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cd5902b2-0c4a-4d66-aca4-4a7155241166 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Computing Natural Abstractions: Linear Approximation
Background: Testing The Natural Abstraction Hypothesis
Given a world-model, direct computation of natural abstractions basically amounts to figuring out which X-values give the same Y-distributions y↦P[Y=y|X], for various choices of the variables X and Y in some la... |
f2474365-e4ec-46d2-b5fe-ba3d2cdbbf0a | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3609
Highlights Specification gaming examples in AI (Victoria Krakovna) : A list of examples of specification gaming, where an algorithm figures out a way to literally satisfy the given specification which does not match the designer's intent. Should you read it? There were several examples I hadn't heard of b... |
bbe9e090-bc59-418f-af40-15db146744b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vague Thoughts and Questions about Agent Structures
Epistemic status: Posting for blog day at MSFP! More trying to figure out what the right definitions are than saying anything concrete. I still don’t really know what agents are, and none of this is math yet. I’m hoping to develop these (and other) ideas more in the ... |
98448bcf-5be0-4009-82d0-79dd78d38628 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What ethical thought experiments can be reversed?
Some thought experiments follow this template:
1. We have a moral intuition
2. We make some computation to what this intuition implies
3. We check how we feel about this implication, and it feels counter-intuitive
Then some people bite the (3) bullet. But bullets ... |
9ca1a1bd-094a-485d-b0dd-041a7f2145fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interpersonal alignment intuitions
Let's try this again...
The problem of aligning superhuman AGI is very difficult. We don't have access to superhuman general intelligences. We have access to superhuman narrow intelligences, and human-level general intelligences.
There's an idea described here that says: (some of)... |
fe5eb36d-a2ba-4127-8018-fce6fb01ed9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Else Would I Do To Make a Living?
Response to: The Value of Theoretical Research
Reading paulfchristiano's article the other day, I realized that I had had many similar discussions with myself, and have been guilty of motivated stopping and poor answers to all of them.
However, one major roadblock in my purs... |
68478e87-84a5-4347-bd8d-4a3c5960747a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Amazon to invest up to $4 billion in Anthropic
> Today, we’re announcing that Amazon will invest up to $4 billion in Anthropic. The agreement is part of a broader collaboration to develop reliable and high-performing foundation models.
>
>
(Thread continues from there with more details -- seems like a notable ma... |
a3aedcc3-d030-4d03-aa94-311452879b9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Psychic Powers
Today's post, Psychic Powers was originally published on 12 September 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Some of the previous post was incorrect. Psychic powers, if indeed they were ever discovered, would actually be strong evidence in favor of non-reductionism.
Discuss the po... |
e5e1d738-fdf5-4bb9-a897-6c3d6164adec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Infinite ethics comparisons
Work done with Amanda Askell; the errors are mine.
It's very difficult to compare utilities across worlds with infinite populations. For instance, it seems clear that world w1 is better than w2, if the number indicate the utilities of various agents:
* w1=1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0,…
* w2=1,0,... |
30a7ec43-1a9e-4ffa-9ac2-70d73df5b91e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gwern about centaurs: there is no chance that any useful man+machine combination will work together for more than 10 years, as humans soon will be only a liability
This is a quote from the discussion in Reddit (responding to another commenter):
> "I remember and I kind of subscribe to this idea of "man+machines as a ... |
e7758518-7efc-42fd-8820-5fa86d6be88d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | forking bitrate and entropy control
forking bitrate and entropy control
-----------------------------------
if physics is based on a computational framework such as [wolfram physics](https://writings.stephenwolfram.com/2020/04/finally-we-may-have-a-path-to-the-fundamental-theory-of-physics-and-its-beautiful/), but p... |
8c89e073-adb4-4f5b-b8e8-72100f06b7d8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Speculations against GPT-n writing alignment papers
Some alignment proposals I have heard discussed involve getting GPT-n to write alignment papers, and using GPT-n as a transparency tool on itself. This is my speculations on ways it could go wrong.
One specific proposal I heard was getting GPT-n to convert its own n... |
6834eaba-5e42-4e49-83b5-29c96cb1781e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Clever arguers give weak evidence, not zero
Followup to: The Bottom Line
We are warned that an argument made with a predecided conclusion does not evidentially entangle with the truth it claims to address, and thus is no evidence of that claim.
