiences with pharmaceuticals. You add an entry that includes: what condition you have, what drug you took, what the side effects w... |
463ac681-0aaf-4649-afac-ffa4b7fb0761 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open & Welcome Thread - February 2020
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it. (You can also make a shortform post)
And, if you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope t... |
598b929e-81ad-46b3-94dc-686f6fa2c804 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You Don't Exist, Duncan
This is an experimental essay, not in the typical LessWrong or Duncan Sabien style.
Depending on how this goes, I might try writing a companion piece in the typical style, laying out the model clearly and explicitly and deriving concrete and specific recommendations from it.
But it seemed wor... |
00e7c3fc-0d75-4098-a49a-f2659d850289 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
Related to: [Half-assing it with everything you've got](http://mindingourway.com/half-assing-it-with-everything-youve-got/); [Wasted motion](https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10151706498254228); [Say it Loud](/lw/u3/say_it_loud/).
Once upon a time (true ... |
007e196b-fbe4-492c-8d70-f8d0af5f882b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Revisiting SI's 2011 strategic plan: How are we doing?
Progress updates are nice, but without a previously defined metric for success it's hard to know whether an organization's achievements are noteworthy or not. Is SI making good progress, or underwhelming progress?
Luckily, in August 2011 we published a strategic ... |
6447acf4-6b0d-4ca3-95e4-122520507343 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Relationship Advice Repository
Over the years, LessWrong has hosted some pretty great advice threads, including Best Textbooks on Every Subject, Boring Advice Repository, Useful Concepts Repository, and Best Software For Every Need.
Since relationships are extremely core to people's happiness and well-being, seems w... |
95c69963-bc06-4792-a9e2-ee7bb60ee4fb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Will we run out of ML data? Evidence from projecting dataset size trends
**Summary**: Based on our previous analysis of trends in dataset size, we project the growth of dataset size in the language and vision domains. We explore the limits of this trend by estimating the total *stock* of available unlabeled data over ... |
44b483b5-5348-4034-828a-61cd2a0577f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030?", Epoch AI (yes)
> We investigate the scalability of AI training runs. We identify electric power, chip manufacturing, data and latency as constraints. We conclude that 2e29 FLOP training runs will likely be feasible by 2030.
Introduction
In recent years, the capabilities of AI... |
701d4514-e0e4-4c99-a7a4-74e8510c1b36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FHI (Future of Humanity Institute) has shut down (2005–2024)
> Over time FHI faced increasing administrative headwinds within the Faculty of Philosophy (the Institute’s organizational home). Starting in 2020, the Faculty imposed a freeze on fundraising and hiring. In late 2023, the Faculty of Philosophy decided that t... |
4f8f3488-f0b6-4644-bed5-1352778f80f0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Reasoning About Knowledge of Unawareness Revisited
1 INTRODUCTION
---------------
Adding awareness to standard models of epistemic logic has
been
shown to be
useful in describing many situations
(see [[Fagin and Halpern 1988](#bib.bibx2), [Heifetz, Meier, and Schipper 2006](#bib.bibx8)] for some
examples). One of t... |
83420eac-e7bb-4e55-94c7-b24bed37f30d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Axis oriented programming
I was reading some APL when I realized I had invented a new style of programming language. It hasn't been implemented as far as I know. The syntax is just any old syntax. I am trying to be non-cryptic, but if you are planning to implement this, you probably want better, more consistent syntax... |
93de328e-8f60-48d2-be0f-5de652bea1a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is science the worst field for learning science in?
I wrote that science classes usually demonstrate the art of not significantly changing your beliefs when evidence conflicts with an answer you are sure of, at the expense of the central idea of science: experimenting for the purpose of changing your mind.
