DateTime stringdate 2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330 2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330 | Currency stringclasses 10 values | Impact stringclasses 4 values | Event stringclasses 593 values | Actual stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Forecast stringlengths 1 8 ⌀ | Previous stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Detail stringlengths 106 1.37k ⌀ |
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2024-09-12T16:15:00+04:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | ECB Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President and Vice President; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year, about 45 minutes after the Minimum Bid Rate is announced; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: The press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The press conference is webcasted on the ECB website with a slight delay from real-time. Source changed release frequency from monthly to eight times per year as of Jan 2015; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary method the ECB uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, ECB News Conference; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-09-12T17:55:00+04:30 | CHF | Medium Impact Expected | SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at Bankers' Day 2024 organized by the Swiss Bankers Association, in Geneva. Audience questions expected; | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Governing Board Chairman Thomas Jordan; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | FF Notes: SNB Chairman from Apr 2012 - Sep 2024. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-09-12T18:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Natural Gas Storage | 40B | 49B | 13B | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Sep 19, 2024 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-09-12T20:31:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | 30-y Bond Auction | 4.02|2.4 | null | 4.31|2.3 | Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Oct 10, 2024 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction; |
2024-09-13T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 2.7% | null | 2.8% | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 11, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2024-09-13T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Import Prices m/m | -0.3% | -0.2% | 0.1% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the earliest government-released inflation data; | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods and services; | Also Called: Import Price Index; |
2024-09-13T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Wholesale Sales m/m | 0.4% | -1.1% | -0.5% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer spending - retailers generally order more goods from wholesalers when they expect consumer sales to increase; | Also Called: Wholesale Trade; |
2024-09-13T02:00:00+04:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index | 45.8 | null | 44.4 | Source: BusinessNZ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 11, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction; | Derived Via: Survey of manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Manufacturing Index; |
2024-09-13T08:00:00+04:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Revised Industrial Production m/m | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this indicator released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; |
2024-09-13T10:15:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Final CPI m/m | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of CPI released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Jan 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-13T12:00:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Consumer Inflation Expectations | 2.7% | null | 2.8% | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 20 days after the survey is conducted; | Next Release: Dec 13, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 consumers, conducted by Ipsos, which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Also Called: BOE/Ipsos Inflation Attitudes Survey, Median Inflation Expectations; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE); |
2024-09-13T12:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Industrial Production m/m | -0.3% | -0.6% | 0.0% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Tends to have a relatively mild impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier production data; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2024-09-13T14:58:00+04:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | M2 Money Supply y/y | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | Source: People's Bank of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 14, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; | Also Called: Broad Money; |
2024-09-13T14:59:00+04:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | New Loans | 900B | 810B | 260B | Source: People's Bank of China (latest release) | Measures: Value of new yuan-denominated loans issued to consumers and businesses during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 14, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; | Also Called: New Yuan Loans; |
2024-09-13T16:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Capacity Utilization Rate | 79.1% | 78.8% | 78.6% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of available resources being utilized by manufacturers, builders, mines, oil extractors, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Dec 13, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers are nearing full capacity they respond by raising prices, and the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Industrial Capacity Utilization Rate; |
2024-09-13T17:30:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 69.0 | 68.3 | 67.9 | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 11, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2024-09-13T23:59:59+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Eurogroup Meetings | null | null | null | Source: Eurogroup (latest release) | Next Release: Oct 7, 2024 | FF Notes: Eurogroup meetings are usually held in Brussels and attended by the Eurogroup President, Finance Ministers from euro area member states, the Commissioner for economic and monetary affairs, and the President of the European Central Bank. They discuss a range of financial issues, such as euro support mechanisms and government finances. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering meeting objectives may be released after the meetings have concluded; | Why Traders Care: The Eurogroup coordinates economic policies of the 19 euro area member states, and their initiatives and decisions can have a widespread effect on the Eurozone's economic health; |
2024-09-13T23:59:59+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | ECOFIN Meetings | null | null | null | Source: European Council (latest release) | Next Release: Sep 14, 2024 | FF Notes: ECOFIN meetings are usually held in Brussels and attended by Finance Ministers from EU member states. They discuss a range of financial issues, such as euro support mechanisms and government finances. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering meeting objectives may be released after the meetings have concluded; | Why Traders Care: ECOFIN is the Eurozone's broadest financial decision making body. The council coordinates economic policies of the 28 member states, and their initiatives and decisions can have a widespread effect on the Eurozone's economic health; | Acro Expand: The Economic and Financial Affairs Council (ECOFIN); |
