id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
bcc35b95-185d-4d13-b835-27e44ad4ab22 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Let’s think about slowing down AI
**Averting doom by not building the doom machine**
--------------------------------------------------
If you fear that someone will build a machine that will seize control of the world and annihilate humanity, then one kind of response is to try to build further machines that will s... |
1395abec-6cac-4410-95af-8a6c9ad59d9a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Conditional on the first AGI being aligned correctly, is a good outcome even still likely?
Or, what stops someone else from making their own AGI 1-6 months later that doesn’t play nice and ends the world? |
b5d20b7c-59cd-4380-a2db-a0764412ddfa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Bias Against Altruism
I've noticed a phenomenon in our culture whereby altruistic actions face much more scrutiny than selfish actions. I think we should be aware of this bias effect, especially when discussing incentivizing people to e.g. work on AI alignment instead of ML research.
When I say 'our culture', I mea... |
e11ce910-25e3-485e-90d3-0f90439dad42 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Logical Uncertainty and Functional Decision Theory
(I used [this paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.05060) as a reference for functional decision theory (FDT), which is essentially an improved version of timeless decision theory and updateless decision theory)
This post is a reflection on decision processes that refer... |
bee8ad20-bd00-43a2-a310-c6cec76b0acd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are MIRI's big achievements in AI alignment?
|
e49193a2-a9e4-46be-aa81-26c3c13f35c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shane Legg interview on alignment
This is Shane Legg, cofounder of DeepMind, on Dwarkesh Patel's podcast. The link is to the ten-minute section in which they specifically discuss alignment. Both of them seem to have a firm grasp on alignment issues as they're discussed on LessWrong.
For me, this is a significant upda... |
8b95ec4f-7bd5-4a86-94b1-1283972e717c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fixed points in mortal population games
I wrote this post during the first part of the SERI MATS winter school, in Vanessa Kosoy's research stream. This is just an explanation of my intended research direction and the motivation behind it, and write down proofs for the statements in Vanessa's comment describing the re... |
1ca0ee88-c65c-46cf-a798-f72f0eaa4c96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The concept of belief and the nature of abstraction
[Cross-posted.]
Belief, puzzling to philosophy, is part of psychology’s conceptual framework. The present essay provides a straightforward yet novel theory of the explanatory and predictive value of describing agents as having beliefs. The theory attributes full-fle... |
ccc93ec1-e7fd-4fed-b534-f1189d0ecd50 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "14 months ago, Paul Christiano and AI Impacts both published forceful and well-received take-downs of many arguments for fast (discontinuous) takeoff. I haven’t seen any rebuttals that are written by established researchers, longer than comments, or otherwise convincing. The longer there is no response, the less weigh... |
c14b5d0a-8c97-46e2-bdf6-29eed5dcc788 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New vs. Business-as-Usual Future
What, in a broad sense, does the future look like? We don't know, and while many have historically made predictions, the track record for such predictions is less than impressive. I have noted that there appear to be two main types of view about the future-- the "new future" and the "b... |
606426ef-a030-4826-a4c0-5cea78d214cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Was Eliezer Yudkowsky right to give himself 10% to succeed with HPMoR in 2010?
In Hero Licensing, Eliezer Yudkowsky states that in 2010, he would have given himself 10% chance of HPMoR being very successful.
He then goes on to explain why he thought that instead of something lower; but I don't understand why he thoug... |
7e511bb9-dbfc-412f-b7e2-fedb7fd9f767 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stuart Ritche reviews Keith Stanovich's book "The rationality quotient: Toward a test of rational thinking"
|
c84f400a-685e-4f65-b789-6b93d01ab673 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Old and New Saw Blades
Five years ago I bought a used Model 77 Skilsaw. I've used it for a bunch of house projects, and it's very versatile. I noticed that it was starting to be more work to cut things and I was getting some burning and smoking, so I decided to put on a new blade. Here's the last cut with the old blad... |
6d54e2a5-4f79-444f-90f9-9d2814a43378 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Official Less Wrong Redesign: Call for Suggestions
In the next month, the administrators of Less Wrong are going to sit down with a professional designer to tweak the site design. But before they do, now is your chance to make suggestions that will guide their redesign efforts.
