id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
493cd83a-1f11-4616-912e-edd1c5048110 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arguing for the Truth? An Inference-Only Study into AI Debate
💡 TL;DR: Can AI debate be a reliable tool for truth-seeking? In this inference-only experiment (no fine-tuning), I tested whether Claude 3.5 Sonnet and Gemini 1.5 Pro could engage in structured debates over factual questions from BoolQ and MMLU datasets, w... |
fa9e509c-0b06-4821-b13c-90101681cf3c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Computer bugs and evolution
Last Friday, I finally packaged up the quarterly release of JCVI's automatic prokaryote functional annotation pipeline and distributed it to the other 3 sequencing centers for the Human Microbiome Project. It looks at genes found in newly-sequenced bacterial genomes and guesses what they d... |
4812b5f1-510b-451c-9ca5-533740035dcc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Information warfare historically revolved around human conduits
Epistemic status: This is a central gear in any model of propaganda, public opinion, information warfare, PR, hybrid warfare, and any other adversarial information environment. Due to fundamental mathematical laws, like power law distribution, not all tar... |
1e44fb45-fa7f-4e9d-8837-0ec77692b75f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rapture/Pet Insurance
http://eternal-earthbound-pets.com/Home_Page.html
Providing assurance that pets will be provided for in the event of Rapture.
Having thought it over, I'm OK with the ethics of this service. |
6f353ba4-f5d6-4fe3-86a7-4babec55503d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 4/7/22: Opening Day
Baseball is back, and only a week late. As a fan with an infant, even though my Mets are somehow already without our top two starting pitchers, I am thrilled. Things are not fully open without opening day. Aside from putting masks on for the subway, life is now fully back to the way it used t... |
461d3d01-3fe5-4526-8ab2-1ff030bbe03e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Creating Bob the Jerk problem. Is it a real problem in decision theory?
I was recently reading about the Transparent Newcomb with your Existence at Stake problem, which, to make a long story short, states that you were created by Prometheus, who foresaw that you would one-box on Newcomb's problem and wouldn't have... |
ea046785-af00-4cea-abb5-2b51fae06e05 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | 200 COP in MI: The Case for Analysing Toy Language Models
*This is the second post in a sequence called 200 Concrete Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability.*[*Start here*](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/LbrPTJ4fmABEdEnLf/200-concrete-open-problems-in-mechanistic-interpretability)*, then read in any order.... |
048b18c5-d244-4739-b60f-3f4ffa63de64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 7: How to Focus?
//DISCLAIMER: BEFORE WRITING A COMMENT TO THIS ARTICLE READ NEXT ONE! THEY ARE STRONGLY COUPLED!
//DISCLAIMER II: You made the long path reading this series. I want you to know - you are great. And now I need your help. Take this Curious Sword - you'll need it, and in the end, you will unders... |
b9a4ea40-9e13-412e-a563-a380f2731e3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How might we safely pass the buck to AI?
My goal as an AI safety researcher is to put myself out of a job.
I don’t worry too much about how planet sized brains will shape galaxies in 100 years. That’s something for AI systems to figure out.
Instead, I worry about safely replacing human researchers with AI agents, at... |
a9e5ab65-6fe1-490d-ae6e-6ff9573083bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on Quantilizers
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
This post will look at some of the properties of quantilizers, when they succeed and how they might fail.
Roughly speaking, let f be some true objective function that we want to maximise. We haven't been able to specify it fully, so we have ins... |
ac4725ef-c50b-4a9d-a806-0b8852d7787d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Safe exploration in markov decision processes
Safe Exploration in Markov Decision Processes
Teodor Mihai Moldovan moldovan@cs.berkeley.edu
Pieter Abbeel pabbeel@cs.berkeley.edu
University of California at Berkeley, CA 94720-1758, USA
Abstract
In environments with uncertain dynamics ex-
ploration is necessary to learn ... |
59d8b66b-2f13-440f-8b45-972b912ddb0e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Collider bias as a cognitive blindspot?
Zack M. Davis summarizes collider bias as follows:
> The explaining-away effect (or, collider bias; or, Berkson's paradox) is a statistical phenomenon in which statistically independent causes with a common effect become anticorrelated when conditioning on the effect.
