trade_id int64 | market_id int64 | question string | outcome_label string | entry_time string | exit_time string | entry_price float64 | exit_price float64 | pre_crash_high float64 | drop_pct float64 | size_usd float64 | shares float64 | hold_hours float64 | pnl_usd float64 | is_profitable int64 | exit_reason string | entry_hour_utc int64 | entry_dow int64 | recovered_to_pct_of_high float64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
200 | 646,266 | Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs? | No | 2026-04-13T05:48:54+00:00 | 2026-04-14T02:23:31.085016 | 0.71 | 0.995 | 0.875 | 18.8571 | 1 | 1.4085 | 20.58 | 0.4014 | 1 | RECOVERY | 5 | 0 | 113.7143 |
201 | 629,478 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-13T14:58:39+00:00 | 2026-04-14T03:08:59.974513 | 0.055 | 0.065 | 0.07 | 21.4286 | 1 | 18.1818 | 12.17 | 0.1818 | 1 | RECOVERY | 14 | 0 | 92.8571 |
202 | 629,708 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-14T03:24:09+00:00 | 2026-04-14T03:39:18.862797 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 0.79 | 15.1899 | 1 | 1.4925 | 0.25 | 0.0746 | 1 | RECOVERY | 3 | 1 | 91.1392 |
203 | 703,731 | Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | No | 2026-04-14T04:40:06+00:00 | 2026-04-14T04:55:41.648940 | 0.375 | 0.425 | 0.46 | 18.4783 | 1 | 2.6667 | 0.26 | 0.1333 | 1 | RECOVERY | 4 | 1 | 92.3913 |
204 | 732,179 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 2026-04-12T15:54:15+00:00 | 2026-04-14T05:57:53.340298 | 0.339 | 0.3925 | 0.424 | 20.0472 | 1 | 2.9499 | 38.06 | 0.1578 | 1 | RECOVERY | 15 | 6 | 92.5708 |
205 | 943,824 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2026-04-13T13:11:14+00:00 | 2026-04-14T06:29:01.650500 | 0.034 | 0.052 | 0.0575 | 40.8696 | 1 | 29.4118 | 17.3 | 0.5294 | 1 | RECOVERY | 13 | 0 | 90.4348 |
206 | 629,054 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division? | Yes | 2026-04-12T07:46:34+00:00 | 2026-04-14T07:47:06.161541 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.175 | 40 | 5 | 47.619 | 48.01 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 7 | 6 | 60 |
207 | 703,733 | Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | No | 2026-04-14T10:21:01+00:00 | 2026-04-14T11:36:50.999377 | 0.67 | 0.725 | 0.795 | 15.7233 | 1 | 1.4925 | 1.26 | 0.0821 | 1 | RECOVERY | 10 | 1 | 91.195 |
208 | 629,708 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-14T03:39:19+00:00 | 2026-04-14T11:52:00.914587 | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.33 | 15.1515 | 1 | 3.5714 | 8.21 | 0.0714 | 1 | RECOVERY | 3 | 1 | 90.9091 |
209 | 703,731 | Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | Yes | 2026-04-14T12:52:38+00:00 | 2026-04-14T13:07:48.139761 | 0.53 | 0.605 | 0.65 | 18.4615 | 1 | 1.8868 | 0.25 | 0.1415 | 1 | RECOVERY | 12 | 1 | 93.0769 |
210 | 814,613 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local ele | Yes | 2026-04-12T13:37:39+00:00 | 2026-04-14T13:38:09.518862 | 0.23 | 0.135 | 0.325 | 29.2308 | 1 | 4.3478 | 48.01 | -0.413 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 13 | 6 | 41.5385 |
211 | 630,706 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-13T16:17:07+00:00 | 2026-04-14T13:38:09.519044 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.095 | 15.7895 | 1 | 12.5 | 21.35 | 0.25 | 1 | RECOVERY | 16 | 0 | 105.2632 |
212 | 629,464 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-14T13:07:48+00:00 | 2026-04-14T13:38:09.519180 | 0.555 | 0.665 | 0.675 | 17.7778 | 1 | 1.8018 | 0.51 | 0.1982 | 1 | RECOVERY | 13 | 1 | 98.5185 |
