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0af16586-1fbf-40ba-8319-f3cc4606044f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Everyday Lessons from High-Dimensional Optimization
Suppose you’re designing a bridge. There’s a massive number of variables you can tweak: overall shape, relative positions and connectivity of components, even the dimensions and material of every beam and rivet. Even for a small footbridge, we’re talking about at lea... |
6c75587f-4046-4fe6-9f88-2750f9ada331 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread March 7 - March 13, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads pa... |
c386c074-cd4f-47ae-9229-223e7061fc2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Negotiating With Yourself
(Talk given on Sunday 21st June, over a zoom call with 40 attendees. orthonormal is responsible for the talk, jacobjacob is responsible for the transcription)
Talk
orthonormal: So, I'm doing a generalisation of the post that was curated and this post is sort of an elaboration of what Vanive... |
181972b6-22db-45d9-9099-25dcecaf879e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Four Predictions About OpenAI's Plans To Retain Nonprofit Control
An apparent victory for opponents of the company's for-profit ambitions may be more complicated
This is the full text of a post first published Monday on Obsolete, a Substack that I write about the intersection of capitalism, geopolitics, and artificial... |
ebba3509-a73c-4b9f-a87d-6ff51e9e5ab8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Aim to get rejected often
This is a linkpost for https://amirbolous.com/posts/rejection
* Introduction
* Why it's ok to get rejected
* Why you should get rejected often
* Closing Thoughts
Introduction
I get rejected at least one to two times a week. In busier periods, this can often be closer to five to fifteen... |
edcd5825-ee7b-4c79-ac02-f0026aa54afe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Corrigible omniscient AI capable of making clones
|
f4fc753d-a430-48cc-a9a8-c9dd5cf4144e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | An Uncanny Prison
In reading about proposals for [AI Boxing](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/ai-boxing-containment), I notice two excerpts jump out at me. First, is a proposed scenario to uncover an unfriendly AI:
>
> A virtual world between the real world and the AI, where its unfriendly intentions would be first r... |
7c70f52d-cd8e-445b-befe-071888bc319a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Should We Respond to Cade Metz?
The Cade Metz article on Slate Star Codex is out.
It seems valuable for us to have a discussion about our reactions to it. Also what we want to do about it. Here are my questions:
* The article pulls quotes out of context, looking for the problematizing angle, distorting the impl... |
cd2db38b-0043-433a-a282-aa5b8b28184c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consciousness of simulations & uploads: a reductio
Related articles: Nonperson predicates, Zombies! Zombies?, & many more.
ETA: This argument appears to be a rehash of the Chinese room, which I had previously thought had nothing to do with consciousness, only intelligence. I nonetheless find this one instructive in t... |
6f897271-d1da-4157-9d74-e669b783c48f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Pleasures of Rationality
There are many pleasant benefits of improved rationality:
* Winning more often.
* Better affective forecasting.
* Better self-help skills (e.g., CBT is applied rationality).
I'd like to mention two other benefits of rationality that arise when working with other rationalists, which I'... |
ed71bfba-92a8-4f8c-8199-25b4bc5568be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW was started to help altruists
The following excerpt from a recent post, Recursively Self-Improving Human Intelligence, suggests to me that it is time for a reminder of the reason LW was started.
