id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
2dabc5a9-fbbe-40de-bf93-c985a3836dab | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "UPDATE: Offer of mentorship is closed, since I received sufficiently many candidates for now. Offer of collaboration remains open for experienced researchers (i.e. researchers that (i) have some track record of original math / theoretical compsci research, and (ii) are able to take on concrete open problems without mu... |
568cb06b-8bfa-458a-8b91-4401bc2d04fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #27: Defensive Accelerationism, A Retrospective On The OpenAI Board Saga, And A New AI Bill From Senators Thune And Klobuchar
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe here to receive future versions.
... |
233cfc26-68f4-4c51-b767-d9e7efd405b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Guilt: Another Gift Nobody Wants
Evolutionary psychology has made impressive progress in understanding the origins of morality. Along with the many posts about these origins on Less Wrong I recommend Robert Wright's The Moral Animal for an excellent introduction to the subject.
Guilt does not naturally fall out of th... |
d21b5451-54d4-4608-bcf2-9e11a9083181 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Atlanta: Rationalist Movie Night!
Discussion article for the meetup : Atlanta: Rationalist Movie Night!
WHEN: 26 October 2013 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 1314 Hosea L Williams Dr. NE, Atlanta
Woo! Let's do rationalist cinema, and have popcorn, then discussion, games, or going out for coffee or whatever we l... |
383dd4a4-7754-4481-b9a7-88286888e11f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recommended reading on the ethics of Animal Cognitive Enhancement
Does anyone have recommendations of good things to read on the ethics of animal cognitive enhancement? By this I mean applying various methods of human cognitive enhancement (pharmacological, technological, etc) to animals such as the Great Apes. I've a... |
338496d9-808a-4475-b5ae-52ece1a58297 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hedonic vs Preference Utilitarianism in the Context of Wireheading
We're probably going to develop the technology to directly produce pleasure in the brain with electrical stimulation. We already do this to some extent, though with the goal of restoring people to normal function. This poses a similar question to drugs... |
856ee57a-6932-426b-a6ac-fd70456e0f00 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | How I think about alignment
*This was written as part of the first*[*Refine*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5uiQkyKdejX3aEHLM/how-to-diversify-conceptual-alignment-the-model-behind) *blog post day. Thanks for comments by Chin Ze Shen, Tamsin Leake, Paul Bricman, Adam Shimi.*
Magic agentic fluid/force
==============... |
0763f60d-78d2-4be0-8f7d-1b268e37e4cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The Artificial Intentional Stance
Another post in the same incremental vein. Still hoarding the wild speculation for later.
**I**
The idea of the "intentional stance" comes from [Dan Dennett](https://www.cs.tufts.edu/comp/150AAA/DennettTrueBelievers.pdf), who wanted to explain why it makes sense that we should thin... |
2878fc97-163d-4a7a-aa70-5d260d190360 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Change And Identity: a Story and Discussion on the Evolving Self
This post is the first in a sequence, which also appears on my Substack page, where I'm working to clarify my views on personal identity and consciousness. It begins with a short piece of fiction, 'Change,' which aims to illustrate the ways our identiti... |
becf1233-c9f3-478d-897c-dc3707e2d8b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book: Psychiatry and the Human Condition
I'm about half-way through this fascinating book, conveniently available for free online, which is at the intersection of psychiatry and evolutionary psychology. I don't have the time to do it justice, so I'm going to post a few choice excerpts here in the hope that those who ... |
da144cc7-1d5e-410a-b360-a8be1b493e21 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Memory bandwidth constraints imply economies of scale in AI inference
Contemporary GPUs often have very imbalanced memory vs arithmetic operation capabilities. For instance, an [H100](https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/data-center/h100/) can do around 3e15 8-bit FLOP/s, but the speed at which information can move between th... |
53b7639e-a454-47c7-ac41-7d7256b10063 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A big Singularity-themed Hollywood movie out in April offers many opportunities to talk about AI risk
There's a big Hollywood movie coming out with an apocalyptic Singularity-like story, called Transcendence. (IMDB, Wiki, official site) With an A-list cast and big budget, I contend this movie is the front-runner to be... |
2e3a8c63-14be-4d5a-818c-9929b95a04fb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 40,000 reasons to worry about AI safety
There is an argument that AI will have a Sputnik moment, an event that triggers a calamitous race towards dangerous AGI.
