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College-educated women, in particular, helped carry Democratic candidates, motivated in part by a deep opposition to Trump's nationalist agenda and racially charged rhetoric.
"This gender gap has been increasing cycle after cycle," said Stephanie Schriock, the president of Emily's List, a group that backs Democratic female candidates. "Particularly under this Trump administration, that's going to continue moving forward."
But the Democratic gains were limited to the House. The Senate landscape told a different story, of a segment of the country that looked far different.
Republicans increased their Senate majority with support from the same coalition of voters that propelled Trump to the presidency two years ago: whites without college degrees — particularly men — in more conservative, rural states. GOP candidates defeated Democratic incumbents in North Dakota, Indiana and Missouri.
The GOP victories appeared to reinforce the politics behind Trump's closing message — a mix of dark, inaccurate warning about an "invasion" of immigrants streaming across the U.S. border. The fear, it seems, does motivate Republicans. And few can summon that anxiety like Trump.
"He is absolutely the only Republican who could generate the kind of enthusiasm in the base that was necessary to compete in a really difficult midterm," said Josh Holmes, a longtime political adviser to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.
With each party taking control of one chamber of Congress, and another presidential election fast approaching, these divisions will be a defining feature of American politics through 2020. Each party now has a template for success in the Trump era and will spend the next two years trying to replicate it.
The midterm results hold some long-term promise for Democrats, a party that was banished to the political hinterlands in 2016.
Some Democratic-leaning states that flipped for Trump two years ago — Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania — swung back to the left Tuesday, electing Democrats in key Senate and governors' races. That suggests Trump's victories in the Midwestern battlegrounds could have been an anomaly, not a permanent realignment.
The president can take solace, however, in the fact that Republicans were victorious in Ohio and Florida, two of the most important political battlegrounds. In Florida, Trump acolyte Ron DeSantis defeated Democrat Andrew Gillum, the young, black mayor of Tallahassee who had appeared poised to become a national party star.
Demographics remain a looming problem for Republicans in a nation that continues to grow more diverse. Unless the GOP can boost its appeal with minorities, as well as younger Americans, the party may simply run out of voters to carry its candidates to victory.
But what's good for the Republican Party long-term is not necessarily Trump's focus.
The president spent little time during this election year trying to win over his critics or bring highly educated voters back into the Republican fold. He doubled down on the issues that helped him win in 2016, particularly hardline immigration policies.
But those same political maneuvers cost Republicans in the House, where the fight for control played out in moderate, suburban districts Trump lost in 2016. A strong economy and a pro-business tax plan that Republicans believed would appeal to the wealthier, better educated voters in these areas were overshadowed by the president's vitriol.
Trump now faces a choice as he plunges into his own re-election campaign. He can moderate his policies and his tactics and try to appeal to those voters who abandoned the GOP this year. Or he may conclude that the same coalition of voters that carried him to the White House two years ago will show up in large enough numbers when his name is on the ballot.
AP polling reporter Hannah Fingerhut contributed to this report.
THE Spaniard scored either side of Troy Deeney's injury-time penalty to overturn a 2-0 deficit at Wembley. Matt Doherty and Raul Jiminez put Nuno Espirito Santo's side in control and on the brink of another date under the Arch.
Ginola scored one of the great FA Cup goals 20 years ago - but did ref help?
LONDON, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The United States is set to grab the first and biggest chunk of unfilled extra Asian demand for shipped gas between now and 2025 with help from a widened Panama Canal and prices that rivals could struggle to match.
A surge in U.S. natural gas production thanks to the shale revolution means proposed new liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects in Australia, East Africa, Canada and Russia can no longer count on exporting to the United States and will now have to focus more on sales to Asia.
Now, the distance to ship U.S. LNG from the Gulf of Mexico to Asia is set to be fall to about 9,000 miles from 16,000 after expansion work makes the Panama Canal big enough for LNG tankers.
That will allow U.S. exporters to compete for that same Asian market, transforming the United States from export destination to growth supplier for Japan, South Korea and eastern China in only a few years.
The Gulf of Mexico coast has tailor-made ports, storage and pipes it has used for LNG imports. It is part of the world’s biggest natural gas market and has specialist local labour available.
This gives LNG projects there a set of ‘brownfield’ advantages over ‘greenfield’ rivals off the undeveloped coasts of Mozambique and Tanzania, in the harsh Russian Arctic, and in remoter parts of Australia and Canada.
Political risk is also seen as relatively low - at least for the next few years.
“The cost stacks to Asia from the five major supply options end up in a very similar range... but the U.S. brings a unique proposition, and so might be getting a lion’s share of that extra demand,” said Asish Mohanty, senior analyst on North American LNG for Wood Mackenzie in Houston.
