id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
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605f01cc-9b49-408c-99b9-e83f61c129cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vegetarianism
(Note: I wasn't quite sure whether this warranted a high level post or just a discussion. I haven't made a high level post yet, and wasn't entirely sure what the requirements are. For now I made it a discussion, but I'd like some feedback on that)
I've been somewhat surprised by the lack of many threads... |
ec25eeb4-e43a-4d4b-b779-cc488741ad14 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How much do personal biases in risk assessment affect assessment of AI risks?
Had a stray thought that I think is worth exploring: perhaps disagreements over how to respond to AI risks are heavily influenced by personal biases in how to assess risk in general such that very different conclusions can be drawn from eval... |
d2d93b24-e4a0-475e-aa84-00c3ec8053f5 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Since 2011, some LessWrong folk have observed the winter solstice, as a holiday ritual celebrating human achievement in the face of a confusing, often terrifying world.I've written in the past about the potential value, and danger, of ritual. Over the past years my opinion shifted somewhat, but is still essentially su... |
917db9e3-9081-4ec3-8199-aff6fac4ed41 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Life on the Rails
At least, if you happen to be near me in brain space.
----------------------------------------
What advice would you give your younger self?
That was the prompt for a class I taught at PAIR 2024. About a quarter of participants ranked it in their top 3 of... |
be177b5f-0162-499c-a5a5-234011696ec1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : First Dorset UK Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : First Dorset UK Meetup
WHEN: 14 April 2012 03:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: 8A Cornhill, Town Centre, Dorchester DT1 1BA
If you're in or around the area, come along and bring friends.
Let me know if you're interested and can't make the date, as we can pr... |
69e0b7c2-d756-4200-a6ea-5c5081ce20a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paper: Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability
TL;DR: This paper brings together ~30 mechanistic interpretability researchers from 18 different research orgs to review current progress and the main open problems of the field.
This review collects the perspectives of its various authors and represents a synthe... |
bd14d322-898d-47eb-a39f-55b1680e7fa5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Developer experience for the motivation
I watched this YouTube video a few months ago that really stuck with me. It was about how to organize your kitchen. The video went through 10 tips, but before getting in to those tips it talked about the why. Why is organizing your kitchen important in the first place?
Well, th... |
8cabca04-9104-4697-9bb2-e0e93f13bba5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you align your emotions through updates and existential uncertainty?
Asking this question since I expect other people to be in a similar position:[1]
There are many ways the future could plausibly go from here, ranging from "doom this year" to "things are mostly fine by default". And as some of these scenarios... |
918be29d-7382-42d2-8ffb-d84bf945df5d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Sixty years after the Cuban Missile Crisis, a new era of global catastrophic risks
Linkpost for a [short op-ed](https://thebulletin.org/2022/10/sixty-years-after-the-cuban-missile-crisis-how-to-face-a-new-era-of-global-catastrophic-risks/) I wrote in the *Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists* in light of the upcoming 60t... |
7c235633-46f5-41a7-8084-945d06f1217b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Alignment Forum should have more transparent membership standards
This is a public complaint about the Alignment Forum that I hope will improve the overall health of the AI Safety community as it exists there and elsewhere. This post is basically a short story about how I was refused membership by the AF mod team ... |
6a5049d0-eec2-4827-8df7-f457950371c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Why truth? And...
Today's post, Why truth? And... was originally published on 27 November 2006. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Why should we seek truth? Pure curiosity is an emotion, but not therefore irrational. Instrumental value is another reason, with the advantage of giving an outside verifica... |
ee31fea8-ca6b-4af0-8357-4f79d347ee00 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | How we’re predicting AI–or failing to
MIRI
MACHINE INTELLIGENCE
RESEARCH INSTITUTEHow We’re Predicting AI—or Failing To
Stuart Armstrong
Future of Humanity Institute
Kaj Sotala
Machine Intelligence Research Institute
Abstract
This paper will look at the various predictions that have been made about AI and pro-
pose de... |
4cf015e3-fee7-4b70-9d05-29e4a5460cb6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | How special are human brains among animal brains?
