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e8a3d678-5d89-4cb6-8bcb-9e4482761181 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Disambiguation
Several distinct concepts with comparable importance use this page's name, this page helps readers find what they're looking for. |
7b38d60a-294e-442a-89ab-57d713902b92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes April 2016
Another month, another rationality quotes thread. The rules are:
* Provide sufficient information (URL, title, date, page number, etc.) to enable a reader to find the place where you read the quote, or its original source if available. Do not quote with only a name.
* Post all quotes s... |
dea6babb-7baa-4b83-b89d-4e7a0673dfd6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 6. The Mutable Values Problem in Value Learning and CEV
Part 6 of AI, Alignment, and Ethics. This will probably make more sense if you start with Part 1.
TL;DR In Parts 1 through 5 I discussed how to choose an ethical system, and implications for societies containing biological and/or uploaded humans and aligned AIs,... |
1e7f0ea3-2c57-4a06-b918-4c83f2596dcf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Third Circle
Previously: The First Circle, The Second Circle
Epistemic Status: Having one’s fill
The third circle took place at Luna Labs. After the second circle, the decision was made to bring in a professional. The New York rationalist group, together with several others in the Luna orbit, gathered at quite ... |
1404937c-e4f6-4dc9-9220-6a0cc7b49f54 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Media Synthesis: An Essay on The Next 15 Years of Creative Automation
One of my favorite childhood memories involves something that technically never happened. When I was ten years old, my waking life revolved around cartoons— flashy, colorful, quirky shows that I could find in convenient thirty-minute blocks on a ... |
d02b808d-055a-434e-9857-bff17de707ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Virtue of Narrowness
Today's post, The Virtue of Narrowness, was originally published on 07 August 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> It was perfectly all right for Isaac Newton to explain just gravity, just the way things fall down - and how planets orbit the Sun, and how the Moon generates ... |
2782ea05-7fd4-42c9-911c-70fcf269d225 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Intentional Agency Experiment
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
We would like to discern the intentions of a hyperintelligent, possibly malicious agent which has every incentive to conceal its evil intentions from us. But what even is intention? What does it mean for an agent to work towards a goal?
Consider ... |
1f8dc83c-b7a8-4b9d-a190-a5b5a3fdbca3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quadratic Voting and Collusion
Quadratic voting is a proposal for a voting system that ensures participants cast a number of votes proportional to the degree they care about the issue by making the marginal cost of each additional vote linearly increasing - see this post by Vitalik for an excellent introduction.
One ... |
a9aef2d0-0619-408d-99e2-ec97e03f12e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Possible Cockatrice in written form
My various interweb browsings stumbled me upon a potential Cockatrice in written, philisophical form. I've thus far read through the first chapter, and it is less anti-rational than most philosophical writings.
I'm reading through it right now, and will provide my feedback when I'... |
42af8d64-c37b-496a-8239-104559dfc237 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is the point of College?
Specifically is it worth investing time to gain knowledge?
So a bit of background about me before I go into the question.So I am sophomore studying Mechanical Engineering in India.
I have noticed that I have forgotten about 80-90% of the course-work that I did during the first year.Don't... |
a00c6007-ba34-4293-b02e-979a5452ba09 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Details on how an IAEA-style AI regulator would function?
Is anyone aware of work going into detail on how an international regulator for AI would function, how compliance might be monitored etc? |
cb8f2832-a0d0-45c4-ad9b-fcf79fee4f65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Apply to be a TA for TARA
AI Safety - Australia & New Zealand (AIS ANZ) has launched TARA, its first technical course, and is seeking a Teaching Assistant (TA) for the inaugural cohort.
TARA (Technical Alignment Research Accelerator) is a free 14-week course based on ARENA's curriculum, running March-May 2025 in Aust... |
ec082c06-5195-45a4-b2fc-bc9849660cc5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Magic Brain Juice
Shorter and less Pruned due to CFAR.
> A grandfather is talking with his grandson and he says there are two wolves inside of us which are always at war with each other.
> One of them is a good wolf which represents things like kindness, bravery and love. The other is a bad wolf, which represents th... |
179e495b-9e3a-4f04-b712-7c0feba3ddbf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Grokking Beyond Neural Networks
We recently authored a paper titled, Grokking Beyond Neural Networks: An Empirical Exploration with Model Complexity. Below, we provide an abstract of the article along with key take-aways from our experiments.
