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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"He was a big part of the success I had in Paris. It was because of him because he really looked after me, gave me a lot of confidence and a lot of advice."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Chelsea head coach Mauricio Pochettino says Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta can become one of the greatest coaches in the world
Pochettino has equally fond recollections of that period and says the signs were already there that Arteta would make a successful coach in the future.
"Amazing memories. We share values and the passion for football," Pochettino said.
"He's part of my family from day one. We arrived in Paris together and we spent time together with our families, first of all in the hotel and then we lived very close.
"It was an amazing history. He's not surprised me with what he's doing because he was a coach already at 17!
"He was really good with how he saw football.
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8101
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
It was because of him because he really looked after me, gave me a lot of confidence and a lot of advice."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Chelsea head coach Mauricio Pochettino says Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta can become one of the greatest coaches in the world
Pochettino has equally fond recollections of that period and says the signs were already there that Arteta would make a successful coach in the future.
"Amazing memories. We share values and the passion for football," Pochettino said.
"He's part of my family from day one. We arrived in Paris together and we spent time together with our families, first of all in the hotel and then we lived very close.
"It was an amazing history. He's not surprised me with what he's doing because he was a coach already at 17!
"He was really good with how he saw football. He can be one of the greatest managers in the world."
|
8102
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
It was because of him because he really looked after me, gave me a lot of confidence and a lot of advice."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Chelsea head coach Mauricio Pochettino says Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta can become one of the greatest coaches in the world
Pochettino has equally fond recollections of that period and says the signs were already there that Arteta would make a successful coach in the future.
"Amazing memories. We share values and the passion for football," Pochettino said.
"He's part of my family from day one. We arrived in Paris together and we spent time together with our families, first of all in the hotel and then we lived very close.
"It was an amazing history. He's not surprised me with what he's doing because he was a coach already at 17!
"He was really good with how he saw football. He can be one of the greatest managers in the world."
Image: Mikel Arteta and Mauricio Pochettino will meet for the first time as opposition managers when Arsenal go to Chelsea on Saturday
Picking out Arteta's strengths, Pochettino explained why he thinks the Gunners boss is destined for the top.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"Amazing memories. We share values and the passion for football," Pochettino said.
"He's part of my family from day one. We arrived in Paris together and we spent time together with our families, first of all in the hotel and then we lived very close.
"It was an amazing history. He's not surprised me with what he's doing because he was a coach already at 17!
"He was really good with how he saw football. He can be one of the greatest managers in the world."
Image: Mikel Arteta and Mauricio Pochettino will meet for the first time as opposition managers when Arsenal go to Chelsea on Saturday
Picking out Arteta's strengths, Pochettino explained why he thinks the Gunners boss is destined for the top.
"What Arsenal are showing is because he's one of the best," Pochettino said. "I don't care if he's young or not young - he's one of the best coaches in the world.
|
8104
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"He's part of my family from day one. We arrived in Paris together and we spent time together with our families, first of all in the hotel and then we lived very close.
"It was an amazing history. He's not surprised me with what he's doing because he was a coach already at 17!
"He was really good with how he saw football. He can be one of the greatest managers in the world."
Image: Mikel Arteta and Mauricio Pochettino will meet for the first time as opposition managers when Arsenal go to Chelsea on Saturday
Picking out Arteta's strengths, Pochettino explained why he thinks the Gunners boss is destined for the top.
"What Arsenal are showing is because he's one of the best," Pochettino said. "I don't care if he's young or not young - he's one of the best coaches in the world.
"It's not only about being good tactically - it's about how you manage people, the media, the owners, the sporting director.
|
8105
|
Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"It was an amazing history. He's not surprised me with what he's doing because he was a coach already at 17!
"He was really good with how he saw football. He can be one of the greatest managers in the world."
Image: Mikel Arteta and Mauricio Pochettino will meet for the first time as opposition managers when Arsenal go to Chelsea on Saturday
Picking out Arteta's strengths, Pochettino explained why he thinks the Gunners boss is destined for the top.
"What Arsenal are showing is because he's one of the best," Pochettino said. "I don't care if he's young or not young - he's one of the best coaches in the world.
"It's not only about being good tactically - it's about how you manage people, the media, the owners, the sporting director. It's not only about being clever."
|
8106
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"It was an amazing history. He's not surprised me with what he's doing because he was a coach already at 17!
"He was really good with how he saw football. He can be one of the greatest managers in the world."
Image: Mikel Arteta and Mauricio Pochettino will meet for the first time as opposition managers when Arsenal go to Chelsea on Saturday
Picking out Arteta's strengths, Pochettino explained why he thinks the Gunners boss is destined for the top.
"What Arsenal are showing is because he's one of the best," Pochettino said. "I don't care if he's young or not young - he's one of the best coaches in the world.
"It's not only about being good tactically - it's about how you manage people, the media, the owners, the sporting director. It's not only about being clever."
Live: SNF
Arteta - who labelled Pochettino's early work at Chelsea as 'phenomenal' - revealed in his press conference ahead of his side's trip to Stamford Bridge that Pochettino's influence continued from those early days through his career as a player and into coaching.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Image: Mikel Arteta and Mauricio Pochettino will meet for the first time as opposition managers when Arsenal go to Chelsea on Saturday
Picking out Arteta's strengths, Pochettino explained why he thinks the Gunners boss is destined for the top.
"What Arsenal are showing is because he's one of the best," Pochettino said. "I don't care if he's young or not young - he's one of the best coaches in the world.
"It's not only about being good tactically - it's about how you manage people, the media, the owners, the sporting director. It's not only about being clever."
Live: SNF
Arteta - who labelled Pochettino's early work at Chelsea as 'phenomenal' - revealed in his press conference ahead of his side's trip to Stamford Bridge that Pochettino's influence continued from those early days through his career as a player and into coaching.
"I went from playing Ligue 1 to a week later Champions League in Milan, I was all over the place," said Arteta.
|
8108
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"What Arsenal are showing is because he's one of the best," Pochettino said. "I don't care if he's young or not young - he's one of the best coaches in the world.
"It's not only about being good tactically - it's about how you manage people, the media, the owners, the sporting director. It's not only about being clever."
Live: SNF
Arteta - who labelled Pochettino's early work at Chelsea as 'phenomenal' - revealed in his press conference ahead of his side's trip to Stamford Bridge that Pochettino's influence continued from those early days through his career as a player and into coaching.
"I went from playing Ligue 1 to a week later Champions League in Milan, I was all over the place," said Arteta. "I didn't speak the language, it was my first professional club and I needed someone to be close to me, give me confidence, give me support, because I was thrown in there and they said 'play, you're in the starting XI'.
|
8109
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"It's not only about being good tactically - it's about how you manage people, the media, the owners, the sporting director. It's not only about being clever."
Live: SNF
Arteta - who labelled Pochettino's early work at Chelsea as 'phenomenal' - revealed in his press conference ahead of his side's trip to Stamford Bridge that Pochettino's influence continued from those early days through his career as a player and into coaching.
"I went from playing Ligue 1 to a week later Champions League in Milan, I was all over the place," said Arteta. "I didn't speak the language, it was my first professional club and I needed someone to be close to me, give me confidence, give me support, because I was thrown in there and they said 'play, you're in the starting XI'.
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive.
|
8110
|
Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
It's not only about being clever."
Live: SNF
Arteta - who labelled Pochettino's early work at Chelsea as 'phenomenal' - revealed in his press conference ahead of his side's trip to Stamford Bridge that Pochettino's influence continued from those early days through his career as a player and into coaching.