Humans are capable of feats of cognition that appear qualitatively more sophisticated than those of any other animals. Is this appearance of a qualitative difference indicative of human brains being essentially more complex than the brains of any other animal? Or is th... |
102d8ce1-f3e6-4d85-95bc-68e224a7a7cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Input Swap Graphs: Discovering the role of neural network components at scale
This post was written as part of the work done at Conjecture.
You can try input swap graphs in a collab notebook or explore the library to replicate the results.
Thanks to Beren Millidge and Eric Winsor for useful discussions throughout th... |
86d2f7c5-0042-4b39-9d63-e7f8a887d05f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How predictive processing solved my wrist pain
This is a post about a period of major suffering I went through, and how I acquired the knowledge and skill to eventually lift me out of it.
Disclaimer: this is not medical advice — consider it a personal narrative, perhaps a starting point for exploration.
A fire bu... |
20a048a2-87d7-4230-bc67-ae449d8b13b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2019 Winter Solstice Collection
If you know of a 2019 Winter Solstice event, or solstice-adjacent megameetup, please post relevant links in a comment here. |
c04e97e1-3d10-42db-b078-b34524dc25bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Can Humanism Match Religion's Output?
Today's post, Can Humanism Match Religion's Output? was originally published on 27 March 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Anyone with a simple and obvious charitable project - responding with food and shelter to a tidal wave in Thailand, say - would be b... |
fc43db5e-0b6e-42fb-9d1b-8e8a20f2c793 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Reading Group: Part L: The Simple Math of Evolution
This is part of a semi-monthly reading group on Eliezer Yudkowsky's ebook, Rationality: From AI to Zombies. For more information about the group, see the announcement post.
----------------------------------------
Welcome to the Rationality reading grou... |
059f7754-c8fa-44b5-8fc5-e8b30af9e95b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | It matters when the first sharp left turn happens
Thanks to Evan Hubinger for comments on these ideas.
Introduction
A “sharp left turn” is a point where capabilities generalize beyond alignment. In a sharp left turn an AI becomes much more capable than aligned, and so starts to exploit flaws in its alignment.
This ... |
10b0036c-1493-4d9b-a2f8-555e549a17c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the Power of Intelligence and Rationality
As Eliezer and many others on Less Wrong have said, the way the human species rose to dominate the Earth was through our intelligence- and not through our muscle power, biochemical weapons, or superior resistance to environmental hazards. Given our overwhelming power over o... |
0691a96c-637c-4d6e-912d-1d9bb13f3fc0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ML4Good (AI Safety Bootcamp) - Experience report
Introduction
This is a short summary of my experience attending the ML4Good UK bootcamp in September 2024. There are 2 previous experience reports I link to at the bottom, but because the program is refined each time, I wanted to describe my experience and add my two ce... |
5a01a285-593a-49c3-8b42-f4b49f1b145b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Desiderata for a model of human values
http://kajsotala.fi/2015/11/desiderata-for-a-model-of-human-values/
> Soares (2015) defines the value learning problem as
>
> By what methods could an intelligent machine be constructed to reliably learn what to value and to act as its operators intended?
>
> There have... |
c3d0abdd-4a0e-4d12-a825-1cb8ec591d55 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Stag Hunt—cultivating cooperation to reap rewards
This is a short primer on the Stag Hunt, as part of a series looking for an alternative game theory poster-child to the Prisoner's Dilemma, which has some issues. I think the Stag Hunt could be utilised more in real world applications. I'm interested in feedback.
... |
e3a6b3ed-25b7-44e7-be1b-4de945a5d992 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Astrobiology III: Why Earth?
After many tribulations, my astrobiology bloggery is back up and running using Wordpress rather than Blogger because Blogger is completely unusable these days. I've taken the opportunity of the move to make better graphs for my old posts.
"The Solar System: Why Earth?"
https://thegrea... |
438c442f-431b-4061-a0ed-507ba2f9991b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Working With Contracts
Contracts is one of those areas that I always figured I ought to study, at least enough to pick up the basics, but never seemed either interesting or important enough to reach the front of my queue. On top of that, there’s a lot of different angles from which to approach the subject... |
a90d0222-8551-488b-b735-4ebe4a0948ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A push towards interactive transformer decoding
In Brief:
I've been developing an interactive tool that I believe is helpful in accelerating transformer mechanistic analysis and that has the potential to reduce the barrier of entry.
