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9762b924-9a35-4d8d-a0c9-6f0455b6a3ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Second Failure of Inductive Learning with a Delay in Feedback
This is a followup to the concrete failure of the Solomonoff Induction inspired approach to inductive learning with a delay in feedback. This second failure is not one that we have an algorithm to deal with yet.
Let f:N→{0,1} be a function such that (for l... |
722fa3c3-7136-4a7a-a5e6-9c2af5046122 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fall Equinox: Festival of Heroes
Discussion article for the meetup : Fall Equinox: Festival of Heroes
WHEN: 21 September 2013 03:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: Sugar Lily Pavillion, Sugar House Park 1400 East 2100 South, Salt Lake City, Utah
This event is about becoming agenty. Any LW concepts and exercises will b... |
2278aca3-0a83-43d5-b919-cf0330c6d980 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A Survey of Foundational Methods in Inverse Reinforcement Learning
Introduction
------------
Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) is both the name of a problem and a broad class of methods that try to solve it. Whereas Reinforcement Learning (RL) asks “How should I act to achieve my goals?” IRL asks “Looking at an ag... |
19a33ced-bade-4174-b98b-82b41d635ea8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup Reminder: UC Santa Barbara, Today @6pm
Michael Blume and Anna Salamon have invited you to a Less Wrong meetup at UC Santa Barbara, at 6pm in the college of creative studies building. See previous post. (This post is a temporary reminder and will be deleted after the meetup, so comment there.) |
dcc109ab-6fe2-4465-9c79-9d37d97b95e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Causal Abstraction Intro
I haven't been terribly satisfied by the first few posts in this sequence; they don't do a very good job introducing things. I think part of the problem is the format, so I decided to invest in a high-end studio and try making a video instead.
It's about 10 minutes, covers similar material to... |
398c62c4-1ebc-4c63-834f-860d86addd58 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Yesterday I spoke of the Mind Projection Fallacy, giving the example of the alien monster who carries off a girl in a torn dress for intended ravishing—a mistake which I imputed to the artist's tendency to think that a woman's sexiness is a property of the woman herself, woman.sexiness, rather than something that exis... |
2a378558-cb3c-46ae-9f1b-b610ab2dcc50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Aspiration-based designs] 3. Performance and safety criteria, and aspiration intervals
Summary. In this post, we extend the basic algorithm by adding criteria for choosing the two candidate actions the algorithm mixes, and by generalizing the goal from making the expected Total equal a particular value to making it f... |
46143bd6-4047-4889-9454-5291628d6394 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Worlds of Flow
This work was written at Conjecture.
“Worlds of Flow,” a history of 19th and early 20th-century hydrodynamics by Oliver Darrigol, concludes:
> What distinguishes the history of hydrodynamics from that of other physical theories is not so much the tremendous effect of challenges from phen... |
5c70864d-f84b-4bf8-9761-839a2f4278e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research Discussion on PSCA with Claude Sonnet 3.5
A while ago, I published a sort of conceptual intro to a cognitive architecture I am working on, the "Prop-room and Stage Cognitive Architecture" (or PSCA for short).
I recently had a somewhat stimulating research chat about it with Claude and wanted to try out shar... |
633946d5-f5af-42d2-85bc-0795e179fe49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is it possible to implement switching between sequences from its pages?
(When I first met, I didn’t have an account, so I didn’t publish this question for a long time, I didn’t decide, and then I got used to it, but I’ll write anyway.) I was VERY pleasantly surprised by the design of the original (this) site compared ... |
3925974b-6f1e-40f7-a245-5925afae29a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Legitimising AI Red-Teaming by Public
Epistemic status: I am sharing unpolished thoughts on a topic where I am not an expert. But the alternative is not publish this, so here goes.
The text talks about LLMs and jailbreaking, but the general ideas should apply to AI more generally.
