id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
439d33eb-0320-4bf4-9c6b-4dc9b7b2d484 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Support vs Advice & Holding Off Solutions
What I'm calling support vs advice is a fairly standard division. Both kinds of discussion start with one person talking about something that bothers them. In a support conversation, they're looking for empathy, and the other person shows that they care by listening, showing t... |
781c9b91-1ad7-4fae-9e2e-006d276b0470 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mini map of s-risks
S-risks are risks of future global infinite sufferings. Foundational research institute suggested them as the most serious class of existential risks, even more serious than painless human extinction. So it is time to explore types of s-risks and what to do about them.
Possible causes and types o... |
280476cf-27b1-4f29-bf7c-4eb18ac32d37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group Rationality Diary, November 16-30
This is the public group rationality diary for November 16-30.
> It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like:
>
> * Established a useful new habit
> * Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about some belief
> ... |
a225f14b-9d16-4942-8271-b3a3a328f1d2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The case for stopping AI safety research
TLDR: AI systems are failing in obvious and manageable ways for now. Fixing them will push the failure modes beyond our ability to understand and anticipate, let alone fix. The AI safety community is also doing a huge economic service to developers. Our belief that our minds ca... |
0173808a-b4df-42c1-8586-ff35d8187403 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On viewquakes
In February, I read Einstein by Walter Isaacson and had my world absolutely rocked as I learned about Special and General Relativity. No concept of absolute time? Space and time are linked? Clocks slow down in motion? Gravity is just curved space-time? I saw the world in a whole new way.
That experience... |
576a20b9-7aff-4cba-9b38-c345d59c7b6c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are we a different person each time? A simple argument for the impermanence of our identity
It is generally assumed we are the same person throughout our lives. Moreover, there is a study that asserts the continuity of self remains stable throughout our lifetimes. Nonetheless, a simple argument, which I'm going to pre... |
9f9fdce3-81e4-4ba7-8fae-b8576315a4c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vote on worthwhile OpenAI topics to discuss
I (Ben) recently made a poll for voting on interesting disagreements to be discussed on LessWrong. It generated a lot of good topic suggestions and data about what questions folks cared about and disagreed on.
So, Jacob and I figured we'd try applying the same format to he... |
a4bb2b96-3cf7-4800-94ff-a0451dafc2e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Newsletter #21
Highlights
80K podcast with Katja Grace (Katja Grace and Rob Wiblin): Rob Wiblin interviewed Katja Grace of AI Impacts about her work predicting the future of AI. My main takeaway was that there are many important questions in this space that almost no one is trying to answer, and that we hav... |
b2e9eedc-08dc-4b03-bf9e-5c33e0b05cfc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflections on ML4Good
ML4Good runs intensive in-person bootcamps intended to inspire and technically upskill AI safety hopefuls. The bootcamps are held globally, from the UK, France, and Germany, to as far as Brazil. There are aspirations to reach many more corners of the world, like India, the US, and the Philippine... |
2e674ca2-4f9f-4ef9-9fd4-3a4093fed872 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes March 2014
Another month has passed and here is a new rationality quotes thread. The usual rules are:
* Please post all quotes separately, so that they can be upvoted or downvoted separately. (If they are strongly related, reply to your own comments. If strongly ordered, then go ahead and post the... |
22e6b82b-c1d0-4e9c-a9a1-36dd8025af00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Second Life creators to attempt to create AI
http://nwn.blogs.com/nwn/2010/02/philip-rosedale-ai.html
http://www.lovemachineinc.com/
Should I feel bad for hoping they'll fail? I do not want to see the sort of unFriendly AI would be created after being raised on social interactions with pedophiles, Gorians, and furri... |
be181e24-0a6b-4cb2-90d8-c2e2ad78483c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Ray Kurzweil and Uploading: Just Say No!", Nick Agar
A new paper has gone up in the November 2011 JET: "Ray Kurzweil and Uploading: Just Say No!" (videos) by Nick Agar (Wikipedia); abstract:
> There is a debate about the possibility of mind-uploading – a process that purportedly transfers human minds and therefore h... |
2a318136-fe49-4ed1-923f-4d578a043539 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Global Reinforcement Learning (RL) a Fantasy?