How can we improve the Less Wrong user... |
aa2859a8-f7c6-4d0c-85bc-e87018878680 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Measuring and Forecasting Risks from AI
As part of my work for Open Philanthropy, I recently wrote a call for grant proposals on measuring and forecasting risks from future AI systems. I personally think this is a promising area that could absorb $10 million or more in high-quality research projects, and I want to use... |
0c1ade6e-f1db-4435-9d0f-fb94dab2829a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | What Can Learned Intrinsic Rewards Capture?.
What Can Learned Intrinsic Rewards Capture?
Zeyu Zheng*y1Junhyuk Oh* 2Matteo Hessel2Zhongwen Xu2Manuel Kroiss2Hado van Hasselt2
David Silver2Satinder Singh2
Abstract
The objective of a reinforcement learning agent
is to behave so as to maximise the sum of a suit-
able scala... |
649620a1-75af-480e-b781-422c16022b20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Post Your Utility Function
A lot of rationalist thinking about ethics and economy assumes we have very well defined utility functions - knowing exactly our preferences between states and events, not only being able to compare them (I prefer X to Y), but assigning precise numbers to every combinations of them (p% chanc... |
6cfe4fef-ded6-4912-a03d-1e247e8d063c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Framework for Democratizing AI
1 Introduction
---------------
In the 21st century, we take it for granted how to harness the potential of electricity. It may seem incomprehensible that specialist engineers had to be hired to operate electric generators *in situ* at homes just to run light bulbs in the early days.... |
6a5a1134-f845-4116-859c-2f5d84c3e267 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knowing what you want is a prerequisite to getting what you want
Frequently, we decide on a goal, and then we are ineffective in working towards this goal, due to factors wholly within our control. Failure modes include giving up, losing interest, procrastination, akrasia, and failure to evaluate return on time. In al... |
2b73fad6-795a-49fc-99d6-01ed554edac7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Orthogonal: A new agent foundations alignment organization
We are putting together Orthogonal, a non-profit alignment research organization focused on agent foundations, based in Europe.
We are pursuing the formal alignment flavor of agent foundations in order to solve alignment in a manner which would scale to super... |
0c238aa6-a27b-4f99-8006-200fc5372399 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Thought Experiment on Pain as a Moral Disvalue
Related To: Eliezer's Zombies Sequence, Alicorn's Pain
Today you volunteered for what was billed as an experiment in moral psychology. You enter into a small room with a video monitor, a red light, and a button. Before you entered, you were told that you'll be paid $10... |
523fe66d-4210-4dfc-bfc4-9914e503b591 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | As an upload, would you join the society of full telepaths/empaths?
I asked this question on IRC before and got some surprising answers.
Suppose, for the sake of argument, you get cryo-preserved and eventually wake up as an upload. Maybe meat->sim transfer ends up being much easier than sim->meat or meat->meat, or so... |
078d5657-7423-42cd-b700-f1f929d069c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against picking up pennies
The eternally curious Tailsteak has written about how he always picks up pennies off the sidewalk. He's run a cost-benefit analysis and determined that it's better on average to pick up a penny than to pass it by. His mistake lies nowhere in the analysis itself; it's pretty much correct. His... |
f9015816-ac05-46d1-9189-a2f60a1a2da6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 23: Belief in Belief
Everybody wants a rock to wind a piece of string around J. K. Rowling.
----------------------------------------
"And then Janet was a Squib," said the portrait of a short young woman with a gold-trimmed hat.
Draco wrote it down. That was only twenty-eight but it was time to go back and ... |
3d7391c3-02c4-4875-807c-1036d9bde406 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What might an international treaty on the development of AGI look like?
An international treaty on the development of [AGI](/?state=2374&question=What%20is%20artificial%20general%20intelligence%20(AGI)%20and%20what%20will%20it%20look%20like%3F) would be an agreement between nations to coordinate their efforts and esta... |
6fbc6389-7306-4920-87df-f040aa66a396 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Speed of Rumor
So I was talking with someone in the community about Michael Vassar (I should check for permission to put a name to this story), and they said that Michael encouraged people to take high doses of psychedelics.
