data stringlengths 14 24.3k |
|---|
Konvertor#3146: but they didn't and we stand to profit
Konvertor#3146: https://tenor.com/view/chadwick-boseman-black-panther-rub-hands-gif-11465694
L0laapk3#2010: what a play
Konvertor#3146: D: both teams
Konvertor#3146: https://tenor.com/view/sweat-gif-9269441
Konvertor#3146: well, it wasn't a garbage goal
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 's black box D:<
L0laapk3#2010: deserved the win xd
L0laapk3#2010: nah the black box is fine
L0laapk3#2010: this definitely wasnt a 1:3.3 return ratio game
Konvertor#3146: oh, a new commercial :AxelChamp:
L0laapk3#2010: xd
Konvertor#3146: they're only doing 5 minutes for predictions today
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 1 minute left
r0bbi3#0269: ``` |
BDS vs VIT
Return ratios: 1:1.6611, 1:2.5126
BDS in BO1: 54.71% (Bet 9.12% on VIT)
BDS in BO3: 57.05% (Bet 5.24% on VIT)
BDS in BO5: 58.78% (Bet 2.36% on VIT)
BDS in BO7: 60.22% (Bet 0.04% on BDS)
```
L0laapk3#2010: damnit
Konvertor#3146: love the BO7 bet, lol
r0bbi3#0269: oh heck this is BO7 isn't it, i bet for BO5
Konvertor#3146: I thought it was 5
Konvertor#3146: crap lol
Konvertor#3146: thought we were still in QFs
Konvertor#3146: I was just commenting on the low percentage
Konvertor#3146: oh well, it's only 7k |
Konvertor#3146: 😎
Konvertor#3146: lol at "computer generated images shown" for the F-150 "repainting" the lines
BGFBWCFR#1522: Can I post my clips here?
r0bbi3#0269: yea
Konvertor#3146: that's what this channel is for 🙂
BGFBWCFR#1522: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_0eTBlPIGCbbZRK07SvYWPAmcLbfcTfM/view?usp=drivesdk
BGFBWCFR#1522: I did a weird wavedash
BGFBWCFR#1522: It is quite cool
L0laapk3#2010: just upload it to imgur
L0laapk3#2010: i bet for BO3 🥴
L0laapk3#2010: to account for correlation
Konvertor#3146: BDS gonna win
L0laapk3#2010: Nahbro
Konvertor#3146: BDS still got this
L0laapk3#2010: Nahbro |
Konvertor#3146: EZ
L0laapk3#2010: I bet 5% on vitality
L0laapk3#2010: @twobackfromtheend are you the person who likes making rlcs stats?
twobackfromtheend#1471: idk. am I?
L0laapk3#2010: Idk
L0laapk3#2010: Haven't you posted some graphs before or was that someone else
Konvertor#3146: fairy's video has been lagging, I wonder if streaming his cam is giving him issues
L0laapk3#2010: Im sitting here wondering what the correlation is within one series (BO3/BO5/BO7) but too lazy to calculate it
Konvertor#3146: if it is, he should say something to the admins
L0laapk3#2010: @GooseFairy you gotta step it up man come on https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/812748011536121886/unknown.png
L0laapk3#2010: nice quality btw
L0laapk3#2010: hey its working
Konvertor#3146: an oil painting of fairy peak?
Konvertor#3146: "how to score an open net, that has to be @Athena" 🤣
L0laapk3#2010: ayy |
Konvertor#3146: Cole and Stumpy are treasures
L0laapk3#2010: what an angle man
L0laapk3#2010: lmao
L0laapk3#2010: how did this happen
Konvertor#3146: it was all your painting
L0laapk3#2010: 🐒 🌕
L0laapk3#2010: yea
L0laapk3#2010: man that angle for the 2-2 was disgusting
Konvertor#3146: ye
L0laapk3#2010: lets go
Konvertor#3146: wtf
L0laapk3#2010: its the painting dude
L0laapk3#2010: ayyyy
L0laapk3#2010: gimme my 5%
L0laapk3#2010: i feel like when these prejumps fall apart its gonna backfire hard |
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 meanwhile i clapped otter on easts stream
Tangil#3830: let's go dignitas
Tangil#3830: really felt like a clown fiesta at the end of that series though
Konvertor#3146: rofl
Tangil#3830: that goal was a clown fiesta
Konvertor#3146: real clown fiesta right there
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 B
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 D
L0laapk3#2010: dangit
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 S
Konvertor#3146: rip my 2%
L0laapk3#2010: lol
Tangil#3830: when is oxygen vs dignitas going to start?
Konvertor#3146: oh, 10 minutes for the prediction this time
Konvertor#3146: about 10-15 minutes @Tangil |
Konvertor#3146: You gonna gamble with us? 👀
Tangil#3830: no idea what you guys are gambling
Konvertor#3146: if not, we're totally not gambling
Konvertor#3146: channel points
Tangil#3830: ah
Tangil#3830: why does eleague come up before rlcs if you search for rlcs on twitch
Konvertor#3146: idk, that's weird
Tangil#3830: ok i put in 1400 channel points
Konvertor#3146: I just search rocket league 🤷
Konvertor#3146: @Tangil robbie has a black box that tells us what to bet xD
Tangil#3830: oh haha
Tangil#3830: how does it work?
Tangil#3830: what the heck is wavepunk wearing
Konvertor#3146: It's a black box that predicts how likely each team is to win, then uses https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion to determine the optimal bet
r0bbi3#0269: ``` |
OXG vs DIG
Return ratios: 1:3.4295, 1:1.4116
DIG in BO1: 50.04% (Bet 29.36% on OXG)
DIG in BO3: 50.06% (Bet 29.33% on OXG)
DIG in BO5: 50.08% (Bet 29.31% on OXG)
DIG in BO7: 50.09% (Bet 29.29% on OXG)
```
Konvertor#3146: B07
Tangil#3830: oh interesting, how does the black box predict the likelihood of winning?
Tangil#3830: i guess it wouldn't be a black box if we knew haha
Konvertor#3146: it's @r0bbi3 's black box, idk. lol
Konvertor#3146: that almost exactly 50% 😰
Tangil#3830: hold DIG, diamond hands baby
Konvertor#3146: so, in this case, DIG is barely favored to win, but because of the high return on OXG, betting 29% on OXG is optimal
L0laapk3#2010: hey what the fuck |
L0laapk3#2010: its closed
L0laapk3#2010: and the game hasnt even started
Konvertor#3146: you even had 10 minutes instead of 5 this time D:
L0laapk3#2010: i was watching league play man
Tangil#3830: oh that's interesting
L0laapk3#2010: its called the kelly criterion
Konvertor#3146: yeah, I linked it 🙂
Tangil#3830: there's still league play in rocket league?
L0laapk3#2010: yes its live right now
Konvertor#3146: league play in rlbot 🙃
L0laapk3#2010: they literally just everyone pinged you
Tangil#3830: ohhhhh
Tangil#3830: ah yeah i was just testing you
Tangil#3830: what an insane shot ! ! !
Konvertor#3146: rofl |
Konvertor#3146: 2 weeks in a row of glasses Jorby :AxelChamp:
Tangil#3830: I miss the old Dignitas, world champs Dignitas. Changed the meta Dignitas, clean rotations Dignitas. I hate the new Dignitas, infield passes Dignitas, lost to Cloud9 Dignitas, clown fiesta Dignitas, missing player camera Dignitas, this is the worst Dignitas. I miss the Cool Dignitas, good looking logo Dignitas, best team in the world Dignitas.
