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Publish OracleEconLab economic research release v1.5
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# Public-source UMA AI demonstration
This demonstration starts from a label-free registry of 64 fixed public transactions,
downloads or replays canonical Polygon and Ethereum receipts, decodes the UMA lifecycle,
derives decision-time features and economic outcomes, and runs the registered logistic
regression plus four simple baselines. It never reads a curated ledger.
- Chronological split: 44 train / 10 validation / 10 test.
- Test AUC: 0.375; Brier: 0.414; ECE-5: 0.374.
- Automated Accept/Challenge coverage: 0.400.
- Outcome: later UMA protocol resolution only, not independent factual truth.
- Configured rewards, capital at risk, gross payout and realized challenge payoff remain distinct.
Live public reproduction:
```bash
python scripts/applications/trustworthy_ai/run_public_source_demo.py
```
Deterministic replay after freezing the public receipts:
```bash
python scripts/applications/trustworthy_ai/run_public_source_demo.py --offline
```