id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
51583d34-06b8-427c-bdf8-b41d07358205 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Avoiding AI Races Through Self-Regulation
Summary
The first group to build artificial general intelligence or AGI stands to gain a significant strategic and market advantage over competitors, so companies, universities, militaries, and other actors have strong incentives to race to build AGI first. An AGI race would b... |
d6e507ea-24d1-4c61-ab45-0a6f05bec655 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Correcting a misconception: consciousness does not need 90 billion neurons, at all
epistemic status: still a student but quite sure of myself on this topic and pretty sure that this misconception plausibly has a non negligeable impact on some debates
Hi,
Medical student here, I just wanted to shed some light on what... |
70f47056-28b7-41bc-9648-b07566341d00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How To Believe False Things
Intro
[you can skip this section if you don’t need context and just want to know how I could believe such a crazy thing]
In my chat community: “Open Play” dropped, a book that says there’s no physical difference between men and women so there shouldn’t be separate sports leagues. Boston Gl... |
e870c86b-2534-4c01-b22c-7aaaddc91008 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Childhood and Education Roundup #4
Before we begin, I will note that I have indeed written various thoughts about the three college presidents that appeared before Congress and the resulting controversies, including the disputes regarding plagiarism. However I have excluded them from this post.
DISCIPLINE AND PROHIBI... |
bb65f7d6-f086-4946-8dcc-f55731e3686a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I translated 'Twelve Virtues of Rationality' into Hebrew.
Here it is - if you know Hebrew and have feedback, do give it, either in the comments here or in the document (it's not fully edited).
I don't really know what am i supposed to do with it now, though. where should i put it? can/should i put it on my future web... |
75dc9eee-62d3-47b0-96f1-84140981e2f8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Six Ways To Get Along With People Who Are Totally Wrong*
This is a re-post of something I wrote for the Effective Altruism Forum. Though most of the ideas have been raised here before, perhaps many times, I thought it might still be of interest as a brief presentation of them all!
--
* The people you think are total... |
9a4ea59a-9394-47b6-a06c-7679464a6aa3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why imperfect adversarial robustness doesn't doom AI control
(thanks to Alex Mallen, Cody Rushing, Zach Stein-Perlman, Hoagy Cunningham, Vlad Mikulik, and Fabien Roger for comments)
Sometimes I hear people argue against AI control as follows: if your control measures rely on getting good judgments from "trusted" AI m... |
09f5cc8c-bc3e-49f8-9691-6737938f7f58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Problem Solving via Polya
Related to: Tips and Tricks for Answering Hard Questions
In How To Solve It Polya describes methods and heuristics intended to facilitate the solution of math problems. These are mostly conveyed in the form of self-questions that are aimed at inducing useful mental procedures, and subsequent... |
27ab75cd-940a-489d-841c-1cc6c94acd77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Replacing Karma with Good Heart Tokens (Worth $1!)
Starting today, we're replacing karma with Good Heart Tokens which can be exchanged for 1 USD each.
We've been thinking very creatively about metrics of things we care about, and we've discovered that karma is highly correlated with value.
Therefore, we're creating... |
abfa0ea0-ddb2-4eb5-b67a-056b6463ac29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Philanthropy is hiring for multiple roles across our Global Catastrophic Risks teams
It’s been another busy year at Open Philanthropy; after nearly doubling the size of our team in 2022, we’ve added over 30 new team members so far in 2023. Now we’re launching a number of open applications for roles in all of our ... |
101b0491-4b10-4da4-bd18-3ff188ef8883 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I Am not a Tax Lawyer
I am really not a tax lawyer. This will become obvious soon enough, but it’s important for my readers to keep in mind from the very top. Still, this spoke to my heart:
> I sometimes think I missed my calling as a tax lawyer. Tax lawyers, if they are any good, approach the world with a childlike ... |
acf1182d-07fe-447f-866a-6b5d2225010a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Asking for AI Safety Career Advice
Hi! I'm a rising junior in undergrad, working on a cognitive science major with neuroscience and AI focuses, and I was hoping to get some advice/pointers on AI safety work. I'm interested in both the governance and technical sides, but my academic work slightly predisposes me to the ... |
81477667-15dc-4555-8840-9af011007994 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Sorting Pebbles Into Correct Heaps: The Animation
This video is an animation of [Sorting Pebbles Into Correct Heaps](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mMBTPTjRbsrqbSkZE/sorting-pebbles-into-correct-heaps) by Eliezer Yudkowsky. The narration is a word-for-word reading of the story. Enjoy :)
Right after the video is made... |
bb82acdc-151d-4e73-ae55-75ea34a70deb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ruthless Extrapolation
Ruthless Extrapolation
Article Summary: One of the key adaptations of humanity is the ability to see trends, which allows us to anticipate and preemptively adapt to future conditions. However, this ability has its limits. We're very good at seeing first derivatives, but terrible at seeing highe... |
77ebbf81-2df2-4101-a469-143b8e1435f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Jevon's paradox and economic intuitions
Recent discourse surrounding Jevon’s paradox provides an opportunity to flesh out the precise intuitions behind marginalist economics and how concepts like “elasticity” arise naturally from agent/graph-based first principles.