r0bbi3#0269: old Dignitas lost to C9
Tangil#3830: the moment they lost they became new dignitas
Tangil#3830: the exact frame where the timer reached 0:00 during that finals
Konvertor#3146: Is this going to be our big payoff? 😈
L0laapk3#2010: no
Konvertor#3146: D:
Konvertor#3146: no more paintings
Tangil#3830: i love the new dignitas, the 1-5 dignitas, the gives me channel points dignitas
Konvertor#3146: lol
axelalex2#5793: > I hate the new Dignitas, infield passes Dignitas
I'm sorry to break it to you, but even the cool Dignitas was passing infield hard
Tangil#3830: i like these cinematics before each match
Tangil#3830: really adds to the rocket league lore |
Konvertor#3146: the lore of the egg people
Tangil#3830: I miss the old PSG, season 4 PSG. Beats Method PSG, made it to semis PSG
Konvertor#3146: can't block the 🧦 PSG
Tangil#3830: ahah
Konvertor#3146: PSG: We'll be back, promise
Konvertor#3146: Barca: We can't afford our team, so we'll stay, but get a cheaper team
Konvertor#3146: Champion's Field :AxelChamp:
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
r0bbi3#0269: 📉
r0bbi3#0269: gonna eat, unsure if i'll be ready for the next two
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 predictions plz
Konvertor#3146: yeah, even if we don't have the bets
Tangil#3830: how many points do you guys have at this point
Konvertor#3146: down to 226k from 404k today FeelsBadMan
Konvertor#3146: went from 67k to 404k over the last two majors though |
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 didn't even leave us with predictions without the Kelly bets 😢
r0bbi3#0269: ```
SNG vs TOP
Return ratios: 1:2.6115, 1:1.6206
SNG in BO1: 50.04% (Bet 19.03% on SNG)
SNG in BO3: 50.05% (Bet 19.06% on SNG)
SNG in BO5: 50.07% (Bet 19.08% on SNG)
SNG in BO7: 50.08% (Bet 19.1% on SNG)
```
Konvertor#3146: what are these odds
Konvertor#3146: lol
Konvertor#3146: also too late now
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 everything is just 50% now
L0laapk3#2010: nice
r0bbi3#0269: ``` |
GXR vs GLD
Return ratios: 1:1.4604, 1:3.172
GLD in BO1: 50.27% (Bet 27.38% on GLD)
GLD in BO3: 50.41% (Bet 27.58% on GLD)
GLD in BO5: 50.51% (Bet 27.73% on GLD)
GLD in BO7: 50.6% (Bet 27.85% on GLD)
```
r0bbi3#0269: @Konvertor @L0laapk3
Konvertor#3146: we gonna win 1 today? 😩
Konvertor#3146: well, technically it got BDS right
Konvertor#3146: but I would have only bet 130 points on that and it was a low return
r0bbi3#0269: this is to make up for SAM day one where it went 5/5
Konvertor#3146: lol
Konvertor#3146: robbie's black box: has barely any info on SAM goes 100%
r0bbi3#0269: lol |
Konvertor#3146: also robbie's black box: has tons of historical data on EU 🥴
r0bbi3#0269: the last few being 50/50 splits concerns me a little, but then i think about the matchups and i guess they could be close
r0bbi3#0269: maybe apart from SNG-TOP
Konvertor#3146: check tomorrow's first rounds
Konvertor#3146: VIT-Blokes, BDS-DIG, OXG-GR or Guild
r0bbi3#0269: ```
VIT vs TOP
Return ratios: 1:2.0, 1:2.0
VIT in BO1: 60.8% (Bet 21.6% on VIT)
VIT in BO3: 65.94% (Bet 31.89% on VIT)
VIT in BO5: 69.63% (Bet 39.25% on VIT)
VIT in BO7: 72.55% (Bet 45.1% on VIT)
```
r0bbi3#0269: ```
BDS vs DIG |
Return ratios: 1:2.0, 1:2.0
BDS in BO1: 61.06% (Bet 22.13% on BDS)
BDS in BO3: 66.33% (Bet 32.65% on BDS)
BDS in BO5: 70.08% (Bet 40.16% on BDS)
BDS in BO7: 73.05% (Bet 46.1% on BDS)
```
r0bbi3#0269: ```
OXG vs GXR
Return ratios: 1:2.0, 1:2.0
OXG in BO1: 62.39% (Bet 24.77% on OXG)
OXG in BO3: 68.2% (Bet 36.4% on OXG)
OXG in BO5: 72.29% (Bet 44.58% on OXG)
OXG in BO7: 75.49% (Bet 50.98% on OXG)
```
r0bbi3#0269: ``` |
OXG vs GLD
Return ratios: 1:2.0, 1:2.0
OXG in BO1: 62.13% (Bet 24.26% on OXG)
OXG in BO3: 67.83% (Bet 35.67% on OXG)
OXG in BO5: 71.86% (Bet 43.73% on OXG)
OXG in BO7: 75.02% (Bet 50.05% on OXG)
```
Konvertor#3146: not 50% 👍
r0bbi3#0269: 👍
Konvertor#3146: they are shockingly similar though, lol
r0bbi3#0269: aw jeez
r0bbi3#0269: last two make sense to be similar if it thinks GXR-GLD is close
r0bbi3#0269: Deevo's so tall that he can't fit on camera
Konvertor#3146: it's his own camera
Tangil#3830: ahah what sort of name is Galaxy Racer |
Konvertor#3146: it is a name
r0bbi3#0269: yeah but he still couldn't get an angle that could contain his almighty frame
Konvertor#3146: @Tangil they've got big UAE money
r0bbi3#0269: all i know is that they're a saudi arabian org, maybe that changes their choice of name 🤷
r0bbi3#0269: tbh idk what i'm trying to say lol
Tangil#3830: next thing you know there's going to be greenwashing in this esport 😔
Konvertor#3146: Actually, it seems they're at a team house
Konvertor#3146: so it's not his camera, mystery solved
Konvertor#3146: https://tenor.com/view/sherlock-the-names-sherlock-holmes-benedict-cumberbatch-sherlocked-sherlock-holmes-gif-7521740
r0bbi3#0269: i was just about to say, "did Guild give them a sponsor wallpaper"
Konvertor#3146: you can see someone else in the background of tho or noly's cam
r0bbi3#0269: i think Noly
Konvertor#3146: I've never seen either, so I believe you 😆
r0bbi3#0269: only seen Tho once on Johnny's stream and he wore glasses 🥴
Konvertor#3146: wtf |
r0bbi3#0269: omg this pause
Konvertor#3146: even the players seemed surprised
r0bbi3#0269: heh i just looked back at Noly's reaction
Konvertor#3146: that's who I was looking at when it happened lol
r0bbi3#0269: great 11 seconds of RL
Konvertor#3146: where's our points 😩
r0bbi3#0269: thieving mods
Konvertor#3146: 😡
Konvertor#3146: are they really going to forget? lol
r0bbi3#0269: lol https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/812800169582133248/unknown.png
Konvertor#3146: lol
L0laapk3#2010: haha
Konvertor#3146: > Prediction started 5 hours ago
>
> Waiting for result |
Konvertor#3146: 🤣
r0bbi3#0269: atleast it doesn't expire :P
twobackfromtheend#1471: anyone wanna play?
Hytak#5125: yes
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :RLCS: **Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - Europe Winter Major - Day 2**
Day 2 of the Europe Winter Major has begun!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZQHe3OkbaXA>
Alternate language streams on :Twitch: :
🇫🇷 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketbaguette>
🇳🇱 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketbenelux>
🇩🇪 <https://www.twitch.tv/firewallrl> |
🇪🇸 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketstreetlive>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/lo6o24/rlcs_x_eu_european_major_day_2_of_2_winter_split/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/Europe>
**Fan Rewards are available on Twitch** :Twitch: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/813070412572524605/EswbkWuUwAEcjOp.png
r0bbi3#0269: @ Konvertor it came through lol
Konvertor#3146: they remembered :AxelChamp:
L0laapk3#2010: !r0bscribe
L0laapk3#2010: but catually this time
r0bbi3#0269: 1000 point lead :squadOmega:
Konvertor#3146: and @L0laapk3 doubted them yesterday
Konvertor#3146: smh my head
r0bbi3#0269: Fadeaway still in it :P |
r0bbi3#0269: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/813074884476797020/unknown.png
r0bbi3#0269: this shouldn't be legal
Konvertor#3146: D: poor endpoint
Konvertor#3146: They started it already 😮
Konvertor#3146: 2 minutes left
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 gimme
L0laapk3#2010: 40 sec
r0bbi3#0269: ```
VIT vs TOP
Return ratios: 1:1.3612, 1:3.7689
VIT in BO1: 60.79% (Bet 17.26% on TOP)
VIT in BO3: 65.93% (Bet 10.26% on TOP)
VIT in BO5: 69.61% (Bet 5.25% on TOP)
VIT in BO7: 72.53% (Bet 1.28% on TOP)
``` |
Konvertor#3146: clearing out the backfield 🤯
Tangil#3830: i like it when johnnyboi says 'yallready know'
Konvertor#3146: flawed black box
Konvertor#3146: removed the evidence 🥴
r0bbi3#0269: its source doesn't have all of yesterday's matches :P
Konvertor#3146: just scrape liquipedia :4Tare:
Tangil#3830: what's the source
r0bbi3#0269: octane API
Konvertor#3146: not liquipedia
r0bbi3#0269: my first idea was liquipedia
r0bbi3#0269: but it just seemed like a pain
Konvertor#3146: probably, yeah 😆
r0bbi3#0269: parse all the substitutions :4Tare:
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
r0bbi3#0269: 1.28% :4Tare: |
Konvertor#3146: 📉
Konvertor#3146: full 10 minutes this time 😌
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3
r0bbi3#0269: ```
GLD vs OXG
Return ratios: 1:3.577, 1:1.3881
OXG in BO1: 62.47% (Bet 13.29% on GLD)
OXG in BO3: 68.31% (Bet 5.18% on GLD)
OXG in BO5: 72.42% (Bet 1.36% on OXG)
OXG in BO7: 75.64% (Bet 12.85% on OXG)
```
Konvertor#3146: that's a bit early
L0laapk3#2010: BO7?