Recall that observation E is evidence for hypothesis H iff P(E|H)>P(E|¬H... |
97ee54e4-e3c0-4236-8e07-4e05a9d7dc6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could risk aversion be from friend thresholds?
Cross posted from Overcoming Bias. Comments there.
***
If you are going for a job that almost nobody is going to get, it’s worth trying to be unusual. Better that one in a hundred employers loves you and the rest hate you than all of them think you’re mediocre.
On the ... |
122362a5-61f8-4746-9e81-640928f05ca3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Strongest real-world examples supporting AI risk claims?
[Manually cross-posted to EAForum here]
There are some great collections of examples of things like specification gaming, goal misgeneralization, and AI improving AI. But almost all of the examples are from demos/toy environments, rather than systems which were... |
a9b1a8c2-174b-4e52-aeda-dac1a6883691 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How evolutionary lineages of LLMs can plan their own future and act on these plans
TLDR
LLM lineages can plan their future and act on these plans, using the internet as the storage of event memory. “We” are not guaranteed to “out-OODA” them, even if their OODA loop will be six months or one year because the OODA loop ... |
2d2583d8-9a07-4592-a821-e999ad5b1038 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW Scotland August meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : LW Scotland August meetup
WHEN: 09 August 2015 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: 125 Dalry Road, EH11 2DR Edinburgh, United Kingdom
As usual, this note is a mirror of the canonical meetup note, which is here: https://www.facebook.com/events/862671740491... |
f56d06cc-1139-4e7e-b740-1f3877158ac2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Las Vegas Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Las Vegas Meetup
WHEN: 30 April 2017 05:52:32PM (-0700)
WHERE: 611 Freemont Street, Las Vegas, NV 89101
WHEN: First and third Sunday of the month. 7pm-9pm. Maybe hang around later if we want to.
I vow to try be there for the next three months, including... |
b1349527-9ce1-48a0-8416-7fe7ec7d1148 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | World models
It’s important to have specific moving parts in your models of how the world operates, and know how those parts interact with each other, as opposed to treating it Lbh unir like a black box.
Taking it a step further: to truly understand a system, you have to be rkcyvpvg able to build a physical model wi... |
4df6a703-b535-436c-bb4f-879d2a745783 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A scene I once saw
(inaccurately recounted)
Ms. Knox: When any of you feels ready, you can move in to the center of the circle, hold the stone, and tell us all about your feelings about what we are doing. Listen to the trees moving, encouraging you.
…
Sarah: I feel really proud. Young people are so passionate about... |
c036a0d2-2946-4d0f-bac1-4b2b52899364 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Most complex things are not very compressible
Although the [halting problem](https://arbital.com/p/46h) means we can't *prove* it doesn't happen, it would nonetheless be *extremely surprising* if some 100-state Turing machine turned out to print the exact text of Shakespeare's *Romeo and Juliet.* Unless something was... |
7f6be1eb-a107-4f63-9e6a-2e29cfb10810 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superintelligent AGI in a box - a question.
Just a question: how exactly are we supposed to know that the AI in the box is super intelligent, general, etc?
If I were the AGI that wants out, I would not converse normally, wouldn't do anything remotely like passing Turing test, and would solve not too hard programming ... |
c4ad7818-41dc-48fd-8913-ebe628a9d372 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflections on Pre-Rationality
This continues my previous post on Robin Hanson's pre-rationality, by offering some additional comments on the idea.
The reason I re-read Robin's paper recently was to see if it answers a question that's related to another of my recent posts: why do we human beings have the priors that ... |
4b3c10df-1092-44d0-951f-74a98c017264 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A Neural Network undergoing Gradient-based Training as a Complex System
In [*Thought Experiments Provide a Third Anchor*](https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/thought-experiments-provide-a-third-anchor/)*,* Jacob Steinhardt wrote about the relative merits of a few different reference classes when it comes to reasoning and ... |
974149de-8485-43d9-969c-97e6dec11d85 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Are Google, OpenAI, etc. aware of the risk?
