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Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Europe Winter Split Regional Event 3 - Day 3**
Matches kick off on the hour!
Watch Live:
A-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXAfpdel0jQ>
B-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/UGC>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/kyjemy/rlcs_x_eu_winter_regional_3_day_3_of_4_event/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/Europe/3>
|
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch: ** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/800028955586986044/rlcswintersplit.png
r0bbi3#0269: it's been so long
Konvertor#3146: Virtuoso 🔥
r0bbi3#0269: WOO 🔥
Konvertor#3146: Giants beat them
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Winter Split - Regional 3 - Oceania - Playoffs**
The playoffs for the third regional of the ESL Oceanic Championship are live now!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://twitch.tv/esl_australia>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/kyrvyl/rlcs_x_oce_regional_3_playoffs_winter_split_event/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/Oceania/3>
|
Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/800135104961052682/ESL_RL_Oceanic_Championship.jpg
L0laapk3#2010: @Hytak rl?
Hytak#5125: yes
Mal#5601: @Hytak rl?
Mal#5601: also how did the quiz go?
Hytak#5125: quiz was fun
Hytak#5125: @Mal sure, i will play some rl
Mal#5601: pog
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Europe Winter Split Regional Event 3 - Day 4**
The pre-show is live now, and matches kick off on the hour!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kHIV9bqm6AE>
|
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/kz7y9f/rlcs_x_eu_regional_3_day_4_of_4_winter_split/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/Europe/3>
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch: ** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/800388758074949692/rlcswintersplit.png
Mal#5601: Lf player to replace hytak in the final 5 seconds of a match
Mal#5601: (Must believe that front post exists)
axelalex2#5793: how many did you lose because of that?
L0laapk3#2010: yooooooooo
L0laapk3#2010: that ceiling pinch
L0laapk3#2010: https://clips.twitch.tv/SeductiveTangibleWaterYouDontSay
Hytak#5125: Only the tournament finals
Mal#5601: ^^^
Mal#5601: 1-0 up with 5 seconds left, enemy take a weak shot |
Mal#5601: I'm front post going for the 50
Mal#5601: 3 seconds left I hit the 5, rolls slowly to a position where Hytak (who was Mid to back post defence when I went for the 50) could hit it
Mal#5601: He jumped for the 50 I took rather than the follow up
Mal#5601: 1 second left
Mal#5601: Enemy scores
Mal#5601: Enemy wins in OT
axelalex2#5793: that would piss me off hard
L0laapk3#2010: that game was hype
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 giants? 👀
L0laapk3#2010: i voted on them and got the 4.3:1 leverage win 👀
L0laapk3#2010: but now its much closer
L0laapk3#2010: i just voted on them because of the leverage lol
L0laapk3#2010: @twobackfromtheend run the calculations on the betting
twobackfromtheend#1471: i did apply for a betting quant trading role last year and got to the final interview. sadly didn't get the job
L0laapk3#2010: what? |
twobackfromtheend#1471: and so still don't know anything about betting
twobackfromtheend#1471: i assume that's what you were asking me to do
twobackfromtheend#1471: because idk what calculations you want me to run
L0laapk3#2010: run the stats and translate that into confidence and into how much % of my total i should bet on which one based on the leverage
twobackfromtheend#1471: all on bds
twobackfromtheend#1471: bds never lose
Mal#5601: except for when they do
twobackfromtheend#1471: and when they do lose it's just fake news and you can get your points back
L0laapk3#2010: but i just won my 4.3 leverage by betting against them lol
L0laapk3#2010: it was the same game
L0laapk3#2010: giants vs bds
L0laapk3#2010: the leverage was just too high to not bet against them
twobackfromtheend#1471: by betting against bds you've lost, even if you won
twobackfromtheend#1471: simple maths really
Konvertor#3146: @twobackfromtheend have you told @r0bbi3 this? |
twobackfromtheend#1471: some people can't be helped
L0laapk3#2010: i voted against again 👀
Konvertor#3146: D:
L0laapk3#2010: but this time i put like no money on it
L0laapk3#2010: i think they will win
Konvertor#3146: money D:
L0laapk3#2010: i thought they would win last time xD
L0laapk3#2010: and still voted against
Konvertor#3146: I thought we were talking channel points here
L0laapk3#2010: channel points is the real currency dude
L0laapk3#2010: just infront of bitcoin
Konvertor#3146: 🤔
r0bbi3#0269: YOU CAN'T DOUBT THE GIANTS
r0bbi3#0269: i've been tellin' y'all this all split
L0laapk3#2010: they are pretty good |
axelalex2#5793: everything on Giants, because the Lower Bracket run of BDS was not very deep
r0bbi3#0269: https://canary.discord.com/channels/348658686962696195/373900457845850112/776595791334735874
axelalex2#5793: not quite sweeping the entire split, is it? only one of the events
Konvertor#3146: what a save KEKW
axelalex2#5793: what a stake KEKW
Konvertor#3146: Then you lost all your channel points
r0bbi3#0269: that was by betting on Envy
r0bbi3#0269: 117k channel points :squadF:
axelalex2#5793: to me, BDS look chased atm, not very in control, even if they won this game
axelalex2#5793: lol Marc, 52, 0, 0, 0, 1
axelalex2#5793: BDS taking control now
axelalex2#5793: oh boi, this might get interesting
Konvertor#3146: BDS just doesn't show up for game 1
axelalex2#5793: imagine BDS in Ranked, Bronze 1 at -35 MMR PepeLaugh
Konvertor#3146: F |
axelalex2#5793: YEET
Konvertor#3146: wow
Konvertor#3146: Stumpy has been yelling a bit too much lol
L0laapk3#2010: ???
L0laapk3#2010: xd
Konvertor#3146: :AxelChamp:
L0laapk3#2010: damn
L0laapk3#2010: this is sweaty
Konvertor#3146: super
L0laapk3#2010: why are they playing for only 30k?
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 I bet for giants, if I lose my channel points, it's all your fault 😠
L0laapk3#2010: thats like, change
Konvertor#3146: this is a regional, not a major
axelalex2#5793: 30k win for each event, means 270k win over all splits
L0laapk3#2010: isnt this europe regional? or what |
L0laapk3#2010: noone is winning all events
L0laapk3#2010: ah shit i forgot to bet again
axelalex2#5793: this is the 3rd regional of the winter split for EU
L0laapk3#2010: i have no idea about rlcs structure xD
L0laapk3#2010: i just know that they carpet bomb the whole year calender
Konvertor#3146: Each regional is $100k prize pool, 3 per split. Majors, 1 per split, are $250k prize pool. And assuming we get one, the World Championship is a $1 million prize pool.
Konvertor#3146: There's also the grid which has it's own prize pool
L0laapk3#2010: theyve been commenting quite favorably for bds the whole way trough
r0bbi3#0269: this win is gonna bring home the org decal
axelalex2#5793: i mean, how couldn't they favor BDS with their dominance?
Konvertor#3146: Thinking winning gets you an org decal 🤣
axelalex2#5793: LUL
L0laapk3#2010: in my eyes RL is very much like rock paper scissors
L0laapk3#2010: but i am just a champ noob but whatever
L0laapk3#2010: just because they do good against one team doesnt mean they do good against another |
Konvertor#3146: just look at Dig
axelalex2#5793: i mean, the analysts said it multiple times, BDS and Vitality can be very dominant teams, but they struggle, if teams start to play in a very particular playstyle, which is designed against them
L0laapk3#2010: these games are just so close
axelalex2#5793: what was about BDS not showing up in Game 1? LUL
Konvertor#3146: this is game 8
r0bbi3#0269: they deserve it nonetheless
Konvertor#3146: I think at the very least, every grid team should have a decal 🤷♂️
L0laapk3#2010: they must be dead by now
axelalex2#5793: Giants have been shooting directly more in this game
axelalex2#5793: but that's not what got them success
L0laapk3#2010: zamue keeps missing
L0laapk3#2010: xd
L0laapk3#2010: that was clean
L0laapk3#2010: man
axelalex2#5793: i need to take a shit, yet i can't look away |
L0laapk3#2010: this script
Konvertor#3146: @axelalex2 that's what twitch mobile is for
axelalex2#5793: oh my
axelalex2#5793: oh myyy
axelalex2#5793: b2b G7?
Konvertor#3146: I hope so
axelalex2#5793: the only similarily long series i've seen, has been RLCS Season 3 Grand Finals, 13 Games
L0laapk3#2010: just watch G14 be in throwback stadium
Konvertor#3146: it's always champion's field
L0laapk3#2010: i know but
axelalex2#5793: after the script, Giants should take this, then BDS takes the last 2
axelalex2#5793: script broken :/
axelalex2#5793: BDS won the last 3 of 4, and the last 5 of 7 games
axelalex2#5793: cmon Giants, G7 pls :spmBless:
Konvertor#3146: 🙏 |
axelalex2#5793: oooof
Konvertor#3146: 😰
axelalex2#5793: monka
L0laapk3#2010: this game
axelalex2#5793: this whole match
axelalex2#5793: woah
Konvertor#3146: wut
axelalex2#5793: "only" 66k viewers viewing the closest RL series ever
Konvertor#3146: that's it o_O
L0laapk3#2010: bruuuh
axelalex2#5793: JESUS
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 MY CHANNEL POINTS 😠
L0laapk3#2010: damn
L0laapk3#2010: that was good
Konvertor#3146: yeah |
r0bbi3#0269: as turbo once said
r0bbi3#0269: https://twitter.com/Turbopolsa/status/1350279118760398850
axelalex2#5793: good ...
