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"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts." — Richard Feynman
1,500 Years Of Heatwaves
61% Fake Data
Accelerating Sea Level Fraud In Climate Science
Alterations To The US Temperature Record
Arctic Sea Ice Unchanged From 60 Years Ago
Climate Scientists Rewriting The Past
Corruption Of The US Temperature Record
Doubling The Hockey Stick Fraud
Erasing America’s Hot Past
Extreme Fraud In The National Climate Assessment
Extreme Wildfire Fraud In The National Climate Assessment
Failed Apocalyptic Forecasts
Failed Climate Models
Fraud In The National Climate Assessment (Part 1)
Heatwave Of May-June 1934
Hiding The Decline In Extreme Weather
Ice-Free Arctic Forecasts
Low CO2 Climate Disasters
My 2015 Data Tampering Prediction
No Excuse For Data Tampering
Overwhelming Evidence Of Collusion
Pulling Back The Curtain Software
Rewriting America’s History
Scientific Consensus For Life On Mars
Scientists Say …..
Ten Infamous Low CO2 Disasters
The 52% Consensus
The Climate Crisis Of 1936
The Five Top Arguments Against Climate Alarmism
The History Of The Arctic
The History Of The Modern “Climate Change” Scam
The Malicious Intent Behind Climate Alarmism
There Is No Climate Crisis
Understanding NOAA US Temperature Fraud
UNHIDING THE DECLINE For Linux/Mac
UNHIDING THE DECLINE For Windows
Who Is Tony Heller?
Why Climate Science Peer Review Is Worthless
← More Spectacular Arctic Fraud At The New York Times
My Arctic Forecast Vs. Government Climate Experts →
National Anthem Protests
Posted on September 23, 2017 by tonyheller
Barack Obama playing pocket pool during the National Anthem in 2008
59 Responses to National Anthem Protests
If you just look at the cold hard facts here, the NFL is nuts if it does not bury this controversy as soon as possible. There is absolutely no upside. And the downside is that there are 63 million people that voted for Trump who have just about had it with the MSM. If those people suddenly turn off the TV and stop attending games… watch out!!! And it is getting to the point this could be a reality.
Gail Combs says:
They are not dropping it. They are doubling down.
Kerr even says he has met Reagan, both Bushs Clinton and Obama but refuses to meet Trump because RACIST!!! since he had the utter GALL to object to overpaid idiots disrespecting our National Anthem.
This seems to have the letter removed. Also Twitter seems to be censoring the negative comments per usual.
https://twitter.com/anthonyVslater/status/911712796093562880/photo/1
Brother do this A$$ES turn my stomach.
Leftist logic:
We can scream at you, toss stuff at you, beat you up and even KILL YOU. However if you open your mouth to object to being treated as a valueless slave, then — RACIST!!!
Kris Johanson says:
“…refuses to meet Trump because RACIST”
Let’s not forget, Trump owned the NEW JERSEY GENERALS, and the WHOLE PURPOSE of the USFL was to successfully sue the NFL and make them merge with or buy out these USFL teams!
They still hate Trump for that, no doubt…
Here is the list of NFL sponsors plus contact info as promised: link
Jerry Jones: “Cowboys Will Stand For The Flag Or “Your Ass Will Be Off The Team”
https://t.co/fIGMKVwWMf
A Marine’s letter to the NFL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8xQ1dYFa1RA
Looks like these idiots may be playing with fire:
NFL gets billions in subsidies from U.S. taxpayers
http://money.cnn.com/2015/01/30/news/companies/nfl-taxpayers/index.html
The NFL: Big Business With Big Tax Breaks
http://www.npr.org/2014/01/18/263767372/the-nfl-big-business-with-big-tax-breaks
“The N.F.L.’s eligibility for 501 (c)(6) status is not based on its characteristics but was instead set by Congress in 1966 when Public Law 89-800 passed, redefining tax-exempt organizations in section 501(c)(6) of the tax code to include “professional football leagues.””
H/T to jeans2nd @ the ConservativeTreeHouse.
With luck someone will start a White House petition to end these goodies. — Watch 1 million signatures in 24 hours. ?
Arn says:
Strange that all those good doers(corporations,IMF members,UN employees etc)
never pay taxes.
Though football is the very last resort to need that kind of stuff as you can cut the players income by 50% and they would still be filthy rich.
Seems some very rich people made the laws as they like them
and colleges became so corrupted that they give dumb,uneducated,violent and illeterate people exams for just playing football.
And someone who does such things is open to any kind of perversion
and lawbreaking-and thats why universities produce so many lefty loonies.
RAH says:
I have never begrudged what professional football players get paid. Their career can be ended in a split second. It happens all the time. Sure one can supply many examples of people in other dangerous occupations and/or services where the same applies up to and including their very lives. But I’m a supporter of the free enterprise system and I say if one can earn huge bucks because of a demonstrated ability then more power to them.
shempus says:
I am for free-markets, but not for taxpayers subsidizing sports teams, especially those that ‘protest’ their country over specious non-issues.
Getting as much money out of a free market os a completely different animal than subsidizing.
Both are opposed to each other but some people just take the best out of two worlds while in fact living in just the first of them(everything free markets make them enjoy life) and pretending to live in the second(pretending to be social while missusing loopholes)
Obama’s UTTER CONTEMPT for America, and the American people…
…. was exemplified by that one picture
We are watching the NFL commit suicide. The players are so fucking stupid that they don’t realize that they’re strangling their golden goose and the league president is such a eunuch that he is going to let them do it. It is a sickening thing to watch the effects of “social justice” and PC as they kill the game just as they have been trying to kill this nations history. Even if the NFL did an about face right now, which there is no indication they are going to do, the damage already done would take years to recover from. A lot of people totally agree with the presidents statements on this but of course in the legacy media and ultraleftists ESPN, they are doing their best to paint the POTUS as a racist for saying what so many people think. In the end the people will vote with their dollars and stay away from the games following the lead of what a substantial number of former fans are already doing, but more importantly they will vote with their TV controllers, because TV revenue is where the NFLs big money comes from. People quit watching and the revenue for paying players will decline.
It is not just the people who watch…..
The rest of us can Boycott NFL Sponsors since the NFL has NO SOCIALLY REDEEMING CHARACTERISTICS!!!
So shortly I will update the list of 2017-2018 NFL sponsors. I continue to focus on the lack of accountability for players commiting domestic violence as my reason for this. If yo are so empassioned, write to the NFLPA and tell them supporting/ defending perpetrators of Domestic Violence is wrong, and a travesty. There are other issues. You can have your opinion about those but when Ezekiel Elliot is not banned for life or for 3-5 years from the NFL, I have problem… These guys should be in jail. Not serving a NFL sanctioned penalty. PRISON. Period. A second chance should await many of them, as is deserved in America. But some need a long sentence and a significant outlay of cash to DV organozations and to think about their crimes, deeply, before release….
From another commenter
Joe Mixon..Oklahoma.. Running back… Will be drafted and make millions… Beat. The. Shit. Out of a woman… On video…. Is your team drafting him? Are you willing to write your team owner and share your thoughts on this pile of excrement?….
The NFL is nothing but low-life perverted SCUM who endorse violence against WOMEN, CHILDREN and POLICE!
And to add insult to injury…
Mar 8, 2017 — FORBES: NFL Sponsorship Soars To $1.25 Billion, Up 4.3% Year-Over-Year
“Despite all of the attention paid to dwindling NFL TV ratings….”
Talk about the multi-national corporations flipping the US citizens the middle finger!
When person stops watching the games on the boob tube, they’re in essence boycotting the sponsors. Eventually the effects will be felt.
RAH “When person stops watching the games on the boob tube, they’re in essence boycotting the sponsors….”
RAH, I have not watched the Boob Tube in four decades. A listing of sponsors lets me write nasty complaint letters telling them it is not only the TV watchers they are losing by supporting Women beating Dog killing Anti-police civilization haters.
Remember they UPPED their sponsor ship in response to Amercian’s boycott. Now they need to get really slammed.
MORE on the NFL
http://www.foxsports.com/presspass/latest-news/2017/08/27/four-time-nfl-pro-bowler-michael-vick-joins-fox-sports
Michael Vick the dog killer gets to be an announcer. He drowned some poor pooch in a backyard pool amid other acts of torture. http://aldf.org/resources/laws-cases/animal-fighting-case-study-michael-vick/
Why ever would we want to support these A$$h01es???
NFL Arrest provides an interactive visualized database of fifteen years of National Football League player Arrests & Charges.
http://nflarrest.com
Colorado Wellington says:
The runner-up Denver Broncos only lost to the Minnesota Vikings because of bad weather up north. Who can blame the Vikings for having a few for the ditch before they drive somewhere?
Some of the Broncos on the other hand know how to put their disobedient wives and girlfriends in their place. I just hope they follow proper rules.
Sheik explains how to properly beat a disobedient wife
Latitude says:
Strange world we live in, isn’t it?
When are group of people, that have had preferential treatment for over 1/2 century…..
…are oppressed
Well, I for one am darn sick and tired of it.
Time to end Affirmative Action and tell the ‘minorities’ to put their Big Boy pants on and act like grown-ups instead of spoiled brats.
You know Sis….I’m going out on a limb here…..but any other group of people that had these advantages..for this long….would be running the world by now
gator69 says:
They are running the USA right now.
Well they seem to be trying…
May 8, 2015DoJ: ISIS winning the propaganda war with sophisticated and prolific messaging
28 June 2015 Isis, a year of the caliphate: 4 maps that show how far and fast the group has spread
‘From its base in Syria and Iraq, the so-called Islamic State has extended its influence at an alarming rate across the Middle East, Africa and beyond’
Montana Governor Rejects Bill Banning Shariah Law in Courts “Gov. Steve Bullock has vetoed a bill that would have banned Shariah and other foreign laws from being used in Montana courts…. Montana was one of the 13 states considering legislation seeking to prevent the use of foreign law in state courts…. Bullock said he was disturbed that the ban, if he had signed it, could have been seen as an “endorsement for anti-Muslim sentiments and activity.”
This is an ongoing fight to have Shariah Law recognized AS LAW in the USA. Remember AG Lynch: ‘We’ve Had Over 1,000 Investigations Into Acts of Anti-Muslim Hatred, Including Rhetoric’ — (wwwDOTcnsnews.com/news/article/melanie-hunter/lynch-over-1000-investigations-acts-anti-muslim-hatred-and-over-45) but Lynch did not have a problem with the IRS, ATF, OSHA and others targeting True-The-Vote and other conservative groups.
The fact that Islam is not recognized by our government, even under Trump, as opposed to our Constitution is really, really scary.
According to a 2010 study, Islam is followed by ~ 0.9% of the US population, compared with 70.6% who follow Christianity, 22.8% unaffiliated, 1.9% Judaism, 0.7% Buddhism, and 0.7% Hinduism.
For less than 1% of the population, muslims have entirely TOO MUCH POWER and INFLUENCE on our government and way of life especially when compared to Christians.
Gail, I was speaking of the BLM movement, not ISIS.
In St Louis, the mayor has now put on record that the violence in black neighborhoods is not a problem with inner city thug culture gone wild, but it is because of “institutionalized racism”.
http://fox2now.com/2017/09/19/mayor-krewson-says-institutional-racism-divides-st-louis-city/
We are tearing down statues of fallen soldiers, and we are replacing them with monuments to lowlife thug heroin dealers who try to kill cops.
ISIS can only dream of such mainstream acceptance and unopposed success.
BLM and ISIS are brothers-in-arms. They are not mutually exclusive. Many of the Thugs get converted in Prison and there was/is a Pakistani Sufi cleric Gilani who grabs the thugs as they leave prison. “Members of the MOA are encouraged to travel to Pakistan to receive religious and military/terrorist training from Sheikh Gilani.”
The Clarion Project document also says that, “The MOA [Muslims of America] is now an autonomous organization which possesses an infrastructure capable of planning and mounting terrorist campaigns overseas and within the U.S.”
“…Muslim incarceration rate
Muslims comprise 15% of the prison population. This number far exceeds the percentage of Muslims in the general population. It is eighteen times greater, to be exact. Put another way, there are about 2.4 million Muslims in the United States and 350,000 of them are in jail. That means more than 12%* of Muslims in America are incarcerated.
Conversion rates
Reports on the number of prisoners who convert to Islam vary and are framed in different ways. Some sources estimate 40,000 prisoners per year convert. Others put the numbers closer to 135,000 per year. Some posit that 80% of inmates who “find faith while in prison convert to Islam.”
One thing is for sure: The majority of those who convert to Islam in prison are black, with as many as one in three black prisoners converting. (The number of Hispanic prisoners converting to Islam is also on the rise.)”
http://can-test.squarespace.com/news/2014/12/8/us-prisons-are-breeding-ground-for-jihadists
Why Prisons Are Prime Recruiting Centers for Radical Islam
(wwwDOT)algemeiner.com/2015/11/19/why-prisons-are-prime-recruiting-centers-for-radical-islam/
Are these two articles talking about the same person???
Fake NEWS Reuters:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-islamberg-insight/a-tranquil-muslim-hamlet-in-the-catskills-until-the-attack-plot-idUSKBN0OH1D920150601
https://clarionproject.org/muslims-americas-moa/
The BLM’ers will of course pave the way for the rest of the anti-western types, and the violence and racism will continue to worsen.
It is always the enemy within that makes conquest possible.
Angel Artiste says:
Oppressed celebrity multimillionaires. Who knew?
Barack and Michelle said they were oppressed, too. I wish somebody would oppress me like that.
They were so oppressed that Barack ordered
2 new air force one planes for 4 billion dollars((that’s more/equal the entire annual budget of more than 20 countries on this planet))
They were so oppressed that they kissed islams butt during all the 8 years
while willfully ignoring that islam was and is enslaving black for 1400 years
and still is in countries like Sudan & Mauretania
as slavery is 100% legal in islam and the term for slave= Abeed means Nigger
(white women were 10* more expensive than black ones in muslim slave trade and muslim offspring from black female slaves was not allowed to survive)
while the term slave originates from slaves=slavic people.
The real story of slave trade is so much different from the official one
as the story of global warming or obama vs trump is.
One of them is a massmurderer and sellout to the banksters
while the other is trump,
but people were not protesting against the massmurderer because banksters own the tv stations.
So much about oppression and how much obamas did
for the oppressed.
(and i’m pretty sure that during obamas anti opression regency the number of black house and landowners went significantly down
while worship of gangsters and transsexuals went up)
charles nelson says:
The U.S. Flag Code dates back to the not-too-distant year of 1942. The decision to enact began with the Pledge of Allegiance—a ritual that used to involve a salute that required you to raise your right hand, flip your palm down, point it toward the flag in a salute and recite the words. These instructions might seem unthinkable today for obvious reasons—they’re reminiscent of rows of Nazis saluting their Fuhrer. But believe it or not, they date from the beginning of the Pledge itself.
Read more: http://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/rules-about-how-to-address-us-flag-came-about-because-no-one-wanted-to-look-like-a-nazi-180960100/#LDZWGjVc8LGZyXFT.99
Give the gift of Smithsonian magazine for only $12! http://bit.ly/1cGUiGv
Follow us: @SmithsonianMag on Twitter
Texas Sharp-shooter says:
Hey, WTF, bend over cupcake. The doctor would like to give you the gift of Smithsonian rolled into a convenient cylindrical shape. Don’t they have a whole Kaepernich wing at the Smithsonian? (And no, I don’t care if I spelled his name wrong. I heard his mother is changing her’s.)
Damn, I hate getting side-tracked when I have a cogent comment all pent up up and some ass-hat throws me off like that. This guy: the filth spewing EPA meets the clear mountain stream of this estimable blog. I am so TRIGGERED!
Hey Sharpie! Are you one of those suppressed ‘homosexuals’?
You seem a little obsessed with the old anal penetration thing there?
Maybe if you just came out you might not feel all that pent up anger?
TimA says:
Only homos recite that homophobia schmeer Nancy boy…
Another fruit!
Are you interested in anal penetration too?
Timmy?
I think you need to move to San Francisco to ease all your pent up man-love there Chuckie….lol
Squidly says:
The NFL, now the NBA and MLB as well. Seems they wish to rid our country of professional sports. I can’t say it would bother me. Money has a tendency to ruin a sport anyway. Bobby Jones refused to turn pro because he felt that money would destroy the game of golf. In some ways it has. Let’s take money out of sports and see how that works for a while .. shall we?
Andy DC says:
The NFL, or any corporation for that matter, is in no way obligated to provide a disgruntled employee a free soap box in front of 100 million people. If such a person wants acquire one with his own money and time, fine. That is his right as an American citizen. But to exploit a corporation that has paid him very handsomely, without permission and without any regard for the health of that corporation, will get fired every time and justifiably so.
Millions of “people of color” are attempting to enter this country every year by any means, yet rich “people of color” are sick of the unjust and oppressive society whites have created in this country. Am I understanding this correctly?
czechlist says:
This is how communists work. Destroy a nation’s culture from within using useful idiots.
I find it ironic that the left has been attacking and attempting to destroy American football for 20 years. Now these “Bell Curve” scholars are helping destroy their livelyhood.
Buck Turgidson says:
“pocket pool”…. hilarious!
Add this to that short list of things at which obozo excelled.
I don’t watch the NFL or TV but wonder why an owner or the NFL would allow the behavior that is going to piss off half the audience? I am in the respect the flag camp, but also believe an individual has the right to disrespect the flag or anthem or pledge, etc. As my employee while being paid by me, they would be fired.
Football and the NFL is on its way out anyway because of the brain injury problem. More and more parents are not putting their kids into football and as the years pass there will be a tipping point with less talent and interest. If I was an owner, I would sell and cash in before the value declines steeply. This type of conduct is only hastening the eventual demise of the NFL.
David A says:
…as owner I would allow them to remain out of public view, but not to use my paid for publicity to promote their own prejudice.
Well good, at least there will be one team I can watch.
I watched the start of each game today, and if there was a knee on the ground, I changed the channel immediately. Will continue doing so for the rest of the season.
It’s just another sign that a lot of NFL players have taken too many hard blows to the head, and don’t seem to understand that spitting on the Flag and the Nation, by taking a knee, infuriates people who love this country.
The fools could have used many methods to get their grievencies out in the public and they chose to trash football, the Flag and the Nation as their means of protest.
They have a right to protest any way they want, and I have the right to protest their method of protest.
They better watch out, or they are going to lose a lot of money and some will lose their livelyhood just to make a foolish gesture, that only serves to divide the nation, not unite the nation.
Trump didn’t divide the nation because he spoke out against trashing the Flag and National Anthem, it was Kaepernick and his ilk that have caused this division. And it’s not going away, either.
President Trump speaks the truth and the Left can’t handle the truth, and tear into him for it, but fortunately Trump is in the right, and he’s not backing down.
The last poll I heard about said 70 percent of Americans did NOT like football players taking a knee at the games. The millionaire social justice warriors should think about that figure for a while. You are not making friends acting this way.
Adamant de-Nye-er says:
Kaepernick didn’t think this out very well. Genuflection is historically a gesture of subjugation and acknowledgment to the dominance of a higher authority. The servant’s submissive gesture transferred to conservative Christian ceremonials. In football, taking a knee probably originated back when (short) Catholic Priests coached Notre Dame, and needed to get players’ attention or to pray before a game or practice.
So, how is it that a deliberate acknowledgment of inferiority has become a protest of the oppressed?
I’ve been ignoring these “protests” by privileged, well-fed, highly paid and spoiled brats who are inappropriately showing their dissent against an imagined and contrived oppression as if by kneeling to a master. It is pitiful, but I simply refuse to be upset by it.
But if anyone does care to complain to the league or the team about this silliness occurring at a specific sports event, be sure to also do so to the network and station or web site that are carrying the program. The network media will feel the protest first, and will be the first to do anything about it.
UPDATE: Cleveland Browns Forced To Issue Refunds To 90% Of Season Ticket Holders
Fox News reported last night that former fans are angrily calling every single team and demanding that they be given their money back for their season tickets – purchases made in good faith – after the NFL betrayed them by siding with whiny “athletes” who think that it’s OK to kneel during the National Anthem and disrespect our country and flag.
The Dallas Cowboys have refunded money for 65% of season tickets. The Pittsburgh Steelers have given fans money back for 53% of season tickets. But the hardest hit have been the Cleveland Browns, who recently entertained the idea of signing Colin Kaepernick who started this fiasco by kneeling in support of thugs who attack police.
https://t.co/ZYR9cKa1Tk
OUCH!!!!
Very good! This is how boycotts are supposed to work.
Gail, you need to check your source…
When no one can trust the lying fake news liberal media anymore because they hate us and guns and Harley Davidson and meat and OUR president, As American as Apple Pie is here to be your beacon of something you can kinda rely on sometimes but not really.
http://asamericanasapplepie.org/about/
neal s says:
That same source has a story that claims
“NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell was fired this morning by the owner’s association that employs him. The owners, finally tired of the disrespectful actions of the players who kneel during the National Anthem, took the cue from President Trump to take action.:”
But if anyone else is reporting that, it sure isn’t easy to find. While I wish both stories were true, I am beginning to think that that source should not be trusted.
Unfortunately 1/2 the time I can no longer connect to a story because my browser is so old. However if I update then DISQUS will start working again and Google/DISQUS will ban my comments…
Makes it tough to vet stories.
I sure hope that isn’t an ‘Onion’ Story.
However the stands at the Steeler-Bear game looked rather empty.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DKhHfygWAAAoQXL.jpg:small
Another empty football stadium (RAIDERS) if you peak over the NBC graphic used to cover it up.
https://imgur.com/a/0xMVg
NFL Sponsors with contact info (I messed up link last time)
Wonder where those NFL players got the idea and inspiration to do something other than stand and put their hand over their heart for the national anthem? That darned Trump!
I think their wives are grateful to Trump. This is a much better way to get the tensions out of their poor racially abused husbands systems …
For battered NFL wives, a message from the cops and the league: Keep quiet
Two women narrate their ordeals. “You will hear of a wife murdered before you hear another one come forward.”
By Ines Bebea and Simone Sebastian
Whenever Dewan Smith-Williams sees Janay Rice on television, she feels like she’s looking into a mirror. Smith-Williams, 44, remembers the denial, the secrecy, the sense of isolation, the shame. But most of all, she remembers the fear of ruining her husband’s career as a National Football League player — the feeling that coming forth, or seeking justice, would destroy her four children’s financial security. She understands that struggle not only because she, too, was a domestic-violence victim, but because she watched so many other NFL wives, many of them her friends, go through the same nightmare. For each of them, it began with their husbands’ attacks and worsened with a culture that, they felt, compelled silence.
“We’ve told agents about it, called the NFL Players Association when things were really, really bad,” Smith-Williams recalls. “They would say, ‘Oh, we’re really sorry that you are going through this. We’ll look into it.’ But you never heard back. There’s no one available for the wives.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2014/10/17/for-battered-nfl-wives-a-message-from-the-cops-and-the-league-keep-quiet
I’m sure Ines Bebea and Simone Sebastian are happy about it, too.
[bad blockquote end bracket]
R. Shearer says:
I wonder what the NFL’s position is on abortion and, specifically, late term abortion.
Also Civil War statues, triggering speech, campus safe spaces, animal rights and lesbian adoptions.
Gay weddings, immigration, illegal immigration, border security, wall, DACA, drug use, legalization of marijuana, sexual abuse and violence, soda taxes, photo-radar, Obamacare, peace/war in the Middle East, support for Israel, nuclear power, electric vs. IC vehicles, hyperloop, pornography, government control of the internet, snooping by national security organizations, gun control, GMOs, vaccines, global warming for that matter.
Hell if they want to get political and alienate all their fans and sponsors, I’m sure they can just do it.
Yeah, especially late term global warming panic and drug use!
Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria!
Yep! It’s going to hurt:
National Survey: Americans Agree with Trump on National Anthem and NFL Protests
http://www.breitbart.com/sports/2017/09/26/national-survey-americans-agree-trump-national-anthem-nfl-protests/
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Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
Global Warming Hotspot
CNN : History Began About 30 Years Ago
New Video : Asia’s Climate Ambitions
New Video : A Sudden Change Of Heart
A Sudden Change Of Heart
arn on CNN : History Began About 30 Years Ago
MGJ on A Sudden Change Of Heart
Michael Spencer on Global Warming Hotspot
Gordon Vigurs on New Video : Asia’s Climate Ambitions
jb on CNN : History Began About 30 Years Ago
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Home > Products > The Departed Soundtrack LP
The Departed Soundtrack LP
Product Select Green - $ 19.98
Arguing about which of Martin Scorsese’s pictures is his best is fodder for an all-night bull session, but of one thing there can be no doubt: the guy is obsessed with music. Many of his greatest films have either been about music (e.g. The Last Waltz or the recent Dylan Rolling Thunder “documentary”) or have featured a veritable mixtape for a soundtrack; in fact, sometimes it’s hard to tell which came first, the montage accompanying the music, or his desire to have a particular song appear in a movie come hell or high water. That’s because nobody, but nobody, cuts film to a great rock and roll tune like Scorsese (and his legendary editor Thelma Schoonmaker); and of all his dramatic films, it’s his lone Best Picture winner, The Departed, that arguably is propelled the most by its soundtrack. The Dropkick Murphys’ “I’m Shipping Up to Boston” during Leonardo DiCaprio’s stint in jail is the real scene-stealer, but the version of “Comfortably Numb” during his love scene with Vera Farmiga is another highlight, albeit a controversial one (folks either love it or hate it). The rest of the soundtrack lives up to those two selections...it’s safe to say The Departed wouldn’t have gotten its Best Picture nod without Scorsese’s canny music choices. We’re bringing it to vinyl for the first time inside a jacket and printed inner sleeve, and pressing up 1100 copies in a limited kelly green edition to honor the film’s Boston Irish roots!
1. Comfortably Numb Roger Waters, Van Morrison, The Band
2. Sail On, Sailor The Beach Boys
3. Let It Loose The Rolling Stones
4. Sweet Dreams Roy Buchanan
5. One Way Out The Allman Brothers Band
1. Baby Blue Badfinger
2. I’m Shipping Up to Boston Dropkick Murphys
3. Nobody but Me The Human Beinz
4. Tweedle Dee LaVern Baker
5. Sweet Dreams (of You) Patsy Cline
6. The Departed Tango Howard Shore (featuring Marc Ribot on dobro and Larry Saltzman on guitar)
7. Beacon Hill Howard Shore (performed by Sharon Isbin)
45 Grave Sleep in Safety LP
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Airto Natural Feelings LP
Airto Natural Feelings Test Pressing LP
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Airto Seeds on the Ground LP
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Exclusive clip: Ovation TV’s “Art Breakers”
Realscreen presents an exclusive clip of U.S. arts net Ovation TV's original series Art Breakers, which delves into the high-brow world of art collectors through powerhouse dealers Miller Gaffney (pictured, right) and Carol Lee Brosseau (left).
Whether it’s a program on plus-size ballerinas, young “Marvels” or a legendary rock photographer, U.S. cable net Ovation TV has built a reputation on busting traditional definitions of the arts.
The channel’s original reality program, Art Breakers, continues the spirit of inclusiveness by broaching the world of high art collecting – an intimidating arena often out of reach for the hoi polloi, but rendered accessible in this light-hearted series through powerhouse dealers and former sorority sisters Miller Gaffney (pictured, right) and Carol Lee Brosseau (left). The program debuts on October 4 at 8 p.m. EST/PST.
“They could be your next door neighbors,” Scott Woodward, executive VP of programming and productions, tells realscreen. “They’re real, they’re fun and they’re colorful. And in addition to learning a little bit about art as you watch the series, you also get to know them as people.”
While Ovation TV has several documentaries focusing on hard art, Woodward says that when the net is doing its own originals, it’s beginning to look for programming that can “bring a broader audience in” and open up the art world to everyone. Moving forward, Ovation TV is looking for more short-form content that can appeal to a millennial audience.
“The stuff you see on most television nets compared to what you find on YouTube in the world of art is vastly different,” says Woodward. “In the next year, you’ll see us exposing that kind of art as well.”
Produced by Jerseylicious producer Story Monster TV, Art Breakers follows Gaffney and Brosseau – described by Ovation as the “matchmakers” of the art world – as they curate collections for various patrons and clients.
In the net’s initial 4 x 30-minute episode order, the pair’s assignments range from decorating the New York offices of an Australian juicing mogul to shipping 35 pieces of art, including sculptures, to Las Vegas for private clients who want to see how they look in their home.
“Knowing Ovation’s brand and the importance of being smart and intelligent about the world of art, we wanted to take an audience there in a way that would be positive and aspirational,” explains John Rieber, managing partner of Story Monster TV.
“These women are working with people who have the money to enter the world of art at the very top price point; however, the way in which they work with them reveals that art can be for everyone,” he adds.
While access may have been an issue for most networks, the producer says a combination of Ovation TV’s positive reputation in the world of art and culture - “There was a natural willingness to listen to us and what we wanted to achieve from the show,” he notes – as well as Brosseau and Gaffney’s extensive roster of contacts made interactions with high-profile clients and little-seen galleries easier to navigate.
Though the initial season is only four episodes long, Rieber and Woodward say they’re in discussions for more episodes which would take the focus away from New York and explore other markets.
“There are art collectors that Carol and Miller are working with right now who are very excited about Cuba opening back up, because there’s incredible art there that is available,” says Rieber.
Art Breakers airs on Ovation TV on October 4 at 8 p.m. EST/PST.
Check out an exclusive clip from the show below:
Exclusive Clip: Ovation TV’s “Art Breakers” from Brunico on Vimeo.
Art Breakers, Carol Lee Brosseau, John Rieber, Miller Gaffney, Ovation TV, Scott Woodward, Story Monster TV
Ovation TV sets October premiere for “Art Breakers”
Coming Soon: “Dash Dolls,” “50/50″
Ovation TV brings “60 Minute Makeover” to U.S.
Ovation TV readies doc on Ford’s Theatre
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The Blogs Seem to Have Calculated Their Descent with Amazing Subtlety
David Weigel | 8.1.2006 1:33 PM
Two years of mocking the Democratic blogs for donating to loser candidates has taken its toll; Republican blogs want to donate to their own loser candidates. Introducing Rightroots, an alliance of conservative bloggers who've created a list of endorsed candidates and a handy venue for bloggers to donate to their campaigns. Says Ed Morrissey:
We hope that all Republican candidates win their races. However, we wanted to focus on competitive races or on seats that have a broader impact on national politics. Obviously, we still encourage people to contribute to other Republicans; it's just that we feel contributions in these races will have the most impact.
The list is actually pretty smartly selected. The only Rightroots candidates already being helped by the national GOP are the Senate candidates and around half of the House candidates. The rest are longshot candidates for whom tens of thousands of blogbucks would make a difference. A good example is Diana Irey, the wife of a contractor who got a sweet deal with the Iraqi government. The GOP isn't taking her campaign against Rep. John Murtha (D-Penn.) terribly seriously, but getting warbloggers to throw money at a Murtha opponent is like getting a dog to drool when a bell rings.
But that's not the real issue here. The issue is their logo:
Why is the elephant ejecting the blood-red vines grown by the alien machines in "The War of the Worlds"? Is that a winning Republican message for the fall? "Vote GOP: Get Eviscerated By Extraterrestrial Tripods!" I guess it worked for Kang.
I groused about the politicization of blogging in the July issue of Reason.
NEXT: Shopping for Me, But Not for Thee
David Weigel is a contributing editor at Reason.
August.1.2006 at 2:06 pm
Ouch. That’s a fugly logo.
Don’t blame me, I voted for Kodos.
The logo would seem more appropriate for a Lovecraftian political party. (“Vote Mythos, the stars are right!”)
E. Steven
It’s like some kind of Republicthulhu thing!
Morat20
The comments about the Kos candidates always amazed me. It’s the perfect example of how reality has jack shit to do with politics.
Kos chose 10 or 20 long-shot candidates to fund. They all lost. But several of them ran competitive enough races to force their GOP opponents to spend time and money defending their district. (Morrison against Delay, for instance — first time Delay had to campaign in 10 years).
I was pretty fond of the notion. I don’t like the thought of “token races” and incumbents not really having to pay attention to their own elections. I’m all for tossing 50k at some Democrat (or Republican) to give a politican an actual opponent he has to pay attention to, rather than having him meddling in an election two states away. Let him tend to his own back yard.
In any case, picking candidate’s with virtually no chance of winning was kind of the point. LGF gloating about how all the Kos candidates lost is just LGF missing the poing entirely — which isn’t all that surprising, really.
garry reed
The logo looks like a GOP elephant “out on a limb” to me, which sounds about right based on your comments. For me, a libertarian, the only thing a Republican limb is good for is to hang oneself.
Abdul Alhazred
Cthulu 2008: Why vote for the lesser evil?
Morat20,
That is some seriously good spin. Its too bad that Kos never plays it that way when the election is going on. They are always going to win up until the time that they loose and then it was “we were just making a point and didn’t expect to win anyway.” Either Kos is trying to tip these races in which case he is a complete looser or, as you argue, the races are already lost and he has no intention or hope of winning, in which case he is completely irrelevent.
Jon H
Looks like that elephant is hemhorraging from shooting itself in the feet.
Jon H: I think it’s supposed to be trampling on medical marijuana. At least that’s my Rorschach take on it. BTW, right-wingers love to use all caps, BECAUSE WE ARE UNDER SIEGE BY LIBERALS, PEOPLE!!! All the subtlety of a sledgehammer.
John, if it wipes the smug, self-satisfied grin of assured victory off of at least one incumbent’s face, I’m all for what Kos is doing, so I agree with Morat20.
Sarcastic Chris
Oh, thank god some dork blog jerks are telling me where to send my money. How did we live without them before the Internet?
That elephant looks like it’s bleeding. Note to any graphic designer out there: do not ever do branching narrow red lines unless it’s for a direct-to-video horror movie cover. Which this looks like. Which is really not the first thing you want people to think of when discussing a candidate for public office.
No, I got it – it’s the blood of Jesus.
The fields! They’re covered in blood!
August.1.2006 at 10:08 pm
I bought a t-shirt with that on it once. I think my ex has it now.
I have “The collect call of Cthulhu” and a friend has “Cthulhu Cola: Just for the taste of you!”
Jim Walsh
August.2.2006 at 12:42 am
It looks to me like the elephant is shooting electric spark thingies out of its feet…
The Wine Commonsewer
I still think the logo looks like a mail box with a rain gutter.
August.2.2006 at 9:41 am
To follow up on what Morat20 wrote, Kos spends a great deal of ones and zeros arguing in favor of building the Democratic Party as a – gasp – national party: the so-called 50-state strategy. Of course this is going to require putting resources into unlikely races – the strategy is based on establishing beach heads in areas that have been hostile territory for years.
I don’t think the “Rah rah, we’re gonna win” talk that John points out is as telling as he thinks it is, and more than introducing Bob Dole as “the next President of United States” indicates actual belief by the GOP that he had a prayer of winning in 1996. It’s just firing up the troops, and everyone understands that.
P Brooks
Was this elephant named “Topsy” by any chance?
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2016 Infiniti QX60 starts at $43,595
The revised 2016 Infiniti QX60 SUV has been priced prior to hitting showrooms this spring. Once again, Infiniti’s 7-passenger luxury hauler will be available in four forms. Powered by a 265-horsepower/3.5-liter
V6 matched with a Continuously Variable Transmission, the front-drive 2016 QX60 opens at $43,595 while its all-wheel drive counterpart starts at $45,395. Offering enhanced fuel economy courtesy of its supercharged 2.5-liter 4-cylinder engine and an electric motor that collectively put out 250 ponies which also heads to the road via a CVT automatic, the 2016 Infiniti QX60 Hybrid kicks off at $53,045 with the QX60 Hybrid AWD is $54,445.
Also: Class of 2016 -- New Cars Ready to Roll
In addition to new front and rear styling, the entire 2016 Infiniti QX60 clan also offers enhanced interior trim, upgraded tri-zone climate control, retuned steering, suspension and tires that improve overall dynamic characteristics plus a more extensive roster of comfort/convenience touches. The QX60 is also available with additional safety features that include Predictive Forward Collision Warning and Forward Emergency Braking with pedestrian detection. All QX60 variants will continue to roll out of the automaker’s assembly facility in Smyrna, Tennessee.
More Midsize Luxury SUVs…
Check out our Midsize Luxury SUV Buyer's Guide for a look at what’s new and what’s next.
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Itochu – a vulture fund business model?
by Pernille Rudlin in Corporate culture, Japanese business in Europe, M&A, Management and Leadership
Itochu was stuck at the number 4 position among Japan’s trading companies for many years, until the “genius” Masahiro Okafuji became President in 2010. Thanks to his management style, Itochu even managed to push Mitsubishi Corporation out of the top spot, and recorded its highest ever operating profit in 2017.
According to Diamond magazine, these achievements have their roots in the aggressive “vulture fund” techniques that Okafuji introduced. These are quite different from the usual trading company matching of demand and supply, middleman role. As Diamond magazine describes it, first of all, having taken control through acquisition of shares, the business model and organisation are thoroughly analysed, then the profitable areas are developed so that the share price improves, so that their shares can then be sold off at a profit. If there are any weaker businesses, even if there is a long history and the founder has nurtured them, they are cut away. Itochu did this with various Japanese fashion and food acquisitions from 2010 onwards.
Of course trading companies can make profit in other ways from their acquisitions, by becoming involved in their supply chains and logistics. Itochu also often sees brands as commodities, to be merged, sold off or cut back as necessary. This does of course mean that employees attached to those brands are also no longer needed.
Okafuji says with regard to human resource development “we are in commerce. So it is a question of knowing what makes money and what doesn’t”. Diamond magazine contrasts this with other trading companies such as Mitsubishi Corporation “on the noble path” and Mitsui “focusing on commodities”.
Itochu is in our top 5 Japanese companies in the UK, by number of employees – largely because it acquired garage chain Kwik-Fit in 2011, which has just under 5000 employees. It has other associated businesses too – as I walked past my local Kwik-Fit garage recently I saw an Isuzu truck (Itochu has a large stake in Isuzu) with Stapleton’s Tyres branding (also owned by Itochu) making a delivery. It also owns First Response Finance – who provide instalment credit to sub prime customers wanting to buy used cars – and a car dealership chain in Germany. There are no signs as yet of any selling off of these investments.
For more content like this, subscribe to the free Rudlin Consulting Newsletter.
Last updated by Pernille Rudlin at 2018-10-25 .
Are there 10% or 1% fewer Japanese companies in the UK than five years’ ago? And why?
An end to one size fits all training in Japan
Hitachi in the UK – from TVs to trains (part 1)
Takiron – first Japanese company in Wales
Mitsubishi Electric in the UK – 1979 to present
China and Japan
Corporate brands, values and mission
cross cultural awareness
European identity
History of Japanese companies in UK
Japanese business etiquette
Japanese business in Europe
Japanese customers
Social & Digital Media
speaker events
Virtual communication
Women in Japanese companies
Web Development: counsell.com
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Trailer Life Magazine
Helpful RV Tips
Introduction to Lightweight Travel Trailers
Introduction to Towable Toy Haulers
Introduction to Fifth-Wheel Trailers
Introduction to Travel Trailers More Than 4,000 Pounds
Introduction to Folding Camping Trailers
Tow Vehicles of 2020 and Beyond
Hitching Helpers
RV Forums
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Camping World RV Gear
RV Buyers Guide | Fifth Wheels| Travel Trailers| Toy Haulers
Towable Toy Haulers
A toy hauler is a towable RV combining living space with a mobile garage. Toy haulers put the best of all worlds in one place: an RV; flat-screen TV(s); and, of course, a garage for the other things that gear-heads love — motorcycles, quads, side-by-sides and anything else that is noisy and/or gets dirty.
There was a time when those were a toy hauler’s sole attributes, but today, these do-everything trailers can range from a garage with a mattress to a no-compromise 40-foot fifth-wheel with a dedicated garage, a roomy living space and a luxuriously appointed master bedroom/bath area. However, the most important considerations are still what you plan to haul and where you plan to go, as these will have the greatest influence on your purchase decision. And for big hauling capacity, the latest towing vehicles are better than ever.
Cargo configuration can be grouped into two basic categories: garage type and open box. Garage types are great if you want to keep your toys isolated from the living area, and have a dedicated space to lock up your bikes or quads at night — but square footage can be limited, especially in smaller trailers. If you want to maximize space for a side-by-side, a few quads or a bunch of motorcycles, an open-box configuration is the way to go, but the toys may have to stay outside at bedtime, and that gaping cargo door is an open invitation for flies, mosquitos, moths and other flying annoyances to hang out in your living room. You’ll have to get yourself a screen.
Learn More about the Latest Tow Haulers on TrailerLife.com
Both types typically offer a ton of sleeping space, a rear bed that comes down from the ceiling, and furniture that can be folded up against the walls or removed altogether. In any case, a toy hauler can be a big investment, so consider your future needs when purchasing: How many friends will want to go when they find out I’ve got this bad boy? Will I have kids that will want to ride, too? What about my spouse? You get the idea.
How and where you plan to use the trailer is also important. If you’re in Southern California, you’ll likely be playing out in the desert, in which case you’ll want self-sufficiency: a generator to keep the A/C blowing cold, solar panels to keep the batteries topped off and large holding-tank capacities are practically paramount. If you’ll be in cooler climes and/or anticipate being plugged in at state or private campgrounds, for example, some of these features may not be that big of a deal.
Perhaps more so than in other trailers, it’s important to look at the options list, because toy haulers often offer unique features that can make your trips more convenient and fun. A dedicated fuel station is a great feature that can eliminate the need to bring fuel jugs with you on every trip, for example. Larger units may have washer/dryer prep, and many models offer a kit that turns the rear cargo door into a functioning patio space/observation deck. Party on!
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Platinum •15 mins 1,096.00 +6.10 +0.56%
29 days The Super-Rich Are Investing In “Pandemic Passports"
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Andre Gratian
Market Turning Points
By Andre Gratian - Jan 08, 2017, 12:50 PM CST
Precision timing for all time frames through a multi-dimensional approach to forecasting
using technical analysis: Cycles - Breadth - P&F and Fibonacci price projections
supplemented by Elliott Wave analysis
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again, and again, and again -- and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law... The same Nature which delights in periodical repetition in the sky is the Nature which orders the affairs of the earth. Let us not underrate the value of that hint." ~ Mark Twain
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net.
A Tad More Distribution Needed
The SPX 2270s resistance band halted the intermediate uptrend from 1810 for three weeks, but last Friday, the former high of 2277.53 finally succumbed to a marginal new all-time high of 2282.10. This must have required a superhuman effort on the part of buyers because, instead of punching through, the index immediately pulled back and closed at 2277.18. The Dow Industrials also made a new all-time high of 19,999.63, failing to reach 20,000 by 17 cents, and closing at 19,966.68!
Friday was ostensibly the high point of a consistent 15-day cycle which could continue to depress prices early next week but, despite this appearance of exhaustion, it is likely that the market will catch its breath in a few days, and make another attempt at reaching the 2300 projection which has been on our radar screen since the low of 1810 was made, but looked as if it was going to be usurped by the lower 2700 target. Any final high -- 2300 or not -- should come in the next one to three weeks. We are in the topping area of several intermediate cycles, one of which is already exhibiting several weeks of right translation.
The warning signs mentioned earlier have not gone away! The Fear and Greed Index pulled back a little, but is on the verge of crossing into "extreme greed" again. Breadth made a strong showing in the first two trading days of the new year, but it was short-lived and, for the past two days, it was mostly negative. The benefits of seasonality may already be exhausted.
Yesterday, 3 black crows flew in front of my car. Was this an omen? (Actually, they were ravens! :-))
We must admit that the break-out to a new all-time high does not look very impressive! The index was rescued from continuing to decline by portfolio buying in the first two days of the year, and the channel breach only lasted one day. But since then, prices have not been able to pull away from the lower channel line. They must do so soon, or risk trading outside of it completely which, due to the current cyclical patterns, could lead to an immediate reversal. A confirmed sell, for the short-term at least, would come if the recent low of 2234 were penetrated, and this would evolve into an intermediate downtrend if we dropped below the dashed lines representing support.
After already rising nearly 475 points without a serious correction, we may be overdue for a "normal" .382 retracement of that distance. This would amount to a correction of 180 points, which sounds like a lot, until we take into account that several important cycles are due to make their lows around April/May. It took 11 months (so far) for the uptrend to unfold. A rough calculation of dividing 4 months of correction into 11 months of rally gives us a time factor of .364 which is a good match for a .382 distance ratio. (Interesting speculation, which is all it is, and proves absolutely zilch!)
The sudden reversal of strength in breadth is evident in the A/D oscillator, at the bottom of the chart. The SRSI is already losing momentum! And the MACD, whose settings should provide more volatility than the normal ones, has not even been able to effectuate a bullish cross. When it turns down again and becomes negative, it will most likely give us a confirmed sell signal.
This chart and others below, are courtesy of QCharts.com.
Hourly chart
Another wedge? That's what the break-out pattern looks like! It also ran into several trend lines when it reached 2282 and was a minor target provided by the last small accumulation phase. Combine that with a 15-day cycle high, and it's no wonder we turned down into the close -- new all-time high be damned!
In the last letter, I mentioned that we had developed some positive divergence in the oscillators which could lead to a bounce, but I had not expected to see it take us to a new high. At Friday's close, we had a reverse condition! The MACD and A/Ds are very bearish, and although the SRSI made it all the way to the top of its range, it's reversal has already created a bearish cross. If I did not have potential higher counts to 2300, I would call a top right here and now. Instead, I will give SPX the benefit of the doubt and another chance to go for the higher target.
An overview of some major indexes (Weekly charts)
The 4th week of consolidation has created a little more congestion at the top of the strong up-thrust which took place after the November elections. The leadership appears to be shifting. QQQ (top right), instead of leading us to the downside, is playing catch-up while IWM (top center) and TRAN (bottom left) are taking over as the new potential doomsayers. Of course, both (especially TRAN) were the acknowledged prophets of the last major correction from January 2015 to January 2016, so I may have been betting on the wrong pony to take the lead this time. It will be worth keeping an eye on those two!
UUP (dollar ETF)
UUP could not quite reach its 27 target but came close, printing 26.83 in a final thrust before backing off immediately. This is a sign that it is probably done for now and should extend its correction for the next few weeks, although it may enter a period of distribution around this level, first.
GDX (Gold Miners ETF)
GDX sensed that the dollar was due for a correction and was quick to capitalize on it. It met its 18.50-19.00 projection, found ultimate support at 18.58 on December 20 and, last week, rose to 23.09 before beginning to consolidate. Cycles may take it to a marginal new high (or at least a retest of the high) before the correction starts in earnest. The pull-back could then take the form of a base expansion, which is needed if it wants to challenge the recent high of 31.80. If the current base remains as is, it will be limited to a move up to 29.00.
Note: GDX is now updated for subscribers several times throughout the day (along with SPX) on Marketurningpoints.com.
USO (U.S. Oil Fund)
USO has met with resistance at the top of its channel once again. However, it may be creating a re-accumulation pattern above 11 before breaking through overhead resistance.
Last week's call for the beginning of the intermediate correction turned out to be premature. Since then, the SPX has reluctantly made a new all-time high, but the DOW amusingly continues to refuse printing 20,000. A minor correction may take place next week before SPX has a go at the 2300 target, and the DOW finally allows the bated breathing bulls to resume their normal respiration pattern.
For a FREE 4-week trial, send an email to anvi1962@cableone.net, or go to www.marketurningpoints.com and click on "subscribe". There, you will also find subscription options, payment plans, weekly newsletters, and general information. By clicking on "Free Newsletter" you can get a preview of the latest newsletter which is normally posted on Sunday afternoon (unless it happens to be a 3-day weekend, in which case it could be posted on Monday).
The above comments and those made in the daily updates and the Market Summary about the financial markets are based purely on what I consider to be sound technical analysis principles. They represent my own opinion and are not meant to be construed as trading or investment advice, but are offered as an analytical point f view which might be of interest to those who follow stock market cycles and technical analysis.
No Seller in 'Thin to Win' Stock Market
Gold - Pause in Bullish Momentum
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Could TS7 End Taylor Swift’s Career?
If her next album doesn’t strike the right tone, TS7 could herald the decline of the best celebrity in the world
© Alexey Rumyantsev/Adobe Stock
When I say Taylor Swift is the best celebrity in the world that’s not a moral judgement. I don’t know if she’s a good person. I don’t know if she's the best musician in the world. I’m not qualified to make assessments of that kind — I must confess now, at the beginning of this op-ed, that I don’t even listen to her music for my own pleasure, only to satiate my own curiosity. When I say Taylor Swift is the best celebrity in the world, what I mean is: Taylor Swift is the one person alive right now who is the best at being a celebrity.
If you were to create a pop star from scratch, a person uniquely designed to sell catchy singles to Middle American teenagers right now, you would most likely end up with a creature identical to Taylor Swift. Tall, thin, blonde, good looking in a girl-next-door-sy way but not overtly sexy or threatening by any means. She possesses an asexual charm and even admits to not being sexy — the perfect image for someone who wants Middle American mothers to continue letting their children buy her records and concert tickets.
In this sex-saturated media environment, I find her lack of provocativeness novel and intriguing. She is both bland and interesting at the same time. Without using sex to sell, she has become fabulously wealthy, influential and powerful. But after ten years in the spotlight, her music needs to reflect the voice and pathos of a more mature artist. I have been hoping her music would change because it needs to. Her recent behaviour, distancing herself from celebrity feuds and “the old Taylor,” gave me reason to be optimistic.
In this, her thirtieth year, she penned an essay for Elle Magazine that I interrupted as maturation as an artist and more importantly, as a person. In it, she admits to vulnerability, human frailty, insecurity, hurt and learning from past mistakes. This is a welcome relief from an image that was just too flawless — a perfectionism that made her seem inauthentic. This is a humanising portrait which gives us a rare glimpse of the ‘flaws’ that are usually ironed out or hidden from public view.
On listening to her new single ‘Me!’, however, my optimism faded away.
Her music is not to my personal taste but I like Swift because I respect and admire people who are clearly good at what they do. Her graft shows. No one gets to that level without being good. But ‘Me!’ is not a reinvention — despite the butterfly symbolism — it’s a saccharine, pastel-coloured continuation of what she’s always done. Songs about being hurt by boys flatter girly pop stars in their 20s, they do not flatter women in their 30s. She has yet to radically depart from the themes her music has occupied for most her career.
Madonna is often credited with being the mother of pop stardom reinvention but she reinvented herself because she had to. Pop music gets dated quickly. Swift’s references to petty feuds and ‘lame guys’ have to go. It’s got to the point where using that subject matter makes her look immature and like someone who can’t think of anything new. Her music needs to contain a deeper pathos and can no longer read like a thirteen-year-old’s diary. The fans she already has should grow with her; not outgrow her.
Early indications suggest that her new album is going to be ‘more political’ — suggesting she has wisely chosen to ride the fashionable tide of wokeness — albeit cautiously. This is a radical departure for an artist who used to avoid political statements. But is it authentic? I view this about-face with some degree of scepticism as it only happened after her unwillingness to voice political opinions became conspicuous. She evaded criticism by not getting political only until she was criticised for not getting political.
What made Swift compelling as a young musician was her authentic voice as a young woman. That’s why it’s no good her being political only because it is trendy for celebrities to be political now, she has to really stand for something. As a jaded activist, I can tell you that it’s hard, costly and painful to stand for anything against the status quo. If she’s going to do politics it needs to be active and sometimes buck the prevailing trends. Manufactured, insincere activism is even worse than manufactured, inauthentic pop music.
I have more time for Swift than most but I will be disappointed if Swift turns out to be a coward. Changing from making popular Country Music to Popular Music is a change of style, it does not necessarily represent growth as an artist. She can be a ruthless careerist when she wants to be. Tom Hiddleston was seemingly cut from her life and cast aside like a gangrenous limb. Too much of a celebrity in his own right to be perfectly malleable to her agenda. Too little of a celebrity to be in her league. (Good for her, I say.)
She now needs to apply that ruthlessness to herself. Most of her music has looked inward and it wouldn’t hurt her or require much effort on her part to expand her range. Even if her politically themed tracks are safe and on-trend, as I am expecting them to be, TS7 has to reflect the voice of a woman in her late twenties. If TS7 still reads like an adolescent’s diary, then we’ll know the decline has begun. If ‘Me!’ is an accurate reflection of her new album, Swift needs to dig deeper.
Thank you for reading — I hope you found my thoughts interesting. Agree with me? Don’t agree with me? Let me know either way: @Sayde_Scarlett
Edit — 4th November 2019
Mea culpa, Swifties!
I’ve now had a chance to listen to the album in its entirety. I’m pleased to say that ‘Me!’, ‘You Need to Calm Down’ and ‘The Archer’ were not indicative of the whole album. There were some incredibly mature songs on there especially ‘Soon you’ll get better’. I just wish she’d stay out of the feuds… They don’t flatter her at all!
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Ashley Jude Collie
The Planets Are Rich in Black Metal
J.P. Williams in The Gleaming Sword
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Home > Auctus > 52
Auctus: The Journal of Undergraduate Research and Creative Scholarship
The Effect of Hawaii’s Vast Diversity on Racial and Social Prejudices
Alexandra Frigerio, Virginia Commonwealth University
This paper was prepared for University 200, Section 066, taught by Professor Fortney. The Effect of Hawaii’s Vast Diversity on Racial and Social Prejudices
Food is the universal language of the world, and Hawaiians speak SPAM. Hawaii is the largest consumer of SPAM in the world, with their own signature recipe, as well as an annual SPAM party which over 20,000 people attend. Hawaiian locals cannot get enough of the stuff, consuming more than 5 million pounds year. SPAM is just one of many beloved foods in Hawaii, all of which are from different cultures. Residents have access to Chinese rice and stir fry, Korean kimchi and marinated meats, Japanese sashimi and bento boxes, Portuguese tomatoes and chili peppers, Puerto Rican casseroles and pasteles, Filipino sweet potatoes and adobo, American macaroni salad and hamburgers, and Hawaiian taro and kalua pig. Food is just one aspect of a very mixed culture that borrows food, music, religion, and customs that are used every day. Diversity is not tolerated, but embraced in Hawaii.
© The Author(s)
Race and Ethnicity Commons
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My Committees
Thank you for visiting my legislative website. It is my honor to serve the citizens of the 22nd Senate District in the Illinois General Assembly. On this website, you can learn a little bit about me, my record in the General Assembly and the services I can provide you.
State Senator Cristina Castro
Castro encourages local businesses to apply for second round of grants
ELGIN – To help small businesses deal with undue economic burden caused by COVID-19, the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Development has begun accepting applications for a second round of Business Interruption Grants. State Senator Cristina Castro (D-Elgin) is encouraging local businesses who are struggling financially as a result of the pandemic to apply.
“The past several months have been hard on all of us, and despite shutdown restrictions being eased, many small businesses are having difficulty paying their staff and keeping their doors open and lights on,” Castro said. “Since small businesses are the backbone of our community, I am encouraging businesses owners to apply for the Business Interruption Grants to help ease some of the pressure they’re under due to the COVID-19 pandemic.”
Castro: New grants will help struggling Illinoisans
ELGIN – As many Illinois residents struggle with financial issues brought on by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, State Senator Cristina Castro (D-Elgin) hopes new grants will help people train for new jobs and get hired.
“We are seeing unprecedented levels of unemployment due to layoffs and work stoppages as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, which is forcing many into financial hardships they never expected to experience,” Castro said. “These new grants will help put people back to work and will go a long way to help ease the burden faced by those who are struggling the most.”
Castro urges census completion, cites area response rates
ELGIN – With the Sept. 30 conclusion of the 2020 Census looming, State Senator Cristina Castro (D-Elgin) is urging local residents to complete their household surveys in order to produce the most accurate count possible.
“The response rate data we have is a good sign, but there is always room for improvement,” Castro said. “With the 2020 Census cut short by a full month, the next few weeks will be crucial to ensuring that our communities get the full amount of funding and representation to which they are entitled, which the census determines.”
Castro commends IDOT for diversity initiative
ELGIN – The Illinois Department of Transportation voted along with departments of transportation from several other Midwestern states Friday to establish a diversity committee. State Senator Cristina Castro (D-Elgin), who represents an area with a sizeable minority population and who has long had interest in IDOT issues, commended the vote.
“COVID-19 and the recent protests have shined a light on the struggles people of color face on a daily basis, so it’s encouraging to see state agencies across the Midwest taking initiative to look inward and self-evaluate to see where they fall short on issues of diversity,” Castro said. “I’m proud of IDOT and of departments of transportation from our neighboring states.”
Castro: Utilities no longer driving conversation of clean energy
Several local businesses to receive COVID-19 relief grants
Castro, Latino Caucus support the Rental Assistance Program, but more help needs to be provided
Castro pleased with expansion of worker protections during pandemic
The Professional Building
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Copyright - Illinois Senate Democratic Caucus - 2021
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Long Chile mine rescue operation set to begin
Tuesday, August 31, 2010 09:22
Engineers prepared Monday to begin drilling a rescue shaft to 33 trapped Chilean miners, but officials have warned it will likely be Christmas before their ordeal is over.
Relatives of 33 miners trapped alive in the San Jose mine stand among Chilean flags outside the mine in Copiapo, Chile, Sunday Aug. 29, 2010.
After 25 days languishing in hot, dank conditions in the San Jose gold and copper mine, some have developed fungal infections and body sores and others are exhibiting signs of depression.
A giant Strata 950 drilling machine was "ready" to go apart from a jackhammer that was still en route to the mine, located some 500 miles (800 kilometers) north of Santiago, a government official told AFP.
The drill will first bore a 33-centimeter (13-inch) wide pilot hole. This must then be doubled using a special drill bit to 66 centimeters -- wide enough to lower a rescue capsule down to pull out the miners one by one.
Expected to take three to four months, the miners will have to work in shifts around the clock to clear rocks and debris falling from above, all the time hoping the precarious operation does not cause another collapse.
"They will be helping us. They will be giving us clear information on the state of the mine," said lead engineer Jorge Sanhueza.
The final rescue will be at night to protect the miners from the sunlight. It will take three to four days as each worker must be painstakingly raised over the course of one or two hours from 702 meters (2,303 feet) below.
The miners' heroic tale came to light when a note scribbled in bold red letters was found tied to a drill probe on August 22, by which time all hope for their survival was thought to have been extinguished.
A captivated nation heard how the miners managed to make 48 hours-worth of emergency supplies last an astonishing 17 days, digging into the ground to get water to keep themselves alive.
After a request from the Chilean government, the US space agency NASA said Monday it would dispatch a team this week to help efforts to keep the miners fit and healthy.
Expertise of how astronauts deal mentally and physically with arduous space journeys could help the miners cope during the long months ahead in their dark, subterranean world.
"The environment may be different, but the human response in physiology, behavior, responses to emergencies is quite similar," said NASA deputy chief medical officer Michael Duncan, one of the four-strong team.
Duncan will be accompanied by a NASA engineer, a psychologist and a second medical doctor.
Conditions for the trapped miners improved at the weekend as they were sent dry clothes, food supplies and games to occupy their time. Some received mats to sleep on to protect them from the damp ground.
Miner Johnny Barrios, the designated doctor among the group due to his brief medical training, gave his colleagues vaccinations against tetanus and will administer flu shots on Wednesday.
Smokers have been denied cigarettes, but given nicotine patches to help them cope with withdrawal symptoms.
Chilean Mining Minister Laurence Golborne has rejected reports that other plans are under consideration that could see the miners rescued in as little as one month.
"We have reviewed 10 different options," he told Radio Cooperativa.
"So far there is no alternative... that would allow us to get them out in 30 days."
Limited to one minute per miner, wives, mothers and fathers lined up on Sunday for their first person-to-person conversations with their loved-ones by telephone.
"To hear his voice was a balm to my heart," said Jessica Chille after speaking to her husband, Dario Segovia.
They tried to stay upbeat and the conversations were morale boosters for the miners, who until now have only been able to exchange written notes and group videos relayed through the narrow shafts.
"I didn't break down until I told him: 'Ciao, my little boy, we will see each other,'" said Alicia Campos, after speaking to her son Daniel Herrero. "His voice is the same. He's not good, but not so bad either."
Some family members were clearly impatient that nothing could be done more quickly.
"They told us the drilling was starting today, the 'Plan A' as they are calling it," Alfonso Avalos, father of stricken miners Florencio and Renan, told AFP.
"It's a big shame that there is no other quicker plan because four months is a long time."
Source: AFP
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Northeast Johnson County morning roundup
Jay Senter Nov 27, 2017 - NEJC morning roundup
Johnson County Christmas Bureau looking to raise $10,000 for client meals. The Johnson County Christmas Bureau, which provides families in poverty with support during the holiday season, has put out a fundraising call ahead of its annual Holiday Shop, which will run Dec. 1-9. The organization is looking to raise $10,000 so it can purchase main meal proteins for its clients’ holiday meals. “Can drives through various schools and other organizations will help round out the three days of meals that will be given to the 10,000 to 12,000 low-income Johnson Countians that will shop for their families – free of charge – at this year’s Holiday Shop, held December 1-9,” reads the appeal. “However, funds to purchase a main meal protein for client’s baskets are not available.” You can make a donation through the organization’s website here.
Skubal says he’s perplexed by Brownback abdicating responsibility to Colyer. Overland Park Sen. John Skubal is among the lawmakers who are puzzled by Gov. Sam Brownback’s decision to hand major gubernatorial powers, like nominating cabinet secretaries, to Lt. Gov. Jeff Colyer as Brownback awaits confirmation to his appointment in the Trump administration. “I would think that if he was incapacitated and couldn’t do his job, that would be one thing,” Skubal told the Kansas City Star. “But if he doesn’t want to do it, you would think he would resign.” [Stuck between jobs, Brownback puts Kansas in ‘strange and awkward situation’ — Kansas City Star]
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Shawnee approves public financing package for Stag’s Spring luxury housing project downtown
Leah Wankum Dec 31, 2019 - Public finance incentives
The city of Shawnee has approved a public financing package, redevelopment agreement and issuance of industrial revenue bonds for Stag’s Spring, a luxury apartment complex planned for downtown. Kevin Tubbesing,
A rendering of Stag’s Spring, a luxury apartment complex planned for downtown Shawnee. View of the rotunda looking northwest from Nieman and Roger roads.
The city of Shawnee has approved a public financing package, redevelopment agreement and issuance of industrial revenue bonds for Stag’s Spring, a luxury apartment complex planned for downtown.
Kevin Tubbesing, a Shawnee developer behind the Stag’s Creek project on Shawnee Mission Parkway, is planning to build an 85,000 square foot multi-family complex in one building on about 2.7 acres at the northeast corner of Nieman and Roger roads.
Kevin Tubbesing, the project developer of Stag’s Spring in downtown Shawnee
In a presentation to the city council on Monday, Tyler Ellsworth with Kutak Rock LLP, the city’s bond counsel, provided brief background on the TIF project. Ellsworth said the property tax generated from the new construction over a term of 20 years to reimburse Tubbesing for costs related to the project, including land acquisition, site preparation, construction and improvements.
TIF project plan highlights include:
Up to $3.1 million of the $13 million project is expected to be eligible for tax increment financing over a 20-year period. Those costs would be reimbursed to the developer.
For the first 10 years of the TIF, 100% of the tax increment from the TIF district is available to reimburse the developer for eligible TIF expenses, and 80% of the tax increment is available for reimbursement for years 11 through 20.
The agreement includes clawbacks for the developer’s failure to substantially complete the project in time. The penalty reduces the increment available for reimbursement in years 11 through 20 from 80% to 70%.
If sufficient revenues are not generated by the project to reimburse the developer, then the city is not responsible to subsidize the difference. About $400,000 of project costs could be exempt from sales tax on construction materials.
The city will receive an administrative fee of 0.5% of the tax increment during the life of the TIF to cover administrative costs related to the TIF district.
The council agreed to allow the city to issue up to $5 million in industrial revenue bonds to enable sales tax exemption on construction materials.
The Shawnee city council voted 6-2 to approve the redevelopment project plan, which includes the TIF agreement. Councilmembers Eric Jenkins and Mike Kemmling voted in dissent. The city council unanimously agreed to issue bonds for the project.
There was no public comment or discussion from the council. Jenkins and Kemmling have historically voted against developments that include public financing incentives.
The construction schedule in city documents indicate that construction could begin as soon as Jan. 1, 2020, and be substantially completed by July 1, 2021.
Shawnee approves revised redevelopment agreement, smaller TIF plan for Westbrooke Green
Shawnee has approved a revised redevelopment agreement and amended TIF project plan for Westbrooke Green, a mixed-use proposal at 75th Street and Quivira Road. The revised $90.2 million mixed-use redevelopment
Developer says it needs additional $510K in public financing for Regency Park reskinning project
Structural changes to strengthen the new facades from Regency Park shopping center will mean substantial cost increases for both private and public financing. The developer of the center, at 93rd
A look at the proposal for redeveloping Regency Park at 93rd and Metcalf
The owners of the Regency Park shopping center at 93rd Street and Metcalf have proposed a $30 million redevelopment of the center and requested $6.5 million in public finance incentives
Overland Park council advances developer’s request for $6.5 million in public financing incentives for renovation of Regency Park center
The Overland Park city council on Monday directed city staff to begin finalizing an agreement with the owners of the Regency Park shopping center, located at the northwest corner of
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Jog Derbyshire
Family Mile
Well for Winter
Lessons learnt in 2017
blog | 18th December 2017 | Blogs | Andrea Kemp
Our CEO, Andrea Kemp reflects back over 2017 to events and experiences that have helped us learn:
According to Matthew Syed, Black Box Thinking is about ‘the willingness and tenacity to investigate the lessons that often exist when we fail.’ It is about creating systems and cultures that enable us to learn from errors rather than feeling threatened by them. In day to day life, I’ve found reflective practice to be a really useful tool to enable learning from all sorts of experiences – good and bad, and as 2017 draws to a close, what better time than now to look back at the year and gather the learning.
For me and the team at Community Sports Trust, 2017 was all about building on learning from the previous year and translating the theories of Systems Leadership into practice. Now, with the benefit of hindsight, I can honestly say that the practical application of theory is a whole lot harder than acquiring the knowledge itself. Turning ideas into action is not for the faint hearted, it is tiring and can put you in a position of vulnerability, exposure and accountability. It’s dirty work (as in ‘sleeves need to be rolled up’) but as Julian Stodd suggests, ‘If not you, then who?’
In 2016 we’d spent a lot of time listening, reading, talking, deliberating, digesting and testing the words and advice of those brave people out there ploughing the furrows of asset based community development, social leadership and systems leadership (Cormac Russell, Debbie Sorkin, Helen Bevan, Chris Pietroni to name but a few). We felt truly inspired by their words and the concepts related well to the spirit of our work at CST.
Building relationships around shared purpose
So, following our instincts and with the support of several experienced and wise owls, we began to gather people we knew would bring energy, ideas, curiosity and rigour to our mission of building vibrant, active communities with a focus on Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire initially.
I set about convening conversations, some small in cafes and even pubs, other bigger in offices and conference centres. I walked the pavements of Matlock with the Director of Public Health, I cycled the High Peak Trail with an adventurous Leisure Officer and I navigated canal tow paths with University researchers and likeminded community activists in other parts of the country. I remember each conversation because it had a view, it had energy and life and I learnt that stepping outside a meeting room brings perspective and imagination to a conversation in a way that traditionally laid out boardrooms don’t normally allow. The theory behind Street Wisdom is powerful in practice and I intend to use this a lot more in 2018.
Interestingly, as I began to intentionally engage with people, to reach out and connect, the more invitations I received to connect with others – I guess it’s the Law of Attraction in action. In November, I was invited to join the NHS England online Leadership Development and Improvement Community – a network of system leaders committed to learning and sharing their experiences of system change with others. As a new member to the group, I’m already reassured to learn that the dilemmas and challenges we face in our sector are equally familiar to others and by collaborating honestly on matters of shared interest we will make progress more quickly than we might on our own.
Gathering diverse groups of people around shared purpose lies at the heart of systems leadership practice and is a principle I’ve experimented a lot with this year. It’s easier said than done! You can’t just send around a group calendar invitation to a meeting, book a room and expect people to participate, contribute, give of themselves and make cohesive plans together. There’s a whole world of ‘warming up’ to do beforehand – sincere engagement and tuning in. I’ve learnt that relationship building is a long and steady path, and is often about seemingly small, thoughtful acts such as sharing books and articles, introducing people to others and arranging short catchup calls and coffee. Shared experience and doing things together is critical and that requires effort, intention and ongoing commitment.
Trust grows with time, it’s not a given or something we start out with and I’ve found Brene Brown’s TED Talk on ‘The of Anatomy Trust’ really helpful here. She describes it as the cumulation of lots of small deeds rather than one grand gesture, so there are no short cuts to building real relationships and you can’t fake it either!
Putting yourself out there takes energy, time, and drive. As my sister regularly reminds me ‘You can’t pour from an empty cup’, so knowing how to keep your cup full is an art in itself. I’ve learnt that my cup is replenished mainly by the enthusiasm, friendship and humour of others, but I also recognise that I need time on my own and space to connect with myself. Yoga has become central to my morning routine followed by dog walking and organising my diary to work from home one day a week to catch up on writing and anything that requires quiet and thinking time. Of course exercise underpins most of my wellbeing and I choose to run and cycle whenever I can. This year a great friend took me wild swimming before dawn – that certainly warms the soul and makes you feel alive!
The significant input required to build genuine and lasting relationships is dwarfed by the immense value created when people come together. Richard Holmes (Head of Inclusive Community Building at Barnwood Trust) describes community as ‘a place where you feel welcome and somewhere you feel you can all home.’ I believe this to be true of where I live in Derbyshire, but I also feel it applies to other settings – a school or workplace or a network of people. I’ve also seen ‘Community’ used as a verb and this really resonates. It’s what’s involved when we do things together – the connections we make and the opportunities we create to use our talents, ideas and passions with purpose. Enabling ‘community’ is what our work at CST is all about and realising/recognising that has been a milestone in itself.
Over the last year, the CST team and I have focussed efforts on connecting people around shared purpose and central to this was an application to become one of Sport England’s National pilots to increase sport and physical activity using a place based approach. This was an ideal opportunity to build on the natural momentum emerging with the work of STP across Derbyshire. Down to the last 19 and with high aspirations and burning ambitions, we set about leading and collaborating a stage 2 bid.
After a year of hard work, the unsuccessful outcome was deeply disappointing and hard to swallow. Having taken the time to review the bid with panel members involved in the decision we’re clear where we need to develop going forwards and where our application was weaker than others. Discussing the feedback and reflecting together round a table rather than across a table felt like real progress and I’m glad we all ‘leaned in’ to do that.
Amongst the many positives to emerge from the bidding process was the strength of relationships developed along the way. Just as I was unprepared for a rejection of our bid, I was not at all expecting the influx of messages of uplifting support, shared disappointment and kindness. I quickly learnt that the value of creating networks and building relationships isn’t just for the road ahead, but also for those times when we need to stop, put down our bags and take a moment to acknowledge what’s happened and where we have got to……together.
In family life too, this year I’ve witnessed the fear of close relatives who have been confronted with life threatening illness and the sadness of losing people we love and care about. Again, the warmth and kindness shared and the strength of feeling demonstrated when people come together and say ‘I’m here for you’ is, I think, what makes us human.
Looking ahead to 2018, there’s plenty to get excited about. There is widespread commitment to resourcing a place-based approach to building active communities across Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire and a strong desire to work together to learn, explore, discover and bring to life our shared ambitions. It now feels like fertile ground in which to sew our seeds.
With warmest wishes for a happy and prosperous New Year.
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© Community Sports Trust - 2021
Website by Fifteen Shift is the brand name of Community Sports Trust, a community interest company registered in England and Wales with company number 06873506. Registered office: Shift, Unit 134, Coney Green Business Centre, Wingfield View, Clay Cross, Chesterfield, S45 9JW
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Home > Physics > Faculty Works > 1677
Alignment Dependence of High-Order Harmonic Generation from CO₂
Anh-Thu Le, Missouri University of Science and TechnologyFollow
Xiao-Min Tong
C. D. Lin
High-order harmonic generation (HHG) from aligned CO₂ is studied within the framework of the strong-field approximation (SFA). Our results are in qualitative agreements with recent pump-probe experiments. The experimentally observed inverted modulation in HHG signals as a function of pump-probe delay time has previously been attributed to the quantum interference from the two oxygen centres. Our results, however, indicate that this is not necessary for the inverted modulation. The angular dependence of the HHG and the evolution of the HHG yield as functions of delay time are influenced strongly by the depletion of the ground state and, therefore, are sensitive to the probe laser intensity.
A. Le et al., "Alignment Dependence of High-Order Harmonic Generation from CO₂," Journal of Modern Optics, vol. 54, no. 7, pp. 967-980, Taylor & Francis, May 2007.
The definitive version is available at https://doi.org/10.1080/09500340601066158
Approximation Theory; Carbon Dioxide; Function Evaluation; Ground State; Quantum Theory; Time Delay, Alignment Dependence; Angular Dependence; Oxygen Centres; Pump-Probe Experiments; Qualitative Agreements; Quantum Interference; Strong-Field Approximation (SFA), Harmonic Generation
© 2007 Taylor & Francis, All rights reserved.
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Volleyball Finishes Strong, Samadan Named to All-WAC
William McQuilkin, Author|December 2, 2015
The Seattle University volleyball team closed out their fall season in dramatic fashion last week, coming from behind to beat their southern rivals from the University of Portland. It took a few sets for the team to find its groove, however, once Seattle settled in the Pilots made several mistakes, allowing the Redhawks an exciting come from behind victory.
While the Pilots held a lead for most of the match, the Redhawks maintained a competitive edge, their voices and cheers echoing around the Seattle Academy Gymnasium, the team’s temporary home while the O’Brien Center remains
In the fourth set, sophmore Jenela Vujcin and junior Kerry Lane completed three quick kills, giving the Redhawks an early lead. Then, a third kill by freshman Maja Stojanovic later in the set gave Seattle U a 9-5 lead, however, the Pilots responded with an 8-1 scoring run led by the fearsome Katie Sullivan, who completed two block assists and a kill, allowing her Pilots to pull
ahead 13-10.
Seattle U answered with four points of their own, coming off of consecutive blocks by the freshman-senior combo of Shae Harris and Martina Samadan and a third block by Stojanovic, putting the Hawks up 19-17. The Pilots responded with another impressive scoring run, pummeling their way to a 23-20 lead.
Another run by Seattle U, highlighted by an impressive service ace from Iris Ivanis, brought Seattle U within striking range, however, a kill by Hannah Troutman and a block by Sullivan and Emily Liger gave the Pilots an opportunity to slam the door on the Redhawk comeback. But the Seattle U’s resolve was not yet spent.
After a Pilot service error, a kill by Emily Liger brought the match back to a tie, but the Redhawks fought back thanks to Samadan, who went on a tear, earning a kill and two block assists, further extending the match.
After the Hawks opened the fifth set with a 7-1 scoring run and the Pilots had used both of their timeouts, Samadan capped her final match in a Redhawk uniform with a booming kill that sealed the Redhawk victory.
Samadan’s success—not only in the match but throughout the season—has been noted across the league. Indeed, she was voted First Team All-WAC for her second consecutive year.
“It’s always great to finish the season with a win. I am happy for Martina’s effort, we received contributions from both setters, and several players helped us defensively,” Seattle U head coach James Finley said. “In clutch time, we had some great performances. It took us a while to figure out what [Portland was] doing offensively, but I am pleased that we were able to push through and close out tonight’s match.”
Seattle University finished their 2015 season with an 18-11 overall record, tying the school record for second-most victories in a single season in the program’s history. The team looks stronger than ever and while they will lose Samadan at the end of the year, the rest of the team will remain intact, leading one to believe that more success is in store for this strong program.
Will may be reached at [email protected]
William McQuilkin, Author
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London Marathon :
Destination Home
Language: English Spanish French German Russian Arabic
Spectators Information
Digital spectators' guide for mobile devices
Whether you’re supporting the runners on the streets of London or from your sofa at home, the digital spectators' guide for mobile devices is designed to help you to make the most of this year’s Virgin Money London Marathon. The digital spectators' guide will be available in the build-up to Race Day. We recommend that you download the guide using Wi-Fi.
The 2017 course
The downloadable PDFs below feature maps of the entire route of the 2017 Virgin Money London Marathon (and a detailed map of the finish area, along with info on where you should meet your loved ones after the race) to help you plan where to go on Race Day.
Map 1 The Start to mile 6: Blackheath – Woolwich – Greenwich
Map 2 Miles seven to 22: Greenwich – The Tower – The Isle of Dogs
Map 3 The home stretch, Miles 23 to the Finish: London Bridge – The Mall
Map 4 The Finish area
Map 5 The complete set (all four of the above maps)
Map 6 Course Map
The maps also include an elite runners’ pace guide to help you to follow the top-flight action, plus a specially formulated mass-field pace guide so you will know when to keep an eye out for your loved ones as they come gasping and sweating along the road.
This year's Virgin Money London Marathon features one of the strongest elite fields assembled in marathon history. We're finalising the elite start lists so check back here soon for factfiles on the athletes taking part in the men's, women's and wheelchair races. The World Para Athletics Marathon World Cup is once again part of this year's event.
With all roads closed (visit our road closures page for more details), the only way to get around is by public transport. London Underground, London Overground and the Docklands Light Railway (DLR) all lay on extra services on Race Day, and this is by far the best way to get around.
Before setting off, you need to prepare – spectating isn’t quite as tough as marathon training but it still needs some thought:
Travel light – you will be standing for hours on end, so keep your belongings to a minimum and try and leave as many valuables as you can at home.
Comfortable clothes (especially shoes) are a must. You should be prepared for a typical April day in London – sun, showers and wind.
It’s busy! If you are a regular commuter, think rush hour. If not, think what it’s like when you attend a concert or festival. You will often have to queue and some stations may be forced to shut temporarily while staff clear the crowds.
Expect to do lots of walking, including stairs and escalators – you should think carefully before bringing young children; pushchairs can also be troublesome.
Places to avoid
If you want to follow your loved ones and try to get a glimpse of them as they pass, we suggest that you avoid very crowded areas, where it can be difficult to find a viewing spot, hard to move around and tough to get in and out.
Busy areas include Greenwich town centre and the Cutty Sark. While the ship is undoubtedly a beautiful backdrop for the race, the crowds that are attracted here can make spectating uncomfortable and transport in and around Greenwich becomes particularly busy. We strongly advise spectators to avoid this area.
Tower Bridge is always extremely busy, as is anywhere from mile 24 to the finish in The Mall. Obviously many of you will eventually end up in this area later on in the day as you head to the runner meet and greet area in Horse Guards Road.
Spectator routes from central London stations
The mass race starts at 10:00 from Blackheath and Greenwich Park. We don’t suggest accompanying your runner to the start. The assembly areas are for runners only, so you will have to say goodbye well before race time anyway. There are a couple of options. All runners are entitled to free travel to the start on Southeastern trains from Charing Cross, Waterloo East, Cannon Street and Victoria. If you were to say goodbye at any one of these stations, then it’s an easy transfer onto the London Underground to make your way onto the marathon route, get your spot and probably have time for some breakfast too!
We encourage runners to get to the starts early – the first trains leave central London at 06:50 – so if you travel into London together you will have plenty of time. You won’t be bored – the elite wheelchair race starts at 08:55, followed by the World Para Athletics Marathon World Cup (ambulatory) at 09:00 and the elite women at 09:15. The elite men will start at 10:00, followed by the masses.
From Charing Cross you can take the Northern line southbound to Waterloo. Transferring onto the Jubilee line eastbound gives a number of options. From London Bridge station you can walk along Tooley Street to Tower Bridge Road and see the runners just before they cross Tower Bridge at mile 12. Or, walk over London Bridge into the City of London – the race passes underneath London Bridge.
If you are early enough (between 08:40 and 09:30) you will see the Virgin Money Giving Mini London Marathon age-group races, which start just east of London Bridge. Later on, the main race passes by at mile 23.
If you keep walking you will reach Bank station, a major underground interchange. It also connects with the DLR, so you can head east out towards Canary Wharf and the Isle of Dogs to see the race between miles 14 to 21. Canada Water station on the Jubilee line is a short walk to mile nine at Surrey Quays. If you get back on the Jubilee line eastbound you can get to Canary Wharf (mile 19).
Another option from Charing Cross is to travel south one stop to Embankment and connect with the District & Circle lines eastbound. Get off at Tower Hill and you can watch the runners from a number of locations in this area BUT it will be very, very busy.
The best option is to walk from Tower Hill station to Tower Gateway on the DLR and head east out towards the Isle of Dogs.
Cannon Street and Victoria are also on the District and Circle lines – see suggested connections above.
If you are coming to Waterloo East station then you should head for Waterloo station on foot and follow the travel suggestions above.
London Underground update
For travel updates and to plan your journey using the London Underground, go towww.tfl.gov.uk.
The London Overground has several stations on, or very close to, the marathon route – Surrey Quays, Canada Water (connect with the Jubilee line on the London Underground), Rotherhithe, Wapping and Shadwell (connect with the DLR). Trains run every 10 minutes throughout the day.
London Overground’s line from Surrey Quays to Clapham Junction links south east and south west London. With fast frequent services, this line offers connections to:
Canada Water
Clapham High Street
Highbury & Islington
Shoreditch High Street
Please visit www.tfl.gov.uk for weekly updates before the event and real-time travel information on Race Day.
MBNA Thames Clippers
MBNA Thames Clippers River Bus services run from key central London piers every 20 minutes. Hop on and off with River Roamer tickets, stopping at 15 piers across the city so you can get closer to the race. You can book your tickets in advance atwww.thamesclippers.com
Mile 15 & Mile 18
As in 2015, there is a slight adjustment to the route between miles 18 and 19 due to building work at Canary Wharf. The very popular viewing spot at Heron Quays roundabout (close to the site of the former City Pride pub) at miles 15 and 18 will NOT be available this year. Access will be restricted and spectators should make alternative arrangements.
While the route through for runners is protected, the ongoing works will be fenced and inaccessible and it will not be possible to see runners at this location. All spectators should follow the directions of our event marshals who will advise and direct people to alternative viewing spots.
Canary Wharf & The Isle of Dogs (DLR)
Miles 14 to 21 on the London Marathon route are well served by a number of DLR stations. The DLR connects with London Underground at Canary Wharf (Jubilee line), Bank (District & Circle lines – connect at Monument station) and Tower Gateway (walk to Tower Hill – District & Circle lines.) So, when you want to head back towards the finish you can use these interchanges.
Meeting up after the race
You will be reunited with your runner at the runner meet and greet area in Horse Guards Road and Horse Guards Parade. You will NOT be allowed into the secure area. Many of you will use the crossing points and pedestrian bridge in order to make your way to and from this area, we therefore would ask that you take the time to look over the map above and plan your route to and from the finish area carefully.
The closest stations to the finish area are indicated on the map (see PDF link above). For those arriving from St James’s Park station, please proceed along Queen Anne Gate where the crossing point will take you directly into the park. For people arriving from Victoria station, please use the footbridge on Spur Road. All the crossing points shown will be clearly signed and marshalled but bear in mind that these will be busy and you will often need to wait before you can cross.
Charing Cross and Embankment stations will involve a longer walk (approximately 20 minutes). However, these stations will be less crowded and you will not have to use the crossing points.
Runner meet and greet area
It can be very busy, so please take note of the following advice. There will be meeting points in Horse Guards Road and Horse Guards Parade with areas marked by letters of the alphabet – meet at your family initial or at another pre-arranged letter.
Please meet your runner at one of these meeting points. DO NOT congregate around the exit from the secure area at the top of Horse Guards Road. This causes massive congestion for exiting runners as well as other health and safety issues for the large numbers of people in this area. Both the Police and our security personnel are under strict instructions not to allow people to congregate here and to move them along.
Heavy mobile phone traffic on all networks means you may find it difficult to get a signal in and around the finish area. Therefore, do not rely on mobile phones but plan where to meet in advance.
Runners are more likely to run slower than their predicted time. After crossing the Finish Line it will take a minimum of 15 minutes and closer to 30-40 minutes to reach the runner meet and greet area. Remember to build these factors into your arrangements when planning to meet your runner.
Make sure you have the details of your runner’s race number. It is the easiest way for our information point to identify them on our database.
There will be a PA system in operation throughout the day at the finish; this is only for the official race commentary and emergency announcements, NOT for friends and family seeking lost runners.
TV & radio coverage
The BBC’s coverage of the Virgin Money London Marathon is multi-platform, with the audience able to follow the action on the BBC Sport website, the Red Button service and social media – as well as on traditional mainstream network television and radio.
The BBC's television coverage schedule for the 2018 Virgin Money London Marathon will be available in the build-up to Race Day.
The core television coverage has dedicated expert presenters, reporters and commentary teams guiding viewers through the event on BBC One – including highlights of the Virgin Money Giving Mini London Marathon and Mini London Wheelchair Marathon.
The Red Button TV service gives separate expert commentary on a dedicated combined elite race feed, for those who want only elite race coverage, and then offers Finish Line coverage of all runners as they complete the race – accompanied by a graphics ticker containing messages sent in by friends and loved ones.
Network television will also show highlights of the whole day on BBC Two.
BBC Radio 5 live will also give comprehensive coverage of the event as usual – fronted by John Inverdale with lead commentators Mike Costello and Ed Harry, and reporters including Colin Paterson, Jennie Gow and Sonja McLaughlan.
BBC Radio London will feature live coverage and reports through the afternoon on BBC Radio London 94.9, BBC Radio London digital radio and BBC Radio London online.
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Arun Vijay-Arivazhagan Film Titled as Kuttram 23
BY Niveda Manohar On May 12, 2016
Actor Arun Vijay’s next film, which will be directed by Arivazhagan, has been titled as Kuttram 23. Incidentally, this is the actor’s 23rd film.
A medical crime thriller, almost 60% of the film has been completed. It is shot in and around Chennai and Pondicherry, and the last schedule will be filmed in Kerala. The film will be completed by the end of June, and the first look will be revealed by the end of this month.
Arun Vijay, who has began his career in the late 90s, made quite a comeback and rose to fame with his portrayal of Victor in Gautham Menon’s critically acclaimed Yennai Arindhaal last year. He is now awaiting the release of Vaa Deal.
Tamil Features June 22, 2014
The Vijay Birthday Tribute : Eye For Fashion
Tamil Interviews December 25, 2014
Magilzh Thirumeni Interview: The Insider
Tamil Interviews January 22, 2016
Gautham Menon Interview: On Movies, Music & Romance
Tamil Interviews September 4, 2014
On a High Note: Music Director Ghibran Interview
Adipurush: Prabhas and Saif Ali Khan Starrer Film Begins Work on Motion Capture
Why Do Actors Need to Hire Assistants at Producers’ Expense, Asks Producer K Rajan
Ghani: I Wrote the Film With Actor Varun Tej in My Mind, Says Director Kiran Korrapati
Unnikrishnan Namboothiri, 98-year-old Malayalam Actor, Recovers from Covid-19
Death in Bollywood: Jiah Khan’s Sister Accuses Filmmaker Sajid Khan of Sexual Harassment in BBC Documentary
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Sounding Out! pushing sound studies into the red since 2009
by airekb
in Acoustics, Aesthetics, American Studies, Article, Fandom/Fan Studies, Gender, Identity, Language, Listening, Liveness, Memoir, methodology, Music, Noise, Performance, Queer Studies, Silence, Sound and Affect Forum, Sound Art, Sound Studies, The Body, Theory/criticism, Voice
Live Through This: Sonic Affect, Queerness, and the Trembling Body
Marginalized bodies produce marginalized sounds to communicate things that escape language. The queer body is the site of sounds that engage pleasure, repression, rage, isolation, always somehow outside of dominant language. Sound Studies tells us that we should trust our ears as much as our eyes, justifying our trust in sound, and of the resonating body. Affect Theory goes further, saying that all senses play into a body that processes input through levels of response, experience, and anticipation. Affect is the vibrational space that is both bodily memory and anticipation. So where do sound and affect meet in queer bodies? How do marginalized peoples use sound and the body to express liberation, objectification, joy, and struggle?
Our writers in Sound and Affect tackle these questions across a spectrum of the marginalized experience. Next week, Kemi Adeyemi, sloooooooows thingggggggggs doooooooooownnnnn so that we can hear the capitalist connections between the work expected of black bodies and the struggle for escape from this reality through the sonic affects, temporal shifts, and corporeal elsewhere of purple drank. Then, Maria Chaves explores the connection between voice, listening, and queer Chicana community formation: through space, across time, and with laughter. The series finishes with Justyna Stasiowska bringing the noise in a discussion of the trans body and the performance work of Tara Transitory. Today, I open by offering the concept of the tremble, a sonic form of affect that is necessarily queer in its affective reach. Live through this. Get life from this. —Guest Editor Airek Beauchamp
I first became interested in the intersections of sound studies and affect theory when, in graduate school, I began to research alternative rhetorics of the AIDS Crisis. ACT UP!, the noisiest and most politically effective of the AIDS advocacy groups from 1987 through 1995, posited noise as presence and silence as loss throughout their campaigns. ACT UP! was notorious for their actions in which they invaded public spaces, from the FDA to the White House and used militaristic chants to create a disruptive cacophony that ran counter to the official silence of government policy. The organization harnessed noise as powerful weapon to shake the status quo.
The ACT UP! equation led me to a critique of AIDS-era politics in which sound and affect became the predominant modes of inquiry, allowing me to investigate how the situated body and the senses experience and invoke rhetorics of marginialization. This maneuver proved to be intellectually difficult, particularly because my post-structuralist training stubbornly insisted on a discursively constructed universe in which only language constructed reality. Instead, what sound and affective rhetoric allow for is exactly that which is beyond the text, that which communicates without strictly-defined language. Theorizing the AIDS crisis as a social event might be necessary in terms of understanding how our culture processes or catalogues such an event, but as I engaged with its archive, I felt bereft when facing the limits of such an approach. It offered nothing to soothe the pain or express the terror of those whose bodies disintegrated in the cruel grasp of the disease.
Rather than relying on abstracted theory to force the affect of the plague into a logical form, I needed something like Antonin Artaud’s work on the plague to explore the cultural but embodied affect of the disease. When Artaud was invited to speak about his essay “The Theater and the Plague” at the Sorbonne, he decided to actually incorporate his ideas about ‘liquefying boundaries” into his speech. Artaud began with a standard oratory but slowly devolved into a theatrical performance of the plague, eventually ending in shrieks of physical pain. By the end of his speech, the only people left in the lecture hall were a minor contingent of his close friends, including Anais Nin, who recounted the tale (Eshleman, 12). Artaud’s shrieks and howls engaged the whole body in the process of making sound, while also erasing semantic and syntactical codes. Here is a video compilation of Artaud performances, to provide the smallest hint of his vocal performances:
To continue my research, I realized, I needed to understand bodies as instruments for processing, producing, and receiving sonic stimuli, while, at the same time, rethink how feeling, quite literally, moves bodies. Artaud led me to connect the sound and affect of AIDS in the 1980s through the unspeakable and the pre-semantic language of the body, deeply embedding these sound/feelings in a network of past experience, present and anticipatory states of being. His work gave me a different way to theorize, to grasp, to listen, to scream—to tremble and tremble in return.
I continued to connect the sinews between sound and affect in my February 2013 post for Sounding Out!, “Queer Timbres, Queered Elegy: Diamanda Galás’s The Plague Mass and the First Wave of the AIDS Crisis.” Through Galás’s visceral interactions with the unendurable pain embedded in history, I keenly felt the presence of the material body so lacking from post-structuralist critique of lived experience, alongside an urgent sense of agency. Galás’s performances made fascinating use of the “tactile effect of layered sound that is felt with the skin, in the bones, as well as with the ears, communicating a palpable experience that lies beyond the barely-nuanced music it is seductively easy to grow accustomed to.” The experience of listening to Galás helps us to realize that the body is a series of machines of input and output—processor and producer—systems that often forego semantic language and instead listen and speak in tremblings.
In what follows, I flesh out the notion of sonic tremblings: how it links what we call sound studies and affect studies, of course, but more importantly, how it speaks past the post-structuralist insistence on a world confined to text, and how we might build upon this notion in future theory and research. Our bodies’ materiality, a site of constant unfolding, engages with the world via a series of shimmers and impulses—such as the synesthetic vibration I am calling sonic tremblings—rather than with concrete events or objects in and of themselves. These tremblings, always intersectional, encompass past lived experiences, social and cultural constructions that restrict interpretation, and interpretations falling outside social or cultural codes. I understand the trembling body as both processor and producer of sound, a connection of trembling nodes eschewing the patriarchal structures of language. And, though I write through and about the particular tremblings of my own white, queer, cis male body, that experience is by no means universal or at the center of my theorizations. Instead, I hope that the way I experience and understand sound studies and affect theory will open up new ways of hearing the world, especially for people whose experiences are not mine and who can add depth, nuance, and texture to the conversation. It is in fact through their variety and unique resonances that tremblings speak simultaneously to and against the limitations placed on queer bodies.
My articulation of affect with sound studies is necessarily queer, as it rejects binaries and speaks without definitive vocabulary, syntax, or grammar. Marta Figlerowicz, in “Affect Theory Dossier: An Introduction,” offers a good primer on the widely divergent ways in which scholars use the idea of affect. In Figlerowitz’s explanation, affect is always a self in motion, be it “the self running ahead of itself,” “the self catching up with itself,” “the self as self-discursive and always constantly mutating and adapting to ambient stimuli,” and/or “celebrations of Proustian moments when the self and the sensory world, or the conscious and the unconscious self, or the self and another person, fall in step with each other… to make a sliver of experience more vivid and more richly patterned than willful analysis could ever have” (4). In all of these cases, the body’s perception and the discourse of the self remain in motion, trembling with identifications that are at best fleeting, though richly communicative and expressive. Sound, as an always-present stimulus, works affectively in such a form of communication.
Image by Flickr User Graham Campbell, “Goosebumps”
Queer bodies are inherently intertwined in theorizing sound and affect. The actual concept of affect itself is queer, implicating the unknowable, but concretely felt phenomena of the body. But rather than forming a linear narrative, affect is produced, and received, in a web of physical and neural processes that rejects the linear concept of time and instead are never static but self-referential and constantly evolving in response to our environment. To navigate this space I adopt the term “affective field,” used by Marie Thompson and Ian Biddle in their introductory essay to Sound, Music, Affect. An affective field describes a textural field of play between stimulus, meaning, and response; it relies on reproduction and broadcast, a field of listening/emitting/processing machines all working in a sort of continuous flow, always already present. The affective field model encourages the removal of emphasis on subject/object but instead focuses on interfacial relationships as a point of contact. Eradicating =the subject/object dualism is vital to exchange, as Yvon Bonenfant says in “Queer Listening to Queer Vocal Timbres“: “We cannot exchange with an object, only other subjects” (76).
Image From Flickr User Alvaro Sasaki, From Brasília Queer Fest!, 31 March 2013
Finding a theory that worked with the body and with subject/subject communication allowed me to make more sense of the ways in which ACT UP! used noise and silence as a way to build community, and allowed me to dig deeper into the idea of queer communication. The silent scream of the slogan Silence = Death succinctly articulated ACT UP!’s most definitive tactic: manipulation of the affective field. Their chants initially filled the streets, of New York, but by 1990 their actions had united them with Europe, creating world-wide noise in protest of the now-global epidemic, creating a distinct disjuncture to the silent death falling over gay communities. Noise offered the queer community both a form of protest and community, becoming an affective mechanism of agency. ACT UP!’s use of noise not only speaks to the dire need of queer bodies to exercise agency and demonstrate social worth, but it also helps break down the essential binary between encoded language and un-encoded sound. Rather than syntactical sound, noise communicates in trembles, resonating in both the psyche and in the actual body. Noise worked to unify disparate parts of identity–and disparate identities–a coalescing rather than normalizing process, a trembling vital to queer identity.
However, while ACT UP! worked to create noise—and to develop community through the trembling of their rage—they also communicated affectively with silence. Staging their now infamous die-ins, ACT UP! manipulated the affective field through the deafening buzz that accompanies silence, a somber quiet that refused to go ignored. These actions were not done to—but instead with—people, a disruption of the subject/object, or perhaps the subject/abject. But, it is the unexpected noise of the die-ins that I find most interesting. Not just the ambient noise of occupying bodies in space—people moving, coughing, breathing—but the loud silence created by the protest itself: a hushed roar that trembles through the room, the microphones, and the bodies of the listeners, a disruptive noise crafted from intentional silence. This silence itself resonates in the body, enabling them to erupt in tremblings of loss, of mourning, and of rage, the painfully loud silence of marginalized bodies at war with an epidemic about which no one in power seemed to care.
ACT-UP’s die-ins reclaimed agency within silence’s palpable materiality, using its noise to disrupt the affective field and reclaim space within it. Using the material body as both receptor and transmitter of the affective field, their noise created tremblings and spoke in associations both somatic and psychic. In the case of the die-ins, the silence mediated the noise of the voices of the dead, all talking at once through the trembling bodies of the living.
Adapting silence and the noise it brings, one of ACT UP!’s historical legacies, offers contemporary listeners agency over our marginalized bodies. We must make some noise, and then “listen out” for particular affects of noise and silence in turn, as Bonenfant suggests, seeking the tremblings that touch our skins and resonate in our brains, bone, and flesh. The affective field permeates queer communication and offers to the marginalized an opportunity, through sound, to make noise, establish self, and establish communities.
At once subversive and coalescent, noise resists the codification of what our culture might traditionally consider to be “music” or other codified sounds, making it a necessarily affective communication. The discordant, unruly strains of Throbbing Gristle’s “Discipline,” for example, jarred, shaken, and trembled me into a powerful feeling of community amid dissonance and difference, of community through difference at key moments in my life.
At other moments, the shriek, fuzz, and wail of riot grrrrl punk act Bikini Kill, in particular, Kathleen Hanna’s growl in “Suck My Left One,” has awakened in me a strain of tremblings that move freely associative in their rage against the marginalization of women and the ways in which socially constructed gender roles also marginalize and demonize queer folks. While post-structuralism maintains that the self is necessarily disunified and can only be defined by its difference to others, I have to disagree. While academic methodologies make it difficult to form an argument based on my lived experience, when I feel the tremblings connecting me to Genesis Breyer P-Orridge or Kathleen Hanna and to their audiences, I am hard pressed to feel them as anything but real.
In fact, it might just be in endurance that I can best articulate tremblings as a sonic, somatic, affective phenomenon. Born of present stimuli, always connected to past experiences and anticipatory of the future, tremblings are unruly, unable to be pinpointed. They do not just express the order or pleasure that we find in traditional music, though they can encompass this as well. Instead, tremblings are communicative, they move through the I, the subject, while unifying other subjects through their rich and unnamable identifications. It speaks simultaneously to and against the limitations placed on queer bodies, expressing joy, pain, pleasure.
Featured Image: Genesis P-Orridge by Flicker User Jessica Chappell
Airek Beauchamp is a Visiting Assistant Professor at Arkansas State University and a Ph.D. candidate at SUNY Binghamton, where he specializes in Writing Studies. Airek is currently working on his dissertation, which details ways that universities can offer social and academic writing support to graduate students to better help them professionalize in their fields. His other areas of research include queer theory, affect theory, and trauma in the LGBTQ community.
REWIND!…If you liked this post, check out:
“Music to Grieve and Music to Celebrate: A Dirge for Muñoz”-Johannes Brandis
“Music Meant to Make You Move: Considering the Aural Kinesthetic”-Imani Kai Johnson
“Hearing Queerly: NBC’s ‘The Voice’”-Karen Tongson
“One Nation Under a Groove?: Music, Sonic Borders, and the Politics of Vibration“–Marcus Boon
Tags: "Queer Listening to Queer Vocal Timbres, "Suck My Left one", ACT UP!, Affect Theory Dossier: An Introduction, AIDS crisis, Airek Beauchamp, Antonin Artaud, Bikini Kill, Diamanda Galás, discipline, Genesis Breyer P-Orridge, Ian Biddle, Kathleen Hanna, Marie Thompson, Marta Figlerowicz, sonic tremblings, Throbbing Gristle, Yvon Bonenfant
My Time in the Bush of Drones: or, 24 Hours at Basilica Hudson | Sounding Out! - September 10, 2018
Look Away and Listen: The Audiovisual Litany in Philosophy | Sounding Out! - March 5, 2018
Unlearning Black Sound in Black Artistry: Examining the Quiet in Solange’s A Seat At the Table | Sounding Out! - May 22, 2017
Introduction to Sound, Ability, and Emergence Forum | Sounding Out! - May 22, 2017
The Listening Body in Death | Sounding Out! - May 15, 2017
Listening to Punk’s Spirit in its Pre-, Proto- and Post- Formations | Sounding Out! - November 21, 2016
Feeling Through the Keen and Grind: Team Dresch’s Personal Best | Sounding Out! - November 7, 2016
Mediated Sexuality in ASMR Videos | Sounding Out! - December 14, 2015
Ritual, Noise, and the Cut-up: The Art of Tara Transitory | Sounding Out! - October 5, 2015
Enacting Queer Listening, or When Andzaldúa Laughs | Sounding Out! - September 28, 2015
Straight Leanin’: Sounding Black Life at the Intersection of Hip-hop and Big Pharma | Sounding Out! - September 27, 2015
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Scrapbooks (225)
Drawings (159)
Sketches (145)
Sketchbooks (131)
Clippings (information artifacts) (124)
Sound recordings (107)
Business records (100)
Financial records (58)
Blueprints (reprographic copies) (33)
Painters (219)
Art, American (40)
Art historians (29)
Periodicals (25)
Warshaw, Isadore (47)
Henri, Robert (16)
Kent, Rockwell (15)
National Air and Space Museum. Archives Division. (15)
Art Students League (New York, N.Y.) (14)
Mechanical and Civil Engineering, Division of [former name], NMAH, SI. (14)
Soyer, Raphael (14)
Stieglitz, Alfred (14)
Evergood, Philip (13)
Kroll, Leon (13)
Thayer, Abbott Handerson (13)
Biddle, George (12)
Kuniyoshi, Yasuo (12)
Picasso, Pablo (12)
Rattner, Abraham (12)
Bacon, Peggy (11)
Duchamp, Marcel (11)
Hartley, Marsden (11)
Lawrence, Jacob (11)
Marsh, Reginald (11)
Sargent, John Singer (11)
United States. Works Progress Administration (11)
Work and Industry, Division of, NMAH, SI (11)
Bishop, Isabel (10)
Calder, Alexander (10)
DeVincent, Sam (10)
Halpert, Edith Gregor (10)
Lipchitz, Jacques (10)
Latino Americans (6)
Cuban Americans (3)
Latin Americans (3)
Athapascan Indians (2)
Navajo Indians (2)
Osage Indians (2)
Pawnee Indians (2)
New York (N.Y.) (16)
Washington (D.C.) (14)
Shaw (Washington, D.C.) (6)
Archives Center, National Museum of American History (243)
Archives of American Gardens (12)
Query: Correspondence -- 1920-1930
Diehl, William Carl, 1891-1974
2.7 Cubic feet ((6 legal document boxes) (1 20x24x3 flatbox))
2.52 Linear feet
This collection consists of biographical information, business records, information on the aviation organizations with which Diehl was involved, aviation material collected by Diehl, and information on flight, events, and aviation accidents.