>
> In t... |
0b818ed6-4c05-4ae4-97cc-fdf15b382f49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Meditation on Curiosity
> The first virtue is curiosity.
>
> —“The Twelve Virtues of Rationality”
As rationalists, we are obligated to criticize ourselves and question our beliefs . . . are we not?
Consider what happens to you, on a psychological level, if you begin by saying: “It is my duty to criticize my own... |
50c6284c-ab70-4c81-b0e1-8e0ea05ae9bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Mechanistic and Normative Structure of Agency
Winning, Jason (2019). The Mechanistic and Normative Structure of Agency. Dissertation, University of California San Diego.
> Abstract:
> I develop an interdisciplinary framework for understanding the nature of agents and agency that is compatible with recent develop... |
657a9db9-3e22-4de6-a6cd-e660c1706820 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Spoilers] How did Voldemort learn the horcrux spell?
[HPMOR related]
This question has always bugged me. The interdict of Merlin stops spells being learnt from anything but a living mind. Yet Tom Riddle is specifically said to have learnt the horcrux spell from a book. Why are there even spells in books?
Who would... |
f2ffe85e-cc3e-4640-8af7-4b8c444f5aab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Legos
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Legos
WHEN: 28 August 2016 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Mosaic at Metro Apartments
This week, we will be meeting to play with Legos. Richard (our host) will hold a house building contest:
* He will set up baseplates with minifig p... |
4e4dbaef-06d2-41e8-932f-8583dc8c46b2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | When 2/3rds of the world goes against you
Summary: This essay is a warning of a potential peril to AI alignment; The opposition of religious people who comprise at least two thirds of all humanity.
Epistemic Status: This is a sociological essay, not as easily measured as some potential problems, rather I offer real w... |
b69b8a8b-5e7c-42d6-99b5-2ae1305debc8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Monthly Roundup #19: June 2024
Looks like we made it. Yes, the non-AI world still exists.
BAD GOVERNOR
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has gone rogue and betrayed New York City, also humanity, declaring a halt to congestion pricing a month before it was to go into effect. Her explanation was that she spoke to workers... |
675de174-cdef-4079-9a94-4d1b8e3c3b6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fiction: LW-inspired scenelet
A short science-fictional scene I just wrote, after reading about some real and actual scientific research. I'd love to turn this, or something like it, into an actual scene in Dee's life story, I just can't think of a good enough story to insert it in, and so I present it on its own for ... |
a802107f-e44d-4dc8-a516-0020cc2614a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow: meta-model, epistemology, tabooing, etc.
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow: meta-model, epistemology, tabooing, etc.
WHEN: 26 April 2015 02:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Russia, Moscow, L'va Tolstogo 16
Two important announcements:
1) We're moving to the Extropolis conference hall. It's in the s... |
d481e0a0-4339-4439-af9c-fb054141a815 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Epistemic Spot Check: The Fate of Rome (Kyle Harper)
Introduction
Epistemic spot checks are a series in which I select claims from the first few chapters of a book and investigate them for accuracy, to determine if a book is worth my time. This month’s subject is The Fate of Rome, by Kyle Harper, which advocates for t... |
9a104a92-bfe0-4776-918c-3cf12f6ea38c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Safety Newsletter #8: Rogue AIs, how to screen for AI risks, and grants for research on democratic governance of AI
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the [Center for AI Safety](https://www.safe.ai/). We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe [here](https://newsle... |
a9759aa7-5ecc-4135-bef8-75fad4524020 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Autoheterosexuality
This review was originally written for the Astral Codex Ten Book Review Contest. Unfortunately it didn’t make it as one of the finalists. but since I made use of the LessWrong proofreading/feedback service, I am reposting it here. It can also be found on my gender blog.
If I ask Chat... |
7ba75c68-d15f-4661-9bd3-5aaaac52f724 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Replace the Symbol with the Substance
What does it take to—as in yesterday's example—see a "baseball game" as "An artificial group conflict in which you use a long wooden cylinder to whack a thrown spheroid, and then run between four safe positions"? What does it take to play the rationalist version of Taboo, in whic... |
f8299bcf-e83c-4f48-bdb8-66f3956ce810 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Creating Interpretable Latent Spaces with Gradient Routing
Over the past few months, I helped develop Gradient Routing, a non loss-based method to shape the internals of neural networks. After my team developed it, I realized that I could use the method to do something that I have long wanted to do: make an autoencode... |
fac53a9d-4cfe-4be9-ab23-5d0b2c7ba5eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Big tech transitions are slow (with implications for AI)
The first practical steam engine was built by Thomas Newcomen in 1712. It was used to pump water out of mines.
