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e3996975-c3dc-41a5-ab23-a84bb7395cdc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | ObjectNet: A large-scale bias-controlled dataset for pushing the limits of object recognition models
ObjectNet: A large-scale bias-controlled dataset for
pushing the limits of object recognition models
Andrei Barbu
MIT, CSAIL & CBMMDavid Mayo
MIT, CSAIL & CBMMJulian Alverio
MIT, CSAILWilliam Luo
MIT, CSAIL
Christoph... |
c362958e-1981-4d4a-a298-a13721e7c8ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Try more things.
(Cross-posted from my personal site.)
Several months ago I began a list of "things to try," which I share at the bottom of this post. It suggests many mundane, trivial-to-medium-cost changes to lifestyle and routine. Now that I've spent some time with most of them and pursued at least as many more pe... |
c42d5430-93c7-4870-b66f-6f15a9b07ff5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quadratic, not logarithmic
I recently realized a very simple, almost obvious bias, that I had because I never thought more about it. Moreover, quite a lot of people have this bias too.
What is worse in time of pandemic - to increase the number of your contacts from 0 to 1 or from 99 to 100? Intuitively, since we perc... |
19841e56-4308-4281-88db-6dbc98c29e50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Running Sound for Yourself
The way sound amplification normally works at a contra dance these days is that the dance series arranges to have sound equipment and someone to set it up and adjust levels. Sometimes, though, you're playing for an event where the band is bringing and running sound, and there's no one to do ... |
086d4a22-44f2-471e-8b10-56d9325d6037 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on February 10th. The following week's summary is here.
The following meetups take place in cities with regular scheduling, but involve a change in time or location, special meeting content, or simply a helpful reminder about the meetup:
* Baltimore / UMBC Meetup... |
da07166b-734b-4f62-acce-5753f0f95050 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A 50-minute introduction to probability
|
722f03bf-328f-497a-b066-f03fffc5c4fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The absence of self-rejection is self-acceptance
Revised: https://chrislakin.blog/p/the-absence-of-self-rejection
Thanks to Stag Lynn, Kaj Sotala, Damon Sasi, Epistea Residency, CFAR, Anna Salamon, Alex Zhu, and many others for mentorship and support. |
9dccd5cf-ae6e-40fb-975a-8d4c75283328 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Canberra: More Zendo!
Discussion article for the meetup : Canberra: More Zendo!
WHEN: 13 June 2015 06:00:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: 108 North Road, Acton, ACT
I really enjoyed Zendo last time we played it, so we're doing it again, but this time with things other than playing cards. The rules will be explained at ... |
c8f51cad-c083-4e62-a06b-d6b1c1b77b7f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Free Hard SF Novels & Short Stories
Novels
Blindsight, Peter Watts
> Eighty years in the future, Earth becomes aware of an alien presence when thousands of micro-satellites surveil the Earth; through good luck, the incoming alien vessel is detected, and the ship Theseus, with its artificial intelligence captain and c... |
f1a8f50c-c1c8-4304-a532-137a3cb197b9 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "It occurred to me that Coase's views on The Nature of the Firm might help explain why polyamory in its modern form is not particularly common or popular.That sentence might be enough for you to grok what I'm getting at, and honestly that's the form in which the thought first came to be, but nevertheless let me try to ... |
52f908ec-6edb-46c5-a15b-c387cf847f0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is it "bad" to make fun of people/laugh at their weaknesses?
When you make fun of someone, you are probably degrading their purity and disrespecting them (if we look at the results from the lesswrong thread on yourmorals.org, we can see that many of us consider purity/respect to be far less morally significant than mo... |
e74f198d-5110-4f2a-a644-075aeb730d48 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Two-boxing, smoking and chewing gum in Medical Newcomb problems
I am currently learning about the basics of decision theory, most of which is common knowledge on LW. I have a question, related to why EDT is said not to work.
Consider the following Newcomblike problem: A study shows that most people who two-box in Ne... |
517b7187-8d09-40cc-907f-12149f764140 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Climate change: existential risk?