------------------------------------... |
73fc167e-ddb1-426f-9d33-01067627af5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bandgaps, Brains, and Bioweapons: The limitations of computational science and what it means for AGI
[In this post I discuss some of my field of expertise in computational physics. Although I do my best to make it layman friendly, I can't guarantee as such. In later parts I speculate about other fields such as brain s... |
80e06fca-958c-4b80-90d9-19990080eab3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Permanents: much more than you wanted to know
Today's "nanowrimo" post is a fun longform introduction to permanents and their properties, organized in the way I wish it had been explained to me. Note before going on: this is not my field, and this post is even more likely than usual to contain incorrect statements or ... |
7cb49264-ad33-44b0-9b05-32d5881329b4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Paper digestion: "May We Have Your Attention Please? Human-Rights NGOs and the Problem of Global Communication"
*The following is a digestion of the research paper "May We Have Your Attention Please? Human-Rights NGOs and the Problem of Global Communication" by A. Trevor Thrall, Dominik Stecula, and Diana Sweet (see l... |
b0b70364-db57-41be-ba56-a5d8a3fc75b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Oct. 27 - Nov. 2, 2014
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page b... |
074480bd-3d26-41e6-b769-4f1809729ba4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Explore Risks from Emerging Technology with Peers Outside of (or New to) the AI Alignment Community - Express Interest by August 8
### Summary
*We are organizing a small, virtual discussion group to explore how emerging technology might shape the future. This group is aimed especially at graduate students and early-c... |
6f22efa0-04ec-47ed-9430-21ac4e3d4df7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Late-talking kids and "Einstein syndrome"
(See also my follow-up posts later: More notes from raising a late-talking kid and
Late-talking kid part 3: gestalt language learning.)
I talked late—no words at age 2, ten words at 2¼, lots and lots of words at 2½. Or so I've been told! :-P
My younger kid is also a late ta... |
a0976a0b-d940-4414-b62a-e96fa0d9c208 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Saint Petersburg Game meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Saint Petersburg Game meetup
WHEN: 22 February 2016 06:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Saint Petersburg, Russia
Встреча, посвящённая играм. https://lesswrong-ru.hackpad.com/-22-2016-1800-nVauM6i6fnh
Discussion article for the meetup : Saint Petersbu... |
8a5d35f4-6a0a-43a0-8bd7-c37227b06698 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Specific Fiction Discusion (April 2011)
Seeing some recent comments on my links comment, I think this thread might be warranted.
This is a thread for discussing specific works of fiction; books, movies, TV shows, webcomics, fanfictions, whatever. It's purpose is to provide a rationality perspective on shows that are ... |
f5f7c049-3774-4355-95a7-56b06221abb1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | $5m cryptocurrency donation to Alcor by Brad Armstrong in memory of LWer Hal Finney
None |
b3eb44ac-4aed-464b-b66a-eabdec727f39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Safe Enough? A History of Nuclear Power and Accident Risk
Epistemic status: This book covers a lot of topics related to nuclear energy; I have experience with some of them but not all, and some are inherently murky. I will try to make it clear what's fact and what's my opinion.
-------------------------... |
0ec53d50-70fe-492e-9f43-c115b01869f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes Thread May 2015
Another month, another rationality quotes thread. The rules are:
* Please post all quotes separately, so that they can be upvoted or downvoted separately. (If they are strongly related, reply to your own comments. If strongly ordered, then go ahead and post them together.)
* Do no... |
5f85dc6b-5f10-44d8-ad96-ab587e27e228 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Confirmation Bias in Action
Cross-posted, as always, from Putanumonit.
----------------------------------------
The heart of Rationality is learning how to actually change your mind, and the biggest obstacle to changing your mind is confirmation bias. Half the biases on the laundry list are either special cases of c... |
480c86ab-9dcf-4a03-8aa8-5e693e9d52a8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Carpe Diem, the Optimization Game: Level 1
Leads To: Carpe Diem: The Problem of Scarcity and Abundance
Less Wrong contributor owencb links us to a fourteen page paper of his that proposes optimizing your time via a three-resource model. You can find the full document here. Here’s his abstract, which is a good summary... |
67bd2fb7-281b-441a-9241-a57ee04de121 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In Defense of Open-Minded UDT
A Defense of Open-Minded Updatelessness.
This work owes a great debt to many conversations with Sahil, Martín Soto, and Scott Garrabrant.
You can support my work on Patreon.
Iterated Counterfactual Mugging On a Single Coinflip
Iterated counterfactual mugging on a single coinflip begin... |
4c5923b6-0193-4cb1-8cc8-baf4951ff9c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Google AI challenge - status?