“Old Bess,” London Science Museum Photo by the author
An astute observer might have looked at this and said: “It’s clear where this is going. The engi... |
414ba310-fed2-45c9-8333-5c6d0479adea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shallow review of live agendas in alignment & safety
Summary
You can’t optimise an allocation of resources if you don’t know what the current one is. Existing maps of alignment research are mostly too old to guide you and the field has nearly no ratchet, no common knowledge of what everyone is doing and why, what is a... |
32785b1b-ec09-4282-acab-af0f5a9a7777 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety at the Frontier: Paper Highlights, December '24
This is the selection of AI safety papers from my blog "AI Safety at the Frontier". The selection primarily covers ML-oriented research and frontier models. It's primarily concerned with papers (arXiv, conferences etc.), not LessWrong or Alignment Forum posts. ... |
a847409d-1616-4907-96c3-e4e5534073a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A framework for thinking about AI power-seeking
This post lays out a framework I’m currently using for thinking about when AI systems will seek power in problematic ways. I think this framework adds useful structure to the too-often-left-amorphous “instrumental convergence thesis,” and that it helps us recast the clas... |
158093df-29f2-4d54-8448-5371fb98af90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nihilism Is Not Enough By Peter Thiel
|
e7d01b80-3fb7-4204-995b-fd995dd9cca8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Safety timelines: How long will it take to solve alignment?
**TLDR;** no one talks about how far we are towards safe AGI and the focus is on when AGI doom arrives. We want to readjust this focus and measure progress, guide and facilitate research, and evaluate projects in AI safety for impact. We also ask you to add y... |
47b56b6c-bb1f-4ae5-b321-5a1eca47b5c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can I convince my cryptobro friend that S&P500 is efficient?
Just to clarify, we are both high schoolers. No one is at risk of losing a bunch of money here :)
I have a friend who's fascinated by cryptocurrency trading, especially with recent events like crypto going up. He doesn't actually invest in crypto though... |
a3be2dee-4603-4898-8e45-e6208e035cd1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Educational CAI: Aligning a Language Model with Pedagogical Theories
Bharath Puranam (bharath225525@gmail.com)
> This research blog represents my final project for the AI Safety Fundamentals: AI Alignment Course for June 2024 Cohort.
>
> Update: Finally received my certification for the course: AI Safety Fundamental... |
69c9f0ea-d12c-45ef-bfc8-b8b04498ffd1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What do you expect AI capabilities may look like in 2028?
From the perspective of AI progress, bottlenecks, capabilities, safety - what do you think 2028 might look like? |
916cf13c-4ae4-43fd-9714-15b88c3c5900 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preparing to land on Jezero Crater, Mars: Notes from NASEM livestream
I just attended a livestream of NASA scientists talking about the upcoming Perseverance landing, and the goals they hope to achieve during the mission. A recording of the full meeting can be found here: https://livestream.com/accounts/7036396/events... |
f7202500-6819-45ed-a8ee-d6eb66c53f00 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Vector space
A vector space is a [field](https://arbital.com/p/algebraic_field) $F$ paired with a [https://arbital.com/p/3gd](https://arbital.com/p/3gd) $V$ and a function $\cdot : F \times V \to V$ (called "scalar multiplication") such that $1 \cdot v = v$ and such that scalar multiplication distributes over addition... |
b4f29c8e-e1f4-4c36-8371-28ffb2ac2f36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The strategy-stealing assumption
Suppose that 1% of the world’s resources are controlled by unaligned AI, and 99% of the world’s resources are controlled by humans. We might hope that at least 99% of the universe’s resources end up being used for stuff-humans-like (in expectation).
Jessica Taylor argued for this conc... |
2b174a3a-7eb5-4e15-a8c5-4fc8aeae5d06 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AGI in sight: our look at the game board
From our point of view, we are now in the end-game for AGI, and we (humans) are losing. When we share this with other people, they reliably get surprised. That’s why we believe it is worth writing down our beliefs on this.