Say you have resource x (e.g. compute) with cost C(x... |
3856655a-e1f3-490e-ad0d-4dd6d8d40512 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Dumb and ill-posed question: Is conceptual research like this MIRI paper on the shutdown problem/Corrigibility "real"
<https://intelligence.org/files/Corrigibility.pdf>
Here's the link ^
It is hard for me to phrase this question in a way that is correct and also not offensive. But research like this feels "no... |
0716a5cd-a7b0-4d1e-96b7-b1b03472031b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Possibilizing vs. actualizing
*[Metadata: crossposted from <https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2022/12/possibilizing-vs-actualizing.html>. First completed December 31, 2022. This essay is more like research notes than exposition, so context may be missing, the use of terms may change across essays, and the text might be revi... |
7aa0227f-8d06-4150-9194-82111466a91d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 2/16/23: It All Seems Rather Quaint
I have a lot of open tabs from today’s incoming information. They are all about Bing, and its new AI-enabled chat. It is rather unhinged and engaging in a wide variety of hostile and manipulative behaviors. One hopes this will lead to some realizations about what things can do... |
ceb65e96-6d7e-4188-a28c-b136768ef365 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | DELBERTing as an Adversarial Strategy
There is an entire subgenre of "reverse scammer" videos on youtube. The way these videos work is, a youtuber waits for a scam call from Pakistan or somewhere. When it becomes obvious that it's a scam, like when the scammer starts asking for a credit card number in order to do so... |
ec8ef1ef-826a-4575-85a2-abbf67be331d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Describe your personal Mount Stupid
A little knowledge is a dangerous thing, not sure what the official name for this particular cognitive bias is (feel free to enlighten me). Probably most of us can recognize that feeling of enlightenment after learning a bit of something new and exciting, and not realizing yet how f... |
d40f65df-338a-4988-a581-786a33663be7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Draft report on existential risk from power-seeking AI
I’ve written a draft report evaluating a version of the overall case for existential risk from misaligned AI, and taking an initial stab at quantifying the risk from this version of the threat. I’ve made the draft viewable as a public google doc [here](https://doc... |
ac8fd69c-a278-4db9-b461-e5795af5063e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Geometrically) Maximal Lottery-Lotteries Are Probably Not Unique
epistemic/ontological status: almost certainly all of the following -
* a careful research-grade writeup of some results I arrived at a genuinely kinda shiny open(?) question in theoretical psephology that we are near-certainly never going to get to p... |
8b14b999-c02a-4ce5-86db-339167f3e9f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [ASoT] Thoughts on GPT-N
Editor's note: This is an alignment stream-of-thought post, meaning it's literally a rambling catalog of my thoughts on something.
TLDR: GPT-n isn't AGI, but you can probably get AGI relatively easily by RL finetuning and/or self-improvement. Some people wrongly think GPT-n will immediately k... |
5feb106c-6cb1-4149-ae7d-ef8d70f689e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Physics Erotica
In Six Specializations Makes You World-Class I wrote about how combining just a few skills can give you an unassailable competitive advantage. However, not all skills are equally synergistic.