Paul S. Conger Papers
Conger, Paul S. (Paul Sydney), 1897-1979
7.48 cu. ft. (1 record storage box) (1 document box) (1 12x17 box) (1 3x5 box) (15 5x8 boxes)
Record Unit 7437
This finding aid was digitized with funds generously provided by the Smithsonian Institution Women's Committee.
Baltimore and Ohio Railroad Records
History of Technology, Division of, NMAH, SI
Mechanical and Civil Engineering, Division of [former name], NMAH, SI.
Garrett, John W. (John Work), 1820-1884
Baltimore and Ohio Railroad Company
33 Cubic feet (76 boxes, 46 map-folders)
The collection consists of correspondence, invoices, drawings, photographs, and negatives and other printed literature documenting the Baltimore and Ohio Railroad from its inception in 1827 to its merger with the Chesapeake and Ohio Railroad in the 1960s.
Dorothy C. Miller papers
Miller, Dorothy Canning, 1904-2003
AAA.milldoro
The papers of contemporary and folk art curator, historian, and consultant Dorothy C. Miller measure 34.6 linear feet and date from 1853-2013, with the bulk of the material dating from 1920 to 1996. The papers primarily concern Miller's private art consulting work outside of her curatorial work at the Museum of Modern Art in New York City. Found are scattered biographical materials, extensive correspondence and subject files, and project files for her art consulting work for the Rockefeller family, Rockefeller University, Chase Manhattan Bank, the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, the World Trade Center, and other miscellaneous corporate and private clients. Miller's work as a trustee and committee member of various public and private boards and commissions is also represented here. Additionally, the papers contain Miller's research files on Edward Hicks and folk art, and a small number of files of her husband Holger Cahill about his work as Director of the Federal Art Project. There is a scattered documentation of Miller's early curatorial work with Holger Cahill on the First Municipal Art Exhibition (1934) held at the RCA Building in Rockefeller Center. Also found is Dorothy Miller's collection of artists' Christmas cards and photographs of Miller and others. An addition to the papers includes biographical material; family papers; correspondence; professional files; art collection and client files; printed material; and photographic material. While a small number professional files are included, the majority of the addition relates to her personal life, including correspondence with her husband Holger Cahill, and files pertaining to her personal art collection.
George Constant papers
Constant, George
AAA.consgeor
The papers of modernist painter and printmaker George Constant measure 4.6 linear feet and date from 1912-2007, with the bulk of the material dating from 1932-1978. They consist of biographical material, inventories of artwork, audio interviews and recorded statements on art, personal and business related correspondence, holiday cards, printed material, an exhibition related video recording, and photographs of Constant, his family and friends, and his work.
Stanton L. Catlin papers
Catlin, Stanton L. , 1915-1997
AAA.catlstan
The papers of curator, gallery director, educator, and Latin American art historian Stanton L. Catlin (1915-1997) measure 56.4 linear feet and date from 1911 to 1998 with the bulk of the material dating from 1930 to 1994. The papers are comprised of biographical material, correspondence, writings and notes, teaching and project files, professional files, research files, exhibition and subject files, printed material, and photographs.
Ferargil Galleries records
Ferargil Galleries
AAA.feragall
The Ferargil Galleries records date from circa 1900-1963 and document the activities of this New York gallery that dealt primarily in American contemporary art from shortly after its 1915 founding by Frederic Newlin Price (1884-1963) to it's closure in 1955. 18.7 linear feet of records include incoming and outgoing correspondence with artists, dealers, schools and colleges, and museums and other art institutions; artist files; estate and legal records including papers relating to the Arthur B. Davies estate; gallery business and financial records; printed material; scrapbooks; scattered personal papers of Price; artwork; and photographs of artists, exhibitions and artwork.
Charcoal Club records
Charcoal Club (Baltimore, Md.)
AAA.charclub2
Minute books, scrapbooks, membership records, correspondence, a sketchbook, treasurer records, and printed material.
Patricia Jordan papers
Jordan, Patricia M., 1937-1989
AAA.jordpatr
The papers of San Francisco based Beat photographer Patricia Jordan measure 2.3 linear feet and date from 1870, 1949-1984. The papers include correspondence, much of it illustrated and with Beat artists and poets, writings, exhibition files, printed materials, photographs, and artwork.
Richard Lynch Garner papers
Garner, Richard Lynch, 1848-1920
Harrington, John Peabody, 1884-1961
2 Linear feet (5 boxes)
NAA.XXXX.0243
Many facets of Richard Lynch Garner's life and work as an early animal behaviorist observing primates in Africa are represented in these papers. Other than a few notebooks of poems and manuscripts of books Garner had published before he began his study of apes and monkeys, there is little material that reflects his personal life or his work before about 1890. These papers, covering the period of 1891 to 1941, contain a diary, correspondence, articles written for magazines, manuscripts, poetry, notes, data collected on chimpanzees, financial records, legal records, maps, biographical material, artwork, and photographs.
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Star Trek Into Brain-Less
Going into J.J. Abram's Star Trek re-boot sequel, I already knew that the work would be praised as a great movie, where the director had once again made the dreary, cerebral and tired franchise accessible and cool! One person I know even said something along the lines of "you don't have to be a fan of the original series to enjoy it" and that is the whole problem as far as I'm concerned; it actually helps NOT to be a fan of the original series or it's spin-off shows.
A franchise like Star Trek isn't for everybody and it doesn't need to be. Trekkies are those who have enjoyed, or at least watched all the series over and over and not just people who know catch phrases like "Beam me up, Scotty."
Star Trek Into Darkness plays out with the same basic writing that you'll find in any cookie cutter summer blockbuster. Spelling out who the good guys are and who the bad guys are and what is going to happen as it happens. The bad guy in this one is John Harrison, who makes an entrance eerily similar to Sybok's "I can take away your pain" sequence from Star Trek V and Admiral Marcus plays the corrupt Starfleet Admiral who's arc and fate are similar to that of Admiral Dougherty in the other worst Trek film Insurrection.
John Harrison is of course a pseudonym and he is revealed to be - spoiler alert - who everyone knew he would be, Khan. Though he resembles the character very little, physically and emotionally. Cumberbatch's powerhouse performance doesn't mask the fact that he is in essence, a redressing of Eric Bana's Nero, more than a re-imagining of Khan.
This character thinning is common in the re-boot films. Pine's Kirk is still reckless and Van Wilder-esque which for some reason people seem to think is how Shatner's Kirk behaved, but in fact is way off character. Kirk should be confident but not cocky, charming but not sleazy. These aren't characteristics that modernise the character but rather lampoon. I won't go into the rom-com squabble which Uhura and Spock get into while on the very serious mission to infiltrate the Klingon home world, Qo'noS, now spelt phonetically as 'Kronos' for some reason.
Sulu playing captain is a throw away commentary on George Takai's dream of having his own ship and the only significant thing Sulu does in the movie. Simon Pegg and Karl Urban remain perhaps the best cast as believable younger selves whereas Anton Yelchin's caricature version of Chekov yet again runs around the ship like a nervous headless chicken, adding little more than comic relief.
Spock is perhaps the best character in the re-boot franchise with a half decent arc which has carried over from the previous film, yet he still has a lot of forced "the needs of the many" type dialogue to make him sound more profound, without having to actually write anything for him we haven't heard before. The Spock Prime (Leonard Nimoy) scenes in the first film were slapped together and filled with plot holes, this time around, the cameo reeks of contract fulfillment mixed with approval seeking from an audience that it wants desperately to connect with; Trekkers.
The movie is overloaded with out of place winking to fans, more frequent and more obscure than the 2009 movie. Winks to the audience can be good, especially in a franchise as rich as Star Trek but when you are referencing obscurities like Section 31, when Starfleet Intelligence would suffice, you are no longer winking, your trying too hard. These references began pulling me out of the story as I stopped listening and starting running calculations in my head regarding continuity. This is no different to Robert Wise's excessive shots of the Enterprise in Star Trek: The Motion Picture which pause the narrative and reveal the director to the audience. A sequence so often criticized. Another odd audience nod is the use of the seat belts which reference a deleted scene from Star Trek: Nemesis. The strangest nod to the audience, was the sweeping shot of the star craft models which mirrors the much maligned title sequence from the ill-fated Enterprise in which the evolution of naval, flight and space travel is shown. That particular scene features Peter Weller who actually played a superior villain with better motives than the two-dimensional war monger Admiral Marcus but I digress...
The movie really falls apart in the third act. Regardless whether any of the above matters, as a stand alone action adventure, the movie dates itself by simply playing on in-crowd twists and mirroring The Wrath of Khan with role reversal. It's climaxes with a death that is resurrected and laughed away before you can even care and therefore undermines the theme of consequences and dilutes the no-win scenario as revenge is once more favoured by Orci and Kurtzman. These writer's simply aren't good enough at anything deeper than fast action plots which kill any and all tension by breaking it up with a joke or explosion before anything resembling drama can sink in. J.J. Abrams is great at bringing these scripts to life with state of the art visuals which his budgets can afford and this will serve him well when working on Star Wars sequels.
So top marks for action and warp speeding through a plot, unfortunately I'd like something more from Star Trek. Even when not executed well, the previous installment of films always had some concept they were exploring. Better still, the television shows, which had more time to explore strange ideas and complex themes, really showcase Star Trek in its rightful medium. Gene Roddenberry's vision of the future which evolved with Rick Berman, Michael Piller, Brannon Braga, Ronald D. Moore, Ira Steven Behr and many other great writer's really belongs on television, as a show for it's unique audience. An audience, which has been loyal and fanatical, who ultimately deserve something more than a throwaway summer action flick.
P.S. What was with those hats?
Star Trek JJ Abrams
Strong agreement
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Home › News › Stephen Kopcik Focused on Wins in 2020 SK Modified® Division at Stafford
Stephen Kopcik Focused on Wins in 2020 SK Modified® Division at Stafford
Posted on March 10, 2020 by Scott Running Posted in News
Stephen Kopcik Driver Profile
(Stafford Springs, CT)—Stephen Kopcik enters the 2020 SK Modified® season at Stafford Speedway coming off of the best season of his 4-year career. The 2019 season saw the Newtown, CT native and driver of the #21 Hocon Industrial Gas Chevrolet post career highs across the board with 2 wins, 8 top-5, and 12 top-10 finishes en route to a career best 6th place finish in the points standings. Kopcik is looking to pick up in 2020 right where he left off in 2019 and go for as many wins as he can accumulate.
“My goal is to go for wins this season and we’ll see what we can do from there,” said Kopcik. “We had a good car last year and I think we should be good again this year. Any time you can win at Stafford Speedway, it means something special. Stafford has the best drivers beating the heck out of each other every week and we’re going to try to win everything that we can but if we can win 2 or 3 races again this season, I’d be pretty happy with that. The last half of last season when we stopped messing around with things we were really good.”
Kopcik utilized Chassis Dynamics cars for his two seasons of SK Light racing from 2014-2015, including the 2015 championship as well as his first three seasons of SK Modified® competition before changing over to LFR Chassis for the 2019 season. It was that change from CD to LFR that Kopcik credits for helping him to reach career high totals in wins, top-5s, and top-10s.
“Changing chassis made a huge difference for us,” said Kopcik. “We updated some technology that was over 20 years old and we got onto the latest stuff which I work with every day on the Tour in some way or another. All that work correlates to the SK and that’s a big reason why we were as good as we were last year.”
Another reason that Kopcik credits to his career best year last season is his work as a Whelen Modified Tour crew chief for the #64 car of Rob Summers.
“Being a crew chief really helps me out because I can try whatever I want to try with R & D and learn from it,” said Kopcik. “I couldn’t do that on my own but by being a crew chief, it gives me the opportunity to try out what I want and see if it works out or not.”
With Kopcik coming back to the SK Modified® division with the same LFR Chassis he ran last season, Kopcik will also have Hocon Industrial Gas returning as a sponsor and is welcoming a new sponsor.
“Hocon Industrial Gas is back on board with us for the 7th year in a row,” said Kopcik. “Those guys have been great to me and I’m pretty sure that they’ve bought every tire I’ve ever raced at Stafford between the SK Lights and SK Modifieds®. Duke from Hocon is a great guy and we have a new sponsor coming on board this season with Jason Derwin and RSMPCO.com. Everyone on the crew has stayed together and I think that really says something about our team. All the guys I have with me are the same guys I had 10 years ago when I was racing go karts.”
With Kopcik and the #21 team focused on racking up the win count this season, getting off to a good start can be an important factor in how the remainder of the season will go.
“I think it’s really important to get off to a good start,” said Kopcik. “The first three races can pretty much dictate how your season is going to go. Everyone is going to have up and down nights but coming out of the gate the main goal is to survive. Everyone wants to win the Sizzler and there’s usually a lot of cautions during that race. If you can finish the Sizzler in the top-3 and keep your car clean, it will set a good tone for the remainder of the season.”
Kopcik will face fierce competition from his fellow SK Modified® drivers as he looks to add to his win total. All 7 SK Modified® feature winners from the 2019 season are returning and there are several more drivers who are hungry to add either their first win or another win after not winning last season.
“I think the competition is going to be even crazier this year,” said Kopcik. “There’s Keith Rocco and every car that comes out of his shop is a good car and there’s some good drivers in his cars with Mike Gervais and Andrew Molleur. Then obviously there’s Ronnie Williams, Glen Reen, Cory DiMatteo, Mike Christopher, Jr., and Todd Owen, so on any given night there’s probably around 10-12 cars that can win and I think it’s more competitive than I’ve ever seen in the last 5 years. I’m really excited to get this season started. Being a crew chief and working on everyone else’s cars, it’s not a hobby anymore so whenever I get to go play around with my own car, it’s actually more fun.”
The 2020 SK Modified® season kicks off with the 49th Annual NAPA Spring Sizzler® on April 24-26. Tickets for the “Greatest Race in the History of Spring” are on sale now by calling the Speedway Box Office 860-684-2783 or online at www.staffordspeedway.com.
For more information, visit www.staffordspeedway.com, checkout Stafford Speedway on Facebook or Twitter, or contact the track office at 860-684-2783.
‹ Driver Profile: Kyle Johnson – #88 Street Stock
Kevin Gambacorta Ready for 2020 Late Model Championship Challenge ›
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Stage Struck Review
Reviewing Theatre For Over 40 Years
Loss, Resilience and Disaster: “Colony Collapse” Engrosses at Boston Court
Leave a comment Posted by Frances Baum Nicholson on February 25, 2016
Chris Connor and Riley Neldam as the distanced father and son in “Colony Collapse” at The Theatre at Boston Court [photos: Ed Krieger]
For many who have been paying attention, the concept of “colony collapse” is a part of the larger concerns over a poisoned environment and the threat to humanity this involves. The term is the common name for the disappearance of honey bees, particularly in North America. Originally thought to be a disease, now seen as a consequence of certain pesticides, the condition causes bees to venture from the hive only to become disoriented and fail to return. As the hive shrinks, it gradually reaches an unsustainable level: too few bees in too bad a shape to sustain the queen or her larvae. The hive dies out.
Take this as metaphor in the aptly named “Colony Collapse” by Stefanie Zadravec, now in a world premiere production at The Theatre at Boston Court in Pasadena. The play examines manifestations of tragedy and loss, and the human resilience which often kicks in, at least eventually, unless the people it happens to are too weakened for that to occur. Beautifully constructed to juxtapose several stories of parents whose children have disappeared against the tale of a teen whose parents are unable to parent him, it proves intense and absorbing from start to finish.
Director Jessica Kubzansky knows how to use the Boston Court performance space particularly well, dressing her stage with the characters in ways which fill the space, and using sound as irritant and underscore to the desperate power of the play itself.
Initially one meets the parents of the disappeared: Jully Lee as a mother who let go of her young son’s hand just a moment only to find him gone, Adrian Gonzalez as the young father who gave in and let his son walk home from school only to have him never arrive. Julie Cardia is the frustrated mom who tossed her rebellious teenaged daughter from home only to have her vanish, with Tracey A. Leigh and Leandro Cano as loving parents of an autistic boy who disappeared out an open door when his mom fell asleep on the couch. Each creates a carefully crafted portrait, as each character makes an individual passionate plea for understanding, wrestles with horrific guilt, and slowly, specifically, finds a way to carry the burden of loss.
Balanced against these, the play concentrates on the family of Jason, whose divorced, meth-addicted mother, Nicky, finds him useful only as a crutch, and whose father, Mark, recently released from a prison sentence associated with Jason’s actions and, along with his second wife Julia, finally clean and sober, wants nothing to do with him at all. Tired of trying to keep his mother from starving or selling herself, Jason pushes his way into his father’s world. This includes a large orchard Mark has taken on but knows nothing about sustaining, try though he might.
Emily James’ ghost Girl ties the play’s themes together.
Floating through these scenarios is the ghost of a girl who disappeared, who becomes the play’s narrator and occasional philosophical touchpoint. Through her we examine the insignificance if individual lives, even as we watch the affect each individual in the play has on their own immediate worlds.
Emily James proves fascinating as The Girl, the ghost stringing elements of the play together from a wide variety of physical vantage points. Paula Christensen offers up a not-quite-stereotypical tweaker as Jason’s mother, edgy and strung out, ready to pontificate on motherhood even while totally incapable of living that role. Sally Hughes creates the fragile Julia, for whom addiction was a matter of escape from a life she can see beginning to fray. Chris Conner’s balance of detachment and sentiment in Mark creates a very slippery support for either Julia or Jason to hang on to.
Yet what truly captures the attention above all else has to be Riley Neldam’s Jason. Strong but hurting, lost but searching for definition, he manages to create in the character a sense of adulthood that the supposed adults cannot reach, while still carrying the vulnerability of a teenaged boy. Still, what is to become of someone so connected to adults incapable of connection?
Engrossing though it is, “Colony Collapse” is not easy watching on any level. The sense of loss which permeates the play is quite palpable, and very intense. Yet, though it concentrates on a family which cannot help but destruct, the periphery balances this with a strong sense of, if not redemption, at least the possibility of moving forward. In a world where these kinds of intimate losses happen virtually every day, perhaps that is what one must cling to, if only to avoid the collapse of one’s own colony.
What: “Colony Collapse” When: Through March 20, 8 p.m. Thursdays through Saturdays, 2 p.m. Sundays, with an added performance Wednesday, March 16 Where: The Theatre at Boston Court, 70 N. Mentor Ave. in Pasadena How Much: $35 general, $30 senior (62+), $20 student Info: (626) 683-6883 or http://www.BostonCourt.org
Review Adrian Gonzalez, bees as metaphor, Chris Conner, Colony Collapse, Emily James, family dysfunction, ghost as narrator, Jessica Kubzansky, Julie Cardia, Jully Lee, Leandro Cano, parents whose children disappear, Paula Christensen, Riley Neldam, Sally Hughes, Stefanie Zadravec, The Theatre at Boston Court, Tracey A. Leigh, west coast premiere
← “Tom Jones” as Melodrama? – Odd, but satisfying in Whittier A Polished Twist: Shakespeare’s Star-crossed Lovers at ANW →
Part 3 – The Play’s the Thing… but the Movie Musical…
Part 2: The Play’s the Thing: What Audiences Will Believe
Part 1: The Play’s the Thing. The Movie? Sometimes great, sometimes… nah
Adjusting To The New: Musing on Life and Art
Candlelight Pavilion’s “Peter Pan”: Tweaking the Nose of Tradition, Done Well
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Pasadena Star News
Theatre in L.A.
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Green Communities Designation
SHREWSBURY WAS DESIGNATED A GREEN COMMUNITY ON DECEMBER 27th, 2018!
Top Reasons Why Shrewsbury Should Become A Green Community
The Green Communities Designation and Grant Program helps municipalities navigate and meet the five criteria required to become a Green Community, in turn qualifying them for grants that finance additional energy efficiency and renewable energy projects at the local level.
The Green Communities Program strives to help our town find clean energy solutions that reduce long-term energy costs and strengthen our local economy. The Green Communities division of the Department of Energy Resources (DOER) provides technical assistance and financial support for municipal initiatives to improve energy efficiency and increase the use of renewable energy in public buildings, facilities and schools.
The program is very flexible and the focus seems to be in getting municipalities to join the program which in turn helps the state meet its mandate to reduce GHG emissions 80% by 2050.
Information concerning the mandates that the Town would then be subject to resulting from our participation including the question if we would be required to adopt the “stretch” building code.
Shrewsbury has at least one customer serviced by an Invester-Owned Utility which means Shrewsbury does NOT have to adopt a Renewable Energy Charge and can join the program without paying into it.
The stretch energy code is basically incorporated into the new building codes anyway coming up in January, so Adopting the Stretch Energy Code (which 176 municipalities have already done) isn’t going to be much of a ‘stretch’ anymore. I believe she mentioned the difference now is more about discussing options up front and how it is validated (testing rather than a checklist) so the impact on businesses should be now minimized.
Our existing Renewable/Alternative Energy zoning probably already qualifies.
And purchasing fuel-efficient vehicles doesn’t seem to be a hindrance given it is by class of vehicle so ford explorers still qualify.
The 20% energy reduction plan has a 2-yr look-back so the town would get credit for efforts it has done recently and it is not meant to penalize for more use (ie. accounts for expansions such as a bigger library than before).
Shrewsbury could leave the program whenever they wanted to – the town just wouldn’t get any more grant money.
The town can decide to be as active in the program as it wants to be. For example, if the town wanted to have a new project every year and spend the grant money, we could do that. Or we could only choose to apply/participate as something comes up.
Immediate tangible benefits the town would receive if the town voluntarily participated in this State program.
Shrewsbury’s estimated initial grant amount would be $180,000.
Competitive grants available annually up to $250,000 per applicant for those that have expended all prior grant funds. We could apply every year for what seems to be about $200,000/yr grant for what the town wants to spend it on (the state does not specify/mandate what the town needs to spend the money on – other than that the request falls within the guidelines of the program). Whereby the town can apply for a new grant once the town has spent the money from the previous one. Projects being funded include electric and thermal (natural gas and oil) energy conservation measures, incremental costs for hybrid vehicles and grant administration costs.
GREEN COMMUNITY PROGRAM
Green Communities Designation and Grant Program process
Becoming designated as a Green Community provides grant funding to a municipality to support all or a portion of the cost of:
studying, designing, constructing and implementing energy efficiency activities including, but not limited to, energy efficiency measures and projects;
procuring energy management services;
adopting energy efficiency policies; and,
siting activities related to and construction of renewable energy generating facilities on municipally owned property.
DESIGNATION AND GRANT APPLICATION TIMELINE (Example from 2015)
Aug. 17 through 5 pm September 18 Accepting requests for designation application preliminary consultations
October 23 by 5pm Deadline for designation applications
January 15 (2016) by 5pm Deadline for grant applications
Participation by Municipalities Served by Municipal Light Plants
The Green Communities Act requires a specific path forward in order for municipalities served by municipal light plants that adopt the renewable energy charge to participate in the Green Communities Designation and Grant program.
Some municipalities, however, do not clearly fit into the provisions of this statutory requirement because they are in the unusual situation of being served by multiple load serving entities – by an MLP as well as an investor-owned utility. DOER issued the following Guideline in May 2012: Municipalities served by BOTH a municipal light plant and an investor-owned electric utility ARE eligible to apply for and become a designated Green Community.
Please note that any community in this category must submit to DOER materials (such as letters from its utility and the board of its municipal light plant) documenting that the community receives service from both entities.
CRITERION 1: AS-OF-RIGHT SITING – RENEWABLE ENERGY (RE) / ALTERNATIVE ENERGY (AE)
A municipality must provide zoning in designated locations for the as-of-right siting of:
renewable or alternative energy generating facilities, OR
renewable or alternative energy research and development (R&D) facilities, OR
renewable or alternative energy manufacturing facilities
CRITERION 2: EXPEDITED PERMITTING (for Renewable / Alternative Energy Facilities)
A municipality must adopt an expedited application and permitting process under which Criterion 1 facilities may be sited within the municipality, and the permitting process shall not exceed one (1) year from the date of initial application to the date of final approval.
CRITERION 3: ENERGY BASELINE / 20 PERCENT ENERGY REDUCTION PLAN
A municipality must establish an energy use baseline inventory for all municipal buildings (which includes school buildings, drinking water and wastewater treatment plants, pumping stations and open spaces), vehicles, and street and traffic lighting. A municipality must also adopt a comprehensive five-year Energy Reduction Plan (ERP) designed to reduce that baseline by 20 percent after completion of a full five-years of implementing its ERP.
CRITERION 4: PURCHASE ONLY FUEL-EFFICIENT VEHICLES
All Departments in the municipality must purchase only fuel-efficient vehicles for municipal use whenever such vehicles are commercially available and practicable.
CRITERION 5: MINIMIZE LIFE-CYCLE COSTS (Adopt Stretch Code By-Law)
A municipality must require all new residential construction over 3,000 square feet and all new commercial and industrial real estate construction to minimize, to the extent feasible, the life cycle cost of facilities/buildings by utilizing energy efficiency, water conservation and other renewable or alternative energy technologies. The recommended way for cities and towns to meet this requirement is by adopting the Board of Building Regulations and Standards (BBRS) Stretch Code (780 CMR 115.AA), an appendix to the MA State Building Code. Note: There is no minimum 3,000 square foot threshold for new residential construction if your municipality adopts the Stretch Code. All new residential construction, irrespective of size/square footage, will be subject to the Stretch Code. Towns are advised to adopt the Stretch Code as a general bylaw at Town Meeting.
SHREWSBURY’S GREEN COMMUNITY VIDEO CHRONICLES
Citizens work with the Town Manager and Green Communities Program Coordinator to understand the benefits and identify previous roadblocks from 2009 no longer are a problem
May 2009 Annual Town Meeting
Article 13 – Citizens Petition to accept M.G.L. Chapter 40, Section 8I which would establish an Energy Resources Commission – DEFEATED
GREEN COMMUNITIES – LOCAL NEWS
12/27/18 – Baker-Polito Administration Designates 30 Cities and Towns as Green Communities
Shrewsbury $183,411
Northborough $149,309
Westborough $152,096
“The Green Communities program is an essential component of our nation-leading clean energy success and demonstrates our administration’s commitment to partnering with municipalities. These 30 newly designated communities are pledging to join in responsible stewardship of the environment and taxpayer resources while creating a cleaner, healthier Commonwealth for our residents and businesses.”
– Governor Charlie Baker
“As these 30 newly designated communities invest in energy efficiency and renewable energy projects, Massachusetts continues to lead the nation in clean energy. With today’s designation, the Green Communities program continues to prove an effective tool in building a clean energy future for the Commonwealth and achieving our Global Warming Solutions Act goals.”
– Matthew Beaton, Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary
01/09/18 – Grafton designated Green Community, receives grant
09/16/17 – Shrewsbury town meeting OK gas line extensions, solar deal
Town meeting also unanimously approved amending town bylaws to add a section titled “Stretch Energy Code,” one of five criteria to be eligible for the state’s Green Communities progam. The new bylaw requires all new homes and commercial buildings to meet higher energy performance standards.
More than 200 municipalities have adopted the stretch energy code since 2010, including Bolton, Charlton, Fitchburg, Northbridge, Southboro, Southbridge, Ware and Warren.
The designation makes communities eligible for energy-efficiency grants from the state Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs.
Proponents said once accepted as a Green Community, the town would receive a $180,000 grant and could compete for up to $250,000 a year in other grants to reduce energy consumption.
01/19/17 – Grafton planning to become a Green Community
Town officials are making plans for Grafton to become a state-designated Green Community, joining 155 cities and towns in Massachusetts who are receiving large competitive grants to reduce their energy consumption and, in theory, the tax dollars used to pay those bills. An energy study committee member said adopting this would make sense environmentally and fiscally. Will Grafton go green? According to Town officials, plans are underway to designate Grafton as a state-designated Green Community, allowing it to apply for large grants that can reduce the municipality’s energy consumption and, in theory, the tax dollars used to pay those bills.
09/21/14 – Environmental activist works to keep Shrewsbury green
Hollenback became more vocal and public with her passion with a warrant article that she brought before Town Meeting seeking approval for Shrewsbury’s participation in the state-run Green Communities Program. To qualify, towns need an Energy Committee; this is where the warrant article lost support. The Energy Committee would have powers of promulgation which could hamstring just about anything energy- or environment-related project in town.
GREEN COMMUNITIES – IN THE NEWS
04/05/18 – Baker-Polito Administration Presents Green Communities Designation Awards to Central Massachusetts Municipalities
06/28/16 – Baker-Polito Administration Awards Green Communities Grants – 47 Communities Receive $9,580,467 for Clean Energy Projects
Energy and Environmental Affairs (EEA) Secretary Matthew Beaton today awarded Green Communities competitive grants totaling $9,580,467 to 47 municipalities across Massachusetts to fund clean energy projects. With today’s announcement, the Department of Energy Resources (DOER) has awarded over $60 million to Green Communities in designation and competitive grants since 2010.
“Green Communities are champions for clean energy practices across the Massachusetts and should be commended for their efforts to reduce energy use and costs. Achieving the Commonwealth’s ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction commitments will only be possible with the help of our partner communities in this program.”
– Karyn Polito, Lt Governor of Massachusetts
“The 47 communities receiving over $9.5 million today should be commended for their leadership in embracing clean energy goals at the local level. The Baker-Polito Administration is committed to working with our municipal partners across Massachusetts to meet our shared goals of lower energy consumption and reduced emissions.”
– Matthew Beaton, Secreatory of Energy and Environmental Affairs
“With their continued commitment toward making significant investments in energy efficiency projects, Green Communities are true leaders of energy conservation in the Commonwealth. As the Commonwealth continues to look ahead toward sustainable energy options, these grant opportunities serve a vital function to assist these communities with achieving their goals to reduce energy consumption. I applaud efforts by local officials and DOER in helping to bring these ideas and programs to fruition.”
– Senator Michael O. Moore (D-Millbury)
08/02/16 – Needham among many towns pursuing renewable energy
“In Massachusetts, we can get 100 percent of our energy from renewable sources,” said Ben Hellerstein, state director of the Environment Massachusetts Research and Policy Center. “We have enough wind and solar potential to meet our energy needs many times over … The good news is local communities are already taking action. Communities big and small in all parts of the state are moving to adopt clean energy and reduce their reliance on fossil fuels.”
Benjamin Weil, an assistant professor of building and construction technology at UMass Amherst, said that while cities and towns can accomplish a lot on their own, they need partnerships with state and federal government.
Hellerstein said he’s hopeful Massachusetts could get virtually 100 percent of its energy from renewable sources “in the next few decades.”
“It should go without saying that no city or town can do it alone,” he said. “We need support from the state level and national level to make it happen.”
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Twin Peaks and the Mission Blue Butterfly: Why it’s Still Uncertain
Posted on April 8, 2011 by webmaster
[THIS ARTICLE WAS WRITTEN IN APRIL 2011 AND UPDATED Feb 2012]
Last year, journalists were celebrating the return of the Mission Blue butterfly to Twin Peaks. From the SF Chronicle of 7 May 2010: “Everyone comes back to San Francisco, including, on a bright morning on Twin Peaks, the endangered mission blue butterfly.” It went on to say, “Last seen within city limits 30 years ago, the iridescent blue butterfly was spotted Thursday morning flitting about a Twin Peaks hillside…”
Leaving aside the issue of when the Mission Blue was last seen at Twin Peaks (1997 actually and one each in 2001 and 2004), we wondered whether the single butterfly proved anything much.
The butterfly used to live on Twin Peaks, but it’s not clear how stable the population was. By 1997, only ten butterflies were seen. After that, hardly any were until the recent reintroduction attempt. Some blame the warm wet El Nino conditions of 1998 for a fungus that nearly wiped out the silver lupine, a key host plant for its caterpillars.
A LIMITED SUCCESS
This “return” was the result of a complicated reintroduction, starting in 2008 with establishing patches of lupine, the host plant on which this butterfly lays its eggs. In spring 2009, the reintroduction team (which was led by SF Rec & Parks — SF RPD) brought in 22 pregnant females, and caged them over suitable lupine plants to lay their eggs.
We recently got SF RPD’s October 2010 report on the Mission Blue reintroduction. The team had counted 147 eggs laid in 2009. Over the following months, through end-May, they actually saw a total of 17 butterflies: 6 female, 11 male. Extrapolating, they thought there could be perhaps 20 butterflies this year; the number was unlikely to be as many as 50. [ETA June 2011: Before releasing the 60 butterflies in April 2011, they did check to see if any butterflies descended from the previous release were around. They spotted 2 males. ETA Feb 2012: We asked SFRPD for their observations. They actually spotted 7 butterflies pre-release, 5 males and 2 females.]
Is that success? The report considered it so, mainly because it demonstrated that the butterfly could go from egg to adult on Twin Peaks.
GARDENING THE MOUNTAIN
Mission Blues can’t reproduce without lupine, the only plants their caterpillars will eat. This plant (actually three varieties of it) grows best in disturbed areas. Once the area settles down, natural succession converts it to chaparral, or other invasive plants take over. Patches of lupine are generally on the move.
The Natural Areas Program (SF NAP, the part of SF RPD that’s responsible for Twin Peaks) is maintaining a lupine-friendly habitat by removing shrubs, including the native coyote-brush. The implication, though, is that this intervention will be permanent and ongoing. They will always need to garden for lupine.
While the lupine is critically important to the caterpillars of the Mission Blue, the adults need nectar sources. The butterflies are short-lived (7 days on average for males, 8 days for females) and don’t fly far. Fortunately they aren’t as picky as their larvae, and one of their key nectar sources is an invasive non-native Italian thistle: Carduus pycnocephalus. This grows widely on Twin Peaks, and SF NAP is not trying to remove it for now, until they can plant enough native nectar sources.
In attempting to maintain this lupine habitat for the Mission Blue, SF NAP has been using toxic herbicides: Garlon (triclopyr) and Roundup or Aquamaster (glyphosate). Both have been used all over Twin Peaks. (Our article about the effects of Garlon is here.)
PROBLEM ON THE PEAKS
Notices: Mission Blue Habitat, Garlon spraying, and No Smoking
We have to wonder whether the success rate (egg to butterfly) will be similar to the 2009 batch — around 14% of the eggs becoming butterflies. Though SF Rec and Park believe that Garlon isn’t harmful to insects, there really isn’t any way to tell. The studies on triclopyr relate to adult honeybees. Whether the chemicals — both the triclopyr and the “inert” chemicals used with it — will be non-toxic to caterpillars, we don’t know.
[ETA, March 2012: A study of the effects of Triclopyr and other herbicides on Behr’s Metalmark butterflies indicated adult butterfly emergence fell by 24-36%. Is it the same for Mission Blues? We don’t know.]
Mission Blue caterpillars hatch from eggs laid on lupine leaves (new leaves are preferred). They eat the leaves, then climb down into the dead leaves or ground beneath the lupine plants, and go into a sort of hibernation, called “diapause.” After emerging from diapause, they continue feeding, then pupate and emerge as butterflies between March and June. This life-cycle takes a year and brings them into contact with the soil. If that’s been contaminated with Garlon (which can remain in dead vegetation for up to two years) it could poison the caterpillars and reduce the chances of success.
There’s an additional effect possible: Garlon’s unknown impact on ants. The main threats to Mission Blue larvae are parasites (like wasps and flies that lay eggs on the caterpillar) and predators. Ants tend the caterpillars, which emit honeydew, a sugary pee that ants use for food. The caterpillars benefit because the ants defend them. At least, the native ants do. But Argentine ants are moving into many habitats, and no one knows whether they will tend the caterpillars or eat them instead. One study in Marin suggests that Argentine ants tend the caterpillars of a similar species of butterfly, the Acmon Blue. But another from Florida suggests that Argentine ants use the honeydew but run off when the caterpillar is threatened.
What we don’t know is whether the use of Garlon favors Argentine ants by having a negative effect on ant pupae — thus giving the more competitive ants a clearer field. [ETA: Just read an interesting post on the blog Golden Gate Park: Views from the Thicket about an ant study conducted in 2008 conducted in August-Sept 2006, published in 2008. Argentine ants were present but not invading the parks. Hope it’s still that way. The study is here (as a PDF): argentine ants san francisco research – Clark Fisher- LeBuhn]
BY THE NUMBERS: UP, DOWN, OR SIDEWAYS?
We find the numbers interesting, and perhaps indicating less success than the optimistic journalistic stories. The report suggested that the imported females may have already laid half their eggs back home on San Bruno Mountain, so the 20 or so butterflies came from only the second half of the eggs. (So maybe if they’d laid them all at Twin Peaks, and the same ratio had succeeded, there’d have been say 40 butterflies, with maybe 12-15 females. Down from 22.)
The introduced Mission Blues were caged over selected lupine plants to lay their eggs; their descendents selected their own sites. A survey in February and May 2010 found 42 eggs. The observers saw more than that, but the sampling method they used didn’t permit counting them. Still, it’s not an encouraging number. Unless they’ve missed 70% of the eggs, there are fewer eggs in 2010 than in 2009. At 42 eggs, they’ve got 7 eggs per observed female, about the same ratio as in 2009 (which was 147 eggs from 22 females).
This population is clearly dwindling.
NON-VIABLE NUMBERS
At this size, the population isn’t viable. Here’s why:
1. The dating game. These insects don’t live long (about a week), and they emerge between March and June. The males usually hatch earlier than the females, which is a good idea when there are lots; it means they’re ready to mate the females as soon as they hatch. With only a few butterflies, though, the males could die before the females arrive. Some females might not find mates at all, and thus not reproduce.
2. Inbreeding. Having such a tiny number increases the chances of the mating pair being siblings. They could lower their breeding success.
3. Bad luck. Anything could upset the numbers still further — birds, rodents, bad weather — and wipe out the colony. The small number means there’s no buffer.
4. The fungus remains. The fungus blamed for killing the lupine in 1998 remains in the soil of Twin Peaks, according to a Fish and Wildlife report. This could mean adverse weather could again kill off the lupine — and the butterflies.
MOVING MORE BUTTERFLIES
The plan now is to move 25 more female butterflies from San Bruno Mountain (assuming US Fish and Wildlife Service gives the permits).
[Edited to Add (24 April 2011): According to the SF Chronicle, they are relocating “dozens” of butterflies now. There’s a photograph at this link.]
[Edited to Add (2 June 2011): We asked the Parks Department. They got permission to relocate 60 butterflies — 40 female and 20 male; and did so on April 22, 2011. Not sure if they released all of them at the same time or not. ETA (2 July 2011) We found this blog post on Liam O’Brien’s new website, sfbutterfly.com describing the process.]
It may be a long haul, establishing the Mission Blue. The Recovery Action Plan Document (from SF RPD) indicates that in the UK and US successful reintroductions took an average of 11 attempts — and 15 years.
This entry was posted in Herbicides, Herbicides: Roundup, Garlon and tagged butterfly, mission blue butterfly, Natural Areas Program, Twin Peaks. Bookmark the permalink.
9 Responses to Twin Peaks and the Mission Blue Butterfly: Why it’s Still Uncertain
Why is ‘gardening’ or close human management of wildlands continually being described in such negative terms here?
Before the Spanish came to California, a LOT of the land was being ‘gardened’ – it was being intensely managed by different Native American groups in a style of permaculture using hundreds of different plants native to California (they didn’t have access to other plants, to be fair). Obviously this is a generalization – some Native American groups destroyed and heavily altered habitat, like any other human group. BUT… the pre-colonization landscapes of California were not a wilderness untouched by humans, but a complex ecosystem in which humans played the central role (much like beavers play in riparian areas of the Northeast). Some (see the book Tending the Wild) actually described parts of California as a virtual Eden where hundreds of wildflower species produced edible seed; oaks produced millions of pounds of acorns; salmon filled the streams; and elk and deer ate the parts of these plants the humans couldn’t (and in turn were eaten by humans and grizzlies).
I think there are valid points about restoration being made in defense of Sutro but what is being missed is the native plants, themselves, are also very intimately connected to humans. Or, they are supposed to be. I honestly think this is part of why invasive plants are such a problem here. What happens when you leave a field of wheat fallow for 200 years?
[Webmaster: Possibly you’re right. Then the question becomes, why are we trying to restore a farm that nobody will harvest? It isn’t “natural” in the usual sense of the word, it’s agricultural. It had a meaning when those who cultivated it built their lives on it; but those people are long gone. Now we have an artificial construct that must be maintained with herbicides because the measures the people of the past used — fire and grazing — aren’t appropriate inside a city (if you check the map, Twin Peaks is surrounded by housing, the reservoir, and Sutro Tower).]
Humans have been in CA for at least 15,000 years – since the wet times at the end of the ice age. Many argue protection of native plants for their inherent ecosystem value and I don’t begrudge that. But I don’t hear anyone arguing protection of CA native plants as a potentially vast genetic resource for potential sustainable food and building material production.
[Webmaster: Perhaps because no one wants to eat acorn flour or live in reed houses? Even those who have that past in their heritage don’t want that life-style any more. And some of those plants aren’t even edible now in the US: consider amaranth. It’s still eaten in other parts of the world, but here it gets too much nitrogen.]
So you have to garden Twin Peaks? Let’s figure out some of the old methods that were used for 15,000 peaks and garden the place! People fight over tiny garden plots – let’s get people learning the old ways and gardening Twin Peaks the way it evolved with! I’ll bet the butterfly does great – or else it would be dead by now.
[Webmaster: I suspect the problem may be that populations of the Mission Blue are inherently mobile, like the lupine they oviposit on. A USFWS study says, “each colony is dynamic and relatively short-lived…”
They’re doing okay on San Bruno mountain, and new populations were discovered, with the next largest being near Skyline College.]
If people were more connected to the land in that way, we could control the invasives – without herbicides.
[Webmaster: We actually don’t know what was happening with Twin Peaks before ranching started there. It may have been grassland grazed by deer, or it may have been some kind of chaparral, or it may have swung between those two states.]
On a side note, what’s with ” natural succession converts it to chaparral, or other invasive plants take over”. CHAPARRAL ISN’T INVASIVE!
[Webmaster: okay, clarification in order. “Invasive” is a matter of context. If the plant’s growing where you want it to grow, then it’s “easy to grow.” If it moves in where you don’t want it to grow, it’s “invasive.” The people trying to preserve the grasslands *do* find some native chaparral plants like coyote bush invasive. Left to itself, chaparral will take over grassland. I’ll edit in some links later, I need to dig them up.
ETA: Okay, here is the reference; it’s to the USDA website, and talks of succession from grassland to scrub to woodland. http://www.fs.fed.us/database/feis/plants/shrub/bacpil/all.html ]
Come on, be fair… I know people are trying to shoo it out of some grassland areas, but it isn’t an invasive ecosystem, seeing as how it is shrinking in area each year.
[Webmaster: It can actually be invasive in one context, and invaded in another. I read a study some time back that suggested that without human intervention in some coastal areas, oaks would “invade” chaparral, and eventually convert the area to oak woodlands. The real question is, why is the area of chaparral shrinking? Because it’s being replaced by agriculture (western-style)? Or being built on? I guess the bottom line is, ecosystems aren’t static. They change from year to year, from decade to decade. A fire might burn out chaparral, and leave grasslands for a few years until the chaparral comes back. Oak seedlings might take hold and convert parts of it into a forest. A fire or a bug might destroy the oak forest, and then grasslands or chaparral might recur. What’s happening now is that we try to nail these areas down. What I have a problem with is the illusion that it isn’t a garden, it’s a “natural” landscape. Oh, and herbicides.]
webmaster says:
Hi Charlie, thanks for stopping by to comment. Responses are embedded in the comment…
celestial elf says:
Great Post 😀
thought you might like my machinima film the butterfly’s tale~
Bright Blessings
elf ~
Elf, that’s very pretty. Thanks for your comment here.
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Follow Suzan on:
MedKNITation®
Why we shouldn’t be mindful all the time.
I went to a big writer’s conference at the time I was writing Beach Glass. There were hundreds of writers there, some of whom were writing their first book, some who’d written dozens, and everyone in between. Nora Roberts gave the keynote address. She spoke to a packed ballroom of people so rapt they didn’t blink when she spoke, afraid of missing even one grain of wisdom from an author who has written, at most recent count, 225 novels. I was one of the unblinking masses, yearning to learn her secret.
And she shared it, Nora did. “People always ask me, ‘What’s the secret of writing?'” she said. Hundreds of butts took a collective scootch forward on their chairs. “And I tell ’em, ‘There’s only one thing: Ass in chair.‘”
She’s right, of course. Nora Roberts didn’t write over two hundred books by procrastinating. But there’s another important part of writing that’s just as important as having your butt (or, as Nora said, your ass) in a chair. And that’s having your head in the clouds.
We’re always told that having our heads in the clouds—daydreaming, I mean—is wrong. Teachers say it, and now the buzzword is mindfulness. It’s as though we have to be hyper-vigilant and aware of every single sip of tea.
If I’d followed that advice, I never would have written Beach Glass. Or any of my other books, for that matter. It was by daydreaming that I turned a visit to a shore town full of surfers into a story about a man in love with adventure, who doesn’t really know what he’s running toward, only that he’s running away—until he finds a reason to stay. If I’d stayed entirely mindful that weekend, I would’ve focused all of my attention on every single bite of my tacos. I mean, they were delicious, but it was by staring off into space that Beach Glass‘s hero, Carson, began to take shape.
Daydreaming helps you tune into your intuition, make new plans, think creatively, see a bigger sky. And write. If you want to write, yes, introduce your butt to a chair. But take the time to let your head wander into the clouds, so that when you do sit down, you can write your dreams.
To read the opening chapter of Beach Glass, click here.
happiness / Meditations on Writing / mindfulness / writing
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Suzan Colón is a former Senior Editor of O, the Oprah Magazine and the author of Yoga Mind: Journey Beyond the Physical, Cherries in Winter: My Family's Recipe for Hope in Hard Times, and other books.
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miscellaneous writing
Breydon Crowther
October 7, 2016 March 3, 2018 ~ Tony Ramsay
A script-in-in-hand performance of Breydon Crowther, our new musical opened the Great Yarmouth Arts Festival in June this year within sight of Breydon Water where the story is set.
We had hoped for funding from the Arts Council and after they’d turned us down twice we were left with a difficult decision. We had a handful of songs, a community choir enthusiastic about the material, and a belief that we had a good story to tell. Actually, it wasn’t a difficult decision at all. Composer Chris Warner and I had a brief discussion which lasted all of two minutes and decided to carry on. Essentially, we were going to write an entire musical on spec.
We approached various funding bodies, Eastern Angles and The Broads Authority and managed to raise enough money to fund five actors for a week and a professional director in the shape of Tim Bell (currently touring with his one man show Dame Nature – The Magnificent Bearded Lady). Then we set to work.
The resulting performance went better than we dared hope. A full house with everyone on their feet at the final curtain. The representative from the Broads Authority left with a smile on his face.
Which was good news as they have just won a £2.6 million Heritage Lottery Grant for a project they’ve called Water, Mills and Marshes which is focussed on the exact geographical area where Crowther is set. They wanted some drama input as part of the delivery of this project and put this element out to tender. Eastern Angles put in a strong pitch with Crowther as its centrepiece and got the gig.
So it looks as if our original decision to go ahead without funding has been vindicated. Breydon Crowther will get a full production. The downside is that the project won’t be delivered until 2020, which is not the sort of deadline I like. And there will have to be a deadline because the show will have to be substantially re-written. The show will have to tour. Realistically this couldn’t happen with our orginal forces of 5 actors plus 15 singers and Chris on accordion. The new version will be for 5 actor/musicians and a set that can fit in the Eastern Angles van
Posted in Uncategorized Breydon CrowtherBreydon WaterBroads AuthorityChris WarnerEastern AnglesGorlestonGreat YarmouthwritingYare
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Breydon Water
Bees, Bread and Boats
Chris Warner – composer
Eastern Angles Theatre Company
Tony Ramsay
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June 23, 2019 January 7, 2021 Sean Kelly
Toy Story 4 (2019) 1h 40min | Animation, Adventure, Comedy | 21 June 2019 (USA)
Director: Josh CooleyWriters: John Lasseter, Andrew StantonStars: Tom Hanks, Tim Allen, Annie Potts
Summary: When a new toy called "Forky" joins Woody and the gang, a road trip alongside old and new friends reveals how big the world can be for a toy.
Woody and Buzz come back for one more adventure in Toy Story 4. With Andy having gone to college, Woody (Tom Hanks), Buzz Lightyear (Tim Allen) and all the other toys have been left in the care of pre-schooler Bonnie. However, Woody no longer finds himself as the favourite toy, spending much of playtime in the closet. However, Woody takes it upon himself to accompany Bonnie to her kindergarten orientation and helps with the construction of her new “toy” Forky (Tony Hale), made out of a spork. However, Forky has an existential crisis and jumps out of a window during a family road-trip. When Woody jumps out to retrieve Forky, he comes across an antique shop, where he recognizes the lamp of his old flame Bo Peep (Annie Potts). However, inside the shop, Woody attracts the attention of the doll Gabby Gabby (Christina Hendricks), who wants Woody’s voicebox for herself.
Nine years after the seemingly perfect ending that was Toy Story 3, Pixar returns with one more entry in the nearly 25-year-old franchise. Woody is no longer the top story and he is struggling with his new status. This results in him becoming the guardian for Bonnie’s new crafted toy Forky, who has the constant desire to hop into the nearest trashcan. By pure happenstance, Woody is reunited with the long-lost Bo Peep and is introduced to new friends, including Giggle McDimples (Ally Maki), the stuffed animal duo of Ducky and Bunny (Keegan-Michael Key and Jordan Peele), and Canadian daredevil Duke Caboom (Keanu Reeves). Bo Peep has developed a new life for herself as a “lost toy” Woody begins to sense that there may be a life after Andy.
Even though I can say that I enjoyed the film, it is probably safe to say that Toy Story 4 is a completely unnecessary sequel. 2010’s Toy Story 3 wrapped up the story in such a perfect fashion, that it would be almost overkill to bring Woody, Buzz, and the gang back for a fourth film. However, Toy Story 4 does manage to justify its existence, as the film ties up some loose ends so to speak, particularly in how the film brings back Annie Potts as Bo Peep, which allows some closure to her relationship with Woody. On top of that, there are some welcome additions to the voice cast, such as Christina Hendricks as the antagonistic doll Gabby Gabby, comedic duo Key and Peele as stuffed animals Ducky and Bunny, and of course Keanu Reeves as Duke Caboom. I should also add that Toy Story 4 respects Don Rickles, who passed away in 2017, by utilizing archive footage to bring back his character of Mr. Potato Head, though consequently he is now relegated to being little more than a background character, who gets the odd line in.
Even though I doubt that we truly needed Toy Story 4, I do admit that I did start to tear up a bit in the final moments of the film and the film turned out to be a fitting curtain call for the gang.
Josh Cooley, Toy Story 4 permalink
Review: Watergate
Review: Yesterday
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Home Recent News
Household requires extra analysis after younger physician left paralyzed in wake of taking Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in Mexico — RT World Information
An investigation has been launched by public well being authorities in Mexico after a younger physician was left paralyzed minutes after taking the Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine. Her household have requested for extra analysis to be carried out.
Karla Cecilia Perez was left partially paralyzed in her legs and arms mere hours after receiving the Pfizer/BioNTech jab on December 30 and was instantly positioned within the intensive care unit of the hospital in Coahuila, in Nuevo Leon state. She additionally introduced difficulties with talking, in keeping with media studies.
She skilled a lot of seizures along with pores and skin rash, weak spot, and respiratory difficulties all inside half an hour of receiving the vaccine. She has since been preliminarily identified with encephalomyelitis (irritation of the mind and spinal wire).
Perez is now in secure situation and is now not experiencing seizures, however her household has referred to as for extra testing to look at doubtlessly hidden unwanted side effects of the Pfizer/BioNtech Covid-19 vaccine, in addition to additional evaluation of her situation to see whether or not she had any underlying allergic reactions which can have triggered the acute response.
“We’re not insisting that it was attributable to the vaccine. Nevertheless, it’s essential to make clear whether or not it’s related to the inoculation with the vaccine. We’re not arguing that it was the explanation. There ought to be some analysis to verify,” Carlos Palestino, the girl’s brother-in-law, stated.
Additionally on rt.com
Well being authorities on alert after nurse DIES following vaccination with Pfizer’s Covid-19 shot in Portugal
Previous to the inoculation, Perez had reportedly skilled antagonistic allergic reactions to the antibiotics trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole which might trigger seizures, pores and skin rashes and anaphylactic shock in some sufferers.
Earlier in December 2020, the US Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention recorded no less than 4 cases of partial facial paralysis (Bell’s Palsy) in recipients of the Pfizer vaccine.
Nevertheless, in keeping with the Mexican Public Well being Ministry, amongst all recipients of the Pfizer/BioNtech vaccine in human trials, no circumstances of encephalitis (swelling of the mind) have been recorded.
Perez stays underneath commentary and is present process therapy together with a course of steroids and anti convulsive medication to scale back the chance of recurring unwanted side effects.
Perez’ household say they sounded the alarm to attract consideration to the case within the hopes that the younger physician can be cured and that others could be spared related unwanted side effects, however burdened they aren’t attempting to dissuade the general public from getting vaccinated.
Investigation launched as 2 folks die in Norway nursing residence days after receiving Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine
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Hong Kong protests: about 10 Chinese language College college students disciplined, college heads pressed by lawmakers to get robust
Starbucks in Dublin fined over racist drawing on buyer’s cup – POLITICO
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Rowing the North Atlantic
Two friends, one old boat
Written by Peter Fletcher
From Issue June 2016
In November 2013 I received a phone call from Tommy Hudson, good friend as well as one of my employees. After we chatted for a bit, he said he loved his job but there was something he really wanted to do: row across the North Atlantic. I was instantly inspired; I told Tommy he could go and I was going with him. He laughed and agreed.
Pete Fletcher
On arriving in Australia, MACPAC CHALLENGER took up residence in my garden shed. We started on what was to be just a new paint job, but we found lots of rot and removed most of the cockpit interior structure and even some of the hull.
We spent the next 15 months raising sponsorship and rebuilding an old, wooden, ocean-rowing boat that we hoped would survive the North Atlantic. Things started slowly, but then, thanks to the generous support of Macpac, an outdoor clothing company, and World Challenge, the organization where Tommy and I both worked, we began to make good progress, and our boat became MACPAC CHALLENGER, or MC for short. While the name conjured up an intrepid image, that was certainly unmatched by the reality. As we stripped MC bare with the help of Melbourne boatbuilder Dave Parker, we found more and more unsavory parts. She’d been left to sit out in the elements for two years after her third transatlantic crossing and the neglect showed. There was rot in the bulkheads and in the hull, and at one point Tommy put his hand right through the plywood with no effort at all.
David Briggs
When we shipped MACPAC CHALLENGER to New York, we had finished the main structure, rowing setup, and basic safety components, but still had to obtain and install the electrics and autopilot. The cabin pump, its hose visible on the left side of the cabin, could bail the cabin out in the event that it flooded while the boat was capsized. David Briggs made the decals in our absence and must have had a good laugh, sticking “Row, row, row your boat” decals all around the cockpit. After just two days at sea we vigorously scratched off most of the words, but it was too late and the song was indelibly etched in our heads.
The refurbishment was more extensive than we’d imagined, but it gave us the opportunity to redesign aspects of the layout for what would be a longer, more arduous crossing than the boat had ever undertaken. We repositioned the watermaker—our most vital piece of gear—inside the cabin for protection from the elements, replaced the deck with thicker plywood, and reinforced the main cabin framing.
MACPAC CHALLENGER was trailered to the Melbourne airport for her cargo-plane flight to New York. The scuppers visible in the side would drain most of the water that might wash into the cockpit, leaving only the footwell to pump out.
Our project ran long and over budget, but MC was eventually shipped from Melbourne to New York in February 2015 and we felt confident she’d be ready in time for a May departure.
The night before I flew to New York, Willow, my eldest daughter, just five years old, asked me why we were going. My answer—“To see what it makes of us”—was for both me and Tommy, even though he had told me only two days earlier, at our going-away party, that he had problems in his relationship with his fiancée, he’d been diagnosed with depression, and he didn’t know if he’d come on the row. Tommy was one of the only people with whom I’d embark on this kind of journey, but he had a difficult decision to make: If he came he risked losing his fiancée, and if he stayed behind he might never learn to live happily. I left Melbourne 24 hours before Tommy did, with the nagging question: If it came to it, would I go alone? It was a major relief the following night when I pulled up at the Newark airport and saw a smiling Tommy, standing in the chilly, springtime, New Jersey air.
With the help of ocean-rowing record holder, Simon Chalk, we got down to work. Our confidence in the preparedness of our boat was seriously misplaced. We still had to install the electrics and the autopilot, and we had no choice but to join the boat-shop queue with every other boat owner on the East Coast. The whole project had been a race against the calendar and we missed two good weather windows while we were in Brooklyn working on the boat.
Our autopilot was not meant for ocean-crossing rowing boats and there was no easy way to mount it and protect it from breaking seas. We finally installed it on the gunwale, but when we turned it on it didn’t work. Our fortunes began to change when Wayne, a talented marine electrician, replaced the motor and announced, at 7 p.m. on the 20th of May, that the autopilot worked. We were exhausted, our funds were depleted, and the sun was literally setting on our time in Brooklyn: With the wind from the northwest and the high tide at 10 p.m. that same evening, this was our chance to go.
We rowed west from the marina, staying north along the shore to keep out of a strong northwest wind, and then turned south for Rockaway Point. Wayne had warned us about breakers near the channel there and said, “Get ready to row like hell.” Our adrenaline must have been pumping, because at one point we radioed what we thought was a boat in our path only to find out, after the third unanswered call, that it was an oversized channel marker. The fast-flowing ebb shot us out toward the Atlantic; we set a course to the southeast to get offshore as quickly as possible.
In the morning we were disappointed that we could still see New York looming large behind us. Tommy noticed the compass wasn’t working, so we searched for a small screwdriver to remove and recalibrate it, but the smallest screwdriver we had didn’t fit! Although we eventually managed to remove the compass, I had the ominous feeling that we may have left other important equipment behind, and indeed the screwdriver would turn out to be just the tip of the iceberg.
On day four, the autopilot ram pulled out of the gunwale. We got it stuck back in place but eventually the motor blew. We were still within easy sight of the Empire State Building, and had no way to manage the rudder while we were rowing.
Tommy cobbled together our foot-steering system and got it to move the rudder effectively. The failed autopilot ram is visible at lower left. The foot steering was an early success but an ominous sign of other trials to come, as Tommy later had to fix many of our other key components, including the compass, rear hatch, solar panel, and GPS.
I did my best to keep the bow straight in the waves while Tommy built a foot-operated steering system with odds and ends we had aboard. It looked makeshift but we could finally move the rudder with a twist of a foot. This old-fashioned steering would add days to our crossing, but our fortunes would no longer be tied to the hapless autopilot and the constant din of its motor. A calm came over the boat and for the first time in nearly two years there was nothing else to do. We were rowing; we were free.
That evening Tommy called me out of the cabin, telling me to bring the camera. I came on deck and was mesmerized by a huge shark swimming right next to us. It was majestic and over half as long as our boat. Tommy told me to put the camera in the water, and though I seriously considered throwing it to him, we were just four days out and I still felt I had something to prove. I knelt down and got my arm far into the water and came almost face to face with the shark. It let me keep my arm, and after a few moments moved slowly on its way.
We painted our carbon-fiber oars pink in support of a breast-cancer support organization. We started with eight oars onboard, but dispatched two along with other marginally useful gear to lighten our load. Tommy and I wrote our contact information on the oars in case they showed up on some distant shore. Here, early in the trip Tom’s beard is meager and he is still looking robust in his black T-shirt–the first of three, each worn daily for one month.
With a northwesterly wind in the forecast, we made the decision to forgo the more direct, northerly route in favor of using the wind to reach the Gulf Stream to the south, where we knew we’d make better progress. We rowed hard, but hadn’t anticipated an unfavorable current that trumped both our tailwind and our puny efforts at the oars. After five agonizing days we finally started moving eastward in spite of a 15-knot easterly wind. We’d made it to the Gulf Stream! Frustrated by my arm-rowing technique, Tommy decided it was time to teach me how to row properly by driving from the glutes and quads, and with my improved stroke, a current in our favor, and the wind strengthening from the southwest, we flew along, hitting a new top speed almost every hour. As 15′ following seas began to break, we hurtled down from the crests. I feared MC would nosedive in the trough, but each time she lifted her bow just in time.
We covered over 250 nautical miles in three days and recorded a top speed of 17 knots, later learning that MC’s longest day, 116 miles, had broken the Ocean Rowing World Record for the greatest distance ever covered in 24 hours. We’d had incredible conditions, but MC, a wooden boat in her twilight years, deserved the accolade.
Tommy Hudson
The first time I deployed the sea anchor it was without the trip line, a mistake that could have cost us the anchor. Confucius came to mind: “I hear and I forget. I see and I remember. I do and I understand.” I never again forgot the sea anchor’s second line. Deploying the sea anchor helped cut our losses in unfavorable winds, but resorting to it was often followed by a consolatory cup of tea as we watched our hard-won miles disappear.
Our first storm came a month into the crossing. The wind blew 40-plus knots from the south all day, creating 20′ seas. We were exhausted and at dusk debated whether we should stay on deck to keep the boat from going beam-on to the waves and potentially rolling, or hunker down in the cabin for the night. We decided to retreat and put a small drogue out to keep MC’s stern to the waves while we slept.
It was rare for both of us to be in the cabin and usually that meant tough times, sitting it out on the sea anchor, with regular trips outside to look at the sea state determine the wind direction and strength. The quarters were cramped but with our photos and messages from loved ones, the cabin was our sanctuary.
Breaking waves crashed over the cabin with a mighty force but we were so tired that sleep came easily. It didn’t last, and we woke suddenly in the pitch black at around 2 a.m. as MC pitched violently to port. A moment later we were lying on the roof of the cabin surrounded by water. Our seat belts, which we used to strap ourselves to the cabin sole, had broken and with all the water around us it seemed as if the cabin had fractured. There was little we could do but trust that the ballast would bring us back up. MC rose and fell with several waves but remained inverted, so Tommy and I clawed up one side of the cabin and after few more waves, MC righted herself. I got my foulweather gear and harness on, got out on deck and closed the hatch as quickly as possible. In the dark it was hard to judge the extent of the damage, but it was clear that we’d lost the drogue, the stern bridle, and the main bilge pump.
When dawn emerged, we could fully assess the boat’s condition. The battery monitor indicated we were almost out of power and the GPS was completely shorted. We could have limped on without navigation and communications equipment, but we needed power to run the watermaker, so we simply had to maintain the electrics. We found water seeping through the hull into one of the battery compartments. To keep the water from destroying the battery, Tommy drilled holes down low in the battery compartment partition so water could drain into the footwell where we could easily pump it out.
Low-pressure systems bringing wind and rain were a common occurrence and waves would often grow too large to negotiate with the foot-steering system. Here Tommy is holding the hand steering lines to keep the stern into the waves.
At our going-away party we’d had a sweepstakes to predict how long the crossing would take. Guesses ranged from 60 days to over 100, and Tommy and I guessed 75 days. With winds so rarely in our favor, it was 31 days before we notched 1,000 nautical miles out of over 3,000. Tommy and I were joined that day by hundreds of dolphins, and agreed that a swim with them was the perfect way to celebrate the milestone, even as late as we were getting to it, and give ourselves a much-needed bath. We must have underestimated our stench, because as soon as we took the plunge the dolphins vanished.
We discovered that roughly 40 percent of our food supply had spoiled, and our slow progress compounded the problem of not having enough to eat for the rest of the crossing. We couldn’t help but reflect on one of the comments my wife Beth and Tom’s fiancée Jodie had made during an interview before we left: “They’ll be fine as long as they have enough to eat.” Tom and I had previously discussed rationing, and though we desperately wanted to avoid it, we now had no choice. We worked out how much longer the crossing should take and divided our supplies by the number of days.
It was late in the crossing to establish the kind of routine that would give us the best chance of making it to England, but after we discovered the spoiled food we decided it was time we got organized. We stopped rowing together and settled on round-the clock 2.5-hour, solo rowing shifts. We also focused on our boat “culture.” We’d leave a hot flask on deck for the next person, and, when it was wet, do longer shifts to save us from both being miserable and reduce the amount of water in the cabin. We couldn’t expect to be on top of the world all the time, but with just two people onboard, managing emotions was crucial. We talked a lot, and one of our favorite pastimes was “Top Tens.” At first this was the usual stuff— influential movies, books, funniest moments—and then it turned to more philosophical topics—passions, people we look up to, and plans for the future.
provided by Israel Cannan via an onboard Go Pro
Rowing in tough conditions was risky as a lapse in concentration could easily result in catching a crab and taking an oar in the ribs or worse. The wind here was not yet blowing 30 to 35 knots, the point at which we’d generally clip in our safety tethers.
About a week after the first storm, we experienced another, and this time it was a direct hit. The wind blew 40-plus knots from the south for 12 hours, then at midnight it came in at about 60 knots from the north. The sudden change in direction played havoc with the waves, which rose to 30′ and marched in the dark from every direction. Tommy had been on deck at the change in wind direction, and when I relieved him in the early hours of the morning it was clear that he was physically exhausted and mentally rattled. He wanted out and I wouldn’t have been far behind him, but knowing we couldn’t actually get off the boat, we agreed to get some rest and then, like all members of the British Empire who find themselves in a crisis, we put the kettle on!
Anniversaries and birthdays passed by back home without us, and Tommy was desperate to get back to begin rebuilding his relationship; I sorely missed my three girls. But with the currents and particularly bad weather of 2015, the more we focused on the disappointing distance we had covered, the more psychologically harrowing the full length of the crossing became. Our journey was less a test of speed and more a test of endurance. This required a different mindset.
We talked about the few things that would put an end to the crossing, things like a man overboard, major injury, flooding the cabin, and running out of fresh water, which now had become a major concern. The decline in water quality from the watermaker was so gradual that at first we didn’t notice the increased salinity. Eventually I got stomach cramps and kidney pain, and inevitably crashed; Tommy did three rowing shifts back-to-back to cover for me. Our watermaker badly needed a service, and although we had the service kit, we’d lent its Allen key to a boat owner in Brooklyn and hadn’t got it back.
Pete takes a shift at the oars on the home stretch. After some long delays the sea anchor (in its red bag to port) was finally packed away and with roughly 600 miles to go, rowing never felt so good. With its high windage, MC leaned away from a crosswind, so leaving some gear on deck on the windward side kept the boat on an even keel. By this time our signs of hunger were becoming ever more visible.
Tommy nobly had me drink from the 120 liters of bottled fresh-water ballast while he persevered with the poorly desalinated water. It was a selfless act that I now suspect impacted Tommy far more than I appreciated at the time. With both food and water now heavily rationed, our crossing became even more a race against time.
Around 600 nautical miles from England we found ourselves on the wrong side of two high-pressure systems that produced easterly winds for 8 out of 10 days, and with food so low we had to change our approach to meals. Instead of continuing with our structured rationing system, we divided up all remaining food and resolved to eat no more than what we needed to get through the day. To make the food go further I only ate before a shift and would immediately clean my teeth to mark the end of each paltry meal; Tommy made a powder out of his remaining dark chocolate and he’d dip his finger in it to savor the taste. With dried beef in the greatest supply, we created unusual hot drinks including “Green Tea Beef” and Tommy’s favorite “Boffee.”
While the easterlies blew, with nothing to do but hang on the sea anchor we nicknamed this time “The Waiting Place” in recollection of Oh the Places You’ll Go, by Dr. Seuss. I created a verse of our own:
Waiting for the wind to change
To go around to a better range
Waiting for the rain to pass
Hoping that the tins will last
Buying time for bums to heal
Hands to thaw and feet to feel
Sitting around fighting cold
Praying that the anchor holds
With so little food and so far to go, we couldn’t risk losing the sea anchor. Without it we’d have no other way to combat adverse winds and could lose 50 miles in a day. For the first few days the wind blew at a constant 15 knots, but then it gradually increased to 25 and 30 knots, the strongest in which we’d used the sea anchor. With 6′ to 10′ waves coming over the bow and so much tension on the system, we made the decision to pull in the sea anchor and allow Mother Nature to send us backward at 2 or 3 knots. While this was one of the toughest decisions to make, it was the closest we ever came to letting go of our plans and ambitions and accepting whatever came our way with equanimity. We were now in the hands of fate flying along in the wrong direction, thinking we’d probably be 100 days at sea before reaching shore.
We got a text message over the satellite phone from Glenn McGrath, whose late wife Jane founded the cancer charity we were supporting, urging us to keep going. The easterlies eventually abated and we got a great run toward home. To go into the record books as an unassisted crossing we had to reach 5 degrees west, the Ocean Rowing Society’s official finish line, after which we could accept a delivery of supplies. Our colleague Simon Drayton set about trying to organize the delivery. A Cornish fisherman, Jimmy, and his crew agreed to make a detour to us on their way to their fishing grounds. My wife Beth and three girls, who had moved to Cornwall for the summer, dropped food canisters to Jimmy, but the effort was in vain. A storm kept them in port.
For two hungry men, cleaning a fish is a serious job. The throw cushion in front of the cabin door made it easy on our knees getting in and out of the cabin and also served as our kitchen countertop. A couple of cook pots melted circles in the covering.
On the evening of day 95 we received word of Jimmy’s delay and we were bitterly disappointed. On the dawn rowing shift after receiving the message—the morning of day 96, the day on which we would finally cross 5 degrees west—I went to the bow to retrieve one of the last bottles of drinking water, and came across the most wonderful sight. In the footwell of the rowing station was a 6″ fish delivered by the storm waves of the previous night. I was over the moon, and I immediately called Tommy out of the cabin to see what we’d inadvertently caught. Referring to divine intervention, Tommy said that at least He has a sense of humor! I cleaned the fish, cut it into six parts, quickly boiled it, and we enjoyed the most succulent meal of our lives.
Just before dusk, Tommy saw something on the AIS (Automatic Identification System) screen that we hadn’t seen in all our days at sea, a battleship. It was heading straight for us at 20 knots. He immediately radioed the ship and confirmed they were on their way to drop us a care package that would help get us home. Although we were absolutely thrilled at the prospect of having a proper meal, we were still a mile from reaching 5 degrees west, so we called Simon Chalk and confirmed that we could take the package without compromising the unassisted crossing as long as we crossed the line before opening the package.
The frigate HMS PORTLAND appearing out of the gray was a sight to behold. After being at sea for 96 days, I was so used to the two of us bearing the responsibility for anything that had to be done that I was working on a plan for the delivery. I asked Tommy how we’d coordinate it. He laughed harder than he had in days, and responded that in all likelihood Her Majesty’s Ship would coordinate us! The 436′ frigate left MC to starboard at a safe distance before deploying a rigid inflatable boat (RIB) with four personnel who were next to us in seconds. They gave us three large bags of food, two flasks of hot soup, and HMS PORTLAND caps, which we donned with pride. We thanked them profusely, and once the RIB was back on the battleship, its captain called on the VHF to say “Well done” and wish us a safe passage to Falmouth. We were impressed with the courtesy and generosity of the British Navy.
We packed the food down in the cabin before Tommy took to the oars in a very wet 35- to 40-knot southwesterly. Although it was uncomfortable on deck for him, with little energy between us left to row, it was the push we needed on the penultimate night at sea. After receiving the fresh supplies we knew we should ease back into food slowly, but this was easier said than done. Tommy was ravenous and ate seven meals in close succession before falling into a deep sleep.
For the entire voyage, Tom had lamented having to survive without licorice and when the boat arrived to tow us from Lizard Point to Falmouth Bay, it brought a bag of his favorite candy. He was happy, and I was in peace!
Alone on deck at around 4 p.m., I looked over my shoulder and saw land for the first time in 97 days. At first I couldn’t remove my gaze for fear that it was an illusion, but then when I knew the sight was real, I was overwhelmed with joy and laughed aloud as tears rolled down my cheeks. With a full moon, clear sky, and 15-knot tailwind, the final night in the English Channel couldn’t have been better. The many boats and the flashes from the Longships and Lizard lighthouses were sure signs that civilization was only hours away.
In the morning we were very grateful to have a lift from the Deputy Harbormaster who towed us from Lizard Point up to Falmouth Bay, before releasing us to row MC to a waiting crowd at 10 a.m. on August 27. As we reached the dock, I heard Willow asking which one is her daddy and in the next moment my family was in my arms.
Nine months have passed since we stepped ashore, and perhaps Tommy and I did see what the crossing would make of us. Tommy feels like he was stripped bare by the ocean and all that’s left is potential that he can shape in any way he sees fit. He’s a new man and knows he can be anything he chooses. If there’s something that I learned, it has to be: Never set foot on an ocean-rowing boat again!
Peter Fletcher is the Managing Director of World Challenge, a youth-development organization that enables high-school students to develop life and leadership skills through challenging student-led expeditions overseas. Although originally from the UK, Peter now calls Australia home and when not working overseas, he lives on Victoria’s Mornington Peninsula with his wife, three daughters, puppy, and the family chickens.
If you have an interesting story to tell about your adventures with a small wooden boat, please email us a brief outline and a few photos.
Ron Spellman says:
Great story. We all dream of such a journey but very few take the chance. Congratulations.
Thanks Ron!
Got to say as a historian, I have to wonder what Harbo and Samuelson would have thought about the kit that is now needed to row across. They did have the advantage in their 55-day crossing [in 1896] of rowing a route that was well populated with shipping, and indeed took advantage of it for resupply after FOX was rolled over. Think that the Coast Guard would let you out of the harbor if you were trying to replicate it?
Good question Ben. Like you, I have a feeling the Coast Guard would have something to say about it.
Even with our modern gear, that was the other reason we took our opportunity to leave that night. Thanks for reading.
Robert Hale says:
My only comment: Well done, very well done!
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Amazfit Pace Is Bringing Affordability to GPS Watches [Review]
Elliot Volkman March 1st 2017 3:30 pm
Huami and Xiaomi may not be well established brands in the US just yet, but over the next few years we’ll be hearing a lot from each of them. In fact, last year we reviewed the duo’s last fitness tracker, Mi Band 2, with rave reviews. And now, Huami is back with a GPS enabled fitness smartwatch.
Dubbed the Amazfit Pace, this rather affordable GPS tracker uses a customized version of Android Wear, features an always-on transflective touch screen, prompts you with notifications from your phone, and allows you to store music directly on it. Unlike most other GPS or fitness trackers, Huami’s goal with the Pace is an untethered experience. To get a firm grasp on its offerings, over a period of a month and a half, we took the Amazfit Pace on sweaty runs, an insane half-marathon trail run, and casual everyday use.
2/3/2017 Update: Shortly after publishing this review, Amazfit released a new software update that improves the GPS accuracy, adds cycling, and better data synching.
Features/Specs
Unlike most other GPS enabled smartwatches, the Amazfit Pace has a very reasonable price tag of $160. By comparison, Garmin is one of the more popular GPS-enabled watch brands, and their most similar model costs $20 less, has a slightly less favorable battery life, a basic LED display, and receives push notifications from your phone.
It also boasts some solid battery life with between 3-5 days of active tracking and 11 days of basic use. For serious runners, the price tag alone should be appealing, especially when it comes time to upgrade beyond advance step trackers like Fitbit; however, the watch is not without its shortcomings.
GPS and Data Tracking
As far as basics go, the Amazfit does a great job. Between GPS location tracking, heart rate monitoring, and sleep tracking, the smartwatch appears to be just as accurate as competing hardware. For example, we took the watch out while on a half-marathon trail run out in the wilderness, and the Amazfit accurately tracked distances and heart rate in parallel to the Apple Watch 2. Through several other outdoor runs in other environments, it continued to track with near identical results.
Of the data tracked, the watch will pull: distance, time, pace, heart rate, calories, speed, cadence, maximum/average moving pace, max/avg moving speed, max/avg cadence, altitude, elevation gain, elevation loss, and min/max altitude.
While the Amazfit Pace does have an integration with Strava, it’s limited in passing off data. It also does not support Google Fit or Apple Healthkit yet, which is a huge pain.
Notifications are great, but data-based coaching is even better. The Amazfit touts a lot of different data points, and you can have it display more or less while in an activity. While on the go, you’ll get the basics, including vibration alerts, for when you hit mile markers, but there are other advanced settings.
Unlike the Apple Watch, Amazfit also includes pace alerts. If you start to hit a pace slower than your target, it’ll notify you to pick up the pace. Other GPS trackers offer this as well, but cost a bit more money.
One of the more unique features is that the watch allows you to store about 4GB worth of music on it. Using wireless or Bluetooth connected earbuds or speakers, you can then play music directly from the watch, rather than using your phone. This would be great in theory, except you can’t control the music while running, there is no way to shuffle it, and it just plays in a straight line. This could just be speaking from personal experience, but there is a lot of swapping of music during long distance running to find the right motivator.
Overall, the Amazfit Pace is a great piece of hardware, is accurate with tracking, but has quite a few software shortcomings.
GPS watches are not what we would call pretty or fashionable. Apple’s latest watch version has that edge over most competitors, but otherwise screens are often oversized, a bit bulky, and designed to take hits. Amazfit Pace on the other hand looks pretty damn good, but it’s still not something you’d likely wear during an evening out on the town.
With a slightly oversized watch face, it boasts a ceramic bezel that allows it to look better and remain resistant to scratches. Amazfit also has an IP67 rating, which allows it to be water and dust resistant as well, but would not be ideal for swimming. It also uses standard watch bands, which means you can more easily customize it away from the flashier red/orange colors. Speaking of colors, the default base comes in either red or black, as do their bands.
Generally speaking, the hardware itself looks nice, but once again has some issues tied to the software. Within that large screen size is an always-on transflective color LCD screen. In theory, this means the watch face will automatically adjust for the level of light hitting it, but due to the automatic settings it’s rather difficult to see in the dark. And, because there is no way to manually adjust the brightness, that is a huge pain. Like other trackers, the Amazfit also features several different watch faces; however, these too can’t be customized. Due to this being a Chinese watch converted for Americans, there are still some UI bugs to flesh out, such as forced 24 hour clocks instead of 12 hour clocks, and using Chinese audio queues alongside English text prompts.
Overall the hardware looks great, can take the kinds of hits you’ll experience when running, but lacks customizations for watch faces and has issues with LCD brightness.
Accurate GPS, sensors
Lightweight, comfortable design
Great display, sans brightness
Can’t adjust screen brightness
Limited, custom Android Wear
Limited data export
Overall Thoughts
Should you buy the Amazfit Pace? It depends. On one hand, we really dig the hardware. On the other, the software uses some sort of custom version of Android Wear, but it’s feature locked and over-simplified. In the future, we’d suspect that the software will improve to the point where the watch will better integrate with Apple Healthkit, Google Fit, or other fitness apps, but right now you're stuck with a limited Strava connection. Software aside, the Amazfit has a decent active battery life, is physically designed well, and is accurate for tracking distance, heart rate, and sleep.
We give the Amazfit Pace a 3.6 out of 5, but would still recommend it as a standalone, affordable GPS watch. It’s designed to be untethered from your smartphone, but currently it feels like that connection is more of an afterthought. If they fix up the English version of the software, the score would easily get a boost.
Where to buy: Amazon, Amazfit
Elliot Volkman
@thejournalizer
Elliot is an award winning journalist deeply ingrained in the startup world and is often digging into emerging technology and data. When not writing, he's likely either running or training for a triathlon. You can contact him by email at elliot(@)elliotvolkman.com or follow him on Twitter @thejournalizer.
Tom Fogden - 1 week ago
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Norwegian art | the mysterious boy from Setesdal | Norway
Carl Fredrik Sundt-Hansen created this fascinating oil painting in 1904. It is like a window leading into the house of history. If only we could climb through.
«Boy from Setesdal» - oil painting by Carl Fredrik Sundt-Hansen from 1904. The model is said to be Aanund Aanundson Rike. | Photo: Stavanger kunstmuseum cc pdm.
Sometimes, photographs or paintings draw you in – and with this fascinating oil painting, the painter Carl Fredrik Sundt-Hansen somehow creates a gateway to the other side of time.
Sundt-Hansen (1841-1907) was a Danish-Norwegian painter born in Stavanger, Rogaland. He mainly painted portraits and scenes from everyday life.
Who is the boy?
The boy is said to be Aanund Aanundson Rike, and the location is Valle, Setesdal – in the southern Norwegian region of Agder – where the painter lived during the last few years of his life.
Notice the grey, woollen sweater, with a typical local pattern: a setesdalsgenser.
What if we could speak to Aanund and his people, go behind the wall? What if we could break bread with them and follow them in their daily work?
The cynic may argue that we would not want to; life was hard back then. Of course it was hard; it is not always so easy in this day and age either. I would definitely risk the climb.
Carl Fredrik Sundt-Hansen. Self portrait – oil painting – 1906. | Photo: Stavanger kunstmuseum cc pdm.
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Åre is a Norwegian noun that means an open fireplace, placed on the floor in the middle of a room. The smoke goes up and out through a vent in the roof - the ljore.
The last workhorse at Sandaker farm | Norway
When I was a boy, it was the workhorse that pulled the heaviest weight in agricultural life. And this had been the reality for as long as anyone could remember.
Sami people | the Coastal Sami and their homes | Sapmi
The traditional Sami houses, the goahti, were in use until well into our own time. Anders Larsen tells us how he remembers them from the coastal Sami communities in northern Norway.
Reindeer | an ancient presence in the Norwegian mountains
When the ice melted after the last ice age, herds of reindeer followed in its wake. And with the animals came their main predator: the humans.
Norwegian history | the Bronze age | Norway
With the Bronze age came a new and important phase in human history and development: mankind learned how to make tools and other objects from a metal they called bronze.
Homestead | the first farms appeared in the Stone age | Norway
In Scandinavia, agriculture first appeared in the Stone age – around 2400 BC. The early farmers cleared their land by using simple tools and fire.
Folk tales | Pesta and the Black Death | Norway
Folklore and old folk tales often depict The Black Death in the shape of an ashen-faced old woman. Her name was Pesta.
Norwegian history | reborn as a sovereign state | Norway
17 May 1814 is regarded as the birth of the modern-day Norwegian state. But it took almost another hundred years before the Norwegians could declare complete independence.
Queen Maud of Norway | her background and childhood years
Queen Maud of Norway was born in London in 1869, as Princess Maud of Wales. Her grandmother was none other than the formidable Queen Victoria.
10 July is the feast day of Saint Knut - Knutsok - and marks the beginning of the haymaking season - høyonna - in the old Norwegian farming calendar.
Ski history | hunting in a landscape with deep snow | Norway
The word ski comes from the Old Norse language, with the meaning cleft wood. The old Norwegians were master hunters, and have been skiing for over 5000 years.
Vintage photos | the tools and handicrafts | Norway
Old objects tell stories, silent stories about a time gone by.
Norwegian history | in union with Sweden | Norway
In this period, Norway was still primarily a nation of farmers, fishermen and hunters. In AD 1801, 90% of the population lived in rural areas.
A Norwegian’s take on the lead-up to the Black Death | Norway
The Black Death – mother of all plagues - ravaged humankind in the mid-1300s. A Norwegian scholar takes us through the lead up to the disaster.
Homestead | the Sæterhaugen farm saga | Norway
In 1942, Hans Hyldbakk wrote the history of the local cotter's holdings in Surnadal, Nordmøre, Norway. The book was updated in 1966.
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TalkPython['Podcast']
Learn Python with Talk Python's Python courses
Continuum: Scientific Python and The Business of Open Source
Episode #34, published Tue, Nov 17, 2015, recorded Mon, Oct 26, 2015.
iTunes Google MP3 Transcript Embed
This episode is carbon neutral.
What if you built a product that dramatically improved how hundreds of free, open source Python libraries worked together, gave it to the world for free, and then built a thriving business on it? It's the open-source dream really, isn't it? In this episode, we talk with Travis Oliphant from Continuum who did exactly that!
Links from the show:
Continuum: continuum.io
Anaconda: continuum.io/why-anaconda
Travis on twitter: @teoliphant
Guide to NumPy: 2nd Edition Book: amzn.to/1Sz393R
Bokeh: bokeh.pydata.org/en/latest
Want to go deeper? Check out our courses
Async Techniques in Python
Mastering PyCharm
Travis Oliphant
Travis has a Ph.D. from the Mayo Clinic and B.S. and M.S. degrees in Mathematics and Electrical Engineering from Brigham Young University. Since 1997, he has worked extensively with Python for numerical and scientific programming, most notably as the primary developer of the NumPy package, and as a founding contributor of the SciPy package. He is also the author of the definitive Guide to NumPy. As CEO of Continuum Analytics, Travis engages customers in all industries, develops business strategy, and helps guide technical direction of the company. He actively contributes to software development and engages with the wider open source community in the Python ecosystem. He has served as a director of the Python Software Foundation and as a director of NumFOCUS.
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Flights Tours Charters Freight Specials About Contact
Tours Flights Charter Freight Specials
About Reviews Blog FAQs Contact
Misty Fjords Flightseeing
Web Rates Starting At
Book Now *Rate is only valid for tours purchased through the website
Misty Fjords National Monument. A new high in discovering Alaska scenery.
Fly through the Misty Fjords National Monument on a once-in-a-lifetime floatplane adventure.
Wondering what to do in Ketchikan? We’ll fly you up and over the most breathtaking Alaska scenery you may ever see. During your 55 minute flight you’ll have an eagle’s eye view of Misty Fjords National Monument, a land of awesome natural beauty and rugged grandeur that’s best seen by air.
From your window seat you can follow your route with a detailed map. All the while you’ll hear commentary in your headset describing where you are and what you’re seeing.
What it’s really like to see the Misty Fjords by air.
Here’s how your Misty Fjords floatplane tour will look and feel. Imagine yourself in a flawlessly maintained DeHavilland Beaver or Otter. A highly trained, experienced bush pilot is at the controls. You are on top of the world, with the Misty Fjords National Monument sparkling below. This ice-rimmed wilderness was slowly carved out by massive glaciers tens of thousands of years ago. You’ll see cascading waterfalls, jewel-like lakes, and abundant wildlife. Lock your eyes on sheer walls of granite plunging over 3,000 feet into the fjords, lush forests of spruce, hemlock and cedar clinging to snowcapped peaks.
All in all, flightseeing over this pristine wilderness may be the highlight of your trip.
Please Note: The weather is always part of your flight plan. You may see New Eddystone Rock and Big Goat Lake to the South or Neets Bay and Bell Island Hot Springs to the North, depending on how the weather alters your route. As you might expect, this is another aspect of watching out for your safety. We are a Five Star Medallion Shield carrier. Without going into too much detail, let’s just say we are recognized for our distinguished safety and maintenance record.
Passenger names and weights are required by the FAA for weight and balance calculations and flight manifesting. To ensure aircraft weight and balance is within operating parameters, guests weighing 250 lbs. (clothed weight) or more may be required to pay an additional surcharge of $150 over the published fare direct to the tour operator. A no-bag policy applies; however, if you have medical needs that require a carry-on bag, please see the Shore Excursion office on board. All other bags brought to our terminal will be stored until you return from your flight.
1.75 hours, including transfer
Non-slip shoes, layered clothing and rain gear recommended
Aircraft weight/balance may require guests 250 lbs or more to pay surcharge
Shopping opportunities will be available at Taquan Air's terminal
TAQUAN AIR SEAPLANE TOUR OF MISTY FJORDS
This excursion was the highlight of our week long Alaska cruise! Our pilot, Adam, was both entertaining and knowledgeable. The scenery was absolutely breathtaking, and the flight was exhilarating. We take a lot of photos and videos on trips, but eventually, we put down the cameras. We wanted to take in the beautiful sights and we knew that pictures and videos could only capture a fraction of what we were seeing. If you ever have opportunity to fly with Taquan Air and take this tour, DO IT!
DIANN R
Amazing flight
Fabulous flight with Larry! Incredible views and lots of laughs. Loved every minute of our tour from take off to landing!
Holly K - Pennsylvania
Fly me to the Moon, Larry
I can see that Larry has already been mentioned in previous reviews, but I have to add another because he’s quite simply a lovely man and excellent pilot.
I wasn’t the most confident flyer in my group but Larry’s approach was reassuring, kind and courteous. All in all a tip top gentlemen.
Oh the sights were pretty awesome too.
Lesley E - London
The Misty Fjords and Killer Music with Jim
Our family. three generations ranging in age from 10 to 75, spent an amazing couple of hours with our pilot, Jim, flying over the Misty Fjords, seeing breathtaking sites and learning much about the creation of the fjords and their history. Our pilot, Jim, was both knowledgeable and entertaining, interspersing his informative narratives with an outstanding music selection. In fact, it is worth noting, that despite the unparalleled beauty of the Misty Fjords from aloft, Jim's selection of tunes runs a very, very close second and really added to the intensity of the excursion. Many thanks to Jim for his expert flying, his knowledge of the history, geology, and geography of the fjords and choices of MUSIC. A memorable experience it was, to say the least.
Michael C - North Carolina
Private: Deluxe Misty Fjords Flightseeing
Taquan Air operates under a special use permit from the US Forest Service. This institution is an equal opportunity provider.
Kawanti
© 2021 Taquan Air. All rights reserved.
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Home Features Sigma Kappa steers the campus to a cause
Sigma Kappa steers the campus to a cause
By Signal Contributor
By Noor Azeem
Going four years strong, the College’s Sigma Kappa sorority held its annual Ultra Violet Week to raise money for the Alzheimer’s Association – the sorority’s national philanthropy.
Sigma Kappa devotes the week to raising awareness about Alzheimer’s disease and the importance of knowing its effects at a young age. (Photo courtesy of Ashley Schreyer)
From selling purple ribbons, sunglasses and paper elephants at the Brower Student Center to the car show to which the whole week led up, the Sigma Kappa sisters have been busy arranging everything to make the week of Sept. 8 a success for their charity.
“(Alzheimer’s) is not a very widely known disease. What people don’t know is that it affects more people than breast and prostate cancer combined,” said junior graphic design major and Ultra Violet Week chair Taylor Timpson.
As the sixth leading cause of death in the United States, it does seem like Alzheimer’s is often overlooked in the press and media.
“It’s a good cause, and I’m glad that I’m a part of it,” Timpson said.
To kick off the first of the Ultra Violet Week events, Rose Berger from the Alzheimer’s Association came to speak at the College, aiming to educate the masses about Alzheimer’s and drive home the importance of donating to the cause.
A disease that can’t be prevented or cured, Alzheimer’s research has about $1 million in funding for research to find cures and preventative treatments or screenings. That number, while it might seem like quite a bit of money at first glance, is “a drop in the bucket” compared to the billions of dollars other organizations have to research diseases, according to Berger.
“Society’s going to be paying for it,” she said, referencing the number of people aging into the disease.
After giving a presentation on the signs, symptoms and mechanics of Alzheimer’s, which included many videos of firsthand accounts of those living with the disease – both those afflicted and caregivers – and ways donations can help research by funding things like clinical trials, support groups and 24-hour helplines, Berger was open to speaking to attendees after the event if they had any more questions.
As a geriatric social worker for 30 years, she’s been around familiar with the cause.
“I appreciate the fact that the sorority and younger people are really supporting our effort and that people are starting young,” she said.
Members of Sigma Kappa all were proud of the efforts the sorority made to ensure this year’s Ultra Violet Week was even better than the last few.
“I think it’s improved tremendously,” said president of Sigma Kappa and senior early childhood education and STEM double major Courtney McGovern.
“The facts and figures are more shocking than people would think,” senior chemistry major Amy Solinski said. “I think it’s a really good way to lead to the car show, which is where we get the most funds.”
Two days after the presentation by Rose Berger, the sorority hosted a Memory Game show. Participants put their knowledge of various trivia to the test, along with questions about the basic facts of Alzheimer’s disease.
Attendees got to learn more about the disease while hopefully realizing exactly how much their memories destabilize with age, how losing simple abilities relating to memories can affect your life and how the severity of suffering brought to those with Alzheimer’s goes unnoticed on the national stage.
The final event of the week, the car show, closed off two parking lots, filling them with vintage cars of all colors, shapes and sizes. Tables from various other fraternities and sororities decorated the perimeter, all selling items that would raise money for the cause.
Sophomore English and communication studies double major Brooke Schmidt came to the car show because she “love(s) old cars and thought there would be fried Oreos.” Amanda Bowsky, a sophomore math major “wanted to see all the cars and support Sigma Kappa and Alzheimer’s awareness.”
People of all ages and interest came out to support the charity and enjoy the car show, which was a big event but was pulled together without a hitch.
“It’s always stressful, especially with an outdoor event, but thankfully everything worked out smoothly,” according to Megan Esposito, a sophomore elementary education and i-STEM double major.
Proud owners collected their awards for Best of Show, Best Paint, Most Memorable and People’s Choice for cars like a 1957 Chevrolet Bel Air and a 1955 Plymouth Savoy.
“It was really fun and I can’t wait until next year,” said deaf education and history double major Faith Hardy.
The car show came to a close as the car owners revved up their engines and sped away, leading the way to an even bigger and better Ultra Violet Week next year.
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Roberto Pugliese – “Art Goes Logomo”
Roberto Pugliese will present to the group exhibition Art Goes Logomo at LOGOMO (Turku) the installation La finta semplice and the works Risonanti pressioni materiche and Tromba solo – Omaggio a Paolo Fresu.
Art Goes Logomo exhibition gathers together works by 20 contemporary Finnish and international artists. The summer exhibition offers a high quality cross-section of different media such as sound installations, video, photography, sculpture and painting. Fundamental and current themes in contemporary art are present in the exhibition: man’s relation to nature, science and the built environment, criticism of society, reflecting art history and human growth, to mention few. Roughness, sense of humour, colourful political statements or exploration of one’s own mindset are some of the approaches the exhibition’s artists have based their work on.
Starts: 9 June 2017
Ends: 13 August 2017
LOGOMO
Köydenpunojankatu 14
mostre@studiolacitta.it
The photographer Vincenzo Castella is among the winners of the “Strategia Fotografia 2020” competition promoted by the Directorate-General for Contemporary Creativity (DGCC) of the Ministry for cultural heritage and activities and for tourism (MiBACT).
Exibart has published an article on the exhibition entitled Rosso e Grigio currently set up at Studio la Città. Read the article
Tracey Snelling has been awarded the 2020 Foundwork Artist Prize, the annual juried award to recognize outstanding practice by contemporary artists.
Her work “Lost Year Motel” was presented for the first time in the spaces of Studio la Città on the occasion of the exhibition La Musée 2, which ended on 21 November 2020.
Studio la Città takes part of ArtVerona Digital, which will be held on the Artshell platform with three events:
DIGITAL BLACK 27 Novembre 2020
DIGITAL YELLOW from 4 to 14 December 2020
DIGITAL WHITE from 5 December 2020 to 10 January 2021
We are pleased to announce that from December 2020 Studio la Città will represent Angela Caputi in the Verona area.
Giorgia Severi is among the twenty Italian and international artists present in the show Tree Time, which will be open from 30 October 2020 until 30 May 2021 at MUSE, Trento.
LA TRANCE
A short film about life during Shutdown in Los Angeles, with artwork by Brian Alfred inspired by photographs by Ben Radatz, featuring music by Four Tet.
Hiroyuki Masuyama is one of the artists in the exhibition True Fictions. Fotografia visionaria dagli anni ’70 ad oggi, the first retrospective exhibition ever held in Italy of staged photography. The exhibition opens at the Palazzo Magnani Foundation (RE) on 17 October 2020 and will end on 10 January 2021.
The Certosa di San Giacomo in Capri host the show Fons vitae by Antonio Ievolella, installed in the small and large cloisters of the Chapel of San Bruno. The exhibition is open from 11 October to 30 November 2020.
“I like to think that my work conserves the totality of the moment in which I made it. I would like it to remain new, uncontaminated by the taste of the time”.
Your work is uncontaminated, but your absence is immense
Michael Najjar is one of the artists who are part of the new exhibition at the Gallerie d’Italia in Vicenza entitled FUTURO | Arte e società dagli anni Sessanta a domani, conceived and curated by Luca Beatrice and Walter Guadagnini with the patronage of the Comune di Vicenza.
The photographs by Massimo Vitali will be on display at the MEF – Ettore Fico Museum, starting on Friday 25 September 2020. The exhibition will include more than 30 works, chosen from the production of his last twenty-five years.
Massimo Vitali. Costellazioni umane, curated by Andrea Busto | MEF Museo Ettore Fico – via Francesco Cigna 114 – Turin | in collaboration with Mazzoleni, London – Torino | 25 September – 20 December 2020
Studio la Città continues with its collaboration with the city museums, in particular with the Museo di Castelvecchio. This time the protagonist of the collaboration is the installation by the artist from Athens Costas Varotsos, titled Orizzonte, a work from 1996 in iron and glass that the artist, habituated to working in large and often natural spaces, has decided to place in the castle gardens.
On the occasion of the anniversary for Studio la Città’s 50 years of activity, Artnet publishes an interview with Hélène de Franchis in which the gallery owner talks about her story and reveals the content of the video created to celebrate the most important moments of hes career.
Michael Najjar‘s next space journey, on Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic shuttle, was documented by Federica Lavarini in an article published on May 17 in the insert La Lettura of Il Corriere della Sera.
Studio la Città was supposed to open the VETRO (GLASS) exhibition on 21 March 2020. The Covid emergency forced us to close the doors of our gallery and to postpone the opening. Despite this, Studio la Città does not stop and offers the opportunity to admire the exhibition thanks to a special “virtual guided tour”. WATCH THE VIDEO
In this video-documentary, Jacob Hashimoto reveals to the public, directly from his New York studio, the creative realization of his first bicycle, conceived in collaboration with the amazing bicycle framebuilder Dario Pegoretti within the Ciavete project. WATCH THE VIDEO
In this interesting video Jacob Hashimoto reflect about his beautiful room-sized installations inspired by Minecraft. See the FULL VIDEO!
McDonald’s opens its new Chicago headquarters in the West Loop neighborhood. A project that combines design and culture, which intends to embrace today’s changes in work and lifestyles. Inside the building stands a huge waterfall of colored kites: a suspended installation by our artist Jacob Hasimoto, tailor-made to welcome visitors in the atrium of the new building. Ph. credit: Garrett Rowland
Now you can find us on YouTube! Subscribe to our channel for reviewing exhibitions presentations explained directly by artists and curators.
Lungadige Galtarossa, 21
info@studiolacitta.it
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Sudansupport.no
Styret 2019-2020
Jubileumsskrift 2013
?Fotoprosjekt
Posted on 24. mai 2018 by Hans-Petter Storemyr
South Sudan’s quiet victims of war: With HIV, without help
Associated Press May. 24, 2018
YAMBIO, South Sudan (AP) — Tracing his fingers over his bald head, the 11-year-old boy shifts uncomfortably in his chair. «I’m scared,» James Seferino says. «All I know is that if I don’t take my pills I’ll die.»
The boy’s mother died of AIDS several years ago because she didn’t know where to get help, said the boy’s father, Andrea Seferino, who also is HIV-positive.
South Sudan‘s five-year civil war is quietly creating another kind of victim: those prevented from getting life-saving antiretroviral medicine. Experts say the number of affected people could be in the hundreds of thousands.
Currently just 13 percent of the estimated 200,000 South Sudanese living with HIV are being treated, according to UNAIDS. That compares to 42 percent of people in neighboring Congo, another impoverished country that has long faced instability.
Unless South Sudan‘s fighting stops it could take decades to turn the tide and decrease the number of new annual cases, the best measure of whether a country has the disease under control, according to the U.S. Embassy. The United States is the largest donor to South Sudan‘s HIV programs at about $20 million a year.
The United Nations urges «concrete actions» to reduce unnecessary deaths and new infections, the South Sudan interim country representative for the World Health Organization, Evans M. Liyosi, told The Associated Press.