"I went from playing Ligue 1 to a week later Champions League in Milan, I was all over the place," said Arteta. "I didn't speak the language, it was my first professional club and I needed someone to be close to me, give me confidence, give me support, because I was thrown in there and they said 'play, you're in the starting XI'.
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
|
8111
|
Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
It's not only about being clever."
Live: SNF
Arteta - who labelled Pochettino's early work at Chelsea as 'phenomenal' - revealed in his press conference ahead of his side's trip to Stamford Bridge that Pochettino's influence continued from those early days through his career as a player and into coaching.
"I went from playing Ligue 1 to a week later Champions League in Milan, I was all over the place," said Arteta. "I didn't speak the language, it was my first professional club and I needed someone to be close to me, give me confidence, give me support, because I was thrown in there and they said 'play, you're in the starting XI'.
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
"He's an expert at giving you confidence and then keeping you on your toes all the time and being really harsh on me every time I was doing something: 'Where have you been last night?!'
|
8112
|
Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"I went from playing Ligue 1 to a week later Champions League in Milan, I was all over the place," said Arteta. "I didn't speak the language, it was my first professional club and I needed someone to be close to me, give me confidence, give me support, because I was thrown in there and they said 'play, you're in the starting XI'.
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
"He's an expert at giving you confidence and then keeping you on your toes all the time and being really harsh on me every time I was doing something: 'Where have you been last night?!' He really looked after me.
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me.
|
8113
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"I didn't speak the language, it was my first professional club and I needed someone to be close to me, give me confidence, give me support, because I was thrown in there and they said 'play, you're in the starting XI'.
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
"He's an expert at giving you confidence and then keeping you on your toes all the time and being really harsh on me every time I was doing something: 'Where have you been last night?!' He really looked after me.
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
|
8114
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"I didn't speak the language, it was my first professional club and I needed someone to be close to me, give me confidence, give me support, because I was thrown in there and they said 'play, you're in the starting XI'.
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
"He's an expert at giving you confidence and then keeping you on your toes all the time and being really harsh on me every time I was doing something: 'Where have you been last night?!' He really looked after me.
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years.
|
8115
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
"He's an expert at giving you confidence and then keeping you on your toes all the time and being really harsh on me every time I was doing something: 'Where have you been last night?!' He really looked after me.
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
|
8116
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"So he was coaching me, talking to me. Really, really inspirational. He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
"He's an expert at giving you confidence and then keeping you on your toes all the time and being really harsh on me every time I was doing something: 'Where have you been last night?!' He really looked after me.
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards!
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
He was really supportive. I was living with him for 2-3 months so that period was key in my career to be able to make it.
"He's an expert at giving you confidence and then keeping you on your toes all the time and being really harsh on me every time I was doing something: 'Where have you been last night?!' He really looked after me.
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
He really looked after me.
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
|
8119
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"The way he understood the game was phenomenal. I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family.
|
8120
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
I used to have him at my back and he was constantly coaching me. Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange.
|
8121
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Very proud of what he has done and the way he has done it throughout his coaching career.
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
|
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
|
8123
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"I'm so grateful for what he did for me and the way he guided me in those early years. He got something else out of me that was needed in that period to make it and stayed with me in my football career as a player and coach."
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world.
|
8124
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Stunning goals, touchline clashes, and incorrect red cards! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world. it doesn't get better than that.
"On game day? Go for him! He is going to do the same.
|
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Sit back, relax, and enjoy the most memorable moments at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal
Pochettino is relishing the prospect of going head-to-head with Arteta on Saturday - although admitted there would be no favours for an old friend when the first whistle blows.
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world. it doesn't get better than that.
"On game day? Go for him! He is going to do the same. We are both winners."
Friends reunited
It won't just be Pochettino and Arteta seeing familiar faces on Saturday.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"It's going to be really nice because my love for him is there," said the Chelsea boss.
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world. it doesn't get better than that.
"On game day? Go for him! He is going to do the same. We are both winners."
Friends reunited
It won't just be Pochettino and Arteta seeing familiar faces on Saturday. The derby will be the first time Kai Havertz and Jorginho have gone back to play at Stamford Bridge since leaving Chelsea for Arsenal.
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world. it doesn't get better than that.
"On game day? Go for him! He is going to do the same. We are both winners."
Friends reunited
It won't just be Pochettino and Arteta seeing familiar faces on Saturday. The derby will be the first time Kai Havertz and Jorginho have gone back to play at Stamford Bridge since leaving Chelsea for Arsenal.
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club. I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
|
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"He's more than a friend - he's family. It's going to be strange. But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world. it doesn't get better than that.
"On game day? Go for him! He is going to do the same. We are both winners."
Friends reunited
It won't just be Pochettino and Arteta seeing familiar faces on Saturday. The derby will be the first time Kai Havertz and Jorginho have gone back to play at Stamford Bridge since leaving Chelsea for Arsenal.
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club. I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
Havertz will command particular focus after his early struggles at Arsenal.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
But we are really competitive and you want to win. You want to destroy the opponent!"
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world. it doesn't get better than that.
"On game day? Go for him! He is going to do the same. We are both winners."
Friends reunited
It won't just be Pochettino and Arteta seeing familiar faces on Saturday. The derby will be the first time Kai Havertz and Jorginho have gone back to play at Stamford Bridge since leaving Chelsea for Arsenal.
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club. I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
Havertz will command particular focus after his early struggles at Arsenal. With just one goal in 12 appearances for the club there are questions about his form and role.
|
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Arteta shared a similar sentiment.
"It's great that after those years we're in this situation where you face each other and we're both managing great clubs in the best league in the world. it doesn't get better than that.
"On game day? Go for him! He is going to do the same. We are both winners."
Friends reunited
It won't just be Pochettino and Arteta seeing familiar faces on Saturday. The derby will be the first time Kai Havertz and Jorginho have gone back to play at Stamford Bridge since leaving Chelsea for Arsenal.
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club. I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
Havertz will command particular focus after his early struggles at Arsenal. With just one goal in 12 appearances for the club there are questions about his form and role.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Ahead of Kai Havertz's return to Stamford Bridge, Sam Blitz takes a forensic look at his tactical role at Arsenal
Armando Broja will miss Chelsea's game against Arsenal due to "irritation" in his knee.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Go for him! He is going to do the same. We are both winners."
Friends reunited
It won't just be Pochettino and Arteta seeing familiar faces on Saturday. The derby will be the first time Kai Havertz and Jorginho have gone back to play at Stamford Bridge since leaving Chelsea for Arsenal.
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club. I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
Havertz will command particular focus after his early struggles at Arsenal. With just one goal in 12 appearances for the club there are questions about his form and role.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Ahead of Kai Havertz's return to Stamford Bridge, Sam Blitz takes a forensic look at his tactical role at Arsenal
Armando Broja will miss Chelsea's game against Arsenal due to "irritation" in his knee. Late checks will be made on the fitness of Reece James, Axel Disasi and Nicolas Jackson, while Benoit Badiashile could return from a long-term injury.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
The derby will be the first time Kai Havertz and Jorginho have gone back to play at Stamford Bridge since leaving Chelsea for Arsenal.
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club. I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
Havertz will command particular focus after his early struggles at Arsenal. With just one goal in 12 appearances for the club there are questions about his form and role.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Ahead of Kai Havertz's return to Stamford Bridge, Sam Blitz takes a forensic look at his tactical role at Arsenal
Armando Broja will miss Chelsea's game against Arsenal due to "irritation" in his knee. Late checks will be made on the fitness of Reece James, Axel Disasi and Nicolas Jackson, while Benoit Badiashile could return from a long-term injury.
Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo should be available despite travelling to South America during the international break.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
"I'm sure they'll be excited," said Arteta. "They were there and they talked really highly about the club. I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
Havertz will command particular focus after his early struggles at Arsenal. With just one goal in 12 appearances for the club there are questions about his form and role.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Ahead of Kai Havertz's return to Stamford Bridge, Sam Blitz takes a forensic look at his tactical role at Arsenal
Armando Broja will miss Chelsea's game against Arsenal due to "irritation" in his knee. Late checks will be made on the fitness of Reece James, Axel Disasi and Nicolas Jackson, while Benoit Badiashile could return from a long-term injury.
Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo should be available despite travelling to South America during the international break.
Ben Chilwell, Carney Chukwuemeka, Christopher Nkunku, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Trevoh Chalobah remain unavailable.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
I'm sure it'll be a special day for them."
Havertz will command particular focus after his early struggles at Arsenal. With just one goal in 12 appearances for the club there are questions about his form and role.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Ahead of Kai Havertz's return to Stamford Bridge, Sam Blitz takes a forensic look at his tactical role at Arsenal
Armando Broja will miss Chelsea's game against Arsenal due to "irritation" in his knee. Late checks will be made on the fitness of Reece James, Axel Disasi and Nicolas Jackson, while Benoit Badiashile could return from a long-term injury.
Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo should be available despite travelling to South America during the international break.
Ben Chilwell, Carney Chukwuemeka, Christopher Nkunku, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Trevoh Chalobah remain unavailable.
Arsenal will make a late call on the fitness of Bukayo Saka, William Saliba and Leandro Trossard.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
With just one goal in 12 appearances for the club there are questions about his form and role.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Ahead of Kai Havertz's return to Stamford Bridge, Sam Blitz takes a forensic look at his tactical role at Arsenal
Armando Broja will miss Chelsea's game against Arsenal due to "irritation" in his knee. Late checks will be made on the fitness of Reece James, Axel Disasi and Nicolas Jackson, while Benoit Badiashile could return from a long-term injury.
Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo should be available despite travelling to South America during the international break.
Ben Chilwell, Carney Chukwuemeka, Christopher Nkunku, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Trevoh Chalobah remain unavailable.
Arsenal will make a late call on the fitness of Bukayo Saka, William Saliba and Leandro Trossard.
Saka missed the win over Man City before the international break after limping out of both the Champions League defeat at Lens and previous win over Bournemouth.
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Late checks will be made on the fitness of Reece James, Axel Disasi and Nicolas Jackson, while Benoit Badiashile could return from a long-term injury.
Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo should be available despite travelling to South America during the international break.
Ben Chilwell, Carney Chukwuemeka, Christopher Nkunku, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Trevoh Chalobah remain unavailable.
Arsenal will make a late call on the fitness of Bukayo Saka, William Saliba and Leandro Trossard.
Saka missed the win over Man City before the international break after limping out of both the Champions League defeat at Lens and previous win over Bournemouth. He was also unavailable for England duty.
Meanwhile, Saliba was forced to withdraw from the France squad to rest a 'chronic toe injury', despite a starring role in that win over City.
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8137
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Late checks will be made on the fitness of Reece James, Axel Disasi and Nicolas Jackson, while Benoit Badiashile could return from a long-term injury.
Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo should be available despite travelling to South America during the international break.
Ben Chilwell, Carney Chukwuemeka, Christopher Nkunku, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Trevoh Chalobah remain unavailable.
Arsenal will make a late call on the fitness of Bukayo Saka, William Saliba and Leandro Trossard.
Saka missed the win over Man City before the international break after limping out of both the Champions League defeat at Lens and previous win over Bournemouth. He was also unavailable for England duty.
Meanwhile, Saliba was forced to withdraw from the France squad to rest a 'chronic toe injury', despite a starring role in that win over City. Trossard came off at half-time in that match and missed Belgium's games with a hamstring issue.
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8138
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Arteta reveals Pochettino influence on his career | Poch: He is family
Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo should be available despite travelling to South America during the international break.
Ben Chilwell, Carney Chukwuemeka, Christopher Nkunku, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Trevoh Chalobah remain unavailable.
Arsenal will make a late call on the fitness of Bukayo Saka, William Saliba and Leandro Trossard.
Saka missed the win over Man City before the international break after limping out of both the Champions League defeat at Lens and previous win over Bournemouth. He was also unavailable for England duty.
Meanwhile, Saliba was forced to withdraw from the France squad to rest a 'chronic toe injury', despite a starring role in that win over City. Trossard came off at half-time in that match and missed Belgium's games with a hamstring issue.
Watch Chelsea vs Arsenal on Saturday, live on Sky Sports Main Event and Premier League from 5pm; kick-off 5.30pm.
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
The world can ill-afford another full-fledged war, when economies are already battling high inflation and interest rates, an ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and now, a slowing China. This is precisely why many countries are trying to restrict any escalation in the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. The non-escaltion of the current hostilities seems to be the base case presumed by the Indian stock market presently, going by the market movement in the last week.
The US treasury secretary also stated that the current conflict is not likely to significantly impact global economic outlook. History too shows that the these conflicts tend to have limited impact on markets. We studied the history of conflicts between Israel and Hamas, and found that these tend to have limited impact on global financial markets, across crude oil, US 10-year yields, US equities and market volatility (see charts).
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent.
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8140
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
This is precisely why many countries are trying to restrict any escalation in the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. The non-escaltion of the current hostilities seems to be the base case presumed by the Indian stock market presently, going by the market movement in the last week.
The US treasury secretary also stated that the current conflict is not likely to significantly impact global economic outlook. History too shows that the these conflicts tend to have limited impact on markets. We studied the history of conflicts between Israel and Hamas, and found that these tend to have limited impact on global financial markets, across crude oil, US 10-year yields, US equities and market volatility (see charts).
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent. India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel.
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8141
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
This is precisely why many countries are trying to restrict any escalation in the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. The non-escaltion of the current hostilities seems to be the base case presumed by the Indian stock market presently, going by the market movement in the last week.
The US treasury secretary also stated that the current conflict is not likely to significantly impact global economic outlook. History too shows that the these conflicts tend to have limited impact on markets. We studied the history of conflicts between Israel and Hamas, and found that these tend to have limited impact on global financial markets, across crude oil, US 10-year yields, US equities and market volatility (see charts).
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent. India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel. Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent).
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8142
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
The non-escaltion of the current hostilities seems to be the base case presumed by the Indian stock market presently, going by the market movement in the last week.
The US treasury secretary also stated that the current conflict is not likely to significantly impact global economic outlook. History too shows that the these conflicts tend to have limited impact on markets. We studied the history of conflicts between Israel and Hamas, and found that these tend to have limited impact on global financial markets, across crude oil, US 10-year yields, US equities and market volatility (see charts).
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent. India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel. Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent). Trade can be adversely impacted if operations at the Israeli ports are disrupted.
|
8143
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
The US treasury secretary also stated that the current conflict is not likely to significantly impact global economic outlook. History too shows that the these conflicts tend to have limited impact on markets. We studied the history of conflicts between Israel and Hamas, and found that these tend to have limited impact on global financial markets, across crude oil, US 10-year yields, US equities and market volatility (see charts).
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent. India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel. Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent). Trade can be adversely impacted if operations at the Israeli ports are disrupted. Fertiliser movement from Israel’s Port of Ashdod accounts for 3 per cent of global potash supply. Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
|
8144
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
History too shows that the these conflicts tend to have limited impact on markets. We studied the history of conflicts between Israel and Hamas, and found that these tend to have limited impact on global financial markets, across crude oil, US 10-year yields, US equities and market volatility (see charts).