What does the community here think when it comes to climate change as a potential existential risk? While strategies for combating climate change are fairly straightforward, the seeming lack of political capital behind meaningful climate reform and legislation seems to indicate that t... |
7c2c73b2-92e3-4088-af16-0ccda5f756c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are you doing what you should be doing?
"What am I doing? And why am I doing it?"
One method for increasing high utility productivity I thought up was choosing a specific well-defined answer for the second half ("Why am I doing it?") and consistently checking to see if the answer to the first half satisfyingly aligns... |
2679273f-e103-42a9-8819-4bf734689634 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advancing Mathematics By Guiding Human Intuition With AI
|
e453f7a3-13d3-4632-83d3-1244f1879f96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : A Game of Nomic
Discussion article for the meetup : A Game of Nomic
WHEN: 21 July 2012 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Midtown Manhattan, New York, NY 10010
Hi everyone. I'll be holding a Saturday meetup at my apartment to play Nomic, not this Saturday, but next Saturday (July 7th, nine days from now). For those... |
dda89675-d507-4926-90c8-5cc3ad7634fd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Large language models can provide "normative assumptions" for learning human preferences
In a [past result](https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.05812) I demonstrated the impossibility of deducing the goals of a (potentially) irrational agent from their behaviour. To do that deduction, one needs to add extra assumptions - assum... |
bca5dea3-a61b-4553-9183-f91f54e01bf6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unknown unknowns
Sorry if this seems incomplete - thought I'd fire this off as a discussion post now and hope to return to it with a more well-rounded post later.
Less Wrongers are used to thinking of uncertainty as best represented as a probability - or perhaps as a log odds ratio, stretching from minus infinity to ... |
ce831c9c-d8e0-4b34-86af-f5066162aa7e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Reflexive Oracles and superrationality: prisoner's dilemma
*This grew out of an exchange with Jessica Taylor during MIRI's recent visit to the FHI.* Still getting my feel for the fixed point approach; let me know of any errors.
The question is, how can we make use of a reflective oracle to reach outcomes that are no... |
10116a0e-695f-4445-8915-b6701db6ec6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA Meetup: Lightning Talks
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup: Lightning Talks
WHEN: 05 November 2014 08:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
How to Find Us: Go into the Del Taco. There will be a Rubik's Cube. Parking is completely free. There is a sign that ... |
e494f692-c330-4d8b-aeb7-2e7a4e529180 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Brooks and Searle on AI volition and timelines
Nick Bostrom’s concerns about the future of AI have sparked a busy public discussion. His arguments were echoed by leading AI researcher [Stuart Russell](http://www.cs.berkeley.edu/~russell/) in “[Transcending complacency on superintelligent machines](http://www.huffingto... |
93698ada-3003-43ef-8b39-6e7e6848ef30 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Retelling stuff from CFAR Epistemic Rationality for EA
Discussion article for the meetup : Retelling stuff from CFAR Epistemic Rationality for EA
WHEN: 01 June 2014 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery, Washington, DC 20001, USA
One of our members will be talking about things he learned at ... |
dcaaae3f-1b02-4301-abd7-d6976717c235 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Taxonomy Of AI System Evaluations
Warning: This post was written at the start of 2024 as part of the AISC project "Evaluating Alignment Evaluations". We are not especially satisfied with the quality reached, but since we are not planning to work on it anymore, we are releasing it as a Work-In-Progress document.
In... |
16a65326-4d99-45c4-9f3e-7e32ea96133a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Rethink Priorities is hiring a Compute Governance Researcher or Research Assistant
**TL;DR**
---------
* Rethink Priorities’ AI Governance & Strategy team works to reduce long-term/extreme AI risks. We’re seeking a Compute Governance Researcher or Research Assistant to tackle questions such as:
+ how hardware securi... |
5369ca67-f75b-41ff-8269-bd2c0b34be18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The annoyingness of New Atheists: declaring God Dead makes you a Complete Monster?