In general, the idea of ensuring AI safety is great (I do a lot of work on that myself), but I have a problem with people asking for donations so they can battle nonexistent threats from AI.
Many people are selling horror stories about the terrible things that could ha... |
c6d3ab8c-6b0a-4527-9c7f-03e85be7a7ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Griffin Island
The park near our house has an interesting sign:
A parent put it up, labeling the area you're able to explore from this point without crossing any streets. It's the large red area on my child walksheds map.
The name has caught on well, and it's very useful to be able to refer to this block!
Yest... |
310b39cb-3672-4388-bfba-86913d7527a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ten counter-arguments that AI is (not) an existential risk (for now)
This is a polemic to the ten arguments post. I'm not a regular LW poster, but I'm an AI researcher and mild-AI-worrier.
I believe that AI progress, and the risks associated with it, is one of the most important things to figure out as humanity in th... |
2dbc6ac9-d77d-402e-a341-5b8f4ea11159 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We're all in this together
There's one thing history seems to have been trying to teach us: that the contents of the future are determined by power, economics, politics, and other conflict-theoritic matters.
Turns out, nope!
Almost all of what the future contains is determined by which of the two following engineeri... |
7812a2e3-5010-42ad-8c99-b6255b3f0366 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fighting without hope
> We've given up hope, but not the fight. -- Nate Soares, probably
1
Many people I know are working on projects that they believe have a low (or very low) probability of being helpful. Even when they think diving into their work is the “right move” or “best option”, they find it hard to stay m... |
15e5e4bc-2060-4e53-a90d-36bf159e00c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (10 - 16 Oct 22')
Supported by Rethink Priorities
This is part of a weekly series - you can see the full collection here. The first post includes some details on purpose and methodology.
If you'd like to receive these summaries via email, you can subscribe here.
Podcast version: prefer... |
d6601de5-bfa5-4a51-8b20-a071fcaeabb2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Corrigibility as outside view
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; d... |
56a2c552-68a9-4120-94de-0e0ef0e57003 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What hard science fiction stories also got the social sciences right?
Robin Hanson says that those stories are rare.
> Most discussion of the non-immediate future seems to take place in science fiction, and the small subset of science fiction where authors try hard to remain realistic is called hard science fiction. ... |
5b4cc91c-2d47-4308-825a-0d4540f333d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Non-communicable Evidence
In this video, Douglas Crockford (JavaScript MASTER) says:
> So I think programming would not be possible without System I; without the gut. Now, I have absolutely no evidence to support that statement, but my gut tells me it's true, so I believe it.
1
I don't think he has "absolutely n... |
c0e1dc1d-e574-46f8-9d17-228522ad6d8b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Safe exploration and corrigibility
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: no... |
87ab2e88-5fc2-4a60-862a-b1f7423e4e84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some conceptual highlights from “Disjunctive Scenarios of Catastrophic AI Risk”
My forthcoming paper, “Disjunctive Scenarios of Catastrophic AI Risk”, attempts to introduce a number of considerations to the analysis of potential risks from Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). As the paper is long and occasionally ma... |
59eb5ed1-6a7b-4891-aa37-baf3de84ba75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anti-tribalism and positive mental health as high-value cause areas
I think that tribalism is one of the biggest problems with humanity today, and that even small reductions of it could cause a massive boost to well-being.