**1. AGI is happening soon. Significant probability of... |
63ac6aa4-1150-4d80-aa64-e5875cb3bfd3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What experiments would demonstrate "upper limits of augmented working memory?"
Wikipedia has this discussion of working-memory-as-ability-to-discern-relationships-simultaneously:
> Other have argued that working memory capacity is better characterized as "the ability to mentally form relations between elements, or to... |
e30a97c3-8c3f-4c6e-b76c-2293cb7bd3eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Clarifying METR's Auditing Role
METR has not intended to claim to have audited anything, or to claim to be providing meaningful oversight or accountability, but there has been some confusion about whether METR is an auditor or planning to be one.
To clarify this point:
1. METR’s top priority is to develop the scien... |
7e0bb78b-edb7-4904-aded-b73286a16c3c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | From technocracy to the counterculture
Part 2 of my review of American Genesis
Quote quiz: who said this?
> American efficiency is that indomitable force which neither knows nor recognizes obstacles; which continues on a task once started until it is finished, even if it is a minor task; and without which serious co... |
86580d86-8659-46f9-ac82-11e84a94e5b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Dark Miracle of Optics
Alternate titles:
* The Public-Private Information Gap Rules Everything Around Me
* Baudrillard’s Simulacra, Steelmanned
* “Have your cake and eating it too”
* The Precarity of Prestige Economies
* “Goodhart’s is just a subset, mannn.”
* “Costly signals are just a subset, mannn.”
* T... |
93970786-7023-49f9-9a66-a8e1f80976d0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Is ChatGPT TAI?
Do you count ChatGPT and/or other similar systems (e.g. codex) as transformative AI? I would think so since it has a very fast adoption (million users in 5 days) and is apparently sufficiently more useful on some queries than Google that they had to declare "code red" - a possible threat to their core... |
4a9b62fe-145e-4564-a817-d046102e58ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The 9 Circles of Scientific Hell
Neuroskeptic is my favorite blog on neuroscience. Don't be deceived by the 'skeptic' in the name, the coverage is well balanced and overall quite positive. He recently interrupted his regular scheduling with a light piece on the circles of scientific hell. Definitely worth a look. I'm ... |
e9da568c-9e97-42e7-98f0-2f5616102f7e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introduction to forecasting worksheet
I've written this interactive notebook in Foretold prediction platform. It is meant to be completely beginner friendly and takes about 2 hours to go through. I've used it as the basis for a workshop, and the accompanying slides can be found at the bottom of the notebook.
From th... |
5735c7b1-0dca-4b50-a327-5df293336fa2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bootstrapping Language Models
Note: I'm pretty uncertain of my conclusions in this post, and want to hear other people's thoughts on this.
It seems possible to bootstrap language models to some degree. What are the safety implications of this?
For example, you could:
1. Ask a language model to write prompts for sh... |
7c705996-3480-4cb2-b424-6991e23f2777 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to talk to yourself
Image via Wikipedia
Mental module 2: Eeek! Don’t make me go on that airplane! We will surely die! No no no!
Mental module 1: There is less than one in a million chance we die if we get on that airplane, based on actual statistics from as far as you are concerned identical airplanes.
Mental m... |
2f03f39d-2605-4f0d-b307-e80e2a8f6fd5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The self-unalignment problem
The usual basic framing of alignment looks something like this:
We have a system “A” which we are trying to align with system "H", which should establish some... |
1a9ed49f-86dd-476a-9b30-a141150317d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advances in Baby Formula
Someone is finally trying.
Four years ago I was shopping for baby formula. I was horrified to discover that most formulas were mostly fructose and soybean oil. Including the fancy ‘organic’ ones. Humans digest fructose hepatically, and overconsumption of fructose has been implicated in a var... |
fa41f604-22cb-4b05-9662-75515394c738 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Literature recommendations July 2022
It happens frequently, that I'm researching a topic and don't really know which sources to read to get a good grasp of the topic. I expect that many fellow aspiring rationalists feel the same.
