ROmondi/STST · Datasets at Hugging Face

text stringlengths 1 298
29
Glenn W. Brier. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Monthly Weather Review, 78(1):
1–3, 1950. ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:vofeit>2.0.co;2.
Jochen Bröcker. Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores. Quarterly Journal of the
Royal Meteorological Society, 135(643):1512–1519, July 2009. ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.
1002/qj.456.
Jochen Bröcker and Zied Ben Bouallègue. Stratified rank histograms for ensemble forecast verification under
serial dependence. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(729):1976–1990, April 2020.
ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3778.
Jochen Bröcker and Leonard A. Smith. Scoring probabilistic forecasts: The importance of being proper.
Weather and Forecasting, 22(2):382–388, April 2007. ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/
waf966.1.
Sebastian Buschow. Measuring displacement errors with complex wavelets. Weather and Forecasting, 37(6):
953–970, June 2022. ISSN 1520-0434. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-21-0180.1.
Sebastian Buschow and Petra Friederichs. Using wavelets to verify the scale structure of precipitation
forecasts. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 6(1):13–30, March 2020.
ISSN 2364-3587. https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-13-2020.
Sebastian Buschow and Petra Friederichs. Sad: Verifying the scale, anisotropy and direction of precipitation
forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147(735):1150–1169, January 2021. ISSN
1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3964.
Sebastian Buschow, Jakiw Pidstrigach, and Petra Friederichs. Assessment of wavelet-based spatial verifica
tion by means of a stochastic precipitation model (wv_verif v0.1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 12
(8):3401–3418, August 2019. ISSN 1991-9603. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3401-2019.
Barbara Casati, Manfred Dorninger, Caio A. S. Coelho, Elizabeth E. Ebert, Chiara Marsigli, Marion P.
Mittermaier, and Eric Gilleland. The 2020 international verification methods workshop online: Major
outcomes and way forward. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(3):E899–E910, March
2022. ISSN 1520-0477. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-21-0126.1.
William E. Chapman, Luca Delle Monache, Stefano Alessandrini, Aneesh C. Subramanian, F. Martin Ralph,
Shang-Ping Xie, Sebastian Lerch, and Negin Hayatbini. Probabilistic predictions from deterministic at
mospheric river forecasts with deep learning. Monthly Weather Review, 150(1):215–234, January 2022.
ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-21-0106.1.
Kang Chen, Tao Han, Junchao Gong, Lei Bai, Fenghua Ling, Jing-Jia Luo, Xi Chen, Leiming Ma, Tianning
Zhang, Rui Su, Yuanzheng Ci, Bin Li, Xiaokang Yang, and Wanli Ouyang. Fengwu: Pushing the skillful
global medium-range weather forecast beyond 10 days lead. April 2023. https://doi.org/10.48550/
ARXIV.2304.02948.
H. M. Christensen, I. M. Moroz, and T. N. Palmer. Evaluation of ensemble forecast uncertainty using a
new proper score: Application to medium-range and seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal
Meteorological Society, 141(687):538–549, May 2014. ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.
2375.
A. P. Dawid. Present position and potential developments: Some personal views: Statistical theory: The
prequential approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), 147(2):278, 1984. ISSN
0035-9238. https://doi.org/10.2307/2981683.
A. Philip Dawid and Paola Sebastiani. Coherent dispersion criteria for optimal experimental design. The
Annals of Statistics, 27(1), March 1999. ISSN 0090-5364. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1018031101.
A. Philip Dawid, Monica Musio, and Laura Ventura. Minimum scoring rule inference. Scandinavian Journal
of Statistics, 43(1):123–138, August 2015. ISSN 1467-9469. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12168.
30
Alexander Philip Dawid and Monica Musio. Theory and applications of proper scoring rules. METRON, 72
(2):169–183, April 2014. ISSN 2281-695X. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40300-014-0039-y.
Luca Delle Monache, F. Anthony Eckel, Daran L. Rife, Badrinath Nagarajan, and Keith Searight. Probabilis