Abstract
In some settings neural networks exhibit a phenomenon known as gr... |
f83995eb-f4e7-4654-8b24-45963837d5d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probability Space & Aumann Agreement
The first part of this post describes a way of interpreting the basic mathematics of Bayesianism. Eliezer already presented one such view at http://lesswrong.com/lw/hk/priors_as_mathematical_objects/, but I want to present another one that has been useful to me, and also show how t... |
af009cd2-3108-4868-ba36-e59a913c0dd8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | CEV can be coherent enough
CEV can be coherent enough
--------------------------
some people worry that [coherent extrapolated volition](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/coherent-extrapolated-volition) (CEV) is not coherent (for example, [*on the limit of idealized values*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FSmPtu7foXwNY... |
cb0c6339-a3d2-4498-b8c8-8937c28247b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #99: Farewell to Biden
The fun, as it were, is presumably about to begin.
And the break was fun while it lasted.
Biden went out with an AI bang. His farewell address warns of a ‘Tech-Industrial Complex’ and calls AI the most important technology of all time. And there was not one but two AI-related everything bag... |
3484004b-bb19-4230-a50e-800c9951f676 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prompt Your Brain
Summary: You can prompt your own brain, just as you would GPT-3. Sometimes this trick works surprisingly well for finding inspiration or solving confusing problems.
Language Prediction
GPT-3 is a language prediction model that takes linguistic inputs and predicts what comes next based on what it le... |
e7406abe-3746-4b24-a3a5-885371aedd78 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are examples of 'scientific' studies that contradict what you believe about yourself?
EtA:
It can also be old studies that have since been refuted.
I'm actually especially interested in 'scientific' studies that wrongly contradicted what our intuitions would tell us. |
90737b9c-9248-418d-afe1-1e1c76b15444 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beliefs at different timescales
Why is a chess game the opposite of an ideal gas? On short timescales an ideal gas is described by elastic collisions. And a single move in chess can be modeled by a policy network.
The difference is in long timescales: If we simulated elastic collisions for a long time, we'd end up wi... |
78afdf63-cce6-4a20-a460-c2f4c67c3afc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Risk & Opportunity: Strategic Analysis Via Probability Tree
Part of the series AI Risk and Opportunity: A Strategic Analysis.
(You can leave anonymous feedback on posts in this series here. I alone will read the comments, and may use them to improve past and forthcoming posts in this series.)
There are many appro... |
bb890fec-e144-4994-8593-d1daac465de1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Ethical guidelines for a superintelligence
The assumption that intelligence is a potentially infinite quantity 1 with a well-defined, one-dimensional value. Bostrom writes differential equations for intelligence, and characterizes their solutions. Certainly, if you asked Bostrom about this, he would say that this is a... |
deac450e-d19c-4cd0-91f4-00b6359e1dec | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | What would we do if alignment were futile?
This piece, which predates ChatGPT, is no longer endorsed by its author.
Eliezer's [recent discussion](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CpvyhFy9WvCNsifkY/discussion-with-eliezer-yudkowsky-on-agi-interventions) on AGI alignment is not optimistic.
> I consider the present ga... |
fdc2d4af-a059-4e8c-a3a9-aa075edcb03f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exams and Overfitting
When I hear something like "What's going to be on the exam?", part of me gets indignant. WHAT?!?! You're defeating the whole point of the exam! You're committing the Deadly Sin of Overfitting!
Let me step back and explain my view of exams.
When I take a class, my goal is to learn the materia... |
9a996076-6d31-4f7d-af89-6f5940116295 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Why does AGI occur almost nowhere, not even just as a remark for economic/political models?
Depending of different attitudes towards questions like take-off speed, people argue that with the development of AGI we will face situations of world GDP doubling days/weeks/a few years (with the number of years shriking with ... |
c1f156a3-96fe-4e03-9f13-9632e1ae2e3e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Announcing the CNN Interpretability Competition
TL;DR
=====
I am excited to announce the [CNN Interpretability Competition,](https://benchmarking-interpretability.csail.mit.edu/challenges-and-prizes/) which is part of the competition track of [SATML 2024](https://satml.org/#).