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent. India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel. Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent). Trade can be adversely impacted if operations at the Israeli ports are disrupted. Fertiliser movement from Israel’s Port of Ashdod accounts for 3 per cent of global potash supply. Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
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8145
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
We studied the history of conflicts between Israel and Hamas, and found that these tend to have limited impact on global financial markets, across crude oil, US 10-year yields, US equities and market volatility (see charts).
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent. India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel. Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent). Trade can be adversely impacted if operations at the Israeli ports are disrupted. Fertiliser movement from Israel’s Port of Ashdod accounts for 3 per cent of global potash supply. Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
What supports this proposition is the fact that while there have been many conflicts between Israel and Hamas in the past decades, there have been none of this intensity.
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8146
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
However, as far as trade goes, there may be some impact. In 2022-23, Israel’s share in exports from India stood at 1.87 per cent. India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel. Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent). Trade can be adversely impacted if operations at the Israeli ports are disrupted. Fertiliser movement from Israel’s Port of Ashdod accounts for 3 per cent of global potash supply. Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
What supports this proposition is the fact that while there have been many conflicts between Israel and Hamas in the past decades, there have been none of this intensity. With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating.
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8147
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
India shipped goods around $8billion to Israel. Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent). Trade can be adversely impacted if operations at the Israeli ports are disrupted. Fertiliser movement from Israel’s Port of Ashdod accounts for 3 per cent of global potash supply. Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
What supports this proposition is the fact that while there have been many conflicts between Israel and Hamas in the past decades, there have been none of this intensity. With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating. Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
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8148
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Petroleum products account for 65 per cent of the exports, followed by gems and jewellery (15 per cent) and electrical machinery (3 per cent). Trade can be adversely impacted if operations at the Israeli ports are disrupted. Fertiliser movement from Israel’s Port of Ashdod accounts for 3 per cent of global potash supply. Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
What supports this proposition is the fact that while there have been many conflicts between Israel and Hamas in the past decades, there have been none of this intensity. With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating. Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds.
|
8149
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Fertiliser movement from Israel’s Port of Ashdod accounts for 3 per cent of global potash supply. Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
What supports this proposition is the fact that while there have been many conflicts between Israel and Hamas in the past decades, there have been none of this intensity. With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating. Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds. It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating.
|
8150
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Any disruption on this front will also be a dampener.
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
What supports this proposition is the fact that while there have been many conflicts between Israel and Hamas in the past decades, there have been none of this intensity. With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating. Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds. It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating. Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon.
|
8151
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
But, what if the current hostilities turn into a full-scale conflict?
What supports this proposition is the fact that while there have been many conflicts between Israel and Hamas in the past decades, there have been none of this intensity. With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating. Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds. It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating. Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. If Iran gets dragged into the conflict, on account of claims of funding Hamas, this could embroil the entire Middle East in crisis.
|
8152
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating. Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds. It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating. Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. If Iran gets dragged into the conflict, on account of claims of funding Hamas, this could embroil the entire Middle East in crisis.
In this scenario, we see a major upward pressure on world inflation, on account of disruption in crude oil and world trade logistics.
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8153
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
With at least 1,200 Israelis killed, this has been the biggest single-day killing of Jews since Holocaust, and Israel opposition is also united in retaliating. Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds. It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating. Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. If Iran gets dragged into the conflict, on account of claims of funding Hamas, this could embroil the entire Middle East in crisis.
In this scenario, we see a major upward pressure on world inflation, on account of disruption in crude oil and world trade logistics.
Possible disruption in crude and trade logistics
Even before the Hamas attack, Saudi Arabia and Russia further cut oil production, in an already tight supply market.
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8154
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Israel has termed it a ‘War’, formed a war management cabinet with a key opposition member, and vowed to change the look of the ‘Middle East’.
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds. It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating. Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. If Iran gets dragged into the conflict, on account of claims of funding Hamas, this could embroil the entire Middle East in crisis.
In this scenario, we see a major upward pressure on world inflation, on account of disruption in crude oil and world trade logistics.
Possible disruption in crude and trade logistics
Even before the Hamas attack, Saudi Arabia and Russia further cut oil production, in an already tight supply market. Iran is a big incremental supplier of oil, contributing 3 per cent to the global supply and any escalation risks taking energy prices higher.
|
8155
|
Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
A massive strike by Israel in Gaza, potentially killing civilians in collateral damage, may attract more of the Middle East countries, including the de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise serious issues against Israel on humanitarian grounds. It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating. Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. If Iran gets dragged into the conflict, on account of claims of funding Hamas, this could embroil the entire Middle East in crisis.
In this scenario, we see a major upward pressure on world inflation, on account of disruption in crude oil and world trade logistics.
Possible disruption in crude and trade logistics
Even before the Hamas attack, Saudi Arabia and Russia further cut oil production, in an already tight supply market. Iran is a big incremental supplier of oil, contributing 3 per cent to the global supply and any escalation risks taking energy prices higher. For security reasons, Israel has already told Chevron to shut down its offshore energy platform.
|
8156
|
Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
It will surely slow down the deal between Saudi and Israel that the US was facilitating. Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. If Iran gets dragged into the conflict, on account of claims of funding Hamas, this could embroil the entire Middle East in crisis.
In this scenario, we see a major upward pressure on world inflation, on account of disruption in crude oil and world trade logistics.
Possible disruption in crude and trade logistics
Even before the Hamas attack, Saudi Arabia and Russia further cut oil production, in an already tight supply market. Iran is a big incremental supplier of oil, contributing 3 per cent to the global supply and any escalation risks taking energy prices higher. For security reasons, Israel has already told Chevron to shut down its offshore energy platform.
The Middle East crisis brings back memories of the Arab oil embargo of 1973, when OPEC cut oil to supporters of Israel. It used to account for 50 per cent of the oil production back then.
|
8157
|
Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Besides Gaza, clashes have already been ongoing along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. If Iran gets dragged into the conflict, on account of claims of funding Hamas, this could embroil the entire Middle East in crisis.
In this scenario, we see a major upward pressure on world inflation, on account of disruption in crude oil and world trade logistics.
Possible disruption in crude and trade logistics
Even before the Hamas attack, Saudi Arabia and Russia further cut oil production, in an already tight supply market. Iran is a big incremental supplier of oil, contributing 3 per cent to the global supply and any escalation risks taking energy prices higher. For security reasons, Israel has already told Chevron to shut down its offshore energy platform.
The Middle East crisis brings back memories of the Arab oil embargo of 1973, when OPEC cut oil to supporters of Israel. It used to account for 50 per cent of the oil production back then. Although non-OPEC production has picked up and OPEC contribution is lower at 32 per cent, it is still sizeable to take oil prices higher.
|
8158
|
Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
In this scenario, we see a major upward pressure on world inflation, on account of disruption in crude oil and world trade logistics.
Possible disruption in crude and trade logistics
Even before the Hamas attack, Saudi Arabia and Russia further cut oil production, in an already tight supply market. Iran is a big incremental supplier of oil, contributing 3 per cent to the global supply and any escalation risks taking energy prices higher. For security reasons, Israel has already told Chevron to shut down its offshore energy platform.
The Middle East crisis brings back memories of the Arab oil embargo of 1973, when OPEC cut oil to supporters of Israel. It used to account for 50 per cent of the oil production back then. Although non-OPEC production has picked up and OPEC contribution is lower at 32 per cent, it is still sizeable to take oil prices higher. A 10 per cent rise in crude price will result in global inflation being 0.4 percentage points higher next year.
|
8159
|
Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Possible disruption in crude and trade logistics
Even before the Hamas attack, Saudi Arabia and Russia further cut oil production, in an already tight supply market. Iran is a big incremental supplier of oil, contributing 3 per cent to the global supply and any escalation risks taking energy prices higher. For security reasons, Israel has already told Chevron to shut down its offshore energy platform.
