text stringlengths 1 298 |
|---|
29 |
Glenn W. Brier. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Monthly Weather Review, 78(1): |
1–3, 1950. ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:vofeit>2.0.co;2. |
Jochen Bröcker. Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores. Quarterly Journal of the |
Royal Meteorological Society, 135(643):1512–1519, July 2009. ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10. |
1002/qj.456. |
Jochen Bröcker and Zied Ben Bouallègue. Stratified rank histograms for ensemble forecast verification under |
serial dependence. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(729):1976–1990, April 2020. |
ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3778. |
Jochen Bröcker and Leonard A. Smith. Scoring probabilistic forecasts: The importance of being proper. |
Weather and Forecasting, 22(2):382–388, April 2007. ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/ |
waf966.1. |
Sebastian Buschow. Measuring displacement errors with complex wavelets. Weather and Forecasting, 37(6): |
953–970, June 2022. ISSN 1520-0434. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-21-0180.1. |
Sebastian Buschow and Petra Friederichs. Using wavelets to verify the scale structure of precipitation |
forecasts. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 6(1):13–30, March 2020. |
ISSN 2364-3587. https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-13-2020. |
Sebastian Buschow and Petra Friederichs. Sad: Verifying the scale, anisotropy and direction of precipitation |
forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147(735):1150–1169, January 2021. ISSN |
1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3964. |
Sebastian Buschow, Jakiw Pidstrigach, and Petra Friederichs. Assessment of wavelet-based spatial verifica |
tion by means of a stochastic precipitation model (wv_verif v0.1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 12 |
(8):3401–3418, August 2019. ISSN 1991-9603. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3401-2019. |
Barbara Casati, Manfred Dorninger, Caio A. S. Coelho, Elizabeth E. Ebert, Chiara Marsigli, Marion P. |
Mittermaier, and Eric Gilleland. The 2020 international verification methods workshop online: Major |
outcomes and way forward. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(3):E899–E910, March |
2022. ISSN 1520-0477. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-21-0126.1. |
William E. Chapman, Luca Delle Monache, Stefano Alessandrini, Aneesh C. Subramanian, F. Martin Ralph, |
Shang-Ping Xie, Sebastian Lerch, and Negin Hayatbini. Probabilistic predictions from deterministic at |
mospheric river forecasts with deep learning. Monthly Weather Review, 150(1):215–234, January 2022. |
ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-21-0106.1. |
Kang Chen, Tao Han, Junchao Gong, Lei Bai, Fenghua Ling, Jing-Jia Luo, Xi Chen, Leiming Ma, Tianning |
Zhang, Rui Su, Yuanzheng Ci, Bin Li, Xiaokang Yang, and Wanli Ouyang. Fengwu: Pushing the skillful |
global medium-range weather forecast beyond 10 days lead. April 2023. https://doi.org/10.48550/ |
ARXIV.2304.02948. |
H. M. Christensen, I. M. Moroz, and T. N. Palmer. Evaluation of ensemble forecast uncertainty using a |
new proper score: Application to medium-range and seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal |
Meteorological Society, 141(687):538–549, May 2014. ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj. |
2375. |
A. P. Dawid. Present position and potential developments: Some personal views: Statistical theory: The |
prequential approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), 147(2):278, 1984. ISSN |
0035-9238. https://doi.org/10.2307/2981683. |
A. Philip Dawid and Paola Sebastiani. Coherent dispersion criteria for optimal experimental design. The |
Annals of Statistics, 27(1), March 1999. ISSN 0090-5364. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1018031101. |
A. Philip Dawid, Monica Musio, and Laura Ventura. Minimum scoring rule inference. Scandinavian Journal |
of Statistics, 43(1):123–138, August 2015. ISSN 1467-9469. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12168. |
30 |
Alexander Philip Dawid and Monica Musio. Theory and applications of proper scoring rules. METRON, 72 |
(2):169–183, April 2014. ISSN 2281-695X. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40300-014-0039-y. |
Luca Delle Monache, F. Anthony Eckel, Daran L. Rife, Badrinath Nagarajan, and Keith Searight. Probabilis |
