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605f01cc-9b49-408c-99b9-e83f61c129cc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Vegetarianism (Note: I wasn't quite sure whether this warranted a high level post or just a discussion. I haven't made a high level post yet, and wasn't entirely sure what the requirements are. For now I made it a discussion, but I'd like some feedback on that) I've been somewhat surprised by the lack of many threads...
ec25eeb4-e43a-4d4b-b779-cc488741ad14
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How much do personal biases in risk assessment affect assessment of AI risks? Had a stray thought that I think is worth exploring: perhaps disagreements over how to respond to AI risks are heavily influenced by personal biases in how to assess risk in general such that very different conclusions can be drawn from eval...
d2d93b24-e4a0-475e-aa84-00c3ec8053f5
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"Since 2011, some LessWrong folk have observed the winter solstice, as a holiday ritual celebrating human achievement in the face of a confusing, often terrifying world.I've written in the past about the potential value, and danger, of ritual. Over the past years my opinion shifted somewhat, but is still essentially su...
917db9e3-9081-4ec3-8199-aff6fac4ed41
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Life on the Rails At least, if you happen to be near me in brain space. ---------------------------------------- What advice would you give your younger self? That was the prompt for a class I taught at PAIR 2024. About a quarter of participants ranked it in their top 3 of...
be177b5f-0162-499c-a5a5-234011696ec1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : First Dorset UK Meetup Discussion article for the meetup : First Dorset UK Meetup WHEN: 14 April 2012 03:00:00PM (+0100) WHERE: 8A Cornhill, Town Centre, Dorchester DT1 1BA If you're in or around the area, come along and bring friends. Let me know if you're interested and can't make the date, as we can pr...
69e0b7c2-d756-4200-a6ea-5c5081ce20a0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Paper: Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability TL;DR: This paper brings together ~30 mechanistic interpretability researchers from 18 different research orgs to review current progress and the main open problems of the field. This review collects the perspectives of its various authors and represents a synthe...
bd14d322-898d-47eb-a39f-55b1680e7fa5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Developer experience for the motivation I watched this YouTube video a few months ago that really stuck with me. It was about how to organize your kitchen. The video went through 10 tips, but before getting in to those tips it talked about the why. Why is organizing your kitchen important in the first place? Well, th...
8cabca04-9104-4697-9bb2-e0e93f13bba5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How do you align your emotions through updates and existential uncertainty? Asking this question since I expect other people to be in a similar position:[1] There are many ways the future could plausibly go from here, ranging from "doom this year" to "things are mostly fine by default". And as some of these scenarios...
918be29d-7382-42d2-8ffb-d84bf945df5d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Sixty years after the Cuban Missile Crisis, a new era of global catastrophic risks Linkpost for a [short op-ed](https://thebulletin.org/2022/10/sixty-years-after-the-cuban-missile-crisis-how-to-face-a-new-era-of-global-catastrophic-risks/) I wrote in the *Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists* in light of the upcoming 60t...
7c235633-46f5-41a7-8084-945d06f1217b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Alignment Forum should have more transparent membership standards This is a public complaint about the Alignment Forum that I hope will improve the overall health of the AI Safety community as it exists there and elsewhere. This post is basically a short story about how I was refused membership by the AF mod team ...
6a5049d0-eec2-4827-8df7-f457950371c3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] Why truth? And... Today's post, Why truth? And... was originally published on 27 November 2006. A summary (taken from the LW wiki): > Why should we seek truth? Pure curiosity is an emotion, but not therefore irrational. Instrumental value is another reason, with the advantage of giving an outside verifica...
ee31fea8-ca6b-4af0-8357-4f79d347ee00
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
How we’re predicting AI–or failing to MIRI MACHINE INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH INSTITUTEHow We’re Predicting AI—or Failing To Stuart Armstrong Future of Humanity Institute Kaj Sotala Machine Intelligence Research Institute Abstract This paper will look at the various predictions that have been made about AI and pro- pose de...
4cf015e3-fee7-4b70-9d05-29e4a5460cb6
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
How special are human brains among animal brains? Humans are capable of feats of cognition that appear qualitatively more sophisticated than those of any other animals. Is this appearance of a qualitative difference indicative of human brains being essentially more complex than the brains of any other animal? Or is th...