**Dates:** Sept 22, 2023 - Mar 22, 202... |
26df9ee4-c7b3-41a8-8e2b-8d80255e3239 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | CHAT Diplomacy: LLMs and National Security
> "The view, expressed by almost all competent atomic scientists, that there was no "secret" about how to build an atomic bomb was thus not only rejected by influential people in the U.S. political establishment, but was regarded as a treasonous plot."
>
>
*Robert Oppenhe... |
9df03291-d263-49ca-8f88-b34bde378800 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing SPAR Summer 2024!
The Supervised Program for Alignment Research (SPAR) is open to applications for summer 2024! SPAR connects mentors and mentees for three-month AI safety and governance research projects. The Summer 2024 cycle of SPAR will take place virtually between June 14th and September 10th, 2024.
F... |
f85c6590-ae54-4a25-afc7-5669b0eed972 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | The Immigration Preferences of Top AI Researchers: New Survey Evidence | GovAI
The Immigration
Preferences of Top AI
Researchers:
New Survey EvidenceJANUARY 2021
Remco Zwetsloot, Baobao Zhang, Markus
Anderljung, Michael C. Horowitz, Allan Dafoe
Perry World House is a center
for scholarly inquiry, teaching, resear... |
f685335c-6062-460f-b8aa-c5a94fd88557 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Murphy’s Quest Ch 3: Murphyjitsu
Having learned the secret to Sleep Refresh, the rest of Training progresses smoothly. Throughout the day, we stream in and out of the barracks to get a minute of shut-eye between Kobold spawns.
12 ears an hour, 10 hours a day, it only takes 8 more mind-numbing days to finish this fetc... |
01196046-535e-4839-9330-7d7d8bcabf66 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Concrete open problems in mechanistic interpretability: a technical overview
The goal of this talk was to be a whirlwind tour of key frontiers and areas of mechanistic interpretability. Giving talks to an audience of wildly varying technical backgrounds is a massive pain, but I think I managed to convey the key intuit... |
d9729627-a4a1-400e-a62c-da03bd195f41 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Understanding the Meaning of Understanding
1 Preamble
-----------
In his famous tale, Las ruinas circolares ([[3](#bib.bib3)]), J. L. Borges depicts the efforts of a man
in his struggling endeavor to create, through his own dreams, a new life. The accomplishment is to
induce the dreamed subject to become an indepen... |
811058d4-011e-462f-967d-ff00e626b8b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [MLSN #9] Verifying large training runs, security risks from LLM access to APIs, why natural selection may favor AIs over humans
As part of a larger community building effort, CAIS is writing a safety newsletter that is designed to cover empirical safety research and be palatable to the broader machine learning resear... |
d7f8bc08-566e-480d-96b9-76ea411c6acc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superforecasting the Origins of the Covid-19 Pandemic
The Good Judgement Project got some superforecasters to retrocast whether COVID started via zoonotic spillover or a lab leak. They in aggregate gave a 75% chance of zoonosis, but there was a range of views. GJP's executive summary is at the end of this linkpost.
H... |
e70686be-ccb4-45e6-a784-65efc64510b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dear Self; we need to talk about ambition
I keep seeing advice on ambition, aimed at people in college or early in their career, that would have been really bad for me at similar ages. Rather than contribute (more) to the list of people giving poorly universalized advice on ambition, I have written a letter to the one... |
a8786fb9-55a2-401e-8d9b-0e05831d75a3 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "I.This was a triumphI'm making a note here, huge successNo, seriously, it was awful. I deleted my blog of 1,557 posts. I wanted to protect my privacy, but I ended up with articles about me in New Yorker, Reason, and The Daily Beast. I wanted to protect my anonymity, but I Streisand-Effected myself, and a bunch of trol... |
924bcbf5-0c2c-4d28-853c-d7f0f41f5bed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Handling schemers if shutdown is not an option
What if getting strong evidence of scheming isn't the end of your scheming problems, but merely the middle?