Konvertor#3146: that was one of the best grand finals
axelalex2#5793: you could have flipped a coin
Konvertor#3146: we needed a G14 though FeelsBadMan
axelalex2#5793: i just looked in the VOD, they nearly played for 2 hours to decide the winner here
axelalex2#5793: BRUH
r0bbi3#0269: there was a DC
L0laapk3#2010: for like 2 minutes lol
Konvertor#3146: I would play 2 hours for a chance at an extra $15k
L0laapk3#2010: xd
L0laapk3#2010: glad i watched
ThatOtherNinja#6315: https://youtu.be/V72XBLJ2RZA?t=2218 When will our bots be able to recover like this?
B1ue_F1re#9542: anyone want to play? |
axelalex2#5793: i would, but i'm too good for you :)
B1ue_F1re#9542: yeah
Mal#5601: Savage!
Mal#5601: I would, but i am too bad for you
B1ue_F1re#9542: you're just saying that cause you wouldnt
Mal#5601: No I am saying that cause My ranks are all over the place and I don't want to play casual
B1ue_F1re#9542: who said i wanted to play casual
Mal#5601: that's my point, my mess of ranks atm means I want to solo queue them and I don't really want to play cas, and I expected you to say no as well
B1ue_F1re#9542: or we could play ranked
Rocket League #announcements#0000: Hi all, a few updates:
-All platforms may experience issues connecting to PsyNet right now. We are working on resolving this issue as soon as possible. Follow here for updates: https://status.epicgames.com
-We are moving today's update to 10am PST / 6pm UTC on all platforms. Nintendo Switch players who updated earlier today are already up to date, and will not see an additional game update to download.
Rocket League #announcements#0000: Update: PsyNet access has been restored on PC, PlayStation, and Xbox. Players on Nintendo Switch will not be able to connect until 10am PST / 6pm UTC. Thank you for your patience today, and we will update here once the update is available on all platforms.
Rocket League #announcements#0000: Today's update is now LIVE on all platforms! Please restart your console if you don't see the update available for download.
Rocket League #announcements#0000: Rocket League is teaming with up X Games! Celebrate with in-game items, and watch the RLCS X Games: North American Regional! |
Learn more about what's coming on January 21 at 9AM PT: https://www.rocketleague.com/news/rocket-league-is-teaming-up-with-x-games/
ccman32#4022: lol finally
ccman32#4022: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/801178411950669834/20210119205604_1.jpg
Hytak#5125: @L0laapk3 @Mal @twobackfromtheend want to play rl?
L0laapk3#2010: No
Hytak#5125: are you busy?
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Winter Split - The Grid Week 4 Day 1 - North America**
The group stage for the fourth week of The Grid for North America is live on the hour!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3SgIVeJaG8>
You can also visit either of the below links for a list of streams - some teams stream their own run!
|
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l0t4zl/rlcs_x_na_grid_the_grid_na_week_4_day_1_winter/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/North_America/The_Grid/Week_4>
**Fan Rewards are available on** :Twitch: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/801204877342408714/The_Grid.png
Hytak#5125: oh i see will and 2back playing gunfire reborn
twobackfromtheend#1471: who?
Hytak#5125: 3back
Hytak#5125: youback
Hytak#5125: uback
twobackfromtheend#1471: do you want to join?
Hytak#5125: hmm
Hytak#5125: i don't really like the game that much
Mal#5601: Oof
Hytak#5125: i can't do anything about that |
L0laapk3#2010: Yes im busy
twobackfromtheend#1471: why would you want to do anything about that
twobackfromtheend#1471: oh wait you asked us to play rl
Konvertor#3146: X Games return :AxelChamp:
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Winter Split - The Grid Week 4 Day 2 - North America**
The group stage for the fourth week of The Grid for North America is live on the hour!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://youtu.be/4sCV6bEC1PI>
You can also visit either of the below links for a list of streams - some teams stream their own run!
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l0t4zl/rlcs_x_na_grid_the_grid_na_week_4_day_2_winter/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/North_America/The_Grid/Week_4> |
**Fan Rewards are available on** :Twitch: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/801583212618317854/The_Grid.png
L0laapk3#2010: servers down? 😛
L0laapk3#2010: up now
L0laapk3#2010: or not
L0laapk3#2010: theyre suffering https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/801596892608725012/unknown.png
L0laapk3#2010: wooh we got a game on our hands
L0laapk3#2010: 15 minutes of queuing
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :masters: __**RLOceania Masters: January - Master Division - Week 3**__
The third week of the weekly Psyonix-sponsored Oceanic tournament for January will be live on the hour!
:Reddit:: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l1rr1k/rlo_masters_rlo_master_division_january_week_3/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/RL_Oceania/RLO_Masters/January_2021/Master_Division/Week_3>
|
:Twitch: Watch Live: The main stream will be live throughout the playoffs at <https://www.twitch.tv/rloceania>, and then most of the teams will also be streaming their runs! Visit either of the above links for a list of streams.
**Fan Rewards are not available.** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/801735056854089728/masters_jan21announcment.png
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Winter Split - The Grid Week 4 Day 1 - Europe**
The group stage for the fourth week of The Grid for Europe is live on the hour!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WzFhj6MRnNY>
You can also visit either of the below links for a list of streams - some teams stream their own run!
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l1zy3e/rlcs_x_eu_grid_the_grid_eu_week_4_day_1_winter/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/Europe/The_Grid/Week_4>
|
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/801841533136404541/The_Grid.jpg
L0laapk3#2010: the rocket labs map changed
Hytak#5125: 👀
L0laapk3#2010: this guy went from 100 back to 0 real fast
L0laapk3#2010: he literalyl went from spamming take the shot and surrendering when we were up 3-1 after just getting scored on
L0laapk3#2010: to spamming sorry as soon as the chat cooldown wore off lol
L0laapk3#2010: teammate used confused rage
L0laapk3#2010: i was just matched against someone on my friends list
L0laapk3#2010: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/801936943394324510/unknown.png
L0laapk3#2010: playing in the rare moldy city arena kappa
L0laapk3#2010: lol
L0laapk3#2010: we were 3-0 up and my teammate dribbled it past me but still into our own net
L0laapk3#2010: he stops moving
L0laapk3#2010: votes surrender
L0laapk3#2010: "are you gonna say something...?" |
L0laapk3#2010: so i gave him the nice shot
L0laapk3#2010: we did not win that game
L0laapk3#2010: was it worth it? yeah
L0laapk3#2010: https://i.imgur.com/lfsFjfZ.mp4
L0laapk3#2010: that felt good
twobackfromtheend#1471: https://www.youtube.com/post/Ugwo7fD3FCKwuwuP-M94AaABCQ man that's why i haven't been hitting my triple flip reset breezi flick double taps
alion02#1973: now everyone has an explanation if their bot loses in a tournament, too
L0laapk3#2010: alion in soloqueuecure waaat
L0laapk3#2010: rocket league community in a nutshell https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/801962553059442698/unknown.png
Deleted User#0000: Wow!
Deleted User#0000: Wow!
r0bbi3#0269: https://twitter.com/HalfwayDeadRL/status/1352371237402648577?s=09
r0bbi3#0269: This is why I'm hardstuck C1 ofc
L0laapk3#2010: you guys
L0laapk3#2010: scroll up around 4 messages and twoback posted that |
L0laapk3#2010: like an hour before that it was posted in #mathematics
r0bbi3#0269: Looks like twoback showed this but I win because I have an embed
L0laapk3#2010: hold on let me try
L0laapk3#2010: https://twitter.com/HalfwayDeadRL/status/1352371237402648577?s=09
L0laapk3#2010: ah this is why im still no SSL
jeroen11dijk#1178: https://www.gifyourgame.com/HydroAppalledIfalna
jeroen11dijk#1178: Im still mad I didnt score this
jeroen11dijk#1178: since this would have gotten me to champ over a year ago xD
jeroen11dijk#1178: https://www.gifyourgame.com/ArtfulRaffishKratos
jeroen11dijk#1178: but I also found this clip which probably wasnt me
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Winter Split - The Grid Week 4 Day 2 - Europe**
Playoffs for the fourth week of The Grid for Europe is live on the hour!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://twitch.tv/rocketleague> |
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E-7b8S7dIyg>
You can also visit either of the below links for a list of streams - some teams stream their own run!
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l2pzsl/rlcs_x_eu_grid_the_grid_eu_week_4_day_2_winter/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/Europe/The_Grid/Week_4>
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/802218279627784222/The_Grid.jpg
Hytak#5125: what a god
Hytak#5125: @L0laapk3 want to play rl?