102d8ce1-f3e6-4d85-95bc-68e224a7a7cb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Input Swap Graphs: Discovering the role of neural network components at scale This post was written as part of the work done at Conjecture. You can try input swap graphs in a collab notebook or explore the library to replicate the results. Thanks to Beren Millidge and Eric Winsor for useful discussions throughout th...
86d2f7c5-0042-4b39-9d63-e7f8a887d05f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How predictive processing solved my wrist pain This is a post about a period of major suffering I went through, and how I acquired the knowledge and skill to eventually lift me out of it.  Disclaimer: this is not medical advice — consider it a personal narrative, perhaps a starting point for exploration.  A fire bu...
20a048a2-87d7-4230-bc67-ae449d8b13b0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
2019 Winter Solstice Collection If you know of a 2019 Winter Solstice event, or solstice-adjacent megameetup, please post relevant links in a comment here.
c04e97e1-3d10-42db-b078-b34524dc25bf
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] Can Humanism Match Religion's Output? Today's post, Can Humanism Match Religion's Output? was originally published on 27 March 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > Anyone with a simple and obvious charitable project - responding with food and shelter to a tidal wave in Thailand, say - would be b...
fc43db5e-0b6e-42fb-9d1b-8e8a20f2c793
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Rationality Reading Group: Part L: The Simple Math of Evolution This is part of a semi-monthly reading group on Eliezer Yudkowsky's ebook, Rationality: From AI to Zombies. For more information about the group, see the announcement post. ---------------------------------------- Welcome to the Rationality reading grou...
059f7754-c8fa-44b5-8fc5-e8b30af9e95b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
It matters when the first sharp left turn happens Thanks to Evan Hubinger for comments on these ideas. Introduction A “sharp left turn” is a point where capabilities generalize beyond alignment. In a sharp left turn an AI becomes much more capable than aligned, and so starts to exploit flaws in its alignment. This ...
10b0036c-1493-4d9b-a2f8-555e549a17c0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On the Power of Intelligence and Rationality As Eliezer and many others on Less Wrong have said, the way the human species rose to dominate the Earth was through our intelligence- and not through our muscle power, biochemical weapons, or superior resistance to environmental hazards. Given our overwhelming power over o...
0691a96c-637c-4d6e-912d-1d9bb13f3fc0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
ML4Good (AI Safety Bootcamp) - Experience report Introduction This is a short summary of my experience attending the ML4Good UK bootcamp in September 2024. There are 2 previous experience reports I link to at the bottom, but because the program is refined each time, I wanted to describe my experience and add my two ce...
5a01a285-593a-49c3-8b42-f4b49f1b145b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[link] Desiderata for a model of human values http://kajsotala.fi/2015/11/desiderata-for-a-model-of-human-values/ > Soares (2015) defines the value learning problem as > > By what methods could an intelligent machine be constructed to reliably learn what to value and to act as its operators intended? > > There have...
c3d0abdd-4a0e-4d12-a825-1cb8ec591d55
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Stag Hunt—cultivating cooperation to reap rewards This is a short primer on the Stag Hunt, as part of a series looking for an alternative game theory poster-child to the Prisoner's Dilemma, which has some issues. I think the Stag Hunt could be utilised more in real world applications. I'm interested in feedback. ...
e3a6b3ed-25b7-44e7-be1b-4de945a5d992
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Astrobiology III: Why Earth? After many tribulations, my astrobiology bloggery is back up and running using Wordpress rather than Blogger because Blogger is completely unusable these days.  I've taken the opportunity of the move to make better graphs for my old posts.  "The Solar System: Why Earth?" https://thegrea...
438c442f-431b-4061-a0ed-507ba2f9991b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Book Review: Working With Contracts Contracts is one of those areas that I always figured I ought to study, at least enough to pick up the basics, but never seemed either interesting or important enough to reach the front of my queue. On top of that, there’s a lot of different angles from which to approach the subject...
a90d0222-8551-488b-b735-4ebe4a0948ff
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A push towards interactive transformer decoding In Brief: I've been developing an interactive tool that I believe is helpful in accelerating transformer mechanistic analysis and that has the potential to reduce the barrier of entry.      Motivations For a while now, my focus has been shifting towards alignment r...