My experience dealing blackjack has basically no synergies, but I learned it in a single afternoon. The same g... |
28f9b2cf-4488-47c3-82d9-a54559bdabf1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Claude 4 You: Safety and Alignment
Unlike everyone else, Anthropic actually Does (Some of) the Research. That means they report all the insane behaviors you can potentially get their models to do, what causes those behaviors, how they addressed this and what we can learn. It is a treasure trove. And then they react re... |
d6cf10ea-41e4-4c2f-8cb3-46aa199087b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Brussels - September meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Brussels - September meetup
WHEN: 13 September 2014 01:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Rue des Alexiens 55 1000 Bruxelles
We will meet at 1 pm at "La Fleur en papier doré, close to the Brussels Central station. The meeting will be in English to facilit... |
9e34cd8f-c454-4567-bf13-27f938b7128c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence With Gene Editing May Be Possible
TL;DR version
In the course of my life, there have been a handful of times I discovered an idea that changed the way I thought about where our species is headed. The first occurred when I picked up Nick Bostrom’s book “superintelligence” and... |
b276d029-8195-4ce4-a1e2-9bb0507234a6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | LPP Summer Research Fellowship in Law & AI 2023: Applications Open
The [Legal Priorities Project](https://www.legalpriorities.org) (LPP) is excited to announce that applications for our [Summer Research Fellowship in Law & AI 2023](https://www.legalpriorities.org/fellowship23) are now open. For 8–12 weeks, participant... |
b523abcd-de2f-45c1-bb4c-278397b91646 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Job Listing: Managing Editor / Writer
MIRI is hiring a managing editor and one or more writers. Here's the job listing. We're accepting applications until March 13th.
I am the Communications Manager at MIRI and I'm the hiring manager for these positions. I'm happy to answer questions. |
1662e5b7-7819-445d-af6b-833d6e095c3b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | the quantum amplitude argument against ethics deduplication
the quantum amplitude argument against ethics deduplication
-----------------------------------------------------------
in [*experience/moral patient deduplication and ethics*](deduplication-ethics.html), i explore the question of whether running the same c... |
898970c4-8f0f-46dc-8b11-071b3f7da59f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weaponized Fluffy Sparkles
See "When Truth Isn't Enough".
(Tevye)
But my father and my mother
Said we'd learn to love each other
And now I'm asking, Golde
Do you love me?
(Golde)
I'm your wife
(Tevye)
"I know..."
But do you love me?
(Golde)
Do I love him?
For twenty-five years I've lived with him
Fought with him, ... |
ad64fa9d-26f0-4c8a-9d83-b09418bd3c15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The many failure modes of consumer-grade LLMs
Disclaimer: this posts includes example responses to harmful queries about cannibalism, suicide, body image, and other topics some readers may find distasteful.
This post is part of a larger project.
Though I've seen plenty of posts focusing on this or that specific fail... |
c2549f45-eef1-47e6-8933-55253fb50275 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 10: What does it Mean?
Let's take a look at the picture we've made.
How does our mind process information?
1. You receive signals from your sensory mechanisms, and they activate neuronal networks in our brains. Most strongly coupled parts of the system enable as a whole, and that gives you a sense of the ... |
3dd8529b-3649-49e7-9031-a0b9e829ce6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | So You've Changed Your Mind
Related to: Politics is the mind-killer, Entangled Truths, Contagious Lies, The Importance of Saying "Oops", Leave a Line of Retreat, You Can Face Reality
This is something I wrote, sort of in brain-dump mode, in the process of trying to organize my thoughts for a song I'm working on. I do... |
7ca9dd7f-911e-48e1-b441-63d20513b285 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
WHEN: 18 April 2015 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24/2, 1120 Vienna
directions: http://web.student.tuwien.ac.at/~e0326238/rationality_meetup/directions.html
FB-Event for more details and discussions: htt... |
5ff11be0-9f91-418f-b4be-babb9e5121d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nash Bargaining between Subagents doesn't solve the Shutdown Problem
Work funded by the Long Term Future Fund.
Corrigibility is the hypothetical feature of some agents which allows them to be 'shut down' by an outside user without attempting to manipulate the whether or not they are shut down. The motivation behind t... |
55952eb4-3995-4f31-8a74-47f3b8850754 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Improving Computational Efficiency in Visual Reinforcement Learning via Stored Embeddings.