This Sputnik moment may have already happened. OpenAI's decision to develop and release various forms of GPT has triggered [Google to take on more risk](htt... |
cea87ba4-74cd-457c-820b-57e728adbc37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Office of Science and Technology Policy put out a request for information on A.I.
This request for information does cover some of the possible existential risks, in the first section. I am going to submit a few responses of my own, and I am hopeful others will do the same.
1. What specific measures – such as s... |
8350914d-5b40-408e-9ac5-846c162f6f10 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver Minicamp Report-Back
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver Minicamp Report-Back
WHEN: 18 May 2012 05:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Vancouver
Minicamp was totally awesome and I learned so much. I think I can put it best like this: I no longer have "a sense that more is possible" it is now "More i... |
0cbea593-3d36-4cbc-9b2b-67762fc12464 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Yale: Initial Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Yale: Initial Meetup
WHEN: 16 February 2014 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Bass Library Cafe, 110 Wall St, New Haven, CT 06511
Hi. If anyone who goes to Yale is interested in meeting up, I'll be in Bass Cafe on Sunday, February 16, from 2 to 4 pm. I'll br... |
9a5ca6b5-6087-485b-919d-5c45879436e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Belief in Self-Deception
I spoke yesterday of my conversation with a nominally Orthodox Jewish woman who vigorously defended the assertion that she believed in God, while seeming not to actually believe in God at all.
While I was questioning her about the benefits that she thought came from believing in God, I introd... |
40325f0f-df93-4b7e-8f21-aaaf71bba556 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CFAR: Progress Report & Future Plans
Context: This is the first in a series of year-end updates from CFAR. This post mainly describes what CFAR did over the past two years, and what it plans to do next year; other posts in the series will describe more about its mission, financials, and impact.
(12/29/19: Edited to m... |
b6a5225d-1fec-40a7-88a2-e9a734dd88ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to LessWrong (January 2016)
If you've recently joined the Less Wrong community, please leave a comment here and introduce yourself. We'd love to know who you are, what you're doing, what you value, how you came to identify as a rationalist or how you found us. You can skip right to that if you like; the rest o... |
6ca14f58-8950-447f-b47b-b309a6478cda | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Fermi Estimates
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Fermi Estimates
WHEN: 27 April 2015 06:15:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1061 Market St #4, San Francisco, CA 94103
We'll be meeting to practice Fermi estimates, a technique for quick order of magnitude estimates.
If you ... |
11cee5cb-b337-41b8-9d82-f7efbcf065e4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Actionable Guidance for High-Consequence AI Risk Management: Towards Standards Addressing AI Catastrophic Risks.
Actionable Guidance for
High-Consequence AI Risk
Management: Towards Standards
Addressing AI Catastrophic Risks
Anthony M. Barrett
†
*, Dan Hendrycks
†
, Jessica Newman
†
,
Brandie Nonnecke
†
†
UC Berkeley
... |
909797b9-aaa1-4777-ad71-784b7995431e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | “AI Risk Discussions” website: Exploring interviews from 97 AI Researchers
*Tldr:* Check out the new [AI Risk Discussions website](https://ai-risk-discussions.org)! It contains 83 transcripts of AI researcher [interviews](https://ai-risk-discussions.org/interviews), and a [quantitative analysis](https://forum.effectiv... |
b74707de-389b-462c-8292-50528b52f8c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 6
Update: Discussion has moved on to a new thread.
After 61 chapters of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality and 5 discussion threads with over 500 comments each, HPMOR discussion has graduated from the main page and moved into the Less Wrong ... |
c1528863-f908-4e52-b234-39a0d5f95773 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prepare for COVID-19 Human Challenge Trials — A Petition in Canada (and soon, the UK)
Canadians— sign the petition here.
