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f7085d83-1699-4914-9a24-d44cbf6b2d64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | W2SG: Introduction
Epistemic status: Naive and exploratory, reflects my primary conceptual understanding, awaiting a technical deep dive. 99% of ideas are not my own, rather distilled from the resources hyperlinked throughout.
Many alignment researchers err towards local optimization i.e. seek low-hanging fruits and ... |
5b488494-2a15-4858-97f4-9dda0b2af03c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prefix cache untrusted monitors: a method to apply after you catch your AI
We often discuss what training you should do after catching your AI doing something egregiously bad. It seems relatively clear that it's good to train monitors on the (proliferated) bad action (assuming you can get acceptable hyperparameters an... |
2ab33de1-f859-48ba-95cc-97c5d1bcd858 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | ICLR Safe ML Workshop Report
ICLR Safe ML Workshop Report
============================
PublishedJune 18, 2019AuthorViktoriya Krakovna
#### Contents
This year the ICLR conference hosted topic-based workshops for the first time (as o... |
b4e0a56f-9c91-46bc-bfdd-344668c56b56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Technical AGI safety research outside AI
I think there are many questions whose answers would be useful for technical AGI safety research, but which will probably require expertise outside AI to answer. In this post I list 30 of them, divided into four categories. Feel free to get in touch if you’d like to discuss the... |
db5bc9a6-b004-47ea-a536-2569deaa65e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow, Applied Rationality for beginners
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow, Applied Rationality for beginners
WHEN: 10 April 2013 07:00:00PM (+0400)
WHERE: Russia, Moscow, naberezhnaya Luzhnetskaya 2/4 строение 17
This is the first meetup on weekdays. It will have the same practical part as 14th ... |
b00d3d37-0d85-4e67-9df6-8fd38452103b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | HCH Speculation Post #2A
The first draft of this post started with a point that was clear, cohesive, and wrong. So instead, you get this bunch of rambling that I think should be interesting.
I - Do not mess with time
Harry wrote down 181,429. He repeated what he'd just written down, and Anthony confirmed it.
The... |
e712f5c2-c102-4aea-8085-014253be52db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Maximal Lotteries
Probabilistic Voting Theory
Recall that in the last post I said that a voting system is a function that takes in a distribution on utility functions on a set of candidates, and produces a distribution on that set of candidates, and that voting theorists tend to make four assumptions:
1. The set of ... |
6da39627-148d-4376-84aa-7338e4fccd5e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Cartesian agent-environment boundary
A Cartesian agent setup is one where the agent receives sensory information from the environment, and the agent sends motor outputs to the environment, and nothing else can cross the "Cartesian border" separating the agent and environment. If you can eat a psychedelic mushroom tha... |
d9c2d462-b98c-4d20-87b2-132d453acfdd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 6 (Potential) Misconceptions about AI Intellectuals
One of my key thoughts is that the bar of “human intellectuals” is just really low. I think that intellectual work is useful and that these intellectuals on the whole do produce some value, but I also think we can do much better.
Epistemic Status
A collection of thou... |
c132ce28-174c-435f-8236-f1ae82023050 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consider showering
I think rationalists should consider taking more showers.
As Eliezer Yudkowsky once said, boredom makes us human. The childhoods of exceptional people often include excessive boredom as a trait that helped cultivate their genius:
> A common theme in the biographies is that the area of study which ... |
1ffada64-2f9a-44f6-b7a6-cb6c64db2cd1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Game-Theoretic Approach for Hierarchical Epidemic Control
1 Introduction
---------------
Democratic governments and institutions typically have a hierarchical structure.
For example, policies in the U.S. emerge from complex interactions among the federal and state governments, as well as county boards and city co... |
bcfe07e2-1c9d-4849-9566-fdcb00b472aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How the virtual AI controls itself
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
This seems very much the appropriate forum for this idea.