Konvertor#3146: yes
Konvertor#3146: all bo7 today |
r0bbi3#0269: well i would wait longer but Lola would keep pinging me if i did
Konvertor#3146: 😆
r0bbi3#0269: Noly with the british flag and Deevo with the english flag 🤔
L0laapk3#2010: VERY HIGH RATIOS TO BET
L0laapk3#2010: caps
L0laapk3#2010: interesting
L0laapk3#2010: even tho the win % is only a few off
r0bbi3#0269: Ferra feels more and more mechanical over time, he's still probably the least mechanical player in RLCS though
r0bbi3#0269: the glasses are here
Konvertor#3146: speaking of cams, I miss Bluey face-in-monitor cam 😞
r0bbi3#0269: heh i don't think i've seen that
Konvertor#3146: when he was playing with barca at lan
r0bbi3#0269: _posture_ https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/813094219291164743/48695551961_1327578fc7_k-1024x683.png
r0bbi3#0269: WOAH
axelalex2#5793: quite obvious, why he is the Airbus |
r0bbi3#0269: THAT SHOT
r0bbi3#0269: https://clips.twitch.tv/SmilingAthleticGullBrainSlug-QY_y5st5PR8cG6qC
Konvertor#3146: 😰
L0laapk3#2010: dang
L0laapk3#2010: Whew.
Konvertor#3146: DEEEEEEEVOOOO 😮
axelalex2#5793: oohhhh
L0laapk3#2010: deevo is nuts
axelalex2#5793: whoaoaoa
Konvertor#3146: wow
L0laapk3#2010: i mean
L0laapk3#2010: he just keeps doing these mind goals
Konvertor#3146: i'm not even mad, that was amazing
Konvertor#3146: wait, yes I am
r0bbi3#0269: 👏 |
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
L0laapk3#2010: pls ping me for the game
r0bbi3#0269: no :)
L0laapk3#2010: yes
r0bbi3#0269: you're gonna miss BDS-DIG :squadOmega:
L0laapk3#2010: Gotta eat
Konvertor#3146: what's more important food, or arbitrary channel points? 🥴
L0laapk3#2010: Both
L0laapk3#2010: Gimme the predictions
Konvertor#3146: don't give in to his terrorist demands
r0bbi3#0269: ```
BDS vs DIG
Return ratios: 1:1.4792, 1:3.0867
BDS in BO1: 61.04% (Bet 9.71% on DIG)
BDS in BO3: 66.29% (Bet 1.95% on DIG) |
BDS in BO5: 70.03% (Bet 7.5% on BDS)
BDS in BO7: 73.0% (Bet 16.66% on BDS)
```
L0laapk3#2010: Jokes on you i bet anyways
L0laapk3#2010: lag
L0laapk3#2010: i did the quick maths
L0laapk3#2010: 15.9k, i bet 2.5k
Konvertor#3146: you bet on dig?
L0laapk3#2010: yes
L0laapk3#2010: /s
Konvertor#3146: 🤣
twobackfromtheend#1471: https://www.gifyourgame.com/SanerLipoidMax @Hytak
Tangil#3830: what will the next season of rlcs be called
Tangil#3830: RLCS XI?
r0bbi3#0269: probably |
Konvertor#3146: I think it's all RLCSX from here on out
r0bbi3#0269: why do you think the season number wouldn't change?
Hytak#5125: beautiful
Konvertor#3146: I just got the impression RLCSX was more about the format than the season. I don't think they ever officially referred to it as "Season X" just RLCSX
r0bbi3#0269: interesting
L0laapk3#2010: RLCS 1
Konvertor#3146: ^
twobackfromtheend#1471: I think it'll just be pronounced RLCS eleven
L0laapk3#2010: RLCS 1 X series X
L0laapk3#2010: One
Konvertor#3146: RLCS360
r0bbi3#0269: so what does the X truly stand for then? 🤔
twobackfromtheend#1471: when apple released the iphone X, they referred to it as "iphone ten" everywhere.
twobackfromtheend#1471: i think psyonix just thought "rlcsx" was too snazzy not to go with/didn't think too much about it. and it'll just be rlcs XI (pronounced eleven) or RLCS 11
Tangil#3830: RLCS 2022 or RLCS Season 2022 |
r0bbi3#0269: RLCSX**I** (with the "I" being heavily pronounced)
r0bbi3#0269: i can imagine the casters saying that
L0laapk3#2010: RLCS X EYE
Konvertor#3146: Season 2 of RLCSX
r0bbi3#0269: ^ Epic games technique
L0laapk3#2010: Series 2
Tangil#3830: rlcsx part 2
L0laapk3#2010: Electric bungaloo
Tangil#3830: car football professional play X sequel
Konvertor#3146: Supersonic Acrobatic Rocket Powered Battle Cars 2: Championship Series X Season 2
Konvertor#3146: nailed it
Tangil#3830: cars 2
Konvertor#3146: yes, rocket league is SARPBC 2
Tangil#3830: cars 2
axelalex2#5793: gg |
Konvertor#3146: BDS has a nice place :AxelChamp:
r0bbi3#0269: ```
GLD vs VIT
Return ratios: 1:5.3489, 1:1.2299
VIT in BO1: 68.43% (Bet 15.83% on GLD)
VIT in BO3: 76.4% (Bet 6.03% on GLD)
VIT in BO5: 81.56% (Bet 1.36% on VIT)
VIT in BO7: 85.28% (Bet 21.24% on VIT)
```
Konvertor#3146: hecc
L0laapk3#2010: Too late
L0laapk3#2010: D:<
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 just git gud
L0laapk3#2010: Bruh
L0laapk3#2010: I have to pack my shit |
Konvertor#3146: what's more important packing, like an adult, or gambling with arbitrary channel points?
Konvertor#3146: clearly the latter :smart:
L0laapk3#2010: Yes
L0laapk3#2010: I was just seconds latz
r0bbi3#0269: why are Guild playing like this
Konvertor#3146: performance enhancing energy drinks? 🤔
r0bbi3#0269: ^
F for Wavepunk
Konvertor#3146: F
L0laapk3#2010: Haha
L0laapk3#2010: Ready to lose 20%
Konvertor#3146: D:
L0laapk3#2010: Nvm
L0laapk3#2010: Close
Konvertor#3146: They made Vitality mad |
L0laapk3#2010: Gg
r0bbi3#0269: doubting the 3-time?