TL;DR
COVID-19 human challenge trials could save tens of thousands of lives by quickly narrowing the field of promising candidates, and there is strong reason to believe that signaling clear publi... |
d9afe52b-8b80-4403-a083-1e34d3c27397 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | GPT-4 for personal productivity: online distraction blocker
There are many apps for blocking distracting websites: freedom.to, leechblock, selfcontrol, coldturkey, just to name a few. They are useful for maintaining focus, avoiding procrastination, and curbing addictive web surfing.
They work well for blocking a list... |
d58538b4-8fc0-46d6-8f61-b9957991aa9c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Multi-agent Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning with Dynamic Termination
1 Introduction
---------------
Many important real-world tasks are multi-agent by nature, such as
taxi coordination [[10](#bib.bib20 "Efficient large-scale fleet management via multi-agent deep reinforcement learning")], supply chain
managemen... |
8b2bfe0f-4844-41c4-8294-5f5c93e085f2 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Epistemic Status: Common knowledge, just not to me
The Evolution of Trust is a deceptively friendly little interactive game. Near the end, there’s a “sandbox” evolutionary game theory simulator. It’s pretty flexible. You can do quick experiments in it without writing code. I highly recommend playing around.
One of the... |
6b863b8a-8dd1-4800-aeaa-57f860959107 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Zero Sum" is a misnomer.
This could have been a relatively short note about why "zero sum" is a misnomer, but I decided to elaborate some consequences. This post benefited from discussion with Sam Eisenstat.
"Zero Sum" is a misnomer.
The term intuitively suggests that an interaction is transferring resources from o... |
1ecd79e6-757a-47f3-b7e2-a5e5b7b4d1ba | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/distill | Distill Scientific Journal | Understanding RL Vision
### Contents
[Introduction](#introduction)
[Our CoinRun model](#coinrun)
[Model analysis](#analysis)
* [Dissecting failure](#dissecting-failure)
* [Hallucinations](#hallucinations)
* [Model editing](#model-editing)
[The diversity hypothesis](#diversity-hypothesis)
[Feature visualization](#f... |
38b20946-920c-4ec5-8117-ed9b7a8f9b9a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | For what do we need Superintelligent AI?
Most of human problems could be solved by humans or slightly above human AIs. Which practically useful tasks – which we could define now – require very high level of superintelligence? I see two main such tasks:
1) Prevention of the creation of other potentially dangerous supe... |
a964b93a-df63-4be3-ac5b-7e875c08460a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the etiology of religious belief
From "Trust in testimony and miracles":
> I have been of late fascinated by the research of the developmental psychologist Paul L. Harris, who has investigated how young children acquire information through testimony. Harris gauges two psychological hypotheses. The first, which he ... |
b6e64f52-2e56-4e82-9f6c-828da774a801 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CDC Changes Isolation Guidelines
The CDC has changed its isolation guidelines.
Previously, if you tested positive for Covid, you needed to isolate for ten days. Now you only need to isolate for five. The official announcement is here.
Read-through first, with my reactions, then reactions from others.
> Given what w... |
895ccd66-891d-4555-9fda-12de881b8f75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Legal Reasoning Fundamentally Irrational?
And, if so, is this a bad thing?
This is a short essay on modern law; specifically, how it is possibly irrational, and how this irrationality could in fact be necessary for large legal systems to operate. I conclude with some observations on potential wider significance o... |
d6cb5408-dae1-4a05-8378-1e78e979ca43 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chess as a case study in hidden capabilities in ChatGPT
(Edit: This post is out of date, and understates ChatGPT's chess abilities. gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct, when prompted correctly, plays consistently legal moves at around the 1800-2000 Elo level. Thanks to commenter GoteNoSente for pointing this out and to ClevCode Lt... |
d2971989-bdaf-4dd2-a9d4-aa554f2a5267 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Expected utility of control vs expected utility of actions
|
d1a8d8a4-b2c3-41bd-a204-69a82433bc97 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Activation adding experiments with llama-7b
*Produced as part of the* [*SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program*](https://serimats.org/) *- Summer 2023 Cohort*
Following my initial investigation with [activation adding experiments with FLAN-T5](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/c38nAg23YTCzd7m8P/activation-adding-exp... |
7d0f8594-6d93-40e7-b6a1-60837de9bdfa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | On the possibility of impossibility of AGI Long-Term Safety
**Preface**
-----------
The following article is a layman’s summary of researcher and philosopher Forrest Landry’s work titled [No People as Pets: A Dialogue on the Complete Failure of Exogenous AGI/APS Alignment](https://mflb.com/ai_alignment_1/no_people_as... |
3110da6c-eb7d-48e7-a461-7e544c16a83c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Committing, Assuming, Externalizing, and Internalizing
This is the tenth post in the [Cartesian frames](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BSpdshJWGAW6TuNzZ/introduction-to-cartesian-frames) sequence.