tic weather prediction with an analog ensemble. Monthly Weather Review, 141(10):3498–3516, September
2013. ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-12-00281.1.
Francis X. Diebold and Roberto S. Mariano. Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Eco
nomic Statistics, 13(3):253–263, July 1995. ISSN 1537-2707. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1995.
10524599.
Manfred Dorninger, Eric Gilleland, Barbara Casati, Marion P. Mittermaier, Elizabeth E. Ebert, Barbara G.
Brown, and Laurence J. Wilson. The setup of the mesovict project. Bulletin of the American Me
teorological Society, 99(9):1887–1906, September 2018. ISSN 1520-0477. https://doi.org/10.1175/
bams-d-17-0164.1.
Elizabeth E. Ebert. Fuzzy verification of high-resolution gridded forecasts: a review and proposed framework.
Meteorological Applications, 15(1):51–64, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.25.
Werner Ehm and Tilmann Gneiting. Local proper scoring rules of order two. The Annals of Statistics, 40
(1), February 2012. ISSN 0090-5364. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-aos973.
Christopher A. T. Ferro, David S. Richardson, and Andreas P. Weigel. On the effect of ensemble size on the
discrete and continuous ranked probability scores. Meteorological Applications, 15(1):19–24, March 2008.
ISSN 1469-8080. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.45.
Petra Friederichs and Andreas Hense. A probabilistic forecast approach for daily precipitation totals.
Weather and Forecasting, 23(4):659–673, August 2008. ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/
2007waf2007051.1.
Eric Gilleland. Spatial forecast verification: Baddeley’s delta metric applied to the icp test cases. Weather and
Forecasting, 26(3):409–415, June 2011. ISSN 1520-0434. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-10-05061.1.
Eric Gilleland, David Ahijevych, Barbara G. Brown, Barbara Casati, and Elizabeth E. Ebert. Intercom
parison of spatial forecast verification methods. Weather and Forecasting, 24(5):1416–1430, October 2009.
ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009waf2222269.1.
Tilmann Gneiting. Making and evaluating point forecasts. Journal of the American Statistical Association,
106(494):746–762, June 2011. ISSN 1537-274X. https://doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2011.r10138.
Tilmann Gneiting and Matthias Katzfuss. Probabilistic forecasting. Annual Review of Statistics
and Its Application, 1(1):125–151, January 2014. ISSN 2326-831X. https://doi.org/10.1146/
annurev-statistics-062713-085831.
Tilmann Gneiting and Adrian E Raftery. Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. Journal
of the American Statistical Association, 102(477):359–378, March 2007. ISSN 1537-274X. https://doi.
org/10.1198/016214506000001437.
Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery, Anton H. Westveld, and Tom Goldman. Calibrated probabilistic
forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Monthly Weather
Review, 133(5):1098–1118, May 2005. ISSN 0027-0644. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr2904.1.
Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui, and Adrian E. Raftery. Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and
sharpness. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 69(2):243–268, March
2007. ISSN 1467-9868. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00587.x.
Tilmann Gneiting, Larissa I. Stanberry, Eric P. Grimit, Leonhard Held, and Nicholas A. Johnson. As
sessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions
of surface winds. TEST, 17(2):211–235, July 2008. ISSN 1863-8260. https://doi.org/10.1007/
s11749-008-0114-x.
31
Tilmann Gneiting, Sebastian Lerch, and Benedikt Schulz. Probabilistic solar forecasting: Benchmarks, post
processing, verification. Solar Energy, 252:72–80, March 2023. ISSN 0038-092X. https://doi.org/10.
1016/j.solener.2022.12.054.
I. J. Good. Rational decisions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), 14(1):
107–114, January 1952. ISSN 2517-6161. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1952.tb00104.x.
Fan Han and Istvan Szunyogh. A technique for the verification of precipitation forecasts and its application
to a problem of predictability. Monthly Weather Review, 146(5):1303–1318, April 2018. ISSN 1520-0493.