The Middle East crisis brings back memories of the Arab oil embargo of 1973, when OPEC cut oil to supporters of Israel. It used to account for 50 per cent of the oil production back then. Although non-OPEC production has picked up and OPEC contribution is lower at 32 per cent, it is still sizeable to take oil prices higher. A 10 per cent rise in crude price will result in global inflation being 0.4 percentage points higher next year.
The war may also impact Suez Canal trade, which is a key maritime route between Asia and Europe and accounts for 12 per cent of global trade by value and much larger by volume; also 5 per cent of world oil trade.
|
8160
|
Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Iran is a big incremental supplier of oil, contributing 3 per cent to the global supply and any escalation risks taking energy prices higher. For security reasons, Israel has already told Chevron to shut down its offshore energy platform.
The Middle East crisis brings back memories of the Arab oil embargo of 1973, when OPEC cut oil to supporters of Israel. It used to account for 50 per cent of the oil production back then. Although non-OPEC production has picked up and OPEC contribution is lower at 32 per cent, it is still sizeable to take oil prices higher. A 10 per cent rise in crude price will result in global inflation being 0.4 percentage points higher next year.
The war may also impact Suez Canal trade, which is a key maritime route between Asia and Europe and accounts for 12 per cent of global trade by value and much larger by volume; also 5 per cent of world oil trade.
As things stand today, trade may not yet be impacted through the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between Oman and Iran.
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8161
|
Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
For security reasons, Israel has already told Chevron to shut down its offshore energy platform.
The Middle East crisis brings back memories of the Arab oil embargo of 1973, when OPEC cut oil to supporters of Israel. It used to account for 50 per cent of the oil production back then. Although non-OPEC production has picked up and OPEC contribution is lower at 32 per cent, it is still sizeable to take oil prices higher. A 10 per cent rise in crude price will result in global inflation being 0.4 percentage points higher next year.
The war may also impact Suez Canal trade, which is a key maritime route between Asia and Europe and accounts for 12 per cent of global trade by value and much larger by volume; also 5 per cent of world oil trade.
As things stand today, trade may not yet be impacted through the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between Oman and Iran. But a spread of the crisis to the whole Middle East can risk trade through this route, which accounts for 20 per cent of global oil trade passage.
|
8162
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
It used to account for 50 per cent of the oil production back then. Although non-OPEC production has picked up and OPEC contribution is lower at 32 per cent, it is still sizeable to take oil prices higher. A 10 per cent rise in crude price will result in global inflation being 0.4 percentage points higher next year.
The war may also impact Suez Canal trade, which is a key maritime route between Asia and Europe and accounts for 12 per cent of global trade by value and much larger by volume; also 5 per cent of world oil trade.
As things stand today, trade may not yet be impacted through the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between Oman and Iran. But a spread of the crisis to the whole Middle East can risk trade through this route, which accounts for 20 per cent of global oil trade passage. If Iran is embroiled into this conflict, then trade with landlocked Central Asia, which is a big agricultural producer, raw materials and minerals like copper, cotton, uranium, gold, natural gas, gets disrupted.
|
8163
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
A 10 per cent rise in crude price will result in global inflation being 0.4 percentage points higher next year.
The war may also impact Suez Canal trade, which is a key maritime route between Asia and Europe and accounts for 12 per cent of global trade by value and much larger by volume; also 5 per cent of world oil trade.
As things stand today, trade may not yet be impacted through the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between Oman and Iran. But a spread of the crisis to the whole Middle East can risk trade through this route, which accounts for 20 per cent of global oil trade passage. If Iran is embroiled into this conflict, then trade with landlocked Central Asia, which is a big agricultural producer, raw materials and minerals like copper, cotton, uranium, gold, natural gas, gets disrupted. Central Asia also hosts a network of road, rail, and air routes that link China, Europe, and South Asia.
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8164
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
A 10 per cent rise in crude price will result in global inflation being 0.4 percentage points higher next year.
The war may also impact Suez Canal trade, which is a key maritime route between Asia and Europe and accounts for 12 per cent of global trade by value and much larger by volume; also 5 per cent of world oil trade.
As things stand today, trade may not yet be impacted through the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between Oman and Iran. But a spread of the crisis to the whole Middle East can risk trade through this route, which accounts for 20 per cent of global oil trade passage. If Iran is embroiled into this conflict, then trade with landlocked Central Asia, which is a big agricultural producer, raw materials and minerals like copper, cotton, uranium, gold, natural gas, gets disrupted. Central Asia also hosts a network of road, rail, and air routes that link China, Europe, and South Asia.
Impact on Indian markets
In the above scenario, supply disruption will lead to higher inflation and central bankers will have to adjust their policies and hold rates higher for longer than anticipated.
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8165
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
As things stand today, trade may not yet be impacted through the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between Oman and Iran. But a spread of the crisis to the whole Middle East can risk trade through this route, which accounts for 20 per cent of global oil trade passage. If Iran is embroiled into this conflict, then trade with landlocked Central Asia, which is a big agricultural producer, raw materials and minerals like copper, cotton, uranium, gold, natural gas, gets disrupted. Central Asia also hosts a network of road, rail, and air routes that link China, Europe, and South Asia.
Impact on Indian markets
In the above scenario, supply disruption will lead to higher inflation and central bankers will have to adjust their policies and hold rates higher for longer than anticipated. We may witness a scenario where rates are held higher till the year 2025. Higher crude oil bill and higher global rates will prompt the RBI to also remain hawkish in its approach with regards to rates and liquidity measures.
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8166
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
But a spread of the crisis to the whole Middle East can risk trade through this route, which accounts for 20 per cent of global oil trade passage. If Iran is embroiled into this conflict, then trade with landlocked Central Asia, which is a big agricultural producer, raw materials and minerals like copper, cotton, uranium, gold, natural gas, gets disrupted. Central Asia also hosts a network of road, rail, and air routes that link China, Europe, and South Asia.
Impact on Indian markets
In the above scenario, supply disruption will lead to higher inflation and central bankers will have to adjust their policies and hold rates higher for longer than anticipated. We may witness a scenario where rates are held higher till the year 2025. Higher crude oil bill and higher global rates will prompt the RBI to also remain hawkish in its approach with regards to rates and liquidity measures. EBITDA margins of India Inc. may again get impacted on account of higher input costs and higher freight and fuel costs.
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8167
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
If Iran is embroiled into this conflict, then trade with landlocked Central Asia, which is a big agricultural producer, raw materials and minerals like copper, cotton, uranium, gold, natural gas, gets disrupted. Central Asia also hosts a network of road, rail, and air routes that link China, Europe, and South Asia.
Impact on Indian markets
In the above scenario, supply disruption will lead to higher inflation and central bankers will have to adjust their policies and hold rates higher for longer than anticipated. We may witness a scenario where rates are held higher till the year 2025. Higher crude oil bill and higher global rates will prompt the RBI to also remain hawkish in its approach with regards to rates and liquidity measures. EBITDA margins of India Inc. may again get impacted on account of higher input costs and higher freight and fuel costs.
Rural India is a key engine that is not firing at the moment. Valuations also are rich and do not offer margin of safety in the near to medium term.
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8168
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Central Asia also hosts a network of road, rail, and air routes that link China, Europe, and South Asia.
Impact on Indian markets
In the above scenario, supply disruption will lead to higher inflation and central bankers will have to adjust their policies and hold rates higher for longer than anticipated. We may witness a scenario where rates are held higher till the year 2025. Higher crude oil bill and higher global rates will prompt the RBI to also remain hawkish in its approach with regards to rates and liquidity measures. EBITDA margins of India Inc. may again get impacted on account of higher input costs and higher freight and fuel costs.