About one month ago there was some discussion regarding entering an LW team in the Google AI challenge.
Has anyone actually entered? If so, what was the result? I scanned carefully the leaderboard, but could not find any familiar names.
Links:
(http://aichallenge.org/)
(http://les... |
454806f0-4460-4704-bc74-c06a6e2090d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Helsinki Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Helsinki Meetup
WHEN: 20 October 2013 03:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Jämeräntaival 3, 02150 Espoo, Finland
How to find us: We’re meeting in Takkakabinetti in Otaniemi. You can find the room by following the signs inside the building.
The theme of this meetup ... |
d68b569f-fcb4-4ff2-98e3-da89b7466ea4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Carrying the Torch: A Response to Anna Salamon by the Guild of the Rose
In a recent comment and followup post, Anna Salamon described some of the rocks upon which the Center for Applied Rationality has run aground, and invited anyone interested in the project of improving human rationality to pick up the torch.
We wa... |
6e5209a5-1421-4ec8-b0c1-9c9238396a6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Progress links digest, 2023-11-07: Techno-optimism and more
Again I’ve been delayed in putting this out by travel etc., so it’s a longer one with links from the last month or so:
On the Progress Forum
* Radical Energy Abundance, by Casey Handmer
* FAA’s safety philosophy and progress in personal aviation, by Eli D... |
d85be1e1-2e62-4509-b71a-040919628f56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do Humans Want Things?
Summary: Recent posts like The Neuroscience of Desire and To what degree do we have goals? have explored the question of whether humans have desires (or 'goals'). If we don't have desires, how can we tell an AI what kind of world we 'want'? Recent work in economics and neuroscience has clarified... |
d1e84170-e081-4434-8455-5b707dd0e2ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Christenson's "Epistemology of Disagreement: The Good News"
Epistemic status: I’m moderately confident in the positions I endorse here, and this series is the product of several months’ research, but it only skims the surface of the literature on these questions.
Bookkeeping: This post is part of a short series revie... |
80b3d9c2-ce77-4fc5-a408-d3e8e4ba9680 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Affect Heuristic, Sentiment, and Art
I was having a discussion with a friend and reading some related blog articles about the question of whether race affects IQ. (N.B. This post is NOT about the content of the arguments surrounding that question.) Now, like your typical LessWrong member, I subscribe to the Lit... |
204b8e44-15b2-45bc-aa84-3c4b1f5f7082 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Compiling my writings for Lesswrong and others.
I've just inserted about 50 new links to my list of writings, most of which from Lesswrong, here. For convenience, I'm copying it below.
I write a lot about a variety of topics in English and until 2013 also did in Portuguese, Notice Google Chrome automatically trans... |
dc29c894-80b6-464f-8b6f-4db137627f03 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post766
When working with powerful AI models, one concern is that the AIs steganographically encode secret messages when communicating with each other or in long Chains-of-Thought (CoT). Steganographic communication enables the AIs to follow a variety of strategies for grabbing power that we’d rather they didn’t h... |
05f9bc02-8bdd-4726-90b8-0cc27c1ad249 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the Shoulders of Giants
A couple hundred thousand years ago, our species reached a point where we could pass knowledge directly (through language and demonstrated action), rather than relying on adaptations to be passed on through genes. With this shift, culture was born – and it allowed us to very rapidly acquire ... |
0a1573a5-171e-4370-9029-a6cec98aa41f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evolution, Sex, and Gender, Not to Mention Research
From The New York Times:
> Take the question of promiscuity. Everyone has always assumed — and early research had shown — that women desired fewer sexual partners over a lifetime than men. But in 2003, two behavioral psychologists, Michele G. Alexander and Terri D. ... |
3fd39ec7-8b17-4b80-bb3f-5b0c0d7b3047 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | CHAI Newsletter #1 2023
17/05/2023, 17:14 Center for Human-Compatible AI (CHAI) Newsletter
https://mailchi.mp/humancompatible.ai/fwx5lj5be1-13547852 1/9 CHAI Newsletter
This newsletter includes CHAI activities from January to April 2023
17/05/2023, 17:14 Center for Human-Compatible AI (CHAI) Newsletter
https:... |
7ecefce3-220e-4cb8-ba74-ca2007e1d87d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 1L Attention - Results [rough early thoughts]
in our previous video
we developed some theoretical results
for reasoning about transformers
and in this video we're going to take
advantage of those to try and understand
an actual one-layer attention-only
transformer
and to to really get to a point where
where in princip... |
061f7b1e-22f3-4b42-8397-055e1e604749 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When should a neural network-based approach for plant control systems be preferred over a traditional control method?
