DateTime stringdate 2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330 2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330 | Currency stringclasses 10 values | Impact stringclasses 4 values | Event stringclasses 593 values | Actual stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Forecast stringlengths 1 8 ⌀ | Previous stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Detail stringlengths 106 1.37k ⌀ |
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2024-09-20T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Public Sector Net Borrowing | 13.7B | 12.1B | 3.1B | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between spending and income for public corporations, the central government, and local governments during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 23 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 22, 2024 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget deficit, a negative number indicates a surplus. This figure includes "financial interventions" - there is also a figure released at the same time which excludes them; |
2024-09-20T00:00:00+04:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Sales Volume, All Retailers sales; |
2024-09-20T00:00:00+04:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | Monetary Policy Statement | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact release time - the event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the statement is issued. Source first released in Jul 2008. Source changed release frequency from about 14 times per year to eight times per year as of Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the BOJ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on asset purchases and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-09-20T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | 0.9% | 0.5% | -0.2% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-09-20T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | IPPI m/m | -0.8% | -0.3% | -0.1% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 19 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 22, 2024 | FF Notes: Only includes goods produced domestically; | Also Called: Factory Gate Prices, Producer Prices; | Acro Expand: Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI); |
2024-09-20T00:00:00+04:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | RMPI m/m | -3.1% | -2.0% | 0.7% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 19 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 22, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI); |
2024-09-20T00:00:00+04:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | 5-y Loan Prime Rate | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | Source: People's Bank of China (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate applied by commercial banks for mortgage loans; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled monthly; | Next Release: Oct 21, 2024 | FF Notes: This is a benchmark lending rate set by the People's Bank of China in its effort to influence short-term interest rates as part of its monetary policy strategy; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: Based on a weighted average of lending rates from 18 commercial banks; | Also Called: LPR; | Acro Expand: Loan Prime Rate (LPR); |
2024-09-20T02:31:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | GfK Consumer Confidence | -20 | -13 | -13 | Source: NIQ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Friday of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, and overall economic situation; |
2024-09-20T03:00:00+04:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | National Core CPI y/y | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding fresh food; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Friday of the following month; | Next Release: Oct 18, 2024 | Also Called: Core CPI, National CPI Ex Fresh Food; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-20T04:30:00+04:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | 1-y Loan Prime Rate | 3.35% | 3.35% | 3.35% | Source: People's Bank of China (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which commercial banks lend to households and business; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled monthly; | Next Release: Oct 21, 2024 | FF Notes: This is a benchmark lending rate set by the People's Bank of China in its effort to influence short-term interest rates as part of its monetary policy strategy; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: Based on a weighted average of lending rates from 18 commercial banks; | Also Called: LPR; | Acro Expand: Loan Prime Rate (LPR); |
2024-09-20T06:22:00+04:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | BOJ Policy Rate | <0.25% | <0.25% | <0.25% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate levied on excess current account balances held at the BOJ; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the rate is announced. This rate is currently the BOJ's main operating target. Source first released in Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: BOJ Policy Board members come to a consensus on where to set the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Uncollateralized Overnight Call Rate; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-09-20T06:30:00+04:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | Credit Card Spending y/y | -3.1% | null | -3.7% | Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in total spending facilitated with a credit card; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 21 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 21, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money; |
2024-09-20T09:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German PPI m/m | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 21, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers charge more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2024-09-20T10:00:00+04:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | BOJ Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Japan | Speaker: BOJ Governor; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact start time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the press conference starts. Source changed release frequency from about 14 times per year to eight times per year as of Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary methods the BOJ uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, the overall economic outlook, inflation, and clues regarding future monetary policy; | Also Called: Interest Rate Press Conference; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-09-20T12:30:00+04:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Mann Speaks | null | null | null | FF Notice: The text of the speech is due at the release time listed. The speech is scheduled for delivery 30 minutes later; | Description: Due to speak at the Central Bank Research Association, National Bank of Poland, and Bank of Lithuania 5th Biennial Conference, in Vilnius; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: External BOE MPC Member Catherine Mann; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Sep 2021 - Aug 2027; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2024-09-20T15:45:00+04:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Gov Macklem Speaks | null | null | null | FF Notice: The text of the speech is due at the release time listed. The speech is scheduled for delivery 15 minutes later; | Description: Due to speak at the National Bureau of Economic Research Economics of Artificial Intelligence Conference, in Toronto; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Governor Tiff Macklem; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 24, 2024 | FF Notes: BOC Governor Jun 2020 - Jun 2027. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-09-20T16:00:00+04:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos; |
2024-09-20T17:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Consumer Confidence | -13 | -13 | -13 | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 22 days into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 23, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jan 2010, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 17,500 consumers in Eurozone countries which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, employment, inflation, and climate for major purchases; |