"[C]an anyone think of specific ways in which we can improve ourselves via iterative cycles? Is there a limit to how far... |
17f2a59a-f7d0-4daf-8531-c488b17d6a5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You Better Mechanize
Or you had better not. The question is which one. This post covers the announcement of Mechanize, the skeptical response from those worried AI might kill everyone, and the associated (to me highly frustrating at times) Dwarkesh Patel podcast with founders Tamay Besiroglu and Ege Erdil. Mechanize p... |
d082b865-20af-4171-b20d-aa5f9b17633c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | 2017 Updates and Strategy
In our last strategy update ([August 2016](https://intelligence.org/2016/08/05/miri-strategy-update-2016/)), Nate wrote that MIRI’s priorities were to make progress on our [agent foundations](https://intelligence.org/technical-agenda/) agenda and begin work on our new “[Alignment for Advanced... |
1975c19b-efbe-42b3-ae62-e1a8c31738ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sam Altman's sister claims Sam sexually abused her -- Part 9: literature on child sexual abuse and trauma
Previous posts (which you should read first)
This post is the 9th post in a series of 11 posts about the claims of Sam Altman's sister, Annie Altman. Annie has claimed that Sam sexually abused her for about 9 year... |
f4386444-6845-445e-954b-f3dd3eab2259 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | May Monthly Bragging Thread
Your job, should you choose to accept it, is to comment on this thread explaining the most awesome thing you've done this month. You may be as blatantly proud of yourself as you feel. You may unabashedly consider yourself the coolest freaking person ever because of that awesome thing you're... |
c767ef63-8f21-4f72-acd7-6acb18f3a92b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Against using stock prices to forecast AI timelines
*by* [*Trevor Chow*](https://tmychow.com/)*,*[*Basil Halperin*](https://basilhalperin.com/)*, and*[*J. Zachary Mazlish*](https://jzmazlish.substack.com/)
[Note: This is an appendix to ["AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 3... |
a5e38893-80dc-4391-be4c-ce96fb53b626 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are there opportunities for small investors unavailable to big ones?
Epistemic status: Not investment advice. Just pure speculation by a non-rich investor in index funds and EMH partisan, inexperienced in the details of financial markets, doing his best to fit a simple model to a complex problem and steelman the oppos... |
8848d948-be0a-4dea-8a5e-e2bc22920732 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Bedrock of Morality: Arbitrary?
Today's post, The Bedrock of Morality: Arbitrary? was originally published on 14 August 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Humans are built in such a way as to do what is right. Other optimization processes may not. So what?
Discuss the post here (rather t... |
f35b71b2-c5ac-44ab-a488-9b47fcdd291f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some doubts about Non Superintelligent AIs
Hello. I'm new to less wrong and would appreciate some help. I've been trying to understand basilisk since the more you understand, the less worried you are. While acausal trade requires clear understanding of the other agent, thus ruling out trading with a Superintelligent A... |
08dfd5fd-6c12-4bad-a9ed-134092818a85 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Humans are not prepared to operate outside their moral training distribution
When people think about how to treat an AI, they probably normally default to the evil AI, that frowns on humans and desires to enslave them out of hate, or the nice android-type AI. A lot of writing in AI Safety has focused on debunking the ... |
7b965380-b454-4e16-8a3b-8064d58d4e73 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Convergence Theories of Meta-Ethics
A child grows to become a young adult, goes off to attend college, studies moral philosophy, and then sells all her worldly possessions, gives the money to the poor, and joins an ashram. Was her decision rational? Maybe, ... maybe not. But it probably came as an unpleasant surpri... |
c9e4c227-fc33-4fd7-90a1-2d57af438bb3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Taking Into Account Sentient Non-Humans in AI Ambitious Value Learning: Sentientist Coherent Extrapolated Volition
I have published a paper in the Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Consciousness about how to take into account the interests of non-human animals and digital minds in A(S)I value alignment.
For the ... |
d7c376bc-8852-4acd-a8a3-91ebc9138a36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tests make creating AI hard
In my post on incentive structures I gave an potted summary of how to do incentive structures better when what you are trying to achieve is ill defined,
> Improve Models using Measures, use the Model to update Targets.
I would add,
> Try to hit Targets. Avoid Tests.
In this post I will ... |
fffd91f6-e87e-4564-801e-34a6dd5579e6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Mastering the game of Go with deep neural networks and tree search
### Subjects
* [Computational science](/subjects/computational-science)
* [Computer science](/subjects/computer-science)
* [Reward](/subjects/reward)
Abstract
--------
The game of Go has long been viewed as the most challenging of classic games... |
888b7f47-2d3d-4387-946b-9322b408a316 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "You can see the full voting results here: 1000+ karma voters (All voters)The 2019 Review votes are in!This year, 88 voters participated, evaluating 116 posts. (Of those voters, 61 had 1000+ karma, and will be weighted more highly in the moderation team's decision of what to include in the Best of 2019 Books)The LessWr... |
5fa0fbb7-3f12-4c6a-bd4c-3130c6c98831 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Strong intutions. Weak arguments. What to do?