As a trained control engineer, I understand that when the plant model is well understood (or even with many uncertainty in the plant dynamic model), designing a control system using traditional methods... |
0e3de1df-0658-44ca-92b1-cfecbef868e0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Corrigibility as Constrained Optimisation
*This post is coauthored with Ryan Carey.*
Much of the work on developing a corrigible agent has focused on ensuring that an AI will not manipulate the shutdown button or any other kind of device that the human operator would use to control it. Suppose, however, that the AI l... |
b9455bcf-ec77-4480-a2ac-31b2c7a24110 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evidence as Rhetoric — Normative or Positive?
A (very brief) response to a 2006 paper noting that rationality in policy needs to admit that evidence is about rhetoric. |
b01cca8e-ea91-44fc-a037-fb8cfffd3105 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Help me find a good Hackathon subject
Let's list the constraints:
* Basically, people know how to code but don't really know ML
* But at the same time, 3 days is enough time to learn a notion or understand and improve a template
* If we don't want it to be a hard to evaluate, the evaluation metric must be clear
* Th... |
378596fe-87d1-47e9-8ae1-fe31bb7d79df | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What does the scheme Externalized Reasoning Oversight involve?
[Externalized Reasoning Oversight](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/FRRb6Gqem8k69ocbi/externalized-reasoning-oversight-a-research-direction-for) is based on the following idea: Make the AGI, which is an LLM, externalize its reasoning (via chain of thou... |
0f2668b2-202d-4c03-af28-8bbca3db3e10 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Impressions from base-GPT-4?
I wonder if some people here had a chance to play with base-GPT-4 (the access is given very selectively for research purposes) and would not mind sharing some of their impressions?
I know that some people have been playing with it, but I've never seen a discussion of impressions and lesso... |
65fbe3ce-7f9d-4986-8f6a-da74d65cbed8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LessWrong anti-kibitzer (hides comment authors and vote counts)
Related to Information Cascades
Information Cascades has implied that people's votes are being biased by the number of votes already cast. Similarly, some commenters express a perception that higher status posters are being upvoted too much.
EDIT: the U... |
31b9008d-49ac-4ae4-b372-256dc9b84275 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why aren't Yudkowsky & Bostrom getting more attention now?
Now that the idea of AI Existential Risk has gained more acceptability, I am surprised that the thought leaders are not more often mentioned and contacted by AI executives and researchers in the cutting edge (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.), recognized academic figur... |
b7aff311-bea1-4801-8fd7-475731d9ced2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pessimism about AI Safety
TL;DR
* The alignment problem is less fundamental for AI safety than the problem of predicting actions of AI systems, especially if they are more intelligent than oneself. We dub this the prediction problem.
* The prediction problem may be insoluble.
* If the prediction problem is insolubl... |
ece7de49-e183-4807-bc74-0c15c6e41abf | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "For the last few years I’ve been avoiding factory farmed eggs because I think they involve a lot of unnecessary suffering. I’m hesitant to be part of that even if it’s not a big deal on utilitarian grounds. This is a pain since factory-farmed eggs are used all over the place (e.g. in ice cream, pastries, pasta…). I’d ... |
722c2726-a1b3-4f38-ba1e-a786936aa3df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sam Altman's sister claims Sam sexually abused her -- Part 10: responses from Sam and his family members; my perspective
Previous posts (which you should read first)
This post is the 10th post in a series of 11 posts about the claims of Sam Altman's sister, Annie Altman. Annie has claimed that Sam sexually abused her ... |
399b026f-66e8-43a9-aea4-bfdfeaba80ba | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Universality and security amplification
If many copies of Paul [collaborate to solve a problem](/policy-amplification-6a70cbee4f34), I expect their behavior to be [corrigible](/corrigibility-3039e668638): each copy will make an honest effort to help the group accomplish its goal, to help the group notice and correct m... |
cab87bc0-bc56-4645-bc0c-3f314641f676 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 7/2: It Could Be Worse
Previous Update: Covid 6/25: The Dam Breaks
General Viewpoint Reading: On R0, Covid-19: My Current Model
This past week was not great on the Covid front, but it could have been a lot worse. I don’t mean that statement in a ‘worse is better because variolation‘ way. I do think this week w... |
e6ff189d-fae3-4382-b295-252d07654673 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How 2025 AI Forecasts Fared So Far
At the end of 2024, there was a lot of discussion about whether AI scaling was hitting a wall and whether we would reach AGI soon.