2024-09-20T18:30:00+04:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture, in Washington DC; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Christine Lagarde; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 26, 2024 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2019 - Nov 2027. Volatility is often experienced during her speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, she has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize her public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-09-20T19:00:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | null | null | null | FF Notice: Release time comes as a surprise from source. Event added to calendar 67 minutes before release time; | Description: Due to speak in an interview conducted by CNBC; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 14, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Dec 2020 - Jan 2030; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-20T21:30:00+04:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | FOMC Member Harker Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "The Federal Reserve: It's More Than Just Interest Rates" at Tulane University, in New Orleans; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 22, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2017, 2020, and 2023; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-23T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Flash Services PMI | 55.4 | 55.3 | 55.7 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2013, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | Flash Services PMI | 50.6 | null | 52.5 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Oct 2018, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not included for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | Flash Services PMI | 52.8 | 53.5 | 53.7 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2019, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 650 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | French Flash Services PMI | 48.3 | 53.0 | 55.0 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 750 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | German Flash Services PMI | 50.6 | 51.1 | 51.2 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | Flash Services PMI | 50.5 | 52.3 | 52.9 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jun 2007, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 5,000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T02:15:00+03:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | Trade Balance | -2203M | -155M | -1016M | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 22 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 22, 2024 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Overseas Merchandise Trade; |
2024-09-23T02:30:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 46.7 | null | 48.5 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Oct 2018, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not included for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T10:45:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | French Flash Manufacturing PMI | 44.0 | 44.3 | 43.9 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 750 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T11:00:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | German Flash Manufacturing PMI | 40.3 | 42.4 | 42.4 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T11:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 44.8 | 45.7 | 45.8 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jun 2007, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 5,000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T12:00:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 52.3 | 52.5 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2019, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 650 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T13:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | CBI Industrial Order Expectations | -35 | -23 | -22 | Source: Confederation of British Industry (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates increasing order volume is expected, below indicates expectations are for lower volume; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their expectations can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 250 manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of order volume expected during the next 3 months; | Also Called: Industrial Trends Survey; | Acro Expand: Confederation of British Industry (CBI); |
2024-09-23T15:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Bostic Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economic outlook and monetary policy at the University of London. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 1, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2018, 2021, and 2024; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-23T15:40:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks | null | null | null | FF Notice: For historical accuracy, this event was added to the calendar after its release time; | Description: Due to speak in an interview conducted by CNBC; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 23, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2017, 2020, and 2023; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-23T16:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | NHPI m/m | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of new homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: New Housing Price Index (NHPI); |
2024-09-23T17:15:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 47.0 | 48.6 | 47.9 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in May 2012, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-23T17:45:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a fireside chat about the economic outlook and monetary policy at the National Association of State Treasurers Annual Conference, in Chicago. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 4, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2023 and 2025; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-23T20:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a moderated discussion about the economic impact of early childhood education at the Greater Kansas City Chamber of Commerce Leadership Exchange, in Minnesota. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 26, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2017, 2020, and 2023; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-23T23:59:59+03:30 | JPY | Non-Economic | Bank Holiday | null | null | null | Description: Japanese banks will be closed in observance of Autumnal Equinox Day; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Oct 14, 2024 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility; |
2024-09-24T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | RBA Rate Statement | null | null | null | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Nov 5, 2024 | FF Notes: Until Dec 2007 the statement was only issued when the cash rate was changed; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the RBA Reserve Bank Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-09-24T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | HPI m/m | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | Source: FHFA (latest release) | Measures: Change in the purchase price of homes with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 60 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Source began m/m frequency in Mar 2008; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI); |