In most of our research and writing on AI control, we’ve emphasized the following situation:
* The AI developer is deploying a model that they think might be sch... |
9a9ddc18-7563-4f23-883a-9f71e4769afc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Scaling and Sustaining Standards: A Case Study on the Basel Accords
In response to [Holden Karnofsky's call for case studies on standards](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/idrBxfsHkYeTtpm2q/seeking-paid-case-studies-on-standards), I've spent the last six weeks or so researching **the Basel Accords** - the pre... |
005acf65-2787-4690-9c6d-3647168a8459 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | ChatGPT understands, but largely does not generate Spanglish (and other code-mixed) text
*Content format: Commented chat screenshots, and then some thoughts on their implications.*
*Epistemic status: Exploratory*
Introduction
============
[Code-mixing](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Code-mixing) is the ad-hoc mixing... |
c08a0ace-3f71-4e72-996e-71cccb5606c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Causal graphs and counterfactuals
Problem solved: Found what I was looking for in: An Axiomatic Characterization Causal Counterfactuals, thanks to Evan Lloyd.
Basically, making every endogenous variable a deterministic function of the exogenous variables and of the other endogenous variables, and pushing all the stoc... |
061a739e-3d61-4e6c-83d2-dcdf04da99c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on Francois Chollet's belief that LLMs are far away from AGI?
Dwarkesh had a podcast recently with Francois Chollet (creator of Keras)
He seems fairly skeptical we are anywhere near AGI with LLMs. He mostly bases his intuition that LLMs fail on OOD tasks and don't seem to be good at solving simple abstra... |
23600e8c-e1be-4322-9594-4f7cad33153d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Natural Abstraction: Convergent Preferences Over Information Structures
The natural abstraction hypothesis claims (in part) that a wide variety of agents will learn to use the same abstractions and concepts to reason about the world.
What's the simplest possible setting where we can state something like this formally... |
53340a46-30d6-437e-9fe2-0f1baf6f066e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Virtue ethics and why the rationalist community might care about it.
This post introduces [“virtue ethics”](https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/ethics-virtue/) and explains why you might find it worth pursuing.
Virtue ethics is meant to be of practical help
----------------------------------------------
The two main ... |
06f86a73-696a-4ad1-9d1a-65b2eb11d07b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Scaling Laws Literature Review
Common shape of a scaling law, taken from Hestness et al. (2017)
Executive summary
* Scaling laws are predictable relations between the scale of a mode and performance or other useful properties.
* I have collected a database of scaling laws for different tasks and architectures, and... |
c452200f-041c-440e-9648-9fbd95d33761 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Apply to the Conceptual Boundaries Workshop for AI Safety
Do you have experience with formal computer security, Active Inference, Embedded Agency, biological gap junctions, or other frameworks that distinguish agents from their environment? Apply to the Conceptual Boundaries Workshop for AI safety. February in Austin ... |
fc3602de-3a2b-42b4-9929-6de990bcc578 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What 2025 looks like
I wrote almost all of this in mid-March before the FLI Open Letter and Eliezer's TIME piece. Weirdly, after just six weeks I'd likely write something different. This isn't as finished/polished as I'd like, but better to ship it as is than languish incomplete forever.
-----------------------------... |
aa4e7ea4-1bdd-4ec4-8138-35c6f92ffaaa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who wants a free AI Safety Domain?
I have a few domains I would like to give away. If you want a domain and have a good use for it let me know and I will transfer it to you at no cost.
* agisafety.org
* ainotkilleveryone.com
* ainotkilleveryone.org
* aiiscoming.org |
757bb711-15c8-47b1-a9e2-000901eed795 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Actual effectiveness
For a design feature of a [sufficiently advanced AI](https://arbital.com/p/7g1) to be "actually effective", we may need to worry about the behavior of other parts of the system. For example, if you try to declare that a self-modifying AI is not allowed to modify the representation of its [utility... |
7872aa30-10e4-498a-a126-fe3c5f636f77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on the Scope of LessWrong's Infohazard Policies
Recently, I was asked about my opinion on deleting posts that had potentially bad consequences. In particular, whether I should delete a post criticising the CDC's response to the coronavirus, during a time of crisis where the CDC was the relevant US government ... |
8eee9d9b-3106-4090-9aa2-a26ca6fc72fb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Fleet-DAgger: Interactive Robot Fleet Learning with Scalable Human Supervision.