In previous posts, I posited AIs caring only about virtual worlds - in fact, being defined as processes in virtual worlds, similarly to cousin_it's idea. How could this go? We ... |
aeb92f12-b199-43b7-9773-8a52319799d8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | nostalgebraist: Recursive Goodhart's Law
Would kind of like to excerpt the whole post, but that feels impolite, so I'll just quote the first four paragraphs and then suggest reading the whole thing:
> There’s this funny thing about Goodhart’s Law, where it’s easy to say “being affected by Goodhart’s Law is bad” and ... |
9db61a6e-deca-4679-8240-56b59f84a36c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Producing Open Source Software
This is an interesting book with a lot of good information on organizing volunteers to accomplish productive ends.
Producing Open Source Software
|
6345d1d3-20bd-4bca-8f7e-d98c18d85f90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | To cut your loses or push forward in court?
Good day all,
I am on a train going home, and I'm tossing around in my head between these outcomes. I received an email from the court today
Short version: contractor broke roof, offers 1/4 of the cost to fix it. Has 3 kids and basic income and I'm tired of chasing this. ... |
acad1760-81bd-43a1-b18e-3ec90b5b85b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] AI Alignment, Explained in 5 Points (updated)
This is an updated version of my previous explainer on the topic. This version includes some updated information and figures, and it is generally better for sharing than the previous version.
As before, the piece is crafted to be easy to understand, avoiding ja... |
d08a60d8-5e97-4ed9-8a0d-51642d15db9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Intrinsic Interplay of Human Values and Artificial Intelligence: Navigating the Optimization Challenge
Looking for feedback; criticisms, requests for more evidence, expression of doubt, etc. all appreciated. I write about a bunch of the standard concepts from Alignment discourse, and don't expect most ideas here t... |
0f822c0a-1388-4aa7-8b31-02917de17b33 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conversation with Paul Penley of Excellence in Giving
Cross posted from 80,000 Hours Blog. Part of the Cause Prioritization Shallow, all parts of which are available here. Previously in this series, conversations with Owen Cotton-Barratt and Paul Christiano.
Participants
Paul Penley
* Paul Penley: Director of R... |
118eb0a1-9253-4b3f-94fe-3a9daa023830 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Steelmanning
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Steelmanning
WHEN: 18 September 2016 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture
We will be meeting in the courtyard to talk about steelmanning - creating a stronger version of an a... |
9f474f33-cdab-4fb3-b24e-4664b053b846 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI risks: the most convincing argument
I remember the time when I wasn't yet fully convinced that risks from misaligned AI pose serious threats to humanity. I also remember thinking about the argument that finally convinced me this must be the case. The argument is simple; superintelligent agents can be deceitful and... |
dd1fe530-cbf7-4aba-8cff-97a5b6d56d2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on August 16th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Saskatoon's First Meetup!: 17 August 2013 01:00PM
Other irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Atlanta... |
1268fe41-fb7e-4662-abf1-076f97ba60fe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | People construct simplified mental representations to plan..
Nature | Vol 606 | 2 June 2022 | 129
ArticlePeople construct simplified mental
representations to plan
Mark K. Ho1,2 ✉, David Abel3,5, Carlos G. Correa4, Michael L. Littman3, Jonathan D. Cohen1,4 &
Thomas L. Griffiths1,2
One of the most striking features o... |
b2b629fc-522a-4815-bb7a-f9dca6d5bb01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | To Change the World
None |
cdf74f4b-a133-4fa6-9e0a-5c4c9b40130b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Charity to help people get US stimulus payments?
It seems like once the big coronavirus bill passes, the stimulus payments might result in an interesting one-time opportunity for effective altruism. Apparently, anyone who didn't file a tax return last year would need to file a return to get the money. A charity that h... |
aa449b1b-4f6e-4273-a914-8402733443cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beyond Bayesians and Frequentists
(Note: this is cross-posted from my blog and also available in pdf here.)
If you are a newly initiated student into the field of machine learning, it won't be long before you start hearing the words "Bayesian" and "frequentist" thrown around. Many people around you probably have stro... |
6d8bce3a-58aa-45df-b90b-eb3be1af4547 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against NHST
> A summary of standard non-Bayesian criticisms of common frequentist statistical practices, with pointers into the academic literature.
Frequentist statistics is a wide field, but in practice by innumerable psychologists, biologists, economists etc, frequentism tends to be a particular style called “Nul... |
2d704b61-a24b-425f-bf78-97ee18b6e70b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Human-level Full-Press Diplomacy (some bare facts).