Motivations
For a while now, my focus has been shifting towards alignment r... |
3a9d05ea-8425-4318-8967-7dbf634c7b0b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | From the outside, American schooling is weird
g-w1
Hey, so I wanted to start this dialogue because we were talking on Discord about the secondary school systems and college admission processes in the US vs NZ, and some of the differences were very surprising to me.
I think that it may be illuminating to fellow Americ... |
afa19d83-1b0a-4c8f-9b97-2fb50bbd9edf | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3900
This post is obsolete, replaced by this one . EDIT: Defining C and the conditions on C is a bit more complicated than presented here, still have some details to formalise. Corrigibility was an attempt to allow an AI to safely change its values, without seeking to provoke or avoid the change. The idea is t... |
6d613501-7a4d-4e50-b20b-557f6ddbb55b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thyroid Hormones, Chronic Fatigue and Fibromyalgia: A Hypothesis and a Proposed Experiment
[For background see: http://lesswrong.com/lw/n8u/a_medical_mystery_thyroid_hormones_chronic/
I thought of a class of solutions, I went looking for possible evidence, someone's already proposed what looks like a perfect answer, ... |
c49d9d33-613f-4a95-8bda-68d6fac44546 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | P(doom|AGI) is high: why the default outcome of AGI is doom
[Added **13Jun:** Submitted to OpenPhil AI Worldviews Contest - [this pdf version](https://www.dropbox.com/s/oycunp4ld34hctp/%5BOpenPhil%20AI%20Worldviews%20Contest%5D%20Why%20the%20most%20likely%20outcome%20of%20AGI%20is%20doom%20-%20Google%20Docs.pdf?dl=0) ... |
df4111c5-09a0-4f3e-aa83-2dc1c8bf7c0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sick of struggling
I’m just sick of struggling through life. The inefficiencies all around me are staggering and overwhelming. Why do we limit ourselves so much when our possibilities are endless? This forums seems like the closest place I’ve come to finding the best of humanity. That being said, curious how many have... |
1cc697a5-76e5-41af-8591-cd715c053b23 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | The empty set is the only set which satisfies the universal property of the empty set
Here, we will prove that the only [set](https://arbital.com/p/3jz) which satisfies the [https://arbital.com/p/-5zr](https://arbital.com/p/-5zr) is the [https://arbital.com/p/-5zc](https://arbital.com/p/-5zc) itself.
This will tell us... |
81058e14-306b-42ce-ad86-d7f57894ee51 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automating Intelligence: A Cursory Glance at How AutoML Brings Precision to AI Development
Motivation: At the outset of 2023, OpenAI unveiled GPT-4 [1], claiming it to be "at or beyond human-level for many tasks... showing sparks of artificial general intelligence". This mirrors the breakthrough that marked the start ... |
f9321f6c-6622-403a-92ab-c31603167937 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Replicator->Vehicle Alignment and Human->AI Alignment
Disclaimer: I sometimes use conscious or agentic language to describe relationships or behaviors of non-conscious and non-agentic entities (like genes). I am under no illusion that such things are conscious or agentic. Sometimes it is simply clearer and less awkwar... |
bc96074a-a4c3-4beb-b069-90f6906849de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A thought-process testing opportunity
If you haven't seen the video of a wet towel being wrung out in space yet, it provides a great opportunity to test some basic rationality skills.
Skill #1: Notice the opportunity. (I failed this test. I had a fuzzy, wrong idea about what would happen. I didn't notice the fuzzines... |
e446119c-8263-470e-b458-8981b77f13a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SARS-CoV-2, 19 times less likely to infect people under 15
Is a small volume of low quality data sufficient for making meaningful claims about CFR and R0 ?
Epistemic Status: Wild off-the-cuff speculation
Note: This post was written on 24-03-2020 during the srars-cov-2 pandemic
DISCLAIMER !
This is NOT an article cl... |
947591cb-b3ec-425a-b615-7cacf34cc3e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why “put down your phone and go outside” is Bad Advice.