This thread is a place to list topics for which you are looking for reading recommendat... |
0b530495-1b62-443a-bff5-7f254e8f8449 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fact Finding: How to Think About Interpreting Memorisation (Post 4)
This is the fourth post in the Google DeepMind mechanistic interpretability team’s investigation into how language models recall facts. In this post, we take a step back and consider the problem of fact lookup in general. We describe the features that... |
f3c731e8-b90c-4ff7-a49f-e9f01888db77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New LW Meetup: Munich
This summary was posted to LW Main on August 12th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Bay City Meetup: 19 August 2016 01:25PM
* Munich Meetup in August: 13 August 2016 01:00PM
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong m... |
985edcb2-39b1-4810-9563-a16cde0838fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Blue light, 'Adrenal ASMR': strange experiences I can't find any literature about
Hi, I've found I have an intense psychosomatic reaction to certain bands of blue lighting. I bought a powerful blue lamp on Amazon simply because I liked the color blue, and found it does something interesting to me when I sit in a dark ... |
1e9865b1-791a-483c-b321-f59bf53db949 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Deep Neural Networks are Easily Fooled:
High Confidence Predictions for Unrecognizable Images
1 Introduction
---------------
Deep neural networks (DNNs) learn hierarchical layers of representation from sensory input in order to perform pattern recognition [[2](#bib.bib2), [14](#bib.bib14)].
Recently, these deep arc... |
86540a46-3008-409a-b125-9308336a0767 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Thoughts on AGI safety from the top
In this post, I'll summarize my views on AGI safety after thinking about it for two years while on the Research Scholars Programme at FHI -- before which I was quite skeptical about the entire subject. [[1]](#fnd0ytybye60t)
My goals here are twofold: (1) to introduce the problem fr... |
97653bba-a514-481e-942a-eb5a2b4b38f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 50 Ideas for Life I Repeatedly Share
These are the most significant pieces of life advice/wisdom that have benefited me, that others often don't think about and I end up sharing very frequently.
I wanted to share this here for a few reasons: First and most important, I think many people here will find this interesti... |
6c6bd3b8-61f0-4d09-8603-446a50541fc4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Mitigating Ethical Concerns and Risks in the US Approach to Autonomous Weapons Systems through Effective Altruism
**Introduction**
The integration of AI into military technology has made autonomous weapons systems a reality. However, this technological advancement has also raised ethical concerns. The possibility of ... |
341e5599-0472-4fed-8b1a-21ac91fc5646 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Anxious Philosopher King
Cross-posted from Putanumonit.
----------------------------------------
What made you record a long voice message addressed to a blogger you never met?
I was experiencing emotional anxiety and needed someone to stabilize me, and at that particular moment I had no one around to talk to. ... |
2ce3c062-8fc5-4cbd-a184-dc82a8006fb7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Cooperative Inverse Reinforcement Learning vs. Irrational Human Preferences
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacin... |
68de7f62-6ed7-4c8b-9bb3-ebc9d96abd35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exercise and motivation
I realized very recently that what gets me to exercise is whether it makes moving more of a pleasure, and, of course, if it's a pleasure in itself.
Any hint of "prove you're a worthwhile person by how much you can make yourself endure" or "not being fat is the most important thing in the world... |
c6f38e65-9ec6-44d9-bf8a-f99170c882c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | An Introduction to Löb's Theorem in MIRI Research
At a recent MIRIx workshop, I gave an introductory talk about the surprising number of times that MIRI applied Löb's Theorem in their research papers. It was well-received, so I wrote up and expanded my notes into a primer for new researchers:
[An Introduction to Löb... |
f9993346-c502-4d80-a180-e72aa8c3a25d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why you should learn sign language
Sorry if this is somewhat off topic, but I have a small dream of sign language becoming a rationalist shibboleth and serving as a jumping off point for sign to spread more in society at large. I know this is pretty unlikely, but it seems worth a shot. I gave a presentation on it at a... |
7f4fe258-1e94-4dcc-95f9-c9ee3e52936e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SSC Survey Results On Trust
Last post talked about individual differences in whether people found others basically friendly or hostile. The SSC survey included a sort of related question: “Are people basically trustworthy?”
The exact phrasing asked respondents to rate other people from 1 (“basically trustworthy”) to ... |
75262968-b1e1-47fd-b1e4-66e941b66fb8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What job should I do?
