metadata/paper_table_provenance.md

Camera-Ready Table Provenance Audit

This note records the current evidence boundary for the ICML 2026 camera-ready tables and appendix summaries. It is an audit artifact for the release bundle.

Status Key

• exact-rerunnable: the public code path regenerates the paper value.
• exact-from-summary: the paper value is reproduced exactly by aggregating a released or archived summary table.
• csv-exact: the paper value matches the released camera-ready CSV table.
• source-partial: the exact low-level raw rows or merge scripts are not fully present in this checkout.
• extension-separate: the file is a later benchmark extension and should not overwrite the camera-ready paper snapshot.

Main Paper

Item	Paper value/source	Public artifact	Status	Notes
Table 2 / Figure 3 core leaderboard	Six-family, 6-scenario, 50-draw benchmark	data/paper_tables/paper_core_50draw_leaderboard.csv, paper_core_50draw_by_tier.csv, global_performance_summary.csv	exact-rerunnable	Regenerated by code/TSDecompose/scripts/run_paper_benchmark.py. This is the primary one-command reproduction path.
Scenario-level values cited in Section 4	Values used in diagnostics paragraphs	data/paper_tables/paper_core_50draw_leaderboard.csv and tier/scenario aggregations	exact-rerunnable	Checked against the HF table and camera-ready manuscript.
CO2 symbolic-regression table	Direct SR vs decompose-then-regress	Paper table and SR outputs	exact-from-summary	Runtime is longer than the core leaderboard: approximately 2h with ND2 or 8h with PySR defaults.

Appendix C

Item	Paper table/claim	Public/rebuttal source	Status	Risk handling
Table 4 bounded tuning	Default and tuned aggregate orders	data/paper_tables/bounded_tuning_order.csv; rebuttal prose; rebuttal_experiments/reports/final_rebuttal_result_report.md; non-SSA e1_default_vs_tuned_summary.csv	csv-exact, source-partial	The camera-ready text calls this a rebuttal-stage robustness-subset summary. It should not be presented as the one-command leaderboard.
Table 5 period robustness	STL/MSTL true, FFT, and +20% rows	data/paper_tables/period_robustness.csv; archived e3_period_summary.csv	exact-from-summary	Aggregating STL/MSTL over the three configured period scenarios reproduces the table exactly after rounding.
Table 6 alignment robustness	Injected, unsupervised, truth-guided suite scores	data/paper_tables/alignment_robustness.csv; archived e2_alignment_summary.csv; final rebuttal report for SSA row	exact-from-summary, source-partial	Non-SSA rows reproduce from e2_alignment_summary.csv; SSA row matches report/HF table, but complete merged SSA raw rows are not in this checkout. Caption frames rankings as protocol-dependent diagnostics.
Table 7 boundary sensitivity	Mean absolute suite-score delta	data/paper_tables/boundary_sensitivity.csv; final rebuttal report; closest archived e4_boundary_summary.csv	csv-exact, source-partial	The exact table matches HF and the final report. Closest detailed source reproduces VMD/Wavelet closely but not all rounded values; text frames it as a sensitivity diagnostic, not a primary ranking metric.
Table 8 real-data proxy panel	Band plausibility, resampling stability, spectrum overlap	data/paper_tables/real_proxy_panel.csv; data/post_rebuttal_second_expansion/real_proxy_track_c/track_c_summary.csv	exact-from-summary	Averaging the six real proxy datasets by method reproduces the table exactly after rounding.
C.4 CO2/tides mechanism-aware claims	CO2 SSA 0.993/1.000; tides MSTL 0.956/1.000/1.000	data/post_rebuttal_second_expansion/real_physics_track_b/track_b_summary.csv	exact-from-summary	Values match the source after rounding.
C.4 semi-synthetic transfer paragraph	Six-family real-background transfer order and CEEMDAN diagnostics	data/paper_tables/semisynthetic_transfer_summary.csv; archived old rebuttal semi-synthetic raw files	exact-from-summary, extension-separate	This is the camera-ready paper snapshot. The separate 22-method semi-synthetic track is a later benchmark extension and may have different method-level ordering.
MSSA pilot	Synthetic multi-sequence summary	data/paper_tables/mssa_pilot_summary.csv	csv-exact	Treat as initial synthetic extension evidence, not a complete real-panel benchmark.

Practical Reproduction Boundary

The release should be described as follows:

The public artifact provides a one-command reproduction path for the primary six-family paper-core synthetic leaderboard, plus exact machine-readable CSV snapshots for all camera-ready tables. Appendix robustness and transfer checks are rebuttal-stage sensitivity summaries with available source summaries and metadata; they do not replace the primary leaderboard.