Hesitation by those other LNG producers looks set to play into U.S. hands, too.
The last big non-U.S. LNG project to get the all-important Final Investment Decision (FID) from its backers was Japanese group Inpex’s Ichthys plant in Australia’s Northern Territory in early 2012.
Since then, only U.S. projects, namely Sabine Pass phases 1 and 2 in Louisiana, have won FID.
LNG exports are politically controversial in the United States because cheap gas has revived the economy, but the government approved a third export permit on Aug 7 in a sign that producers hurt by a glut and weak prices are winning traction in the debate as federal authorities grant permission for exports to countries such as Japan and China.
Production from shale formations using hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling techniques has sent the Henry Hub U.S. gas benchmark price below $3 per million British thermal units (mmBtu).
At the same time, Asian buyers have to pay up to $20 on the spot market and up to $17-$18 on long-term contracts linked to the price of crude oil. U.S shippers just have to come in under that, and many in the market believe they can.
Escalating costs have also slowed development of non-U.S. greenfield projects. The budget for Chevron’s half-built 15 mtpa Gorgon project has ballooned by about $15 billion to over $50 billion.
A third factor has been the sheer number of projects proposed worldwide in recent years - some 631 mtpa worldwide according to analysts at IHS CERA - which is more than four times the predicted need up to 2025.
“It’s a bit like being in a restaurant with a big menu,” said Washington-based IHS CERA analyst Eliza Notides Young. “This entrance of the U.S... just adds a whole new dynamic to the market.
Adding to uncertainty for non-U.S. projects is the widening of the Panama Canal and the cost reduction that will bring for U.S. LNG exporters.
Only 21 of the existing global fleet of 370 LNG tankers can currently squeeze through the Panama Canal, and none of them try. Yet more than 80 percent will be able to make the passage once widening is complete, according to LNG shipping consultancy Platou.
Delays have beset the widening project but it is currently expected to be completed by the end of 2015 - just in time for the first scheduled exports from Sabine Pass on the border between Texas and Louisiana.
IHS CERA estimates the shortened passage to Japan could shave $1.50 per mmBtu off the cost.
It puts the as-yet unknown canal charge at around 30 cents per mmBtu based on a $1 million round-trip fee for a medium-sized LNG tanker.
That still leaves a clear $1.20 saving per mmBtu - almost 10 percent of the direct ex-ship (DES) cost based on an estimate by shipper BG Group Plc.
BG, which is contracted to take 5.5 mtpa from Sabine Pass, puts the DES shipping cost to Asia at $11.20 per mmBtu via Panama.
There is a pricing game changer happening, too.
U.S projects can avoid the pricing model that forces buyers into 20-year contracts based on oil prices - so-called take-or-pay funding.
As was the case with shale production itself, it is the pre-existing infrastructure that has made the United States home to this revolution.
Greenfield projects like Gorgon in Western Australia are so huge and costly that only the biggest companies - Chevron, Royal Dutch/Shell, Exxon Mobil and a few others - attempt them.
They have to compete for capital with oil projects, so to get FID, they need that take-or-pay funding.
Building the liquefaction plant absorbs the majority of any LNG project’s budget but thanks to its other cost advantages, Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass and others like it can base pricing on cheap U.S. gas instead of costly global oil.
This is a potential alarm bell for oil multinationals.
“Can U.S. exports change the pricing game?” asks Johan Schrijver, managing director for Dutch state business of the credit insurer Atradius which deals with LNG financing.
WoodMac’s Mohanty also said that after 2020, non-U.S. rival LNG exporters might benefit if U.S. lawmakers grow jittery about domestic gas prices. Buyers looking to ensure diversity of supply will also ensure new export regions find customers.
And even if U.S. LNG is shipped via Panama, gas from Western Australia will still have less than half the distance to travel to Japan. In addition, most of the greenfield projects own their own gas, while U.S. exporters have to buy on the open market.
BG, a greenfield developer like Shell and Chevron as well as a U.S gas shipper, is confident the oil price link will stay for as long as supply looks tight.
“We believe oil indexation will remain a key part of the pricing mix in the LNG market for the foreseeable future and without it, some projects outside of the U.S. may not get developed,” said Matt Schatzman, BG group executive vice president for global energy marketing and shipping.
A U.S. LNG report from analysts at Bernstein this week was titled “Forget Saudi America, What about Qatari America?” - a reference to the current leading LNG exporting country.
LNG projects have long been vulnerable to fluctuating politics, price, availability of engineering skills and competition from other energy types.
The Sabine Pass liquefaction export plant is a testament to that volatile history, emerging on the site of a disused regasification import terminal as the cycle turns again.
Movement for Democratic Change presidential spokesman Luke Tamborinyoka has confirmed that party leader Morgan Tsvangirai is in hospital in South Africa “for routine medical procedure” but is not critical.