Although South Sudan‘s 2.7 percent HIV prevalence isn’t notably high for sub-Saharan Africa when compared to countries like Swaziland, whose prevalence is at 27 percent according to UNAIDS, concerns are rising that the civil war has made accurate tracking of the disease impossible. Local aid groups think the country’s HIV prevalence is likely higher, citing a recent increase in people testing positive due to widespread transactional sex by women trying to support themselves and families and mass rape by armed men, especially in the capital, Juba.
At the same time, the conflict has sent millions fleeing while sexual violence rises as a weapon of war, according to human rights groups.
«The army are the ones raping. They’re the ones with the guns,» said Evelyn Letio, director of the National Empowerment of Positive Women United, a local group supporting women with HIV. Both sides in the civil war have been accused of abuses including rape.
Some of the rape survivors Letio counsels have told her that the soldiers knew the women were HIV-positive but didn’t care. It appeared their main worry was being killed in the current conflict, not HIV killing them 10 years from now.
«This is the first time for me to hear of victims who have been infected with HIV from the army,» army spokesman Lul Ruai Koang told the AP, saying he has heard of «isolated cases» of soldiers being accused of rape.
The U.S. since 2006 has funded a program aimed at testing and treating South Sudan‘s soldiers for HIV. Despite those efforts, the army’s HIV prevalence remains higher than the national one. In 2012, the latest that data was available, it was 5 percent or twice that of the general population. The goal is to scale up the program, which currently reaches only two of the army’s 22 battalions.
In an attempt to reach people displaced by the fighting, at least one aid group has started bringing HIV treatment to some of South Sudan‘s most vulnerable people. Doctors Without Borders three years ago launched the country’s first mobile test-and-treat clinic in Yambio, a town near the Congo border that has South Sudan‘s highest prevalence of HIV.
«We’ve been able to reach people who weren’t able to travel to Yambio either for fear or distance,» said program supervisor Buai Tut. The civil war has forced many families to flee into the bush and farther away from access to care, he said.
The project so far has tested almost 15,000 people and treated over 400 in Yambio County. At least 1,000 more people in hard-to-reach areas are still in need of assistance, Tut estimated.
Separately, South Sudan‘s government has created cards that state the type of HIV medication and status of the disease so that displaced people can easily continue treatment at other clinics.
«When you run away you can go with it and if you go to a refugee camp they’ll know what you’re taking,» Victoria Achut, HIV program manager at the ministry of health, told the AP.
Achut said big challenges remain in South Sudan for connecting people to life-saving medication, reducing stigma and raising awareness about transmission of the disease.
A rare person speaking out is 41-year-old Elizabeth Taban, who for years didn’t tell anyone she was HIV-positive after her husband gave her the disease.
«I didn’t want them pointing the finger,» she said.
Now the Juba resident is working to raise the profile of people living with HIV. Many are still in the dark, either carrying the disease and not knowing it or knowing and not caring, she said.
Marlene Freet knows but can do little about it. The 28-year-old in Juba said the worsening economy caused by the civil war makes it hard to find the food she needs to take with her HIV medication.
Sometimes she eats once a day, the mother of seven children said, adding it is not enough.
Follow Africa news at https://twitter.com/AP_Africa
Organisasjonsinfo
Purchasing power continues to weaken in Sudan
Lilleborg kirke sin vennskapsmenighet i Dangaji Sør-Sudan
Sudan says Ethiopian military plane crossed its border
Humanitarian situation dire in Maban as violence escalates
Svensk eventyr med bismak : Oljeselskapet Lundin anklages for menneskerettighetsbrudd i Sudan.
Nile dam dispute: Sudan, Egypt, Ethiopia agree to hold more talks
Uganda releases 15 suspected South Sudanese bandits
FNs fredsstyrke i Darfur avvikles – frykt i befolkningen
Sudan, Egypt og Etiopia håper å løse konflikt
Nye skrekkhistorier fra Tigray-provinsen
© Sudansupport.no
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DRUGS IN
SCIENCE BASED
SUNSHINE BIOPHARMA ANNOUNCES THAT ESSENTIAL IS NOW AVAILABLE ON AMAZON.CA
Montreal, Quebec, Canada – (ACCESSWIRE) – Sunshine Biopharma, Inc. (OTC Markets: “SBFM”) today announced that its recently launched
micronutrients supplement, Essential 9TM, is now available on www.Amazon.ca. On December 14, 2018, Health Canada issued NPN 80089663
through which it authorized Sunshine Biopharma to manufacture and sell the Essential 9TM product. Essential 9TM is a dietary supplement tablet that
contains a balanced formula of the 9 essential amino acids that the human body cannot make. Sunshine Biopharma anticipates that Essential 9TM will
soon be available on www.Amazon.com.
About Essential 9TM
Essential Amino Acids are 9 out of the 20 amino acids required for protein synthesis. Proteins are involved in all body functions – from the
musculature and immune system to hormones and neurotransmitters. Like vitamins, Essential Amino Acids cannot be made by the human body and
must be obtained through diet. Deficiency in one or more of the 9 Essential Amino Acids can lead to loss of muscle mass, fatigue, weight gain and
reduced ability to build muscle mass in athletes. Sunshine Biopharma’s Essential 9TM provides all 9 Essential Amino Acids in freeform and in the
proportions recommended by Health Canada. Essential 9TM is suitable for everyone: vegans, athletes, seniors, dieters.
Safe Harbor Forward-Looking Statements
To the extent that statements in this press release are not strictly historical, including statements as to revenue projections, business strategy, outlook,
objectives, future milestones, plans, intentions, goals, future financial conditions, future collaboration agreements, the success of the Company’s
development, events conditioned on stockholder or other approval, or otherwise as to future events, such statements are forward-looking, and are
made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The forward-looking statements contained in this
release are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the statements made.
Sunshine Biopharma, Inc.
Camille Sebaaly, CFO
camille.sebaaly@sunshinebiopharma.com
www.sunshinebiopharma.com
SUNSHINE BIOPHARMA RECEIVES NOTICE OF ALLOWANCE FOR A NEW PATENT APPLICATION EXTENDING PROTECTION OF Adva-27a ANTICANCER DRUG UNTIL 2033
Sunshine Biopharma Announces that Essential 9 is Now Available in the United States on Amazon.com
6500 Trans-Canada Highway
Quebec H9R 0A5
info@sunshinebiopharma.com
© 2009-2020 SUNSHINE BIOPHARMA INC. All Rights Reserved.
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16 Sync Licensing: TV / Movies / Video Games 15 Sync Licensing: Advertising 2 Labels / Record Deals 1 Song placements 1 Exposure Opportunity
16 fully mastered 7 broadcast ready 3 rough mixes
6 under $10 8 under $20 16 under $30 16 under $40 16 any price
10 within 7 days 10 within 14 days 15 within 45 days 1 longer than 45 days
Seeking Hits for Licensing Placements
We have been working tirelessly over the years to build the best catalog of great independent music from various genres. However, there is one area in which we feel we could do better. Therefor, we are seeking Pop music to represent for licensing in films, TV shows and ad campaigns. By “Pop” we are referring more to the broad appeal of the music than the genre. As long as the song has hit potential, we would like to hear it. Genre wise we are open, but indie pop and indie folk seem to work best for licensing placements.
Here are some great examples of music that we would like to have in our catalog:
- The Lumineers - Ho Hey
- Edward Sharpe & The Magnetic Zeros - Home
- Charli XCX - Break The Rules
- James Bay - Hold Back The River
We accept ONE-STOP submissions only, ie songs that you own or control 100% (writer, master and publisher). Please submit only professionally recorded and mastered songs. NO DEMOS, NO COVERS.
As an added bonus, if your song is Selected, we will offer to release your music on Filter Label. The songs by our talented artists can be heard in The OA, Exatlon, The Matrix Revisited, CSI: Las Vegas, Nikita, on ads for McDonald's, Nestle Wagner, Nike, Philip Morris, Hachette Filipacchi, in shows on MTV, CNN, Bravo, Nat Geo, NBC, Esquire, Channel 4 and almost every major TV network in the world.
- Emil Hadji -Panzov Founder / CEO - Filter Label
Seeking Electronic Pop Songs for Sync Placements
We have noticed a repeating trend in the music requests we receive from our partners in the advertising world and therefor we would like to enrich our catalog with more electronic pop songs.
The songs should be driving, dynamic and memorable. Changes, interesting build-ups and drops which could provide great edit points are most welcome. A mixture of electronic quirkiness and pop accessibility is a big plus.
Here are three examples of the type of songs we are seeking:
- Sofi Tukker - Best Friend
- Jaim - Makeba
- The Knocks - New York Luau
Please submit only professionally recorded and mastered songs. The best submissions will be included in our catalog for licensing which is available to our network of contacts in the film, TV and advertising industry.
As an added bonus, if your song is Selected, we will offer to release your music on Filter Label. The songs by our talented artists can be heard in Shameless, Legacies, The OA, Exatlon, The Matrix Revisited, CSI: Las Vegas, Nikita, in commercials for Samsung, McDonald's, Nike, Mytheresa, Philip Morris, Nestle Wagner, Bank Millennium, in shows on MTV, CNN, Nat Geo, NBC, Al Jazeera, Esquire, Channel 4 and almost every major TV network in the world.
- Emil Hadji Panzov - Founder / CEO - Filter Label
Seeking Hopeful Songs for Sync Placements
We have noticed a repeating trend in the music requests we receive from our partners in the advertising world and therefor we would like to enrich our catalog with more songs about human kindness.
The genre is not really important as long as the song has a hopeful, optimistic feel. Possible lyrical directions could be: diversity, inclusion, walking the same ground, love (not romantic), people's kindness, help, togetherness etc.
Below are two great examples of the type of songs we are seeking:
- Birdy - People Help the People
- Brandi Carlile - The Joke
As an added bonus, if your song is Selected, we will offer to release your music on Filter Label. The songs by our talented artists can be heard in Legacies, The OA, Exatlon, The Matrix Revisited, CSI: Las Vegas, Nikita, in commercials for Samsung, McDonald's, Nike, Philip Morris, Nestle Wagner, Bank Millennium, in shows on MTV, CNN, Nat Geo, NBC, Al Jazeera, Esquire, Channel 4 and almost every major TV network in the world.
Seeking Covers of Hit Songs for Licensing Placements
The post houses and advertising agencies we work with seem to have a never ending demand for covers of popular songs. Therefor, we would like to broaden our catalog with inventive cover versions of compositions that have been big worldwide hits.
We are not looking for interpretations trying to imitate the original. We are seeking just the opposite - new takes on well known songs which transport them to new, unexpected directions. Covers are usually considered for film trailers and big ad campaigns, so it would be great to hear submissions that have space and a “cinematic” sound. However, if you have a dynamic, aggressive cover of a slow song, that could work too.
Below are some brilliant examples of what we would like to hear:
- Skylar Grey - Addicted To Love
- Vega Choir - Creep
- Lo-Fang - You’re The One That I Want
- Hannah Peel - Tainted Love
- Think Up Anger feat. Malia J - Smells Like Teen Spirit
- Lorde - Everybody Wants To Rule The World
- KI Theory - Enjoy The Silence
Please submit only professionally recorded and mastered songs.
As an added bonus, if your cover is Selected, we will offer to release your music on Filter Label. The songs by our talented artists can be heard in The OA, Exatlon, The Matrix Revisited, CSI: Las Vegas, Nikita, on ads for McDonald's, Nike, Philip Morris, Nestle Wagner, Bank Millennium, in shows on MTV, CNN, Nat Geo, NBC, Al Jazeera, Esquire, Channel 4 and almost every major TV network in the world.
- Emil Hadji Panzov Founder / CEO - Filter Label
Ambient / Cinematic Songs for Games
We are currently working on multiple gaming projects that require Ambient and Cinematic Songs.
Various scenes include: Haunting, Action, Moody, Sparse, Romantic
Songs need to be between 3 and 8 minutes. Minimal vocals - prefer female vocals.
All genres of music accepted.
Fallen Highway Studios specializes in signing songwriters and artists for synch to Games, Ads, Film and TV. We have direct ins with music supervisors and agencies which work on all types of projects that require music.
- Marco Mazzei - A&R - Fallen Highway Studios
Seeking Pop & EDM/Dance Songwriters and Producers
We are seeking talented songwriters and producers to add to our roster. We work directly with A&R's, managers, major artists, music supervisors and we are in need of you! We have tons of projects in the USA as well as international and we'd like to help build your resume.
The type of people we are seeking should want to mainly write for and/or produce for major/indie artists. We are not interested in people who want to be artist themselves, unless you are capable of writing for other people.
Requirements: Able to work with deadlines, must be ready to work, along with submission you must provide a link to more of your work (can be a dropbox link), must be consistent, able to collaborate with others and reliable.
The Audio Plugz is a music supervision, music licensing, music publishing and music placement company. Through our efforts we have been successful in placing music with artists & brands such as LeAnn Rimes, Lupe Fiasco, Kumi Koda, Dove, Disney and more...
- The Audio Plugz
Trailer & background music needed for global streaming company
We are a global streaming network available on Apple TV, Roku, Amazon Fire, Android, iOS, and web. We are searching for music to use in trailers and other marketing materials. This can be used in shows or films also. Looking for all types of sounds from classical, to pop, to r&b, to everything in between. As long as its professional sounding quality. NO VOCALS
Seeking Hip-Hop music for release on Filter Label
We are looking to expand our international roster of artists with a few Hip-Hop acts. We would like to hear professionally produced Hip-Hop music with witty lyrics and imaginative arrangements. Some of the recent albums we liked very much are the last LPs by Common, Ghostface Killah, Dilated Peoples and Arms and Sleepers. Please submit your best material. Songs with uncleared samples WILL NOT BE ACCEPTED.
We are proud to have a unique business model and an artist-friendly agreement. The music released on Filter Label is instantly included in our catalog for licensing placements which is sent out to top music supervisors and agents.
We have hundreds of songs placed in TV series (The OA, Exatlon, CSI: Las Vegas, Nikita, Top Boy), ad campaigns (McDonald's, Nestle Wagner, Nike, Philip Morris), films (Loneliness, Sex and Compassion, The Matrix Revisited, Cherie) and on network television (CNN, MTV, Bravo, Channel 5, NBA, UFC), etc.
Seeking Driving Electronica for Licensing Placements
We have noticed a repeating trend in the music requests we receive from our partners in the advertising world and therefor we would like to enrich our catalog with more driving, dynamic electronic songs with a strong build.
The songs should have an adventurous feel, a sense of movement and development. It would be perfect if there are surprising twists in the arrangement, prominent build-ups and breakdowns. We are open to both vocal and instrumental compositions.
Listed below are some great examples of the musical direction we have in mind:
- Gesaffelstein - Pursuit
- Goldfrapp - Strict Machine
- Jon Hopkins - Singularity
- The Chemical Brothers - Hey Boy Hey Girl
Seeking SAMPLE FREE Clean Hip-hop, Pop, Clean R&B style songs + instrumentals for placement opportunities in Film, TV, Netflix, Ads and more...
Seeking SAMPLE FREE Clean Hip-hop, CHH (Christian Hip-hop), Clean R&B style songs + instrumentals for placement opportunities in Film, TV, Netflix, Ads and more...
Seeking SAMPLE FREE Clean Hip-hop, CHH (Christian Hip-hop), Clean R&B style songs + instrumentals for placement opportunities in Film, TV, Netflix, Ads and more.
We are looking for all styles of Hip-hop (West Coast, East Coast, Boom Bap, Old School, New School, Mumble Rap, etc.)
*You must own the Masters and the Publishing in any song that you submit.
*You must be registered with a PRO (ASCAP, BMI, SESAC)
*All songwriters and Producers must be aware you are submitting the song and willing to sign non-exclusive agreement.
*Songs must NOT contain any samples at all.
- Stanley Straughter - CEO - Naz-Sect Publishing
Seeking Beat Submissions From Producers For Commercial Use
PRODUCERS- THIS IS YOUR CHANCE TO BE HEARD! We are launching a new streaming platform that will be available in over 51 million homes worldwide on Apple TV, Amazon Fire, Roku, IOS, Smart TV's, XBox360, etc. Searching for beats from hip hop & rnb producers to feature on TV. Beats will be played during commercials, which will advertise new producers to the hip hop market. You will be paid from ads that run on your content. We are searching for producers to partner with.
Seeking Optimistic Songs for Licensing Placements
We have noticed a repeating trend in the music requests we receive from our partners in the advertising world and therefor we would like to enrich our catalog with more positive, optimistic and stimulating songs.
The genre is not really important as long as the song has a bright, uplifting feel and the tempo is medium to high. Possible lyrical directions could be: We can do it, On top of the world, Winning, Don’t give up, The best, The time of my life, Unbeatable, Life is good, So happy etc.
Record Label Looking for Piano Covers of Hit Songs!
We are currently looking for piano covers of new songs (for example Ariana Grande, Kesha, Imagine Dragons, etc)! Please submit your strongest, studio ready tracks! We can't wait to hear them!
Bad Architect Records is a label that produces ambient, experimental folk, minimal classical, and song covers. We are currently looking for covers of popular songs by new artists to grow our catalog! Looking forward to hearing your music!
Seeking Trailer Friendly Material for Sync Placements
We are looking for more “trailer friendly” material to add to our catalog for licensing. We are seeking songs that could work for film trailers and TV ads. There are no genre restrictions, as long as the songs are percussive, catchy and attention grabbing. Both instrumentals and songs with vocals are accepted. Below are three perfect examples of the musical direction we have in mind:
Kanye West - BLKKK SKKKN HEAD
Jet - Are You Gonna Be My Girl
We accept ONE-STOP submissions only, ie songs that you own or control 100% (writer, master and publisher). Please submit only professionally recorded and fully mastered songs. NO DEMOS, NO COVERS.
As an added bonus, if your song is Selected, we will offer to release your music on Filter Label. The songs by our talented artists can be heard in ad campaigns (McDonald's, Nike, Bank Millennium, Nestle, Philip Morris), TV series (The OA, Exatlon, CSI: Las Vegas, Nikita, Top Boy), films (Loneliness, Sex and Compassion, The Matrix Revisited, Cherie, Mission: Wolf), and on network television (CNN, MTV, Channel 5, National Geographic, NBA, UFC etc).
- Emil Hadji Panzov / Filter Label
Viral Music Media is searching for Hip Hop artists for sync licensing placement
We are a sync licensing company based in Hollywood, CA. We are searching for hip hop tracks and artists for sync licensing deals in movies, tv, commercials, games, etc. Looking for all sounds from 90's hip hop sound to new age, trap, west coast, and everything in between. Must be quality music and radio edits.
Deal Type: Catalog Inclusion
Similar Sounding Artists: Chance The Rapper, Pusha T, Drake, PNB Rock, Snoop Dogg, Jay-z, Kendrick Lamar, ASAP Mob, Travis Scott, Cyhi the Prynce
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29 Exposure Opportunity 8 Radio Playlisting 5 Compilations 2 Podcast Inclusion 2 Music Blogs 1 Song placements 1 Sync Licensing: TV / Movies / Video Games 1 Labels / Record Deals
30 fully mastered 30 broadcast ready 13 rough mixes
18 under $10 30 under $20 30 under $30 30 under $40 30 any price
5 within 7 days 8 within 14 days 21 within 45 days 7 longer than 45 days 2 unknown
True Hip Hop Emcees for Real Muzik Revisited: Hip Hop Vol.2
Seeking Music for: Real Muzik Revisited: Hip Hop Vol. 1
215 Entertainment is currently accepting original hip hop songs from aspiring hip hop emcees for our first compilation titled Real Muzik Revisited: Hip Hop. We will select 12 songs submitted from the best emcees that exhibit the true form of hip hop in the form of rap music.
- Antonio Smith / 215 Entertainment
Similar Sounding Artists: Andre 3000, Big Boi, Common
new WOAFM99 Radio Show hosted by Multiple Billboard Top 10 Artist/Producer Oliver Sean
WOAFM99 Radio Show with Multiple Billboard Top 10 Artist/Producer Oliver Sean
The Brand New Season of the WOAFM99 Radio Show kicks off on the 8th of January. The WOAFM99 team are looking for exceptional independent artists and breakthrough songs for the new season (and an exciting new format) of this groundbreaking independent music show, which gets international support on mainstream radio, public radio and a cult following for its podcast on Spotify, Apple and Amazon Music.
All genres are considered for this variety show hosted by Multiple Billboard Top 10 & MTV EMA Nominated Artist/Producer Oliver Sean.
Artists/Songs that make a buzz on the show are also invited to be part of the iTunes chart topping WOA compilation album series (and multiple Grammy Awards Balloted Album) - Goa Chillout Zone OR Independent No.1's (depending on genre). Artists who fit into the genres we are promoting at the time alongside our radio and venue partners get the option to be part of our exclusive commerial radio playlist, where their music gets playlisted separately on various commercial radio, venues and digital curated playlists.
The WOA Entertainment Group champion Independent Music worldwide and provide major platforms for breakthrough artists to compete on a world stage, including the nationally distributed WOAFM99 Radio Show, the iTunes #1 easy listening album series 'Goa Chillout Zone', the Amazon #1 mainstream genre compilation series 'Independent No.1's', the WOA Summer Tour UK and the WOA International Music Festival, in association with Vh1. Each and every one of these platforms are setup to introduce breakthrough Independent musicians on a World Stage, with support from mainstream industry giants including Viacom, the Billboard Charts, Commercial Radio networks, Major publications / news distributors, various retail and venue chains and A List curators on Spotify, Amazon Unlimited and Apple Music
With over 55 artists on the WOA Roster hitting various mainstream charts in 2020, including the Billboard Top 10's/Top 20's, iTunes US/UK/Canada #1s/Top 10's/Top 20's, Offficial UK Album and Single Top 100/Top 50 Charts - WOA Entertainment and it's artists are well on their way of breaking the hold that the mainstream industry has had on these coveted charts. Besides these major charts, breakthrough WOA Artists have had Vh1 Top 10's and MTV EMA Nominations - unheard of for unsigned artists, until now.
Artists working with WOA get a powerful partner to support their music without ever having to let go of their creative control and always maintaining their music rights.
If you have a good song that is broadcast ready, submit it for the WOAFM99 Radio Show.
- Wanda Alvares - Marketing Director - WOA Entertainment Group
new Submit your tracks to N.O.D Music Curation
Submit to N.O.D Musik
Please make sure your tracks are:
1. Free of technical issues and are in a professional standard level of:
- Songwriting
- Arrangement
- Instrument playing skills
- Singing technique
- Production: Recording, Mixing & Mastering, Sound Design
- Track and album name
2. Ready for the public listener
N.O.D is a Gothenburg-based music curation platform that covers Rock, Metal, Progressive Rock & Metal, Jazz, Electronic, Pop, World music and their sub-genres. We are constantly digging to discover new music.
For our audience and music lovers, we provide high-quality curated playlists, mixtapes, music reviews and merchandise.
For artists, we provide the possibility to draw attention of our audience to their works hoping that listeners will spread the word about them. We also curate a collection of useful tools for artists.
- Music Curator - N.O.D
Song Rotation on Radio Buzz 101
Seeking Alt/Adult Alt Bands for Radio Airplay on 99.3 KTJ
I am always on the lookout for new alt/ adult alt bands to play on my radio show. Please submit your best song to be considered for radio airplay on 99.3 KTJ FM.
The New Norm in Music
The New Norm in Music is a YouTube series spotlighting musicians and entertainers from around the world. It features interviews with the artists in order to give the audience an insight into their lives that goes beyond the music. As well as an interview, the artist is featured in two to three music segments. At least one segment includes Norm’s sitting in to add to the musical mix. The in-depth interviews, unique guests and performances is what makes this show stand out.
https://youtu.be/LiVaffufkhM
Norm, a woodwind musician, has had a lifelong career in music and special events. He has worked with, and produced events with, musicians worldwide, from soloists to celebrities.
As the host of “The New Norm in Music,” I am passionate about bringing guests and audiences together for great performances and unique insights. You are a unique artist with your own, signature style. If you think your appearance would make for a great show, please submit a song and/or a video link of your work.
Experience with virtual platform such as “Zoom.”
Computer with high speed internet.
HD webcam with good sound and light.
Bluetooth earbuds.
Signed release permitting N & G Productions to broadcast your appearance.
The process is 3 step and will include:
1.“Zoom” meeting to discuss music and format. If we go forward, you will be senta list of questions to prepare you for the interview and a checklist for “Zoom”parameters and taping protocols.
2.Rehearsal
3.Taping
- Norm Susser - President - N & G Productions
Submit your track to over 1000 radio stations in North America (ND, SD, NE, MN, IA, MI and WI states)
Would you benefit from the increased exposure gained from radio play? Now you can get your songs out to over 1000 radio stations in North America through our media database. We have extensive contacts in the states of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan and Wisconsin. We will listen to all submissions and select the best acts to submit to our radio contacts. Selected bands will be asked to send us a biog and high quality music track to pass on to the radio stations. We have a wide variety of media contacts, so this opportunity is appropriate for all kinds of acts.
Lyrical Hip-Hop Tracks Needed for Rotation at DRT Tracked Radio Station
Lyrical Hip-Hop Tracks Needed for Rotation at DRT Tracked Radio Station Independent radio station based in Houston, TX, looking for DOPE INDIE artists with #BARS and outstanding production! Please submit your best tracks for consideration.
- Levean Pinkston - CEO - Love2Jam Radio
Deal Type: Radio Airplay
Where is this radio station heard?: Online
Radio Format: Freeform Radio
Similar Sounding Artists: J COLE, KENDRICK LAMAR, BIG KRIT, 3D NATEE, TI, CHILDISH GAMBINO
Looking for New Artist to Play Nashville Writers Night Show
I am looking for new talent to play a writers night show on music row in Nashville, TN. Writer/Artist play 3 songs and get a chance to be seen and heard, meet other songwriters, and have their name on the ad poster and social media and email blasts to the country music industry.
I am a professional singer/songwriter/producer in Nashville, TN and my songs have been recorded in Country, Pop, Americana, Contemporary Christian, Southern Gospel, Bluegrass, TV and film.
- Terri Jo Box
Radio Blast to USA based radio stations [FM & Online]
It's very simple. We save time and reach more stations than artists could, on their own.
Our lists cover around 90% of radio station contacts worldwide. For example, in USA, there are approx. 14,500 FM and 4,400 online stations. We have around 14,000/4,000 contacts just in The States.
Artist sends a radio ready, mixed and mastered song, along with short biography, 4-5 pictures, and logo if possible.
We put together a nice looking e-mail, with pure facts about the artist, info on song that's being submitted and artists (or artists management contact information).
We believe that it's fair to keep artists direct contact public, so if radio stations want to reach out, they can reach out DIRECTLY to the artist.
Everything you need to know about our "Radio Blast": http://mad.ly/b947a2
- Avala DSF Music Group LLC
Decision Maker: We are the final decision maker
Compensation: $0
Similar Sounding Artists: Drake, Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber, Aerosmith, Adele, Jay-Z, Beyonce, Maroon 5, Limp Bizkit, One Direction, Jay Cole, John Legend, Led Zeppelin
Artist Partnership Deal With Video Streaming Platform
Searching for unique music video content to feature on TV. We are launching a new streaming platform that will be available in over 51 million homes worldwide on Apple TV, Amazon Fire, Roku, IOS, Smart TV's, XBox360, etc. We are searching for artists to partner with for a music video partnership deal. Your music video will be featured on our channel, and you will receive revenue from all ads run with your content.
Similar Sounding Artists: drake, rich the kid, childish gambino, rihanna, tory lanez, pharrell, nipsey hussle, alicia keys, beyonce, solange, sza, jhene aiko
Seeking Songwriters for Songs of Love!
Thanks for your interest in becoming a Songwriter of Love! Songs of Love is a nonprofit 501(c)(3) organization dedicated to creating personalized, original songs for kids who are seriously ill, free of charge. To do this, we work with freelance songwriters. We are looking for singer-songwriters who can produce their own work either in a home studio or a studio they have access to. To be considered as a songwriter, please submit your songs here. We are looking for writers who can deliver songs with an on-pitch, well-sung vocal as well as a clear and well recorded music track.
Songs of Love’s nonprofit charter stipulates that all writers donate the copyright of all songs written, because of the confidential nature of the information we receive about the children and because of our nonprofit status, which does not permit that the songs be sold in a commercial market. Writers are eligible for writers’ royalties in the case of songs that appear in a major media venue (eg, our 60 Minutes appearance). There is also opportunity for exposure via our social media sites.
We look forward to hearing your music!
Nawfside Publishing LLC
I’m putting together a compilation mixtape with underground talent from all over country. Upload your song you’d like to have featured.
The album will be published through Nawfside Publishing LLC, Distributed through DistroKid to all major streaming sites such as Apple Music, Spotify, iTunes, Google Play & YouTube Music, Amazon, Pandora, Deezer, Tidal, Napster (beta), iHeartRadio (beta), ClaroMúsica, Saavn, Anghami (beta), KKBox (beta), MediaNet and 150+ smaller outlets.
All artist that make the cut will receive a 20% split of the royalties for their involvement in the project. Artists will provide a paypal email for payout purposes. Mixtape will consist of 4 artist, 2 tracks per artist. Registered material only.
- Clifton Ladale Barnum - Owner - Nawfside Records LLC
Seeking Songs for Vezt Inc.
In addition to being a Mega Platinum A&R Exec, Songwriter and Producer, Jeff Blue is now Exec VP A&R and Artist Relations for Vezt Inc. Vezt lets music fans share ownership with artists in their favorite songs. Vezt is a revolutionary new platform that gives artists and rights holders control over their new or existing songs and allows them to easily capitalize on their work by choosing portions of their songs to offer for sale to fans, friends, rights-buyers and brands.
The Vezt platform employs blockchain technology to track and collect royalty income transparently. Vezt offers a true marketplace for songs and gives artists the opportunity to make a living and continue doing what they love most – make music. Jeff Blue is looking for spectacular new artists and songwriters to feature on Vezt. Please submit any genre. We are featuring songs from Jay-Z, Dr. Dre, DJ Khaled, John Legend, and many more. Learn more at Vezt.co
HOW VEZT WORKS: Artists and rights holders choose how much they’d like to raise from a part or fraction of their song, the reversion term and set a date for the Initial Song Offering (ISO). Rights-buyers (including fans, music professionals and brands) on Vezt, buy song rights during the ISO, and the artists receive funds credited to their account immediately.
The song rights information is encoded on Vezt’s blockchain. Song royalties are then collected from Performing Rights Organizations (“PROs”) in 137 countries around the world, as well as STEM.is, which aggregates digital performance royalties from Spotify, iTunes, YouTube, Pandora, etc.
Vezt transfers those earnings back to the artists and rights-buyers, creating a new marketplace, with no limits on new and exciting music artists will create.
- Jeff Blue
Muskox Records' Selects playlist on Spotify
Before submitting to this opportunity, please take a listen to a few tracks on our playlist to get a feel for what we're looking for. We're looking for electronic records (both old and new) to feature on our Spotify playlist. The playlist is regularly updated and all tracks remain on list for a minimum of 2 weeks. Thanks for taking interest in our playlist and we look forward to hearing your submissions!
- Michael Jones - A&R - Muskox Records
Be a guest on popular podcast talk show
KGUP PRESENTS is seeking music artists to interview and feature during Season 2!
Interviews are conducted via Zoom (video or audio only). We are scheduling 30 minutes to 1 hour interviews, but in reality, there is no time limit, so it can go as long or short as desired. All interviews will be available on 11 major podcasting platforms including Anchor, Stitcher, Dezer, TuneIn, Apple podcasts, Google Podcasts, YouTube Music, Spotify, and more!
Direction of interview
The premise of these interviews is mostly about the artist and the artist's career as a musician, their craft, and where they are headed during the near future. We will of course do research and gear relevant questions about the artist, so we don't sound unprofessional and redundant. You are welcome to pre-arrange any questions you'd like for me (the host) to ask and we can add it to our list of questions ahead of time.
Tens of thousands of people will be listening, so we'd prefer our interview to appear as laid back, fun, and casual as possible. Fun and casual conversations seem to fare well with podcast audiences, rather than a fully structured Q&A interview. The more comfortable the artist is, the better this will sound.
First and foremost, this is to benefit the artist and entertain music lovers that have or have not heard your music before and hopefully get that audience to be more engaged, especially during this epidemic when touring is impossible.
If you have any new music you are releasing, videos, upcoming live events, other news you'd like me to announce, or ask you during our interview, please let me know ahead of time.
About KGUP PRESENTS
KGUP PRESENTS is a talk show based on the Los Angeles local Indie Radio station KGUP FM Emerge Radio. Established in 2012, KGUP has been supporting independent local artists and showcasing what’s up-and-coming. KGUP’s Alumni include artists including Big Data, LP, Teagan and Sara, Bleachers, The Neighbourhood, Cher Lloyd, Ed Sheeran, Pierce the Veil, Sleeping with Sirens, Lana Del Rey, London Grammer, and many more!
KGUP FM Emerge Radio is privately owned and operated and is a YouTubeMusic, YouTube, TuneIn, Universe Network, Spotify, and Google Play Music broadcast affiliate. All our music data and royalty and performance fees are reported and paid through YouTubeMusic, YouTube, TuneIn, Universe Network, Spotify, and Google Play Music.
All our episodes will also be available on your favorite podcast network including Spotify, Pandora, Google Play Music, iTunes, Stitcher, and everywhere you listen to podcasts!
KGUP PRESENTS | on Anchor.fm
Your music may also be selected for rotation on KGUP FM Emerge Radio at http://www.kgup1065.com 24 hours a day, 7 days a week! You can listen to the radio station via Amazon Alexa by saying "Alexa, play KGUP FM" or listen on Google or Android by saying, "Ask KGUP FM to play". KGUP FM can also be heard on 18 radio networks around the world. KGUP FM also has curator playlists on YouTube Music, Spotify, and YouTube. Just search, "KGUP PRESENTS" Where to listen to KGUP PRESENTS.
KGUP Audience Overview:
Core age demographic: age 25-34 (34%), age 18-24 (27.5%), 35-44 (15%), Other combined (23.5%)
KGUP's Listener Geographic Market:
US - 53.75%
Europe - 27.50% Australia - 16%
Others combined - 2.75%
Music Videos Worldwide Distribution Deal
We are a streaming network with a music focus that is changing the music industry. Launching on Apple TV, Roku, Amazon, Android, iOS, etc. We are the first video streaming outlet offering distribution deals to music artists of all genres for their music video content. We are searching for the dopest music videos in the categories of Hip Hop, Rnb, Edm, Pop, Reggae. Revenue share from commercials and ads will be negotiated.
Deal Type: Music Video Distribution
Similar Sounding Artists: ariana grande, pink, Ed Sheeran, lady gaga, dj snake, buju banton, drake, rich the kid, childish gambino, rihanna, tory lanez, pharrell, nipsey hussle, alicia keys, beyonce, solange, sza, jhene aiko
DaUndaground Podcast
DaUndaground Podcast is the newest Hottest Indie Artist Platform, with Host Lady M and Guest features by GMQuick..this platform has already been featured on Hip Hop Weekly Magazine! Rising in Views this is a great opportunity to get the exposure you need. On the newest Hip hop Platform 2020-21! You can submit for free if you are picked to be featured Daundaground Podcast will reach out with further instructions!
- Lady M - Founder and Host - Loyalty B4 Royalty Entertainment
US Tour Booking
Are you planning a tour in the US and need to fill a few dates? We have contacts with over 4,000 bookers (both venues and promoters). Most of these contacts book live bands for bars and music venues, so this opportunity is more suited to live full bands and acoustic acts and not suitable for DJs. Please submit your music. We will then listen and check that you meet our high standard and are suitable for these kinds of venues.
If you are suitable we will contact you to ask for a full biography, photos, and links to send out to the venues. We will encourage venues to contact you directly for bookings and will not expect any commission on any shows which you secure as a result of our mail out.
- Andres CEO - AMG GROUP MUSIC
Pentagon Briefings looking for Indie Hip Hop, R&B and Pop artists for Mixtape and Promotions Opportunities
Looking for the next Indie hits to add to our Hip Hop, R&B and Pop compilations called the Pentagon Briefings.
If your song is approved... We will feature the compilation across multiple mixtape sites, national blogs and once a quarter we will release a full album of tracks for worldwide digital distribution. Each artist will be featured on their own individual press post on the Pentagon Briefing blog, social media and YouTube. All included songs will also be added to Spotify, Tidal and SoundCloud playlists.
Each artist selected will also be provided a comprehensive social media review
- Hip Hop, R&B and Pop Hits
- ASCAP or BMI affiliation (this is free for songwriters) is required if your track is to be included on the digitally released album.
- Biography/Press Release
- Link to the song on Soundcloud, Spotify and/or Tidal
- Link to your website and social media
In the case of rejection, we will feature your press release and song and/or video on our blog and YouTube channel.
- Nikki Witherspoon / Live From The Pentagon Entertainment
Similar Sounding Artists: Drake, Migos, SZA, H.E.R., Cardi B, J Cole, Logic, Kehlani, Saweetie, Dua Lipa, Bebe Rexha
Now Seeking Indie / Unsigned Music for Airplay in LA / Worldwide - All Genres
Get heard by the world -- and the hottest names in music today! "Music Highway with Sheena Metal" on LA Talk Radio breaks the best new music in the world's top entertainment market and is now accepting submissions. The top-rated Unsigned / Indie Music Program broadcasting on LA Talk Radio, Music Highway is anchored by celebrity host Sheena Metal.
Seeking Worship Music (Studio Recorded)
I am looking for some really inspiring Worship Music, and I am looking for some good Christian artists to work with.
Studio recorded music in this drop box, all genres but Country.
First, I want to compile a couple of albums of already existing music that artists want highlighted. Then, I'd like to create some original music with some of the artists I find. Please submit your best track(s) for consideration.
- Robin Blesch / WPMG ENT Ltd, WPMG Music & WPFG Studios
Deal Type: Compilation Project
Submission Opportunity Only: Please Submit Songs Under Four Minutes!
Submission Opportunity Only: Please Submit Songs Under Four Minutes
If you are an artist, label, promoter, manager and seeking more exposure, we assist artists & labels with getting their music out to Radio, TV, Film, & Movie professionals who seek new music and artists. We help indie's stay independent. Please submit your best track(s) under four minutes for consideration.
- Darryl Thompson / Daquor Media Group, Inc.
Compensation: Exposure
Similar Sounding Artists: Young Thug, Lil Baby, Migos, Gucci Mane, Taylor Swift, Beyonce, Kelly Clarkston, Kanye West, John Legend, Drake, etc
Seeking Catchy Songs for Consideration for The Hookblast Podcast with Mike McCready
The Hookblast Podcast is a weekly, ten-minute, music discovery podcast that focuses on catchy songs. It is hosted by Music Xray co-founder & CEO, Mike McCready and began as a podcast to highlight some of the music that is trending among the music industry professional community on Music Xray and has gradually narrowed the focus to catchy songs discovered on via Music Xray.
While all catchy tunes are considered, most tend to be in the genres of pop, rock, country, urban, and singer-songwriter.
Learn more and hear the podcast trailer here:
https://soundcloud.com/mikemccready/hookblast-podcast-trailer
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Stephen Jones: a blog
Daoism—lives—language—performance. And jokes
*MUST READ!*
drôlerie
Ways of portrayal
A French letter
Screenings to date
The T-shirt
Images: Li family
Ritual paintings of Li Peisen
God images old and new, 1
Local ritual
Daoists of Shuozhou, Shanxi
Daoists of Tianzhen, Shanxi
Daoists of Guangling, Shanxi
Daoists of Datong county, Shanxi
More Daoists of Yanggao
Ritual traditions of Zuoyun, Shanxi
Daoists of Hunyuan, Shanxi
Daoists of Xinzhou, Shanxi
The Buddhists of Ekou, Shanxi
Daoist ritual in southwest Shanxi
The Houtu precious scroll
The Houshan Daoists
Ritual groups around Bazhou, Hebei
Ritual groups of suburban Beijing
Ritual groups of Xiongxian, Hebei
Ritual groups around the Baiyangdian lake
Ritual groups of Xushui
Ritual groups of Jinghai
Dharma-drumming associations of Tianjin
Tianjin: a folk Buddhist group
Ritual groups of Langfang
Buddhist ritual of Chengde
Funerals in Hebei
Nuns of rural Hebei
Ritual life around Xi’an
Daoists of Changwu, Shaanxi
Buddhist ritual in south Shaanxi
Folk and temple ritual in Ningxia
Ritual groups of Liaoning
Buddhist ritual
Debunking “living fossils”
Unpacking “Daoist music”
Rethinking Zhengyi and Quanzhen
Rectifying names
Dissolving boundaries
Ritual paintings of north China
Sects: Hebei
Gaoluo
South Gaoluo: a tribute to two ritual leaders
Gaoluo: vocal liturgists
Ritual images: Gaoluo
Gaoluo: other ritual groups
Gaoluo: New Year’s rituals
South Gaoluo: the Catholics
Shaanbei-ology
Taruskin on early music
What is serious music?!
Playing with history: HIP
Chant and beyond
Bach—and Daoist ritual
The right kind of spirituality?
In traditional China, ritual activity—indeed, public appearance altogether—appears to be male-dominated. We’ve noted that women have always been excluded from the core membership of both amateur ritual associations and household Daoist groups, but the role of women in religion is significant—as worshippers, as members of amateur sects, and notably as spirit mediums (for a roundup of posts, see here).
Nuns hardly threatened the patrilineal traditions of ritual and instrumental music before the 1950s, but they make an interesting sub-plot. As with clerics generally, research is available on some of the more renowned nuns of the great urban and mountain temples in early and modern history, but we have much less material on ordinary nuns performing ritual in the poor countryside.
Many nuns led a detached life whose ritual practice revolved around services within their own small temples, their vocal liturgy accompanied only by percussion. But before the 1950s, both in larger towns and in the countryside, some groups of nuns performed liturgical services among the folk—notably funerals. So one index of this in north China is their use of shengguan wind ensemble music.
During fieldwork we often heard of nuns playing shengguan as part of their ritual services before 1949, and they should still have been alive in the 1990s, but it took some effort to find them. Indeed, it was none too easy to find former priests. Perhaps few were killed, but some were imprisoned, or exiled far from the area. Many more were subjected to great indignities, both in the 1940s and early 50s and then (like all “black” elements) throughout following campaigns, notably the Cultural Revolution. They were forced to eat meat, had alcohol poured down their throats, made to engage publicly in demeaning sexual acts. Nuns were sometimes raped. Even in less harrowing cases, nuns were made to or expected to get married, and their partners may have been less than ideal; their relatives and friends may not want to be reminded of this story.
Also, they had been rejected by their parents, who had given them to a temple not out of piety but because of family poverty, whether they were ill or because they couldn’t support so many children (and sons were often given to temples for the same reason). Thus nuns, and indeed priests, had commonly been consigned to temples when very young—a few months old, or as old as 8 sui. They were traditionally given to a temple at a considerable distance from the home of the parents.
Buddhist nuns (formally nigu 尼姑) were disparagingly known as “second-rate monks” (erseng 二僧) or “juvenile monks” (youseng 幼僧), no better than the more colloquial name guzi 姑子; the former nuns in Renqiu much preferred the term “female monks” (nüseng 女僧) or “nun monks” (niseng 尼僧)! For the (less common) Daoist nuns, the term daogu 道姑 was used.
Beijing and Tianjin
The extreme variations in wealth in old Beijing gave rise to a varied funeral market (See my In search of the folk Daoists, Appendix 1—note the works of Chang Renchun). Lengthier rituals were held mainly for the more affluent, but most familes (apart from the severely poor) would endeavour to invite Buddhist monks to perform a yankou. Buddhists—as always, most numerous—were the first choice; Daoists might be hired too, but apparently not on their own; nuns and Tibeto-Mongolian lamas were also hired for more opulent funerals. Groups of Buddhist nuns also performed for funerals; those from the Xianying si nunnery even added shengguan.
Nuns in Tianjin also played shengguan. Itinerant sheng-tuner Qi Youzhi recalled that the Buddhist and Daoist clerics at the “Buddhist Temple” (Fosi) and Chenghuang miao at North Great Gate had a lot of sheng to maintain. The Qi family used to tune sheng for the Taishan miao nunnery and the one in Xiaomalu (‘Small road’).
The Hebei plain
Laishui county
In the whole western area around Laishui, the only temple we found with resident priests or nuns was the small Guanghua si nunnery (known as Guzi miao 姑子廟) in Laishui county-town, founded way back in the Sui dynasty.
Changyong flanked by disciples, 1993. My photo.
In a 1993 visit to the town between our explorations of the villages, we met the abbess Changyong 昌湧 (b. c1915). She had been given to the nunnery at the age of 8 sui around 1922, and had apparently lived there ever since. She was ordained in 1937 (she said “26th year of the Republic”) at the Xiyu Yunju si 西域云居寺 temple in Fangshan just north, which then had a large staff of around one hundred. But no sooner had she completed her ordination period than the Japanese invaded, crossing the Lugou bridge nearby. Since the Yunju temple was hosting resistance guerrillas, the Japanese troops assaulted it, burning it to the ground as the monks fled.
Changyong reeled off a long list of staffed temples around Laishui villages before Liberation, as well as several nunneries just north whose nuns did rituals among the folk, including those of Xiangyang village in Zhuozhou. The only other nunnery we heard of in that area was in Liujing village on the approach to Houshan, defunct by the 1940s.
The buildings of the Guanghua temple were occupied after Liberation by the brigade school, but Changyong was allowed to stay on and till the fields there. From 1981 she led the project of reconstructing the temple; by 1991 the Religious Affairs Bureau officially recognized it as one of five “sites for legitimate religious activity” in the county. They offered no funding to the temple, but gave her a living allowance of 38 yuan per month. In the temple she had five disciples from Baoding, Zhuozhou, and distant Heilongjiang, aged between 70 and 17 sui. They didn’t perform rituals among the folk.
Around Xiongxian county
Nuns may have rarely played the shengguan wind instruments, but when they did, they were remembered.
Several senior masters in Xiongxian recalled groups of ritual nuns. Xie Yongxiang in Hanzhuang recalled bands from Guanglingcheng in Wen’an, and in Dacheng. Elderly peasants in Lihezhuang recalled a contest in 1935 as part of a longevity celebration, between two groups both playing the “southern” style of shengguan, one led by the famous monk Haibo, the other a band of young Buddhist nuns from Renqiu. Nuns wore their hair in a long queue—only the abbess shaved her head. There were many nuns in Yilunbao, and the nuns from Lingche (?) village played well. They didn’t recite scriptures, but sometimes did rituals like Chasing Around the Arena (paochang 跑場). Nearby in South Shilipu the association leader Zhang Hongzhi recalled a funeral in his youth when the famous nuns from Santai were invited to recite scriptures and play shengguan.
Former cleric Li Duqi had seen groups of Daoist priests and Buddhist nuns “facing in the tent” (duipeng) in Wen’an. In 1993 he told us there were still two nuns in Wen’an town (one old, one younger) who played shengguan.
Renqiu county
But our most intruiguing material came from the Renqiu area, near the Baiyangdian lake—the southern boundary of our project. We heard that before Liberation, North Han district had a celebrated group of nuns who played shengguan. We wanted to pursue those clues; I didn’t get to join in that leg of our survey, but Xue Yibing went to North Han village there in 1994, finding two former nuns whose demeanour impressed him as deeply as his notes always impress me. He gained some further background from two elderly male villagers.
Before the 1950s there were over twenty nuns in the two temples in the village: the “Buddhist” Laomu tang (to Guanyin) in the north (temple fair on 3rd moon 24th), and the “Daoist” Granny Temple (Nainai miao, to the Three Ladies of the Empyrean) in the south (temple fairs on 24th of the 6th and 12th moons). They were “subsidiary cloisters” of the Great Temple in Hejian town.
During the Japanese occupation this was a guerrilla area. With village funds exhausted by the exactions of the Japanese and collaborators, the village leaders had to have the two temples partially demolished to sell their wood. Temples were indeed under assault well before “Liberation”, but destruction was to gather pace as the Communists extended their power.
The nuns continued to live in the temple buildings for a while, but during land reform they were “mobilized”—euphemism for “coerced”—into leaving the clergy. Five of them were married to men in the village, while one found work in Beijing.
Zhang Dadong (b. c1915) was given to the Laomu tang nunnery when 3 sui by her poor parents from Julu county quite far south. Remarkably, she never learned to read, but she studied the ritual shengguan wind music from 13 sui, to “go out on ritual business” (yingchoushi 應酬事, like the often-heard yingmenshi); even within the home village, they had to be paid. They were taught by a Daoist priest from Wudangmiao village in Hejian county just south, who also maintained sheng; already over 70 sui, he came to the temple to instruct them, returning home when required for ritual business. As usual, they began their studies of shengguan by singing the gongche solfeggio, but since they couldn’t read, they did so purely by ear.
When she was ready to take up the instruments, Zhang learned sheng first, then guanzi, studying along with six or seven others—as well as her older brother, who was a labourer on the temple land. She mastered the music after two or three years.
Their instrumentation belonged to the “southern” style of shengguan, adding a small haidi shawm to the standard sheng (small, with wooden bowl), and large guanzi, accompanied by drum, small and large cymbals, and gong-in-frame. Echoing several groups on the Hebei plain, her fellow-nun Liu Guilan observed:
We began by playing in the “small guanzi” [classical shengguan style], but because all the ensembles nearby were using that style, our temple decided to change to large guanzi [the more popular “southern” idiom].
The nuns of the south temple could already play, but seven or eight of them also refreshed their playing by studying with the old Daoist at the same time (see below). Their Daoist master had also taught the nuns of West Pangkou, Shimenkou, Bijiamiao, and Majiawu; when they combined forces to go out on business, performing yankou rituals in the “scripture tent” (jingpeng), there were eighteen or nineteen of them, including five or six large guanzi (!), four or five sheng (small, with wooden bowl), and two haidi shawms. They also did rituals like Visiting the Soul (canling 參靈), Ambulating with Incense (xingxiang 行香), Crossing the Bridges (duqiao 渡橋), and Chasing Round the Five Quarters (pao wufang 跑五方). Everyone received 1 or 2 yinyuan silver coins for a funeral—ritual business was clearly their main source of income. But they couldn’t perform so often after the Japanese invasion because society was in such chaos.
In 1953—a couple of years after the temple was destroyed—Zhang Dadong was married, aged 39 sui, to a man eight years her elder, a former labourer. He died in 1992, but she had children and grandchildren.
Photos: Xue Yibing.
The dignified Liu Guilan (b. c1916), from the Granny temple in the south of the village, outlined her story clearly and vividly to Xue Yibing:
I was given to the Granny temple when I was seven months old; my old home was Yuanzhuang village [further northeast]. An old nun came to the village begging for alms (huayuan 化緣), and persuaded my parents to give her their baby daughter.
So the nun became my “master” (shifu). Cradling me in her arms, she had to go round begging for milk. When I got a bit older, she sent me to the village school (xuetang) for a year. After the temple was destroyed—when I was 28 or 29 sui [1944–45]—the officials (guanjia 官家) made me get married (xunzhu 尋主). But they had a rule that nuns should take care of their shifu, so as mine was elderly and had no-one to look after her, I took her to my new husband’s home. But my husband died early—I was still only in my 30s. Later I adopted a daughter, and I’ve remained a widow all my days.
After Liberation I took part in labour, looking after my shifu and my daughter, but it was hard—as women we lacked strength, so we stayed terribly poor. Now my daughter is married, and things are fine, they look after me well.
She recalled her life in the temple:
Besides doing the temple’s daily chores, I started learning the shengguan music when I was 7 or 8 sui. I started out on guanzi, but soon changed to sheng because I was so young. The old Daoist you heard about was called Li, I don’t know his other names—we called him Master Li (Li ye). My shifu (known as Sanr 三儿) played sheng—she’d been taught by Master Li too. Our temple had originally had a shengguan ensemble, but as the nuns got older they didn’t have any puff, so that’s why we invited Master Li to teach our generation.We studied for a year, practised for a few more years, and then after “graduating” (chuke 出科) we were ready to go out on ritual business (yingshi).
We had one vocal liturgist to every three instrumentalists. There were three of us in my group—War 哇儿 on haidi shawm, Chengr 成儿 on large guanzi, and me (Guir 桂儿) on sheng. We just learned to play, we didn’t study the scriptures; even the melodies I only knew by their gongche solfeggio incipits. The nun in our group who recited the scriptures was known as Fatty Huir 大胖惠儿. From the north temple, Zhang Dadong, who you talked to, was known as Dongr 東儿; there was a nun called Chunr 春儿 who played the gong-in-frame, and a drummer from Majiawu.
Though these vignettes were based on brief chats, they offer an absorbing glimpse into the world of rural nuns before Liberation. They were doubtless in a small minority compared to male clerics; while the vocal liturgy and shengguan wind ensemble of complex ritual sequences were never confined to temples, since the 1950s they have been performed mainly by lay—and male—villagers. But the stories of nuns—like those of female mediums, sectarians, and ordinary worshippers—deserve including in our picture of local cultures.
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Zhihua temple, Xiao Huayan 1953
Li family Daoists, Invitation
Li family Daoists, Sandai zhou 2001
Li family Daoists, Sandai zhou, Paris 2018
Li family Daoists, Zouma
Hua band, Shuilongyin (meihuadiao)
Liu band, Liaoyang, Batiaolong
Gaoluo, Houtu precious scroll
Gaoqiao village, Jintang yue
Gaoluo, Ma yulang sung
Gaoluo, Ma yulang played
Hua band, Da Yanluo (fanzidiao)
Xi'an suite opening
Feuchtwang variations
Longchui 1961
Li Manshan doing paperwork for Hoisting the Pennant ritual, 2003 https://stephenjones.blog/the-film/
Daoist priests of the Li family https://stephenjones.blog/the-book/
Li Qing copying ritual document, 1991 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/10/beauty-of-mouth-organ/
Ritual painting (detail), Artisan the Sixth, early 1980s https://stephenjones.blog/god-images-old-and-new-1/
Ritual painting of Li Peisen https://stephenjones.blog/li-peisen-paintings/
Ten Kings detail https://stephenjones.blog/2018/04/04/god-images-old-and-new-1/
Elder Hu https://stephenjones.blog/2018/04/20/elder-hu/
Li Qing’s widow https://stephenjones.blog/2017/06/13/women-of-yanggao-13-daoist-families/
Duilian couplet at entrance to scripture hall https://stephenjones.blog/documents/
Courtyard in snow https://stephenjones.blog/2018/04/16/home-with-master-daoist/
Fetching Water, Pansi village 2011 https://stephenjones.blog/photos/
The Pardon, 1991 https://stephenjones.blog/the-film/
Pardon manual, Li Peisen https://stephenjones.blog/documents/
The Li band in Italy https://stephenjones.blog/2017/08/25/venetian-greetings/
The Li band in France https://stephenjones.blog/2017/05/27/the-li-band-in-france-notes/
Funeral procession, Yanggao https://stephenjones.blog/yanggao-other/
Shuozhou Daoists https://stephenjones.blog/shuozhou-daoists/
Temple mural https://stephenjones.blog/2017/08/24/temple-murals/
Statuette, Tianzhen https://stephenjones.blog/tianzhen-daoists/
Shanxi sect https://stephenjones.blog/2017/06/14/women-of-yanggao-23-sectarians-and-mediums/
Hunyuan Daoists 1992 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/05/shanxi-summer-1992/
Hunyuan yankou https://stephenjones.blog/hunyuan-daoists/
Xi’an village festival, 1950s: https://stephenjones.blog/ritual-life-around-xian/
Yang Yinliu 1950 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/02/26/a-tribute-to-yang-yinliu/
Zhihua temple 1954 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/02/23/a-slender-but-magical-clue/
Zhihua temple at BM https://stephenjones.blog/2018/04/25/baldies-mouth-organ/
Jiangnan ritual https://stephenjones.blog/2019/07/20/south-jiangsu-roundup/
N. Xinzhuang 1959 https://stephenjones.blog/sects-hebei/
Shifan c1962 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/02/26/a-tribute-to-yang-yinliu/
1930 donors’ list, South Gaoluo https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/01/two-local-cultural-workers/
Women of Gaoluo https://stephenjones.blog/2017/11/20/gaoluo-women/
Gaoluo 1989 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/02/20/more-on-hebei-2/
Pantheon, Gaoluo https://stephenjones.blog/ritual-images-gaoluo/
Houtu scroll https://stephenjones.blog/houtu-scroll/
Gaoluo 1993 https://stephenjones.blog/south-gaoluo-a-tribute-to-two-ritual-leaders/
Plucking the winds https://stephenjones.blog/other-publications/
A village elder https://stephenjones.blog/2019/07/11/village-elder/
Seniors,S. Gaoluo 1995 https://stephenjones.blog/south-gaoluo-a-tribute-to-two-ritual-leaders/
Gaoluo vocal liturgists
Pantheon, Liujing 1995 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/01/two-local-cultural-workers/
Ritual painting, N. Qiaotou https://stephenjones.blog/houshan-daoists/
Medium and disciples, Houshan 1993 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/01/two-local-cultural-workers/
Renqiu nun https://stephenjones.blog/hebei-nuns/
Tianjin Buddhists
Langfang https://stephenjones.blog/langfang-ritual/
Xushui 1959 https://stephenjones.blog/xushui-ritual/
Baiyangdian lake https://stephenjones.blog/baiyangdian-ritual/
Hanzhuang score https://stephenjones.blog/xiongxian-ritual/
Ritual in fiction https://stephenjones.blog/2018/02/03/hongloumeng/
Guanzi player, Bazhou https://stephenjones.blog/bazhou-ritual/
Funeral, N. Xinzhuang https://stephenjones.blog/suburban-beijing-ritual/
Fan Huilai 1993 https://stephenjones.blog/2018/03/01/sheng-repairers/
N. Shakou https://stephenjones.blog/xiongxian-ritual/
Baiyunshan pilgrims 2001 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/02/01/a-great-daoist-priest/
Wutai pantheon https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/05/shanxi-summer-1992/
Intriguing shopfront https://stephenjones.blog/2017/09/10/shabi/
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Twin Peaks https://stephenjones.blog/2018/10/17/twin-peaks/
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Noh drama https://stephenjones.blog/2019/11/26/noh/
Dressing modestly https://stephenjones.blog/2017/10/30/dressing-modestly/
Hermit https://stephenjones.blog/2018/05/27/on-visiting-a-hermit/
Chet Baker https://stephenjones.blog/2017/10/28/chet/
qin and erhu https://stephenjones.blog/2018/09/21/qin-erhu/
Van Gulik https://stephenjones.blog/2018/09/29/gulik/
Love, Nina https://stephenjones.blog/2017/12/19/love-nina/
Cantonese https://stephenjones.blog/2020/04/21/dou-wun/
Mazu procession https://stephenjones.blog/2019/04/16/fujian-1961/
Female mediums https://stephenjones.blog/2018/10/06/lives-of-female-mediums/
Gansu Daoists https://stephenjones.blog/2018/09/15/mao-worship/
Ningxia ritual https://stephenjones.blog/ningxia-ritual/
Rain rituals https://stephenjones.blog/2018/08/08/rain-rituals/
Coronavirus https://stephenjones.blog/2020/02/15/coronavirus/
Bards of Shaanbei https://stephenjones.blog/2018/06/23/bards-of-shaanbei/
Guo Yuhua https://stephenjones.blog/2018/06/19/guo-yuhua/
Yangjiagou funeral 1999 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/14/walking-shrill-shawm-bands-in-china/
Learning with the Hua band, 2001 https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/14/walking-shrill-shawm-bands-in-china/
An unsung local hero https://stephenjones.blog/2016/12/27/an-unsung-local-hero/
Fieldwork https://stephenjones.blog/2017/09/01/fieldworkers/
SOAS shawms https://stephenjones.blog/2017/03/14/walking-shrill-shawm-bands-in-china/
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Confucian ritual in Hunan https://stephenjones.blog/2019/03/28/hunan-confucian-ritual/
A 1956 fieldtrip to Hunan https://stephenjones.blog/2019/03/11/hunan-1956/
Wang Mingming https://stephenjones.blog/2018/06/13/notes-from-beijing-2/
Ethnographers of Beishida https://stephenjones.blog/2018/05/08/notes-from-beijing-1/
Beijing punk https://stephenjones.blog/2018/10/19/new-musics-beijing/
Berlioz https://stephenjones.blog/2018/11/12/berlioz/
Mahler and the mouth-organ https://stephenjones.blog/2018/11/16/mahler-and-mouth-organ/
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https://stephenjones.blog/2020/03/12/neuman/
Dhrupad
Forbidden memory https://stephenjones.blog/2020/07/04/forbidden-memory/
Labrang 1 https://stephenjones.blog/2020/07/16/labrang-1/
Tibet https://stephenjones.blog/2019/02/25/cultural-revolution-tibet/
How not to describe 1956 Tibet
Tibet: folk ritual
Ghost dance https://stephenjones.blog/2020/07/06/ghost-dance/
Uyghur culture in crisis https://stephenjones.blog/2019/10/23/uyghur-culture-crisis/
Lisbon 1939 https://stephenjones.blog/2018/05/14/lisbon-2/
Italy: folk musicking https://stephenjones.blog/2019/04/29/italy-folk-musicking/
Hašek’s adventures in Soviet Tatarstan
Kolyma tales
The first gulag https://stephenjones.blog/2020/01/13/the-first-gulag/
Kulaks exiled, 1930s https://stephenjones.blog/2019/05/13/lives-in-stalins-russia/
Kazakh famine https://stephenjones.blog/2020/02/01/the-kazakh-famine/
Commemorating trauma in China https://stephenjones.blog/2018/05/18/china-trauma/
Famine and expressive culture https://stephenjones.blog/2019/03/16/1960s-famine-and-expressive-culture/
Bloodlands https://stephenjones.blog/2018/12/02/bloodlands/
Musics of Crete
Blind minstrels of Ukraine https://stephenjones.blog/2018/10/13/blind-minstrels-ukraine/
Blind musicians
Black Madonna
Poland: folk traditions
Czech couple with Qi Baishi https://stephenjones.blog/2019/02/15/czechs-in-tianqiao/
https://stephenjones.blog/2020/02/17/jackson-fieldwork/
Denis Twitchett and An Lushan https://stephenjones.blog/2019/04/03/twitchett-tang/
Picken https://stephenjones.blog/2017/02/10/laurence-picken/
Paul Kratochvil https://stephenjones.blog/2016/12/19/paul-kratochvil/
Nazi legacy https://stephenjones.blog/2018/05/16/nazi-legacy/
GDR 2 https://stephenjones.blog/2018/05/02/gdr-2/
Sachsenhausen https://stephenjones.blog/2018/04/27/sachsenhausen/
Boulanger pupils https://stephenjones.blog/2020/06/25/boulanger-pupils/
Les Parisiennes https://stephenjones.blog/2018/07/18/parisiennes/
Normal people https://stephenjones.blog/2020/06/18/normal-people/
Noor Inayat Khan https://stephenjones.blog/2020/05/15/noor-inayat-khan/
Anna Mahler
Esperance https://stephenjones.blog/2019/04/08/morris/
Empirical language acquisition https://stephenjones.blog/2017/02/05/language-acquisition/
Ravensbruck https://stephenjones.blog/2017/07/24/bearing-witness-if-this-is-a-woman/
Bach https://stephenjones.blog/2020/04/11/matthew-passion-staged/
Mahler 10 https://stephenjones.blog/2018/04/29/mahler-10/
Mahler 4
Celi https://stephenjones.blog/2020/04/17/celibidache/
Hildi with Bach https://stephenjones.blog/2018/02/17/echoes-of-the-past-2/
Alap https://stephenjones.blog/2017/01/17/bach-alap-and-driving-in-birmingham/
1945 refugees https://stephenjones.blog/2018/02/16/echoes-of-the-past-1/
Bach party https://stephenjones.blog/2017/11/24/feuchtwang-variations/
Bach letter https://stephenjones.blog/2017/12/26/bach-patronage/
Proof-reading https://stephenjones.blog/2016/12/07/proof-reading/
Great works missing the crucial element https://stephenjones.blog/2019/04/14/missing-crucial-element/
Windsors https://stephenjones.blog/2020/03/22/windsors/
Stammering songs https://stephenjones.blog/2019/01/21/more-stammering-songs/
Saint Bill
The wise AOC
Laowai and CR https://stephenjones.blog/2017/11/14/laowai-and-cr/
Natasha https://stephenjones.blog/2017/07/16/in-memory-of-natasha/
Juggling https://stephenjones.blog/2019/11/28/juggling/
Lin Youren https://stephenjones.blog/2017/01/13/remembering-an-old-friend-憶故人/
Granddad https://stephenjones.blog/2017/01/19/wisdom-of-the-elders/
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Beverly Hills, Calif. (Top40 Charts) Relativity Music Group and Republic Records will release the original motion picture soundtrack to Relativity Media's upcoming deeply romantic thriller Safe Haven on February 5th. The soundtrack features original tracks "We Both Know," written and performed by Republic Records' two-time Grammy® Award-winner Colbie Caillat and RCA Records' multi-platinum recording artist Gavin DeGraw (https://smarturl.it/ColbieWeBothKnowiTns ) and "The Journey" by FM Radio. Tristan Prettyman, Irish singer/songwriter Gareth Dunlop and a host of new talent also contributed tracks. Award-winning composer Deborah Lurie wrote the score and contributes an original song to the soundtrack. See full track listing below.
In theatres Valentine's Day February 14th, 2013, Safe Haven is directed by Oscar®-nominee Lasse Hallström and based on the best-selling novel by Nicholas Sparks from a screenplay by Dana Stevens and Gage Lansky. The film stars Josh Duhamel (Transformers, Life As We Know It), Julianne Hough (Rock of Ages, Footloose), Cobie Smulders (The Avengers, How I Met Your Mother) and David Lyons (Eat Pray Love, J.J. Abrams' Revolution) and is an affirming and suspenseful story about a young woman who struggles to find love again after she arrives in a small North Carolina town. Safe Haven was produced by Marty Bowen, Wyck Godfrey, Sparks and Relativity's CEO Ryan Kavanaugh.
The soundtrack for Safe Haven was executive produced by Relativity Music Group's Jason Markey, Bob Bowen, Happy Walters alongside the film's producers Bowen, Godfrey and Kavanaugh.
Relativity Music Group recently released soundtracks for Focus Features' Hyde Park on Hudson and Promised Land and will be releasing the soundtrack for Relativity's upcoming comedy 21 and Over.
Safe Haven Original Motion Picture Soundtrack Track Listing:
Colbie Caillat featuring Gavin DeGraw- "We Both Know"
Tristan Prettyman- "Say Anything"
Ben Howard- "Keep Your Head Up"
Dar Williams- "Summer Child"
The White Buffalo- "Sleepy Little Town"
Gareth Dunlop- "Wrap Your Arms Around Me"
Sara Haze- "Moonshine"
FM Radio- "The Journey"
Brandi Carlile- "Heart's Content" (Strings Mix)
Amos Lee- "Violin"
The Deep Dark Woods- "My Baby's Got To Pay The Rent"
Deborah Lurie- "Canoeing" (Katie and Alex's Theme)
For more information on Safe Haven please visit www.safehavenfilm.com or www.top40-charts.com. You can also follow the film on Facebook at www.facebook.com/SafeHavenMovie and Twitter at @SafeHavenMovie. Make sure to use #SafeHaven when you tweet and also check out the film's Instagram at www.instagram.com/safehavenmovie and Pinterest at www.pinterest.com/safehavenmovie.
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Officials are now investigating up to 21 cases of potential coronavirus in Ontario
Home » Officials are now investigating up to 21 cases of potential coronavirus in Ontario
Following the confirmation of a second presumptive case of coronavirus in Toronto, Ontario health officials are currently investigating up to 21 other individuals who may have the illness.
UPDATE: Province currently isolating and awaiting test results for 19 people for possible coronavirus infection, alongside two confirmed cases https://t.co/IVhYQZPunw pic.twitter.com/nhJSNkvYQt
— CP24 (@CP24) January 27, 2020
Provincial officials said in a press conference earlier today that 19 people are currently under watch for potential infection, while the National Post reports this number to be 21, according to a private source.
Williams confirms 15 people have been cleared for investigation of coronavirus infection, 19 are under investigation, there is one confirmed case and one "presumptive" case #2019nCoV #cdnhealth
— Adam Miller (@adamsmiller) January 27, 2020
Staff from Toronto Public Health are also seeking a number of passengers who were on China Southern Airlines flight CZ311, which flew from Guangzhou to Toronto on January 22, after the city’s first confirmed case of the novel virus turned out to be a man who traveled in on that plane.
The man’s wife is currently presumed to be Toronto’s second case.
Fuck, now it’s jumped from 1 to 2 & now 19? Are they all from the same plane?! #CoronaVirusCanada #Coronavirustoronto #coronavirus
— Spotlighting good news! (@ReinventYourDay) January 27, 2020
Fifteen additional individuals in Ontario who were previously suspected to possibly have 2019-nCoV have since been cleared as the other 19-21 await lab test results.
Many of those under observation are currently in isolation at Toronto-area hospitals, CP24 reports.
#Coronavirustoronto update – apparently there are now 21 individuals under evaluation within Canada, GTA exposure unknown.
Stop buying N95 masks to send overseas – we will need them here, if this gets out of control, we don't want to be left unprotected.
— Matt Lefebvre (@mattlef2) January 27, 2020
The 50-year-old man who has been confirmed to have the virus is in quarantine at Toronto’s Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, while his wife is self-isolating at home. Both are in stable condition.
A second case of coronavirus confirmed in Toronto and more are expected
Canada is now recommending against face masks to protect against coronavirus
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Tag Archives: Charles Lynch
2019 Airshow, featured
March 30, 2020 Tomcatter5150 4 Comments
The 2019 National Warplane Museum Airshow took place on July 12 – 14th and brought in a nice selection of warbird aircraft . Featured performers included the USAF A-10 Thunderbolt II demo, Canadian Harvard Aerobatic Team and the Alabama Boys comedy routine by the talented Greg Koontz.
B-17 Flying Fortress “Movie Memphis Belle”
The National Warplane Museum leased the B-17 Flying Fortress “Movie Memphis Belle” to take to events and for riders to purchase flight experiences. She is a replica copy of the first 8th AF Bomber crew to complete their tour of 25 missions. The aircraft starred in the movie “The Memphis Belle” and has been a huge hit on the airshow scene for a number of years. She looks “rough” but that is part of her appeal. She looks like a B-17 used almost daily during the 8th AF bombing campaign. The Movie Belle is nearly a visual replica of the original, but there are two main differences. Can you spot the differences? If so, drop me a note…I know ’em!
Canadian Harvard Formation Team
The Canadian Harvard Formation Team performed their routine. Looking as sharp as ever, the yellow Harvard aircraft put on a routine that is impressive considering how demanding the aircraft is to fly. Pilots always said that if you can handle a Harvard (Texan in America), you can handle any of the fighter aircraft of the era.
C-47 Skytrains / C-53 Skytrooper
The National Warplane Museum’s own C-47 “Whiskey 7” led a handful of C-47s and a C-53 in a tribute to the 75th Anniversary of the D-day Invasion. Several of the aircraft were on the return leg of their trip back from recent festivities at Normandy Beach in France. Several on display were nice to see and a total surprise to see them.
B-25 Mitchells “Champaign Gal” and “Miss Hap”
Two B-25s were in attendance, “Champaign Gal” from the Champaign Aviation Museum and “Miss Hap” from the American Airpower Museum. Miss Hap was the fourth B-25 off of the assembly line and is the oldest surviving B-25. Another notable is that the airframe was the personal transport of General Hap Arnold.
P-40 Warhawk “American Dream”
The TP-40N Warhawk “American Dream” from Warbird Adventures was the lone P-40 present. The P-40 has a strong history in the western New York area since they were designed and built by Curtiss-Wright, with the factory located in Buffalo, NY. “American Dream” has been modified with dual controls, which allows for a passenger and the ability for the passenger to pilot the aircraft. This configuration is extremely rare and is the only commercially available P-40 for dual instruction.
Thom Richard’s TP-40N Warhawk “American Dream” returns to the skies of New York. All P-40s were produced at the Curtiss factory in Buffalo, New York.
F4U/FG-1D Corsair “GodSpeed”
Goodyear built Corsair “GodSpeed” is painted in tribute to Marine Aviator, John Glenn. Charlie Lynch was at the controls both days and performed an excellent aerobatic demonstration of the Corsair’s abilities.
Charles Lynch’s F4U Corsair “God Speed” painted to honor John Glenn – a Marine Aviator, astronaut and US Senator.
P-40 & Corsair Formation
Charlie Lynch and Thom Richards joined up for several fantastic photo passes in the P-40 & Corsair.
Thom Richards piloting the TP-40N Warhawk leads Charles Lynch piloting the F4U Corsair in a tight formation of New England built warbirds.
P-51 Mustangs “Swamp Fox” and “Mad Max”
Two P-51 Mustangs were on hand for Geneseo 2019. P-51D “Swamp Fox” owned and operated by RT Dickson and TF-51D “Mad Max” owned and operated by Louis Horschel.
RT Dickson piloting the P-51D Mustang “Swamp Fox” takes off from the Genseo turf.
Around the field
If you have never experienced the Geneseo show, it is a must for Warbird enthusiasts and is an amazing experience. To see aircraft on the grass as they would have been in the 1930s and 1940s is just special. Geneseo also seems to be full of surprises and acts you would not expect at a Warbird show. Pictured below are a Beech Staggerwing, TBM Avenger, Stearman, A-10C from the USAF A-10 Demo Team, and the ever entertaining Greg Koontz.
Thanks for a great time Geneseo, hopefully see you in 2020!
airplanesAlabama BoysavgeekB-17 Flying FortressB-25 MitchellC-47canon airteamCharles LynchCorsairF4uF4U CorsairGreatest show on turfgreg koontzmiss hapMovie Memphis BelleNational Warplane MuseumP-40 WarhawkP-40 Warhawk American DreamP-51P-51 MustangShawn Yostswamp foxThe Airshow Guythom richardvintage airplanesW7warbirdWarbird AdventureswarbirdsWhiskey 7WWII AviationYost Photography
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Home > theatre > Mother of Him, Park Theatre review – lean domestic drama unsure where it stands
Mother of Him, Park Theatre review – lean domestic drama unsure where it stands | reviews, news & interviews
Award-winning play starring Tracy-Ann Oberman centred on the mother of a teenage rapist
by Laura De LisleWednesday, 25 September 2019
Her own personal prison: Tracy-Ann Oberman in 'Mother of Him'Bronwen Sharp
Mother of Him was written a decade ago, but its most prescient moment happens in the first five minutes of Max Lindsay's production at the Park Theatre.
Mother of Him was written a decade ago, but its most prescient moment happens in the first five minutes of Max Lindsay's production at the Park Theatre. Brenda Kapowitz (Tracy-Ann Oberman) presents a sheaf of papers to Robert (Simon Hepworth, excellent), a family friend who’s also her 17-year-old son’s lawyer. “Report cards, awards,” she explains. “Grade six one doesn’t seem to be here but that shouldn’t make a difference.” We’ve just learned that the son in question, Matthew (Scott Folan, struggling gamely with a Canadian accent), has raped three women. Robert’s doing his best to present him as a good kid who made a mistake. Brenda’s doing her best to square what her son did with her love for him, all while designing a new mall and trying to shield younger son Jason (Matt Goldberg/Hari Aggarwal, Aggarwal pictured below right with Folan) from the paps.
Canadian-British playwright Evan Placey's award-winning debut was based on a true story, which is why its details are so familiar to anyone used to reading about rapists’ promising athletic careers. This version is excellent in parts, and fits the space well, but still misses more than it hits.
One of those excellent parts is Lee Newby’s stage design. It’s a sea of sludgy grey, like a protein shake vomited all over it. Grey milk cartons, grey party hats, blocky grey Nokias, in case you haven't realised that it’s the late Nineties. The only colour comes from the people – aside from Matthew, whose clothes are grey, too. He’s in prison before he’s even been tried, but what of his single mother? Hasn’t the home, with its mountains of laundry and washing-up and endless tasks, always been her own personal prison?
It’s like there’s a great play hidden somewhere inside this one (perhaps nestled in one of Newby’s versatile grey cubes). We’re allowed glimpses of it: the wonderfully menacing sound and lights (Fergus O’Hare and Ali Hunter); Anjelica Serra’s lovely turn as Brenda’s cleaner Tess; the ritual lighting of the Hanukkah candles, heavy with things unsaid. But for the most part Placey isn’t clear what questions he wants to ask, nor to whom our sympathy is supposed to gravitate. Surely not to Matthew: he’s one-dimensional, a cardboard cutout. Rape is never justified, but his complete lack of motive is jarring. Maybe that’s the point Placey’s trying to make – regardless, it falls flat. Matthew’s father (a well-measured Neil Sheffield, pictured above) thinks Matthew's crime must be his fault, for walking out on Brenda when the boys were young. “He had no one to show him respect for women,” he blusters, having rocked up at Brenda’s door unannounced. “I mean what kind of example had I been?” Brenda’s reply is fierce and immediate, Oberman's finest moment: “I showed him how to respect women!” This idea, that blaming Matthew’s father for his absence really blames his mother for her inferior presence, is a compelling one, but not dealt with well enough to satisfy. In the end, neither Brenda nor Matthew are convincing as characters – leaving the title with only that lonely "of".
Mother of Him at the Park Theatre to October 26
Read more theatre reviews on theartsdesk
It’s like there’s a great play hidden somewhere inside this one
Editor Rating:
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10 Questions for actress Tracy-Ann Oberman: 'it's made me pretty fearless'
Angry, Southwark Playhouse review – wondrously roaring Ridleyland
Faith, Hope & Charity, National Theatre review - a grim compassion
Park Theatre
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Remember Val the Bartender? She wrote a book about Hillary Clinton—sort of →
The Night I Met Jesus in West Hollywood: We Broke Bread, He Walked Me Home and Healed My Back
Posted on January 4, 2018 by the cherie bomb
I’m not religious, but I found Jesus—on the corner of Robertson Boulevard and Melrose Avenue in West Hollywood in front of Cecconi’s Restaurant.
It was a warm summer evening and we were taking a stroll, talking about the uniqueness of living in West Hollywood. This tiny 1.9 mile hamlet is nothing short of magical on any given night. It’s dynamic, bustling, filled with artists, actors, writers, creators and dreamers from every corner of the world, allowing you to meet interesting people every time you step out.
Oh My God, It’s Jesus!
He stared back at us. Everything went silent except for the humming golden aura that surrounded him as he stood there in all his glory … Well, not really. But he did look like a lot like Jesus, so we asked him for what we thought would be a kitschy photo. We got the photo, but little did we know, we got something more valuable— we made a beautiful friend. He asked, “What are you guys doing? Want to get some coffee and continue the conversation?”
The closest coffee shop was Urth Caffe two blocks east, a casual yet celebrity-filled patio, accented by tourists with selfie sticks, valets parking Lamborghinis and Bentleys, with a backdrop of flashing paparazzi cameras. What better locale for one of the world’s most famous figures?
We shared deserts, and literally broke bread with Jesus, while talking about politics and world affairs and how he became known as “WeHo Jesus” and “Hollywood Jesus”.
The conversation with Kevin Lee Light was riveting, but it was hard to ignore everyone in the cafe staring at us, passerby doing double-takes and snapping photos. The real Kevin was an actor and a politically progressive intellectual. Standing the height of a pro-basketball player and looking like Jesus will make a guy stand out, but his most potent attribute was his vibe, his inner glow—it was palpable.
Urth Caffe, Melrose Avenue, West Hollywood, California
Kevin spent most of his time walking around West Hollywood and Hollywood, but he seemed fulfilled when he described taking the bus to other neighborhoods like South L.A., East L.A., Downtown and the beach cities, ordering from taco trucks, or sitting in Coffee Beans, where people would excitedly ask for photos, smiling, laughing, and sometimes overcome with emotion. By telling them he loved them and giving them a hug, he gave them a moment they needed and it seemed to give him as much joy.
Sadly, he told us how Aerosmith, namely Steven Tyler, had struck up a loose friendship with him, and used his stories and lifestyle for their song “Street Jesus” and never gave him credit. He claimed that the writers of the Cartoon Network series “Black Jesus” stole his idea for a show and changed it around enough to take the credit and shut him out. If you doubt this is true, you haven’t worked in Hollywood. In the end, Kevin never quite made it as an actor, but he did become famous, after all.
Getting down in the LMFAO video for “Party Rock Anthem”
It’s Time To Leave, Guys.
When restaurant workers started to pile up the chairs around us, we realized we were the last people in the cafe. It was 11 p.m., we’d been talking for hours, all the shops on Melrose were closed and the streets were dark in that part of West Hollywood, so Jesus said he would walk us home. During the mile-long walk, we passed all the posh shops on Melrose, and listened to him describe in detail all the idiosyncrasies of the designer clothes in the storefront windows, making me think to myself, “So he’s erudite on politics, global issues, philosophy and high-end fashion designers?”
When we got home, I mentioned my back hurt. He said he could fix it. I said, “No! No!”, but he picked me up anyway, flipping me up and around like I didn’t have any weight…and, low and behold, I was better. We said our goodbyes and thanked him for a great conversation and he waked off into the night.
There’s something to be said about Kevin passing at Christmastime. Just like Kevin, there’s something wonderfully mysterious and meaningful about the timing.
Well, Sweet Jesus, Sweet Kevin Lee Light, Sweet Kevin Short, we will miss you. You embodied the true spirit of Jesus: to be kind to others, to offer friendship, hugs, kindness and love to everyone who crossed your path. Like so many of the people whose hearts you touched, we will light a candle for you and wish you well as you fly off to faraway galaxies and universes, spreading your stardust to others who need you now. You wanted to make your mark in this lifetime. Well, you did it, Kevin. We will remember you. As for this couple, you enlightened and inspired us, and for that, we are eternally grateful.
Kevin Short aka “Kevin Lee Light”, “WeHo Jesus”, “Hollywood Jesus” giving his Sunday Sermon On The Mount of EDM at the Sunset Strip Music Festival, 2014
Posted in Essays and Journalism, Home Decor & Lifestyle, Lifestyle | Tagged Hollywood Jesus, Kevin Lee Light, Kevin Short, WeHo Jesus, West Hollywood
4 thoughts on “The Night I Met Jesus in West Hollywood: We Broke Bread, He Walked Me Home and Healed My Back”
Great story! I loved the quick snoop dog video…I’m trying to read comments. Just interested in what people have to say but I can’t find any. Idk maybe I’m not doing it right
Thank you! That’s what made Kevin so special. He brought that kind of spontaneous, joyful response in people, a feeling that’s much needed in these crazy political times. You can find a lot of people talking about Kevin on Twitter. Search the hashtags #KevinLeeLight, #KevinShort, #HollywoodJesus #WestHollywoodJesus and #WeHoJesus. He was a sweet soul—something so special about him. I’d like to think he’s spreading his love and kindness across other galaxies and universes who need his kind.
sue Richards
Thanks Cherie bomb,
What a great story. Kevin is my brother. Our family is overwhelmed with all the response to his passing. He was so loved. He will be missed. Thank you for your kind words.
Sue Short Richards
Thank you, Sue. I’m so happy that you read the story and, mostly, that you liked it. When we found out he passed, my boyfriend and I were talking about the surreal night we Kevin. And he said, “You’ve got to write it up, people should know his story——his family should know. I met him on the corner of Robertson and Melrose. He was alone and so tall and just staring back. We made fast friends, and walking to Urth Caffe with him along busy Melrose was an experience I’ll never forget. Everyone was staring, taking photos. He was a real star and such a beautiful human being who made an impact on me that I will carry with me forever. I, too, was happy to see that the very impact he made on me and my boyfriend Abraham, he also made a sooooo many more people all over Los Angeles. What a legacy! Godspeed, sweet Kevin.
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Note: This article was published by the Daily Hampshire Gazette on June 10, 2019.
Written by Staff Writer Scott Merzbach.
NORTHAMPTON — The Blue Marble gift shop will add a new store to its Northampton location in Thornes Marketplace later this year, while also closing its longtime Amherst storefront this summer as its owner seeks to consolidate operations under one roof.
The shop specializing in American handmade crafts and fair-trade items has tripled in size in Thornes since opening in fall 2015, and will soon be supplemented with the new store focusing on children’s items inside the same building.
Little Blue, featuring products for babies and children, is the latest endeavor by Blue Marble owner Cathie Walz. The shop is expected to open Sept. 1.
“Thornes is such a wonderful place to work and shop,” Walz said. “It’s a magical neighborhood of businesses in a beautiful environment, and I’m really looking forward to being there full time.”
But with the new store will come the eventual closing this summer of the original Blue Marble in downtown Amherst, which Walz opened in July 2007 at 101 North Pleasant St.
As she prepares for that closing, discounts will be offered on her jewelry and gift inventory.
Walz said her decision had nothing to do with the business climate in either community, but rather simplifying her life.
“This was not an easy decision,” Walz said. “Happily, I know our Amherst customers will have no difficulty finding us across the river, and I look forward to seeing them all there.”
The loss of a store is sad for Amherst, said Amherst Area Chamber of Commerce Executive Director Claudia Pazmany, but she added that she understands business owners can find it challenging to run locations on both sides of the Connecticut River.
Pazmany noted that Glazed Doughnut owners Keren and Nick Rhodes recently made a similar decision to shutter one of their stores, though in their case the couple opted to keep the Amherst location open and close their Northampton site.
The looming empty space is in a block with Zanna on one end and The Toy Box at the other, and just steps away from the One East Pleasant mixed-use building that will soon have an Iya Sushi and Noodle Kitchen restaurant.
Pazmany said the chamber is ready to offer support for a start-up business or anyone else interested in the space.
“It’s a great retail location and a huge opportunity for the next person,” Pazmany said.
Walz said she understands that buying habits are continuing to change and that online and other forms of remote purchasing are affecting brick and mortar retailers, which is why she has strived to have the selection of merchandise change regularly and be sustainably sourced.
“Those of us with independent stores just have to work twice as hard as we did 10 years ago to offer folks the variety of product and stellar customer service that makes it worthwhile for someone to get out of their car,” Walz said.
Scott Merzbach can be reached at smerzbach@gazettenet.com.
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Thought Broadcast
A Psychiatrist's Thoughts – Straight To Your Head
The Carlat Behavioral Health Report
Depression Tests: When “Basic” Research Becomes “Applied”
Anyone with an understanding of the scientific process can appreciate the difference between “basic” and “applied” research. Basic research, often considered “pure” science, is the study of science for its own sake, motivated by curiosity and a desire to understand. General questions and theories are tested, often without any obvious practical application. On the other hand, “applied” research is usually done for a specific reason: to solve a real-world problem or to develop a new product: a better mousetrap, a faster computer, or a more effective way to diagnose illness.
In psychiatric research, the distinction between “basic” and “applied” research is often blurred. Two recent articles (and the accompanying media attention they’ve received) provide very good examples of this phenomenon. Both stories involve blood tests to diagnose depression. Both are intriguing, novel studies. Both may revolutionize our understanding of mental illness. But responses to both have also been blown way out of proportion, seeking to “apply” what is clearly only at the “basic” stage.
The first study, by George Papakostas and his colleagues at Massachusetts General Hospital and Ridge Diagnostics, was published last December in the journal Molecular Psychiatry. They developed a technique to measure nine proteins in the blood, plug those values into a fancy (although proprietary—i.e., unknown) algorithm, and calculate an “MDDScore” which, supposedly, diagnoses depression. In their paper, they compared 70 depressed patients with 43 non-depressed people and showed that their assay identifies depression with a specificity of 81% and a sensitivity of 91%.
The other study, published two weeks ago in Translational Psychiatry by Eve Redei and her colleagues at Northwestern University, purports to diagnose depression in adolescents. They didn’t measure proteins in patients’ blood, but rather levels of RNA. (As a quick aside, RNA is the “messenger” molecule inside each cell that tells the cell which proteins to make.) They studied a smaller number of patients—only 14 depressed teenagers, compared with 14 non-depressed controls—and identified 11 RNA molecules which were expressed differently between the two groups. These were selected from a much larger number of RNA transcripts on the basis of an animal model of depression: specifically, a rat strain that was bred to show “depressive-like” behavior.
If we look at each of these studies as “basic” science, they offer some potentially tantalizing insights into what might be happening in the bodies of depressed people (or rats). Even though some of us argue that no two “depressed” people are alike—and we should look instead at person-centered factors that might explain how they are unique—these studies nevertheless might have something to say about the common underlying biology of depression—if such a thing exists. At the very least, further investigation might explain why proteins that have no logical connection with depression (such as apolipoprotein CIII or myeloperoxidase) or RNA transcripts (for genes like toll-like-receptor-1 or S-phase-cyclin-A-associated protein) might help us, someday, to develop more effective treatments than the often ineffective SSRIs that are the current standard of care.
Surprisingly, though, this is not how these articles have been greeted. Take the Redei article, for instance. Since its publication, there have been dozens of media mentions, with such headlines as “Depression Blood Test for Teens May Lead To Less Stigma” and “Depression Researchers May Have Developed First Blood Test For Teens.” To the everyday reader, it seems as if we’ve gone straight from the bench to the bedside. Granted, each story mentions that the test is not quite “ready for prime time,” but headlines draw readers’ attention. Even the APA’s official Twitter feed mentioned it (“Blood test for early-onset #depression promising,” along with the tags “#childrenshealth” and “#fightstigma”), giving it a certain degree of legitimacy among doctors and patients alike.
(I should point out that one of Redei’s co-authors, Bill Gardner, emphasized—correctly—on his own blog that their study was NOT to be seen as a test for depression, and that it required refinement and replication before it could be used clinically. He also acknowledged that their study population—adolescents—are often targets for unnecessary pharmacological intervention, demanding even further caution in interpreting their results.)
As for the Papakostas article, there was a similar flurry of articles about it when preliminary results were presented last year. Like Redei’s research, it’s an interesting study that could change the way we diagnose depression. However, unlike Redei’s study, it was funded by a private, self-proclaimed “neurodiagnostics” company. (That company, Ridge Diagnostics, has not revealed the algorithm by which they calculate their “MDDScore,” essentially preventing any independent group from trying to replicate their findings.)
Incidentally, the Chairman of the Board of Ridge Diagnostics is David Hale, who also founded—and is Chairman of—Somaxon Pharmaceuticals, a company I wrote about last year when it tried to bring low-dose doxepin to the market as a sleep aid, and then used its patent muscle to issue cease-and-desist letters to people who suggested using the ultra-cheap generic version instead of Somaxon’s name-brand drug.
Ridge Diagnostics has apparently decided not to wait for replication of its findings, and instead is taking its MDDScore to the masses, complete with a Twitter feed, a Facebook Page, and a series of videos selling the MDDScore (priced at a low, low $745!), aimed directly at patients. At this rate, it’s only a matter of time before the MDDScore is featured on the “Dr Oz Show” or “The Doctors.” Take a look at this professionally produced video, for instance, posted last month on Youtube:
(Interesting—the host hardly even mentions the word “depression.” A focus group must have told them that it detracted from his sales pitch.)
I think it’s great that scientists are investigating the basic biology of depression. I also have no problem when private companies try to get in on the act. However, when research that is obviously at the “basic” stage (and, yes, not ready for prime time) becomes the focus of a viral video marketing campaign or a major story on the Huffington Post, one must wonder why we’ve been so quick to cross the line from “basic” research into the “applied” uses of those preliminary findings. Okay, okay, I know the answer is money. But who has the authority—and the voice—to say, “not so fast” and preserve some integrity in the field of psychiatric research? Where’s the money in that?
55 Comments | biomarkers, depression, diagnostics | Tagged: biomarkers, depression, mddscore, papakostas, redei, ridge diagnostics | Permalink
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Steve Balt
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To drive business innovation, start with a technology platform
By Carsten Meinecke in November 2019
Business innovation today requires data — lots of it.
Just ask a major auto manufacturer that’s developing self-driving cars. Every day the company collects as much raw data as you’d find on 23,000 smartphones. And if all the data the company stored were transferred to CDs, those discs would fill a 39,000-square-foot warehouse.
Despite its compute-intensive nature, the work serves not the IT department, but the business. The company aims to become a major player in the autonomous vehicle market and have a car requiring zero driver intervention by 2021.
While not every organization has such ambitious goals, most chief information officers (CIOs) today need to enable fast business innovation while also lowering the costs of their legacy environment. What they need is a technology platform for business innovation.
IT for the business
This kind of technology platform essentially functions as a digital sandbox that provides API access to common functionalities and integration with mission-critical systems, easy-to-use analytics and artificial intelligence (AI), plus access to both internal and external data sources — all protected by strong security. While this platform is created by IT, it’s designed to help the business, which can use this digital sandbox to develop ideas, test prototypes and create minimum viable products (MVPs) with a fail-fast approach that’s both quick and highly secure.
For example, a major steel manufacturer has created just such a technology platform to test new solutions along its production line and applications for data analytics. The company’s technical advisers use the platform to not only increase manufacturing output and efficiency, but also raise quality levels and boost customer satisfaction.
Similarly, a major automotive parts manufacturer has created a technical platform for testing analytics in the context of the internet of things (IoT). The company hopes these experiments, when integrated with API management, will enable the creation of new business models, including maintenance services, to help the company grow revenue, diversify its offerings and enlarge its market share.
A do-it-yourself solution
A technology platform for business innovation is something every organization needs to assemble for itself. It’s not something a CIO can simply buy from a favorite technology supplier.
That’s because these platforms address unique needs and are formed by unique combinations of products. These can include a hybrid cloud environment, data analytics, API-management capabilities, selected as-a-service offerings, and both integration and workflow technologies.
Each organization will want to pick and choose the platform components that support the most urgent needs of its business. Just as the business priorities of a commercial bank will differ dramatically from those of a clothing manufacturer, so will the kinds of business applications each wants to develop and test.
Building a technology platform for business innovation is a key step in creating a digital foundation. Fortunately, because these platforms leverage the public cloud, they can be built fairly quickly.
Culture shift ahead
But building a technical platform is only half the job. The other half is bringing about the needed cultural change. Today’s fast-changing markets require IT and the business to work together far more closely, and far faster, than ever before.
It’s hard to overstate the magnitude of this cultural shift. What many organizations now need is nothing less than a completely new model for collaboration. This new model barely distinguishes between IT and business; instead, it leads to what we call “scaled agile.” That’s when agile techniques such as MVPs, sprints and scrums become pervasive practices throughout the organization, essentially melting business and IT together. We’re fast approaching the era in which the differences between business and IT roles disappear.
How can your organization benefit from developing a technology platform for business innovation? To begin, some leading organizations have asked themselves probing questions, including:
Where are our next opportunities in the digital space?
What are our required capabilities?
Is our organization ready for the next steps in this digital journey — and are we changing fast enough?
Fully addressing these questions isn’t easy, and it may require some outside help. But the work is worthwhile. Answering these questions can help you design a platform that leverages technology for the new kinds of innovation your business needs.
To learn more, read the white paper, Use IT modernization to accelerate and scale business transformation.
Digital foundation
Carsten Meinecke is head of digital technology consulting at DXC Technology.
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THRU: An Appalachian Trail Love Story
Musings of Thru-hikers and Those Who Dream of the Thru-life
Roamin’ near Hump Mountain
Tag Archives: Maine
So close you can almost touch it . . .
May 6, 2018 UncategorizedAppalachian Trail, backpacking, Benton MacKaye, hiking, Maine, Mount Katahdinrichardkjudy
I have seen Katahdin from Abol Bridge a few times. Each time I try to put myself in the hiking shoes of a NOBO who gets that gasp-inducing view from the bridge before trudging into Baxter State Park — bound for Katahdin Stream and that last big energy surge to Baxter Peak.
As a SOBO, I saw this view the second day of my thru-hike. I have seen it since a few times and always think, “What must this feel like for a NOBO? How much emotion can one heart take after coming nearly 22 centuries of miles to get here?”
I took this admittedly mediocre pic on my phone a couple of years ago while accompanying my buddy, Tortilla Tosser, as he wrapped up the 100-mile Wilderness, close to finishing his four-decade-long section hike. What a glorious spot to pause a little over long and contemplate MacKaye’s vision. How lucky all of us are — those who love wilderness — that this place clings to its sacred character.
40 Yrs of Effort Rewarded by a Man Hug!
October 16, 2017 UncategorizedAppalachian Trail, backpacking, hiking, Maine, Springer Mountainrichardkjudy
About four decades ago, Tom LeVert (trail name Tortilla Tosser) began hiking the A.T. He likely was not thinking of completing the entire 2,190-mile epic walk until 2006 when he and I took on a three-and-a-half week hike from near Connecticut down to Swatara Gap in Pa. Over a dozen years, Tom and I found opportunities to knock off miles — sometimes long backpacks and other times stringing together long day hikes.
Finally a few years ago, Tom took on the 100-mile Wilderness in Maine, the single most difficult stretch he had left to finish. A couple days in, Tom got sick. To make a long story short, he got off the trail, ended up in the hospital and took a while to recover. I have to believe he was beginning to wonder if — past the age of 70 — he had enough left in the tank to carry out his long-held dream.,
Hiking pal David Hiscoe and I joined Tom a couple of years ago for a second try. This time the Tosser was ready. I won’t say he breezed through the 100 miles, because few can. But he made it through without incident — even knocking off Mt. Katahdin.
Last year and this year, Tom finished miles in Virginia, W. Va., Maryland, Pennsylvania, Connecticut and Massachusetts, bits and pieces he needed to complete his trip. All he had left was what he saved for the very end, .9 miles from the Springer Mtn. parking lot to the top of Springer Mtn. Tom’s wife, Joan, prepared a party at Amicalola Falls State Park while a small army of us joined Tom to Springer for the glorious completion of the hike he so desperately wanted to finish.
Tom is not a touchy feely guy. But he was accompanied by trail buddies who had journeyed with him on the long section hike — myself (left in the photo), Kevin Tanner (behind Tom with the beard) and Eric Graves (right). We know Tom is uncomfortable with man hugs, so we grabbed him in celebratory fashion while lots of pix got clicked. Tom’s face reflects the tolerance of a man who can’t wait to be released.
Later, as we enjoyed the celebration festivities, Tom described his struggles to complete the journey and focused on a couple of critical factors — his ultimately successful battle to conquer blisters and dehydration. Long-distance walkers know that these are among the most important factors to success, and Tom managed to work through the challenge.
Tom and I have discussed new hiking horizons. Tom loves his work as a CFP, so free time is precious to him. Still, I hope he and I — as well as others of us who delight in hiking together — will have fresh new adventures on open trails across the globe.
By the way, if you want to know how Tom got the trail name “Tortilla Tosser,” stay tuned. Someday I’ll tell the story on this blog.
This is one of the easy stretches of AT trail in Maine
August 19, 2014 UncategorizedMaine, Monsonrichardkjudy
My section hike is finally over as of Aug. 7. It ended on a nondescript highway crossing north of Monson, Maine. During the 100 or so miles we hiked, we saw some of the most arduous hiking east of the Mississippi. Here’s a fairly typical uphill grind. More pix soon. (Photo by Eric Graves, all rights reserved).
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Fish & Meat Restaurant a Favorite With Tamarindo Locals
Ellen Zoe Golden January 5, 2007 January 5, 2007
Right as a group of guests walks through the bamboo and steel entranceway of Tamarindo’s Fish & Meat restaurant, owner Federico Crespo starts tantalizing them with tales about the fantastic tuna that arrived that day.
This is particularly good news for all in the party, who have been craving a big selection of sushi. They sit at a wooden table, admiring the artwork on the walls while the jolly Argentine Crespo continues his greeting by informing them that he also has fresh salmon, mahi-mahi and corvina.
“You’ve got to try my new dish, too,” he graciously offers the group of regulars. And, with that, the large, 42-year-old chef makes a beeline for his kitchen. A few minutes later he returns with a spoon filled with a brownish concoction, offering it to the head of the table, who tastes it gratefully.
“Wow,” she smiles.
Later the woman learns that the strange but delightful creation is the new permanent Fish & Meat chalkboard special: orange curry with salmon, jumbo shrimp and mussels.
The scene is typical of the comfortable, inviting atmosphere inside Fish & Meat, and is exactly why people keep coming for meals and to socialize with Crespo and any other guests who might be dining there.
In the five years since Crespo and his wife Mariella took over the former Patagonia Club, many other restaurants in this northern- Pacific beach town have come and gone or changed owners, locations, monikers or chefs. That’s not to say that Fish & Meat hasn’t evolved; the couple has continuously updated both the menu and the decor to settle into its present incarnation: Asian, Argentinean, Middle Eastern and French food served on a variety of heavy-timber dining tables, including ones for large banquets and private lounge parties.
The Lonely Planet guidebook says Fish & Meat is popular with tourists, but Crespo will tell you he’s able to stick around because of the locals, who keep returning for palettepleasing wonders such as the huge serving of grilled lamb chop and ribs marinated eastern-style.Amazing cuts of meat, gently spiced and grilled, are accompanied with sweet mango pineapple chutney, hearty wild rice and farfalle, also flavored à la Mediterranean.
These regulars, whom Crespo keeps happy with a 10% discount off their checks, in turn recommend the restaurant to tourists.
“I love when people like my food,” Crespo beams. “We have tourist clients who have come back two, three, four times a week while they are on vacation. They become locals.”
Crespo says his creative menu items started out as personal, experimental meals for him, his wife and staff, but then it “got crazy,” he recalls. “One person would order it, another would come in, see and smell it, or say to me or their waiter that those dishes look or sound good, then order them.