I have noticed during my dialectic adventures on the Grid that religious people, no matter how "reasonable" (i.e. moderate, unaggressive, unassuming, gentle, etc.), would get very annoyed by an assertive, dry Atheist perspective, which ... |
03113983-d384-4d2c-a92c-fadc80146400 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Dec. 8 - Dec. 15, 2014
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Previous OT
Next OT
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a ... |
ff39b85f-c0eb-4044-80c0-a2c91de88276 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Changing the Definition of Science
New Scientist on changing the definition of science, ungated here:
> Others believe such criticism is based on a misunderstanding. "Some people say that the multiverse concept isn't falsifiable because it's unobservable—but that's a fallacy," says cosmologist Max Tegmark of the Mass... |
beb740cf-924d-40ff-ad34-9f5a56c91b38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anyone want to debate publicly about FDT?
I have a blog and a YouTube channel. I recently expressed the view that FDT is crazy. IF anyone wants to have either a written or verbal debate about that, hit me up. Credit to Scott Alexander for this suggestion. |
93c539d0-c1b8-4434-bde0-ebf896d8e13e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | High School, Human Capital, Signaling and College Admissions
During high school, students learn skills that will help them in their future careers. This can be referred to as building human capital. They also build up a record of grades, standardized test scores, and extracurricular activities that colleges use to ass... |
ddfa0e9b-b836-4ff9-9403-88e7983a01dd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 108. The Learning-Theoretic AI Alignment Agenda
welcome to session 108 in the AI safety
dot-com reading group the presentation
tonight is by vadim casaya research
associate for the machine intelligence
Research Institute his article on
learning theoretical AI alignment agenda
has recently won the first prize of
round ... |
6c6f5adc-74f7-4dbf-9430-fff4696d207b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experience LessWrong without the Time-Wasting RabbitHole Effect
This post is a call to action to join in an experiment, in which you try to use LessWrong for a week without seeing the massive amounts of hyperlinks authors tend to use.
Ironically linked here is a post by Tom Johnson citing The Shallows that delves int... |
4f3eb849-2f1c-41ca-98d9-18854b97b031 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Opportunities and Obstacles for Life on Proxima b
This is from the foundation that put out the announcement, Pale Red Dot.
A lot of difficulties, but the best thing put forward, is that if an earthlike planet is circling the closest star, that they should be relatively common.
https://palereddot.org/opportunities-an... |
bb05303a-dbe9-4f9e-8d77-e58d25cac619 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Scott Alexander reacts to OpenAI's latest post
Scott Alexander recently wrote a post about OpenAI's Planning for AGI and beyond. I found it thoughtful, and I think others here might want to read or discuss it.
Some highlights:
ExxonMobil analogy
> Imagine ExxonMobil releases a statement on climate chang... |
dbb23533-b10c-46ef-8230-c21fd0ed1b43 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Infinite possibilities
Naively, for instance from the perspective of me as a child, it seems like a person has vastly many possible options at each moment, leading out in every direction, where many of them surely lead to amazing things, and thus it should be very easy to have an incredibly great life and make a huge ... |
217493f8-8260-4544-9dca-da997e186ad1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning from other people's experiences/mistakes
One of the fastest way to learn is to learn from someone else's mistakes and experiences. This short-cuts a lot of unnecessary trial and error and can save significant time. However, one is sorely tempted to repeat the experiences/mistakes of others. One may think, tha... |
2b5fd79b-f802-4fb0-9442-5fb62fcad359 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Attributing to interactions with GCPD and GWPD
This post provides background, motivation, and a nontechnical summary of the purely mathematical https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.06686.
Coauthors (alphabetical): Chris MacLeod, Jenny Nitishinskaya, Buck Shlegeris. Work done mostly while at Redwood Research. Thanks to Joe Bent... |
52de86ff-a695-4911-a576-7f1b9b10219b | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "To teach people about a topic you've labeled "rationality", it helps for them to be interested in "rationality". (There are less direct ways to teach people how to attain the map that reflects the territory, or optimize reality according to their values; but the explicit method is the course I tend to take.)
And when ... |
0a93d8ef-e4f1-4c60-8ec1-f8cf3773c309 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Scraping training data for your mind
2432 pages into Karl Ove Knausgaard’s autobiographical My Struggle comes a pivotal plot point: the publication of a new Proust translation in Norwegian.