Rural India is a key engine that is not firing at the moment. Valuations also are rich and do not offer margin of safety in the near to medium term. Near-term attractiveness of equities will reduce, as investors will demand a higher risk premium.
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8169
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
Central Asia also hosts a network of road, rail, and air routes that link China, Europe, and South Asia.
Impact on Indian markets
In the above scenario, supply disruption will lead to higher inflation and central bankers will have to adjust their policies and hold rates higher for longer than anticipated. We may witness a scenario where rates are held higher till the year 2025. Higher crude oil bill and higher global rates will prompt the RBI to also remain hawkish in its approach with regards to rates and liquidity measures. EBITDA margins of India Inc. may again get impacted on account of higher input costs and higher freight and fuel costs.
Rural India is a key engine that is not firing at the moment. Valuations also are rich and do not offer margin of safety in the near to medium term. Near-term attractiveness of equities will reduce, as investors will demand a higher risk premium. The Indian stock market will likely correct materially, as FIIs look to withdraw funds from risk assets and seek safe havens in US Dollar, US treasuries offering high yields and Gold.
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8170
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
We may witness a scenario where rates are held higher till the year 2025. Higher crude oil bill and higher global rates will prompt the RBI to also remain hawkish in its approach with regards to rates and liquidity measures. EBITDA margins of India Inc. may again get impacted on account of higher input costs and higher freight and fuel costs.
Rural India is a key engine that is not firing at the moment. Valuations also are rich and do not offer margin of safety in the near to medium term. Near-term attractiveness of equities will reduce, as investors will demand a higher risk premium. The Indian stock market will likely correct materially, as FIIs look to withdraw funds from risk assets and seek safe havens in US Dollar, US treasuries offering high yields and Gold.
Sectors which will be negatively impacted include Petrochemicals, Oil Marketing, Paints, Packaging, Textiles and Chemicals.
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8171
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Dissecting impact of Israel-Hamas conflict on markets
We may witness a scenario where rates are held higher till the year 2025. Higher crude oil bill and higher global rates will prompt the RBI to also remain hawkish in its approach with regards to rates and liquidity measures. EBITDA margins of India Inc. may again get impacted on account of higher input costs and higher freight and fuel costs.
Rural India is a key engine that is not firing at the moment. Valuations also are rich and do not offer margin of safety in the near to medium term. Near-term attractiveness of equities will reduce, as investors will demand a higher risk premium. The Indian stock market will likely correct materially, as FIIs look to withdraw funds from risk assets and seek safe havens in US Dollar, US treasuries offering high yields and Gold.
Sectors which will be negatively impacted include Petrochemicals, Oil Marketing, Paints, Packaging, Textiles and Chemicals.
The writer is Group President & Head - Institutional Equities, YES Securities India
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8172
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Housing market pessimists have been sounding the alarm for years about a pending crash in the U.S. residential real estate market. Even before the Federal Reserve began hiking interest rates to fight inflation last year, pushing mortgage rates to a 23-year high this month, years of surging home prices left some experts warning that the housing market was a massive bubble ready to pop.
However, despite a widely bearish outlook in the industry, most real estate veterans have avoided arguing that home prices will drop like they did during the 2008 crash that kicked off the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). And so far, that’s been a wise decision.
It took until June 2022 for national home prices to peak, even as mortgage rates soared and purchase applications plummeted amid the Fed’s first interest rate hikes. And while prices fell more than 5% from that peak by January of this year, they returned to a record high in July.
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8173
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Housing market pessimists have been sounding the alarm for years about a pending crash in the U.S. residential real estate market. Even before the Federal Reserve began hiking interest rates to fight inflation last year, pushing mortgage rates to a 23-year high this month, years of surging home prices left some experts warning that the housing market was a massive bubble ready to pop.
However, despite a widely bearish outlook in the industry, most real estate veterans have avoided arguing that home prices will drop like they did during the 2008 crash that kicked off the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). And so far, that’s been a wise decision.
It took until June 2022 for national home prices to peak, even as mortgage rates soared and purchase applications plummeted amid the Fed’s first interest rate hikes. And while prices fell more than 5% from that peak by January of this year, they returned to a record high in July.
Still, a Bank of America team led by U.S.
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8174
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
residential real estate market. Even before the Federal Reserve began hiking interest rates to fight inflation last year, pushing mortgage rates to a 23-year high this month, years of surging home prices left some experts warning that the housing market was a massive bubble ready to pop.
However, despite a widely bearish outlook in the industry, most real estate veterans have avoided arguing that home prices will drop like they did during the 2008 crash that kicked off the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). And so far, that’s been a wise decision.
It took until June 2022 for national home prices to peak, even as mortgage rates soared and purchase applications plummeted amid the Fed’s first interest rate hikes. And while prices fell more than 5% from that peak by January of this year, they returned to a record high in July.
Still, a Bank of America team led by U.S. economist Jeseo Park warned this week that there’s more “turbulence” coming for the housing market due to high mortgage rates.
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8175
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
However, despite a widely bearish outlook in the industry, most real estate veterans have avoided arguing that home prices will drop like they did during the 2008 crash that kicked off the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). And so far, that’s been a wise decision.
It took until June 2022 for national home prices to peak, even as mortgage rates soared and purchase applications plummeted amid the Fed’s first interest rate hikes. And while prices fell more than 5% from that peak by January of this year, they returned to a record high in July.
Still, a Bank of America team led by U.S. economist Jeseo Park warned this week that there’s more “turbulence” coming for the housing market due to high mortgage rates. They explained that they’re getting an eerie feeling of “déjà vu,” but it’s not 2008 that is coming to mind, it’s the 1980s.
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8176
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
However, despite a widely bearish outlook in the industry, most real estate veterans have avoided arguing that home prices will drop like they did during the 2008 crash that kicked off the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). And so far, that’s been a wise decision.
It took until June 2022 for national home prices to peak, even as mortgage rates soared and purchase applications plummeted amid the Fed’s first interest rate hikes. And while prices fell more than 5% from that peak by January of this year, they returned to a record high in July.
Still, a Bank of America team led by U.S. economist Jeseo Park warned this week that there’s more “turbulence” coming for the housing market due to high mortgage rates. They explained that they’re getting an eerie feeling of “déjà vu,” but it’s not 2008 that is coming to mind, it’s the 1980s.
“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today’s market than the 2008 housing crash,” they wrote in a Thursday note.
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8177
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
And so far, that’s been a wise decision.
It took until June 2022 for national home prices to peak, even as mortgage rates soared and purchase applications plummeted amid the Fed’s first interest rate hikes. And while prices fell more than 5% from that peak by January of this year, they returned to a record high in July.
Still, a Bank of America team led by U.S. economist Jeseo Park warned this week that there’s more “turbulence” coming for the housing market due to high mortgage rates. They explained that they’re getting an eerie feeling of “déjà vu,” but it’s not 2008 that is coming to mind, it’s the 1980s.
“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today’s market than the 2008 housing crash,” they wrote in a Thursday note.
This isn’t 2008
While the housing crash of 2008—fueled by the collapse of subprime mortgages—haunts the memories of many Americans, the real estate market of that era was very different from what Bank of America’s experts see today.
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8178
|
Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Still, a Bank of America team led by U.S. economist Jeseo Park warned this week that there’s more “turbulence” coming for the housing market due to high mortgage rates. They explained that they’re getting an eerie feeling of “déjà vu,” but it’s not 2008 that is coming to mind, it’s the 1980s.
“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today’s market than the 2008 housing crash,” they wrote in a Thursday note.