Here, we define a bunch of ways to construct new (additive/multiplicative) (sub/super)-(agents/environments) from a give... |
361d8da7-bc4e-48e0-9fe3-8f3928c62a50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Babble challenge: 50 ways to stop torture
Content warning: torture.
Torture is deliberate infliction of severe pain or suffering on someone with the purpose of punishment, extracting a confession, or getting information out of them. Even though torture is illegal under international law, many governments continue to ... |
d01023da-f1f9-4fc3-b1f8-020b7ba6de2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automating the Breath Pulse
One of the pieces of my rhythm stage setup is a breath controller, which measures how much I blow. It's a good fit for anything where I want to have some flexible imprecise control, but one thing I've ended up using it for a lot is just a pulse:
Here's it by itself:
Here's it live, laye... |
f5bf2f47-7824-41ae-9237-7750a79aa8d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Decisive by Chip and Dan Heath
I first heard of the Heath brothers (Chip and Dan) years ago when I saw Chip speak about their first two books, Made to Stick and Switch. So I was pleased to discover that they’ve written a book specifically about decision-making called Decisive.
I like Decisive primarily a... |
75e2f8f9-c136-4289-bcd4-298d88108a13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards a Formalisation of Logical Counterfactuals
Introduction
This is an attempt to build a basis for formalising logical counterfactuals. It's not workable as is, but I think it can potentially solve the problem of "outthinking the counterfactual".
For causal counterfactuals, we build a directed acyclic causal gr... |
92e17196-7cb5-4d91-af37-70aa0b38cd2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Alignment, Philosophical Pluralism, and the Relevance of Non-Western Philosophy
This is an extended transcript of the talk I gave at EAGxAsiaPacific 2020. In the talk, I present a somewhat critical take on how AI alignment has grown as a field, and how, from my perspective, it deserves considerably more philosophic... |
5b752f54-444c-4e5f-bd28-8d9825f791cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When life was literally full of crap
If you want a single, vivid, and frankly disgusting example to hold in mind to remember how much our lives have improved over the last ~150 years…
Consider shit.
Literally, excrement. How much previous generations had to think about it, be around it, even handle it.
Before the a... |
854359bc-b2c9-4f04-8a66-1ba56ee491b5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Coherent decisions imply consistent utilities
(*Written for Arbital in 2017.*)
---
Introduction to the introduction: Why expected utility?
=======================================================
So we're talking about how to make good decisions, or the idea of 'bounded rationality', or what sufficiently advanced... |
8b454528-bd85-45aa-a78b-e3fd02566c6d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Multiparty Dynamics and Failure Modes for Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence
Abstract
--------
\*\*:\*\*
An important challenge for safety in machine learning and artificial intelligence systems is a set of related failures involving specification gaming, reward hacking, fragility to distributional shifts, ... |
1a8fb00f-777b-442e-abbe-7ea54b5188a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Introduction to Representation Engineering - an activation-based paradigm for controlling LLMs
Representation Engineering (aka Activation Steering/Engineering) is a new paradigm for understanding and controlling the behaviour of LLMs. Instead of changing the prompt or weights of the LLM, it does this by directly in... |
bd6a6a24-485e-4310-9d31-af8048f2c752 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group rationality diary, 11/13/12
This is the public group instrumental rationality diary for the week of October 29th. It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like:
* Established a useful new habit
* Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about some be... |
8f868a4d-c482-4feb-a3ea-28f5fea0b8e1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Seeking beta readers
I've found it really helpful to run early drafts of Cold Takes posts by people who haven't talked with me about the relevant topics, don't have much background on them, etc. I often learn about things that are "off" about the way I'm trying to present things, and I think it ends up improving the p... |
c58d0195-da39-4101-bea4-c84b772bfa42 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Could we program an AI to automatically shut down if it starts doing things we don’t want it to?