I said he'd encouraged me to take psychedelics, but at ordinary doses.
And the person sa... |
fda33ab9-2ade-4294-8e8c-4ce1e66fe613 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Optimization Provenance
Transparency is vital for [ML-type approaches](https://distill.pub/2018/building-blocks/) to AI alignment, and is also an important part of [agent foundations](https://arbital.com/p/understandability_principle/) research. In this post, we lay out an agenda for formalizing transparency which we'... |
e42c8d57-9a66-4b8f-9f8f-3fd48ffc44d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anki deck for learning the main AI safety orgs, projects, and programs
Having a high-level overview of the AI safety ecosystem seems like a good thing, so I’ve created an Anki deck to help people familiarise themselves with the 167 key organisations, projects, and programs currently active in the field.
Why Anki?
An... |
3f84bba3-eba0-4e30-ad1c-9b1897318e53 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proverbial Corollaries
Proverbs are pocket‑sized IF‑statements: folk pseudocode that ships the trigger but hides the ELSE.
To find alpha: treat the proverb as true, then ask what happens in the missing branch.
----------------------------------------
1 RECIPROCITY
The sayings in this bucket assume social payoffs a... |
85358baa-a583-4a01-bd6d-f899864872db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Long Now
It's surprised me that there's been very little discussion of The Long Now here on Less Wrong, as there are many similarities between the groups, although the approach and philosophy between them are quite different. At a minimum, I believe that a general awareness might be beneficial. I'll use the initia... |
6f01c94f-8508-489c-a4db-c1f37ac2bf94 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover
I think that [in the coming 15-30 years](https://www.cold-takes.com/where-ai-forecasting-stands-today/), the world could plausibly develop “transformative AI”: AI powerful enough to bring us into a new, qualitatively di... |
492b608c-8267-419b-835e-0e44c11bd0cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Test meetup please ignore
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore
WHEN: 27 March 2017 11:18:40AM (-0700)
WHERE: antartica
sorry
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore |
e7516c0f-cbca-45a4-b641-c639a786ee2b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Highlights from Lex Fridman’s interview of Yann LeCun
Introduction
Yann LeCun is perhaps the most prominent critic of the “LessWrong view” on AI safety, the only one of the three "godfathers of AI" to not acknowledge the risks of advanced AI. So, when he recently appeared on the Lex Fridman podcast, I listened with th... |
a098e10e-bcb8-453e-98d9-a08e898045df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We Are Less Wrong than E. T. Jaynes on Loss Functions in Human Society
These paragraphs from E. T. Jaynes's Probability Theory: The Logic of Science (in §13.12.2, "Loss functions in human society") are fascinating from the perspective of a regular reader of this website:
> We note the sharp contrast between the roles... |
c9e39379-6d01-4fd9-9df2-25b70e9c7214 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Alignment Problem:
“Human Values” don’t Actually Exist
Previous posts in the series: “What AI Safety Researchers Have Written About the Nature of Human Values”, Possible Dangers of the Unrestricted Value Learners. Next planned post: AI safety approaches which don’t use the idea of human values.
Summary: The ma... |
830ed62e-2bf2-453c-ac32-94d79f899a01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CEV-inspired models
I've been involved in a recent thread where discussion of coherent extrapolated volition came up. The general consensus was that CEV might - or might not - do certain things, probably, maybe, in certain situations, while ruling other things out, possibly, and that certain scenarios may or may not b... |
7cc5f9ef-715c-4d6f-8912-2f8e1e6ad22f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Complexity of value but not disvalue implies more focus on s-risk. Moral uncertainty and preference utilitarianism also do.
As per title. I often talk to people that have views that I think should straightforwardly imply a larger focus on s-risk than they think. In particular, people often seem to endorse something li... |
14c8258e-bd53-45d5-be83-5f50486e630d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bring “Ban faster SIMD semiconductors” into the Overton window
Tl;dr; Governments can regulate semiconductor manufacturing more effectively than AI research. Clamping down on SIMD processors (same instruction, multiple data) can regulate AI, globally, effectively, without too much spillover to other industries.