By tribalism, I basically mean the phenomenon where arguments and actions are primarily evaluat... |
6b3719d6-d0bc-470e-af97-5cf574ae779c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A circuit for Python docstrings in a 4-layer attention-only transformer
*Produced as part of the* [*SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program*](https://serimats.org/) *under the supervision of Neel Nanda - Winter 2022 Cohort.*
TL;DR: We found a circuit in a pre-trained 4-layer attention-only transformer language mode... |
35294970-443d-4863-9666-ffd9d82de2e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Example of poor decision making under pressure (from game show)
http://www.break.com/index/chick-loses-a-fortune-over-dumbest-question-ever-2261920
This is from a UK game show. The aim is to put the pile of money on the right answer, or if you're unsure you split it between multiple answers. Whatever money was on the... |
2b78fa1d-078b-480f-af8f-266f99bb0dcc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The benefits of madness: A positive account of arationality
This post originated in a comment I posted about a strange and unpleasant experience I had when pushing myself too hard mentally. People seemed interested in hearing about it, so I sat down to write. In the process, however, it became something rather diffe... |
9606768c-fdd3-4aef-9fe6-f210e7f5147b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Protocol for Optimizing Affection
If Eliezer's art of solving confusing questions is the basic punch of rationality, and fighting akrasia and becoming personally effective is the basic front kick, I would like to master the loving hug. Here is a simple protocol to help us build stronger relationships and stronger co... |
e97e4d5e-7815-4d71-a6a5-9ae4d3190a8b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Moral Copernican Principle
You ever see people arguing about whether some facet of another culture is good or bad, when suddenly one of them declares the moral high ground *can't exist* because obviously moral relativity is true? Well that line of reasoning is nonsense, but I don't think people know how to respond... |
e349cbd4-8539-4c64-91ea-a19601e0a8a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nonprofit to retain control of OpenAI
The OpenAI Board has an updated plan for evolving OpenAI’s structure.
* OpenAI was founded as a nonprofit, and is today overseen and controlled by that nonprofit. Going forward, it will continue to be overseen and controlled by that nonprofit.
* Our for-profit LLC, which has be... |
78e92c31-86e8-4161-b2b3-076a6b3be805 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Core Concept Conversations
There are various important, conceptual things that I just don't really understand. For example, creating wealth. What exactly does that mean? I read Paul Graham's essay on the topic but my understanding is nonetheless shaky and shallow. And I am confident that I'm not alone.
On the surface... |
bfa56c45-1e5e-4233-b59d-dea052ad4597 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Roll for Sanity
[This is very much a personal-diary type post, but it ends up touching on predictive processing and other aspects of how our brains work. Feels related to Choosing the Zero Point. Cross-posted from Grand, Unified, Crazy.]
I. Looking for Trouble
In the card game Munchkin, there is a mechanic called “L... |
61753446-bd0d-4f0c-8305-98041294fa5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Value Subagents?
Among rationalist thinkers the subagent theory of psyche is popular: CFAR teaches a version of internal family systems (IFS), Max Harms writes AI fiction from the point of view of a subagent, Brienne describes herself as metaphorically made up of multiple people, Alicorn seems to have been the fi... |
1f0e7bf7-921a-470f-84b4-97dc41a78e79 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Oracles, sequence predictors, and self-confirming predictions
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; whi... |
1502e41c-5265-4561-87a8-b3b6a28ecd33 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Agents that act for reasons: a thought experiment
Posted also on the EA Forum.
In Free agents I’ve given various ideas about how to design an AI that reasons like an independent thinker and reaches moral conclusions by doing so. Here I’d like to add another related idea, in the form of a short story / thought experim... |
7fb574e0-3b92-4318-831c-ea986d7bcda8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Tree of Worlds (Solstice speech)
> O Tannenbaum, O Tannenbaum
> How faithfully you blossom
> Through summer's heat and winter's chill
> Your leaves are green and blooming still
> O Tannenbaum, O Tannenbaum
> How faithfully you blossom...
I like this song because it's perfectly traditional and also perfectly secul... |
b7d68291-d1cf-4f3f-bffb-b19c660193fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Less Wrong Community Weekend 2022, open for application!
Less Wrong Community Weekend 2022, open for application!
----------------------------------------
When: Friday 26th August - Monday 29th August 2022
Where: jh-wannsee.de (Berlin)
The tickets:
Regular ticket: 150€
Supporter ticket: 200/300/400€
Angel ticke... |
1b906e01-29d8-4ffa-a5db-e6b48f5457f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | “AI Risk Discussions” website: Exploring interviews from 97 AI Researchers
Tldr: Check out the new AI Risk Discussions website! It contains 83 transcripts of AI researcher interviews, and a quantitative analysis (full report) of these interviews. We also built an interactive walkthrough of perspectives and arguments. ... |
62295f18-78f2-4342-b65e-d9ab78602cfd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Contra Common Knowledge
*This post assumes some background knowledge about "common knowledge", a technical term in philosophy. See* [*the tag page*](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/common-knowledge) *for an introduction and a list of LessWrong essays on the subject.*
*Epistemic effort: basically reading the* [*SEP arti... |
16433e07-8e0a-4f50-bb2d-d5d0643d8fc2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are there ways to artificially fix laziness?