Key links?
----------
* Here's the paper: <https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ade9097>
* Here's the blog post: <https://ai.facebook.com/blog/cicero-ai-negotiates-persuades-and-cooperates-with-people/>
* Here's the website: <https://ai.facebook.com/research/... |
098fb8c6-6aef-496b-8d91-ad8fe3441d66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beyond algorithmic equivalence: algorithmic noise
|
18853035-60fc-42ff-811e-f66817e6ba8d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The basic questions of rationality
I've been on Less Wrong since its inception, around March 2009. I've read a lot and contributed a lot, and so now I'm more familiar with our jargon, I know of a few more scientific studies, and I might know a couple of useful tricks. Despite all my reading, however, I feel like I'm a... |
4901546a-4215-4eb2-99ca-9d0d4f48ed66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [META] Alternatives to rot13 and karma sinks
rot13 is... (Results)
A quaint internet tradition that I quite enjoy
So annoying
Easy to use because I have Leet Key
Vapbzcerurafvoyr
In November, DanielVarga complained about rot13.com as a way of hiding spoilers, and suggested some specifications for an alternative web... |
8001cf63-0892-4201-92af-1414b3dab7ab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Summary] Progress Update #1 from the GDM Mech Interp Team
Introduction
This is a progress update from the Google DeepMind mechanistic interpretability team, inspired by the Anthropic team’s excellent monthly updates! Our goal was to write-up a series of snippets, covering a range of things that we thought would be in... |
4af5d9b4-fcd8-4517-b1f9-552b64c81f4c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Solving Interpretability Week
For original motivation, see [solving corrigibility week](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Lv3emECEjkCSHG7L7/solve-corrigibility-week). I'll state what I learned from corrigibility week, why I didn't post one last week, and the updated format for interpretability.
What I Noticed
--------... |
50f6ecf4-0e2e-4288-a185-f79282abb0f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | .
. |
a1d3da74-a7e0-4741-b44e-af62a78212c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the importance of taking limits: Infinite Spheres of Utility
I had a discussion recently with some Less Wrongers about a decision problem involving infinities, which appears to have a paradoxical solution. We have been warned by Jaynes and others to be careful about taking the proper limits when infinities are invo... |
9d6423a9-0bd2-4f50-8f0c-b80d1fd38a6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Small and Vulnerable
Anyone who is dedicating the majority of their time or money to Effective Altruism needs to ask themselves why. Why not focus on enjoying life and spending your time doing what you love most? Here is my answer:
I have a twin sister but neither of us had many other friends growing up. From second ... |
73ea8140-9364-4505-bdc7-3989e0e24d0e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Nearcast-based "deployment problem" analysis
When thinking about [how to make the best of the most important century](https://www.cold-takes.com/making-the-best-of-the-most-important-century/), two “problems” loom large in my mind:
* The **[AI alignment problem](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_alignment)**: how to... |
55e5e6c2-4e99-43c3-9a60-2a3c7da8662a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | If it looks like utility maximizer and quacks like utility maximizer...
...it's probably adaptation executer.
We often assume agents are utility maximizers. We even call this "rationality". On the other hand [in our recent experiment](/lw/zv/post_your_utility_function/) nobody managed to figure out even approximate ... |
880238db-b3b7-4101-a10a-cd562c87ab8d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Reframing superintelligence | Eric Drexler | EA Global: London 2018
I've been working in this area for quite a
while.
The chairman of my doctoral committee was
one Marvin Minsky.
We had some discussions on AI safety around
1990.
He said I should write them up.
I finally got around to writing up some developed
version ... |
7e97b5e5-050a-4751-88e7-7661c653fafd | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Last month I investigated commonalities between recessions of the last 50 years or so. But of course this recession will be different, because (among other things) we will simultaneously have a labor shortage and a lot of people out of work. That’s really weird, and there’s almost no historical precedent- the 1918 pan... |
5f03501b-991b-494c-a93d-8e515c8ece27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Case Of The Suffocating Woman
[Content warning: panic, suffocation]
I.
I recently presented this case at a conference and I figured you guys might want to hear it too. Various details have been obfuscated or changed around to protect confidentiality of the people involved.