We created a forecasting survey that would track key markers of AI progress in what might turn out to be a pivotal year. After filtering the data, we ha... |
19c0131c-a299-4054-b4c3-410ee80df933 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid-19 in India: Why didn't it happen earlier?
When I look at the numbers of Covid-19 cases and Covid-19 deaths among G20 countries, India still has a relatively low number per capita. The arguments for why the current wave is particularly catastrophical in India (like population density or poverty) applied all the ... |
fb0a5102-c153-498d-99c1-09fef3f2793d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Disentangling Perspectives On Strategy-Stealing in AI Safety
This post was written under Evan Hubinger’s direct guidance and mentorship, as a part of the Stanford Existential Risks Institute ML Alignment Theory Scholars (MATS) program.
Additional thanks to Ameya Prabhu and Callum McDougall for their thoughts and feed... |
667625ec-6e29-452a-9063-954e4e81314e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : SLC Meetup: Free Will, Minicamp Braindump, and Group Goals
Discussion article for the meetup : SLC Meetup: Free Will, Minicamp Braindump, and Group Goals
WHEN: 20 October 2012 03:00:38PM (-0600)
WHERE: Calvin E. Smith Library: 810 East 3300 South, Salt Lake City, UT
810 East 3300 South, Salt Lake City, UT ... |
87fdc6ee-c62e-49fa-a42f-b0e741f73e6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why is Gemini telling the user to die?
https://gemini.google.com/share/6d141b742a13 My favorite theory is that the whole conversation is too much like a scifi plot, where someone asks an AI repetitive questions, until the AI snaps, so this general pattern was pattern matched from the training data, because while train... |
52b2991b-d1ca-49d8-9b3a-9d44d573f0f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research Report: Incorrectness Cascades (Corrected)
[Note: This report is a corrected version of my previous report here, due to fixing a crucial bug that dramatically changes the data, as detailed here.]
[Epistemic Status: Confident only in these particular results. Also, statistics is not my forte, so I may have se... |
c5bcb29b-bd06-4bb3-9360-c7ea31e3c620 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Time As A Goddess
[Epistemic status: Retrospective on 6-year-old actions]
Back in 2017, there was Rationalist Tumblr, which I participated in; then Discord came along. A number of regulars from Rattumb created a server and started to hang out.
It was a lawless hive of scum and villainy at the time. It has since d... |
87109a45-9acd-43e9-9940-400b440b840d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Pause Will Likely Backfire (Guest Post)
I'm experimenting with hosting guest posts on this blog, as a way to represent additional viewpoints and especially to highlight ideas from researchers who do not already have a platform. Hosting a post does not mean that I agree with all of its arguments, but it does mean th... |
dc32fd9f-06f4-4478-9fa6-00d5da6711d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consider Breathwork
Breathing patterns influence cognition. A guided 20-minute breathwork session can shift your mental state—calming anxiety, boosting energy, and helping you reorient when stuck on a problem.[1] This post shares a personal account of its effects, practical instructions, guided sessions, and key safet... |
f210477f-8286-4ce8-ad54-6cad804c3fec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How I see knowledge aggregation
After reading the Arbital postmortem, I remembered some old ideas regarding a tool for claim and prediction aggregation.