SI... |
1e696220-670c-4754-a4f8-061aedda470e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is logic epistemically appropriate?
One way of viewing my recent posts is as an argument against using logic in the first place. Although I had the argument in the back of my mind while writing, I doubt it came across (partly because I don't actually agree with the conclusion). Here's how it would go.
No computable p... |
6f3a77d9-b336-44ce-8834-126a61365fd2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Two new researchers join MIRI
MIRI’s research team is growing! I’m happy to announce that we’ve hired two new research fellows to contribute to our work on [AI alignment](https://intelligence.org/why-ai-safety/): Sam Eisenstat and Marcello Herreshoff, both from Google.
:
> You see patterns where none exist, harvesting other characteristics from your definitions even when there is no similarity along that dimension. ... |
bd609055-d687-46de-acc6-9e1305a67278 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brainstorming additional AI risk reduction ideas
It looks as though lukeprog has finished his series on how to purchase AI risk reduction. But the ideas lukeprog shares are not the only available strategies. Can Less Wrong come up with more?
A summary of recommendations from Exploring the Idea Space Efficiently:
* ... |
28f9c3bc-4588-4b75-bcce-5cad08c5d1bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Alignment and Recognition
Let's suppose we succeed in aligning a super-intelligence. We should expect that the super-intelligence will be able to provide a pretty good estimate of how impactful various people's actions were. So maybe there are some people toiling away on AI Safety who feel sad that their efforts ar... |
64a40639-21a7-41c2-8aeb-b7e00d864cb1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Noisy Reasoners
One of the more interesting papers at this year's AGI-12 conference was Finton Costello's Noisy Reasoners. I think it will be of interest to Less Wrong:
>
>
> This paper examines reasoning under uncertainty in the case where the AI reasoning mechanism is itself subject to random error or noise in i... |
746cca8d-e491-480a-ba04-195171fdcec9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How special are human brains among animal brains?
Humans are capable of feats of cognition that appear qualitatively more sophisticated than those of any other animals. Is this appearance of a qualitative difference indicative of human brains being essentially more complex than the brains of any other animal? Or is t... |
f3a541dd-4a33-43be-a3fb-ff7965ece66f | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Click here to participate. Entries must be submitted on October 18th, 2020 or earlier.
Entry is now closed. In 2017, Zvi posted an exciting story about The Darwin Game, a variation of iterated prisoner's dilemma.
I will run my own version of the game in the week following October 18th, 2020. You do not have to know ho... |
40e23c98-c325-436c-87ee-d036fb3e9e52 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Recognition of All Categories of Entities by AI
1 Introduction
---------------
For better or worse, human-level AI will have significant impact on human society. Thus, the debate over when it will emerge has gained considerable attention. However, estimates for the realization time range from a few decades to the 2... |
eec1d382-0fb1-4bbf-8129-cec68fe7f889 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Dilemma: Science or Bayes?
> "Eli: You are writing a lot about physics recently. Why?"
> —Shane Legg (and several other people)
>
> "In light of your QM explanation, which to me sounds perfectly logical, it seems obvious and normal that many worlds is overwhelmingly likely. It just seems almost too good ... |
5eb92062-b122-4094-a7c0-4def8a632c18 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | MDP models are determined by the agent architecture and the environmental dynamics
[*Seeking Power is Often Robustly Instrumental in MDPs*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6DuJxY8X45Sco4bS2/seeking-power-is-often-robustly-instrumental-in-mdps) relates the structure of the agent's environment (the 'Markov decision proc... |
52f4be36-3514-484f-94ce-c7f88b8034a2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Causality Adds Up to Normality
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; ... |
63648f6d-beb8-4883-a921-a31bafa8a9c7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Convergent instrumental strategies
Suppose an organization is building an AI that this organization believes will accomplish $X$ where $X$ is something plausibly sensible like "Be a Task-based AGI." Actually, however, some mix of insufficient caution and obscure error has led to a situation where, under reflection, t... |
7712c341-152d-450c-8654-6c581ce9bd77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : **MelbLW: October Social Meetup**
Discussion article for the meetup : **MelbLW: October Social Meetup**
WHEN: 17 October 2014 06:30:00PM (+0800)
WHERE: Alchemist's Refuge, 328 Little Lonsdale St, Melbourne
October's social meetup is scheduled for this Friday (17th October) as usual. This month, we will be ... |
676943ed-a7d7-48c0-8736-59b680a438f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Language, Power, and the Categorical Imperative
The Chieftain of Seir's essay The Crisis of Authority provides a helpful historical link between models I've laid out elsewhere. I wrote a long comment that I want to reproduce here.