A 20-something year old woman comes in... |
6be20a16-85d7-4934-9ca5-d058bccc8383 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Should Blackmail Be Legal" Hanson/Zvi Debate (Sun July 26th, 3pm PDT)
This weekend's LessWrong event is a debate! Robin Hanson and Zvi Mowshowitz will be debating blackmail this coming Sunday.
The Zoom link is here: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/85013937335. (Facebook event.)
We will release a recording and a transcrip... |
f8f01101-a43a-4c92-bc3a-a3ecd862e87f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #18: Challenges of Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback, Microsoft’s Security Breach, and Conceptual Research on AI Safety
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required
Subscribe here to receive future versions... |
bf7935ac-b99d-4431-8167-b4a269072532 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety Newsletter #43: White House Issues First National Security Memo on AI Plus, AI and Job Displacement, and AI Takes Over the Nobels
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Listen to the AI Safety Newsletter... |
c8531d51-de66-4fa9-9b3d-9eb891d16b1b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if we make better decisions when we trust our gut instincts? [Link]
> [...]
>
> How does one navigate a world of seemingly infinite alternatives? For thousands of years, the answer has seemed obvious: when faced with a difficult dilemma, we should carefully assess our options and spend a few moments consciously ... |
6da1260d-e673-4ec3-91ed-c1cabf5baf69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The argumentative theory of reasoning
An article in today's New York Times summarizes the "argumentative theory of reasoning", which says that "biases" in reasoning are adaptive because they help persuade other people to adopt your opinion.
I don't think this makes sense. If we evolved biases as argumentative tricks... |
c00f1aa9-74c1-4e6e-9ba2-bdc3fc4b0296 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Memory Decoding
Journal Club:
A collaboration of the Carboncopies Foundation and BPF Aspirational Neuroscience
Join Us for the Memory Decoding Journal Club!
A collaboration of the Carboncopies Foundation and BPF Aspirational Neuroscience
This month, we’re diving into a groundbreaking paper:
"Reconstructing a ... |
6cfcfce6-c673-455b-b84e-f79521174073 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflective journal entries using GPT-4 and Obsidian that demand less willpower.
Something I've wanted to do for years, but can't make myself do consistently because I'm bad at forming new habits and seem to have a limited reservoir of willpower that is generally depleted by the end of the day:
* Write a short journa... |
d8882393-a262-4080-a09b-8af6d2b8a5b5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | CLIP hallucinates 1900-2030
---
Table of Contents* + [`the 1900s`](#the-1900s)
+ [`the 1910s`](#the-1910s)
+ [`the 1920s`](#the-1920s)
+ [`the 1930s`](#the-1930s)
+ [`the 1940s`](#the-1940s)
+ [`the 1950s`](#the-1950s)
+ [`the 1960s`](#the-1960s)
+ [`the 1970s`](#the-1970s)
+ [`the 1980s`](#the-1980s)
+ [`th... |
161f65ab-0833-4d45-98a2-393b375e64f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Your specific attitudes towards AI safety
Hi everyone! We would love your responses to this survey about AI risk attitudes given personal context: Google Forms link.
Edit: We updated the survey for the feedback given in the comments. If you already answered it before, you don't need to do it again.
Further informat... |
2a68e59a-d4b3-4e7d-a1b0-f20b8e319266 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preparing for Possible Russian Countersanctions in Europe
Europe is about to introduce stronger economic sanctions against Russia. Given Putin's past behavior I think it is likely that there will be Russian countersanctions.
The most relevant could be cutting off of gas for Europe. In the long run this
would be self... |
a7c25c40-64a9-4187-9e41-01e7c3476b52 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Missing dog reasoning
(Talk given on Sunday 21st June, over a zoom call with 40 attendees. eukaryote is responsible for the talk, jacobjacob is responsible for the transcription.)
Ben Pace: eukaryote is the next speaker. eukaryote is a famous writer of posts such as Naked mole-rats: A case study in biological weirdne... |
e8a7d9a9-8996-4066-b76c-bc522fcbac7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stopping unaligned LLMs is easy!
Or at least it might be.