213 | 703,733 | Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | Yes | 2026-04-14T05:42:18+00:00 | 2026-04-14T13:53:26.706997 | 0.25 | 0.375 | 0.415 | 39.759 | 1 | 4 | 8.19 | 0.5 | 1 | RECOVERY | 5 | 1 | 90.3614 |
214 | 629,324 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-14T13:53:27+00:00 | 2026-04-14T14:39:01.592534 | 0.225 | 0.26 | 0.275 | 18.1818 | 1 | 4.4444 | 0.76 | 0.1556 | 1 | RECOVERY | 13 | 1 | 94.5455 |
215 | 814,612 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 2026-04-12T14:53:33+00:00 | 2026-04-14T14:54:13.223642 | 0.225 | 0.195 | 0.295 | 23.7288 | 1 | 4.4444 | 48.01 | -0.1333 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 14 | 6 | 66.1017 |
216 | 897,030 | No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 2026-04-12T15:39:03+00:00 | 2026-04-14T15:41:54.631162 | 0.195 | 0.21 | 0.245 | 20.4082 | 1 | 5.1282 | 48.05 | 0.0769 | 1 | TIMEOUT_48H | 15 | 6 | 85.7143 |
217 | 629,707 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-14T13:53:27+00:00 | 2026-04-14T17:58:39.977309 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.2 | 15 | 1 | 5.8824 | 4.09 | 0.1176 | 1 | RECOVERY | 13 | 1 | 95 |
218 | 629,627 | Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-14T18:59:20+00:00 | 2026-04-14T19:29:40.163316 | 0.055 | 0.06 | 0.065 | 15.3846 | 1 | 18.1818 | 0.51 | 0.0909 | 1 | RECOVERY | 18 | 1 | 92.3077 |
219 | 568,657 | Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2026-04-12T20:27:34+00:00 | 2026-04-14T20:30:18.629905 | 0.0595 | 0.0595 | 0.1125 | 47.1111 | 1 | 16.8067 | 48.05 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 20 | 6 | 52.8889 |
220 | 646,254 | Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 2026-04-12T23:59:57+00:00 | 2026-04-15T00:02:30.703130 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.27 | 25.9259 | 1 | 5 | 48.04 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 23 | 6 | 74.0741 |
221 | 966,634 | Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft? | No | 2026-04-13T01:15:50+00:00 | 2026-04-15T01:18:18.203848 | 0.0755 | 0.0755 | 0.1 | 24.5 | 1 | 13.245 | 48.04 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 1 | 0 | 75.5 |
222 | 1,006,078 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | Yes | 2026-04-15T01:48:37+00:00 | 2026-04-15T02:03:47.377677 | 0.066 | 0.075 | 0.0815 | 19.0184 | 1 | 15.1515 | 0.25 | 0.1364 | 1 | RECOVERY | 1 | 2 | 92.0245 |
223 | 629,464 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-14T13:38:10+00:00 | 2026-04-15T02:49:17.962422 | 0.335 | 0.41 | 0.445 | 24.7191 | 1 | 2.9851 | 13.19 | 0.2239 | 1 | RECOVERY | 13 | 1 | 92.1348 |
224 | 1,006,073 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? | Yes | 2026-04-15T03:04:29+00:00 | 2026-04-15T03:19:40.499800 | 0.136 | 0.1595 | 0.164 | 17.0732 | 1 | 7.3529 | 0.25 | 0.1728 | 1 | RECOVERY | 3 | 2 | 97.2561 |
225 | 693,484 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 2026-04-13T09:21:55+00:00 | 2026-04-15T09:23:49.261866 | 0.108 | 0.1025 | 0.134 | 19.403 | 1 | 9.2593 | 48.03 | -0.0509 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 9 | 0 | 76.4925 |
226 | 631,044 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-13T09:53:08+00:00 | 2026-04-15T09:54:08.662268 | 0.2 | 0.155 | 0.24 | 16.6667 | 1 | 5 | 48.02 | -0.225 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 9 | 0 | 64.5833 |