Recently, I have been doing a particularly challenging task. It felt quite painful because I had to continuously fight the urge to stop doing whatever I was doing and watch some brainrot content. After finishing that task, I thought to myself: Why am I feeling lazy?
My be... |
441caab1-62fb-4503-ab23-cc5b3a1848c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Test post
So, apparently I can just make blog posts, and they don't show up anywhere but my user page. Cool.
edit 2024-12-21: gonna use this to exercise every lw element type, to test my post copy-to-clipboard button. Horizontal divider:
----------------------------------------
latex fraction:
ab
table:
a1b1c1a2b... |
8c0d4dd4-e681-4a44-86f0-7d96e3ce1dff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting Newsletter: September 2021.
Highlights
* Facebook's Forecast folds
* Hedgehog Markets now operational
* Polygon and Augur announce a $1M liquidity rewards program
Index
* Prediction Markets & Forecasting Platforms
* Blog Posts
* Long Content
* In The News
Sign up here or browse past newsletters h... |
18787c19-38d2-4e93-b943-3769bb77f14d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cracks in the Wall, Part I: The Conscious
I.
Imagine a genie appears before you and makes you a simple offer: you can ask him any question you want, and he'll answer it. No tricks - genie society has seen sweeping reforms and made great moral progress, and the days of the malicious trickster genies have been left lon... |
7e394577-0cec-44ea-8ed4-c07bc5e4915d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Faith and theory
Faith
Faith is often described as belief without evidence. The famous definition in Hebrews, in its best-known form, is close to that:
"Now faith is the substance of things hoped for, the evidence of things not seen." - Hebrews 11:1 (King James Version), often attributed to St. Paul
This is the wa... |
f73e12ae-1397-48b6-a1d8-edf39c1c9db8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What will GPT-2030 look like?
GPT-4 surprised many people with its abilities at coding, creative brainstorming, letter-writing, and other skills. Surprises in machine learning are not restricted to GPT-4: I was previously surprised by Minerva’s mathematical abilities, as were many competitive forecasters.
How can we ... |
ec85ee95-b1a6-4920-9dc0-a2197c588fce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bug Hunt 3
This is part 21 of 30 in the Hammertime Sequence. Click here for the intro.
I took a long break from Hammertime to check the fundamental question: am I actually better at achieving my values now?
The answer is a solid yes. Problems that used to live in the category of “not within my capabilities” disinteg... |
3e143394-c8ab-49dc-912b-76dacf44b96c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Algorithms for Inverse Reinforcement Learning
! "#$% & !' )(* !+,
-#.0/21235476)8:9;< =?>?@A'BDCFEHGJILKNM ILO7IQPREHILS?TUV"W XY3ZV\[]W ^_^"4Q`a` KJT?C_C"ILObOLA'BDCFEHGJIcKNM2ILO7IQPREHILS?TdRebfhgLiYjlk"m!nYopqk-rJokts&pHuQpwvxpqeFryLz{|d&{J}Rk"ml~b... |
8c5d534e-58a6-4db5-9815-5ab7d404d34c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Quantilizer ≡ Optimizer with a Bounded Amount of Output
*(Crossposted from* [*my blog*](https://itaibn.wordpress.com/2021/11/16/quantilizer-%e2%89%a1-optimizer-with-a-bounded-amount-of-output/)*)*
[In 2015](https://intelligence.org/2015/11/29/new-paper-quantilizers/) MIRI proposed *quantilizers* as a decision theory ... |
b52679f2-c065-428e-a9da-a17f8f376b21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Accounting for Foregone Pay
While the effective altruism movement started out with a strong focus on donations, over time it has shifted more towards careers. If you're trying to understand how levels of commitment have changed over time, or you're just trying to get a ballpark estimate of the financial opportunity co... |
7b0c494a-5c37-4f81-adec-d8c4aafa00b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ELI12: how do libertarians want wages to work?