This isn’t 2008
While the housing crash of 2008—fueled by the collapse of subprime mortgages—haunts the memories of many Americans, the real estate market of that era was very different from what Bank of America’s experts see today.
Park and her team noted that there are no “noticeable signs” of excess housing development today like there were back then, and households aren’t nearly as burdened by mortgage debt.
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8179
|
Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
economist Jeseo Park warned this week that there’s more “turbulence” coming for the housing market due to high mortgage rates. They explained that they’re getting an eerie feeling of “déjà vu,” but it’s not 2008 that is coming to mind, it’s the 1980s.
“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today’s market than the 2008 housing crash,” they wrote in a Thursday note.
This isn’t 2008
While the housing crash of 2008—fueled by the collapse of subprime mortgages—haunts the memories of many Americans, the real estate market of that era was very different from what Bank of America’s experts see today.
Park and her team noted that there are no “noticeable signs” of excess housing development today like there were back then, and households aren’t nearly as burdened by mortgage debt. Household mortgage debt represented roughly 65% of U.S.
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8180
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
They explained that they’re getting an eerie feeling of “déjà vu,” but it’s not 2008 that is coming to mind, it’s the 1980s.
“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today’s market than the 2008 housing crash,” they wrote in a Thursday note.
This isn’t 2008
While the housing crash of 2008—fueled by the collapse of subprime mortgages—haunts the memories of many Americans, the real estate market of that era was very different from what Bank of America’s experts see today.
Park and her team noted that there are no “noticeable signs” of excess housing development today like there were back then, and households aren’t nearly as burdened by mortgage debt. Household mortgage debt represented roughly 65% of U.S. consumers’ disposable income in the second quarter, compared to 100% before the GFC.
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8181
|
Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today’s market than the 2008 housing crash,” they wrote in a Thursday note.
This isn’t 2008
While the housing crash of 2008—fueled by the collapse of subprime mortgages—haunts the memories of many Americans, the real estate market of that era was very different from what Bank of America’s experts see today.
Park and her team noted that there are no “noticeable signs” of excess housing development today like there were back then, and households aren’t nearly as burdened by mortgage debt. Household mortgage debt represented roughly 65% of U.S. consumers’ disposable income in the second quarter, compared to 100% before the GFC. And the ratio of Americans’ mortgage debt to their real estate assets—also called loan-to-value—was just 27% in the second quarter, compared to over 40% in 2008 and roughly 50% in 2010, Bank of America’s data shows.
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8182
|
Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
This isn’t 2008
While the housing crash of 2008—fueled by the collapse of subprime mortgages—haunts the memories of many Americans, the real estate market of that era was very different from what Bank of America’s experts see today.
Park and her team noted that there are no “noticeable signs” of excess housing development today like there were back then, and households aren’t nearly as burdened by mortgage debt. Household mortgage debt represented roughly 65% of U.S. consumers’ disposable income in the second quarter, compared to 100% before the GFC. And the ratio of Americans’ mortgage debt to their real estate assets—also called loan-to-value—was just 27% in the second quarter, compared to over 40% in 2008 and roughly 50% in 2010, Bank of America’s data shows.
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market.
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8183
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Park and her team noted that there are no “noticeable signs” of excess housing development today like there were back then, and households aren’t nearly as burdened by mortgage debt. Household mortgage debt represented roughly 65% of U.S. consumers’ disposable income in the second quarter, compared to 100% before the GFC. And the ratio of Americans’ mortgage debt to their real estate assets—also called loan-to-value—was just 27% in the second quarter, compared to over 40% in 2008 and roughly 50% in 2010, Bank of America’s data shows.
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market. One of the most obvious effects of these new laws is that there are far fewer risky adjustable-rate mortgages today.
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8184
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Park and her team noted that there are no “noticeable signs” of excess housing development today like there were back then, and households aren’t nearly as burdened by mortgage debt. Household mortgage debt represented roughly 65% of U.S. consumers’ disposable income in the second quarter, compared to 100% before the GFC. And the ratio of Americans’ mortgage debt to their real estate assets—also called loan-to-value—was just 27% in the second quarter, compared to over 40% in 2008 and roughly 50% in 2010, Bank of America’s data shows.
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market. One of the most obvious effects of these new laws is that there are far fewer risky adjustable-rate mortgages today. Adjustable-rate mortgages can lead to higher default rates when interest rates rise, but they now represent less than 5% of total purchase and refinance loans, compared with over 35% at the peak of the pre-GFC housing cycle.
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8185
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Household mortgage debt represented roughly 65% of U.S. consumers’ disposable income in the second quarter, compared to 100% before the GFC. And the ratio of Americans’ mortgage debt to their real estate assets—also called loan-to-value—was just 27% in the second quarter, compared to over 40% in 2008 and roughly 50% in 2010, Bank of America’s data shows.
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market. One of the most obvious effects of these new laws is that there are far fewer risky adjustable-rate mortgages today. Adjustable-rate mortgages can lead to higher default rates when interest rates rise, but they now represent less than 5% of total purchase and refinance loans, compared with over 35% at the peak of the pre-GFC housing cycle.
“We reiterate that we do not expect another housing crash like 2008,” Park and her team concluded after presenting this evidence.
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8186
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
consumers’ disposable income in the second quarter, compared to 100% before the GFC. And the ratio of Americans’ mortgage debt to their real estate assets—also called loan-to-value—was just 27% in the second quarter, compared to over 40% in 2008 and roughly 50% in 2010, Bank of America’s data shows.
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market. One of the most obvious effects of these new laws is that there are far fewer risky adjustable-rate mortgages today. Adjustable-rate mortgages can lead to higher default rates when interest rates rise, but they now represent less than 5% of total purchase and refinance loans, compared with over 35% at the peak of the pre-GFC housing cycle.
“We reiterate that we do not expect another housing crash like 2008,” Park and her team concluded after presenting this evidence.
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
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8187
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
And the ratio of Americans’ mortgage debt to their real estate assets—also called loan-to-value—was just 27% in the second quarter, compared to over 40% in 2008 and roughly 50% in 2010, Bank of America’s data shows.
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market. One of the most obvious effects of these new laws is that there are far fewer risky adjustable-rate mortgages today. Adjustable-rate mortgages can lead to higher default rates when interest rates rise, but they now represent less than 5% of total purchase and refinance loans, compared with over 35% at the peak of the pre-GFC housing cycle.
“We reiterate that we do not expect another housing crash like 2008,” Park and her team concluded after presenting this evidence.
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
According to Bank of America, today’s housing market looks a lot more like the early 1980s than it does 2008.
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8188
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market. One of the most obvious effects of these new laws is that there are far fewer risky adjustable-rate mortgages today. Adjustable-rate mortgages can lead to higher default rates when interest rates rise, but they now represent less than 5% of total purchase and refinance loans, compared with over 35% at the peak of the pre-GFC housing cycle.
“We reiterate that we do not expect another housing crash like 2008,” Park and her team concluded after presenting this evidence.
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
According to Bank of America, today’s housing market looks a lot more like the early 1980s than it does 2008. Back then, just like today, home prices had boomed for years before Fed officials were ultimately forced to hike interest rates aggressively in an attempt to fight inflation.
|
8189
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
New legislation was also enacted since the GFC to help prevent worst-case scenarios in the housing market. One of the most obvious effects of these new laws is that there are far fewer risky adjustable-rate mortgages today. Adjustable-rate mortgages can lead to higher default rates when interest rates rise, but they now represent less than 5% of total purchase and refinance loans, compared with over 35% at the peak of the pre-GFC housing cycle.
“We reiterate that we do not expect another housing crash like 2008,” Park and her team concluded after presenting this evidence.