227 | 630,924 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-14T03:09:00+00:00 | 2026-04-15T09:54:08.662365 | 0.205 | 0.225 | 0.245 | 16.3265 | 1 | 4.878 | 30.75 | 0.0976 | 1 | RECOVERY | 3 | 1 | 91.8367 |
228 | 1,006,077 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | Yes | 2026-04-15T09:38:59+00:00 | 2026-04-15T10:54:44.970443 | 0.114 | 0.14 | 0.1555 | 26.6881 | 1 | 8.7719 | 1.26 | 0.2281 | 1 | RECOVERY | 9 | 2 | 90.0322 |
229 | 646,266 | Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 2026-04-13T12:25:49+00:00 | 2026-04-15T12:40:54.452055 | 0.225 | 0.225 | 0.305 | 26.2295 | 1 | 4.4444 | 48.25 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 12 | 0 | 73.7705 |
230 | 991,975 | Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | 2026-04-15T10:54:45+00:00 | 2026-04-15T14:12:13.087089 | 0.295 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 15.7143 | 1 | 3.3898 | 3.29 | 0.1186 | 1 | RECOVERY | 10 | 2 | 94.2857 |
231 | 629,653 | Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-15T20:46:21+00:00 | 2026-04-15T21:01:31.198445 | 0.0365 | 0.045 | 0.048 | 23.9583 | 1 | 27.3973 | 0.25 | 0.2329 | 1 | RECOVERY | 20 | 2 | 93.75 |
232 | 629,397 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-15T11:09:55+00:00 | 2026-04-15T21:31:50.147608 | 0.315 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 17.1053 | 1 | 3.1746 | 10.37 | 0.1429 | 1 | RECOVERY | 11 | 2 | 94.7368 |
233 | 693,489 | Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 2026-04-13T23:06:28+00:00 | 2026-04-15T23:17:51.994280 | 0.115 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 28.125 | 1 | 8.6957 | 48.19 | -0.0435 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 23 | 0 | 68.75 |
234 | 629,397 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-15T23:48:07+00:00 | 2026-04-16T02:19:27.174149 | 0.6 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 15.493 | 1 | 1.6667 | 2.52 | 0.1167 | 1 | RECOVERY | 23 | 2 | 94.3662 |
235 | 693,496 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 2026-04-14T02:23:31+00:00 | 2026-04-16T02:34:37.463735 | 0.0585 | 0.061 | 0.0725 | 19.3103 | 1 | 17.094 | 48.18 | 0.0427 | 1 | TIMEOUT_48H | 2 | 1 | 84.1379 |
236 | 1,003,803 | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 2026-04-16T02:34:37+00:00 | 2026-04-16T02:49:47.863471 | 0.675 | 0.73 | 0.81 | 16.6667 | 1 | 1.4815 | 0.25 | 0.0815 | 1 | RECOVERY | 2 | 3 | 90.1235 |
237 | 707,033 | Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 2026-04-14T03:39:19+00:00 | 2026-04-16T03:50:28.170306 | 0.0585 | 0.0125 | 0.08 | 26.875 | 1 | 17.094 | 48.19 | -0.7863 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 3 | 1 | 15.625 |
238 | 707,031 | Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026? | No | 2026-04-14T05:11:14+00:00 | 2026-04-16T05:21:28.401565 | 0.1005 | 0.021 | 0.1215 | 17.284 | 1 | 9.9502 | 48.17 | -0.791 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 5 | 1 | 17.284 |
239 | 630,666 | Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-14T07:31:28+00:00 | 2026-04-16T07:37:58.162262 | 0.135 | 0.1 | 0.165 | 18.1818 | 1 | 7.4074 | 48.11 | -0.2593 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 7 | 1 | 60.6061 |
240 | 629,531 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-16T02:34:37+00:00 | 2026-04-16T07:53:09.350885 | 0.125 | 0.135 | 0.15 | 16.6667 | 1 | 8 | 5.31 | 0.08 | 1 | RECOVERY | 2 | 3 | 90 |