Knausgaard at this point, in his mid-twenties, has spent nearly ten years learning to write. Without success, to put it mildly. ... |
271b155b-6d27-4b48-abf0-da7ded89a1ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An alternative of PPO towards alignment
Introduction
General-purpose foundation models, especially large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT, have demonstrated extraordinary capabilities in performing various tasks that were once challenging. However, we believe that one model cannot rule them all. Further fine-tun... |
76d1b123-3a0f-4a3b-9a6f-e9e19a1b9cc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consciousness and Sleep
This will be a short article. I've been seeing a lot of dubious reasoning about consciousness and sleep. One famous problem is the problem of personal identity with a destructive teleporter. In this problem, we imagine that you are cloned perfectly in an alternate location and then your body is... |
05a6bead-b197-44ea-9263-6473cd2b6077 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | First we shape our social graph; then it shapes us
The inside of a womb looks as it did 70,000 years ago, but the world outside has changed. In July 2021, when our daughter was born, the night sky didn’t light up with stars; it was lit up by the warm afterglow of sodium street lamps. Green-clad women carried the baby ... |
50d7e693-8acd-4005-9104-f046d6357af8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Variations on the Sleeping Beauty
This post won't directly address the Sleeping Beauty problem so you may want to read the above link to understand what the sleeping beauty problem is first.
Half*-Sleeping Beauty Problem
The asterisk is because it is only very similar to half of the sleeping beauty problem, not exac... |
e5f76fff-ebf4-4b61-97ce-723a31ed19a4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Predictability and Surprise in Large Generative Models
1 Introduction
---------------
Scaling up the amount of data, compute power, and model parameters of neural networks has recently led to the arrival (and real world deployment) of capable generative models such as CLIP [radford\_learning\_2021](#bib.bib55) , Er... |
54dc4bef-b7c0-48b3-b4f8-aeba33f9bf2d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Classifying specification problems as variants of Goodhart's Law
*(Cross-posted to [personal blog](https://vkrakovna.wordpress.com/2019/08/19/classifying-specification-problems-as-variants-of-goodharts-law/). Summarized in [Alignment Newsletter #76](https://mailchi.mp/1106d0ce6766/an-76how-dataset-size-affects-robustn... |
e01c54f2-c623-4a61-96fe-b7057fc424c5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | ChatGPT struggles to respond to the real world
I wanted to test whether ChatGPT could respond to situations as they arise in the real world, so I asked it to guide me through making a turmeric latte. It had no problem giving me a nicely formatted recipe but it really struggled to guide me through the process of making... |
0b53947d-b4fd-425c-9456-65b12b79790a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Making better estimates with scarce information
TL;DR
I explore the pros and cons of different approaches to estimation. In general I find that:
* interval estimates are stronger than point estimates
* the lognormal distribution is better for modelling unknowns than the normal distribution
* the geometric mean is ... |
ffcdef08-0929-40ed-b270-dcce78e55585 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Criticism catalyzes analytical thinking in groups
Brainstorming, a technique long thought to enhance group creativity. Although the research shows little evidence of effectiveness, this technique (Alex Faickney Osborn, 1957) has persisted in practice. More specifically, brainstorming instructions increase the number o... |
18c067b1-9909-471e-b392-57e5d0dbb6ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brief analysis of OP Technical AI Safety Funding
TL;DR
I spent a few hours going through Open Philanthropy (OP)'s grant database. The main findings were:
* Open Philanthropy has made $28 million grants for Technical AI Safety (TAIS) in 2024
* 68% of these are focused on evaluations / benchmarking. The rest is spl... |
16835f35-4424-4a3b-bf67-c6b399152f22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI oracles on blockchain
Epistemic status: Speculation on one path of AI development, but it has been on my mind for a while
Note: I haven't found this idea developed anywhere, but possible it has already been discussed
Blockchain's locked-in syndrome
Blockchains today suffer from a locked-in syndrome. There is a v... |
9caae041-a8a7-4af9-94f6-28d8386f6aa9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ideas ahead of their time
Imagine a person in the ancient world who came up with the following idea: "What would the sun and moon look like if they were very very far away?" This idea would likely lead to the conclusion that they would look like tiny points of light, which then could lead to the question "What if the ... |
1155d64b-534c-4ade-a98d-3597fff4c143 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reactions to the Executive Order
Previously: On the Executive Order
This post compiles the reactions of others that I have seen to Biden’s Executive Order on AI, including reactions that were based only on the fact sheet, as well as my reactions to those reactions.