Then they’d realize they tasted good, too. Eventually, I had to add them permanently as specials on the blackboard.”
Mariella, who has been married to Crespo for 12 years, says that while these may seem like random accidents from kitchen to table, in reality everything comes together as a result of her husband’s exuberant personality, creative professional marketing background and courage as a chef.
This exuberance recently earned Crespo the nickname “Gaucho Samurai.” Now, the Argentine who serves sushi is the basis of a cartoon character being developed for promotional purposes that’s as witty as the original himself.
Back in Buenos Aires, Crespo managed Divino, a huge restaurant, bar and club featuring an Asian-Argentine-Mediterranean fusion menu along with sushi. For years, under Crespo’s charge, Divino was frequented by a who’s-who of celebrities and regular patrons.
“But with the economic problems in Argentina, sales went down 70% from one day to the next,” Crespo laments. “To get away, we went on vacation six years ago to Costa Rica, traveling all along the Pacific, from Potrero to Manuel Antonio. We returned to Argentina, and one night, a year later, I had a dream about Costa Rica.”
A few months later, the Argentine returned to the country and opened Fish & Meat in Tamarindo, first with only basic sushi and Argentina-style grilled meats, then progressing to Asian fusion.
“I cook because I like to eat,” says Crespo, patting his belly, which is not that large, just jovial full. “I don’t have recipes. Everything is in my head.”
This chef has never taken formal cooking lessons; gleaning everything from books, Crespo believes the kitchen operates by “the chemistry of the elements.” By this he means that he imagines what something will taste like and then makes it happen.
The Coconut Snails appetizer is an excellent example of this process. The original recipe comes from France, and is made with snails, garlic, white wine and more. Crespo transforms the ingredients a bit, revealing his secrets: ginger, onions, green onions, coconut milk and – only in Costa
Rica – Salsa Lizano.
Other tantalizing menu items include crunchy corvina, lightly breaded and topped with fresh shrimp in a coconut sauce; succulent lamb simmered in a red wine sauce, served over jasmine rice; coconut milkkicked pasta with a selection of fish, shrimp, clams and whatever is fresh that day; sweet pad thai; spicy Dragon Fire Tenderloin; and made-to-order vegetarian meals.
Crespo used to station himself behind the bar, preparing sushi for his customers every night. He loved doing it, but with the restaurant’s growing popularity, he found he needed help. It came in the guise of 33-year-old sushi chef Jorge Chacón, who, with 15 years of experience as a sushi chef at various restaurants in Costa Rica, joined the Fish & Meat family earlier this year and immediately began conspiring with Crespo to upgrade the sushi menu.
Previous selections, including the New York Roll (tuna or salmon with avocado and cucumber), Philadelphia Roll (smoked salmon and cream cheese), California Roll (crab stick, avocado and cucumber) and fish-of-the-day sushi and sashimi picks, are now supplemented with new combinations of fish, sauces and preparations. The Hot Philly Roll has the same ingredients as the regular Philadelphia Roll, coated in tempura batter and quickly fried; and the new Roy Roll features salmon, asparagus, avocado and cream cheese.
With fresh tuna in the kitchen tonight, an order of sashimi, bright red and buttery soft, comes up for the special guests. Dipping into the soy and wasabi is a delight, though the tenderness of the fish needs no accompaniment.
Tonight’s Rainbow Roll – promoted on the menu as three different kinds of fresh fish available this particular evening – is delivered with corvina, tuna and salmon wrapped around avocado and cucumber.
Prices range from $5-9 for appetizers; $10-20 for main dishes; and $3-20 for sushi items. From 6 to 8 p.m., the restaurant offers all-you-can-eat sushi for $15 a person (not including larger rolls with multiple fish selections).
Fish & Meat is open every evening except Monday, from 6 to 10 p.m. The restaurant is presently located across from Hotel Pasatiempo, but Crespo says he has plans to move to an air-conditioned location across from the Tamarindo skate park (formerly Mama Rosa’s), where he’ll offer the same menu and open for lunch as well. For more information, call 653-0535.
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After Two Frigid Months for Auto Sales, Dealerships Are Desperate for Buyers
David Zalubowski—AP
By Brad Tuttle
March 5, 2014 12:34 PM EST
Week after week of cold and misery has kept car buyers away from auto dealerships in 2014. The weather should also be indirectly helping them get better prices on new-car purchases this spring.
Understandably, the abnormally snowy, bitterly cold weather that’s descended on much of the country for the past two months has been bad for auto sales. Buyers, it seems, tend to wait until the weather is not miserable to visit dealerships, kick tires, and seal deals. Thus far in 2014 it’s been easy for consumers to push off the chore of car-shopping because who wants to browse a dealership’s lot when its 5 below and there are 8 inches of fresh snow on the ground?
Record-setting cold resulted in a 3% decline in sales in January compared to the same month in 2013. Initial reports of strong sales tallies over Presidents Day weekend gave hope to the idea that automakers and car dealerships could bounce back with impressive sales for the whole month of February.
With few exceptions, however, February followed in the footsteps of January as a bummer for those in the business of selling cars. General Motors, BMW, Ford, Honda, Hyundai, Toyota, Volvo, and Volkswagen all reported that sales were down for the month, compared to February 2014. In many cases, automakers blamed bad weather for subpar sales results. Here’s one example, cited by The Detroit Bureau:
“I don’t like to make excuses, but the awful weather we saw across the country really hurt traffic to our dealerships and ultimately kept our sales at a pace well below what we were expecting,” said Bob Pradzinski, vice president of sales, Hyundai Motor America. “They say ‘If you want to see the sunshine you have to weather the storm,’ so we’re all looking forward to some sunshine in March.”
(MORE: Geneva: Automakers Cast Wary Eye Toward Russia)
Well, the sun has already been shining, so to speak, on one segment of the auto market: Small SUVs and AWD vehicles—designed and marketed to drivers who want help coping with the kind of miserable winter weather plaguing much the nation—have enjoyed a major boost in sales. As Bloomberg News reported, while sales of many car models were flat or down in February, Subaru and Jeep, known as brands that are great for handling the roads on bad-weather days, surged 24% and 47%, respectively, compared to last year. In a statement released by Chrysler, U.S. sales chief Reid Bigland said, “The severe weather has been ideally suited for our legendary Jeep 4X4 capability.”
Of course, that same weather has caused many drivers to largely stay off roads and out of car dealerships to an unusual degree thus far in 2014. After sales slumped in January, industry insiders said that dealership incentives and discounts would increase right away, and that the deals would only get better if more weeks of snow and cold followed.
And here we are. A CBS News report quoted several experts who are of the opinion that given the “perfect storm” of bad weather, slow sales, and car dealerships antsy to unload vehicles sitting on their lots for far too long, right now is a particularly good time to buy a new car. “If you’re willing to brave the elements, the next 30 to 45 days will be an epic time to buy,” said Scott Painter, CEO of TrueCar, an auto sales and research site that indicates dealership incentives are at their highest levels since 2010.
(MORE: How to Make the Worst Part About Buying a Car a Little Less Miserable)
That doesn’t mean you should go into a dealership any old day over the next month and a half. Interestingly, TrueCar data has showed that Tuesdays in early March and early April are traditionally among the worst days of the year to buy cars because of the relative absence of incentives and the general unwillingness of dealership managers and sales staffers to discount so early in the month.
As always, in terms of negotiations, buyers will sit more squarely in the driver’s seat if they go shopping toward the end of the month, when automakers and dealerships are eager to meet monthly sales goals and they’ll be more amenable to haggling.
Biden to Propose Citizenship Path
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Top 7 Fall Anime Sequels to Put on Your Watch List
by gigglingdonkey
Top 7 Must Watch Scary Anime Shows During Halloween
likes / shares
The fall season of anime is notoriously some of the best every year. This Anime Fall 2018 season is also no exception. Plenty of anime fans would, of course, be anticipating some new series to follow but there are also plenty of us just itching to catch the new seasons and sequels of our favorite anime.
So Don’t worry, our Otaku fan we are here at anime world got you covered, Check out our top picks for fall anime sequels to put on your watch list.
7. Fairy Tail: Final Season
https://youtu.be/JXYQ_v_hFzM
Genre: Action, Adventure, Comedy, Fantasy, Magic, Shounen
Release Date: Oct 7, 2018
Origins: Manga
It has been 4 years since the last season of Fairy Tail anime back in 2014. And on Oct 7 this year, Fairy Tail fans will get to see its final season which is likely to adopt the final arc of Fairy Tail originally a manga. The final season will continue to follow the unlikely duo of Natsu and Lucy as they search for their former teammates to convince them to rejoin the guild.
However, this is easier said than done. New enemies will test the mages in unbelievable ways. Their incredible powers and prominent personalities will inevitably cause a big clash that our heroes must overcome if they ever plan to rebuild guild.
6. Senran Kagura: Ninja Flash
https://youtu.be/YgNVEIRKjiA
Genre: Action, Adventure, Comedy, Ecchi, School
Release Date: Oct 13, 2018
Origins: Game
Another series where fans waited many years for a new sequel finally gets a new series. It’s been 5 years since the first series aired and fans of the series have rightfully been waiting and looking forward to this. Senran Kagura tells the story of these five girls and their secret journey to complete their shinobi training.
The journey quickly becomes more complicated than they expect though when a darker, more sinister group of shinobi reveal themselves. Not only do they know of the girls at the Hanzo Academy, but they seem fully intent on and capable of proving themselves to be the superior, modern day shinobi. It’s always a nice feeling to see a series you’ve waited years for a season 2 finally get a sequel.
5. Golden Kamuy Season 2
https://youtu.be/4oSQzn9BVBQ
Genre: Action, Adventure, Historical, Seinen
Following the success of the first season, Golden Kamuy will make a return with its second season, starting on October 8, 2018. Judging by the good reception with the first season, we can expect the same quality from this next season. In Hokkaido, the far northern lands of Japan, Sugimoto survived the Russo-Japanese war of the Meiji era. Nicknamed “Sugimoto the Immortal” during the war, he now seeks the riches promised by the gold rush in hopes of saving the widowed wife of his now deceased comrade from the war.
During his hunt of gold, he finds hints of a hidden stash of gold by corrupt criminals. Partnering with an Ainu girl that saves his life from the harsh climates of the north, they venture into a survival adventure to racing against the criminals that seek the hidden stash. Other than that, there are not much to say about this series except than: be patient and enjoy this series as a whole. Things will only get better and better.
4. A Certain Magical Index Season 3
https://youtu.be/h5gU1PcyOC4
Genre: Action, Magic, Sci-Fi, Super Power
Origins: Light Novel
The long-awaited third season of A Certain Magical Index will hit small screens soon, and fans couldn’t be happier. The series follows Kamijou Touma, a resident in Academy City who, unlike most of the city’s esper population, lacks magical abilities. Well, unless you count his right hand which possesses “Imagine Breaker,” a skill that neutralizes any other powers. Outside of this ability, Touma leads a pretty normal life.
That is until a girl called Index unexpectedly shows up at his apartment. Hiroshi Nishikiori returns to direct the series along with script supervisor Hiroyuki Yoshino and lead character designer Kiyotaka Haimura. The magical adventures of Touma, Index, and the other magicians will continue this fall.
3. Tokyo Ghoul: re Season 2
https://youtu.be/4jNfjkXZBoo
Drama, Horror, Mystery, Psychological, Seinen, Supernatural
Despite the not-so-successful reception of the first Tokyo Ghoul re-season, the anime in overall still receives huge popularity. Furthermore, there are still lots more going on after the first season and this second season is expected to cover the rest of the story. Tokyo Ghoul: re Season 2 will pick up where the season one finale left off.
“Chainsaw Man” Anime and Manga Updates
Personally, I didn’t have time to catch the 1st season of Tokyo Ghoul re, people keep telling me the 1st season is not so great, and boring too. I hope 2nd season will do better than the Season 1.
2. Jojo’s Bizarre Adventure Golden Wind
https://youtu.be/dX6QlfK76ec
Genre: Action, Adventure, Shounen
The legendary anime series finally back on track with its fifth season: Jojo’s Bizarre Adventure Golden Wind. According to the original manga, the story will continue with Jotaro asking Koichi to come to Naples, Italy to investigate a man called Haruno Shiobana, whose real identity turned out to be Giorno Giovanna.
Afterward, the story turns towards Giorno and focuses on his path on rising to the top of the Passione mafia group, thus, making it a mafia band of honor. Needless to say, Jojo’s Bizarre Adventure is an extremely famous series among manga/anime community. And naturally, tons of people are anticipating for this upcoming fifth season – Golden Wind. Unless you are not into anime.
1. Sword Art Online Alicization
Genre: Action, Fantasy, Game, Sci-Fi
This is the third installment of the Sword Art Online franchise, as we can expect this third installment of this franchise also have full of excitement, action, and adventure. Fans will finally get to see what Kirito’s been up to after the events of Sword Art Online Movie: Ordinal Scale.
Only this time around, our hero will step into a virtual medieval world called “Underworld.” The company behind this new virtual world, Rath, wants to develop a new technology called the Soul Translator by creating digital copies of newborns’ souls and putting them in Underworld. To help them achieve their goal, they hire Kirito to raise the AIs as naturally as possible. But first, they erase Kirito’s memories.
What anime are you most excited for this fall? What would you add to this list? Let us know in the comments below!
gigglingdonkey October 10, 2018
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2020’s Top 5 Anime Ending Songs
“Attack on Titan” Manga Wraps Up in April
New Anime Film for “Slam Dunk”
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Redford Focus: Sundance London Explored
Stephen Dalton , May 4th, 2012 05:25
Overseen by Robert Redford, the Sundance Festival in Utah has showcased independent cinema for three decades. The inaugural UK edition, mixing film and music events, took place at London's O2 last weekend, as Stephen Dalton reports. Photo by Gareth Cattermole, courtesy of Getty Images
A deflated Death Star of corporate consumerism pancaked across post-industrial wasteland on a neglected stretch of the River Thames, the O2 Arena feels like an ominously ill-judged location for an indie-centric, left-leaning film festival. Ringed by high-tech sentry towers on metal stilts, its Gaudi-cathedral spikes twitching like alien antennae in the East London breeze, this lightly militarised citadel of retail escapism feels like a Truman Show soundstage where JG Ballard meets Jean Baudrillard. If you want a picture of our dystopian future, imagine an army of assistant Starbucks managers stamping on a human face - forever.
Hell yeah. Even before I reach the O2, the first ever Sundance London festival has somehow pitched me into an Orwellian strop. Maybe it is the unusually rigid press ticket booking system, making schedule clashes inevitable at this boutique British spin-off from Robert Redford's celebrated US showcase. Or perhaps it is the festival's ubiquitous and heavy-handed corporate branding, which extends to announcers robotically demanding applause for their main sponsor before every screening, a mildly farcical ritual that begins to feel increasingly North Korean across the four-day weekend.
But once Sundance London gets underway, my resistance starts to crumble. Still impressively sharp at 75, Redford's inspirational opening talk is tougher and funnier than any of his anodyne promotional interviews beforehand, especially when he slams David Cameron's "narrow view" of cinema as a purely commercial art form. The Sundance audience, much like the army of 200-plus volunteers in matching yellow jumpers, is also infectiously keen and more culturally mixed than most Eurofilm festival crowds. Having never visited the O2 in daylight before, I am forced to concede it feels no more Orwellian than most modern shopping malls – a little sterile, but perfectly clean and functional. The multiplex cinema hosting the festival is undeniably comfortable, with crisp digital sound and picture. Maybe this massive concert arena makes sense as a location after all, since Sundance London's music-heavy programme offers a rare case of a film festival behaving more like a touring rock band, rolling out its greatest hits around the world.
Redford's long-running US festival, held in snowy Utah every January, is rightly celebrated as a showcase for new talent and liberal politics. It has helped launch dozens of fresh voices from the margins of American cinema including the Coen brothers, Jim Jarmusch, Steven Soderbergh, Spike Lee, Quentin Tarantino, Robert Rodriguez, Todd Solondz and Lisa Cholodenko. Dissenters claim the mother of all indie film festivals has become too lazy and mainstream, losing its edge to younger challengers like Robert De Niro's Tribeca in New York and South by Southwest in Austin. But Sundance London appears to be aiming to steal back some of its former youth culture buzz, pointedly billing itself as a 'film and music' event and incorporating a series of live rock shows into its programme.
One of the big draws is Shut Up And Play The Hits, a film record of LCD Soundsystem's marathon farewell show at Madison Square Garden last April. Directed by the British duo Dylan Southern and Will Lovelace, this is a fast-moving and impeccably scruffy-stylish affair. It is also a masterclass in evasion, showing everything yet revealing nothing. We see James Murphy shaving in his Brooklyn apartment, walking his dog, shedding a few tears and chatting with an amusingly pretentious indie-hipster interviewer. But we learn almost nothing of his hinterland, his private life, his real motivations. All the same, the bearlike singer comes over as smart, witty and likeable. Arcade Fire also have a memorable cameo, while Murphy's hilarious English manager seems to be channelling Monty Python's Eric Idle. He deserves his own documentary.
Another Sundance stand-out is Under African Skies by director Joe Berlinger, best known for his preposterous Metallica documentary Some Kind Of Monster. Following Paul Simon back to South Africa to revisit the controversy surrounding his boycott-busting 1986 album Graceland, Berlinger's film almost serves as a kind of musical Truth and Reconciliation Commission. Debating with former anti-apartheid activists, Simon never quite concedes he was wrong to break the cultural boycott, but the huge love and respect he receives from black South Africans is both moving and inspiring. In the event, history largely absolved him anyway - Graceland ultimately proved to be a valuable cultural weapon against apartheid, albeit accidentally. Ladysmith Black Mambazo, Paul McCartney, Quincy Jones, David Byrne, Vampire Weekend and more all feature in this joyous, uplifting film.
A theatrical airing for Placebo's routine tour-doc Coming Up For Air seems an odd Sundance choice, since it was released on DVD last year, but the band still turn up to deliver a ripsnorting live set at the O2's bijou concert venue, the IndigO2. Their sold-out show is surprisingly powerful, and comes with the added comic bonus of Brian Molko lecturing the rowdy crowd for spitting, shoving and "fucking with my concentration". You can't beat a pompous goth-rock diva. It's the gift that keeps on giving.
Rufus and Martha Wainwright also play a short, cabaret-style show at Sundance to launch the world premiere of Sing Me The Songs That Say I Love You, an elegant document of a New York tribute concert hosted by the musical siblings for their late mother, the Canadian folk singer Kate McGarrigle. As in her Leonard Cohen documentary I'm Your Man, director Lian Lunson shoots the performances in long takes and extreme close-up. Very different to the flashy jump cuts of the LCD Soundsystem documentary, but far more intimate and engaging.
The weirdest musical guest of the festival by several miles is Tricky, ostensibly performing his magisterial 1995 debut Maxinquaye with Martina Topley-Bird. Fronting a punchy rock trio interwoven with light-touch electronics, the Bristol livewire begins by stripping down to his torso and hunching into a boxer's stance at the mic stand. He soon makes clear his disdain for his most critically acclaimed album, digressing widely from heavy-breathing classics like 'Overcome' and 'Hell Is Round the Corner' into overlong bluesy jams, verbal sparring sessions with Martina, baffling absences from the stage, and even a Dizzee-style rap interlude fronted by his younger brother Marlon. There are moments of opium-dream beauty and loose-cannon brilliance in this unpredictable show, but the finale drags badly as Tricky pulls 30 or 40 people up onstage, then spends half an hour crowd surfing to interminable slo-mo blues-rock. There is nothing wrong with recreating Jim Morrison's shamanic showman shtick, but it only works with a suitably melodramatic musical backdrop. Ah fuck it, I still love that album, despite these bizarre attempts at self-sabotage by its creator.
Two of the best non-music documentaries at Sundance London take an unflinching look at the American Dream, but from opposite ends of the social spectrum. Finding North, directed by Kristi Jacobson and Lori Silverbush, is a shocking and moving exploration of spiralling food poverty across the US, where around 50 million citizens are now unable to properly feed themselves. By contrast, Lauren Greenfield's jaw-dropping The Queen Of Versailles offers a fly-on-the-caviar portrait of Jackie and David Seigel, a super-rich couple whose plans to build themselves America's largest house start to unravel when the financial crash pushes them to the brink of bankruptcy. Like The Osbournes on a NASA-sized budget, Greenfield's film is a surprisingly sympathetic, cautionary tale about dysfunctional billionaire bling.
On the drama side, one of the most enjoyable Euro premieres is Julie Delpy's autobiographical rom-com 2 Days In New York, a sequel to her 2007 writer-director debut 2 Days In Paris. Delpy reprises her role as a neurotic expat Parisian, while comedian Chris Rock plays her boyfriend. Some of the culture-clash jokes are pretty broad, but the Woody Allen-ish script sparkles and Delpy's real-life father Albert again plays an engagingly puckish support role. A surprise cameo by a notoriously egotistical indie-movie badass also provides an agreeably wacko final act twist.
The only real disappointment of the festival is Liberal Arts, an ingratiatingly cute rom-com written and directed by Josh Radnor of How I Met Your Mother fame. Radnor also plays the male lead, a bookish thirtysomething who returns to his old college campus and falls for Elizabeth Olsen's kooky undergad Zibby – yes, Zibby –a stereotypical indie-boy fantasy of a sweet, virginal, adoring girlfriend with a thing for geeky older guys. Right down to its lightly bearded folk-pop soundtrack and Zac Efron's novelty cameo as a dorky stoner, this feels way too pleased with itself.
Coincidentally, another Sundance London highlight tackles similar themes of age-gap romance and misplaced nostalgia for lost youth, but with far more dark wit and comic invention. Colin Trevorrow's Safety Not Guaranteed stars Aubrey Plaza as a sulky intern at a Seattle magazine who goes undercover to investigate a paranoid eccentric, played by Mark Duplass of micro-budget mumblecore movement fame, after he places a cryptic classified ad claiming to have invented a time travel machine. Inspired by a bizarre real-life advert, Trevorrow's lo-fi sci-fi comedy thriller is a winningly wonky hybrid of Repo Man and Back To The Future.
After four days, 27 films and 17 musical performances, the Sundance London caravan folds up its tents, leaving the O2 Arena to return to business as usual. Redford and his team have not yet confirmed plans to repeat their transatlantic experiment next year, but this greatest hits package was a pretty decent primer. Three decades on, however compromised by commerce, the Sundance brand still seems to stand for something.
Fringe Benefits: Hal Hartley's Meanwhile And Web-Driven Return »
Funny Dames: Damsels In Distress Reviewed »
Hidden In Plain Sight: Cassavetes The Reluctant Hollywood Player »
From Queercore To The Future: Miranda July Talks Independent Art »
Indie Auteur: A Conversation With Joe Swanberg, 'Mumblecore' Lynchpin »
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Nomadland: Mortality And Materialism In 21st Century America »
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The Slings and Arrows Graphic Novel Guide doesn't care where you've been, where you're going or where you're located. We will never knowingly harvest your data beyond the cookies needed for smooth running of the site, and wouldn't dream of passing it anywhere. We'd recommend you adjust your browser settings to delete all cookies whenever you close it. Please click OK and carry on into the site.
The Slings & Arrows
GRAPHIC NOVEL GUIDE
The Ragged Trousered Philanthropists
Robert Tressell
Writer / Artist
Scarlett Rickard
Sophie Rickard
UK publisher / ISBN: SelfMadeHero - 978-1-9105-939-2
Contains adult content?: no
Does this pass the Bechdel test?: no
Positive minority portrayal?: no
Categories: Adaptation, Period drama, Social observation
Review by Frank Plowright
Just over a century since its original publication, Robert Tressell’s searing indictment of an uncaring establishment exploiting ordinary working people remains depressingly relevant. Tressell was the alias used by Robert Noonan, and it’s largely based on his own desperate attempts over the first decade of the 20th century to find work and keep his daughter from the feared work houses.
Tressell’s novel is long, needing to be in order to make its heartfelt points effectively, and very heavy on discussion and explanation as Tressell’s stand-in Owen lectures the group of tradesmen he works alongside. Scarlett and Sophie Rickard choose to be as faithful in spirit as possible. The focus is a group of men refurbishing a property, and a simple artistic style applies to the plain homes of working men (and pre-World War I it was largely men), but becomes decorative when the homes of employers are shown. A nice flourish is provided by the ornate chapter separators, and later steps into more abstracted cheery backgrounds to accompany a talk about socialism also impress.
The dialogue on the left sample page is taken directly from the novel, yet could be the grumblings in the UK as leaving the European Union was discussed a century later. Other characters have a blind faith God will provide, despite a lifetime of contradictory evidence. Sometimes via visual symbolism, the Rickard sisters bring through Tressell’s certainty of a rigged system, in whose interests that is, and chapter by chapter outlines the ills of society. It shows how workers only just remain above the poverty line even when in work, and the random unfairness of working practice. Early on we see a man sacked for taking too long to repair a door by a supervisor who feels new paint isn’t being applied quickly enough, when the workman is actually diligent in ensuring the job is done properly.
Even with 340 pages the Rickard sisters have difficulty adapting The Ragged Trousered Philanthropists, which would equally apply to anyone taking the task on. What Tressell wanted to say was largely embedded in the lectures Owen gives over the first half of the book, with the consequences he outlines occupying much of the second, but the novel surrounds these lectures with more ordinary affairs. While Tressell drops into occasional preaching, this adaptation exaggerates that in the service of prioritising the essence. It’s very much a Catch 22 situation.
So is Tressell’s conclusion in some respects, laying much of the blame on the ignorance of the exploited in contributing to their exploitation. He emphasises how little time working people have to do anything else, and in the days before a social security system any time without work was spent looking for it while building debt, yet he lambastes human nature is that inherent selfishness will ever prevent improvement.
Even if sympathising with the message, for today’s tastes The Ragged Trousered Philanthropists may be too direct. It lapses too often into lectures, and exaggerates the conniving villains too melodramatically. However, that it’s as relevant now as it was a century ago provides one hell of a lot of balance. Scarlett and Sophie Rickard bring this out, making us care about the tradesmen and their circumstances, and question how much progress there’s been in a century.
Like this? Try these
Kings in Disguise
Life in the Buckfast Lane
© 2020 Slings & Arrows
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Transportation headlines, Wednesday, Sept. 12
by Steve Hymon , September 12, 2012
Here is a look at some of the transportation headlines gathered by us and the Metro Library. The full list of headlines is posted on the Library’s Headlines blog, which you can also access via email subscription or RSS feed.
The cables on Half Dome in Yosemite National Park -- one of the more ways to get from Point A to Point B -- have been added to the National Register of Historic Places. Photo: Frank Kehren, Flickr creative commons.
Santa Monica bike share program snags big grant (Santa Monica Patch)
The $500,000 from the South Coast Air Quality District will allow the program — set to launch in 2013 — to expand to 350 bikes available at 35 rental stations, including five outside Santa Monica. A $1.5-million grant from Metro is also part of the funding for the project, which will include rental stations at each of Santa Monica's three Expo Line stations.
A photo essay of bus stops that aren't really bus stops (New Yorker)
A haunting collection of five photos of bus stops on the grounds of nursing homes in Germany. Patients suffering from dementia are taken to the stops, where they spend time sitting and waiting for buses that never come.
UTA racks up travel expenses (Salt Lake Tribune)
The Utah Transit Authority, which runs buses and trains in the Salt Lake City metro area, racked up more than $600,000 in travel expenses in the past 18 months. Many of the trips were taken by a former CEO, who traveled the world on the public's dime for the sake of studying other transit systems in at least 11 countries (including two trips to Spain). The CEO of the UTA is mostly an advisory job — the general manager runs the show — and, not surprisingly, the job is no longer filled.
Amy Ephron's take on L.A. transportation (L.A. Observed)
Excerpt from her first post, which is mostly about finally getting a license plate for her car:
I realize this is LA-centric but it's not my fault I live in a city where it's not possible to walk from one place to another; public transportation is limited and sluggish; I'm too scared to ride a bicycle on a city street, let alone navigate a high-speed canyon; and constructing a subway, in my opinion, under a city that's actually on an earthquake fault (or three) and has a working oil-well dead-center (on the high-school campus of Beverly Hills) is one of the worst ideas ever, and if I was FEMA I would be fighting it.
Yikes! For those inclined to take Ephron literally, my response:
1. I think it's likely Ephron has the resources to live in a walkable community, if that's what she wants.
2. There are plenty of walkable neighborhoods in L.A. County, just as there are plenty that are not conducive to walking. It's not hard to figure out which is which before buying or renting a home/apartment.
3. According to the most recent numbers from the American Public Transportation Assn., Metro is the third largest transit agency in the country in terms of the number of passengers it carries. I don't think it's limited, although other metro areas have larger rail systems. I do think it's fair, of course, to question its effectiveness and whether things can be done to make it quicker.
4. I think Ephron is hardly alone in being scared to ride a bike on a city street and I do think in many parts of L.A. County too much has been done to help cars get around and too little done to provide cyclists with safe routes.
5. Ephron should be smart enough to know that subways have been built and sare safely operated in other metro areas where there is seismic activity, including Tokyo, Seattle and this little village up the road known as San Francisco. I also think it's kind of odd to gripe that transit here is “limited and sluggish” and then complain when a project is proposed — i.e. the Westside Subway Extension — that seeks to expand transit and speed it up in the congested Westside.
Categories: Transportation Headlines
Tagged as: Amy Ephron, Utah Transit Authority, Westside subway extension
@metrolosangeles Twitter Tuesday, Sept. 11 edition
5,000th account opened for Metro ExpressLanes
Eugene Pocock says:
UTA CEO spending binge with public funds must be paid back either by the CEO or the CFO who is such an idiot to allow these selfish individuals to have credit cards. Shame on them! Any similar agency must change their policies if they also allow such practices.
Frank M says:
Do you think it’s just UTA? It happens everywhere where government has grown too big and where there is little or no public oversight. That’s right, it happens everyday here in LA with Metro as well.
Who checks the finances and budget of Metro? No one. Who digs down to check that Metro isn’t wasting money on frivolous things? No one.
How much do you think Metro is spending daily on all these useless studies and meetings on the public dime? Ever been to Metro meetings? Have you noticed how they all wear fancy shoes and classy pin-striped suits? Where do you think they get the money to buy all those? That’s right, our tax dollars pay for them.
What about all the raises, retirement and pension benefits people working for Metro get? All paid for with your tax dollars too. If they need more money, all they need to do is crank up the loudspeaker and say “we need more money” and hope tax payers will blindly do so without much thought.
This is why I say Metro will be done much better under the private sector.
Just remind yourself everyday: the average Metro employee receives $80,000+ a year and those are all paid from your tax dollars. While everyone else suffers in this economy, they give themselves raises and bigger pensions.
Steve Hymon says:
If you’re looking for expensive threads, definitely hang out somewhere besides Metro HQ. And I include my work clothes in that statement unless you count the Van Heusen and Bass outlet stores as upmarket.
Steve Hymon
Editor, The Source
Melinda K says:
Does Metro has a policy and standard of conduct procedure in place to ensure that tax dollars are not wasted like the UTA? Is there a public oversight committee looking after finances of Metro?
I say this because Metro is indeed a taxpayer subsidized agency. When we passed Measure R, is there any outside committee that oversees how money is spent wisely and to ensure that borrowed funds from Measure R are used solely for what Measure R was intended for and not for things like raises and increase in pension benefits?
We live in a tough economy and this question warrants a serious answer. Nobody wants taxpayer dollars going to waste. Who manages the finances at Metro so that employees aren’t abusing taxpayer dollars?
Hi Melinda;
There is no particular committee aimed at expenses such as what happened at UTA — although the agency does have rules and policies in place about restrictions on work-related travel (this isn’t unique; most government agencies and private firms have similar rules). Metro also has an Inspector General to investigate such complaints, if they should occur. I’ll be honest–I don’t know much about the rules, as I rarely leave L.A. County as part of my job.
Oversight of the agency is mostly done by the Metro Board of Directors, the 13 elected officials and their appointees — the idea being that elected officials are directly accountable to the public that elects them. There is also considerable information posted online about Metro’s annual budget, the meeting agendas with links to staff reports and executive compensation. Please see: http://www.metro.net/about/.
I hope that helps. I posted the UTU story — unflattering as it is — as a reminder to readers that paying attention to govt matters.
Justin Walker says:
The Measure R ordinance established a “Measure R Independent Taxpayers Oversight Committee of Metro.” It consists of three retired judges and its duties include reviewing an annual audit of the Measure R program and reporting findings to the Metro Board of Directors.
Read the full details here: http://www.metro.net/measurer/images/ordinance.pdf#page=12
Tom L. says:
How does one report suspected behavior of Metro employees misusing taxpayer funds?
Let’s say I know someone who works at Metro. Despite working for Metro, the person drives a Ferrari, wears $10,000 suits, brags about flying in first class and staying at top end hotels “on the company’s (tax payers) dime.” He claims he’s entitled to all these benefits because it’s all part of his job. I suspect that person is like the corrupt City of Bell officials; using tax payers dollars for their own benefit.
If I suspect that someone that I know who works for Metro, a government agency paid for with my tax dollars, might be gravely misusing public funds, whom should I contact? And where is the guarantee that if I report this to someone within Metro, that they won’t just hide it under the rug to “protect their own brothers?”
Just to be clear, I’m not making accusations. But it would be nice to know how and what the public can do to keep a check on Metro employees since their salaries are indeed paid for with tax dollars.
In a way, it’s like saying “who polices the police.” How should the public keep check on Metro employees?
F says:
I live in Chicago now and recently came back to LA for a few days. What struck me is that Metro trains and buses are actually really fast. The problem is that everything is so much farther apart.
Metro employees make on average 80,000 a year. Are you serious? Where do you get your facts from. Wrong statistics I’ll tell you.
Let’s look at Metro’s own kob opportunities site:
https://jobs.metro.net/jobsearch.aspx
HUMAN RESOURCES ASSISTANT 005215-002 $43,394 – $54,253 – $65,112
OFFICE SUPERVISOR 008614-001 $47,850 – $59,812 – $71,775
SENIOR COST ESTIMATOR 006403-002 $77,832 – $97,279 – $116,726
RAIL SIGNAL SUPERVISOR 004609-007 Start Rate: $32.56 p/hr – Top Rate: $43.42 p/hr
WORKERS’ COMPENSATION SUPERVISOR 008022-003 $59,726 – $74,652 – $89,578
THIRD PARTY ADMINISTRATION SUPERVISOR 009405-001 $77,832 – $97,279 – $116,726
RAIL BODY/PAINT REPAIRER 000767-003 Start Rate: $23.82 p/hr – Top Rate: $29.77 p/hr
AIR CONDITING TECH 000799-007 Start Rate: $28.58 p/hr – Top Rate: $28.58 p/hr
AIR CONDITIONING TECHNICIAN 000799-008 Start Rate: $28.58 p/hr – Top Rate: $28.58 p/hr
A human resources assistant gets paid $43k at the lowest? In the private sector today, the starting salary for an HR assistant is around 31k-39k. http://www1.salary.com/Human-Resources-Assistant-I-Salary.html
A senior cost estimator gets paid a six figure income and yet Metro’s budget is way in the red.
A rail signal supervisor gets paid $32.56 per hour and yet they still can’t fix the rail signal problem on the Expo Line.
Compared with private enterprise which actually makes their own money to pay their employees salary, Metro employees are way overpaid. Since Metro makes no money, all of these are paid for with your tax dollars. And this doesn’t include additional raises, pensions, and retirement benefits.
Each and everyone of these deserves a pay cut of at least a $10,000 a year. That would save a lot in taxpayer burden and refocus those savings to where they are needed.
Yes, Metro and other government agencies pay employees for work they perform.
The quality and performance of government employees are always inefficient and poor, at the same time the pay that they get is always higher compared to private sector.
What is the basis for a human resources assistant at Metro to be paid over $10,000 more annually than the private sector? What is the basis for a rail signal supervisor to be paid over $30/hr for not even still trying to fix the Expo Line problem? What is the basis for Metro supervisors and managers (and how many department supervisors and managers are there in Metro?) to be paid six figure incomes while most supervisors and managers in the private sector make half as that?
We won’t have a problem with this if Metro is doing a good job and making money on their own. If Apple is making profit year after year, sure spread out the wealth for doing a good job, they earned it.
We have a problem because Metro is taxpayer funded. You have not earned a single cent of money on your own. You guys are doing a poor job at making Metro self-sufficient and all you do is keep coming back crying to tax payers. Metro employees do not deserve high pays and pensions at the taxpayers’ expense.
Your tax dollars at work, folks! No wonder LA is going bankrupt.
I think there’s a big difference when it comes from taxpayers paying for Metro employees salary versus profit and sales paying for employees in the private sector.
What are the performance review criteria for Metro employees based on to warrant such high salaries, Steve?
Surely you don’t believe that a human resources assistant should be paid $43,000 a year when the national average for the same job is much less than that, right?
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BLAKE LIVELY TO STAR IN BLAKE’S 7 REMAKE
Jul 02, 2020Miles CravatMovie News0
HOLLYWOOD – Blake Lively is to star in a remake of Blake’s 7.
The Gossip Girl actress, Blake Lively will star in a remake of the 70s BBC sci-fi series, Blake’s 7, according to an announcement from her management earlier today.
‘Because her first name is Blake,’ explained her manager. ‘She’s a natural for the part. It’s a no brainer. There will be space ships and Klingons and Daleks and Yodas. The whole thing is gonna really unify the science fiction fan base out there. As we all know, they are quite open to Hollywood playing around with their Trek Wars franchises. They’ll lap it up for years to come, time and time again.’
‘We got a great idea for the rest of the cast also. Because his name is also Blake, Blake Anderson from Workaholics will star alongside Blake. We’re also in talks with Tim Blake Nelson from Oh Brother Where Art Thou to star as Avon and also some British guy from The Inbetweeners called Blake Harrison. We looked into getting Blake Edwards to make the thing, but apparently there was scheduling clash, what with him being dead and all. Because of that we’ll probably be going in different direction with our showrunner.’
‘There was an idea floating around to get Robert Blake, but you know, the whole murdery thing was a bit, well, you know. So anyways, if we can’t find any more Blakes out there we’ll just change the name of the show. Something like Blake’s 4, or The 4 Blakes, or Blake, Blake, Blake and Blake. That last one’s my idea, it’s a real zinger of a name. You betcha.’
‘We’re getting calls from some douche called Ryan Reynolds. Because of the Blake Lively situation. We keep having to say to him, ‘We’d love you for this show, Ryan. We really would. It’s a no go before it’s even started, baby. Because your name’s not Blake’. So that can be pretty awkward as this dude is calling us like five or six times a day. I think it’s too much of that Aviator Gin he’s always peddling over on Instagram, if you want my opinion.’
‘We don’t have any major network interest at the moment. But if it comes to it, we can always get Netflix to cough up the moola for this, I mean, did you ever see that show Hollywood? What the fuck was all that about?!’
Blake’s 7 or Blake’s 4 or The 4 Blakes or Blake, Blake, Blake and Blake starts shooting in the fall.
Previous PostDAVID LYNCH TO FILM WILD AT HEART TV SERIES FOR NETFLIX Next PostTENET WAS ALREADY RELEASED TWO YEARS AGO
Miles Cravat
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The Touring Trotters
3 girls from Peckham; 1 rickshaw; 3500km across India
From 01 – 14 January 2014, Jodie, Claire and Erica will be riding a motorised rickshaw (a.k.a ‘a tuk tuk’) 3500km (ish) across India from Jaisalmer, Rajasthan to Cochin, Kerala. There is no fixed route and the ride is completely unsupported….
Claire and Jodie are twin sisters. They met Erica several years ago when she and Claire moved in next to each other and became the best of neighbours. We realised that we’re kindred spirits, surviving the roller coaster of life…
All teams on the Rickshaw Run must raise a minimum of £1000 for charity, at least £500 of which goes to the official charity: Cool Earth. Cool Earth works with local communities to protect rainforests from being cut down acre…
3 girls from Peckham; 1 rickshaw; 3500km across India. We did this. And with 2 days to spare. To all those who said this was a bad idea for an all-girl team: eat your words. It was actually another all-girl…
Rickshaw Run Day 12
Starting point: Vatakara, Kerala Finishing point: Cochin, Kerala Distance covered today: ~360km Total distance covered: ~3120km Number of breakdowns: 0…Mr Robbie Reliable Vatakara to Cochin. This was the beginning of the end. We knew that all being well, we would…
Starting point: Udupi, Karnataka Finishing point: Vatakara, Kerala Distance covered today: ~350km Total distance covered: ~2760km Number of breakdowns: 0…c’mom Robbie….keep on rolling Udupi to Vatakara. This was a day of epic driving. Lots of hot, sweaty driving. And confusion….
Fabulous photos
Our fabulous photos of India were taken by the supremely talented Simon Baker. So a big thanks to him for allowing us to use them. We wanted to show you some of the places and faces we’re likely to see…
The Adventurists refer to an ‘un-route’ , which we think is a very apt description since we really have no route plan. But we will have one at some point before New Year’s Day and we’ll keep you posted right…
Claire, Jodie and Erica all live in Peckham. As the area has inspired our rickshaw’s paintjob, our team name and most importantly, our choice of charity, we thought we’d better let you in on the not-so-secret secrets of SE15. Peckhamania:…
St Christopher's Hospice
Rickshaw Run Day 9
The countdown
Rickshaw Run launch01/01/2014
And we're off...wish us luck!
Our Instagram photos
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Are More Player Acquisitions on Horizon for Dodgers?
Published on January 6, 2021 January 9, 2021 by Dennis Schlossman
Associated Press photo
It did not take long after the Blake Treinen signing for more rumors to surface surrounding the Dodgers, specifically additional help for the team’s relief crew.
Late Tuesday night, Jon Heyman of MLB Network indicated that Los Angeles is apparently making a play for lefty reliever Brad Hand, potentially creating a bullpen loaded with a quartet of former All-Stars.
Dodgers, who’ve fortified their pen with Kahnle and Treinin, have been in on star closer Brad Hand, as well. Could they build a super pen?
The Dodgers have seemingly been linked to Hand since the conclusion of the World Series, with rumors having gained momentum as early as Thanksgiving. At the time, Jon Morosi of MLB Network indicated the team could potentially use Hand in the same capacity it used Treinen last season.
Source: #Dodgers showing interest in free agent LHP Brad Hand, who could fit into the bullpen’s “Blake Treinen” role if the team does not re-sign . . . Blake Treinen. @MLBNetwork @MLB
— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) November 25, 2020
However, with Treinen now on board, Hand could conceivably join a bullpen crew that could be among the most talented that Los Angeles has seen in years. More importantly, the club would have several options for the closer’s role, should veteran Kenley Jansen falter.
At the conclusion of the 2020 season, Hand was placed on waivers by the Indians, as Cleveland was hoping some team would claim him under his $10 million price tag. The three-time All-Star ultimately cleared waivers, mandating the Indians to pay his $1 million buyout. As a result, he’s currently a free agent without a contract.
Originally selected by the Marlins in the second round of the 2008 draft, Hand made a career-high 82 appearances for the Padres in 2016, right around the same time the rumors initially began to swirl about the Dodgers having interest in him.
Just before the 2018 trade deadline, San Diego shipped Hand and righty Adam Cimber to the Cleveland bullpen in exchange for catcher Francisco Mejia, who was ranked among MLB’s most elite prospects at the time.
During the 2020 shortened season, Hand led all of baseball with 16 saves, posting a 2.05 ERA, a 1.37 FIP, and a very impressive 0.773 WHIP, alongside 29 punchouts in an even 22 innings over 23 appearances.
Over the course of his 10-year big league career, he has tallied a 3.65 ERA, a 3.69 FIP, and a 1.235 WHIP over 396 appearances. He has a career 9.2 K/9.
As far as his scouting report goes, Hand’s main weapon is a sweeping slider, often resulting in a much higher number of flyballs compared to other relievers. His four-seam fastball also generates more flyballs than usual, while showing plenty of natural sinking action. His true sinker is probably his best put-away pitch in terms of swings and misses.
Hand has also been known to sparingly tinker with a curve ball.
After peaking in the 94-95 MPH range during the 2018 season, Hand’s fastball sat at 91-92 MPH in 2020, according to Brooks Baseball.
While the Dodgers’ current 40-man roster is full, that doesn’t seem to be the biggest problem for bringing on new acquisitions, as there are several players on the big league fringe who could prospectively be designated or released.
The most challenging dilemma, though, would be the team payroll, should the club want to stay under the Luxury Tax Threshold for the 2021 season.
Including Treinen’s new deal, the team’s estimated Luxury Tax Payroll for 2021 sits at $205,208,166, which is about $5 million shy of the cap, according to a worksheet found on Fangraphs.
Of course, front-office boss Andrew Friedman and his crew have the ability to creatively tinker the makeup of the 40-man roster to adjust the dollars, but one might assume that a potential Justin Turner signing may be unlikely, especially after the financial hit the organization took last season due to the pandemic.
Whatever the case may be, the hot stove remains quite steamy in Los Angeles.
Categories Dodgers Rumors•Tags Blake Treinen, Brad Hand, bullpen, Hot Stove, Kenley Jansen, Los Angeles Dodgers, MLB Trade Rumors
Previous Dodgers Bring Back Blake Treinen on Two-Year Deal
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6 thoughts on “Are More Player Acquisitions on Horizon for Dodgers?”
I should think they have a few more up thier sleeve. Third base still has not been addressed.
Queeksdraw says:
I’d love to see Hand in Dodger Blue next season, but after the Dodgers passed on one year for $10M, will we? I’m guessing not. Seems like Hand would still cost about the same as Treinen, $8M and multiple years. Maybe not with the drop in velocity, but probably close. I had hoped when the Dodgers were $13M below the luxury tax threshold they could get two stud relievers, but doesn’t look like they can. With Urias, Gonzalez and Alexander in house already, Hand is a luxury.
I hope the Dodger budget allows them to go into luxury tax territory, but who could blame them if it doesn’t?
The good news is, Friedman has at least $5M to play with, it’s a buyers market and he’s a master at creative deals and finding hidden gems.
We still need a third baseman and we don’t know if Lux will be a full time second baseman.
Cleveland has basically announced that they aren’t planning to be competitive for awhile after shipping Lindor and Carrasco to the Mets today.
Let’s see what it would take to get Jose Ramirez, who is a switch hitter, can play second or third and has three years of control remaining at a total of 33 mil (dirt cheap for a player of Ramirez’s caliber).
Now that would be a player worth giving up some prospects for Jeff, with that kind of defensive flexibility, the length of contract, and the yearly salary, he is a perfect fit for the Dodgers.
The one thing I’m not sure I agree with Jeff is, I don’t think Cleveland is completely throwing in the towel. I think they hope their pitchers can keep them competitive, Ramirez is their best offensive player, if they move him, it’s pretty hard to try to convince the fans that they are still a competitive team.
I think even Indians fans realize they had to trade Lindor, there was no way they could keep him, Rameriz is a different story, he is signed to a very team friendly contract. But man would I love to see him playing in Dodger blue.
I think you’re probably right Keith, but at least it would be worth a call to see what they would ask for. With their pitching, they can still be somewhat competitive but it’s going to be hard for them to compete with the Twins or White Sox for the next few years.
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“No Tenors Allowed” at the Wiener Konzerthaus
On April 3, Thomas Hampson and bass-baritone Luca Pisaroni bring their famed “No Tenors Allowed” concert to the Wiener Konzerthaus. The event is featured as part of the “Great Voices” series, hosted in the Great Hall. Mr. Hampson and Mr. Pisaroni are joined by conductor Pavel Baleff and the Max Steiner Orchestra for the programme, which includes selections by Mozart, Verdi, and more. Please note an extremely limited number of tickets remain; visit Konzerthaus.at for current availability.
Hampson
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Song: Mirror of the world
Thomas Hampson, America’s foremost baritone, hails from Spokane, Washington. He has received many honors and awards for his probing artistry and cultural leadership. He enjoys a singular international career as an opera singer, recording artist, and “ambassador of song,” maintaining an active interest in research, education, musical outreach, and technology. Comprising more than 150 albums, his discography includes winners of a Grammy Award, five Edison Awards, and the Grand Prix du Disque.
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Trevians 14U White
Addison H.
Anna G.
Ava C.
Ceci C.
Delfina A.
Hadley R.
Jordyn P.
Kailey C.
Ruthie S.
Simran B.
Sophia C.
Sydney S.
Zoe H.
Next Team Tryouts: Next tryouts will be July 2021.
Messages from the Coach
No messages at this time.
HEAD COACH: Laura Bagan
Laura Bagan is a 2015 graduate of New Trier and a 2019 graduate of Denison University. Laura was captain of her high school team, and received Offensive Player of the Year. During her time as Denison, she was the starting left fielder for all four years and a consistent power hitter. She received NFCA All-Central region second-team, first-team All-NCAC, and earned second-team All-NCAC honors. Laura ended her career with 44 doubles, 112 RBIs and is ranked in the top five with most home runs to be hit in a career at Denison, with 20 home runs. She earned a B.A. in Psychology, and minored in Communication.
College bio:
https://www.denisonbigred.com/sports/sball/2018-19/bios/bagan_laura_7kl4
ASSISTANT COACH: Cindy Secaras
Cindy Secaras played for the Trevians for ten years. During her softball career, she was a pitcher, catcher, and first baseman. She was a two year varsity athlete at New Trier High School, and was named captain her senior year. In 2016, she earned The Central Suburban League All-Conference Award, Central Suburban League Scholar Athlete Honors, The Kay Sopocy Central Suburban League Sportsmanship Award, and the Outstanding Defensive Player Award. She was also the recipient of the TGSA Ari Chester Award, as well as New Trier’s Ari Chester Memorial Scholarship. She now attends the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign where she is studying speech and hearing sciences with a concentration in speech pathology. She has been coaching for two years at the 16u level for the Trevians, and is excited to work with the 12u team this coming season!
TEAM FOOTAGE & NEWS
The Trevian 12Us open their 2019 season with a double-header vs. Elite Fastpitch on May 4!
TEAMS TRYOUTS
Tryouts for Trevian 10U, 12U, 14U, 16U, and 18U teams. We recommend attending 2 tryouts if possible.
When: July and August 2021 | Where: 401 Wagner Rd., Northfield, IL
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What can Business Learn From Google’s AlphaGo?
by Craig Thielen
AlphaGo is Google’s Artificial Intelligence (AI) engine aimed at tackling the world’s most demanding strategy game, Go. Google announced it is stepping down from competitive matches after defeating the world’s best talent. The latest to succumb was Go’s top-ranked player, Ke Jie, who lost 3-0 in a series hosted in China.
The AI, developed by London-based DeepMind, which was acquired by Google for around $500 million in 2014, also overcame a team of five top players during a week of matches. So what’s next for AlphaGo – retire to a more simple life, like Chess? DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis explained, “The research team behind AlphaGo will now throw their energy into the next set of grand challenges, developing advanced general algorithms that could one day help scientists as they tackle some of our most complex problems, such as finding new cures for diseases, dramatically reducing energy consumption, or inventing revolutionary new materials.”
What does a computer programmed to master a child’s game have to do with business? In my opinion, a great deal.
Every business should be worried about the tidal wave of digital disruption taking over the world. Thousands upon thousands of start-ups are formed each year with one purpose, to put traditional companies out of business. A perfect example of this is Uber; in just five years they not only created a popular and global digital taxi service, they re-invented the entire transportation industry and created a market capitalization greater than General Motors. AlphaGo is a stark reminder of how advanced computing has become and more importantly, where it is going Based on this, every business should think ahead three to five years and ask themselves, how could my business be disrupted and how am I preparing for it?
I know what you are thinking, “this is just one fancy program designed to play a game, and it will be many years before it can do complex business tasks.” Think again! Go is revered as the planet’s most demanding strategy game, which is why it has made an ideal field to both develop AI technology and plot machines against humans; this brilliant strategy provides a perfect learning ground for the AlphaGo team. Much like IBM’s Watson, it provides a complex problem that goes head to head against the smartest humans. If the smartest humans can be beat at a game, why can’t they be replaced in millions of less complex tasks and jobs? Definitely a valid question.
So, what is IBM Watson doing in retirement after beating the world’s best Chess players? Curing cancer, literally. Several large hospital systems are now running their Cancer diagnosis through Watson to ensure the best, most informed recommendations; this is impressive, but only the beginning for AI. If AI is capable of playing a key role in the most complex life threatening problems, what could it do for your business?
Looking for a more practical business example, how about a Japanese insurance company who recently laid off 30 knowledge workers and replaced these resources with an AI engine? Again, we are just getting started. A recent study in the UK estimates over 15 million jobs could be replaced by smart robots within the next 15 years.
Beyond the technology, AlphaGo teaches us another valuable lesson, the power of continuous learning. AlphaGo is a deep learning machine, it learns from every game it plays, simulates or studies. Business is a human learning machine, it is said the most successful organizations in the world are the best learning organizations. How is your organization at learning from practical experience, be it good, bad or indifferent? How quickly can you learn from it, adapt and improve? Business Agility is an emerging field of management philosophy, which leverages Lean, Agile and Organizational Effectiveness thinking and practices to better react, adapt and apply change in an organization.
One thing is certain, advanced technologies like AI are here to stay. While practical progress of them may seem slow, once they hit a tipping point, everything changes. If you don’t believe me, just look at companies like Uber, Facebook, and Twitter. When you combine AI with other rapidly progressing technologies like automation, robotization, mobilization and digitization, it creates exponential change possibilities. So take a moment to ask yourself, how will it potentially affect your industry and business? Will you be a leader, a follower, or a laggard? Will followers or laggards survive? Are you leveraging your human talent using Business Agility and Lean Agile thinking? Are you a learning organization? This is what we can learn from AlphaGo.
Craig is a management consultant passionate about helping organizations gain Business Agility for sustained competitive advantage. Craig has been honored to consult for many world-class organizations such as Target, Land O’Lakes, Pentair, General Mills, Johnson Controls and hundreds more. Craig is a nationally recognized thought leader on the topics of business agility, enterprise transformation, innovation, culture, change leadership, and strategy. Craig currently is the Chief Essentialist™ at Trissential/SQS, the global leader in Business Agility centered on Quality.
AlphaGo
Google AlphaGo
9 ways to drive business agility with continuous quality
Business Agility: Lean Agile Approaches to Work
Digital Workforce: Once a luxury, now a necessity
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FEATURED ARTICLES Haiti Official Who Exposed The Clinton Foundation Is Found Dead
Haiti Official Who Exposed The Clinton Foundation Is Found Dead
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By TCP News Staff
How many have to die before someone investigates these “sudden” deaths all with ties to the Clintons? Meanwhile, how fortuitous for the Clintons that the MSM stands eerily silent. If anyone is getting ready to provide testimony against them, you need to update your life insurance policy and please get a good body guard!
Fellow patriots, please listen to this short, inspiring message from General Flynn. General Michael Flynn exemplifies patriotism, courage, and love of God and country - despite some of his own countrymen relentlessly attacking him. Donations for his defense are greatly appreciated. If you can only give $5.00, please do so - every little bit helps. Thank you so much, and God bless. Letter from General Flynn.
Will Donald Trump Remain President?
By Marc Slavo on D.C. Clothesline
The mainstream media’s silence over Klaus Eberwein’s death is deafening. Eberwein was a former Haitian government official who was expected to expose the extent of Clinton Foundation corruption and malpractice next week. He has been found dead in Miami at the age of 50.
The circumstances surrounding Eberwein’s death are also nothing less than unpalatable. According to Miami-Dade’s medical examiner records supervisor, the officialcause of death is “gunshot to the head.“ Eberwein’s death has been registered as “suicide” by the government. But not long before his death, he acknowledged that his life was in danger because he was outspoken on the criminal activities of the Clinton Foundation.
Eberwein was a fierce critic of the Clinton Foundation’s activities in the Caribbean island, where he served as director general of the government’s economic development agency, Fonds d’assistance économique et social, for three years. “The Clinton Foundation, they are criminals, they are thieves, they are liars, they are a disgrace,” Eberwein said at a protest outside the Clinton Foundation headquarters in Manhattan last year. Eberwein was due to appear on Tuesday before the Haitian Senate Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission where he was widely expected to testify that the Clinton Foundation misappropriated Haiti earthquake donations from international donors. But this “suicide” gets even more disturbing…
Eberwein was only 50-years-old and reportedly told acquaintances he feared for his life because of his fierce criticism of the Clinton Foundation. His close friends and business partners were taken aback by the idea he may have committed suicide. “It’s really shocking,” said friend Gilbert Bailly. “We grew up together; he was like family.”
During and after his government tenure, Eberwein faced allegations of fraud and corruption on how the agency he headed administered funds. Among the issues was FAES’ oversight of the shoddy construction of several schools built after Haiti’s devastating Jan. 12, 2010, earthquake. But, according to Eberwein, it was the Clinton Foundation who was deeply in the wrong – and he intended to testify and prove it on Tuesday.
According to Eberwein, a paltry 0.6 percent of donations granted by international donors to the Clinton Foundation with the express purpose of directly assisting Haitians actually ended up in the hands of Haitian organizations. A further 9.6 percent ended up with the Haitian government. The remaining 89.8 percent – or $5.4 billion – was funneled to non-Haitian organizations. –WND
Eberwein was expected to testify against the Clinton Foundation in court and ends up committing suicide shortly before. Where have we heard this before? Untimely deaths seem to follow the Clinton’s around, and this one especially is probably something – considering since the mainstream media is silent about this death.
Courtesy of SHTFplan.com
TCP News Staff
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Those are supposed to be the elemental attacks in Persona 5 Royal. I don't know, either, I can't draw.
Now Is the Perfect Time To Get Lost In Japanese Role-Playing Games
Luis Paez-Pumar
Since I started social distancing on March 8, I have played roughly 300 hours of Japanese role-playing games. This seemingly horrifying life decision has in fact been the best I’ve made during this pandemic, and it’s one I recommend for everyone looking to escape the bummers of quarantine life.
For those unfamiliar, JRPGs—my favorite genre of video game, easily—have a handful of defining characteristics. The most obvious is that, well, they are made in Japan. They are usually influenced by the twin pillars of the genre, the Final Fantasy series and the Dragon Quest series.
They are often story-driven games, usually about anime-ass teens, who must come together as a ragtag group of adventurers to save the world from some form of evil god or megalomaniac. The stories usually start with a small goal or quest before going haywire with scale; my favorite game of all-time, Final Fantasy IX, starts with a plot to kidnap a princess before (d)evolving into a universe-spanning defense against an androgynous clone nihilist who wants to use the power of summoned gods of mythology to kill everything with a heartbeat.
Gameplay-wise, they are often turn-based in combat and require lots and lots of repetitive grinding, meaning that you will kill so many monsters to gain new levels and abilities that your eyes will bleed. They all involve both physical attacks with cool names, like Vorpal Blade and magic of the base elements; every JRPG will have a Thunder spell of some sort, it’s a rule.
When quarantine started, I had just begun my second playthrough of Fire Emblem: Three Houses, a strategy JRPG that puts you in the role of a teenager at a Harry Potter-but-not boarding school filled with teenagers who a) are adorable and charming and b) also soulless murderers. I had beaten the game on Normal mode when it released in July 2019, so it was time to go up to Hard for a playthrough with the outcast house of the Golden Deer. The first playthrough took me 50-something hours, but Hard slows things down considerably, and by the time the final credits rolled around, I was about 70 hours in. Pretty solid start, but I had to go deeper.
The good thing about Fire Emblem: Three Houses is that each of the game’s four storyline routes—Black Eagles, Golden Deer, Blue Lions, and the church—play vastly differently, particularly in the second half of the game. (My former colleague Gabe Fernandez has seemingly only played Three Houses since I made the mistake of introducing him to the game; about this, he says, “I’ve put over 400 hours into this game and, to be perfectly honest, I have no clue when I’ll stop going back to it—probably the worst news for you to hear since I’m constantly bugging you with updates about my current run.”)
This variety in plot meant that going for a Blue Lions playthrough immediately after the Golden Deer, only on the highest difficult (Maddening), wasn’t an act of obsession, and more of completionism. Little did I know how Maddening this difficulty would truly be. It took me about 120 hours to reach the final mission of the game, where I remain, because it’s unfair and stupid and I will beat it someday, dammit.
The appeal of this specific game isn’t so much the length, or even the variety of stories; it’s in the day-to-day application of the game’s mechanics. Three Houses is split into two separate modes; the first is the combat, which happens usually twice a month in the game’s calendar. The thought-provoking strategy, reminiscent of Final Fantasy Tactics—I did warn you that this genre is heavily inspired by Final Fantasy, though Fire Emblem came into being about seven years before Tactics—has you control your army of blood-thirsty students to defeat bandits, opposing factions, monsters, and dragon gods.
The second part, though, is where the bulk of the game is: think of it as a life simulator, where you talk with all your students, give them gifts so they like you more, and eventually fall in love with one. Don’t worry, the game acknowledges how problematic it is that a teacher falls in love with a student, though you don’t pop into that territory until a five-year time skip halfway through the game.
With that in mind, it wasn’t a particularly big leap to move on to Persona 5 Royal once Fire Emblem’s final boss drove me nuts one too many times. The Persona series takes the same concept as Three Houses, but injects it with anime steroids. Persona 5, released back in April 2017, puts you in the shoes of a falsely-accused delinquent teenager who is shipped off to a Tokyo high school. Very quickly, he finds out that he has the power to control Personas, mythological alter egos that have a variety of powers. Together with a handful of other students, as well as adult collaborators like a fortune teller and your teacher who also moonlights as a maid, you must “steal people’s hearts” by entering their mind “Palaces” and killing their “cognitive selves.”
In between those excursions, you cosplay as a Japanese high schooler, going to class to answer questions that buff your social stats, working out, going to the movies, eating at a diner, and working a myriad of part-time jobs. The fun from these slice of life sections comes from managing your time wisely between improving yourself and going through ten ranks of friendship with your pals. Each character has their own unique storyline, which include reconnecting a surly model gun store owner with his estranged son, to helping a famous shogi player break free from her momager.
Yes, it’s very stupid and extremely anime—if you ever wanted to live inside Mightiest Disciple Kenichi, now’s your chance—but the turn-based combat is a brilliant set of rock-paper-scissor decisions, everything is animated beautifully, and the teens are perhaps even more charming than those in Three Houses. Take Makoto, the student council president who turns into a dominatrix biker bruiser in the aforementioned Palaces, or Yusuke, the potentially-asexual artist prodigy who only cares about being broke and bringing beauty into the world. I had beaten the game when it released, clocking in about 80 hours in the first month, but the Royal edition adds just enough content that it was worth dipping back in.
At the time of writing, I’ve put in about 100 hours into the new version of the game, and I’m only now getting to the biggest chunk of unseen content. Along the way, I’ve remembered why this is maybe my second-favorite game of all time, and why it was a great choice during these times when my own life is on hold. In terms of gameplay, there’s something satisfying about spending hours in one of these Palaces, solving puzzles and strengthening my team by defeating evil Shadows. It’s repetitive and intuitive; each fight doesn’t require too much brainpower, but it’s soothing to see something like my level or my money count go up nice and slowly.
But it’s the fantasy of this particular JRPG that holds the appeal for me. Losing myself in someone else’s life is what I need right now, even if it’s a life I’ve lived before and one that, technically, doesn’t actually exist. I can’t go to the park to hang out with my friends, but I can do that in Persona 5 Royal. I can fall in love with one of the female characters—I chose Kasumi this time around, the new character added in Royal who wants to be a great gymnast to honor her dead sister’s memory—or even all of them, which has no negative consequences except one funny Valentine’s Day scene. Most of all, I can spend hours min-maxing my interactions to become as strong and likable as possible; it’s wish fulfillment for a world before quarantine, a world where human interaction was taken for granted.
These games aren’t for everyone; no game is, but there’s a particularly high barrier for entry into a genre that involves so much time, emotional and physical investment, and the ability to accept or even enjoy the anime tropes on display. As many new gamers have found out, even a game that caters to those without experience in gaming like Animal Crossing: New Horizons can quickly overwhelm with information and systems. But I sincerely recommend picking up a JRPG and losing yourself for a century of hours in someone else’s life. Playing a role, usually one more exciting than being stuck at home for the foreseeable future, has never been so intoxicating, even if I’ve spent most of my time with two games I’ve beaten before.
Playing these games has also helped me keep a sort of routine. I try to not play for longer than an hour at a time without doing something else; whether that’s hopping on a FaceTime call with a friend, or sending pitches into the freelance ether, or cooking, my life is now broken into “times I am playing Persona 5 Royal” and “times I am not playing Persona 5 Royal.”
Is that healthy? Probably not! But when I am worrying about Joker’s relationship with Sojiro, his ersatz father figure, I can’t worry about the fact that there’s no end in sight to this pandemic. Maybe it’s selfish to be so detached from the outside world, but these days I am never calmer than I am in the middle of a session. Gaming has always been an escape for me, and since first playing Final Fantasy IX some 19 years ago, that escape has been best when I am deep into a JRPG.
Right now, Alternate Tokyo feels a lot more welcoming than Real New York City. If you need me, I’ll be seat-dancing to “Last Surprise” and plotting my next journey into a Palace. Oh, and I still have Final Fantasy 7: Remake to get to. See you in a hundred more hours.
Coronavirus, Fire Emblem: Three Houses, JRPG, Persona 5 Royal
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Barnes Burner says:
There are at least 7 Yaukuza games you could be playing right now
Luis Paez-Pumar says:
That’s a series I have unfortunately not gotten into, but I do have Yakuza 0 and a lot of free time…
Excitable Misunderstood Genius says:
Yakuza 0 is one of the top 5 games of the generation.
Jtron says:
Oh, the Yakuza series is terrific. And the next one coming out is turn-based!
Garfield Thelonius Remington III says:
Luis I downloaded Yakuza Kiwami free on PSPlus some time ago, and picked it up on a whim a few months back. It’s fucking delightful, and that’s a remaster of just the first game in the series. I highly recommend.
gouis says:
Hell yeah.
I would also recommend the Dragon Quest XI (preferably the Switch edition). It’s basically a perfect version of the old-school turn based JRPG.
I’ve got it for PC already, and will definitely get into it after I finish the FF7 Remake! I shouldn’t have bought the PC version, I’ve heard the Switch one is superior.
Hifumi is best girl says:
A friend of mine sincerely has major regrets buying Dragon Quest XI for PS4, because the Switch’s instrumentation is FAR superior. Play the demo on Switch, and you might agree; the music is ASTOUNDING
The composer/conductor is a profoundly awful person, but the music is holy shit good
Hell yeah,
I 100% agree! I just finished DQXIS and not I’m playing Octopath, Atelier: Ryza, and Tales of Vesperia. I also started FFX last year and I’m planning on picking up Xenoblade 1 next month. JRPGs can have such good, far-ranging stories that the current lockdown finally provides enough time to go through.
OG Persona 5 has the dubious honor of being the game I’ve sunk the second-most time of my life into, edging out Witcher 3, but VASTLY behind Tiger Woods 2005, which I used to play as a drinking game with my roommate and friends. But I also didn’t fully grasp the fusion mechanic until extremely late in the game, and I’m utterly terrified of P5R and/or a NG+ run of Persona 5, because I WILL sink undue amounts of time into them.
Also, sincerely asking: can you be asexual if you’re ALSO a pervy creep? Yusuke’s entire reason for being is seemingly to get Ann naked
As you get further into his storyline, you realize he just likes beauty, but he’s not really perving on her. He just think she’s hot in, like, an academic sense. At least that’s what I gathered.
I always read that as him trying to cover his ass; like, drooling “I want to see you naked . . . uh, for art, though. Yeah, that’s the ticket”.
Elegor says:
Yes Persona 5 Royal is great. I’m romancing the Fortune Teller this time around. But I had to put it down for a couple weeks to play Final Fantasy 7 Remake, which is fantastic.
I am extremely behind the video game curve. I do not yet own a Switch, but I did buy a used 3DS for a steal on Mercari and then set about buying every Pokemon game that can be played on that system, basically (well, one of each generation, anyway, not both).
Before miss Rona, I had gotten through Pokemon Sun, which I adored so much that I bought Ultra Sun as well, and when miss Rona came, I briefly dabbled in Pokemon Y before deciding that what I actually wanted was to go back to Alola and so now I’m playing Ultra Sun. It is great fun to play it after work as a form of decompression.
Also this post gave me happy memories of playing Fire Emblem and Final Fantasy Tactics on my red Game Boy Advance SP in high school. Those were some damn good games. I wonder if they’re available for the 3DS on Virtual Console…
You should play Fire Emblem Awakening or Dragon Quest VIII (that’s what I’m doing) on your 3DS! It’s a great JRPG system.
Seconding the Fire Emblem: Awakening recommendation. Until Three Houses, it was my favorite Fire Emblem, and having played it on a ROM recently, it holds up.
Oh sweet! Thanks for the recommendations!
Have you played the Final Fantasy Tactics Advance games, originally released for the DS?
They inexplicably get hate as FF spinoffs, but I always thought the Tactics Advance games were good. I think I still have a GBA copy of A2 floating around somewhere.
I haven’t touched Tactics since Advance (2003) but now that I know there’s a DS one…ah! I wish Half Price Books was open for browsing (they do curbside pickup and you call them to ask if they have something in stock, but it would be super clunky to ask after a certain video game), but there’s always Mercari (rubs hands together in anticipation).
Poor Islero says:
Since you’ve got PC, get started on the Trails In The Sky series! Jason Schreier did enough hype work on Kotaku to get me to start it, and it’s the best RPG discovery I’ve made in the last 5 years. Gotta play them in order: FC, SC, 3rd.
Jason is good. I have one of the Trails games on my Steam backlog, probably will give that a go soon!
Kendog says:
The Cold Steel games are very much Trials games being made post Persona 4/5 got popular. Which is to say if you like Persona you’ll like them. The Sky games are more old school but also very good.
Honestly when I started playing Three Houses it felt a lot like playing the Cold Steel games. So I’m sure you’ll love that series at least.
The exact same thing happened to me and I completely agree. Except I’ve also played Cold Steel I-III and I have the fan translated version of Trails from Zero on my computer, so Poor Islero get into those too!
Joseph Matt says:
Wild that I came to UTSB and while scrolling saw what I thought was Joker’s mask in MS Paint.
Beat P5 twice, playing P5R now (stuck in the final, new Palace), and I also played FE:TH twice through (Blue Lions and Golden Deer, f off Edelgard).
I do agree with Barnes Burner, pick up Yakuza especially 0 or 6 as they’re the most recent (with 6 being the most polished in terms of systems and engine).
Don’t forget about Judgment, which is another trip back to Kamurocho to do Extremely Cool Shit except this time as a disgraced lawyer.
I’m still working my way through Judgement (got side tracked last summer). Probably finish it after P5R.
CoastersPaul says:
I just started playing Final Fantasy VI (the SNES version, originally called III here in the US), which feels like a new level of hipster-dom when everyone’s playing the FFVII Remake and like two hipsters are replaying the original FFVII because of it. It’s a good game, though!
Overall my JRPG tastes are kind of stuck in the SNES era, so I’ll join in on recommending Octopath and Dragon Quest XI.
For anyone who wants to try an old Dragon Quest but doesn’t have a very high anime tolerance – EarthBound’s pretty good (it introduced me to JRPGs)… if you can handle all the rust. Modern JRPGs are way less clunky.
Birdo says:
Enjoy! FFVI is easily the one I’ve spent the most time on—from SNES to emulators where things can get really wacky with manipulating the game code. The hours spent with the best cast of characters I’ve ever met in a game only pale in comparison to too many FFT runs. Pro tip: When you get to the veldt, you can’t actually fill the entire rage list. My kid brain back in 1994 didn’t grasp that.
I also sunk 100 hours into P5 about three years ago, and I’m about 25 hours into P5 Royal, and it’s all very amazing and my seat-dancing to ATLUS Sound Team anthems is on 100. This might not be super relevant but I don’t have anywhere else to share: Persona V’s recreation of Tokyo is uncannily accurate. When I played P5 I had never been to Japan — I’ve spent about three months there since 2017, and now I have a completely new appreciation for the virtual tourism aspect of Persona. I mean it really is Just Like Being There, I don’t know how else to describe it, it’s really cool.
Also DEFINITELY play Yakuza that shit is so cool you won’t regret it.
Itchy Sideburns says:
Man, I absolutely love Fire Emblem: Three Houses and Persona 5! I’m on my second playthrough of FE: 3H right now (Black Eagles, first was Golden Deer), and I’m still really enjoying it. I got Persona 5 last year (best $20 I ever spent) and put in 84 hours into one of my favorite games this generation. I like that both games offer out calendars, and I like that you’re expected to figure out what you should do during that time. It offers a layer of consistency not completely unlike that of Animal Crossing, although not as boring. I would love to play P5 Royal, but my brother borrowed my Playstation before quarantine, so… I’ll keep my time with FE: 3H for now.
OctoRocket says:
I’ve been playing Trails from Zero (Zero no Kiseki) and loving it. Then there’s the sequel, then the third Trails of Cold Steel game.
FF7 Remake is so good. SO. GOOD.
T-Bone says:
Have you played the Valkyria Chronicles games? If you like tactics and anime, you’re going to get into these guys.
I hard quit on Valkyria Chronicles one because it’s handling of a very delicate topic was done very sloppily
AS91 says:
Wow. Zero mention of Nier Automata in an article about JRPGs. Why won’t you expose people to abnormally sexy androids that will make people cry and have an existential crisis in the middle of a pandemic?
Because he’s actually Pascal and the player made that one choice so he doesn’t remember any of it.
Because it’s not a classically styled JRPG, it’s more of an action game. Just because it’s japanese doesn’t make it a “JRPG”
I platinum-ed original P5, and haven’t gotten P5R is the new stuff worth it to do a third trip through?
I only played the original once, but I think so? There’s plenty of new cutscenes, the new battle mechanics are fun, and while I haven’t finished it, there’s the promise of a new semester at the end of the game. It IS kind of annoying that the new character doesn’t become a full party member until then, though.
Lanboyo says:
You have neglected to properly credit the Ultima games and D&D as sources for JRPG. The took the Genre and mastered it.
DoublePlusRad says:
This is exactly what I’ve been doing. Since quarantine started I plowed through FF7 remake, finished Yakuza Kiwami 2, and I’m about 20 hours into P5R. I stupidly also bought original FF7, FF8, Yakuza 3-5 remasters, and all of the kingdom hearts games, so I’ll never get to my 3rd play through of Fire Emblem on Maddening unless we are quarantined for the rest of the year.
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Getting a tattoo hurts! But I've heard that getting it removed hurts worse.
Sometimes we make decisions that we later regret because they hurt us or hurt someone else or both. Usually, we can fix the mistake. It’s not permanent. If we make the same mistake many times, we can develop a bad habit. For example, a kid might develop a habit of teasing others, eating poorly, wasting time, being lazy, lying, stealing, cheating, etc. Adults can develop those habits and more. Habits can be very difficult to change. It is best to develop good habits when you’re young. After you’re old, it is hard to change your ways. It can hurt.
-The Godmother
About tattoos and soldiers: The ancient art of "Sak Yant" has been used for many purposes, one of which is as a defense mechanism, something like an artistic shield of armor. (Now foreigners are attracted to Sak Yant but for different reasons.) Cambodian soldiers got tattoos which were thought to protect them. They did whatever they could. It was very dangerous in Cambodia.
This village chief likely fought in the civil war. It was a complicated time when Cambodians killed Cambodians, Cambodians killed Vietnamese, Vietnamese killed Vietnamese, and the United States killed both. Among Cambodians alone, an estimated 275,000–310,000 were killed during the years 1970-1975. During the following four years under the brutal Khmer Rouge, Cambodia would a lose an additional 25% of its population. Call it what you will--nationalism, ideology, whatever--it takes a lot more than tattoos to protect humans from their worst instincts.
Did you miss a previous Godmother's Advice email?
#001: Khmer boxing & solving problems
#002: Factory workers' commute & "making room"
#003: Bright balloons & dangerous attractions
#004: Bats and others' ways
#005: Playing in the mud
A technical note: Gmail sometimes puts emails in your Promotions folder. To stop that, drag and drop the email to your Inbox and tell Gmail to put subsequent emails from that sender (i.e., me) in your Inbox, not the bottomless pit that is your Promotions folder. Yahoo also sometimes dumps these in the Junk/Spam mail. I think if you open the email and click "Not Spam", Yahoo will remember. Those turkeys!
Were you forwarded this email and would like to receive it yourself weekly?
Background about this email: Several years ago, I was feeling like an inadequate Godmother due to my absence in the US and, consequently, my absence in my Godson's lives. I decided to send what little advice I have as someone who has been in the world for 30 years longer than they. Thus was born my Godmother's emails--a tidbit of advice each week. I decided to share these emails with friends and others because I feel that folks need some good, helpful or happy things in their Inbox these days. I hope these are; otherwise, unsubscribe below.
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Copyright © 2019 Maria Montello, All rights reserved.
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Fuente del Conde
GPS: |
The Village of La Fuente del Conde, located to the south of the municipality of Iznájar, at the foot of the Sierra de Campoagro, is also popularly known as «La Alcubilla».
Its name is due to the Count of la Revilla, who lived in the village and who owned a fountain with four abundant water pipes, as well as most of the southern lands of Iznájar.
Crowning the village is a magnificent viewpoint, the «Cruz de Magán», with a small hermitage whose origin is related to an old Iberian sanctuary that was located in that same place.
Tracing the hill there are numerous caves that were inhabited during the Neolithic and in later times. There is also evidence of Agar, Iberian and Roman settlements. Numerous archaeological remains have been found in the vicinity that would confirm this, such as «falcatas», arrowheads, spears, regatons and fragments of Iberian ceramics.
Among the most interesting architectural elements in Fuente del Conde are its church, a modern construction begun around 1985 and completed in May 1994, its public washing places and fountains, such as the «Fuente de Magán», the «Fuente de la Alamea» or the «Fuente de la Alamea». the Alcubilla «. There are also some holm oaks that, due to their size, shape and age, are considered unique trees of the municipality.
PARKING OFFICIEL ESPLANADE DE LA CHARCUELA
PARKING OFFICIEL ESPLANADE DE LA CHARCUELA Complexe sportif municipal, 4 Avenida de la Constitucion, 14810 Carcabuey, Cordoue, Espagne Grande esplanade pavée avec un grand jardin circulaire autour d’une structure dédiée...
PARKING OFICIAL EXPLANADA DE LA CHARCUELA
Large paved esplanade with a large central circular garden with a monolith dedicated to sport. Main entrance to the Sports Pavilion. Equipped with electricity and water points for fairground and...
Hotel Villa de Priego de Córdoba Copia
Aldea de Zagrilla, s/n - 14816 - Priego de Córdoba (Córdoba) (+34) 957701917
Bodegas Ruíz Canela
Ubicada en el casco urbano de Lucena,calle Pajarillas 50, esta bodega cuenta con más de 150 años de historia y unos magníficos caldos que venden tanto a establecimientos de hostelería...
VTAR Casa de la Cascada
Cozy house located in a privileged environment, in the natural setting of La Hoz, a few meters from the Sierras Subbéticas Natural Park, and very close to Rute.
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4k TV, nba
Why So Little 4K On DIRECTV?
Date: January 10, 2019Author: TV Answer Man 7 Comments
Q. I got a 4K TV for Christmas and I have DIRECTV. Do they have any live shows in 4K this month? — Pete, Naples, Florida.
Pete, the answer is yes, but the lineup is a bit sparse. As you may know, there is a growing amount of Video on Demand programming in 4K on streaming services such as Netflix and Amazon Prime, but live shows in 4K are still few and far between. Broadcasters are still reluctant to invest in live 4K productions, apparently because they feel that consumer demand is still limited. Consequently, TV services that air live 4K, such as DIRECTV and Dish, often have little to offer.
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For instance, this month, DIRECTV’s live 4K channel, which is 106, will air eight NBA games and four English Premier League soccer games in the new picture format. And that’s it. No NFL playoffs. No hockey. No golf. No primetime dramas or comedies in 4K. Nope, just some basketball and soccer.
Considering that millions of consumers are spending thousands of dollars on new 4K sets, you would think the lineup would be more attractive. But welcome to the often frustrating world of 4K TV.
That said, here is a list of the games that will be broadcast live in 4K on DIRECTV during the month of January, starting with this Saturday’s game; four other NBA games, and one English Premier League match, aired in 4K earlier this month. (Note: The NBA games will be in 4K HDR; the soccer games will just be in 4K.)
January 12, 8:30 p.m. ET
San Antonio at Oklahoma City
Charlotte at San Antonio
January 21, 3 p.m. ET
Orlando at Atlanta
January 28, 10:30 p.m. ET
Atlanta at Los Angeles Clippers
English Premier League Soccer:
January 13, 11:15 a.m. ET
Tottenham at Manchester United
January 19, 12: 15 p.m. ET
Arsenal at Chelsea
Liverpool at Leicester City
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7 thoughts on “Why So Little 4K On DIRECTV?”
Tom Shimko says:
Directv 4K is not worth it. It takes forever even to boot up. I’ve call Directv to ask why I was told it’s a known problem. Programs are very limited unless you like skiing and surfing
My contact is up in October, going back to regular. I’ll get my 4K from Netflix and Prime
In the UK we’re getting these US shows and others in UHD:- Ray Donovan, Madam Secretary, Good Doctor, Hawaii 5-0, McGuyver, NCIS, Navy Seals.
Do these get shown in UHD in the US?
larjoy51 says:
Every year and every big sporting event brings a release about all the technology the broadcasting network plans to use, but even by those standards, CBS seems to be really going all-out for February’s Super Bowl LIII. For their 20th Super Bowl broadcast, the network is planning to use 115 cameras overall, but it’s the 8K cameras and plans to use augmented reality graphics that perhaps particularly stand out in their release:
For the first time ever on any network at a live sporting event, CBS’ Super Bowl LIII virtual plan includes the use of a live, wireless handheld camera showing augmented reality graphics and up-close camera tracking on the field. This will allow the camera to get closer to these virtual graphics in a way that gives viewers different perspectives and angles including never –before-seen field level views of these graphics.
CBS will utilize four cameras (including the SkyCam) with live augmented reality graphics, plus an additional 10 cameras with trackable first-down-line technology. In all, 14 cameras creating virtual graphic elements that are completely manufactured will seamlessly blend in to the real environment of the broadcast.
For the first time ever on any network in the United States, CBS will use multiple 8K cameras with a unique, highly-constructed engineering solution to provide viewers with even more dramatic close-up views of the action from the endzone including possible game changing plays along the goal lines and end lines.
Beyond that, they’ll feature 16 4K cameras, 28 pylon cameras and 50-plus total end zone cameras, and plenty of super slo motion cameras. That’s a whole lot. And while using these super-high-resolution cameras may not make much of an impact for the average viewer (there are plenty of people who don’t have 4K TVs, let alone 8K), those who do have flashy new TVs should get a fair bit out of this. Other elements like the pylon cameras and super slo motion should be useful regardless of what sort of TV (or screen) people are watching on. Of course, there’s always the challenge of not getting too wrapped up in fancy new toys, and the broadcast’s usage of augmented reality graphics in particular will be interesting to keep an eye on, as using those too heavily could spark some backlash from those who just want to watch the game. But CBS is certainly bringing plenty of technology to the table here, and we’ll see how they use it.
TV Answer Man says:
That doesn’t mean the game will be available in 4K.
larjoy51Larry says:
Very true, but leaves possibility
CBS Sports To Use 4K, 8K Cameras For Super Bowl LIII Broadcast For the first time in its history, CBS Sports will deploy multiple 4K and 8K cameras at the Super Bowl to provide close-ups and alternative viewing angles for NFL fans. The cameras will provide additional live game camera angles, and give the production the ability to replay key moments of the game in a super slo-motion and an HD cut-out with zoomed-in perspectives with minimal resolution loss.
Sadly, this lineup seems much better than what Dish is offering. I haven’t found a single event or show in 4K since the college football regular season ended.
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Teen Wolf Sneak Peek: A New Enemy Hunts Scott's Pack in Season 6B Teaser
By Andy Swift / May 7 2017, 3:00 PM PDT
Teen Wolf is going from kill-or-be-killed to hunt-and-be-hunted as it barrels towards its series finale.
Ahead of Sunday’s MTV Movie & TV Awards, the network released a first look at the drama’s final episodes, which begin airing this summer. An exact premiere date remains TBD.
Teen Wolf Series Finale Set Photos
This new Season 6B teaser starts innocently enough, with Scott and his pack — in this case, Lydia and Malia — tracking down a killer in the woods. Pretty standard fare for a night out in Beacon Hills.
But it’s not long before Scott realizes they’re not alone out there — that someone, several someones actually, is hunting them down. And they’re shooting to kill.
“It’s something new, but also old,” Teen Wolf showrunner Jeff Davis tells TVLine of Season 6B. “Scott and his supernatural friends become pariahs once again. They’re feared and hunted. It’s very much a season of fear. Our inspiration was H.P. Lovecraft, so you’re going to be seeing a lot of dark horror. We have some really disgusting stuff coming up.”
Hit PLAY on the video above, then drop a comment below with your hopes for the final episodes of Teen Wolf.
TAGS: MTV, MTV Movie and TV Awards, Teen Wolf
GET MORE: Awards, Trailers and Promos, Video
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The Food That Built America: Season Two Renewal for History TV Series
by Regina Avalos, May 11, 2020
The Food That Built America has been renewed for a second season by the History Channel. Adam Richman is hosting the series. There are 18 episodes of the hour series planned.
History revealed more about the series’ renewal in a press release.
“HISTORY is teaming up with food author, television personality and culinary entrepreneur, Adam Richman, for season two of its popular nonfiction series The Food That Built America about the food titans who shaped America, and to host new series American Made (working title) about the creation of America’s most groundbreaking inventions. After the success of its first season, which reached an impressive 18.8 million total viewers, season two of The Food That Built America will explore the incredible tales of innovation and rivalries behind more food industry tycoons and tell the stories behind some of America’s most loved and iconic brands such as Oreo, Kraft, McDonalds, Burger King, Cheetos and more. American Made hosted by Richman will celebrate American ingenuity by detailing how our nation’s products are made and showcasing both the process of the craft and the inspiration behind the idea taking viewers on a ride into the past, present and future. Season one will feed into America’s appetite, literally, and focus on the how? why? and where? items such as cheese, cookies, ice cream and beyond are made.
“At its core, HISTORY is known for providing information to our viewers that is as entertaining as it is enlightening, and we hope to do just that with these two series,” said Eli Lehrer, Executive Vice President and General Manager of HISTORY. “Both The Food That Built America and American Made represent the incredible imagination and grit of some of the greatest innovators and brands of this nation’s history while also feeding into our audience’s love of food. We hope the stories shared in both series sparks our viewer’s creativity and encourages them to lean into their own desire to build, create and better this world.”
“The more I learn about food, the more I realize that my favorite aspect has always been learning the root, origin, background and genesis of certain dishes and delicacies. I love the stories that food tells. As a longtime super-fan of the network, I’m beyond thrilled to partner with HISTORY on two series that speak to my passion of exploring the amazing stories of the edible world around us,” said Adam Richman, author and travel/food TV host. “I can guarantee you won’t look at many classic foods quite in the same way again. HISTORY has created two dynamic shows that pull the veil back on how and why certain brands and items that we know and love came to be, and has done it in a way that embraces the universal relatability and enjoyment of food. I’m truly honored that the network has trusted me to share these iconic food stories, and take them from their humble beginnings, through America’s grocery aisles, to viewer’s television screens.”
What do you think? Are you a fan of this series on History? Will you be watching season two of The Food That Built America?
More about: History TV shows: canceled or renewed?, The Food That Built America, The Food That Built America: canceled or renewed?
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Yes I loved the history of it very interesting
Love this series so much!!!!! Cant wait for the next season to air!;
History actually coming out with good stuff
Pafy
Yes we will. Loved season 1 so can’t wait for season 2!!!
Love the concept. When does season 2 air?
Ralph G Mesite
I enjoyed learning how food shaped America especially how it changed our eating habits.
I understand they are filming in Conn. Can I know where they are filming the new episode. I live in Conn
In light of recent events, food has entered the public discourse. PLEASE include some of this in the new season.
Brian Wyatt
Wow !!! What a series, just happened upon it and totally involved in the series, can’t wait for season two.
Donna K Smith
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Starz Renews ‘Power: Book II” for Season 2
Ryan White-Nobles @sourceryan September 23, 2020 / 6:58 PM September 23, 2020 0
Photo Credit: Starz
Starz announced that STARZ Original series Power Book II: Ghost has officially been renewed for a second season.
A global hit on the STARZ platform, Power Book II: Ghost became the most-watched new series in the network’s history with multiplatform views in its debut week approaching 7.5 million, a number that will continue to grow in the coming weeks with additional platform partners reporting. Power Book II: Ghost is the first series in the expanded Power Universe franchise from executive producers Courtney A. Kemp and Curtis “50 Cent” Jackson. Kemp also serves as the creator and showrunner of Power Book II: Ghost.
Power Book II: Ghost picks up shortly after the earth-shattering events of Power as Tariq St. Patrick (Michael Rainey, Jr.) grapples with a new world order: his father James “Ghost” St. Patrick is dead, and his mother, Tasha (Naturi Naughton), is facing charges for his murder — even though Tariq pulled the trigger. To earn his inheritance, Tariq has to navigate the rigors of an elite university doing twice the work — his and that of a high-profile member of the school’s basketball team. Truly on his own for the first time in his life, Tariq is forced to split his time between school and hustling to pay for Davis MacLean (Cliff “Method Man” Smith), the fame-hungry defense lawyer who is Tasha’s only hope of getting out of jail and escaping prosecution by newly minted U.S. Attorney Cooper Saxe (Shane Johnson). With no better options, Tariq turns to the familiar drug game, entangling himself with a cutthroat family headed by Monet Stewart Tejada (Mary J. Blige). As Tariq tries to balance his drug operation with his grades, love life, and family, he figures out that the only way to avoid the same fate his father met is to become him — only better.
“Power Book II: Ghost” delivered outsized performance on the Starz App in the first week after the premiere, driving subscriber acquisition up 42%, while also setting new records internationally as the top performing series across the Starzplay International streaming platform in several markets including the UK, France, Germany, Spain and Brazil. Starzplay is now the official home worldwide of the “Power” Universe.
“The success of ‘Ghost’ right out of the gate is a tribute to the quality of Courtney’s storytelling, the strength of the ‘Power’ franchise and the loyalty of our incredible fans,” said Christina Davis, President of Programming, Starz. “What Courtney, Curtis and their team have accomplished in creating the ‘Power’ Universe is nothing short of extraordinary. It is a privilege to be able to continue the journey of ‘Power’ with the audience and we look forward to delving deeper into this world in exciting new ways for many seasons to come.”
“I am incredibly humbled by and grateful for the response from our ‘Power’ fans — the best fans in the world, period. To have our fans return — and bring new viewers to the first spinoff in the ‘Power’ Universe — is a dream come true. Back in 2012, 50, Mark, and I were warned that a premium series with leads of color would never work for a global audience. But we’ve proven everyone wrong — and thanks to Starzplay, we have fans in the UK, France, Mexico, Brazil and beyond, all plugging into the ‘Power’ Universe,” said Courtney A. Kemp, Creator, Showrunner and Executive Producer. “In the second season, Tariq’s journey with the Tejada family will get even more complicated — and more dangerous — as he begins to understand the man he’s going to become.”
“When I had the idea to create the ‘Power’ Universe I knew there were going to be many levels to its success, I am glad the fans agree. I am looking forward to releasing ‘Power Book III: Raising Kanan’ and ‘Power Book IV: Force’ soon,” added Executive Producer, Curtis “50 Cent” Jackson.
The premiere season of Power Book II: Ghost is set to air in two parts, with the mid-season finale airing Sunday, October 4 and a return set later this year for the five remaining episodes.
Tagged: Power Power Book II: Ghost Renewal Renewal News Starz Share
Ryan White-Nobles
Ryan White-Nobles is Editor-in-Chief of TV Source Magazine. He's began covering entertainment and soap operas in 2005. In 2009 he co-launched Soap Opera Source, and led the TV Source rebrand in 2012. He's a natural #Heel who loves a spirited debate and probably watches too much TV. Follow him on Twitter at @SourceRyan to discuss all things TV, soaps, sports, wrestling and pop culture.
@sourceryan
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Category:Language Coordinators
Revision as of 10:55, 3 August 2015 by Isiliel (talk | contribs)
Language Coordinators are experienced volunteer translators in TED's Open Translation Project who have shown exceptional translation skill and an extraordinary level of commitment to advancing their language community within TED. Language Coordinators help TED maintain translation quality and advise TED on a range of project-related subjects, from technology to community.
If your language has no Language Coordinator, please contact dimitra@ted.com or translate@ted.com
Below is a list of Language Coordinators, followed by links to the Coordinator pages on OTPedia.
1 Language Coordinators, with link to TED and Amara profiles
1.1 Albanian
1.2 Arabic
1.3 Armenian
1.4 Azerbaijani
1.5 Belarusian
1.6 Bengali
1.7 Bulgarian
1.8 Burmese
1.9 Catalan
1.10 Chinese (Simplified)
1.11 Chinese (Traditional)
1.12 Croatian
1.13 Czech
1.14 Danish
1.15 Dutch
1.16 English (for TEDx Talks)
1.17 Esperanto
1.18 Finnish
1.19 French
1.20 French (Canadian)
1.21 German
1.22 Greek
1.23 Hebrew
1.24 Hindi
1.25 Hungarian
1.26 Indonesian
1.27 Italian
1.27.1 For Italian TEDx Transcripts
1.28 Japanese
1.29 Kazakh
1.30 Korean
1.31 Kurdish
1.32 Latgalian
1.33 Latvian
1.34 Lithuanian
1.35 Malay
1.36 Malayalam
1.37 Marathi
1.38 Mongolian
1.39 Norwegian (Nynorsk and Bokmal)
1.40 Persian (Farsi)
1.41 Polish
1.42 Portuguese (Brazil)
1.43 Portuguese (Portugal)
1.44 Romanian
1.45 Russian
1.46 Serbian
1.47 Silesian
1.48 Sinhala
1.49 Slovak
1.50 Slovenian
1.51 Spanish
1.51.1 For Spanish TEDx Transcripts
1.52 Swahili
1.53 Swedish
1.54 Tamil
1.55 Tatar
1.56 Thai
1.57 Turkish
1.58 Ukrainian
1.59 Urdu
1.60 Vietnamese
2 Language Coordinators on OTPedia
Language Coordinators, with link to TED and Amara profiles
Helena Bedalli http://www.ted.com/profiles/837819
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/bedallih/
Anwar Dafa-Alla http://www.ted.com/profiles/122540
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_anwarking/
Khalid Marbou http://www.ted.com/profiles/361170
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/khalidmarbou/
Ayman Mahmoud http://www.ted.com/profiles/37209
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/aymanity/
Lalla Khadija Tigha http://www.ted.com/profiles/645049
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/LallaKhadija/
Muhammad Ramadan http://www.ted.com/profiles/3319689/translator
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/muhammad_ramadan/
Mahmoud Aghiorly http://www.ted.com/profiles/321965
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/maghiorly/
Ghalia Turki http://www.ted.com/profiles/2188999
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Ghalia.Turki/
Kristine Sargsyan http://www.ted.com/profiles/364823
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/kristinesargsyan/
GulchinTaghiyevahttp://www.ted.com/profiles/596934
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/gulchin/
Ziyaddin Sadigov http://www.ted.com/profiles/1972587
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/zsadigov/
Hanna Baradzina http://www.ted.com/profiles/1343896
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/baradzinka/
Alena Zhaliazniak http://www.ted.com/profiles/1272302
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_159/
Palash Ranjan Sanyal http://www.ted.com/profiles/1187950
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/palash019/
Darina Stoyanova http://www.ted.com/profiles/45215
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/pronoia/
Anton Hikov http://www.ted.com/profiles/10559
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/anton545/
Myo Aung http://www.ted.com/profiles/2451980
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Myo%20Aung/
Fran Ontanaya http://www.ted.com/profiles/1500891
Òscar Aznar Alemany http://www.ted.com/profiles/808759
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/oscarazal/
Núria Estrada http://www.ted.com/profiles/2356039
http://amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Nuria_Estrada/
Zachary Zhao http://www.ted.com/profiles/249138
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/zhaolin526/
Tony Yet http://www.ted.com/profiles/42895
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_matrix/
Jenny Yang http://www.ted.com/profiles/250727
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_JennyYang/
Coco Shen http://www.ted.com/profiles/193561
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/renaiis/
Yolanda (Mengmeng) Zhang http://www.ted.com/profiles/2673019
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/yolanda_zhang/
Bill Hsiung http://www.ted.com/profiles/232130
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_bbkh/
Chunfung Chen http://www.ted.com/profiles/258692
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/fung/
Adrienne Lin http://www.ted.com/profiles/451426
http://amara.org/zh-tw/profiles/profile/adriennelin/
Chaoran Yu http://www.ted.com/profiles/336685
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/merlin3123/
Katarina Smetko http://www.ted.com/profiles/955070
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/KatarinaSmetko/
Ivan Stamenković http://www.ted.com/profiles/874069
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Stamen/
Jan Kadlec http://www.ted.com/profiles/604172
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/JanKadlec/
Miroslav Mráz http://www.ted.com/profiles/1326635
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Mirek/
Jakub Helcl http://www.ted.com/profiles/1617094
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Jakub%20Helcl/
Samuel Titera http://www.ted.com/profiles/309474
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/samueltitera/
Anders Finn Jørgensen http://www.ted.com/profiles/1291837
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/andersfinn/
Els De Keyser http://www.ted.com/profiles/524687
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ElsDK/
Axel Saffran http://www.ted.com/profiles/495912
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/AxelSaffran/
Christel Foncke http://www.ted.com/profiles/794451
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ChristelF/
Valerie Boor https://www.ted.com/profiles/1764168
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/valerie_boor/
English (for TEDx Talks)
Elisabeth Buffard, http://www.ted.com/profiles/239263
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_ogrebattle/
Hugo Wagner http://www.ted.com/profiles/674444
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_HugoWagner/
Robert Tucker http://www.ted.com/profiles/1750175
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/robert_tucker/
Tulio Leao http://www.ted.com/profiles/522798
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Tupaschoal/
Leonardo Silva http://www.ted.com/profiles/1751105
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/leonardo_silva/
Camille Martinez http://www.ted.com/profiles/452246
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/camille816/
Sebastian Betti http://www.ted.com/profiles/228293
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/se6as/
Kinga Skorupska http://www.ted.com/profiles/144511
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_Snai/
Denise R Quivu https://www.ted.com/profiles/364502
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/denisadee%20/
Amaranta Heredia Jaén http://www.ted.com/profiles/376283
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/amaul/
James Rezende Piton https://www.ted.com/profiles/237167
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_sudastelaro/
Leo de Cooman http://www.ted.com/profiles/235836
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_grizaleono/
Ulla Vainio http://www.ted.com/profiles/275410
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/uvainio/
Elisabeth Buffard http://www.ted.com/profiles/239263
Shadia Ramsahye http://www.ted.com/profiles/356667
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ramsy/
Anna Cristiana Minoli http://www.ted.com/profiles/336211
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/AnnaCristiana/
Eric Vautier http://www.ted.com/profiles/244060
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ericv/
Patrick Brault http://www.ted.com/profiles/715805
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/PatrickBrault/
Serge Brosseau, http://www.ted.com/profiles/869676
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/sergiobro/
Nadine Hennig http://www.ted.com/profiles/597058
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/austine/
Angelika Lueckert http://www.ted.com/profiles/1428226
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/angelika_lueckert/
Johanna Pichler http://www.ted.com/profiles/333489
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/1gehtno1gehtnoleicht/
David Schroegendorfer http://www.ted.com/profiles/1573958/
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/David%20S/
Dimitra Papageorgiou http://www.ted.com/profiles/199963
http://www.amara.org/es/profiles/profile/41006/
Nikoleta Dimitriou, http://www.ted.com/profiles/939940
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/nikoletadimitriou/
Lazaros Boudakidis http://www.ted.com/profiles/520055
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/lazaros/
Nikolaos Benias http://ted.com/profiles/472661
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/NikosBenias/
Chryssa Rapessi Takahashi http://www.ted.com/profiles/1302038
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/japangr/
Lucas Kaimaras http://www.ted.com/profiles/2631477/translator
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/lucas_kaimaras/
Ido Dekkers http://www.ted.com/profiles/358462
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/idekkers/
Sigal Tifferet http://www.ted.com/profiles/458544
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/tifferet/
Shlomo Adam http://www.ted.com/profiles/144579
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/aknv/
Tal Dekkers http://www.ted.com/profiles/2355912
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/tal_dekkers/
Gaurav Gupta http://www.ted.com/profiles/342139
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/gaurav1gupta/
Abhishek Suryawanshi http://www.ted.com/profiles/242245
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/surya2020/
Abhinav Garule http://www.ted.com/profiles/1410240
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/abhinav_garule/
Omprakash Bisen http://www.ted.com/profiles/950995
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/iOP/
Krisztian Stancz http://www.ted.com/profiles/845051
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/skrisztian/
Judit Szabo http://www.ted.com/profiles/1015785
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Judit/
Csaba Lóki http://www.ted.com/profiles/395933
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/dandelion88/
Dewi Barnas http://www.ted.com/profiles/254595
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/dewi_barnas/
Anna Cristiana Minoli http://www.ted.com/profiles/336211
Michele Gianella http://www.ted.com/profiles/190069
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_TradottiInItaliano/
Elena Montrasio http://www.ted.com/profiles/490889
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_elenamontradio/
Alberto Pagani http://www.ted.com/profiles/270711
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/albertopagani/
Patrizia Romeo Tomasini http://www.ted.com/profiles/2034158
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/patrizia_romeo_tomasini/
Alessandra Tadiotto http://www.ted.com/profiles/1272587
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/aletadiotto/
For Italian TEDx Transcripts
Marco Caresia http://www.ted.com/profiles/532638
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/caresia/
Yasushi Aoki http://www.ted.com/profiles/259035
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_aoky/
Wataru Narita http://www.ted.com/profiles/239443
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Waterloo/
Natsuhiko Mizutani http://www.ted.com/profiles/263695
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Natsumizu/
Akinori Oyama http://www.ted.com/profiles/1165902
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/akinorioyama/
Yuko Yoshida http://www.ted.com/profiles/1777519/
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/yuko_yoshida/
Mari Arimitsu http://www.ted.com/profiles/1776223/
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/mari_arimitsu/
Kazunori Akashi http://www.ted.com/profiles/543950
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/konstrual/
Emi Kamiya http://www.ted.com/profiles/1496921/translator
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/emi_kamiya/
Moe Shoji http://www.ted.com/profiles/1975491/translator
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/moe_shoji/
Askhat Yerkimbay http://www.ted.com/profiles/1546319
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/urimtal/
InHyuk Song http://www.ted.com/profiles/138186
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/flapancy/
Keumseong Bang http://www.ted.com/profiles/1351810
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/steloim/
Surie Lee http://www.ted.com/profiles/460810
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Surie/
Gemma Lee http://www.ted.com/profiles/1636047
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/gemma_lee/
Hanseok "Hahn" Ryu http://www.ted.com/profiles/87231
http://amara.org/es/profiles/profile/42200/
Jihyeon Kim http://www.ted.com/profiles/2591230/translator
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/ted_jihyeon_kim/
Ahmed Yousify http://www.ted.com/profiles/1894270
http://www.amara.org/en/profiles/profile/Ahmed_Yousify/
Latgalian
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Secretary Pompeo's remarks with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud.