I'm responding most directly to this section on power and authority:
> Anglo-Saxon cou... |
373931c3-8df2-4e1b-93ca-a7f672b1a934 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Regulation May Be More Important Than AI Alignment For Existential Safety
Summary: Aligning a single powerful AI is not enough: we're only safe if no-one, ever, can build an unaligned powerful AI. Yudkowsky tried to solve this with the pivotal act: the first aligned AI does something (such as melting all GPUs) whic... |
f24815b8-23d5-4202-9eda-aac21a4dc8f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Making an Amanda Knox prediction market
I'm not sure if anyone has been following the appeal...
but I'm willing to bet up to several hundred dollars at even odds that Amanda Knox will be released on appeal. |
f92f8efa-9f1d-4f0e-bbd1-8e5e86696a54 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CFAR Workshop Review: February 2017
[A somewhat extensive review of a recent CFAR workshop, with recommendations at the end for those interested in attending one.]
I recently mentored at a CFAR workshop, and this is a review of the actual experience. In broad strokes, this review will cover the physical experience (a... |
933e0a31-7552-4de4-b4be-2380890a4bcb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Stupid" questions thread
r/Fitness does a weekly "Moronic Monday", a judgment-free thread where people can ask questions that they would ordinarily feel embarrassed for not knowing the answer to. I thought this seemed like a useful thing to have here - after all, the concepts discussed on LessWrong are probably at le... |
3690082e-eb1e-4db9-91ec-a89d3d81e212 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I’m mildly skeptical that blindness prevents schizophrenia
(Low confidence, written in a hurry.)
I was (randomly) trying to make sense of schizophrenia the other day, and there’s a piece of the puzzle that just seems not to fit with everything else: namely, the claim that being congenitally blind (or becoming blind i... |
72853915-1c43-4844-ab53-470d19c42441 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | It takes 5 layers and 1000 artificial neurons to simulate a single biological neuron [Link]
This is a link post for Beniaguev, D., Segev, I., & London, M. (2021). Single cortical neurons as deep artificial neural networks. *Neuron*. <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0896627321005018>
Also this a... |
dd993ae5-9b49-459e-a2cd-41c5b95080b6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | More on disambiguating "discontinuity"
There have already been [numerous](https://sideways-view.com/2018/02/24/takeoff-speeds/) [posts](https://s-risks.org/a-framework-for-thinking-about-ai-timescales/) [and](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AfGmsjGPXN97kNp57/arguments-about-fast-takeoff?commentId=phQ3sZj7RmCDTjfvn) [d... |
5e32b16c-77ac-4ee0-9d69-f682b1adf099 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Utrecht: Game theory
Discussion article for the meetup : Utrecht: Game theory
WHEN: 16 November 2014 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: La Place Cafe, Rijnkade 5, Utrecht
We have biweekly meetups in a pub in Utrecht, near Central Station. For details, please look on meetup.com which is supposed to be up to date. ht... |
b8a0e322-6d27-4f45-8285-217531a5de6d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Safety Bounties
I spent a while at Rethink Priorities considering 'AI Safety Bounties' - programs where public participants or approved security researchers receive rewards for identifying issues within powerful ML systems (analogous to bug bounties in cybersecurity). I considered the benefits and risks of programs... |
4dc1d9bd-bcf7-49fb-bcf2-d09a067f1701 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on Crowdfunding with Refund Bonuses
Alex Tabarok suggests improving crowdfunding by letting fundraisers offer a bonus as compensation for anyone that gets a refund if the project fails. By doing that the fundraiser solves the coordination problem making non-funding the equilibrium:
> if I think that you won’... |
2cb91409-b285-4d8d-9b86-8e4594e716d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Poll for next article
Hi everyone,
I am planning to write one or more full-length articles for the main page soon, and I thought I'd take an informal poll to see what people would find most useful.