[ETA: apparently my actual question got completely lost in translation. Thanks to the people who tried to answer. I think it has something to do with having said "libertarians" when my question isn't really about libertarianism.]
[Disclaimer: this post was written hastil... |
19b71acf-4595-4c36-aa0f-a90c9c0b66ed | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Do EA folks think that a path to zero AGI development is feasible or worthwhile for safety from AI?
Thanks to everyone who responded to my last two questions on AGI, this should be my last on the topic.
I wonder if:
* EA folks (working on AI risks) propose pathways for zero AGI development worldwide
* EA folks rejec... |
6dcda3d1-923e-4b1a-914e-0b3c9bc32972 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality is Systematized Winning
Followup to: Newcomb's Problem and Regret of Rationality
"Rationalists should win," I said, and I may have to stop saying it, for it seems to convey something other than what I meant by it.
Where did the phrase come from originally? From considering such cases as Newcomb's Probl... |
26e42594-84a5-4061-bcc6-bbb802762f90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prompts for eliciting blind spots/bucket errors/bugs
This post is to make publicly available a few prompts/questions I came up with aiming to uncover blind spots around identity/self-concepts.
* Select a trait X that you believe you have, and where you like that you have it (e.g. rational, kind, patient...)
* Try t... |
7da9d52b-b983-46b3-820e-13f4e13d7972 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Finding Leverage: System Thinking & Change Management
Change Management is an enormous field. Both academically and in terms of industry, the study and practice of transformation within organisations is vast. Many schools of thought exist as to why transformations succeed or fail. Academics unpack the data and devise ... |
91efc320-a74f-47ca-9239-a50ac5a1673b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Indexing Problem
Meta: this project is wrapping up for now. This is the first of probably several posts dumping my thought-state as of this week.
Suppose we have a simple causal model of a system:
We hire someone to study the system, and eventually they come back with some data: “X=2”, they tell us. Apparently... |
d426f4e3-805b-474c-9f55-9865490ceead | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on the Mathematics of LLM Architectures
> From a mathematical point of view, the building and training of a large transformer
> language model (LLM) is the construction of a certain function, from some euclidean space to another, that has certain interesting properties. And it may therefore be surprising to find... |
2102a938-c352-4d4c-b8a8-a67d42f07010 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 2
Discussion article for the meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 2
WHEN: 23 February 2015 06:30:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 185 Stevens Way,Seattle, Washington 98195
Location is the UW CSE building, room 503. Facebook event: https://www.facebook.com/even... |
059f9bf5-121f-478c-853b-2cd149fde4c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cyborgism
Thanks to Garrett Baker, David Udell, Alex Gray, Paul Colognese, Akash Wasil, Jacques Thibodeau, Michael Ivanitskiy, Zach Stein-Perlman, and Anish Upadhayay for feedback on drafts, as well as Scott Viteri for our valuable conversations.
Various people at Conjecture helped develop the ideas behind this post,... |
d7977ffa-09e9-4a8f-b65b-f68a62137187 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | “Clean” vs. “messy” goal-directedness (Section 2.2.3 of “Scheming AIs”)
This is Section 2.2.3 of my report “Scheming AIs: Will AIs fake alignment during training in order to get power?”. There’s also a summary of the full report here (audio here). The summary covers most of the main points and technical terms, and I’m... |
01280291-81c1-4048-9b65-0415b25c3ff4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Being against involuntary death and being open to change are compatible
In a new post, Nostalgebraist argues that "AI doomerism has its roots in anti-deathist transhumanism", representing a break from the normal human expectation of mortality and generational change.
They argue that traditionally, each generation ha... |
caa228c7-f532-4955-b6ad-5b56e5df4780 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group Rationality Diary, March 1-15
This is the public group instrumental rationality diary for March 1-15.
> It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like:
>
> * Established a useful new habit
> * Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about some beli... |
77cec653-7ded-4a76-b518-018d0a7e697f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Return to New York City
This past week, I had my first opportunity in a year to visit New York City, to get my vaccine shot, to look at potential apartments and also to finally visit the city. This is my report of the trip.
I Love New York
This city is my home, and I will fight to defend it. It is the best place.
