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| license: cc-by-nc-4.0 | |
| task_categories: | |
| - tabular-classification | |
| - time-series-forecasting | |
| tags: | |
| - cybersecurity | |
| - ransomware | |
| - threat-intelligence | |
| - apt | |
| - synthetic-data | |
| - double-extortion | |
| - backup-recovery | |
| - mitre-attack | |
| - incident-response | |
| - raas | |
| pretty_name: CYB005 — Synthetic Ransomware Attack Simulation (Sample) | |
| size_categories: | |
| - 10K<n<100K | |
| # CYB005 — Synthetic Ransomware Attack Simulation Dataset (Sample) | |
| **XpertSystems.ai Synthetic Data Platform · SKU: CYB005-SAMPLE · Version 1.0.0** | |
| This is a **free preview** of the full **CYB005 — Synthetic Ransomware Attack | |
| Simulation Dataset** product. It contains roughly **~10% of the full | |
| dataset** at identical schema, actor-tier distribution, and statistical | |
| fingerprint, so you can evaluate fit before licensing the full product. | |
| > 🤖 **Trained baseline available:** | |
| > [**xpertsystems/cyb005-baseline-classifier**](https://huggingface.co/xpertsystems/cyb005-baseline-classifier) | |
| > — XGBoost + PyTorch MLP for **4-tier threat-actor attribution** (the | |
| > README's stated headline use case), group-aware split by campaign, | |
| > multi-seed evaluation (ROC-AUC 0.853 ± 0.031), honest leakage audit | |
| > of every per-timestep feature. | |
| *Note: This sample is intentionally larger than the other CYB SKU samples. | |
| CYB005 benchmarks are conditional on small actor-tier subsets (e.g. | |
| nation_state campaigns are ~10% of the fleet), so a larger sample is needed | |
| to demonstrate the full product's benchmark calibration reliably.* | |
| | File | Rows (sample) | Rows (full) | Description | | |
| |------------------------------|---------------|---------------|----------------------------------------------| | |
| | `victim_topology.csv` | ~300 | ~3,200 | Network segment registry | | |
| | `campaign_summary.csv` | ~500 | ~5,500 | Per-campaign outcome aggregates | | |
| | `campaign_events.csv` | ~190,137 | ~60,000 | Discrete campaign event log | | |
| | `attack_timelines.csv` | ~37,489 | ~290,000 | Per-timestep campaign trajectory data | | |
| ## Dataset Summary | |
| CYB005 simulates end-to-end ransomware campaign lifecycles as a **7-phase | |
| state machine** across enterprise, cloud, and OT/ICS environments, with: | |
| - **4 actor capability tiers**: lone_actor, organised_syndicate, | |
| raas_affiliate, nation_state_nexus — with per-tier encryption speed, | |
| ransom demand distributions, wiper component probabilities, and lateral | |
| movement aggression | |
| - **6 victim backup maturity tiers**: no_backup, local_only, network_attached, | |
| cloud_replicated, immutable_object_lock, air_gapped_gold_standard — with | |
| empirically-calibrated recovery probabilities | |
| - **8 segment types**: corporate_lan, dmz, cloud_workload, ot_ics_control, | |
| endpoint_subnet, soc_management, zero_trust_zone, backup_repository | |
| - **7 attack phases**: initial_access, persistence, privilege_escalation, | |
| lateral_movement, data_exfiltration, encryption_deployment, ransom_demand | |
| - **Double extortion modeling** (data exfiltration + encryption) | |
| - **VSS (Volume Shadow Copy) deletion**, wiper components, and worm spread | |
| - **Living-off-the-Land (LotL)** abuse and EDR signature lag modeling | |
| - **Financial impact scoring** with ransom demand × payment probability | |
| ## Trained Baseline Available | |
| A working baseline classifier trained on this sample is published at | |
| **[xpertsystems/cyb005-baseline-classifier](https://huggingface.co/xpertsystems/cyb005-baseline-classifier)**. | |
| | Component | Detail | | |
| |---|---| | |
| | Task | **4-class threat-actor capability-tier attribution** (the README's headline use case) | | |
| | Models | XGBoost (`model_xgb.json`) + PyTorch MLP (`model_mlp.safetensors`) | | |
| | Features | 63 (after one-hot encoding); pipeline included as `feature_engineering.py` | | |
| | Split | **Group-aware by campaign_id** — train/val/test campaigns disjoint | | |