tic weather prediction with an analog ensemble. Monthly Weather Review, 141(10):3498–3516, September |
2013. ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-12-00281.1. |
Francis X. Diebold and Roberto S. Mariano. Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Eco |
nomic Statistics, 13(3):253–263, July 1995. ISSN 1537-2707. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1995. |
10524599. |
Manfred Dorninger, Eric Gilleland, Barbara Casati, Marion P. Mittermaier, Elizabeth E. Ebert, Barbara G. |
Brown, and Laurence J. Wilson. The setup of the mesovict project. Bulletin of the American Me |
teorological Society, 99(9):1887–1906, September 2018. ISSN 1520-0477. https://doi.org/10.1175/ |
bams-d-17-0164.1. |
Elizabeth E. Ebert. Fuzzy verification of high-resolution gridded forecasts: a review and proposed framework. |
Meteorological Applications, 15(1):51–64, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.25. |
Werner Ehm and Tilmann Gneiting. Local proper scoring rules of order two. The Annals of Statistics, 40 |
(1), February 2012. ISSN 0090-5364. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-aos973. |
Christopher A. T. Ferro, David S. Richardson, and Andreas P. Weigel. On the effect of ensemble size on the |
discrete and continuous ranked probability scores. Meteorological Applications, 15(1):19–24, March 2008. |
ISSN 1469-8080. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.45. |
Petra Friederichs and Andreas Hense. A probabilistic forecast approach for daily precipitation totals. |
Weather and Forecasting, 23(4):659–673, August 2008. ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/ |
2007waf2007051.1. |
Eric Gilleland. Spatial forecast verification: Baddeley’s delta metric applied to the icp test cases. Weather and |
Forecasting, 26(3):409–415, June 2011. ISSN 1520-0434. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-10-05061.1. |
Eric Gilleland, David Ahijevych, Barbara G. Brown, Barbara Casati, and Elizabeth E. Ebert. Intercom |
parison of spatial forecast verification methods. Weather and Forecasting, 24(5):1416–1430, October 2009. |
ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009waf2222269.1. |
Tilmann Gneiting. Making and evaluating point forecasts. Journal of the American Statistical Association, |
106(494):746–762, June 2011. ISSN 1537-274X. https://doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2011.r10138. |
Tilmann Gneiting and Matthias Katzfuss. Probabilistic forecasting. Annual Review of Statistics |
and Its Application, 1(1):125–151, January 2014. ISSN 2326-831X. https://doi.org/10.1146/ |
annurev-statistics-062713-085831. |
Tilmann Gneiting and Adrian E Raftery. Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. Journal |
of the American Statistical Association, 102(477):359–378, March 2007. ISSN 1537-274X. https://doi. |
org/10.1198/016214506000001437. |
Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery, Anton H. Westveld, and Tom Goldman. Calibrated probabilistic |
forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Monthly Weather |
Review, 133(5):1098–1118, May 2005. ISSN 0027-0644. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr2904.1. |
Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui, and Adrian E. Raftery. Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and |
sharpness. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 69(2):243–268, March |
2007. ISSN 1467-9868. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00587.x. |
Tilmann Gneiting, Larissa I. Stanberry, Eric P. Grimit, Leonhard Held, and Nicholas A. Johnson. As |
sessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions |
of surface winds. TEST, 17(2):211–235, July 2008. ISSN 1863-8260. https://doi.org/10.1007/ |
s11749-008-0114-x. |
31 |
Tilmann Gneiting, Sebastian Lerch, and Benedikt Schulz. Probabilistic solar forecasting: Benchmarks, post |
processing, verification. Solar Energy, 252:72–80, March 2023. ISSN 0038-092X. https://doi.org/10. |
1016/j.solener.2022.12.054. |
I. J. Good. Rational decisions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), 14(1): |
107–114, January 1952. ISSN 2517-6161. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1952.tb00104.x. |
Fan Han and Istvan Szunyogh. A technique for the verification of precipitation forecasts and its application |
to a problem of predictability. Monthly Weather Review, 146(5):1303–1318, April 2018. ISSN 1520-0493. |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.