I thought Ben Goertzel made an interesting point at the end of his dialog with Luke Muehlhauser, about how the strengths of both sides' arguments do not match up with the strengths of their intuitions:
> One thing I'm repeatedly struck by in discussions on these matters w... |
4faaf7a3-1bd0-4380-aba4-b67425dfca2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Statistical Challenges with Making Super IQ babies
This is a critique of How to Make Superbabies on LessWrong.
Disclaimer: I am not a geneticist[1], and I've tried to use as little jargon as possible. so I used the word mutation as a stand in for SNP (single nucleotide polymorphism, a common type of genetic variation... |
d24addba-8a81-42a5-973a-3f10e920733f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The right to protection from catastrophic AI risk
*Linkpost to my blog,* [*Ordinary Events*](https://ordinaryevents.substack.com/p/the-right-to-protection-from-catastrophic)*.*
*Epistemic status: Highly speculative—a work in progress. I'm interested in feedback on the proposed right, and on how implementation could h... |
72ca333b-3532-42ba-ba52-1950e90230ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI safety techniques leveraging distillation
It's currently possible to (mostly or fully) cheaply reproduce the performance of a model by training another (initially weaker) model to imitate the stronger model's outputs.[1] I'll refer to this as distillation. In the case of RL, distilling the learned capabilities is m... |
eb0c0296-ac3a-4da0-a15e-442d180051b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Personal thoughts on careers in AI policy and strategy [x-post EA Forum]
Summary:
1. The AI strategy space is currently bottlenecked by entangled and under-defined research questions that are extremely difficult to resolve, as well as by a lack of current institutional capacity to absorb and utilize new researchers e... |
474ab393-f9a2-4de5-9381-0d1c99897306 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Somerville Housing Over Time
I wanted to understand how the number of housing units in Somerville had changed over our history, but wasn't able to find anything searching online. We can get an estimate, however, by looking at the "Year Built" field in the Assessor's Database. This shows the age of Somerville's current... |
25bae0de-ead7-4b9b-978c-8b80fe730805 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When "I'm here" means nothing
When a good friend expresses that they are facing tough times, we may feel an impulse to reach out and help. However, unless this is someone you are particularly close to, you may not know how. So if you tell them that you want to support them, then they'll just reach out whenever they ne... |
2c1ddfeb-081e-47f1-88cd-f8337ae00512 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Leave an Emotional Line of Retreat
It can be hard to handle social rejection well. I think I have found a framing that is probably not sufficient, but goes in the right direction.
I'm using something that is a corollary of Leave a Line of Retreat. When there is a situation where I might be socially rejected, I visual... |
863da84e-2afc-4fbe-96ab-7e8a96a3b349 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moloch games
tl;dr: This post suggests a direction for modelling Molochs. The main thing this post does is to rename the concept of “potential games” (an existing concept in game theory) to “Moloch games” to suggest an interpretation of this class of games. I also define "the preferences of a Moloch" to generalize tha... |
28e13fbf-608d-472c-b6aa-5b3abbba01f5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Proving too much
An argument "proves too much" when you can just as easily or naturally extend it to prove false things as true things. For example, the argument "Nobody should engage in genetic engineering because Nazis" can just as easily be extended to say "Nobody should eat vegetables because Hitler ate vegetable... |
db0f9c8c-29aa-446c-9f83-ae78c6349ab2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Testing Hanson's hypothesis about the uselessness of health care.
Robin Hanson has hypothesized that much health care is useless, and that if we radically cut health care (just the part that looks most useless, or even at random), there would be no effect on health outcomes.
People have been staying away from clinics... |
f41b7c0e-0c1e-44bd-b1cb-08343b867faf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The Computational Structure of Unintentional Meaning.