29

Glenn W. Brier. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Monthly Weather Review, 78(1):

1–3, 1950. ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:vofeit>2.0.co;2.

Jochen Bröcker. Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores. Quarterly Journal of the

Royal Meteorological Society, 135(643):1512–1519, July 2009. ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.

1002/qj.456.

Jochen Bröcker and Zied Ben Bouallègue. Stratified rank histograms for ensemble forecast verification under

serial dependence. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(729):1976–1990, April 2020.

ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3778.

Jochen Bröcker and Leonard A. Smith. Scoring probabilistic forecasts: The importance of being proper.

Weather and Forecasting, 22(2):382–388, April 2007. ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/

waf966.1.

Sebastian Buschow. Measuring displacement errors with complex wavelets. Weather and Forecasting, 37(6):

953–970, June 2022. ISSN 1520-0434. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-21-0180.1.

Sebastian Buschow and Petra Friederichs. Using wavelets to verify the scale structure of precipitation

forecasts. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 6(1):13–30, March 2020.

ISSN 2364-3587. https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-13-2020.

Sebastian Buschow and Petra Friederichs. Sad: Verifying the scale, anisotropy and direction of precipitation

forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147(735):1150–1169, January 2021. ISSN

1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3964.

Sebastian Buschow, Jakiw Pidstrigach, and Petra Friederichs. Assessment of wavelet-based spatial verifica

tion by means of a stochastic precipitation model (wv_verif v0.1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 12

(8):3401–3418, August 2019. ISSN 1991-9603. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3401-2019.

Barbara Casati, Manfred Dorninger, Caio A. S. Coelho, Elizabeth E. Ebert, Chiara Marsigli, Marion P.

Mittermaier, and Eric Gilleland. The 2020 international verification methods workshop online: Major

outcomes and way forward. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(3):E899–E910, March

2022. ISSN 1520-0477. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-21-0126.1.

William E. Chapman, Luca Delle Monache, Stefano Alessandrini, Aneesh C. Subramanian, F. Martin Ralph,

Shang-Ping Xie, Sebastian Lerch, and Negin Hayatbini. Probabilistic predictions from deterministic at

mospheric river forecasts with deep learning. Monthly Weather Review, 150(1):215–234, January 2022.

ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-21-0106.1.

Kang Chen, Tao Han, Junchao Gong, Lei Bai, Fenghua Ling, Jing-Jia Luo, Xi Chen, Leiming Ma, Tianning

Zhang, Rui Su, Yuanzheng Ci, Bin Li, Xiaokang Yang, and Wanli Ouyang. Fengwu: Pushing the skillful

global medium-range weather forecast beyond 10 days lead. April 2023. https://doi.org/10.48550/

ARXIV.2304.02948.

H. M. Christensen, I. M. Moroz, and T. N. Palmer. Evaluation of ensemble forecast uncertainty using a

new proper score: Application to medium-range and seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal

Meteorological Society, 141(687):538–549, May 2014. ISSN 1477-870X. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.

2375.

A. P. Dawid. Present position and potential developments: Some personal views: Statistical theory: The

prequential approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), 147(2):278, 1984. ISSN

0035-9238. https://doi.org/10.2307/2981683.

A. Philip Dawid and Paola Sebastiani. Coherent dispersion criteria for optimal experimental design. The

Annals of Statistics, 27(1), March 1999. ISSN 0090-5364. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1018031101.

A. Philip Dawid, Monica Musio, and Laura Ventura. Minimum scoring rule inference. Scandinavian Journal

of Statistics, 43(1):123–138, August 2015. ISSN 1467-9469. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12168.

30

Alexander Philip Dawid and Monica Musio. Theory and applications of proper scoring rules. METRON, 72

(2):169–183, April 2014. ISSN 2281-695X. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40300-014-0039-y.