Chris Chan... |
c17cce61-740f-4350-ad1e-cc82bfe9d89a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Lyapunov Barrier Policy Optimization
1 Introduction
---------------
Current reinforcement learning methods are trained without any notion of safe behavior. As a result, these methods might cause damage to themselves, their environment, or even harm other agents in the scene. Ideally, an agent in a real-world settin... |
908fd14d-1de2-4157-b6d3-95b20efdc964 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Suffering-focused AI safety: Why "fail-safe'" measures might be our top intervention
Report FRI-16-1
Suffering-focused AI safety: Why “fail-safe”
measures might be our top intervention
Lukas Gloor
Foundational Research Institute
lukas.gloor@foundational-research.org
June 2016
Abstract
AI-safety efforts focused on sufferi... |
671baa46-63e0-4dd6-8d3f-fbc49ea7e461 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup :
Discussion article for the meetup :
WHEN: 15 March 2013 07:30:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Berkeley
Discussion article for the meetup : |
4cf1a133-bc6a-472e-b21b-1ffba0f6a152 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New Year’s and New Decade’s Predictions
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2f728d41-64cb-411a-9f33-c007d6e9b646 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Japan AI Alignment Conference Postmortem
The goal
Conjecture collaborated with Araya to host a two day AI Safety conference in Japan, the first Japan AI Alignment Conference (“JAC2023”). Our aim was to put together a small 30-40 person event to generate excitement around alignment for researchers in Japan and fuel new... |
801418e8-93f8-4a61-803b-93a3cd3ad327 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | The Duplicator: Instant Cloning Would Make the World Economy Explode
*Audio also available by searching Stitcher, Spotify, Google Podcasts, etc. for "Cold Takes Audio"*
> This is the second post in a series explaining my view that we could be in the most important century of all time. [Here's the roadmap for this s... |
29673401-8ebd-4ac6-afb6-57acb0e0a0f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Sketch of Good Communication
"Often I compare my own Fermi estimates with those of other people, and that’s sort of cool, but what’s way more interesting is when they share what variables and models they used to get to the estimate."
– Oliver Habryka, at a model building workshop at FHI in 2016
-------------------... |
a5f69bb6-cd7c-4824-b9ee-2b9070d27215 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's your Mission?
SOMETHING BIGGER THAN YOU
Your cause must be bigger than you.
It must become so important to you that if you fail or die in the service of that cause, it is okay, so long as it advances that cause.
How do you choose a good cause? Here are the main things to look for:
Does this cause accomplish... |
76103ecc-f733-4397-a69b-45d87c4d8b95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Trustworthiness of rational agents
* Agent_01 is interested in convincing Agent_02 that it will commit Action_X.
* Agent_02 is unable to verify the trustworthiness of Agent_01.
* Agent_02 is unable to verify that Action_X has been realized.
Given the above circumstances subsequent actions of Agent_02 will be condi... |
1179e58e-c230-41aa-8566-44f21fb18ad1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In favor of steelmanning
It's different than passing someone's Intellectual Turing Test
Epistemic status: Others have found my take here useful, but I haven’t engaged with the entire debate on the subject. Fairly confident that it’s useful to me, though see caveat.
Eliezer Yudkowsky recently disclaimed steelmanning ... |
828ff533-f46a-41e8-8617-01b58e27b41a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deep and obvious points in the gap between your thoughts and your pictures of thought
Some ideas feel either deep or extremely obvious. You’ve heard some trite truism your whole life, then one day an epiphany lands and you try to save it with words, and you realize the description is that truism. And then you go out a... |
9da61454-d64c-4a86-8f69-c137d3b87439 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some limitations of reductionism about epistemology
This post is largely based on a lightning talk I gave at a Genesis event on metacognition, with some editing to clarify and expand on the arguments.
Reductionism is the strategy of breaking things down into smaller pieces, then trying to understand those smaller pie... |
4573a428-74cb-4dcd-84e2-d4134c090da1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Apr. 01 - Apr. 05, 2015
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately... |
4a3ce1bb-8f23-4f11-88d8-bbe8bc7c8df2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My unbundling of morality
Inspired by seeing Morality as "Coordination", vs "Altruism".
* Coordination: a) To do more win-win stuff. b) To band against some outgroup (win-win-lose).
* Selfish genes: E.g., your genes make you care about your family directly, as they are carrying your genes.
* Empathy: E.g., just th... |
a3f46de5-51f8-4eb8-8af5-7370953c004d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Please Take the 2020 Effective Altruism Survey
The 2020 Effective Altruism Survey is now live at the following link: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/EAS2020LW
If you would like to share the EA Survey with others, please share this link: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/EAS2020Share
The survey will close at the end of th... |
93f2aa04-8571-453f-955d-fda8a12114c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Possible meetup: Singapore
Are there any Singaporean LW-ers out there? I'll be visiting Singapore for a few days with my husband, Carl Shulman, and we'd be keen to either have a short meet-up in a coffee shop somewhere, or to see Singaporean sites while talking to a LWer or two. Please comment or pm me if you're int... |
a5d811b5-af22-4527-878d-452a54321ce8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the Apple Vision Pro
Apple is offering a VR/AR/XR headset, Vision Pro, for the low, low price of $3,500.
I kid. Also I am deadly serious.
The value of this headset to a middle class American or someone richer than that is almost certainly either vastly more than $3,500, or at best very close to $0.