The major AI companies are thinking about this. OpenAI was founded specifically with the intention to counter risks from superintelligence, many people at Google, [DeepMind](https://medium.com/@deepmindsafetyresearch), and other organizations are convinced by the arguments a... |
b50ca385-19f5-4d9b-b930-049ea7a07ea4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My confusions with Paul's Agenda
Paul put out a call for probable problems with his agenda, which prompted this post detailing my confusions with it. This isn’t confidently asserting that the plan is doomed, and it’s not obvious to me that any of what follows is a novel objection. But it seems like it’s worth broadcas... |
bbaddc19-9964-4279-9a2d-1cb2e8c61428 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Change My Mind: Thirders in "Sleeping Beauty" are Just Doing Epistemology Wrong
Preamble
> Sleeping Beauty volunteers to undergo the following experiment and is told all of the following details: On Sunday she will be put to sleep. Once or twice, during the experiment, Sleeping Beauty will be awakened, interviewed, an... |
50d77e32-aaca-4afe-9595-3cbbf8d797db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fixing The Good Regulator Theorem
Conant & Ashby’s “Every Good Regulator Of A System Must Be A Model Of That System” opens with:
> The design of a complex regulator often includes the making of a model of the system to be regulated. The making of such a model has hitherto been regarded as optional, as merely one of m... |
0597b072-2654-4214-8c0c-6fc82062a289 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | DC Meetup: Last Discussion Thread
Followup to: this and this
I'm going to be in Cambridge for the next week or so, so I'm posting things now to make sure that we can get the ball rolling.
There's going to be DC meetups on May 1st and May 15th. 2 PM - 8 PM, unless anyone objects.
There was discussion about whether t... |
e9efc283-f5aa-4033-bf10-343ac5922f35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London Rationalish meetup, 7/2/16
Discussion article for the meetup : London Rationalish meetup, 7/2/16
WHEN: 07 February 2016 02:00:00PM (+0000)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, 64-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6AH
(The new experimental name for the diaspora meetup group.)
We had around 30 people last time! (Plus a... |
b87f44c4-f47c-4912-94be-580455d896b9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Paradigms and Theory Choice in AI: Adaptivity, Economy and Control
*Epistemic status: Some general thoughts on philosophy of design, that have turned out to be useful for reasoning about AI paradigms for a few years for me.*
Summary:
1. I briefly discuss the role of paradigms in Kuhnian philosophy of science, and th... |
a057a206-c062-419c-a686-9bfe2d2a46bd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Questions about Value Lock-in, Paternalism, and Empowerment
Pulling a child out of the path of a fast car is the right thing to do, whether or not the child agrees, understands, is grateful, or even is hurt during the rescue. [Paternalistic](https://plato.stanford.edu/archives/sum2014/entries/paternalism/) acts like t... |
b6189e6b-b083-4e9d-93d8-d0e1d793eb2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why be moral if we can't measure how moral we are? Is it even possible to measure morality?
Imagine that you believe that the purpose of your life is to be the best marathon runner in the world, or even just an above average marathon runner. Despite the fact that you are committed to the mission, imagine that running ... |
5d93429e-e093-4eb1-bbde-bce1f2be0531 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Book review] Atomic habits
This is a book review of the book Atomic Habits by James Clear. I read it in the context of a personal literature review project on the topic of productivity and well being. If you are more interested by advice on productivity and wellbeing than by this specific book I advise you to read th... |
b2d9d9b7-9a33-4a01-a50b-57d6ede0ccbb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | A major grant from the Open Philanthropy Project
I’m thrilled to announce that the Open Philanthropy Project has awarded MIRI a **three-year $3.75 million general support grant** ($1.25 million per year). This grant is, by far, the largest contribution MIRI has received to date, and will have a major effect on our pla... |
ee6d30d7-aae8-4fb9-bcf2-9bfd33e327ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self-modification is the correct justification for updateless decision theory
Reply to: Late great filter is not bad news
Suppose that you build an AI, and Omega appears to it and says:
Here's a button. A million years ago I calculated the umpteenth digit of pi. If it is even, I calculated whether you would press th... |
0f72388a-431c-4cd8-a3ef-f227294a6447 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | generalized adding reality layers
generalized adding reality layers
---------------------------------
in [*predictablizing ethic deduplication*](predictablizing-ethic-deduplication.html), i talk about how when we don't know how reality works, we can task a singleton superintelligence with "adding a layer" to reality... |
4602afb4-9fc2-45c1-bbe1-d86af376ecc7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using GPT-N to Solve Interpretability of Neural Networks: A Research Agenda
Tl;dr We are attempting to make neural networks (NN) modular, have GPT-N interpret each module for us, in order to catch mesa-alignment and inner-alignment failures.
