polymarket-predictions / predictions.json
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[
{
"id": "558970",
"question": "Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-cape-verde-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
"market_prob": 0.0015,
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},
{
"id": "1897193",
"question": "Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-arg",
"market_prob": 0.9995,
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},
{
"id": "558944",
"question": "Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-uruguay-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-932",
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},
{
"id": "558946",
"question": "Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-belgium-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-358",
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},
{
"id": "2324049",
"question": "Spread: Argentina (-1.5)",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-spread-home-1pt5",
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},
{
"id": "2324062",
"question": "Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-total-2pt5",
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},
{
"id": "1897194",
"question": "Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-draw",
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},
{
"id": "1897197",
"question": "Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-aut",
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},
{
"id": "2063134",
"question": "Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?",
"category": "POLITICS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-adanech-abiebie-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
"market_prob": 0.002,
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},
{
"id": "558947",
"question": "Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-colombia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-734",
"market_prob": 0.0155,
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},
{
"id": "558951",
"question": "Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-norway-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-893",
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},
{
"id": "558976",
"question": "Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-croatia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
"market_prob": 0.0055,
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"edge": 0.0045,
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},
{
"id": "558968",
"question": "Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-egypt-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
"market_prob": 0.0025,
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"edge": 0.0075,
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},
{
"id": "558966",
"question": "Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ivory-coast-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
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},
{
"id": "2063131",
"question": "Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?",
"category": "POLITICS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-alesa-mengesha-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
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},
{
"id": "558975",
"question": "Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-austria-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
"market_prob": 0.0035,
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"edge": 0.0065,
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},
{
"id": "558938",
"question": "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-245",
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},
{
"id": "558949",
"question": "Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-japan-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-112",
"market_prob": 0.0215,
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},
{
"id": "558940",
"question": "Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-portugal-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-912",
"market_prob": 0.0675,
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"edge": -0.0014,
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},
{
"id": "558941",
"question": "Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-netherlands-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-739",
"market_prob": 0.0545,
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"edge": -0.0043,
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"backtest_acc": 0.6018,
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},
{
"id": "558943",
"question": "Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-usa-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-467",
"market_prob": 0.0355,
"oracle_prob": 0.03,
"edge": -0.0055,
"confidence": 0.9329,
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"backtest_acc": 0.6018,
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},
{
"id": "558934",
"question": "Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-spain-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-963",
"market_prob": 0.1385,
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"edge": 0.0006,
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"end_date": "2026-07-20",
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},
{
"id": "2324061",
"question": "Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-total-1pt5",
"market_prob": 0.9995,
"oracle_prob": 0.9819,
"edge": -0.0176,
"confidence": 0.909,
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"backtest_acc": 0.6018,
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"end_date": "2026-06-22",
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},
{
"id": "1897211",
"question": "Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-nor-sen-2026-06-22-nor",
"market_prob": 0.425,
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"end_date": "2026-06-23",
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},
{
"id": "558961",
"question": "Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-south-korea-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-485",
"market_prob": 0.0025,
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"edge": 0.0075,
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},
{
"id": "558939",
"question": "Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-germany-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-467",
"market_prob": 0.0565,
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"captured_at": "2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z"
},
{
"id": "569368",
"question": "Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
"category": "POLITICS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ivan-cepeda-castro-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
"market_prob": 0.008,
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"end_date": "2026-06-21",
"captured_at": "2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z"
},
{
"id": "569366",
"question": "Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
"category": "POLITICS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
"market_prob": 0.992,
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},
{
"id": "558935",
"question": "Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-england-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-937",
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},
{
"id": "558981",
"question": "Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-congo-dr-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
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},
{
"id": "1897206",
"question": "Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-irq",
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},
{
"id": "558963",
"question": "Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-morocco-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-464",
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},
{
"id": "2324066",
"question": "Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score",
"category": "OTHER",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-btts",
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},
{
"id": "558967",
"question": "Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
"category": "SPORTS",
"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ghana-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
"market_prob": 0.0015,
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"captured_at": "2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z"
},
{
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