241 | 629,439 | Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-14T08:02:39+00:00 | 2026-04-16T08:08:17.037562 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.065 | 15.3846 | 1 | 18.1818 | 48.09 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 8 | 1 | 84.6154 |
242 | 629,477 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-16T08:53:47+00:00 | 2026-04-16T09:08:59.315387 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.085 | 17.6471 | 1 | 14.2857 | 0.25 | 0.1429 | 1 | RECOVERY | 8 | 3 | 94.1176 |
243 | 991,975 | Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | 2026-04-16T06:52:28+00:00 | 2026-04-16T09:24:07.818292 | 0.635 | 0.725 | 0.765 | 16.9935 | 1 | 1.5748 | 2.53 | 0.1417 | 1 | RECOVERY | 6 | 3 | 94.7712 |
244 | 690,683 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2026-04-16T12:10:52+00:00 | 2026-04-16T12:26:01.987118 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.315 | 17.4603 | 1 | 3.8462 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 1 | RECOVERY | 12 | 3 | 98.4127 |
245 | 629,183 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-14T13:22:58+00:00 | 2026-04-16T13:26:38.623909 | 0.225 | 0.225 | 0.275 | 18.1818 | 1 | 4.4444 | 48.06 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 13 | 1 | 81.8182 |
246 | 732,180 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 2026-04-14T17:28:20+00:00 | 2026-04-16T17:41:01.972743 | 0.3 | 0.29 | 0.355 | 15.493 | 1 | 3.3333 | 48.21 | -0.0333 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 17 | 1 | 81.6901 |
247 | 1,006,074 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 2026-04-16T17:25:52+00:00 | 2026-04-16T18:11:19.991967 | 0.1695 | 0.1885 | 0.1995 | 15.0376 | 1 | 5.8997 | 0.76 | 0.1121 | 1 | RECOVERY | 17 | 3 | 94.4862 |
248 | 629,570 | Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-15T08:08:00+00:00 | 2026-04-17T08:19:46.100776 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.085 | 23.5294 | 1 | 15.3846 | 48.2 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 8 | 2 | 76.4706 |
249 | 693,482 | Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 2026-04-17T10:36:12+00:00 | 2026-04-17T11:36:52.010339 | 0.0385 | 0.0425 | 0.0455 | 15.3846 | 1 | 25.974 | 1.01 | 0.1039 | 1 | RECOVERY | 10 | 4 | 93.4066 |
250 | 943,825 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2026-04-15T22:47:31+00:00 | 2026-04-17T15:38:00.687023 | 0.0335 | 0.0345 | 0.04 | 16.25 | 1 | 29.8507 | 40.84 | 0.0299 | 1 | TIMEOUT_48H | 22 | 2 | 86.25 |
251 | 630,720 | Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-16T03:35:17+00:00 | 2026-04-17T15:38:00.687108 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.095 | 31.5789 | 1 | 15.3846 | 36.05 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 3 | 3 | 68.4211 |
252 | 630,747 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-17T20:02:13+00:00 | 2026-04-17T20:47:41.797812 | 0.26 | 0.345 | 0.355 | 26.7606 | 1 | 3.8462 | 0.76 | 0.3269 | 1 | RECOVERY | 20 | 4 | 97.1831 |
253 | 630,747 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-17T19:31:56+00:00 | 2026-04-17T21:02:52.144771 | 0.645 | 0.765 | 0.84 | 23.2143 | 1 | 1.5504 | 1.52 | 0.186 | 1 | RECOVERY | 19 | 4 | 91.0714 |
254 | 643,695 | Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | No | 2026-04-17T23:34:23+00:00 | 2026-04-17T23:49:33.738153 | 0.055 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 15.3846 | 1 | 18.1818 | 0.25 | 0.1818 | 1 | RECOVERY | 23 | 4 | 100 |