A local paper, Newsday which broke the news, said Tsvangirai was airlifted to South Africa yesterday morning after his health deteriorated drastically.
Tamborinyoka said Tsvangirai was in a stable condition and had even sent a message to Zimbabweans to participate in the current exercise enabling Zimbabweans to get key documents like national identity cards, births and deaths certificates as well as to register as voters.
“President Tsvangirai said he was more worried about the country’s health, urging Zimbabweans to vote wisely next year so as to deal with the multi-layered afflictions of the country’s political economy,” Tamborinyoka said.
Agence France Presse quoted an unnamed MDC-T senior official as saying that Tsvangirai was “overwhelmed with work and his health deteriorated”.
Another source told Reuters that Tsvangirai’s sudden illness did not relate to his ongoing cancer treatment.
Tsvangirai was diagnosed with cancer last year.
President Morgan Tsvangirai, who flew to South Africa for a routine medical procedure, is in a very stable condition contrary to morbid media reports that he is critical and is battling for his life.
True to form, the people’s leader is more worried about the plight of Zimbabweans than his own condition. This morning, he was assuring Zimbabweans he will be home soon; urging the nation to co-operate with the on-going nationwide exercise to acquire birth certificates and national registration documents that will enable them to exercise their right to vote.
He urged Zimbabweans to turn out for voter registration in their multitudes so as to deal with the multiple cancers afflicting the nation that include corruption and a clueless leadership that is concentrating on succession battles at the expense of the plight of the ordinary people.
In his usual light-hearted manner, President Tsvangirai said he was more worried about the country’s health, urging Zimbabweans to vote wisely next year so as to deal with the multi-layered afflictions of the country’s political economy.
He urged the nation not to panic about his health, saying he will be home soon to play his part in canvassing for massive participation in next year’s watershed polls.
MEGHAN Markle has travelled all over the world, and she’s picked up a few tips along the way.
Writing on her now-deleted lifestyle blog The Tig, the 37-year-old spilled the beans on her clever packing hack – which will make your clothes always smell amazing.
The Duchess of Sussex advised layering scented dryer sheets in between your clothes – and you’ll really see the benefit on the flight home.
The sheets are designed to be used in your tumble dryer – to prevent creasing, reduce static and make them smell great.
You can buy 34 Lenor sheets for just £3 (that’s less than 9p a pop) – so you can really spread the love with your holiday wardrobe.
This is definitely one for travelling home from holiday, especially if you’ve got dirty laundry and clean clothes zipped away in the same bag.
A.J. Pollock hit a three-run homer in the sixth inning, and the Dodgers tied the major league record by homering in their 32nd consecutive home game during a 3-2 victory over the Reds on Wednesday.
Matt Carpenter connected for a tiebreaking drive in the seventh inning that sent the St. Louis Cardinals over the Cincinnati Reds 9-5 Sunday for a split of their two-game series in Mexico.
When the Affordable Care Act was being created in 2009, many liberals who weren’t too excited about the form it was taking hoped that eventually it could evolve into something more to their liking. They told themselves that the ACA’s reforms may have kept private health insurance central, but over time it could be modified to inch closer to the kind of universal system enjoyed by citizens of every other industrialized country.
Ironically, precisely because Republicans took over the government eight years later and began an attack on the ACA, we may get to that point a lot quicker than liberals anticipated.
Right now Democrats are coalescing around a new model for health-care reform. This November’s election could validate it in a way that practically settles the issue among Democrats. That will then determine the discussion in 2020, and in 2021 it could become the basis for a hugely ambitious overhaul of the system. Right now we could be witnessing the genesis of one of the most important domestic policy changes in our history.
What’s striking is how rapidly this is taking place, especially compared with the last time Democrats did this. After the failure of Bill Clinton’s attempt at health reform in 1994, Democratic health policy wonks began researching, analyzing and debating the issue to figure out what kind of different reform might address the system’s key problems while also being politically viable. It took years before they settled on the “three-legged stool”: Requiring insurance companies to cover everyone without regard to preexisting conditions, an individual mandate to get everyone into the system and subsidies to make sure everyone could afford insurance.
Mitt Romney instituted a form of this in Massachusetts in 2006, and in the 2008 election, all the leading Democratic presidential candidates proposed something similar. There were certainly liberals who didn’t like it, but it was the direction the party collectively decided to go. With that mandate (and a Democratic Congress) in hand, Barack Obama made it one of his top domestic priorities, and it passed in 2010.
So: more than a decade of internal debate, which produced a basic consensus that eventually reached the party’s politicians, ultimately resulting in policy change, in a mere 16 years.