One thing that might make your AI system safer is to include an off switch. If it ever does anything we don’t like, we can turn it off. This implicitly assumes that we’ll be able to turn it off before things get bad, which... |
ac81df47-6881-42f2-9eb6-05db83dc6234 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Censorship in LLMs is here to stay because it mirrors how our own intelligence is structured
Much has been made of how increasing levels of censorship (roughly by increasing the impact of RLHF) is nerfing LLMs down. Frustrated users can't see why OpenAI is watering down the very sherbert that hit them gold. Surely, th... |
bac31136-2223-4e84-96b2-0392eb4863f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Basics of Rationalist Discourse
Introduction
This post is meant to be a linkable resource. Its core is a short list of guidelines (you can link directly to the list) that are intended to be fairly straightforward and uncontroversial, for the purpose of nurturing and strengthening a culture of clear thinking, clear com... |
7a0d579c-dd7d-496a-9272-0ccbc534d8eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Placebo effect report: chiropractic adjustment
Content warning: I accidentally got chiropractic treatment and felt better afterward, and I think talking too much about the placebo effect might be a mild cognitohazard, but less hazardous than not talking about it.
This is a story about being treated by a medical pr... |
ad983387-614c-4503-b3de-bf1fcbf2c35a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ethicality Behind Breaking the Glass Ceiling
I am a woman who works in finance.
When I originally studied finance I only went into it because I liked playing games with numbers and through some courses I had taken I recognized that there was a way to make money by solving the same math problems for other people. I wa... |
adc2242d-86c1-48d3-a6e2-7a95c46632c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Beautiful Math
Today's post, Beautiful Math was originally published on 10 January 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The joy of mathematics is inventing mathematical objects, and then noticing that the mathematical objects that you just created have all sorts of wonderful properties that you ... |
007e930b-b777-4153-a612-759557465faf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Doing medical research with (a lot) of personal money [link]
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-07/mogul-using-own-100-million-in-race-to-cure-daughter-prompts-novartis-aid.html
I think this an interesting data point (though obviously a single one) of what money can do when directed with a lot of drive to a partic... |
a9f96a4f-56f6-43d4-a81d-9f80839ed8e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probability theory implies Occam's razor
Occam's razor follows from the rules of probability theory. It need not be assumed, or taken as a prior. Looking at what it means to spread probability mass across a larger space, in the absence of any information on how to distribute that probability, shows why.
Spread-out d... |
3a6cc559-95de-4217-9151-af4774725459 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should questions be called "questions" or "confusions" (or "other")?
Or, what is the best way to think about "what is a question?" on LW?
The LW Team just had a retreat where we thought through a lot of high level strategy. We have a lot of ideas building off of the "questions" feature.
One thing that struck us is ... |
52d5892a-3a55-4bed-9f18-0e99b527f981 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | A grand strategy to recruit AI capabilities researchers into AI safety research
*Edit*: I was told privately that the grand strategy was unclear. The proposed grand strategy is to:
1. Convince everyone. Recruit all AI capabilities researchers to transition into AI safety until the alignment problem is solved.
2. Scal... |
4e069d7a-be6a-4a58-acd3-64d70298cc2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Five Ways To Prioritize Better
This piece is cross-posted on my blog here.
I’m going to let you in on a secret of productivity.
Those people you admire, the ones who make you wonder how on earth they accomplish so much? Those people might work more hours than you or be more talented or more passionate. Or they mig... |
08d24d75-91f4-401f-aa33-e48aff78413b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why it feels like everything is a trade-off
Epistemic status: A cute insight that explains why it might feel like you always have to make sacrifices along one metric to get improvements along another. Seems tautological once you understand it. Might be obvious to everyone.
Meta-epistemic status or something: My first... |
47999c4e-c34f-4981-8c8a-220c0660dab6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Linear infra-Bayesian Bandits
Linked is my MSc thesis, where I do regret analysis for an infra-Bayesian[1] generalization of stochastic linear bandits.