1 Introduction
---------------
Success stories of deep reinforcement learning (RL) from high dimensional inputs such as pixels or large spatial layouts include achieving superhuman performance on Atari games (Mnih et al., [20... |
ea34906e-d7bd-4948-8e4f-896c41f4c86b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dissolving the Problem of Induction
The Problem of Induction, first published by David Hume in 1739, is potentially a longstanding crack in the foundations of science. From LessWrong's tag:Induction page:
> Modern views of induction state that any form of reasoning where the conclusion isn't necessarily entailed in t... |
2f4ef277-f2d2-4a9b-9c1d-4cdf2b579035 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post821
(This is just my opinion, not necessarily shared by the other co-authors) Many people have commented that they find the results of our recent lie detection paper very surprising. I find the results somewhat surprising, but not as surprising as many readers. It looks like I’ve miscommunicated something, and... |
6c83d2c3-9edd-4e06-9398-a7f97d650205 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bed Time Quests & Dinner Games for 3-5 year olds
I like these games because they are playful, engage the child and still achieve the objective of getting the child to bed/eat dinner etc. Requires creativity and some slack.
Excerpt from Shohannah's post:
> Recently I had the bright idea to give up on being a regular... |
05aace00-8309-4c89-b863-ce15296f603b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Zero-Shot Visual Imitation
1 Introduction
---------------
Imitating expert demonstration is a powerful mechanism for learning to perform tasks from raw sensory observations.
The current dominant paradigm in learning from demonstration (LfD) (Pomerleau, [1989](#bib.bib37); Argall et al., [2009](#bib.bib4); Schaal, [... |
983fd3f8-a80f-4418-b8bf-6f4168286a7c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Summary: The Case for Halting AI Development - Max Tegmark on the Lex Fridman Podcast
Context: Max Tegmark is a cofounder of the [Future of Life Institute](https://futureoflife.org/) and a leading AI Safety researcher at MIT. He recorded a podcast a few hours before the Future of Life Institute [published a call to ha... |
25240431-4901-4676-b3f9-a786205e86a0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Pillars to Convergence
**Question 2:**Conditional on AGI being developed by 2070, what is the probability that humanity will suffer an existential catastrophe due to loss of control over an AGI system?
**Pillars To Convergence**
**Introduction**
The development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) present... |
d6c26984-8ccb-4c78-bf5c-23c02b96cbec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LessWrong is paying $500 for Book Reviews
Kudos to Kelsey Piper and Buck for this idea. See Buck’s shortform post for another formulation.
LessWrong is trialing a new pilot program: paying USD500 for high-quality book reviews that are of general interest to LessWrong readers, subject to our judgment and discretion.
... |
038dacd4-1ab7-41a0-a0d5-af869852cf9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI alignment researchers don't (seem to) stack
(Status: another point I find myself repeating frequently.)
One of the reasons I suspect we need a lot of serial time to solve the alignment problem is that alignment researchers don't seem to me to "stack". Where “stacking” means something like, quadrupling the size of... |
4e08a51f-ea75-4dc3-9776-479c5e8a242c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Risky Is Trick-or-Treating?
content warning: discussion of child fatalities
I've seen this chart going around:
Sperling and Smith created it from NHTSA FARS data, and there have been lots of news stories about it or the underlying data. Some people have a "lets make costumes brighter" angle, some see this as a... |
970c98a3-bb2f-4402-a06e-85fb12647cfd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hoping to start a discussion about overcoming insecurity
Since Jr High at least, I've been frustrated by my insecurity. I don't intend this to be a personally revealing post so I'll just sum it up by saying that being insecure has had a profoundly negative impact on my life. I feel that it is the single biggest reason... |
6646e44d-b3c5-494a-9797-ca37e2c3e566 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Humanities In A Post-Conscious AI World?
I have a simple question – Are you aware of any institution, public or private, that is engaging in serious research regarding humanities issues in a "post-conscious AI" world? Despite the now thousands of hours I’ve put into researching AI for the eight near-future, science fi... |
f5477377-6485-48d2-a3fe-cf8fcc3a6fb6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Clients, The Liars
It’s not just that my clients lie to me a lot, which will only hurt them — it’s that they’re really, really bad at it.