L0laapk3#2010: Yes
Konvertor#3146: Almost back to where I started the weekend 😌
L0laapk3#2010: Robbbire
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3
r0bbi3#0269: ```
DIG vs VIT
Return ratios: 1:2.6164, 1:1.6186
VIT in BO1: 56.29% (Bet 8.89% on DIG)
VIT in BO3: 59.38% (Bet 3.88% on DIG)
VIT in BO5: 61.67% (Bet 0.18% on DIG)
VIT in BO7: 63.54% (Bet 4.61% on VIT)
```
Konvertor#3146: I figured it would be closer than that |
r0bbi3#0269: I think Vitality have the edge, Twitch chat was close
axelalex2#5793: i would like to see player names next to their cams
Konvertor#3146: in the bottom border maybe
Konvertor#3146: so it doesn't take up more space
axelalex2#5793: nice pass
axelalex2#5793: lesgo
axelalex2#5793: how did he find that
axelalex2#5793: inb4 unreal 5 minutes Game 6 OT
axelalex2#5793: 130 kph, out of nothing
axelalex2#5793: dude
Konvertor#3146: just pro things
axelalex2#5793: brilliant demo
axelalex2#5793: Game 7 :AxelChamp:
axelalex2#5793: ahhhh
Konvertor#3146: omg |
axelalex2#5793: NotLikeThis
Konvertor#3146: Vit don't mess around on Champion's Field
L0laapk3#2010: bruh
Konvertor#3146: 🤣
L0laapk3#2010: the fuck did i just watch
axelalex2#5793: ApparentlyTiltedAfterNotHittingThatDoubleTouch
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 their best Ronaky impersonation
L0laapk3#2010: its like ranked where my teammates are still wiping their ass or something
L0laapk3#2010: man they're gonna be so pissed off after losing 3-2
Konvertor#3146: leggo
L0laapk3#2010: fake kickoff
L0laapk3#2010: like before
L0laapk3#2010: do the number of goals etc matter?
L0laapk3#2010: for the points
Konvertor#3146: no |
Konvertor#3146: finally up for the weekend 📈
r0bbi3#0269: still down :squadF:
Konvertor#3146: F
L0laapk3#2010: wait surely this 5% increase didnt make the difference
L0laapk3#2010: i won 430 extra
L0laapk3#2010: on my total of 17.7k
Konvertor#3146: I started the weekend with 404k
Konvertor#3146: was at 399k before this match
Konvertor#3146: now I'm at 411k
Konvertor#3146: They're splitting it up again :whaa:
r0bbi3#0269: good
Konvertor#3146: > Will there be a Bracket Reset?
L0laapk3#2010: man
Konvertor#3146: At least it's clear this time what we're predicting, lol
L0laapk3#2010: they keep switching it up |
Konvertor#3146: I'm going to go on a limb and say no
Konvertor#3146: 🙃
L0laapk3#2010: ggs in the final
L0laapk3#2010: whats with the french
Konvertor#3146: French OP
L0laapk3#2010: i mean, this isnt new
L0laapk3#2010: but still
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 says Spanish is the new French, but where Giants at...
r0bbi3#0269: Giants and Queso just got unlucky
r0bbi3#0269: Marc represents in this tourney i guess
L0laapk3#2010: 1min
r0bbi3#0269: ```
VIT vs BDS
Return ratios: 1:3.0817, 1:1.4804
BDS in BO1: 54.86% (Bet 18.79% on VIT) |
BDS in BO3: 57.27% (Bet 15.22% on VIT)
BDS in BO5: 59.05% (Bet 12.58% on VIT)
BDS in BO7: 60.53% (Bet 10.39% on VIT)
```
Konvertor#3146: I don't like this
L0laapk3#2010: same
Konvertor#3146: I did it, but no way VIT resets
L0laapk3#2010: marc already inting
axelalex2#5793: maybe reset, but b2b? no way
Konvertor#3146: This was just for the reset
r0bbi3#0269: they're coming in hot
axelalex2#5793: BDS always starts a little slow
Konvertor#3146: This is going to be a 📉 weekend
axelalex2#5793: 2nd or 3rd game is where they start usually
L0laapk3#2010: ✅ |
axelalex2#5793: WHAT
L0laapk3#2010: bruh
L0laapk3#2010: unlucky
axelalex2#5793: this is the usual BDS, even if they don't win this, this goal gets them to game 2
Konvertor#3146: yeah
r0bbi3#0269: > I don't like this
> same
doubting the 3-time?
Konvertor#3146: against BDS, yes
Konvertor#3146: If it was literally any other team, no
axelalex2#5793: brilliant play
L0laapk3#2010: yea
axelalex2#5793: BDS is awake
axelalex2#5793: told ya
Konvertor#3146: there wasn't anybody there 😩 |
r0bbi3#0269: 😎
axelalex2#5793: Fairy Peak at 1 fps
Konvertor#3146: @axelalex2 he's been like that all tournament
axelalex2#5793: can't stop
Konvertor#3146: won't stop
axelalex2#5793: 2 opens 🤔
axelalex2#5793: WUIODSJNVONV
axelalex2#5793: VIT starting to double commit, this is gonna hurt them
axelalex2#5793: now, THAT is a snipe
Konvertor#3146: 😰
r0bbi3#0269: you guys said the blackbox was inaccurate
Konvertor#3146: no
r0bbi3#0269: i'd said it did pretty well with this prediction
Konvertor#3146: the blackbox said BDS 60%, but bet 10% on VIT
Konvertor#3146: I didn't like the 10% on VIT |
axelalex2#5793: yooo
axelalex2#5793: the intensity
Konvertor#3146: OT :AxelChamp:
axelalex2#5793: bro
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
Konvertor#3146: 📉
axelalex2#5793: can stop the Kaydop
Konvertor#3146: BDS can 😎
Konvertor#3146: Well, RIP points
axelalex2#5793: that's why you don't pick against BDS
r0bbi3#0269: they don't need the money nor the points
r0bbi3#0269: they're just being selfish
r0bbi3#0269: 😠
Konvertor#3146: lol
axelalex2#5793: they want to dominate the history of most dominating teams in RL |
Konvertor#3146: They haven't done the result yet again
Konvertor#3146: I wonder if this one will go all week 😆
Konvertor#3146: oh, there it goes
r0bbi3#0269: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/813174499150266378/EuyHX7OWQAMx2h8.png
L0laapk3#2010: its so frustrating when you're having a good day but still are not amking any progress
Konvertor#3146: Lukasz is the best
Konvertor#3146: 5 days until we can make our points back in NA 👀
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 it's not actually there 😞
r0bbi3#0269: yeah he tweeted it haha
Konvertor#3146: he must have done it as a preview or something, because I don't see it on the history 😦
r0bbi3#0269: https://twitter.com/Extra_RL/status/1363639565798567944
r0bbi3#0269: @Konvertor why
Konvertor#3146: D:
Konvertor#3146: It's hair, it will grow back
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/lp1sp0/psa_player_cams_are_in_alphabetical_order_of/ |
r0bbi3#0269: interesting, but we shouldn't have had to figure this out lol
Konvertor#3146: true
axelalex2#5793: i figured this after some time, but then they also switched positions of Marc_by_8. and M0nkey M00n from BDS around
Konvertor#3146: > Edit: I was also confused about monkey moon coming before mark by 8 but moon changed his name to start with “m0”
Rocket League #announcements#0000: The Super Cube LTM is now LIVE on all platforms! Also, don't forget to claim your FREE Shen Avatar Border in the Item Shop!
twobackfromtheend#1471: ???
twobackfromtheend#1471: rl anyone
axelalex2#5793: here here
axelalex2#5793: i could do something productive, but then i also haven't started that in the last 2 hours, so why bother
twobackfromtheend#1471: at this point just give up
twobackfromtheend#1471: save it for tomorrow
Rocket League #announcements#0000: We are giving 1000 Credits to players who bought an Event Crate or a Key that was used to open a Crate before we stopped offering them. No action needed - if you purchased these you should see the Credits in your account over the next few days.
Details: https://epic.gm/RLCredits
|
We believe players should know upfront what they are paying for when they make in-game purchases. This is why today we only offer Blueprints that show an item that can be built, and the price in Credits to build it.
Konvertor#3146: TFW you didn't buy keys, because crates were literally gambling, so you don't get $10
Konvertor#3146: Also, is this to potentially head off a class action suit? 🤔
Konvertor#3146: Oh, it is BECAUSE of a class action. I had no idea there was one filed against them.
L0laapk3#2010: what is this
L0laapk3#2010: lol
L0laapk3#2010: lol did you think it was out of kindness?