L0laapk3#2010: sure
L0laapk3#2010: 22? https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/802270065117495306/unknown.png
rivques#4310: what's wrong with that
Deleted User#0000: u had to do all 24 last season
L0laapk3#2010: i thought they were gonna put 4 instead of 6 in the final one |
L0laapk3#2010: xd
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: **:RLCS: Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - North America Winter Split Regional Event 3 - Day 1**
The pre-show is live now and matches kick off on the hour!
Watch Live:
A-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qSDbtE3Ad20>
B-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/UGC>
C-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/therocketrb>
|
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l3enmy/rlcs_x_na_regional_3_day_1_of_4_winter_split_live/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/North_America/3>
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/802591432031338576/RLCSX.png
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - North America Winter Split Regional Event 3 - Day 2**
The pre-show is live now and matches kick off on the hour!
Watch Live:
A-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCoz0wtP1IU>
B-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/UGC> |
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l42rq1/rlcs_x_na_regional_3_day_2_of_4_winter_split_live/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/North_America/3>
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/802955792361193502/rlcswintersplit.png
axelalex2#5793: oh my, someone is getting destroyed
rivques#4310: ??
axelalex2#5793: just watch the RLCS stream
rivques#4310: i just saw that, WOW
rivques#4310: Wow!
rivques#4310: Wow!
rivques#4310: Wow!
axelalex2#5793: 7-0 after 2 minutes
axelalex2#5793: like wat |
rivques#4310: not even halway done and *-0
axelalex2#5793: double digits coming in
rivques#4310: im calling 14-0
rivques#4310: well that cant happen
axelalex2#5793: lul
rivques#4310: comeback coming?
rivques#4310: nope!
axelalex2#5793: AYYJAYY
rivques#4310: almost 10
axelalex2#5793: ok, Ghost is set now for the next game
rivques#4310: as in, has >0 morale
axelalex2#5793: Peeps still has more control, but it won't be as steamrolling
rivques#4310: peeps pushing *very* had
rivques#4310: i wanns see the scoeboard
rivques#4310: like 2400 points total |
rivques#4310: wtf
axelalex2#5793: bruv, most unsatisfying scoreline
axelalex2#5793: if you can score 9, you also can score 10
rivques#4310: yeah
rivques#4310: they sorta stalled
rivques#4310: im calling this game 5-2
axelalex2#5793: nah, usually, when one team isn't clearly stronger than the other, the second game is approached much more defensively by both parties
L0laapk3#2010: Papa winnieh called told em to slow it down
rivques#4310: one of us obviously watches more RLCS thn the other
rivques#4310: OHH
rivques#4310: wow
axelalex2#5793: the setup, oh man
rivques#4310: i *really* want to hear their comms
axelalex2#5793: ah shit, here we go agane
tarehart#6423: https://clips.twitch.tv/TawdryAverageMochaTwitchRaid |
L0laapk3#2010: tarehart posting gameplay in soloq cure waaaaat
L0laapk3#2010: i mean its not his own gameplay but still
Hytak#5125: Lol, I never saw people sit on the ring like that
Mal#5601: It's the second greatest bm move possible
jeroen11dijk#1178: after missing an open net
Mal#5601: @Hytak wanna join?
Mal#5601: or @L0laapk3
L0laapk3#2010: no
Hytak#5125: @Mal i'm not free yet
r0bbi3#0269: i think i've done this now
L0laapk3#2010: epic
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: turbopolsa
Player 2 on team 1: mist
Player 3 on team 1: atomic |
Player 1 on team 2: marc by 8
Player 2 on team 2: extra
Player 3 on team 2: m0nkey m00n
Win probabilities:
Team 1 in BO1: 43.02%
Team 1 in BO3: 39.59%
Team 1 in BO5: 37.08%
Team 1 in BO7: 35.02%
```
r0bbi3#0269: confirmed
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: m0nkey m00n
Player 2 on team 1: extra
Player 3 on team 1: marc by 8
Player 1 on team 2: kronovi |
Player 2 on team 2: lachinio
Player 3 on team 2: 0ver zer0
Win probabilities:
Team 1 in BO1: 83.43%
Team 1 in BO3: 92.67%
Team 1 in BO5: 96.51%
Team 1 in BO7: 98.27%
```
L0laapk3#2010: Pog
L0laapk3#2010: Now turn the probability in how much % of your total you should bet
L0laapk3#2010: how accurate is that? xd
L0laapk3#2010: your goal should be to keep your risk of ruin a constant number troughout all your bets
L0laapk3#2010: but is it actually 98%?
L0laapk3#2010: you have to account for inaccuracies of your tool
L0laapk3#2010: maybe just use some safety margin on your prediction so something like 98% * .8 + .5 * .2 = 88% |
Hytak#5125: 98% chance means you need to bet 98% of your points
L0laapk3#2010: no
Hytak#5125: yes
L0laapk3#2010: no
Hytak#5125: xD
Hytak#5125: quick math
Hytak#5125: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion
L0laapk3#2010: Huh
L0laapk3#2010: Thats simpler than i thought
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 what did you do to get those numbers?
Mal#5601: mafs
r0bbi3#0269: ^
Rocket League #announcements#0000: Fennec Decals in the Esports Shop! A new Effect Intensity setting! The Next Rocket League Update Arrives February 1!
Details: https://www.rocketleague.com/news/next-rocket-league-update-arrives-february-1/
r0bbi3#0269: finally some good news |
Rocket League #announcements#0000: We are releasing a small update today at 4pm PST (12am UTC tomorrow) for PC, PlayStation, and Xbox. This update will not disrupt online play when it becomes available.
Konvertor#3146: About time :AxelChamp:
Mal#5601: if it ain't on the scarab it ain't worth it
Deleted User#0000: oh noes
Deleted User#0000: are the servers down?
Deleted User#0000: oh damn
Deleted User#0000: it's Steam that's down
Hytak#5125: anyone want to play rl?
twobackfromtheend#1471: ^
twobackfromtheend#1471: me
Hytak#5125: ok!
Mal#5601: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/804088431558787162/unknown.png
axelalex2#5793: serves you right for playing with a ball
Mal#5601: I should point out the other view is far better, in that my car still moved after I crashed and own goalled
axelalex2#5793: serves you double right for playing with a ball |
Hytak#5125: this screenshot is taken moments before disaster
twobackfromtheend#1471: https://www.gifyourgame.com/AlgidUnfearedMeyvnnooj
twobackfromtheend#1471: the disaster
axelalex2#5793: serves him triple right for playing snow day
ComputerK#1764: *gulp* s-snow day?
***vomits***
rivques#4310: Does this count as a missed ceilin shot? https://www.gifyourgame.com/StubbornZinckyBikke
ComputerK#1764: probably yeah
rivques#4310: yay! means a lot to a old
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :masters: __**RLOceania Masters: January - Master Division - Week 4**__
The fourth week of the weekly Psyonix-sponsored Oceanic tournament for January will be live on the hour!
:Reddit:: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l6pjrt/rlo_masters_rlo_master_division_january_week_4/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/RL_Oceania/RLO_Masters/January_2021/Master_Division/Week_4> |
:Twitch: Watch Live: The main stream will be live throughout the playoffs at <https://www.twitch.tv/rloceania>, and then most of the teams will also be streaming their runs! Visit either of the above links for a list of streams.
**Fan Rewards are not available.** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/804232937259663381/masters_jan21announcment.png
axelalex2#5793: watching SMUG always makes me want to improve in 1s
Mal#5601: @Hytak @twobackfromtheend RL?
Rocket League #announcements#0000: The NFL Super Bowl LV Celebration is coming to Rocket League! Join us Feb 2-8 as we unveil our brand new game mode, Gridiron, Event Challenges, and the return of the NFL Fan Pack.
https://www.rocketleague.com/news/suit-up-for-the-nfl-super-bowl-lv-celebration-in-rocket-league/
rivques#4310: huh
twobackfromtheend#1471: i'm free after dinner, not now
Mal#5601: kk
Mal#5601: actually I can't play anymore
Hytak#5125: Bruh
Mal#5601: burh
Mal#5601: when will you be available @Hytak |
Mal#5601: I might be able to play in ~30 mins
Hytak#5125: I am now
Hytak#5125: probably available till 10
Hytak#5125: @twobackfromtheend are you done with eating?
Deleted User#0000: lmao imagine eating dinner when it's lunch time 🤦♂️
Hytak#5125: imagine having lunch time during dinner
Deleted User#0000: k now ur mocking me >:(
Mal#5601: imagine imagineingining
twobackfromtheend#1471: @Hytak @Mal MC speedrun?
Hytak#5125: nah, you can do it without me
Mal#5601: Nah but I do wanna play RL
Mal#5601: I am free now
Mal#5601: @Hytak
Konvertor#3146: National Bot Football League 🤔
axelalex2#5793: i'm wondering when Hytak, TGD and twoback will form an official team, our second one in RLBot 🤔 |
axelalex2#5793: for context, the first one was Brom, Aces and me as RLBotters, we participated in 2 Seasons of the RLCS Qualifiers, best record with 4-2 :)
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series Season X - Winter: South America Grand Series 2**
Day 1 of the SAM Grand Series 2 kicks off on the hour!