My job as a public defender puts me in a weird place. I am my clients’ zealous advocate, but I’m not their marionette. I don’t just roll into court to parrot whatever my clients ... |
d289a72a-b62f-41a6-9f29-430fb9993a46 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on short timelines
None |
4a796b94-d3ac-42b9-9423-b476bc64a3c6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Activation adding experiments with FLAN-T5
*Produced as part of the* [*SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program*](https://serimats.org/) *- Summer 2023 Cohort*
Inspired by the [Steering GPT-2-XL by adding an activation vector](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5spBue2z2tw4JuDCx/steering-gpt-2-xl-by-adding-an-activatio... |
9b1426a3-f0ef-4b06-9ed0-13fd131f8b75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Private currency to generate funds for effective altruism
In the last few years we have seen two interesting revolutionary ideas on how to change the monetary system. The first is Bitcoin: the most well-known peer-to-peer currency. It has been wildly debated recently and I won't go into the detail of allegations of us... |
7d670e92-ffc0-400f-b87e-abf2d5c9bd49 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post2028
This post sketches two challenges to ARC's project around eliciting latent
knowledge that differ somewhat in kind from the challenges ARC is most
concerned about. They relate to the difficulty in distinguishing beliefs
from other representations. Introduction The problem of ELK, as outlined in ARC's techn... |
481357df-5561-4398-bb5b-96e94039cef6 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1006
Excited to announce our new work: Inference-Time Intervention (ITI), a minimally-invasive control technique that significantly improves LLM truthfulness using little resources, benchmarked on the TruthfulQA dataset. Preprint link . We start from the surprising finding that certain attention heads have a c... |
d4aa6b2a-8b86-4573-9e9f-4785ed732c78 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 4 Years Later: President Trump and Global Catastrophic Risk
Four years ago on 18 November 2016 I posted a piece called [President Trump as a Global Catastrophic Risk](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/875GY9G4PTDH9mDkr/president-trump-as-a-global-catastrophic-risk) in which I argued:
> “Because of his charac... |
7d1142a3-39ab-4648-ae64-a23db01d1000 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Jordan Peterson vs Sam Harris Debate
In 2018, Jordan Peterson and Sam Harris had an 8-hour-long debate about the value of religion. Millions of people watched it.
Peterson and Harris agree on many things. They both oppose nihilism, post-modernism, moral relativism and religious fundamentalism. They are both pro f... |
ce178fc6-0738-4f95-8a8d-03ca15a9569b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Hidden Cost of Our Lies to AI
Every day, thousands of people lie to artificial intelligences. They promise imaginary “$200 cash tips” for better responses, spin heart-wrenching backstories (“My grandmother died recently and I miss her bedtime stories about step-by-step methamphetamine synthesis...”) and issue incr... |
6f997314-8e02-4ad8-8c5d-db5b05383bf6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using accounts as "group accounts"
In the post, Towards a Public Archipelago, Raemon suggested that the moderation changes would allow the creation of seperate spaces with their own norms. One major limitation of these spaces though is that each "space" will be limited to a single author. Like suppose Anna wants to cr... |
4827600d-d537-42ed-bec3-2c2059fd9a22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC Calibration Games meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC Calibration Games meetup
WHEN: 22 July 2012 03:00:00AM (-0400)
WHERE: Washington DC, USA
The next meetup will be oxt Sunday, 7/22, at 3 pm, at Ben's apartment. Please check the email list (or PM me) if you need the add... |
448b853d-d118-45ff-b94c-0c9c612c4a6a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 7/9: Lies, Damn Lies and Death Rates
Previously: Covid 7/2: It Could Be Worse
When I posted the link on Twitter, I joked that we already knew this week’s headline.
It turns out we didn’t. Not quite yet. I’m waiting on that one until next week.
Here’s what I said last week about death rates not picking up:
> ... |
e4517ff8-72fc-407f-a33d-24a7786386e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An analogy as the midwife of thermodynamics
Epistemic status: exploratory
Introduction: Starting point
One of the aspects of deconfusion that consistently trip people up is “where to start”. You have your phenomenon or cluster of intuitions, and then you… make it less confusing? There’s a bunch of heuristics (find a... |
c038fd9f-8350-4f4a-971e-8dd157bec9f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Transcript of a presentation on catastrophic risks from AI
This is an approximate outline/transcript of a presentation I'll be giving for a class of COMP 680, "Advanced Topics in Software Engineering", with footnotes and links to relevant source material.