This type of ... |
804b874e-8e86-421a-a43e-7a251bc1eea7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (My) self-referential reason to believe in free will
I was recently talking with someone about the problem of free will, and I realised that for many years now I have always had the same response, without really ever soliciting broader critical feedback. The notion of free will here refers to a naive, libertarian, non... |
c792f973-3c6a-4bbc-9921-b8a7377a4834 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evolution provides no evidence for the sharp left turn
Does human evolution imply a sharp left turn from AIs?
Arguments for the sharp left turn in AI capabilities often appeal to an “evolution -> human capabilities” analogy and say that evolution's outer optimization process built a much faster human inner optimizatio... |
0e3a55ab-f8f9-4f68-8d58-627a9d001a18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Kohli episode discussion in 80K's Christiano interview
From the 80,000 Hours Podcast (1:10:38):
----------------------------------------
Robert Wiblin: A few weeks ago, we published our conversation with Pushmeet Kohli, who’s an AI robustness and reliability researcher at DeepMind over in London. To heavily summariz... |
2acb6352-93d1-4ef4-ba42-b990e4fb930c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Leading and Trailing Edges of Development
I've recently been working with the ox herding pictures in my zen practice. For those not familiar, the ox herding pictures depict a developmental model of practice and stages through which a person passes on their way to enlightenment. The pictures describe progress gener... |
087d28c4-09a7-4fa4-935a-a6a203bad090 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | HLAI 2018 Field Report
I spent the past week in Prague (natively called Praha, but known widely as Prague via the usual mechanisms others decide your own names) at the Human Level AI multi-conference held between the AGI, BICA, the NeSY conferences. It also featured the Future of AI track, which was my proximate reaso... |
5f9d1b4d-623f-4286-9efb-bb30d280d1c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Steam
"Steam" is one possible opposite of [Slack](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yLLkWMDbC9ZNKbjDG/slack). I sketch a speculative view of steam as a third 'cognitive currency' almost like probability and utility. This is a very informal and intuitive post, outlining concepts which could possibly have a nice formal co... |
acbd077b-0a0f-4af1-b0d2-670f4442ff99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Politics Is Upstream of AI
|
721feb5c-392b-4d61-a129-b11d9b775b31 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?
Thanks to Jesse Richardson for discussion.
Polymarket asks: will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
In the three days since the market opened, traders have wagered over $100,000 on this question. The market traded as high as 5%, and is now stably trading at 3%. Right now, if... |
98bfffb8-b14f-40a9-b44e-acd1b71a7a56 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment Newsletter #51
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCuxpEyMbN1NYYC02aM/edit?usp=sharing) of al... |
80cd62e6-19f0-4cda-b3be-b8f5c5f609e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The map of quantum (big world) immortality
The main idea of quantum (the name "big world immortality" may be better) is that if I die, I will continue to exist in another branch of the world, where I will not die in the same situation.
This map is not intended to cover all known topics about QI, so I need to clarify ... |
4e492508-c298-4093-8ec1-a8311bb57445 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Status 451 on Diagnosis: Russell Aphasia
Samuel the Fifth at Status 451 considers the implications of Russell conjugation, or emotive conjugation (example: she lied; you distorted the truth; I honestly reported unconsciously biased beliefs). June 2019, ~1200 words.
Samuel emphasizes that this phenomenon isn't merely ... |
fed12ca2-a68e-4797-bf0f-453db2ad4fca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vipassana Meditation Open Thread
Related to: Understanding vipassana meditation, Vipassana Meditation: Developing Meta-Feeling Skills
This is a place to discuss experiences and problems related to practicing vipassana meditation. This space can also be used to organize meditation events or retreats. |
e57d3535-8a12-404b-85cb-1b96bddac918 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Compute Conundrum: AI Governance in a Shifting Geopolitical Era
Introduction
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has rapidly evolved from a futuristic concept to a transformative force reshaping industries, economies, and societies worldwide. As AI systems become increasingly sophisticated, ensuring that they act in ways... |
e20cd032-2c41-4aad-8376-422570aa3468 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sunday Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Sunday Meetup
WHEN: 04 May 2014 04:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Bidwell Park Bidwell and Elmwood, Buffalo, NY
Buffalo-area Less Wrong meetups on the first Sunday and Third Thursday of every month. (although you should always check out the meetup page for up to da... |
8f810e4a-a5ff-4282-bc0f-44241d06fe47 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | You can still fetch the coffee today if you're dead tomorrow
"[You can't fetch the coffee if you're dead](https://arbital.com/p/no_coffee_if_dead/)."
—Stuart Russell, on the [instrumental convergence](https://arbital.com/p/instrumental_convergence/) of [shutdown-avoidance](https://arbital.com/p/shutdown_problem/)
*... |
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