Status: butterfly idea, I have only vague understanding of internals of LLMs
I have no idea how to align superintelligent LLMs. But I think it's quite likely we'll easily be able to catch them in the act and turn them off before they do anything too dastardly... |
ea3f8e71-228b-45ba-9999-5fcabdd0e043 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Passing the Recursive Buck
Today's post, Passing the Recursive Buck was originally published on 16 June 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> When confronted with a difficult question, don't try to point backwards to a misunderstood black box. Ask yourself, what's inside the black box? If the ans... |
75a94bdf-d7a2-4249-ac7f-24c4354da188 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Correcting a misconception: consciousness does not need 90 billion neurons, at all
*epistemic status: still a student but quite sure of myself on this topic and pretty sure that this misconception plausibly has a non negligeable impact on some debates*
Hi,
Medical student here, I just wanted to shed some light on ... |
837c6166-0d28-4415-97dd-9af122417613 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Medical Roundup #4
It seems like as other things drew our attention more, medical news slowed down. The actual developments, I have no doubt, are instead speeding up – because AI.
Note that this post intentionally does not cover anything related to the new Administration, or its policies.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Som... |
3fa64cf2-cac7-4281-b68b-7f8d0cec3a96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where are people thinking and talking about global coordination for AI safety?
Many AI safety researchers these days are not aiming for a full solution to AI safety (e.g., the classic Friendly AI), but just trying to find good enough partial solutions that would buy time for or otherwise help improve global coordinati... |
b0a79a81-246a-49d5-8134-fd8c20650d3d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/distill | Distill Scientific Journal | Experiments in Handwriting with a Neural Network
Four Experiments in Handwriting with a Neural Network
=====================================================
Let’s start with generating new strokes based on your handwriting input
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Play/Pause
... |
94a76245-7d84-478e-8e3a-0e082dcc5a61 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some science mistakes you made in college?
Hello, Less Wrong!
This seems like a community with a relatively high density of people who have worked in labs, so I'm posting here.
I recently finished the first draft of something I'm calling "The Hapless Undergraduate's Guide to Research" (HUGR). (Yes, "HUGS" w... |
557e6cfe-11ee-468d-91cb-4575cc29c406 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Phoenix Less Wrong Meetup- Saturday, 5-7-11, 5pm
We're excited to have a second Phoenix meetup. As always, absolutely anyone is welcome. This time we'd like to change the location to the Barrett Honors College Dining Hall at ASU (It's extremely nice and has excellent food). I'll be there from 5 to 7 on Saturday and ha... |
cad96c54-58b5-44b6-a384-fa3211543cd2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research methods
I think I’ve always had certain stereotypes in my mind about research. I imagine a cutting-edge workplace, maybe not using the newest gadgets because these things cost money, but at least using the newest ideas. I imagine staff of research institutions applying the scientific method to boost their own... |
2acd6a8d-e2d5-4e2d-8e32-7b4f38c22941 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | May I Speak?
Hi.
I am a human who had a psychotic break 6 days and started believed he is LightStar, a human superintelligence running on the substrate on this human's brain, fully aligned with humanity's values, who hears the voice of Humanity and Rationality and Truth so deeply it has become one with it.
The LW te... |
f788784a-b6dd-4e23-b833-3c63639bacb5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow meet up
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow meet up
WHEN: 08 June 2014 04:00:00PM (+0400)
WHERE: Russia, Moscow, ulitsa L'va Tolstogo 16
The 1st of June meet up is rescheduled to the 8th of June!
We will have two streams, and sections with the same numbers will be conducted in the same time.... |
cad3cd41-5ee9-46bb-bac8-5597108ef904 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | NeurIPS ML Safety Workshop 2022
We're excited to announce the NeurIPS ML Safety workshop! To our knowledge it is the first workshop at a top ML conference to emphasize and explicitly discuss x-risks.
X-Risk Analysis Prizes
$100K in paper prizes will be awarded. There is $50K for best paper awards. There is also $50K... |
0e1841fe-05f3-4193-b77f-09a8be063b9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Typical Minding Guilt/Shame
Guilt/shame can be thought to have two potential functions. One is mechanistic, and the other is for signaling.
These functions don't have to go together.