3a9d05ea-8425-4318-8967-7dbf634c7b0b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
From the outside, American schooling is weird g-w1 Hey, so I wanted to start this dialogue because we were talking on Discord about the secondary school systems and college admission processes in the US vs NZ, and some of the differences were very surprising to me. I think that it may be illuminating to fellow Americ...
afa19d83-1b0a-4c8f-9b97-2fb50bbd9edf
awestover/filtering-for-misalignment
Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results
id: post3900 This post is obsolete, replaced by this one . EDIT: Defining C and the conditions on C is a bit more complicated than presented here, still have some details to formalise. Corrigibility was an attempt to allow an AI to safely change its values, without seeking to provoke or avoid the change. The idea is t...
6d613501-7a4d-4e50-b20b-557f6ddbb55b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Thyroid Hormones, Chronic Fatigue and Fibromyalgia: A Hypothesis and a Proposed Experiment [For background see: http://lesswrong.com/lw/n8u/a_medical_mystery_thyroid_hormones_chronic/ I thought of a class of solutions, I went looking for possible evidence, someone's already proposed what looks like a perfect answer, ...
c49d9d33-613f-4a95-8bda-68d6fac44546
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
P(doom|AGI) is high: why the default outcome of AGI is doom [Added **13Jun:** Submitted to OpenPhil AI Worldviews Contest - [this pdf version](https://www.dropbox.com/s/oycunp4ld34hctp/%5BOpenPhil%20AI%20Worldviews%20Contest%5D%20Why%20the%20most%20likely%20outcome%20of%20AGI%20is%20doom%20-%20Google%20Docs.pdf?dl=0) ...
df4111c5-09a0-4f3e-aa83-2dc1c8bf7c0a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Sick of struggling I’m just sick of struggling through life. The inefficiencies all around me are staggering and overwhelming. Why do we limit ourselves so much when our possibilities are endless? This forums seems like the closest place I’ve come to finding the best of humanity. That being said, curious how many have...
1cc697a5-76e5-41af-8591-cd715c053b23
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
The empty set is the only set which satisfies the universal property of the empty set Here, we will prove that the only [set](https://arbital.com/p/3jz) which satisfies the [https://arbital.com/p/-5zr](https://arbital.com/p/-5zr) is the [https://arbital.com/p/-5zc](https://arbital.com/p/-5zc) itself. This will tell us...
81058e14-306b-42ce-ad86-d7f57894ee51
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Automating Intelligence: A Cursory Glance at How AutoML Brings Precision to AI Development Motivation: At the outset of 2023, OpenAI unveiled GPT-4 [1], claiming it to be "at or beyond human-level for many tasks... showing sparks of artificial general intelligence". This mirrors the breakthrough that marked the start ...
f9321f6c-6622-403a-92ab-c31603167937
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Replicator->Vehicle Alignment and Human->AI Alignment Disclaimer: I sometimes use conscious or agentic language to describe relationships or behaviors of non-conscious and non-agentic entities (like genes). I am under no illusion that such things are conscious or agentic. Sometimes it is simply clearer and less awkwar...
bc96074a-a4c3-4beb-b069-90f6906849de
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A thought-process testing opportunity If you haven't seen the video of a wet towel being wrung out in space yet, it provides a great opportunity to test some basic rationality skills. Skill #1: Notice the opportunity. (I failed this test. I had a fuzzy, wrong idea about what would happen. I didn't notice the fuzzines...
e446119c-8263-470e-b458-8981b77f13a0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
SARS-CoV-2, 19 times less likely to infect people under 15 Is a small volume of low quality data sufficient for making meaningful claims about CFR and R0 ? Epistemic Status: Wild off-the-cuff speculation Note: This post was written on 24-03-2020 during the srars-cov-2 pandemic DISCLAIMER ! This is NOT an article cl...