Oct. 14, 2020: Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo's statements with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud, at the Department of State.
Share Secretary Pompeo's remarks with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud. on Facebook
Share Secretary Pompeo's remarks with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud. on Twitter
Email Secretary Pompeo's remarks with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud. to a friend
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#23 Virginia Women's Basketball Beats Long Island, 57-46
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. – The No. 23 Virginia women’s basketball upped its home streak to two wins with a 57-46 win over Long Island on Saturday at University Hall.
The Cavaliers improved to 3-1 on the season, while the Blackbirds fell to 0-3.
For the second straight game, sophomore Cherrise Graham (Conshohocken, Pa.) paced the Cavaliers. She finished with a game-high 17 points, including a perfect 4-4 from the line. The point guard also added three treys, a career-high five rebounds and career-high four assists. Junior Anna Prillaman (Midlothian, Va.) had 12 points.
“It?s great to get back on the court,” said Virginia?s head coach Debbie Ryan after the team’s Thanksgiving break. “We’re still trying to see who can step up in tight games.”
Freshman Amber Wirth led LIU with 16 points, while Jessica Brookes added 12 points.
UVa held a 28-25 halftime advantage.
Overall, Virginia out-rebounded LIU, 38-34.
Virginia travels to intra-state rival Virginia Tech on Tuesday, Dec. 3 for a 7 p.m. contest at Cassell Coliseum. The Cavaliers return home to University Hall on Friday, Dec. 6 against Rutgers in a 7:30 p.m. game. Charlottesville’s WINA Radio (1070 AM) will broadcast each UVa game live with Jed Williams and Myron Ripley calling the action.
1 2 - FinalLong Island (0-3) 25 21 - 46#23 Virginia (3-1) 28 29 - 57
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4700 IU of vitamin D needed by most seniors – an equation -July 2014
A Predictive Equation to Guide Vitamin D Replacement Dose in Patients
J American Board Family Medecine July-August 2014 vol. 27 no. 4 495-509
Gurmukh Singh, MD, PhD, MBA and Aaron J. Bonham, MS
From the Department of Pathology, Truman Medical Center (GS), and the Office for Health Services & Public Health Outcomes Research, Department of Biomedical and Health Informatics (AJB), University of Missouri-Kansas City School of Medicine, Kansas City, MO; and Heritage Laboratories International Inc., Olathe, KS (GS).
Corresponding author: Gurmukh Singh, MD, PhD, MBA, Georgia Regents University, 1120 15th St., Augusta, GA 30912 gurmukhsinghmdphd at yahoo.com
Re: A Predictive Equation to Guide Vitamin D Replacement Dose in Patients
Equation simplified and comments by VitaminDWiki
See also VitaminDWiki
See also web
Note by VitaminDWiki - many of the equations and tables did not survive the extraction process, but can be seen in the pdf
 Download the PDF from VitaminDWiki.
Background: Vitamin D is essential for bone health and probably the health of most nonskeletal tissues. Vitamin D deficiency is widespread, and recommended doses are usually inadequate to maintain healthy levels. We conducted a retrospective observational study to determine whether the recommended doses of vitamin D are adequate to correct deficiency and maintain normal levels in a population seeking health care. We also sought to develop a predictive equation for replacement doses of vitamin D.
Methods: We reviewed the response to vitamin D supplementation in 1327 patients and 3885 episodes of vitamin D replacement and attempted to discern factors affecting the response to vitamin D replacement by conducting multiple regression analyses.
Results: For the whole population, average daily dose resulting in any increase in serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D level was 4707 IU/day; corresponding values for ambulatory and nursing home patients were 4229 and 6103 IU/day, respectively.
Significant factors affecting the change in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, in addition to the dose administered, are
(1) starting serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D,
(2) body mass index (BMI),
(3) age, and
(4) serum albumin concentration.
The following equation predicts the dose of vitamin D needed (in international units per day) to affect a given change in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D: Dose = [(8.52 — Desired change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D level) + (0.074 x Age) - (0.20 x BMI) + (1.74 x Albumin concentration) - (0.62 x Starting serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration)]/(—0.002). Analysis of the dose responses among 3 racial groups—white, black, and others—did not reveal clinically meaningful differences between the races. The main limitation of the study is its retrospective observational nature; however, that is also its strength in that we assessed the circumstances seen in usual health care setting.
Conclusions: The recommended daily allowance for vitamin D is grossly inadequate for correcting low serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in many adult patients. About 5000 IU vitamin D3/day is usually needed to correct deficiency, and the maintenance dose should be >2000 IU/day. The required dose may be calculated from the predictive equations specific for ambulatory and nursing home patients. (J Am Board Fam Med 2014;27:495-509.)
Keywords: Ambulatory Care, Community Medicine, Drug Dosage Calculations, Laboratories, Nursing Homes, Osteoporosis, Primary Health Care, Vitamin D
The optimum serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D and what constitutes vitamin D deficiency is controversial. Serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D <10 ng/mL are generally accepted to be deficient; however, 16 to 30 ng/mL or even higher is considered by different organizations and investigators to be the optimum concentration.1-9 It has been suggested that levels of 40 to 60 ng/mL are ideal and that levels up to 100 ng/mL are safe.5'7-9 If we accept that serum concentration of 30 ng/mL is optimal for 25-hydroxyvitamin D, then inadequacy of vitamin D may be the commonest nutritional deficiency in the United States.1-18
This article was externally peer reviewed.
Submitted 2 December 2013; revised 6 March 2014; accepted 12 March 2014.
From the Department of Pathology, Truman Medical Center (GS), and the Office for Health Services & Public Health Outcomes Research, Department of Biomedical and Health Informatics (AJB), University of Missouri-
Kansas City School of Medicine, Kansas City, MO; and Heritage Laboratories International Inc., Olathe, KS (GS). Funding: none.
Conflict of interest: none declared.
Corresponding author: Gurmukh Singh, MD, PhD, MBA, Georgia Regents University, 1120 15th St., Augusta, GA 30912 (E-mail: gurmukhsinghmdphd at yahoo.com).
Nearly 90% of 703 applicants for life insurance had serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration below 30 ng/mL.18 The vast majority of these individuals were outwardly healthy and represented the "normal" US adult population. Most of an individual's vitamin D requirement may be met through synthesis of vitamin D from 7-dehydrocholesterol in the skin through exposure to sunlight, yet most people have serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D in the subnormal range, probably because of inadequate sun exposure, and require treatment with supplemental vitamin D.17
Vitamin D deficiency is strongly linked to rickets in children and osteomalacia in adults.19-21 Other disorders associated with vitamin D deficiency include an increase in all-cause mortality, risk of falls, fractures, muscle weakness, pain and arthritis in the elderly, psoriasis, infections, poor oral health, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, multiple sclerosis, and cancers.22-55 The findings regarding nonskeletal issues are based mostly on observational studies, and the validity of observational studies has been questioned because of a lack of confirmation by randomized controlled trials.56,57
There is universal consensus about the role of vitamin D in preventing rickets and osteomalacia, and vitamin D intake of 800 IU/day may be sufficient to protect bone health in healthy subjects. In a meta-analysis of 40 studies, Bolland et al58 concluded that vitamin D and calcium administration reduced the incidence of hip fractures among institutionalized individuals but did not find any other beneficial effect from vitamin D supplementation. However, the average and median doses analyzed in the studies were 1060 and 800 IU/day, respectively, and serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D of 20 ng/mL were considered sufficient. Only one of the 40 trials used a dose of >2000 IU/day. It could be argued that the subjects were deficient in vitamin D and received inadequate supplementation. Proponents of nonbone benefits of vitamin D supplementation recommend much higher doses; for example, Garland et al4 stated that a serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D of 60 to 80 ng/mL may be needed to reduce cancer risk. Similarly, Ginde et al59 reported protective effect of vitamin D from upper respiratory infections at 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentrations of > 30 ng/mL.
The recommended daily allowance (RDA) for vitamin D was revised from 400 IU/day to 600 to 800 IU/day. Given the high prevalence of vitamin D deficiency, however, it is likely that the revised recommendation is insufficient for the general population, let alone patients.5'18'32'60-68 Vitamin D need among healthy people for bone health is likely to be different from that of the population seeking health care, particularly if the role of vitamin D in nonskeletal health is accepted.5,64-68
Given the level of uncertainty about the recommended dose of vitamin D, we examined the responses of patients to vitamin D replacement under the usual circumstances of health care and analyzed factors affecting the response to treatment using changes in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D as the indicator of response. In 3885 pairs of observations, 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations before and after treatment and the average daily dose of vitamin D administered were analyzed. We analyzed averages, medians, and multiple linear regressions to ascertain statistically significant factors affecting the response to treatment. We arrived at a robust predictive equation for estimating the daily dose of vitamin D needed to effect a given change in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D.
This study was undertaken at a 2-campus, medical school-affiliated hospital (University of Missouri-Kansas City School of Medicine) with 592 beds (300 acute care beds). The main campus is a level 1 trauma center in the inner city. The second campus provides mainly family medicine and long-term care (nursing home) in a suburban setting. The hospitals serve as the safety net hospitals for Kansas City and Jackson County, Missouri, and the majority of the patients are uninsured. The average age of the patients is about 56 years, and 943 female and 384 male patients were analyzed for the study. The average body mass index (BMI) was 31.5 kg/ m2. Common diagnoses among ambulatory patients included overweight/obesity, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia/dyslipidemia, chronic obstructive airway disease, gastroesophageal reflux disease, chronic renal disease, hypothyroidism, and substance abuse. Almost all patients had multiple diagnoses. Nursing home patients had multiple chronic diseases including multiple sclerosis; stroke; overweight/obesity; diabetes mellitus; hypothyroidism; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; dementia; psychiatric disorders; debilitating cardiovascular, renal, and hepatic insufficiency; and urinary and fecal incontinence interspersed with infections such as Clostridium difficile, urinary infection, and pneumonia.
Assays for 25-hydroxyvitamin D were done in a Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments-certified laboratory using and Advia Centaur XP analyzer from Siemens. The immunoassay measures both cholecalciferol (D3) and ergocalciferol (D2), and the sum of results of the 2 were reported. We understand that different methods generate different results and the methods have not been harmonized; however, the same method was used for the assays and we examined change in serum concentrations in response to treatment. We examined the test volume for serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations in 2007 to 2012 and determined the mean serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration in each year and the distribution of 25-hy-droxyvitamin D concentration of <30, <20, <12, and >150 ng/mL (1.0 ng/mL = 2.496 nmol/L). We examined the medical records of 2485 patients who had serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations recorded between June 20 and August 31, 2012, for details of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations and doses of vitamin D administered, and we calculated the average daily dose between 2 measurements of 25-hydroxyvitamin D during the entire duration of the patients' contact with Truman Medical Centers. We recorded the patients' age, sex, BMI, serum creatinine and serum albumin concentrations, and nursing home residence versus ambulatory care status. The data were analyzed to determine the average and median doses of vitamin D per day that resulted in (1) a decrease in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D or no change, (2) any increase in serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D concentration, or (3) an increase in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration of >10 ng/mL.
To understand the relationship between age, sex, nursing home residence, serum albumin concentration, BMI, creatinine, and starting serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D when predicting change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration and the concentration after treatment (end), multiple linear regression analyses were performed. The regression analyses included all 3885 encounters with complete data. When variables in the whole model were not statistically significant, they were removed using a stepwise procedure until we arrived at reduced models that included only statistically significant (a = 0.05) predictors. Some patients had multiple episodes of treatment and were represented twice or more; therefore we also analyzed the data by removing multiple readings from the same patient and keeping only the data from the last episode of treatment.
The patients were sorted into 3 racial groups: white, black, and other. The mean serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D at the start of each episode of treatment were calculated for the 3 groups. The doses administered that resulted in (1) no change or decrease in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, (2) any increase, and (3) an increase of >10 ng/mL were determined. The results were examined for clinically meaningful difference among the races.
The institutional review board of the University of Missouri-Kansas City and the Privacy Board of Truman Medical Centers approved the study. The institutional review board waived the requirement for consent from subjects.
The testing volume for 25-hydroxyvitamin D increased from <300 to >12,000/year in 2007 to 2012, without meaningful change in the average serum 25- hydroxy vitamin D concentrations (Figure 1 and Table 1). The proportions of patients in each of the subgroups with serum 25-hydroxyvita-min D concentrations of <30, <20, <12, and >150 ng/mL were not different to any clinically meaningful extent, although there was a statistically significant (P < .05) decline in mean serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations and an increase in the proportion of patients with serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D concentrations of <12, <20, and <30 ng/mL. Of the 2485 patients reviewed, 1327 (943
women, 384 men) had at least 2 serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D concentrations with documentation of treatment after the first test. We excluded 1158 patients (46.6%) from further analysis because they either had only one determination of serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D or had multiple concentrations documented but there was no evidence of a prescription for replacement vitamin D or there was documentation of a lack of compliance with treatment. A valid episode of treatment required 2 serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D
Annual volume of 25-hydroxyvitamin D testing and mean serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in each year. The year-to-year changes in the mean concentrations (inset) of 25-hydroxyvitamin D are statistically significantly different (P < .05). The testing volume increased from < 300 to > 12,000 per year without any improvement in the outcome of average serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, despite the providers' prescription being in keeping with recommended doses of vitamin D, suggesting that the recommended doses were inadequate.
__Table 1.
__ Number of Tests for Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D and Serum Concentrations of25-Hydroxyvitamin D
Data are percentages unless otherwise indicated. The number of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D tests done increased from 290 in 2007 to 12194 in 2012. The percentage of patients with serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D <12, 20, 30 or > 150 ng/mL did not change appreciably. If anything the serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations decreased during the period of observation, again attesting that patients were undertreated.
concentrations with documentation of treatment between the 2 measurements. From the prescribed dose and the interval between 2 laboratory measurements of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D, the average daily dose of vitamin D was calculated.
There were 3885 episodes of 2 vitamin D measurements with documented treatment between the 2 readings. There were an average of 2 valid episodes for each ambulatory patient and 8 for nursing home patients. Among 1552 episodes, vitamin D treatment was associated with a decrease in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration or no change. The average and median daily doses of vitamin D in this group were 1907 and 1000 IU/day, respectively. In 2333 episodes of treatments there was an increase (any increase) in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations, and the average and median doses of vitamin D were 4707 and 4000 IU/day, respectively. An increase of >10 ng/mL was seen in
Average (Median) Daily Doses ofVitamin D (IU/day) and Changes in Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Concentrations after Treatment
An average daily dose of about 2000 IU/day did not register a positive change in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D. Doses of about 4000 to 7000 IU/day were needed for meaningful increases in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D. The observed doses that resulted in positive changes in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D are far greater than the doses recommended by national agencies.
1236 observations; average and median daily doses of vitamin D were 5682 and 4800 IU/day, respectively. The corresponding values for ambulatory and nursing home patients are given in Table 2.
In 68.5% episodes the serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D was <30 ng/mL before treatment. This included patients who were treated, and some had multiple cycles of treatment. After treatment, the proportion of patients with a serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration <30 ng/mL was 55.3%, a drop of only 13.2 percentage points. On average, there was an increase ofonly5.3 ng/mL in concentrations of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D after treatment. The responses of the various subgroups of patients to the average daily doses are given inTable 3.
Predicting Change in Serum Concentrations of 25-Hydroxyvitamin D from Before to After Treatment
A multiple linear regression analysis was performed to identify the best model for predicting the change from baseline to post-treatment serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in the 3885 valid encounters. Table 4 displays regression coefficients for the full model and reduced model, which includes only statistically significant (P < .05) predictors of change. The full model (R2 = 0.424; P <
.001) and reduced model (ii2 = 0.423) explained about 42% of the variability in change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations. The equation for predicting change in serum 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D concentrations (derived from the reduced model) is:
Average Responses of Various Subsets of Patients to Average Daily Doses of Vitamin D Treatment
The average increase in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, with an average dose of 3588 IU/day, for the whole population (total observations = 3885) was 5.3 ng/mL.
Regression Coefficients Predicting Change in Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Concentration: Full and Reduced Models for All Patients and All 3885 Observations
Statistically significant (P < .05). BMI, body mass index.
([8.52 - Desired change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration] + [0.07 X Age] - [0.20 X BMI] + [1.74 X serum albumin {g/dL}] - [0.62 X Starting serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration]/-0.002).
For each additional IU of vitamin D administered we anticipate a 0.002-ng/mL increase in serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D. For every additional 1.0 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D before treatment, there will be a decrease of 0.62 ng/mL in the concentration after treatment. For every 1.0-unit increase in BMI there will be a reduction in 25-hydroxyvitamin D of 0.20 ng/mL. For every 1.0-g/dL increase in albumin we expect a 25-hydroxyvitamin D increase of 1.74 ng/ mL. For every additional year of life (age) there is a 25-hydroxyvitamin D increase of 0.07 ng/mL, or, more correctly, the need for a replacement dose of vitamin D is lower with increasing serum albumin concentration and age. The same explanations apply to all of the regression analyses.
Predicting End (Post-treatment) Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Concentration
A similar multiple linear regression analysis was performed to identify the best predictive model for serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D after treatment (end). Table 5 displays the regression coefficients for the full and reduced models. Both models explained about 24% of the variability in post-treatment serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations (ii2 = 0.236; P < .001). The equation for predicting serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D concentration after treatment is:
End serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration = 0.07(Age) - 0.20(BMI) + 0.002(Dose) + 1.75(Serum albumin [g/dL]) + 0.38(Starting 25-hydroxyvitamin
D concentration) + 8.48.
NursingHome versus AmbulatoryPatients
Bivariate comparisons were performed to determine whether the key factors used to predict serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D outcomes differed between nursing home and ambulatory patients. x2 test was used to compare the sexes.
Table 5. Regression Coefficients Predicting End (after Treatment) Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Concentration
Independent sample t tests were used for the continuous variables. When the comparisons between ambulatory and nursing home patients failed to meet the assumption of equality of variances, a Mann-Whitney U test was used. Table 6 displays descriptive statistics and P values for these bivariate comparisons. For each variable there was a statistically significant difference between nursing home and ambulatory encounters (P < .05 for both). Therefore, we separated the nursing home and ambulatory encounters and performed regression analyses for each subgroup.
Nursing Home Patients
The regression coefficients for the full and reduced models for predictors of change in serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D concentrations were essentially identical and explained about 60% of the variability (R2 = 0.595; P < .001). The equation for predicting change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations (derived from the reduced model) is:
Change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration = 0.002(Dose [IU/day]) - 0.23(BMI) - 0.79(Starting 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentration) + 28.01
We performed a multiple linear regression analysis for predicting the end concentration of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D among the 1122 nursing home encounters. Coefficients for the full and reduced models for predictors of the end serum 25-hy-droxyvitamin D concentration were virtually identical and explained about 16% of the variability (R2 = 0.160; P < .001).
End serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D = 0.002(Dose [IU/day]) - 0.23(BMI) + 0.21(Starting 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentration) + 28.28
Ambulatory Patients
A multiple linear regression analysis was performed to predict the change from baseline to post-treatment serum concentrations of 25-hy-droxyvitamin D among the 2763 ambulatory encounters. The regression coefficients for the full model and the reduced model, which includes only statistically significant predictors of change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, were again nearly identical and explained about 36% of the variability (R2 = 0.364; P < .001). The equation for predicting change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration is:
Table 6. Bivariate Comparisons of Nursing Home and Ambulatory Patient Encounters
Statistically significant (P < .05).
Comparisons fail to meet the assumption of equal variances. *Data for Sex are n (%).
BMI, body mass index; SD, standard deviation.
Change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration = 0.003(Dose [IU/day]) - 0.21(BMI) - 0.59(Starting 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentration)
+ 1.87(Albumin [g/dL]) + 0.12(Age [years]) + 4.22
The coefficient for the dose of vitamin D is 0.003 for ambulatory patients compared with 0.002 for nursing home patients. This is in keeping with the higher doses needed for nursing home patients.
The regression coefficients for the full and reduced models of ambulatory patients were essentially similar and explained about 25% of the variability in end serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration (R2 = 0.247; P < .001).
End serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration = 0.003(Dose [IU/day]) - 0.21(BMI) + 0.41(Starting 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentration)
When multiple observations of a given patient were removed from regression analyses and only the last observation in the set was kept, the results for ambulatory patients were not meaningfully different from those presented above. For nursing home patients the small number of observations did not allow for meaningful analysis.
The comparative findings among the 3 racial groups are presented in Table 7. The average doses resulting in (1) no increase or decease in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, (2) any increase, and (3) increase of >10 ng/mL were not different among the 3 races to any clinically meaningful extent. The baseline serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D before each episode of treatment also were not meaningfully different among the 3 groups.
Unstructured observations included the following:
1. The recommended dose of 800 IU/day for nursing home residents and ambulatory patients is generally inadequate for maintaining normal serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D. An example of such an observation in a nursing home patient is shown in Figure 2.
2. Acute illnesses tend to deplete serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations, and despite documented deficiency of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and hypocalcemia, acutely ill patients often did not receive supplemental vitamin D.
3. Increase in weight tended to reduce serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D; the reverse was also true.
There is controversy about the "normal, healthy" or required serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D. Values >30 to 32 ng/mL are considered to be normal or adequate. 25-Hydroxyvitamin D serum concentrations of 20 to 30 ng/mL are con-
Comparison of Starting Serum Levels of 25-Hydroxyvitamin D and Average Doses Resulting in Decrease or No Increase, Any Increase, or Increase of >10 ng/mL
between Races
White Black Other
Patients (n) Episodes (n)
Results of average dose (mean ± SD)
Decrease or no change
Any increase
Increase of a 10 ng/mL 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentration (ng/mL) at start of treatment episode
1995 ± 1830 1774 ± 1689 1868 ± 1646
5760 ± 4362 5539 ± 4216 5744± 4536
25.5 ± 15.0 25.3 ± 15.9 23.0 ± 14.8
The differences between the races do not seem to be clinically meaningful. SD, standard deviation.
Figure 2. Dose response in a patient. The graph displays the starting concentration (black), end concentration (white), and change (diagonal lines) in 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration in one patient given the recommended doses of 600 to 800 IU/day interspersed with treatment with higher doses. Doses administered are given below each episode of treatment. In this purposely selected nursing home patient, each episode of treatment with the Geriatric Society-recommend dose resulted in decline in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, and each episode of treatment with a higher dose increased the serum concentration of25-hydroxyvitamin D, suggesting that the Geriatric Society-recommended dose was inadequate. The patient was admitted to the nursing home at the age of 47 with a 10-year history of multiple sclerosis and had paraplegia, urinary retention with repeated infections, fecal incontinence, pressure ulcers, gastroesophageal reflux, type 2 diabetes mellitus, body mass index of 29.8 kg/m2, rheumatoid arthritis, lactose intolerance, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, history of vitamin B12 and folate deficiency, depression, degenerative joint disease, and dysphagia with risk of aspiration. She made multiple attempts to live at home but was readmitted and developed heart failure and experienced episodes of renal and respiratory failure often associated with sepsis. She died at the age of54 due to progressive heart failure.
Dose Response: 600-800 units vs. Higher Dose
sidered to be low, concentrations of 12 to 20 ng/mL are considered to be insufficient, and values <12 ng/mL represent a deficiency.1-17 The US population of apparently healthy people has a much higher prevalence of low, insufficient, or deficient concentrations than expected, considering that usually normal laboratory values are defined as the central 95% of the observations in a "healthy" population; however, this concept does not always apply.18,69,70 The underexposure to sun among the US population may be akin to the universal hookworm infestation in poor, rural parts of the world. Just as using the central 95% of hemoglobin concentrations in the hookworm-infested population would be inappropriate, it may be inappropriate to use the prevalent serum concentrations of 25-hy-droxyvitamin D in the United States to define normal or reference concentrations. Another analogy is the reference concentrations of cholesterol: the "normal" values are based on desired values rather than the central 95% of the values in the United States. Similarly, just because the average BMI of the subjects in our study was 31 kg/m2 does not warrant using a BMI of 31 kg/m2 as "normal."
The prevalence of low serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D has been documented in the general population through different sampling methods. An analysis of 703 applicants for life insurance revealed high prevalence of low serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D. These samples were collected in August and were drawn from all over the United States. Serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D are generally higher in summer; however, in this sample of apparently healthy individuals nearly 90% had serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D <30 ng/mL.18 Analyzing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, Ginde et al59 reported increasing incidence of low serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D and noted that 83% of the subjects had serum concentrations <30 ng/mL.
The widespread presence of low serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D is the usual reason for testing patients at the Truman Medical Center. Determination of serum concentrations of 25-hy-droxyvitamin D is done as part of adult health maintenance. The testing frequency among nursing home patients is driven by the recommendations of the American Geriatrics Society. It should be added that the American Geriatrics Society recommendations issued in 2013 discuss strategies to achieve total vitamin D input of 4000 IU/day to reduce the risk for falls or fall-related injuries among nursing home patients.71
The likely causes of widespread deficiency are reduced exposure to sunlight because of decreased outdoor work and activity, increased attention to the role of sun exposure as a contributor to skin cancers and increased use of sunscreens, widespread overweight/obesity, and perhaps a reduction in the consumption of milk.72-78 Overweight/obesity reduces serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D through dilution of this fat-soluble vitamin in the adipose tissue; as presented here, overweight/obese individuals require higher replacement doses of vitamin D.76-78
The need for higher doses of vitamin D in nursing home patients is probably due to a lack of exposure to sun, since increased age was not a negative factor in the response to vitamin D treatment.78
Using change as the dependent variable has been faulted by experts in statistical analysis.79 However, the results of regression analyses were not meaningfully different when using change and post-treatment serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvita-min D as the dependent variables. The only difference was in the direction of the effect of baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, which was a negative predictor of change and a positive predictor of post-treatment 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D concentrations, and this is in keeping with mathematical principles.
As expected, the dose of vitamin D is the most dominant factor in determining the change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations when examining averages and regression analyses. If we were to ignore other factors, the regression equation suggests that a dose of 5000 IU/day would be needed to effect a 10-ng/mL increase in 25-hy-droxyvitamin D serum concentration. The figure of 5000 IU/day was calculated from the regression analysis revealing that each IU of vitamin D results in a 0.002-ng/mL increase in 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentration ([10/0.002] = 5000). This finding is remarkably similar to the conclusion from looking at averages, which yielded a value of 5682 IU/day for an increase of >10 ng/mL. This finding is also in keeping with the recommendations of the Endocrine Society.3 Two excerpts from the recommendations of the society are given below. The first quotation deals with general subjects.
"We suggest that all adults who are vitamin D deficient be treated with 50,000 IU of vitamin D2 or vitamin D3 once a week for 8 weeks or its equivalent of 6000 IU of vitamin D2 or vitamin D3 daily to achieve a blood level of 25(OH)D above 30 ng/mL, followed by maintenance therapy of 1500 to 2000 IU/d."3
The Endocrine Society recommendation relevant to the nursing home patients reads: "In obese patients, patients with malabsorption syndromes, and patients on medications affecting vitamin D metabolism, we suggest a higher dose (two to three times higher; at least 6000 to 10,000 IU/d) of vitamin D to treat vitamin D deficiency to maintain a 25(OH)D level above 30 ng/mL, followed by maintenance therapy of 3000 to 6000 IU/d."3
One item missing from our analysis is the duration of treatment. This could not be included because of the wide variation in the intervals between laboratory determinations of vitamin D. However, a common interval was about 3 months. Hence, we recommend that patients with serum 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D concentrations <30 ng/mL be treated with 5000 IU/day for 3 to 6 months followed by retesting; those needing maintenance therapy should be prescribed 2000 to 4000 IU/day, depending on other clinical factors. A more personalized dose for the desired change may be estimated from the predictive equations for nursing home and ambulatory patients.
The low concentrations and increased need for vitamin D are probably due in part to the high prevalence of overweight/obesity.74-76 One of our unstructured observations was that gain in weight tended to reduce 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentrations and weight loss improved the response to vitamin D. In the regression analyses, BMI was a significant negative predictor of the change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations and the concentration after treatment. This finding may be explained by the dilution of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in body fat, since vitamin D is fat soluble.76,77
The finding that patients with low serum albumin concentrations required higher doses of replacement vitamin D probably reflects multiple issues.
Low serum concentrations of albumin and 25-hydroxyvitamin D are both markers of poor nutrition.
Low serum albumin concentrations may also indicate hepatocellular dysfunction and the inability of the liver to convert vitamin D into 25-hydroxyvitamin D.
Albumin is also a carrier protein for 25-hydroxyvitamin D, and low serum concentrations of albumin may result in low serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D because of a deficiency of a carrier protein
in a manner similar to the low serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D caused by lower levels of a specific vitamin D binding protein among blacks in America.80,81
The RDA for vitamin D was revised from 400 to 800 IU/day for most adults.12,17,31 A similar dose has been found to be sufficient to prevent fractures.82,83 The American Geriatrics Society recommended a vitamin D dose of 800 IU/day (and calcium) for nursing home patients; however, our observations showed this to be inadequate for maintaining serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D let alone correcting low concentrations; thus repeated treatments with high doses are necessary, as illustrated in Figure 2. As mentioned earlier, since the beginning of this study, the American Geriatrics Society has revised the recommendation to increase the intake to 4000 IU/day.71 It may be better to provide a constant dose of 2000 to 4000 IU/day, after correcting the deficiency with a higher dose of 5000 IU/day, and monitor the serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D once or twice a year, rather than the current practice of testing every 3 months.22,54,62 The predictive equations offered in this article may facilitate a more personalized treatment. While high doses given at less frequent intervals may be adequate to rectify deficiency and maintain normal concentrations, regular dosing may be better for compliance and is a more physiological approach.83,84
The lack of response to generally recommended supplementation might be due to poor compliance. We recognize the issue of nonadherence to treatment as having the potential for making the response to treatment seem like an inadequate response. We scrutinized the medical records for any documentation of nonadherence to treatment, with the understanding that medical records are often incomplete. However, about 47% of the patients were excluded in part because of documentation of noncompliance. When patients were prescribed higher doses, their serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D did increase, and we have no reason to believe that prescribing higher doses would improve compliance. Please note that compliance was not an issue in the nursing home; however, the data from nursing home patients indicated the need for even higher doses than those required by ambulatory patients.78 In nursing home patients, among whom the administration of medication is better controlled, the same observation held true: generally recommended doses of vitamin D were inadequate for maintaining normal concentrations or correcting states of deficiency. It is noteworthy that the average increase in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D were only 1.9 ng/mL for each episode of treatment among nursing home patients, as shown in Table 3. This outcome was the direct result of complying with the American Geriatrics Society recommendations of prescribing 600 to 800 IU of vitamin D plus calcium. This treatment often resulted in a decrease in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D and the prescription of higher doses in response to the change. Such cycles of recommended and high doses were repeated often, as illustrated in Figure 2.
The regression analyses suggest that the significant predictors of change in serum 25-hydroxyvi-tamin D concentrations differ between nursing home and ambulatory patients; therefore, we believe it is prudent to use different treatment regimens for the 2 populations. We suggest that the predictive equations presented here provide a useful guide for estimating the effective doses of vitamin D for each population.
Our unstructured observation that acute illnesses tend to deplete vitamin D and result in lower serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in affected patients is supported by more systematic studies of the subject, as reported by Jeng et al.85 Other studies reported adequate response to treatment with Institute of Medicine-recommended doses of about 800 IU/day; however, the subjects in these studies were generally healthy individuals. For example, studies by Gallagher et al82 and Bischoff-Ferrari et al86 reported adequate response to supplementation with 800 IU/day in preventing fractures. However, the study populations consisted of "165 healthy postmenopausal white women," not patients with multiple diagnoses that were the subjects in this study.82
It has been recognized that blacks have lower serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D. A putative explanation for this is the lower levels of vitamin D binding protein in blacks compared with whites.78 Another likely explanation is the reduced effectiveness of sunlight because of skin pigmentation. We did not observe clinically meaningful differences in 25-hydroxyvitamin D serum concentrations at the start of treatment among the 3 races. The pretreatment concentrations reported here represent the serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D before an episode of treatment, keeping in mind that many patients received vitamin D before that. The average doses of vitamin D resulting in (1) decrease or no increase in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, (2) any increase in serum concentrations, and (3) an increase of a 10 ng/mL were also not meaningfully different among the 3 racial groups (Table 7).
This retrospective, observational study has a number of limitations, as is generally the case with such studies. The method for measuring serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D changed over the 6-year period, and values generated by different methods often are not comparable. However, the change in methods is not likely to have affected the change in concentrations at the beginning and end of treatment, which was usually about 3 months. Adherence to the medication regimen was often less than optimal among the ambulatory patients; however, higher doses did result in a greater increase in serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D and, as noted above, we excluded noncompliant patients from the study. The results from the nursing home population, where compliance is nearly guaranteed, did not differ markedly from those of the ambulatory population. This observation supports the notion that noncompliance probably does not explain the poor response to treatment and that the small increase in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations after treatment is due to prescribing inadequate amounts of vitamin D.
One more drawback of the study is the lack of a uniform duration of treatment. There was considerable variability in the duration of treatment, and often high doses were given, usually to nursing home patients, followed by a gap in treatment before the next serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration measurement. Three months was the usual interval between laboratory tests, especially for nursing home patients.
An additional weakness is related to the predictive equations; some patients are represented multiple times and others are represented only once. Nevertheless, this is not an issue because analysis of the data using only one observation per patient gave results similar to the whole data set for ambulatory patients. However, this modification to the analysis reduced the number of observations in nursing home patients so much that the results were not meaningful.
The observational, retrospective nature of the study is also its strength; an unselected population receiving routine care was analyzed. The many inclusion and exclusion criteria in randomized trials are not applicable in the circumstances of usual health care delivery. The controversy about the dose of vitamin D needed for bone health in "healthy" people may not be applicable here because of multiple illnesses in the population examined. We submit that it is inappropriate to use the RDA of vitamin D intended to maintain the bone health of "healthy" people for the population seeking health care, and that predictive equations presented here, based on empirical data, provide a useful guide for personalized treatment.
 Download the PDF with references from VitaminDWiki.
Janee B. Whitner, PharmD, RPh
ProMedica Toledo Hospital/W.W. Knight Family Medicine Residency Toledo, OH janee.whitner at promedica.org
To the Editor: Singh and Bonham's1 study concluded that a majority of patients require higher vitamin D treatment and maintenance doses than are currently recommended. Their statement regarding the need for higher vitamin D doses and serum concentrations is important, especially considering the morbidity and mortality that adequate vitamin D intake can prevent. Their statement claiming that sunscreen prevents the absorption of vitamin D from ultraviolet radiation, however, contradicts previously published studies.
Multiple studies found that typical sunscreen use does not limit the absorption of vitamin D to a clinically significant extent. Farrerons et al2 found that although vitamin D concentrations were lower in users of sun protection factor 15 versus placebo, concentrations were still sufficient to prevent a decrease in bone density or result in secondary hyperparathyroidism. Young3 found that adequate vitamin D concentrations were still obtained with appropriate sunscreen application despite higher vitamin D concentrations in nonsunscreen users. In addition, although sunscreen users' vitamin D concentrations did not increase during the study by Marks et al,4 they did remain within the therapeutic range and did not decrease.4
Pharmacists and physicians should be aware that vitamin D supplementation beyond 800 IU is often necessary. Despite sunscreen use, patients can absorb vitamin D; therefore, supplementation and lifestyle modifications may work together to increase, or at least maintain, therapeutic concentrations of vitamin D. It is essential that pharmacists and physicians counsel patients on lifestyle opportunities, either in place of or in addition to supplementation with medication for patients who prefer nonmedication regimens, and for patients who need an additional boost in their vitamin D concentration despite recommended supplementation.
Notes: The above letter was referred to the author of the article in question, who declined to comment.
Singh G, Bonham AJ. A predictive equation to guide vitamin d replacement dose in patients. J Am Board Fam Med 2014;27:495–509. Abstract/FREE Full Text
Farrerons, Barnadas, Rodríguez, et al. Clinically prescribed sunscreen (sun protection factor 15) does not decrease serum vitamin D concentration sufficiently either to induce changes in parathyroid function or in metabolic markers. Br J Dermatol 1998;139:422–7. CrossRefMedlineGoogle Scholar
Young AR. Sun, sunscreens, and vitamin D. Poster presented at the meeting of the 4th International Anti-ageing Skin Care Conference, London, UK, June 2014. Google Scholar
Marks R, Foley PA, Jolley D, Knight KR, Harrison J, Thompson SC. The effect of regular sunscreen use on vitamin D levels in an Australian population: results of a randomized controlled trial. Arch Dermatol 1995;131:415–21. CrossRefMedlineGoogle Scholar
Equation Simplified
IU = 500 X [ (ng increase wanted -9) + .07 X Age – 0.2 X BMI + 1.7 X Albumin – (0.6 X starting ng)]
Example use of equation to increase from 20 ng to 50 ng
Increase wanted = 30 ng, age = 50, BMI = 30, Albumin =4, Starting = 20 ng
IU = 500 X [21 + .07 X 50 -0. + 0.2 X 30 +1.7 X 4 – (0.6 X 20) ]
IU = 500 X [21 + 3.5 + 6 + 6.8 – 12]
IU = 500 X [25.3 ] = 12,650
Equation explaines about 60% of the variability for nursing home patients - less for ambulatory
I have no idea of what my albumin level is - Henry Lahore. I used WikiPedia mid-range above
Study appeared to only consider vitamin D prescription – not what the patient might buy for themselves.
The equation is probably not very valid for >30 ng, as they probably did not have much data
All items in category Vitamin D Binding Protein
All items in category Predict Vitamin D
Dose response equations for Vitamin D
Blood tests can be a poor measure of actual vitamin D due to D Binding Protein (DBP) – May 2014
Response to vitamin D dose, overview of 25 studies - Feb 2014
The worse the chronic liver disease, the lower the vitamin D level – Review Dec 2012
Declining levels of carrier proteins such as albumin and vitamin D binding protein might also be critical in Chronic Liver Disease
Obese need 2.5 IU of vitamin D per kg to increase 1 ng (about 3.4 X more) – RCT Sept 2013
Vitamin D-binding protein and vitamin D status of black Americans and white Americans – Nov 2013 - which has the following
Vitamin D Binding Protein - Blacks and Whites
Vitamin D reduced so low that Victorian age diseases are returning has a chart which show various reasons that intake IU does not result in vitamin D to cells
Overview Vitamin D Dose-Response which has the following graph, which show that linear response ratio which varies with the dose size
albumin at Wikipedia
-A number of blood transport proteins are evolutionarily related, including serum albumin, alpha-fetoprotein, vitamin D-binding protein and afamin
-Serum albumin is produced in the liver and forms a large proportion of all plasma protein.
-Normal range of human serum albumin in adults (> 3 y.o.) is 3.5 to 5 g/dL
6015 visitors, last modified 19 Jan, 2015,
800 IU vitamin D in capsule form (but not drops) helped nursing home residents – Sept 2014 Adults only need 400-800 IU of vitamin D - Group Health HMO July 2014 All older women need vitamin D supplementation to get to even 20 ng (results of modeling) – May 2018 Dose response equations for Vitamin D Iran giving seniors 5,000 IU of vitamin D - monthly unfortunately - March 2015 Overview Seniors and Vitamin D Overview Vitamin D Dose-Response Vitamin D estimation nicely improved by neural networks – May 2015 Vitamin D more than 40 ng: 1300 IU 50% chance: 5,000 IU 80% chance - Aug 2014
How much Vitamin D
Predict Vitamin D
Vit D Binding Protein
800 IU vitamin D in capsule form (but not drops) helped nursing home resident...Adults only need 400-800 IU of vitamin D - Group Health HMO July 2014All older women need vitamin D supplementation to get to even 20 ng (results ...Dose response equations for Vitamin DIran giving seniors 5,000 IU of vitamin D - monthly unfortunately - March 2015Overview Seniors and Vitamin DOverview Vitamin D Dose-ResponseVitamin D estimation nicely improved by neural networks – May 2015Vitamin D more than 40 ng: 1300 IU 50% chance: 5,000 IU 80% chance - Aug 2014
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Books > Hindi > हिंदू धर्म > गीता > Gita Rahasya (Srimad Bhagavadgita Rahasya or Karma Yoga Sastra)
Gita Rahasya (Srimad Bhagavadgita Rahasya or Karma Yoga Sastra)
by Bal Gangadhar Tilak
Lokmanya Bal Gangadhar Tilak had intended to publish an English translation of his monumental work Gita-Rahasya written originally in Marathi. It has his desire that the interpreatation put by him on the doctrine preached by the Bhagavadgita, should come before the eyes of learned philosophers, scholars and alumni, all the world over, he had made an attempt in his lifetime to get the work translated in English. But he was unable to see the work through on account of his lifetime to get the work translated in English, But he was unable to see the work through on account of his numerous activities. He suddenly fell ill and breathed his last without seeing the realization of his desires.
After his demise his sons tried to carry out his long-cherished desire and entrusted the translation to Shri B.S. Sukthankar who took all the pains to complete the translation within a comparatively short space of time. It is our duty to acknowledge thanks due to him. The first edition of the English translation thus was printed and published on 1st Augest 1935 on the 15th Death Anniversary of Lok. B. G. Tilak.
At the time of publishing the twelfth edition of the English translation, we requested Dr. V. D. Divekar to go through the original translation of Shri Sukthankar and revise it whereever he found it to be neccessary. The present publication, therfore, appears as the 'revised edition. Our sincere thanks are due to Dr. Divekar.
It is very natural that this monumental work of a recognized oriental scholar like Lok. Tilak received all the recognition from the internationally reputed orientalists and a common man from this country groping in the darkness, looked to this book for light. There is no more beautiful work in which the more enlightened find greater spiritual comfort.
To meet the growing demand from all over our country and also from abroad, we are taking out this twelfth revised edtition. The printing of the first two editions was done by the Servants of India Society at the Bombay Vaibhav Press and the Aryabhusan Press at Pune. The printing of this edition has been done by the Kesari Printers and for this our sincere thanks are due to partners of the Kesari Press.
Lok. Tilak's work really requires no introduction of presentation of foreword. His name and his commentary on Bhagavadgita will be remebered and read assiduosly so long as the country has pride in its past and hope for its future.
We are ending this foreword voicing sentiments similar to those expressed by our revered great –grandfather Lok. Tilak in his preface to the original book in Marathi.
"Go little brooke from this my solitude;
I cast thee on the water, go thy ways;
And if, as I beleive, thy tone be good;
The world will find thee after many days."
I only reeated the words already uttered by Saints!
How else can an insignificant man like me know This?
There are in exitence many Sanskrit Commentaries, or Criticisms, or Prakit translations, or exhaustive and universally accepted expositions of the Srimad Bhagavadgita. Yet, there is no better place than a Preface for explaining all such things as cannot be included in the discussion of the subject-matter of the book itself. The first of these things is about the author himself.
It is now nealy forty –three years since I made my first acquaintance with the Bhagavadgita. In the year 1972, during the last illness of my father. The task of reading out to him a Prakrit commentay on Bhagavadgita called Bhasa-vivrti fell to my lot. At that date, that is, when I was only 16 years old.
It was not possible for me to fully understand the import of the Gita. Still, as the impressions made on the mind in young age are lasting, the liking for the Bhagavadgita which then generated did not extinguish. When i had later on made further studies in Sanskrit and English. I had occasion to read from time to time the Sanskrit commentaries and other criticisms, as also the expositions by many learned scholars on the Gita. I was then faced by the doubt as to why the Gita, which was expounded in order to induce to Arjuna the fight, who was dejected by the Idea that it was sin to war with one's own realtives, should contain an Exposition of the manner in which Release could be obtained by relatives, should contain an Exposition of the manner in which Release could be obtained by Knowledge (Jnana) or by Devotion (Bhakti), that is to say, only of the 'moksa –marga' That doubt gradually gained ground because, I could not find a satisfactory answer to that question in any commentary on the Gita. It is quite possible that others too might have felt the same doubt. When a person is engrossed in studying the various commentaries he cannot find a different solution, though he may feel now and then, that the one expounded in the commentary under study is not satisfactory.
I, therefore, pure aside all criticisms and commentaries, and independently and thoughtfull read the Gita over several times. I then got out of the clutches of the commentators, and was convinced taht the original Gita did not preach the Philosophy of Renunciation (nivrtti), but of energism (Karma –Yoga); and that possibly, the single word 'yoga' used in the Gita had been used in the Gita had been used to mean Karma –Yoga. That conviction was strengthed by the study of the Mahabharta, the Vedanta –Sutras, the Upanisads and other Sanskrit and English treatises on Vedanta. Beleiving that by publishing that opinion, there would be a fuller discussion on the subject, and that it would pave the way for arriving at the truth. I delivered public lectures on the subject on four or five occasions at different times. One of these was delivered at Nagpur in January 1902, and the other one at the Sankesvara Matha in Augest 1904 in the presence of Jagadguru Sri Samkaracarya of the Karvira and Sankesvara Matha. The summary of the lecture delivered at Nagpur was published in the newspaper at the time. With the same object, I also disscussed the matter from time to time privately, whenever I had leisure, with some of my learned friends. One of these was the late Mr. Shripati Buva Bhingakar. In his company, i had occasion to see some Prakrit treatises pertaining to the Bhagavata cult, and some of the ideas explained in the Gita –Rahasya were first fixed in the disscusions between the Buva and myself. It is a matter of deep regret that he is not to see this work in print.
Though my opinion that the creed preached in the Gita was one of Action, had in this way, become quite definite, and though I had decided to reduce it to writing, many years went by. But I thought that a considerable amount of misunderstanding would arise if I merely wrote in a book form, this moral of the Gita, without assigning any reason as to why I was unable to accept the conclusions arrived at by the former commentators. The work of dealing with the opinions of all the commentators, and exposing with reasons their incompleteness and of comparing the philosphy expounded in the Gita wiht other philosphies entailed, however, great labour. It was not possible for me to complete it satisfactory within treatise on the Gita. Yet seeing that the material in hand was not sufficient, I went on putting off the work of writitng this book from Pune to Mandalay. The draft of this book was first made in the Mandalay Jail in the winter of 1910- 1911 (between Kartik Shuddha 1st and Falgun Vadya 30th of the Saka Year 18320). Thereafter, the draft was improved upon from time to time, and those protions which had remained incomplete due to the nonavailablity of certain necessary books in Jail. Were completed after my release. Nevertheless, it cannot be said even now that this work is complete in every respect. Principles of Release (moksa) and Moral Philosophy are abstruse. They have been expounded by ancient and modern scholars. It is really difficult to decide correctly which such expositions ought to be incorporated in this book and which to be excluded. My physical condition is also now becoming weak. As described by the great Marathi poet Moropata.
White Flag of old age is already unfuried
My weary body can no longer battle.
So, having come to the conclusion that I should place before the public the information which I have gathered, and the ideas which have occurred to me, I am publishing this treatise now. Someone else possessed by the same inspiration (samnadharma will be born in the future, and develop this idea further.
I am not prepared to accept the opinion that the Gita gives only exposition of the paths of Renunication, such as, the Knowledged of the Brahman 'or 'Devotion'. The wordly Action is not inferir and negligible. However, I do not also say that there is no exposition at all in the Bhagavadgita of the path of obtaining Release. Nay; I too have shown in this book, that according to the philosophy of the Gita, it is the primary duty of every human being in this world, to acquire the Knowledge of the pure form of the Paramesvara, and thereby to cleanse out and purify his own Reason as far as possible. But, that is not the principal subject –matter of the Gita. At the commencement of the war, Arjuna was greatly confused about what his duty was, destruction of his won clan etc, was he not committing a blunder to fight? And I am of the opinion that in order to clear this doubt, the Gita has propounded the device of performing Action in such a way that one ultimately attains Release without committing sin, namely, the Karma-Yoga founded on Knowledge, in which Devotion is the principal factor. (Rahasya). There exist the various paths of attaining Release according to pure Vedanta Philosophy. But no man is free from Action. This exposition of Action and Non –Action, or of Morality and Immorality is termed as 'Ethnics' by modern purely Materialistic philosophers. It is not that I could not have made this exposition by following the usual procedure, and explained how this principle has been established by the Gita, by commenting on the gita stanza by stanza. But, unless one is thoroughly conversant with the various philosophical doctrines, arguments and deductions pertaining to Vedanta, Mimamsa, Samkhya, the doctrine of Causality (karma –vipaka) and Devotion, on the authority of which the doctrine of Karma –Yoga has been established in the Gita, and the reference to which is sometimes very succinct, the full purport of the exposition made in the Gita could not have been clearly understood.
I have, therefore, divided various subjects or doctrines, which one comes across in the Gita, into chapters, and briefly expounded them, together with the most important logical arguments relating to them, I have at the same time, consistently, with the critical methods of the present day, compared in brief, the most important doctrines propounded in the Gita, with the doctrines propounded in other philosophies. It may thus be said that the essay 'Gita-Rahasya' (the Secret or Esoteric import of the Gita), which is published at the beginning of this book, is by itself an independent, though a small, book on the doctrine of 'Action' (Karma-Yoga). But, in any case, it was not possible to consider fuly, each individual stanza of the Gita in a general exposition of this kind. I have, therefore, at the end of the book, translations in different places, in order to explain the context; or, in order to show how former commentators have streched the meaning of some of the stanzas of the Gita, to support their own doctrines (See Gita3. 17-9; 6.3 and 18.2) I have also shown various doctrines enunciated in the Gita –Rahasya as they appear how and where in the Gita. It is true that due to this method, there has been repetition of some ideas, I feel convinced that I could not in any other way fully dissipate the misunderstanding, which now exists in the mind of the common reader as regards the import of the Gita. I have therefore seperated the exposition of the Gita –Rahasya (Escorteric Import of the Gita) from the translation itself; and thereby, it has become easy for me (i) to show with authorities, where and in what manner, the doctrines of the Gita with reference to Vedanta Mimamsa, Devotion etc., have appeared in the Bharta, the Samkhya sustem, the Vedanta –Sutras, the Upanisads, teh Mimamsa and other original texts, (ii) Renunciation (samanyasa) and Action (Karma –Yoga), as also (iii) to expound importance of the Gita from the point of view of practical Action, by comparing the Gita with other religious opinions or philosophies.
If there had not been all sorts of commentaries on the Gita, and if various had not interpreted the import of the Gita, each in a different way, it would have been totally unnecessary for me to quote the original Sanskrit authorities which go to support the prepositions laid down by me in my book.
But such a thing cannot be done in the present situation. Some may doubt the correctness of the import of the Gita or of the propositions, laid down by me. I have, therefore, everywhere pointed out the authorities which support what I say, and in important places. I have given the original Sanskrit Indications of the authorities. As many of these are usually accepted as proved truths in books on Vedanta, readers should get acquainted with them in the course of reading, and find it, easier on that account to remeber the doctrines embodied in those statements. But, it is not likely that all readers will be knowing Sanskrit.
I have arranged my book on the whole in such a way that, even if any reader who does not understand Sanskrit ; reads the book, skipping the Sanskrit stanzas, there will not be any interruption anywhere in the sense. In many places, I have given mere summary of the Sanskrit Stanza, instead of giving a literal translation of it. But as the original stanza is given in each case, there is no risk of any misunderstanding arising as a result of following this procedure.
It is said about the Kohinoor diamond that after it was taken from India to England , it was again cut there, and on that account; it began to shine more brilliant. This law, which is true in the case of a diamond, also applies to a jewel in the shape of truth. The religion propounded by the Gita is true and invincible. But, as the time at which, and the form in which, it was propounded, and other attendent circumstances have considerably changed, it does not appear to some to be as much brilliant as before. The Gita propounded at a time, when 'whether to act or renounce' was itself considered a question of great imporatance, before arriving at a decision as to which act was good and which bad. Many people look upon it as now unnecessary, But, there are indeed commentaries supporting the Path of Renunciation. The exposition of Karma-Yoga contained in the Gita has become very difficult to understand for many in the present age. Besides, some of our new scholars are of the opinion that as a result of the present growth of the Material sciences in the West, the deductions laid down in ancient times with reference to the Karma –Yoga, cannot possibly be fully applicable to modem conditions. In order to prove that this idea is Wrong, I have breifly mentioned in various places in my exposition of the Gita –Rahasya, the doctrines of Western Philosphers, which are similar to those in the Gita.
Really, the exposition of Ethics in the Gita is r,o way fortified by such a comparison. Yet, those people whose eyes are dazzled by the present unheard of growth of the Material sciences, or who have learnt to consider the Science of Ethics, only externally, that is to say, only in its Material aspect, will be made to see clearly by means of this comparision that, not only has human knowledge not going on these questions in the West. And the opinions of these Metaphysicians are not materially different from the doctrines laid down by the Gita. This fact will be clearly borne out by the comparative exposition appearing in the different chapters of the Gita –Rahasya. However, I must explain here, with reference to the summaries of the opinions of Western philosphers which I have given at various palces.
That, as my principal object has been only to expound the import of the Gita. I have accepted as authoritative the doctrines laid down by the Gita, and have mentioned the Western opinions only so far as was necessary in order to show to what extent the doctrines of Western moral philosphers or scholars tally with the doctrines in the Gita, and this too has been done only to such an extent that the ordinary reader does not experience any difficulty in following them. it cannot, therefore be disputed that those who wish to ascertain the minute differences between the two-and these differences are many –or to see the full argumentative exposition out of these theorems, must examine the original Western books themselves. Western scholars say that the first systematic treatise on the discrimination between the Right and the Wrong Action or on Morality was written by the Greek philosopher Aristotle.
Content Page No
Publisher's Foreword VI
Translation and Transliteration VIII
General Rules VIII
Scheme of transliteration of Sanskrit Words IX
Lok -Tilaks Photo X
Dedication XI
Preface XI
Detailed contents with special references to the subject-matter XXI
Abbrevations lIII
Chapter 1 Introduction 1 to 23
Chapter 2 Karma -Desire to Know Right Action 24 to 43
Chapter 3 Karma -Science of Right Action 44 to 64
Chapter 4 Materialistic Theory of Happiness 65 to 82
Chapter 5 Happiness and Unhappiness 83 to 107
Chapter 6 Insttiutional School and the Body and Atman 108 to 130
Chapter 7 Samkhya System 131 to 148
Chapter 8 Construction and Destruction of Cosmos 149 to 174
Chapter 9 Philosophy of Absolute Self 175 to 234
Chapter 10 Effect of Karma and Free Will 235 to 271
Chapter 11 Renunciation and Karma -Yoga 272 to 332
Chapter 12 State and Siddha 333 to 366
Chapter 13 Path of Devotion Worldly Affairs 367 to 401
Chapter 14 Continuity of the Chapters of Gita 402 to 427
Chapter 15 Conclusion 428 to 458
External Examination of the Bhagavadgita 459
The Gita and The Mahabharta
The Gita and The Upanisads
The Gita and The Brahma -Sutras
The Gita and The Bhagavata
The Date of the Present Gita
The Gita and Buddhistic Literature
The Gita and Christian Bible
Rahasya-Sanjivana
Gita with translation and Community
Tilak Brothers, Pune
Weight of the Book: 1.3 kg
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Tag Archives: Brock Lesnar
WrestleMania Begins to Takes Shape
credit wwe.com
We’re on the road to WrestleMania 36 as the “granddaddy of them all” goes down on Sunday, April 5, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. Several matches are confirmed, while others are all but official due to budding feuds on television.
Online reports, rumors, and speculation cited massive changes to the card over the last few weeks. Let’s take a look at the WrestleMania lineup, confirmed and otherwise.
-Officially Confirmed Matches
WWE Championship: Brock Lesnar vs. Drew McIntyre
WWE Universal Championship: Goldberg vs. Roman Reigns
NXT Women’s Championship: Rhea Ripley vs. Charlotte
John Cena vs. “The Fiend” Bray Wyatt
-Matches that are all but confirmed
Raw Women’s Championship: Becky Lynch vs. Shayna Bazler
The Undertaker vs. AJ Styles
Edge vs. Randy Orton
Kevin Owens vs. Seth Rollins
-Speculated/Rumored Matches
SmackDown Women’s Championship: Bayley vs. Naomi
Intercontinental Championship: Braun Strowman vs. Sheamus
Otis vs. Dolph Ziggler
If all of these matches come to fruition, along with the event’s annual Andre The Giant and Women’s Battle Royal, that will make for a total of fourteen matches.
Here’s where I make some people angry.
While it’s a nice sentiment to have every wrestler on the roster appear on the show, you don’t need every single wrestler to appear on the show. Yes, that means a lot of wrestlers wouldn’t get their moment to shine. WrestleMania is too long as it is (two-hour pre-show/four-hour main card). If the above card stands, there are already several notable names that will be relegated to a battle royal spot such as Daniel Bryan, Shinsuke Nakamura, The Miz, and more.
Looking at the star power of the first eight matches, that’s a stellar card with more than enough star power to excite the masses. Those eight matches also represent all of the major storylines that will play out on television between now and April 5th. Instead of squeezing as many people on the show as possible, just give us the premium goods. That way, all of the big matches will have plenty of time to tell a great story.
Ok, ok, I’ve climbed down from my soapbox. I’m done being mean. What do you think? Should WrestleMania be reserved for the most significant attractions, or should everyone get a chance to play? Make your thoughts heard in the comment section below.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Brock Lesnar, Goldberg, thoughts, Wrestlemania, WWE on March 4, 2020 by The Greene Screen.
Drew McIntyre is a Made Man
Drew McIntyre won the 2020 Royal Rumble match on Sunday, which emanated from Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX. The big story going in was WWE Champion Brock Lesnar voluntarily entered the rumble match as the number one entrant.
Lesnar’s dominance was on full display as he threw out the first thirteen entrants in succession to tie the record for the most eliminations. After Ricochet got flattened, the 6’5” 265 lbs. McIntyre entered at number 16 and eliminated Lesnar with a Claymore Kick (and a low blow assist from Ricochet).
McIntyre has been pegged to receive a megastar push since he returned to the WWE main roster in April 2018, where he was one of the top heels on Raw until his quiet babyface turn a few weeks ago. McIntyre received a couple stop and start pushes during his heel tenure.
Such activity prompted reports that the company was hesitant to go all the way with the Scottish native. There is a litany of wrestlers who the fans lost faith in due too many stop and start pushes. Many believed McIntyre was unfortunately headed in that direction.
Many also believed going into the show that one person would eliminate Lesnar, and someone else would win the rumble. WWE pulled the trigger with McIntyre by having him solve both of the rumble’s prominent story threads.
McIntyre had six eliminations that were bookended perfectly. He eliminated Lesnar to get the night started and kept his eye on the champ to ensure he didn’t blindside him in a fit of rage. Then, to end the night, McIntyre dumped out the guy who had his number all last year, Roman Reigns, to win it all.
In the coming months, we will see more of Drew McIntyre anchoring Raw’s opening promo segment. This is a prerequisite of being cast in WWE’s lead role. Last night, McIntyre handled himself exceptionally well during his first at-bat. He was charismatic, engaged the crowd, spoke well, had a natural presence, and came across as someone easy to like.
Following the promo. Karl Anderson and Luke Gallows were fed to McIntyre in a handicap match. Some were not pleased with The O.C. being the sacrificial lambs. However, Seth Rollins’ new stable supplanted them. McIntyre needed to steamroll an act with credibility, making it the right call.
Brock Lesnar vs. Drew McIntyre for the WWE Championship is officially the main event of WrestleMania 36 on April 5 in Tampa Bay, FL. Lesnar typically commands an opponent with a big name to capitalize on the match’s money-making potential. This is the genesis of McIntyre becoming a superstar.
This is a layup from a creative perspective. Drew McIntyre is everything a promoter wants in a professional wrestler. He’s big, handsome, looks tough, has commercial appeal, good on the mic, and he’s a great wrestler. I’m cautiously optimistic WWE will serve him well heading into Mania. However, right now, Drew McIntyre is a made man.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Brock Lesnar, Drew McIntyre, Pro Wrestling, Royal Rumble, thoughts on January 28, 2020 by The Greene Screen.
SummerSlam | August 11, 2019, | Scotiabank Arena | Toronto, Ontario | WWE Network
WWE’s biggest party of the summer has a special place in my heart. SummerSlam 88 was my maiden voyage with professional wrestling and I’ve been a diehard enthusiast ever since. No Roman Reigns, Daniel Bryan, Samoa Joe, or Drew McIntyre on the lineup. While there are no must-see matches, this is the first pay-per-view of the Paul Heyman era.
-Pre-Show
Drew Gulak defeated Oney Lorcan to retain the WWE Cruiserweight Championship: Good effort by Gulak and Lorcan. It’s hard to get the fans to care about 205 Live when the brand’s biggest matches tend to open up the pre-show.
Buddy Murphy defeated Apollo Crews is Disqualification:
Murphy dropped Crews with a flying knee right out of the gate. Fast-paced action between the two until Rowan came out of nowhere and beat down Murphy. After power bombing Murphy against the ring post, Rowan yelled: “Keep my name out of your mouth” in response to Murphy dropping Rowan’s name to Roman Reigns on SmackDown.
Elias sang a melody scathing the city of Toronto until Edge made a surprise appearance. Edge claimed into the ring drilled Elias with a spear.
It’s the first time Edge has done anything physical since he retired several years ago due to injury.
Is Edge coming back?
Alex Bliss & Nikki Cross defeated The Iiconics to retain the Women’s Tag Team Titles: It was Meleficient versus Toy Story as far as the in-ring attire was concerned. Bliss took advantage of a hissy fit by Peyton Royce and hit Twisted Bliss for the win.
-Main Card
Becky Lynch defeated Natalya to retain the Raw Women’s Championship in a Submission Match:
The Canadian crowd respected Natalya, but they were firmly behind Becky Lynch. Becky went for an armbar early and transitioned into a triangle choke. Natalya went for the ropes, but there are no rope breaks in a submission match.
Natalya threw Becky between the ropes into the post and applied the Sharpshooter from the top rope. This resembled a street fight more than a submission match at times with some brawling outside the ring and Natalya trying to wear down Becky’s leg, which she injured on Raw.
Natalya hit Becky with a top rope superplex. Becky came back and locked Natalya in the Sharpshooter. The pro-Becky crowd booed this one a little bit until Natalya escaped. Natalya returned the favor and applied the Dis-Arm-Her.
Becky broke free but got caught in the Sharpshooter. Becky crawled under the rope and fell to the floor to escape. Natalya went for the Sharpshooter again, but Becky caught her in the disarmed Dis-Arm-Her. Natalya tried to fight it, but she eventually had no choice but to tap out.
I wasn’t sure if this was a good choice to open the show. I was wrong as both ladies set a great pace and told a fun story.
Goldberg pinned Dolph Ziggler:
Ziggler drilled Goldberg with two superkicks out of nowhere, but Goldberg kicked out both times at one. Goldberg came back with a vicious spear and followed up with a Jackhammer for the win in under two minutes.
A beaten Ziggler got the mic and said anyone can get lucky. Goldberg came back and speared Ziggler again. Ziggler said anyone can get lucky twice. Goldberg pretended he wasn’t going to spear Ziggler, only to run off the ropes and leveled him with a final spear.
This match was exactly what it should have been. Gave the fans what they wanted while giving us some post-match action to extend the time the affair without having a long match.
AJ Styles defeated Ricochet to retain the U.S. Title:
Anyone who thought they were going to get a New Japan style wrestling match here was sorely mistaken. Styles worked over Ricochet’s leg with some nice offense between the two. AJ got the win, and a post-match beatdown ensued with Gallows and Andreson hitting Ricochet with the Magic Killer.
Bayley pinned Embar Moon to retain the SmackDown Women’s Championship:
This was a good match that was hurt by a severe lack of crowd interest. Ember Moon hit a sweet Stormbreaker/Codebreaker combo for a near fall. Bayley came back with a nice Bayley to Belly off the middle rope for the three count.
Kevin Owens defeated Shane McMahon – Owens Quits if he Loses:
This match had all of the bells and whistles of a high stakes affair involving a McMahon. Elias was announced as the special guest enforcer by Shane. They teased Owens getting disqualified and counted out throughout the match. It was stated that Owens could not hit Elias because he was an officially licensed referee for the evening. Later on, Owens had enough and whipped out Elias and the referee with a cannonball off the apron. The finish came when Owens hit Shane with a top rope senton followed by a top rope frog splash for the pin.
Charlotte beat Trish Stratus vis submission:
This was much better than I anticipated. Trish more than held up her end. Trish tried to beat Charlotte with the figure four leg lock and figure eight. Charlotte ended up making Trish tap out to the figure eight and left the ring for Trish to get the ovation from the crowd in her final outing.
Bret Hart made a cameo appearance wishing Seth Rollins good luck in his match against Lesnar. This got a nice pop from the Canadian crowd. I thought it was funny since Hart has been critical of Rollins’ in-ring work over the years for injuring people.
WWE Championship – Kofi Kingston and Randy Orton went to a Double Count Out:
This match was worked at a deliberate pace that failed to draw heat from the crowd. There were dueling chants of “Kofi’s Stupid” and “Randy Sucks,” which was surprising. Orton tends to work slower-paced matches these days. In wrestling, the faster wrestler always works to the speed of the slower wrestler. Orton caught Kofi coming off the top rope for an RKO, which popped the crowd.
Orton, however, didn’t go for the pin and Kofi rolled out to the floor. Orton went outside the ring and started taunting Kofi’s family who was sitting in the front row. Both men were counted out as this unfolded. The commentary team ultimately failed this match because they didn’t mention and identify who it was Orton was mocking until after the fact.
Kofi snapped and beat Orton down with a Kendo stick repeatedly and finished him off with Trouble in Paradise. This was one of the more lackluster WWE Championship matches in recent history. It looks like the feud will continue, and hopefully do better next time.
“The Fiend” Bray Wyatt defeated Finn Balor:
They say you only have one chance to make a first impression. Well, Bray Wyatt proved them wrong as the spectacle of his new character was top notch. He came out with an eerie severed Bray Wyatt head lantern along with a new version of his theme music. The match was quick. Wyatt dominated. Balor missed the Coup de Grace and got caught in the mandible claw. The fans absolutely loved this.
photo credit wwe.com
Seth Rollins defeated Brock Lesnar to regain the Universal Championship:
I’ll be the first to admit that I was wrong. I had no interest in this match, but they won me over. It was all action with big moves. Lot’s of near falls with Lesnar working over Rollins’s injured ribs with seven German suplexes. Lesnar swung Rollins around by the medical tape around his ribs, which made for a great visual. Rollins made a herculean comeback with a top rope splash onto Lesnar through a table. Rollins hit three curb stomps for the win. I didn’t believe putting the Superman cape on Rollins would, however, I was wrong. It came off well, and the crowd loved it.
Final Thoughts: Overall, SummerSlam 2019 was a thumbs in the middle show. Some of the matches that over-promised, under-delivered. On the flip side, some of the matches that under-promised, over-delivered. Rollins ended the show as the hero of the day, and hopefully, WWE can sustain this sentiment long term. Trish Stratus deserves props for the match she put on after being out of the ring (in singles action) for eight years. Bray Wyatt came off like a superstar. This was not the best SummerSlam show, but it was far from the worst.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Bray Wyatt, Brock Lesnar, entertainment, Pro Wrestling, Results, review, Summerslam, WWE on August 11, 2019 by The Greene Screen.
Summer Slam Prediction
Summer Slam invades Brooklyn this evening, and all eyes are on the Universal Championship encounter between Brock Lesnar and Roman Reigns. The match itself is a non-starter but the implications of its result are what’s driving interest in the main event. While this is pure speculation on my part, I have a sneaking suspicion Paul Heyman is leaving the Barclays Center with the champion.
Notice I didn’t say Brock Lesnar. I said champion. I believe Lesnar’s time is up. It makes no sense for him to hold the title while preparing for a UFC fight. The fans have spoken, and they want to see a champion defending the title on a regular basis. Summer Slam closing with a babyface Roman Reigns celebrating his title win would leave things on a flat note. There is no drama or true happy ending in that scenario.
Roman Reigns could turn heel. However, I don’t see that happening. More people, albeit slowly are starting to get behind Roman Reigns. For all the static he gets from the audience, he’s not a bad wrestler. The fact that WWE didn’t let Reigns’ ascension happen organically and decided to shove him down everyone’s throat is the reason coronation after coronation has been virtually crownless. The audience is not booing Reigns but rather WWE’s insistence that we get behind him whether we like it or not.
If they turn Reigns heel now, who takes his place as the number one babyface? Possibly Seth Rollins, but I believe the company doesn’t see him in that light despite arguably being the best in-ring performer in WWE. Reigns is our resident squared circle Superman for the time being, however, once Summer Slam is over and Lesnar is gone, who takes the Lex Luthor role?
Maybe you don’t go with a Luthor type evildoer but perhaps a Doomsday esque briefcase wielding Monster Among Men, Bruan Strowman. Strowman is a popular babyface, but he was more compelling as a heel. While he still wrecks things, it’s done in a more comedic tone as opposed to the sheer devastation of his heel persona. Being a heel is what got Strowman over with the audience, and it’s time for him to return to those roots with an upgrade.
Prediction: It’s WrestleMania 31 all over again. Roman Reigns and Brock Lesnar are engaged in a heated battle. Just when the end is near, Strowman comes out and cashes in the Money in the Bank contract. Strowman pins Lesnar, with help from Paul Heyman. That’s right, Heyman trades in his beast for a monster.
Bruan Stowman with Paul Heyman as his manager become the new two-man power trip of Monday Night Raw. Heyman and Strowman not only cost Reigns the glory of being champion, they took away something he can never get back due to Lesnar’s departure from WWE. From there, Regins hunts down Strowman in pursuit of the belt because after all, the money is in the chase.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Brock Lesnar, Pro Wrestling, Summer Slam, thoughts, WWE on August 19, 2018 by The Greene Screen.
Brock Lesnar is the Belle of the Ball
Brock Lesnar is once again the life of the party when it comes to professional wrestling and mixed martial arts. Following Daniel Cormier’s heavyweight title victory at UFC 226 in Las Vegas this past Saturday, Lesnar entered the octagon, and the fireworks ensued.
Cormier called out Lesnar to enter the cage, Lesnar entered, shoved Cormier, cut a promo burying the UFC’s heavyweight division, and warned the new champion “I’m coming for you, motherfucker.” Cormier replied saying “Push me now; you’ll go to sleep later.”
The min-scuffle had everyone inside the T-Mobile Arena on their feet, and everyone else abuzz as the UFC’s next big money fight was virtually announced in grandiose fashion. MMA purists and pro wrestling aficionados hate the idea of Brock Lesnar being the center of attention for very different reasons.
In the realm of real fighting, Brock Lesnar tested positive for steroids in his last fight. He still has six months left on his suspension and hasn’t won a fight since 2010. This attacks the sport’s reputation because legit contenders are waiting in the wings.
In the realm of fake fighting, Brock Lesnar is the WWE Universal Champion. He’s the epitome of a part-time wrestler, which diehard fans loathe. The champ hasn’t appeared since April and has one match left on his contract, which expires in August.
This week on Raw, there was zero mention of Lesnar or the Universal Title. This was weird because the main event feud between Roman Reigns and Bobby Lashley is supposed to decide the next contender for the title.
WWE’s evasion of the subject could mean they were unaware of Lesnar’s UFC plans. Also, Lesnar officially entered the USADA drug testing pool, which means his suspension has resumed and is eligible to fight Cormier in early January 2019.
In the UFC, Cormier vs. Lesnar is a fight that is going to rain money. This means Lesnar will most likely not work a pro wrestling match until the bout takes place. Even if he makes another WWE appearance between now and the fight, it will probably be a lackluster affair.
Brock Lesnar vs. Dean Ambrose at WrestleMania 33 promised to be an epic encounter, but it was the complete opposite. Months later, it was revealed that Lesnar was in the midst of an MMA training camp at the time and didn’t want to risk injury by going all out in a worked match.
IThe last appearance on his WWE deal is worth six hundred thousand dollars. That number irks fans and insiders because current wrestlers are not even close to making that amount of money for one match. While WWE might be upset with Brock Lesnar in the short-term, the two parties will end up finding common ground like they always do. There is, however, a couple of options at WWE’s disposal.
They could always strip Lesnar of the title. However, that could kill any credibility needed to make a new champion since Lesnar was never beaten for the belt. Then again, the integrity of the championship might not be an issue. Many fans don’t consider Lesnar to be a “real” world champion because he barely defends the title.
Plus, the current storyline on television has Roman Reigns claiming to be the rightful champion due to referee error in his last match with Lesnar. If WWE decided to strip Lesnar of the title, it would perfectly fall in line with the ongoing story. The belt is taken off of Lesnar, and the company can push the narrative that Roman was right.
If Vince McMahon is going to allow Lesnar to hold the championship indefinitely, there is the unique option of making his UFC fight against Cormier for the WWE Universal Title. Daniel Cormier is a big pro wrestling fan and would relish the opportunity to be featured in a big-time role on Monday Night Raw if he beats Lesnar in the octagon.
Cormier is a major favorite to topple Lesnar, and his fandom of WWE would make it easy enough to do business with him. Cormier wins the title, has a brief stint inside the ropes and drops the belt, ensuring the legacy of the title is intact. There is always the chance Lesnar could beat Cormier. If that happens, doing business with him will be even more difficult than it is now because he will be worth more money.
Paying Brock Lesnar even more money than he is already getting for one single match in WWE seems outrageous on some levels. However, there is the possibility that Vince McMahon is secretly salivating at the idea of his champion winning the UFC title. It’s an unlikely scenario. Yet, stranger things have happened in the world of wrestling.
The angle inside the Octagon was designed to get people talking, and it worked. UFC has their next big money fight, and WWE has their next big money angle, if they choose to act on it. And it’s all thanks to Brock Lesnar, who from a business perspective, is the belle of the ball with multiple suitors to fit his Benjamin Franklin lined glass slipper.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Brock Lesnar, Pro Wrestling, thoughts, UFC, WWE on July 11, 2018 by The Greene Screen.
Year One: A WWE Universal Championship Retrospective
Four champions and fifteen matches over three hundred and sixty-five days encompassed the first year of existence for the WWE Universal Championship. The big red belt has become WWE’s top prize after stumbling out of the gate upon its arrival.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged Brock Lesnar, Bruan Strowman, Finn Balor, Pro Wrestling, thoughts, WWE Universal Championship on August 25, 2017 by The Greene Screen.
WWE Asked for My Opinion
photo credit: wwe.com
WWE reached out to me today via my inbox and wanted to know who are my favorite WWE Superstars, NXT Superstars, and WWE Legends. I’m flattered that the E values my opinion. So, I moved my cursor towards the lovely “click here” button and gave them my two cents. Continue reading →
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Brock Lesnar, NXT, Pro Wrestling, The Usos, thoughts, WWE on August 25, 2017 by The Greene Screen.
Samoa Joe wins Fatal 5-Way at WWE Extreme Rules
Samoa Joe is the number one contender for the WWE Universal Championship and will challenge Brock Lesnar on 7/9 at Great Balls of Fire. Joe defeated Bray Wyatt, Seth Rollins, Roman Reigns and Fin Balor in the Fatal 5-Way main event, last night, at Extreme Rules.
The finish saw Finn Balor hit Roman Reigns with the Coupe de Grace, only for Joe to pull him away from the cover and apply the Coquina Clutch. Balor passed and out and the referee called for the bell.
Finn Balor was the favorite to win the match from a booking perspective since it was teased on Raw a couple of weeks ago that Paul Heyman and Brock Lesnar are watching Balor with a vested interest. The match would have made sense being that Balor never lost the Universal Title.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Brock Lesnar, Extreme Rules, news, Pro Wrestling, samoa joe, thoughts, WWE on June 5, 2017 by The Greene Screen.
WWE Great Balls of Fire…WTF
As someone who has watched, practiced and promoted professional wrestling for almost 30 years, I’m accustomed to the ridiculousness that the genre has to offer. Weird and zany names come with the territory.
So, when I heard that WWE’s July pay-per-view is titled Great Balls of Fire, I thought it was a rib and no sold it. Then, my podcast partner in crime Frank D ensured me that this was no ruse. The name of the show is legitimately called Great Balls of Fire.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged blog, Brock Lesnar, Great Balls of Fire, Paul Heyman, Pro Wrestling, thoughts, Vince McMahon, WWE on May 2, 2017 by The Greene Screen.
WrestleMania 33 Review: The End of a Legend
When it’s all said and done, the seven-hour spectacular that was WrestleMania 33 will go down as a newsworthy event that was better than it had any business being. Thirteen matches, a restroom break in the form of a Pitbull concert, one marriage proposal, the triumphant return of a popular duo, and the end of a legendary career encapsulates a roller-coaster of emotions for a show aptly named, the ultimate thrill ride.
WWE took over their home away from home this past weekend as Orlando, FL played host to the Hall of Fame ceremony on Friday along with an action packed NXT TakeOver card on Saturday. Then, the show of shows captivated a worldwide audience inside of the Camping World Stadium along with millions watching along on the WWE Network.
Kickoff Show:
Neville pinned Austin Aries to retain the Cruiserweight Championship:
Neville’s defense of the Cruiserweight title against Austin Aries was a well worked matched that was given an ample amount of time. Unfortunately, the crowd was still filing into the building, which made the match come off less than it was. Neville retained with the Red Arrow, which the Brit hasn’t used since turning heel. Fans had pegged Aries to go over, but Neville winning here will give Aries a chance to get over with the audience a little more while chasing the belt.
Mojo Rawley won the Andre the Giant Memorial Battle Royal:
New England Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski sitting in the front row was a bright neon spoiler alert. Gronk’s friendship with MoJo Rawley has been mentioned over the past several weeks. Rawley was the first wrestler to declare his entry into the battle royal, so his win was a nice way to tie it all together. Plus, as a Pats fan, seeing Gronk hitting Jinder Mahal with a running tackle was a cool moment.
Surprisingly, Bruan Strowman didn’t do much in this match. Right now, he’s at the point where no one wants to see him lose. He was eliminated around the two-minute mark by ten wrestlers, which protected his character. NXT’s Killian Dain made it to the final three, which means WWE has plans for the big guy.
Dean Ambrose pinned Baron Corbin to retain the Intercontinental Championship:
When a fan-driven social media campaign got the SmackDown Women’s Title match promoted to the main card, no one expected the Intercontinental Championship match to take its place on the kickoff show. Many thought Corbin was going to win the title, but having him win it on the kickoff show won’t have the desired effect of making him stand out as a threat to be taken seriously. Smart money says Corbin wins it down the line. It was a TV match with nothing to complain about.
Now, let the main card commence.
This entry was posted in Pro Wrestling and tagged Brock Lesnar, Jeff Hardy, Matt Hardy, news, Pro Wrestling, thoughts, Undertaker, Wrestlemania, WWE on April 4, 2017 by The Greene Screen.
Vladimir The Wrestling Superfan Is #1
Leave Marko Stunt Alone
Examining the Bruan Strowman/Karen Jarrett Saga
Looking Back at 'Avengers: Endgame' One Year Later
Coronavirus Slams Pro Wrestling
La La Land: Review
Alvarez fell into the Trap at UFC 205
Ten Greatest WWE Tag Team Champions of All Time
What if the Fake Diesel and Razor Ramon Actually Worked?
Awesome Wrestling Images From Deviant Art
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Sick Facebook Scammers Exploit Robin Williams' Suicide
August 16, 2014Wang Wei
Scammers spare no incident to target as many victims as possible, and this time they are exploiting the tragic death of comic actor Robin Williams by offering the fake Facebook videos proclaiming a Goodbye video message that Williams made before his death.
According to Symantec, this fake Facebook post, which you may see on your walls shared by your Facebook friends, was created by scammers looking to profit on the actor's death. The bogus post claims to be a Goodbye video of Robin Williams making his last phone call before committing suicide earlier this week.
Scammers and cyber criminals often use major headline news stories to lure in victims. You may fall victim to this video as the news claims to have come from the most popular and reputed BBC News website.
"There is no video. Users that click on the link to the supposed video are taken to a fake BBC News website. As with many social scams, users are required to perform actions before they can view the content. In this case, users are instructed to share the video on Facebook before watching," Symantec security response manager Satnam Narang said in a blog post.
Once clicked on the link, users are asked to share the fake video link and either fill out a survey – or install a fake Facebook media plugin – before they can watch the video. The video states:
EXCLUSIVE VIDEO: ROBIN WILLIAMS SAYS GOODBYE WITH HIS CELL PHONE BEFORE HANGING HIMSELF WITH A BELT AND CUTTING HIMSELF WITH A POCKET KNIFE. HE CAN STILL MAKE EVERYONE LAUGH WITH THIS VIDEO BUT IT WILL MAKE EVERYONE CRY A RIVER AT THE END.
When you fill out the survey, it generates revenue for the scammers for every answered surveys and file downloads. According to Symantec, the scam started within 48 hours after the news broke out about Williams' death and the video has been shared over 24 million times on Facebook.
Scammers have used simple social engineering trick – the technical term for manipulating people into clicking malicious links – in order to infect large Facebook users.
"Over the years, scammers have used both real and fake celebrity deaths as a way to convince users to click on links and perform actions. From Amy Winehouse and Paul Walker to the fake deaths of Miley Cyrus and Will Smith, scammers are opportunistic and always looking for ways to capitalize," Narang said.
One example of it is the incident when the former "Saturday Night Live" and "30 Rock" star Tracy Morgan was critically hurt in a six-vehicle fatal accident on the New Jersey Turnpike, that was announced dead by the scammers.
Symantec advised the Internet users to be "vigilant and skeptical" when reading sensational stories on social media websites. They have also alerted Facebook about the scam campaign and they are taking steps to block it.
The Better Business Bureau (BBB) has also issued a warning about the similar scam. "Basically someone clicks on a link to view information or video about Williams, but instead it tells you to download a player, which is really a virus," it said.
BBB also suggested some useful steps in order to protect yourself from scams shared through email and social media:
Don't take the bait. Stay away from promotions of 'exclusive,' 'shocking' or 'sensational' footage. If it sounds too outlandish to be true, it is probably a scam.
Hover over a link to see its true destination. Before you click, mouse over the link to see where it will take you. Don't click on links leading to unfamiliar websites.
Don't trust your friends online. It might not actually be your friends who are liking or sharing scam links to photos. Their account may have been hacked and scammers could be using another tactic called clickjacking. Clickjacking is a technique that scammers use to trick you into clicking on social media links that you would not usually click on.
Clickjacking, Cyber Criminal, Facebook malware, facebook scam, Goodbye video of Robin Williams, Robin Williams
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A real-time optimal inverse planning for Gamma Knife radiosurgery by convex optimization: description of the system and first dosimetry data
Marc Levivier MD, PhD, IFAANS 1 , Rafael E. Carrillo PhD 2 , 3 , Rémi Charrier MSc 4 , André Martin MSc 4 , and Jean-Philippe Thiran PhD 2
1 Department of Neurosurgery and Gamma Knife Center, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne;
2 Signal Processing Laboratory (LTS5), Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL);
3 CSEM SA, Neuchâtel; and
4 Intuitive Therapeutics SA, Saint-Sulpice, Switzerland
https://doi.org/10.3171/2018.7.GKS181572
The authors developed a new, real-time interactive inverse planning approach, based on a fully convex framework, to be used for Gamma Knife radiosurgery.
The convex framework is based on the precomputation of a dictionary composed of the individual dose distributions of all possible shots, considering all their possible locations, sizes, and shapes inside the target volume. The convex problem is solved to determine the plan, i.e., which shots and with which weights, that will actually be used, considering a sparsity constraint on the shots to fulfill the constraints while minimizing the beam-on time. The system is called IntuitivePlan and allows data to be transferred from generated dose plans into the Gamma Knife treatment planning software for further dosimetry evaluation.
The system has been very efficiently implemented, and an optimal plan is usually obtained in less than 1 to 2 minutes, depending on the complexity of the problem, on a desktop computer or in only a few minutes on a high-end laptop. Dosimetry data from 5 cases, 2 meningiomas and 3 vestibular schwannomas, were generated with IntuitivePlan. Results of evaluation of the dosimetry characteristics are very satisfactory and adequate in terms of conformity, selectivity, gradient, protection of organs at risk, and treatment time.
The possibility of using optimal, interactive real-time inverse planning in conjunction with the Leksell Gamma Knife opens new perspectives in radiosurgery, especially considering the potential use of the full capabilities of the latest generations of the Leksell Gamma Knife. This approach gives new users the possibility of using the system for easier and quicker access to good-quality plans with a shorter technical training period and opens avenues for new planning strategies for expert users. The use of a convex optimization approach allows an optimal plan to be provided in a very short processing time. This way, innovative graphical user interfaces can be developed, allowing the user to interact directly with the planning system to graphically define the desired dose map and to modify on-the-fly the dose map by moving, in a very user-friendly manner, the isodose surfaces of an initial plan. Further independent quantitative prospective evaluation comparing inverse planned and forward planned cases is warranted to validate this novel and promising treatment planning approach.
ABBREVIATIONS GKRS = Gamma Knife radiosurgery; GUI = graphical user interface; LGK = Leksell Gamma Knife; LGP = Leksell GammaPlan.
Gamma Knife; stereotactic radiosurgery; inverse planning; dosimetry; convex optimization
The Leksell Gamma Knife (LGK, Elekta AB) is a dedicated device for cranial radiosurgery using concomitant gamma rays emitted from 60Co radiation sources focusing at an isocenter. This design provides unique dosimetry characteristics with a very steep gradient.10,13,17,18 Usually, multiple isocenters are used to shape the desired irradiation to the target volume with a high conformity and selectivity. Manual forward planning (i.e., the user places each isocenter at specific stereotactic coordinates) is currently the standard, most frequent way to plan dosimetry for Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKRS) procedures. However, manual forward planning needs technical expertise and experience, especially with the newest generations of LGK Perfexion and LGK ICON. It also requires specific training and is time-consuming, and often provides suboptimal solutions in terms of indices, treatment time, etc., with respect to the capabilities and flexibility of LGK. Thus, an optimal inverse planning system would be helpful and of great support to exploit the full capabilities of the LGK. Moreover, because the current inverse planning methods use a nonconvex approach, the risk of trapping in local minima of the cost function usually precludes obtaining the optimal solution and limits the speed of convergence. When current inverse planning methods are used, the planning should be finalized in most instances by adjusting the shots manually.
Here, we report a new inverse planning approach, based on a fully convex framework to be used in conjunction with Leksell GammaPlan (LGP) for LGK Perfexion and LGK ICON (all Elekta AB).
Inverse Planning Software Principles
The general principles of our convex framework are the following:
1) Based on the target volume definition, we precompute a dictionary composed of the individual dose distributions of all possible shots, considering all their possible locations, sizes, and shapes inside the target volume. To do this efficiently, we use an optimized implementation of the TMR (tissue-maximum ratio) 10 dose calculation formula, i.e., the reference formula used for dose calculation in LGP.6
2) Based on the desired dose in the target volume and potential additional constraints, we then solve a convex problem to determine the plan, i.e., which shots and with which weights, that will actually be used, considering a sparsity constraint on the shots to fulfill the constraints while minimizing the beam-on time.
This framework has been developed on the basis of our previous work using convex optimization approaches.1,3 It has several unique features in comparison with other existing approaches. First, it is globally convex, i.e., it ensures that a global optimum of the problem is found. Second, although the problem can be very large (i.e., the size of the dictionary can be extremely large), it can be efficiently parallelized and implemented using the latest, most efficient algorithms in convex optimization, such as in our case, a primal-dual convex optimization approach.12 Third, the framework is very flexible, which allows different cost functions and sparsity constraints to be used. For instance, L0 or L1 norm minimization can be used to enforce a minimal number of shots and therefore a minimal beam-on time. Other formulations are also possible, such as a definition of the dictionary, not in terms of shots (i.e., number, possible locations, sizes, and geometry) but in terms of beams emitted by the different sectors, controlled by a structured sparsity constraint, which is actually what we have implemented in the version of the method used to generate the results presented hereafter.
The system is called IntuitivePlan and is developed by Intuitive Therapeutics SA.
Generating a Plan in IntuitivePlan and Using the Data in LGP
The workflow for using the inverse planning system in conjunction with LGP is illustrated in Fig. 1, and is as follows:
1) A patient file is created in LGP and includes all the mandatory steps needed to allow for shot placement (importing DICOM images and defining the stereotactic reference system, the fixation device and head contour, the target[s] and, if applicable, organ[s] at risk, and/or other volume[s] of interest; creating a plan; selecting the dose prescription).
2) The data generated and included in the 2 following files are exported: the “Patient_DICOM-RT” file, using the “Export DICOM” function, and the “Patient.lgp” file, using the “Patient management–Export” function of LGP. These 2 files are used in our convex framework for inverse planning, according to the principles described above.
3) The data of the 2 files are then imported and opened in the IntuitivePlan software environment that runs on a separate computer. This will allow the patient’s CT and/or MR images and appropriate contours, such as the skull, target volume(s), and organ(s) at risk, to be displayed. Appropriate constraints (i.e., minimum dose to the target[s] and maximum dose to organ[s] at risk, if any) are then defined by the user. The system will then prompt the user to adjust priorities for the selectivity, the gradient index, and the maximum dose. These parameters are used to optimize the beam-on time and the gradient, as well as to set a range for the isodose prescription. The plan is then automatically generated and displayed (Fig. 2 upper). If additional constraints are desired and defined, a new plan is generated and displayed (Fig. 2 lower). Further possibilities for the user to manipulate the plan directly and interactively in a very user-friendly manner (i.e., by moving directly the isodose lines with the mouse) are under development and are presented in the Discussion section and will be available in the commercialized version of the software.
4) The data of the dosimetry planning generated in IntuitivePlan are saved in a text file that contains the position (i.e., stereotactic coordinates), sector characteristics, and weight of each isocenter, as well as the maximum dose (which sets the percentage of the isodose prescription, according to the desired dose prescription). This text file is used to import the shots in LGP, using the “import” function in the shot window of LGP.
5) The user and team can then evaluate and validate the proposed plan in LGP as usual, and if appropriate, compare it with other dosimetry planning for the same patient, and eventually decide to use this plan for LGK treatment.
Schematic of the workflow using the inverse planning system in conjunction with LGP. In a regular Gamma Knife workflow (gray arrow), images will be transferred to the computer running LGP, in which all the dosimetry planning steps will be performed. After its validation, the planning is exported to the Gamma Knife console for treatment. When using IntuitivePlan (red arrows), a patient file including all mandatory steps needed to allow for shot placements is created in LGP. The data are then imported and opened in the IntuitivePlan software environment that runs on a separate computer. The data of the dosimetry planning generated in IntuitivePlan are transferred to LGP, using the “import” function in the shot window of LGP. The user can then evaluate this plan in LGP as usual, and, if appropriate, compare it with other dosimetry planning for the same patient, and eventually decide to validate and use this plan for treatment as with the regular Gamma Knife workflow. Images of the LGK treatment console (upper right) and of the LGK ICON (middle right) are courtesy of Elekta AB.
Screen shots of the GUI of IntuitivePlan. A vestibular schwannoma from one of the United Kingdom benchmark cases (courtesy of Ian Paddick), for which the target volume (red line) and the organs at risk (orange line, brainstem; purple line, cochlea) were preexisting, is tested in our inverse planning system. Upper: Only the prescription dose for target volume (13 Gy, yellow line) is used as a constraint. In the generated plan, the cochlea receives a dose higher than 4 Gy (green line). Lower: An additional constraint of a maximum of 4 Gy has been added for the cochlea, generating a new plan. The characteristics of each plan are displayed in the upper right of each panel.
Dosimetry Evaluation
In order to evaluate the workflow between LGP and the inverse planning software in a clinical dosimetry context, we used anonymized data of 5 cases treated with manual forward planning. There were 2 meningiomas and 3 vestibular schwannomas. The data were processed as described above and the plans were displayed in LGP.
Also, courtesy of Ian Paddick (Physicist, London, United Kingdom), data from some of the United Kingdom benchmark cases were processed and analyzed in IntuitivePlan. The results of these multicenter benchmark planning studies have been published recently for multiple brain metastases4 and for benign brain tumors.5
Inverse Planning Software System
The system has been very efficiently implemented and an optimal plan can be obtained usually in less than 1 to 2 minutes, depending on the complexity of the problem, on a desktop computer equipped with 2 high-end graphics processing units, or in only a few minutes on a high-end laptop. The specific graphical user interface (GUI) that has been developed for the system is shown in Fig. 2. The entire system allows production of optimal plans that can be exported to LGP, and thus seamlessly incorporated in the clinical workflow for GKRS.
Currently, the system works efficiently as a stand-alone solution (Fig. 1). The possibility of integrating this new software into the current planning system(s) for LGK would be of interest, but is outside the scope of the present work.
Generating and Using the Data of the Inverse Planning Software in LGP
For the 5 cases, the necessary data from LGP could be exported in IntuitivePlan and used for inverse planning. The data of the dose plans generated in IntuitivePlan were then imported and displayed in LGP. Dosimetry characteristics of the 5 plans generated with IntuitivePlan are shown in Table 1. The corresponding dosimetry characteristics of the manual forward plans that were actually used to treat the patients are also shown in Table 1.
Summary of the dosimetry characteristics of 5 cases planned with the inverse planning system IntuitivePlan and with manual forward planning used for actual treatment
Dose Prescription (Gy)
Dose Constraint to OAR
Planning Technique
Max Dose (Gy)
Isodose Prescription
Max Dose to OAR (Gy)
Dose to 1% of OAR (Gy)
No. of Shots
BOT (mins)
1 Meningioma 12 8 Gy, optic nerve IntuitivePlan 26.29 46% 0.99 0.79* 0.78* 2.99* 7.5 6.4* 11 23.2*
Manual forward 24 50% 0.99 0.67 0.66 3.04 7.0 6.6 10 36.2
2 Meningioma 12 NA IntuitivePlan 24.64 49% 0.99 0.90* 0.89* 2.69 NA NA 41 53.5
Manual forward 24 50% 0.99 0.82 0.81 2.6 NA NA 21 43.7
3 VS 12 4 Gy, cochlea IntuitivePlan 25.26 48% 0.98 0.88* 0.85* 3.14* 4.7* 3.5* 10 25.6
Manual forward 24 50% 0.98 0.72 0.71 3.51 6.6 4.5 3 17.9
4 VS 12 4 Gy, cochlea IntuitivePlan 28.7 42% 1.0* 0.90* 0.90* 2.71* 2.7 2.4 20 27.6
5 VS 12 4 Gy, cochlea IntuitivePlan 25.48 47% 0.99* 0.81* 0.80* 2.92* 4.4* 3.6* 12 20.0*
BOT = Beam-on time; GI = gradient index; NA = not applicable; OAR = organ at risk; PI = Paddick index; VS = vestibular schwannoma.
* Values that are better in the plans generated with the inverse planning system IntuitivePlan.
A typical GKRS intervention consists of a planning phase and a delivery phase. In the planning phase, each patient’s treatment plan is developed by a neurosurgeon working in conjunction with a radiation oncologist and a physicist. According to the most widely used planning procedure, referred to as forward planning, they determine, through an iterative process of trial and error, the number and location of shots, along with their size, shape, and weight. When the treatment volume is small, the treatment plan may only require 1 or 2 shots. The planning process, however, becomes more complex for both irregularly shaped and larger target volumes. For these cases, the complexity of the treatment planning process makes it difficult to take full advantage of the powerful capabilities of the LGK. This is especially true in the latest versions, LGK Perfexion and LGK ICON, where the cobalt sources are grouped in sectors that align concomitantly with collimators of the same size. Each individual sector can be aligned with a specific collimator size (composite shot) or can be blocked. GKRS thus requires a critical stage of planning in order to create the clinically acceptable dosimetry based on the location and dose to be delivered to the target, and to the possible organs at risk. The technical parameters to be set for creating a dose distribution adapted to the desired irradiation map are mainly the number of the irradiation focal points (isocenters), the location of those isocenters, the size and shape of the collimation of the irradiation beams (including the possibility to create composite shots), and the weight of the different irradiation shots.
Thus, the current manual procedure for the planning step is relatively complex, tedious, unintuitive, and slow. The duration of the forward planning procedure decreases the productivity and increases the cost of every treatment. Moreover, its quality depends essentially on the experience of the user. Acquiring this experience requires a long training period in one of the few reference centers in the world. To help the user, automatic inverse planning systems have been proposed. The planning is “inverse” in that, based on the knowledge of the target region properties (e.g., from CT or MR images), the operator prescribes a certain dose distribution within the target region and/or certain dose constraints. An automatic inverse planning system finds a set of parameters, resulting in treatment planning that is as close as possible to the desired dose distribution.
Inverse planning is thus typically defined as an optimization problem, where the technical parameters are automatically searched to minimize a cost function measuring the difference between the desired dose distribution and that actually achieved. But, as pointed out earlier by Wu et al.,19 the main challenge in LGK inverse planning is the large dimension of the search. Hence, planning or placing these shots is a combinatorial optimization process that is computationally expensive by nature. There has been limited previous research in LGK treatment optimization due to both the large dimensionality of the optimization problem and the impracticality of delivering complex treatments clinically with older LGK models.7–9
Considering the technical characteristics of LGK Perfexion and LGK ICON, the problem is even more acute. Indeed, the combination of 8 sectors (blocked or not) and 3 collimator sizes makes the number of possible configurations for one single shot as large as 4 to the power of 8 (i.e., 65,536). In this context, very few inverse planning systems have been developed. Elekta itself proposes an inverse planning system in LGP, but this system is generally considered as suboptimal, providing at most a reasonable, first approximation dose plan. Particularly in cases in which eloquent structures are at risk, experience and user-based optimization are still required to achieve an acceptable dose plan.16 One particularly attractive avenue to solve this complex optimization problem is to exploit convex optimization techniques, which have the intrinsic property of providing the optimal solution, as long as the function to be optimized can be expressed as convex.2 A first step in this direction has been taken by Ghobadi et al.11 In that paper, the treatment plan was obtained using a 2-step approach. First, a hybrid grassfire and sphere-packing algorithm was used to obtain shot positions (isocenters) based on the geometry of the target to be treated. For the selected isocenters, a sector duration optimization (SDO) model was used to optimize the duration of radiation delivery from each collimator size from each individual source bank. The SDO model is convex and is solved using a projected gradient algorithm. Although interesting, this approach is not globally convex and is therefore suboptimal, since a first step is used to predetermine the isocenter locations based on the target geometry only and ignores the large variety of possible shot geometries to define those isocenters.
As mentioned above, our approach is unique in the sense that, to the best of our knowledge, it is the first system that defines and solves the entire inverse planning problem in a convex optimization framework, i.e., optimizing both the shot or beam locations and weights together and not in a sequential manner. This system will thus span a much larger space of possible solutions and find the optimal one. Moreover, since convex optimization is intrinsically well suited for parallel implementation, an optimal plan is provided in a very short processing time. This makes it possible to develop innovative GUIs, namely in allowing the user to interact directly with the planning system to graphically define the desired dose map but also, and most importantly, to modify on-the-fly the dose map proposed by a first run of the system. Indeed, in such a GUI, the user could interactively modify the requested dose map by moving, in a very user-friendly manner, i.e., directly with the mouse, the isodose surfaces of an initial plan. This will allow users, for instance, to impose more constraints on some organs and regions at risk or relax other unnecessary constraints, avoiding the tedious tasks of contouring new regions of interest as would be done with other systems, and/or the need to change some shot placement manually to finalize the desired planning results. Thus, with this approach, the user will not need to manipulate the planning parameters himself or herself (i.e., placement and weight of shots) but will be able to directly move the isodose lines interactively while the system is recalculating a new plan, ultimately in real time. This interactive real-time inverse planning system would ultimately lead to the definition of plans that are optimal both technically and clinically. Such an interactive real-time approach is currently under implementation for integration into IntuitivePlan. Also, since the dosimetry requirements might be different with respect to the disease process (e.g., benign tumors vs metastases) and the number of lesions (especially multiple metastases), different presetting priorities for the selectivity, the gradient index, and the maximum dose are envisioned.