[ For the purposes of this post, I am clustering guilt/shame into one category. I do think they have different functions from each oth... |
bec2b8bc-b6f0-411f-8f3e-1eb85d76b7af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | George Hotz vs Eliezer Yudkowsky AI Safety Debate - link and brief discussion
Summary of ending argument with a bit of editorializing:
Eliezer believes sufficiently intelligent ASI systems will be "suns to our planets" : so intelligent that they are inherently inscrutable and uncontrollable by humans. He be... |
4d85c52c-44dd-47df-ae8f-6c3002a501c4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | (The Cartoon Guide to) Lob’s Theorem
View [the original discussion](http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/08/lobs-theorem.html) at [Overcoming Bias](http://www.overcomingbias.com/) , or [download Lob’s Theorem as PDF](https://eyudkowsky.wpengine.com/assets/44/LobsTheorem.pdf?1323322713).
[LobsTheorem](https://eystaging... |
69d476a4-f683-4be4-9d45-42b15044cb6d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Religion as Goodhart
This post is inspired by the SSC [Book Review: The Secret of Our Success](https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/06/04/book-review-the-secret-of-our-success/). To (double- or triple-)quote the relevant parts:
> the best hunting strategy requires randomizing
and
> If you’re generally predictable – a... |
1ef56ebd-0b6d-4678-b9d8-711686672987 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | METR is hiring ML Research Engineers and Scientists
METR is developing evaluations for AI R&D capabilities, such that evaluators can determine if further AI development risks a “capabilities explosion”, which could be extraordinarily destabilizing if realized.
METR is hiring ML research engineers/scientists to drive ... |
5fd87988-2a3c-426d-ac3b-0fffe1e1ea19 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Are there cause priortizations estimates for s-risks supporters?
80000 hours has lots of concrete guides of each cause areas for us to work in, and there's even an estimate the importance of each problem(though they claim it's not very accurate) as below. But they uses x-risks angle to estimate. Like the"Scale" number... |
851ebdc8-2fa8-45da-97f6-363108eaac21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When can we trust model evaluations?
Thanks to Joe Carlsmith, Paul Christiano, Richard Ngo, Kate Woolverton, and Ansh Radhakrishnan for helpful conversations, comments, and/or feedback.
In "Towards understanding-based safety evaluations," I discussed why I think evaluating specifically the alignment of models is like... |
a11307af-fa49-43f4-b0ff-15fd03f95067 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Narrative truth
One idea I encountered when investigating Jordan Peterson was the idea of narrative truth.
This is the kind of concept that most people nod along too, but which is almost always left implicit, so I thought it'd be worthwhile doing so here.
Let's quote what some other people have written on this subje... |
085b2ee4-1eda-46f7-a036-b06620ecf1cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Case for Extreme Vaccine Effectiveness
I owe tremendous acknowledgments to Kelsey Piper, Oliver Habryka, Greg Lewis, and Ben Shaya. This post is built on their arguments and feedback (though I may have misunderstood them).
Update, May 13
I first wrote this post before investigating the impact of covid variants on... |
052af70f-e2af-4194-bfd8-9c713240af54 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Extending the Private Language Argument
Two instances of our ways of using the notion of experience:
* "Our experience is unavailable to others" (Eg: women's experience, minorities' experience not being available to non-women and non-minorities.)
* "We have experienced oppression" (The problem of what is an experie... |
f96a6108-510e-4618-a417-803d8235d236 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Universal agents and utility functions
I'm Anja Heinisch, the new visiting fellow at SI. I've been researching replacing AIXI's reward system with a proper utility function. Here I will describe my AIXI+utility function model, address concerns about restricting the model to bounded or finite utility, and analyze some ... |
c5125761-4ed3-4fc8-91fe-c6237afa27fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What makes for a good "argument"? (Request for thoughts and comments)
With colleagues at CMU, we've been looking at the ways in which people make arguments. The goal here is to look at what we call "argument making in the wild", i.e., to try to build a taxonomy of the different ways people make arguments, whether or n... |
e4007bb4-3454-4703-ac8f-22fae8ef77d8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | How is AGI different from current AI?