First, the tool would have the basic features. There would be a list of claims. Each claim is a clear and concise statements that could be true or false, perhaps wit... |
cea4e955-fd8a-4599-b22a-dfb5e029f071 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Location Discussion Takeaways
It's been a month and a half since I posted The rationalist community's location problem, and there's been a ton of good discussion both in the comments and elsewhere. In this post I hope to summarize the discussion so far, provide additional data, and give my take on what I think we shou... |
e72945a9-399a-4c00-b59e-1fca6253fb8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chomsky on ChatGPT (link)
Originally published in New York Times, here you have a paywall-free version:
https://dnyuz.com/2023/03/08/noam-chomsky-the-false-promise-of-chatgpt/
This is, IMHO, Chomsky at his worst. There is almost nothing here I agree with |
9a0884f7-1701-474e-b348-ecdadb335835 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How thoroughly do you research your dreams?
Eliezer Yudkowsky:
> Have I ever remarked on how completely ridiculous it is to ask high school students to decide what they want to do with the rest of their lives and give them nearly no support in doing so?
>
> Support like, say, spending a day apiece watching twenty di... |
5110f1ce-e5f9-41df-8bc9-fed59cf2afa4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could utility functions be for narrow AI only, and downright antithetical to AGI?
Could utility functions be for narrow AI only, and downright antithetical to AGI? That's a quite fundamental question and I'm kind of afraid there's an obvious answer that I'm just too uninformed to know about. But I did give this some t... |
14e08e4a-719e-499c-9a6a-31ef8ac06b49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Log-odds (or logits)
(I wrote this post for my own blog, and given the warm reception, I figured it would also be suitable for the LW audience. It contains some nicely formatted equations/tables in LaTeX, hence I've left it as a dropbox download.)
Logarithmic probabilities have appeared previously on LW here, here, a... |
8930bff8-dcd5-47be-b4a9-fdd70186bcc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's it like to have sex with Duncan?
Content warning: the title. While this essay is neither explicit nor vulgar, it talks frankly about the topic at hand in a PG-13 sort of way, and may be NSFW for many instances of W. I secured approval from LW leadership before posting.
---------------------------------------... |
72f17a14-f3cb-47fe-b0e4-c3e611ad7869 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Polymath-style attack on the Parliamentary Model for moral uncertainty
Thanks to ESrogs, Stefan_Schubert, and the Effective Altruism summit for the discussion that led to this post!
This post is to test out Polymath-style collaboration on LW. The problem we've chosen to try is formalizing and analyzing Bostrom and Or... |
bfa5c286-0bc0-499e-b62c-3fcb197e4b85 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "tl;dr version: Akrasia might be like an eating disorder!
When I was a teenager, I ate ice. Lots of ice. Cups and cups and cups of ice, constantly, all day long, when it was freely available. This went on for years, during which time I ignored the fact that others found it peculiar. ("Oh," I would joke to curious peopl... |
b6deda08-2e23-41e1-9b2a-fb2fe4dcd7aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MWI, weird quantum experiments and future-directed continuity of conscious experience
Response to: Quantum Russian Roulette
Related: Decision theory: Why we need to reduce “could”, “would”, “should”
In Quantum Russian Roulette, Christian_Szegedy tells of a game which uses a "quantum source of randomness" to somehow ... |
957f0008-eac1-4450-8032-79f1d1cf3708 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Austin LW Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Austin LW Meetup
WHEN: 14 January 2012 01:30:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 2222B Guadalupe St Austin, Texas 78705
Despite my absence, the Austin meetup continues! We have two people confirmed to show up, so I hope you join them. We sit on the second floor to the l... |
63b8e98d-e55b-4971-8d90-2c844c0c80f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Update 2018-06-11 – Vulcan Refactor, Karma Overhaul, Colored Links, Moderation Log
I had written about the new Strong Upvotes feature over in this post, but a) I wanted to include it in an official update post, b) we've made a number of small tweaks in the past month that I wanted to summarize.
VulcanJS Refactor
... |
cd6b1699-abbb-4e17-97aa-87009b9be55c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Ottawa LessWrong Weekly(ish) Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Ottawa LessWrong Weekly(ish) Meetup
WHEN: 21 July 2011 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Fox and Feather Pub, 283 Elgin Street, Ottawa, Ontario
Venue: Fox and Feather, upstairs, possibly in back room #1 if it's free. Look for the LW sign. New ... |
176b39b7-2105-4be4-bb9d-0047f56f4e0d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Computer Programming Familiarity
This page exists so that math explanations can be customized on the basis of whether or not the readers is familiar with coding. If you know how to code, then click the three dot icon and check the "this requisite" box. |
c20a710a-83d4-4ed1-a200-55889dbcc64e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Presents for impoving rationality or reducing superstition?