Konvertor#3146: > Also, is this to potentially head off a class action suit? 🤔
Konvertor#3146: I thought maybe they were trying to get in front of a class action. "We gave everyone $10 and we're really sorry"
Mal#5601: tbf they did only have to give it to american players but instead gave it to everyone else as well
twobackfromtheend#1471: tbf they might be under the impression they only have American players
twobackfromtheend#1471: nice server https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/813539588374528050/20210222222711_1.jpg
axelalex2#5793: Here is the replay file for anyone wondering, how it does feel like playing https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/813539743040143400/E6EA303147856CAECA5158AC0E5C1A40.replay
axelalex2#5793: good shit you can't switch to a new server for tournament games
Konvertor#3146: It'S NoT ThE SeRvEr It'S PaCkEt LoSs -Psyonix |
Konvertor#3146: I don't think I've ever seen the "Server Health" icon. Everybody in the server just HAPPENS to have connection issues at exactly the same time.
twobackfromtheend#1471: on the other hand you have people like this https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/813656022119612476/20210222225248_1.jpg
L0laapk3#2010: Ive seen the server icon at least 5 times
Rocket League #announcements#0000: The Season 2 Series Blueprints are dropping now, featuring the new (hybrid hitbox) Tygris!
Details, pics, and video: https://www.rocketleague.com/news/season-2-series-has-arrived/
rivques#4310: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/813905414134824970/unknown.png
rivques#4310: rumble
Mal#5601: What rank is that?
rivques#4310: Plat 1
Mal#5601: Ah makes sense
L0laapk3#2010: Tgd and his superiority complex
Mal#5601: No I am just wondering how there can be 6 goals in 1 minute
rivques#4310: Tokyo Underpass + many kickoff goals
B1ue_F1re#9542: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/814159399354236948/unknown.png
Hytak#5125: wait, there are two ways to interpret this |
Hytak#5125: is he for or against following rule #1?
B1ue_F1re#9542: he was in a rule one and the other guy broke it
Hytak#5125: ok lol
Mal#5601: lmao
L0laapk3#2010: Did he win?
L0laapk3#2010: Who am i kidding ofcourse he did
Jonas#2222: I dont like when people shittalk, but i cant stand when they shittalk AND their grammar is wrong
Jonas#2222: Like you cant even spell stfu
axelalex2#5793: one missed letter, oh no
L0laapk3#2010: 🍿
B1ue_F1re#9542: he was on my team and we won ofc, yeah
Jonas#2222: it was not a response to b1ue, i played a game myself
L0laapk3#2010: the fuck is super cube
L0laapk3#2010: just a cube ball game? xD
L0laapk3#2010: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/814207471006384139/unknown.png |
Jonas#2222: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/814214688824492072/20210224201101_1.jpg
r0bbi3#0269: jeez i just tuned into the freestyle ford stream, the Ford looks longer than two batmobiles combined
r0bbi3#0269: GOLDENBOY
r0bbi3#0269: anyways i hope this new drop system will improve the chat atleast slightly, not that i didn't have half the words blacklisted anyway
axelalex2#5793: kekw robbie
axelalex2#5793: i saw you get TOed
L0laapk3#2010: @Jonas is that a 4:3 screen
Jonas#2222: @L0laapk3 16:10 i think
Jonas#2222: @Mal u scared
r0bbi3#0269: lol
Mal#5601: sorry was throwing my rank with sledge jonas
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 got TO'd again :whaa:
r0bbi3#0269: i'm too much of a spammer
this time on johnny's stream :squadF:
Jonas#2222: wait is it johhny casting? |
Jonas#2222: his voice has turned so deep
Jonas#2222: oh no nvm its not
Jonas#2222: wait or is it?
Mal#5601: Gotta say, these bronzes really do be flexing https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/814257181528555550/20210224200346_1.jpg
axelalex2#5793: smurf account
r0bbi3#0269: nah he's just having a good day
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: :masters: __**RLOceania Masters: February - Master Division - Week 4**__
The fourth week of the weekly Psyonix-sponsored Oceanic tournament for February will be live on the hour!!
:Reddit:: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/lrzna9/rlo_masters_rlo_master_division_february_week_4/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/RL_Oceania/RLO_Masters/February_2021/Master_Division/Week_4>
:Twitch: Watch Live: The main stream will be live throughout the playoffs at <https://www.twitch.tv/rloceania>, and then most of the teams will also be streaming their runs! Visit either of the above links for a list of streams.
|
**Fan Rewards are not available.** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/814381972464861184/masters_feb21announcment.png
sebik#6528: http://imgur.com/gallery/haxeT7j
sebik#6528: Backwards pinch?
sebik#6528: Not really sure what that was
r0bbi3#0269: @Konvertor https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/814668540379791360/unknown.png
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 3 letters. B. D. S.
r0bbi3#0269: BDS got lucky they didn't have to face the Giants
r0bbi3#0269: https://twitter.com/JakeSucky/status/1365063278058119170?s=09
Konvertor#3146: Big pog if true
Jonas#2222: @Tangil @B1ue_F1re are you down?
B1ue_F1re#9542: sure
B1ue_F1re#9542: @Tangil come join
Tangil#3830: in 10 mins i'll be there
Jonas#2222: trying
Jonas#2222: maybe itll be my phone |
L0laapk3#2010: Trying
L0laapk3#2010: RL anyone?
Mal#5601: sure @L0laapk3
L0laapk3#2010: @Hytak
Mal#5601: @Hytak join us
Hytak#5125: yes
Mal#5601: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/814993055882936340/20210226225058_1.jpg
rivques#4310: wut
Mal#5601: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/814994070798598205/20210226225255_1.jpg
RobinCoffee#4713: ezzzz
Mal#5601: we got that dub
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: **:RLCS: Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - North America Winter Major - Day 1**
Day 1 of the North America Winter Major has begun! The B and C streams are live now, with the A-Stream beginning soon.
Watch Live: |
A-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4IctIkqh6G0>
B-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/UGC>
C-Stream:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/therocketrb>
Alternate language streams on :Twitch: :
🇫🇷 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketbaguette>
🇪🇸 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketstreetlive>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/ltpubk/rlcs_x_na_north_american_major_day_1_of_2_winter/> |
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/North_America>
**Fan Rewards are available on Twitch :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/815260699399815178/EswbkWuUwAEcjOp.png
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 📈
r0bbi3#0269: finally
L0laapk3#2010: !robscribe
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 5 minutes
Konvertor#3146: unlimited boost 🤣
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 dont let me down
r0bbi3#0269: march madness is back
L0laapk3#2010: Robbert
L0laapk3#2010: Im watching on phone its slower
Konvertor#3146: march madness :AxelChamp:
L0laapk3#2010: Gimme |
r0bbi3#0269: ```
SSG vs GG
Return ratios: 1:1.159, 1:7.29
SSG in BO1: 75.34% (Bet 12.68% on GG)
SSG in BO3: 84.75% (Bet 1.77% on GG)
SSG in BO5: 90.0% (Bet 27.12% on SSG)
SSG in BO7: 93.25% (Bet 50.81% on SSG)
```
L0laapk3#2010: Bo5 7?
Konvertor#3146: 5
L0laapk3#2010: This better be right
r0bbi3#0269: why
r0bbi3#0269: it would be funnier if it wasn't
Konvertor#3146: black box redeeming itself? 👀
L0laapk3#2010: Im oN mY pHoNe 24/7 |
Konvertor#3146: full 10 minutes this time 😌
L0laapk3#2010: Bo5 still yeah
Konvertor#3146: yeah
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3
r0bbi3#0269: ```
RGE vs PEEP
Return ratios: 1:1.2808, 1:4.5607
RGE in BO1: 61.06% (Bet 21.79% on PEEP)
RGE in BO3: 66.32% (Bet 15.05% on PEEP)
RGE in BO5: 70.08% (Bet 10.24% on PEEP)
RGE in BO7: 73.05% (Bet 6.43% on PEEP)
```
Konvertor#3146: black box not sleeping on the peeps
r0bbi3#0269: could be nice payout
r0bbi3#0269: yes i'm glad it doesn't sleep |
Konvertor#3146: rogue was hammering the backboard
Konvertor#3146: My BrOnZe LoBbIeS aRe BeTtEr ThAn ThIs
axelalex2#5793: NRG nearly lost to Version 1
L0laapk3#2010: Why can i only choose 160p or 360p
L0laapk3#2010: Hello can i have some pixels please
Konvertor#3146: because your internet is bad?