255 | 732,179 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 2026-04-17T20:17:23+00:00 | 2026-04-18T01:35:39.518109 | 0.714 | 0.8415 | 0.9345 | 23.5955 | 1 | 1.4006 | 5.3 | 0.1786 | 1 | RECOVERY | 20 | 4 | 90.0482 |
256 | 693,483 | Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | Yes | 2026-04-18T07:35:04+00:00 | 2026-04-18T07:50:14.762756 | 0.0495 | 0.071 | 0.076 | 34.8684 | 1 | 20.202 | 0.25 | 0.4343 | 1 | RECOVERY | 7 | 5 | 93.4211 |
257 | 630,950 | Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-17T20:47:42+00:00 | 2026-04-18T08:20:33.129452 | 0.075 | 0.085 | 0.09 | 16.6667 | 1 | 13.3333 | 11.55 | 0.1333 | 1 | RECOVERY | 20 | 4 | 94.4444 |
258 | 656,312 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-18T01:50:49+00:00 | 2026-04-18T10:36:48.609693 | 0.305 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 15.2778 | 1 | 3.2787 | 8.77 | 0.082 | 1 | RECOVERY | 1 | 5 | 91.6667 |
259 | 690,213 | U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? | Yes | 2026-04-18T08:05:22+00:00 | 2026-04-18T20:11:30.637033 | 0.0675 | 0.049 | 0.126 | 46.4286 | 1 | 14.8148 | 12.1 | -0.2741 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 8 | 5 | 38.8889 |
260 | 667,075 | Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | No | 2026-04-19T00:58:48+00:00 | 2026-04-19T01:13:57.007548 | 0.745 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 15.3409 | 1 | 1.3423 | 0.25 | 0.1812 | 1 | RECOVERY | 0 | 6 | 100 |
261 | 690,693 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2026-04-19T02:29:30+00:00 | 2026-04-19T02:44:39.697460 | 0.52 | 0.585 | 0.615 | 15.4472 | 1 | 1.9231 | 0.25 | 0.125 | 1 | RECOVERY | 2 | 6 | 95.122 |
262 | 951,182 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 2026-04-19T01:13:57+00:00 | 2026-04-19T05:00:47.317183 | 0.4435 | 0.493 | 0.524 | 15.3626 | 1 | 2.2548 | 3.78 | 0.1116 | 1 | RECOVERY | 1 | 6 | 94.084 |
263 | 693,483 | Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | No | 2026-04-19T02:44:39+00:00 | 2026-04-19T06:46:42.812895 | 0.8075 | 0.8925 | 0.9575 | 15.6658 | 1 | 1.2384 | 4.03 | 0.1053 | 1 | RECOVERY | 2 | 6 | 93.2115 |
264 | 951,183 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 2026-04-19T05:15:54+00:00 | 2026-04-19T11:18:54.418806 | 0.4715 | 0.514 | 0.5665 | 16.7696 | 1 | 2.1209 | 6.05 | 0.0901 | 1 | RECOVERY | 5 | 6 | 90.7326 |
265 | 690,693 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-19T04:00:18+00:00 | 2026-04-19T11:49:13.473459 | 0.405 | 0.5 | 0.48 | 15.625 | 1 | 2.4691 | 7.82 | 0.2346 | 1 | RECOVERY | 4 | 6 | 104.1667 |
266 | 675,435 | Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? | Yes | 2026-04-19T01:44:10+00:00 | 2026-04-19T12:04:24.914699 | 0.055 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 15.3846 | 1 | 18.1818 | 10.34 | 0.1818 | 1 | RECOVERY | 1 | 6 | 100 |
267 | 629,721 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-20T07:29:56+00:00 | 2026-04-20T07:45:03.729950 | 0.685 | 0.795 | 0.83 | 17.4699 | 1 | 1.4599 | 0.25 | 0.1606 | 1 | RECOVERY | 7 | 0 | 95.7831 |
268 | 630,819 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-19T19:53:49+00:00 | 2026-04-20T08:00:09.795129 | 0.07 | 0.075 | 0.085 | 17.6471 | 1 | 14.2857 | 12.11 | 0.0714 | 1 | TIMEOUT_48H | 19 | 6 | 88.2353 |
269 | 997,518 | Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? | No | 2026-04-20T06:14:11+00:00 | 2026-04-20T18:23:50.651164 | 0.0315 | 0.0115 | 0.0385 | 18.1818 | 1 | 31.746 | 12.16 | -0.6349 | 0 | TIMEOUT_48H | 6 | 0 | 29.8701 |