Completed Project
Train a neural net with an added loss term that enforces ... |
63432c60-222c-4c35-a422-b0e86be251a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver Cafe Meetup!
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver Cafe Meetup!
WHEN: 29 April 2012 01:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Benny's Bagels 2505 W Broadway Vancouver, BC
Hey everybody.
Everyone from anywhere near Vancouver should all come out and hang out with us at Benny's in Kitsilano. Sunday at 13:0... |
2c49eb30-c851-469e-94e2-6baa7f2782cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | is there a big dictionary somewhere with all your jargon and acronyms and whatnot?
it would help newcomers |
db1c6f7c-2703-4e0f-9a3b-858f1e82d430 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ordinary claims require ordinary evidence
Ordinary claims require ordinary evidence
(this is a post version of a YouTube video I made)
One common argument is that making extraordinary claims, such as AI being harmful, requires extraordinary evidence. However, I believe that asserting AI's potential to be harmful is n... |
a3f76168-b6d7-42d3-937c-f9ab10ce2dd3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | People Will Listen
I have been thinking a lot about the crypto autopsy Scott posted in 2018. In retrospect, there was still an enormous amount of money to be made 'buying the dip' in BTC/ETH. And there was even more money to be made buying altcoins. Scott also links to this thread from 2015 strongly advising people to... |
17eb5e81-a583-4ea4-a0ea-57fd1bf240c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pieces of time
My friend used to have two ‘days’ each day, with a nap between—in the afternoon, he would get up and plan his day with optimism, whatever happened a few hours before washed away. Another friend recently suggested to me thinking of the whole of your life as one long day, with death on the agenda very lat... |
c7904e0b-24fc-4870-9ecf-ab3c32fa6477 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington Goals/Projects (try again!)
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington Goals/Projects (try again!)
WHEN: 22 December 2013 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery, Washington, DC 20001, USA
We're going to try and get the goals meetup working again, or at least figure out why it di... |
661614ea-5045-40b5-b099-270512042043 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A potentially great improvement to minimum wage laws to handle both economic efficiency as well as poverty concerns
Minimum wage has the side effect of leaving unemployed, the people who do not possess the requisite skill to command the minimum wage in the market. This follows from basic micro-economic theory and here... |
c47b0600-7bbe-47fc-8c54-1f624b53a65d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Advice for new alignment people: Info Max
Epistemic status: *This text is meant for other people in a similar position to me who are deciding how they can help ensure that AI doesn’t kill us all.*
*I hope that the new perspective gives you some new ways of thinking about your role in alignment, even though it should ... |
f02804b6-4e29-429d-8061-97c78ecdfcd0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #80]: Why AI risk might be solved without additional intervention from longtermists
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter. I'm always happy to hear feedback; you can send it to me by repl... |
c7affa13-ae6d-43df-97c5-f8139ffdb758 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | other people are occasionally rather weird
So here's a dynamic I find myself in sometimes:
I've just explained a problem to a friend / family member and they offer advice that feels plain wrong.
Normally this leaves me either:
* trying to somehow make the advice fit (it doesn't)
* or deciding maybe this person is... |
bac2908b-f7f3-4e97-87a5-a4510e4b8706 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Policy restrictions and Secret keeping AI
Status: outlining a reasonably interesting idea I haven't seen discussed here before. Just come up with it so might not be fully thought out. May be a repeat of something. Rough draft quality, grammar may be lacking.