1 Introduction
---------------
People sometimes communicate things that they did not intend or expect. Consider the following vignette, adapted from \shortciteAbaroncohen1999recognition:
>
> Curtains Paul had just moved into a new apartment. Paul went shoppi... |
899b08ca-a710-4459-80a5-5f1e010b51b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing the Clearer Thinking Regrants program
Do you have an idea for a project, or run an existing project, startup, or organization that could one day have a big positive impact on the future of the world? Apply now to our brand new Clearer Thinking Regrants program!
We plan to award grants to around 20 selected... |
08373c53-50a5-47bd-9a6b-aaf0ba9ed462 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wiki Spam
Recently, I have noticed that the "Recent Wiki Edits" box (equivalently, this page) in the sidebar seems to be almost exclusively filled with the edits from spam bots and either Gwern or Vladimir Nesov cleaning up after them (thanks!). This seems like it should be fixed, if only to save those two the time th... |
5bb0589e-a331-4cdb-81cf-3e9f80000d28 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Closed Eyes Argument For Thirding
> Don't you know when your eyes are closed
> You see the world from the clouds along with everybody else?
> Don't you know when your eyes are closed
> You see the world from the clouds along with everybody else?
—Close Your Eyes by The Midnight Club
"In her house at R'lyeh sle... |
f9cc3bdc-c668-43b1-a431-31f6546c4769 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open & Welcome Thread - March 2020
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it. (You can also make a shortform post)
And, if you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to g... |
97f90223-08d4-499a-9ab0-3b5989debae3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver!
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver!
WHEN: 04 March 2012 02:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: Vancouver!
We've been meeting every week for a few months, but there are only a few of us. If you live in or near vancouver, you should come out and participate in our adventures.
Sundays at 1400 has be... |
4998c9c3-9a4a-49f0-b9ed-497f27a2e038 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Finding reflective oracle distributions using a Kakutani map
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; whit... |
a327589c-50e7-4315-9b00-52bab1eb792c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | YCombinator fraud rates
Summary
I estimate that 1-2% of $100M+ YCombinator-backed companies have faced serious allegations of fraud.
Details
* I’m interested in better understanding the base rates of fraud in high-growth companies. YCombinator is a convenience sample for “high-growth companies”, as they are relativ... |
f790a3b9-93c4-4e28-a213-40c2e75b742a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI releases GPT-4o, natively interfacing with text, voice and vision
* Until now ChatGPT dealt with audio through a pipeline of 3 models: audio transcription, then GPT-4, then text-to-speech. GPT-4o is apparently trained on text, voice and vision so that everything is done natively. You can now interrupt it mid-s... |
4f99eafb-9810-48a6-87fc-e09bb36f6fdb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Whither Moral Progress?
Followup to: Is Morality Preference?
In the dialogue "Is Morality Preference?", Obert argues for the existence of moral progress by pointing to free speech, democracy, mass street protests against wars, the end of slavery... and we could also cite female suffrage, or the fact that burning a c... |
6f5bb276-baaa-4b44-ac9f-b10e463f56c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Reading Group: Part X: Yudkowsky's Coming of Age
This is part of a semi-monthly reading group on Eliezer Yudkowsky's ebook, Rationality: From AI to Zombies. For more information about the group, see the announcement post.
----------------------------------------
Welcome to the Rationality reading group. ... |
9cff27cc-51b2-4fd3-b1d2-23a2cb03af8d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | List of how people have become more hard-working
I've recently asked how people have become more hard-working. I compiled the answers across the EA Forum and LessWrong (and some private messages) in a list for myself to make it easier for me to experiment with the suggestions. I thought I'd share the list here in case... |
a126c7b5-47da-4ee9-9713-73af8908b2c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 8 Signs It's The Future: Thought-to-Text, Nvidia Text-to-Video, Character AI, and P(Doom) @Ted
I want to know if you agree that each of
these eight developments would have
shocked you not just six months ago but
even six weeks ago these all came in the
last few days and range from text to
video thought to text GPT... |
d943b205-6b04-4e7e-a38b-2b3ee4eb9aea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Durham/RTLW HPMoR discussion, ch. 86
Discussion article for the meetup : Durham/RTLW HPMoR discussion, ch. 86
WHEN: 21 September 2013 12:00:11PM (-0400)
WHERE: 726 Rigsbee Avenue, Durham NC, 27701
Time for more HPMoR!