:Twitch: Watch live:
🇪🇸 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketstreetlive>
🇺🇸 <http://www.twitch.tv/mlesportsgg3>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l74job/rlcs_x_sam_winter_split_phase_2_grand_series_day/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates:
<https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/South_America/2>
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/804452370058706984/20200816_184734.jpg
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 run the simulations |
L0laapk3#2010: Wait what they arent even streaming on their channel and fan rewards are available
r0bbi3#0269: aight wait a sec
L0laapk3#2010: what is this shit stream
L0laapk3#2010: one isnt even offline
L0laapk3#2010: they seriously linked a 400 follower twitch channel
r0bbi3#0269: i dont have any data on Lostt so i cant do it for this match
r0bbi3#0269: should be pretty easy for Novus Aevi tho
r0bbi3#0269: king caard :squadS:
L0laapk3#2010: whats the point if you cant bet on the main twitch channel tho
r0bbi3#0269: you can
L0laapk3#2010: how
L0laapk3#2010: theyre not even hosting
r0bbi3#0269: oh you meant for this stream? you asked me to run it 🤷
L0laapk3#2010: idk im poor ive got like 6k points
L0laapk3#2010: i never watch this shit |
r0bbi3#0269: best esport in the world
rivques#4310: uhh... help https://www.gifyourgame.com/MinuteUpturnedTiny
L0laapk3#2010: not feeling so well
rivques#4310: sorry
r0bbi3#0269: this is why i need a bot to do the predictions for me
L0laapk3#2010: is that public?
r0bbi3#0269: cmon just lemme have this one thing
L0laapk3#2010: its cool
L0laapk3#2010: is there like a rlcs database?
r0bbi3#0269: not really
L0laapk3#2010: how do you get the data xd
L0laapk3#2010: @twobackfromtheend (i think) always makes plots every season of rlcs, where does it come from
r0bbi3#0269: :squadS:
r0bbi3#0269: i presume he does it from replays
L0laapk3#2010: oh, this would do https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/804465422245036113/unknown.png |
L0laapk3#2010: you're doing it per player
L0laapk3#2010: which seems quite weird at first glance instead of doing it per combination
L0laapk3#2010: but then again otherwise you might not have enough data xd
r0bbi3#0269: :squadHmm:
L0laapk3#2010: i found one prediction tool online but it just puts out scores
L0laapk3#2010: okay i can just ping you everytime thats good enough i guess :smart:
r0bbi3#0269: you'll always remind me when a big event is on :happysack:
L0laapk3#2010: im about as consistent at watching rlcs as uhm
L0laapk3#2010: someone who isnt very consistent at watching rlcs
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: haberkamper
Player 2 on team 1: firefoxd
Player 3 on team 1: renan
Player 1 on team 2: ajg
Player 2 on team 2: shadd |
Player 3 on team 2: reysbull
Win probabilities:
Team 2 in BO1: 64.88%
Team 2 in BO3: 71.66%
Team 2 in BO5: 76.29%
Team 2 in BO7: 79.81%
```
Recruit_main707#8518: for a second i though it was red_fox
r0bbi3#0269: no silly, it's the second longest standing rlcs duo, firefox and haberkamper!
L0laapk3#2010: i dont have any points on this channel
L0laapk3#2010: xd
L0laapk3#2010: also
L0laapk3#2010: they display the time when they play
L0laapk3#2010: with no timezone
L0laapk3#2010: no local clock |
L0laapk3#2010: next one on the list is 5:15 PM and its 23:26. what do you do
L0laapk3#2010: im not even logged in apparently
L0laapk3#2010: their email service is slow as ass
L0laapk3#2010: you cant even bet what are you talking about
r0bbi3#0269: lola you're falling apart man what's going on
L0laapk3#2010: xd
L0laapk3#2010: was there any betting opportunity? there wasnt
L0laapk3#2010: smh
L0laapk3#2010: suco my laranja
r0bbi3#0269: just wait for saturday + championship sunday and you'll have a field day
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series Season X - Winter: South America Grand Series 2**
Day 2 of the SAM Grand Series 2 is live right now!
:Twitch: Watch live:
🇪🇸 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketstreetlive> |
🇺🇸 <http://www.twitch.tv/mlesportsgg3>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l7yhk6/rlcs_x_sam_winter_split_phase_2_grand_series_day/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates:
<https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/South_America/2>
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/804807316536557568/20200816_184734.jpg
sebik#6528: nooo i got my first good airdribble angle but its more than 8mb
sebik#6528: maybe shoudn't have recorded in 1080p60fps
Darxeal#1784: upload it to imgur or gfycat and post a gif
sebik#6528: taking a bit to upload
sebik#6528: http://imgur.com/gallery/OY0ntFn
sebik#6528: idk if it was going in anyways
Mal#5601: nice |
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: **:RLCS: Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - North America Winter Split Regional Event 3 - Day 3**
The pre-show is live now and matches kick off on the hour!
Watch Live:
A-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_qp1VwLuzs>
B-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/UGC>
:Reddit: Live Discussion:
<https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l8pb7b/rlcs_x_na_regional_3_day_3_of_4_winter_split_live/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: |
<https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/North_America/3>
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/805127785562505226/rlcswintersplit.png
L0laapk3#2010: > 1080p60
L0laapk3#2010: > phone recording of screen
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3
L0laapk3#2010: Run the numbers
r0bbi3#0269: i gotchu chief
r0bbi3#0269: it'll take a sec tho
L0laapk3#2010: Now
L0laapk3#2010: Now now
L0laapk3#2010: 3 mins
L0laapk3#2010: for close
L0laapk3#2010: i dont even know what format its gonna be
r0bbi3#0269: the ratio has to stabilise |
L0laapk3#2010: wtf they already started
L0laapk3#2010: and i can still wait 2 more minutes
L0laapk3#2010: dude 1:6.5
L0laapk3#2010: what does your thing say?
L0laapk3#2010: win%
L0laapk3#2010: dont let me don now, 1 min left 😛
L0laapk3#2010: the ratio is stable
L0laapk3#2010: b = 5.9
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: turbopolsa
Player 2 on team 1: atomic
Player 3 on team 1: mist
Player 1 on team 2: gimmick
Player 2 on team 2: torment
Player 3 on team 2: comm |
Team 1 return ratio: 1.17
Team 2 return ratio: 6.87
Adjusted return ratios: 1:1.1702, 1:6.8762
Team 1 in BO1: 76.16% (Bet 10.88% on Team 2)
Team 1 in BO3: 85.66% (Bet 1.38% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO5: 90.83% (Bet 36.96% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO7: 93.96% (Bet 58.49% on Team 1)
```
L0laapk3#2010: wait 85% for version1??
L0laapk3#2010: damnit dude i voted too late
r0bbi3#0269: no lol, 85% for envy
L0laapk3#2010: it told me 5 seconds left
r0bbi3#0269: same i missed it too
r0bbi3#0269: program took too long
L0laapk3#2010: why u take so long |
r0bbi3#0269: but now it's running we can go straight away
L0laapk3#2010: i managed to bet 20 on version1
L0laapk3#2010: i forgot that u needed to click custom amount first
L0laapk3#2010: i wanted to bet 3k before getting your results
r0bbi3#0269: next time i'll enter the teams in the same order they appear on the twitch bet for you
r0bbi3#0269: and this is a BO5 btw
L0laapk3#2010: for 1:6.94 and bo5: 90.83%
kelly criterion says you need to bet .9083 - (1 - .9083)/5.94 = 89% of your total
L0laapk3#2010: how accurate do you think it is?
L0laapk3#2010: it doesnt seem like version1 have 76% win rate
r0bbi3#0269: they have a 24% winrate
L0laapk3#2010: wait wat
r0bbi3#0269: Envy are the heavy favourites
L0laapk3#2010: it says team 1
L0laapk3#2010: right |
L0laapk3#2010: i can read
r0bbi3#0269: that is Envy
r0bbi3#0269: https://tenor.com/ZEIG.gif
L0laapk3#2010: with b = 0.17 it still says we should've bet 36% of our total on them
L0laapk3#2010: oh you entered it already
L0laapk3#2010: ah you implemented all of that im not even reading
L0laapk3#2010: lmao
L0laapk3#2010: okay
L0laapk3#2010: i was hurried and missed that you added all of that to your thing
L0laapk3#2010: nice job on that btw
r0bbi3#0269: ty
r0bbi3#0269: <https://multistre.am/rocketleague/ugc> (nvm squad mode is back)
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 bets are open
r0bbi3#0269: gonna wait until 1 minute
Konvertor#3146: rlbot discord going to game the points 😎 |
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: firstkiller
Player 2 on team 1: turinturo
Player 3 on team 1: taroco
Player 1 on team 2: rizzo
Player 2 on team 2: jknaps
Player 3 on team 2: chicago
Team 1 return ratio: 3.82
Team 2 return ratio: 1.35
Adjusted return ratios: 1:3.8384, 1:1.3523
Team 2 in BO1: 52.88% (Bet 28.5% on Team 1)
Team 2 in BO3: 54.31% (Bet 26.56% on Team 1)
Team 2 in BO5: 55.38% (Bet 25.11% on Team 1)
Team 2 in BO7: 56.27% (Bet 23.91% on Team 1)
``` |
L0laapk3#2010: fuck i stopped paying attention
L0laapk3#2010: my base was getting destroyed in factorio
L0laapk3#2010: put the team names instead of team 1 and 2 :smart:
r0bbi3#0269: i was thinking about it ;)
L0laapk3#2010: for dumb people like me
Konvertor#3146: closing in 1 minute for V1 vs Peeps 😰
r0bbi3#0269: oh heck, i don't know if i'll catch all the B-stream matches
but here were the stats
```
Player 1 on team 1: gyro
Player 2 on team 1: ayyjayy
Player 3 on team 1: allushin
Player 1 on team 2: gimmick
Player 2 on team 2: torment
Player 3 on team 2: comm |
Team 1 return ratio: 2
Team 2 return ratio: 2
Adjusted return ratios: 1:2.0, 1:2.0
Team 1 in BO1: 51.71% (Bet 3.42% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO3: 52.56% (Bet 5.12% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO5: 53.2% (Bet 6.4% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO7: 53.73% (Bet 7.47% on Team 1)
```
Konvertor#3146: wait, you can add to your bet after it closes?