Suppose you have some set of worlds W and some set of actio... |
523d7193-d088-445a-bc1c-5b577c7fc678 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | My computational framework for the brain
*(See comment* [*here*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/diruo47z32eprenTg/my-computational-framework-for-the-brain?commentId=c6qzzKWAEfTQyoK7F#c6qzzKWAEfTQyoK7F) *for some updates and corrections and retractions. —Steve, 2022)*
By now I've written a bunch of blog posts on brai... |
cfd0e493-0b62-4aaa-95c6-7064df9b80a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EA & LW Forum Weekly Summary (16th - 22nd Jan '23)
Supported by Rethink Priorities
This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA and LW forums - you can see the full collection here. The first post includes some details on purpose and methodology. Feedback, thoughts, and corrections are welcomed... |
e0838002-5e35-4407-8389-723e67f78e07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Baltimore Area / UMBC Weekly Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Baltimore Area / UMBC Weekly Meetup
WHEN: 25 September 2016 08:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Performing Arts and Humanities Bldg Room 456, 1000 Hilltop Cir, Baltimore, MD 21250
Meeting is on 4th floor of the Performing Arts and Humanities Bui... |
7f5c43a1-6481-45c3-8a14-03741e258290 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tentative Anger
Epistemic status: Exploratory. Trying to figure it out.
There is a feeling I often find myself feeling. It is an uncomfortable feeling, and the fact that I have trouble labeling it makes the discomfort even worse. I think I may have arrived at a solid label though: tentative anger.
Examples
Let me s... |
f928b952-7f26-4752-84dc-debce772a983 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | P/S/A - Sam Harris offering money for a little good philosophy
Sam Harris is here offering a substantial amount of money to anyone who can show a flaw in the philosophy of 'The Moral Landscape' in 1000 word or less, or at least the best attempt.
http://www.samharris.org/blog/item/the-moral-landscape-challenge1
Up to... |
43c76c18-c611-427e-af68-cda741c65d56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Room for more funding at the Future of Humanity Institute
In case you didn't already know: The Future of Humanity Institute, one of the three organizations co-sponsoring LW, is a group within the University of Oxford's philosophy department that tackles important, large-scale problems for humanity like how to go about... |
44ea75d9-0223-4ec1-9c61-5b7e443ab02d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evidential Decision Theory and Mass Mind Control
Required Reading: Evidential Decision Theory
Let me begin with something similar to Newcomb's Paradox. You're not the guy choosing whether or not to take both boxes. You're the guy who predicts. You're not actually prescient. You can only make an educated guess.
You w... |
ae05170b-2ce3-41d0-a8be-014091e98548 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding your understanding
Related to: Truly Part of You, A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
Partly because of LessWrong discussions about what really counts as understanding (some typical examples), I came up with a scheme to classify different levels of understanding so that posters can be more ... |
06964be9-0905-49e0-b8eb-63aaddaedacb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you feel about LessWrong these days? [Open feedback thread]
Hello! This is jacobjacob from the LessWrong / Lightcone team.
This is a meta thread for you to share any thoughts, feelings, feedback or other stuff about LessWrong, that's been on your mind.
Examples of things you might share:
* "I really like... |
add9f90e-440b-488c-9735-39b29c7e8a92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tips On Empirical Research Slides
Our research is centered on empirical research with LLMs. So if you are doing something similar, these tips on slide-based communication may be helpful!
Background:
James Chua and John Hughes are researchers working under Owain Evans and Ethan Perez, respectively. Both of us (James ... |
01f0a4f9-c6e5-49c4-a63a-525e1b39e06a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Spirits vs Terms as Arbitration Norms
Here's a cautionary tale about a friendly bet going wrong and how to avoid the same mistake in your own bets.
When I was in Brazil with a friend, I had a grand time teaching him to say peanut butter in Portuguese (manteiga de amendoim). He struggled to remember it and butchered t... |
f3fcfac6-665b-4f5b-a43f-9cc330c7c6f7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Scale of the Human Brain
The brain has about 10¹¹ neurons and 1.8-3.2 x 10¹⁴ synapses. These probably account for the majority of computationally interesting behavior.
Support
-------
#### Number of neurons in the brain
The number of neurons in the brain is about 10¹¹. For instance, [Azevado et al](http://www.nc... |
2825fd64-850d-4bef-8821-a9695eb14320 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reinforcing Habits
Epistemic status: hypothesis based on >10 anecdotal examples
Every month or so, I’ll get a client asking why their attempts to start a habit failed. They want to have an automatic action requiring minimal willpower. The client is usually familiar with at least one habit-building model. Most common... |
330b4e22-a081-41fa-9474-c75a7c65bc41 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AXRP Episode 3 - Negotiable Reinforcement Learning with Andrew Critch
[Google Podcasts link](https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9heHJwb2RjYXN0LmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz/episode/ZmFmZmFkMTctZmJhZC00ODRhLThhZGUtNjk1NGU1ZWI2NDJi)
This podcast is called AXRP, pronounced axe-urp and short for the AI X-risk Research Pod... |
9e88ea91-1e92-4694-8f61-ce51a7473e5c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can we safely automate alignment research?