It's traditional in many parts of the world to buy (or make) presents for at least the closest members one's family around this time of the year. I would like to know if anyone here has ideas for presents to give to people from college age to middle age who a... |
e15b99ae-e725-44dc-a652-df55e9712ccf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I Work on Ads
> "I work on ads at Google"
> "Can I ask why? I honestly can't understand how anyone could."
Someone recently asked me why I work on ads, and I wanted to write up something more thorough than my comment. (Despite being a work topic this is a personal post and I'm speaking only for myself.)
One answe... |
cc4a76b8-2354-4dfd-8de7-2f26352fcf34 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 261. Is Power Seeking AI an Existential Threat
hello and welcome to session 261 in the
AI safety.com reading group tonight we
will be discussing is power seeking AI
an existential Risk by Joseph Carl Smith
Joseph Carl Smith is a senior research
analyst at open philanthropy and this is
was posted this report in April o... |
7ef3b17f-33f8-49e1-9a87-1c58ff244546 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Irrational Modesty
At an online meetup I attended, I talked to a fellow who was working on some software that he thought would be useful for aggregating information for Effective Altruists. He said he would like to work on it full time this summer rather than get an internship - but that this was not financially feasi... |
a182c90c-a742-47b3-9ab3-0852b00f1b34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Edit an Essay into a Solstice Speech?
By request, my notes on how I adapted I Have Seen the Tops of Clouds into a speech for Solstice and best-effort advice on how to do the same yourself. |
a6adc291-d9ff-48ae-9a49-91238384f301 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Boundaries enable positive material-informational feedback loops
(Cross-posted from my blog)
[epistemic status: obvious once considered, I think]
If you want to get big things done, you almost certainly need positive feedback loops. Unless you can already do all the necessary things, you need to do/make things that ... |
124ba88b-f83c-4f24-a390-1bb3f4f84b8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How DeepMind's Generally Capable Agents Were Trained
Intro
One of DeepMind's latest papers, Open-Ended Learning Leads to Generally Capable Agents, explains how DeepMind produced agents that can successfully play games as complex as hide-and-seek or capture-the-flag without even having trained on or seen these games be... |
218d92e7-b814-4e3a-a345-db6e385edc42 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post108
We study alignment audits —systematic investigations into whether an AI is pursuing hidden objectives—by training a model with a hidden misaligned objective and asking teams of blinded researchers to investigate it. This paper was a collaboration between the Anthropic Alignment Science and Interpretability... |
15e104f6-fc25-4ae5-89b2-0d61dadb1029 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Brussels meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Brussels meetup
WHEN: 18 May 2013 01:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Rue des Alexiens 55 1000 Bruxelles
We are once again meeting at 'la fleur en papier dorĂŠe' close to the Brussels Central station. If you feel like an intelligent discussion and are in the neighb... |
fbf49f22-df10-489c-8cc2-fc4472a7c7aa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | On the Interpretation of Decision Problems with Imperfect Recall
. GAMES AND ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR 20,3]24 1997
ARTICLE NO . GA970536
On the Interpretation of Decision Problems with
Imperfect Recall\*
Michele Piccione
Department of Economics, Uni ¨ersity of British Columbia, Vancou ¨er, Canada
and
Ariel Rubinstein
School... |
adecfb9d-a11f-4621-bc3b-c0a00d6be116 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on April 1st. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Baltimore Area / UMBC: Intro to LW and future of the meetup: 03 April 2016 03:00PM
* European Community Weekend: 02 September 2016 03:35PM
* San ... |
33c99e8b-1c3d-4fd8-8853-6418982c7683 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Ethical Considerations in regard to Outsourcing Labour Needs to the Global South
*I will admit that I have not done a lot of research into the topic and might be slightly biased as a Kenyan.*
*Edit: The tasks that are currently outsourced are data labelling NOT training of AI models.*
This is just to ask whether any... |
6793c4aa-bea9-4d53-a249-7bdd1a966541 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prolegomena to a Theory of Fun
Raise the topic of cryonics, uploading, or just medically extended lifespan/healthspan, and some bioconservative neo-Luddite is bound to ask, in portentous tones:
> "But what will people do all day?"