| | Validation | Single seed + multi-seed aggregate across 10 seeds | | |
| | Demo | `inference_example.ipynb` — end-to-end copy-paste | | |
| | Headline metrics | XGBoost: accuracy 0.603 ± 0.040, macro ROC-AUC 0.853 ± 0.031 (multi-seed) | | |
| This is the **first XpertSystems baseline to ship the dataset's stated | |
| headline use case** (rather than pivoting to a phase-prediction subtask | |
| as the smaller CYB002 / CYB003 / CYB004 samples required). CYB005's | |
| 500-campaign sample is large enough that tier attribution learns | |
| honestly under group-aware splitting. | |
| ## Calibrated Benchmark Targets | |
| The full product is calibrated to 12 benchmark metrics drawn from | |
| authoritative ransomware threat intelligence sources (Mandiant M-Trends, | |
| CrowdStrike GTR, Coveware Quarterly Ransomware Report, Sophos State of | |
| Ransomware, IBM CODB, Verizon DBIR, CISA #StopRansomware, Chainalysis). | |
| The sample preserves the same calibration: | |
| | Test | Target | Observed | Verdict | | |
| |------|--------|----------|---------| | |
| | 01_blast_radius_pct_organised_syndicate_low_seg | 0.3700 | 0.3302 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 02_dwell_time_pre_detonation_hrs_median | 204.0000 | 226.1000 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 03_ransom_paid_rate_all_tiers | 0.2900 | 0.2941 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 04_recovery_without_payment_rate_immutable | 0.7200 | 0.7292 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 05_double_extortion_rate_raas_syndicate | 0.7700 | 0.7400 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 06_mttd_hrs_global_median | 192.0000 | 203.5600 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 07_ransom_demand_usd_median_raas | 650,000 | 633,445 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 08_vss_deletion_success_rate | 0.6800 | 0.6529 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 09_edr_alert_rate_per_lateral_move | 0.5400 | 0.5123 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 10_wiper_component_rate_nation_state | 0.2200 | 0.2933 | ~ MARGINAL | | |
| | 11_backup_destruction_rate_weak_tiers | 0.4200 | 0.4126 | ✓ PASS | | |
| | 12_financial_impact_score_syndicate | 0.6100 | 0.5810 | ✓ PASS | | |
| *Note: some benchmarks (e.g. wiper component rate, blast radius) require | |
| larger sample sizes to converge tightly because they're conditional on | |
| small-population subsets (e.g. nation-state campaigns are ~10% of fleet). | |
| The full product passes all 12 benchmarks at Grade A+ or better.* | |
| ## Schema Highlights | |
| ### `attack_timelines.csv` (primary file, per-timestep) | |
| | Column | Type | Description | | |
| |---------------------------------|---------|----------------------------------------------| | |
| | campaign_id | string | Unique campaign identifier | | |
| | actor_id | string | Threat actor ID | | |
| | timestep | int | Step in 7-phase lifecycle (0–74) | | |
| | campaign_phase | string | 1 of 7 phases | | |
| | actor_capability_tier | string | lone_actor / organised_syndicate / raas_affiliate / nation_state_nexus | | |
| | segment_id | string | FK to `victim_topology.csv` | | |
| | backup_maturity_tier | string | 6 tiers from no_backup to air_gapped | | |
| | endpoints_compromised | int | Cumulative endpoints affected | | |
| | blast_radius_pct | float | Fleet-wide compromise percentage | | |
| | lateral_pivots | int | Lateral movement count | | |
| | edr_alerted | int | Boolean — EDR alert raised | | |
| | siem_correlated | int | Boolean — SIEM correlation event | | |
| | lotl_technique_used | string | LotL binary if any | | |
| | vss_deletion_attempted | int | Boolean — Volume Shadow Copy deletion | | |
| | wiper_component_deployed | int | Boolean — destructive wiper present | | |
| | data_exfiltrated_gb | float | Cumulative exfiltrated data | | |
| | dwell_hours | float | Cumulative attacker dwell time | | |
| | c2_beacon_active | int | C2 channel beaconing flag | | |
| ### `campaign_summary.csv` (per-campaign outcome) | |
| | Column | Type | Description | | |
| |---------------------------------|---------|----------------------------------------------| | |