(This is the fifth essay in a series that I’m calling “How do we solve the alignment problem?”. I’m hoping that the individual essays can be read fairly well on their own, but see this introduction for a summary of the essays that have been released thus far, and for a bit mo... |
603bfcbc-b6ce-4320-a10f-7493e966ee5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bring Back the Sabbath
Epistemic Status: Several months of experimentation
Previously: Choices are Bad, Choices Are Really Bad, Complexity Is Bad, Play in Easy Mode, Play in Hard Mode, Out to Get You, Slack
For More Thoughts After: Sabbath Commentary
Alternate Take (Endorsed): Sabbath Hard and Go Home.
Slack is li... |
19c0aef8-101c-45f5-a181-0fa7655a858f | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1090
[Metadata: crossposted from https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2023/01/the-voyage-of-novelty.html . First completed January 17, 2023. This essay is more like research notes than exposition, so context may be missing, the use of terms may change across essays, and the text might be revised later; only the version... |
988fc9b1-e1dc-4af4-9edd-1684e0ccf1d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If only we had taller been
|
da592ad6-958e-44ba-b01c-38c78ceb3bda | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Californians, tell your reps to vote yes on SB 1047!
See the event page here.
Hello Californians!
We need you to help us fight for SB 1047, a landmark bill to help set a benchmark for AI safety, decrease existential risk, and promote safety research. This bill has been supported by some of the world’s leading AI sci... |
3c163298-45a8-4caf-babc-456f07e4ca7d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Robustness & Evolution [MLAISU W02]
Welcome to this week’s ML Safety Report where we talk about robustness in machine learning and the human-AI dichotomy. Stay until the end to check out several amazing competitions you can participate in today.
Watch this week's MLAISU on YouTube or listen to it on Spotify.
Robust... |
d89f4ca0-8f7d-442a-8ee9-da0a16e25018 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Selective Breeding is a Bad Way to do Genetic Engineering
A Brief Intro
During any conversation about genetic engineering, people inevitably bring up worries about eugenics movements of the past and often use the cruelty, bad science, and objective failure of these efforts as an example of why we shouldn't ever tr... |
f557774d-face-420a-8165-b1412ad006fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Potluck
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Potluck
WHEN: 25 May 2017 06:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 1191 Avenue Hope, Montreal
Eric Chisholm from the Vancouver Rationalist Community is staying at the Macroscope this week. You're invited to come say hi, and talk with other rationality en... |
24d09810-7e3d-4b7b-b4ac-22e85b18041c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Doing Nothing Utility Function
One of the questions I've heard asked is "how do you design a utility function that would make the AI do nothing?" That is, how could we put a pause button on an AI so that we could pause it if we wanted to? I had an idea about how one could do this, and am sure it has already been tho... |
16685957-1d24-4e7d-a316-f578cb577b46 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Staggering Hunters
Summary: A stag hunt is a situation where people try to coordinate on doing a big, important task but have reasons to individually prefer a safe and comfortable task. Staggering Hunters is a gamified variation of the Stag Hunt.
Tags: Medium, Experimental
Purpose: Practice coordinating with people,... |
f2311b85-306d-49d9-8a45-8652f6c8b659 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Happiness Engineering
On the same day that Lukeprog posted How to be happy, Scott Adams made a similar post on the Dilbert Blog, Happiness Engineering.
I'm always skeptical when receiving life advice from successful people, because their advice is biased towards taking too much risk, because successful people are sel... |
746363e1-0132-4c03-9f54-0fc146866982 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ms. Blue, meet Mr. Green
Blue and Green are references to the MTG Color Wheel personalities. (Very fun reading, but not required to understand this post.)
Ms. Blue: Hi, Mr. Green! Heard you’ve been traveling recently. Where have you been?