947591cb-b3ec-425a-b615-7cacf34cc3e9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Why “put down your phone and go outside” is Bad Advice. If you’re like me in 2017, your phone is your drug of choice. My insurance didn’t provide me with any internet abuse rehab options. (Though at least one place exists.) I was sick of being a NEET and spending all my time online, so I gave my phone and laptop to a...
626b408d-7913-41a9-a555-216334664e8e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Helen Toner on China, CSET, and AI Miscellaneous excerpts I found interesting from Julia Galef's recent interview of Helen Toner: ---------------------------------------- Helen Toner: [...] [8:00] I feel like the West has this portrayal of the company Baidu as the "Google" of China. And when you think “Google,” you ...
d92b746e-4e0a-4dd7-a538-2024f4e1a8f4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open thread, September 2-8, 2013 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
f9efb5c3-2a86-46f9-83f0-674c28777948
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
BERI is hiring an ML Software Engineer All info and application here: <https://existence.org/jobs/ml-engineer-seldonian> BERI is seeking a full-time machine learning software engineer as part of our collaboration with the [Autonomous Learning Laboratory](https://all.cs.umass.edu/) at UMass Amherst. The engineer will...
367a8ee0-86a2-4f0d-b1a3-3135a46ccc61
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Working out consequences of science-fictional ideas I have a pet sci-fi setting I use as a handy platform to play with various ideas, such as figuring out what some of the likely consequences would be of relatively easy access to orbit, or applying 'Avatar' remote-control techniques to live people. One question that r...
1c7f3d52-5998-4ceb-9abc-7e9ec19f97b0
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Favorite / most obscure research on understanding DNNs? Looking for: 1. Any results / lines of research I haven't heard of in areas like interpretability, inductive biases, and ML theory 2. Obscure papers or posts on things like double descent, simplicity bias, induction heads, and grokking
90b6465a-6a32-46d3-a8b8-0526bd13bac5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On the falsifiability of hypercomputation, part 2: finite input streams In part 1, I discussed the falsifiability of hypercomputation in a typed setting where putative oracles may be assumed to return natural numbers. In this setting, there are very powerful forms of hypercomputation (at least as powerful as each leve...
41c16866-671c-4ec3-9438-ac9c13ccf112
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Sunday October 18, 12:00PM (PT) — Garden Party This Sunday noon (12:00PM PT) we're having a party in the LessWrong Walled Garden. It can always be Spring if we really want it to be. This is a private space that the LessWrong team has been working on (and coworking in) for the past couple weeks. Tomorrow we'll be host...
c40a9e6b-8fe4-41bb-8fc4-6267413839c6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup WHEN: 04 January 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700) WHERE: 144 North College Avenue, Fort Collins, CO 80524 A new year, a new opportunity to meet up. Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup
8006ccca-e1cd-4b94-86e6-aad98078d953
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Social Proficiency of a Rationalist and a Scholar Followup to Recovering Insufferable Genius So, we've been talking a mighty amount on avoiding and understanding the common pitfalls and mistakes that plague most human minds for various biological, evolutionary and social reasons. This knowledge is supposed to be used...
f19a2bcf-f77d-4fc6-a8e8-f52bdbb20625
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Intersection The intersection of two sets $A$ and $B$, denoted $A \cap B$, is the set of elements which are in both $A$ and $B$. ![illustration of the output of an intersection](https://imgh.us/set_intersection_1.svg) Formally stated, where $C = A \cap B$ $$x \in C \leftrightarrow (x \in A \land x \in B)$$ That is...
95248d38-3768-4778-9a43-4ba9b4cfc75e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Deminatalist Total Utilitarianism TLDR: I propose a system of population ethics that arguably solves all major paradoxes, and formalizes some intuitions that prior systems have not. AFAIK this is original but I'm not an expert so maybe it's not. This idea was inspired by a discussion in the "EA Corner" discord server...
6cd82098-604d-4b6f-82ab-c5e5b378fdfb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Help me find a good Hackathon subject Let's list the constraints: * Basically, people know how to code but don't really know ML * But at the same time, 3 days is enough time to learn a notion or understand and improve a template * If we don't want it to be a hard to evaluate, the evaluation metric must be clear ...
d8273369-6694-4b65-9a1d-61cf50e34f49
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Cryptographic Boxes for Unfriendly AI Related to: Shut up and do the impossible!; Everything about an AI in a box. One solution to the problem of friendliness is to develop a self-improving, unfriendly AI, put it in a box, and ask it to make a friendly AI for us.  This gets around the incredible difficulty of develop...