Possible articles include:
* A three-part series on how to calibrate (how to know how much you know), and how to a... |
2a093315-9e48-4c2d-a38f-f8f9eb67adf8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some reprogenetics-related projects you could help with
PDF version. berkeleygenomics.org. x.com. bluesky.
This is a short miscellaneous list of projects that I think would help accelerate germline engineering. This isn't prioritized or comprehensive or anything—it's not the most important projects, but rather just ... |
6de6bdce-da4a-4c64-bec9-1ff1673c3f70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ingredients of Timeless Decision Theory
Followup to: Newcomb's Problem and Regret of Rationality, Towards a New Decision Theory
Wei Dai asked:
> "Why didn't you mention earlier that your timeless decision theory mainly had to do with logical uncertainty? It would have saved people a lot of time trying to guess wha... |
a278aadf-3220-45ac-8351-39e7393ba1ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sphere packing and logical uncertainty
Trying posting here since I don't see how to post to https://agentfoundations.org/.
Recently sphere packing was solved in dimension 24, and I read about it on Quanta Magazine. I found the following part of the article (paraphrased) fascinating.
Cohn and Kumar found that the bes... |
6dedd9d5-b8e6-497e-9815-7cb0e7139bc6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You should consider applying to PhDs (soon!)
TLDR: In this post, I argue that if you are a junior AI safety researcher, you should consider applying to PhD programs in ML soon, especially if you have recently participated in an AI safety upskilling or research program like MATS or ARENA and might be interested in work... |
4819d8ef-2bc7-4245-8875-42529692b1ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meditations on the Medium
[I explore how the nature of the essay medium presents potential challenges for rationality as a field.
First off, essays often aren’t updated and exploring new ideas is often more rewarding than revisiting old content. This means that there is not much of an incentive to create accessible t... |
03722b80-d805-486c-a231-402ad7583669 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feature request: voting buttons at the bottom?
This is a brief question/request regarding LessWrong and AlignmentForum UI and voting buttons.
Uncontroversial (I expect) factual statements
When I read a post or comment which fills more than one screen, I want to consume the whole content before providing any reinforc... |
b583577b-a963-4c16-b38d-ce83332b78f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Flexibility and the Singularity
Why am I travelling to Spain? Better weather is a plus, but I’ll miss out on all the great things happening back home. Why pay a bunch of money if I’m not sure it’ll be more enjoyable?
I haven’t travelled abroad since COVID hit. I want to travel abroad at some point in my life - cultur... |
f5cf79bd-d5b2-4db7-b531-4ba19f221e5a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Improving End-To-End Modeling for Mispronunciation Detection with Effective Augmentation Mechanisms
Impro ving End-To-End Modeling for
Mispronunciation Detection with Effective
Augmentation Mechanisms
Tien-Hong Lo, Yao -Ting Sung and Berlin Chen
National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei City, Taiwan
{teinho... |
0e53c6c7-b2b3-49e3-a04e-cfa013175564 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shutdown-Seeking AI
This is a draft written by Simon Goldstein, associate professor at the Dianoia Institute of Philosophy at ACU, and Pamela Robinson, postdoctoral research fellow at the Australian National University, as part of a series of papers for the Center for AI Safety Philosophy Fellowship's midpoint.
Abstr... |
3af6a9b6-5248-4ee7-86e5-d29be9dfa75f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #33: Reassessing AI and Biorisk
Plus, Consolidation in the Corporate AI Landscape, and National Investments in AI
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe here to receive future versions.
Listen to t... |
398840c6-e7e7-40bb-934c-599628631ad0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Ultimate Newcomb's Problem
You see two boxes and you can either take both boxes, or take only box B. Box A is transparent and contains $1000. Box B contains a visible number, say 1033. The Bank of Omega, which operates by very clear and transparent mechanisms, will pay you $1M if this number is prime, and $0 if i... |
6d75a253-a39c-483b-8ec3-2b8e2f832542 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wise Crowd & Democratic Spirit
“There will be no end to the troubles of states, or of humanity itself, till philosophers become kings in this world, or till those we now call kings and rulers really and truly become philosophers, and political power and philosophy thus come into the same hands.”