Reaction on the worried side was measured. It could... |
c1d7d3bd-28a2-4ae3-8cda-e9b52d2b0434 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | For ELK truth is mostly a distraction
*Epistemic Status: Pretty confident in the central conclusions, and very confident in the supporting claims from meta-logic. Any low confidence conclusions are presented as such. NB: I give an intentionally revisionary reading of what ELK is (or should be) about. Accordingly, I as... |
92b738bc-85ce-4835-9154-752c5fab4a28 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Steering Gemini with BiDPO
Coauthored with Mark Kurzeja
> A while back, we explored the “BiDPO” method for training steering vectors. In Gemini 1.5v1 Flash and Pro, BiDPO steering vectors boosted TruthfulQA scores by >10% while mostly retaining capabilities. When we updated to Gemini 1.5v2, prompt-based steering base... |
a8c24603-923e-4d62-8dbc-69b2b2a55118 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Take Care Of Your Health?
The Underspecified Normie
You’re well-aware of the benefits of a healthier lifestyle: less pain, more energy, more mobility and autonomy, a higher life expectancy, and so on and so forth ad nauseam.
Unfortunately, this knowledge doesn’t compel you to action. Your behavior mostly follows ... |
37081c99-07b6-4c68-b9ab-3f7d8907295f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What do fellow rationalists think about Mensa?
It's not a typical OB/LW subject, but Robin correctly pointed out that most rationalists are outside OB/LW, and so I'm asking about one of the organizations that might hold many of them.
A couple of weeks ago I took a supervised IQ test by Mensa due to curiosity and for ... |
222de012-4702-4b96-a8fc-20efffcce200 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Do Sufficiently Advanced Agents Use Logic?
*This is a continuation of a discussion with Vanessa from the MIRIxDiscord group. I'll make some comments on things Vanessa has said, but those should not be considered a summary of the discussion so far. My comments here are also informed by discussion with Sam.*
1: Logic a... |
08815abc-0ab1-4a4b-8a5d-e8e88ef53b37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Invitation to an IRL retreat on AI x-risks & post-rationality in Ooty, India
Note: This post is an invite for the retreat, as well as an expression of interest for similar events which will be conducted. We are using the form for both.
TL;DR: Ooty AI Retreat 2.0 (June 23-30, '25, open to all): We're moving beyond e/... |
bda17266-9f75-474f-b1b2-ff23160ae6b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Old man's story
> Epistemic Status: a fiction story.
>
> Any resemblance to real persons is purely coincidental.
My dear child, as we sit together under the black sky, I wish to share with you a tale. A story of a man of profound folly.
In ancient times, there lived a man whom we now know as Prometheus. He was ... |
1918b4ee-6244-4858-b454-efb2b89cbc87 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rational Humanist Music
Something that's bothered me a lot lately is a lack of good music that evokes the kind of emotion that spiritually-inspired music does, but whose subject matter is something I actually believe in. Most songs that attempt to do this suffer from "too literal syndrome," wordily talking about scien... |
6a5c09c3-974e-4521-aa63-b6bd3716b3c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Twitter thread on AI safety evals
Epistemic status: raising concerns, rather than stating confident conclusions.