... |
ff273477-d7b7-4534-943d-177dd2c3e59d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Decision theory research at FRI | Johannes Treutlein & Caspar Oesterheld | EAGxBerlin 2017
good morning everybody welcome to the
second day of the conference and I see
you early in the morning - this is not
so easy presentation and let me
introduce our two speakers so Johannes
and Caspar work both at the foundational
... |
30ec0351-b805-4ac5-9206-c697b5dae38d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | on neodymium magnets
Neodymium magnets are the main type used in modern motors. Why are they good? Are there any good alternatives?
review of ferromagnetism
Magnetic fields contain energy. In an inductor, that energy comes from an increase in voltage when current is first applied. When a magnetic core is added to an... |
68a6dbfc-a247-4ee5-bdf3-6c1c561798c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | New paper: Corrigibility with Utility Preservation
I am pleased to announce the availability of a long-format paper with new results on AGI safety: **Corrigibility with Utility Preservation**.
You can get the paper at <https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.01695> , and in the related software repository at <https://github.c... |
735c1c5f-dd7b-4b7b-9f24-4ca5b63a65b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What do you do with a surprise journal?
I read the article found at:
http://www.fastcompany.com/3035671/how-i-get-it-done/a-new-technique-for-creating-more-aha-moments-the-surprise-journal
I started writing a few things down. I realize that the point of the surprise journal is to give your brain a little reward for ... |
051c19a8-3129-429f-9d19-0a4b7cd06053 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Looking for alteration suggestions for the official Sequences ebook
As you may have heard, the Singularity Institute is in the process of creating an official ebook version of The Sequences (specifically, Eliezer's Major Sequences written between 2006 and 2009).
Now is an opportune time to make any alterations to th... |
af6747f0-6708-4593-9e4d-adb0e3da5992 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "I have been thinking a lot about the crypto autopsy Scott posted in 2018. In retrospect, there was still an enormous amount of money to be made 'buying the dip' in BTC/ETH. And there was even more money to be made buying altcoins. Scott also links to this thread from 2015 strongly advising people to buy bitcoin at aro... |
bde91007-679f-487c-ab36-6937d695e04c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread: Mathematics
In Luke's recent post on what sort of posts we would like to see more of, one suggestion was "Open Thread: Math". This suggestion has been voted up by (at least) 12 people. Since it's going to take me less than 2 minutes to type this post, I figured I might as well just go ahead and post the t... |
c0fef733-c39b-4228-a041-0c1d29f7201a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Mech Interp Puzzle 2: Word2Vec Style Embeddings
*Code can be found* [*here*](https://colab.research.google.com/drive/16KwPk0GHoMLfFg2AMTEUttASRKn552TE#scrollTo=PL8yTvoKeeB3&uniqifier=1). *No prior knowledge of mech interp or language models is required to engage with this.*
[Language model embeddings](https://dynalis... |
5f37d2bc-b9b6-46a6-b90b-600a44a3ca73 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Causal confusion as an argument against the scaling hypothesis
Abstract
========
*We discuss the possibility that causal confusion will be a significant alignment and/or capabilities limitation for current approaches based on "*the scaling paradigm"*: unsupervised offline training of increasingly large neural nets wi... |
7a36f111-f435-4eb7-8773-963389cb03b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] "They go together: Freedom, Prosperity, and Big Government"
Link to article
> Our statistical investigations lead to two substantive conclusions:
>
> First, the data appear to support notion that economic freedom makes a positive contribution to personal freedom and prosperity. That holds true whether we meas... |
99756840-af9e-444a-bc78-293a247a6652 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Fake Causality
Today's post, Fake Causality was originally published on 23 August 2007. A summary:
> It is very easy for a human being to think that a theory predicts a phenomenon, when in fact is was fitted to a phenomenon. Properly designed reasoning systems (GAIs) would be able to avoid this mistake wi... |
cb56f32f-0b65-4913-98f1-e65b6b8122d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Mountain View: More on Reinforcement
Discussion article for the meetup : Mountain View: More on Reinforcement
WHEN: 23 April 2013 07:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 167 Jasmine Ct, Mountain View, CA
More from Karen Pryor's Don't Shoot the Dog, as we only got through about half of it last time. Including:
* A (fas... |
4501d01d-27ae-4f68-8cf2-22059d1f1d2b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Questions about Solomonoff induction
I am confused about Somolonoff induction and some other related concepts. I appreciate some help from anyone who understands this.