If you’re like me in 2017, your phone is your drug of choice. My insurance didn’t provide me with any internet abuse rehab options. (Though at least one place exists.) I was sick of being a NEET and spending all my time online, so I gave my phone and laptop to a... |
626b408d-7913-41a9-a555-216334664e8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Helen Toner on China, CSET, and AI
Miscellaneous excerpts I found interesting from Julia Galef's recent interview of Helen Toner:
----------------------------------------
Helen Toner: [...] [8:00] I feel like the West has this portrayal of the company Baidu as the "Google" of China. And when you think “Google,” you ... |
d92b746e-4e0a-4dd7-a538-2024f4e1a8f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, September 2-8, 2013
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. |
f9efb5c3-2a86-46f9-83f0-674c28777948 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | BERI is hiring an ML Software Engineer
All info and application here: <https://existence.org/jobs/ml-engineer-seldonian>
BERI is seeking a full-time machine learning software engineer as part of our collaboration with the [Autonomous Learning Laboratory](https://all.cs.umass.edu/) at UMass Amherst.
The engineer will... |
367a8ee0-86a2-4f0d-b1a3-3135a46ccc61 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Working out consequences of science-fictional ideas
I have a pet sci-fi setting I use as a handy platform to play with various ideas, such as figuring out what some of the likely consequences would be of relatively easy access to orbit, or applying 'Avatar' remote-control techniques to live people. One question that r... |
1c7f3d52-5998-4ceb-9abc-7e9ec19f97b0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Favorite / most obscure research on understanding DNNs?
Looking for:
1. Any results / lines of research I haven't heard of in areas like interpretability, inductive biases, and ML theory
2. Obscure papers or posts on things like double descent, simplicity bias, induction heads, and grokking |
90b6465a-6a32-46d3-a8b8-0526bd13bac5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the falsifiability of hypercomputation, part 2: finite input streams
In part 1, I discussed the falsifiability of hypercomputation in a typed setting where putative oracles may be assumed to return natural numbers. In this setting, there are very powerful forms of hypercomputation (at least as powerful as each leve... |
41c16866-671c-4ec3-9438-ac9c13ccf112 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sunday October 18, 12:00PM (PT) — Garden Party
This Sunday noon (12:00PM PT) we're having a party in the LessWrong Walled Garden.
It can always be Spring if we really want it to be.
This is a private space that the LessWrong team has been working on (and coworking in) for the past couple weeks. Tomorrow we'll be host... |
c40a9e6b-8fe4-41bb-8fc4-6267413839c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup
WHEN: 04 January 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 144 North College Avenue, Fort Collins, CO 80524
A new year, a new opportunity to meet up.
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup |
8006ccca-e1cd-4b94-86e6-aad98078d953 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Social Proficiency of a Rationalist and a Scholar
Followup to Recovering Insufferable Genius
So, we've been talking a mighty amount on avoiding and understanding the common pitfalls and mistakes that plague most human minds for various biological, evolutionary and social reasons. This knowledge is supposed to be used... |
f19a2bcf-f77d-4fc6-a8e8-f52bdbb20625 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Intersection
The intersection of two sets $A$ and $B$, denoted $A \cap B$, is the set of elements which are in both $A$ and $B$.

Formally stated, where $C = A \cap B$
$$x \in C \leftrightarrow (x \in A \land x \in B)$$
That is... |
95248d38-3768-4778-9a43-4ba9b4cfc75e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deminatalist Total Utilitarianism
TLDR: I propose a system of population ethics that arguably solves all major paradoxes, and formalizes some intuitions that prior systems have not. AFAIK this is original but I'm not an expert so maybe it's not.
This idea was inspired by a discussion in the "EA Corner" discord server... |
6cd82098-604d-4b6f-82ab-c5e5b378fdfb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help me find a good Hackathon subject
Let's list the constraints:
* Basically, people know how to code but don't really know ML
* But at the same time, 3 days is enough time to learn a notion or understand and improve a template
* If we don't want it to be a hard to evaluate, the evaluation metric must be clear
... |
d8273369-6694-4b65-9a1d-61cf50e34f49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cryptographic Boxes for Unfriendly AI
Related to: Shut up and do the impossible!; Everything about an AI in a box.