r0bbi3#0269: no
L0laapk3#2010: i have 0
L0laapk3#2010: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/805154704229269514/unknown.png
L0laapk3#2010: hmm
Konvertor#3146: the numbers keep changing, and it's saying I can
L0laapk3#2010: wait if you wawch on multistream do you get points on both? |
Konvertor#3146: or it's just messed up
r0bbi3#0269: you don't actively gain points on multistream, but you can bet
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 here's mine https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/805155048661188648/Screenshot_from_2021-01-30_122335.png
L0laapk3#2010: Lel
Konvertor#3146: now it says submissions closed
Konvertor#3146: 🥴
L0laapk3#2010: What my screenshot was for is "0 coins"
L0laapk3#2010: I have never opened the b stream
Konvertor#3146: 🥴
Deleted User#0000: stop talking and watch orphan's stream >:(
L0laapk3#2010: I completely forgot about that
Deleted User#0000: >:((
Deleted User#0000: #announcements
Deleted User#0000: subscribe to small tournaments alr
Deleted User#0000: or just pay attention to ur subscription xD |
L0laapk3#2010: im not really watching anything rn, im just in it for the betting
r0bbi3#0269: !redox #events
RLBot#1485: Channel police, anti-spam agent
L0laapk3#2010: wait its 2 2 now
L0laapk3#2010: what the hell xD
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 shitty predictions
L0laapk3#2010: good thing i was late
r0bbi3#0269: ?
r0bbi3#0269: we won points
L0laapk3#2010: wait what
r0bbi3#0269: `Team 2 in BO5: 55.38% (Bet 25.11% on Team 1)`
L0laapk3#2010: nice
r0bbi3#0269: G2 favoured but better to vote for Rogue
L0laapk3#2010: maybe if verizon spent a little less on ads and more on not providing a shitty service i wouldnt have known who they are from europe
Konvertor#3146: their service actually isn't shitty |
Konvertor#3146: their network is probably the largest and best in the us
Konvertor#3146: their customer service is crap
L0laapk3#2010: okay this time i will not miss the bet
Konvertor#3146: rlbot stonks 📈
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 do you take todays games into account?
r0bbi3#0269: no
r0bbi3#0269: i guess i could very easily
L0laapk3#2010: they may be the most important games
r0bbi3#0269: recency bias 😠
L0laapk3#2010: rl is a game of mental state no? 😛
L0laapk3#2010: i mean a team can perform a lot different from day to day
Konvertor#3146: I mean, it's just an educated guess. no model is going to ever perfectly predict an outcome, no matter how much tweaking you do to it
Konvertor#3146: so, as long as it's close enough
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: delta |
Player 2 on team 1: beastaboniam
Player 3 on team 1: andy
Player 1 on team 2: zps
Player 2 on team 2: radoko
Player 3 on team 2: sosa
Team 1 return ratio: 4.87
Team 2 return ratio: 1.26
Adjusted return ratios: 1:4.858, 1:1.2592
Team 2 in BO1: 66.36% (Bet 16.44% on Team 1)
Team 2 in BO3: 73.66% (Bet 7.25% on Team 1)
Team 2 in BO5: 78.55% (Bet 1.09% on Team 1)
Team 2 in BO7: 82.19% (Bet 13.48% on Team 2)
```
fyi teams are backwards
L0laapk3#2010: its super even? |
L0laapk3#2010: damnit
L0laapk3#2010: i saw 1% and couldnt be bothered
L0laapk3#2010: too hard to figure out which team is which 🥴
r0bbi3#0269: gotta remember the players :smart:
i'll make it a thing to enter the team name tho
L0laapk3#2010: i dont know any of the players i just have to read the ratio
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 b stream?
L0laapk3#2010: 😛
r0bbi3#0269: kk
L0laapk3#2010: the first game is already pretty much over
L0laapk3#2010: and its still 4 minutes left
L0laapk3#2010: thats usable
Konvertor#3146: it says 0:00 left for me, like last time
r0bbi3#0269: have you tried watching in squad mode
L0laapk3#2010: i refreshed and it still says 3:30 left |
L0laapk3#2010: get the B01 percentage
r0bbi3#0269: i cant change the code on the fly but you can try and estimate it from the numbers i guess
r0bbi3#0269: yeah
L0laapk3#2010: do it now
L0laapk3#2010: 😛
L0laapk3#2010: we'll have to do everything else manually
r0bbi3#0269: but it's the B-stream lol, is it worth
L0laapk3#2010: now its extra interesting
L0laapk3#2010: because we have more information
Konvertor#3146: rlbot needs to have the controlling interest in all RLCS channel points
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: shock
Player 2 on team 1: jruss
Player 3 on team 1: tcorrell
Player 1 on team 2: lj |
Player 2 on team 2: toastie
Player 3 on team 2: kraziks
Team 1 return ratio: 2.63
Team 2 return ratio: 1.61
Adjusted return ratios: 1:2.6347, 1:1.6117
Team 1 in BO1: 56.47% (Bet 29.85% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO3: 59.66% (Bet 34.97% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO5: 62.0% (Bet 38.76% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO7: 63.93% (Bet 41.86% on Team 1)
```
L0laapk3#2010: whats the maths like
r0bbi3#0269: what do you mean
L0laapk3#2010: i mean
L0laapk3#2010: i have 170 points
L0laapk3#2010: i juts bet everything |
L0laapk3#2010: since i'll have another 170 points by the time next bets opens
L0laapk3#2010: also i was too slow with the custom amount again so i just spammed a bunch of 10's xd
r0bbi3#0269: i gotta go eat so i might not be able to do some for a bit
L0laapk3#2010: D:<
L0laapk3#2010: closed source D:<
Konvertor#3146: D:
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 can you run it for the next game
r0bbi3#0269: all the points go through me :squadM:
L0laapk3#2010: i'll do the kelly stuff myself
r0bbi3#0269: sure
L0laapk3#2010: wait its gonna be half an hour or so for the next game? XD
L0laapk3#2010: its not like if loco wins 3-0 that the next game starts quicker
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: jknaps
Player 2 on team 1: rizzo |
Player 3 on team 1: chicago
Player 1 on team 2: jpow
Player 2 on team 2: alphakep
Player 3 on team 2: hockser
Team 1 return ratio: 2
Team 2 return ratio: 2
Adjusted return ratios: 1:2.0, 1:2.0
Team 1 in BO1: 84.81% (Bet 69.62% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO3: 93.78% (Bet 87.56% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO5: 97.24% (Bet 94.49% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO7: 98.73% (Bet 97.47% on Team 1)
```
r0bbi3#0269: so just ignore the bets and ratio for that
Konvertor#3146: 97% 😲
L0laapk3#2010: the thing i wonder is |
L0laapk3#2010: is any series really 97% sure
Konvertor#3146: that one is 😎
L0laapk3#2010: out of 30 BO5's on different days will they really win 29
L0laapk3#2010: this was 80% in favor of knights but they fucked them 3 - 0
L0laapk3#2010: there might be some amount of correlation between games in a BO5
L0laapk3#2010: and games on the same day
Konvertor#3146: I would expect there to be
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series Season X - Winter: South America Grand Series 2**
Day 1 of the SAM Grand Series 2 Playoffs is live right now!