I’m worried that a lot of work on AI safety evals matches the pattern of “Something must be done. This is something. Therefore this must be done.” Or, to put it another way: I judge eval ideas on 4 criteri... |
1ae06afc-b339-4e8d-8b2a-903629b57454 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EpiPenomenon
11/16/2016 change of mind notice
I am no longer confident that the FDA harms more lives than it saves, and thus I no longer endorse setting fire to it, pending further investigation. What changed my mind was not the commenters disparaging me as a “101 economist” in the comments. What changed my mind was ... |
c7fcce2d-18b9-45ef-a9a6-d75ea29024c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Farm in a Box, permaculte package
|
86f135ec-97be-4a8f-ae00-8f346904377c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | The Power of Intelligence
In our skulls we carry around 3 pounds of slimy, wet, greyish tissue, corrugated like crumpled toilet paper. You wouldn’t think, to look at the unappetizing lump, that it was some of the most powerful stuff in the known universe. If you’d never seen an anatomy textbook, and you saw a brain ly... |
095e7ede-9659-48c8-bcd4-8242012df891 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A positive case for how we might succeed at prosaic AI alignment
This post is my attempt at something like a response to Eliezer Yudkowsky’s recent discussion on AGI interventions.
I tend to be relatively pessimistic overall about humanity’s chances at avoiding AI existential risk. Contrary to some others that share ... |
6b281198-00e0-4025-adf5-62cd1f46d5e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why isn't AI containment the primary AI safety strategy?
Introduction
When discussing AI safety, alignment—ensuring AI systems pursue human-approved goals—is often the primary focus. However, containment, which restricts AI’s ability to exert influence beyond controlled environments, is in my opinion a more intuitive ... |
e51e40e2-32af-4af2-a55e-ce15691782c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How exactly do you deal with irrational reactions to insects and spiders?
Okay, so for several years, I've been doing a fairly good job of excising out most of my irrational beliefs and fears.
The one that remains, however, is my fear of bugs and spiders. I'll SCREAM if I see one, dead or alive. And if there's one i... |
7a754e04-6ded-4fb1-b368-25ed8287183a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Summaries: Alignment Fundamentals Curriculum
The linked document provides my summaries for most core readings and many further readings of [the alignment fundamentals curriculum composed by Richard Ngo](https://docs.google.com/document/d/1mTm_sT2YQx3mRXQD6J2xD2QJG1c3kHyvX8kQc_IQ0ns/edit), as accessed from July to earl... |
c6f78d14-de9d-4c2b-b631-59d618bfe373 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Theory of Unsupervised Translation
Motivated by Understanding Animal Communication
This is part of a larger project that aims to understand sperm whale communication. Jacob Andreas, Michael Bronstein, Antonio Torralba, and Shafi Goldwasser (an author of this paper) are part of the large team.
I'm linking to this he... |
fb84a960-a9c8-4f6b-9cdc-cd4e1cdb1e03 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Deciphering China's AI Dream
> This report examines the intersection of two subjects, China and artificial intelligence, both of which are already difficult enough to comprehend on their own. It provides context for China’s AI strategy with respect to past science and technology plans, and it also connects the consist... |
11b2c600-7b7c-4de9-90ec-2bbcfc4db36b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Adversarial examples in the physical world
1 Introduction
---------------
| | | | |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
|
(a) Image from dataset
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(b) Clean image
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(c) Adv. image, ϵ=4
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(d) Adv. image, ϵ=8
|
Figure 1: Demonstration of a black box attack (in which the attack is constructed without
access to ... |
819da82e-5c90-429b-bf57-1894a59a9239 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research Log, RLLMv2:
Phi-1.5, GPT2XL and Falcon-RW-1B as paperclip maximizers
Note An instance of paperclippertodd can be found in this hugging face space.
The idea behind this paperclip experiment
The goal is to determine whether large language models can learn new morphologies like "transforming everything in... |
7e6c6b57-9405-474b-aeae-dadb65543b96 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Bias in rationality is much worse than noise
*[Crossposted](https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1696) at Intelligent Agent Forum.*
I've found quite a few people dubious of my "radical skepticism" [post on human preferences](https://www.lesserwrong.com/posts/rtphbZbMHTLCepd6d/humans-can-be-assigned-any-values-whatsoe... |
48298721-7024-4c2b-ae71-2513f3af1a1f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Simulating Shutdown Code Activations in an AI Virus Lab
[*Crossposted from LessWrong*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mksPEJhR78SyDiyGz/simulating-shutdown-activations-in-an-ai-virus-lab)
### **Intro**
This post is to share my experimental results with the [ATL method](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/archetypal-tr... |
aadb0c9d-b01f-4357-b94f-5811fdb40018 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You Are a Computer, and No, That’s Not a Metaphor
Preface: this blog post was written for a slightly more general audience than LessWrong. It's likely that you may already be familiar with many of the ideas explored in this post, but I thought some of you may find it interesting anyway.
