trade_id int64 | market_id int64 | question string | outcome_label string | entry_time string | exit_time string | entry_price float64 | exit_price float64 | pre_crash_high float64 | drop_pct float64 | size_usd float64 | shares float64 | hold_hours float64 | pnl_usd float64 | is_profitable int64 | exit_reason string | entry_hour_utc int64 | entry_dow int64 | recovered_to_pct_of_high float64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
300 | 629,412 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-24T21:58:59+00:00 | 2026-04-25T22:04:42.409856 | 0.3 | 0.305 | 0.455 | 34.0659 | 1 | 3.3333 | 24.1 | 1.78 | 1 | TIMEOUT | 21 | 4 | 67.033 |
301 | 943,823 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2026-04-25T22:36:14+00:00 | 2026-04-26T03:30:48.826261 | 0.125 | 0.145 | 0.16 | 21.875 | 1 | 8 | 4.91 | 5.2 | 1 | RECOVERY | 22 | 5 | 90.625 |
302 | 630,911 | Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-25T16:50:20+00:00 | 2026-04-26T04:49:00.068638 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.095 | 26.3158 | 1 | 14.2857 | 11.98 | 5.22 | 1 | RECOVERY | 16 | 5 | 94.7368 |
303 | 629,284 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-26T10:34:34+00:00 | 2026-04-26T11:05:18.952614 | 0.0655 | 0.0715 | 0.077 | 14.9351 | 1 | 15.2672 | 0.51 | 10.59 | 1 | RECOVERY | 10 | 6 | 92.8571 |
304 | 629,532 | Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-26T13:25:37+00:00 | 2026-04-26T14:11:53.355873 | 0.1 | 0.105 | 0.115 | 13.0435 | 1 | 10 | 0.77 | 9.1 | 1 | RECOVERY | 13 | 6 | 91.3043 |
305 | 629,583 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | No | 2026-04-27T10:40:22+00:00 | 2026-04-27T11:59:25.234103 | 0.155 | 0.165 | 0.18 | 13.8889 | 1 | 6.4516 | 1.32 | 7.9 | 1 | RECOVERY | 10 | 0 | 91.6667 |
306 | 630,721 | Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2026-04-27T00:34:21+00:00 | 2026-04-28T00:34:50.949664 | 0.0665 | 0.045 | 0.0765 | 13.0719 | 1 | 15.0376 | 24.01 | 3.57 | 1 | TIMEOUT | 0 | 0 | 58.8235 |
307 | 943,854 | Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | Yes | 2026-04-28T05:52:41+00:00 | 2026-04-28T10:18:26.179921 | 0.245 | 0.26 | 0.285 | 14.0351 | 1 | 4.0816 | 4.43 | 1.64 | 1 | RECOVERY | 5 | 1 | 91.2281 |
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