Meet at Fullsteam around 12 for discussion of the appointed chapters. If you have a chan... |
9425ac01-bbe5-461b-af99-a13f4d054d4b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Is Fisherian Runaway Gradient Hacking?
**TL;DR:** No; there is no directed agency that enforces sexual selection through an exploitable proxy. However, Fisherian runaway is an insightful example of the path-dependence of local search, where an easily acquired and apparently useful proxy goal can be so strongly favored... |
ae7289dd-506a-4e01-b3bc-f9f19e37cf1a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Services as a Research Paradigm
Introduction
I would hereby like to advertise a document Systems of Services as a Paradigm for AI Alignment . I hope that it can serve as a starting point for investigating AI alignment through the lens of systems of AI services. An alternative framing for the text is that it is a co... |
d228d829-3418-438c-aea4-f5bf5c305f06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tuesday Family Dinner
While I like Boston for lots of reasons, one of the more personal ones is that my family is here. My dad and sister (and my other sister with her family until recently) are in the next town over, and my cousin's family is five towns NNW. For something like seven years now we've been getting toget... |
ce72cc20-b7b2-49be-bcce-4c30bf941138 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wrong answer bias
The correct answer leaves nothing to be said. The wrong answer starts a conversation, a research program, an investigation, a journey, an institute, a paper, a book, a youtube channel, a lifestyle, a tribe.
Why is reading a textbook so boring? Very few people do it. It just has right answers and few... |
30846699-1c9c-4dee-91de-773561b9b01f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How teams went about their research at AI Safety Camp edition 5
AI Safety Camp connects new collaborators worldwide to discuss and decide on a concrete research proposal, gear up online as a team, and try their hand at AI safety research\* during intensive coworking sprints.
Six teams formed at our [recent 5-month vi... |
9dbc8409-8772-4cb8-ac45-a33310773537 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SpaceX will have massive impact in the next decade
Epistemic status: Speculative thinking with a bunch of links to facts I found during my research.
Elon Musk SpaceX already provides launch capabilities for larger satellites that are cheaper then the competition. While it costs $165–220M to buy a launch with the Aria... |
481794ab-734c-4c81-80f2-984baac13fce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why some people seem to be proud of their ignorance?
Sometimes I run into people that have rather strong opinions on some topic, and it turns out that they are basing them on quite shallow and biased information. They are aware that their knowledge is quite limited compared to mine, and they admit that they don't want... |
4a4fd54a-78f6-4d50-99ac-9412e0c903c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can we see light?
Is "visible" light, actually visible? Claiming that visible light is called visible light and therefore it must be visible, is circular reasoning. This question is not about the definition of visible, because in that regard, light shows none of the characteristics of visible objects. Light is in fact... |
b95988ef-d1ca-4fe2-8f35-0e1879a2a6b3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | On presenting the case for AI risk
*[*[*Cross-posting from the EA Forum*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GvHPnzGJQJ7iAiJNr/on-presenting-the-case-for-ai-risk)*]*
*Epistemic status: Personal anecdotal evidence, not fully thought through to my own satisfaction. I'm posting this anyway because if I wait until... |
181a42d0-4334-4109-94bd-2511720f5085 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Goal oriented cognition in "a single forward pass"
The below is me (habryka) and dxu talking about a shortform that dxu had published a few months ago, going into the relationship between goal-oriented cognition and the myopic nature of current large language model training setups. Some key quotes if you don't want to... |
20b5591b-f684-491d-9447-f01717ce20f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New program can beat Alpha Go, didn't need input from human games
|
2e19cbe9-4c72-4927-b7ce-9fa38618c086 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Formation Research: Organisation Overview
Thank you to Adam Jones, Lukas Finnveden, Jess Riedel, Tianyi (Alex) Qiu, Aaron Scher, Nandi Schoots, Fin Moorhouse, and others for the conversations and feedback that helped me synthesise these ideas and create this post.