:Twitch: Watch live:
🇪🇸 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketstreetlive>
🇺🇸 <http://www.twitch.tv/mlesportsgg3>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l8plek/rlcs_x_sam_winter_split_phase_2_grand_series_day/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share> |
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**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/805168503099097138/20200816_184734.jpg
L0laapk3#2010: so like, even tho we're watching BO5, the BO3 number might be more realistic
Konvertor#3146: now we got SAM to bet on too 🥳
L0laapk3#2010: lol
Konvertor#3146: ok, 3 is too many 😆
L0laapk3#2010: carpet bombing the schedule as always
L0laapk3#2010: what are they thinking
Konvertor#3146: well, OCE and SAM are run by their own organizers
L0laapk3#2010: im still of the opinion that there are way too many rlcs games
L0laapk3#2010: 85% on G2 currently, i'll run it again in acouple of min
L0laapk3#2010: as long as it stays around 1:1.24 |
L0laapk3#2010: 86.2%
L0laapk3#2010: this better be right
L0laapk3#2010: there should be a twitch.tv kelly criterion plugin
Konvertor#3146: lol
L0laapk3#2010: like honestly
L0laapk3#2010: xd
Konvertor#3146: I wonder how long before we have to start accounting for the rlbot betting cabal in the ratios 🤣
L0laapk3#2010: but like
L0laapk3#2010: this series has not been a "g2 wins 29 out of 30" series
L0laapk3#2010: at least thats what i feel 😛
Konvertor#3146: but they're still ahead 2-0 🤷♂️
Konvertor#3146: and W
L0laapk3#2010: yeah but
L0laapk3#2010: all the games have been struggles xD
L0laapk3#2010: if i just stop forgetting to bet surely i'll get to a ton of points pretty quickly |
Konvertor#3146: is @r0bbi3 going to be back in time for NRG v Rogue
L0laapk3#2010: surely
L0laapk3#2010: one can only eat for so long
L0laapk3#2010: before exploding
L0laapk3#2010: its true
Konvertor#3146: I bet 57k, I got about 72k 😎
L0laapk3#2010: i bet 4.6k out of my 5.1k or something
L0laapk3#2010: if they lost i wouldve been *b r o k e*
Konvertor#3146: shrug, you just make more
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 9 mins
Konvertor#3146: 😰
L0laapk3#2010: and here i was thinking he was gonna be back in time for previous series
Konvertor#3146: see, it says 3 minutes for me
Konvertor#3146: idk how my timer is so messed up
L0laapk3#2010: are they not on a fixed schedule? |
L0laapk3#2010: your system clock might be off
Konvertor#3146: oh shit
Konvertor#3146: it is
L0laapk3#2010: i noticed that it also wasnt very accurate
L0laapk3#2010: the closing time
Konvertor#3146: it's been off like 5 minutes for a few months
L0laapk3#2010: which is kinda garbage from twitch ngl
Konvertor#3146: and I never bothered to fix it
L0laapk3#2010: imagine using system clock for this shit
Konvertor#3146: well, i mean it probably records an absolute ending time for the prediction
Konvertor#3146: instead of a duration
Konvertor#3146: then the client reads that and uses the system clock to calculate the duration remaining
L0laapk3#2010: people are watching a stream in realtime
L0laapk3#2010: they dont have garbage connections or they wouldnt be able to watch
L0laapk3#2010: just send them "ends in x seconds" |
Konvertor#3146: but also database load, etc
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 😓 😓 😓
Konvertor#3146: much easier to just have the API give the client a time than a duration remaining
L0laapk3#2010: they probably send them in batches already
L0laapk3#2010: just do a single subtraction for eac batch
Konvertor#3146: but you can't cache that
L0laapk3#2010: now who do i bet for
Konvertor#3146: NRG
L0laapk3#2010: 🥴
L0laapk3#2010: lets see what the casters say
L0laapk3#2010: i'll just follow them, twitch chat is usually pretty garbage at predicting this
L0laapk3#2010: the real question is how much shoudl i bet
Konvertor#3146: I'm only betting like 100
Konvertor#3146: of 82k
Konvertor#3146: 🤣 |
L0laapk3#2010: xdd
L0laapk3#2010: how do they get to 70%
L0laapk3#2010: its just 70% of people, and twitch is showing 57% of capital? 😛
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 they don't use channel point predictions for the on-stream twitch prediction
Konvertor#3146: it's done by #TEAMNAME in twitch chat
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 😢
axelalex2#5793: i never noticed before, but this snow maps has the feature of snow disappearing, where demos happened
L0laapk3#2010: yea
axelalex2#5793: that's immaculate attention to detail :AxelChamp:
L0laapk3#2010: explosions are hot
Konvertor#3146: IIRC it also makes a little poof where you jump
Konvertor#3146: I might be wrong, but I seem to remember that being a thing when it first came out
axelalex2#5793: explosions are not necessarily hot, afaik, ofc with cars, boost and fuel i would understand
axelalex2#5793: not flashy from NRG, but well reacted to the physique from SSG
axelalex2#5793: Garrett bruh |
r0bbi3#0269: i'm back
Konvertor#3146: D:
Konvertor#3146: stats for NRG v SSG just for fun?
r0bbi3#0269: kk
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: arsenal
Player 2 on team 1: sypical
Player 3 on team 1: retals
Player 1 on team 2: jstn
Player 2 on team 2: garrettg
Player 3 on team 2: squishy
Team 1 return ratio: 2.32
Team 2 return ratio: 1.76
Adjusted return ratios: 1:2.3179, 1:1.7588
Team 1 in BO1: 55.0% (Bet 20.85% on Team 1) |
Team 1 in BO3: 57.47% (Bet 25.2% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO5: 59.31% (Bet 28.44% on Team 1)
Team 1 in BO7: 60.83% (Bet 31.1% on Team 1)
```
Konvertor#3146: SSG 😲
L0laapk3#2010: really dissapointing robbie
r0bbi3#0269: missed out on big bucks :(
L0laapk3#2010: i bet 10 on nrg
Konvertor#3146: I bet 100 on nrg
Konvertor#3146: but I also have like 10x the points of @L0laapk3
axelalex2#5793: NRG screwed themselves
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: firstkiller
Player 2 on team 1: turinturo
Player 3 on team 1: taroco |
Player 1 on team 2: turbopolsa
Player 2 on team 2: atomic
Player 3 on team 2: mist
Team 1 return ratio: 3.4
Team 2 return ratio: 1.42
Adjusted return ratios: 1:3.3904, 1:1.4183
Team 2 in BO1: 66.1% (Bet 6.25% on Team 1)
Team 2 in BO3: 73.32% (Bet 9.53% on Team 2)
Team 2 in BO5: 78.17% (Bet 25.97% on Team 2)
Team 2 in BO7: 81.79% (Bet 38.26% on Team 2)
```
axelalex2#5793: even after the first game which NRG won, you could tell, that SSG was more active in offense, which usually nets you the wins
axelalex2#5793: justin is the only thing NRG keeps them in the match
axelalex2#5793: his shots are on point
axelalex2#5793: NRG getting away with one again |
axelalex2#5793: dud, Rogue over Envy, what?
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 13 minutes for B stream
axelalex2#5793: much better game from NRG now, SSG wins
axelalex2#5793: nothing makes sense
axelalex2#5793: very well played
axelalex2#5793: that's the Garrett
axelalex2#5793: NRG turned the monitors on now, man, much quicker rotation
r0bbi3#0269: ```
Player 1 on team 1: lj
Player 2 on team 1: toastie
Player 3 on team 1: kraziks
Player 1 on team 2: andy
Player 2 on team 2: delta
Player 3 on team 2: beastaboniam
Team 1 return ratio: 1.85 |
Team 2 return ratio: 2.18
Adjusted return ratios: 1:1.8487, 1:2.1782
Team 1 in BO1: 50.41% (Bet 6.81% on Team 2)
Team 1 in BO3: 50.61% (Bet 6.43% on Team 2)
Team 1 in BO5: 50.76% (Bet 6.15% on Team 2)
Team 1 in BO7: 50.89% (Bet 5.91% on Team 2)
```
axelalex2#5793: what do these values mean actually? @r0bbi3
r0bbi3#0269: you can bet in twitch chat, and there is a "return ratio" for how many points you get back, so by using a prediction of who's gonna win, we're trying to optimise how much we're betting
r0bbi3#0269: if you don't care about betting the only interesting value is the win%
axelalex2#5793: so (Bet X% on Team 2) is the thing you should try to quickly hit up the points?
r0bbi3#0269: ya, bet X% of your points on team 2 in that case
Konvertor#3146: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion
Konvertor#3146: whoa, you can right click on a discord message and do TTS now 😲
r0bbi3#0269: ``` |
G2 vs PEEP
Return ratios: 1:1.3383, 1:3.9556
G2 in BO1: 62.83% (Bet 15.91% on PEEP)
G2 in BO3: 68.82% (Bet 7.89% on PEEP)
G2 in BO5: 73.02% (Bet 2.27% on PEEP)
G2 in BO7: 76.29% (Bet 6.21% on G2)
```
Konvertor#3146: whew
L0laapk3#2010: smh
L0laapk3#2010: i placed my bet at 3 seconds left
L0laapk3#2010: it didnt accept it
Konvertor#3146: we need a betting role that robbie can ping 😆
Konvertor#3146: I barely got mine in
r0bbi3#0269: i missed out trying to calculate how many points the percentage is lol
Konvertor#3146: F |
L0laapk3#2010: we should run the stats on what the correlation of back to back games is
r0bbi3#0269: 101mph Wowee
axelalex2#5793: how well did the betting system work so far?