One solution to the problem of friendliness is to develop a self-improving, unfriendly AI, put it in a box, and ask it to make a friendly AI for us. This gets around the incredible difficulty of develop... |
0ebca0d5-a9c5-4715-a430-c3dc2ca14803 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | On the compute governance era and what has to come after (Lennart Heim on The 80,000 Hours Podcast)
We just published an interview: [**Lennart Heim on the compute governance era and what has to come after**](https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/lennart-heim-compute-governance/)**.** You can click through for the au... |
1af6ff86-02fa-448d-b3bc-1d48ba1e1754 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On calling inconceivable what you've already conceived.
|
ac70907f-2cc2-4eb8-adb3-0789aef19e1b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2020: Forecasting in Review.
This document contains a series of highlights about forecasting in 2020 which I have gathered after 10 months of writing a forecasting newsletter. I'll write one or two paragraphs for each point, and then list ideas which interested readers can follow up on. As such, this piece can be read... |
04fe2f0e-9043-4921-8aa2-9a1d1060beee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
Today's post, The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle was originally published on 23 April 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Unlike classical physics, in quantum physics it is not possible to separate out a particle's "position" from its "... |
3485cda5-5d81-421c-827e-c1c0f8c0f2c4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Beyond Winning and Losing: Modeling Human Motivations and Behaviors Using Inverse Reinforcement Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
In recent years, reinforcement learning (RL) methods have been applied to model gameplay with great success, achieving super-human performance in various environments, such as Atar... |
0f4cb877-918f-4773-aca4-6bee8e5867d2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Three AI Safety Related Ideas
(I have a health problem that is acting up and making it hard to type for long periods of time, so I'm condensing three posts into one.)
1. AI design as opportunity and obligation to address human safety problems
Many AI safety problems are likely to have counterparts in humans. AI desi... |
ed95980e-85d6-4a76-bbf4-e30a4bc7cc41 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Let them eat cake: Interpersonal Problems vs Tasks
When I read Alicorn's post on problems vs tasks, I immediately realized that the proposed terminology helped express one of my pet peeves: the resistance in society to applying rationality to socializing and dating.
In a thread long, long ago, SilasBarta described hi... |
b47c3393-655a-419a-9e5c-b810fba180ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stuart Russell and Melanie Mitchell on Munk Debates
Financial status: This is independent research, now supported by a grant.
Epistemic status: Reflections on a debate about AI.
----------------------------------------
Earlier this year, The Munk Debates podcast organized a debate between Stuart Russell and Melanie... |
dafe8002-0111-43e5-99ac-e732d8f17bf4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | One weird trick to turn maximisers into minimisers
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
A simple and easy design for a u-maximising agent that turns into a u-minimising one.
Let X be some boolean random variable outside the agent's control, that will be determined at some future time t (based on a cosmic ... |
d1932ca9-2036-4e0d-b28f-89558e43ae9e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Thinking-in-limits about TAI from the demand perspective. Demand saturation, resource wars, new debt.
**Epistemic status:** considerations
**Disclaimer 1:** So far, I raised this point in a few conversations, and people encouraged me to develop my thinking into a post. This is my attempt to do so. I have no expert kn... |
e24f780e-6864-4f81-9305-1863922dd665 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Zagreb meetup - July 27th
Discussion article for the meetup : Zagreb meetup - July 27th
WHEN: 27 July 2013 07:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Tkalčićeva 36 (Pivnica Mali Medo) in Zagreb, Croatia
A casual meetup, socializing and planning future meetups.
Detailed directions: when you enter, go up the stairs and watc... |
29002185-725a-4f0c-b273-754b3871c085 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality of sometimes missing the point of the stated question, and of certain type of defensive reasoning
Imagine that you are being asked a question; a moral question involving an imaginary world. From the prior experience with people, you have learnt that people behave in a certain way; people are, for the most ... |
91cf393e-ae6d-430e-ae64-3a1c6f5e4236 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who wants to bet me $25k at 1:7 odds that there won't be an AI market crash in the next year?