1 Introduction
---------------
Waymo, Zoox, Amazon, Nimble Robotics, and Plus One Robotics use remote human supervision of robot fleets in applications ranging from self-driving taxis to automated warehouse fulfillment [[1](#bib.bib1), ... |
c3e41d28-6f3f-4665-af99-d1112e7d4729 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | President Biden Issues Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence
Released today (10/30/23) this is crazy, perhaps the most sweeping action taken by government on AI yet.
Below, I've segmented by x-risk and non-x-risk related proposals, excluding the proposals that are geared towards pr... |
116114cb-d7ef-4f29-b540-7255c1b524c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In defense of memes (and thought-terminating clichés)
Crossposted from my Substack and my Reddit post on r/SlateStarCodex
I often think that memes, thought-terminating clichés, and other tools meant to avoid cognitive dissonance (e.g. bingo a la Scott on Superweapons and bingo) are overly blamed for degrading public ... |
199897bf-c86f-47c7-99ae-1d84309975f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | The Whiteness of AI
RESEARCH ARTICLE Open Access
The Whiteness of AI
Stephen Cave1&Kanta Dihal1
Received: 3 January 2020 / Accepted: 28 June 2020/
#The Author(s) 2020
Abstract
This paper focuses on the fact that AI is predominantly portrayed as white —in colour,
ethnicity, or both. We first illustrate the prevalent Wh... |
426fa924-c2fa-4f3b-b5e7-382440c77ef3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Non-alignment project ideas for making transformative AI go well
This is a series of posts with lists of projects that it could be valuable for someone to work on. The unifying theme is that they are projects that:
* Would be especially valuable if transformative AI is coming in the next 10 years or so.
* Are not p... |
2b98a462-583e-439a-ab76-6101e9610c83 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Alignment is intractable (and we humans should stop working on it)
AI alignment is an intractable problem because it is impossible to create a perfect model of a human mind. Even if we could, the vast majority of people would never accept being controlled by a machine. Even if we could create a workable model of a ... |
3b0c3d09-41d2-4e20-98e6-bd10b9a98a8b | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3321
Even if we can measure how impactful an agent's actions are, how impactful do we let the agent be? This post uncovers a surprising fact: armed with just four numbers, we can set the impact level so that the agent chooses a reasonable, non-catastrophic plan on the first try. This understanding increases th... |
624a6c21-b7aa-472b-a5f7-3db4c0efd1ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can you improve your intelligence with these types of exercises?
Hi, I write and find exercises on biases to help myself and others think better.
For example:
Bob is an opera fan who enjoys touring art museums when on holiday.
Growing up, he enjoyed playing chess with family members and friends.
Which situation is... |
5d21e512-08d0-48cb-a0c5-78257a647170 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Homepathy: One down, infinity to go
A few days ago the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NMHRC) released a report that reviewed 1800 papers on homeopathic treatments. In what should be a surprise to no one on LW, it was concluded that they were no more effective than placebo.
Even though this p... |
35a70293-deda-46e7-897f-b61ec3903222 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are scaling laws?
Scaling laws express a relationship between the three [aspects of compute](/?state=9358&question=What%20is%20compute%3F) (the length of the training run, the amount of training data, and the size of the model) and the performance of a model. They’re used to allocate limited resources between the... |
084dcba4-ce18-42ba-a500-bf53e518bece | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What should I do with my idea for helping with AI alignment?
Maybe you’ve thought of a project that seems really valuable for someone to do, but nobody seems to be doing it; the AI safety community seems to be collectively [dropping the ball](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Zp6wG5eQFLGWwcG6j/focus-on-the-places-where-... |
befe6c74-a99e-410c-a13a-f015166c6e5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is the game design/art maxim more generalizable to criticism/praise itself?
For those who don't know, the maxim of criticism that game designers/art people use in their responses to criticism is roughly the following:
"If you get a negative reaction on it's own, that's evidence that there's a problem."
"If customers... |
0623b799-aa41-49fa-95e5-35a9faa95d28 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to prevent Re-Traumatization on Meditation Retreats
Meditation tends to bring to the surface unpleasant suppressed material like extremely unpleasant emotions, thoughts, or memories. When this happens while you're alone on a silent meditation retreat and don't know how to deal with it, there's a certain risk of re... |
b36d869e-0f76-4bc4-94b8-726672f28076 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Club: Software Design for Flexibility
Gerry Sussman's new book on how to build adaptive systems just came out. It's called "Software Design for Flexibility: How to Avoid Programming Yourself into a Corner" and it covers similar ground to Sussman's advanced symbolic programming class which I liked a lot. The class... |
922b32f4-51f1-4d86-8e5b-323d76667f97 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Most sensible abstraction & feature set for a systems language?