Luca Delle Monache, F. Anthony Eckel, Daran L. Rife, Badrinath Nagarajan, and Keith Searight. Probabilis

tic weather prediction with an analog ensemble. Monthly Weather Review, 141(10):3498–3516, September

2013. ISSN 1520-0493. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-12-00281.1.

Francis X. Diebold and Roberto S. Mariano. Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Eco

nomic Statistics, 13(3):253–263, July 1995. ISSN 1537-2707. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1995.

10524599.

Manfred Dorninger, Eric Gilleland, Barbara Casati, Marion P. Mittermaier, Elizabeth E. Ebert, Barbara G.

Brown, and Laurence J. Wilson. The setup of the mesovict project. Bulletin of the American Me

teorological Society, 99(9):1887–1906, September 2018. ISSN 1520-0477. https://doi.org/10.1175/

bams-d-17-0164.1.

Elizabeth E. Ebert. Fuzzy verification of high-resolution gridded forecasts: a review and proposed framework.

Meteorological Applications, 15(1):51–64, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.25.

Werner Ehm and Tilmann Gneiting. Local proper scoring rules of order two. The Annals of Statistics, 40

(1), February 2012. ISSN 0090-5364. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-aos973.

Christopher A. T. Ferro, David S. Richardson, and Andreas P. Weigel. On the effect of ensemble size on the

discrete and continuous ranked probability scores. Meteorological Applications, 15(1):19–24, March 2008.

ISSN 1469-8080. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.45.

Petra Friederichs and Andreas Hense. A probabilistic forecast approach for daily precipitation totals.

Weather and Forecasting, 23(4):659–673, August 2008. ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/

2007waf2007051.1.

Eric Gilleland. Spatial forecast verification: Baddeley’s delta metric applied to the icp test cases. Weather and

Forecasting, 26(3):409–415, June 2011. ISSN 1520-0434. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-10-05061.1.

Eric Gilleland, David Ahijevych, Barbara G. Brown, Barbara Casati, and Elizabeth E. Ebert. Intercom

parison of spatial forecast verification methods. Weather and Forecasting, 24(5):1416–1430, October 2009.

ISSN 0882-8156. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009waf2222269.1.

Tilmann Gneiting. Making and evaluating point forecasts. Journal of the American Statistical Association,

106(494):746–762, June 2011. ISSN 1537-274X. https://doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2011.r10138.

Tilmann Gneiting and Matthias Katzfuss. Probabilistic forecasting. Annual Review of Statistics

and Its Application, 1(1):125–151, January 2014. ISSN 2326-831X. https://doi.org/10.1146/

annurev-statistics-062713-085831.

Tilmann Gneiting and Adrian E Raftery. Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. Journal

of the American Statistical Association, 102(477):359–378, March 2007. ISSN 1537-274X. https://doi.

org/10.1198/016214506000001437.

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery, Anton H. Westveld, and Tom Goldman. Calibrated probabilistic

forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Monthly Weather

Review, 133(5):1098–1118, May 2005. ISSN 0027-0644. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr2904.1.

Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui, and Adrian E. Raftery. Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and

sharpness. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 69(2):243–268, March

2007. ISSN 1467-9868. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00587.x.

Tilmann Gneiting, Larissa I. Stanberry, Eric P. Grimit, Leonhard Held, and Nicholas A. Johnson. As

sessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions

of surface winds. TEST, 17(2):211–235, July 2008. ISSN 1863-8260. https://doi.org/10.1007/

s11749-008-0114-x.

31

Tilmann Gneiting, Sebastian Lerch, and Benedikt Schulz. Probabilistic solar forecasting: Benchmarks, post

processing, verification. Solar Energy, 252:72–80, March 2023. ISSN 0038-092X. https://doi.org/10.

1016/j.solener.2022.12.054.

I. J. Good. Rational decisions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), 14(1):

107–114, January 1952. ISSN 2517-6161. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1952.tb00104.x.

Fan Han and Istvan Szunyogh. A technique for the verification of precipitation forecasts and its application

to a problem of predictability. Monthly Weather Review, 146(5):1303–1318, April 2018. ISSN 1520-0493.