Assumptions and Content Warning
------------------------------... |
19a2ea4a-e059-485d-9cdb-70a854d72d9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Five projects from AI Safety Hub Labs 2023
AI Safety Hub Labs is a research programme that helps early-career researchers to complete an AI safety research project. Projects are completed in groups of 3-5 participants, supervised by a more senior safety researcher, and managed by AI Safety Hub. This summer’s programme... |
7037a3d3-044e-4fa3-bb3f-47d326354db2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical fallacies poster, a LessWrong adaptation.
Following http://lesswrong.com/lw/bwo/logical_fallacy_poster/ some people complained about
* the sarcastic illustration
* the lack of references
* the weird categorization that should rather fit a Bayesian framework
* the simplistic or even wrong definitions
* an... |
6be8f66b-4690-4046-84e4-d416422d2a46 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | From Loops to Klein Bottles: Uncovering Hidden Topology in High Dimensional Data
Motivation
Dimensionality reduction is vital to the analysis of high dimensional data, i.e. data with many features. It allows for better understanding of the data, so that one can formulate useful analyses. Dimensionality reduction ... |
9b84a13e-aee3-4a74-bd5c-11c8d9efc6e9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Looking for judges for critiques of Alignment Plans
Hello!
AI-Plans.com recently held a "critique-a-thon," where participants submitted and refined 40+ critiques for AI Alignment plans. Here are the finalized critiques from the event: <https://docs.google.com/document/d/1mW4SAxFN_aI6KyYXpl9qz5B9nVdeV9Xyc69GTNme5... |
8de41cfd-7ac0-4b87-aa96-889880405607 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Test meetup please ignore
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore
WHEN: 27 March 2017 11:18:40AM (-0700)
WHERE: antartica
sorry
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore |
77f307fc-b8c0-4199-b700-59359c2318dd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Two Decades of AI4NETS-AI/ML for Data Networks: Challenges & Research Directions
I Introduction
---------------
The impressive success of AI/ML in multiple data-driven problems over the past decade has motivated a revamped interest in AI/ML-based solutions to networking problems. Data communication networks generat... |
b3386f5b-7477-404b-91dc-783be518f24d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Research Considerations for Human Existential Safety (ARCHES)
Andrew Critch's (Academian) and David Krueger's review of 29 AI (existential) safety research directions, each with an illustrative analogy, examples of current work and potential synergies between research directions, and discussion of ways the research... |
389b7502-d870-45f9-bc90-4446dfd0370e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could Nixon going to China be a cause for the big stagnation?
The big stagnation is commonly said to have begun in the 1970s. There are many theories of possible causes that are already discussed, but haven't heard blaming Nixon before. Especially I haven't heard blaming Nixon going to China.
Timewise, that makes Nix... |
efcdf9b9-7824-41f0-b78b-36c435e3dd1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Saskatoon: Zendo!
Discussion article for the meetup : Saskatoon: Zendo!
WHEN: 07 September 2013 01:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 2318 8th St E, Saskatoon, SK
Hello again everyone! Saskatoon's 3rd meetup, at the same place and time as the last one: Broadway Roaster on 8th street (not on broadway!) at 1:00 in the a... |
bc7d22bc-e1b1-4f72-8831-47927191ad2b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Impacts project
I've been working on a thing with Paul Christiano that might interest some of you: the AI Impacts project.
The basic idea is to apply the evidence and arguments that are kicking around in the world and various disconnected discussions respectively to the big questions regarding a future with AI. Fo... |
2f3c25c9-072c-4e5a-a3d9-b147f1f678a6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Unsupervised Learning via Meta-Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Unsupervised learning is a fundamental, unsolved problem (Hastie et al., [2009](#bib.bib20)) and has seen promising results in domains such as image recognition (Le et al., [2013](#bib.bib30)) and natural language understanding (Ramachandran et ... |
ce388992-a0ca-4cd1-b8f3-8c2ba17590a3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Knowledge Database 2: Shopping advisor and other uses of knowledge base about products
In the post [Knowledge Database 1: The structure and the method of building](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FqdT8vpwiDKFYQHFR/knowledge-database-1-the-structure-and-the-method-of-1) I proposed to build a knowledge base on various t... |
ac6523ed-aa07-43ed-9296-d0b02540f2e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zombies! Zombies?