2024-09-24T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about economic outlook and monetary policy at the Kentucky Bankers Association Annual Convention, in Virginia. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 26, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Nov 2018 - Jan 2034; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-24T04:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 49.6 | 49.9 | 49.8 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in May 2014, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-09-24T08:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | Cash Rate | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Nov 5, 2024 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the RBA Rate Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: Reserve Bank Board members come to a consensus on where to set the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-09-24T08:35:00+03:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | BOJ Gov Ueda Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at a meeting with business leaders, in Osaka; | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Speaker: BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Nov 18, 2024 | FF Notes: BOJ Governor Apr 2023 - Mar 2028. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has important influence over the nation's currency value. Traders scrutinize his speeches as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy and interest rate shifts; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-09-24T09:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Medium Impact Expected | RBA Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Nov 5, 2024 | FF Notes: The press conference has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary method the RBA uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-09-24T11:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | German ifo Business Climate | 85.4 | 86.1 | 86.6 | Source: ifo Institute (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, wholesalers, services, and retailers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: This survey is highly respected due to its large sample size and historic correlation with German and wider Eurozone economic conditions. It tends to create a hefty market impact upon release. Source changed series from a base year of 2000 to a base year of 2005, as of May 2011, and changed series to include services, as of Apr 2018; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 9,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions and expectations for the next 6 months; | Acro Expand: Information and Forschung (ifo); |
2024-09-24T16:27:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Belgian NBB Business Climate | -13.3 | -12.3 | -12.6 | FF Notice: Source released data 3 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: National Bank of Belgium (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, services, and trade-related firms; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. This survey is highly respected due to its source and large sample size. Source changed series calculation formula as of April 2009; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 3,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions and expectations for the next 3 months; | Also Called: Business Confidence Gross Synthetic Curve; | Acro Expand: National Bank of Belgium (NBB); |
2024-09-24T16:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | Source: Standard & Poor's (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of single-family homes in 20 metropolitan areas; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 60 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2024 | FF Notes: This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: S&P Corelogic CS Indices; | Acro Expand: Standard & Poor's (S&P), Case-Shiller (CS), House Price Index (HPI); |
2024-09-24T17:29:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Richmond Manufacturing Index | -21 | -13 | -19 | FF Notice: Source released data 1 minute earlier than scheduled; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers in Richmond; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the fourth Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 22, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Tends to have a muted impact because there are earlier regional indicators related to manufacturing conditions; | Derived Via: Survey of about 75 manufacturers in the Richmond area which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including shipments, new orders, and employment; | Also Called: Richmond Fed Index, Manufacturing Activity Index, Composite Manufacturing Index; |
2024-09-24T17:30:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | CB Consumer Confidence | 98.7 | 103.9 | 105.6 | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed households; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the last Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 3,000 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions including labor availability, business conditions, and overall economic situation; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2024-09-24T19:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "German Economy: Mastering Challenges" at a lecture event, in Frankfurt; | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Speaker: Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 27, 2024 | FF Notes: Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council from Jan 2022. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council; | Why Traders Care: ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba), European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-09-24T20:40:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Gov Macklem Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a fireside chat at the Institute of International Finance and Canadian Bankers Association Canada Forum, in Toronto; Audience questions expected; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Governor Tiff Macklem; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 28, 2024 | FF Notes: BOC Governor Jun 2020 - Jun 2027. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-09-25T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: API (latest release) | Frequency: Released weekly, 3 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Oct 2, 2024 | Acro Expand: American Petroleum Institute (API), Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-09-25T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Greene Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about consumption at the North East Chamber of Commerce, in England. Audience questions expected; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: External BOE MPC Member Megan Greene; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 30, 2024 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Jul 2023 - Jun 2026; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2024-09-25T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | SPPI y/y | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of services purchased by corporations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 25 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations pay more for services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: CSPI; | Acro Expand: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI), Corporate Services Price Index (CSPI); |
2024-09-25T05:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 25 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 30, 2024 | FF Notes: This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar. Source first released in Oct 2022; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Also Called: Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-25T08:29:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | BOJ Core CPI y/y | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | FF Notice: Source released data 1 minute earlier than scheduled; | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the last Friday of the following month; | Next Release: Oct 22, 2024 | FF Notes: Food and energy prices account for about a quarter of CPI, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The BOJ usually pays the more attention to the Core data - so do traders. There's a revised version of this indicator released about 5 days later, but it's not included for lack of significance. Source first released in Nov 2015; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: CPI Ex Food and Energy, Underlying CPI; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI), Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-09-25T11:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | UBS Economic Expectations | -8.8 | null | -3.4 | Source: UBS AG (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 30, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 30 institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for Switzerland; | Also Called: CFA/UBS Economic Expectations; | Acro Expand: Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS), Chartered Financial Analysts (CFA); |