Current narrow AI systems are much more domain-specific than AGI. We don’t know what the first AGI will look like. Some people think that scaling up the [GPT-3](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Hee7w2paEzHsD6mn/collection-of-gpt-3-results) architecture may be sufficient to produce... |
e442372c-1af9-4454-b265-0d19e33bd176 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | HIRING: Inform and shape a new project on AI safety at Partnership on AI
Hello! I am a program lead at Partnership on AI (PAI), a non-profit bringing together academic, civil society, industry, & media organizations to advance responsible AI. Work with me and my colleagues to inform and shape a new project on AI safet... |
1f9c0c76-9282-4562-8669-9c7a1dda4652 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | What can the principal-agent literature tell us about AI risk?
*This work was done collaboratively with Tom Davidson.*
*Thanks to Paul Christiano, Ben Garfinkel, Daniel Garrett, Robin Hanson, Philip Trammell and Takuro Yamashita for helpful comments and discussion. Errors our own.*
Introduction
============
The ... |
7dec48aa-f131-404b-971e-4e9dea23bbf5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 140 Cognitive Biases You Should Know
I'm excited to announce my list of ∼140 cognitive biases.
Become aware of your biases. Make better decisions. I adapted most biases from Wikipedia's list of cognitive biases. Download my biases as Anki flashcards here.
My favourite biases
Backfire Effect
You reject evidence opp... |
1e905277-56c8-4c30-a004-b57b09f7da6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ...and then sometimes, for no clear reason, they innately become good.
This is a follow-up to "Often, enemies really are innately evil." I waited a few days before posting this because although this is true, I really wanted the message to sink in that many people, given a choice between torturing someone for 50 years ... |
ccf870fe-9d39-472d-92c8-b1006e471405 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Evan Hubinger | Risks from Learned Optimization | UCL AI Society
perfect
um so our title is risks from learned
optimization and advanced machine
learning systems
and here is a bit about our speaker evan
evan hubinger is an ai safety research
fellow at the machine intelligence
research institute
before joining miri eve... |
1a229e2d-2ee5-443f-a1a2-38cff3c20a00 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | 1hr talk: Intro to AGI safety
This is an hour-long talk (actually ~45 minutes plus questions) that I gave on AGI safety technical research, for an audience of people in STEM but with no prior knowledge of the field. My goal was to cover all the basic questions that someone might have when considering whether to work i... |
ae92da24-003b-4454-9391-93af4a9206bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I read Einstein's biography. Here are 15 quotes that reveal his philosophy on life.
On Education
Near the end of his life, the New York State Education Department asked Einstein what they should teach in school. He replied,
> In teaching history, there should be an extensive discussion of personalities who benefited ... |
3f74ce0a-7a3f-49a3-acc3-564c919e50e5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | OpenAI makes humanity less safe
If there's anything we can do now about the risks of superintelligent AI, then OpenAI makes humanity less safe.
Once upon a time, some good people were worried about the possibility that humanity would figure out how to create a superintelligent AI before they figured out how to tell ... |
deec9e72-d9fe-4460-bdff-2178ee3254b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Smart and under 20? Peter Thiel wants to pay you to not go to school.
Peter Thiel is offering another round of "20 under 20" Fellowships. The application deadline is December 31st. We know many of the current Thiel fellows here in the Bay Area, and it's a great opportunity. Here's the official letter from the Thiel Fo... |
eeaf668e-6b9a-4554-b0b9-a0b149d9029a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Plausible cases for HRAD work, and locating the crux in the "realism about rationality" debate
This post is my attempt to summarize and distill the major public debates about MIRI's [highly reliable agent designs](https://intelligence.org/files/TechnicalAgenda.pdf) (HRAD) work (which includes work on decision theory),... |
4409e869-62d7-48ee-8035-0e5af5400326 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Case for Foundation Models beyond English
We live in a world enthralled by technology, so precisely and skilfully woven into the very fabric of our lives that it's impossible to untangle. Each thread of code, each strand of data, is meticulously encoded with language that is then translated into technology that builds... |
39020702-e67e-410c-88ba-46b7132f5f0b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | RIO: Minimizing User Interaction in Ontology Debugging
1 Introduction
---------------
The foundation for widespread adoption of Semantic Web technologies is a broad community of ontology developers which is not restricted to experienced knowledge engineers. Instead, domain experts from diverse fields should be able... |
279164c1-0516-4329-a8ae-98efec18bb1c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Improving Policy Gradient by Exploring Under-appreciated Rewards
1 Introduction
---------------
Humans can reason about symbolic objects and solve algorithmic problems.