L0laapk3#2010: its been working but the sample size is far too low
L0laapk3#2010: i honestly feel like the BO7 chances are better predicted by BO3 or BO5
r0bbi3#0269: it's very risk-free it seems
r0bbi3#0269: this stream i missed most of the bets but i went from 10k to 20k, on the slow-grind back up to my former self
axelalex2#5793: prediction was right, but how close do you have to be
axelalex2#5793: 73-27 in predictions, that's quite some channel points
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3
L0laapk3#2010: 1 min left
L0laapk3#2010: oh its the same game
r0bbi3#0269: wait what
L0laapk3#2010: also wtf prediction ended
L0laapk3#2010: this website sucks balls |
L0laapk3#2010: the tab was selected the whole time
r0bbi3#0269: the stream is over
L0laapk3#2010: lol
L0laapk3#2010: ok
L0laapk3#2010: i didnt pay attention
r0bbi3#0269: are you watching SAM or something
L0laapk3#2010: no
L0laapk3#2010: i looked at the tab and it said 5 minutes remaining for bet
L0laapk3#2010: and counting
Konvertor#3146: I missed most of them too, but went from 67k to 78k
r0bbi3#0269: 🤑
Konvertor#3146: 📈
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :masters: __**RLOceania Masters: January - Master Division - Tiebreaker**__
The qualifying tiebreaker for Psyonix-sponsored Oceanic tournament for January will be live on the hour!
|
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/RL_Oceania/RLO_Masters/January_2021/Master_Division/Tiebreaker>
:Twitch: Watch Live: <https://www.twitch.tv/rloceania>
**Fan Rewards are not available.** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/805322202287177778/masters_jan21announcment.png
twobackfromtheend#1471: anyone wanna play?
Hytak#5125: @twobackfromtheend yeah
Mal#5601: @twobackfromtheend maybe
L0laapk3#2010: @jeroen11dijk join
jeroen11dijk#1178: what for?
L0laapk3#2010: custom games
jeroen11dijk#1178: no I have to study xD
L0laapk3#2010: cmon you're smart you dont need to study
Mal#5601: What about chickens?
L0laapk3#2010: @B1ue_F1re join |
Jonas#2222: @jeroen11dijk join us, or someone is gonna do something to your olloseum
L0laapk3#2010: if we dont have an even number we cant play RL so we have to go fuck with you on minecraft
jeroen11dijk#1178: @twobackfromtheend HOW DARE YOU USE MY OWN SPELLS AGAINST ME
twobackfromtheend#1471: lol
Mal#5601: ye god @twobackfromtheend
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: **:RLCS: Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - North America Winter Split Regional Event 3 - Day 4**
The pre-show is live now and matches kick off on the hour!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sprmo3TgpcM>
:Reddit: Live Discussion:
<https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l9f41s/rlcs_x_na_regional_3_day_4_of_4_winter_split_live/>
|
:Liquipedia: Live Updates:
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**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/805490085855625266/rlcswintersplit.png
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 ping me
L0laapk3#2010: I cant watch rn but i can bet
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 watch RLCS 😠
L0laapk3#2010: I cant watch rn but i can bet
r0bbi3#0269: @L0laapk3 watch RLCS 😠
L0laapk3#2010: I cant watch rn but i can bet
r0bbi3#0269: @Konvertor i got so confused i didn't realise these were fictitious brackets
Konvertor#3146: 🤣
Konvertor#3146: they're just leaking the script 👀
L0laapk3#2010: i can watch now
L0laapk3#2010: not that im going to |
L0laapk3#2010: i just want to bet
L0laapk3#2010: i will watch the real alpha RL stream, @Eastvillage league play
r0bbi3#0269: shhh, you can't tell #league-play about #human-rl
L0laapk3#2010: damn the prediction
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 good timing it's just about to start, you can watch now 🙂
L0laapk3#2010: mere seconds
Konvertor#3146: 5ish minutes 👀
Konvertor#3146: I know, because my countdown says 0 🤣
r0bbi3#0269: we're probably gonna have to bet a small amount of the Peeps
r0bbi3#0269: is this BO5 or BO7
Konvertor#3146: 7
r0bbi3#0269: ```
SSG vs PEEP
Return ratios: 1:1.2701, 1:4.7019
SSG in BO1: 70.37% (Bet 10.63% on PEEP) |
SSG in BO3: 78.86% (Bet 0.6% on SSG)
SSG in BO5: 84.17% (Bet 25.58% on SSG)
SSG in BO7: 87.87% (Bet 42.95% on SSG)
```
L0laapk3#2010: it better be right
L0laapk3#2010: can you ping me? 😛
L0laapk3#2010: im watching east
Konvertor#3146: it's only channel points 🙃
r0bbi3#0269: he's betting real money :squadS:
L0laapk3#2010: i have complete faith in robbies algo
Konvertor#3146: > we need a betting role that robbie can ping 😆
Konvertor#3146: also, I found out last night that the maximum you can ~~bet~~ predict with is 250k
r0bbi3#0269: yep, the goal is that we reach the point in which we can only ~~bet~~ predict less than what the stats say :smart:
Konvertor#3146: I was looking for a channel points API to see if you could automatically pull return ratios from the API
Konvertor#3146: but they don't have any support for predictions in the API |
r0bbi3#0269: ooh
r0bbi3#0269: oh
Konvertor#3146: "A brick wall made out of sticks" -Shogun
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 D:<
r0bbi3#0269: did you sleep on the Peeps
L0laapk3#2010: you told me to bet 50% against
r0bbi3#0269: no i didn't
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 the series is only 1-1 🥴
L0laapk3#2010: right
r0bbi3#0269: calling it after the second game in a BO7 :squadLUL: the series is even :squadOmega:
L0laapk3#2010: i thought it was last
L0laapk3#2010: im just tabbing in because im actually watching easts thing
Konvertor#3146: don't get mad at robbie, because you're not multitasking properly 😩
L0laapk3#2010: xd
L0laapk3#2010: damnit robbie all my money |
L0laapk3#2010: i bet 10k € on this
Konvertor#3146: D:
Konvertor#3146: you shouldn't have bet all your money tho 🤔
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 congrats
L0laapk3#2010: you are by far the worst bot
L0laapk3#2010: wait #human-rl
r0bbi3#0269: :squadHUH:
r0bbi3#0269: this match is just farming clips
Konvertor#3146: lol
r0bbi3#0269: also why are they on Wasteland Night
r0bbi3#0269: somebody probably let retals pick maps again
Konvertor#3146: xD
Konvertor#3146: ezzzzz points
r0bbi3#0269: hang on a second
r0bbi3#0269: ok nvm |
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 how much of the winnings on that 10k € does @r0bbi3 get for a finder's fee?
L0laapk3#2010: 0
Konvertor#3146: D:<
L0laapk3#2010: € is worthless to him anyways
r0bbi3#0269: i'll put it all in $DOGE
Konvertor#3146: the return on JJ right now 👀
Konvertor#3146: 1:12 rofl
Konvertor#3146: nobody believes they can do it
L0laapk3#2010: lol
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3
L0laapk3#2010: also ayy you put the names in there
L0laapk3#2010: i didnt even notice because it was so easy to read
Konvertor#3146: still 3 minutes left 😠
r0bbi3#0269: 👍
r0bbi3#0269: yeah i got a timer going dw |
r0bbi3#0269: decided to check out the league
L0laapk3#2010: im also watching league XD
L0laapk3#2010: and farming xp
L0laapk3#2010: they already started playing again xD
r0bbi3#0269: ```
NV vs JJ
Return ratios: 1:1.1576, 1:7.345
NV in BO1: 83.03% (Bet 3.89% on JJ)
NV in BO3: 92.34% (Bet 43.71% on NV)
NV in BO5: 96.27% (Bet 72.61% on NV)
NV in BO7: 98.12% (Bet 86.19% on NV)
```
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 JJ scored, now I'm ruined
Konvertor#3146: /s
r0bbi3#0269: JJ took a shot, how can this be 98% 😠 |
Konvertor#3146: since there's only been like 3 BO7 reverse sweeps ever in RLCS, I'm going to say more ez points
Konvertor#3146: 🤑
Konvertor#3146: just over 100k now 😎
L0laapk3#2010: i just wanna get to the point where if it tells me to bet 10% i cant because im capped to 250k
L0laapk3#2010: xdxd
L0laapk3#2010: so i can just meme away 250k if i want to
sebik#6528: i keep kitting sick clips
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 yeah, me too
sebik#6528: but i forgot to turn off 4k 60fps
Konvertor#3146: sick clips are sick clips no matter the resolution 🙂
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 you''re on it right
sebik#6528: i cant send it though
sebik#6528: and takes like 10 minutes to put into gfycat
sebik#6528: or imgur
r0bbi3#0269: @L0laapk3 :P |
L0laapk3#2010: i figured the cap was 250k because people keep betting 250k
Konvertor#3146: yep, it is
Konvertor#3146: in the faq
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series Season X - Winter: South America Grand Series 2**
Final day of the SAM Grand Series 2 kicks off on the hour!
:Twitch: Watch live:
🇪🇸 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketstreetlive>
🇺🇸 <http://www.twitch.tv/mlesportsgg3>
:Reddit: Live Discussion:
<https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/l9ih8a/rlcs_x_sam_winter_split_phase_2_grand_series_day/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates:
<https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/South_America/2> |
**Fan Rewards are available on :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/805524722015141928/20200816_184734.jpg
Konvertor#3146: SAM ~~betting~~ predictions 👀
r0bbi3#0269: lol
Konvertor#3146: two was a little rough to keep up with yesterday, though
Konvertor#3146: the desk is picking rogue over nrg 🥴
axelalex2#5793: so, what's the numbers?