Epistemic Status: my own thoughts and research after ... |
4c0ea2cc-084b-4346-92f1-65a919f74cc2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)
Today's post, Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger) was originally published on March 27, 2007. A summary (from the LW wiki):
> Don't be satisfied knowing you are biased; instead, aspire to become stronger, studying your flaws so as to remove them. There... |
1ea5be44-6f42-4eec-8fe1-11e307d10666 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing AI-Powered Audiobooks of Rational Fiction Classics
(ElevenLabs reading of this post:)
Your browser does not support the audio element.
I'm excited to share a project I've been working on that I think many in the Lesswrong community will appreciate - converting some rational fiction into high-quality audio... |
2ce50a83-f194-4e39-b9d1-6757acf87600 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Iconoclastic rational critique of parlimentary democracy
I want a reasonbal |
05d31e98-6cbf-4abc-8f99-b6b7a7743c51 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the risks of having your genome publicly available?
None |
d867a0bb-4f14-461c-a436-1469c3b73581 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Causality and a Cost Semantics for Neural Networks
Epistemic status:.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: norma... |
5452c092-a92f-4122-bac5-e5fd1dc81f61 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Less Wrong Sydney - Bayes and Fun Theory
Discussion article for the meetup : Less Wrong Sydney - Bayes and Fun Theory
WHEN: 21 May 2012 06:00:17PM (+1000)
WHERE: 77 Liverpool Street, Sydney, Australia, Level 2
As suggested via the FB group, this coming meeting's topic will be Bayes and Fun theory. Now look... |
79876a4c-205a-4143-8393-b41d7d5c8539 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should there be a header feature?
Headers are very common on Less Wrong, unfortunately, they interfere with the summary by taking up most of the space. I'd suggest the creation of a feature to mark certain content as a header which would then exclude it from this summary. |
01b759d3-003c-4b6d-bf43-477edf36b5c3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Rohin Shah - Effective altruism, AI safety, and learning human preferences from the world's state
hey everyone welcome to another episode
of the taurus data science podcast my
name is jeremy and apart from
hosting the podcast i'm also on the team
at the sharpest minds data science
mentorship program
and i'm really exc... |
fb3e74a2-4cff-426b-8e0b-35c42875f75b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Fabric of Real Things
Followup to: The Useful Concept of Truth
We previously asked:
What rule would restrict our beliefs to just statements that can be meaningful, without excluding a priori anything that could in principle be true?
It doesn't work to require that the belief's truth or falsity make a sensory di... |
7c2ec1e8-a7f9-412b-877a-226d54557b16 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | SolidGoldMagikarp III: Glitch token archaeology
[The set of anomalous tokens which we found in mid-January](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aPeJE8bSo6rAFoLqg/solidgoldmagikarp-plus-prompt-generation) are now being described as 'glitch tokens' and 'aberrant tokens' in online discussion, as well as (perhaps more playful... |
14ed8e80-8275-4b76-9247-067fd1d46c20 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Subgroup
A **subgroup** of a [https://arbital.com/p/-3gd](https://arbital.com/p/-3gd) $(G,*)$ is a group of the form $(H,*)$, where $H \subset G$. We usually say simply that $H$ is a subgroup of $G$.
For a subset of a group $G$ to be a subgroup, it needs to satisfy all of the group axioms itself: [closure](https://a... |
d59338c5-9af5-4c9b-bde3-fa009079e648 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Underwater Torture Chambers: The Horror Of Fish Farming
Crossposted from my blog.
The horror of fish farming
One of my professors in college taught a class about effective altruism—a social movement about doing good effectively. Whenever he was talking about the scale of animal suffering, all the statistics he tal... |
6137db11-03c5-4ba8-b634-5ca122619030 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using an LLM perplexity filter to detect weight exfiltration
A recent area of focus has been securing AI model weights. If the weights are located in a data center and an adversary wants to obtain model weights, the weights have to leave physically (such as a hard drive going out the front door) or through the data ce... |
d0326fa7-db80-411e-a8ec-7e1751ceb4a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Athena - Women in AI Alignment Research
Athena is a new research mentorship program fostering diversity of ideas in AI safety research. We aim to get more women and marginalized genders into technical research and offer the support needed to thrive in this space.