I've been exploring the idea t... |
de449321-fd08-4d56-aad0-fbb4625086ce | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | List
This meta tag is for pages that are basically just a list of things. |
654d2054-1dc3-4ab0-b03c-3311d058407d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Generative adversarial models, informed by arguments
As background, I suggest reading the imitation learning section of this post.
Suppose we have a generative adversarial model for answering questions. This consists of two agents, an actor and a critic. The actor generates a human-like answer given a question; the c... |
d74d6a8b-a2dd-4950-89b9-3109e42974d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Letter from Utopia: Talking to Nick Bostrom
|
b9222313-be55-4f6c-ac28-76cdf75d1aac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The best things are often free or cheap
I've been watching Chef's Table on Netflix recently.
Even though those restaurants are crazy expensive, I've been thinking that it's something I want to experience. I'd like to know just how high of a level you can take food to.
Then I had the thought:
> What about areas ot... |
1400f536-df57-47f6-9f6f-e0a0b3770d87 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Rigging is a form of wireheading
I've now posted my [major](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/55hJDq5y7Dv3S4h49/reward-function-learning-the-value-function) [posts](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/upLot6eG8cbXdKiFS/reward-function-learning-the-learning-process) on rigging and influence, with what I feel are clear and il... |
e5adc979-0295-498b-8a37-5be7c1714cf8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Corporations vs. superintelligences
It is sometimes suggested that corporations are relevant analogies for [superintelligences](https://arbital.com/p/41l). To evaluate this analogy without simply falling prey to the continuum fallacy, we need to consider which specific thresholds from the standard list of [advanced a... |
2c72f4ea-d925-4b09-8652-4eaea3827b5e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Symbiosis, not alignment, as the goal for liberal democracies in the transition to artificial general intelligence
This is a new original research article by me. The published version is [here](https://doi.org/10.1007/s43681-023-00268-7), in the journal *AI and Ethics*. I post it here in its entirety because I think i... |
d9f942ba-79f3-4f86-94bc-41ed2a3bba33 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Point of Easy Progress
A lot of our productivity happens in the form of “projects”: spending a significant amount of time pursuing a certain desirable goal by consistently working towards it. My attitude towards projects, how to approach them, how to enjoy them and how to increase the odds of success, has changed ... |
abd025e8-9744-4ce8-8cbd-1ac722eaf0fa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The Big Picture Of Alignment (Talk Part 2)
I recently gave a two-part talk on the big picture of alignment, as I see it. The talk is not-at-all polished, but contains a lot of stuff for which I don't currently know of any good writeup. Linkpost for the first part is [here](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xdSDFQs4aC5Gr... |
13bf4e56-6c70-4763-a272-9cacc4f5b46f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does one have reason to believe the simulation hypothesis is probably true?
I'm hoping to hear arguments against in particular (because it currently seems probable to me, though I haven't read about it, I've just been thinking about it on my own), but all arguments are welcome of course (especially as others clicking ... |
f33344d3-3aa1-487a-8122-a746c5a1529b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Machine Learning vs Differential Privacy
edit: see below for clarifications by expert domain rpglover64 and a good pick of references from the gears to ascenscion. My one (cheatingly long) sentence takeaway is: it’s clear training does not automatically lead to DP, it’s unclear if DP can always or seldom help training... |
339f8216-1f28-460a-8061-237e24ea07b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread March 2019
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, you can put it here.
Also, if you are new to LessWrong and want to introduce yourself, this is the place to do it. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are... |
91764ffd-5bde-4abf-a9a3-49097f020dda | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Augmenting Policy Learning with Routines Discovered from a Single Demonstration
Introduction
------------
Extensive evidence from cognitive psychology and neuroscience suggests that humans are remarkably capable of abstracting knowledge from very few observations to boost practice in new scenarios. For instance, be... |
c58eec79-cb9e-4085-b861-6a893fc57ad5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | 2014 Summer Matching Challenge Completed!