The main significance that I see in this work is:
* Expanding our understanding of infra-Bayesian regret bounds, and solidifying our confidence that infra-Bayesiani... |
3c9bb7b6-9482-481c-893d-1375883c7b66 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | G7 Summit—Cooperation on AI Policy
TL;DR—While the specifics available thus far are underwhelming, it seems notable and a net-positive that cooperation on AI policy is—for the first time—on the G7 Summit agenda this weekend. The readout below is from an April meeting that was convened to lay the groundwork for AI pol... |
c1d447fd-8bbf-440c-ba4f-0f18e83a18c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong |
How Should We Critique Research? A Decision Perspective
None |
d1642c1c-6d87-4553-88a0-cc35ed5d38a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Gears of Argmax
In the last post, I made the high-level claim that optimization can sometimes be done safely. And went on to claim that a key factor enabling safe optimization is sufficiently understanding the optimization process, optimization metric, and domain of candidate solutions.
In this post, I'll dig in... |
897cdf18-8ad7-4776-8491-a542698872ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modular empirical science
None |
25a8910d-03c8-4e62-9f50-d2c287ca0717 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Value Hermeneutics?
I often take for granted that there is something to be said about how we know things. For example:
* In high school I took a class titled Theory of Knowledge that was a combination intro to philosophy course and applied epistemology workshop.
* My friends are concerned with questions about ... |
d4ef887b-cfc0-4494-9869-fb4ef53db16b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You Can Now Embed Flashcard Quizzes in Your LessWrong posts!
With the help of the LessWrong.com team, we've set up a way for you to embed flashcard quizzes directly in your LessWrong posts! This means that you can write flashcards for any of your LessWrong posts and either:
(a) quiz people as they read your article ... |
bf1dde3b-fcb4-4542-b594-45d1a55ea912 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Cruxes on US lead for some domestic AI regulation
*Written quickly. Suggestions welcome.*
A possible risk of some US AI regulation is that US regulation would differentially slow US AI progress and that would be bad. This post explores the factors that determine *how much US regulation would differentially slow US AI... |
ea17519a-07b4-4950-8bb0-dc93cd1a3f89 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Key Questions for Digital Minds
*Last revised on June 14, 2023.*
ChatGPT, Sydney, LaMDA, and other large language models (LLMs) have inspired an unprecedented wave of interest in artificial intelligence (AI). Many are asking if these LLMs are not merely problem-solving tools but have mental faculties such as [emotion... |
4226df46-c5b5-441f-8c1e-6b34d9f93036 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dying in Many Worlds
I feel extremely embarrassed about asking for help with this, but I have a philosophical quandary that has been eating at me for days. I'm sure that many of you already have it figured out. I would appreciate it if you would lend your cached thoughts to me, because I can't seem to resolve it.
W... |
83d939bb-c1c0-485f-b868-2f98091e6ebf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Book Review] "Houdini on Magic" by Harry Houdini
Houdini on Magic is a collection of the writings of Harry Houdini. It mostly covers three things.
1. Houdini's greatest tricks. (Mostly escapes.)
2. Houdini's work discrediting spiritualists. Spiritualists are people who pretend to talk to the dead. These aren't wel... |
5b86978d-5e41-4872-8eb2-f518b11c9743 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post208
Say an LLM agent behaves innocuously in some context A, but in some sense “knows” that there is some related context B such that it would have behaved maliciously (inserted a backdoor in code, ignored a security bug, lied, etc.). For example, in the recent alignment faking paper Claude Opus chooses to say ... |
4c96972e-8d72-48f6-b3d3-b2c8e9822a98 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Where Do You Think You're Going?: Inferring Beliefs about Dynamics from Behavior
Where Do YouThink You’re Going?:
Inferring Beliefs about Dynamics from Behavior
Siddharth Reddy, Anca D. Dragan, Sergey Levine
Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
University of California, Berkeley
{sgr,anca,svlevine... |
62d987b0-1a19-4c84-a750-6aff6e41315f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #16: White House Secures Voluntary Commitments from Leading AI Labs and Lessons from Oppenheimer
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe here to receive future versions.