Applications for scholars are open unti... |
b5f0ad95-baa3-4473-8f09-86befc90104e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | a case for a lesswrong private prediction market
TLDR: Lesswrong should have it's own private prediction market so we can test just how well Lesswrongers stack up against the rest of the world which would build up the sites credibility, test and improve our arts of rationality and help address the burnout and disillus... |
4686a84b-4495-41a1-83ba-f0f08074e5a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Calibration Exercises
Discussion article for the meetup : Calibration Exercises
WHEN: 09 February 2015 06:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 1390 Market St., San Francisco, CA
We'll be meeting to train our probability calibration skills. According to the most recent LW survey, we're pretty bad at this, so this is an o... |
34d2f38e-98cb-492f-99fc-6cdbc7690f7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Things that can kill you quickly: What everyone should know about first aid
There are things that kill you instantly, like a bullet to the head or a fall from twenty stories. First aid can’t help you there. There are also things that kill you relatively slowly, like a bacterial infection. If you have even hours to liv... |
f1315e41-c368-446b-835e-a3dbc75bba99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Pragmascope Idea
Pragma (Greek): thing, object.
A “pragmascope”, then, would be some kind of measurement or visualization device which shows the “things” or “objects” present.
I currently see the pragmascope as the major practical objective of work on natural abstractions. As I see it, the core theory of natural... |
d74bc12d-1c98-4e61-bd9c-d2b0b726df9c | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: 9f8ac3264a831e7d
Misalignment and Strategic Underperformance: An Analysis of Sandbagging and Exploration Hacking Redwood Research blog Subscribe Sign in Share this post Redwood Research blog Misalignment and Strategic Underperformance: An Analysis of Sandbagging and Exploration Hacking Copy link Facebook Email Not... |
b7a66575-9307-4f9c-ac90-8fdea8569a33 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI Solves (Some) Formal Math Olympiad Problems
Epistemic status: I have just skimmed through OpenAI's blogpost and paper, I do not fully understand the details.
From the blogpost
> We built a neural theorem prover for Lean that learned to solve a variety of challenging high-school olympiad problems, including pr... |
ab8d9e1f-c8c4-418c-9901-746cc67b62a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Telling more rational stories
My composition teacher in college told me that in some pottery schools, the teacher holds up your pot, examines it, comments on it, and then smashes it on the floor. They do this for your first 100 pots.
In that spirit, this post's epistemic status is SMASH THIS POT.
Eliezer’s fundament... |
96c93743-0457-437a-bd12-45d73ddcda9a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/agentmodels | Tutorial: Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs | Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs
---
layout: chapter
title: "Time inconsistency II"
description: Formal model of time-inconsistent agent, Gridworld and Procrastination examples.
---
## Formal Model and Implementation of Hyperbolic Discounting
### Formal Model of Naive and Sophisticated Hyperbolic Discou... |
b1237a05-3da2-4100-8565-bb9d7c168866 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Magician: A Reductionist's Allegory
I like to do a lot of hobbies. One of those is doing magic tricks with a deck of cards. It, along with debate, are the only performance arts I enjoy personally preforming.
You know you have a great magic trick when you can do it without failing. But it also helps to impress ... |
179eef98-bc81-4365-9202-7ca7a821dafa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Gradient descent doesn't select for inner search
**TL;DR:** Gradient descent won't select for inner search processes because they're not compute & memory efficient.
**Slightly longer TL;DR**: A key argument for mesa-optimization is that as we search over programs, we will select for "search processes with simple obje... |
7d4cacd6-4f9b-4466-8cfa-a44c86e5c537 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [question] What edutainment apps do you recommend?
Follow up to: Rationality Games Apps
In the spirit of: Games for rationalists
My son (10) wants a smartphone and I reasonably expect that he wants to and will play games with it. He appears to be the right age to use it. I don't want to prevent him from playing game... |
ce0fbbe9-46e1-43c8-b542-4ad263fb3bb4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More experiments in GPT-4 agency: writing memos
More experiments on A crazy hypothesis: GPT-4 already is agentic and is trying to take over the world!. A follow up to Does GPT-4 exhibit agency when summarizing articles?.