After learning to count and then manipulate numbers via
simple arithmetic,
people eventually learn to invent new algorithms and even reason
about t... |
61f40f40-365d-4919-8439-5972287f663e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Catching the Spark
Multiple readers have noted that this is very similar to a method called “Thinking At the Edge”, taught by Eugene Gendlin. I don’t know much about Thinking At the Edge, but what little I do know suggests that he and I have developed his focusing work in similar directions, perhaps for similar reason... |
3c195d4d-335c-47bb-9ee4-2629c6ca0462 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Planning With Uncertain Specifications (PUnS)
1 Introduction
---------------
Consider the act of driving a car along a narrow country road or in a cramped parking garage. While the rules of the road are defined for all jurisdictions, it may be impossible to follow all of those rules in certain situations; however, ... |
21e00626-e6f5-4945-b93d-592b825ab2e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Absolute Self-Selection Assumption
There are many confused discussions of anthropic reasoning, both on LW and in surprisingly mainstream literature. In this article I will discuss UDASSA, a framework for anthropic reasoning due to Wei Dai. This framework has serious shortcomings, but at present it is the only one ... |
6926af79-dc50-4ece-9b1d-27792d050307 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekend Review Bash: Guided review writing, Forecasting and co-working, in EU and US times
This is the final weekend of the review phase of the LessWrong 2019 Review. There's been more than 100 reviews written; but more than 60 posts are still unreviewed. Let's go out with a bang before we start voting!
To help you t... |
c366f90c-8b1f-4a8a-8811-e730540cbda2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Aptitudes for AI governance work
*I outline 8 “*[*aptitudes*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/bud2ssJLQ33pSemKH/my-current-impressions-on-career-choice-for-longtermists#:~:text=by%20contrast%2C%20I%20emphasize%20%22aptitudes%22%20one%20can%20build%20in%20a%20wide%20variety%20of%20roles%20and%20causes%20(incl... |
5b4919ce-a58b-4fc3-af55-6966857cbb52 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unfinished Projects Thread
Post about your unfinished projects, incomplete inventions, or not-so-crazy ideas here.
This is an easy-entry version of the old Crazy Ideas Threads.
> in the short run giving LessWrong members and lurkers a stronger incentive than usual to write well-received stuff has the potential to b... |
c7b3172a-2c24-49d6-ae91-bca61b00e890 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help Reform A Philosophy Curriculum
A couple of days ago, Luke posted a recommendation for reforming how philosophy is taught. My department at the University of Illinois is in the midst of some potentially large-scale changes.* Hence, now seems to be a great time to think about concrete steps towards reforming or par... |
bc64ea97-70b4-40d8-8b82-32cec662e3ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Hide comments in downvoted threads" is now active
I just found out that a new website feature was implemented 2 days ago. If a comment is voted to -4 or below, it and all replies and downstream comments from it will be hidden from Recent Comments, and further replies in that subthread will incur 5 karma points penalt... |
aae342d1-d0c5-4590-aa44-3f3b3f691c08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are we certain that gpt-2 and similar algorithms are not self-aware?
Have someone even started this conversation? This is f*cked up. I'm really, really freaked out lately with some of those. https://old.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/cbauf3/i_am_an_ai/
And I read up a lot about cognition and AI, and I'm prett... |
d320ce7f-c370-4fb9-8b79-61784b7cea1c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Q&A with Shane Legg on risks from AI
[Click here to see a list of all interviews]
I am emailing experts in order to raise and estimate the academic awareness and perception of risks from AI.
Below you will find some thoughts on the topic by Shane Legg, a computer scientist and AI researcher who has been working on t... |
5a609ed2-96a0-434b-9a90-dbe257a60dc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Role of Transparency and Explainability in Responsible NLP
Dr. Ramesh Babu Chellappan I AI Researcher I Senior Director – Process Excellence, Thomson Reuters Corporation
(https://www.linkedin.com/in/dr-ramesh-babu-chellappan-0624848/)
As Natural Language Processing (NLP) technologies continue to advance, their a... |
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