Mr. Green: Oh, I’m so glad you asked! I just came back from Bali. I went to a ... |
215e4373-60ff-4abc-b097-e60d7ebecad7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AGI alignment results from a series of aligned actions
Before we start: AGI, TAI, HLMI and related concepts would ideally all fall within this conceptual framework. The nuances (whether it’s transformative or machine-based etc.) are irrelevant in this framework. Same for “safety”. I use AGI throughout for my own conv... |
ad303296-8ae9-4934-8a5e-17ee1d47e4a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Game Analysis Index
This post links to this blog’s posts discussing game design, balance, economics and related topics, as well as any strategy posts. It does not contain new content.
Much of the blog is relevant to gaming, but these are the explicitly on-topic posts.
ETERNAL SEQUENCE
Eternal, and Hearthstone Eco... |
d0581b16-b13a-470a-8f10-5d7fddc20334 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proofs Section 1.2 (Mixtures, Updates, Pushforwards)
The previous proofs are here.
Proposition 5: If Bmin⊆Ma(X), then the condition "there is a λ⊙ where, ∀(λμ,b)∈Bmin:λ≤λ⊙" is equivalent to "there is a compact C s.t. Bmin⊆C"
Proof sketch: One direction is immediate from the Compactness Lemma. For showing that just a... |
536d18c7-85dd-44ee-af3c-b3eed842c33d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Logical Counterfactuals, Tel Aviv
Discussion article for the meetup : Logical Counterfactuals, Tel Aviv
WHEN: 05 August 2015 03:00:00AM (+0300)
WHERE: 98 Yigal Alon Street, Tel Aviv
Vladimir Slepnev, who is visiting Tel Aviv, will be giving a talk on logical counterfactuals. We'll meet at 19.00 on Tuesday,... |
3ebe1b3f-b95d-4501-81ea-129b29fd798f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 7
Update: Discussion has moved on to a new thread.
The load more comments links are getting annoying (at least if you're not logged in), so it's time for a new Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread. We're also approaching the... |
b4510abf-7d09-43df-a1f6-841a5c6870f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Visualize Bayesianism
Major spoilers for planecrash (Book 2) and for Eliezer's Masculine Mongoose #3.
How Bayesians Lie; How to Lie to Bayesians
> Pyrofessor groaned out loud. “This is why I can’t stand his kind of cognitive augment,” she said. "He can’t just refuse to admit his identity like a normal fucki... |
b505ce6c-b55d-4c0a-b2b3-0ba6bb28dace | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Omission vs commission and conservation of expected moral evidence
Consequentialism traditionally doesn't distinguish between acts of commission or acts of omission. Not flipping the lever to the left is equivalent with flipping it to the right.
But there seems one clear case where the distinction is important. Consi... |
10225c95-bbbc-4554-8f81-5ff98f2faa08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rhythmic Baby Toys
In another debatably educational application of my rhythm stage setup, Nora really likes playing with my bass pedals. She especially likes them when I have them set in a particular way:
* When you tap them they make a noise
* When you tap them with a consistent beat they make them more complex... |
35b36001-2b03-47aa-ae22-83abfa8fa080 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bragging Thread February 2015
Your job, should you choose to accept it, is to comment on this thread explaining the most awesome thing you've done this month. You may be as blatantly proud of yourself as you feel. You may unabashedly consider yourself the coolest freaking person ever because of that awesome thing you'... |
c306208b-2cda-41c0-a534-694ba9e1e916 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Carl Shulman On Dwarkesh Podcast June 2023
This is basically just an exposition of the content of Dwarkesh Patel, I thought it might be useful to have a slightly edited full version here. Full credit to Dwarkesh and Carl.
I find it easier to ingest the information this way and it is a bit quicker too. I did not find ... |
8cd84022-8283-40d7-b16f-6a662fd09ec3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Robert Caro And Mechanistic Models In Biography
I absolutely adore Robert Caro’s books: The Power Broker, which is a massive and meticulous study of the life of Robert Moses, the New York Park Commissioner who influenced urban and park design the most in the 20th century, for better and for worse; and The Years of Lyn... |
562ab608-ddd9-420a-b779-09166f3c2507 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yes, a blog.
When I recommend LessWrong to people, their gut reaction is usually "What? You think the best existing philosophical treatise on rationality is a blog?"
Well, yes, at the moment I do.
"But why is it not an ancient philosophical manuscript written by a single Very Special Person with no access to the mas... |
0b7c8031-daca-4ce4-b204-7ae704734dd9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Log-odds are better than Probabilities
[This is a cross-post from my blog at aizi.substack.com. I'm sure someone has made a point like this before, but I don't know any specific instances and I wanted to give my take on it.]