2024-09-14T00:00:00+04:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total urban work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released in Apr 2018; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-09-14T00:00:00+04:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total spending on non-rural capital investments such as factories, roads, power grids, and property; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: Data represents the year-to-date investment compared to the same period a year earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - changes in private and public investment levels can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, spending, and earnings; |
2024-09-14T00:00:00+04:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | NBS Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China | Speaker: NBS Spokesperson; | Frequency: Scheduled monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: The press conference has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read which announces the key economic numbers, then the conference is briefly open to press questions. The questions sometimes lead to unscripted answers that can have a significant market impact. Source changed frequency from quarterly to monthly as of Aug 2009 and then reverted from monthly to quarterly as of Jul 2011 and then back from quarterly to monthly as of Mar 2022; | Acro Expand: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS); |
2024-09-14T00:00:00+04:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | Retail Sales y/y | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the earliest look at vital consumer spending data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart - Prelim and Final. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-09-14T05:00:00+04:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | New Home Prices m/m | -0.73% | null | -0.65% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of newly built residential buildings in 70 medium and large cities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; |
2024-09-14T05:30:00+04:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | Industrial Production y/y | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: Chinese data can have a broad impact on the currency markets due to China's influence on the global economy and investor sentiment; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production is the dominant driver of the economy and reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2024-09-14T12:52:00+04:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y | -31.5% | null | -29.6% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total spending on domestic capital investments by foreign companies; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Data represents the year-to-date investment compared to the same period a year earlier; | Also Called: Yuan FDI YTD; | Acro Expand: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Year to Date (YTD); |
2024-09-14T23:59:59+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | ECOFIN Meetings | null | null | null | Source: European Council (latest release) | Next Release: Oct 8, 2024 | FF Notes: ECOFIN meetings are usually held in Brussels and attended by Finance Ministers from EU member states. They discuss a range of financial issues, such as euro support mechanisms and government finances. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering meeting objectives may be released after the meetings have concluded; | Why Traders Care: ECOFIN is the Eurozone's broadest financial decision making body. The council coordinates economic policies of the 28 member states, and their initiatives and decisions can have a widespread effect on the Eurozone's economic health; | Acro Expand: The Economic and Financial Affairs Council (ECOFIN); |
2024-09-16T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Empire State Manufacturing Index | 11.5 | -4.1 | -4.7 | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers in New York state; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 200 manufacturers in New York state which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; | Also Called: New York Manufacturing Index; |
2024-09-16T00:00:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Trade Balance | 15.5B | 14.9B | 17.0B | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. Tends to have a muted impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier trade data. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported; |
2024-09-16T02:00:00+04:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | BusinessNZ Services Index | 45.5 | null | 45.2 | Source: BusinessNZ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 14, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction; | Derived Via: Survey of purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Services Index; |
2024-09-16T02:31:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Rightmove HPI m/m | 0.8% | null | -1.5% | Source: Rightmove (latest release) | Measures: Change in the asking price of homes for sale; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 21, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the UK's earliest report on housing inflation, but tends to produce a relatively mild impact because asking prices and selling prices are not always correlated; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI); |
2024-09-16T10:00:00+04:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | PPI m/m | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | Source: Federal Statistical Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 14 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 14, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Producer and Import Prices, Producer Input Prices; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2024-09-16T12:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Trade Balance | 6.74B | 4.45B | 5.15B | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; |
2024-09-16T16:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Manufacturing Sales m/m | 1.4% | 0.7% | -1.7% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales made by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - manufacturers are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their sales can be an early signal of future activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Also Called: Manufacturing Shipments, Factory Sales; |
2024-09-16T23:59:59+04:30 | JPY | Non-Economic | Bank Holiday | null | null | null | Description: Japanese banks will be closed in observance of Respect-for-the-Aged Day; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Sep 23, 2024 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility; |
2024-09-16T23:59:59+04:30 | CNY | Non-Economic | Bank Holiday | null | null | null | Description: Chinese banks will be closed in observance of the Mid-Autumn Festival; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Sep 17, 2024 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility; |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Medium Impact Expected | Common CPI y/y | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services, purchased by consumers, which have similar price variations over time; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released in Dec 2016; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Logan Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver pre-recorded opening remarks at the Eleventh District Banking Conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 9, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2023; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | NAHB Housing Market Index | 41 | 41 | 39 | Source: NAHB (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed home builders; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50 indicates a favorable outlook on home sales, below indicates a negative outlook; | Derived Via: Survey of about 900 home builders which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future single-family home sales; | Also Called: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index; | Acro Expand: National Association of Home Builders (NAHB); |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | 0.1% | -0.2% | 1.1% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Advance Retail Sales; |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos; |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Core CPI m/m | -0.1% | null | 0.3% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the 8 most volatile items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Volatile items account for about a quarter of CPI but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the calculation most commonly reported; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: CPI Ex Volatile Items; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Trimmed CPI y/y | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the most volatile 40% of items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released in Dec 2016; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Industrial Production m/m | 0.8% | 0.2% | -0.9% | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Factory Output; |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Median CPI y/y | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the median price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released in Dec 2016; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-17T00:00:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | ZEW Economic Sentiment | 9.3 | 16.3 | 17.9 | Source: ZEW (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second or third Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. The ZEW survey is historically focused on the German economy, and Germany tends to lead the Eurozone economy, so this overall Eurozone outlook tends to be overshadowed by the German data released at the same time; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 160 German institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for the Eurozone; | Acro Expand: Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW); |
2024-09-17T08:00:00+04:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Tertiary Industry Activity m/m | 1.4% | 0.8% | -1.2% | Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of services purchased by businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their spending can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, earnings, and investment; |
2024-09-17T12:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | German ZEW Economic Sentiment | 3.6 | 17.1 | 19.2 | Source: ZEW (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second or third Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 160 German institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for Germany; | Acro Expand: Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW); |
2024-09-17T12:32:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | 30-y Bond Auction | 4.33|2.9 | null | 4.64|3.3 | Source: Debt Management Office (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Gilt Auction, Treasury Auction; |
2024-09-17T15:45:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Housing Starts | 217K | 252K | 280K | Source: CMHC (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder; | Acro Expand: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC); |
2024-09-17T16:00:00+04:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | CPI m/m | -0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 15, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the most important inflation-related release due to its earliness and broad scope. This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the calculation most commonly reported; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Also Called: All Items CPI; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-17T16:45:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Capacity Utilization Rate | 78.0% | 77.9% | 77.4% | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of available resources being utilized by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers are nearing full capacity they respond by raising prices, and the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; |
2024-09-17T17:30:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Business Inventories m/m | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods held in inventory by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a signal of future business spending because companies are more likely to purchase goods once they have depleted inventories; |
2024-09-17T18:12:00+04:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | 0.1% | null | -0.2% | FF Notice: Source released data 12 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 7 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 7 economic indicators related to money supply, building approvals, profits, exports, inventories, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2024-09-17T18:25:00+04:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | GDT Price Index | 0.8% | null | -0.4% | Source: GDT (latest release) | Measures: Change in the average price of dairy products sold at auction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Twice per month; | Next Release: Oct 1, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Source changed release frequency from monthly to twice per month as of Sep 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the nation's trade balance with other countries because rising commodity prices boost export income; | Derived Via: The weighted-average price of the 9 dairy products sold at auction are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: GlobalDairyTrade (GDT); |
2024-09-17T22:20:00+04:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | Westpac Consumer Sentiment | 90.8 | null | 82.2 | FF Notice: Source released data 130 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: Westpac Banking Corporation (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 80 days into the current quarter; | Next Release: Dec 17, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 100.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1,500 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, and overall economic situation; | Also Called: Westpac/McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence; |
2024-09-17T23:59:59+04:30 | CNY | Non-Economic | Bank Holiday | null | null | null | Description: Chinese banks will be closed in observance of the Mid-Autumn Festival; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Oct 1, 2024 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility; |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | PPI Output m/m | -0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: Only includes goods produced domestically; | Also Called: Factory Gate Prices; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | FOMC Statement | null | null | null | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: The FOMC usually changes the statement slightly at each release. It's these changes that traders focus on; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the FOMC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their vote on interest rates and other policy measures, along with commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their votes. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, Fed Statement, Monetary Policy Statement; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | FOMC Economic Projections | null | null | null | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 4 times per year; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2024 | FF Notes: This report includes the FOMC's projection for inflation and economic growth over the next 2 years and, more importantly, a breakdown of individual FOMC member's interest rate forecasts. Source first released in Apr 2011; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the Fed uses to communicate their economic and monetary projections to investors; | Also Called: Summary of Economic Projections (SEP); | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Housing Starts | 1.36M | 1.31M | 1.24M | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the 12th business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12). This data is slightly overshadowed by Building Permits because they are tightly correlated and a permit must be issued before a house can begin construction; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder; |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Building Permits | 1.48M | 1.41M | 1.41M | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new residential building permits issued during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the 12th business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building; | Also Called: Residential Building Permits; |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Final CPI y/y | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the CPI Flash Estimate and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. This is considered the Eurozone's most important inflation data because it's used as the central bank's inflation target, but it tends to have a relatively mild impact as the CPI Flash Estimate and German Prelim CPI are released about 15 days earlier; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | PPI Input m/m | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | RPI y/y | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: RPI differs from CPI in that it only measures goods and services bought for the purpose of consumption by the vast majority of households, and it includes housing costs which are excluded from CPI; | Acro Expand: Retail Price Index (RPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: API (latest release) | Frequency: Released weekly, 3 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Sep 25, 2024 | Acro Expand: American Petroleum Institute (API), Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Trade Balance | -0.60T | -0.96T | -0.68T | Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance; |
2024-09-18T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Core CPI y/y | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: The Core data has a mild impact relative to other countries because overall CPI is the central bank's mandated inflation target; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-18T01:30:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Gov Council Member Rogers Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a fireside chat at the Bloomberg New Voices Event, in Toronto; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2024 | FF Notes: Governing Council member Dec 2021 - Dec 2028; | Why Traders Care: BOC Governing Council members are responsible for setting the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-09-18T02:15:00+04:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | Current Account | -4.83B | -3.95B | -3.83B | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 80 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2024 | FF Notes: This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the data most commonly reported. The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the monthly Trade Balance data; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country; |
2024-09-18T03:20:00+04:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Core Machinery Orders m/m | -0.1% | 0.4% | 2.1% | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new private-sector purchase orders placed with manufacturers for machines, excluding ships and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Machine Orders; |
2024-09-18T04:00:00+04:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | MI Leading Index m/m | -0.1% | null | 0.0% | Source: Melbourne Institute (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 9 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the third Wednesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. Full reports are only available to Melbourne Institute subscribers; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 9 economic indicators related to consumer confidence, housing, stock market prices, unemployment expectations, hours worked, commodity prices, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Westpac/MI Indexes of Economic Activity, Westpac Leading Index; | Acro Expand: Melbourne Institute (MI); |
2024-09-18T09:30:00+04:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: This is considered the UK's most important inflation data because it's used as the central bank's inflation target; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-18T12:00:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | HPI y/y | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | Source: UK Government (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released in Jun 2016; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI); |
2024-09-18T12:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Final Core CPI y/y | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash Core CPI Estimate and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Apr 2013, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-18T13:06:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German 30-y Bond Auction | 2.44|2.7 | null | 2.45|2.8 | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 11 times per year; | Next Release: Oct 16, 2024 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Bund Auction; |
2024-09-18T14:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Current issues in monetary policy" at a lecture event hosted by Commerzbank, in Frankfurt; | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Speaker: Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 19, 2024 | FF Notes: Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council from Jan 2022. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council; | Why Traders Care: ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba), European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-09-18T16:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Foreign Securities Purchases | 10.98B | 11.50B | 5.20B | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Total value of domestic stocks, bonds, and money-market assets purchased by foreigners during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities; | Also Called: International Transactions in Securities; |
2024-09-18T18:00:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Crude Oil Inventories | -1.6M | -0.2M | 0.8M | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Sep 25, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-09-18T21:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | BOC Summary of Deliberations | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: 8 times per year, 2 weeks after the Overnight Rate is announced; | Next Release: Nov 5, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released in Jan 2023; | Why Traders Care: It's a detailed record of the BOC's Governing Council's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates; | Also Called: BOC Minutes; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-09-18T21:30:00+04:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Federal Funds Rate | 5.00% | 5.25% | 5.50% | FF Notice: Source set a target range of 4.75% to 5.00%; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the FOMC Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: FOMC members vote on where to set the target rate. The individual votes are published in the FOMC statement; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Fed Funds Rate; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-18T22:00:00+04:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | FOMC Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Chair; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: The press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The press conference is webcasted on the Fed's YouTube channel in real-time. Source first conducted in Apr 2011; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary methods the Fed uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, along with commentary about economic conditions such as the future growth outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Also Called: Chair's Press Briefing; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Federal Reserve (Fed); |