I am a Phd student who has just submitted my thesis, and I am not sure what to do with myself, so I would like some advice on interesting jobs/fields/career paths to consider. I would welcome suggestions of particular roles or companies, some generic guidance, or pointers to other resources. I h... |
9ea4f3e5-1903-41db-85b3-bdf89d33192c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Isn't the real concern misuse?
Like many transformative technologies, AI can be understood as a tool that can be used in positive and negative ways. As an analogy, fire can be used to cook meat, but also to burn down an enemy village. Nuclear reactions can be used to produce low-carbon energy in power plants, but also... |
2c9da8cb-ae47-4ba0-84d5-dbcc2f76e25c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Ability to read calculus
Check off this requisite if you can read sentences containing integrals and differentiations. |
71af7309-a02b-4bf0-8d54-5b31a6cfa863 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Story Feedback Request: The Policy - Emergent Alignment, Recursive Cognition, and AGI Trajectories
Hi all,
I just finished a 20-chapter story exploring emergent alignment in a reinforcement-trained model that learns to think in compressed, generalizable reasoning traces. The AI, SIGMA/The Policy, learns recursive cog... |
c8229033-2f1a-4646-bcb9-18381d90598a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AI Safety "Success Stories"
AI safety researchers often describe their long term goals as building "safe and efficient AIs", but don't always mean the same thing by this or other seemingly similar phrases. Asking about their "success stories" (i.e., scenarios in which their line of research helps contribute to a posit... |
85048a65-16a0-45ea-b5c8-ef550b0c59f5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment Newsletter #24
Starting from this week, Richard Ngo will join me in writing summaries. His summaries are marked as such; I'm reviewing some of them now but expect to review less over time.
Highlights
----------
**[Introducing the Unrestricted Adversarial Examples Challenge](https://ai.googleblog.com/2018/0... |
0265cb49-c170-4aab-bf8b-9b1086c58e30 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI-Relevant Regulation: IAEA
### Preface
This is the first post in what will be a series (of yet-undetermined length) exploring existing approaches to regulation that seem relevant for thinking about governing AI.
The goal of these posts is to provide a brief overview of a type regulation or a regulatory body so ot... |
0cef5360-3157-4f4b-88ed-8f4c9ce5e794 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What would an AI need to bootstrap recursively self improving robots?
Picture the scenario: A malicious superintelligent AI creates a weapon that wiped out all humans instantaneously. The AI has complete control over all network connected devices and computers.
Most manufacturing will stop working immediately withou... |
3e6eaded-719c-4ebc-99ff-46a1d90303a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Growth and Form in a Toy Model of Superposition
> TLDR: This post distills Dynamical and Bayesian Phase Transitions in a Toy Model of Superposition by Chen et al. (2023), where they study developmental stages of the Toy Model of Superposition, understanding growth and form from the perspective of Singular Learning The... |
ef1332d0-49c9-44b0-9b30-8a39353e14f2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | AI's Game Playing Challenge - Computerphile
so go is a very very
simple game in terms of the rules
but it's very difficult computationally
um
there's an enormous
depth of complexity that comes out of
the very simple rules which is uh
i think part of what makes people love
it so much as a game
so to understand why it's... |
c0fcce87-bbcc-4c80-b96b-53232646ff3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on the $GME situation
Note: None of this is investment advice, do your own due diligence.
Some scattered thoughts on the $GME situation:
1) A real life robinhood story is entertaining, which explains why this situation has captured so much attention
2) Melvin vs r/WSB doesn’t exist in a bubble. Hedge funds... |
a26ef767-bf83-4cb9-ae61-39bad15c8a76 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Revisiting Non-centrality
I recently read this article by Yvain where he discusses what he calls the worst argument in the world or the "non-centrality fallacy". If you haven't read the article, he describes it by first beginning a hypothetical objection to a proposal to build a statue for Martin Luther King. He imagi... |
9eed74c2-a965-4133-bcee-60e80d88c22b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Deep Learning 5: Optimization for Machine Learning
so I'm James Martens a researcher at
defined and then I'll be talking today
optimization from C learning and more
specifically neural implants we can Bob
so the topics will cover our video
consent which is essentially the
standard canonical method momentum
ethics matu... |
4fc33b0d-14da-4288-a64e-e99e1d6074a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Former Christian fundamentalist: Science robbed me of my faith
This person seems to have the virtue of non-compartmentalization. What rationalist skill can we learn from this? Maybe look for ways a strong belief in one domain, to another where it's more testable?