0ebca0d5-a9c5-4715-a430-c3dc2ca14803
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
On the compute governance era and what has to come after (Lennart Heim on The 80,000 Hours Podcast) We just published an interview: [**Lennart Heim on the compute governance era and what has to come after**](https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/lennart-heim-compute-governance/)**.** You can click through for the au...
1af6ff86-02fa-448d-b3bc-1d48ba1e1754
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On calling inconceivable what you've already conceived.
ac70907f-2cc2-4eb8-adb3-0789aef19e1b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
2020: Forecasting in Review. This document contains a series of highlights about forecasting in 2020 which I have gathered after 10 months of writing a forecasting newsletter. I'll write one or two paragraphs for each point, and then list ideas which interested readers can follow up on. As such, this piece can be read...
04fe2f0e-9043-4921-8aa2-9a1d1060beee
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle Today's post, The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle was originally published on 23 April 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > Unlike classical physics, in quantum physics it is not possible to separate out a particle's "position" from its "...
3485cda5-5d81-421c-827e-c1c0f8c0f2c4
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Beyond Winning and Losing: Modeling Human Motivations and Behaviors Using Inverse Reinforcement Learning 1 Introduction --------------- In recent years, reinforcement learning (RL) methods have been applied to model gameplay with great success, achieving super-human performance in various environments, such as Atar...
0f4cb877-918f-4773-aca4-6bee8e5867d2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Three AI Safety Related Ideas (I have a health problem that is acting up and making it hard to type for long periods of time, so I'm condensing three posts into one.) 1. AI design as opportunity and obligation to address human safety problems Many AI safety problems are likely to have counterparts in humans. AI desi...
ed95980e-85d6-4a76-bbf4-e30a4bc7cc41
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Let them eat cake: Interpersonal Problems vs Tasks When I read Alicorn's post on problems vs tasks, I immediately realized that the proposed terminology helped express one of my pet peeves: the resistance in society to applying rationality to socializing and dating. In a thread long, long ago, SilasBarta described hi...
b47c3393-655a-419a-9e5c-b810fba180ca
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Stuart Russell and Melanie Mitchell on Munk Debates Financial status: This is independent research, now supported by a grant. Epistemic status: Reflections on a debate about AI. ---------------------------------------- Earlier this year, The Munk Debates podcast organized a debate between Stuart Russell and Melanie...
dafe8002-0111-43e5-99ac-e732d8f17bf4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
One weird trick to turn maximisers into minimisers A putative new idea for AI control; index here. A simple and easy design for a u-maximising agent that turns into a u-minimising one. Let X be some boolean random variable outside the agent's control, that will be determined at some future time t (based on a cosmic ...
d1932ca9-2036-4e0d-b28f-89558e43ae9e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Thinking-in-limits about TAI from the demand perspective. Demand saturation, resource wars, new debt. **Epistemic status:** considerations **Disclaimer 1:** So far, I raised this point in a few conversations, and people encouraged me to develop my thinking into a post. This is my attempt to do so. I have no expert kn...
e24f780e-6864-4f81-9305-1863922dd665
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Zagreb meetup - July 27th Discussion article for the meetup : Zagreb meetup - July 27th WHEN: 27 July 2013 07:00:00PM (+0200) WHERE: Tkalčićeva 36 (Pivnica Mali Medo) in Zagreb, Croatia A casual meetup, socializing and planning future meetups. Detailed directions: when you enter, go up the stairs and watc...
29002185-725a-4f0c-b273-754b3871c085
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Rationality of sometimes missing the point of the stated question, and of certain type of defensive reasoning Imagine that you are being asked a question; a moral question involving an imaginary world. From the prior experience with people, you have learnt that people behave in a certain way; people are, for the most ...