They don't try to actually answer the question. That is not a bioethicist's role, in ... |
89b3dea2-42cb-46ba-a1ad-e5bfe8f1593c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2025 Prediction Thread
2024 is drawing to a close, which means it's an opportune time to make predictions about 2025. It's also a great time to put probabilities on those predictions, so we can later prove our calibration (or lack thereof).
We just shipped a LessWrong feature to make this easy. Simply highlight a sen... |
76e51c9e-72bf-4d1f-9e06-7b7f12ab56e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards a scale-free theory of intelligent agency
I recently left OpenAI to pursue independent research. I’m working on a number of different research directions, but the most fundamental is my pursuit of a scale-free theory of intelligent agency. In this post I give a rough sketch of how I’m thinking about that. I’m ... |
00d2782f-d324-4af5-bea2-b8539e69204e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Cartesian frames as generalised models
Scott [presented](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BSpdshJWGAW6TuNzZ/introduction-to-cartesian-frames) Cartesian frames/Chu spaces as follows:.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight:... |
c0976f8c-d351-4184-b4c2-13ec7ea3174a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality
Today's post, The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality, was originally published on 13 March 2007. Two summaries (taken from the LW wiki):
> People have an irrational tendency to simplify their assessment of things into how good or bad they are ... |
22dfdf35-cf7a-4bfd-bea5-6af38583154a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 20+ tips, tricks, lessons and thoughts on hosting hackathons
*Epistemic status: Based on one relatively new AIS group's experience, so take everything with a grain of salt!*
*(Crossposted on* [*the LW forum*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Abg5wRuBZrbkXZBFj/tips-tricks-lessons-and-thoughts-on-hosting-hackathons)*.)*... |
52938935-e9fb-480c-8a74-b96cd8b12f36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exploring Two-Level Visual Mnemonic Compression
A Visual Mnemonic
Mnemonics are tools for remembering things. I haven’t read Jonathan Haidt’s The Righteous Mind for years, but I still have easy recall of his categorization of ideas that motivate moral reasoning. The mnemonic that has helped my recall of this concept h... |
fa014030-db7c-49f1-a6bf-171ffc8b5e2c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Impending AGI doesn’t make everything else unimportant
I sat in a restaurant in New York, for example, and I looked out at the buildings and I began to think, about how much the radius of the Hiroshima bomb damage was. How far from here was 34th street?... All those buildings, all smashed. And I would go along and I ... |
aa56828c-7f82-4c8d-b0ce-2a214ae46bea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are your recommendations on books to listen to when doing, e.g., chores?
Some books lend themselves well to being listened to (e.g., Life 3.0), while some (GEB) don’t. What are your recommendations? PS: Note that TTS software can audioify any books. |
1d5a0b6b-8ceb-4a08-9531-ea1d40c89b3a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Scenic4RL: Programmatic Modeling and Generation of Reinforcement Learning Environments.
1 Submission of papers to NeurIPS 2021
---------------------------------------
Please read the instructions below carefully and follow them faithfully.
###
1.1 Style
Papers to be submitted to NeurIPS 2021 must be prepare... |
d056ee55-5949-4d55-830c-108426ef5893 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Vienna Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Vienna Meetup
WHEN: 16 April 2016 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24, Vienna
Location: (often depicted wrong, come to U2 Stadlau)
Event on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/events/1688124771426353/
Topic: room for ope... |
a20c1eef-377f-4f72-958f-fe9c3f5bce8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Event [Berkeley]: Alignment Collaborator Speed-Meeting
If you’re working in alignment research, or would like to be, and you would like help finding researchers with whom to collaborate, this event is for you.
Inspired by the structure of a speed-dating event, participants will spend the first two hours in short one-... |
9279ece3-4d1e-49e6-af54-8f50f3c3c9c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Database of existential risk estimates
This post was written for Convergence Analysis, though the opinions expressed are my own. Cross-posted from the Effective Altruism Forum.
This post:
* Provides a spreadsheet you can use for making your own estimates of existential risks (or of similarly “extreme” outcomes)
* ... |
29f1c686-0110-4cae-a0ff-e6f7c2061a8a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research internship position at CHAI
None |
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