- Plato, 'The Republi... |
759bd215-9651-4f17-b6ba-f2eeac6b71fc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Incident Sharing - Best practices from other fields and a comprehensive list of existing platforms
*Purpose of this post:*The purpose of this post is three-fold: 1) highlight the importance of incident sharing and share best practices from adjacent fields to AI safety 2) collect tentative and existing ideas of impl... |
b352d172-d55c-4f25-8017-b0987180146c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ethical Implications of the Quantum Multiverse
What kinds of ethical implications should we expect from the Many-Worlds Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics (MWI)? I’ll argue that we shouldn’t expect decision-making to change. The implications are more about how we should think or feel about events in our lives, and th... |
0dec7e62-5a97-4a30-9f58-6d4f402924fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | META: Misleading error message on using wrong username
I attempted to log in from a computer I don't usually use, and entered my username as "Rolf Andreassen", two words; in fact it's "RolfAndreassen", one word. The error message I got back was "Incorrect password", which is misleading. Not until I tried to recover my... |
a43c6fd1-9805-45d7-9c63-f3de434b7dc1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Becoming an EA-influencer on YouTube etc.
Hey, fellow EA people!
I am an effective altruist from Finland. I have noticed that not so many people have heard of effective altruism. I am aware of great people like Peter Singer and William McAskill who do some great research and influence the public discussion of EA. ... |
deeb5269-caf0-447f-841d-b3b56564bc22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Governing, Fast and Slow
Systems and their Mechanisms
A system's mechanisms are fast or slow. Fast mechanisms are inherent and thus adopted by default. Slow mechanisms are formed by actors and take time, energy and cooperation. Actors are things which knowingly or unknowingly take advantage of fast mechanisms and are ... |
774f41bc-14f5-4700-8b93-ad31741977a9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The Logic of Strategic Assets: From Oil to Artificial Intelligence
1 The Logic of Strategic Assets: From Oil to AI Jeffrey Ding and Allan Dafoe* Forthcoming at Security Studies (2021) Abstract What resources and technologies are strategic? This question is often the focus of policy and theoretical debates, since the... |
9d906eab-5afb-451d-84c1-4e6b85bb1083 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nuances with ascription universality
Part of this post is based on points made by Scott Garrabrant and Abram Demski at a recent AI safety workshop put on by Alex Zhu.
Paul Christiano recently published a sequence of posts on a concept he calls "ascription universality." I highly recommend reading the full sequence of... |
b7a54e11-1d9c-4911-9e86-71c2903df18d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Evidential Decision Theory, Selection Bias, and Reference Classes
**See also:** [Does Evidential Decision Theory really fail Solomon's Problem?](/lw/3pf/does_evidential_decision_theory_really_fail/), [What's Wrong with Evidential Decision Theory?](/lw/e7e/whats_wrong_with_evidential_decision_theory/)
It seems to me ... |
4cd3ca60-d612-473c-aa46-c01be7542b6c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some rationalistic aphorisms
I'm no steven0461/stevenkaas, but perhaps some of these are approaching something like insight. Truthiness, not truth.
(More context: I use Facebook to share short insights with people who have relatively high estimates of my general sanity. The following are things I posted on Facebook. ... |
2eaba50f-43db-44b6-8686-3c861f883b84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Roughly you
Since, like everyone, I generalise from single examples, I expect most people have some older relative or friend who they feel has added some wisdom to their life - some small pieces of information which seem to have pervasively wormed their way into more of their cognitive algorithms than you would expect... |
5ce7fc20-26f5-4038-b579-2c5e983465e3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Box inversion hypothesis
*This text originated from a retreat in late 2018, where researchers from FHI, MIRI and CFAR did an extended double-crux on AI safety paradigms, with Eric Drexler and Scott Garrabrant in the core. In the past two years I tried to improve it in terms of understandability multiple times, but em... |
77a967b6-c412-489b-850a-ac3047de875a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Principle of Maximum Entropy
After having read the related chapters of Jaynes' book I was fairly amazed by the Principle of Maximum Entropy, a powerful method for choosing prior distributions. However it immediately raised a large number of questions.