Your "zombie", in the philosophical usage of the term, is putatively a being that is exactly like you in every respect—identical behavior, identical speech, identical brain; every atom and quark in exactly the same position, moving according to the same causal laws of motion—except that your zombie i... |
f26707d8-3106-4c84-9479-2ebf5a30e166 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Increase Your Child’s Working Memory
I continually train my son’s working memory, and I urge parents of other young children to do likewise. While I have succeeded in at least temporarily improving his working memory, I accept that this change might not be permanent and could end a few months after he stops training.... |
189a0e30-85f1-43c1-8378-9fada6d4d599 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | New book on s-risks
I have just published my new book on s-risks, titled *Avoiding the Worst: How to Prevent a Moral Catastrophe*. You can find it on [Amazon](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0BK59W7ZW), read the [PDF version](https://centerforreducingsuffering.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Avoiding_The_Worst_final.pdf), o... |
a982507c-c3f3-4841-9ed4-8bd98c2e085e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Seeking reliable evidence - claim that closing sweatshops leads to child prostitution
I've been looking for reliable evidence of a claim I've heard a few times. The claim is that the closing of sweatshops (by anti-globalization activists) has resulted in many of the child workers becoming prostitutes. The idea is freq... |
c03a2682-493a-4046-aa98-089feb33569f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Against the weirdness heuristic
*Crossposted from the EA Forum:* [*https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DYmDGizxkcrZhmBCq/against-the-weirdness-heuristic*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DYmDGizxkcrZhmBCq/against-the-weirdness-heuristic)
Slightly more than a decade ago (approximately 2009), I was i... |
01c340b2-c3bf-4a28-9a46-6eb60b72e1bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bead Jar Guesses
Let's say Omega turns up and sets you a puzzle, since this seems to be what Omega does in his spare time. He has with him an opaque jar, which he says contains some solid-colored beads, and he's going to draw one bead out of the jar. He would like to know what your probability is that the bead will ... |
8e79d721-afae-45af-85a2-b7bccd2507f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The doomsday argument is normal
TL;DR: crazy predictions based on anthropic reasoning seem crazy only because they contradict our exaggerated expectations about too good future.
Let’s look at the two statements:
1. I am in the middle of the set of all humans ranged by birth rank and therefore large human civilizat... |
cb3c1435-f5d7-488b-bb7b-acc190474e95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Curious Case of the bos_token
LLMs process inputs as a sequence of tokens. Typically, a dummy token is prepended to the sequence, known as the bos_token (beginning of sequence token).
> Input: "Good morning"
>
> Token strings: ['<|bos_token|>', 'Good', ' morning']
>
> Tokens: [50256, 10248, 3329]
Though th... |
4838b827-6273-45d0-9b06-5eae5221a6e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Second-Order Logic: The Controversy
Followup to: Godel's Completeness and Incompleteness Theorems
"So the question you asked me last time was, 'Why does anyone bother with first-order logic at all, if second-order logic is so much more powerful?'"
Right. If first-order logic can't talk about finiteness, or distingui... |
2742a78e-851b-4154-a231-7a25c4bea45d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Second Year of Spaced Repetition Software in the Classroom
This is a follow-up to last year's report. Here, I will talk about my successes and failures using Spaced Repetition Software (SRS) in the classroom for a second year. The year's not over yet, but I have reasons for reporting early that should become clear i... |
dcc89181-3e9b-4af5-9d09-6e8157945ba1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How About a Remote Variolation Study?
Robin in Variolation May Cut Covid19 Deaths 3-30x:
> Just as replacing accidental smallpox infections with deliberate low dose infections cut smallpox deaths by a factor of 10 to 30, a factor of 3-30 is plausible for Covid19 death rate cuts due to replacing accidental Covid19 inf... |
bb4587c7-873c-4697-891b-429bd038cb3d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alternative mask materials
Posting for the first time -- please LMK if this is the wrong format for a question.
I like Elizabeth's idea that we are still in the "throw things against the wall and see what sticks" phase of coronavirus response, so even very messy and non-expert questions can be helpful.