Konvertor#3146: closed?
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 D:<
r0bbi3#0269: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/805525607219593297/unknown.png
L0laapk3#2010: unbelievable
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
r0bbi3#0269: the prediction hasnt started yet
Konvertor#3146: it just closed
L0laapk3#2010: it juts closed |
Konvertor#3146: I think it actually closed early
r0bbi3#0269: it never appeared for me
L0laapk3#2010: i pinged you
r0bbi3#0269: the last prediction is still NV vs JJ
L0laapk3#2010: unbelievable
Konvertor#3146: even when you click on the channel points?
r0bbi3#0269: yes
Konvertor#3146: twitch D:<
r0bbi3#0269: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/805525991370915850/unknown.png
r0bbi3#0269: i see people in chat asking for predictions
Konvertor#3146: let's see the numbers for fun anyway
r0bbi3#0269: had to refresh to see it
kk
r0bbi3#0269: ```
RGE vs NRG |
Return ratios: 1:4.8381, 1:1.2605
NRG in BO1: 56.13% (Bet 29.25% on RGE)
NRG in BO3: 59.14% (Bet 25.45% on RGE)
NRG in BO5: 61.37% (Bet 22.64% on RGE)
NRG in BO7: 63.2% (Bet 20.33% on RGE)
```
twobackfromtheend#1471: r0bbie the real market manipulator
r0bbi3#0269: :smart:
Konvertor#3146: 20% on rogue, huh
L0laapk3#2010: a little late is it
Konvertor#3146: that could have been a good payoff too FeelsBadMan
r0bbi3#0269: yeah could've made bank :squadF:
Konvertor#3146: X to Doubt
sebik#6528: my nicest musty flick yet https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/805526906098286642/20210131_205436_1.mp4
r0bbi3#0269: lol i did and i was waiting for it to show up |
L0laapk3#2010: they always use a 10 minute timer
L0laapk3#2010: seems like it
Konvertor#3146: *12 minute
r0bbi3#0269: i thought the bet was a 10 minute entry tho
Konvertor#3146: anyway, if you see desk predictions and it isn't up, refresh
r0bbi3#0269: right
axelalex2#5793: NRG with more winning percentage? i would have voted on RGE regardless
r0bbi3#0269: it's always interesting to see the difference between:
twitch chat votes
twitch point distribution
analyst desk prediction
robbie's blackbox
alex's crystal ball
Konvertor#3146: ROFL, I just checked and if Rogue wins, I would have gotten near 100k in winnings
r0bbi3#0269: smiling through the pain rn |
Konvertor#3146: it's only channel points
r0bbi3#0269: yeah the most fun part about this "betting" is that the points are literally useless
Konvertor#3146: yeah XD
r0bbi3#0269: that sounds incredibly sarcastic but i mean it lol
r0bbi3#0269: (what i said)
Konvertor#3146: numbers go brrrr
axelalex2#5793: for the first series on the day for any team you can't really tell what's going on, so i was going after yesterday
axelalex2#5793: and yesterday didn't look very good for NRG, barely came by SSG
axelalex2#5793: but well, they look good now
r0bbi3#0269: beating SSG is good for NRG no matter the margin imo, i think SSG always have the edge
axelalex2#5793: nah, if NRG isn't controlling the pace, it's a coinflip, if they gonna win
axelalex2#5793: damn
axelalex2#5793: bruh, did NRG just miss a 3v1 situation
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 might have accidentally saved us from losing points 👀
r0bbi3#0269: if the prediction doesn't show up = don't make a prediction :smart: |
r0bbi3#0269: unless... 😳
Konvertor#3146: unless...
L0laapk3#2010: this is nice
Konvertor#3146: shook
L0laapk3#2010: i put 20 points on rogue
L0laapk3#2010: i realised with seconds left
L0laapk3#2010: that i had to bet
L0laapk3#2010: once again failed to do custom amount
Konvertor#3146: I should have put 20k FeelsBadMan
L0laapk3#2010: same
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
axelalex2#5793: called it
r0bbi3#0269: ay man don't blame me i told you who to bet, just not on time ;)
L0laapk3#2010: you didnt tell me who to bet when i told you to tell me who to bet
L0laapk3#2010: D:< |
Hytak#5125: ok, how do farm points with r0bbi3 predictions?
L0laapk3#2010: put the % of your total on the team that it tells you
r0bbi3#0269: prediction started this time :AxelChamp:
Konvertor#3146: @Hytak for example, this was the last prediction:
> RGE vs NRG
> Return ratios: 1:4.8381, 1:1.2605
> NRG in BO1: 56.13% (Bet 29.25% on RGE)
> NRG in BO3: 59.14% (Bet 25.45% on RGE)
> NRG in BO5: 61.37% (Bet 22.64% on RGE)
> NRG in BO7: 63.2% (Bet 20.33% on RGE)
so for best of 7, we were supposed to bet 20.33% on Rogue
Hytak#5125: alright, yeah i found the betting interface
Konvertor#3146: even though NRG was expected to win 63.2% of the time
L0laapk3#2010: im personally still having doubts about the correlation between games so i like to follow the BO5 for BO7 to account for correlation
Hytak#5125: is the next match BO7? |
L0laapk3#2010: ye
Konvertor#3146: they all are today
Hytak#5125: wait a sec
Hytak#5125: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/805541565430497320/unknown.png
Hytak#5125: what is this
r0bbi3#0269: betting is not allowed in your country*
Hytak#5125: bruh
Konvertor#3146: F
B1ue_F1re#9542: netherlands is really big on the anti gambling huh
Konvertor#3146: anti-gambling FeelsBadMan
L0laapk3#2010: hahahaha
Hytak#5125: it's worthless points
L0laapk3#2010: lmao
L0laapk3#2010: belgium is also anti betting
Konvertor#3146: can't even use channel points to gamble |
L0laapk3#2010: i think the key is that you cant buy them or something like that here, idk
r0bbi3#0269: 50:50 :squadS:
Konvertor#3146: about what you would expect for NV SSG
L0laapk3#2010: we are just profiting off of twitch chat getting it wrong
Recruit_main707#8518: why do they need to make spending money studiply illegal
Konvertor#3146: I mean, that's gambling
L0laapk3#2010: okay but you are unable to buy points
Deleted User#0000: just use a VPN
L0laapk3#2010: if you cannot buy points you are not gambling money
L0laapk3#2010: wait can you buy points
L0laapk3#2010: you can
L0laapk3#2010: i guess
L0laapk3#2010: my bad
L0laapk3#2010: lol
r0bbi3#0269: :squadHUH: |
Recruit_main707#8518: might aswell just make poverty illegal :smart:
r0bbi3#0269: you can sub for more points i guess
r0bbi3#0269: ```
SSG vs NV
Return ratios: 1:1.9704, 1:2.0305
NV in BO1: 55.4% (Bet 12.12% on NV)
NV in BO3: 58.07% (Bet 17.38% on NV)
NV in BO5: 60.05% (Bet 21.28% on NV)
NV in BO7: 61.68% (Bet 24.49% on NV)
```
axelalex2#5793: wait, why would we bet on NV now, if NV is the favourite?
L0laapk3#2010: because nv is the favorite
L0laapk3#2010: and twitch chat doesnt think they are
r0bbi3#0269: because twitch chat underrated them
axelalex2#5793: oh |
axelalex2#5793: but maybe, twitch chat was correct 🤔
Konvertor#3146: @axelalex2 it's calculated to lead to the highest wealth
Konvertor#3146: so, in this case, if twitch chat is right, you're only losing 24.49% of your total
L0laapk3#2010: what matters is the betting return ratios
Konvertor#3146: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion
Konvertor#3146: is how it's calculated
Hytak#5125: ehm
Konvertor#3146: of course, @r0bbi3 's predicted outcomes are a black box. We don't have accurate probabilities, because predicting the future is Hard ™
Konvertor#3146: but so far they seem close enough
Mal#5601: Just do it
axelalex2#5793: the calculation lead to absolutely nothing, if the option being calculated for is the less likely to win with the momentum the teams have in the tournament
L0laapk3#2010: ok
axelalex2#5793: SSG gonna win the rematch against NRG, Rogue winning the tournament
L0laapk3#2010: he cant even score the final goal
Konvertor#3146: that NRG v RGE miss going to cost us big on the day @r0bbi3 |
r0bbi3#0269: incredibly true
Konvertor#3146: wut
Konvertor#3146: F
r0bbi3#0269: unlucky
L0laapk3#2010: shitty blackbox
L0laapk3#2010: /s
r0bbi3#0269: checking turboi's twitter as we speak
Konvertor#3146: lol
Konvertor#3146: I would have been at about 150k, instead I'm back at 78k where I started the day 😆
Konvertor#3146: prediction started
twobackfromtheend#1471: the most complex calculation of my lifetime https://www.gifyourgame.com/LightweightOrthoAuron
L0laapk3#2010: lmao
Konvertor#3146: omg 😆
Konvertor#3146: https://tenor.com/view/quickmaths-bigshaq-mansnothot-comedy-gif-12235541
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 |
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