I have recently read two quite intriguing (and very well-writt... |
3b9d3b15-60b9-4e6d-8bc7-705d3630a82b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Impossible moral problems and moral authority
The Tails Come Apart As Metaphor For Life, but with an extra pun.
Suppose you task your friends with designing the Optimal Meal. The meal that maximizes utility, in virtue of its performance at the usual roles food fills for us. We leave aside considerations such as sourc... |
642c0c45-64c7-4f55-99fe-c86d61333bac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Reading Group: Part T: Science and Rationality
This is part of a semi-monthly reading group on Eliezer Yudkowsky's ebook, Rationality: From AI to Zombies. For more information about the group, see the announcement post.
----------------------------------------
Welcome to the Rationality reading group. Th... |
916415ab-ad6e-45df-b576-f686622fe610 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are good apps for rationalists?
The smartphone world is relatively new, so I suspect there are amazing (yet sometimes unknown) apps that can help various aspects of our lives. I cannot think of a better discussion place for this topic. So,
Which app help you optimize life?
Is there an app you keep searching for... |
90508e18-630f-4ac4-ba2e-878a60249a20 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What actions can I take in under five minutes to contribute to the cause of AI safety?
There are two different reasons you might be looking for a five minute contribution.
1. You are only willing to spend five minutes total
1. You want a simple call to action which will concretize your commitment. You are looking fo... |
d215e757-35b8-4b4d-8e83-9d34140a0c37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | social lemon markets
> I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member.
— Groucho Marx
Alice and Carol are walking on the sidewalk in a large city, and end up together for a while.
> "Hi, I'm Alice! What's your name?"
Carol thinks:
> If Alice is trying to meet people this way, that means she doesn't have... |
10f09326-7e08-4fff-87d8-77ebe954ca53 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Diversity and Academic Open Mindedness
Related: Heuristics for Evaluating the Soundness of the Academic Mainstream, Admitting to Bias, The Ideological Turing Test
David Friedman writes on his blog.
> I had an interesting recent conversation with a fellow academic that I think worth a blog post. It started ... |
8e32f8e9-1272-4c84-a7d7-642e09727d07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Claude vs GPT
Ever since ChatGPT released to the public I have used LLMs every day. GPT-4 was essential in getting me up and running at my job where I had to read and edit pieces of Python, SQL, Unix, and Stata code with little to no prior experience. Beyond coding I’ve had some success using GPT to collect links and ... |
35c3623c-ce96-413c-b92d-35b28115641a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Framework for Disagreements
When people disagree about a decision, they are either disagreeing about 1) the information they have, 2) what they value, or both.
As a child, I noticed a lot of the disagreements children had, were over what was "better". Decisions like which board game to play, which movie to watch, o... |
a8418927-5802-47ca-97f4-213d5d36355f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Manufactured Crisis (don't trust AI to protect us from AI)
In 2016, a survey revealed that one-third of Americans believed in a conspiracy called the "North Dakota Crash," even though it was completely fabricated for the study. This demonstrates flaws in human perception and the difficulty of distinguishing reality... |
488365f8-57f5-4f1e-abc5-6ab4c052ff49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ...And Say No More Of It
Followup to: The Thing That I Protect
Anything done with an ulterior motive has to be done with a pure heart. You cannot serve your ulterior motive, without faithfully prosecuting your overt purpose as a thing in its own right, that has its own integrity. If, for example, you're writing ab... |
0714c4c5-db30-4ee6-82d5-7b3d88411097 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to Less Wrong Warsaw [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do?
How frequent... |
cac05922-5a80-4243-ab85-d5f616b54c57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AGI Quotes
Similar to the monthly Rationality Quotes threads, this is a thread for memorable quotes about Artificial General Intelligence.
* Please post all quotes separately, so that they can be voted up/down separately. (If they are strongly related, reply to your own comments. If strongly ordered, then go a... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.