Edit: Made title seem more like a question as intended and tried to clarify on some points Ive made and provided more context on my motivations
Motivations
Systems programming is not well defined. But for the purposes of this post I define it to mean "w... |
f03893f6-2d8a-4d2d-a314-2d415a9eab84 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "As previously discussed, on June 6th I received a message from jackk, a Trike Admin. He reported that the user Jiro had asked Trike to carry out an investigation to the retributive downvoting that Jiro had been subjected to. The investigation revealed that the user Eugine_Nier had downvoted over half of Jiro's comment... |
c8074900-260b-43c6-98db-0b0e874d8907 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Six Dimensions of Operational Adequacy in AGI Projects
| |
| --- |
| **Editor's note:** The following is a lightly edited copy of a document written by Eliezer Yudkowsky in November 2017. Since this is a snapshot of Eliezer’s thinking at a specific time, we’ve sprinkled reminders throughout that this is from 2017.A b... |
e78552ad-94a4-4fe5-bbb4-6ecbd2757625 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Friendly-AI a good idea?
I know that to ask this question on this site is tantamount to heresy, and I know that the intentions are pure; to save uncountable human lives, but I would say that we are allowing ourselves to become blinded to what it is we are actually proposing when we talk of building an FAI. The reas... |
e362fd09-3a75-4f1f-b6ac-dd3534b2e5c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting rare events
In an earlier post, I looked at some general domains of forecasting. This post looks at some more specific classes of forecasting, some of which overlap with the general domains, and some of which are more isolated. The common thread to these classes of forecasting is that they involve rare eve... |
b267678d-fa57-4864-8222-ffba73eb729b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #101: The Shallow End
The avalanche of DeepSeek news continues. We are not yet spending more than a few hours at a time in the singularity, where news happens faster than it can be processed. But it’s close, and I’ve had to not follow a bunch of other non-AI things that are also happening, at least not well enough ... |
c2404be8-51fe-44a8-9dd4-55efb36ebdb5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 20 Critiques of AI Safety That I Found on Twitter
In no particular order, here's a collection of Twitter screenshots of people attacking AI Safety. A lot of them are poorly reasoned, and some of them are simply ad-hominem. Still, these types of tweets are influential, and are widely circulated among AI capabilities re... |
3d25acb5-d4fd-4c09-8218-fb026b8f4e06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More "Personal" Introductions
One of the things I loved about studying liberal arts is that you actually got to know your professors. They would discuss their personal experiences in a topic ("Here's what I did during the feminist movement.."), you might get slide shows from their vacation in the country of study, or ... |
1f1b5851-cc81-4d12-a78c-af3c04f4b47e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Elementary Introduction to Infra-Bayesianism
This is my attempt to summarize Infra-Bayesianism probability theory at a level approaching "high school class in probability", as opposed to the "math-major class in probability theory" of the original. I aimed to focus on including simple exercises (with answers given ... |
5964897b-5ead-4140-b67c-c7894594187e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #60: Oh the Humanity
Many things this week did not go as planned.
Humane AI premiered its AI pin. Reviewers noticed it was, at best, not ready.
Devin turns out to have not been entirely forthright with its demos.
OpenAI fired two employees who had been on its superalignment team, Leopold Aschenbrenner and Pavel ... |
da9d3033-6984-433d-99ac-a2b4ecfe3007 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AISafety.info "How can I help?" FAQ
AI existential risk has been in the news recently. A lot of people have gotten interested in the problem and some want to know what they can do to help. Additionally, other existing routes to getting advice are getting overwhelmed, like [AI Safety Support](https://www.aisafetysuppor... |
e8a287ea-d085-4b00-b4ab-3937702e4e57 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Strictly confused
A hypothesis is "strictly confused" by the data if the hypothesis does much worse at predicting the data than it expected to do. If, on average, you expect to assign around 1% likelihood to the exact observation you see, and you actually see something to which you assigned 0.000001% likelihood, you ... |
d0da5996-2c8c-4ca6-8b36-26dcb0bcfd93 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learned Blankness and Expectations of Solubility
Epistemic status: babble
I've observed a difference between the smart and the very smart. It seems like a refinement of learned blankness which I've found useful for spotting and (where appropriate) avoiding it.