----------------------------... |
edbd60ce-ea54-4646-b32e-17dafbf9e42a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | a space habitat design
This post is mainly about a design concept for far-future large space habitats.
some proposed designs
As you can see on Wikipedia, many space habitat designs have been proposed. Below are some that I thought were worth mentioning.
----------------------------------------
current space stati... |
4d6e0d4c-8587-4cdb-8c59-2b413a92cfb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Parable On Obsolete Ideologies
Followup to: Yudkowsky and Frank on Religious Experience, Yudkowksy and Frank On Religious Experience Pt 2
With sincere apologies to: Mike Godwin
You are General Eisenhower. It is 1945. The Allies have just triumphantly liberated Berlin. As the remaining leaders of the old regime are... |
3faf2007-ba45-4b17-8360-4063fc6f3e91 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI releases functional Dota 5v5 bot, aims to beat world champions by August
> Our team of five neural networks, OpenAI Five, has started to defeat amateur human teams at Dota 2. While today we play with restrictions, we aim to beat a team of top professionals at The International in August subject only to a limite... |
9a04fa5a-50e1-4cde-a8dc-876365457166 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | on “learning to summarize”
This post is a much extended version of an [LW comment](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mWJbYebezFdhoFHP6/learning-to-summarize-with-human-feedback-openai-1?commentId=DRPygZwXL7KjWE4z3) I made about OpenAI’s new paper, [“Learning to summarize from human feedback.”](https://arxiv.org/abs/2009... |
371c74a8-6efe-4f07-aca6-b5ce5b693c3d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LLM Psychometrics and Prompt-Induced Psychopathy
This post contains experimental results and personal takes from my participation in the July 2024 edition of the BlueDot Impact AI Safety Fundamentals course.
TL;DR:
* Psychopaths are willing to manipulate and deceive. Psychometrics try to measure this with standardi... |
423cd975-4326-4cb2-a330-9c7010478350 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Multiplicative Operations on Cartesian Frames
This is the seventh post in the [Cartesian frames](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BSpdshJWGAW6TuNzZ/introduction-to-cartesian-frames) sequence.
Here, we introduce three new binary operations on Cartesian frames, and discuss their properties.
1. Tensor
---------
Our ... |
ffa2a217-23f4-4b2e-a851-84f10b38c97b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Why Not Just Outsource Alignment Research To An AI?
Warmup: The Expert
------------------
If you haven’t seen “The Expert” before, I recommend it as a warmup for this post:
> The Client: “We need you to draw seven red lines, all strictly perpendicular. Some with green ink, some with transparent. Can you do that?”
>... |
cddb5751-da30-4707-8062-9b15f58cbe6a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #122]: Arguing for AGI-driven existential risk from first principles
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in... |
ced332e2-b498-4435-893b-9402118c42d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Convincing my dad to sign up for Alcor: Advice?
Since it came to my attention that signing up for cryonics is not as pointless as I'd once thought, I've been pondering how to sell my dad on the idea.
This is somewhat urgent for a couple of reasons. First, he's already pushing sixty and would meet increased resistance... |
03cbd005-ec1b-44da-bde4-7cf6a7c47e99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How should vegans think about Methionine needs?
Non-animal based protein sources mostly have a different amino acid profile than animal-based protein sources. Different plants also have a different composition.
From looking a bit at the data myself it seems that if you mix different plant protein sources, you can g... |
26f608b5-7358-4128-b6ea-5eaaf2ac4f16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne Social Southern Summer Solstice Celebration
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne Social Southern Summer Solstice Celebration
WHEN: 20 December 2013 07:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 54 Scenic Cres, Eltham North
Welcome to the end of 2013, a time of feasts and of plenty, and a time to celebrate t... |
f8614ca7-45d2-4e51-8903-dcc10d8872ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dominant characters on the left
From Psyblog:
> Research finds that people or objects moving from left to right are perceived as having greater power (Maass et al., 2007):
>
> * Soccer goals are rated as stronger, faster, even more beautiful when the movement of the scorer is from left to right, rather than right t... |
f0814484-891f-4efa-a498-62aa2bbc92a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introduction To The Infra-Bayesianism Sequence
TLDR: Infra-Bayesianism is a new approach to epistemology / decision theory / reinforcement learning theory, which builds on "imprecise probability" to solve the problem of prior misspecification / grain-of-truth / nonrealizability which plagues Bayesianism and Bayesian r... |
32d32283-c3ca-42e1-ab78-bcbc41ec7fd2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | 2013 in Review: Outreach
This is the 2nd part of my personal and qualitative [self-review of MIRI in 2013](http://intelligence.org/2013/12/20/2013-in-review-operations/).