If there turns out not to be an AI crash, you get a 1/(1+7) * $25,000 = $3,125
If there is an AI crash, you transfer $25k to me.
If you believe that AI is going to keep getting more capable, pushing rapid user growth and wo... |
25ac0c66-600a-4a7e-b0b0-af7181e2200c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #165]: When large models are more likely to lie
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this spreadsheet](https:... |
78c63f25-e081-4e7e-bbae-1623b3b5cc7b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CGP Grey on the difficulty of knowing what's true [audio]
Starts 00:34:40, ends 00:49:06. Features discussion of tracking down sources for historical 'facts' to discover that the sources don't say what people say they say, the difficulty of knowing what's true, and exasperation at the idea that companies such as YouTu... |
7cf8e683-5255-4138-8cd8-66468c05980b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Parallels Between AI Safety by Debate and Evidence Law
In this post, I highlight some parallels between [AI Safety by Debate](https://openai.com/blog/debate/) (“Debate”) and [evidence law](https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/fre).
Evidence law structures high-stakes arguments with human judges.
=======================... |
ca603954-b3d0-4196-9d94-00e76cf504f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Freedom under Naturalistic Dualism
The final version of "Freedom under Naturalistic dualism" is now published in Journal of NeuroPhilosophy, in the above link.
This article explores the concept of freedom within the framework of naturalistic dualism, a philosophical system that combines physicalism, subjectivism, ... |
cbef7d7d-c572-49e3-bf3b-6d142d194fe6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Modelling Transformative AI Risks (MTAIR) Project: Introduction
Numerous books, articles, and blog posts have laid out reasons to think that AI might pose catastrophic or existential risks for the future of humanity. However, these reasons often differ from each other both in details and in main conceptual arguments, ... |
6042f218-8628-4d4f-b51d-e2ccffcd8475 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] War and/or Peace (2/8)
Today's post, War and/or Peace (2/8) was originally published on 31 January 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The true prisoner's dilemma against aliens. The conference struggles to decide the appropriate course of action.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the com... |
6d99d61c-05c6-4a96-b5b5-7493aee26ef8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI timelines by bio anchors: the debate in one place
I've not yet seen a collection, in one place, of the various summaries, responses, and rebuttals around AI timelines via biological anchors. In the spirit of “[EAs should post more summaries and collections](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6trt8mTsKfqJJbfJ... |
e9339d2c-9e87-4e5c-b726-2e6abdfa1a27 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Is this community over-emphasizing AI alignment?
To be honest, I don't even really know what "AI alignment" is--and after skimming the wikipedia page on it, it sounds like it's a very broad term for a wide range of problems that arise at very different levels of abstraction--but I do know a smidgeon about machine lear... |
c5794aad-6bc5-497b-a364-ec32023f7cd0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Testing how summary break works
This should appear as a new post for a few seconds and then be deleted. Ignore please!
What goes here is under the summary break. |
121d7a59-fccc-410c-8acc-e1398f684d74 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LessWrong Community Weekend 2025- Applications are open
We are open for Applications:
https://airtable.com/appkj2FkJDGMtM2MA/pagiUldderZqbuBaP/form
>>> All infos on the main event page <<<
Please help spread the word!
Join the 12th Less Wrong Community Weekend (LWCW) in Berlin. This is among the largest rationali... |
224c3584-3244-4c8c-9cc6-f2c4e90866e8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Health] [Math] Proofs, forgetting, and an eldritch god
This post made me realize something very important, and in hindsight very obvious about myself. I'm leaving it up for future reference. I don't think it's actually very well written.
Originally, it was tagged [Math], not [Health] and [Math].
I envy computers so... |
bba158e5-1652-40c3-be6b-ba6021bc0e72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knights and Knaves
In the Knights and Knaves riddle you are facing a fork in the road, with one way leading to freedom and the other to death. There are two persons, a knight and a knave. The former always tells the truth while the latter always lies. You got to ask one yes/no question to find your way into freedom.