| | campaign_id, actor_id | string | Identifiers | | |
| | actor_capability_tier | string | Tier classification target | | |
| | backup_maturity_tier | string | Victim backup posture | | |
| | campaign_outcome | string | success / partial / detected / aborted | | |
| | ransom_demand_usd | float | Ransom amount demanded | | |
| | ransom_paid_flag | int | Boolean — ransom paid | | |
| | recovery_without_payment_flag | int | Boolean — restored from backup | | |
| | double_extortion_flag | int | Boolean — data leak threat | | |
| | wiper_component_flag | int | Boolean — wiper deployed | | |
| | dwell_time_pre_detonation_hrs | float | Hours from access to encryption | | |
| | mean_time_to_detect_hrs | float | Hours from access to first detection | | |
| | financial_impact_score | float | Composite impact score (0–1) | | |
| | blast_radius_pct | float | Fleet compromise percentage | | |
| See `campaign_events.csv` and `victim_topology.csv` for the discrete event | |
| log and segment registry schemas respectively. | |
| ## Suggested Use Cases | |
| - Training **ransomware classifier** models — | |
| [worked example available](https://huggingface.co/xpertsystems/cyb005-baseline-classifier) | |
| - **Backup posture risk modeling** — predict recovery likelihood from | |
| 6-tier backup maturity | |
| - **Dwell time forecasting** under varying actor capability and defender | |
| maturity | |
| - **Double extortion prediction** (data theft + encryption modeling) | |
| - **Wiper component detection** — distinguishing destructive vs financial | |
| ransomware | |
| - **VSS deletion / shadow copy abuse** detection | |
| - **Financial impact estimation** — ransom demand + payment probability | |
| - **EDR alert correlation** — SIEM signal-to-noise modeling | |
| - **Incident response simulation** — purple-team exercises with calibrated | |
| attacker behavior | |
| ## Loading the Data | |
| ```python | |
| import pandas as pd | |
| timelines = pd.read_csv("attack_timelines.csv") | |
| summaries = pd.read_csv("campaign_summary.csv") | |
| events = pd.read_csv("campaign_events.csv") | |
| topology = pd.read_csv("victim_topology.csv") | |
| # Join per-timestep data with campaign-level labels and topology | |
| enriched = timelines.merge(summaries, on=["campaign_id", "actor_id"], how="left", | |
| suffixes=("", "_summary")) | |
| enriched = enriched.merge(topology, on="segment_id", how="left") | |
| # Actor-tier classification target | |
| y_tier = summaries["actor_capability_tier"] | |
| # Binary outcomes | |
| y_paid = summaries["ransom_paid_flag"] | |
| y_recovered = summaries["recovery_without_payment_flag"] | |
| y_wiper = summaries["wiper_component_flag"] | |
| ``` | |
| For a worked end-to-end example with actor-tier classification, | |
| group-aware splitting, and feature engineering, see the inference notebook | |
| in the [baseline classifier repo](https://huggingface.co/xpertsystems/cyb005-baseline-classifier/blob/main/inference_example.ipynb). | |
| ## License | |
| This **sample** is released under **CC-BY-NC-4.0** (free for non-commercial | |
| research and evaluation). The **full production dataset** is licensed | |
| commercially — contact XpertSystems.ai for licensing terms. | |
| ## Full Product | |
| The full CYB005 dataset includes **~358,000 rows** across all four files, | |
| with calibrated benchmark validation against 12 metrics drawn from | |
| authoritative ransomware threat intelligence sources. | |
| 📧 **pradeep@xpertsystems.ai** | |
| 🌐 **https://xpertsystems.ai** | |
| ## Citation | |
| ```bibtex | |
| @dataset{xpertsystems_cyb005_sample_2026, | |
| title = {CYB005: Synthetic Ransomware Attack Simulation Dataset (Sample)}, | |
| author = {XpertSystems.ai}, | |
| year = {2026}, | |
| url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/xpertsystems/cyb005-sample} | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| ## Generation Details | |
| - Generator version : 1.0.0 | |
| - Random seed : 42 | |
| - Generated : 2026-05-16 14:03:22 UTC | |
| - Campaign model : 7-phase ransomware kill-chain state machine | |
| - Overall benchmark : 97.7 / 100 (grade A+) | |