270 | 630,883 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-20T22:45:12+00:00 | 2026-04-21T00:32:42.722491 | 0.125 | 0.145 | 0.16 | 21.875 | 1 | 8 | 1.79 | 0.16 | 1 | RECOVERY | 22 | 0 | 90.625 |
271 | 630,806 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-21T00:32:45+00:00 | 2026-04-21T07:12:29.390703 | 0.175 | 0.195 | 0.215 | 18.6047 | 1 | 5.7143 | 6.66 | 0.1143 | 1 | RECOVERY | 0 | 1 | 90.6977 |
272 | 630,692 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-21T07:58:39+00:00 | 2026-04-21T08:29:23.309385 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 18.75 | 1 | 7.6923 | 0.51 | 0.1538 | 1 | RECOVERY | 7 | 1 | 93.75 |
273 | 693,502 | Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 2026-04-21T07:43:16+00:00 | 2026-04-21T09:00:10.206898 | 0.0425 | 0.052 | 0.054 | 21.2963 | 1 | 23.5294 | 1.28 | 0.2235 | 1 | RECOVERY | 7 | 1 | 96.2963 |
274 | 943,822 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2026-04-21T06:41:44+00:00 | 2026-04-21T10:01:39.277479 | 0.115 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 17.8571 | 1 | 8.6957 | 3.33 | 0.1304 | 1 | RECOVERY | 6 | 1 | 92.8571 |
275 | 630,693 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-21T04:54:07+00:00 | 2026-04-21T12:50:50.202814 | 0.091 | 0.148 | 0.1565 | 41.853 | 1 | 10.989 | 7.95 | 0.6264 | 1 | RECOVERY | 4 | 1 | 94.5687 |
276 | 630,746 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-21T12:04:45+00:00 | 2026-04-21T14:17:40.001395 | 0.155 | 0.175 | 0.185 | 16.2162 | 1 | 6.4516 | 2.22 | 0.129 | 1 | RECOVERY | 12 | 1 | 94.5946 |
277 | 1,006,075 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 2026-04-21T18:19:24+00:00 | 2026-04-21T18:34:47.642957 | 0.1425 | 0.1565 | 0.169 | 15.6805 | 1 | 7.0175 | 0.26 | 0.0982 | 1 | RECOVERY | 18 | 1 | 92.6036 |
278 | 922,349 | Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | Yes | 2026-04-22T03:16:22+00:00 | 2026-04-22T03:31:44.668143 | 0.143 | 0.2135 | 0.2095 | 31.7422 | 1 | 6.993 | 0.26 | 0.493 | 1 | RECOVERY | 3 | 2 | 101.9093 |
279 | 922,347 | Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | No | 2026-04-22T05:46:32+00:00 | 2026-04-22T08:08:18.859068 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 21.7391 | 1 | 5.5556 | 2.36 | 0.1667 | 1 | RECOVERY | 5 | 2 | 91.3043 |
280 | 636,111 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Yes | 2026-04-23T11:57:21+00:00 | 2026-04-23T12:20:08.273860 | 0.071 | 0.105 | 0.106 | 33.0189 | 1 | 14.0845 | 0.38 | 0.4789 | 1 | RECOVERY | 11 | 3 | 99.0566 |
281 | 1,006,076 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 2026-04-23T13:42:17+00:00 | 2026-04-23T17:28:50.935375 | 0.2055 | 0.25 | 0.277 | 25.8123 | 1 | 4.8662 | 3.78 | 0.2165 | 1 | RECOVERY | 13 | 3 | 90.2527 |
282 | 693,487 | Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 2026-04-23T07:04:09+00:00 | 2026-04-23T19:17:51.662166 | 0.0445 | 0.0435 | 0.0525 | 15.2381 | 1 | 22.4719 | 12.23 | -0.0225 | 0 | TIMEOUT | 7 | 3 | 82.8571 |
283 | 630,951 | Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-23T20:51:29+00:00 | 2026-04-23T21:22:53.509246 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.085 | 17.6471 | 1 | 14.2857 | 0.52 | 0.1429 | 1 | RECOVERY | 20 | 3 | 94.1176 |
284 | 630,831 | Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-23T15:19:18+00:00 | 2026-04-24T03:21:41.860215 | 0.0765 | 0.0775 | 0.09 | 15 | 1 | 13.0719 | 12.04 | 0.0131 | 1 | TIMEOUT | 15 | 3 | 86.1111 |