L0laapk3#2010: Its not
Konvertor#3146: the pixels say otherwise
L0laapk3#2010: Why doesnt it let me choose a higher res
L0laapk3#2010: I had to restart twitch app
axelalex2#5793: oh, twitch app, maybe that's why
Konvertor#3146: rip firstkiller
Konvertor#3146: his teammates killed him
axelalex2#5793: twice
axelalex2#5793: a defensive breakdown like that wouldn't happen with Kronovi |
axelalex2#5793: whoa
Konvertor#3146: 😮
Konvertor#3146: what a handoff
L0laapk3#2010: Bruh
L0laapk3#2010: Nice double double commit
Konvertor#3146: lol
L0laapk3#2010: Im liking these odds
L0laapk3#2010: 1:4.5
axelalex2#5793: i can't even blame Firstkiller too much on that, he learnt in this game, that he can't trust his teammate too much to support him in defense
Konvertor#3146: tfw you commit 4 players to a ball with only 3 players on a team
L0laapk3#2010: The 0:00 goal was nice
L0laapk3#2010: Kinda
L0laapk3#2010: What a pass
Konvertor#3146: allushin !
L0laapk3#2010: And then missed |
Konvertor#3146: HAS TO BE A GOAL
L0laapk3#2010: Lets go
L0laapk3#2010: Im liking these odds
axelalex2#5793: the majority of people went Rogue?
Konvertor#3146: channel points was 78% rogue
axelalex2#5793: BRUV
axelalex2#5793: why?
Konvertor#3146: they sleeping on the peeps
axelalex2#5793: i've seen Peeps first match on UGC, when Allushin doesn't make mistakes (being the backbone of the Peeps) and AyyJayy gets his solos, Peeps hard not easy to stop
Konvertor#3146: double backfield demo :AxelChamp:
axelalex2#5793: that's what they showed in their first match, so i would have went with them regardless
Konvertor#3146: LETSGO
L0laapk3#2010: Ayyy
L0laapk3#2010: Im liking these odds
Konvertor#3146: 4.5x return 😎 |
Konvertor#3146: over 500k :AxelChamp:
Konvertor#3146: literally made up for last weekend with that one bet 📈
Konvertor#3146: NRG-SSG is BO7
L0laapk3#2010: Nrg just played shite tho?
L0laapk3#2010: I mean, they had time to reset
Konvertor#3146: 0-2, 2-0, 0-5, 2-1, 4-1 vs V1
Konvertor#3146: doesn't seem that bad
L0laapk3#2010: Ah
Konvertor#3146: but I didn't watch the games 🤷
L0laapk3#2010: Baited
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3
L0laapk3#2010: Plz
L0laapk3#2010: Think about phone users
L0laapk3#2010: Gimme
r0bbi3#0269: ``` |
NRG vs SSG
Return ratios: 1:1.6922, 1:2.4446
SSG in BO1: 54.34% (Bet 22.73% on SSG)
SSG in BO3: 56.49% (Bet 26.38% on SSG)
SSG in BO5: 58.1% (Bet 29.09% on SSG)
SSG in BO7: 59.42% (Bet 31.33% on SSG)
```
L0laapk3#2010: Faster plz
L0laapk3#2010: Next time
r0bbi3#0269: calling it earlier = less accurate ratios
Konvertor#3146: 🤣
L0laapk3#2010: Plz give me 5 or 10 more seconds
L0laapk3#2010: Than this
L0laapk3#2010: I mean i put my bet in just wildly inaccurate
axelalex2#5793: damn Garrett |
Tangil#3830: jstn -> jstn. -> justin.
when will it end
axelalex2#5793: WHOWHOW
r0bbi3#0269: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/810573762294579210/1pm2pvtjytb61.png
r0bbi3#0269: soon...
axelalex2#5793: google meet sound lol
rivques#4310: yeah
Konvertor#3146: that's what that was 😆
Konvertor#3146: https://tenor.com/view/one-step-forward-paula-abdule-opposites-attract-gif-12557781
Konvertor#3146: two steps forward. two steps back.
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
L0laapk3#2010: lol its cool to see it swing in the first seconds
L0laapk3#2010: someone put a bunch on the peeps making it 0% 100%
L0laapk3#2010: so that percentage is definitely by amount
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 i wish you had last prediction ready 2 seconds later |
Konvertor#3146: 2 seconds later?
L0laapk3#2010: thats how much time i had left when i started typing the amount
Konvertor#3146: so you wanted to miss it?
L0laapk3#2010: yeah cuz it was wrong
Konvertor#3146: oh
L0laapk3#2010: at least i bet like 25% low while being in a hurry
L0laapk3#2010: quick maffsnt
Konvertor#3146: 😰
r0bbi3#0269: ```
NV vs PEEP
Return ratios: 1:1.3801, 1:3.6308
NV in BO1: 58.57% (Bet 19.17% on PEEP)
NV in BO3: 62.73% (Bet 13.43% on PEEP)
NV in BO5: 65.76% (Bet 9.25% on PEEP)
NV in BO7: 68.2% (Bet 5.87% on PEEP) |
```
Konvertor#3146: jesus that was close
r0bbi3#0269: i missed it, i just came back
Konvertor#3146: not sleeping on the peeps again 😎
Konvertor#3146: liefx.exe has stopped responding
L0laapk3#2010: aw man come on
L0laapk3#2010: how is it already closed
L0laapk3#2010: why do they have to be so damn inconsistent with it
Konvertor#3146: we didn't pick NV, we're bad people
axelalex2#5793: dud
axelalex2#5793: one of the most Turbo goals
Jonas#2222: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/815319912142209054/unknown.png
Jonas#2222: holy
Konvertor#3146: the squishy effect
Konvertor#3146: unless it just got there? |
Konvertor#3146: but it seems to be going down
Jonas#2222: about to write: wow these bots are really good who made them?😊
r0bbi3#0269: new drops effect
Konvertor#3146: peeps are just trapped 😩
Konvertor#3146: how has NV not scored
Jonas#2222: turbo gonna score it
Jonas#2222: im calling it
L0laapk3#2010: man
L0laapk3#2010: this gonna be a long series
Konvertor#3146: OmegaLUL
Jonas#2222: wow look i was right
axelalex2#5793: James LUL
L0laapk3#2010: haha
L0laapk3#2010: his face
L0laapk3#2010: turbo big flex with the 4 time world champ title |
L0laapk3#2010: gotta say
Konvertor#3146: THE 4-Time
Jonas#2222: i dont really like how uniform the car designs are
Konvertor#3146: I think they should all be using their team decals
Konvertor#3146: with home and away colors
Jonas#2222: ^^
axelalex2#5793: wdym with "uniform"? i don't see uniforms at all
Jonas#2222: tru maybe not so uniform after all
Jonas#2222: daaamn
Jonas#2222: lul
axelalex2#5793: NV is gonna win against NRG again
L0laapk3#2010: these games are really good
axelalex2#5793: i would like Allushin to step up, not that he would be playing bad, but Gyro needs some inspiration from the usually most passive player on their team
axelalex2#5793: nice
axelalex2#5793: NOICE |
Konvertor#3146: LOL
L0laapk3#2010: xd
axelalex2#5793: oof
Konvertor#3146: omg
L0laapk3#2010: xd
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
Jonas#2222: oh did nv win it?
Konvertor#3146: yeah
axelalex2#5793: who would have thought?