Now look where we are today. With Donald Trump’s victory and the ensuing assault on the ACA from the White House and Republicans, everything has changed. It’s been just 17 months since the election, and we have a completely new consensus among Democratic politicians.
A group of Democratic senators led by Jeff Merkley (Ore.) and Chris Murphy (Conn.) has introduced the Choose Medicare Act, which would open up Medicare to anyone who wants it and isn’t already eligible for Medicare or Medicaid. Individuals could get it through the exchanges and employers could put their employees on it instead of private insurance. In its basic structure, it’s extremely similar to the Medicare Extra For All plan put out by the Center for American Progress, the most influential liberal think tank. There’s also a plan to allow states to create a buy-in to Medicaid introduced by Sen. Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) and Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D-N.M.), and a Medicare-X Choice Act from Sens. Michael Bennett (D-Colo.) and Tim Kaine (D-Va.). Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) still has his Medicare for All plan, which differs from these in that they emphasize that it would be voluntary, and private insurance would stay around as long as it can compete.
Open up an existing government health insurance program, either Medicare or Medicaid, to anyone who wants it.
But even if we don’t have a consensus among Democratic policy wonks, we’re getting awfully close to a consensus among Democratic politicians, on that one basic idea.
That consensus is spreading to Democrats around the country. Your ordinary House candidate doesn’t usually come up with his or her own plan, so he or she looks around at what people in their party are proposing, pick something that sounds good to them and slot it into the “Issues” section of their web site. This helps determine what voters hear and what members of Congress feel they’ve committed to.
So right now there are future Democratic members of Congress who are saying to voters, “Let’s open up Medicare to anyone who wants it.” And it’s a hugely popular idea — 75 percent of Americans support it in this Kaiser Family Foundation poll. Those candidates will start polling the idea themselves, or look to Democratic messaging projects such as this one, which will probably reiterate for them that voters think it sounds like a great idea. People who remember how hard it was to explain the ACA to voters will be excited to have something to say on health care that’s easy to understand.
If Democrats take back the House, don’t be surprised if they pass one or more of these bills in 2019 or 2020, just as a demonstration. Then the party’s presidential candidates will all have plans that start with the idea of opening up Medicare or Medicaid, and if one of them wins, that will be the basis of the next attempt at health-care reform. Does that mean it will pass, or that we know exactly what it will look like? Not at all. But if the next Democratic president signs major health-care reform, it’s going to include opening up Medicare or Medicaid. And we’ll look back and say that it all started right now.
AIIMS MBBS 2018: The 18-year-old topper from Bhatinda secured AIR 2 in AIIMS MBBS entrance exam 2018. She also ranked 10th in NEET and 7th in JIPMER.
AIIMS MBBS 2018: My parents’ involvement and sacrifice for this profession motivates me to pursue medical profession,” said AIR 2 Ramneek Kaur Mahal. Ramneek’s father Amanjeet Singh Mahal is a medical officer in Punjab and mother Brinder Kaur Mahal is a gynaecologist. Bhatinda girl Ramneek secured AIR 2 in AIIMS examination this year. Speaking to the indianexpress.com, the 18-year-old said that she wished to be a neurologist and will pursue MBBS from AIIMS Delhi. The girl also ranked 10th in NEET and 7th in JIPMER.
“The classroom classes of Aakash and my private tutors helped me a lot to get success,” said Ramneek. The topper also took coaching from Allen and Narayana Institute.
The topper also performed well in CBSE Class 12 examination. She secured 97.6 per cent marks, with 93 in English, Physics- 98, Biology- 99, Chemistry- 100, Physical Education- 98.
The students who have appeared in the examination can check the results through aiimsexams.org. Over two lakh candidates appeared in the examination this year, the counselling of which will start from the month of July.
Virgin CEO Richard Branson has joined the likes of Ellen Degeneres, Stephen Fry and some fashion designers who said they are boycotting the luxury Dorchester Hotel chain over the owner's ties to the introduction of Sharia law in the Sultanate of Brunei.
"No @Virgin employee, nor our family, will stay at Dorchester Hotels until the Sultan abides by basic human rights," Branson tweeted Saturday from his personal Twitter account.
The Dorchester Collection, which includes The Beverly Hills Hotel, Hotel Bel-Air, The Dorchester and several other luxury-level properties around the word, is owned by the Brunei Investment Agency, a branch of the Ministry of Finance of Brunei.
At issue is the decision of the oil-rich state to adopt a strict form of Sharia law that would call for the severing of limbs for theft, as well as stoning to death for adultery or homosexual acts, according to the BBC. Enforcement would be limited to within the borders of Brunei.
The annual Global Women's Rights Awards, co-chaired by Jay and Mavis Leno, moved from the Beverly Hills Hotel as part of the boycott. The awards instead were held at the Hammer Museum.