metadata/paper_table_provenance.md

# Camera-Ready Table Provenance Audit

This note records the current evidence boundary for the ICML 2026
camera-ready tables and appendix summaries. It is an audit artifact for the
release bundle.

## Status Key

- `exact-rerunnable`: the public code path regenerates the paper value.
- `exact-from-summary`: the paper value is reproduced exactly by aggregating a
  released or archived summary table.
- `csv-exact`: the paper value matches the released camera-ready CSV table.
- `source-partial`: the exact low-level raw rows or merge scripts are not fully
  present in this checkout.
- `extension-separate`: the file is a later benchmark extension and should not
  overwrite the camera-ready paper snapshot.

## Main Paper

| Item | Paper value/source | Public artifact | Status | Notes |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Table 2 / Figure 3 core leaderboard | Six-family, 6-scenario, 50-draw benchmark | `data/paper_tables/paper_core_50draw_leaderboard.csv`, `paper_core_50draw_by_tier.csv`, `global_performance_summary.csv` | `exact-rerunnable` | Regenerated by `code/TSDecompose/scripts/run_paper_benchmark.py`. This is the primary one-command reproduction path. |
| Scenario-level values cited in Section 4 | Values used in diagnostics paragraphs | `data/paper_tables/paper_core_50draw_leaderboard.csv` and tier/scenario aggregations | `exact-rerunnable` | Checked against the HF table and camera-ready manuscript. |
| CO2 symbolic-regression table | Direct SR vs decompose-then-regress | Paper table and SR outputs | `exact-from-summary` | Runtime is longer than the core leaderboard: approximately 2h with ND2 or 8h with PySR defaults. |

## Appendix C

| Item | Paper table/claim | Public/rebuttal source | Status | Risk handling |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Table 4 bounded tuning | Default and tuned aggregate orders | `data/paper_tables/bounded_tuning_order.csv`; rebuttal prose; `rebuttal_experiments/reports/final_rebuttal_result_report.md`; non-SSA `e1_default_vs_tuned_summary.csv` | `csv-exact`, `source-partial` | The camera-ready text calls this a rebuttal-stage robustness-subset summary. It should not be presented as the one-command leaderboard. |
| Table 5 period robustness | STL/MSTL true, FFT, and +20% rows | `data/paper_tables/period_robustness.csv`; archived `e3_period_summary.csv` | `exact-from-summary` | Aggregating STL/MSTL over the three configured period scenarios reproduces the table exactly after rounding. |
| Table 6 alignment robustness | Injected, unsupervised, truth-guided suite scores | `data/paper_tables/alignment_robustness.csv`; archived `e2_alignment_summary.csv`; final rebuttal report for SSA row | `exact-from-summary`, `source-partial` | Non-SSA rows reproduce from `e2_alignment_summary.csv`; SSA row matches report/HF table, but complete merged SSA raw rows are not in this checkout. Caption frames rankings as protocol-dependent diagnostics. |
| Table 7 boundary sensitivity | Mean absolute suite-score delta | `data/paper_tables/boundary_sensitivity.csv`; final rebuttal report; closest archived `e4_boundary_summary.csv` | `csv-exact`, `source-partial` | The exact table matches HF and the final report. Closest detailed source reproduces VMD/Wavelet closely but not all rounded values; text frames it as a sensitivity diagnostic, not a primary ranking metric. |
| Table 8 real-data proxy panel | Band plausibility, resampling stability, spectrum overlap | `data/paper_tables/real_proxy_panel.csv`; `data/post_rebuttal_second_expansion/real_proxy_track_c/track_c_summary.csv` | `exact-from-summary` | Averaging the six real proxy datasets by method reproduces the table exactly after rounding. |
| C.4 CO2/tides mechanism-aware claims | CO2 SSA 0.993/1.000; tides MSTL 0.956/1.000/1.000 | `data/post_rebuttal_second_expansion/real_physics_track_b/track_b_summary.csv` | `exact-from-summary` | Values match the source after rounding. |
| C.4 semi-synthetic transfer paragraph | Six-family real-background transfer order and CEEMDAN diagnostics | `data/paper_tables/semisynthetic_transfer_summary.csv`; archived old rebuttal semi-synthetic raw files | `exact-from-summary`, `extension-separate` | This is the camera-ready paper snapshot. The separate 22-method semi-synthetic track is a later benchmark extension and may have different method-level ordering. |
| MSSA pilot | Synthetic multi-sequence summary | `data/paper_tables/mssa_pilot_summary.csv` | `csv-exact` | Treat as initial synthetic extension evidence, not a complete real-panel benchmark. |

## Practical Reproduction Boundary

The release should be described as follows:

> The public artifact provides a one-command reproduction path for the primary
> six-family paper-core synthetic leaderboard, plus exact machine-readable CSV
> snapshots for all camera-ready tables. Appendix robustness and transfer
> checks are rebuttal-stage sensitivity summaries with available source
> summaries and metadata; they do not replace the primary leaderboard.