91cf393e-ae6d-430e-ae64-3a1c6f5e4236
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Who wants to bet me $25k at 1:7 odds that there won't be an AI market crash in the next year? If there turns out not to be an AI crash, you get a  1/(1+7) * $25,000 = $3,125 If there is an AI crash, you transfer $25k to me. If you believe that AI is going to keep getting more capable, pushing rapid user growth and wo...
25ac0c66-600a-4a7e-b0b0-af7181e2200c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
[AN #165]: When large models are more likely to lie Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this spreadsheet](https:...
78c63f25-e081-4e7e-bbae-1623b3b5cc7b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
CGP Grey on the difficulty of knowing what's true [audio] Starts 00:34:40, ends 00:49:06. Features discussion of tracking down sources for historical 'facts' to discover that the sources don't say what people say they say, the difficulty of knowing what's true, and exasperation at the idea that companies such as YouTu...
7cf8e683-5255-4138-8cd8-66468c05980b
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
Parallels Between AI Safety by Debate and Evidence Law In this post, I highlight some parallels between [AI Safety by Debate](https://openai.com/blog/debate/) (“Debate”) and [evidence law](https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/fre). Evidence law structures high-stakes arguments with human judges. =======================...
ca603954-b3d0-4196-9d94-00e76cf504f3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Freedom under Naturalistic Dualism The final version of "Freedom under Naturalistic dualism" is now published in Journal of NeuroPhilosophy, in the above link.   This article explores the concept of freedom within the framework of naturalistic dualism, a philosophical system that combines physicalism, subjectivism, ...
cbef7d7d-c572-49e3-bf3b-6d142d194fe6
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Modelling Transformative AI Risks (MTAIR) Project: Introduction Numerous books, articles, and blog posts have laid out reasons to think that AI might pose catastrophic or existential risks for the future of humanity. However, these reasons often differ from each other both in details and in main conceptual arguments, ...
6042f218-8628-4d4f-b51d-e2ccffcd8475
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] War and/or Peace (2/8) Today's post, War and/or Peace (2/8) was originally published on 31 January 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > The true prisoner's dilemma against aliens. The conference struggles to decide the appropriate course of action. Discuss the post here (rather than in the com...
6d99d61c-05c6-4a96-b5b5-7493aee26ef8
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
AI timelines by bio anchors: the debate in one place I've not yet seen a collection, in one place, of the various summaries, responses, and rebuttals around AI timelines via biological anchors. In the spirit of “[EAs should post more summaries and collections](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6trt8mTsKfqJJbfJ...
e9339d2c-9e87-4e5c-b726-2e6abdfa1a27
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Is this community over-emphasizing AI alignment? To be honest, I don't even really know what "AI alignment" is--and after skimming the wikipedia page on it, it sounds like it's a very broad term for a wide range of problems that arise at very different levels of abstraction--but I do know a smidgeon about machine lear...
c5794aad-6bc5-497b-a364-ec32023f7cd0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Testing how summary break works This should appear as a new post for a few seconds and then be deleted. Ignore please!   What goes here is under the summary break.
121d7a59-fccc-410c-8acc-e1398f684d74
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
LessWrong Community Weekend 2025- Applications are open We are open for Applications:  https://airtable.com/appkj2FkJDGMtM2MA/pagiUldderZqbuBaP/form >>> All infos on the main event page <<< Please help spread the word! Join the 12th Less Wrong Community Weekend (LWCW) in Berlin. This is among the largest rationali...
224c3584-3244-4c8c-9cc6-f2c4e90866e8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Health] [Math] Proofs, forgetting, and an eldritch god This post made me realize something very important, and in hindsight very obvious about myself. I'm leaving it up for future reference. I don't think it's actually very well written. Originally, it was tagged [Math], not [Health] and [Math]. I envy computers so...
bba158e5-1652-40c3-be6b-ba6021bc0e72
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Knights and Knaves In the Knights and Knaves riddle you are facing a fork in the road, with one way leading to freedom and the other to death. There are two persons, a knight and a knave. The former always tells the truth while the latter always lies. You got to ask one yes/no question to find your way into freedom. ...