... |
51ec3f2e-4ea5-4ac0-88aa-f6850486df5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wrist Issues
I've been having trouble with my wrists on and off for years. The first time I remember, I think I was in seventh grade and I'd learned how to play a blues riff on the guitar that involved stretching widely while bending sharply at the wrist. It suddenly started hurting, and I needed to stop. This started... |
a0fdc4b4-4194-4af5-9cf9-28c04f132c3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thanksgiving and Covid
It's getting colder and the virus is still spreading. Hundreds of thousands of people are dead. It's 399 years later, and Thanksgiving has changed less than you might have have hoped.
When the English arrived in what is now Massachusetts they found the Wampanoag devastated by smallpox:
> The p... |
f4d986a1-e47a-481e-ae17-464555d28940 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Are nested jailbreaks inevitable?
One possible way to prevent jailbreaks is to review the prompt and the answer with a second moderator language model instance, and ask whether it is trying to subvert the rules of the first language model, is being too meta, etc. and then overrule the original response as something th... |
d59120bc-79ca-4f3d-826b-57e246f7e4c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Occupy Wall Street: Predictions, Speculations
On reddit today I read 'the-Gandhi-quote' on a post about the Wall Street Occupation Protest:
"First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you.."
I'm transitioning, possibly, from the laughing stage and am beginning to feel the tiniest bit excited that perhaps some actual ... |
b7e2fe83-04eb-401e-a4c4-c0d88912c442 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Critiques of prominent AI safety organizations: Introduction
Cross-posted from the EA Forum.
What is this series (and who are we)?
This is a series of evaluations of technical AI safety (TAIS) organizations. We evaluate organizations that have received more than $10 million per year in funding and that have had limi... |
3ab21659-c43d-4048-b521-845f5c6ded64 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | 2016 summer program recap
As previously [announced](https://intelligence.org/2016/03/28/announcing-a-new-colloquium-series-and-fellows-program/), we recently ran a 22-day **[Colloquium Series on Robust and Beneficial AI](https://intelligence.org/colloquium-series/)** (CSRBAI) at the MIRI office, co-hosted with the Oxf... |
220a07f6-b3cc-4d39-8fc2-e8e3c509a5d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An unaligned benchmark
My goal is to design AI systems that are aligned with human interests and competitive with unaligned AI.
I find it useful to have a particular AI algorithm in mind. Then I can think about how that algorithm could cause trouble, and try to find a safer variant.
I think of the possibly-unaligned... |
15561054-a2ad-4b07-9131-111d319eb098 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Enjoying Disagreeable Company
Bears resemblance to: Ureshiku Naritai; A Suite of Pragmatic Considerations In Favor of Niceness
In this comment, I mentioned that I can like people on purpose. At the behest of the recipients of my presentation on how to do so, I've written up in post form my tips on the subject. ... |
3eed53aa-dc22-455b-b38a-beb4c7bd21d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Social games
An interesting thing about playing board games is that in order to get the most out of the game, you have to pretend that you mostly care about winning the game. And not, for instance, about enjoying yourself, making your friend happy, or being cooperative or trustworthy outside of the game. This is somet... |
e471c9d3-d326-4901-9d31-7b41824f9a65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cached Thoughts
One of the single greatest puzzles about the human brain is how the damn thing works at all when most neurons fire 10–20 times per second, or 200Hz tops. In neurology, the “hundred-step rule” is that any postulated operation has to complete in at most 100 sequential steps—you can be as parallel as you ... |
e860cea5-c808-4b10-bd84-d23b9a7d9890 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup (West LA) : Virtual Evidence
Discussion article for the meetup : Virtual Evidence
WHEN: 05 February 2014 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064, USA
How to get in: Go to the Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the... |
4f5ac4cb-277e-4b3d-a5e0-9b4b7c73e9a6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Circuits Updates - July 2023
.section-authors {color: #777; font-style: italic; margin-top: -24px; margin-bottom: 32px; line-height: 1.3;} d-byline {display: none;} d-article hr {margin-top: 60px !important; margin-bottom: 60px !important;} d-title h1 {grid-column: text-start / page-end !important;} d-title {padding-b... |
24bc75fc-486c-4ce8-843c-fd763b300b32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Intelligent Social Web
Epistemic status: Fake Framework
When you walk into an improv scene, you usually have no idea what role you’re playing. All you have is some initial prompt — something like:
> “You three are in a garden. The scene has to involve a stuffed bear somehow. Go!”