The possibility of using optimal interactive real-time inverse planning in conjunction with LGP opens new perspectives for the use of GKRS. Long-term users may find it advantageous to reduce tedious planning time while still being able to interact with the dosimetry results in an intuitive manner, relaxing some constraints and/or increasing others, based on their clinical experience and radiobiological knowledge. In addition to the possibility of directly manipulating lower isodose lines in order to shape the gradient in a desired way, this approach could also be used to manipulate bridging doses when treating nearby multiple lesions, or even to manipulate higher isodoses (i.e., the so-called hot spots) into the treated target volumes. Moreover, the system is designed to fulfill the constraints while minimizing the beam-on time. Thus, in addition to the dramatic reduction in planning time, the system will also allow users to reduce the treatment time. So, all in all, the use of IntuitivePlan could favorably decrease the total time of a GKRS procedure, which may have a positive economic impact on the workflow of Gamma Knife centers. For new users, the potential to use an optimal inverse planning approach will permit easier and quicker access to good-quality plans with a shorter technical training period. Of course, this does not replace acquiring the appropriate knowledge and training in radiosurgery in order to understand the proper management of patients who would benefit from this approach. Ideally, it means that the dosimetry plans provided by the inverse planning should, at least, match the quality of those of experienced manual planners. The dosimetry data that we have generated so far are encouraging in that respect. The quality of the plans meets the expected standards that are used in clinical plans, including when using well-recognized indices and criteria.14,15 However, the proof of concept reported here and the ability to generate good qualitative plans do not prevent comparing quantitatively inverse planned and forward planned cases with a series of objective criteria (e.g., gradient index, coverage, conformality, V12, V10, V8, total treatment time, and meeting dose constraints). We believe that such studies should be performed independently by groups interested in testing the system, in order to avoid any bias and conflict of interest. As a first step in that direction, a recent independent retrospective study, comparing the manual plans of an expert LGK user with the plans generated by IntuitivePlan in a consecutive series of 30 vestibular schwannomas, has shown comparable results in terms of conformity, Paddick index, gradient index, and treatment time, while the selectivity index was significantly better in the inverse plans compared to the manual plans performed by the expert (Regis J, Merly L: Is Intuitive Therapy plan competing with dose planning elaborated by an expert? A comparative study in vestibular schwannomas, presented at the 19th Leksell Gamma Knife Society Meeting, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 4–8, 2018). Further independent prospective studies evaluating IntuitivePlan quantitatively in different disease conditions are warranted and are planned to validate this novel and promising treatment planning approach.
We have developed a new inverse planning approach based on a fully convex framework to be used in conjunction with LGP for LGK Perfexion and LGK ICON. The system, called IntuitivePlan, allows an optimal plan to be obtained in less than 1 to 2 minutes, depending on the complexity of the problem, and the results can then be easily imported and integrated into LGP. The first dosimetry data of plans generated with IntuitivePlan are qualitatively of high standard, and a first independent retrospective study has provided results comparing favorably to the forward manual plans performed by the expert. The possibility of using an optimal interactive real-time inverse planning in conjunction with LGP opens new perspectives for the use of GKRS. The use of a convex optimization approach allows an optimal plan to be provided in a very short processing time. This makes it possible to develop innovative GUIs, namely allowing the user to interact directly with the planning system in order to define graphically the desired dose map and to modify on-the-fly the dose map by moving, in a very user-friendly manner, directly with the mouse, the isodose surfaces of an initial plan. Further independent quantitative prospective evaluation comparing inverse planned and forward planned cases is warranted to validate this novel and promising treatment planning approach.
Dr. Levivier: scientific advisor and board member of Intuitive Therapeutics SA. Mr. Charrier: employee of and ownership in Intuitive Therapeutics SA. Mr. Martin: employee and board member of Intuitive Therapeutics SA. Dr. Thiran: scientific advisor and board member of Intuitive Therapeutics SA.
The system presented here was initially developed in the Signal Processing Laboratory LTS5 of the Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland, with the financial support of Intuitive Therapeutics SA, Saint-Sulpice, Switzerland, and then transferred to Intuitive Therapeutics SA for final product development and industrialization.
Conception and design: Levivier, Carrillo, Thiran. Acquisition of data: Levivier, Carrillo, Charrier, Thiran. Analysis and interpretation of data: all authors. Drafting the article: Levivier, Thiran. Critically revising the article: Carrillo, Charrier, Martin, Thiran. Reviewed submitted version of manuscript: all authors. Approved the final version of the manuscript on behalf of all authors: Levivier. Administrative/technical/material support: Charrier, Martin. Study supervision: Levivier, Thiran.
A portion of this work was presented at the 19th Leksell Gamma Knife Society Meeting, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 4–8, 2018.
Auría A, Carrillo R, Thiran JP, Wiaux Y: Tensor optimisation for optical-interferometric imaging. Mon Not R Astron Soc 437:2083–2091, 2014
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Daducci A, Dal Palù A, Lemkaddem A, Thiran JP: COMMIT: Convex optimization modeling for microstructure informed tractography. IEEE Trans Med Imaging 34:246–257, 2015
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Eaton DJ, Lee J, Paddick I: Stereotactic radiosurgery for multiple brain metastases: results of multicenter benchmark planning studies. Pract Radiat Oncol 8:e212–e220, 2018
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Eaton DJ, Lee J, Patel R, Millin AE, Paddick I, Walker C: Stereotactic radiosurgery for benign brain tumors: results of multicenter benchmark planning studies. Pract Radiat Oncol [epub ahead of print], 2018
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Gevaert T, Levivier M, Lacornerie T, Verellen D, Engels B, Reynaert N, : Dosimetric comparison of different treatment modalities for stereotactic radiosurgery of arteriovenous malformations and acoustic neuromas. Radiother Oncol 106:192–197, 2013
Gevaert T, Levivier M, Lacornerie T, Verellen D, Engels B, Reynaert N, : Dosimetric comparison of different treatment modalities for stereotactic radiosurgery of arteriovenous malformations and acoustic neuromas. Radiother Oncol 106:192–197, 20132288484210.1016/j.radonc.2012.07.002)| false
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Ghobadi K, Ghaffari HR, Aleman DM, Jaffray DA, Ruschin M: Automated treatment planning for a dedicated multi-source intracranial radiosurgery treatment unit using projected gradient and grassfire algorithms. Med Phys 39:3134–3141, 20122275569810.1118/1.4709603)| false
Komodakis N, Pesquet JC: Playing with duality: an overview of recent primal-dual approaches for solving large-scale optimization problems. IEEE Trans Signal Process 32:31–54, 2015
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Paddick I: A simple scoring ratio to index the conformity of radiosurgical treatment plans. Technical note. J Neurosurg 93 (Suppl 3):219–222, 20001114325210.3171/jns.2000.93.supplement_3.0219)| false
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Tuleasca C, Negretti L, Faouzi M, Magaddino V, Gevaert T, von Elm E, : Radiosurgery in the management of brain metastasis: a retrospective single-center study comparing Gamma Knife and LINAC treatment. J Neurosurg 128:352–361, 20182833844110.3171/2016.10.JNS161480)| false
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Wu A: Physics and dosimetry of the gamma knife. Neurosurg Clin N Am 3:35–50, 199210.1016/S1042-3680(18)30681-81633451)| false
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Wu QJ, Chankong V, Jitprapaikulsarn S, Wessels BW, Einstein DB, Mathayomchan B, : Real-time inverse planning for Gamma Knife radiosurgery. Med Phys 30:2988–2995, 20031465594610.1118/1.1621463)| false
View Table
Volume 129 (2018): Issue Suppl1 (Dec 2018): Proceedings of the 19th International Meeting of the Leksell Gamma Knife Society
Correspondence Marc Levivier: Department of Neurosurgery & Gamma Knife Center, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne, Switzerland. marc.levivier@chuv.ch.
INCLUDE WHEN CITING DOI:10.3171/2018.7.GKS181572.
Disclosures Dr. Levivier: scientific advisor and board member of Intuitive Therapeutics SA. Mr. Charrier: employee of and ownership in Intuitive Therapeutics SA. Mr. Martin: employee and board member of Intuitive Therapeutics SA. Dr. Thiran: scientific advisor and board member of Intuitive Therapeutics SA.
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Articles by Marc Levivier
Articles by Rafael E. Carrillo
Articles by Rémi Charrier
Articles by André Martin
Articles by Jean-Philippe Thiran
Article by Marc Levivier
Article by Rafael E. Carrillo
Article by Rémi Charrier
Article by André Martin
Article by Jean-Philippe Thiran
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Ad Of The Week With Oresti Patricios – The Foodie Revolution
MarkLives.com – 3 July 2013
The Ad
There was a time when food in South Africa was fairly simple and straight-forward. We were the land of tripe and polony. Gourmet wasn’t a commonplace word, and fancy food was all about special Sunday roasts or hotel buffets, or if you were of another class, the stuff people ate in restaurants like those in the Carlton Hotel or The Mount Nelson. Masterful chefs were the preserve of a small elite – not the every man and woman.
Fortunately times have changed and gourmet foods, products and processes have become much more democratised thanks to television and the interwebs. As the media discovered that human beings love to watch other humans cooking, all things gourmet have seeped into our popular culture.
Another aspect that’s driving local and international gourmet markets is generational. Baby Boomers may have launched the cooking craze and nurtured it, but the Millennial generation (aged 17-34 ) are stirring the pot and taking over the kitchen. Global market research company Mintel says younger generations love cooking more than their senior counterparts, and make up for in enthusiasm what they lack in experience.
56% of Mintel respondents in the US survey who cook occasionally say cooking allows them to experiment and try new things and 27% say it helps them to explore foods eaten in other cultures. Meanwhile, 48% say cooking is a way to express affection to friends and family, and 41% enjoy teaching their children how to cook. And perhaps the simplest of reasons, 43% enjoy the process of cooking as much as eating and 40% find that preparing food helps them to relax.
“Younger cooks appear to be more interested in experimentation, with those in their 20s and 30s more likely to agree that cooking gourmet meals makes them feel sophisticated and smart, suggesting that learning to cook and cooking for friends is viewed as a way to establish credibility among their peers,” says Fiona O’Donnell of Mintel.
Locally this trend is being fuelled by the likes of online premium kitchenware store which has enjoyed massive popularity and growth since its launch, together with commercial television where consumers can enjoy a veritable visual smorgasbord of the likes of Jamie Oliver, Heston Blumenthal, Nigella Lawson and the irascible Gordon Ramsay.
As a result of the rise of the epicurean phenomenon, people who wouldn’t normally go gourmet now ‘own’ it, as non-chefs learn that preparing cordon-bleu meals in their own kitchens is a whole load of fun. Even the laziest cooks have been inspired to try different ingredients in their meals.
The popular reality show MasterChef has epitomised this trend and features self-taught or inexperienced ‘home chefs’ competing for national honours in what is a nail-biting and highly entertaining televised affair.
So it’s hats off to Woolworths who made a great strategic decision by sponsoring the South African version of the much talked-about show. By doing so the brand sets itself up as the luxury food merchandiser of choice, and the go-to venue for ‘cuisine-quality’ ingredients, creating associations in the public mind of quality, variety and freshness.
In the run-up to the programme’s launch, Woolworths featured a beautifully-produced ad that showed deliciously shot slicing, dicing, splashing and drizzling, blending and cooking of gourmet food. It is a delight to watch, and smartly established the brand’s association with the project, which was much anticipated by South African foodies, ever since the success of the UK and Australian versions. In fact, it was the Australian version that really turned South Africans on to the series; it had better production values and was designed to be much more exciting than its precursor.
South Africa’s first series suffered from a few hitches, blamed by many on a poorly chosen ‘cast’. People felt that the Deena Naidoo was not up to the task, as his prize – a restaurant at the Tsogo Sun – was beset with problems and received negative reviews. Be that as it may, the show has continued, and to their credit, Woolworths has stuck with the sponsorship. Both MasterChef and Woolworths have strong enough brands to weather these sorts of issues, and I’m looking forward to an improved second season.
The latest spot was shot—as was the previous one—by Ian Chuter of Platypus Productions. This Cape Town-based production company is no stranger to filming food and beverages, having also produced spots for Robertson’s, Carling and Schweppes.
The photography and filming of food and drink is a specialised skill – anyone who has spent any time in a kitchen knows that preparing food can be a messy business, but a skilled food stylist and cinematographer can use lighting and composition to make the ingredients and process appear seamless, yet appealing and appetising.
In the launch spot, a white backdrop was used to fit in with the Woolworths branding. White also works well with food, signifying cleanliness and lightness. But in this ad, the backdrop was switched to a slate-black, which fits in with the programme’s design elements. It’s a more modern, edgy look and the dark background creates a chiaroscuro effect, making the colours ‘pop’.
As before, the food shots are mainly about perfect lighting and creative use of slow-motion. But the producers have gone a subtle step further with this ad, using a combination of slow-motion and jump-cut style animation techniques to create visual puns and micro-stories, supported by a rhythmical soundtrack that provides motivation for exciting edit points.
At first glance, what appears to be giant slabs of rock tumbling to a heavy drumbeat, are revealed to be chocolate, offset by a swirl of molten chocolate sauce;
Cream jumps into life as the blender kicks in;
Strawberries burst onto the screen as if they cannot contain their flavour;
Chillies fall and vegetable kebabs tumble to the beat;
The story starts ‘heating up’ as the lid is removed from a Japanese steamer to reveal crisp, green pak choi;
Followed by beetroot plummeting through boiling water, trailing deep red dye;
Then cool, crisp apple slices are doused with balsamic in a quick jump-cut sequence;
Various fish, seafood and meats are juxtaposed in different stages of preparation;
A row of leeks is splashed with water, which is match-motion cut to a flame briefly singeing the leaves;
Finally, condiments and bubbling sauce complete the montage.
The simple take-out slogan is: “Recipes in-store and online” – a call to action that will inspire any foodie (or aspirant foodie) to get creative in the kitchen, with ingredients that can probably only be found at ‘Woolies’.
These spots were mainly aired during the MasterChef South Africa Programme, maximising their reach to the intended target audience: ‘foodies’ who would be inspired to try out a new recipe and be prepared to pay the premium for exotic, high quality ingredients.
Beautifully filmed, brilliantly edited, yet simple and uncluttered to watch – these ads are delicious! Plus the brand maximises its reach with targeted placement, which means all the perfect elements combine for an effective and masterful campaign – one where Woolies takes ownership of gourmet cuisine.
Platypus delivers for Woolworths .. again
Platypus Productions’ Ian Chuter behind Woolworths ad campaign promoting Masterchef
Ad Of The Week With Oresti Patricios – Ramsay’s Meaty New Campaign
Ad Of The Week With Oresti Patricios – Mnandi-licious
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Minneapolis: November 11 to November 15, 2019
Brian Setzer Orchestra 2019 Tour
I was shopping around for some of my writers to review this CD for Brian Setzer Orchestra's Wolfgang's Big Night Out, but after listening to a few songs, I love it so much …
Here are some shows taking place in the Minneapolis/St Paul area from November 11 to November 15, 2019.
BRIAN SETZER ORCHESTRA
+ The Imaginaries
I have always loved The Stray Cats. After they broke up, I continued to follow Brian Setzer in whatever projects he’s involved in.
Now in its 16th year, the annual Brian Setzer Orchestra’s “Christmas Rocks!” tour is returning to Minneapolis this November 15th.
Opening up will be Oklahoma husband / wife duo The Imaginaries (Shane Henry and Maggie McClure). The duo is the special guest for all the “Christmas Rocks!” dates.
The Brian Setzer Orchestra “Christmas Rocks! Tour” Dates With The Imaginaries:
11/15 Minneapolis, MN State Theatre
11/16 Chicago, IL The Chicago Theatre
11/17 Detroit, MI Fox Theatre
11/19 Red Bank, NJ Count Basie Center
11/20 Englewood, NJ Bergen Performing Arts Center
11/21 Springfield, MA Symphony Hall
11/23 Lynchburg, VA Academy of Fine Arts
11/24 Westbury, NY Theatre at Westbury
11/26 Washington, D.C. The Anthem
11/27 Durham, NC Durham Performing Arts Center
11/29 Orlando, FL Hard Rock Live
11/30 Clearwater, FL Ruth Eckerd Hall
12/2 Nashville, TN The Ryman
12/3 Atlanta, GA Cobb Energy Performing Arts Centre
12/4 Augusta, GA Miller Theatre
12/9 Denver, CO Paramount Theatre
12/10 Salt Lake City, UT Eccles Theatre
12/12 Ridgefield, WA Ilani Casino
12/13 Seattle, WA Moore Theatre
12/16 Oakland, CA Fox Theater
12/17 Stockton, CA Bob Hope Theatre
12/19 Phoenix, AZ Celebrity Theatre
12/20 Palm Desert, CA McCallum Theatre
12/21 Los Angeles, CA Microsoft Theater
Illenium at Skyway Theatre
Angel Olsen at First Ave
Jason Hawk Harris at 7th Street
Caamp at First Ave
Gramatik at Skyway Theatre
Jaymes Young at Fine Line
“True Blue” is the standout track from Mark Ronson’s album Late Night Feelings (available to purchase today), featuring Angel Olsen. ...
ILLENIUM
+ Said The Sky, Blanke
Mon 11/11/2019 (8pm/$49.50)
Can’t make it to Illenium’s Armory show (on Sat 11/09/2019)? No problem, you can still see their “Throwback” set at the Skyway Theatre this November 11th.
11/08/2019 Credit Union 1 Arena Chicago, IL
11/09/2019 Armory Minneapolis, MN
11/10/2019 The Sylvee Madison, WI
11/11/2019 Skyway Theatre Minneapolis, MN
11/15/2019 Stubb's Bar-B-Q Austin, TX
11/16/2019 Toyota Music Factory Irving, TX
11/17/2019 Revention Music Center Houston, TX
11/20/2019 Arvest Bank Theatre Kansas City, MO
11/23/2019 Reno Events Center Reno, NV
11/24/2019 Revolution Concert House Garden City, ID
11/27/2019 WaMu Theater Seattle, WA
11/30/2019 P.N.E. Forum Vancouver, BC
12/01/2019 Veterans Memorial Coliseum Portland, OR
12/06/2019 Pechanga Arena San Diego San Diego, CA
12/07/2019 Staples Center Los Angeles, CA
12/12/2019 Golden 1 Center Sacramento, CA
2/13/2019 Bill Graham Civic Auditorium San Francisco, CA
12/14/2019 Chase Center San Francisco, CA
12/30/2019 Decadence NYE
01/22/2020 Belly Up Aspen Aspen, CO
03/27/2020 Lollapalooza Argentina
03/27/2020 Lollapalooza Chile
04/03/2020 Lollapalooza Brazil
+ Vagabon
Angel Olsen is back at First Avenue this November 12th. Her latest album All Mirrors is out now on Jagjaguwar Records.
Nov. 10 - Lawrence, KS @ The Granada
Nov. 12 - Minneapolis, MN @ First Avenue
Nov. 13 - Madison, WI @ The Sylvee
Nov. 14 - Chicago, IL @ The Riviera Theatre
Nov. 15 - Detroit, MI @ Royal Oak Music Theatre
Nov. 16 - Toronto, ON @ Queen Elizabeth Theatre
Nov. 18 - Montreal, QC @ mTelus
Nov. 19 - Boston, MA @ Royale
Nov. 21 - Brooklyn, NY @ Brooklyn Steel
Dec. 2 - Phoenix, AZ @ The Van Buren
Dec. 3 - San Diego, CA @ Observatory North Park
Dec. 5 - Los Angeles, CA @ Palace Theater
Dec. 7 - Oakland, CA @ Fox Theater
Dec. 9 - Portland, OR @ Roseland
Dec. 10 - Vancouver, BC @ Orpheum
Dec. 11 - Seattle, WA @ Moore Theatre
Dec. 13 - Salt Lake City, UT @ The Depot
Dec. 14 - Denver, CO @ Gothic Theatre
Jan. 22 - Lisbon, PT @ Capitólio
Jan. 24 - Porto, PT @ Hard Club
Jan. 25 - Madrid, ES @ Sala BUT
Jan. 26 - Barcelona, ES @ Sala Razzmatazz
Jan. 28 - Geneva, CH @ Festival Antigel
Jan. 29 - Munich, DE @ Kammerspiele
Jan. 30 - Berlin, DE @ Huxleys Neue Welt
Jan. 31 - Copenhagen, DK @ Vega
Feb. 1 - Oslo, NO @ Rockefeller
Feb. 3 - Stockholm, SE @ Vasateatern
Feb. 4 - Gothenburg, SE @ Pustervik
Feb. 5 - Hamburg, DE @ Gruenspan
Feb. 6 - Amsterdam, NL @ Paradiso
Feb. 7 - Antwerp, BE @ De Roma
Feb. 8 - Paris, FR @ La Cigale
Feb. 10 - Bristol, UK @ SWX
Feb. 11 - London, UK @ Eventim Apollo
Feb. 13 - Manchester, UK @ O2 Ritz
Feb. 14 - Glasgow, UK @ Barrowland Ballroom
JASON HAWK HARRIS
+ The Plott Hounds
Jason Hawk Harris is touring in support of his debut album Love & the Dark. He’ll be stopping by the 7th Street Entry this November 13th.
11/09 Fort Wayne, IN The Ruin Bar
11/10 Hamtramck, MI Small's Bar
11/12 Yorkville, IL The Law Office Pub
11/13 Minneapolis, MN 7th St. Entry
12/19 San Diego, CA Soda Bar
12/20 Costa Mesa, CA The Wayfarer
CAAMP
+ Futurebirds
The upcoming Caamp show at First Avenue has sold out.
Opening will be Athens’ psychedelic country band Futurebirds, touring in support of their new album Teamwork (due out January 15, 2020).
11/12 - The Waiting Room Lounge - Omaha, NE
11/15 - Turner Hall Ballroom - Milwaukee, WI
11/16 - Thalia Hall - Chicago, IL
GRAMATIK
+ Opiuo, Balkan Bump
DJ/Producer Gramatik (aka Denis Jasarević) will be playing the Skyway Theatre this November 14 in support of his new LP RE:Coil, Pt.II.
11/07 - Eugene, OR - McDonald Theater
11/08 - Seattle, WA - Showbox SoDo
11/09 - Spokane, WA - Knitting Factory
11/14 - Minneapolis, MN - Skyway Theater
11/15 - Madison, WI - Majestic Theater
11/16 - Chicago, IL - Riviera Theater
11/17 - Grand Rapids, MI - Intersection
11/20 - Pittsburgh, PA - Stage AE
11/21 - Boston, MA - House of Blues
11/22 - Philadelphia, PA - The Fillmore
11/23 - Brooklyn, NY - Avant Gardner
+ Phil Good
Jaymes Young is headlining the Fine Line Music Café this November 15th.
Show up early to check out Los Angeles singer/songwriter Phil Good.
11/09/2019 Imperial Vancouver, BC
11/10/2019 Neumos Seattle, WA
11/13/2019 Bluebird Theater Denver, CO
11/15/2019 Fine Line Music Cafe Minneapolis, MN
11/16/2019 Bottom Lounge Chicago, IL
11/17/2019 El Club Detroit, MI
11/21/2019 The Bowery Ballroom New York, NY
11/22/2019 The Sinclair Cambridge, MA
11/23/2019 Baby's All Right Brooklyn, NY
11/24/2019 U Street Music Hall Washington, DC
Posted at 09:55 AM in Angel Olsen, Balkan Bump, Blanke, Brian Setzer, Caamp, Futurebirds, Gramatik, Illenium, Jason Hawk Harris, Jaymes Young, Minneapolis, Minneapolis Music Guide, Opiuo, Phil Good, Plott Hounds, Said The Sky, The Imaginaries, The Stray Cats, Vagabon, Vu | Permalink | Comments (0)
Minneapolis: November 14, 2015
Here are some shows taking place in the Minneapolis/St Paul area on November 14, 2015.
Hey Rosetta!
It's that time of the month again! That's right, the Communion Club Night is taking place on Tuesday, April 21st. This month will feature Canadian band Hey Rosetta!, they previously opened up for Stars last November 2014. …
Yukon Blonde
Yukon Blonde: Stairway. Dine Alone Music Copyright: (C) 2012 Yukon Blonde. Under exclusive license to Dine Alone Music Inc. …
Saturday, 11/14/2015, 7pm ($12)
On Saturday November 14th two fine Canadian bands from opposite ends of the country will perform at the Triple Rock Social Club in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The headliner, Hey Rosetta!, is from St. John’s, Newfoundland, while Yukon Blonde, the opener, is based in Vancouver, British Columbia. The two previously toured together in 2012. Fittingly, given their vast geographical separation, they are a bit of a yin-yang pairing, but both can be riveting.
Hey Rosetta! is the dark side of the pairing. Their music is at times subdued, and at times anthemic, but always dramatic and moving, often with a sense of sadness. They feature classical instruments (piano, violin, and cello) in addition to more traditional rock instruments. They have released four albums, the first in 2006, and the most recent, Second Sight, in 2014. The latest tour is in celebration of the band's 10 year anniversary.
In contrast, Yukon Blonde resides in the light. Their first album, a 2010 self-titled release was pure pop joy, with some amazing hooks and great harmonies. Their most recent album, “On Blonde” released this year, changes things up a bit but still preserves their energy and brightness. With layers of synths on top of their guitar-driven songs, it is more likely to get the audience up and dancing than their previous efforts.
11/07/15 Victoria, BC McPherson Playhouse
11/09/15 Edmonton, AB Winspear Centre
11/10/15 Calgary, AB Jack Singer
11/11/15 Saskatoon, SK Broadway Theatre
11/12/15 Winnipeg, MB Garrick Centre
11/14/15 Minneapolis, MN Triple Rock
11/16/15 London, ON London Music Hall
11/17/15 Kitchener, ON Centre In The Square
11/19/15 Kingston, ON Grand Theatre
11/20/15 Toronto, ON Massey Hall
11/21/15 M Pour Montreal
11/21/15 Montreal, QC Virgin Mobile Corona
11/22/15 Ottawa, ON National Arts Centre
11/25/15 Saint John, NB Kent Theatre
11/27/15 Halifax, NS Rebecca Cohn
Gogol Bordello is back with Pura Vida Conspiracy, coming out July 23, 2013, on ATO/Casa Gogol Records. Check out this RollingStone.com .…
If you have an iPod or iPad, you can grab the single to "Tired Oak" by Jessica Hernandez & The Deltas for free on iTunes. …
Start wearing purple, wearing purple!
Gogol Bordello is back celebrating the 10th Anniversary of Underdog World Strike with a double-night at First Avenue. They are playing the entire album from start to finish, plus throwing in some classic hits for this special show. Also, typically when they double book the venue, it is because they anticipate the shows to sell out. Expect the venue to be sold out or at least 90% packed with fellow gypsy punks.
Jessica Hernandez & The Deltas to open. Hernandez was previously in town as part of the special Red Bull Sound Select, which was at an unbeatable price of $3 with RSVP.
11/07/15 Austin, TX Auditorium Shores
11/08/15 Dallas, TX Bomb Factory
11/09/15 Tulsa, OK Cain's Ballroom
11/12/15 Madison, WI Barrymore Theatre
11/15/15 Winnipeg, MB Burton Cummings
11/18/15 Edmonton, AB Shaw Conference
11/19/15 Calgary, AB MacEwan Hall Ballroom
11/21/15 Vancouver, BC Commodore Ballroom
11/23/15 Portland, OR McMenamins Crystal
11/28/15 Las Vegas, NV Brooklyn Bowl
12/30/15 New York, NY Terminal 5
01/01/16 Washington, DC 9:30 Club
Island Records recently signed alt-rock trio Pepper, releasing their self-titled sixth album yesterday (September 3rd) with a new single called "F**k Around (All Night)". …
Elephant Revival
Colorado's Elephant Revival and the Lowest Pair are currently heading down to "Boats & Bluegrass Festival" and "Maximum Ames Music Festival" in late September, but before stopped …
Colorado's Dirty Gold is the new album from Angel Haze (aka Raykeea Wilson), it is coming out March 3rd, 2014, on Island Records (UK)/Universal Republic (US). …
at Various Venues
news.weheartmusic.com
It's a typical Saturday night with too many shows in the Minneapolis and St Paul area.
I've spotlighted some of the upcoming shows below:
Illinois pop punk and GRAMMY-nominated, multi-platinum Plain White T's was recently in town in June 2015, supporting Rob Thomas, but will be headlining their own show at Mill City Nights. Matt McAndrew and Beta Play to open ($20/8pm).
You know me, I love Stray Cats and frontman Brian Setzer is responsible for not only bringing back rockabilly, but also swing music with his Brian Setzer Orchestra band. They'll be in town as part of their annual Christmas Tour tradition at Orpheum Theatre. ($53/8pm).
PS The band recently put together a PledgeMusic campaign to produce a limited edition Rockin' Rudolph box sets. Unfortunately only the T-Shirts and the regular box set is available for purchase, see all the details at pledgemusic.com.
Inventive DJ/producer duo The Chainsmokers recently launched their fan-sourced, #TiltTour.... going to cities where they are in demand (with the first 6 cities to pre-sell at least 800 tickets). Count Minneapolis as one of the demanded cities, as they stop in at the Skyway Theatre. Matoma, Shaun Frank and Louis The Child to open. ($20/7pm).
San Diego, by the way of Hawaii, band Pepper (not to be confused with Sandra "Pepa" Denton or London singer Pepper) will play the Fine Line Music Café with their two amigos Ballyhoo! and Katastro. ($23.50/7pm)
Elephant Revival is returning to the Twin Cities at Turf Club in Saint Paul. LOTT (aka Minneapolis musician, Leah Ottman of We Are The Willows) to open. ($17/8pm/Sold Out).
Two-time "Best Female Hip Hop Artist" MTV VMA nominee Angel Haze will be stopping by The Nether Bar inside Mill City Nights ($15/8pm).
robert + vu (vu@weheartmusic.com) ♥ weheartmusic.com ♥ twitter.com/weheartmusic
Posted at 12:00 AM in Angel Haze, Ballyhoo, Beta Play, Brian Setzer, Elephant Revival, Gogol Bordello, Hey Rosetta!, Jessica Hernandez, Katastro, LOTT, Louis The Child, Matoma, Matt McAndrew, Minneapolis, Minneapolis Music Guide, Pepper, Plain White T's, Robert, Shaun Frank, The Chainsmokers, The Stray Cats, Vu, Yukon Blonde | Permalink | Comments (0)
11/17/07 Turning Stone Casino Verona, NY
11/18/07 State Theatre Easton, PA
11/20/07 Count Basie Theatre Red Bank, NJ
11/21/07 Beacon Theatre New York, NY
11/23/07 Orpheum Theatre Boston, MA
11/24/07 North Fork Theatre Westbury, NY
11/29/07 Keswick Theatre Glenside, PA
11/30/07 Foxwoods Casino Mashantucket, CT
12/03/07 Oneida Casino Oneida, WI
12/04/07 Potawatomi Casino Milwaukee, WI
12/07/07 Fillmore Detroit Detroit, MI
12/08/07 Odawa Casino Resort Petoskey, MI
12/09/07 Paramount Theatre Aurora, IL
12/11/07 Fillmore Auditorium Denver, CO
12/12/07 Isleta Casino Showr Alburquerque, NM
12/14/07 Mesa Arts Center Mesa, AZ
12/16/07 Spotlight Casino Coachella, CA
12/18/07 Wells Fargo Center Santa Rosa, CA
12/21/07 Gibson Amph Universal City, CA
12/23/07 Joint at the Hard Rock Las Vegas, NV
12/27/07 Chumash Casino Santa Ynez, CA
12/28/07 Table Mountain Casino Fresno, CA
12/29/07 Paramount Theatre Oakland, CA
Brian Setzer Orchestra - Take a Break Guys (An Adaptation of the Traditional 'God Rest Ye Merry
I was shopping around for some of my writers to review this CD for Brian Setzer Orchestra's Wolfgang's Big Night Out, but after listening to a few songs, I love it so much that I've decided to be greedy and write the review myself.
So, as you know, Brian Setzer made rockabilly cool with The Stray Cats (well some would argue that rockabilly has always been cool!). Then Setzer made Swing music cool with "Jump Jive 'n' Wail", with his new orchestra band.
This time, he's decided to transform classical music with a "big band" sound and make it accessible and hip.
Trust me when I tell you that you know ALL the songs. You might not happen to know all the song titles and who wrote what, but you've all heard these songs.
Despite knowing the music already, Setzer really modernize it and add his own twist and take in his adaptions of the songs.
All the titles are cleverly retitled. For instance, "Symphony No. 5" is renamed "Take the 5th", while my favorite "God Rest Ye Merry Men" is retitled "Take a Break Guys".
"Take a Break Guys" is easily the best reimagined song, with its clash of brass instruments, double bass, and an electric guitar. This traditional song is made fun again!
The other really good song is "For Lisa" (based on Beethoven's "Fur Elise"), with it's perky violins, flutes, and acoustic guitar. I've also decided to dedicate that song to Lisa :)
I think we will have to touch base with The Stray Cats in another entry for the future, since they have such a rich history and songs to choose from - it wouldn't be fair to devote half the article to them on a review of Wolfgang's Big Night Out.
But, as a special bonus, I am including some old Stray Cats favorites and that infamous swing song.
Brian Setzer Orchestra - For Lisa (An Adaptation of Ludwig Van Beethoven's 'Fur Elise')
Stray Cats - Rock This Town
Stray Cats - Stray Cat Strut
Brian Setzer Orchestra - Jump, Jive & Wail
Wolfgang's Big Night Out is released last month (September 25th) by Surfdog Records, and can be purchased at most music retail stores.
10/28/2007 07:49:37 vu my♥posts vu@weheartmusic.com www.briansetzer.com www.straycats.com
Posted at 07:53 AM in Brian Setzer, The Stray Cats, Vu | Permalink | Comments (6)
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Search: Artist=Brahm Revel
Guerillas Vol. 02 SC
(Oni Press Inc.)
Critically acclaimed cartoonist Brahm Revel continues his tale of primate military prowess! Private John Francis Clayton's strange tour of duty in Vietnam gets stranger as he struggles with the unbelievable facts he is faced with. The elite platoon of simian soldiers he's encountered don't make any more sense to him than the war he's been sent to fight, but is this squad of chain-smoking chimps the most dangerous force in the jungle or are they merely a distraction from the larger evil growing in the wild? [(W/A/CA) Brahm Revel]
Discover the secret origins of Adolf, Goliath and the rest of the simian squad as Dr. Heisler struggles to regain control of an increasingly dangerous situation in the jungles of Vietnam. When the land itself turns against the troops, death and destruction will follow in their wake.
Southeast Asia, 1970. A troop of experimental chimpanzee soldiers have escaped from the U.S. Army and into the jungles of Vietnam. Despite being free from their captors, the chimps have continued to do exactly what they were trained to do... kill. But as memories of a time before the war begin to surface, the chimps are forced to question why they are fighting at all. In the thrilling finale to the series, their past finally catches up with them when they come face to face with their most fearsome enemy yet, a vengeance filled baboon named Adolf.
Guerrillas Vol. 01 SC
(W/A) Brahm Revel Private John Francis Clayton is on his first tour of duty in Vietnam, facing death at every turn in the middle of a war he doesn't understand. Clayton is just trying to stay alive when he encounters an entire platoon of... simian soldiers?! This squad of chain-smoking chimps is the most dangerous fighting force in the jungle... but whose side are they on?
Marvel Knights: X-Men - Haunted SC
It's a gritty mutant murder mystery told by talented creator Brahm Revel (Guerillas)! Wolverine, Kitty Pryde and Rogue travel to a backwoods town to save new mutants' lives. But their help may not be welcome - and the murderer may be closer to them than they think. In a small cabin in the woods, the X-Men find a young mutant learning to control her powers - but she's not alone! As the X-Men are ambushed by a horde of super villains and two new mutants' powers begin to spiral out of control, can the heroes save an entire town? Or as infighting threatens to pit teammate against teammate, will the scattered and manipulated X-Men fall to an army of foes ripped from their own minds? What happens when your past comes backto kill you? Collecting Marvel Knights X-Men #1-5. [(W/A/CA) Brahm Revel]
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Jennika #1 [2020]
(IDW Publishing)
Trying to acclimate to life as a mutant, the newest Turtle Jennika embarks on a solo adventure that will force her to come to terms with both her troubled past and conflicted present. Not to mention a brand new villain! Brahm Revel (Guerrillas) returns to reveal more of Jennika's backstory from his acclaimed TMNT Universe tale What is Ninja?!
Jennika journeys deeper into the NYC underworld in search of a dangerous procedure to reverse mutation. Will Jennika be tempted by the call of her old life, and how far will she go to save those who gave up on her long ago?
Jennika's collision with her past reaches its climax as old enemies return! Alone and seemingly outmatched, Jennika must search inside herself and ask if the cure for mutation is worth the price...
TMNT: Jennika II #3 (incentive 1:10 cover - Hannah Templer)
Deep underground, Jennika comes face-to-face with the source of the new mutant monsters plaguing New York City! To save her community, Jennika will have to confront a TMNT villain she has never fought before!
SRP: $ Your Price: $4.00
incentive variant
IDW Publishing Marvel Comics Oni Press Inc.
PublisherSub
t Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles X-Men
20200325 actionadv superhero war
Brahm Revel
Brahm Revel Hannah Templer
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William Zachery
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All American Season 1 Episode 12
HD 1080p | IMDBSTREAM.XYZ
Spencer tries not to repeat the mistakes of his past with his relationship with Layla and Olivia struggles with her sobriety. Billy reveals to Laura something he did to protect his family, while Coop has conflicted emotions about reuniting with her father.
Serie: All American
Guest Star: Aaron Joseph, Asjha Cooper, Demetrius Shipp Jr., Doreen Calderon, Friday Chamberlain, Hunter Clowdus, Iman Karram, James Black, Judith Scott, Paige McGarvin
Episode Title: Back in the Day
Infographics and archival footage deliver bite-size history lessons on scientific breakthroughs, social movements and world-changing discoveries.
Watch in HD
The unscrupulous world of the Greenleaf family and their sprawling Memphis megachurch, where scandalous secrets and lies are as numerous as the faithful. Born of the church, the Greenleaf family…
I am Luna
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Genre: Kids, Soap
Forced to become an apprentice cop, cocky playboy Igor finds he’s got a knack for police work. But his job soon takes him down a dark personal path.
When the fate of their world, Ninjago, is challenged by great threats, it’s up to the ninja: Kai, Jay, Cole, Zane, Lloyd and Nya to save the world.
Genre: Action & Adventure, Animation, Comedy, Family, Sci-Fi & Fantasy
Marcella is shocked to the core of her being when her husband Jason leaves her unexpectedly, confessing he no longer loves her. Heartbroken, Marcella returns to the Met’s Murder Squad….
A story of revenge and ambition, seduction and betrayal; all told from the perspective of an offended and abused woman named Altagracia. Altagracia represents the hundreds of thousands of Mexican…
Sheriff’s deputy Rick Grimes awakens from a coma to find a post-apocalyptic world dominated by flesh-eating zombies. He sets out to find his family and encounters many other survivors along…
This thriller and coming-of-age drama follows the journey of an extraordinary young girl as she evades the relentless pursuit of an off-book CIA agent and tries to unearth the truth…
Human Discoveries
A group of friends living at the dawn of human civilization are the first to discover necessities like fire and the wheel. We’ll watch as they stumble onto humanity’s best,…
New York City in the 1970s was ruled with a bloody fist by five mafia families, until a group of federal agents tried the unthinkable: taking them down.
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Omitted variable fraud: vast evidence for solar climate driver rates one oblique sentence in AR5
IPCC Solar
Alec Rawls
Guest post by Alec Rawls
“Expert review” of the First Order Draft of AR5 closed on the 10th. Here is the first paragraph of my submitted critique:
My training is in economics where we are very familiar with what statisticians call “the omitted variable problem” (or when it is intentional, “omitted variable fraud”). Whenever an explanatory variable is omitted from a statistical analysis, its explanatory power gets misattributed to any correlated variables that are included. This problem is manifest at the very highest level of AR5, and is built into each step of its analysis.
Like everyone else who participated in this review, I agreed not to cite, quote or distribute the draft. The IPCC also made a further request, which reviewers were not required to agree to, that we “not discuss the contents of the FOD in public fora such as blogs.”
Given what I found—systematic fraud—it would not be moral to honor this un-agreed to request, and because my comments are about what is omitted, the fraud is easy enough to expose without quoting the draft. My entire review (4700 words) only contains a half dozen quotes, which can easily be replaced here with descriptions of the quoted material. Cited section numbers are also easy to replace with descriptions of the subjects addressed. And so with Anthony’s permission, here is the rest of my minimally altered review:
Introduction to the “omitted variable fraud” critique, continued
For the 1750-2010 period examined, two variables correlate strongly with the observed warming (and hence with each other). Solar magnetic activity and atmospheric CO2 were both trending upwards over the period, and both stepped up to much higher levels over the second half of the 20th century. These two correlations with temperature change give rise to the two main competing theories of 20th century warming. Was it driven by rapidly increasing human release of CO2, or by the 80 year “grand maximum” of solar activity that began in the early 1920’s? (“Grand minima and maxima of solar activity: new observational constraints,” Usoskin et al. 2007.)
The empirical evidence in favor of the solar explanation is overwhelming. Dozens of peer-reviewed studies have found a very high degree of correlation (.5 to .8) between solar-magnetic activity and global temperature going back many thousands of years (Bond 2001, Neff 2001, Shaviv 2003, Usoskin 2005, and many others listed below). In other words, solar activity “explains,” in the statistical sense, 50 to 80% of past temperature change.
Such a high degree of correlation over such long time periods implies causality, which can only go one way. Global temperature cannot be driving solar activity, so there must be some mechanism by which solar activity is driving or modulating global temperature change. The high degree of correlation also suggests that solar activity is the primary driver of global temperature on every time scale studied (which is pretty much every time scale but the Milankovitch cycle).
In contrast, records of CO2 and temperature reveal no discernable warming effect of CO2. There is a correlation between atmospheric CO2 and temperature, but with CO2 changes following temperature changes by an average of about 800 years (Caillon 2003), indicating that it is temperature change that is driving atmospheric CO2 change (as it should, since warming oceans are able to hold less CO2). This does not rule out the possibility that CO2 also drives temperature, and in theory a doubling of CO2 should cause about a 1 degree increase in temperature before any feedback effects are accounted, but feedbacks could be negative (dampening rather than amplifying temperature forcings), so there no reason, just from what we know about the greenhouse mechanism, that CO2 has to be a significant player. The one thing we can say is that whatever the warming effect of CO2, it is not detectable in the raw CO2 vs. temperature data.
This is in glaring contrast to solar activity, which lights up like a neon sign in the raw data. Literally dozens of studies finding .5 to .8 degrees of correlation with temperature. So how is it that the IPCC’s current generation of general circulation models start with the assumption that CO2 has done 40 times as much to warm the planet as solar activity since 1750? This is the ratio of AR5’s radiative forcing estimates for variation in CO2 and variation in total solar effects between 1750 and 2010, as listed in [the table of RF estimates in the chapter on human and natural temperature forcing factors]. RF for CO2 is entered as ___ W/m^2 while RF for total solar effects is entered as ___ W/m^2. [I’m not going to quote the actual numbers, but yeah, the ratio is an astounding 40 to 1, up from 14 to 1 in AR4, which listed total solar forcing as 0.12 W/m^2, vs. 1.66 for CO2.]
So the 50% driver of global temperature according to mountains of temperature correlation data is assumed to have 1/40th the warming effect of something whose warming effect is not even discernable in the temperature record. This is on the input side of the GCM’s. The models aren’t using gigaflops of computing power to find that CO2 has that much larger a warming effect. The warming ratio is fixed at the outset. Garbage in, garbage out.
The “how” is very simple. The 40 times greater warming effect of CO2 is achieved by blatant omitted variable fraud. As I will fully document, all of the evidence for a strong solar magnetic driver of climate is simply left out of AR5. Of the many careful empirical studies that show a high correlation between solar activity and climate, only three papers are obliquely referenced in a single sentence of the entire First Order Draft. On [page___, line ____ of the chapter on aerosols and clouds] there is a bare reference to three papers that found unspecified correlations to some climate variables, with no mention of the dramatic magnitude of the correlations, or the scope and repetition of the findings. And that’s it. Not a single other mention in the entire report. A person reading AR5 from cover to cover would come away with not even a hint that for more than ten years a veritable flood of studies have been finding solar activity to explain something on the order of half of all past temperature variation. The omission is virtually complete.
As a result, AR5 misattributes virtually all of the explanatory power of solar-magnetic activity to the correlated CO2 variable. This misattribution can be found both in AR5’s analytical discussions and in its statistical estimations and projections, and the error could not be more consequential. If it is solar-magnetic activity that drives climate then the sun’s recent descent into a state of profound quiescence portends imminent global cooling, possibly rapid and severe, and unlike warming, cooling is actually dangerous and really can feed back on itself in runaway fashion.
Nothing could be more perverse in such a circumstance than to unplug the modern world in a misbegotten jihad against CO2. The IPCC’s omitted variable fraud must stop. AR5’s misattribution of 20th century warming to CO2 must stop. The evidence overwhelmingly supports the solar-magnetic warming theory. The only support for the CO2 theory is the fact that models built on it can achieve a reasonable fit to the last couple centuries of temperature history, but that is only because CO2 is roughly correlated with solar activity over this period, while these models themselves are invalidated by their demonstrable omitted variable fraud. If warming is attributed to solar-magnetic effects at all in accordance with the evidence then the warming that is left to attribute to CO2 becomes utterly benign.
With natural temperature variation almost certainly both substantially larger than CO2 effects, and headed in the cooling direction, the expected external value of CO2 is unambiguously positive. If anything, we should subsidizing and promoting increases in atmospheric CO2, exactly the opposite of the draft report’s opening claim that developments since AR4 “… [summary conclusion about scientists supposedly being more sure than ever (thanks to the absence of any 21st century warming?) that the effects of human activity are the primary climate concern].”
As someone who recognizes the scientific errors in this disastrous report, I can at least make sure that the issue is put properly before the authors of AR5. Thus I am documenting as concisely as possible the solar-magnetic omission and the errors it leads to. The discussion is substantial but I have kept it well under the character limit for a single comment. This comment is being submitted as a top-level comment on AR5 as a whole, and it is being submitted unaltered as a comment on three different sub-chapter headings where the omitted solar-magnetic evidence ought to be taken into account: ____, ____, ____ [a subheading in the paleo-data chapter, a subheading in the chapter on clouds and aerosols, and a subheading in the radiative forcing chapter].
A sample of the omitted evidence
Listed below are a few of the most prominent and compelling studies that have found a strong correlations between solar activity and climate, together with a semi-random collection of similar findings, totaling two dozen citations all together. It would be easy to list two dozen more, but the purpose here is just to show a sample of the omitted evidence, in order to document up-front the existence and validity of it. Included are brief descriptions of the findings for about ten of the studies. None of the observed correlations are reported anywhere in AR5. The first four are the ones I mentioned above:
Bond et al. 2001, “Persistent Solar Influence on North Atlantic Climate During the Holocene,” Science.
Excerpt from Bond: “Over the last 12,000 years virtually every centennial time scale increase in drift ice documented in our North Atlantic records was tied to a distinct interval of variable and, overall, reduced solar output.”
Neff et al. 2001, “Strong coherence between solar variability and the monsoon in Oman between 9 and 6 kyr ago,” Nature.
Finding from Neff: Correlation coefficients of .55 and .60.
Usoskin et. al. 2005, “Solar Activity Over the Last 1150 years: does it Correlate with Climate?” Proc. 13th Cool Stars Workshop.
Excerpt from Usoskin: “The long term trends in solar data and in northern hemisphere temperatures have a correlation coefficient of about 0.7 — .8 at a 94% — 98% confidence level.”
Shaviv and Veizer, 2003, “Celestial driver of Phanerozoic climate?” GSA Today.
Excerpt from Shaviv: “We find that at least 66% of the variance in the paleotemperature trend could be attributed to CRF [Cosmic Ray Flux] variations likely due to solar system passages through the spiral arms of the galaxy.” [Not strictly due to solar activity, but implicating the GCR, or CRF, that solar activity modulates.]
Plenty of anti-CO2 alarmists know about this stuff. Mike Lockwood and Claus Fröhlich, for instance, in their 2007 paper: “Recent oppositely directed trends in solar climate forcings and the global mean surface air temperature” (Proc. R. Soc. A), began by documenting how “[a] number of studies have indicated that solar variations had an effect on preindustrial climate throughout the Holocene.” In support, they cited 17 papers: the Bond and Neff articles from above, plus:
Davis & Shafer 1992; Jirikowic et al. 1993; Davis 1994; vanGeel et al. 1998; Yu&Ito 1999; Hu et al. 2003; Sarnthein et al. 2003; Christla et al. 2004; Prasad et al. 2004; Wei & Wang 2004; Maasch et al. 2005; Mayewski et al. 2005; Wang et al. 2005a; Bard & Frank 2006; and Polissar et al. 2006.
The correlations in most of these papers are not directly to temperature. They are to temperature proxies, some of which have a complex relationship with temperature, like Neff 2001, which found a correlation between solar activity and rainfall. Even so, the correlations tend to be strong, as if the whole gyre is somehow moving in broad synchrony with solar activity.
Some studies do examine correlations between solar activity proxies and direct temperature proxies, like the ratio of Oxygen18 to Oxygen16 in geologic samples. One such study (highlighted in Kirkby 2007) is Mangini et. al. 2005, “Reconstruction of temperature in the Central Alps during the past 2000 yr from a δ18O stalagmite record.”
Excerpt from Mangini: “… a high correlation between δ18O in SPA 12 and D14C (r =0.61). The maxima of δ18O coincide with solar minima (Dalton, Maunder, Sporer, Wolf, as well as with minima at around AD 700, 500 and 300). This correlation indicates that the variability of δ18O is driven by solar changes, in agreement with previous results on Holocene stalagmites from Oman, and from Central Germany.”
And that’s just old stuff. Here are four random recent papers.
Ogurtsov et al, 2010, “Variations in tree ring stable isotope records from northern Finland and their possible connection to solar activity,” JASTP.
Excerpt from Ogurtsov: “Statistical analysis of the carbon and oxygen stable isotope records reveals variations in the periods around 100, 11 and 3 years. A century scale connection between the 13C/12C record and solar activity is most evident.”
Di Rita, 2011, “A possible solar pacemaker for Holocene fluctuations of a salt-marsh in southern Italy,” Quaternary International.
Excerpt from Di Rita: “The chronological correspondence between the ages of saltmarsh vegetation reductions and the minimum concentration values of 10Be in the GISP2 ice core supports the hypothesis that important fluctuations in the extent of the salt-marsh in the coastal Tavoliere plain are related to variations of solar activity.”
Raspopov et al, 2011, “Variations in climate parameters at time intervals from hundreds to tens of millions of years in the past and its relation to solar activity,” JASTP.
Excerpt from Raspopov: “Our analysis of 200-year climatic oscillations in modern times and also data of other researchers referred to above suggest that these climatic oscillations can be attributed to solar forcing. The results obtained in our study for climatic variations millions of years ago indicate, in our opinion, that the 200- year solar cycle exerted a strong influence on climate parameters at those time intervals as well.”
Tan et al, 2011, “Climate patterns in north central China during the last 1800 yr and their possible driving force,” Clim. Past.
Excerpt from Tan: “Solar activity may be the dominant force that drove the same-phase variations of the temperature and precipitation in north central China.”
Saltmarshes, precipitation, “oscillations.” It’s all so science-fair. How about something just plain scary?
Solheim et al. 2011, “The long sunspot cycle 23 predicts a significant temperature decrease in cycle 24,” submitted astro-ph.
Excerpt from Solheim: “We find that for the Norwegian local stations investigated that 30-90% of the temperature increase in this period may be attributed to the Sun. For the average of 60 European stations we find ≈ 60% and globally (HadCRUT3) ≈ 50%. The same relations predict a temperature decrease of ≈ 0.9°C globally and 1.1−1.7°C for the Norwegian stations investigated from solar cycle 23 to 24.”
First paleo chapter error: omitting all solar variables besides TSI
The paleo-observations chapter is the right place for the evidence for a solar-magnetic climate driver to be introduced because most of this evidence is obtained from the deposition of cosmogenic isotopes in various paleologic strata: ice cores, geologic cores and tree rings. When solar activity is strong, less galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) is able to penetrate the solar wind and reach earth, making variation in cosmogenic isotopes found in time-indexed strata a proxy for solar activity. But when this chapter does get around to looking at cosmogenic records, it only looks at how they can be used to reconstruct total solar irradiance (TSI). It never even hints at the flood of studies that show a high degree of correlation between solar activity and various paleo proxies for climate and temperature!
This takes place [in the addendum that asks whether the sun is a major climate driver]. This addendum mentions the long-period changes in TSI that go with orbital variation (Milankovitch cycles), a factor which hasn’t changed enough since 1750 to account for any significant amount of the warming since that date. Neither can TSI changes from changes in the sun’s output of electromagnetic radiation be responsible for significant recent warming because, as solar activity jumps dramatically up and down over the roughly 11 year solar cycle, solar output is known to remain remarkably stable, varying only .1 to .2%.
Thus, concludes the addendum, the sun cannot be responsible for any significant amount of the warming since 1750. But it is only able to reach this conclusion by completely omitting any consideration those solar variables other than TSI that could be affecting global temperature. Unlike TSI, solar wind speed and pressure vary considerably over the solar cycle and between solar cycles. So do the Ap index and the F10.7cm radio flux progression, while the GCR that the solar wind modulates (measured by neutron counts at Climax, Oulu and other locations) can vary by a full order of magnitude over the solar cycle. In contrast, TSI varies so little that it is called “the solar constant.” If there is a mechanism by which solar variation is driving global temperature, it is most likely to work through those solar variables that actually vary significantly with solar activity. Yet the discussion in the addendum pretends that these other solar variables do not even exist.
So that’s the first error in the paleo-chapter addendum: pretending to have addressed the range of possible solar effects while studiously neglecting to mention that there are a bunch of solar variables that, unlike TSI, vary tremendously over the solar cycle and might affect our climate in ways that we do not yet understand. We in-effect live inside of the sun’s “atmosphere,” the extended corona created by the sun’s magnetic field and the solar wind. AR5 simply assumes that this solar environment has no effect on global climate, and they do it by rank omission of the relevant variables. The omitted variable problems that result are not an accident. They are omitted variable fraud.
Second paleo-chapter error: the highly irrational assumption that temperature would be driven by the trend in solar activity rather than the level
Perhaps in an effort to justify ignoring all solar variables other than TSI, the paleo-chapter addendum ends with what it presents as a general reason to dismiss the possibility that solar variation made any significant contribution to late 20th century warming by ANY mechanism:
[The statement here it the familiar claim that, because solar activity was not rising over the second half of the 20th century, it cannot possibly be responsible for late 20th century warming. I wrote a series of posts last year documenting the number of anti-CO2 alarmists who make this amazing claim, that it is not the level of forcing that creates warming, but the rate of change in the forcing. See for example, “Solar warming and ocean equilibrium Part 3: Solanki and Schuessler respond.”]
TSI peaks at the high point of the solar cycle just as the other solar variables do, so no matter what solar variable is looked at, it can’t have been the cause of recent warming, because none of these variables showed any upward trend over this period, right? Wrong. That’s like saying you can’t heat a pot of water by turning the flame to maximum and leaving it there, that you have to turn up the flame sloooooowly if you want the water to heat. It is incredible to see something so completely unscientific in AR5, passing as highly vetted science.
And the “flame” did stay on maximum. Again, there was an 80 year “grand maximum” of solar activity starting in the early 1920’s (Usoskin 2007).
[WUWT interjection for Leif and others who deny that there was a 20the century grand maximum of solar activity: if 20th century solar activity was merely “high instead of exceptional” (Muscheler 2007), it makes no difference to the argument here, as I explain in a postscript at the bottom.]
By claiming that solar activity would have had to keep rising in order to cause late 20th century warming, AR5 is in-effect assuming that by the late 70’s the oceans had already equilibrated to whatever temperature forcing effect the 20th century’s high level of solar activity might have. Otherwise the continued high level of solar activity would have caused continued warming.
Claims of rapid ocean equilibration have been made (Schwartz 2007), but they don’t stand up to scrutiny. In order to get his result, Schwartz used an energy balance model with the oceans represented by a single heat sink. That is, he assumed that the whole ocean changed temperature at once! Once you move to a 2 heat sink model where it takes time for heat to transfer from one ocean layer to another (Kirk-Davidoff 2009), rapid temperature adjustment of the upper ocean layer tells us next to nothing about how long it takes for the ocean to equilibrate to a long term forcing. [For an in-depth comparison of one heat-sink and the two heat-sink energy balance models see Part 2 of my ocean equilibration series.]
The paleo-temperature record is typified by multi-century warming and cooling phases, suggesting that equilibration can easily take centuries, making it ludicrous to assume that the warming effect of a grand maximum that began in the 1920’s must have been spent by 1970 or 1980 or by any particular date.
So no, there is no way to save the utterly incompetent argument in the paleo-chapter addendum that a solar driver of temperature can only cause warming when it is on the increase. If solar wind pressure or GCR does in some way drive global temperature, there is every reason to believe that it would have continued to warm the planet for as long as solar activity remained at grand maximum levels. There is no excuse for the IPCC to be omitting these variables, which are much more likely than TSI to be responsible for the high observed degree of correlation between solar activity and climate. For the paleo chapter to be tenable, all of the now massive evidence that there is some mechanism by which solar activity is driving most temperature change must be laid out in full.
Technical note: misattribution is assigned manually in AR5, but the concept is the same as for purely statistical omitted variable fraud
If TSI and the other solar variables all move roughly together, won’t omitting the solar variables other than TSI cause their explanatory power to be attributed to TSI rather than CO2, since they are more closely correlated with TSI than with CO2?
In a purely statistical estimation scheme yes, but the IPCC uses a combination of parameterized elements and estimated elements, and amongst the parameterized elements are the radiative forcings of CO2 and TSI, meaning that their relative warming effects are parameterized as well, with CO2 being assigned 40 times the warming effect of TSI over the 1750 to 2010 period.
This parameterization means that the explanatory power of the omitted solar magnetic variables gets attributed forty parts to CO2 for every one part to TSI. This structure forces the misattribution onto CO2. You can think of it as a manual assignment of the misattribution.
The general concept of the omitted variable remains the same. There is only so much attribution for warming to go around (100%). If attribution is given to the solar-magnetic variables in accordance with the evidence from the historic and paleo records, meaning at least 50%, then there less than 50% that can possibly be attributable to other causes.
Which again brings the scientific competence of IPCC into question. If CO2 has 40 times the warming effect of the 50% driver of global temperature (total solar effects), that makes it what? The 2000% driver of global temperature?
The chapter on aerosols and clouds inverts the scientific method, using theory to dismiss evidence
Where the paleo chapter simply pretends that no solar variable other than TSI exists, the chapter on aerosols and clouds doesn’t have that option. It is tasked to address directly the possibility that variables like the solar wind and GCR could be affecting climate. But this chapter still comes up with a way to avoid mentioning any of the massive evidence that there must be some mechanism by which solar activity is driving climate. Just as it starts to touch on the subject, it jumps instead to examining the tenability of particular theories about the mechanism by which solar activity might drive climate.
This happens right at the beginning of [the section that discusses the possible interplay between cosmic radiation, aerosols and clouds]:
[The quote here is the first two sentences under this sub-chapter heading. The first lists three papers as finding non-specific correlations between cosmogenic isotopes and various climate variables. The second sentence executes an immediate transition to a discussion of the evidence for particular mechanisms by which solar activity might drive global temperature.]
The first sentence of this quote is as close as AR5 comes to making any mention of overwhelming evidence that there is SOME mechanism by which solar activity drives global temperature. The citations suggest some correlations between solar activity and climate, but the strength of the correlations and how well established they are is completely obscured, and that’s it. Bare reference to three papers (author and year) with virtually nothing about what they found. The second sentence effects the transition into looking at the evidence for particular theories of possible mechanisms by which solar activity might effect climate. A short discussion later the evidence for these particular mechanisms is asserted (quite tendentiously) to be “[not strong enough]” for the mechanisms to “[have a significant effect on climate]” (page __, line __). This proclaimed weakness in turn becomes the rationale for omitting the proposed mechanisms from the IPCC’s general circulation models, and hence from the projections that are made with those models.
What do the AR5 draft authors do with the overwhelming evidence that there is SOME mechanism at work that makes solar magnetic the primary driver of global temperature? They don’t like the particular theories offered, but they have to still acknowledge that SOME such mechanism must be at work, don’t they? But readers don’t know about that evidence. It was skipped over via that one sentence of oblique references to a few papers that made unidentified findings, allowing AR5 to continue as if the evidence doesn’t exist. They never mention it again. They never account it in any way. It is GONE from AR5. The authors declare their dissatisfaction with the available theories for how solar activity might drive climate, and use this as an excuse to completely ignore the massive evidence that there is some such mechanism at work.
This is an exact inversion of the scientific method, which says that evidence always trumps theory. The IPCC is throwing away the evidence for a solar-magnetic driver of climate because it isn’t satisfied with the theories that have been proposed to account for it. This is the definition of anti-science: putting theory (or ideology, or anything) over evidence. Evidence has to be the trump card, or its not science. The IPCC is engaged in pure, definitional, anti-science, precisely inverting the scientific method.
It is as if a pre-Newtonian “scientist” were to predict that a rock released into the air will waft away on the breeze because we understand the force that the breeze imparts on the rock but we have no good theory of the mechanism by which heavy objects are pulled to the ground. We should therefore ignore the overwhelming evidence that there is some mechanism that pulls heavy objects to the ground, and until such time as we can identify the mechanism, proceed as if no such mechanism exists. This is what the IPCC is actually doing with the solar-climate evidence. Y’all aren’t scientists. You are actual, definitional, anti-scientists.
More anti-science: the aerosols and clouds chapter repeats the second paleo-chapter error
You know what I’m talking about: that bit about thinking that a climate driver can only cause continued warming if its own level continues to increase. The clouds and aerosols chapter says again that just leaving a proposed climate driver on maximum can’t possibly cause warming (page___, lines ___):
“_____ _____ _____ _____ ____”
And that’s the end of the section, AR5’s punctuation mark on why solar activity and GCR should be dismissed as an explanation for late 20th century warming.
This is anti-scientific in its own way. Scientists are supposed to be smart. They aren’t supposed to think that you have to slowly turn up the flame under a pot of water in order to heat it. You could collect every imbecile in the world together and not a one of them would ever come up with the idea that they have to turn the heat up slowly. It’s beyond stupid. It’s like, insanely stupid. And multiple chapter-writing teams are proclaiming the same nonsense? Fruitcakes.
Okay, I guess that means I’m ready to wrap up. Y’all have taken all these tens of billions in research money and used it perpetrate a fraud. As I have documented above, you have perpetrated the grandest and most blatant example of omitted variable fraud in history, but so far only the skeptic half the world knows it. You still have a shot, before global cooling is an established fact, to make a rapid turn around and save some shred of your reputations. But if AR5 comes out insisting that CO2 is a dominant warming influence just as global cooling is proving that the dominant climate driver is our now-quiet sun, then you all are finished on the spot. You’ll still have your filthy lucre, but the tap is going to turn off, and your reputations will be destroyed forever.
Can you imagine a worse juxtaposition? Still waging war on CO2 as the sun is already proving that CO2 is entirely beneficial? And this is what the evidence says is going to happen, all of that evidence that you have been so studiously omitting. I’m eager for your embarrassment, but I would much rather see you save yourselves, so that the needed policy reversals can some that much sooner. The anti-CO2 policies that your fraudulent “science” has supported are right now destroying the world economy. You idiots are killing our future. Please wake up and try to save your own reputations before your lunatic anti-science ruins us all.
End of review
“Omitted variable fraud” is the more fundamental critique
It is common for those who are swayed by the evidence for solar-climate driver to frame their protest against the IPCC’s dismissal of the evidence by protesting the short shrift the IPCC gives to the theories of how those effects might work. Here, for instance, is Tim Ball’s 2008 critique of AR4:
…they studiously avoided any discussion of the clear relationship between sunspot activity and temperature. They claimed there was no mechanism to explain the correlation so it could not be included, but that is incorrect. A very valid mechanism known as the Cosmic Theory (Svensmark and Calder, “The Chilling Stars”) has been in the literature with increasing detail since 1991. The date is important because IPCC claimed it was excluded because it was not published in time to meet their cut off date for consideration.
In other words, AR4 did exactly the same thing that AR5 is doing. They used the supposed lack of a sufficient theory for how a solar magnetic driver worked as an excuse not to present the overwhelming evidence that some such mechanism is a potent driver of global climate (a ruse that I documented in submitted comments on the Second Order draft of AR4, and TAR pulled the same trick as well.)
Ball’s response—that there actually is a pretty good theory—is perfectly correct, but it skips past the deeper point: that there can never be any excuse for “studiously [avoiding] any discussion of the clear relationship between sunspot activity and temperature.” The “omitted variable fraud” critique directly exposes and attacks this excuse making. Empirical evidence, the raw data, is supposed to be the ultimate arbiter. If any excuse is used to shunt the evidence aside, it’s no longer science.
We also know the consequences of this fraudulent anti-science. Omission of any variable with known explanatory power (regardless of whether the mechanism is understood) creates misattribution of the same magnitude. It’s a first order mistake.
In contrast, giving short shrift to the GCR-cloud theory is a lesser problem. So long as the IPCC’s predictive scheme attributes recent warming to solar activity in accordance with past patterns it isn’t a big deal whether a particular solar-temperature mechanism is modeled or not. At least the known explanatory variables are not being omitted and we are down to second order errors instead of first order errors.
Note that it is not necessary to invoke any theory. Predictions of future solar activity, for instance, are not based on physical models, but are purely a projection of past patterns, and this is sufficient to avoid first order error. Avoid the omitted variable fraud, account the known explanatory power of the solar-magnetic variables in any reasonable way, and big mistakes are avoided.
For the fraudsters, big mistakes are the whole point. Only with big mistakes can our eco-leftist “scientists” wage their war against industrial capitalism. Only big mistakes can give mainstream-left politicians the vast energy taxes that they eye as a treasure trove and allow them to channel hundreds of billions of dollars in wind and solar subsidies to their friends and backers.
But it’s an easy fraud to expose. Pretty much everyone who has ever taken a first course in statistics is familiar with the omitted variable problem. That is every undergraduate economics major, every business major, every science major, and most other social science majors. Right now, most of these people believe it when they are told that they can’t check the facts for themselves, that they just have to trust (or not trust) the credentialed climate scientists. But it is not true. Not only can they check the facts for themselves, but it is trivially easy.
All they need to do is scan a selection of the many empirical findings that solar-magnetic activity “explains” in the statistical sense something like half of past temperature change, then observe that all solar magnetic variables are in fact omitted from the IPCC models. It’s right there the RF table for each area report, where total solar effects are parameterized as having some tiny fraction of the warming effect of CO2. Then bingo. They know that powerful solar-warming effects are being misattributed to the coincidentally correlated CO2. They have checked the facts for themselves, at which point the voices of authority insisting that they cannot check the facts for themselves instantly become the Wizard of Oz, ordering them to ignore the man behind the curtain. Not even trusting little Dorothy fell for that.
Fundamental and accessible. That’s why I have trying to push the “omitted variable fraud” critique for many years. Anthony has a bigger bullhorn than I have had access to in the past, so maybe it will get out there this time!
If Leif is right that sunspot counts since 1945 should be reduced 20%, it does not alter the above analysis in any significant way
My review cites Usoskin’s claim that solar activity was at “grand maximum” levels from about 1920-2000. Frequent WUWT contributor Leif Svalsgaard denies that the recent peak in solar activity was a “grand maximum,” arguing that Max Waldmeier’s post-1945 sunspot counting scheme yields numbers that are about 20% too high.
If solar activity from 1945 to 2000 was merely “high instead of exceptional” (Muscheler 2007, whose cosmogenic proxies for solar activity extend through 2001), the narrative here is not significantly altered. As my review reiterates, you don’t have to keep turning the flame up under a pot of water to cause warming. Coming out of the Maunder Minimum/ Little Ice Age, if what the paleo-data says is the primary driver of global temperature remained at a high setting for most of a couple of centuries, that should cause continued warming. To actually argue that solar forcing has to continue rising in order to cause continued warming (the IPCC just asserts it) you’d have to argue that oceans had already equilibrated to the forcing, but there is no evidence for that, while the history of planetary temperature suggests that equilibration can take several centuries.
It is true that some of the strongest correlations between solar activity and temperature have short lags, on the order of ten years, but rapid responses to short term changes in solar-magnetic activity do not militate against longer term responses to longer term forcings. On the contrary, short term responsiveness implies longer term responsiveness, just as the rapid response of daytime temperatures to the rising sun implies that the longer term increase in insolation as the seasons change towards summer should cause seasonal temperature change (which of course it does).
For present purposes, it doesn’t matter whether solar activity quickly jumped up to high levels after Maunder and stayed mostly at those levels until the end of the 20th century (with the notable exceptions of the Dalton Minimum and the turn of the 19th century lull), or whether solar activity over the second half of the 20th century really did ascend to the highest levels seen since 9000 BC (Usoskin). As far as we know, either scenario could easily account for the modest amount of warming in question.
That’s an unexceptional .7° C from 1600 to the 1961-90 average according to Moberg 2005 , or .5° between 1750 to 1961-90. That 1961-90 temperature average is the HadCRUT3 zero point. HadCRUT3 reached a peak of .548 in 1998 and has fallen a couple of tenths since, so altogether there was a peak of about a 1° increase over the IPCC’s 260 year study period (now down to about .8°) which is nothing unusual in the ups and downs of global temperature.
There is no reason to think that the sun could only be responsible for this unexceptional temperature increase if there had been 50 years of the highest solar activity since 9000 BC. Of course the IPCC thinks that any steady level of solar activity over the second half of the 20th century rules out a solar explanation for the small amount of warming over that period on grounds that the level of solar activity didn’t keep going up to even more extreme levels, but they’re just a bunch of fruitcake anti-scientists.
Submitted review contains one inaccuracy that is corrected in the review posted above
My submitted review claimed that the only reference in the First Order Draft to the vast evidence for a solar-climate driver comes in a single sentence that makes an oblique reference to a single research paper. In the corrected review above, that becomes a single sentence making oblique reference to three research papers.
Two of the papers only look at solar-climate correlations over the second half of the 20th century and hence are inherently unable to draw strong conclusions. I guess I was thinking that the only “real” citation was to the survey paper that actually addresses the paleo-data. But those details are irrelevant to the point I was trying to make—that a reader of AR5 is given no hint of what is in any these papers—and no clue that numerous studies point to solar activity as the primary driver of global temperature. The submitted review quotes the full sentence, so it isn’t hiding anything, but it isn’t fully accurate.
So that’s the price of procrastination. It was just before the submission deadline and I had a reunion dinner to rush off to so I was not able to vet as thoroughly as I would have liked. Still, this is the only actual screw-up in my submitted review: it isn’t one oblique reference to a single paper, but one sentence obliquely referencing three papers. With the draft report unavailable to WUWT readers I don’t want to put forward any mischaracterizations, so I made the correction and am footnoting it here.
The posting here also fixes some typos, adds links to some of the cited papers, adds some formatting that was unavailable on our Excel submission form, and touches up the presentation in a few spots.
Tags: climate, climate change, GCM, Global climate model, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Radiative forcing, Solar variation
An Open Letter to Dr. Linda Gundersen
Tesla's Electric "brick" problem
LabMunkey
Wow,. This’ll take some time to re-read thoroughly.
IF this is accurate it would explain a lot and could actually remove any last trace of scientific credibility the theory Has.
If it’s wrong, i think you’ll find yourself in hot water.
Steptoe Fan
I fear for all of us if the depth and weight of this outline is, in fact, what AR5 will be hiding.
Philip Bradley
There are in all likelihood multiple omitted variables, or mis-attributed variables. I’d include both stratospheric aerosols and tropospheric aerosols in that category.
Otherwise, I agree. To argue that because measured warming (or other climate effect) isn’t caused by A, B or C, it is therefore caused by D (GHGs) is a logical fallacy that pervades scientific papers and GW discussions.
Where is the direct evidence that GHGs cause the observed warming. In truth there is very little direct evidence.
In short: while the 11 year sun spot cycles may not have an influence over centennial climate evolution, the wider “grand maximum – grand minimum” has a long lasting influence on the Earth magnetic field that shields more or less cosmic rays.
Cloud formation is directly influenced by cosmic rays, although a quantitative relationship remains to be established (does somebody knows if one is available?).
A simple model calculation shows that for each % increase of cloudiness (the ratio of Earth surface covered by clouds) the surface temperature will increase by approx. 0.5 °C, quite a high positive sensitivity.
But cloudiness is one on the least precisely measured climate variables. It impacts not only on temperature but also on rainfalls, another interesting topic.
More research is needed…
Geoff Sharp
A good example of stealth by design. The IPCC and their followers on the gravy train use TSI as a blocking device that would be employed by any supporting sophist enlisted in the fallacy of AGW.
This topic will be the Achilles heal that eventually wears down the rhetoric of man made warming Armageddon. Alec mentions several times the solar/magnetic variables, which of course includes the massive UV variations of 30-100% that have major consequences on atmospheric teleconnections, which cannot be dismissed.
Yes there is the Waldmeier factor that needs to be realized when looking at SSN, but there is no doubt solar activity has been on the upward slope since 1900, this is part of the normal powerwave or Gleissberg cycle that occurs on a regular basis, but importantly this cycle is tempered by solar grand minima of differing strength. To ignore this wave is ludicrous.
http://tinyurl.com/2dg9u22/images/powerwave3.png
Markus Fitzhenry
This is going to be great. Enlightenment is not far away for the climate science community. The good white ants are getting active.
How many more hits can AGW take before it is deceased?
Shevva
I guess your new to this as they will simple ignore you I’m sorry to say.
Scottish Sceptic
I am reminded of the Press Complaints Code of Conduct for editors where public defense for publishing material is given as:
1. The public interest includes, but is not confined to:
i) Detecting or exposing crime or serious impropriety.
ii) Protecting public health and safety.
iii) Preventing the public from being misled by an action or statement of an individual or organisation.
1. Is there serious impropriety … clearly yes
2. Does it affect public health and safety. 2.3million people in the UK will die over the next century due to winter cold. Estimates suggest a quarter of Scotland’s population died in the 1690s during the last Maunder minimum. 2.3million is as close to a holocaust. If the denial of solar causality of climate leads to even a fraction of these deaths, those involved will be responsible for some of the biggest man-slaughters in history.
3. The public are clearly being misled by the statements from the IPCC.
In science, you cannot pick and choose the evidence you consider. You may explain why you reject certain evidence or certain interpretations, but you must give the reader the information to be able to follow that logic themselves … because in science, anyone can be wrong. Except the f[snip] IPCC.
p gosselin
The IPCC 5th report is going to repeat the same shenanigans we saw in AR4. The IPCC cannot justify ignoring the sun based on that they don’t understand the amplification mechanism, but at the same time claim that CO2 has massive positive feedbacks without having a clue how it does.
My knowledge is zero on this, so my opinion is meaningless. However, I do find it uncomfortable that the IPCC etc say the suns influencew is so small. Taking it as gospel that we have had a strong solar maximum through the end of the 20th century, and the fact that the sun is weakening and temps have leveled off, is it wise to dismiss it?
Ken Harvey
An excellent review, but that bit is priceless.
DirkH
Thanks for these clear words and the clear reasoning. I have no illusion as to whether the IPCC will react, but hopefully the IPCC as a whole, and its lackays at the PIK, CRU, GISS and NCAR can be isolated and neutralized so that its Hexenhammer 5.0 will fail to damage the world’s economies further.
Spectacular article.
This is more important than the whole AR5 report.
William M. Connolley
How nice to see some attempt at discussing science. But, there is a lot wrong here.
> These two correlations with temperature change give rise to the two main competing theories
No. That seems to be a common misconception, but the theories start with the physical processes, not with the correlations.
> “grand maximum” of solar activity that began in the early 1920′s? (“Grand minima and maxima of solar activity: new observational constraints,” Usoskin et al. 2007.)
Usoskin says nothing about climate, and presents no figures that allow you to see what has happened in the 20th C – the scale shown is too large. And for our purposes there is nothing new there, because the 20th C measurements were known before.
Which brings in the second obvious point: although you’ve ref’ed a few new papers, there isn’t actually anything new here. All you’ve written could have been – and I suspect, has been – written about IPCC AR4. So while the AR5 FOD might be an exciting “newsy” peg to hang this story on, it would have been better written in the context of AR4, which is conveniently publically available.
And since you haven’t actually addressed any of the attribution arguments for 20th C change they gave there, all this is besides the point.
> prominent and compelling studies that have found a strong correlations between solar activity and climate… Bond et al. 2001, “Persistent Solar Influence on North Atlantic Climate During the Holocene,
Day is warmer than night. Winter is colder than summer. The ice age cycles are locked to astronomical forcing. No-one doubts that solar forcing affects climate, in general. So listing any number of studies that agree with this gets you nowhere. You need to actually address *recent* change.
It is hard enough facing the bitter dawn, when it involves facing the fact your fiancee is a fraud. It is all the harder after the marriage, and Europe is definately in bed with bozos.
If I understand you correctly, you are claiming that even if solar activity [sunspots, TSI, magnetic activity, comic rays] has been constant since 1700, the rise in temperature since the Little Ice Age would still be the result of this constant solar activity. You may wish to consult the paper by Schrijver et al http://www.leif.org/EOS/2011GL046658.pdf “[22] Therefore, we argue that the best estimate of the magnetic flux threading the solar surface during the deepest Maunder Minimum phases appears to be provided by direct measurement in 2008–2009.”
The fact that models have been more or less correct for the past 200 years is that they were made to fit that time so prove AGW. The mind set of scientists who do this show what a dream world they live in. The warming since 1750 is due to recovery from the LIA which was completely natural.
The Temperature/CO2 causation is certainly driven by temperature but there can be no intermediate feedbacks from CO2 to increase temperature, unless you believe in time travel. CO2 is the innocent bystander leapt on by the climate police because its there.
Good critique but I wonder why an economist was asked to review a climate chapter. It only goes to show that ‘The Delinquent Teenager…….’ book is correct with its reporting, and well worth a read.
“You need to actually address *recent* change.”
That is the point – there is none. We are at the ‘Peak’ From here it is all down
R Mackey
That is excellent advice to the IPCC. Even so there is a lot more to the sun/climate relationship.
The main thing is that to understand how the Sun regulates the Earth’s climate dynamics, it is necessary to (1) examine all of the ways: electromagnetic radiation; matter; electromagnetic field; gravitational field; the shape of the Sun; and the topological structure of the heiosphere; (2) the interaction effects between these and between how they affect climate dynamics; and (3) use methods of quantitative analysis that are appropriate for non-linear dynamics.
I analysed a lot of papers about relationships between the Sun and climate dynamics. This can be found in:
Mackey, R., (2009). “The Sun’s role in regulating the earth’s climate dynamics”, Energy and Environment Vol 20 No. 1, 2009; pps 25 to 73.
This paper introduces this thesis:
The Sun-Earth system is electromagnetically, magneto-hydrodynamically and
gravitationally coupled, dominated by significant non-linear, non-stationary
interactions, which vary over time and throughout the three-dimensional structure
of the Earth, its atmosphere and oceans. The essential elements of the Sun-Earth
system are the solar dynamo, the heliosphere, the lunisolar tides, the Earth’s inner
and outer cores, mantle, crust, magnetosphere, oceans and atmosphere. The Sun-
Earth system is non-ergodic (i.e. characterised by continuous change, complexity,
disorder, improbability, spontaneity, connectivity and the unexpected). Climate
dynamics, therefore, are non-ergodic, with highly variable climatological features
at any one time. A theoretical framework for considering the role of the Sun in
relation to the Earth’s climate dynamics is outlined and ways in which the Sun
affects climate reviewed. The forcing sources (independent variables) that
influence climate processes (dependent variables) are analysed. This theoretical
framework shows clearly the interaction effects between and amongst the two
classes of variables. These seem to have the greatest effect on climate dynamics.
Climate processes are interconnected and oscillating, yielding variable
periodicities. Solar processes, especially when interacting, amplify or dampen
these periodicities producing distinctive climatic cycles. As solar and climate
processes are non-linear, non-stationary and non-ergodic, appropriate analytic
methodologies are necessary to reveal satisfactorily solar/climate relationships.
The email address I gave in that paper is no more.
If any one wants the paper, please email me at lemniscatexyz@gmail.com
John Peter
“You need to actually address *recent* change.” Sounds to me as if Mr. Connolly is reverting back to the “Hockey Stick” as the obvious answer is “What about the medieval warm period”? That period cannot easily be categorised at “recent”.
I am not able to evaluate Alex Rawls’ response to AR5 draft, but I have a suspicion that considering the persons involved in drafting the document, this is essentially an application for the extension of financial support for climate research. Think of what would happen if suddenly the sun was considered a major climate determinant? The funding would dry up. That would be untenable for a lot of climate researchers. They would have to think of something else to do.
William M. Connolley says:
“No-one doubts that solar forcing affects climate, in general.”
Try to understand the term solar-magnetic.
“So listing any number of studies that agree with this gets you nowhere.”
I think you are expressing the IPCC’s position here very accurately. But it’s an anti-scientific position.
Did the physics change recently?
richard verney
A good and interesting article, but I guess few will be surprised by the approach adopted by the IPCC given its political nature. If the IPCC was more scientific, given the ever increasing evidence and suspicions that there may be little if any further rise in temperatures for the next 20 to 30 years, one would have expected it to be more circumspect and to suggest that other natural drivers may have some role to play. Adopting the political stance ‘that it is CO2 stupid’ may hasten its downfall since it may look very foolish in just 6 to 10 years time. .
I have been pointing out for a long time that it is one of the greatest PR victories that Joe Public has the impression that the temperature record shows over whelming correlation with the levels of CO2 when in fact there is no correlation whether in the recent past during the instrument record, or on a geological time scale. I am pleased to see someone of note make that point.
The basic physics of CO2 as a GHG provides that there must always be an increase in temperature when concentrations of CO2 increase. Likewise, if CO2 levels fall, then temperature must always fall. This is the basic properties of CO2 as a GHG.
Yet look at the instrument record. See for example
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:1850/to:2011
In broad terms, one notes the following:-
(i) a steady rise in temps until about 1880 in circumstances where there was no discernable increase in CO2.
(ii) Then there was a fall in temps until about 1918 in circumstances where there was no discernable decrease in CO2.
(iii) Between 1919 and 1942, there was an increase in temperatures in circumstances where there was no discernable increase in CO2.
(iv) Between 1942 and 1980, there was a fall in temperatures in circumstances where there was increase in CO2. THIS IS ANTI CORRELATION. Between 1981 and 1998, there was an increase in temperatures in circumstances where there was an increase in CO2, however, it is noteworthy that the rise in temperatures during this period when CO2 is said to be a driver is no greater than the period between 1919 and 1942 when there was no CO2 driven temperature rise. Between 1999 and 2011, there has been no increase in temperature whilst CO2 levels have increased.
Looking at this record, no reasonable person looking at the instrument record would conclude that there is a correlation between CO2 and temperature, still less that CO2 drives temperatures. If nothing else, the anti correlation between 1942 and 1980 when temperatures fell despite a rise in CO2 levels coupled with the fact that the rate of temperature increase between 1981 and 1999 when CO2 levels were increasing is no greater than the rate of temperature increase between 1919 and 1942 when there was no significant rise in CO2 levels runs counter to the claimed premise that CO2 drives temperature.
The author suggests that models do a reasonable job at hindcasting over the last couple of centuries. This is not so. They only do so because of the introduction of fudge factors the appropriateness for which is highly moot.
Again, if one considers the geological record, again there is no correlations. There are periods when temperatures remain broadly static not withstanding fluctuations in CO2 levels. More significantly there are periods of anti correlation when temperatures are seen to rise and yet CO2 levels are falling, and also periods when temperatures are seen to be falling whilst CO2 levels a re rising. If this anti correlation were not problem enough to the extent that there is broad similarities between temperature and CO2, it appears that CO2 lags temperature and is therefore not a driver but rather a response.
Against such background, it is incredible that there is so much traction for the simple correlation in the real world that CO2 drives temperatures.
In my opinion, this all got off the ground because some bright spark though it appropriate to fit a straight linear trend line through the instrument period temperature record. In my opinion, no mathematician would have thought it appropriate to fit a straight line through that record and this error has hidden what appears to be natural cycular temperature variations.
Because of the simple physics of CO2 as a GHG, every year when there is a rise in CO2 and no corresponding rise in temperature an explanation is required. If the explanation is temperature rises in fits and starts then that is a concession that natural variation dominates over CO2 as the primary driver of temperature.
Whilst I would be very surprised if the sun does not have a significant role in temperature fluctuations, presently, I have seen no convincing evidence supporting its role still less explaining it. In my opinion, we have still a lot to be learnt and understood.
I didn’t read past that William to know the rest of your comment was rhetoric. While you are here wanting to talk about the science, how about you put your monika on the ‘backradiation’ theory here and now, so we can discuss it.
Baa Humbug
Response from the review editor..
“Talk to the hand.”
Kevin Hearle
Alec Rawls post is seriously important because of the implications for policy already implemented on the basis of “fraudulent” scientific evidence. The fraud is already perpetrated in earlier reports and these should be carefully analysed to attribute the crime to those involved. The magnitude of the financial implications let alone the misery caused to the poor by Emissions Trading Schemes and Cap and Trade are mind boggling. The perpetrators must be held to account. The IPCC must be defunded immediately and the UNFCCC closed down.
It is not as if the perpetrators both political and scientific are unintelligent, they are both politically and academically astute. However they have been caught out again in mixing ideology with the fraudulent use of science. The shame of this on scientists goes further than Peter Gliecks mind explosion this is akin to Justice Mahon’s description of the Air New Zealand management evidence in the Erebus disaster enquiry “an orchestrated litany of lies”. Perhaps an “orchestrated litany of omission” is an updated version more apt in this circumstance.
Governments must now step in and bring those responsible to account, there is adequate legislation in most of the western world to put a stop to this fraud. They must also bring down the UN generated bureaucracy that continues to fuel the IPCC UNFCCC and Kyoto etc.
Governments must re think every policy implementation based on the fraud of CO2 induced global warming, climate change call it what you will. The reason is clear a government policy based on a fraud is a fraud against the people governed.
It’s a big week in climate science!!!!!!!!!!
Robert of Ottawa
Not if the *recen*t changES are nothing unusual – which I suggest is the case – you disprove it.
Grey lensman
Somebody said
Bangs head against wall and states, sorry (snip)
I have to agree with William M. Connolley . The important question is what caused the 1970 to 2000 measured warming.
An analysis that focused on this period would make a more compelling argument.
The GCR theory is plausible, although I favour tropospheric aerosol reductions as the main cause of the 1970-2000 warming. But then GCRs and aerosols seed clouds in similar ways. So what seems to evidence for one may be evidence for the other.
Pierre Gosselin has reported that Professor Arthur Rorsch has also made some comments critical of AR5.
http://notrickszone.com/2012/02/21/dutch-scientist-says-5th-report-draft-exemplifies-worst-features-of-science-calls-for-a-critical-review/#comments
Alan the Brit
Dismissing Solar Activity as a Climate Driver because TSI didn’t increase constantly over the late 20th C is just plain daft & unscientific. I use the central heating analogy (forgive me if I have said this before), but when you come home to a cold house at night with no heating on, you go & turn it on to get warm. It may be -1°C outside & only say 1-2°C inside, depending upon the thermal efficiency of the house constructions & insulation, the efficiency of the boiler, etc it could take anything up to an hour before the house temp reaches a comfortable temperature let alone an optimum 20°C. So a fairly constant heat output takes time to raise temperature, it isn’t instant which is what the IPCC seem to want to fall back on which is illogical!
Juraj V.
There is actually no correlation between CO2 and temperature except the latest warm AMO cycle, onto which are the models fitted, failing both before and after. CO2 and GISP2 core data as a good proxy for NH does not fit at all. We saw just a limited natural variation, nothing more.
MAVukcevic
To do science properly it is required, if possible to identify direct evidence from verifiable data, and when such evidence is found then it should be extended to the more distant past by using various proxies.
I have looked into data since 1880 to 2011, and there is no evidence that the sunspot periodicity affects global temperature (NASA-GISS, HadCRU & NOAA average) to any significant degree.
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/SpecComp.htm
It is important to make a point that sunspot cycle as expressed by the SSN is not comprehensive metric for the total of the solar output, hence there appear to be strong indication that temperature changes and the solar activity are in a certain degree of synchronisation, but the mechanism is still eluding the mainstream science, while some of us on the fringes have (or think to have) a pretty good idea what that mechanism may be.
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/CET-NVa.htm
You need to address recent change, else it must be CO2!
The IPCC needs to:
– Consider the evidence for the influence of solar variables, all of them.
– Incorporate above into the theory they run with.
Kurt in Switzerland
This posting suggests some powerful evidence contradicts the “mainstream” AGW view, as reported by an expert reviewer, i.e., an insider. It also touches on recently-reported scandals about gross data misrepresentation, ommission, and cherry-picking (something which both warmists and skeptics regularly accuse the opposite camp of doing).
The essence of this post should be presented to major newspapers and blogs, then robustly debated on its scientific merits (by scientists, but for the general public to view). The matter is too important to sweep under the rug. It matters not that the author of the post is not a ‘climate scientist’ per se, but rather an expert in statistics – he refers to studies by climate scientists.
Please, no head counts. Nobody cares how many oppose his points: the only important thing is whether he is right or wrong, whether the arguments are backed by data and logic.
Leif want’s to calibrate sunspotnumber, but how to calbrate it? How to calibrate solarwind from times when we did not measure it. The only right way to do it is calibtate it with solar proxydata. Because sunspotnumbers wont tell everything. We have proxy of cosmic rays and other ways to find real solar activity so it’s better to make them to correlate with each other.
Otherwise my opinion is that climate sensitivity to CO2 is zero, null, none = 0
LazyTeenager
Alec says
Such a high degree of correlation over such long time periods implies causality, which can only go one way. Global temperature cannot be driving solar activity, so there must be some mechanism by which solar activity is driving or modulating global temperature change
This is a logic fail. If two separate things are trending together it’s does not follow that one causes the other.
Example: let’s say yellow shoes become fashionable and the number of people wearing yellow shoes trends up. But it’s also the start of summer so temperatures are also trending up. Does this mean wearing yellow shoes makes the air warmer?
If you answer yes go and sit in the corner.
Another grumble I have is the use of term “solar activity”. This is potentially misleading due to its vagueness and I have the suspicion deliberately so.
Henry Galt
Sorry, I am a realist. The feedback from politicians’ desire to tax the very air we breath via the funding of predetermined science that supports their agenda overwhelms any forcing from rational argument, whether weak or, as in this case, strong.
Jim Cripwell
A really excellent article from Alex Rawls. It is a pleasure to read, now written properly, some of the critique I tried to persuade Nigel Calder to make when the AR4 was written.
However, I have one major criticism to level at this review, and I hope Alex reads this. I find the foillowing in this paper.
“and in theory a doubling of CO2 should cause about a 1 degree increase in temperature before any feedback effects are accounted.”
This mistake is made over and over again. There is a belief that this “no-feedback” climate sensitivity of CO2, yielding a 1 C rise in surface temperature, is based on sound science. It is not. No-feedback climate sensitivity is a hypothetical, meaningless number, and the way it is estimated assumes that the “structure of the atmosphere remains unaltered”, or in other words, the estimation can be made by only looking at radiation effects. This assumption has never been justified, and is, I believe, just plain wrong. The lapse rate changes under the effects of GHGs.
Lazy Teen says:
Applies perfectly to the coincidental rise in temperature over the past century and a half followed by the rise in CO2.
Brent Hargreaves
Magnificent posting, Mr. Rawls.
The possibility remains that, regardless of the demolition of the IPCC’s pseudoscience, the watermelons in charge of public policy will carry on regardless. Do we have any way of judging whether government scientific advisors – in the ministries – are open to scientific argument?
I’ll send a hard copy of this post to the UK’s ‘finest’ in the hope that they’ll react with a loud, “Holy mackerel! It’s the sun, not CO2! And it’s getting colder. Stop the windmill programme!” If they’re members of the Hockey Team, they’ll chuckle darkly and mutter, “Science, schmience, we’ll carry on decarbonising the economy come what may.”
> You need to actually address *recent* change
Seems to have been a fair amount of misunderstanding of that. The change you need to explain is this; the last 100 years or so. Pretending that isn’t real consigns you to la-la land, where nothing you say will have any impact on science, because you’re too far off base.
> The basic physics of CO2 as a GHG provides that there must always be an increase in temperature when concentrations of CO2 increase
Shows an acceptance of basic GHE physics which puts you above 50% (at least) of the people here, but wrong. The basic physics shows that increasing CO2 increases the radiative forcing. That doesn’t translate into a monotonic temperature increase in the real world, because of natural variability – we expect the day-to-day and year-to-year temperature to exhibit fluctuations on top of the forced trend (err, as do this who want to attribute the trend to solar forcing).
> Between 1919 and 1942, there was an increase in temperatures in circumstances where there was no discernable increase in CO2.
That is just weird. You’re not allowed to make up your own facts (see e.g. http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/graphics/siple-gr.gif).
> Between 1942 and 1980, there was a fall in temperatures in circumstances where there was increase in CO2. THIS IS ANTI CORRELATION
Um, yes. How clever of you to notice. I wonder if the IPCC noticed? Well, yes of course they did. You need to actually read what they have written and argue against it, not just write your stuff in a vacuum.
Incidentally, the idea that the IPCC ignores solar forcing is trivially disprovable by just reading the reports.
An excellent piece. It perfectly illustrates the depths these non-scientists are willing to go to in order to defend their AGW religion.
It is bad enough to see science debased in this way but, as the author mentioned, this fraud threatens the future wellbeing of humanity. Here in the UK, aged pensioners who cannot pay inflated electricity bills have died due to the freezing temperatures. Fortunately there’s a good chance that Chris Huhne will end up behind bars. But it won’t be for his real crimes.
I think that any politician that does not practice due diligence (as Steve McIntyre often says) in the field of climate change/energy policy is guilty of criminal neglect. And that includes you, David Cameron.
Olavi says:
Otherwise my opinion is that climate sensitivity to CO2 is zero, null, none = 0″
Insofar it is limited to it’s change to the density of atmospheric volume.
4 eyes
Interesting commentary and it seems quite convincing but I am just an engineer and it was a lot to digest. Mr Rawls seem to think the IPCC is a scientific body – it is not. It is an international panel on climate change that was created on the assumption that CO2 is causing global warming. That was its starting point – it was not created to prove that climate change is occurring as a result of burning fossil fuels. So all of its publications are going to be presented to support the notion that CO2 causes global warming otherwise the panel has no reason to exist. The nasty thing about all this is that the general public and politicians still think the IPCC is a scientific body carefully trying to prove if CO2 is mankind’s enemy when in fact it assumes that it is. That is why any offer to IPCC hanger-ons to debate or seriously discuss the science is never accepted. I do not know of any high profile SCIENTIFIC organisation that has been given the task of independently establishing if adding CO2 to the atmosphere is net good or net bad for the planet and humankind. The only work being done in this regard is by people on the gravy train, who have no option but to reach certain conclusions, and by other sturdy individuals using whatever means that they can muster to just find some truth. AR5 must be audited and challenged by challenging the IPCC to demonstate its independent scientific standing, which it cannot do of course because it is not a scientific institution. Mr Rawl’s efforts are to be applauded. It is a very important point that the IPCC is totally confused on the basic calculus regarding things that are rate dependent and things that have no time component. i.e. it takes time to heat the water (and, scarily, it takes time to cool) but the expansion is instantaneous with respect to temperature change.
Re the variables, there are so many at play yet IPCC have historically given weight to just one for the obvious reason that the only reason they exist is because a few scientists suggested CO2 would cause catastrophic destruction to the world and they wanted the glory of saving it.
William Connolley Slapped Down:
William Connolley… for years kept dissenting views on global warming out of Wikipedia, allowing only those that promoted the view that global warming represented a threat to mankind. As a result, Wikipedia became a leading source of global warming propaganda, with Connolley its chief propagandist.
His career as a global warming propagandist has now been stopped, following a unanimous verdict that came down today through an arbitration proceeding conducted by Wikipedia. In the decision, a slap-down for the once-powerful Connolley by his peers, he has been barred from participating in any article, discussion or forum dealing with global warming. In addition, because he rewrote biographies of scientists and others he disagreed with, to either belittle their accomplishments or make them appear to be frauds, Wikipedia barred him — again unanimously — from editing biographies of those in the climate change field.
Why are all the dishonest folks on the alarmist side? Schneider, Mann, Connolley, Jones, Gleick, the list goes on and on. The answer seems to be, at least in part, that the planet is not cooperating with their scare stories. Nothing unusual is occurring. None of their predictions of disaster have happened. To the contrary, more CO2 is verifiably greening the planet. It seems these dishonest people have to deceive the public in order to keep their baseless scare alive, rather than admitting the truth: they were simply wrong.
Nicola Scafetta
The extremely good correlation between temperature patterns and solar/astronomical patterns has been extensively proven in my numerous papers. At least 40-70% of the warming observed since 1900 can be associated to solar activity in one way or in another.
The empirical models and harmonic models based on solar/astronomical cycles explain climate variability far better than any CO2 based IPCC model : see the references below and here. Actually, in my papers it is expensively proven that the IPCC GCM models (such as the GIS modelE, for example and all the others) do not get any of the patterns that can be identified in the data. Those models just produce some noise around an upward trend driven by anthropogenic emissions.
If the IPCC has ignored the relevant literature pointing toward the existence of a major solar/astronomical driver of climate change they have committed “omitted variable fraud” and severely misinterpreted the available scientific literature. It is evident that simply dismissing the empirical evidences on the basis that clear physical mechanisms are not understood yet nor included in the models is a very weak argument based on extreme scientific reductionism.
See the references below and here:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/scafettas-solar-lunar-cycle-forecast-vs-global-temperature/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/01/09/scaffeta-on-his-latest-paper-harmonic-climate-model-versus-the-ipcc-general-circulation-climate-models/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/25/loehle-and-scafetta-calculate-0-66%c2%b0ccentury-for-agw/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/06/04/new-scafetta-paper-his-celestial-model-outperforms-giss/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/03/14/dr-nicolas-scaffeta-summarizes-why-the-anthropogenic-theory-proposed-by-the-ipcc-should-be-questioned/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/18/scafetta-on-tsi-and-surface-temperature/
[1] Nicola Scafetta, “Testing an astronomically based decadal-scale empirical harmonic climate model versus the IPCC (2007) general circulation climate models.” Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, (2012). DOI: 10.1016/j.jastp.2011.12.005
[2] Adriano Mazzarella and Nicola Scafetta, “Evidences for a quasi 60-year North Atlantic Oscillation since 1700 and its meaning for global climate change.” Theor. Appl. Climatol. (2011). DOI: 10.1007/s00704-011-0499-4
[3] Craig Loehle and Nicola Scafetta, “Climate Change Attribution Using Empirical Decomposition of Climatic Data.” The Open Atmospheric Science Journal 5, 74-86 (2011). DOI: 10.2174/1874282301105010074
[4] Nicola Scafetta, “A shared frequency set between the historical mid-latitude aurora records and the global surface temperature.” Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 74, 145-163 (2012). DOI: 10.1016/j.jastp.2011.10.013
[5] Nicola Scafetta, “Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications.” Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 72, 951–970 (2010). DOI: 10.1016/j.jastp.2010.04.015
[6]Nicola Scafetta, “Empirical analysis of the solar contribution to global mean air surface temperature change”. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics (2009),
doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2009.07.007
[7] Nicola Scafetta, and Bruce J. West, “Phenomenological reconstructions of the solar signature in the NH surface temperature records since 1600.” J. Geophys. Res., 112, D24S03, doi:10.1029/2007JD008437 (2007).
Stephen Wilde
Nice post by Alec supporting the general position made here:
http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=1396&linkbox=true&position=1
“The Death Blow To Anthropogenic Global Warming.”
from June 2008.
Philip Bradley says: February 22, 2012 at 3:23 am
” I have to agree with William M. Connolley . The important question is what caused the 1970 to 2000 measured warming.”
As proven in my papers exensively (see above), from 1970 to 2000 most of the warming was aused by a warming phase of a 60-year natural cycle. And the steady warming observed since 2000 is due to the same cycle which entered in its cooling phase since 2000.
This pattern agrees well with a reconstruction of solar activity, that is ACRIM composite.
And the issue is extensively discussed here
And in my more recent papersthat focus on the harmonics of the climate system.
1DandyTroll
Of course they omit natural phenomenona, they do so because they’re not charged with taking natural into account.