What I understand so far is:
1. I understand Bayesian statistics and the problem of choosing the priors
2. I understand that Kolmogorov complexity ... |
8a35d7a5-8e2e-415c-93bb-52927399a0ef | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Hard problem of corrigibility
The "hard problem of [corrigibility](https://arbital.com/p/45)" is to build an agent which, in an intuitive sense, reasons internally as if from the programmers' external perspective. We think the AI is incomplete, that we might have made mistakes in building it, that we might want to co... |
0e9d9d19-4cb9-4d06-8495-b98592f13610 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cognitive Load and Effective Donation
(previous title: Very low cognitive load)
> Trusting choices made by the same brain that turns my hot 9th grade teacher into a knife-bearing possum at the last second every damn night.
Sean Thomason
We can't trust brains when taken as a whole. Why should we trust their s... |
470b9a7a-1b70-44a8-858d-0635ae4038f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Model of Epistemology
I regularly get asked by friends and colleagues for recommendation of good resources to study epistemology. And whenever that happens, I make an internal (or external) "Eeehhh"pained sound.
For I can definitely point to books and papers and blog posts that inspired me, excited me, and shaped ... |
70ebf058-b0c1-4241-9400-e2006b7992f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Occam’s Guillotine
redacted for 5 and 10s |
45aa159f-2c9e-42b0-9cee-d77b5f535cf2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vegans need to eat just enough Meat - emperically evaluate the minimum ammount of meat that maximizes utility
Once I talked to a person who said they were asexual. They were also heavily depressed and thought about committing suicide. I repeatedly told them to eat some meat, as they were vegan for many years. I myself... |
4be13231-7b24-45b5-b077-c1a3cc33e7c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Books Worthy of Integration
Here is the list of recommend books for someone interested in enhancing their understanding of the world.
This is a post from Substack which can be found here.
Not long ago, I would read roughly one book every couple of years. I had a busier life. I didn’t value spending my attention o... |
b2134c18-9ac7-4b11-883d-bafd2ed2a204 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Refining the Sharp Left Turn threat model, part 1: claims and mechanisms
This is our current distillation of the sharp left turn threat model and an attempt to make it more concrete. We will discuss our understanding of the claims made in this threat model, and propose some mechanisms for how a sharp left turn could h... |
4c27e10c-5a75-4b08-b6e6-d0599a5879c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Kelly bettors
Updated Introduction
I wrote this post roughly two years ago, and somehow it randomly got crossposted to LessWrong today. Nevertheless, despite being poorly written, I think it's neat enough that I've polished it off and left it up. It goes through a needless amount of needlessly general algebra to prove... |
54cf4fb2-f260-47fb-a9df-ed8386e78aab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Double-negation as framing
Any claim can be presented as positive or negative via the law of double negation. Not not P is P. This is only true for as long as you work within the axioms of formal logic. Disputes amongst humans do not abide by these axioms. Amongst humans, not not P is a very different proposition to P... |
bd0cb057-8209-49cc-9500-ddaaea01532f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Working through D&D.Sci, problem 3 (solution)
None |
79fc8268-6897-4792-8f49-7a05a159d42f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What we talk about when we talk about maximising utility
tl;dr: “Utility” is used on LW to mean what people want, but that’s not what's morally relevant. Utilitarians aren't trying to maximise this sort of utility, but rather "well-being".
Epistemic status: probably obvious to some, but this particular framing wasn't... |
919686d9-da2d-4a4b-8f05-416b6f922279 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Holden's Objection 1: Friendliness is dangerous
Nick_Beckstead asked me to link to posts I referred to in this comment. I should put up or shut up, so here's an attempt to give an organized overview of them.
Since I wrote these, LukeProg has begun tackling some related issues. He has accomplished the seemingly-impo... |
e486d70c-3103-4b6e-a646-2bd960ca514e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Durham HPMoR Discussion, chapters 18-20
Discussion article for the meetup : Durham HPMoR Discussion, chapters 18-20
WHEN: 01 December 2012 11:00:00AM (-0500)
WHERE: Guglhupf bakery, 2706 durham-chapel hill blvd. suite #1 durham, NC
We will be meeting to discuss Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, ... |
b34d11fb-7064-450d-8881-69ce2e7da343 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | five ways to say "Almost Always" and actually mean it
In English
A boring, colloquial way.