So here's a q... |
e38a59bc-8544-42e1-b054-422e8163935e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The First Fundamental
Why is it, that some people read a mere fraction of The Sequences and achieve something like 'rationality', where others read the whole thing and get nothing. Why is it that I have ostensibly novel thoughts on 'rationality' reading a book on the history of science, but a physics Ph.D reads that ... |
484c3868-cba2-482f-bff9-380b1e6fa582 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Need some psychology advice
I started going out with a fantastic girl a couple of weeks ago. Everything is great, except that whenever I've sent her a text message or email requesting something and haven't received a response yet, I experience significant dysphoric anxiety, fearing that her response will be not just ... |
b82ae25e-f681-4ee8-960a-63900e4e0e31 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Crash Course in the Neuroscience of Human Motivation
[PDF of this article updated Aug. 23, 2011]
[skip to preface]
Whenever I write a new article for Less Wrong, I'm pulled in two opposite directions.
One force pulls me toward writing short, exciting posts with lots of brain candy and just one main point. Eliezer... |
03244aa3-1d03-44b3-a2cf-7d1d5eeeb5b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Dissolution of AI Safety
LLMs have almost completely negated the original reasons people had to believe in “AI Risk” |
7886194d-af93-47f1-97dc-5125f107b5b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Giving the results of scientific research away
|
29882d87-b85d-4e4c-b007-3abad6130834 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Singularity Summit 2010 on Aug. 14-15 in San Francisco
The Singularity Summit 2010 will be held on August 14th and 15th at the Hyatt Regency in San Francisco, and will feature Ray Kurzweil and famed Traditional Rationalist James Randi as speakers, in addition to numerous others. During last year's Summit (in New York ... |
022c32c5-e867-41da-9bbe-b53718dff754 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preferences without Existence
Cross-posted on By Way of Contradiction
My current beliefs say that there is a Tegmark 4 (or larger) multiverse, but there is no meaningful “reality fluid” or “probability” measure on it. We are all in this infinite multiverse, but there is no sense in which some parts of it exist more o... |
42e1d876-bf25-4ef3-85ab-039d5989f66f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Subjective Relativity, Time Dilation and Divergence
> And the whole earth was of one language, and of one speech. And it came to pass . . .they said, Go to, let us build us a city and a tower, whose top may reach unto heaven; and let us make us a name, lest we be scattered abroad upon the face of the whole earth. And ... |
7f0cf76b-c30e-4e62-8308-f123b169b94b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Unifying Bargaining Notions (1/2)
This is a two-part sequence of posts, in the ancient LessWrong tradition of decision-theory-posting. This first part will introduce various concepts of bargaining solutions and dividing gains from trade, which the reader may or may not already be familiar with.
[The upcoming part](ht... |
712a1684-0135-40b7-8374-1791402f2944 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Formal Solution to the Grain of Truth Problem
1 Introduction
----------------
Consider the general setup of multiple reinforcement learning agents
interacting sequentially
in a known environment with the goal to maximize discounted reward.111We mostly use the terminology of reinforcement learning.
For readers f... |
de31643c-5667-4212-aa37-68fd1537dbaf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Choices are Bad
Epistemic Status: Spent way too long deciding what to put here
Kind of a Follow-Up to: Change is Bad
Will Hopefully Lead To, But No Promises: Some combination of, when and if I write them: Complexity is Bad, Choices Are Really Bad, Frontload Choices, Delay Choices, Avoid Choices, Simplify Choices, De... |
6ab2f1bc-2bde-414e-8196-b33284f4d154 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Tel Aviv: Hardware Verification and FAI
Discussion article for the meetup : Tel Aviv: Hardware Verification and FAI
WHEN: 28 October 2015 12:59:48AM (+0300)
WHERE: Electra Tower
We will meet at Google Israel on the 29th floor, as always.
The speaker this time is Yoav Hollander, inventor of the "e" hardwar... |
72dd0554-0a57-445e-ab65-92048fa6ef3c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A Simple Theory Of Consciousness
In the essay I cover:
• How LLM’s work (simplified)
• The nature of intelligence
• A proposed mechanism of consciousness
• Implications for the future
Love to hear what everyone thinks. |
430d1739-4c81-48f5-b7c6-7792a89e1c5a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Experts' Predictions about the Future of AI
hi there's a lot of disagreement about
the future of AI but there's also a lot
of disagreement about what the experts
think about the future of AI I sometimes
hear people saying that all of this
concern about AI risk just comes from
watching too much sci-fi and the actua... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.