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
According to Bank of America, today’s housing market looks a lot more like the early 1980s than it does 2008. Back then, just like today, home prices had boomed for years before Fed officials were ultimately forced to hike interest rates aggressively in an attempt to fight inflation.
The rise in the consumer price index peaked at around 14% in 1980 before then–Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s hawkish policies sent mortgage rates to 18% in a year’s time, cooling inflation, but sparking a recession.
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8190
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
“We reiterate that we do not expect another housing crash like 2008,” Park and her team concluded after presenting this evidence.
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
According to Bank of America, today’s housing market looks a lot more like the early 1980s than it does 2008. Back then, just like today, home prices had boomed for years before Fed officials were ultimately forced to hike interest rates aggressively in an attempt to fight inflation.
The rise in the consumer price index peaked at around 14% in 1980 before then–Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s hawkish policies sent mortgage rates to 18% in a year’s time, cooling inflation, but sparking a recession. This caused a serious downturn in the housing market in which home sales and building levels cratered. However, national home prices actually remained stable.
|
8191
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
“We reiterate that we do not expect another housing crash like 2008,” Park and her team concluded after presenting this evidence.
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
According to Bank of America, today’s housing market looks a lot more like the early 1980s than it does 2008. Back then, just like today, home prices had boomed for years before Fed officials were ultimately forced to hike interest rates aggressively in an attempt to fight inflation.
The rise in the consumer price index peaked at around 14% in 1980 before then–Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s hawkish policies sent mortgage rates to 18% in a year’s time, cooling inflation, but sparking a recession. This caused a serious downturn in the housing market in which home sales and building levels cratered. However, national home prices actually remained stable.
At the start of Volcker’s term as Fed chair in August 1979, the median U.S.
|
8192
|
Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
According to Bank of America, today’s housing market looks a lot more like the early 1980s than it does 2008. Back then, just like today, home prices had boomed for years before Fed officials were ultimately forced to hike interest rates aggressively in an attempt to fight inflation.
The rise in the consumer price index peaked at around 14% in 1980 before then–Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s hawkish policies sent mortgage rates to 18% in a year’s time, cooling inflation, but sparking a recession. This caused a serious downturn in the housing market in which home sales and building levels cratered. However, national home prices actually remained stable.
At the start of Volcker’s term as Fed chair in August 1979, the median U.S. home sales price was $64,700.
|
8193
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Is it a repeat of the ‘turbulence’ of the 1980s?
According to Bank of America, today’s housing market looks a lot more like the early 1980s than it does 2008. Back then, just like today, home prices had boomed for years before Fed officials were ultimately forced to hike interest rates aggressively in an attempt to fight inflation.
The rise in the consumer price index peaked at around 14% in 1980 before then–Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s hawkish policies sent mortgage rates to 18% in a year’s time, cooling inflation, but sparking a recession. This caused a serious downturn in the housing market in which home sales and building levels cratered. However, national home prices actually remained stable.
At the start of Volcker’s term as Fed chair in August 1979, the median U.S. home sales price was $64,700. And even after a near doubling of mortgage rates, that figure rose to $69,400 by the second quarter of 1981.
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8194
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Back then, just like today, home prices had boomed for years before Fed officials were ultimately forced to hike interest rates aggressively in an attempt to fight inflation.
The rise in the consumer price index peaked at around 14% in 1980 before then–Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s hawkish policies sent mortgage rates to 18% in a year’s time, cooling inflation, but sparking a recession. This caused a serious downturn in the housing market in which home sales and building levels cratered. However, national home prices actually remained stable.
At the start of Volcker’s term as Fed chair in August 1979, the median U.S. home sales price was $64,700. And even after a near doubling of mortgage rates, that figure rose to $69,400 by the second quarter of 1981.
Over the past 18 months, the Fed’s current chair, Jerome Powell, has been following a very similar game plan to Volcker’s, raising interest rates aggressively to quash inflation.
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8195
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
The rise in the consumer price index peaked at around 14% in 1980 before then–Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s hawkish policies sent mortgage rates to 18% in a year’s time, cooling inflation, but sparking a recession. This caused a serious downturn in the housing market in which home sales and building levels cratered. However, national home prices actually remained stable.
At the start of Volcker’s term as Fed chair in August 1979, the median U.S. home sales price was $64,700. And even after a near doubling of mortgage rates, that figure rose to $69,400 by the second quarter of 1981.
Over the past 18 months, the Fed’s current chair, Jerome Powell, has been following a very similar game plan to Volcker’s, raising interest rates aggressively to quash inflation. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the most common type of mortgage in the U.S., has soared from 3.8% in March 2022 to over 7.5% today as a result.
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8196
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
This caused a serious downturn in the housing market in which home sales and building levels cratered. However, national home prices actually remained stable.
At the start of Volcker’s term as Fed chair in August 1979, the median U.S. home sales price was $64,700. And even after a near doubling of mortgage rates, that figure rose to $69,400 by the second quarter of 1981.
Over the past 18 months, the Fed’s current chair, Jerome Powell, has been following a very similar game plan to Volcker’s, raising interest rates aggressively to quash inflation. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the most common type of mortgage in the U.S., has soared from 3.8% in March 2022 to over 7.5% today as a result. This, in turn, has slowed mortgage purchase applications and caused home sales to plummet, just as it did in the ’80s; but home prices, echoing the dynamic of that era, have yet to collapse.
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8197
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
However, national home prices actually remained stable.
At the start of Volcker’s term as Fed chair in August 1979, the median U.S. home sales price was $64,700. And even after a near doubling of mortgage rates, that figure rose to $69,400 by the second quarter of 1981.
Over the past 18 months, the Fed’s current chair, Jerome Powell, has been following a very similar game plan to Volcker’s, raising interest rates aggressively to quash inflation. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the most common type of mortgage in the U.S., has soared from 3.8% in March 2022 to over 7.5% today as a result. This, in turn, has slowed mortgage purchase applications and caused home sales to plummet, just as it did in the ’80s; but home prices, echoing the dynamic of that era, have yet to collapse.
One of the key reasons for the resilience of the housing market in both of these periods is demographics.
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8198
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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
home sales price was $64,700. And even after a near doubling of mortgage rates, that figure rose to $69,400 by the second quarter of 1981.
Over the past 18 months, the Fed’s current chair, Jerome Powell, has been following a very similar game plan to Volcker’s, raising interest rates aggressively to quash inflation. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the most common type of mortgage in the U.S., has soared from 3.8% in March 2022 to over 7.5% today as a result. This, in turn, has slowed mortgage purchase applications and caused home sales to plummet, just as it did in the ’80s; but home prices, echoing the dynamic of that era, have yet to collapse.
One of the key reasons for the resilience of the housing market in both of these periods is demographics. “Noticeably, demographics were favorable back then, with baby boomers having entered the prime homebuying age,” Park and her team wrote Thursday, arguing millennials are in a similar position today.
|
8199
|
Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s style
Over the past 18 months, the Fed’s current chair, Jerome Powell, has been following a very similar game plan to Volcker’s, raising interest rates aggressively to quash inflation. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the most common type of mortgage in the U.S., has soared from 3.8% in March 2022 to over 7.5% today as a result. This, in turn, has slowed mortgage purchase applications and caused home sales to plummet, just as it did in the ’80s; but home prices, echoing the dynamic of that era, have yet to collapse.
One of the key reasons for the resilience of the housing market in both of these periods is demographics. “Noticeably, demographics were favorable back then, with baby boomers having entered the prime homebuying age,” Park and her team wrote Thursday, arguing millennials are in a similar position today. “Some sales activity should be supported by millennials reaching the prime homebuying age, and single-family building permits have steadily held up.
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