> "Almost all the eggs are gone!" (as half a dozen remain)
Not-Finite-ness
A slightly-less-boring mathy way.
> "Almost all prime numbers are odd!"
There are infinitely many primes. There is exactly one even prime number (2)... |
349ef168-f3e6-4668-8e35-3af0e591faad | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Anthropic | Charting a Path to AI Accountability
*Below is the text copied from the linked post (since it's short). I'm not affiliated with Anthropic but wanted to link-post this here for discussion.*
---
This week, Anthropic submitted [a response](https://cdn2.assets-servd.host/anthropic-website/production/images... |
5f4b656f-9a3e-4830-9f04-16229c5d69d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Columbus, Ohio; Self-Skepticism
Discussion article for the meetup : Columbus, Ohio; Self-Skepticism
WHEN: 04 February 2013 07:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 1855 Northwest Blvd Columbus, OH 43212
First Monday of the month, so we are getting together at the Chocolate Cafe in Upper Arlington area. Starting at 7p and... |
4a364ccb-c021-4479-9f87-b14c3894e626 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on October 14th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Stockholm: Trigger-Action Plans: 14 October 2016 05:00PM
The remaining meetups take place in cities with regular scheduling, but involve a chan... |
23e94e3c-ad7c-47c8-9757-7de614e05122 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thinking About Propensity Evaluations
Warning: This post was written at the start of 2024 as part of the AISC project "Evaluating Alignment Evaluations". We are not especially satisfied with the quality reached, but since we are not planning to work on it anymore, we are releasing it as a Work-In-Progress document.
... |
bed278f8-cf5c-4624-8a0c-bf9448313158 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We have achieved Noob Gains in AI
TL;DR I explain why I think AI research has been slowing down, not speeding up, in the past few years.
How have your expectations for the future of AI research changed in the past three years? Based on recent posts in this forum, it seems that results in text generation, protein fold... |
cdeeaf7d-3653-43fb-b175-f6f90e2cc429 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some triggers that prompt you to do a Fermi estimate, or to pull up a spreadsheet and make a simple/rough quantitative model?
I'm currently viscerally feeling the power of rough quantitative modeling, after trying it on a personal problem to get an order of magnitude estimate and finding that having a concret... |
fc8e1419-0d63-49f9-bb48-1b724b69fd62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Response to Quintin Pope's Evolution Provides No Evidence For the Sharp Left Turn
Response to: Evolution Provides No Evidence For the Sharp Left Turn, due to it winning first prize in The Open Philanthropy Worldviews contest.
Quintin’s post is an argument about a key historical reference class and what it tells us a... |
5b899c6c-1149-40af-83f7-4c121e6f0764 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Intuitions about solving hard problems
**Solving hard scientific problems usually requires compelling insights**
Here’s a heuristic which plays an important role in my reasoning about solving hard scientific problems: that when you’ve made an important breakthrough, you should be able to explain the key insight(s) be... |
15007e7f-112f-474e-be39-9317dd009843 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Announcing the Alignment of Complex Systems Research Group
***tl;dr:** We’re a new alignment research group based at Charles University, Prague. If you’re interested in conceptual work on agency and the intersection of complex systems and AI alignment,* [*we want to hear from you*](https://humanalignedai.typeform.com/... |
94177c43-caee-4834-a664-28a054c93111 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A game designed to beat AI?
It's no surprise LW is dominated by COVID questions right now. My guess is that many of us are holding their ground at home and have more spare time than usual. So here is a question for you: if you are to design a 1v1-type board game and your purpose is to confuse the AIs, to make it as di... |
31ec580e-c938-4fa5-a120-ff754261536e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | AI That Doesn't Try Too Hard - Maximizers and Satisficers
hi so way back when I started this
online air safety videos thing on
computer file I was talking about how
you have a problem when you maximize
just about any simple utility function
the example I used was an AI system
meant to collect a lot of stamps which... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.