“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established by the United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in 1988 to assess the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant for the understanding of human induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for mitigation and adaptation.”
The fundamental construction of the UNIPCC didn’t not include to take into account and report on natural change nor positive results from any type of climate change.
As per usual any UN body, it seems, omitts reality to fit their hypothesis to their needs. It is evident in UNIPCC as well as the current debate of whether or not UN should control this here internet as Russia and China wants to happen.
JJThoms
Markus Fitzhenry says: February 22, 2012 at 3:06 am
…. how about you put your monika on the ‘backradiation’ theory here and now, so we can discuss it.
OK how do you explain these 2 measurements of back radiation at night (and day)
IR great plains measured here: SGP Central Facility, Ponca City, OK36° 36′ 18.0″ N, 97° 29′ 6.0″ W Altitude: 320 meters
http://www.patarnott.com/atms749/pdf/LongWaveIrradianceMeas.pdf
daytime 320 to 460w/sqm
night time 260 to 380 w/sqm
North of arctic circle:
http://www.slf.ch/ueber/mitarbeiter/homepages/marty/publications/Marty2003_IPASRCII_JGR.pdf
night 120 to 230 w/sqm
day 130 to 210 w/sqm
O2 and N2 do not radiate IR in significant power so where does this radiation come from at night where the background is at Ultra long wave (7K)
AMO seems to be driven by solar cycle frequency variability.
Figure 1 here:
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1202.1954v1.pdf
http://www.climate4you.com/images/AMO%20GlobalAnnualIndexSince1856%20With11yearRunningAverage.gif
If AMO cools in the next years as dramatically as the reduction in solar frequency suggests, it will get very hard to deny the correlation.
I would like to throw a spanner in the works here. I believe climate is probably controlled by gravity, solar influence and water ….period. I actually am beginning even to doubt Pielkes Sr land use land effects on TC. The fact is land or rock is probably “perceived” as the same as far as the atmosphere is concerned affected only by major geographical disturbances such as mountain ranges which affect wind direction etc. Basically if you covered all land as it is currently with concrete there would be theoretically no change in global mean temperatures over time, as it is 100% controlled by tthree variables cited above BTW sea (ie water covers most of earths surface etc…) hope you get it LOL
Re forgot to mention anyway, previous in fact land is nearly all covered with “natural concrete” anyway that is sand, mountains rock probably terra erath etc as well? etc.
Let me see if I have this straight. The same people who are telling us that the reason we haven’t seen as much heat from CO2 as their models suggest is because it takes the oceans decades to warm. Are telling us that the sun can’t be playing a role because there is no thermal lag in the oceans???
Mike Bromley the Canucklehead
Ow…it’s too bright….so hot….it hurts my eyes and burns my skin….ow!
Without the “global warming” part, you’d have nothing. And the global warming part is what is correlated to co2 increases. Take your rhetoric elsewhere, Connolley, you can’t control the content here. The physical processes are not fully known or understood. The explanations (theories) may begin with limited understanding of Earth’s complex physical processes, but the correlations are what “gave rise” to them.
corporate message
William M. Connolley said::
“No-one doubts that solar forcing affects climate, in general. So listing any number of studies that agree with this gets you nowhere. You need to actually address *recent* change.”
Oh. Recent change such as that starting “mid 20th century”, to go with a claim that “we can’t think of anything else, so it must be CO2 doing it. ”
Many thanks, William.
Philip Bradley says:
The important question is what caused the 1970 to 2000 measured warming.
For the most part, it was caused by the PDO flipping to the warm side.
@LazyTeenager, we’re permitted to use common sense. The sun influences the earth, the earth doesn’t influence the sun. I suspect that known fact is the basis for the author’s reasoning.
William Connelley says CO2 did rise between 1920 and 1940. Yep his chart shows it rose, about 8ppm from 300. That’s a 2.7 % rise. IF sensitivity is 4C that will account for 0.1C. The rise over that period was close to 4C. What about the other 3C?
The IPCC is wrong, as always:
http://thegwpf.org/opinion-pros-a-cons/5024-no-panic-scientists-reply-to-critics.html
boston12gs
Hey, William M. Connelley, or you the same William M. Connelley that used to be a Wiki administrator until Wiki management stripped you of that authority on the grounds that you repeatedly abused your administrator position at Wikipedia to bias climate change-related articles to reflect your global warming activism?
AGW_Skeptic
Hey Anthony,
Don’t let William Connelley become a moderator!
(See Smokey’s post above – February 22, 2012 at 4:46 am”
LazyTeenager says:
Gleick, set, match.
Alex notes the IPCC rule “not discuss the contents of the FOD in public fora such as blogs.”
For the AR6 it will be reduced to “not discuss the FOD in public fora such as blogs” so they can block discussion of what’s not in the draft. 🙂
> Of course they omitt [sic] natural phenomenons [sic]
I’ve already given you a link showing that they do indeed consider natural forcing; http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch9s9-4-1-5.html, since you missed it. Or, indeed, there is a whole section on 9.3 Understanding Pre-Industrial Climate Change.
How can you people hope to say anything intelligent about IPCC, when you are so completely ignorant of what it says?
> The physical processes are not fully known or understood
But you shouldn’t measure the lack of knowledge by your own. Most of the processes are indeed well known and understood. Some important ones (clouds, or contrails) aren’t so well. The response to that isn’t to throw your hands up in the air and say “oh! we know nothing”.
> “we can’t think of anything else, so it must be CO2 doing it. ”
Again, this is just ignorance. Contrary to what the post author has asserted, IPCC does indeed exhaustively consider other possible forcings. If you actually looked at the report, you’d know that.
> on the grounds that you repeatedly abused your administrator position at Wikipedia to bias climate change-related articles to reflect your global warming activism
Soren Floderus
Thanks, this pretty much has become my conclusion as well in wanting to pinpoint the epistemic structure of an AGW fallacy. I’d add that perhaps the century-scale climate response could be described by just the magnitude of the fairly regular grand minima, including the weak one around 1900? I also wonder which peer-reviewed article comes closest to laying _this_ out. Around 2009 Scafetta called for modelers to prescribe the solar forcing, here: http://yosemite.epa.gov/ee/epa/wpi.nsf/2efc4c5acad95f918525669800666fd7/7a5516152467a30b85257562006c89a6/$FILE/scafetta-epa-2009.pdf
Martin Brumby
@Brent Hargreaves says: February 22, 2012 at 4:34 am
“Science, schmience, we’ll carry on decarbonising the economy come what may.”
This is so close to a response I had from John Prescott at a ‘symposium’ about 18 months ago that I wonder if you were in the same audience!
Alex Rawls will just be given the flick by the Thermageddonists, as an obvious shill for BigSol. But little chip by little chip, the edifice of the IPCC will topple over.
“I met a traveller from an antique land
Who said: Two vast and trunkless legs of stone
Stand in the desart. Near them, on the sand,
Half sunk, a shattered visage lies, whose frown,
And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,
Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things,
The hand that mocked them and the heart that fed:
And on the pedestal these words appear:
“My name is R. Pachauri, king of kings:
Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!”
Nothing beside remains. Round the decay
Of that colossal wreck, boundless and bare
The lone and level sands stretch far away.”
(with apologies to Percy Bysshe Shelley)
Mardler
Pity it won’t have the slightest effect; AR5 will continue the junk of AR4 except it will be an even greater doom merchant in order to keep the CAGW flag flying.
As I (and Henry G, above) keep saying, everything our side does misses the point so we need another methodolgy. I don’t have the answer but am sure it lies in first getting at the hearts & minds of legislators directly, those who use CAGW and “carbon” taxes to further their big state ambitions. Only then might the reality start to dawn on those who are CAGW lead and govern us thusly.
Canada has some answers.
Kev-in-Uk
Why? what caused the MWP?, what is causing the current non-increases in temps? There is no logic to concentrate on any small scale period when we (i.e. the IPCC) are wanting to predict future long term temps!! That’s like doing a long journey with many miles in a traffic jam, and many miles at motorway speeds, and then assuming an average speed for the journey. Not only is it plain wrong, but predicting the next journey will be meaningless because the various factors will likely be very different when you do that journey.
About the only benefit of short term analysis is if it can be seen that definate factors caused definate changes – but projecting them to the future, without knowledge of the underlying natural changes – is pointless.
I despise the fact that the primary warmist arguments are based on the ‘recent’ measurements – it doesn’t matter – if the (likely) palaeohistory of the climate shows significant variation, the Primary objective is to separate our so called AGW signal from the natural one(including its variations). This can only be done over long timescales – and currently, I do not see that as being at all possible with a measly few decades of decent data. (I won’t bother to mention the lack of understanding of all the variables, as that should be a ‘given’ with the climate system!)
Ah, neglected to include sources underlying my above inquiry re: William M. Connelley, my bad:
Wikipedia:Arbitration/Requests/Case/Climate change/Proposed decision
http://tinyurl.com/26ass4b
Financial Post: Global Warming Propagandist Slapped Down (link previously posted in this thread)
http://tinyurl.com/35ajlkr
That’s the intriguing thing about http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/12/07/in-china-there-are-no-hockey-sticks/ – it addresses recent change without needing a CO2 assist. It doesn’t explain the change, and it it needs serious review as does any tree ring study, but at least it includes the Little Ice Age.
And it’s only down to 2068. 20 years later people might start arguing about CO2 again. 🙂
HenryP
As I said,
http://www.letterdash.com/HenryP/henrys-pool-table-on-global-warming
why don’t they do some stats?
So far, after evaluating thye daily results of 22 weather stations the score on my pool table for global warming is as follows:
MAXIMA: rising at a speed of 0.0382 degrees C per annum
MEANS : increasing at a speed of 0.0137 degrees C per annum
MINIMA: creeping up at 0.0056 degrees C per annum
HUMIDITY: decreasing at a rate of -0.02% RH per annum
The latest tables show that, over the past 4 decades, the rates of increase of temperatures on earth i.e. maxima, means (=average temperatures) and minima have risen at a ratio of about 7:3:1. Remember: these are the summaries of actual measured results from a number of weather stations all around the world….No junk science. No hypothesis. Every black figure on the tables is coming from a separate file of figures. Obviously I am able to provide these files of every black figure on the table.
As all the balls now lie on my table, surely, anyone must be able to understand that it was the rise of maximum temperatures (that occur during the day) that caused the average temperature and minima on earth to rise? This implies clearly that the observed warming over past 4 decades was largely due to natural causes. Either the sun shone a bit brighter or there were less clouds. There are different theories on that. Looking at the differences between the results from the northern hemisphere(NH) and the southern hemisphere (SH), what we see is happening from my dataset is that more (solar) heat went into the SH oceans and is taken away by water currents and/or weather systems to the NH. That is why the NH is warming and that is why the SH does not warm.
Another interesting aspect is that a correlation can be picked up if you compare the results in my tables with that of the leaf area index shown in the world chart here:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/03/24/the-earths-biosphere-is-booming-data-suggests-that-co2-is-the-cause-part-2/
In the red areas, where we find earth is blooming, and more greening, you will note from the results in the tables that some of the extra heat coming in (the increase in maxima) is picked up and trapped by the increasing vegetation. In the blue areas, where substantial de-forestation has been going on, you will find mean temperatures and minima declining or staying unchanged, even though maxima are rising. So, it seems if you want the earth to be greener, the natural consequence is that it will also get a bit warmer
Murray Grainger
Fundamental and accessible. That’s why I have trying to push the “omitted variable fraud” critique for many years.
Needs the word “been” That’s why I have been trying to push …
> “we can’t think of anything else, so it must be CO2 doing it.”,
Connolley says:
“Again, this is just ignorance.”
Yes, it is ignorance. But the ignorance is entirely Connolley’s. It is the Argumentum ad Ignorantium fallacy: “Since I can’t think of any other cause for rising temperatures, then it must be due to CO2.”
That kind of ignorance presupposes that we know all there is to know about what drives global temperatures. But of course, we do not know it all. The planet has warmed along exatly the same trend line since the 1600’s, whether CO2 was low or high. That shows conclusively that CO2 has little if any effect on temperature.
Connolley can bask in his ignorant fallacies, but here at the internet’s Best Science site, the great majority of us know better.
Folks… The “this” he refers to above is a wikipedia plot of the infamous NASA GISS temperature “anomaly” plot (heh)!! GISS – where they can’t even document their GCMs!
Here’s a puzzle for everyone…please list in detail all of the steps required to get the plot referred to above. How much raw data is manipulated? Infilled? Guessed? And also pleased read the Hansen paper from which the “algorithm” was purportedly derived…it’s the one where they smear global temperature anomalies by permitting influences up to 1000 km away (heh).
Wonderful diversionary tactic from Connolley. As Steve McIntyre has it, “always keep your eyes on what their hands are doing”.
The point that Rawls was making — which Connolley chose to ignore — is that there has been an increasing number of papers, which the IPCC has, apparently deliberately, neglected to give any weight to, that attribute much of the recent warming to aspects of solar influence other than TSI. I’m not qualified to say whether he’s right or wrong but I think I am qualified to say that if the IPCC is omitting valid research (and valid does not mean “something the IPCC agrees with”) then they are being, in Rawls’ words, “anti-scientific”.
Rawls also appears to say that one effect of their behaviour is to assume that CO2 has 40 times the influence of the sun on earth’s climate (which would appear to an ignoramus like me to be counter-intuitive — and that’s putting it mildly) and program their models accordingly.
Even I know that if you program a computer to say the sun rises in the west then it will tell you that the sun rises in the west.
I’m not dead keen on the “leftist conspiracy” theory he posits but the more one reads on the whole subject of climate change the more one is driven into that particular corner!
Great post Alex. Can it be taken a little further, though? If a large part of the temp increase can be attributed to solar variables but their impact has been, effectively, lumped onto CO2, then what would the models say if CO2 forcing were reduced by an appropriate amount? I’d imagine your idea would be pretty irresistable if the models then predicted, sorry, projected, the temperature anomaly with a much greater degree of accuracy.
Note the results for Grootfontein (Namibia) where it got greener
Note the results for Tandil (Argentinia) where they hacked some trees….
http://www.letterdash.com/HenryP/de-forestation-causes-cooling
> Wikipedia:Arbitration/Requests/Case/Climate change/Proposed decision http://tinyurl.com/26ass4b
Same answer: No. Why not actually try reading the content of your links, rather than just hoping it might say what you want?
> Financial Post: http://tinyurl.com/35ajlkr
Better, but still wrong: Solomon hasn’t a clue how wiki works, e.g. here.
> “Since I can’t think of any other cause for rising temperatures, then it must be due to CO2.”
That the IPCC addresses other causes is obvious to anyone who bothers to even skim it, e.g. FAQ 9.2 Can the Warming of the 20th Century be Explained by Natural Variability?. But you’re proud of your ignorance and not prepared to read anything that might disturb it.
wsbriggs
Once again Mr. William “Bojangles” Connolley takes out his dancing shoes and attempts to distract us from the real science behind global changes in climate. Dancing around the offal used as input to the MAGIC COMPUTE MACHINES! Cleanup on aisle 4!!!!
Russ in Houston
Alan the Brit says:
I use the central heating analogy (forgive me if I have said this before), but when you come home to a cold house at night with no heating on, you go & turn it on to get warm.
Alan – A better analogy would be your swimming pool. How long does it take to heat a swimming pool 10 degrees?
I’ve already given you a link showing that they do indeed consider natural forcing; http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch9s9-4-1-5.html,
Hmm, one thing a little odd there:
… the solar reconstruction of Lean et al. (1995) concluded that the near-surface temperature response to solar forcing over 1960 to 1999 is much smaller than the response to greenhouse gases (Jones et al., 2003).
It seems to me either 1995 or 1999 is a typo.
The response from the iPCC is correct based on their mission statement. The IPCC only investigates the risks of climate change caused by human activity only, not solar causes or any thing else.
Wikipedia says “Its mission is to provide comprehensive scientific assessments of current scientific, technical and socio-economic information worldwide about the risk of climate change caused by human activity, its potential environmental and socio-economic consequences, and possible options for adapting to these consequences or mitigating the effects.”
Ric Werme> http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch9s9-4-1-5.html … the solar reconstruction of Lean et al. (1995) concluded that the near-surface temperature response to solar forcing over 1960 to 1999
Hey! Someone is reading this stuff, excellent. Its a little clearer with a fuller quote: “In addition, a combined analysis of the response at the surface and through the depth of the atmosphere using HadCM3 and the solar reconstruction of Lean et al. (1995) …” This is describing a GCM study, based on the Lean ’95 reconstruction, that will (I’m guessing) have been extended to 1999. So it is likely that both dates are correctly written.
Jones is “Jones, G.S., S.F.B. Tett, and P.A. Stott, 2003: Causes of atmospheric temperature change 1960-2000: A combined attribution analysis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1228.” but you’d need to dig a bit deeper to find out exactly what forcing was used.
No. [Billy’s response]
Well then Billy, why were you removed? Please do tell. Feel free to pull a Gleick and just make it up.
Alec Rawls, this is a very interesting post, thank you. Also some of the comments posted in response.
The design of incremental policy also explains the use of ‘omitted variables’. The recent focus on ‘evidence-based’ policy in most spheres of government to develop and report, and the competition between party policies makes use of the omission approach.
The problem has been that evidence-based policy does not equate with fact-based.
Testing one variable or several, and omitting the obvious is used by some researchers. In my observation of some decades, some researchers omitted variables so as to establish a controlling expertise in the field, control publishing and reference sources, and to directly inform policy and expenditure.
I had experience in Indigenous health, education and employment under incremental policies. The Children, over several generations, led horrific lives. Much of this was directly due to the poor data and reporting that informed and sustained the architecture of incremental policy in health service, education delivery and criminal justice.
Results for these children are still appalling if not gross. The evidence was controlled by a cabal of researchers, data methodologies were not transparent and reporting was aggregated. Upon disaggregating the data, it was found, in cases to be poorly collected, poorly designed, biased and also at times outright distortion. In one case I found the data had been made up and reported.
Paul Vaughan
William M. Connolley (February 22, 2012 at 4:34 am) wrote:
Neither mainstream nor eccentric conception of solar-terrestrial-climate relations is presently consistent with seminal, robust, empirical findings:
1. Le Mouël, J.-L.; Blanter, E.; Shnirman, M.; & Courtillot, V. (2010). Solar forcing of the semi-annual variation of length-of-day. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L15307. doi:10.1029/2010GL043185.
2. ftp://ftp.iers.org/products/eop/long-term/c04_08/iau2000/eopc04_08_IAU2000.62-now
3. ftp://ftp.iers.org/products/geofluids/atmosphere/aam/GGFC2010/AER/
4. http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/12/vaughn_lod_fig1b.png
5. http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/image10.png
The mainstream’s “uniform 0.1K” solar-terrestrial-climate narrative is strictly inadmissibility under the data.
This is not going away. This is a seminal, fundamental finding that forces not only conceptual correction but whole paradigm shift (since no one’s conception of solar-terrestrial-climate relations was correct).
Attempts to maintain the current “uniform 0.1K” solar-terrestrial-climate narrative will turn out to be futile (the functional numeracy deficiencies &/or deception of any proponents can be made nakedly clear by capable parties with sufficient time & resources on the basis of absolute logic), so if deviant forces are looking for a way around this, I can suggest the easiest avenue: Remove the pattern from LOD & AAM data. That could be done in a few minutes (by someone who intuitively understands the complex cross-scale morphology of the data). Then it would just be a matter of defending the changes administratively (e.g. via stone wall). Defense will be more sustainable in the long run if the functional numeracy of the general population is watered down by further sabotage of mathematics education.
I strongly suggest that everyone regularly save copies of AAM & EOP data so that data manipulation can be tracked rigorously.
Your response seems to be that you know that most of the processes are well known and understood. Still, without a temperature increase correlation, you have nothing. What you claim is bunk, empty and useless rhetoric.
JJThoms says:
a. Clouds. Score: 100%
But lets not get lost amongst the trees of greenhouse. Disprove this.
The uniformed distribution of heat is the force of pressure caused by gravity and the enhancement of the atmosphere is set by it. Moreover, dynamism controls the uniform distribution of temperature not a ‘backradiation’ greenhouse effect, whatever is the dynamic state of a planets particles.
There is no sensible average temperature enhancements associated with actual increases in actual power emitted from a planets surface, which necessarily require a atmospheric radiative effect, from average temperature enhancements without any change in actual power emitted.
Dynamism maintains the uniform temperature distribution of a planets heat where gravity does not allow differences in temperature distribution.
exactly! the IPCC looks for and reports what its trying to report!
> The IPCC only investigates the risks of climate change caused by human activity only, not solar causes or any thing else
You’re wrong, as I’ve pointed out before. Figure 2.23 is yet another counter example.
You can’t say anything interesting about something you know nothing about.
> Rawls was making — which Connolley chose to ignore — is that there has been an increasing number of papers, which the IPCC has, apparently deliberately, neglected to give any weight to, that attribute much of the recent warming to aspects of solar influence other than TSI
Not as far as I can see. Rawls says very little about the recent warming – a point that I didn’t ignore, it was one I specifically raised as a flaw in Rawls analysis. His “recent papers” don’t either (only the last one, which hasn’t been published. If there are really so many good papers supporting his viewpoint, why does he need to include an unpublished paper in the list?).
But seeing William M. Connolley posting here, talking down to regular posters, saying they are in la la land and ignorant…
…..is making my skin crawl
Slabadang
W Connoly!
Well now we are just waiting truthfully and reliable unbiased comments from P Gleick J salinger M Mann and G Smith as well. You know the guys who handles the “truth” and “intergity” of climate scince. I wonder what way you should relate the “guilt by association” between science and these guys? No option turns out in benefit of either science or these guys!
“Solomon hasn’t a clue how wiki works”
You sure do. And many of us has more than a clue as to the bias of the language, choice of references and so on in some of the articles.
Why did you bother?
I don’t think the IPCC is interested in the facts of the matter.
“That the IPCC addresses other causes is obvious to anyone who bothers to even skim it”
Typically, Connolley sidesteps the fact that blaming CO2 for [non-existent] climate disruption is the argumentum ad ignorantium fallacy. The IPCC uses a fake veneer of ‘science’ to promote its agenda of wealth redistribution from the savings of Americans and Western taxpayers, to dictatorships endemic to the UN in order to buy their votes.
Connolley’s deceptive narrative, pretending that any of this is a sincere attempt to advance science, is directly contradicted by the IPCC’s Ottmar Edenhofer: “One must say clearly that we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy. One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with environmental policy anymore”.
So who should we believe? Connolley, who was slapped down for his dishonest propaganda? Or the frank admission of the IPCC Co-Chair, stating that the phony demonization of “carbon” is simply a ploy to get the UN’s money grubbing fingers into the wallets of Western taxpayers?
There appears to be no difference between the broken moral compass of Gleick and Connolley. They both employ dishonesty to advance their totalitarian agenda.
You’ve misquoted. That helps no one.
“In addition, a combined analysis of the response at the surface and through the depth of the atmosphere using HadCM3 and the solar reconstruction of Lean et al. (1995) concluded that the near-surface temperature response to solar forcing over 1960 to 1999 is much smaller than the response to greenhouse gases (Jones et al., 2003).”
jack morrow
Smokey says 4:46 pm
Well, after that info I think everyone should from now on ignore W Connolley as he has been shown to be unworthy of attention.
How remarkable that there should be two vocal AGW activists with the name William M. Connolley, one sanctioned by the Wikipedia arbitration board and stripped of his admin privileges because of misconduct, and the other, apparently posting here today, who claims he is not that same person.
Well spotted, Klem. The whole premise of the IPCC is a tautology. It is perfectly legitimate for them to exclude things like solar from their deliberations.
It is hard to believe how a body which provides the answer before even framing the question can be regarded as having anything to do with science.
> You sure do. And many of us has more than a clue as to the bias of the language, choice of references and so on in some of the articles.
I doubt it. I’ve asked several times for examples of such (in other threads) and people always back off (though I wouldn’t want to derail this thread with more wiki stuff).
> Your response seems to be that you know that most of the processes are well known and understood. Still, without a temperature increase correlation, you have nothing
You really really don’t understand, do you? It isn’t based on correlation, it is based on the underlying physical processes. If you want to understand how the attribution analysis is done, you’ll need to actually read it.
“Not as far as I can see. Rawls says very little about the recent warming – a point that I didn’t ignore, it was one I specifically raised as a flaw in Rawls analysis”
Mr William Connolly, surprise surprise, it’s not the first time the climate of Earths atmosphere has changed with changes of solar isolation and geomagnetic winds.
Is that a part of your argument? One thing that is undeniable, CO2 increases lags temperature increases, recent warming ain’t going to change that number.
henrythethird
Strange indeed. When I looked up the reference of Lean et al (1995), it led me to here (http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/1995/95GL03093.shtml), which had the abstract as follows:
“…Solar total and ultraviolet (UV) irradiances are reconstructed annually from 1610 to the present. This epoch includes the Maunder Minimum of anomalously low solar activity (circa 1645–1715) and the subsequent increase to the high levels of the present Modern Maximum. In this reconstruction, the Schwabe (11‐year) irradiance cycle and a longer term variability component are determined separately, based on contemporary solar and stellar monitoring. The correlation of reconstructed solar irradiance and Northern Hemisphere (NH) surface temperature is 0.86 in the pre‐industrial period from 1610 to 1800, implying a predominant solar influence. Extending this correlation to the present suggests that solar forcing may have contributed about half of the observed 0.55°C surface warming since 1860 and one third of the warming since 1970…”
Isn’t this period (since 1860) the same period that Connolley wants us to use for the “recent” warming?
The IPCC authors do not understand natural variability !
The IPCC report: Relationship between the NAO and the AMO is non–stationary, i.e. during the negative phase of the AMO, the North Atlantic SST is strongly correlated with the NAO index. In contrast, the NAO index is only weakly correlated with the North Atlantic SST during the AMO positive phase.
You can see here that there is a high degree of correlation between the NAO and the AMO through the period of the data availability, as shown here:
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/theAMO-NAO.htm
or see the full analysis of the relationship here:
http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/64/12/35/PDF/NorthAtlanticOscillations-I.pdf
If the trend (correlation) persists over a sufficiently long period with a sufficiently high correlation then it does indeed mean there is a causal relationship between whatever there is a correlation between.
Paul Vaughan> Attempts to maintain the current “uniform 0.1K” solar-terrestrial-climate narrative…
Aha, well at least one person clearly doesn’t believe the IPCC-ignores-solar-forcing nonsense.
> Courtillot…
has a poor name, but the abstract says nothing terribly interesting, let alone seminal. Perhaps there is something mroe exciting hidden inside?
boston12gs> How remarkable
You’re just not very good at reading comprehension, even when the plain text is in front of you.
Apparently, AR5 fails the Rörsch Test.
Science? We don’t need no stinkin’ Science.
it’s that gas that is actually added to greenhouses to promote growth.
William Connely says
…”Not as far as I can see. Rawls says very little about the recent warming – a point that I didn’t ignore, it was one I specifically raised as a flaw in Rawls analysis. His “recent papers” don’t either (only the last one, which hasn’t been published. If there are really so many good papers supporting his viewpoint, why does he need to include an unpublished paper in the list?)”
A curious comment, lets turn the coin over. If the IPCC is so convinced about the case for CAGW, then why does it include so much information from non peer reviewed and non journal published advocacy sources like “Green peace” and the “WWF”?
Regarding the recent history there is several logical thoughts for you to consider. Place a large pot of water on a stove. Turn on a gas burner. Every 30 sec, turn the burner up and down. Now notice how the water continues to warm, regardless of the burner being turned down. Why? Clearly the water in the pot has not yet reached equalibrium with the heat being produced below it.
Now consider that although solar activity peaked some years ago, it stayed at a very high level until recently. Further recognise that the oceans are a very large pot, and some of the linked papers demonstrate that the ocean can take many many decades of increased TSI to reach equalibrium. The ocean is a very large pot.
Now further consider the changes in the earths albedo, which over the period of high solar activity (albeit just a little below the peak) actualy decreased. This means that more sunshine reached the surface. For the last decade this trend has began to reverse, and albedo is starting to rise and the atmosphere as a whole is beginning to cool.
We have mechanism and we have observation, all within the scientific literature, all ignored by your poltical organization, the IPCC.
The correlation between solar activity and global precipitation and between CET -vs- METO is good until they all start loosing correlation in 1980.
Obviously that probably flies over your head, so I will try to explain. Global precipitation is a proxy for climate. That is because much of the heat at the surface is lost through evaporation. That means that we expect changes in global precipitation to be matched by changes in global temperature. Likewise we expect temperature series to see matched rises and falls, and we certainly do not expect to see an equivalent increasing lack of correlation from a fixed point in time (1980s).
Now, as is your nature, you will immediately assume “it’s yet further proof of global warming”. However what we see in the rainfall climate proxy is no change. This proxy is showing that there is no global increase. In contrast, the temperature measurements show a global increase.
Now, you probably won’t have a clue what I’m talking about when I say that it is easier to measure rainfall accurately than temperature, but I’m an expert of temperature measurement so I know what I’m talking about. And the fact that three separate series (solar activity, global rainfall and different temperature series) all show a growing lack of correlation with temperature, strongly suggests that the problem is with one temperature series and not with three other independent variables (all of which happen to diverge at the same time?)
In other words, something very odd has happened to a number of climate measurements/proxies around 1980 … and to suggest that a lack of correlation after than time proves that it never was correlated is to my mind fraudulent if you know the facts or blatant incompetence if it is your job to know the facts
Kev-in-Uk says:
Kevin, how science works in a nutshell is,
Theory => Prediction => Evidence
The core prediction of the AGW crowd is CO2 (or more vaguely GHGs) caused the 1970-2000 measured warming. Ignoring that this wasn’t a prediction in large part because it occured after the fact.
Therefore, explaining or not some warming or cooling prior to this period is of no relevance to a critique of the IPCC’s position of GHGs caused the post 1970s warming.
Kudos to William Connely for coming here and suffering the predictable flack. He is focusing us on the real issues.
mooseotto
I am going to offer a completely non-scientific theory as to why solar activity is deemphasized. Since the sun’s activity is beyond the control of humans, it is scary and avoided. Plus i think that most of the people in this field are secularists and thus have no faith or believe that there is a God who controls all things. That makes them even more uncomfortable. I am a retired engineer who has worked 40+ years on many complex avionics systems so i am closely associated with science. But when we talk about the cosmos, i think we are biased in our thinking. Just my humble opinion.
Johnnythelowery
[source][/source]
If this is true and I see that name has posted earlier on this thread, he should be barred from here. Anyone with this persona has nothing to add to our discussions here at WUWT. I’d like to see someone from the ‘AGW delusion sect’ bat here for them but not this guy. Not someone whose been barred from Wiki for the reasons cited. We booted Emmanuel for life for being boring and repetitive bringing up his Iron Sun idea. Connolley actions are far more serious.
Being wrong is one thing. Being Connelly is both: that and something else. It’s the latter that qualifies him for the Boot. Boot Connelly for life from here!!!! …………………………………….. Please.
All those in favour say Ey
Ferdinand Engelbeen
William, the basic problem is that current models all assume that 1 W/m2 change in CO2 capturing of IR has the same effect as 1 W/m2 change of the sun’s TSI. Except for some wiggle in “efficacy” (+/- 10%). There are several reasons why that is wrong. The main reason is the difference in effect: CO2 has it largest effect in the lower troposphere and heats the upper ocean layer with only a fraction of a mm. Solar has its main effects partly in the lower stratosphere, where it influences ozone formation/depletion, temperature and poleward flows, including the jet stream positions and therefore clouds and rain patterns. And it heats the upper ocean layer much deeper.
Thus instead of
dT/dt = dF(W1 + W2 + W3 +…)/dt,
the real influence of the different actors is:
dT/dt = dF1(W1)/dt + dF2(W2)/dt + dF3(W3)/dt +…
That solar may have a larger influence than currently implemented was tested in the HadCM3 model by Stott e.a.:
http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/StottEtAl.pdf
within the constraints of the model (like a fixed influence of tropospheric aerosols).
The influence of human aerosols is another point: in my opinion largely overestimated in the models and doesn’t explain the current standstill: while aerosol (SO2) emissions increased until 1970-1980, a lot of measures were taken in the Western world, which shows huge reductions, at the same time that SE Asia increased its output. Since 2000, there is no global increase in SO2 emissions anymore, while CO2 increases at record levels, but temperature doesn’t. Thus the aerosols as scapegoat for the lack of temperature increase, lacks some physical base…
AndiC
There is only one word —- WOW
shs28078
Why, oh why, do you otherwise intelligent posters feed the troll????
International Climate Policy Vs. (International) Environmental Policy.
What are these two different animals? Why the difference?
mooseotto, I agree. Strong believers in AGW are in denial and are projecting.
> current models all assume that 1 W/m2 change in CO2 capturing of IR has the same effect as 1 W/m2 change of the sun’s TSI. Except for some wiggle in “efficacy” (+/- 10%). There are several reasons why that is wrong. The main reason is the difference in effect: CO2 has it largest effect in the lower troposphere and heats the upper ocean layer with only a fraction of a mm. Solar has its main effects partly in the lower stratosphere
No, not really. The models include radiative physics. Changes in solar, in the model, changes the TOA solar, and exactly where it get absorbed is calculated, not assumed. Again, exactly where the CO2 causes radiative forcing is calculated, not assumed.
You cite Stott et al., but their proposal is that “Here a new attribution method is applied that does not have a systematic bias against weak signals.” – as I read it, that is a statistical property or weak signals; but I haven’t read it carefully, please feel free to quote some more to support your argument.
I note that you, too, are implicitly dismissing the post author’s argument that IPCC has ignored solar forcing; the Stott paper is (as you’d expect) referenced by IPCC.
The post author states: “Of the many careful empirical studies that show a high correlation between solar activity and climate, only three papers are obliquely referenced in a single sentence of the entire First Order Draft. ” I haven’t read the FOD, but do you agree that this description couldn’t possibly be applied to AR4, which deals extensively with solar forcing? If so, how do you explain the author’s apparent ignorance of the AR4?
TrueNorthist
The fact that Connelly has been reduced to bringing his fallacious arguments here is as good an indication as anything that he and his ilk are desperate scrambling now. People no longer look to the places where he used to have sway as they have become aware of the lies, and are increasingly looking to places such as this for the truth — a place where he has no influence and can only flail about pitifully — alone and isolated.
Oh, how the once mighty have fallen…
Boot Connelly off here for life. His actions go before him. If this is the same twit from Wiki: boot him off! It’s good that someone, or anyone, bats for the AGW here but not Connelly.
We booted Emmanuel so and so off here for life for being repetitive and boring about his Iron Sun. Connelly’s actions at Wiki, if true, are far more aggregious.
Boot Connelly off here for life.
Steve Keohane
Excellent article, couldn’t be clearer, except for those of the One True Church of CO2.
sceptical
[snip – pointless snark – don’t read the articles here then if you don’t like them, but do refrain from commenting on them when you have nothing to add – Anthony]
Bob Kutz
This is just too rich;
“Connolley and Schneider say that if the public had looked directly at the peer-reviewed scientific papers, and not at the popular media coverage, they would not have found any basis for a global-cooling scare.”
Oh the ironing! (sic)
Now the question becomes; can Connolley bring himself to replace just that one word?
You know Bill, try replacing the word ‘cooling’ with ‘warming’ and see if that sentence makes just as much sense.
I’ll give you a hint; There are many real scientists who say it makes more sense than your original. Those scientists are frequent subjects of scorn these days by the members of ‘the team’. Let me know and I’ll provide you a list.
This is the very same ‘team’ that colluded to make the impression to the main stream media that ‘we know with certainty that there is significant warming, it is caused by human activity, it is going to be catastrophic, there something we need to do about it, right now and here’s the plan . . .’ (further hint; Try to guess which parts of that sentence have nothing to do with science.) That same team rose to prominence, fame and fortune based not on scientific pronouncements, but in effect by crying ‘the sky is falling’. They pilloried any who disagreed and used their posts and offices as fiefdoms. They decided who would succeed in academia, who’s career needed to be ended, what projects should get funding, what data was acceptable, how to use their posts as a source of largess and to profit personally all under the guise of science.
Bill; it’s becoming disturbing to a lot of people on the outside that those on the inside of this clique cannot see that. The excuses and tortured logic are no longer fooling people, even with the help of the media.
Prepare to be shipwrecked, Bill, along with Mann, Jones, Hansen, et. al. You want to go down with the ship? Fine. You were told.
Because of the teams efforts (they had accomplices), we’ve spent that last decades preparing for a problem that doesn’t exist as advertised in a way that has left us ill suited to the actual problems at hand. We need more energy, not less. Energy could allow us to adapt, either way. Maybe if we’d studied the climate, rather than practicing politics, pronouncing our control over it while condemning those who dared to question the assertions, just maybe we’d have seen this coming. Maybe. The Eddy minimum is very likely to be the shoal upon which your ship will be broken, Bill. It’s here. Too bad we spent our time studying trace elements and redacting data instead of looking at what the data was actually saying.
During the last minimum there were less than a billion people on earth, most of them living an agrarian existence. Today there are 7 billion people on earth, most living in cities with no means to support themselves if agriculture fails. Given knowledge, time and proper prioritization, perhaps we could have been prepared. Instead we have windmills, carbon credits and coal powered cars. Oh, and a UN body masquerading as a scientific body. Thanks, Bill, for being part of that team.
Yours is a false church Bill, not science. Galileo would recognize your dogma and indulgences in an instant.
William M. Connolley @ February 22, 2012 at 7:21 am
Perhaps there is something mroe (sic) exciting hidden inside?
You’re just not very good at spelling, even when you have a computer in front of you.
Kelvin Vaughan
Do they get outback radiation in Australia?
mooseotto says:
Solar threads appear regularly. Go back into the Archives, if you are interested, and read them. The solar debate is in a ‘mystery force x’ standoff where a prominent expert on all things solar maintains the Sun is just on and is constant and that pertubations on earth in temperature, etc. are affected by something else irregardless of the Sun. Others disagree, and so, they agree to disagree, hence, ‘mystery force x’. Nicola Scarfetta agrees to disagree and Leif Svaalgard disagrees entirely with Nicola. It makes fascinating reading. Thats my take on it anyway.
Well, except they don’t call it a prediction, as they are keen to point out that they cannot make predictions with their computers, only projections. See IPCC AR4 where this is written down.
The warming from 1910-1940 had the same slope as the warming from 1970-2000. (*)
So what you are saying is that the explanations and models and assumed physics of the IPCC are only valid after 1970. That’s what I thought as well. That’s why I asked “Did the physics change”.
If temperature and solar magnetic / cosmic ray reconstructions UP TO 1970 (before the laws of physics were magically changed, as we have recognized) indicate a high correlation of solar-magnetic activity and temperature, we can take that as a strong hint that a causation exists, and that this causation is still existing, as there is no obvious reason to assume that a rising CO2 level does anything to it.
And that is the omitted variable.
(*) James Hansen, of course, does his best to distort this well-known fact with ongoing, unjustifiable adjustments. But I digress.
juanslayton
Jessie: …evidence-based policy does not equate with fact-based.
Those of us in education have to suffer with an even lower standard: research-based. Teaching so simple a subject as elementary reading to a typical classroom population has so many uncontrolled variables that this much ballyhooed requirement should be a source of amusement. Yet people take it seriously. Science is fun, but teaching remains an art.
Dodgy Geezer
@Ken Harvey says:
“It is as if a pre-Newtonian “scientist” were to predict that a rock released into the air will waft away on the breeze because we understand the force that the breeze imparts on the rock but we have no good theory of the mechanism by which heavy objects are pulled to the ground.” ….”An excellent review, but that bit is priceless.”
That’s actually very similar to Aristotle’s theory of motion. The Greeks understood that the ‘natural’ state of an object was to remain at rest, and that things move if a force is applied, but they had no concept of the Newtonian ‘or keep moving at a uniform speed’ addition. So they had difficulty explaining why an arrow, or a rock, should keep moving along for a while after leaving a bow (or a hand).
Aristotle suggested that the object in motion pushes air out of the way, which then swings back behind the object, giving it a push as it does so. Not a bad conjecture for an age before the Conservation of Energy law. And since the Greeks were not interested in experimental confirmation (that had to wait until Roger Bacon) that was the way dynamics were taught in university up to the 1600s…
Ha, ha, so this is what passes for “science” among AGW extremists. 🙂
Philip Bradley @ February 22, 2012 at 7:35 am
It’s like inviting an unrepentant serial paedophile into a school board meeting to discuss child safety. Are you completely unaware of the man’s history sir? It’s akin to saying that perhaps we were too hard on Dr Mengele as he just might have been onto something. Good heavens. There comes a point where it matters not what he is saying, when the totality of his crimes are taken into account. He still denies that he did anything wrong while propagandist in chief at Wikipedia. That alone disqualifies him from taking any credit for the arguments of those he still maliciously seeks to destroy.
G. Karst
William M. Connolley: Were you not just banned from editing at wiki? It seems to be the only effective method of limiting your disinformation campaign. If you are stymied at wiki, WUWT is a good location for your rehabilitation, but you test our patience. A little reduction in your hubris will go a long way in ensuring a productive time here. Otherwise, I would suggest, you find out where Peter Gleick is hanging out, these days, and join your counterpart there. You are both cut from the same cloth, and demonstrate, the same “end justifies the means” rational. Such psychopaths represent a clear and present danger to society, and always have. Gleick will soon be behind bars… What about you? GK
Call me a realist. But it will probably be the solar research group trying to get money from the GHG group that will eventually undermine the GHG narrative. Right now many solar scientists are happy to work in their small group of scientists….but there will be some who desire the rock-star life that climate scientists have enjoyed and they will try to build a new scare and money will shift and GHG will slowly fade away. No admissions of being wrong, just longer periods with no mention.
William Connely and all warmists use GISS and GISS TSI reconstructions which contain many uncertainties as pointed out by Tallbloke below…
“GISS TSI is compromised by the statistical techniques employed by Benestad and Schmidt. These were addressed by Nicola Scafetta in his rebuttal paper. http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2009/08/03/nicola-scafetta-comments-on-solar-trends-and-global-warming-by-benestad-and-schmidt/
http://climateaudit.org/2009/08/07/bs09-and-mannian-smoothing/
2) The data GISS TSI is based on is in dispute between the PMOD team headed up by Claus Frohlich and the ACRIM team headed up by its P.I. Richard WIlson. See this letter: http://tallbloke.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/acrim.jpg
3) The TSI curve doesn’t account for the oceanic response to increased insolation caused by cloud albedo reduction. The decrease in tropical cloud cover (where insolation is most effective in warming the ocean) measured by the ISCCP from 1979-1998 could account for much of the additional warming if Roy Spencer’s estimates are near the mark. Although this is counted into the ‘amplification factor’ in the analysis, again, possible non-linearity isn’t considered and greater variation in U.V. with its possible effects on Ozone, marine biota and thus cloud nucleation are not considered.”
BTW Connely, my previous post David says: February 22, 2012 at 7:28 am, said nothing not said better (just less succintly) in the main article above by Alec Rawls where he directly pre- answered your questions about recent climate changes post the 20th C solar high. Apparently you, like Gleick, do not read something before you condem it. So please read the post before commenting on it so you look less like a Gleick parrot. After reading the part about recent T, including the links to several papers, then comment on the flaws you see within those peer reviewed assertions.
Given such exceptional correlation between temperatures and cosmic rays in the past requires causation.
Past temperature variations of 1-3 degrees locally and synchronism at multiple locations all over the globe prove the IPCC narrative of only 0.1 degree global variation wrong by at least an order of magnitude.
> If the IPCC is so convinced about the case for CAGW
It isn’t. You won’t find the phrase used at all. You just made it up.
> why does it include so much information from non peer reviewed and non journal published advocacy sources like “Green peace” and the “WWF”?
I’m reading, and quoting, WGI. I don’t find any of that stuff in there. Do you? I so, please provide some evidence.
> Global precipitation is a proxy for climate
No, precip is a component of climate. Did you mean “proxy for temperature”? Its not a very good one, since it is usually much noisier than the temperature signal, and harder to measure.
In Re; klem February 22, 2012 at 6:24 am
Hey Klem; Perhaps you should read what the IPCC says it’s mission is;
“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body for the assessment of climate change. It was established by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) to provide the world with a clear scientific view on the current state of knowledge in climate change and its potential environmental and socio-economic impacts. The UN General Assembly endorsed the action by WMO and UNEP in jointly establishing the IPCC.
The IPCC is a scientific body. It reviews and assesses the most recent scientific, technical and socio-economic information produced worldwide relevant to the understanding of climate change. It does not conduct any research nor does it monitor climate related data or parameters. . . . .
. . . Because of its scientific and intergovernmental nature, the IPCC embodies a unique opportunity to provide rigorous and balanced scientific information to decision makers. By endorsing the IPCC reports, governments acknowledge the authority of their scientific content. The work of the organization is therefore policy-relevant and yet policy-neutral, never policy-prescriptive. ”
That’s from; http://ipcc.ch/organization/organization.shtml
I think they’d know. They don’t say anything about only studying Anthropogenic warming. They claim to study the science around climate and climate change. Of course they also claim that they don’t make policy endorsements. Pachuri should read that.
In the mean time, you should look for sources other than Wikipedia. Especially on climate issues it is remarkably inaccurate and unreliable.
Philip Bradley:
>> If the trend (correlation) persists over a sufficiently long period with a
>> sufficiently high correlation then it does indeed mean there is a causal
>> relationship between whatever there is a correlation between.
Not if there is a third factor influencing both the other observables.
(And I am not claiming that is the case here.)
Anthony, why so hostile? I congratulated the author on an amazing discovery. Perhaps you should add the sun to your list of things which affect climate.
Re; William M. Connolley February 22, 2012 at 8:21 am
William, how on earth can you make the claim that the IPCC isn’t convinced of CAGW?
This;
“# Warming of the climate system is unequivocal.
# Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely (>90%) due to the observed increase in anthropogenic (human) greenhouse gas concentrations.
# Anthropogenic warming and sea level rise would continue for centuries due to the timescales associated with climate processes and feedbacks, even if greenhouse gas concentrations were to be stabilized, although the likely amount of temperature and sea level rise varies greatly depending on the fossil intensity of human activity during the next century (pages 13 and 18).[46]”
is from a wikipedia article you yourself edited as recently as January 28, 2012. The source cited is the IPCC summary for policy makers. I think you are familiar with it.
What are you doing, apart from insulting people and pretending facts aren’t facts? Do you understand the difference between true and false anymore?
William Astley
Connolley
Astley:
I would be interested in your or your cohorts’ answers to these questions.
Those promoting the extreme AGW paradigm appear to selectively ignore and filter research and data. It is necessary to have a logical/scientific explanation for all observations. The logical process and fundamental rules is similar to criminal scene investigation. What does the evidence show? It is not appropriate or logical to ignore observations or filter observations to promote a specific hypothesis.
This graph shows past Dansgaard-Oesgher or Bond cycles. Note there are cycles in the paleoclimatic record of warming followed by cooling of high latitude Northern regions (Gerald Bond has able to track 23 of these cycles through the Holocene interglacial and into the last glacial cycle). In the 20th century there was also warming of high latitude Northern regions. The past warming and cooling cycles all correlate with cosmogenic isotope changes. There is no correlation with atmospheric CO2 changes. There is no correlation to changes in the North Atlantic drift current and these cycles. Correlation and/or the lack of correlation is a fundamental issue that must be explained by the hypothesis.
What is your or the Realclimate or the AR4 explanation of the past warming and cooling cycles? What caused the warming followed by cooling? Magic wand? Why is there again and again correlation of the warming and cooling cycles with large changes in cosmogenic isotopes? (Changes in cosmogenic isotopes are caused by changes in the solar heliosphere or changes in the geomagnetic field.)
There appears to some sort of spooky filtering mechanism that distorts and blocks the research related to solar modulation of planetary clouds by electroscavenging (Solar wind bursts. There is more than one mechanism by which solar changes modulate planetary cloud cover.) from reaching the IPCC produced documents or the Realclimate threads on solar modulation of planetary clouds.
Based on the below graph that shows cycles of warming followed by cooling some of which are abrupt cooling periods (there is another mechanism that is also solar driven that is causing the abrupt cooling cycles such as the Younger Dryas or the past interglacial terminations) and the fact that currently the magnetic field strength of newly formed sunspots is decaying linearly and the sun will soon no longer be capable of producing sunspots what do you think will happen next? What is the lesson of the past telling us?
http://www.climate4you.com/
(See figure 3 from Richard Alley’s paper that is copied in the above link. Excerpt from the above link.)
Fig.3. The upper panel shows the air temperature at the summit of the Greenland Ice Sheet, reconstructed by Alley (2000) from GISP2 ice core data. The time scale shows years before modern time, which is shown at the right hand side of the diagram. The rapid temperature rise to the left indicate the final part of the even more pronounced temperature increase following the last ice age. The temperature scale at the right hand side of the upper panel suggests a very approximate comparison with the global average temperature (see comment below). The GISP2 record ends around 1855, and the red dotted line indicate the approximate temperature increase since then. The small reddish bar in the lower right indicate the extension of the longest global temperature record (since 1850), based on meteorological observations (HadCRUT3). The lower panel shows the past atmospheric CO2 content, as found from the EPICA Dome C Ice Core in the Antarctic (Monnin et al. 2004). The Dome C atmospheric CO2 record ends in the year 1777.
http://www.climate4you.com/images/GISP2%20TemperatureSince10700%20BP%20with%20CO2%20from%20EPICA%20DomeC.gif
A) Correlation of planetary temperature and solar wind modulation of geomagnetic field index.
Paper by Georgieva, Bianchi, & Kirov “Once again about global warming and solar activity”
http://sait.oat.ts.astro.it/MSAIt760405/PDF/2005MmSAI..76..969G.pdf
In Figure 6 the long-term variations in global temperature are compared to the long-term variations in geomagnetic activity as expressed by the ak-index (Nevanlinna and Kataja 2003). The correlation between the two quantities is 0.85 with p<0.01 for the whole period studied. It could therefore be concluded that both the decreasing correlation between sunspot number and geomagnetic activity, and the deviation of the global temperature long-term trend from solar activity as expressed by sunspot index are due to the increased number of high-speed streams of solar wind on the declining phase and in the minimum of sunspot cycle in the last decades.
B) Two mechanisms by which solar winds (electroscavenging) and changes to the solar heliosphere modulate (ion mediated nucleation) planetary clouds (see paper for details this excerpt describes concerning electroscavenging which is not discussed at Real Climate as it is “off message”,)
http://www.albany.edu/~yfq/papers/Yu_CR_CN_Cloud_Climate_JGR02.pdf
The solar wind affects the galactic cosmic ray flux, the precipitation of relativistic electrons, and the ionospheric potential distribution in the polar cap, and each of these modulates the ionosphere-earth current density. On the basis of the current density-cloud hypothesis the variations in the current density change the charge status of aerosols that affect the ice production rate and hence the cloud microphysics and climate [e.g., Tinsley and Dean, 1991; Tinsley, 2000]. The underlying mechanism is that charged aerosols are more effective than neutral aerosols as ice nuclei (i.e., electrofreezing) and that the enhanced collections of charged evaporation nuclei by supercooled droplets enhance the production of ice by contact ice nucleation (i.e., electroscavenging). Both electrofreezing and electroscavenging
involve an increase in ice production with increasing current density [e.g, Tinsley and Dean, 1991; Tinsley, 2000]. The current density-cloud hypothesis appears to explain solar cycle effects on winter storm dynamics as well as the dayto-day changes of Wilcox and Roberts Effects [e.g., Tinsley, 2000]. Kniveton and Todd [2001] found evidence of a statistically strong relationship between cosmic ray flux, precipitation and precipitation efficiency over ocean surfaces at midlatitudes to high latitudes, and they pointed out that their results are broadly consistent with the current density-cloud hypothesis.
C) Satellite measurement of planetary cloud cover that confirms planetary cloud cover is modulated by GCR and solar wind bursts
Mechanism where Changes in Solar Activity Affects Planetary Cloud Cover
1) Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR)
Increases in the suns large scale magnetic field and increased solar wind reduces the magnitude of GCR that strike the earth’s atmosphere. Satellite data shows that there is 99.5% correlation of GCR level and low level cloud cover 1974 to 1993.
2) Increase in the Global Electric Circuit
Starting around 1993, GCR and low level cloud cover no longer correlate. (There is a linear reduction in cloud cover.) The linear reduction in cloud cover does correlate with an increase in high latitude solar coronal holes, particularly at the end of to the solar cycle, which cause high speed solar winds. The high speed solar winds cause a potential difference between earth and the ionosphere. The increase in potential difference removes cloud forming ions from the atmosphere through the process “electro scavenging”. Satellite data (See attached link to Palle’s paper) that confirms that there has been a reduction in cloud cover over the oceans (There is a lack of cloud forming ions over the oceans. There are more ions over the continents due to natural radioactivity of the continental crust that is not shielded from the atmosphere by water.)
As evidence for a cloud—cosmic ray connection has emerged, interest has risen in the various physical mechanisms whereby ionization by cosmic rays could influence cloud formation. In parallel with the analysis of observational data by Svensmark and Friis-Christensen (1997), Marsh and Svensmark (2000) and Palle´and Butler (2000), others, including Tinsley (1996), Yu (2002) and Bazilevskaya et al. (2000), have developed the physical understanding of how ionization by cosmic rays may influence the formation of clouds. Two processes that have recently received attention by Tinsley and Yu (2003) are the IMN process and the electroscavenging process.
http://solar.njit.edu/preprints/palle1264.pdf
Comments: William:
1. There is also evidence that GCR changes modulate high altitude cirrus clouds. The affect is opposite to that of low level clouds. i.e. High levels of GCR and resulting ionization result in an increase in low level clouds and reduction in high altitude cirrus clouds. Cirrus clouds warm high latitude regions particularly in the winter due to the greenhouse affect of their ice particles.
2. There is a different solar mechanism that is responsible for the 10 to 12 year delay in the onset of cooling that is observed in the past when there is change from a series of short solar cycles to a long solar cycle or to an interruption of the solar magnetic cycle.
watch this and consider all the evidence before jumping to wild conclusions
[ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Sf_UIQYc20&feature=player_embedded#! ]
[Moderator’s Note: the screen-name “JJ” is already used by a WUWT regular. It would be an act of graciousness if you would use a different variation. Thank you. -REP]
No climate scientist has any idea why
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/CETjun.htm ?
Let’s hear what William M. Connolley has to say.
Hans Elias
Why is everybody wondering about the insistence of IPCC that the observed 1980-1998 global warming is caused by humans? It is exactly what they are supposed to do!
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was founded in 1998 by two United Nations organizations, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO, an intergovernmental organization) and the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP; many suborganizations). The principles governing the IPCC work are outlined in a document that was approved in 1988 and amended in 2003 an on April 26-28, 2006 (www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles.pdf):
“1. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change shall concentrate its activities on the tasks allotted to it by the relevant WMO … and UNEP … resolutions and decisions as well as on actions in support of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change process.
2. The role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehensive … basis … the information relevant to … human-induced climate change …”
The 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) document says:
“The Parties to this Convention …, Concerned that human activities … will result … in an additional warming of the Earth’s surface and atmosphere …”
and in Article 1, Definitions:
“ 2. “Climate Change” means a change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to the natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods.”
It follows that the IPCC
1. is an intergovernmental organization (hence subject to politics),
2. is subject to instructions (unheard of in pure science), and
3. has to support the hypothesis of human-induced climate change.
“Certified emission reductions” (of carbon dioxide) etc. are then used (via the Kyoto Protocol, e.g., Articles 10 and 11) to transfer money from “sinning” nations to developing nations. This has been said most clearly by Dr. Ottmar Edenhofer (co-chair of WR3, AR4 (2007) of the IPCC) in an interview (in German) published by the Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ am Sonntag, 24 November 2010; online (www.nzz.ch, 7 December 2010):
“Basically, industrialized countries have expropriated in a way the atmosphere of the global society. It has to be said clearly: we redistribute de facto global wealth by climate politics. … One should abandon the illusion that international climate politics is environmental politics. Basically, climate politics has practically nothing to do with environmental politics anymore, for example forest deaths or the ozone hole.”
Re; G. Karst February 22, 2012 at 8:17 am
G., I believed as you did, that Connolley was banned, but he is apparently able to edit once again. He edited the wiki article on the IPCC within the last 30 days.
I wonder how that happened?
vigilantfish
Smokey,
Thanks for fighting fire with fire. Reason and evidence don’t seem to work with the warmists, who are selective in their understanding of skeptical arguments. They cherry-pick their quotations from the whole cloth of skeptical discourse to set up distracting straw-man arguments. Much better to remind readers of who they are and what they have done, than to engage in futile circular debates with them. And you use a reputable secondary source (which for some reason is the gold-standard of evidence in Wikipedia articles, as opposed to primary documents, the bread-and-butter for true historians and encyclopedists).
Discussions of William M. Connolley’s status at Wikipedia are largely a distraction from the more interesting discussion of Rawls post.
However, if I can put some items to rest:
Connolley was an administrator, is not currently an administrator, but the change of status was not a stripping by management. The position of administrator is conferred and removed by community consensus. Furthermore, it is simplistic and inaccurate to attribute the removal of administrator status to his editing of global warming articles.
Connolley was barred from editing articles about climate change, but that prohibition has ended. He is very knowledgeable about many aspects of the subject, and the summary dismissal of his points, simply because he isn’t a skeptic, is unwise. Disagree with him when and if he is wrong, conceded his points when he is right, and we will slowly advance toward understanding. Neither blind acceptance nor blind rejection will be helpful.
Connolley is providing relevant links in the discussion of Rawls points – I hope we can return to a discussion of those points.
Rob Crawford
Second part is LazyTeenager.
So, Lazy, you don’t believe increased energy output by the sun can warm the Earth? While your statement is generally true, there’s a clear and obvious method by which solar activity can warm the planet. The physical processes are understood quite well, and as Alec pointed out, the correlation is quite strong.
Are you a solar denier?
Looks like Billy has way too much time on his hands. Must be waiting for the latest batch of confiscated taxpayer grant money.
Funny how he hasn’t answered the wiki issue yet. Come on Billy – why did you get booted?
Maybe everyone could just reply to his posts asking the wiki question – bet he moves on quickly.
Johnnythelowery says:
“Boot Connelly for life from here!!!! …………………………………….. Please.
NAY!
He can’t edit here, let him spout where he can be refuted for all to see.
I’ve noticed the sun’s been up for longer periods each day the last few months. Should the IPCC — as they’re “not charged with taking natural[sic] into account” — conclude from that that in about a year, we’ll have continuous day light?
Simply amazingly anti-science position: “we’re looking at a natural system, but we’ll ignore natural drivers of the system”. It’s as if I asserted that the source of all the water in the Ohio river are the waste-water treatment facilities along its course.
Dave Dardinger
William M Connolley says:
“This is describing a GCM study, based on the Lean ’95 reconstruction, ”
Alex Rawls claims that the models assume that CO2 is 40 times as effective as solar (TSI) in terms of climate change. You quote Lean ’95 as reconstructing TSI and UV. This implies that relying on this Lean ’95 paper will not do a proper job of analyzing whether solar wind / magnetic effects are important. Since you quote the IPCC as relying, at least in part, on Lean -95 as justifying the opinion that solar effects are not of great importance in climate change, it appears you haven’t really responded to Alex’s complaint about the IPCC position.
How do they isolate what is “caused by human activity” if they do not consider natural causes?
I note that you, too, are implicitly dismissing the post author’s argument that IPCC has ignored solar forcing; the Stott paper is (as you’d expect)
Indeed the work of Stott e.a. is referenced, but with some caveats::
In addition, a combined analysis of the response at the surface and through the depth of the atmosphere using HadCM3 and the solar reconstruction of Lean et al. (1995) concluded that the near-surface temperature response to solar forcing over 1960 to 1999 is much smaller than the response to greenhouse gases (Jones et al., 2003). This conclusion is also supported by the vertical pattern of climate change, which is more consistent with the response to greenhouse gas than to solar forcing (Figure 9.1).
Stott used the HadCM3 model with 10x solar, according to Lean e.a. and Hoyt and Schatten, not mentioned in the IPCC report, to check a possible better attribution of its weak TSI variability. They found that solar statistically might be underestimated by a factor of about 2 at the cost of the influence of CO2 (20% less). But again, within the constraints of the model. If one sets no minimum border on the influence of aerosols (-1.5 W/m2 in the model), it might be as well 5 times (that means no influence of CO2 at all…). Thus the attribution problem still is far from solved, if you don’t let the constraint of aerosol influence interfere with the statistics.
Further, the “vertical pattern of climate change” is not consistent with a response to greenhouse gases at all, as Figure 9.1 in this case shows the “hot spot” in the upper troposphere in the tropics, which doesn’t exist…
And last but not least (we have had that discussion already a long time ago in the better days of RC, before over half my comments were deleted), the influence of CO2 must be halved, if human aerosols have a much lower influence than implemented in the models:
http://www.ferdinand-engelbeen.be/klimaat/oxford.html
The old discussion at RC about my doubts of the aerosol connection is here (at #14):
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005/07/climate-sensitivity-and-aerosol-forcings/
“I am going to offer a completely non-scientific theory as to why solar activity is deemphasized. Since the sun’s activity is beyond the control of humans, it is scary and avoided.”
I respectfully disagree. Solar activity is omitted because it doesn’t give anyone an excuse to impoverish the world.
Well done, generally. I’ve been arguing the same way ever since I discovered the climate problem a decade plus ago. Simply looking at the last 100 years of the reasonably reliable climate record, while both CO_2 and Solar Activity in general increased and/or remained high, only solar activity correlates well with the VARIATIONS in the upward trending data. Yes, there are a ton of other possibly confounding variables (in particular the effect of decadal oscillations) but if one was simply fitting the data with two parameters, solar activity and CO_2, there is obvious covariance sufficient to permit a decent fit to be made with an entire range of attribution of warming to CO_2 and solar activity. However, a CO_2 only model fails to explain the deviations from monotonic increase in temperature, where solar activity can, in a reasonable theory, provide an explanation.
The evidence for the importance of solar forcing is indeed being strengthened by the year as the current solar cycle advances, arguably the lowest in at least a century. First, there is a levelling (at least) of global temperatures. Second, this levelling is accompanied by secular changes in important climate parameters, e.g. H_2O levels in the stratosphere. Third, it is accompanied by a measured increase in the Earth’s bond albedo via the proxy of reflected Earthlight from the visible dark face of the moon. Solar forcing is directly tied to bond albedo in every viable theory of global climate; at the Earth’s mean temperature it has an effect on the theoretical greybody temperature of the planet (the baseline from which the GHE proceeds) of roughly 1K per 0.01 in bond albedo. An increase from 0.30 to 0.31, in other words, would decrease global temperatures by roughly 1K completely independent of everything else — an amount sufficient to cancel at least 2/3 of the total observed warming of the last century to century and a half.
Taken together, these observations both place increasingly severe limits on the hypothesized positive additional forcing that is required beyond what the CO_2 portion of the GHE is supposed to produce, and damn skippy, is a clear case of omitted variable fraud.
It would be very interesting to build a completely unbiased parametric predictive model of the global climate, one with good forecast and hindcast capabilities when prepared with only selected portions of the climate record. In particular, it would be interesting to build a neural network based predictive model — more or less my speciality. It is for all practical purposes impossible to force a neural network (whose inputs are just tables of “neurified” numbers for trainging purposes where one doesn’t even have to label the variables, the ultimate in double blind fitting) to choose one variable over another when the two are covariant, and unlike traditional model NNs don’t require one to worry about covariance when preparing the model data — as long as you avoid including the “answer” in proxy form, they will simply optimize the contributions from two or more partially correlated variables.
It is similarly difficult to interpret the result — a NN might have several thousand weights that are all mutually optimized to produce a good predictive model (one that is neither overfit nor underfit and that was robust against random retrainings with different partitionings of training and trial data) and one cannot point to the 1027th of them and say “this one represents the contribution of CO_2”. But this is their strength in this case. Neither can one go in and preset the 1027th weight to force it to make CO_2 the primary driver. One has to infer the NN’s eventual decomposition by performing various projections of input data to determine what it has decided the sensitivity is to single variable forcings with all other variables fixed.
I do have one criticism of the top article, though. It is easy to let anger slip through into postings on WUWT, but in a scientific critique they have little to no place. Such a critique should be written in a dispassionate way. I hope and assume that the actual AR5 report was written in this way, however much anger slipped through into the top article.
We would all do well to remember that while some participants in the CAGW scare (if not scam) may well be dishonest and deceptive — quite possibly dishonest first of all to themselves, making it far easier to justify fooling others — I would expect that most of them are not. Some of them, as we have very recently seen, are willing to walk away and publicly repudiate the entire process when they perceive of the scientific process being corrupted to political ends.
The proper thing to do in the case of AR5 is present, as the top author had done, a detailed critique of omitted science and publications, and I even think under the circumstances that it is fair to directly address omitted variable fraud in the discussion, to put them on their guard. It is then up to the IPCC to take this criticism seriously, or open themselves up to immediate rebuttal if they fail to modify the report. Documenting the omissions and clearly laying out the reasons that this is not good science makes them all the more vulnerable to the mounting criticism of overt bias if they fail to directly address them in the final document.
The stakes are high. The climate is going to do what the climate is going to do, and it is not doing what the CO_2-only model predicts that it should be doing right now. More and more real scientists, including climate scientists contributing work to AR5 and the IPCC, are being forced to confront this by the only thing that ultimately matters — the actual data.
If the IPCC fails — for the fifth time — to address the scientific weaknesses in the CAGW scenario, after they have been fairly and objectively pointed out in the very critical reports that they have solicited in an admirably open process — then I rather suspect that they will be marginalized and blasted apart, as there at this point a number of government watchdogs in the large granting agencies who are responsive to allegations of confirmation bias and the politicization of the scientific process, whether or not the IPCC is.
Dave in Canmore
If I had done what William M. Connolley did at Wiki, I would have too much shame to come here and draw attention to myself.
We booted Emmanuel so and so off here for life for being repetitive and boring about his Iron Sun. Connelly’s actions at Wiki, if true, are far more eggregious.
Nay.
Banning comments is a standard totalitarian tactic used at AGW advocacy sites such are Real Climate, SkepticalScience, and others.
If Connelly is prepared to debate the science here, then he should certainly be allowed to do so.
Sunlight is the best disinfectant.
AGW_Skeptic> the wiki issue
The answer is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:ARBCC. You could try reading it, but that would probably be too much like hard work, so you’ll rely on someone else’s inaccurate and slanted paraphrase.
> Connolley… edited the wiki article on the IPCC within the last 30 days.
Smart detective work. See-also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Contributions/William_M._Connolley.
> I wonder how that happened?
Phil>
Ta. Good advice, too. I shall try to take it, for my part. It would be more interesting to talk about the science. Speaking of which…
> No climate scientist has any idea why http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/CETjun.htm ? Let’s hear what William M. Connolley has to say.
Errm, that is a plot of the CET. You must have a point, though I confess I can’t see what that point is.
> past Dansgaard-Oesgher or Bond cycles…
Yep, with you so far, all part of the std.picture.
> The past warming and cooling cycles all correlate with cosmogenic isotope changes. There is no correlation with atmospheric CO2 changes
For the Bond cycles, that sounds plausible. Obviously its wrong for the iceage cycles.
> What is your or the Realclimate or the AR4 explanation of the past warming and cooling cycles?
From context, I assume you mean the Bond cycles stuff. I don’t think they are fully understood; indeed, people argue about whether they are periodic or not (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dansgaard%E2%80%93Oeschger_event). Rahmstorf is RC; you can find a ref to his work there.
> The past warming and cooling cycles all correlate with cosmogenic isotope changes
Could be. But you present no refs, so I can’t judge. Please do so.
Bob Kutz> how on earth can you make the claim that the IPCC isn’t convinced of CAGW? This; “# Warming of the climate system is unequivocal. # Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely (>90%) due to the observed increase in anthropogenic (human) greenhouse gas concentrations. # Anthropogenic warming and sea level rise would continue for centuries due to the times…
I can sense your outrage as I read the words as they are actually written, rather than the meaning you want them to have. “# Warming of the climate system is unequivocal.” Certainly it is. But “unequivocal” just means cannot-be-reasonably-disagreed-with, not “catastrophic”. And similarly for your other points. Why can you not even read the material that you quote?
Reblogged this on TrueNorthist and commented:
A thoroughly fascinating read that is well worth the time.
I’d like it understoood that this post was not made by me, and would request that this poster identify himself differently to avoid confusion.
Re; William Connolley, February 22, 2012 at 8:21 am
Saying the phrase is not used at all is a far cry from making something up. On this point you are cornered. David did not use quotation marks and the IPCC firmly indicates an endorsement of the notion that current warming is caused by anthropogenic emissions of CO2 and that it is catastrophic.
Given your rebuke of poor David, how do you explain this;
“The IPCC WGI Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC,2007) came to a more confident assessment of the causes of global temperature change than previous reports and concluded that “most of
the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations”. It also concluded that “discernible human influences now extend to other aspects of climate, including ocean warming, continentalaverage temperatures, temperature extremes and wind patterns. Since then, warming over Antarctica has also been attributed to human influence, and further evidence has accumulated attributing a wider range of climate changes to human activities. Such changes are broadly consistent with theoretical understanding, and climate model simulations,of how the planet is expected to respond.”
That’s taken from the IPCC websites pdf version of the meeting report from the “IPCC Expert Meeting on Detection and Attribution Related to Anthropogenic Climate Change” held by the World Meteorological Organization in Geneva, Switzerland 14–16 September 2009. It directly sites AR4’s claim that “most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations”.
Given that WGIII (TAR4) concerns itself with mitigation strategies including carbon taxes and investment in renewable (though it doesn’t mention non-carbon based, curiously) energy, and restrictions on motor vehicle production and usage and “land use regulation and enforcement”, it would be hard to justify the notion at they (IPCC) don’t view this change as catastrophic. They certainly describe it as such.
If that isn’t the IPCC supporting the CAGW dogma in your opinion, then your opinion is no longer relevant to any conversations of logic and science.
Bill, it is time to repent.
higley7
I see little danger that this wonderful post will be found wrong, but not from the solar influence point of view. First, it turns out that all 4 main atmospheric gases, N2, O2, water vapor, and CO2 have IR absorption capabilities. The IR absorption spectrum of air clearly shows the strong influence from N2 and O2. It also turns out that CO2 absorbance abilities are rather limited compared to the other three gases. In light of being a truly minor player regarding IR absorption/emission, CO2 simply does not have a detectable influence.
Second, direct chemical bottle CO2 data, gathered together by Ernst Beck, clearly shows that CO2 has been much higher than now during three periods of the last 200 years, showing lag times and great variability relative to temperature.
Third, according to Jaworowski, an authority on ice cores, ice cores are severely traumatized during extraction and, besides some in situ chemistry that decreases detectable CO2 from the samples, extensive microfracturing occurs. Thus, he considers that ice cores lose 30–50% of their CO2 before assay. If you take the published ice core CO2 values and back calculate these losses, the values are equal to or greater than the atmospheric CO2 today.
To assume that ice cores show absolute CO2 values of old atmosphere is just plain stupid. For the IPCC to allow and support ice core data to be merged with Mauna Loa volcano CO2 data is intellectual and scientific dishonesty, amounting to fraud and, taking into account the policy decisions involved, criminal intent.
Coach Springer
A preview of AR5 and the aftermath. Sounds like if you squint and stare really hard right in one place long enough, you’ll see it until you look somewhere else. Stop looking somewhere else, because it’s really, really important to the world that you don’t look somewhere else. A whole lot of forcing and not much falling into place. No action required. Or will they scale the catastrophe higher this time round after scaling it lower to appear at least a little credible last time?
You may not be able to prove that their rejection of the variable(s) is intentionally fraudulent without evidence that they know or should know that their rejection is false (tempting to conclude but hard to prove intent). Or is this IPCC project subject to various nations’ FOIA law? If FOI is important for any issue, it’s this effort to establish the behind the curtain edict as global authority for everything from science to how we live and breathe.
But cheer up, the LA times is promoting every agnostic from holocaust denier to Adolf Eichmann.
Any good reason not to include the 2000-2012 period in there?
Oh, wait, perhaps it is because there was no measured warming at all, so that the entire period confounds the CO_2-only hypothesis, with last month’s lower troposphere 33-year mean anomaly negative once again.
Actually, the most compelling arguments are the ones with the longest time base, not the shortest. To discuss the causes of any local warming or cooling trend, it helps to know the long timescale natural variability of the system. It then helps to regulate your explanations of the local trend with the possible causes of the observed natural variability.
When this is done on a scale longer than 100 years, what is revealed is that natural variability can account for 100% of the local warming. We aren’t even out there at a 2 sigma event over the last 12,000 years, and the initial baseline of the thermometric era was not only a 2 sigma event, it was a three or four sigma event on the low side. Global temperatures are not geologically “unprecedented” — that is blatent fraud in and of itself as a glance at the non-CAGW-reconstructed paleoclimatological record clearly reveals.
So no, looking at a 30 year baseline is not “the important question”, at least not if you want to have a chance of finding the right answer. Before you can analyze a signal, you first have to correctly identify the range of the noise and its natural variability, and then systematically obtain the predictors of that variability. CO_2 cannot be ascertained to be the primary driver of the variations observed now without fully accounting for the natural variations over centuries and millennia where it was not a relevant (variable) driver at all.
Werner Brozek
You still have a shot, before global cooling is an established fact, to make a rapid turn around and save some shred of your reputations.
They should not wait too long. See the two slopes for surface sea level temperatures. There has been no change for 15 years and the slope for the last 10 years is -0.00962834 per year. If they are waiting for 17 years of no positive slope, they will really have egg on their faces. (Also the latest UAH value for AQUA ch05 is now 0.35 C below the previous lowest value since 2002!)
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1980/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1997.08/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002.08/trend
It’s nice to see this fellow participating… whoever he may be
But why do the moderators allow him to derail the discussion from the point of the post? Why is this type of thread-jacking allowed? I can’t believe that anyone would quote WikiPedia as an authoritative source — for example…
Bob Kutz says:
This; […]
You can’t argue with William M. Connolley by citing the wikipedia. William M. Connolley would in that case do one of two things:
-Tell you that wikipedia, according to wikipedia, is not a reliable source
-Change the article you’re citing to say what he wants.
John West says:
You can’t trust him. You can’t trust that he believes what he is saying is true; because in the past said things were true when he knew damn well they wern’t. See the difference between a person with countervailing ideas (see Leif V Scarfetta) and a liar.
1. He might be saying it because he believes it to be true (and is qualified to hold the opinion)
2. He might be saying it because it serves a purpose
3. He might be saying it to wind us up, muddy the waters, waste our time
4. He might saying it because it frustrates those who search for truth
I say get rid of him.
Dave Dardinger> Alex Rawls claims that the models assume that CO2 is 40 times as effective as solar (TSI) in terms of climate change.
Yes, but he just made it up. It isn’t true. You’ll notice he provides no evidence for the claim.
FE>
well, as you say, we’ve disagreed before, and there is little hope of having a proper discussion here – too much noise, too low a level of understanding. Plus, you evaded my question.
Bob Kutz> the IPCC firmly indicates an endorsement of the notion that current warming is … catastrophic
No it doesn’t, you’re just making things up.
> Such changes are broadly consistent with theoretical understanding, and climate model simulations,of how the planet is expected to respond
Yeees, notice the absence of the C-word in there, though.
> Any good reason not to include the 2000-2012 period in there?
Nope, feel free to include that too.
> all 4 main atmospheric gases, N2, O2, water vapor, and CO2 have IR absorption capabilities
No. N2 and O2 are diatomic.
> Ernst Beck, clearly shows that CO2 has been much higher than now during three periods of the last 200 years
Not that lunacy again. Come on, that belongs off in the wild fringes… oh, wait…
Coach Springer, “You may not be able to prove that their rejection of the variable(s) is intentionally fraudulent without evidence that they know or should know that their rejection is false ”
The IPCC has already stated that they believe that all natural factors and cycles have been overwhelmed by CO2. We’re done—intentionally fraudulent it is. Too many people have pointed out that this is wrong for them not to be intentionally continuing to ignore natural factors.
Ignoring important natural cycles entirely fits their needs for a political agenda centered around demonizing CO2 as the controller of our climate and accusing humans of messing with the controller.
Bottom line: the IPCC cannot afford to EVER admit to being wrong, goal-oriented, or dishonest, as they would then fail their political propaganda mission. This has nothing to do with science and all to do with political expediency.
I am disappointed that the moderators have left an apparently (self-snip) Wikipedia-banned propagandist like Connolley post oven a dozen times and derail what could have been an interesting scientific discussion. This is a waste.
Joe Born
Rawls: “[U]nlike warming, cooling is actually dangerous and really can feed back on itself in runaway fashion.”
I’m not questioning that on balance cooling from present levels is less friendly to humans than warming. But there may be others here who like me are unfamiliar with the rationale for that passage’s runaway-feedback comment. Further explanation would be welcome.
Septic Matthew
Philip Bradley: I have to agree with William M. Connolley . The important question is what caused the 1970 to 2000 measured warming.
Even if that were the only important question, the answer to that question requires the answers to many other questions, such as:”Is there any evidence that the 1970-200 warming had a different cause from previous warmings?” and “Has the 1970-2000 warming ended?”
That “people always back off” is very unlikely, even if their perceptions were wrong. Who are you trying to fool, yourself?
Yes, I understand you have avoided actually responding to my original claim, and now just repeat your own without support, while misrepresenting what I said, and adding some juicy innuendo for flavor.
I don’t need to understand some “attribution analysis” to know that it isn’t possible to know what is not known or that “most” is known and understood. That is a statement of faith, not of science.
And I didn’t say theory was based on correlation:
February 22, 2012 at 5:13 am “The explanations (theories) may begin with limited understanding of Earth’s complex physical processes, but the correlations are what “gave rise” to them.”
The observation that the earth is warming is explained by certain processes, William. Not the other way around. Without observations of warming, explanations of warming are rather moot, don’t you think? And observations of cooling or no warming, in the absence of good reasons, would falsify AGW.
William M. Connolley previously sanctioned and desysopped8.1) In the Abd-William M. Connolley arbitration case (July–September 2009), William M. Connolley was found to have misused his admin tools while involved. As a result, he lost administrator permissions, and was admonished and prohibited from interacting with User:Abd. Prior to that, he was sanctioned in Requests for arbitration/Climate change dispute (2005, revert parole – which was later overturned by the Committee here) and Wikipedia:Requests for arbitration/Geogre-William M. Connolley (2008, restricted from administrative actions relating to Giano II). He was also the subject of RFC’s regarding his conduct: RfC 1 (2005) and RfC 2 (2008). The 2008 RFC was closed as improperly certified.
Passed 6 to 0 with 2 abstentions, 14:10, 14 October 2010 (UTC)
William M. Connolley has been uncivil and antagonistic8.2) William M. Connolley has been uncivil and antagonistic to editors within the topic area, and toward administrators enforcing the community probation. (Selection of representative examples:[6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16] [17][18][19] [20] )
This uncivil and antagonistic behaviour has included refactoring of talk page comments by other users,(examples:[21][22][23] ) to the point that he was formally prohibited from doing so. In the notice advising him that a consensus of 7 administrators had prohibited his refactoring of talk page posts, he inserted commentary within the post of the administrator leaving the notice on his talk page.[24]] For this action, he was blocked for 48 hours; had the block extended to 4 days with talk page editing disabled due to continuing insertions into the posts of other users on his talk page; had his block reset to the original conditions; then was blocked indefinitely with talk page editing disabled when he again inserted comments into the posts of others on his talk page.[25] After extensive discussion at Administrator noticeboard/Incidents, the interpretation of consensus was that the Climate Change general sanctions did not extend to the actions of editors on their own talk pages, and the block was lifted.
Passed 8 to 0, 14:10, 14 October 2010 (UTC)
William M. Connolley’s edits to biographies of living persons8.5) William M. Connolley has focused a substantial portion of his editing in the Climate change topic area on biographical articles about living persons who hold views opposed to his own with respect to the reality and significance of anthropogenic global warming, in a fashion suggesting that he does not always approach such articles with an appropriately neutral and disinterested point of view.
I notice that William M.Connolley has not explained how a correlation that existed up to 1970 can be of no more importance after 1970. Did the laws of physics change, William M. Connolley? Please give us a quote from IPCC AR4 about that.
But you shouldn’t measure the lack of knowledge by your own. Most of the processes are indeed well known and understood. Some important ones (clouds, or contrails) aren’t so well. ”
The problem with that, William M. Connolley, is of course, as you must know, that an iterative model will necessarily deviate with each timestep more and more from reality; especially in light of your admission that some important processes aren’t so well understood. (I don’t even have to mention chaos here; it would even be true for a non-chaotic system)
How can you for these obviously erroneous models maintain the notion that running them over a 100 virtual years will tell us ANYTHING about the reality in 100 years? I can’t believe that you are ignorant to not understand the futility of such attempts.
We can, even though we don’t know all the processes exactly, forecast the weather for a maximum of 5 days. After that, the deviation becomes too large to give meaningful forecasts.
The IPCC argues that they don’t make forecasts (another word for forecast is PREDICTION) but only sample the possible solution space in a 100 years from now (calling that PROJECTION).
But any fool can see that that state space is for all practical considerations practically infinite. How can an ensemble run that runs some models, say, a thousand times inform us in any way about the likelihood of certain outcomes? Calling this “undersampling” would be ridiculous, “nearly not sampling at all” is more appropriate.
This is all trivial and must be known to the IPCC’s climate modelers yet they continue to pretend that their models have some imaginary value for telling us about the future in 100 years. This can only be described as professional misconduct, and charges should be brought; I’d like to hear what they’d say in their defence when sued for misappropriation of funds.
Again; Re; William Connolley
William, your condescending attitude is truly pathetic, and the last refuge of climate alarmists. I took the notion of catastrophic as a given in the argument. I full well understand the definition of the word unequivocal. Perhaps you should look up the meaning of the word obtuse.
If they (IPCC) don’t believe AGW is catastrophic why are they advocating economically damaging policy to prevent it? Why is there such heated debate, if they believe there is no threat involved. Why would our leaders be trying to tax carbon, if the effects were believed to be either neutral or beneficial?
Simple; they do believe (or claim to believe) it’s catastrophic. The IPCC is built on the notion that it’s catastrophic. That’s why it exists. If they came out with a report that said; ‘it’s global, humans are the cause, but we are all going to be fine really, enjoy the sunshine’, there’d be no cause for their further existence. You of all people should be aware of the notion that people don’t willingly point out their uselessness.
Their (IPCC) prognostications include; “hundreds of millions of people exposed to increased water stress” TAR, WGIII, Summary for policy makers, magnitudes of impact.
“significant extinctions around the globe’, ibid
“increased damage from floods and storms”, ibid’
“millions more people could experience flooding each year”, ibid
“increased burden from malnutrition, diarrhoeal, cardio-respiratory, and infectious disease”,ibid
“increased mortality from heat waves, floods and droughts”,ibid
“substantial burden on health services”,ibid
further on they characterize as ‘likely’ the chances that the AGW will result in “Increased risk of food and water shortage; increased risk of malnutrition; increased risk of water- and food-borne diseases”, ibid
I’ve done the reading William, have you?
Are you really trying to stand on the notion that IPCC does not support the notion that AGW is catastrophic? Really?
Perhaps it’s not I who’s reading skills require remedial attention. Perhaps a course in elementary logic would also do you well.
MAVukcevic> No climate scientist has any idea why http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/CETjun.htm ? Let’s hear what William M. Connolley has to say.
Graph speaks louder than 100s of the CO2 AGW papers.
Point is very clear : 350 years no temperature rise!
I added the frequency spectrum, note strongest component is not the TSI’s period but the Hale cycle.
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/CETjun.htm
In my initial post I said:
there appear to be strong indication that temperature changes and the solar activity are in a certain degree of synchronisation, but the mechanism is still eluding the mainstream science, while some of us on the fringes have (or think to have) a pretty good idea what that mechanism may be.
Johnnie the lowery says
“In the decision, a slap-down for the once-powerful Connolley by his peers, he has been barred from participating in any article, discussion or forum dealing with global warming. In addition, because he rewrote biographies of scientists and others he disagreed with, to either belittle their accomplishments or make them appear to be frauds, Wikipedia barred him — again unanimously — from editing biographies of those in the climate change field.”
Henry@all here
I must tell you that when I started my investigations on whether or not more CO2 is good or bad for us, I came across a definition of the GHG effect in Wikipedia that you can still find at the beginning of this post here:
http://www.letterdash.com/HenryP/the-greenhouse-effect-and-the-principle-of-re-radiation-11-Aug-2011
When I frequently referred to it, mostly that the increase in CO2 compares to next-to-nothing if you look at all the water vapor and clouds in the atmosphere, and the actual mechanism of the GHG effect, which would imply that it must be minimum temps pushing up average temperatures (which I did not see happening, globally….).
I found later somebody had changed the definition to make it more in line with AGW thinking…
For example, currently
the contribution of the GH Gases to the GH effect in Wikipedia is totally mis- stated
water 30-70%
CO2 9-26%
Surely anybody can understand if average water vapor alone is 0.5% (excluding clouds) and CO2 is 0.04% that those figures in Wikipedia cannot be right. So who planted them there?
http://www.letterdash.com/HenryP/more-carbon-dioxide-is-ok-ok
And lest someone say, “but the build-up of heat in the oceans due to the “energy imbalance”; it is obvious that there must be warming”: My answer would be : if the climate system worked in such a simplistic way, WHY USE SUPERCOMPUTERS AT ALL if that is so easy? Again, a grossly expensive and illogical enterprise!
Of course it’s not that easy, as fluctuations in water vapour, surface temperature etc. lead to ever-changing radiation, moving energy into space.
But the climate models used to simulate that are for the simple reasons I mentioned above nothing but computer games without any practical worth. They can’t tell us what the Earth climate system will do the next week. Let alone in 100 years.
Sonicfrog
I am a AGW skeptic (not that changes CO2 cannot have an effect on the climate system, but more of the certainty, based on my studies of past climate when I was a geology major), but I also appreciate Dr Connolley stopping by. I agree with the comment that it’s silly to focus on the trivial Wiki removal, as WC has shown it’s not for the reasons many say it is. We should stick to the science and the disagreements therein.
In Re; William Connolley,
William, read what I have posted. I cite the sources at the IPCC’s own website. You can look this stuff up. see comment above; Bob Kutz February 22, 2012 at 9:41 am. The source document is TAR, WGIII, Summary for Policy Makers, Magnitude of Impacts. I have provided the quotes.
If you are unwilling to refute the source material I have sited, you have confirmed for everyone here that you’ve no credentials.
The only one making stuff up is you.
You are a troll. There is a special place in hell for trolls, Bill.
Repent.
I am battling again trying to get a subscription…
and again….
There must be something wrong on the side of WUWT?
(the notify me of follow-up comments does not work)
> I took the notion of catastrophic as a given in the argument.
Ah, progress. You’ve now admitted that the C-word is yours, and not the IPCC’s.
> If they (IPCC) don’t believe AGW is catastrophic why are they advocating economically damaging policy to prevent it?
Firstly, I’m reading the WGI report, which doesn’t make any policy recommendations. WGII and III are more policy-focussed, but even then I’m not sure you’re right.
Secondly, you seem to think in rather all-or-nothing terms: in your world, either GW is catastrophic, and we do stuff, or it is non-catastrophic, and we do nothing. That is clearly unrealistic.
> Why is there such heated debate, if they believe there is no threat involved
Because there is a threat; but it might not be “catastrophic”, depending of course on what that ill-defined word might mean to you.
> For example, currently the contribution of the GH Gases to the GH effect in Wikipedia is totally mis- stated water 30-70% CO2 9-26% Surely anybody can understand if average water vapor alone is 0.5% (excluding clouds) and CO2 is 0.04% that those figures in Wikipedia cannot be right
You seem to be relying on proof-by-incredulity, which is invalid. The figures are approximate, but reasonable.
@Alec Rawls: Thank you for devoting so much energy to this issue. I fear you are indeed correct in your assessment; these people – the IPCC and its supporters like Connelley – are either charlatans or children.
Your response to them does in fact contain a falsifiable prediction – substantial global cooling is on its way – soon. I fear this too; the turmoil in this old world is going to skyrocket and many – probably billions – of people are going to suffer. Perhaps it too will allow us to do what we need to change the paradigm of science funding and other things so that zealots and cheats can no longer hold such sway. Maybe we can send a few of them to jail.
Again, thanks for your efforts.
I’M Ok now. One hit got through. You can wipe previous comments.
Acorn1 - San Diego
I see it mentioned a few times above, but only a few. And never in the AR reports!
This is that atmospheric CO2 is beneficial, too! (I should not add that “too” to this
sentence.). Forests and crops are growing faster than they were seventy years ago.
And this is totally beneficial to nearly all the species…! Including Homo sapiens.
There is a great deal of literature on this – the ARs should include analysis of this.
You are a troll.
I noticed that some time ago.
I wonder if the elders of wikipedia know that he comes here to derail threads.
>> It seems to me either 1995 or 1999 is a typo.
> *******************************************************************
> You’ve misquoted. That helps no one.
I agree. I guess I need one cup of coffee per clause in the morning.
Connolley, wrong as usual, says:
“WGII and III are more policy-focussed (sic)…”
Wrong. WG3 is entirely policy focused. IPCC Co-Chair Ottmar Edenhofer stated that “one must say clearly that we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy. One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with environmental policy anymore”.
The IPCC is a totally political hyena with a thin veneer of [generally wrong] science for camoflage. Edenhofer candidly admits to its agenda. UN kleptocrats intend to steal what they never earned under the guise of “environmental policy”. Edenhofer makes clear that environmental policy is a smokescreen for international theft.
Connolley says that “there is a threat; but it might not be ‘catastrophic’, depending of course on what that ill-defined word might mean to you.”
Nonsense. There is no indication of any approaching disaster. As a matter of fact, the rise in CO2 is greening the planet. CO2 is a harmless and beneficial trace gas. As the IPCC’s Edenhofer makes clear, the demonization of “carbon” is only a cover story for an immense tax grab to redistribute the wealth of Western taxpayers through the totally corrupt UN [which as always will take its hefty cut], which will then end up in the pockets of despots. And the world’s poor will be just as poor as ever.
As someone reprimanded and disciplined for disseminating false propaganda, Connolley surely knows this. He is just putting his usual spin on the UN’s greedy intentions. The question is, what is Connolley getting out of posting his misrepresentations here?
The Pompous Git
William M. Connolley said @ February 22, 2012 at 6:33 am
If there are really so many good papers supporting [Rawls’] viewpoint, why does he need to include an unpublished paper in the list?).
If there were so many good papers supporting the IPCC view, why was Wahl & Amman’s unpublished “Jesus Paper” included in AR4? See. Steve McIntyre was threatened with dismissal from the position of expert reviewer for requesting access to the data that unpublished paper was based on.
The Git supports allowing Connolley being allowed to post here where we can all see his disingenuousness. He also makes the important point that many here are commenting on something they haven’t read. Isn’t that what we detested Gleik for in relation to Donna Laframboise’s Delinquent Teenager?
John Eggert
I think that the evidence that this critique is fundementally sound is that William Connelly is so present on this thread. Obviously you have no interest in debating the underlying science, as this is a regular topic of conversation here. Certainly I’ve never seen you responding to any of Willis’ posts. Why are you here now? Could it be that the rapid response team have seen a serious and real threat that must be discredited as quickly as possible?
If you want people to take you seriously, come by more often. As you can see, all of your posts are being published. Something that would not happen to Anthony at Realclimate. Otherwise, you leave it open to assume that you are “on the job”, just as you were at Wikipedia. You were sanctioned for that William. Here is just one of those sanctions. Seems that you are more able to express your opinions here than Wikipedia. How close minded of us.
William M. Connolley (talk · contribs) is prohibited from editing comments made by other editors about climate change or that appear on discussion pages related to climate change (broadly interpreted), for a duration of two months.
William Connolley said:
[I’m not going to quote the actual numbers, but yeah, the ratio is an astounding 40 to 1, up from 14 to 1 in AR4, which listed total solar forcing as 0.12 W/m^2, vs. 1.66 for CO2.]
Admittedly Alex didn’t quote the numbers from AR5 in an attempt to stay within the secrecy requirements imposed on the reviewers, but he does list the AR4 numbers. Do you say these are made up? Please note that the point isn’t that the numbers given can’t be derived from particular sets of data, but that (assuming the statistical values Alex gives are reasonably correct), they don’t match with reality. That is, if the proxies for solar values explain on the close order of half of the temperature variations for a very long period of time, there must be a mechanism for producing this correlation. And since solar wind reducing cosmic ray flux is a reasonable mechanism, it needs to be described in detail in AR5, and how this will (would) effect the attribution of temperature changes from CO2 must be presented. The same would be true for other reasonable mechanisms.
Let me put it another way as well. The “total solar forcing” value of .12 W/m^2 is really just a proxy for what might be called the “total solar influence”. The forcing value comes from the difference in all radiation hitting the earth (probably divided by 4, but I’m not going to go look that up as it’s not of particular importance). But just as a small energy difference on an electronic sensor can result in a large door being opened at great energy expenditure, so a relatively small change in total solar energy reaching the earth can be an indicator of a much larger difference in the solar energy reaching the earth’s surface by means of an indirect means such as change in albedo from change in cloud cover from cosmic ray influence.
“The question is, what is Connolley getting out of posting his misrepresentations here?”
Material for his own blog to quote. He didn’t try once to refute what I said. He actually never answers me. I guess I’m talking over his head.
higley7 says:
Higley, O2 and N2 have no absorption in the IR band, none at all. They do absorb (and emit) at much higher frequencies.
Late Beck’s interpretation of the data was wrong: most of the wet chemical data were from samples taken over land, in towns, fields and forests. These are worthless for any knowledge of what the real CO2 levels were in that period. Then, like now, the best available data were obtained over the oceans, on ships and coastal with wind from the seaside. These data are all around the ice core data. See further:
http://www.ferdinand-engelbeen.be/klimaat/beck_data.html
firmly discussed here at WUWT:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/09/24/engelbeen-on-why-he-thinks-the-co2-increase-is-man-made-part-4/
Something similar for the knowledge of late Jaworowski on ice cores, which ended around 1992. Most of his objections were already rejected by the work of Etheridge e.a. of 1996 on three Law Dome ice cores.
His objections against the merging of ice core data and Mauna Loa data by Neftel is based on his own error: he assumes that the gas age is similar to the age of the ice layers, which is proven wrong. At closing depth, the gas age is in average much younger (30 years in the case of Law Dome) than the surrounding ice. This was calculated by Neftel for the Siple Dome ice core and confirmed by Etheridge for Law Dome by measuring both the CO2 levels in the still open pores in firn top down to closing depth and in already closed bubbles in the ice. See further:
http://www.ferdinand-engelbeen.be/klimaat/jaworowski.html
heavily discussed at WUWT:
Volker Doormann
If one is asking for facts that there strong geometric correlations between solar functions and the global climate proxies, here are two.
The first one is the fact that the reconstructed temperature variations have a correlation with the variation of the frequency of the sun spots:
http://www.volker-doormann.org/images/sun_shift_buent.gif
Because of this correlation there must be a mechanism on the Sun which drives the global temperature variation on Earth.
A more detailed correlation can be seen between solar tide functions and the measured global temperature; spring tides of the couple of Mercury/Earth corresponds with a warm global Earth phase, and nip tides of the couple of Mercury/Earth corresponds with a cold global Earth phase. Because it is already argued that it is out of question that the Earth temperature controls the motion of the two planets there must be a (unknown) mechanism in the Sun, which effects in the global temperature function.
But this correlation is not the only one; because the oscillations of the global sea level probably are can be measured more precise than the global temperatures, there is an other fact that the oscillations of the sea level correlate strong with the solar tide function of the couple of Mercury/Earth.
This is excellent shown in two graphs with different time intervals:
http://www.volker-doormann.org/images/sealevel_vs_xyzo1.gif
http://www.volker-doormann.org/images/sealevel_vs_xyzo.gif
As an extra a simple (A. Einstein would like it) calculation can explain that the coupling of global temperature and sea level (oscillation) is not only fulfilled for high frequencies of month but also on a century.
This is the simple calculation taking the area of the world oceans:
1. The increasing quotient a of the global temperature (hadcrut3) from 1900 AD to 2002 AD is (0.6757° Cel. / 102) a = 0.006625° Cel. per year.
2. The relevant world sea water volume increase for about 1000 m deepness is ~23 mm per 0.1 ° Cel. (@ 19° Cel.) from the property of water.
3. The increase of the sea level h in 102 years is (0.006625° Cel. * 102 y * 23 mm / 0.1° Cel.) = 155.4 mm.
Check: Mean sea level increasing (1900-2002) from San Francisco is 1.47 mm per year or 149.9 mm for the whole time interval.
If this calculation is correct, it means that the sea level rise in the last century is still a physical slave effect because of the property of water.
There are more comparisons available, showing that all planets with relevant density form a solar tide profile, which correspond to the global temperature. Summing up eleven tide functions there is a strong correlation with the measured global (hadcrut3) temperature:
http://www.volker-doormann.org/images/ghi_had_1960_3.gif
Remember the task of simulating the global climate, this connection can worked out in a tool to forecast the global climate for the next 1000 years.
But I fear people have more fun with noisy political climate war than simple science work.
I pass. This is Anthony’s blog, it is not a democracy. Anthony has been consistent in letting those with opposing views post here until it’s clear they’re pushing their own agenda or start disagreeing disagreeably.
In Connelley’s case, many people here remember reports of updates to Wikipedia pages reverted by Connelley within minutes, I think this is a good opportunity to study the beast in an environment he can’t edit. With luck, Connelley will learn something about how he sullied Wikipedia as a reference tool. By the way William, see the reference pages up at the top nav bar? I think you deserve some of the credit for them.
Or it could be that he’s here because he can’t reach us at Wikipedia any more.
higley7 > The IR absorption spectrum of air clearly shows the strong influence from N2 and O2.
William M. Connolley> No. N2 and O2 are diatomic.
WMC appears to be correct, although I confess I did not know why, based upon the cryptic answer. However, while recognizing the shortcomings of Wikipedia as a source, recall that many articles contain references which are solid, so if the quote from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infrared_spectroscopy doesn’t persuade you, feel free to check out the references at the end of the article:
“A molecule can vibrate in many ways, and each way is called a vibrational mode. For molecules with N atoms in them, linear molecules have 3N – 5 degrees of vibrational modes, whereas nonlinear molecules have 3N – 6 degrees of vibrational modes (also called vibrational degrees of freedom). As an example H2O, a non-linear molecule, will have 3 × 3 – 6 = 3 degrees of vibrational freedom, or modes.
Simple diatomic molecules have only one bond and only one vibrational band. If the molecule is symmetrical, e.g. N2, the band is not observed in the IR spectrum, but only in the Raman spectrum. Asymmetrical diatomic molecules, e.g. CO, absorb in the IR spectrum.”
WilliamMC says
Henry@William
William, we are not doing that here, name calling. Here you have to come with actual results.
If the actual average water vapor content in the air is about 0.5% (it varies around this figure) and CO2 is not more that o.04% then the contribution of CO2 to the GHG effect cannot be more than ca. 8%.
If we are then still going to add clouds (which is acknowledged in Wikipedia as a factor below these figures) then water vapor and clouds will probably be like 99% and CO2 <1%
Agreed?
The next thing for you to do would be to look a bit deeper and try to understand that the spectrum of CO2 does not only cause warming (by re-radiating earth light) but that it also causes cooling (by re-radiating sunlight).
So, how much is it cooling and how much is it warming, exactly?
If you want to learn, you should start here,
and perhaps do some work, trying to prove me wrong
and in the process become a wiser person.
UzUrBrain
I spent several years developing computer models of nuclear power plants for the analysis of the required Nuclear Regulatory Commission accidents and the analysis of several significant accents. The models I developed required the consideration of more than 100 factors. Often, it would take a year or more to “prove” a slightly modified model was a “good” (they were never perfect) through numerous “sensitivity” runs. Followed by weeks of looking at more than a six foot high pile of 11X17 computer paper with 20 to 30 columns of numbers. Find a problem, fix the problem and do it again. But I had a real live nuclear power plant to mimic and real live, actual, data to verify the expected model output with. The AGW modelers have not done this in any fashion whatsoever. Their reverse forecasts do not match, and their predictions do not match reality. Worse yet, and this is where I lose all respect for their so called models, is that they do not include the effects of the Sun or Cosmic radiation, as pointed out in this article.
I am under the impression that the sun radiates the entire Electromagnetic Spectrum (EMS). Well, the EMS is over 20 decades wide. The models they use assume that the levels for their particular band of interest (visible and infrared) remain constant, look at any one of the AGW left-wing-nuts that berate this article or their “factual” links. Their models consider less than 10% of the spectrum – in decades! The majority of their “proof” is to claim “The change in solar radiation is insignificant!” Thus my first questions: what about the radio wave heating effect, what about microwave heating effect, and then the X-ray and Gama ray wavelength and their heating effect. RF Heating is just as effective as IR heating, I have seen both in action, and have been told RF heating is more efficient. Measure change in RF radiation from the sun with a photographic light meter or an IR meter, they are right, it does not change. Measure the change in magnetic flux with a Light meter or IR meter, they are right it does not change. Have I convinced you probably not. So go to an expensive appliance outlet, one that has an induction range. Measure the change in visible light with a light meter with the induction coil of and on. No change. So, since there is no energy coming from the coil with it on, take off your wrist watch and place it on the induction coil. (you may have to defeat the safety interlock by placing a small pan on the coil.) Let me know how long it takes to destroy your watch.