2024-09-25T16:30:00+03:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | -0.2% | null | 0.0% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 8 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 24 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 28, 2024 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. Source first released in May 2010; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 8 economic indicators related to consumer expectations, export orders, industry profitability, logistics index, total loans issued, construction started, labour demand and imports of capital goods; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2024-09-25T17:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | New Home Sales | 716K | 699K | 751K | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the 17th business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 24, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a new home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, furniture and appliances are purchased for the home, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: New Residential Sales; |
2024-09-25T18:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Crude Oil Inventories | -4.5M | -1.3M | -1.6M | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Oct 2, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-09-25T23:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Kugler Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economic outlook at the Harvard Kennedy School, in Cambridge. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 26, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Sep 2023 - Jan 2026; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Natural Gas Storage | 47B | 52B | 58B | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Oct 3, 2024 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Final GDP Price Index q/q | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 85 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected; | Also Called: GDP Deflator; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Durable Goods Orders m/m | 0.0% | -2.8% | 9.8% | FF Notice: 'Actual' data initially misstated, then rectified 10 seconds after release. We regret the error; | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: This data is usually revised via the Factory Orders report released about a week later. Durable goods are defined as hard products having a life expectancy of more than 3 years, such as automobiles, computers, appliances, and airplanes; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m | 0.5% | 0.1% | -0.2% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: This data is usually revised via the Factory Orders report released about a week later. Orders for aircraft are volatile and can severely distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of purchase order trends; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation; |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Claims | 218K | 224K | 222K | Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Oct 3, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims; |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a virtual fireside chat at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston's Financial Inclusion and Banking Supervision Workshop; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 7, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2017, 2020, and 2023; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Private Loans y/y | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new loans issued to consumers and businesses in the private sector; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Policy Rate | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.25% | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate the SNB seeks to maintain in the short-term money market; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Dec 12, 2024 | FF Notes: This rate is the SNB's main operating target. The decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the Monetary Policy Assessment, which is focused on the future. Source first released in Jun 2019; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: SNB Governing Board members come to a consensus on where to set the policy rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | ECB Economic Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: 8 times per year, 2 weeks after the Main Refinancing Rate is announced; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because some parts of the bulletin are released early. Source first released in Feb 2015; | Why Traders Care: It reveals the statistical data that the ECB Governing Board evaluated when making the latest interest rate decision, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Kugler Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a virtual fireside chat at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston's Financial Inclusion and Banking Supervision Workshop; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 8, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Sep 2023 - Jan 2026; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | M3 Money Supply y/y | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of May 2001; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; |
2024-09-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Cook Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a moderated discussion about artificial intelligence and workforce development at an event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Columbus State Community College, in Ohio. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 27, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member May 2022 - Jan 2038; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year, around 45 days after the Monetary Policy Statement is released; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2024 | FF Notes: Source changed release frequency from about 14 times per year to eight times per year as of Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's a detailed record of the BOJ Policy Board's meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-09-26T05:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | RBA Financial Stability Review | null | null | null | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: Apr 3, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's an assessment of conditions in the financial system and potential risks to financial stability - the evidence on strains and imbalances can provide insight into the future of monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-09-26T09:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German GfK Consumer Climate | -21.2 | -22.4 | -21.9 | Source: NIQ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, and overall economic situation; | Also Called: Consumer Sentiment; |