----------------------------------------
Most people h... |
d51dba20-1756-48fd-abb1-4d5729f364f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can an LLM identify ring-composition in a literary text? [ChatGPT]
Cross-posted from New Savanna.
Tentatively, very tentatively, yes. ChatGPT has done it, once. I believe a more powerful engine could do more.
But: What is ring-composition?
Quickly and briefly, ring-composition or ring-form is a text with a form lik... |
4b862a0c-058b-428c-b032-206fe50c8f52 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What would you do with a solution to 3-SAT?
Many experts suspect that there is no polynomial-time solution to the so-called NP-complete problems, though no-one has yet been able to rigorously prove this and there remains the possibility that a polynomial-time algorithm will one day emerge. However unlikely this is, to... |
2be3cbc8-86a7-4eca-93ca-4548570f5f50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sam Altman's sister claims Sam sexually abused her -- Part 7: Timeline, continued
Previous posts (which you should read first)
This post is the 7th post in a series of 11 posts about the claims of Sam Altman's sister, Annie Altman. Annie has claimed that Sam sexually abused her for about 9 years as a child, and that s... |
99c1e5cc-3765-48d6-bf85-ad38ad193474 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Current Take on Counterfactuals
[Epistemic status: somewhat lower confidence based on the fact that I haven't worked out a detailed theory along the lines I've suggested, yet.]
I've felt like the problem of counterfactuals is "mostly settled" (modulo some math working out) for about a year, but I don't think I've ... |
af54411a-0057-4063-8770-84696eb46b0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] 3 Short Walking Breaks Can Reverse Harm From 3 Hours of Sitting
I found the below link which is in the spirit of Lifestyle interventions to increase longevity:
3 Short Walking Breaks Can Reverse Harm From 3 Hours of Sitting"
The /.-summary:
> Medical researchers have been steadily building evidence that prol... |
47fdd170-d4c0-43b4-b549-3c0e7c3d3b42 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | International AI Institutions: a literature review of models, examples, and proposals
The Legal Priorities Project has published a new report ([link](https://www.legalpriorities.org/research/international-ai-institutions), [PDF](https://www.legalpriorities.org/documents/Maas%20-%20Villalobos%20-%20International%20AI%... |
d99bb892-3a7c-4dd3-afbc-e4f8b59a9d5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Australian Rationalist in America
Hi LessWrong! I'm a LWer from Melbourne, Australia, and I'm taking a 3 month road trip (with a friend) through parts of the United States. I figure I'd enjoy hanging out with some fellow rationalists while I'm over here!
I attended the May Rationality minicamp in San Francisco (and ... |
8e5fd10e-0663-4e1a-a809-7bb01ff01eb4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experimental Open Thread April 2019: Socratic method
This post was popular, but the idea never got picked up. Let's have an experimental open thread this month!
The rules:
> Top level comments would be claims. Second level comments would be discouraged from directly saying that someone is wrong and instead encourage... |
75f47181-f403-4857-bd1d-e2862ff56026 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An online prediction market with reputation points
This is an advert for an online prediction market in reputation points I’m making.
It’s still in development, but currently you can sign up with Facebook and trade in two markets I’ve set up. The current scores are provisional - I’ll reset everyone’s point balance at... |
22be46e9-ca3b-44c0-bbe9-42158b4d0c1f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #167]: Concrete ML safety problems and their relevance to x-risk
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this sp... |
79006509-eb58-4cae-8b6a-73184322d190 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Confused why a "capabilities research is good for alignment progress" position isn't discussed more
The predominant view on LW seems to be "pure AI capabilities research is bad, because capabilities progress alone doesn't contribute to alignment progress, and capabilities progress without alignment progress means that... |
3694bce2-d7a9-4780-b602-64d581fee558 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Scott Aaronson on Google, Breaking Circularity and Eigenmorality
Scott suggests that ranking morality is similar to ranking web pages. A quote:
Philosophers from Socrates on, I was vaguely aware, had struggled to define what makes a person “moral” or “virtuous,” without tacitly presupposing the answer. Well, ... |
7d69fffd-58e5-4659-8e91-3492a9b2061b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Whole Bird Emulation requires Quantum Mechanics
Jeffrey Heninger, 14 February 2023
Epistemic status: Written for engagement. More sober analysis coming soon.