285 | 630,858 | Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-23T17:44:54+00:00 | 2026-04-24T05:57:36.148941 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 20 | 1 | 25 | 12.21 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT | 17 | 3 | 80 |
286 | 629,184 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-23T19:02:29+00:00 | 2026-04-24T07:16:33.841051 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.275 | 16.3636 | 1 | 4.3478 | 12.23 | -0.0435 | 0 | TIMEOUT | 19 | 3 | 80 |
287 | 622,738 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-23T20:36:04+00:00 | 2026-04-24T08:50:54.721754 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.315 | 17.4603 | 1 | 3.8462 | 12.25 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT | 20 | 3 | 82.5397 |
288 | 629,691 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-24T09:39:00+00:00 | 2026-04-24T09:54:23.667269 | 0.205 | 0.23 | 0.245 | 16.3265 | 1 | 4.878 | 0.26 | 0.122 | 1 | RECOVERY | 9 | 4 | 93.8776 |
289 | 630,976 | Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-24T07:17:14+00:00 | 2026-04-24T11:13:55.097207 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.085 | 17.6471 | 1 | 14.2857 | 3.94 | 0.1429 | 1 | RECOVERY | 7 | 4 | 94.1176 |
290 | 693,486 | Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 2026-04-24T08:04:46+00:00 | 2026-04-24T15:22:05.694236 | 0.0375 | 0.048 | 0.053 | 29.2453 | 1 | 26.6667 | 7.29 | 0.28 | 1 | RECOVERY | 8 | 4 | 90.566 |
291 | 630,857 | Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-24T08:50:56+00:00 | 2026-04-24T20:54:26.680232 | 0.055 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 21.4286 | 1 | 18.1818 | 12.06 | -0.0909 | 0 | TIMEOUT | 8 | 4 | 71.4286 |
292 | 629,654 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-24T20:55:07+00:00 | 2026-04-24T22:14:25.152895 | 0.06 | 0.075 | 0.075 | 20 | 1 | 16.6667 | 1.32 | 0.25 | 1 | RECOVERY | 20 | 4 | 100 |
293 | 629,628 | Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-24T22:45:55+00:00 | 2026-04-24T23:01:21.740180 | 0.0435 | 0.048 | 0.0515 | 15.534 | 1 | 22.9885 | 0.26 | 0.1034 | 1 | RECOVERY | 22 | 4 | 93.2039 |
294 | 1,122,018 | Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30? | Yes | 2026-04-25T00:56:12+00:00 | 2026-04-25T01:11:35.585690 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.145 | 17.2414 | 1 | 8.3333 | 0.26 | 0.3333 | 1 | RECOVERY | 0 | 5 | 110.3448 |
295 | 718,188 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 2026-04-24T17:57:50+00:00 | 2026-04-25T06:08:04.504639 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 25.8065 | 1 | 4.3478 | 12.17 | 0.0435 | 1 | TIMEOUT | 17 | 4 | 77.4194 |
296 | 630,679 | Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-24T18:44:10+00:00 | 2026-04-25T06:44:51.189223 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.07 | 21.4286 | 1 | 18.1818 | 12.01 | 0 | 0 | TIMEOUT | 18 | 4 | 78.5714 |
297 | 631,031 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-25T18:08:19+00:00 | 2026-04-25T19:42:05.326565 | 0.115 | 0.14 | 0.135 | 14.8148 | 1 | 8.6957 | 1.56 | 9.25 | 1 | RECOVERY | 18 | 5 | 103.7037 |
298 | 697,523 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-25T18:08:20+00:00 | 2026-04-25T20:29:58.096379 | 0.245 | 0.275 | 0.305 | 19.6721 | 1 | 4.0816 | 2.36 | 5.18 | 1 | RECOVERY | 18 | 5 | 90.1639 |
299 | 629,337 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-24T21:10:35+00:00 | 2026-04-25T21:17:03.500899 | 0.29 | 0.3 | 0.385 | 24.6753 | 1 | 3.4483 | 24.11 | 2.01 | 1 | TIMEOUT | 21 | 4 | 77.9221 |
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