2024-09-26T11:00:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Monetary Policy Assessment | null | null | null | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Dec 12, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the SNB Governing Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, SNB Statement; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-09-26T11:30:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Chairman and Governing Board Members; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Dec 12, 2024 | FF Notes: The conference is held when rates are announced in June and December. It's about an hour long and has 2 parts - first the prepared statements are read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create market volatility; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the SNB Governing Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy and the economic outlook; | Also Called: Interest Rate Media Conference; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-09-26T16:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Final GDP q/q | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 85 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-09-26T16:40:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Collins Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a virtual fireside chat at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston's Financial Inclusion and Banking Supervision Workshop; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 2, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2022 and 2025; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T16:45:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economic outlook and monetary policy at the Mid-size Bank Coalition of America Board of Directors Workshop, in North Carolina. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 27, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Nov 2018 - Jan 2034; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T16:50:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Fed Chair Powell Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver pre-recorded opening remarks at the US Treasury Market Conference, in New York; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 30, 2024 | FF Notes: Fed Chair Feb 2018 - Feb 2026. Fed Governor May 2012 - Jan 2018. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Reserve (Fed); |
2024-09-26T16:55:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the US Treasury Market Conference, in New York; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 4, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2012, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025. In Jun 2018 his title changed from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President to Federal Reserve Bank of New York President; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T17:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver opening remarks at the European Systemic Risk Board Annual Conference, in Frankfurt; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Christine Lagarde; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 30, 2024 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2019 - Nov 2027. Volatility is often experienced during her speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, she has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize her public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-09-26T17:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Pending Home Sales m/m | 0.6% | 0.9% | -5.5% | Source: National Association of Realtors (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 30, 2024 | FF Notes: This data is released about a week later than Existing Home Sales, but it's more forward-looking as a contract is signed several weeks before the home is counted as sold; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: Pending Resales; |
2024-09-26T18:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Barr Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the US Treasury Market Conference, in New York; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Sep 26, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Jul 2022 - Jan 2032; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-26T18:45:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Treasury Sec Yellen Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the US Treasury Market Conference, in New York; | Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Speaker: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen; | Next Release: Oct 17, 2024 | FF Notes: US Treasury Secretary Jan 2021 - Jan 2025. She speaks frequently on a broad range of subjects - only speeches that might have direct market impact are listed on the calendar; | Why Traders Care: It's the Treasury Secretary's job to communicate the US President's economic policies, and her speeches are often used to signal policy shifts to the public and to foreign governments; |
2024-09-26T20:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Barr Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a virtual fireside chat at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston's Financial Inclusion and Banking Supervision Workshop; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Nov 20, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Jul 2022 - Jan 2032; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-09-27T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core PCE Price Index m/m | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: Differs from Core CPI in that it only measures goods and services targeted towards and consumed by individuals. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item which gives important insights into consumer spending behavior. CPI is released about 10 days earlier and tends to garner most of the attention; | Why Traders Care: It's the Federal Reserve's primary inflation measure. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-27T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Personal Spending m/m | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all expenditures by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: This is significant data, though it tends to have a relatively mild impact because Retail Sales, which also covers consumer spending, is released about 2 weeks earlier; | Why Traders Care: Consumer spending accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. It's one of the most important gauges of economic health due to the vast ripple effect consumer buying creates in the economy; | Also Called: Consumer Spending, Personal Consumption Expenditures; |
2024-09-27T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Aug 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. | Why Traders Care: It's a signal of future business spending because companies are more likely to purchase goods once they have depleted inventories; | Also Called: Advance Economic Indicators; |
2024-09-27T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Personal Income m/m | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Income is correlated with spending - the more disposable income consumers have, the more likely they are to increase spending; | Also Called: Disposable Personal Income; |
2024-09-27T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Goods Trade Balance | -94.3B | -100.6B | -102.8B | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Trade in goods makes up about 75% of total trade, and therefore provides early insight into the Trade Balance data reported about 5 days later. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. Source first released in Jul 2015; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Trade in Goods, Advance Trade In Goods; |
2024-09-27T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Revised UoM Inflation Expectations | 2.7% | null | 2.7% | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the last Friday of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 25, 2024 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this data released about 15 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have more impact; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2024-09-27T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Prelim CPI m/m | -1.2% | -0.7% | 0.5% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Oct 31, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a two weeks apart – Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Jan 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-09-27T01:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Cook Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Artificial Intelligence and the Labor Force" at the Ohio State University President and Provost’s Diversity Lecture and Cultural Arts Series, in Columbus. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 1, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member May 2022 - Jan 2038; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
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