Thanks to the generosity of 100+ donors, today we successfully completed our [2014 summer matching challenge](http://intelligence.org/2014/07/21/2014-summer-matching-challenge/), raising more than $400,000 total for our [research program](http://intelligence.org/research/).
... |
12738dba-4095-468f-ac34-540783769ed8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Things I've Grieved
I think grieving is a fundamental rationality skill. Often, the difference between the Winning Move, and your Current Path, is that there is something really beautiful and good about your current path. Or there was something actually horrifying about reality that makes the Winning Move necessary.
... |
12a443e1-a53c-4f86-86ee-d6c32e32d76c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Debate Rules In Benjamin Franklin's Junto
(Note: The Junto was a secret society formed by Benjamin Franklin for the purpose of intellectual discourse and business networking. The following is the debate rules they used to maintain an atmosphere of reason.)
1. Our debates were to be under the direction of a president... |
f33dcb36-95c1-475d-a1fb-bc01fcccd075 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety Memes Wiki
Extensive collection of memes compiled by Victor Li and other contributors on AI Safety Info, mostly using memes by AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes.
Memes can, at their best, convey key points in a sticky and easily sharable form. Having a index seems potentially quite helpful, and also is a fun reso... |
3d23a364-2a1d-4952-96a1-055d6626f424 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Lens That Sees Its Flaws
Today's post, The Lens That Sees Its Flaws was originally published on 23 September 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Part of what makes humans different from other animals is our own ability to reason about our reasoning. Mice do not think about the cognitive alg... |
8c67e30b-5cbb-4b7e-9059-468ce0f0e7e5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | PRECOG: PREdiction Conditioned On Goals in Visual Multi-Agent Settings
1 Introduction
---------------
Autonomous driving requires reasoning about the future behaviors of agents, \egat stop signs, roundabouts, crosswalks, or when parking. In multi-agent settings, each agent’s behavior affects the behavior of others.... |
4856f1ae-fa33-40a6-9e3c-7d61658b8cb9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Feb. 01 - Feb. 07, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately... |
d9a25fc2-3811-4f91-b45d-2ffcc56889ab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Finding Goals in the World Model
Produced As Part Of The SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program 2022 Under John Wentworth
Introduction
This post works off the assumption that the first AGI comes relatively soon, and has an architecture which looks basically like EfficientZero, with a few improvements: a significa... |
1c5b39d7-50d4-4d20-a3cf-2cb70cc9ac85 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Lagrange theorem on subgroup size: Intuitive version
Given a finite [https://arbital.com/p/-3gd](https://arbital.com/p/-3gd) $G$, it may have many [subgroups](https://arbital.com/p/576).
So far, we know almost nothing about those subgroups; it would be great if we had some way of restricting them.
An example of such ... |
cb614036-378f-4b8e-b91c-26a077fa8d89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What would a zetetic explanation be for the rationality community?
Zetetic explanations as described by benquo (blogpost, lw linkpost).
* Interdisciplinary
* covers a mixture of social and natural factors leading up to the isolation of the thing
* historical in the original, investigative sense of the term "... |
d7279e53-eafc-4554-9219-2eba3f47d3ab | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "After over a year of building the organisation and working and reworking the product, I’m glad to announce that RAISE will begin publishing lessons on a regular basis starting next Monday.These lessons will include:An Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) track, sourced from a set of papers that we have distilled by ou... |
5db1fe10-f28e-4c97-947f-3f8c8ca6e6c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC Show and tell meetup: Economics II
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC Show and tell meetup: Economics II
WHEN: 24 February 2013 03:00:47PM (-0500)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery, Washington, DC 20001, USA (courtyard)
Richard will be leading a discussion about economics. Pleas... |
1e770cc5-6486-4f04-86d0-b757747ac4e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conditions under which misaligned subagents can (not) arise in classifiers
Core claim: Misaligned subagents are very unlikely to arise in a classification algorithm unless that algorithm is directly or indirectly (e.g. in a subtask) modeling interactions through time at a significant level of complexity.
Definition 1... |
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