http://www.salon.com/2013/09/09/i_was_a_fundame... |
0e5edd59-da96-4eec-a115-f0b96e32ec13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LessWrong-like Meetup Hamburg
Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong-like Meetup Hamburg
WHEN: 27 March 2015 07:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Hamburg, Fehnweg 4
After some longer intermission the LessWrong Meetup Hamburg is back. Because most participants are also friends of me this is more a LessWrong-lik... |
a2f3ba54-e778-4a9e-830b-1a775a72b9c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Baltimore Area / UMBC Weekly Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Baltimore Area / UMBC Weekly Meetup
WHEN: 04 December 2016 08:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Performing Arts and Humanities Bldg Room 456, 1000 Hilltop Cir, Baltimore, MD 21250
Meeting is on 4th floor of the Performing Arts and Humanities Buil... |
d7ef2219-81ce-43cb-8633-f9754249999f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LessWrong Hamburg - about Procrastination
Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong Hamburg - about Procrastination
WHEN: 21 February 2014 07:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Gaußstrasse 190B, 22765 Hamburg
As our first Meetup in Hamburg went well we planned a next one. Here it is.
We will be at a new location t... |
1164094c-cefe-4c24-8194-2243f91e3f19 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | NLP Position Paper: When Combatting Hype, Proceed with Caution
*Linkpost for* [*https://cims.nyu.edu/~sbowman/bowman2021hype.pdf.*](https://cims.nyu.edu/~sbowman/bowman2021hype.pdf) *To appear on arXiv shortly.*
I'm sharing a position paper I put together as an attempt to introduce general NLP researchers to AI risk ... |
e59849ea-a95c-4a60-8b86-e4644ba3a34b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | RP’s AI Governance & Strategy team - June 2023 interim overview
Hi! I co-lead [Rethink Priorities’](https://rethinkpriorities.org/) AI Governance & Strategy (AIGS) team. At [the suggestion of Ben West](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ct3zLpD5FMwBwYCZ7/ea-strategy-fortnight-june-12-24), I’m providing an updat... |
c82e35f4-c29d-4191-a478-963dfc7aeae8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Martinenaite and Tavenier on cryonics
Luke Parrish points me to what is clearly by far the most serious critique of cryonics ever written: a 57-page treatment by Evelina Martinenaite and Juliette Tavenier, presented as a 3rd semester project at Roskilde University in Denmark supervised by Ole Andersen.
> Cryonics
>
... |
b6f4e994-c84c-4eb8-9955-630ae78e1cc8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Mental Model of Infohazards
In this post, I give my rules of thumb for dealing with infohazards, which are as far as I can tell wildly divergent from the accepted views of the larger alignment community. I wrote this post less as a means of propagating my own views, and more because I'm curious as to why my views a... |
56e51b74-fba2-4efc-8e61-17867a621b04 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Headline or Trend Line?
August 2021
AUTHORS
Margarita Konaev
Andrew Imbrie
Ryan Fedasiuk
Emily Weinstein
Katerina Sedova
Jame s Dunham
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 1 Executive Summary
China and Russia have declared 2020 and 2021 as years of
scientific and technological innovation cooperatio... |
8dbc4106-a63e-420d-bb71-1af1f9dbb55c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Announcing the AI Fables Writing Contest!
> TL;DR: Writing Contest for AI Fables
>
> Deadline: Sept 1/Oct 1
>
> Prizes: $1500/1000/500, consideration for writing retreat
>
> Word length: <6,000
>
> How: Google Doc in replies
>
> Purpose: Help shape the future by helping people understand relevant issues.
>
>
... |
65bf6a63-2709-4075-9819-787740ed1453 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How harmful is music, really?
For a while, I thought music was harmful, due largely to pervasive and arbitrary earworms. More recently, I started to find that earworms are ephemeral and lawful. A contrarian belief held like the former for years gets stuck as part of my identity, but maybe I should find the truth.
"Mu... |
94805bb9-bb50-4de1-bdaa-afaa905e5fc4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | New, Brief Popular-Level Introduction to AI Risks and Superintelligence
The [very](https://www.facebook.com/waitbutwhy) [popular](http://www.ozy.com/good-sht/wait-but-why-making-nerdiness-viral/3161) blog Wait But Why [has published the first part](http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.htm... |
85b8519f-e82e-407c-b2d9-94efec3ede81 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Is there anybody from Indianapolis here?