> Bird navigation is surprisingly cruxy for the future of AI.
>
> – Zach Stein-Perlman
> This seems pretty wrong.
>
> – Richard Korzekwa
Birds are astonish... |
6ced9965-d7bb-4134-afcc-ee0c37c14c2b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Verification Is Not Easier Than Generation In General
People who’ve spent a lot of time thinking about P vs NP often have the intuition that “verification is easier than generation”. It’s easier to verify a solution to some equations than to find a solution. It’s easier to verify a password than to guess it. That sort... |
8bcdd4df-8b35-4383-ac5e-9cbefc3c9fd6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will nanotech/biotech be what leads to AI doom?
I don't know much about nanotech/biotech, but what little I know suggests that this will be the earliest failure point where AI can cause doom for humans. I thought that because of this, I should start learning more about nanotech/biotech, and I thought that asking LessW... |
8ecbe286-bf55-450e-b206-1804e85118c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Instrumental Convergence to Complexity Preservation
Epistemic status: Speculative, seeking serious critique
TL;DR: Increase in intelligence is a convergent instrumental value. Increase in intelligence is equivalent to increase in the quality of compression of complexity. Non-simulated complexity is a scarce resource ... |
3af02014-f9be-4b77-ae72-0d6248c74cf0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probability interpretations: Examples
(Written for Arbital in 2016.)
----------------------------------------
Betting on one-time events
Consider evaluating, in June of 2016, the question: "What is the probability of Hillary Clinton winning the 2016 US presidential election?"
On the propensity view, Hillary has so... |
ed0ec651-125a-4d0e-8c59-d1c10ebe874e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Jan Leike - AI alignment at OpenAI
[Music]
hello and welcome back everybody to
another episode of the tourist data
science podcast and a very special
episode of that because we'll be talking
to jan lyka who is formerly at deepmind
and now is the head of open ai's ai
alignment team where he's leading a
group of researc... |
5c4e46a3-2eb7-48ee-b169-f9875b5c076c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Table of cognitive tasks that do and do not show correlations with cognitive ability
Here. From this 2010 book chapter by Stanovich, Toplak, and West. (Here is the book.)
See also Baron's table of cognitive biases, the normative models they violate, and their explanations. |
3202f6ae-11b8-43c3-84b4-482430f98449 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Anthropomorphic Optimism
Today's post, Anthropomorphic Optimism was originally published on 04 August 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> You shouldn't bother coming up with clever, persuasive arguments for why evolution will do things the way you prefer. It really isn't listening.
Discuss th... |
6f74f4dd-4d48-4fbb-bf67-ea4efa52c11f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Via productiva - my writing and productivity framework
TL;DR: Introspection on how I do things and which rules and heuristics help me to be productive. Framed as Taleb's via negativa advice. Weaves in a bit of Greek mythology.
Do you wonder how I manage to write one essay every week despite finishing my Ph.D.? Yeah... |
77b4f796-2489-4010-93fb-cde2fb716d37 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Deep Learning
### Subjects
* [Computer science](/subjects/computer-science)
* [Mathematics and computing](/subjects/mathematics-and-computing)
Abstract
--------
Deep learning allows computational models that are composed of multiple processing layers to learn representations of data with multiple levels of abs... |
dc58666b-f712-49f3-a774-8e641f627320 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Less Wrong Karma Chart Website
As a learning exercise, I wrote a web app which shows some charts on your karma score.
I recommend just going to the website and trying it out, but here is a description of it as well if you're interested. To use it just enter your user id in the text box at the top and then press the g... |
e0f0c34a-4798-4c65-9168-d082c003c754 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interview with Robert Kralisch on Simulators
The following is a transcript of a video interview (edited for grammar and readability) with Robert Kralisch on simulator theory and its implications for AI safety.
Introduction by Will Petillo: In February 2023, Microsoft launched Bing chat, an AI-powered chatbot based on... |
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