By “outreach” I refer to *general* outreach efforts, rather than e.g. *outreach to specific researchers*, which will be discussed in the post abou... |
b2537eba-9d5f-4c31-aa89-d69748d1b01b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Which meat to eat: CO₂ vs Animal suffering
Animal agriculture generates an ungodly amount of animal suffering and greenhouse gas emissions. Ideally, everyone would adopt a vegan diet[1], but since this appears to be too much to ask for most people, the next question becomes: which food is the least bad?
Here we run i... |
870f38da-5a2d-40ed-b8d5-4a39d5b3eb98 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Grokking: Generalization Beyond Overfitting on Small Algorithmic Datasets
1 Introduction
---------------
The generalization of overparameterized neural networks has long been a source of interest to the machine learning community since it defies intuitions derived from classical learning theory. In this paper we sh... |
c9e5da5e-6e97-4f52-8c89-62786d33d260 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Let's get physical - DeepMind: The Podcast (S2, Ep4)
hello and welcome back to deepmind the
podcast
[Music]
over the last two episodes we've been
exploring deepmind's goal of solving
intelligence asking what that actually
means and traveling along some of the
roads that could take us there
this time it's all about the... |
8d7ca155-65fd-4592-9878-e12cfc16c83b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Notes on Learning the Prior
*This post was written to fulfil requirements of the SERI MATS Training Program.*
One of the goals in writing this post is to arrive at an explanation of a particular set of issues raised by Irving in the [Learning the smooth prior](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/9x5mtYjHYfr4T7KLj/le... |
dc3c6c75-dfe2-4a04-ab0d-872df54f327e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW main on September 27th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Atlanta Pre-Meetup Museum Field Trip: 28 September 2013 03:00PM
* Atlanta Lesswrong September Meetup (2nd of 2): 28 September 2013 06:00PM
*... |
13decad3-6fa8-4f58-8d8e-a80bd78a9f9c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | AugMix: A Simple Data Processing Method to Improve Robustness and Uncertainty.
1 Introduction
---------------
Current machine learning models depend on the ability of training data to faithfully represent the data encountered during deployment.
In practice, data distributions evolve (Lipton et al., [2018](#bib.bib2... |
f9b9b05a-f344-4757-9ba3-c162d1d2bc35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Superpower: OODA Loops
I've pushed the value of OODA loops in various posts over the years, but I don't recall ever writing a post specifically about them. Which is weird, because they're a superpower. So much so that I think they are at least 60% responsible for what enables me to lead a life I enjoy (the rest is ... |
90525e55-bf14-430b-86d9-67689ffab006 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dialectic algorithm - For calculating if an argument is sustained or refuted
|
820e8279-5ad9-42c5-b038-fc44bb557518 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The (partial) fallacy of dumb superintelligence
In her opening statement for the Munk debate on AI risk, Melanie Mitchell addressed a proposed example of AGI risk: an AGI tasked with fixing climate change might decide to eliminate humans as the source of carbon emissions. She says:
> This is an example of what's call... |
f510bcf4-993c-4fa3-a83c-b54605f961e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on October 28th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Zürich social Rationality meetup: 29 October 2016 05:00PM
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Muni... |
8a2bc0fe-e759-4b03-a9fe-17e1a79dd6a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Notes on the Synthesis of Form
Christopher Alexander was an architect and designer; I've written about some of his later works in another post. This, one of his earliest books, focuses on design as a formal process. What is design, and how does it work? I'll split things up slightly differently than he does, ... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.