51ec3f2e-4ea5-4ac0-88aa-f6850486df5b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Wrist Issues I've been having trouble with my wrists on and off for years. The first time I remember, I think I was in seventh grade and I'd learned how to play a blues riff on the guitar that involved stretching widely while bending sharply at the wrist. It suddenly started hurting, and I needed to stop. This started...
a0fdc4b4-4194-4af5-9cf9-28c04f132c3e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Thanksgiving and Covid It's getting colder and the virus is still spreading. Hundreds of thousands of people are dead. It's 399 years later, and Thanksgiving has changed less than you might have have hoped. When the English arrived in what is now Massachusetts they found the Wampanoag devastated by smallpox: > The p...
f4d986a1-e47a-481e-ae17-464555d28940
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Are nested jailbreaks inevitable? One possible way to prevent jailbreaks is to review the prompt and the answer with a second moderator language model instance, and ask whether it is trying to subvert the rules of the first language model, is being too meta, etc. and then overrule the original response as something th...
d59120bc-79ca-4f3d-826b-57e246f7e4c7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Occupy Wall Street: Predictions, Speculations On reddit today I read 'the-Gandhi-quote' on a post about the Wall Street Occupation Protest: "First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you.." I'm transitioning, possibly, from the laughing stage and am beginning to feel the tiniest bit excited that perhaps some actual ...
b7e2fe83-04eb-401e-a4c4-c0d88912c442
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Critiques of prominent AI safety organizations: Introduction Cross-posted from the EA Forum. What is this series (and who are we)? This is a series of evaluations of technical AI safety (TAIS) organizations. We evaluate organizations that have received more than $10 million per year in funding and that have had limi...
3ab21659-c43d-4048-b521-845f5c6ded64
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
2016 summer program recap As previously [announced](https://intelligence.org/2016/03/28/announcing-a-new-colloquium-series-and-fellows-program/), we recently ran a 22-day **[Colloquium Series on Robust and Beneficial AI](https://intelligence.org/colloquium-series/)** (CSRBAI) at the MIRI office, co-hosted with the Oxf...
220a07f6-b3cc-4d39-8fc2-e8e3c509a5d6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
An unaligned benchmark My goal is to design AI systems that are aligned with human interests and competitive with unaligned AI. I find it useful to have a particular AI algorithm in mind. Then I can think about how that algorithm could cause trouble, and try to find a safer variant. I think of the possibly-unaligned...
15561054-a2ad-4b07-9131-111d319eb098
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On Enjoying Disagreeable Company Bears resemblance to: Ureshiku Naritai; A Suite of Pragmatic Considerations In Favor of Niceness In this comment, I mentioned that I can like people on purpose.  At the behest of the recipients of my presentation on how to do so, I've written up in post form my tips on the subject.  ...
3eed53aa-dc22-455b-b38a-beb4c7bd21d0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Social games An interesting thing about playing board games is that in order to get the most out of the game, you have to pretend that you mostly care about winning the game. And not, for instance, about enjoying yourself, making your friend happy, or being cooperative or trustworthy outside of the game. This is somet...
e471c9d3-d326-4901-9d31-7b41824f9a65
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Cached Thoughts One of the single greatest puzzles about the human brain is how the damn thing works at all when most neurons fire 10–20 times per second, or 200Hz tops. In neurology, the “hundred-step rule” is that any postulated operation has to complete in at most 100 sequential steps—you can be as parallel as you ...
e860cea5-c808-4b10-bd84-d23b9a7d9890
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup (West LA) : Virtual Evidence Discussion article for the meetup : Virtual Evidence WHEN: 05 February 2014 07:00:00PM (-0800) WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064, USA How to get in: Go to the Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the...
4f5ac4cb-277e-4b3d-a5e0-9b4b7c73e9a6
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Circuits Updates - July 2023 .section-authors {color: #777; font-style: italic; margin-top: -24px; margin-bottom: 32px; line-height: 1.3;} d-byline {display: none;} d-article hr {margin-top: 60px !important; margin-bottom: 60px !important;} d-title h1 {grid-column: text-start / page-end !important;} d-title {padding-b...