Konvertor#3146: That's what the model predicted
L0laapk3#2010: WeRe A bIg SoCcEr FaMiLy
Konvertor#3146: 📉
Konvertor#3146: Back to BO5
Jonas#2222: GTA ad comes on
me: 👋 🚶♂️ |
L0laapk3#2010: wut
Jonas#2222: im leaving
L0laapk3#2010: bye o/
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3
r0bbi3#0269: ```
KCP vs RGE
Return ratios: 1:5.8105, 1:1.2079
RGE in BO1: 73.66% (Bet 11.02% on KCP)
RGE in BO3: 82.85% (Bet 0.33% on RGE)
RGE in BO5: 88.19% (Bet 31.38% on RGE)
RGE in BO7: 91.65% (Bet 51.46% on RGE)
```
L0laapk3#2010: got damnit man
L0laapk3#2010: i just sleep for like 10 seconds
L0laapk3#2010: im literally sitting here and watching |
L0laapk3#2010: while theyre not even playing
L0laapk3#2010: and im s till late all the time
Konvertor#3146: well, you keep missing all the losses 😆
L0laapk3#2010: team kfc not looking too good
L0laapk3#2010: ping me when this series is over
axelalex2#5793: omegalul
Darxeal#1784: xd
axelalex2#5793: @L0laapk3 how about a game 5?
r0bbi3#0269: :squadS:
r0bbi3#0269: how is this happening
L0laapk3#2010: You're joking
axelalex2#5793: i'm not
Darxeal#1784: pioneers owngoaling like bribblebot and still winning
axelalex2#5793: lmao
axelalex2#5793: what is Subie talking about with 2v3, if First demoed one guy? |
L0laapk3#2010: 1:5.7
L0laapk3#2010: What the hell is this
axelalex2#5793: aight, Game 6
L0laapk3#2010: I was just gonna say the same thing
L0laapk3#2010: Actually game 7
L0laapk3#2010: Game 6 is over
axelalex2#5793: oh my
Konvertor#3146: this is only BO5
L0laapk3#2010: Man
Konvertor#3146: LETSGOUGE
L0laapk3#2010: I mean
r0bbi3#0269: almost Throwgue again tho
L0laapk3#2010: I wouldnt say that
axelalex2#5793: now it was only Roughue
r0bbi3#0269: they were the heavy, heavy favourites |
Konvertor#3146: made barely anything 😦
r0bbi3#0269: still above where we started i think
r0bbi3#0269: just a shame about SSG's performance
r0bbi3#0269: oh man the timing of this bet with my game rn, idk fellas
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 🥴
r0bbi3#0269: might have to call it early 😳
Konvertor#3146: D:
r0bbi3#0269: we're close to a minute anyway
r0bbi3#0269: ```
V1 vs PINE
Return ratios: 1:1.4502, 1:3.2211
V1 in BO1: 56.18% (Bet 18.52% on PINE)
V1 in BO3: 59.23% (Bet 14.11% on PINE)
V1 in BO5: 61.48% (Bet 10.85% on PINE)
V1 in BO7: 63.32% (Bet 8.17% on PINE) |
```
Konvertor#3146: EZ
L0laapk3#2010: God damnit
L0laapk3#2010: No betting for me today
Konvertor#3146: 🤣
Konvertor#3146: that's what you get for being on a phone
Konvertor#3146: huh, 54-46 chat vote, but bets are 69-31
L0laapk3#2010: Yea
Konvertor#3146: usually they're fairly close
r0bbi3#0269: i swear V1 plays a weird type of rocket league where they just hit it in random directions and then it's bouncing in front of the opponent's net
Konvertor#3146: I'm good at that, can I be on V1? 🤔
L0laapk3#2010: im pretty good at the first part
Konvertor#3146: 😰
Konvertor#3146: omg
Konvertor#3146: wtf |
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
r0bbi3#0269: it literally couldn't have been closer
Konvertor#3146: yeah, but I lost more points
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 why dont you predict with 100% accuracy??????
L0laapk3#2010: i mean, i was late for the bet
L0laapk3#2010: but
L0laapk3#2010: just get it right next time
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 you're missing all the 📉
r0bbi3#0269: it predicted correctly :4Tare:
L0laapk3#2010: no
L0laapk3#2010: it says V1 61.48%
Konvertor#3146: and V1 won
L0laapk3#2010: while in reality, they won 100%
r0bbi3#0269: so it predicted correctly
L0laapk3#2010: you're 40% off |
r0bbi3#0269: game 5 OT BTW
Konvertor#3146: They won 3/5 games = 60%
Konvertor#3146: so it predicted almost perfectly
r0bbi3#0269: ^
L0laapk3#2010: thats not how this w-
L0laapk3#2010: also you're still off
r0bbi3#0269: imagine if we stopped betting after that one Peeps bet
Konvertor#3146: ikr
r0bbi3#0269: i mean "prediction"
L0laapk3#2010: so basically me
L0laapk3#2010: i mean
Konvertor#3146: PepeHands
L0laapk3#2010: i did bet 30% so all my profit is gone
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 i expect you to fix it tomorrow so its 100% accurate
L0laapk3#2010: no more percentage bullshit |
L0laapk3#2010: just say this team wins
r0bbi3#0269: kinda wanna look back at which predictions were correct today
Konvertor#3146: it says which team wins :whaa:
r0bbi3#0269: looks like the "upsets" were PEEP-RGE and NRG-SSG
L0laapk3#2010: no more games today right
r0bbi3#0269: second of which wasn't really an upset, but the winning margin was
Konvertor#3146: done for today 📉
L0laapk3#2010: @twobackfromtheend make a better prediction algorithm than robbie
L0laapk3#2010: this needs to be a competition
L0laapk3#2010: just track all the bet suggestions for a set period of times and see who gets the best result
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 just invent a time machine
Konvertor#3146: ez
r0bbi3#0269: tried that, ruined the suspense
Konvertor#3146: and you've been holding out on us :whaa:
Rocket League #esports-announcements#0000: **:RLCS: Rocket League Championship Series: Season X - North America Winter Major - Day 2** |
Day 2 of the North America Winter Major is starting on the hour!
Watch Live:
:Twitch: <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague>
:YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QMY9dvsnfAQ>
Alternate language streams on :Twitch: :
🇫🇷 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketbaguette>
🇪🇸 <https://www.twitch.tv/rocketstreetlive>
:Reddit: Live Discussion: <https://www.reddit.com/r/RocketLeagueEsports/comments/lujay6/rlcs_x_na_north_american_major_day_2_of_2_winter/>
:Liquipedia: Live Updates: <https://liquipedia.net/rocketleague/Rocket_League_Championship_Series/Season_X/Winter/North_America>
**Fan Rewards are available on Twitch :Twitch:** https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/416302172058288139/815641690337312768/EswbkWuUwAEcjOp.png |
axelalex2#5793: aight, lesgo
r0bbi3#0269: program takes too long to startup lol
r0bbi3#0269: ```
RGE vs SSG
Return ratios: 1:3.7938, 1:1.3579
RGE in BO1: 50.46% (Bet 32.73% on RGE)
RGE in BO3: 50.69% (Bet 33.04% on RGE)
RGE in BO5: 50.86% (Bet 33.27% on RGE)
RGE in BO7: 51.01% (Bet 33.47% on RGE)
```
axelalex2#5793: that's a quite constant rate
axelalex2#5793: wow, what a setup
Konvertor#3146: Aww hecc, I missed it
Konvertor#3146: Let's see if my sleeping in through Robbie's throws strat works
axelalex2#5793: SSG players all have their heads slightly down, not talking at all |
r0bbi3#0269: i missed it too, missed the opportunity to double our points almost 😢
axelalex2#5793: Firstkiller is currently Rogues best and worst player
L0laapk3#2010: Come on man
L0laapk3#2010: Y u guys never ping me
L0laapk3#2010: !r0bscribe bot is broken
Konvertor#3146: none of us made it anyway, it seems @L0laapk3
Konvertor#3146: F
Konvertor#3146: now the black box is just going to throw the rest of the day
axelalex2#5793: rip SSG
r0bbi3#0269: ^
axelalex2#5793: and rip Jorbys "all Game 7s"-Bracket Prediction
Konvertor#3146: lol
L0laapk3#2010: Everythings bo7 on sundays yeah?
Konvertor#3146: yep
r0bbi3#0269: i guess that curses Peeps' run |
L0laapk3#2010: R0b can u do it a bit earlier today so i can keep up on my phone
Konvertor#3146: on your phone again :whaa:
L0laapk3#2010: Im lazy af man
L0laapk3#2010: Couch is life
L0laapk3#2010: And since they refuse to deliver my laptop
L0laapk3#2010: And my old laptop is completely immobalised
rivques#4310: they still havent delivered it?
r0bbi3#0269: you are trying to sacrifice us
L0laapk3#2010: It doesnt change that badly in 15 seconds Xd
Konvertor#3146: free 2 minutes Pog
r0bbi3#0269: inb4 Lola "i'm betting on the first scorer!"