Since the experiment didn't go quite as planned last time (when asked to summarize something shor... |
bdf7dde1-2bff-4a95-815b-216067d06547 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 1/12/23: Unexpected Spike in Deaths
Quite a lot of deaths got reported by quite a lot of different states this week. Case numbers did not spike, and instead actively declined. What’s going on? It is right after Christmas and New Years, which means the least reliable reporting of the year, and no one cares much a... |
8f2d04da-f933-41c4-a4d9-d442fb0c40e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Involuntary Pacifists
This might be an idea better put to r/WritingPrompts (or ChatGPT), but a scenario has occurred to me which might count either as a near-utopia, or extreme dystopia, depending on your point of view.
Imagine a future Earth where a great power (this can be a superintelligent AI, benevolent alie... |
0d1b7bbb-19cc-4763-86ed-6e6d8bf3b4cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Invisible Frameworks
Followup to: Passing the Recursive Buck, No License To Be Human
Roko has mentioned his "Universal Instrumental Values" several times in his comments. Roughly, Roko proposes that we ought to adopt as terminal values those things that a supermajority of agents would do instrumentally. On Roko's ... |
f520bb1f-763b-400c-8b14-79ba6dab44bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, May 29 - June 4, 2017
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the li... |
b071f0be-6a76-4a0b-90cb-b02b75a001c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philosophy of Artificial Intelligence (links)
Earlier, I provided an overview of formal epistemology, a field of philosophy highly relevant to the discussions on Less Wrong. Today I do the same for another branch of philosophy: the philosophy of artificial intelligence (here's another overview).
Some debate whether m... |
4f990351-8c49-4416-be4a-f7b5ef2f3fab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The first AGI may be a good engineer but bad strategist
AGI may have an advantage in engineering, but humans may have an advantage in strategy and wisdom.
AGI disadvantage in wisdom
Wisdom and strategy is much harder to evaluate than engineering ability. The only way to evaluate long term wisdom is to let the agent ... |
e7e22e11-feb2-463d-9120-0227a12b3d99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do you fear the rock or the hard place?
Epistemic status: fairly confident based on my accumulated experience of debates and disagreements. I wrote this for myself as much as others.
There is a conversational dynamic which I think is extremely common, a failure mode which is all too easy to fall into. Alice and Bob a... |
9424ad35-d694-4457-a54a-3707037517aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | DC Meetup: Sunday May 15th, 3:30 PM
Sunday May 15th, 3:30 PM - 8:30 PM
Chipotle Mexican Grill
7600 Old Georgetown Road
Bethesda, MD 20814
Hello again! Our first meetup had a great turnout, and we're hoping to get even more this time.
Goals:
Continue getting to know each other and new members, figuring out how to ... |
49612e72-297f-445b-b830-9666ddd4f31f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | One pager
Update: This is a living document. Posted below is an older version. Link has the latest version.
2025-03-17
One pager
I decided to make a summary of non-obvious insights from my work so far. (A lot of this work is not original but borrowed from others.)
Scroll to the last section of the page (software a... |
ed12e6cf-c5b2-4c09-94dc-c59ca34dcf70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflections on my 5-month alignment upskilling grant
Five months ago, I received a grant from the Long Term Future Fund to upskill in AI alignment. As of a few days ago, I was invited to Berkeley for two months of full-time alignment research under Owain Evans’s stream in the SERIMATS program. This post is about how I... |
6c8005ee-d114-41e3-91bc-d86612428ef6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Common but neglected risk factors that may let you get Paxlovid
The CDC lists the conditions that make a person "more likely to get very sick from COVID-19." Currently, Paxlovid supply is abundant, but available only to people with at least one of these risk factors.
Paxlovid access may be crucial long-term, as the r... |
3eb57672-f02d-40bd-b01f-9c9e6b81e3d8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A framework for predicting, interpreting, and improving Learning Outcomes
1 Introduction
---------------
Outcome-based Learning is gaining prominence in learner-centric educational services[[28](#bib.bib28)]. Rather than focusing on the the approach to learning, outcome-based learning sets the goals on what a learn... |
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