2024-09-18T23:30:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | TIC Long-Term Purchases | 135.4B | 54.9B | 80.5B | Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between foreign long-term securities purchased by US citizens and US long-term securities purchased by foreigners during the reported period; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: This data represents the balance of domestic and foreign investment - for example, if foreigners purchased $100 billion in US stocks and bonds, and the US purchased $30 billion in foreign stocks and bonds, the net reading would be 70.0B; | Why Traders Care: Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities; | Also Called: Net Long-term Securities Transactions; | Acro Expand: Treasury International Capital (TIC); |
2024-09-19T00:00:00+04:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-09-19T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 10 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 21, 2024 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jan 2012; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 10 economic indicators related to employment, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock market prices, credit trends, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2024-09-19T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Current Account | -267B | -259B | -241B | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2024 | FF Notes: The goods and services portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the monthly Trade Balance data; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country; | Also Called: International Transactions; |
2024-09-19T00:00:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index | 1.7 | -0.8 | -7.0 | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers in Philadelphia; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third Thursday of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 250 manufacturers in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; | Also Called: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey; |
2024-09-19T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | Official Bank Rate | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which the BOE lends to financial institutions overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled monthly; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced in the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the Monetary Policy Summary, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: MPC members vote on where to set the rate. The individual votes are published 2 weeks later in the MPC Meeting Minutes; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2024-09-19T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | MPC Official Bank Rate Votes | 0-1-8 | 0-2-7 | 0-5-4 | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: The vote is reported in an 'X-X-X' format - the first number is how many MPC members voted to increase interest rates, the second number is how many voted to decrease rates, and the third is how many voted to hold rates; | Why Traders Care: The BOE's MPC meeting minutes contain the interest rate vote for each MPC member during the most recent meeting. The breakdown of votes provides insight into which members are changing their stance on interest rates and how close the committee is to enacting a rate change in the future; | Acro Expand: Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2024-09-19T02:15:00+04:30 | NZD | High Impact Expected | GDP q/q | -0.2% | -0.4% | 0.1% | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-09-19T05:00:00+04:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | Employment Change | 47.5K | 26.4K | 48.9K | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-09-19T09:30:00+04:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | Trade Balance | 4.58B | 5.05B | 4.88B | Source: Federal Statistical Office (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 22 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the calculation most commonly reported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; |
2024-09-19T10:30:00+04:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | SECO Economic Forecasts | null | null | null | Source: SECO (latest release) | Frequency: Quarterly; | Next Release: Dec 17, 2024 | FF Notes: This report forecasts the major GDP components such as consumption and investment, together with key indicators including employment and inflation; | Why Traders Care: SECO is the federal government's source of expertise for all core issues relating to economic policy and their forecasts are well respected by market participants; | Acro Expand: State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO); |
2024-09-19T11:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Current Account | 39.6B | 40.3B | 50.5B | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the Trade Balance data released about a week earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the region; |
2024-09-19T13:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Buba Monthly Report | null | null | null | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance; | Why Traders Care: It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba); |
2024-09-19T14:30:00+04:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | Monetary Policy Summary | null | null | null | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released in Aug 2015; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the MPC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their vote on interest rates and other policy measures, along with commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their votes. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes; |
2024-09-19T15:00:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Are we there yet?” at the the Stern Stewart Institute Annual Summit, in Germany; | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Speaker: Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council from Jan 2022. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council; | Why Traders Care: ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba), European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-09-19T15:30:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Gov Council Member Vincent Speaks | null | null | null | FF Notice: The text of the speech is due at the release time listed. The speech is scheduled for delivery 15 minutes later; | Description: Due to speak at the Sherbrooke Chamber of Commerce, in Quebec; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | FF Notes: Governing Council member Mar 2023 - Mar 2026; | Why Traders Care: BOC Governing Council members are responsible for setting the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-09-19T16:00:00+04:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Claims | 219K | 230K | 231K | Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Sep 26, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims; |
2024-09-19T17:30:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Existing Home Sales | 3.86M | 3.92M | 3.96M | Source: National Association of Realtors (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of residential buildings that were sold during the previous month, excluding new construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 23, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: Home Resales; |
2024-09-19T18:00:00+04:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Natural Gas Storage | 58B | 53B | 40B | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Sep 26, 2024 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
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