Now throw in these same forms of radiation from the rest of the Universe. What effect do they have? How are they accounted for in the model? As an Amateur Radio Operator I have witnessed firsthand the effects of radio wave radiation. My ~50 ft dipole antenna occasionally picks up over 50 millivolts (into a 50 ohm load) of “noise” from Jupiter. That is 2.5 miliwatts of power, just on a few square milimeters of the Earth’s area. (Before you slam me, Normally it is only around a few microvolts.) I have built and used a transistor radio that got all of its power from it’s short, 24 inch antenna – no batteries at all. Use the power equation, P = I X E, for all of the other radiation ignored in their “models,” add them up and get a guesstimate as to what is missing. Keep in mind we are talking trillions of individual wavelengths (from 10 to the 2nd to ten to the 20th), like trillions of radio stations impacting trillions of square meters of the earth’s surface. In my “feeble” mind, even if the percent absorption for these various wave lengths is low in the atmosphere/ground/water/etc., there is still a rather significant number times this very? small absorption factor, which when I took math is greater than Zero. And, then they all need to be added together and/or some subtracted (e.g., see next paragraph). Yet they ignore it! They just claim “They are constant.” If that is the case, they should correct all of the data concerning the Aurora’s (Northern/Southern lights), And I guess we alaso don’t need to worry about the Coronal Mass Ejections that they warn us about and the ones that others “claim” caused catastrophic damage to the earth about a few thousand years ago
For some other unknown reason the ignore the radiation absorbed by the ocean. Again they obfuscate the issue by claiming the radiation is reflected by the ocean. How can any good scientist make that claim? Look at any radar display of an area near water. The land is gray, mountains and hills are lighter, and many manmade objects are lighter still. However the water is BLACK. Why is the water black? Because it does not reflect the radar waves. The radar waves are absorbed, just like most of the other radio waves. What are these radio waves doing to the ocean? They are heating it up. I have seen a small RF heating unit melt a piece of steel. What are all of the other forms of electromagnetic radiation given off by the Sun doing to the ocean? I have not studied this, but it would be absurd to do as the AGW left-wing-nuts have and assume the only thing heating the earth is visible light waves.
The next question is about CO2. Take a field trip to any one of those energy saving window outlets you see advertized on TV. Ask them to demonstrate one of their IR blocking windows. Note how they can have a Infrared heating element on one side of the window and you feel no heat at all on your side. Now, move the heating element around to the other side. Shazam, there is no heat on that side either. It works both ways. Why do the AGW left-wing-nuts ignore this? Are they ignoring the IR energy given off by the SUN? If the CO2 blocks the IR from leaving the earth doesn’t it block the IR energy from reaching the earth? EVERY graph, chart, pictorial representation I see shows NO IR energy striking the earth. WHY? Please explain.
Then you have the fact that they deny the peer reviewed study by CERN (which they tried to prevent) and the one by Ulrik Ingerslev Uggerhøj, Physics and Astronomy (http://science.au.dk/en/news-and-events/news-article/artikel/forskere-fra-au-og-dtu-viser-at-partikler-fra-rummet-skaber-skydaekke/ ) and the ones by several others to numerous to cite here (Google them) showing that particles from space affect cloud cover. In fact the AGW left-wing-nuts crowd call the findings ridiculous and un-verifiable. Well, why did it work in my science fair project way back in 1956 when I showed the traces given off by a radioactive source?. Have the laws of physic changed? Again, I am no expert, but from my reading the various studies, the number of these particles striking the earth has a direct, verifiable, correlation to the solar magnetic activity. This article does a good job of explaining why the AGW left-wing-nuts ignore this correlation.
Next we need to consider the heating effects of the spinning magnet inside earth. If you are not familiar with the heating effect of a motor or generator, than, take a magnet that has a hole in the center, place a shaft in this hole and put it in the chuck of a drill. Spin this magnet within the field of another magnet. The magnet will get warm. Now, how much heat is being added to the earth/ground/soil/ocean (the ocean is conductive and will be affected by rotating/oscillating magnetic flux.) There could even be some effect upon the atmosphere. Where is the consideration for this effect? How is it affected by the Moon, Sun, other planets, and the galaxy we are in? How much heat is added by the flux lines cutting through the Earth and the fluctuation/perturbation of these lines caused by other bodies in space? Is anyone even looking at it?
So I ask, how can the science be settled? Why do the AGW left-wing-nuts crowd get to quell any report, study or talk that is counter to their opinion? Where is the free, scientific discussion? Consider all of the questions rhetorical, no response required.
HenryP says:
> There must be something wrong on the side of WUWT?
> (the notify me of follow-up comments does not work)
My guess is that the Email doesn’t go out until a moderator approves the message.
Personally, I think you’re nuts to want notification of every comment in an active thread, but I suppose it could be an easy way to have a program maintain current statistics about who’s commenting in a thread.
William M. Connolley, just as a matter of interest, why are you so snide with people? What do you think it achieves?
Ferdinand Engelbeen says:
Late Beck’s interpretation of the data was wrong: most of the wet chemical data were from samples taken over land, in towns, fields and forests. These are worthless for any knowledge of what the real CO2 levels were in that period. Then, like now, the best available data were obtained over the oceans, on ships and coastal with wind from the seaside. These data are all around the ice core data.
Do you know anything about carbon dioxide?
DirkH says:
Dirk:
Don’t underestimate William’s intelligence, or his strong grasp of the facts. Instead, follow Steve McIntyre’s advice and watch the pea. Pay particular attention to his misdirections. When he tries to drag the conversation in one direction, look to where he is moving the conversation away from. Note that the entire original post was about what the climate models do. Rather than addressing this by saying “NO climate models DO look at solar variability” he states that the IPCC report mentioned solar variability. Two very different things. At no time does he try to question the assertion of the 0.5 to 0.8 coefficient of correlation, hence he misdirects from the underlying premise. He asserts that the last 100 years belie this. Yet he doesn’t provide a link relating temperature to solar variability, such as sunspots. A quick check of google scholar shows a number of papers discussing this. Don’t take my word for it, but it is known that the surface temperature reacts faster to increases in sunspots than decreases. As such, we are just now beginning to see the effects of the reduced solar activity. One piece of evidence is the pause in the increase in sea level. Another is the bloody cold weather. But that’s only weather.
Jim G
Reading the comments, I would caution many to not miss the main point of Mr. Rawls paper. The statistical relevence of omission of an important variable in any analysis. If logic tells us there is even a probable causal relationship we must take a look at that variable. If there is a correlation, then it must be included. The old “hem lines vs stock market levels” test is a good one for the logic part of the argument.
William Connelly, how does AR-4 explain the 23 cycles of warming followed by cooling that have been found in the paleoclimatic record? Why is there cosmogenic isotope changes at each of the past warming and cooling phases? The following is an excerpt from my comment that has links to papers.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/02/22/omitted-variable-fraud-vast-evidence-for-solar-climate-driver-rates-one-oblique-sentence-in-ar5/#comment-900486
William Connelly would be interested in your or your cohorts’ answers to these questions.
DirkH – I agree with you about GCMs and modeling. Many topics could be discussed (i.e. governing equations, stability of the numerical schemes, well-posedness, BCs, ICs, source terms…). Unfortunately, if anyone brings up anything remotely technical about numerical modeling, supposedly well-informed visitors like Mr. Connolley head for the hills. I always try though, but it usually ends with something like “our climate models are great, look how accurate they are, we need more money for supercomputers…”. [Sigh]
P.S. I’m STILL waiting for someone to point me to a document where all of the equations used in NASA GISS Model E are written down. Just the governing equations for all of the physics. Forget the numerical methods for the time being (which are even more important). Sadly, no one has taken me up on that…not even at NASA (Gavin has to blog, you know).
I finally get a chance to check the comments on my post and find… a William Connolley acting very much like the William Connolley of Wikipedia infamy.
My first question is, did this guy actually read my AR5 review, which charges the IPCC with neglecting all solar variables other than Total Solar Insolation (TSI)?
Connolley cites a bunch of AR4 sections that supposedly rebut my charge, but as anyone who has examined AR4 already knows, the only solar effect given any weight in AR4 is TSI.
Connolley cites the AR4 section on pre-industrial climate change, where the language is perfectly clear. It refers to “changes in solar radiation.” That is TSI, the sun’s output of electromagnetic radiation.
He also cites AR4 section 9.4.1.5, which refers to “solar forcing” such as ” the solar forcing reconstruction by Hoyt and Schatten (1993).” Sounds a bit more propitious, like it COULD refer to forcings beyond TSI, but no. Hoyt and Schatten (1993) is a TSI reconstruction, as are all the other solar forcings considered in this section.
Another connolley comment cites AR4’s FAQ9.2: “Can the Warming of the 20th Century be Explained by Natural Variability?”
The only solar variable considered here is “solar output,” or TSI. Could it be that Mr. Connolley is getting confused by the fact that this section does refer to the solar cycle, making it seem that they must be accounting the possible effects of the solar magnetic variation that occurs over this cycle?
Solar output has an 11-year cycle and may also have longer-term variations.
But “solar output” is very specific. It refers only to Total Solar Insolation. That is, electromagnetic radiation only. So its pretty clear that Connolley knows he is citing a bunch of references to TSI effects only.
He even quotes a sentence referring to a particular solar reconstruction:
“In addition, a combined analysis of the response at the surface and through the depth of the atmosphere using HadCM3 and the solar reconstruction of Lean et al. (1995) …”
Surely he is aware that this is a TSI reconstruction.
In short, he is engaging in the exact same omitted variable fraud that my review documents in AR5. He is simply citing AR4’s pretense to have fully considered solar effects when it only considered TSI effects. To put the cherry on top, after citing a bunch of TSI only references to rebut the claim that the IPCC only looking at TSI, Connolley asks: “how do you explain the author’s apparent ignorance of the AR4?”
Poor Wikipedia, again afflicted by this Vesuvius of disinformation.
Connolley also claims that my post fails to address recent warming. Again, did he actually read the review? It contains an extended discussion of the IPCC’s lunatic claims that recent warming (by which they mean from the late 70’s to the late 90’s) cannot be attributed to high 20th century solar activity because the level of this activity remained steady (at very high levels) over the second half of the century.
And he says that he wants to see “recent” papers on the recent warming. Is he aware that there has been no warming since the late 90’s for anyone to write about? The MOST recent temperature trend is flat. But more fundamentally, he seems to be claiming that we should only look at NEW research that has come out since AR4, presumably on the grounds that AR4 was authoritative on all the research up to 2007. But as noted in the first post-script, AR4 perpetrated the exact same omitted variable fraud that AR5 is perpetrating (something I documented at the time in submitted comments on the AR4 draft).
Connolley even calls me a liar for saying that the AR5 draft specifies that the warming effect of CO2 is 40 times stronger than the warming effect of solar variation over the 1750-2010 period: “Yes, but he just made it up. It isn’t true. You’ll notice he provides no evidence for the claim.”
I agreed not to quote the AR5 draft, but I did provide a link to the equally ludicrous ratio of 14 to 1 used in AR4. (The exact number is 13.833.) Does Connolley want to call that a lie too? The raw evidence (solar climate correlations vs. CO2 climate correlations) says that the sun is the much stronger driver, yet the IPCC assumes that CO2 has many times the warming effect of solar variation. In for a penny in for a pound apparently. The exact AR5 FOD ratio is 39.857. And I’ve actually looked at it.
“If we are then still going to add clouds (which is acknowledged in Wikipedia as a factor below these figures) then water vapor and clouds will probably be like 99% and CO2 <1%, agreed?'
In fact, all the clouds in the atmosphere are massive
I think it would be probably more like CO2 having an effect of <0.01% por <0.001%
contributing to the GH effect.
In fact, there was no GH effect I could establish at all, of an increase in GHG's causing warming,
George E. Smith;
“”””” The MMGWCCC set like to point out the power of CO2 in the 15 micron absorption band, to warm the earth. Well of course it does warm the atmosphere, which is a far cry from warming the earth; the Sun does that. Well strictly speaking, the sun provides earth with boundless supplies of perfectly good radiant energy. Earth chooses to waste the vast majority of it thereby creating the waste “heat” energy that warms us.
Now the all powerful CO2 is well known to fail in its attempts to “warm” the earth, or keep it warm, when there isn’t any cloud (at night) and/or not much warming water vapor either. sans clouds or H2O vapor, earth cools rapidly after sundown; notwithstanding the rising concentrations of CO2.
Maybe there’s a reason for this. Let’s not make the mistake of denying that CO2 captures some of the LWIR emitted from the earth surface. Every time one of those CO2 molecules captures a 15 micron photon, it picks up a whopping 85 milli electron Volts of energy (roughly), which it usually thermalizes to warm the atmosphere .More of this CO2 and you get more atmospheric warming from 15 micron LWIR. The CO2 could also capture some 4 micron LWIR to do its assymmetrical stretch; but sadly the earth surface doesn’t emit much of that to capture; and either does the sun. Well only 1% of solar spectrum energy lies at 4 microns and longer. Too bad because those would be about 320 meV photons, with nearly 4 times the warming potential ( of the atmosphere).
But then that would be a surface cooling effect and hence negative feedback cooling.
Evidently CO2 is also IR active (don’t know how) at around 2.17 microns, which would be around 590 neV photons worth of surface cooling. feedback.
H2O on the other hand is near IR active at around 750-760 nm, where the solar photon energy is more like 1.68 eV. There’s also virtually always far more H2O molecules in the atmosphere than CO2, and each time one of them grabs a 760 nm photon, it captures 20 times as much photon energy as does a CO2 molecule at 15 microns.
That of course is a very large surface cooling effect, since that energy will never make it to 700 metres or so depth; well the 760 doesn’t go that deep anyway, but it does go far below the surface layer where all of the CO2 returned LWIR photons are stopped, and tend to cause more evaporation, than ocean warming.
It should be fairly obvious that H2O is far more suited to warming the atmosphere, and simultaneously cooling the ocean, than is CO2, by a long way.
The likelihood that earth would be a frozen ice ball, sans CO2, so long as the oceans remain, seems pretty remote to me. Clearly H2O is better suited to keeping us warm (from the air) than CO2 can ever be. And if you look at all of the water bands under 4 microns, you can see than the 760 nm absorption is but a small piece of the story. Water is most absorbing at 3.0 microns, and gives virtually total extinction of incoming 3 micron radiation.
Notwithstandig any of Myrrh’s protestations, photons of any wavelength at all, can be wasted, and turned into ocean warming “heat.”
UzUrBrain says
I spent several years developing computer models of nuclear power plants for the analysis of the required Nuclear Regulatory Commission accidents and the analysis of several significant accents.
Henry@ UzUrBrain
So what is your verdict on nuclear power?
http://www.letterdash.com/HenryP/nuclear-energy-not-save-and-sound
You agree?
According to what I find it is plain and simple
in the long term sun doesn’t input extra energy required, but it does have critical effect on the distribution of the energy already absorbed by the world oceans.
Phil.
From the original post: My training is in economics where we are very familiar with what statisticians call “the omitted variable problem” (or when it is intentional, “omitted variable fraud”). Whenever an explanatory variable is omitted from a statistical analysis, its explanatory power gets misattributed to any correlated variables that are included.
This is an excellent summary of what is wrong with the N&Z paper, they deliberately omit the surface heat capacity in their model which distorts the temperature distribution and calculation of their Tgb which underlies the whole paper. Anyone who mentions it is ignored by them, as a result the deficit due to assuming zero surface heat capacity is instead attributed to Pressure!
jaymam
I don’t think that Connolley or anyone else should be banned here, unless they are a persistent troll or try to keep diverting the topic, in which case their name should stay together with a moderator’s comment. I see that Peter Gleick is complaining that he is banned at WUWT. Is that true?
[REPLY: That is categorically untrue. -REP]
Reply 2: REP was mistaken. I banned Gleick last year for repeated use of the “d” word. REP didn’t know. ~ ctm
Re; William Connolley;
>Firstly, I’m reading the WGI report, which doesn’t make any policy recommendations. WGII and III are more policy-focussed, but even then I’m not sure you’re right.
I was not aware that we were debating an individual working group. You asserted that one of the posters here made up the fact that the IPCC supports the notion of CAGW. I used WGIII to refute that notion completely. For you to refer now to WGI, and attempt to limit debate to that document is a very poor argument indeed.
>Secondly, you seem to think in rather all-or-nothing terms: in your world, either GW is catastrophic, and we do stuff, or it is non-catastrophic, and we do nothing. That is clearly unrealistic.
No, I have never advocated doing nothing. The main thing we should do is study. Not pontificate, not censor data and obfuscate in the face of FOI requests. But if it’s not catastrophic, however confusing that simple word may seem to you, it isn’t worth worrying about; we have real issues facing humanity to deal with that are catastrophic. There are famines in the world. Those people need fed. Producing less energy in some ephemeral attempt to control the climate is not going to help feed those people. Paying billions to scientists to prove its (AGW) happening isn’t going to feed those people. Your side is backed into the corner on this; if the IPCC doesn’t support the notion that its catastrophic, there is no reason for the policies they are promoting. If you do not believe it’s catastrophic you have no valid argument whatsoever, and most of what you posted on wikipedia is entirely disingenuous.
>> Why is there such heated debate, if they believe there is no threat involved
>Because there is a threat; but it might not be “catastrophic”, depending of course on what that ill-defined word might mean to you.
Let me get this straight; Global Warming might be bad, just not bad enough to be called catastrophic? It’s certainly portrayed that way in the mainstream media. Hansen and Mann have certainly made public predictions which can only be described as catastrophic. Are you suggesting the scientific communities consensus is that we should hamstring our economy and limit development to prevent that which is merely unfavorable? By that logic we would have outlawed cars after about the first year. Once someone realized people could die in a traffic accident we should have outlawed them entirely. Hmmm . . . . nanny state much?
If you want to hinge this argument on the gray area between that which is merely harmful and that which is catastrophic, and stand on the notion that the IPCC has never used that particular word, I suggest you are being deliberately obtuse. You know very well what that word means, and you know full well the scenarios depicted by the IPCC fulfill that word completely, nevermind the overactive imaginations of people like Mike Mann and James Hansen.
So, Bill, you are either denying your cause (Alarmist activism in the name of CAGW), or you are being entirely disingenuous.
To accuse others of making stuff up because they used the word catastrophic in relation to IPCC prognostications is really thin soup. If that’s all you’ve got left, you’ve lost the debate. And mother nature ain’t even started yet.
I accuse you of intellectual dishonesty today, right here on this board. It is prima facia true. Res Ipsa Loquitor. No one to blame for that but yourself.
And yet my vote is that you stay. Fascism has a home in this argument. Let it not find one on our side. Those convinced by your comments are the easily swayed, and will come to the truth once they realize they are standing, nearly alone, with the crazed believers, hucksters and charlatans.
Adam Gallon
Alec, you’re missing the whole point of the IPCC, to syphon money from the poor in rich countries, to the rich in poor countries.
Chapter authors & the IPCC hierachy, are appointed with this process in mind. Anything that detracts from the (on)message, that it’s the evil capitalist, western, colonialists, who are despoiling our world by their selfish actions, is to be studiously excluded, or at worst, ignored.
We’ve seen Steve Mc’s efforts to shine a light into the paleoclimatology arena, are met with at best a comment of “Noted”, or at worst, threats to have his participation in the IPCC process suspended.
The paricipation of the off-message in this process, is being grudgingly accepted and presented as the IPCC inviting participation of “The Dark Side”, thus demonstrating that they aren’t biased.
The reality is, that such participation will be marginalised. This will continue, until another way of syphoning money off, can be developed & marketed.
The CO2 hypothesis lost credibility when it failed to explain the incontrovertible evidence of preindustrial sustained temperature cycles. Regardless of Hansen and Mann’s attempts to hide the same , historical accounts are clear and more evidence is pouring in from new studies in the Southern Hemisphere.
Peter Plail
I am aware that this is off topic as far as Alex Rawl’s post is concerned, but the continued input from William Connolly prompts me to ask him what his views are rather than continually interpreting what the “scientific consensus of climate” says, so that us cerebrally challenged sceptics can understand the truth.
My question is whether he believes that there is a tipping point beyond which global temperatures will escalate out of control?
Alec Rawls: Thank you!!!!!!!!!!!!
Joachim Seifert
To Alec Rawls:
You are fully on the right track to uncover the IPCC scam, which is based on
(1) Omitted variable fraud
(2) only use of the TSI-value, which itself, changes little….
(3) the lie in AR4-wg1-chapter 2: ‘The Earth’s orbit has no effect on millenium scale…
i.e. the Earth’s orbit is only a “INVARIANT Boundary condition”…..
I made a AR4-error complaint and surprizingly they agreed with my view about the
orbit but, without any explanation or references, the TSU just said:” We see no action warranted….”
As you can read in my booklet: The Earth’s orbit does the Increasing/Decreasing
action of the Solar OUTPUT received on Earth…which is seen in paleodata…it is not the TSI…
The IPCC maintains, the Solar Output TSI is next to constant…. fine….but
the Earth’s orbit determines, HOW MUCH of the OUTPUT actually reaches the top of the atmosphere and thus determining Earth’s temps and climate….seen in your quoted
paleostudies…..
…… To the Orbit, which is being kept silent on: The orbit is not a line-shaped
flight, as you would draw with a pencel on a piece of paper…. the real flight cannot be drawn on
a flat surface, since it is a 3-D-spirallic flight around its spiral center (mean progressive line or
path around the Sun) ….. this is the OMITTED VARIABLE FRAUD, the flight SPIRAL is the omitted variable…….
……..and if someone checks the online “NASA JPL Horizon” solar system parameters, he would find that this fraud is present is even there: By not giving a hint nor any size of daily varying spiral diameters of real Earth’s trajectory…
….. details on the spiral flight only see German Amazon.de ISBN 978-3-86805-604-4, all
transparently calculated…..Alec, please have a look and you will fully agree….
………..as I with your analysis.
Cheers…….JS
Okay, I defer this measure to a latter date. Mr. Rawl’s rebuttal is brilliant, prescient and precise and gets off the Clownish detours initiated by Connelly. If we have to follow the clowinsh detours in the first place so be it, but i’m not convinced they are necessary. Notice in Rawl’s rebuttal we see the same defects in Connelly’s personality cloud everything Connelly says (and probably does). H/T to Mr. Rawls.
You only have to read the UN’s Agenda 21 to see exactly why they are all about blaming climate on man. It’s all about crippling progress, destroying industry, devolving society, eradicating religion, reducing population down to less than a billion, and returning to an agrarian existence, mostly subsistence.
The gob-stopping part of the Agenda 21’s text is that it is SOOOO touchy feely, all about Gaia and giving nature more value than humans, doing medicine by shaman and spiritualist—forget longevity, it’s a passing fad. They are loony enough to claim that a condition in which everybody has exactly the same everything and all take care of everybody—pure, radical, extreme socialism—is a condition of LOVE. Only in such a state can love be realized
The road to hell is paved with good intentions and the UN LOVES us. Sure, rriigghhtt!!
What we have in the UN is the 1960s hippies, now adult and assuming power, trying to convert the world to a commune.
How many Muslims are there in the world? I’ll bet they will react violently when told that they have to lose their religion. I want to be a fly on the wall for that!
Note in Rawl’s rebuttal we see the same defective personhood of Connelley calling Rawls a liar when it is apparent Connolley has no grounds to say so. Connolley isn’t batting for Science here; he’s batting for his demented personhood to have a relevant voice. Don’t believe me?
From Rawl’s rebuttal
‘….Connolley even calls me a liar for saying that the AR5 draft specifies that the warming effect of CO2 is 40 times stronger than the warming effect of solar variation over the 1750-2010 period: “Yes, but he just made it up. It isn’t true. You’ll notice he provides no evidence for the claim.”
thank you for your response Alec. You give Connelly too much credit when you say –
“So its pretty clear that Connolley knows he is citing a bunch of references to TSI effects only.”
I think he did a little research on Southern Ice but other than that he seems pretty uninformed beyond the Team talking points.
Ian H
William Connelly:
This sets the tone of your response, which is essentially a critique of procedure ignoring substance. The detailed history of how these two competing theories arose (they didn’t both arise in the same way) is suitable content for a history book, not a scientific article. Alex Rawls isn’t writing a history book. He merely, as is usual in science, draws a general link from the two observed correlations to the two competing theories. That general link is good enough for scientists to see his point and we would not care to see it expanded upon. It is unimportant to the science.
Usoskin says nothing about climate, and presents no figures that allow you to see what has happened in the 20th C – the scale shown is too large.
That is because he is talking about the sun. He doesn’t have to make a link to climate.
… nothing new there …
… All you’ve written could have been … written about IPCC AR4. …
This is a critique of process not of substance. Science isn’t the law. You don’t get to exclude evidence on procedural grounds because it should have been brought up at some earlier stage or missed some arbitrary deadline.
” Your honour – we object to the introduction of this evidence that solar cycles influence climate. It was improperly obtained as the Earth wasn’t read its Miranda rights first. We also argue that it is too late to introduce this evidence at this late stage of the trial. We therefore move that it be excluded on procedural grounds”.
“Objection Mr Chairman – we already have a motion on the table that must be discussed first.”
The trouble is that nobody else knows about your strange procedural rules and I have a sneaking suspicion you are making them up as we go along. Why should we confine ourselves to your procedural straightjacket?
Markus Fitzhenry says on February 22, 2012 at 3:06 am
… how about you put your monika on the ‘backradiation’ theory …
Please explain thermos bottle ability to keep hot liquids hot and cold liquids cold …
Why is ‘silvering’ used as a reflective surface?
Freddy Terranean
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My Time at Portia Review – Don’t Make Me Leave
By Rosh Kelly
Apr 24, 2019 07:05 EDT
January 15th, 2019 (PC); April 16th (PS4, XB1, NS)
Platform PC, PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Nintendo Switch
Publisher Team17 Digital
Developer Pathea Games
The setting of My Time at Portia really surprised me. While I was expecting another delightfully colourful and relaxing game like Stardew Valley, I wasn’t expecting to see the ruins of skyscrapers looming over the horizon. My Time at Portia is a lovely game that feels capable of competing even with the titans of the genre.
If I had to try and find a comparison for My Time at Portia, I would probably say that it was the unlikely lovechild of Stardew Valley and Horizon: Zero Dawn. There was an apocalypse in this world, but what remains is a pleasant and peaceful existence in the shadows of the ruins. I’ve got to say it wasn’t a setting that I thought would work when so much media is dedicated to showing us how bad the world would look after we’ve gone, but My Time at Portia’s simple lifestyle simulation and hopeful message almost immediately won me over.
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I say “almost immediately” because I did struggle a bit at the beginning. The tutorial felt long and slow and I wasn’t sure if this was something that held my interest. But when a game is as wide and whimsical as this one, a little time in the beginning is nothing to flinch at. I’ve put in nearly one hundred hours in Portia at this point, building my farm and the surrounding community, gathering resources and continuing to discover new things.
There isn’t much story in My Time at Portia, which is a shame. Your reason for being in the town in the first place and helping it expand is almost at odds with the rest of the game as it feels quite selfish. You’re determined to become the best builder, and that is you’re only real motivation. While I had much more fun playing as an easy going tinkerer, merrily discovering new things and building everything with that same sense of wonder, the game occasionally reminds you that this isn’t your actual goal, however much I wanted it to be.
Luckily, that doesn’t stop you enjoying the game however you want to. The beautiful graphics of the game had me exploring just to find the nicest views, sacking off the constraints of the timed assignments and the longer grinds. The whole game has this almost washed out feel that makes each landscape you come across look like an old and worn postcard from someplace nice. And it’s adorable little characters and creatures only add to that almost Disney-like charm. But once you’ve gotten used to the scenery it’s time to get to work.
Portia is less of a farming game and more of a building one, but they share a similar foundation. Players will have to find and harvest a bunch of raw materials before constructing whatever it is you’ve been asked to build. As the game goes on you can begin to make this easier for yourself by introducing small farmlands to your home, letting you get to and harvest some of the common ingredients more easily. Although farming isn’t exactly profitable in the game, it is quite nice having a few animals wandering around past your window as you get to work, and with such a huge map to explore, you’ll never mind setting off on an adventure.
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A lot of the game lets you explore the desecrated corpses of the cities that came before, and often have randomly generated dungeons and monsters to explore and fight. Maybe I should have mentioned this sooner, but there is an RPG and combat system tacked on My Games at Portia. Much like Stardew Valley’s mine, this game lets you get your hands dirty, but unlike the mine in Stardew Valley, this is a much bigger focus of the game. These ruined sections offer a lot of useful resources you’ll be needing and you’ll have to find your way to get to them. But fighting is fun, the enemies add something interesting to the landscape and never feel out of place. It’s all a bit simple, but that adds to the fairly easy going experience that Portia is obviously trying to cater to.
What I’ve always hated about resource management games is actually managing the resources. From the dungeon crawlers to the latest games as a service titles, any game that has me constantly wading into the menus and inventories to try and find that one resource, weapon, or pair of pants I need can become extremely frustrating. Luckily, the developers of My Time at Portia seem to share my pain and have removed all of these tedious aspects. Using your workbench gives you access to all your inventories and storied materials at once, which means you don’t have to randomly drop or replace half your inventory just to undo it all a minute later. It also makes it much easier to organise and find what you’re looking for through a remarkably user-friendly menu.
But when you’re not busy building or exploring, you’ll probably be socialising in the town of Portia. There is a lot of charm here too, with characters that change their outfit to match the season, but this isn’t quite as well reflected in the dialogues as other games. Stardew Valley had such memorable characters with distinctive personalities but here, I still struggle to tell some of the characters apart by anything but appearance. Even so, soaking up the small town vibes is still delightful and charming.
Of course there's a wide variety of bugs that are constantly interrupting your experience, but as a game to unwind and enjoy, My Time at Portia is hard not to fall in love with. It's a game that calls to you after a bad day, a true example of escapism in almost every sense and a chance to feel proud of small achievements. I have been playing it for a long time now, and still look forward to coming back to my little hamlet and losing myself in a world that doesn't feel cold and hostile, just for a little while.
Reviewed on PC (code provided by the publisher). You can get the game for Steam via Green Man Gaming.
My Time at Portia is a beautiful, relaxing experience. With the charming art style and plenty of activities to go through, players will easily lose themselves in the game's pleasant setting for hours and hours.
Feels delightfully charming
So much to do and see
Bugs of every shape and size occasionally burrow up
Some farming products are almost completely pointless
Timed assignments can add stress to this most unstressful of games.
Buy for $24.03 (+$6.49 shipping) from Amazon
The links above are affiliate links. As an Amazon Associate, Wccftech.com may earn from qualifying purchases.
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Close-Knit (彼らが本気で編むときは, Naoko Ogigami, 2017)
Written by Hayley ScanlonPosted on April 24, 2017 July 21, 2019 8 Comments
While studying in the US, director Naoko Ogigami encountered people from all walks of life but on her return to Japan was immediately struck by the invisibility of the LGBT community and particularly that of transgender people. Close-Knit (彼らが本気で編むときは, Karera ga Honki de Amu Toki wa) is her response to a still prevalent social conservatism which sometimes gives rise to fear, discrimination and prejudice. Moving away from the quirkier sides of her previous work, Ogigami nevertheless opts for a gentle, warm approach to this potentially heavy subject matter, preferring to focus on positivity rather than dwell on suffering.
11 year old Tomo (Rinka Kakihara) is home alone, again. Her mother rolls in late, dead drunk, and promptly flops down onto the futon next to Tomo’s still in her work clothes. A note left the next day explains that Tomo’s mother has quit her job and won’t be coming home for a while. This is not the first time she’s done this and the money she’s left is at least enough for a train ticket to visit uncle Makio (Kenta Kiritani). When Tomo slaps a collection of manga down in front of him at the bookstore where he works, Makio immediately realises what’s going on and is both infuriated with his sister and glad to take his niece in for a while until her mother comes to her senses.
There’s one potential problem. Makio now has a live-in girlfriend only she’s not quite what Tomo might be expecting. On meeting Rinko (Toma Ikuta), Tomo is indeed shocked but is soon won over by Rinko’s warm and loving nature. Rinko is a transgender woman who’s experienced her share of hardships in life but finally found fulfilment in her relationship with Makio though she has a lot of love to give and would dearly love a child of her own.
Used to being left to her own devices, Tomo is a tough and resourceful child but also one with a thick protective shell. Unused to being mothered, Tomo finds Rinko’s attempts to reach out to her difficult to bear, cycling back and forth through a pattern of affection and rejection. Where her mother left her only store bought onigiri (which she has come to hate) and cash, Rinko makes beautiful character bentos complete with octopus frankfurters and adorable panda faces. So touched is Tomo by this gesture that she can’t quite bring herself to eat it and eventually makes herself ill by finally deciding to enjoy it long after it’s past its best.
Nevertheless even if Tomo comes to bond with Rinko, there are still those who don’t approve of her existence. Tomo has a, well, not quite friend at school, Kai, who is somewhat ostracised by the other children who call him “gay” and write homophobic slurs on the classroom blackboard. Tomo, whilst sometimes hanging out with Kai who lives near to her outside of school, refuses to have anything to do with him in class lest she be rendered guilty by association. Growing closer to Rinko, Tomo also comes to an acceptance of and willingness to fight for Kai who has confided in her about his crush on another boy in their class. Kai’s mother (Eiko Koike), however, is not so understanding and so when she catches sight of Tomo in the supermarket with Rinko she offers to save her from the “weirdo” and later bans Kai from hanging out with his only friend in case he somehow catches “weirdness” from their atypical family setup. This attitude of hers eventually has potentially tragic consequences for her young son, left with nothing other than the prospect of maternal and later societal rejection eased only by Tomo’s firm insistence that there’s nothing wrong with him at all.
Unlike Kai’s mother, Rinko’s instantly understood and remained fully supportive of her child even whilst hauled into school for an explanation of why “Rintaro” has been skipping P.E.. Rinko’s mother not only goes out and buys lacy bras for her daughter, but even knits her a pair of fluffy pink breasts so she won’t feel so depressed about not developing in the same way as all the other girls. Tomo’s mother has a lot of problems of her own but many of these stem back to her own upbringing, unintentionally threatening to pass on some of these same qualities to her own daughter as she allows her to feel just as worthless and unloved as her mother did her. Yet, Ogigami’s camera remains resolutely unjudgemental in trying to understand each of these various facets of motherhood from the immense maternal love of Rinko as it finally finds an outlet in Tomo to the far less positive image of Kai’s mother who presumably thinks she’s doing the best for her son in trying to prevent him veering from the norm but only succeeds in making him feel his life is not worth living.
The title of the film, as grandly punned as it is, refers not just to the quickening family bonds among this idealised yet unusual family but also to Rinko’s favourite method of stress relief – knitting. Like the cooking she is often seen providing for the family, Rinko’s knitting is also largely about warmth in making something for a particular person which is tailor made to keep them warm in the cold, but it also works as a multilayered metaphor as she brings people together, binding them tightly with her own wamth and generosity of spirit. Rather than fighting back with angry words (or well aimed dish soap as a provoked Tomo eventually does), Rinko channels her frustrations into her knitting, using them to create something positive rather allowing negativity to overwhelm her. Ogigami’s film seems to want to do the same, arguing for tolerance, understanding, and acceptance as a pathway to a better world even if it’s clear the road is long and we’re not so far along it as we should be.
Close-Knit was screened as part of the Udine Far East Film Festival 2017
There’s also an interesting interview with director Naoko Ogigami and producer Kumi Kobata in the Nikkei Asian Review in which they discuss the casting of actor Toma Ikuta.
Original trailer (English subtitles)
Posted in BFI London Film Festival 2017, Camera Japan 2017, Japan, LGBTQ+, Udine Far East Film Festival 2017
Tagged 2010s, 2017, Eiko Koike, Fuuto Takahashi, Japan, Japanese, Kaito Komie, Kenta Kiritani, Kozo Shibasaki, LGBT, Lily, Mimura, Misako Tanaka, Mugi Kadowaki, Naoko Ogigami, Noriko Eguchi, Rinka Kakihara, Shuuji Kashiwabara, Suurkiitos, Toma Ikuta, Toru Shinagawa, transgender, Udine Far East Film Festival, Udine Far East Film Festival 2017
Previous Entry The City Of Betrayal (裏切りの街, Daisuke Miura, 2016)
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MIB says:
Eiko Koike playing a mother? It wasn’t that long ago she was a gravure model! (Don’t ask me how I know that… )
Hayley Scanlon says:
Ha! Time really flies when you’re a Japanese actress 😩
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WNBAlien
Women's Pro Basketball coverage that's out of this world
WNBA Today, 09/05/2012: Conference leaders keep rolling
Sep6 by richardbcohen
The Connecticut Sun and Minnesota Lynx both led their respective conferences heading into the WNBA’s Olympic break, and both still sat in first place heading into their games last night. But their paths since the midseason hiatus have differed. Connecticut looked the more comfortable leaders in the first half of the season, but with injury issues in their post corps and some inconsistent performances, Indiana have been narrowing the gap. Minnesota had their letdown period and injury issues before the break, but have gotten healthy and are yet to lose a game in the second half of the season. Meanwhile, nearest Western challengers San Antonio and Los Angeles have started slipping up. The Sun and Lynx remain the favourites to meet in the WNBA Finals, but it’s Minnesota who’ve started to look more certain participants.
Connecticut were the first on-court last night, facing their fifth and final meeting of the season with the hapless Washington Mystics. Unsurprisingly, considering Washington were 5-21 coming into the game, Connecticut had won all of the previous four encounters. The Sun were still without starting power forward Asjha Jones due to her achilles injury, but at least her backup Mistie Mims was available again, after recovering from her own quad strain. Mims went right back into the starting lineup ahead of Kelsey Griffin. For the second straight game, Washington started Noelle Quinn on the perimeter and Ashley Robinson in the post, ahead of previous regular starters Matee Ajavon and Michelle Snow.
The official attendance released after the game read 5,980, but the number of people watching looked like it probably fell in the three-digit range. In that spirit, and due to the fact that it’s increasingly difficult to find anything worth saying about Mystics games, this report will hopefully remain reasonably short.
It’s not that this Washington team are completely untalented or consistently useless. If that were the case, they’d be losing every game by 30 points. They simply have too many breakdowns at either end of the floor, and too many mental errors to beat better teams. Their main chance of winning games at this point is the hope that a random player or two might get hot from outside, and their opponent might take them too lightly. Connecticut did their best to help Washington out early in this game, sleepwalking through the opening stages and allowing the Mystics to hold a 5-point lead at the end of the first quarter. Crystal Langhorne, Washington’s one true star-quality player, was the central figure in their offense, knocking down jumpers from the top of the key and finishing with her usual tenacity inside. The Sun seemed to have largely forgotten that they had Tina Charles as an option in the paint, and their only decent offense came from Kara Lawson jump shots.
Mike Thibault got his Sun squad to wake up at the start of the second quarter, Washington yet again performed their regular trick of handing over cheap turnovers, and a 13-0 Connecticut run swung the game in their favour. These are the lapses that Washington suffer from – they miss a shot or two, or cough the ball up unnecessarily, their heads drop and the opponent takes over. They usually snap out of it after a while, but those passages are costly over the course of games.
Plus, of course, there’s Trudi Lacey. It’s still hard to work out what she’s thinking with some of her in-game rotations, although when a team loses this much you can’t blame a coach for trying anything. While the Mystics were mired in that Sun run, Langhorne came out for a rest, came back, sat again, and came back in again. All in the space of less than 5 minutes. She’d picked up her second foul in the middle, but jerking around your one reliable scoring option doesn’t help, regardless of her foul situation.
However, the Sun don’t tend to blow teams out. They’re more a slow-burn winning team, who wear you out by executing better over the course of 40 minutes, and know how to finish. This was no exception. They took their foot off the gas, Quinn hit a couple of shots for Washington, and the Mystics were back within 40-37 at halftime. After hitting her first 7 shots, Langhorne finally missed a jumper just before the interval.
Connecticut dominated most of the third quarter. The Washington offense fell apart, as it often does, and there was little effort made to get Langhorne the ball. When her teammates did remember she was out there, the Sun did a decent job of keeping it out of her hands. Behind a few easy layups when the Washington defense broke down, and a pair of Lawson threes, Connecticut’s lead rose as high as 13.
The key strength of the Sun – besides Charles being one of the top posts in the world and Lawson having a career year – is their teamwork and cohesion. They buy in to the whole idea of team success being more important than individual production, and you can see it on the floor. Mims slips a screen and slides open underneath, Lawson turns down the three and finds Mims under the basket for the layup. Lawson sees Ashley Robinson has somehow ended up defending her, she rotates the ball so that it can end up with the post that Robinson should be matched up with, and the Sun big finishes for two inside. It’s a similar concept at the other end. Washington don’t have anything like that same unity within their play.
The game still wasn’t over. Washington crept back into it in the late minutes of the third quarter and opening stages of the fourth. Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton once again proved more useful than Robinson or Snow in the paint for Washington – she’s been doing that a lot lately – and Shannon Bobbitt’s prayers were answered a couple of times when she fired from long distance. Meanwhile, the Sun had gone quiet yet again, and drifted out of the game offensively (Charles taking a brief rest on the bench didn’t help). Matee Ajavon hadn’t been able to hit a thing all night long – and had just returned from shooting 0-13 on a three-game road trip – but finally sank one from mid-range, then nailed a three on a kick-out from Langhorne with 4 minutes left. That put Washington up 67-66: their first lead since early in the second quarter.
You still wouldn’t have been able to find a single WNBA fan to bet on the Mystics winning the game without very generous odds – and they all would’ve been right to keep their money in their pockets. The one Sun player who sometimes strays from their team-concept – Renee Montgomery – stepped up and did what she does best. She fired away, immediately answering that Ajavon three with one of her own. From there, little went right for Washington.
Twice in the closing seconds, Trudi Lacey called timeouts, only for her team to run nothing of consequence when they emerged from them. The first time, an apparent effort to feed Langhorne never even approached working, but Bobbitt bailed them out by driving and finishing in the lane. The second time, a play that was supposed to be a pick-and-roll for Bobbitt and Langhorne – according to the broadcaster in the huddle – never went near either of them. The ball went to Ajavon, who jacked up a contested three that missed badly. Down only three points with 30 seconds left, just to compound the agony, Washington stole Connecticut’s inbounds pass – only for Jasmine Thomas to drive and lose the ball straight out of bounds. Those are the sort of errors Washington makes, and it helped Connecticut cling on to a 77-70 victory.
It wasn’t a particularly impressive win for the Sun, but a lot of their wins aren’t. Even if they win a WNBA championship next month, they’ll probably do it without winning a single playoff game by more than a dozen points. But the consistency of Charles, who finished this game 10-18 for 20 points and 13 boards, and their ability to step up and make the right play at the right time, means they keep winning the bulk of their games.
Langhorne was great (10-14 for 23 points and 9 rebounds), but just like everyone else in the Mystics organisation, she undoubtedly wants this season over and done with.
It was Taj McWilliams-Franklin Bobblehead Night in Minnesota, as the Lynx played host to a reeling Los Angeles Sparks team. LA had won four straight out of the Olympic break, but they’d done it off the back of their Kristi Toliver/Alana Beard backcourt. In their last couple of games in Tulsa and Chicago, those two hadn’t been able to carry the load any more, and the lack of production from superstar Candace Parker had finally come back to bite them. Only the losses San Antonio have been piling up lately have allowed the Sparks to hang on to second place in the West.
Both teams had their standard starting fives out to begin the game, and it was all Minnesota to open the contest. Lynx head coach Cheryl Reeve had clearly drilled her team in what needed to be done against LA – plus they’ve played each other so often that the players had a pretty good idea anyway. Minnesota were setting endless picks within their halfcourt sets, forcing LA into the constant switches that are a central part of their defense, but which often leave them mismatched or confused about how they’re supposed to rotate. It created a whole bunch of open shots and lanes for Minnesota to start the game.
Defensively, the Lynx were pressuring both Toliver and Beard – but especially Toliver, because they know Kristi can lose her head when she gets frustrated – and forcing the ball out of their hands. It led to an array of turnovers, little decent offense from the Sparks besides a couple of nice finishes from Nneka Ogwumike, and more easy scoring opportunities for Minnesota on the break. The Lynx were up 20-10 after barely five minutes.
Unfortunately for Minnesota, their bench has been next-to-useless of late, and yet again their lead disappeared when Reeve brought in her reserves. LA’s bench has been virtually useless all year long, but between center Jantel Lavender – who’s been a better option at center than Parker lately – and recent arrival Jenna O’Hea, the Sparks backups were outplaying their Minnesota counterparts.
To be honest, while there was some decent shooting during the first half, the fact that the teams combined for 25 turnovers in the 20 minutes of action rather dominated proceedings. Parker was quiet yet again, making her presence known most conspicuously through a couple of her trademark horrendous turnovers. If you’ve watched her play, you know the ones I’m referring to – where she tries to play like a guard and bring the ball up herself, only to lose control and hand it right back to the other team. If I were Parker’s coach, I think I’d purchase a special alarm clock that wakes her up every day by screaming “Outlet Pass! Outlet Pass!” right in her ear. Give the guards the ball, run the floor, and they’ll give it back to you. Trust me, it’ll work better.
The Lynx were clearly very conscious of how insanely hot Toliver has been in recent weeks, and combined trapping the ball out of her hands with closing out hard every time she showed any sign of shooting. Seimone Augustus was the primary defender tasked with covering her, but the whole team was well aware that they needed to help keep Toliver quiet. She was 0-5 for 1 point in the first half, so that was going well. However, with LA’s bench contributions and Minnesota’s own 11 turnovers, the Lynx lead was only 41-37 at halftime. The Sparks would have been delighted to only be down by four after that half of basketball.
There was a scary moment in the second quarter, when McWilliams-Franklin dropped to her knees looking woozy without anyone near her. It was later reported that she’d been ill, which had left her somewhat light-headed, and led to that sequence. The fighter that she is, Taj was back out to start the second half.
LA tried to switch up their defense and hide Toliver in the early minutes of the third quarter, but Minnesota were too smart for that – and there aren’t any weak links to hide behind against the Lynx. Instead of guarding Whalen, Toliver was moved over to Maya Moore, who’d already had an impressive first half behind countless steals and breakaway points. Moore instantly recognised the situation, and posted up Toliver twice in two possessions. The first resulted in an easy basket, the second in Ogwumike’s third foul after she came over to try to help. The Toliver-on-Moore experiment swiftly ended.
Once again, the Lynx starters spent the opening minutes establishing a decent lead, with Augustus in particular starting to rain home jumpers from outside. The difference in the second half was that the likes of Candice Wiggins, Amber Harris and Monica Wright came into the game, and kept the Minnesota momentum going. A couple of times, Wiggins even drove the ball, something which seemed to have disappeared from her game completely in recent years. Wright’s offensive game has been shut down lately – it feels like teams have seen the tape on her now, know that she’s going to try that curling drive into the lane, and constantly cut it off. But she kept up the defensive pressure, got herself to the free throw line a couple of times, and generally played her part.
Sparks coach Carol Ross tried what she could, but she was running out of options. The ball pressure and repeated high sideline traps on Toliver and Beard were shuttling the ball away from them, and without the scoring production from that duo the Sparks offense quickly ran out of ideas. It’s similar to the cohesion and teamwork of Connecticut mentioned earlier in this piece. Minnesota can play that kind of defense because they trust the players behind them to be able to rotate over and cover if the ball gets out of the trap. They know each other well enough to fill in the holes. If the Sparks tried a similar defense for more than a possession or two, you can’t help feeling it would lead to and endless series of opposition layups.
It looked like LA might be giving themselves hope towards the end of the third quarter when Beard found a way to penetrate and dropped the ball off to DeLisha Milton-Jones for a layup, with under 5 seconds left in the period. That cut the Minnesota lead to 9 points – the oft-mentioned mental hurdle of narrowing the gap to single-digits. But the Lynx quickly inbounded, Wright slightly overthrew a 50-ft pass, which Moore somehow ran down before athletically contorting herself to finish the break at the rim. The crowd went nuts, and Minnesota had their double-digit lead back.
The Sparks threatened a comeback once or twice in the final period, but Minnesota always had an answer. O’Hea hits yet another three from deep? Moore knocks down a pullup from the baseline before Augustus drains a three. Parker finally scores inside? Whalen goes right to the rim for a three-point play that also drew Ogwumike’s fifth foul. Then with three minutes left, Augustus nailed yet another triple, Parker mystifyingly turned down an open three at the other end before throwing an awful cross-court pass for a turnover, and Whalen converted another three-point play on the resulting break. That iced it, pushing the gap to 17 points, with a few meaningless LA baskets making the final score a slightly more respectable-looking 88-77.
This was far from a perfect performance from the Lynx. They didn’t shoot that well from outside for much of the game, the bench took a long time to wake up, and the 11 first-half turnovers prevented what should’ve been a comfortable early advantage. But they showed up the holes in LA’s game with relative ease, and it’s difficult to see how LA can fix those issues well enough to come out on top in future encounters – unless Parker snaps out of her daze. The pressure Minnesota put on LA’s starting guards both created turnovers and kept them out of shooting rhythm, and the rest of the Sparks weren’t capable of stepping up enough to fill the gap. It’s a case of the Lynx forcing people besides Toliver and Parker (and Beard as well, ideally) to beat them, and LA not having an answer. Having wings like Augustus (7-16 for 23 points, 3 boards, 4 assists) and Moore (9-18 for 23 points, 9 boards, 7 steals) makes things easier, too.
While it was another loss for LA – the third in a row – the one positive was that they got something out of their bench. Ross has been reluctant to trust her reserves for most of the year, and with good reason considering how poorly most of them have played. But O’Hea shot impressively from outside, Lavender had a few decent minutes in the middle, and Ebony Hoffman can still score. The problem is, the bench is supposed to be a bonus. When Ogwumike’s in foul trouble all night, Toliver’s shut down, and Parker continues to drift aimlessly through games, the bench will scarcely matter.
Wednesday September 5th (today):
Phoenix @ New York, 7pm ET
Indiana @ Atlanta, 7pm ET
Thursday September 6th (tomorrow):
Tulsa @ Seattle, 10pm ET
This entry was posted in WNBA Today and tagged Connecticut Sun, Los Angeles Sparks, Minnesota Lynx, Washington Mystics, wnba.
← WNBA Today, 09/03/2012: Atlanta’s conquering heroine returns, while Sparks are exposed again
WNBA Today, 09/07/2012: Dream hold off Fever in likely playoff preview, while it’s blowout-city elsewhere →
Contact: richardcohen123@yahoo.co.uk
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HomeNews and eventsEventsTV Talks: Watching Your Figures
TV Talks: Watching Your Figures
03 Sep 2019,
Australian Film Television and Radio School
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With so many people watching so much in so many different ways, it’s very difficult to count us all. So how does that happen, what is genuinely comparable, and how does it affect what creative producers make? How much does panel research and focus group input affect what ends up on our screens, and what is changing in the world of viewer measurement.
September’s TV Talks take a turn for the analytical with a panel of brilliant minds dedicating themselves to the question of ratings and audience across platforms, mediums and broadcasters.
Adrian Coates, Head of Audience Data & Insights, SBS Australia
Ben Shepherd, Chief Media Officer, CHE Proximity
Doug Peiffer, CEO, Oztam
Emelia Millward, Head of Research & Insights, Seven Network
MC: Andrew Garrick Writer, producer and director
Adrian Coates
Adrian Coates is the Head of Audience Data and Insights at SBS Australia. He joined SBS in early 2013 as Head of Corporate Strategy and moved across to the research and data team in 2017. He leads a team responsible for the reporting and analysis of audience numbers across television and radio, digital products and services as well as bespoke behavioural and attitudinal analysis through panel research and focus groups, and exploring leading edge techniques around audience clustering and machine learning.
Ben Shepherd
Ben Shepherd has more than 15 years working in and around agencies including roles as Head of Digital and Head of Strategy and Innovation at OMD, and Commercial Director at Junkee Media. Ben has recently taken on the role as Chief Media Officer at CHE Proximity further deepening the company’s consultancy capabilities He joins from PwC where he was director of the firm’s media practice and a founding member of its CMO Advisory Practice.
Doug Peiffer
Doug Peiffer has 30 years of experience in television audience measurement and research, with particular expertise in its use in advertising strategy and business development. Starting as a people meter installer for Nielsen in the US, Doug worked his way up to establish and run television ratings operations in Latin America and Asia. After nine years with Network Ten as General Manager of Strategy, Integration and Research, Doug was appointed CEO of OzTAM in 2010. Under Doug’s leadership OzTAM has continued to evolve to provide a world class audience measurement system that reflects how Australians watch television content across all screens.
Emelia Millward
Emelia Millward heads research and insights for Seven, delivering audience intel to support content, marketing and sales strategy. She also leads research and data integration projects for Seven West Media, building a deeper understanding of audiences across TV, publishing and digital. Emelia has decades of experience leading consumer research, audience measurement, and data analytics for media brands in Australia and the UK, including the BBC, Time Warner, Nielsen, Foxtel & SBS. She is a member of the measurement council of IAB Australia and a non-executive director of OzTAM.
Andrew Garrick
Andrew Garrick is best known for Creating and EP’ing late-night comedy show Tonightly on ABC Comedy. Prior to working at Aunty, his experience included developing, writing, producing and directing shows for all of the local networks and major production houses, both here and abroad, including Shine, Freemantle, Screentime, Beyond and more. Andrew directs lots of commercials, including one just recently choreographing 14 animals to perform in a 60s one-take, and one where a guy copped a ball to the face in slow motion.
Outside of Producing and Directing, and teaches Applied Storytelling For Business for AFTRS. He’s also the Managing Director of Zedtown, a live zombie apocalypse experience for thousands of people at a time (yeah, it’s pretty ridiculous fun) which has recently expanded from Australia into the USA and will shortly tour across Asia.
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Group Cruises
2022 - Tahiti, Society & Tuamotu Islands
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Join us on board our 10-night sailing, roundtrip from Tahiti unraveling the Society and Tuamotu islands. Uncover the islands of two archipelagos by small ship. Bora Bora, Taha'a, Moorea, Huahine, Raiatea, Rangiroa, Tetiaroa, Tikehau, and Makatea - islands sculpted by sky-piercing, moss-green peaks and lined with vivid turquoise lagoons. Island hopping allows you to see every landscape, from geometric ridges strung with waterfalls on the high islands to flat, desert-like atolls where lagoons far outsize the landmass. There are many sides to the Islands of Tahiti. Yet they are all connected by Mana. Mana is a life force and spirit that surrounds us. You can see it. Touch it. Taste it. Feel it.
Papeete, Tahiti
Embark the Panorama II in Papeete Port between 2:30pm and 4:00pm. After a welcome briefing and safety drill, we will set sail for Bora Bora. Overnight at sea.
Early morning arrival in Bora Bora, possibly the most photographed place on earth. Our ship sails into Bora Bora lagoon with Mount Otemanu rising proudly at the center. Over the following two days, we will have a variety of optional activities to choose from, such as: a) A Bora Bora Cultural Tour by 4x4; b) An excursion to snorkel with sting rays and sharks; c) An open-air Lagoon Aquarium experience; d) the Bora Bora tour by "Le Truck" and more. Overnight at anchor.
Bora Bora - Taha'a
We continue our Bora Bora activities. After lunch we cruise the Bora Bora lagoon and sail to nearby Taha'a, a true botanical paradise. the fertile island is covered with banana, watermelon and coconut groves. the island also acts as a vast natural greenhouse for the treasured Tahitian vanilla orchid. Our optional half-day excursion will allow us to explore the beautiful interior of the island by 4x4 vehicle. Taste the local fruit and admire breathtaking views of the magnificent turquoise waters of Ha'amene Bay. This excursion also includes a visit to a pearl farm and a traditional vanilla plantation. In the afternoon, we will have plenty of time for swimming and snorkeling from a "motu", or atoll. Overnight at anchor.
In the morning we sail across the lagoon and reach nearby Raiatea, which translates to "faraway heaven" and "sky with soft light". Originally known as Havai'i, Raiatea is considered the homeland of the ancient Polynesians. Our morning optional excursion will introduce you to the highlights of Raiatea. Meet your guide for an informative & intimate tour by minibus. Enjoy a panoramic drive through the main town of Uturoa -- the cultural and administrative center of Raiatea. Shortly after leaving town, you will see Mount Temehani -- endemic home to the Tiare Apetahi. Our highlight stop is at the main ancient Marae (open-air temple) of Taputapuatea, recently became a UN?SCO protected site - your guide will cover the origins & history of this famous land mark. Here, we will learn about its Polynesian origins and historical relevance. Optional afternoon tour includes an exploration by kayak of the Faaroa River, French Polynesia's only navigable river, with an expert guide leading the way through Raiatea's verdant interior. Overnight at anchor.
Raiatea - Huahine
Morning sailing to Huahine. Huahine, once home to Tahitian royalty, is considered the cradle of Polynesian culture. the two islands maintain the largest concentration of ancient marae (temples) in French Polynesia, some of which are believed to date back to around 700 AD. Huahine is a colossal tropical jungle burgeoning with coconut plantations, vanilla orchids, banana groves, breadfruit trees and watermelon fields. Our optional half-day tour takes us by 4x4 vehicle around the island to visit the small villages of Fare and Maeva, an archaeological site, and a vanilla plantation. There will also be an opportunity to see and feed the sacred blue-eyed eels of Faie Bay. Evening sailing to Makatea, overnight at sea.
The island of Makatea is like no other found in French Polynesia. It is not a coral atoll but rather a raised island of coral. the limestone cliffs tower over the coast and the island's interior shows significant vegetation, complete with a few species of endemic birds and a peculiar expanse of limestone holes. Today, this sleepy but spectacular island is home to three species of threatened endemic birds: the beautiful Makatea fruit dove, the impressive imperial pigeon, and the comely appearing singer extraordinaire, the reed warbler. Our half day optional tour will take us across this unique island to a magnificent beach with rockpools to explore before we visit an incredible grotto. Swimming deeper inside the grotto, this underwater cave system will slowly open out to reveal a spectacular watery cathedral, full of weird and wonderful stalagmites and stalactites. Late afternoon departure to Rangiroa. Overnight at sea.
Morning arrival in Rangiroa, the largest atoll in the Tuamotu Archipelago and one of the largest in the world. One of the best destinations for scuba diving, Rangiroa is composed of 240 islets, more than 110 miles, encompassing a deep lagoon. Our optional excursion will take us to the Blue Lagoon, a natural pool formed by islets and reefs within the central lagoon. At only 16 feet deep, the Blue Lagoon is an ideal location for swimming, snorkeling, and observing the vast assortment of marine life. Enjoy a traditional Polynesian picnic before returning to the ship. Overnight at anchor.
Rangiroa - Tikehau
Early morning sailing and arrival at Tikehau also called the Pink Sand Island. This small atoll consists of countless tiny white and pink sand islets engulfed in coconut groves and hidden alcoves. In Tikehau, which actually means "peaceful landing," you will find nothing but absolute serenity on her calm and graceful shores. the lagoon, formed by an almost unbroken ring of continuous coral, resembles an immense natural swimming pool. This underwater aquarium is teeming with marine life. According to the legendary marine researcher Jacques Cousteau, it has a higher concentration of fish than any other lagoon in French Polynesia. Our optional walking tour will take to one of the family-owned fish farm where they trap different species of fish in a maze of underwater fencing. Much of their catch is then shipped to Papeete and sold at the local markets. We will visit Tuherahera at the southern side where most locals live, leaving the remainder of the atoll virtually untouched. In fact, the northeastern quarter is mostly uninhabited. Naturally adorned with colorful flowers such as hibiscus and bougainvillea, Tuherahera is one of the most attractive villages in the Tuamotu Atolls. Afternoon sailing to Tetiaroa.
Tetiaroa - Mo'orea
A haven for birds, sea turtles and all kinds of marine life, Tetiaroa is treasured among Tahitians who know it as a sacred place. So sacred, that at one time the coconut-dotted white sand beaches and crystalline lagoon of this uninhabited atoll was an exclusive getaway for Tahitian royalty. It's not surprising that actor Marlon Brando fell under its spell during the filming of "Mutiny on the Bounty" in 1960 and later went on to become its owner. Under his direction a luxury eco-resort was designed and it operates in 100 % sustainable manner. We will spend the morning in this charming island, exploring the lagoon and snorkeling in its crystal clear waters. Enjoy an optional guided walking tour to the islet of Tahuna Iti, the Birds' Island. the islet shelters one of the largest colony of birds in Tahiti and is a national reserve for seabirds, frigates, sterns, phaetons (straw tails), brown gannets and other petrels. Afternoon sailing and evening arrival at Moorea.
Mo'orea is believed to be the inspiration for the mythical Bali Hai from James Michener's Tales of the South Pacific. Eight gargantuan mountain peaks rise from its magnificent lagoon, creating a distinctive silhouette visible from the western coast of Tahiti. Morning and afternoon optional half day excursions; a/ a Snorkeling and ray tour b/ a Nature & Culture Tour taking you to admire magnificent views in the interior of the island. Tonight we will enjoy our Farewell Dinner. Overnight at anchor.
Early morning sailing to Tahiti. Morning arrival in Papeete. Disembarkation at 9:00 am after breakfast
Call (866) 476-7476 for more information or to book today! Mention code 15385193
Offer valid through 3/31/2021
Panorama II
Click for more information on this ship.
Day Port Arrive Depart
Day 1 Papeete
Day 2 Bora Bora
Day 3 Taha'a
Day 4 Raiatea
Day 5 Huahine
Day 6 Makatea
Day 7 Rangiroa
Day 8 Tikehau
Day 9 Moorea
Day 10 Moorea
Day 11 Papeete
Click Quote or call (866) 476-7476 to get additional information on your chosen travel date. Special offers or competitive pricing may be available!
Date Price / Description Quote
06/24/2022 $3,141.00* (USD) / Category C$3,501.00* (USD) / Category B$4,311.00* (USD) / Category A$5,301.00* (USD) / Category P Quote
* Cruise Fares
All fares are quoted in US Dollars or Euro and are per person based on double occupancy. US $ cruise fares apply for US and Canadian passport holders and Euro rates apply for all other nationalities.
Fares Include:
Shipboard accommodations, ocean transportation all meals and on board entertainment as specified in the cruise program selected.
Fares do not Include:
Port charges, fuel surcharge, travel insurance, transfers, optional air/sea or land programs (unless noted), shore excursions, airport facility charges, taxes/fees, nor do they include items of a personal nature such as alcoholic beverages, soft drinks, gratuities, gift shop purchases, medical services, phone calls, etc. All onboard charges are in Euros.
Port Charges, Fuel Surcharge and Airport Taxes
Port charges and fuel surcharge are in addition to the cruise fares. Payment for port charges must be made at the time the final payment is made.
Destination: South Pacific/Australia/New Zealand
Ship: Panorama II
Join us on board our 10-night sailing, roundtrip from Tahiti unraveling the Society and Tuamotu islands.
© 2020 Above and Beyond Travel and its licensors - All Rights Reserved California Seller of Travel Number - 2085348-40
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ALI MAC
BAND/ARTIST : Independent
KIT SPECIFICATION :
Series : Classic Maple
Finish : Vintage White Marine
Sizes : 18x14, 10x7.5, 12x8, 16x14
WEBSITE : www.alimacmusic.com
VIDEO :Coming Soon
BIOGRAPHY : Ali Mac is a drummer & percussionist with twelve years performance and session recording experience, mostly known for his recordings & performances with Thabo and in 2014, signed to Virgin/EMI records for a two year stint as a recording artist/ song co-writer.
Ali also writes, records, tours & performs with other bands and artists, and dedicates all remaining time to recording bespoke drum and percussion tracks for producers, DJs, film makers, choreographers and music artists from his home studio.
Career highlights include supporting Ella Eyre, broadcasting from the BBC Radio 1 Live Lounge and playing the Vevo Stage at The Great Escape Festival 2015.
Ali has toured with numerous artists and bands extensively around Europe, The UK, Brazil and The Caribbean, has supported Anthony Hamilton, Eric Roberson, Omar, Cody Chesnutt, Hot 8 Brass Band, and George The Poet among many other artists on UK tours, and in 2015 helped The 1975's sideman, John Waugh reach number 2 in the iTunes Jazz album download charts, only to be outdone by Frank Sinatra!
Festival Performances include:
Glastonbury, Latitude, The Great Escape, Live at Leeds, Camp Bestival, Shambala, Costa Del Folk, City Sound (Liverpool), Manchester Jazz Festival, Edinburgh Fringe Festival, Cambridge Folk festival, Cropredy, Lisbon City Festival.
Catch Ali performing with bands including: THABO, Portmanteau, Malaika & The Demon Barbers.
Active Music Distribution 7 Goose Green Trading Estate 47 East Dulwich Road London SE22 9BN
Tel: +44 (0)20 8693 5678 Email:
info@activemusic.co.uk
Copyright © 2020 Active Music Distribution. All Rights Reserved
All Information Correct at time of Publishing / EO&E
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Absolutely Filthy @ Sacred Fools Theatre
Ernest Kearney· February 19, 2013
Why is he so familiar?
(Courtesy of Shaela Cook)
My preference, when assigned a show to review, is to attend it “bare”. This is not an admittance to being a card carrying member of the AANR*, but rather a declaration of intent to enter the production I’m meant to evaluate “bare” of any prior info and so hopefully without preconceived notions, expectations or personal prejudices.
Sometimes that works out, sometimes it don’t.
“Absolutely Filthy” at the Scared Fools Theatre was one of those occasions where it not only worked out, but I also found myself scrambling for clues to unmask exactly what type of universe my Editor-in-Chief had plunged me into. Though I didn’t recognize it as one, my first clue was a four panel comic strip by history’s most successful cartoonist inconspicuously mounted in the foyer. In the strip’s final frame, one of its iconic characters is featured delivering a two word punch line, “Absolutely filthy.”
As the lights flared up at the onset of the evening’s entertainment, the mis-en-scene confronting me was both perplexing and intriguing. A slapdash set that felt not so much “designed” as “discarded”, dominated by an abstract, rough-hewed church exterior fashioned from hubcaps and Jell-o molds. Before it stood a begrimed, meth-mouthed street dweller (Brendan Hunt) spewing a scatological diatribe on the struggle of the “Urban homeless” (Homo demens cockroachus Americanus).
“Find a pigeon, break its neck, cook it over a lighter.”
“Sometimes I s**t staples. I don’t eat staples.”
Okay, so far so good, but why the Hula Hoop? The Hula Hoop which the character – named as “The Mess” in the program – manages to gyrate continuously throughout his rant.
Clues began to add up as a group of former childhood friends, whom our babbling bum was once numbered among, slowly gather at the church for the funeral of Charles, recently succumbed to Encephalitis, who was the linchpin of the crowd, and apparently “The Mess’” dearest friend.
As the mourners ebb in, they all eventually recognize The Mess as their former playmate. There’s The Pop Star (Curt Bonnem) who was once a classical pianist of great promise. Next is the neurotic insecure Iraqi vet suffering from PTSD (Robbie Winston) and his older crabby sister (Anna Douglas) who had once been the deceased’s psychiatrist and who still carries a torch for The Pop Star in spite of his being openly gay. The Pop Star questions her presence at Charles’ service, who as a child she tortured endlessly, by always pulling up the football right before he –
Great jumping Jehoshaphat! The dearly departed is Good ol’ Charlie Brown, and the mourners the “Peanuts” gang! Schroeder, Linus, Lucy – all grown up and totally screwed up along the way! Now I get the Hula Hoop, “The Mess” is none other than the beloved Pigpen with the constantly twirling Hula Hoop filling in for the ubiquitous dirt cloud that travelled with him wherever he went.
This is an unquestionably unauthorized undertaking (Damn! I’ve been trying to go cold turkey on my alliteration addiction!) and no doubt has the corporate suits at MacPeanuts Worldwide, LLC throwing Grand Mal hissy fits.
The era of “Peanuts” extended from October 2, 1950 with the publishing of the first strip. The final Sunday strip appeared on February 13, 2000 the day after the death of creator Charles Schulz. During its fifty-year stint Peanuts would spread like a goose-stepping pandemic eventually obtaining a readership of 355 million and publication in over 20 languages.
There was no escaping its tentacles.
Even as I write this, two vintage Peanuts cloth banners are displayed on my office wall. It is indicative of its impact that, 13 years after Schulz’s passing, reprints of the strips continue to appear in the nation’s newspapers.
To MacPeanuts the 17,897 strips are hallowed text and those heathens at Sacred Fools are pissing in the holy water. “Good grief,” sayeth Charlie Brown. Peppermint Patty is now a sexually aggressive fashion maven, and Marcie, her bookish hanger-on in the strip is just one of her former lovers among the group. Franklin, the strip’s first black character, is an alcoholic judge. In a flashback, Snoopy descends from Dog heaven to comfort Charlie Brown on his death bed, and Snoopy is a babe who only speaks German!
Brendan Hunt who penned this profanity and Jeremy Aldridge who directed know their source material here and even weave in references to the numerous Peanuts TV specials with good results. And the sacrilege does not end with “Peanuts” either, as other beloved cartoon characters find themselves in the blasphemous crosshairs of satire and silliness; Cathy, Family Circle, Dennis the Menace, Jesus Christ.
Brendan Hunt’s script delivers a non-stop spew of zingers and Aldridge’s direction, while stretching out some gags a bit too long, is quite successful in keeping the show gushing along at a healthy pace. Stephanie Kerley Schwartz’s set while not contributing overly to the concept of the material at least does not confound it.
Overall the cast is solid. Standouts are KJ Middlebrooks as Franklin (His Honor), Anna Douglas as Lucy (The Big Sister), Robbie Winston as Linus (The Little Brother), Scott Golden as good ol’ dead Charlie Brown (The Deceased), and Amir Levi as good ‘ol deader Jesus.
It is Hunt who provides the cherry atop the evening’s fare in his pitch perfect performance playing the panhandling paranoid Pigpen. (Okay it’s time to call my AA sponsor – that’s right “Alliteration Anonymous“). Hunt seems more attune to his strengths than your average actor – Liam Neeson still doesn’t understand why Spielberg didn’t go with him for Lincoln – and his awareness has aided Hunt in penning a script which serves him as well as he serves it. He is to be commended first and foremost for never allowing the ruthless silliness of the show to bury the humanity of his character; and then there is that Hula Hoop. He keeps it going for the whole show, even as he strips down butt naked at the close of the first act he’s still Hula-ing…or…Hooping. For a guy who has never once in his life gotten past the first looping of that plastic tube, which inevitably wound from my hips to the floor – I was impressed!
Now “Absolutely Filthy” is not a show for everyone. But if you’re a fan of “Peanuts”, a cartoon aficionado, or just someone who likes their humor pitched fast and underhanded then this might be just up your alley.
*The American Association for Nude Recreation, National Headquarters Kissimmee, Florida
Sacred Fools Theater
660 N. Heliotrope Drive
January 25-March Fridays & Saturdays at 8pm
Tickets are $20 at www.sacredfools.org or (310) 281-8337
Absolutely FilthySacred Fools Theatre
Ernest Kearney
Theatre Critic
An award winning L.A. playwright and rabble-rouser of note who has hoisted glasses with Orson Welles, been arrested on three continents and once beat up Charlie Manson.
First Day Off in a Long Time @ Steve Allen Theatre
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Isaiah Washington Returns To 'Grey's' For First Time Since 2007 Firing
Megan Barreto, AOL.com
May 2nd 2014 5:34AM
On "Grey's Anatomy," one character made an unexpected return.
DR. BURKE: "Don't you run the risk of your cells undergoing apoptosis when seeded on the hydragel?"
CRISTINA: "I was very surprised."
That's right, Dr. Preston Burke is back.
Sandra Oh tweeted the big news to fans -- many who responded with... Nooooo!
You might remember back in 2007, ABC decided not to renew Isaiah Washington's contract after an on-set incident with fellow cast members Patrick Dempsey and T.R. Knight. Apparently, he had made a homophobic slur, but later apologized.
But some fans were glad to see him back -- it finally provided some closure to his storyline -- and Cristina's. Burke offered Cristina an amazing opportunity to replace him at his hospital. We can only guess she'll take the job since she is leaving the show.
Oh spoke exclusively with The Hollywood Reporter, saying...
"Creatively, I really feel like I gave it my all, and I feel ready to let her go,"
Sandra Oh's last episode will be the season finale of 'Grey's Anatomy,' which airs May 15th.
7 outrageous credit cards if you have excellent credit
Cards charging 0% interest until 2021
Notice: cars driven less than 25 miles could pay less
Seniors, get car insurance from $39 per month
Qualified zip codes save big on insurance
Dan Levy urges viewers to vote after historic Emmys win: 'I am so sorry for making th…
Queen Latifah gets real about healthcare disparities, systemic racism in the U.S.: 'I…
'Keeping Up With the Kardashians' to air final season in early 2021
AOL Logo Entertainment
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Tony Alamo – Timeline
Tony Alamo / Alamo Christian Ministries
Tony Alamo - Background
Tony Alamo - Timeline
Tony Alamo - The Ravening Wolf
Tony Alamo - Research Resources
Next page: Tony Alamo – The Ravening Wolf
Previous page: Tony Alamo – Background
1934: Bernie Lazar Hoffman is born in Joplin, Mo. He later calls himself Tony Alamo, inspired by popular Italian American singers, such as Frank Sinatra and Perry Como.
1964: Alamo claims that, while working as a Los Angeles music promoter, God strikes him temporarily deaf and tells him to spread the word that Jesus will soon return.
1966: Alamo marries Susan Lipowitz, an aspiring actress. They legally change their names to Tony and Susan Alamo and start their religious work.
1969: The Tony and Susan Alamo Foundation is formed and begins ministering to Hollywood street kids.
1970:The Alamos open a church and several businesses north of Los Angeles. Followers, who live in squalid conditions and provide cheap labor, are told that if they leave they will die, go insane or turn into homosexuals.
1975: The Alamos move to Alma, Ark., and open a church, and many businesses, including a nightclub. Bill Clinton visits the nightclub to see Dolly Parton perform and describes Tony Alamo as “Roy Orbison on speed.”
1976: The U.S. Labor Department charges that Alamo failed to pay employees who manufacture “Tony Alamo” brand sequined denim jackets. He loses the suit and a 1985 U.S. Supreme Court appeal.
1982: Susan Alamo dies of cancer. Her body is kept on display for six months while their followers pray for her resurrection.
1985: The IRS revokes the tax-exempt status of Alamo’s church.
1988: Alamo is charged with child abuse for ordering followers to beat an 11-year-old boy. Prosecutors drop the charge, citing lack of evidence. The child’s parents sue Alamo and win a $1.5 million judgment.
1991: The body of Susan Alamo is taken from a mausoleum on the cult’s compound in Arkansas after federal marshals seize the property to satisfy a legal judgment.
1993: A Memphis, Tenn., grand jury indicts Alamo for evading income taxes in the late 1980s. Alamo becomes a fugitive. The FBI warns that he “is always accompanied by bodyguards who have access to numerous weapons, to include M-14 rifles.”
1994: Alamo is convicted on the tax-related charges. He serves four years in prison and owes the government $7.9 million.
1998: Alamo is released from prison, moves to Fouke, Ark., and re-establishes his church.
2006: Fouke officials praise Alamo for his acts of “Christian love and kindness.” Locals feel less kindly when Alamo posts armed guards along the road to his compound.
2007: Tony Alamo Christian Ministries is listed as a hate group by the Southern Poverty Law Center for its anti-Catholic statements. Alamo is implicated in the illegal saleof mattresses donated to Hurricane Katrina victims.
Sept. 20, 2008: Federal and state authorities, prompted by allegations of child pornography, conduct a search at Tony Alamo Christian Ministries. Child welfare workers take custody of six children.
– Source:
Sources: Los Angeles Times; Southern Poverty Law Center; The Associated Press; “My Life,” Bill Clinton — published as a sidebar to the article, Inside the Arkansas compound, tales of abuse and neglect, Michelle Roberts, The Oregonian, Sep. 21, 2008
Trilogy Alliance
Three Grades of Servants – Research Resources
True Russian Orthodox Church / Heavenly Jerusalem
Category: T, Tony Alamo, Tony Alamo Christian Ministries
Related to: Tony Alamo, Tony Alamo Christian Ministries
First published (or major update) on Sunday, September 28, 2008 Central European Time (CET).
Last minor update: Sunday, September 28, 2008 at 2:16 AM CET
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Data & standards
Packaging & cycle
[GRI 301/103-1] Waste avoidance is a key pillar of sustainable development. At almost 82 per cent, packaging waste* accounts for the biggest proportion of the total waste generated by the ALDI North Germany. For many products, packaging is essential for protection and quality assurance, making it impossible to avoid it completely. That is why we focus on recyclable materials and, in some cases, on multiple-use systems for fruit and vegetable outer packaging. Moreover, we are reviewing ways to contribute to a circular economy that helps conserve resources through packaging and through our products and carrier bags.
[GRI 301/103-2] When it comes to our transport and outer packaging, we use multiple-use systems whenever it makes economic and ecological sense to do so. Most of our fruit and vegetable products are transported in multiple-use boxes instead of conventional cardboard packaging. However, single-use packaging is unavoidable in many cases in order to protect our products during transport. In Germany, we use foils and boxes made of recyclable materials so that these can be recovered. What is more, our disposable cardboard packaging already consists partially of recycled and/or certified material in many ALDI North Group countries.
Our considerations with a view to the circular economy do not stop at packaging. In a circular economy, products are developed and manufactured in such a way that they can continue to be used or fully recovered following their original use, reducing the amount of waste and the amount of resources required to manufacture new products. We intend to encourage this mindset in future through appropriate projects.
Organisation and guidelines
[GRI 301/103-2/3] The topics of packaging and the cycle are coordinated in an interdisciplinary manner at the ALDI North Group. Corporate Responsibility (CR), Quality Assurance and Buying work together to address these issues. Because many packaging materials are made out of wood fibres, our approach to dealing with packaging and recycling within the ALDI North Group is guided by the provisions of our International Timber Purchasing Policy, among other things. In Germany, the new Packaging Act (Verpackungsgesetz), which will replace the previous Packaging Ordinance (Verpackungsverordnung) with effect from 1 January 2019, also plays a role. In the Netherlands, the food retail and manufacturing industries have set cross-sector targets for more sustainable packaging. The move towards a circular economy is also particularly apparent when it comes to the fast-paced apparel industry. In our National Cotton Purchasing Policy, we focus on using recycled cotton in Germany as well.
Progress and measures in 2017
New International Timber Purchasing Policy
[GRI 301/103-2/3] Most of our outer packaging is made of wood fibres. The exact figure varies from country to country. All told, almost 80 per cent of our packaging waste consists of wood, board or paper. In our International Timber Purchasing Policy, we lay out clear rules that are valid throughout the ALDI North Group for dealing with this resource – and therefore for dealing with a great deal of our packaging. We plan to change all wood and wood-based products, sales packaging, outer packaging and transport packaging to recycled or sustainably certified materials by 2020 (see Targets and status). At the same time, the purchasing policy is a binding framework for our relationship with our business partners. We work with them to rise to the social, environmental and economic challenges resulting in this field. Today, 18 per cent of our packaging waste already falls within the scope of the new International Timber Purchasing Policy. In the period under review, we started changing wood-based small packaging for fresh shell eggs to 100 per cent recycled materials.
Textiles and footwear: more recycled fibres
We already use recycled fibres in textiles and footwear. Special blankets and pillows with recycled fibres, for example, are part of our special-buy product range in Germany. These fibres come from PET bottles that we take back at our reverse vending machines. The PET bottles are chopped into flakes and ultimately spun into fibres. By 2020, we plan to investigate the implementation of closed-loop projects and corresponding research projects where it makes sense and is appropriate to do so. We are also looking into expanding the use of recycled fibres.
Doing away with disposable bags
In late 2017, we started discontinuing conventional disposable plastic shopping bags in Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands. Once the conversion process has been completed, these ALDI North Group countries will only carry reusable totes. For more information, please see the story entitled "Disposing with disposables".
Targets and status
[GRI 301/103-2/3] Our International Timber Purchasing Policy contains clear targets for packaging. Among other things, we plan to convert all newly purchased sales, outer and transport packaging for products to sustainably certified quality or recycled material, depending on availability. In this respect, we accept the FSC®** and PEFC™*** standards or other standards in individual consultation that contribute to the promotion of sustainable forestry and/or environmentally friendly processing. For outer and transport packaging, we accept materials that consist of at least 70 per cent recycled materials without certification. The changeover is set to start immediately and is scheduled for completion by the end of 2020. In Germany, the changeover from disposable shopping bags to reusable carrier bags is scheduled for completion by the end of 2018 in consideration of existing supplier agreements.
Our targets from the CR Programme:
Field of action: supply chain responsibility
Target value
Target relevance
Preparation and publication of an International Timber Purchasing Policy
ALDI Nord Group
Changeover of wood and wood-based products to sustainably certified materials (FSC®, PEFC™, EU Ecolabel or comparable standards)
Changeover of all newly purchased sales packaging, repackaging
and transport packaging for products to recycled and/or
sustainably certified materials (FSC®, PEFC™, EU Ecolabel or comparable standards), depending on availability
Target achieved Ongoing process
Field of action: resource conservation
Discontinuation of plastic bags
Germany, Netherlands, Belgium
[GRI 301-1]
Number of bags sold/given away
Number of bags sold/given away by type (in thousand)
Long-life shopping bags
Cooling bags
Bakery product bags
String net bags
Belgium/Luxembourg1
1 The information regarding the legally independent companies of the ALDI Nord Group in Belgium and Luxembourg has been combined for the purposes of a simplified presentation (refer to "Subject of the report"). Bakery product bags made of both plastic and paper are used in Belgium.
2 Late reporting information for the years 2015 and 2016 resulted in partial adjustments compared with the previous year’s report.
3 The carrier bags in Poland are different from those used by the rest of the ALDI Nord Group in terms of design and size.
Materials used for primary packaging
Weight of materials used for primary packaging (in metric tons)1, 2, 3
Wood, board, paper
1 The data are partly based on estimates and extrapolations.
2 Excluding data on items that are purchased nationally by our companies in Denmark and France. The quantities stated for these countries were sourced through the common ALDI Buying organisation.
3 The change in values for all countries except Belgium and Luxembourg compared to previous years is attributable to a change in the methodology used to estimate the quantities sourced through the common ALDI Buying organisation.
4 The information regarding the legally independent companies of the ALDI Nord Group in Belgium and Luxembourg has been combined for the purposes of a simplified presentation (refer to "Subject of the report"). The values pertaining to plastic packaging are based on the statutory packaging declaration and have been adjusted retroactively for the two previous years.
5 For items purchased in Poland, primary and secondary packaging was recorded as primary packaging.
Primary packaging made of wood, board and paper within the scope of our Timber Purchasing Policy
Proportion of the weight of materials used for primary packaging accounted for by wood, board and paper (in per cent)
* Packaging waste
At the ALDI North Group, we differentiate between sales packaging, outer packaging and transport packaging. The outer and transport packaging included in our data is attributable to our distribution centres and stores. Our customers can dispose of sales packaging – i.e. the product and packaging combined – directly at our stores. However, our customers usually dispose of sales packaging themselves at home.
** FSC®
The acronym FSC® refers to the independent certification organisation Forest Stewardship Council®. The FSC® differentiates between three categories: FSC® 100%, FSC® MIX and FSC® RECYCLED.
*** PEFC™
The abbreviation PEFC™ stands for the Programme for the Endorsement of Forest Certification Schemes, which is an independent, international certification organisation. PEFC™ differentiates between two categories: PEFC™ for certified fresh fibres and PEFC™ Recycled for certified recycled materials.
Diversity and work-life balance
People from 117 nations work in the nine European countries in which we are represented. This diversity is a part of the ALDI North Group. It enriches our working relationships and reflects the diversity of our customers.
We align our actions with our core values: simplicity, responsibility and reliability. These values also express the way the ALDI North Group sees and approaches compliance.
Sustainable standards in the non-food supply chain
We take responsibility for safe and fair working conditions and compliance with environmental standards wherever we can make a difference
What it means to be an ALDI employee
Being an ALDI employee above all means embracing our shared values: simplicity, responsibility and reliability. That is what we stand for in all we do, wherever we are located.
Customer contact & service quality
The trust of our customers is our most valuable asset. That is why we listen carefully to what they want. For more than 100 years, we have consistently and systematically tailored our products and services towards the demands of our customers.
Taking responsibility for the health and safety of employees in the workplace is part of the ethos of the ALDI North Group companies
Commitment to animal welfare: good ranking in an industry comparison
We know that there is still a lot to do when it comes to animal welfare, but we are on the right track, as confirmed by two recent publications on commitment to animal welfare in the food industry
Attractive employer
The roughly 69,000 ALDI employees make a decisive contribution to the sustained success of the ALDI North Group. All of them can be proud to work for the ALDI North Group. In exchange, they receive secure working conditions, attractive framework conditions and long-term career development prospects
Food losses & other waste
We take responsibility for the protection of our environment and its natural resources. As a retailer, reducing waste and dedicating ourselves to fighting food losses play a central role.
Be informed about our offers always and everywhere? You can, with our ALDI app!
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Receive our weekly offers in your mailbox? Subscribe to the newsletter now!
ALDI CR-Support in Hong Kong
The life of our baby bodysuit
Quality: all in a day’s work
The new stores
Rescuing food
Labelling with a purpose
More sustainable product range
Sustainable food purchasing practices
Mobility & logistics
Raising consumer awareness
CR Programme
Stakeholder & networks
Subject of the report
UN Global Compact COP
Downloads & archive
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News|Elections
On UK election eve, polls suggest slim majority for Conservatives
On final campaigning day, prime minister admits race ‘tighter than ever’ as polls predict slim Conservative majority.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson delivers milk to Debbie Monaghan in Guiseley, Leeds on December 11, 2019 on the final day of campaigning before a general election [Ben Stansall/AFP]
The United Kingdom‘s political leaders are crisscrossing the country on the final day of general election campaigning, as a key poll showed the outcome could be hanging in the balance.
Conservative Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Labour main opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn were set for whistlestop tours on Wednesday of key battleground seats in a frantic last push for votes.
Thursday’s snap general election was called in a bid to break the Brexit deadlock that has gripped Britain ever since the seismic 2016 referendum vote to leave the European Union.
After struggling to lead a minority administration, Johnson is hoping to secure a majority government that will enable him to take Britain out of the EU on January 31.
His Conservatives have been consistently ahead in the opinion polls but YouGov’s final survey of the campaign predicted they were set only for a narrow majority – with the race tightening.
The pollsters’ seat projection put the Conservatives on course for a relatively slender 28-seat majority in Parliament’s 650-member lower House of Commons – down from a comfortable 68 forecast by YouGov on November 27.
Opposition Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn reacts as he makes a Christmas gift in a reindeer-themed bag during a campaign event at Sandylands Community Primary School in Morecambe, northwest England on December 10, 2019 [Oli Scarff/AFP]
The new poll forecast that the Conservatives would take 339 seats (up 22 on the last general election in 2017), with the left-wing Labour main opposition on 231 (down 31).
The Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) was on course for 41 seats, up six, while the Liberal Democrats are set for 15 seats, up three.
YouGov warned that the final number of Conservative seats could be between 311 – hung parliament territory – and 367.
“The margins are extremely tight and small swings in a small number of seats, perhaps from tactical voting and a continuation of Labour’s recent upward trend, means we can’t currently rule out a hung parliament,” said Chris Curtis, YouGov’s political research manager.
The pollsters interviewed approximately 100,000 panellists over the past seven days.
Johnson, 55, started the day delivering milk in Yorkshire, northern England, and end it canvassing in Essex, northeast of London.
“Unless we get out of this quicksand of a Brexit argument, our future as a country remains uncertain … a lost decade of division, delay and deadlock,” he said.
“Let’s get Brexit done and get on with spreading opportunity and hope across the whole UK and let’s unleash the potential of this country.”
In an interview with Sky News, he claimed the electoral contest could not be tighter.
“This could not be more critical, it could not be tighter. I’m just saying to everybody the risk is very real that we could tomorrow be going into another hung parliament, that’s more drift, more dither, more delay, more paralysis for this country.”
Corbyn, 70, is expected to speak at a rally in Middlesbrough, northeast England, calling Thursday “the most important election in a generation”.
“My message to all those voters who are still undecided is that you can vote for hope,” he will say. “We will put money in your pocket because you deserve it. The richest and big business will pay for it.”
The veteran socialist is planning a vast programme of public service spending and nationalisation, plus another referendum on Brexit, pitting a softer version than Johnson’s against staying in the EU.
The Britain Elects poll aggregator puts the Conservatives on 43 percent, Labour on 33 percent, the Liberal Democrats on 13 percent, and the Greens and the Brexit Party on 3 percent each.
Jo Swinson, leader of the anti-Brexit Liberal Democrats, will on Wednesday visit Conservative-held seats on the leafy southwest fringes of London, including Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab’s constituency – tipped by YouGov to be on a knife-edge.
“To stop Brexit, we must stop Boris Johnson. We have one more day left to do it,” she said.
SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, branded Johnson the “greatest danger to Scotland of any Tory prime minister in modern times,” in an open letter.
She is seeking a second Scottish independence referendum as the price of supporting Labour in a hung parliament.
Meanwhile, in Northern Ireland, which returns 18 seats, the province’s five major parties clashed over Brexit in a televised debate late on Tuesday.
Brexit arrangements for the Irish border proved the stickiest part of the EU divorce negotiations.
Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionists played a key role in the last Parliament, propping up the minority Conservatives.
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The Five Promises
Center for Promise
Every School Healthy
GradNation
How Learning Happens
Power of Youth Challenge
Youth Voice - The State of Young People
The Yes Project
GradNation Resources
Great American High School Campaign
High School Graduation Facts: Ending the Dropout Crisis
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Overview and 4A Framework
The vision of America’s Promise Alliance and its partnership with the Annie E. Casey Foundation is that all young people will graduate from school with the knowledge and skills they need for adult success. Dropping out of school does not occur overnight but is a gradual process of disengagement that can be interrupted when communities, schools and families work together to identify when and why their young people do not succeed in school and to ensure young people, especially those most at risk, receive the supports they need. Supporting student success needs to be viewed as a common enterprise involving educators, parents, communities and students themselves. Each has a stake and a role in the process recognizing that roles may evolve as key milestones are reached along the way.
Key Concepts for Parent Engagement
Parents are a key ingredient of any dropout prevention strategy. As each child’s first and arguably, lifelong teacher, a parent (broadly defined to refer to whoever is a child’s primary caregiver) is well positioned to provide a child with the on-going support and supervision he or she needs to be successful in school. Whether or not children get on the path to high school graduation in the first place and stay on track throughout their school career is significantly influenced by the extent to which parents are able to support them in their educational endeavors.
Why does parent engagement in schools matter?
A New Wave of Evidence (1) by Ann Henderson and Karen Mapp describes how, no matter what their family income or background may be, students with involved parents are more likely to:
Earn higher grades and test scores
Be promoted, pass their classes, and earn credits
Attend school regularly
Have better social skills, show improved behavior, and adapt well to school
Graduate and go on to postsecondary education.
What does parent engagement in schools look like?
Parent involvement in children’s education can take multiple forms. According to Joyce Epstein at the Johns Hopkins University, schools can foster parent engagement across a number of realms:
Parenting: Assist families in understanding child and adolescent development, and in setting home conditions that support children as students at each age and grade level. Assist schools in understanding families.
Communicating: Communicate with families about school programs and student progress through effective school–to home and home-to school communications.
Volunteering: Improve recruitment, training, work and schedules to involve families as volunteers at school or in other locations to support students and school programs.
Learning at home: Involve families with their children in learning activities at home, including homework and other curriculum-related activities and decisions.
Collaborating with community: Coordinate resources and services for students, families, and the school with businesses, agencies, and other groups, and provide services to the community.
Decision-making: Include families as participants in school decisions, governance, and advocacy through PTA/PTO, school councils, committees, action teams, and other parent organizations.
Parent engagement is not a single event but a process that evolves over time. Kathleen Hoover-Dempsey and her colleagues have identified three factors in determining parent involvement:
Whether parents believe they should play an active role in their children’s education and have a positive sense of self-efficacy for helping their children learn
Whether the school welcomes and invites their involvement
Whether parents’ life context (socioeconomic situation, knowledge, skills, time) supports involvement. (3)
What can parents do specifically to prevent their children from dropping out?
While parent engagement has tremendous value in terms of supporting the well-being of an entire school community, we propose specifically focusing engagement on four key concepts:
Attendance Every Day: Ensure that children go to school regularly
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Achievement Every Year: Monitor and help children make satisfactory progress each year
Attainment Over Time: Set high expectations for children and plan for attaining their long-term goals
Advocacy For All: Empowering parents and families to improve opportunities for excellence in education
These four priorities were identified because each one is clearly critical to student success throughout a child’s academic career. Each one is heavily influenced by the actions and thinking of parents as well as educators, community-based providers and students themselves. Localities may find that they need to tailor or adapt this framework of the 4As to their own local realities and existing communications with parents.
What does it mean to engage parents in developing solutions to school drop-out?
Parents are invaluable sources of information about possible causes of drop-out as well as what types of strategies are likely to help families overcome barriers to ensuring students attend school every day, achieve every year and attain their life goals over time. While national information can offer information about likely issues and solutions, gathering insights from parents from your own community is essential to grounding your efforts in local realities.
(1)Henderson, A, & Mapp K, A (2002). New Wave of Evidence: The Impact of School, Family and Community Connections on Student Achievement, Southwest Development Lab, Austin Texas.
(2)Go to the Center on School, Family, and Community Partnerships at Johns Hopkins University for further information and resources.
(3)Hoover-Dempsey, K, et. al, (2005) Why do Parents Become Involved? Research Findings and Implications. The Elementary School Journal, Volume 106, No. 2. University of Chicago.
America's Promise Alliance
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Phone: 202.657.0600Fax: 202.657.0601
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Symantec Delivers Data Center Availability with Broad Support for Leading Data Replication Solutions
<p>News Release
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE</p>
<p>SYMANTEC DELIVERS DATA CENTER AVAILABILITY WITH BROAD SUPPORT FOR LEADING DATA REPLICATION SOLUTIONS</p>
<p>Combining clustering with replication helps customers achieve 24/7 availability</p>
<p>CUPERTINO, Calif. – October 11, 2005 – Symantec Corp. (Nasdaq: SYMC), today extended the capabilities of VERITAS Cluster Server ™, the industry’s leading independent heterogeneous clustering and availability software, to include full support for leading replication solutions that include: EMC® SRDF® (including SRDF/A), EMC MirrorView™, Hitachi TrueCopy™, HP Continuous Access XP, the IBM High-Availability Disaster Recovery capability of DB2 Universal Database® and the IBM Peer to Peer Remote Copy capability of IBM Enterprise Storage Server, NetApp® SnapMirror®, Oracle® DataGuard and the company’s own VERITAS Volume Replicator™ product. By combining VERITAS Cluster Server, now from Symantec, with data replication, enterprise customers can achieve and maintain data center availability and remain confident that their applications and data will be available between data centers, across any distance and during any outage scenario.</p>
<p>“Enterprise IT organizations are facing intense pressure to ensure their mission-critical applications and data are constantly available,” said Kris Hagerman, senior vice president, Storage and Server Management Group, Symantec Corporation. “With significant new support for a wide variety of replication technologies, we are providing customers with a single solution that integrates clustering with replication. This enables customers attain the highest levels of availability, and ensure they can quickly recover from any disruption regardless of the storage platform or operating system they choose.”</p>
<p>Today many organizations replicate data to a secondary location to protect data from disasters or other threats. However, replication alone does not always provide easy access and recovery of data. Organizations that want to achieve the highest level of availability for their critical data, systems and applications add clustering software to their replication solution, allowing them to quickly recover from disruptions when they occur. Clustering automates the process of bringing up storage, servers and applications and re-directs clients to a secondary data set in the event of disruption or disaster eliminating prolonged and costly downtime. Symantec is uniquely positioned to help customers attain this level of availability by utilizing a single product so they can go beyond traditional disaster recovery to proactively mitigate and minimize the risk of downtime by protecting both their data and applications within and across data centers worldwide.</p>
<p>“NetApp is pleased to participate in Symantec’s push to broaden VERITAS Cluster Server support by including the NetApp SnapMirror replication solution,” said Patrick Rogers, vice president of Products and Partners at Network Appliance, Inc., (Nasdaq: NTAP). “Customers can combine the cost-effective and simplified disaster recovery benefits of SnapMirror with application and server failover capabilities of VERITAS Cluster Server for a complete disaster recovery solution. This enables customers to make their applications—and even entire data centers—highly available.”</p>
<p>Organizations that neglect the importance of accessing applications during an outage situation are forced to manually recover data, systems and applications, a process that may take hours or even days and can directly impact their ability to conduct business. Symantec can help customers avoid this scenario by using VERITAS Cluster Server and one of the supported replication offerings. Furthermore, by combining clustering and replication, organizations can now achieve a Recovery Time Objective (RTO) of minutes vs. days or weeks with manual processes. A single solution allows organizations to meet and exceed their recovery goals.</p>
<p>Pricing and Availability</p>
<p>VERITAS Cluster Server is available immediately starting at USD $2,995. Pricing for the replication solutions mentioned within this press release start at USD $995 and are available immediately. In addition, Symantec offers consulting, education and support services for VERITAS Cluster Server to aid customers in protecting their critical data, systems and applications. For additional product information please visit: http://www.veritas.com/vcs</p>
<p>About Symantec
Symantec is the world leader in providing solutions to help individuals and enterprises assure the security, availability, and integrity of their information. Headquartered in Cupertino, Calif., Symantec has operations in more than 40 countries. More information is available at www.symantec.com.
###</p>
<p>NOTE TO EDITORS: If you would like additional information on Symantec Corporation and its products, please view the Symantec Press Center at http://www.symantec.com/PressCenter/ on Symantec's Web site. All prices noted are in US dollars and are valid only in the United States.</p>
<p>Symantec, the Symantec logo, VERITAS, and the VERITAS logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of Symantec Corporation or its affiliates in the United States and certain other countries. Additional company and product names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of the individual companies and are respectfully acknowledged.</p>
<p>For media enquiries please contact:</p>
<p>Antoinette Trovato
Public Relations Manager - Pacific
Tel: +61 2 8879 1173 or +61 408 495 337
Email: antoinette_trovato@symantec.com</p>
<p>Fiona Martin
Max Australia
Email: fiona.martin@maxaustralia.com.au</p>
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Customers go round with vendor excuses
Ed Foster (ARN) 20 May, 1998 13:52
ACA Pacific
Arrow ECS ANZ
Auscomp Computers
Independent Data Solutions
Mia Distribution
rhipe
As we know, vendors sometimes make mistakes. But while few vendors demonstrate creativity in solving their customers' problems, they are often wonderfully imaginative in the excuses they give for not solving them.
We've heard some pretty good excuses recently from vendors, such as Computer Associates International's culture gap with Cheyenne Software (see page 28 for details) or Western Digital's new computer system eating its return merchant authorisations. But these are fairly mediocre attempts compared to some excuses readers report they hear from vendors to explain a product's bugs, lack of support, or missing features.
One of the best excuses is to blame the problem on somebody else, particularly someone who is too powerful for the customer to tackle. On several occasions back in IBM's glory days, I heard of competitors' customers being told the product they were impatiently awaiting had been the victim of some evil Big Blue machinations. And IBM was so notorious for its quite real FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) tactics that some people would believe almost anything about it.
Tech troubles?
Today, people will believe almost anything about Microsoft, so Redmond is now the favourite place to point to when casting blame.
"It's a Windows problem - call Microsoft," is the way many tech-support calls terminate.
The fact that it might well be a Windows problem makes it hard for the user to argue.
Some will stretch the bounds of credulity though, as in the case one reader reported to me about a software vendor who provides only paid support.
"I asked them how they had the gall to charge $US25 per call, and this guy tried to tell me that Microsoft makes all Windows developers charge for support," the reader said.
But blame doesn't always have to be cast at the big guys.
"The graphics card vendor blamed it on the mouse," he related in an IDG reader forum about vendor excuses. He switched to another mouse and still had the problem.
"They said I had two faulty mice. I grabbed a third (all different brands) and it still didn't work. They were in shock that I'd have three faulty mice."
When a product does not work the way it should, the unimaginative vendor may try to fix it, but the more creative excuse is to blame the documentation for telling you how it was supposed to work. The publisher of a development application took this tack.
"They determined the documentation was incorrect and resolved the problem by changing the documentation," he wrote.
A recent excuse that really impressed me was offered by an ISP to a customer who had asked to change the credit card on which his account was billed.
When the ISP mishandled his request and the charges kept coming to the credit card he'd cancelled, he incurred several penalties from the bank for which he felt the ISP should be responsible. The ISP's billing department replied that "unfortunately by law we cannot credit an account for any monies not directly billed by the ISP itself, ie telephone bills, overdraft charges, etc. I am very sorry but I cannot offer you a credit for your overdraft fees. I sincerely hope that this information has been helpful to you."
The ISP eventually agreed to reimburse the reader after I wrote to enquire whether that law was the Bumbling Fools Protection Act.
What's WAD?
Creative excuses are nice in their place, but that certainly does not mean vendors have abandoned the old favourites.
"It's fixed in the next release" never seems to lose its appeal, and what forum participants dubbed the WAD statement (as in "that's no bug, it's Working As Designed") is as ubiquitous as ever. With such tried and true standard responses to rely upon, any vendor caught without an answer has no excuse.
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