24bc75fc-486c-4ce8-843c-fd763b300b32
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Intelligent Social Web Epistemic status: Fake Framework When you walk into an improv scene, you usually have no idea what role you’re playing. All you have is some initial prompt — something like: > “You three are in a garden. The scene has to involve a stuffed bear somehow. Go!” So now you’re looking to the o...
6c7d107b-a4e8-4ac4-a7bc-ba4da7dd9621
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
AI labs' requests for input *Crossposted from* [*LessWrong*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5e3bXsBQLusuArzmN/ai-labs-requests-for-input)*.* AI labs sometimes publicly ask for input on their actions, their products, and the future of AI. See OpenAI's [Democratic inputs to AI](https://openai.com/blog/democratic-input...
1bcb1050-8f8a-4cc8-a910-25e923f60fbd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Mini Talks Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Mini Talks WHEN: 15 March 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: Reynolds Center We will be meeting in the Kogod Courtyard of the Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture (8th and F Sts or 8th and G Sts NW, go stra...
c45b194a-4ef0-4e18-b3a5-02ec580abebe
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What’s the chance a smart London resident dies of a Russian nuke in the next month? Credit allocation: the structure of this estimate, and some of the numbers, are basically lifted from a talk Nuño Sempere gave, but most of the numbers aren’t. Epistemic status: I spent maybe an hour putting this together. I spent mor...
a4b7f9a7-2210-48f6-a26a-22b2b20914bd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Am confused about part of the IC* algorithm in Pearl's Causality. (EDIT: Disregard this, the source of my confusion was me mixing up marked and unmarked arrows. I was thinking "marked arrow = actual causal arrow _or_ latent common cause in the underlying reality, unmarked arrow = actual causal arrow in the underlying ...
589ff078-1162-415a-80b7-1ef850ca06c7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
When AI critique works even with misaligned models When AIs don’t have perfect control over their actions and sometimes slip up, misaligned AIs critiquing AI-generated outputs with verifiable arguments can catch failures. This post quickly explains a property which I find interesting, but doesn't aim at analyzing in ...
ac621117-4108-47a2-83fe-a26be4a2901b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Four factors that moderate the intensity of emotions Epistemic status: influenced by my study of emotions over the years, but primarily based on personal observation. Presented in the spirit of "here's a model, judge for yourself whether you think it's any good." If you’re short on time or just skimming, I suggest sk...
fc3c553e-dd5d-4fc9-8b8d-fcd35beaac21
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
De-confusing myself about Pascal's Mugging and Newcomb's Problem Epistemic status: I've been confused by Pascal's Mugging and Newcomb's Problem for a while now. After a clarifying short-form conversation with Dagon and others, I'm ready to post my thoughts as an essay to solicit feedback. Pascal's Mugging and Newcomb...
d641fb1f-3ac9-459e-986c-13c0865a2bf2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open thread, Dec. 1 - Dec. 7, 2014 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page be...
f434188f-049f-4ecc-b26f-6f9dd63dabd6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Why don't we just, like, try and build safe AGI? Why not? Currently, the AGI efforts in the world seem to be like, openAI and deepmind. None of them have as their primary aim of building safe AGI.   Why don't we just get a few billion dollars together as a community, put everyone really smart somewhere, and just, go ...
e9eb6bde-43ed-44c9-adac-ec7ccb67768e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
But why would the AI kill us? *Status: Partially in response to [We Don't Trade With Ants](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wB7hdo4LDdhZ7kwJw/we-don-t-trade-with-ants), partly in response to watching others try to make versions of this point that I didn't like. None of this is particularly new; it feels to me like repe...
97ed03e9-3dd9-4a52-a5ca-575a7e00cc27
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Course - Saving Millions of lives at a time [link] Coursera is running this shortly.  https://www.coursera.org/course/globaldiseasecontrol Should be interesting to the folks interested in effective altruism here.
c28cda28-8e91-4883-9432-9d97b4b4f697
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Safe Reinforcement Learning by Imagining the Near Future 1 Introduction --------------- Reinforcement learning (RL) enables the discovery of effective policies for sequential decision-making tasks via trial and error (Mnih et al., [2015](#bib.bib23); Gu et al., [2016](#bib.bib12); Bellemare et al., [2020](#bib.bib5...