Discussion article for the meetup : Is there anybody from Indianapolis here?
WHEN: 08 January 2012 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Indianapolis
If there are people from the indianapolis area, let's have a meet-up.
Discussion article for the meetup : Is there anybody fro... |
68bbcd11-954b-4f52-9af5-4c70995e561e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conversation on forecasting with Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen
[Cross-posted to the EA Forum]
This is a transcript of a conversation on forecasting between Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen, with an anonymous facilitator (inspired by the double crux technique). The transcript was transcribed using a professional service.
We decided... |
ec59aab6-ad65-43e1-84f4-4a705bd31d29 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Developmental Stages of GPTs
***Epistemic Status:** I only know as much as anyone else in my reference class (I build ML models, I can grok the GPT papers, and I don't work for OpenAI or a similar lab). But I think my thesis is original.*
Related: [Gwern on GPT-3](https://www.gwern.net/newsletter/2020/05#gpt-3)
For ... |
6d5dd334-5097-4351-87e4-ca87d7cec501 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The news attention span
Every day, every daily news source sends out headlines to their readers via newspapers and the web. Most of the time, the top headlines have no relation to the previous day's headlines. Sometimes this is not true, such as during an election or a disaster, but even then, stories rarely remain on... |
a15c8670-447c-49ac-b737-1917f7cf8914 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Heuristics on bias to action versus status quo?
In some EA/rat circles (especially in the Bay Area), the memes of 'updating fast', 'bias to action', and 'avoiding sunk-cost fallacy' are quite strong, perhaps influenced by start-up culture. These are often implicitly or explicitly invoked when starting new projects, de... |
ad64037f-df09-4638-91b5-011c73b34f8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecast your 2024 with Fatebook
We've built predict your year in 2024, a space for you to write down your forecasts for the year on Fatebook. At the end of your year, you can return, resolve your predictions as YES, NO or AMBIGUOUS, and reflect.
Some of Sage’s forecasting questions for the year (my forecasts are re... |
3796207a-a614-4f32-b3d7-ee7736552dee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shared reality: a key driver of human behavior
I once asked Robin Hanson if he really thought status-seeking was such a dominant driver of human behavior. I said humans had dozens of factors motivating their behavior, it was crazy to claim there was One Big Thing. He replied (something to the effect of) "well, even if... |
1a364d98-e6be-40bf-9a9e-93413ac15a41 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Corrigibility and interruptibility for various agents
My paper with Laurent Orseau on interruptibility is being reviewed at the moment, but this table shows some of the results for various artificial learning agents.
"Corrigibility" is safe value change. It is defined as the agent wanting to neither avoid nor trigger... |
6ee87fb4-5398-4adb-b20e-5ed5b00cff96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Comments on Jacob Falkovich on loneliness
Two years ago, Jacob wrote an essay about dating, sex, and loneliness. I found this essay recently because I am extremely interested in loneliness. It seems to me that a great deal of work is needed to resolve existential risk, and that loneliness is one of the top practical i... |
46d338a0-c817-4a1e-953a-c7876630de0c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brains, Planes, Blimps, and Algorithms
I.
Right now there is a big debate over whether AI is like a brain, or like an algorithm. I think that this is a lot like debating whether planes are more like birds, or like blimps. I’ll be arguing pro-bird & pro-brain.
Just to ground the analogy, In the late 1800s the Wright b... |
ef8723da-81db-432f-9a82-00cc7d067f82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Acting without a clear direction
One of the key questions that we all face is to figure out a purpose in life, a direction, a goal. However, that is not an easy question. In fact, it's not even easy to say what kind of thing human values are in general. Our brain is fragmented in so many different ways: past, present ... |
bec5ba3b-996d-45b0-9f01-6d879a6beda7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 210. Locating Ethics
right
[Music]
who's guys welcome to the
ai safety reading group uh the this is
our
210th presentation um
and today we're doing something a little
bit different we're doing a
presentation on locating ethics in human
activity
a framework for introducing ethics and
we're reading hannah rentz
via acti... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.