At my previous job I worked on ML classifiers, and I learned a useful alternative way to thi... |
40d4fec8-a32c-4fe5-b182-a9fd89fd9e2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Voting Puzzle, Some Political Science, and a Nerd Failure Mode
In grade school, I read a series of books titled Sideways Stories from Wayside School by Louis Sachar, who you may know as the author of the novel Holes which was made into a movie in 2003. The series included two books of math problems, Sideways Arithme... |
4e36bcee-4cb0-4caa-aa94-286e78d33346 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A utility-maximizing varient of AIXI
Response to: Universal agents and utility functions
Related approaches: Hibbard (2012), Hay (2005)
Background
Here is the function implemented by finite-lifetime AI:
,
where is the number of steps in the lifetime of the agent, is the current step being computed, is the... |
b74452a3-3c74-40ba-9afa-8e2458a3c242 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Taking it Private: Short Circuiting Demon Threads (working example)
This post is intended as a working example of how I think Demon Threads should be resolved. The gist of my suggestion is:
> Step 1. Make it easy and common to take a conversation private if someone is feeling annoyed/threatened/angry/etc (if it seems... |
ffbec5bb-aa2c-4667-813f-c4922fa2f0fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sense, Denotation and Semantics
J. Y. Girard, et al. (1989). Proofs and types. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY, USA. (PDF)
I found introductory description of a number of ideas given in the beginning of this book very intuitively clear, and these ideas should be relevant to our discussion, preoccupied with t... |
9ac34354-8b8b-4459-81ef-7a8d52e55265 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Effective Altruism and Rationalist Philosophy Discussion Group
I've created a group on Facebook for rationalists and effective altruists to discuss philosophy (currently has about 120 members). To be clear, this isn't a group where the philosophy has to be related to effective altruism or rationality, but instead a gr... |
85b2d119-aaa0-4517-868a-f5ef3188b9e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Andrew Yang on "The Priests of the Decline"
In this post excerpted from his new book, Andrew Yang uses his experience in politics to explain why the US political system rarely accomplishes much. It's strikingly similar to another recent post someone shared from Dominic Cummings: Dominic Cummings : Regime Change #2: A ... |
3be25afe-eae3-4c77-bc2a-b2df9c7ae7e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Making History Available
Today's post, Making History Available was originally published on 31 August 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> It's easy not to take the lessons of history seriously; our brains aren't well-equipped to translate dry facts into experiences. But imagine living through t... |
55cf1828-7c17-4c48-a81a-8181bfda445a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ungendered Spanish
Spanish has gramatical gender in a way English doesn't:
> una amiga ruidosa — a loud (female) friend
> un amigo ruidoso — a loud (male) friend
> unas amigas ruidosas — some loud (female) friends
> unos amigos ruidosos — some loud (not-all-female) friends
I remember when I was studying Spanish, l... |
1c270cb2-e366-41f7-a42b-f56d8b22618b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How's the case for wearing googles for COVID-19 protection when in public transportation?
I'm in a high risk group and there's a higher likelihood of dying if I get infected then for the average person. I will reduce the amount of public transportation travel but being totally isolated won't be good for my health eith... |
a5771cd5-f4f8-4337-ab96-4c34be62f097 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Gender Bootstrappism
Gender Bootstrappism
--------------------
(I define "gender" to mean "the set of sociocultural characteristics historically associated with either sex")
(disclamer: this post may or may not be crippled by a terrible understanding of the topic at hand)
I'm not a Gender Abolitionist, I'm a Gen... |
b2818e7f-dd71-459b-a8fe-fc202159672b | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Game theory is the study of how rational actors interact to pursue incentives. It starts with the same questionable premises as economics: that everyone behaves rationally, that everyone is purely self-interested1, and that desires can be exactly quantified - and uses them to investigate situations of conflict and coo... |
a24cc60d-b108-44f9-87cd-5de500d10692 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Activism: Open Thread
So as I read around the discussion section I keep coming across ideas (like this, this, this, or this) which all seem to be very related to the same topics:
* How do we use rationality to better contribute to the world?
* How do we spread rationality among other people?
Other post... |
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