So now you’re looking to the o... |
6c7d107b-a4e8-4ac4-a7bc-ba4da7dd9621 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI labs' requests for input
*Crossposted from* [*LessWrong*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5e3bXsBQLusuArzmN/ai-labs-requests-for-input)*.*
AI labs sometimes publicly ask for input on their actions, their products, and the future of AI. See OpenAI's [Democratic inputs to AI](https://openai.com/blog/democratic-input... |
1bcb1050-8f8a-4cc8-a910-25e923f60fbd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Mini Talks
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Mini Talks
WHEN: 15 March 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Reynolds Center
We will be meeting in the Kogod Courtyard of the Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture (8th and F Sts or 8th and G Sts NW, go stra... |
c45b194a-4ef0-4e18-b3a5-02ec580abebe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What’s the chance a smart London resident dies of a Russian nuke in the next month?
Credit allocation: the structure of this estimate, and some of the numbers, are basically lifted from a talk Nuño Sempere gave, but most of the numbers aren’t.
Epistemic status: I spent maybe an hour putting this together. I spent mor... |
a4b7f9a7-2210-48f6-a26a-22b2b20914bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Am confused about part of the IC* algorithm in Pearl's Causality.
(EDIT: Disregard this, the source of my confusion was me mixing up marked and unmarked arrows. I was thinking "marked arrow = actual causal arrow _or_ latent common cause in the underlying reality, unmarked arrow = actual causal arrow in the underlying ... |
589ff078-1162-415a-80b7-1ef850ca06c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When AI critique works even with misaligned models
When AIs don’t have perfect control over their actions and sometimes slip up, misaligned AIs critiquing AI-generated outputs with verifiable arguments can catch failures.
This post quickly explains a property which I find interesting, but doesn't aim at analyzing in ... |
ac621117-4108-47a2-83fe-a26be4a2901b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Four factors that moderate the intensity of emotions
Epistemic status: influenced by my study of emotions over the years, but primarily based on personal observation. Presented in the spirit of "here's a model, judge for yourself whether you think it's any good."
If you’re short on time or just skimming, I suggest sk... |
fc3c553e-dd5d-4fc9-8b8d-fcd35beaac21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | De-confusing myself about Pascal's Mugging and Newcomb's Problem
Epistemic status: I've been confused by Pascal's Mugging and Newcomb's Problem for a while now. After a clarifying short-form conversation with Dagon and others, I'm ready to post my thoughts as an essay to solicit feedback.
Pascal's Mugging and Newcomb... |
d641fb1f-3ac9-459e-986c-13c0865a2bf2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Dec. 1 - Dec. 7, 2014
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page be... |
f434188f-049f-4ecc-b26f-6f9dd63dabd6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why don't we just, like, try and build safe AGI?
Why not? Currently, the AGI efforts in the world seem to be like, openAI and deepmind. None of them have as their primary aim of building safe AGI.
Why don't we just get a few billion dollars together as a community, put everyone really smart somewhere, and just, go ... |
e9eb6bde-43ed-44c9-adac-ec7ccb67768e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | But why would the AI kill us?
*Status: Partially in response to [We Don't Trade With Ants](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wB7hdo4LDdhZ7kwJw/we-don-t-trade-with-ants), partly in response to watching others try to make versions of this point that I didn't like. None of this is particularly new; it feels to me like repe... |
97ed03e9-3dd9-4a52-a5ca-575a7e00cc27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Course - Saving Millions of lives at a time [link]
Coursera is running this shortly.
https://www.coursera.org/course/globaldiseasecontrol
Should be interesting to the folks interested in effective altruism here. |
c28cda28-8e91-4883-9432-9d97b4b4f697 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Safe Reinforcement Learning by Imagining the Near Future
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning (RL) enables the discovery of effective policies for sequential decision-making tasks via trial and error (Mnih et al., [2015](#bib.bib23); Gu et al., [2016](#bib.bib12); Bellemare et al., [2020](#bib.bib5... |
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