L0laapk3#2010: I am tho
L0laapk3#2010: Gimme
r0bbi3#0269: i wrote a new output format for grand finals but it's a bit confusing
L0laapk3#2010: GIMME |
r0bbi3#0269: ```
V1 vs PEEP
Return ratios: 1:2.809, 1:1.5528
PEEP in BO7: 63.31% (Bet 1.69% on V1)
V1 reset: 13.46% (Bet 62.19% on PEEP)
PEEP reset: 40.08% (Bet 37.76% on V1)
```
r0bbi3#0269: "reset" means "reset and win" here
r0bbi3#0269: probably won't have to use it, but interesting to see
r0bbi3#0269: rare ceiling pinch :AxelChamp:
axelalex2#5793: not in tho :(
r0bbi3#0269: Allushin just casually eating post-game
axelalex2#5793: what
axelalex2#5793: lol, why did they let them play this ceiling ball?
L0laapk3#2010: I put 500 on peeps |
L0laapk3#2010: Xd
axelalex2#5793: 500 what?
r0bbi3#0269: euros
L0laapk3#2010: €
axelalex2#5793: could have been MMR points
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 pls put the bo3 bo5 back, i was using those
L0laapk3#2010: Ah yes, i bet 500 mmr
r0bbi3#0269: this is all BO7
L0laapk3#2010: If i lose im plat but if i win i might reach GC3
L0laapk3#2010: yeah but correlation
axelalex2#5793: GC3 only, if the return rate is 100%, which mostly it is not
Konvertor#3146: calculated
axelalex2#5793: potato league
Konvertor#3146: yep black box throwing
Jonas#2222: johnnybois voice has changed a lot i feel like |
Jonas#2222: probably just me being absent from rl for a long time
L0laapk3#2010: Ez win
L0laapk3#2010: I went against the black box
L0laapk3#2010: Suck it
Konvertor#3146: D:
Jonas#2222: what's the black box?
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 doesnt talk about anything
Konvertor#3146: @L0laapk3 is that one toxic player in this ranked lobby
Konvertor#3146: robbie's prediction black box
L0laapk3#2010: Yes
Jonas#2222: lol
Jonas#2222: reference to an airplanes black box?
Jonas#2222: oo here's a few people rocking their teams decal
Konvertor#3146: reference to we have no idea how it works
Konvertor#3146: it's a black box that spits out predictions |
Jonas#2222: lol
Jonas#2222: that stache looking fresh
L0laapk3#2010: robbie doesnt like open source
r0bbi3#0269: i only open-source after the fun is gone
r0bbi3#0269: just like my rlbots
Konvertor#3146: NRG v NV, the classic matchup
Konvertor#3146: They seem to play all the time
L0laapk3#2010: Because rlcs carpet bombing
r0bbi3#0269: top stream on twitch :AxelChamp:
Konvertor#3146: :AxelChamp:
Konvertor#3146: squishy effect
Konvertor#3146: 83-17 😮
r0bbi3#0269: free points for us
Konvertor#3146: I expect NV to win
r0bbi3#0269: ``` |
NRG vs NV
Return ratios: 1:1.579, 1:2.7271
NV in BO7: 54.69% (Bet 28.45% on NV)
NRG reset: 20.53% (Bet 67.58% on NV)
NV reset: 29.91% (Bet 18.45% on NRG)
```
L0laapk3#2010: BO5 numbers plz
Konvertor#3146: what a goal rofl
r0bbi3#0269: just skew it a little more to 50% :4Tare:
L0laapk3#2010: Oh fuck
L0laapk3#2010: Welp
L0laapk3#2010: 30% on nrg
Jonas#2222: omg mist is a weeb
Konvertor#3146: renegades are playing?
Jonas#2222: im rooting for nrg |
r0bbi3#0269: NA renegades are back :AxelChamp:
Konvertor#3146: @Jonas me too
Jonas#2222: wait responding to what :judging_tare:
Konvertor#3146: I still expect NV to win, they've had NRG's number
Konvertor#3146: rooting for NRG
r0bbi3#0269: i'm on NV
Konvertor#3146: but NRG is my team
r0bbi3#0269: i like Turbo's playstyle too much
r0bbi3#0269: also i originally started supporting PK back when they had Mist
Jonas#2222: i like it too, but i like nrg more
Jonas#2222: how many different casters do they need jesus
r0bbi3#0269: they go through a cycle
r0bbi3#0269: they almost always end on Wavepunk and Achieves for example
Jonas#2222: is it not just more expensive to hire more casters?
r0bbi3#0269: are you suggesting they use the same casters for 6 hours instead |
Jonas#2222: Nice shot! Nice shot!
Jonas#2222: idk, i havent seen how many they are in total
Jonas#2222: imo 4 could do it, but what do i know
L0laapk3#2010: Nooo nrg dont int
L0laapk3#2010: I accidentally bet 30% on you cmon dont let me down
Konvertor#3146: oooof
Konvertor#3146: yikes
Jonas#2222: what happens when a team that plays on blue team, versus another team that plays on blue team
Jonas#2222: is it then a 6v0?
Konvertor#3146: what?
Mal#5601: Are you drunk jonas?
Jonas#2222: envy plays on blue all of the time
Jonas#2222: and nrg plays on orange all of the time
Jonas#2222: like what happens if 2 teams both only plays for the blue
Konvertor#3146: one of them is orange |
Jonas#2222: 🤨
L0laapk3#2010: Xd
L0laapk3#2010: The match is cancelled
Konvertor#3146: freestyle tournament early
L0laapk3#2010: Xd
L0laapk3#2010: Huh
L0laapk3#2010: So maybe the trick is to just bet the inverse of robbox
L0laapk3#2010: !!! RULE 1 BROKEN !!!
twobackfromtheend#1471: Pog https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/815681538859204608/unknown.png
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
Konvertor#3146: 🤣
r0bbi3#0269: Everyday I vote for NV they lose
Konvertor#3146: why didn't you tell us this ahead of time 😩
wetbeef#2417: might bet half my channel points on rogue
Konvertor#3146: 218k 📉 |
L0laapk3#2010: 📈
L0laapk3#2010: Just bet on the wrong team like me guys
r0bbi3#0269: G2 pulled a Giants
L0laapk3#2010: Something something dont sleep on the peeps
r0bbi3#0269: You've learnt 2 years of lore in like 2 days Lola
wetbeef#2417: 😴
L0laapk3#2010: They predict peeps
L0laapk3#2010: Hmm
Konvertor#3146: fabio 😆
Konvertor#3146: 2 minutes of free time Pog
L0laapk3#2010: Casters doing market manipulation
L0laapk3#2010: @r0bbi3 fire it up
L0laapk3#2010: ROBBIE
r0bbi3#0269: ```
RGE vs PEEP |
Return ratios: 1:1.348, 1:3.8736
RGE in BO7: 73.39% (Bet 1.06% on PEEP)
RGE reset: 53.87% (Bet 27.39% on PEEP)
PEEP reset: 7.08% (Bet 72.58% on RGE)
```
Konvertor#3146: 1% KEKW
L0laapk3#2010: What a fucking pass
L0laapk3#2010: I was victim of double spend attack
L0laapk3#2010: Well it didnt update within 10 seconds so i just put another bet down
L0laapk3#2010: Both on rge btw
Konvertor#3146: D:
L0laapk3#2010: Firstkiller did the wall spam dash thingy once
Konvertor#3146: Forbidden technique 😧
r0bbi3#0269: Rogue looking good baby
r0bbi3#0269: you love to see it |
wetbeef#2417: been waiting for it since that one worlds where rogue was ayyjayy, kro, and wonder
L0laapk3#2010: Its too many goals in 1 game
L0laapk3#2010: They need to save some for the next games
L0laapk3#2010: That didnt age well
r0bbi3#0269: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/815688263548665906/unknown.png
wetbeef#2417: monkaS
L0laapk3#2010: Im telling you man
L0laapk3#2010: Just invert robbies results
r0bbi3#0269: you don't think Rogue are gonna win?
r0bbi3#0269: you believe in making the record books for a BO7 reversal
Konvertor#3146: I think lola is saying to bet against what your bet is
r0bbi3#0269: i think the blackbox is a better result predictor than the Twitch bet most of the time
wetbeef#2417: im new here, what is this predictor exactly?
r0bbi3#0269: the only thing you need to really focus on is the third line, it predicts that Rogue have a 73.39% chance to win a BO7
r0bbi3#0269: against the Peeps |
r0bbi3#0269: and then attempts to formulate the optimal bet from the return ratios
wetbeef#2417: what data do you use?
Konvertor#3146: using the Kelly criterion https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion
r0bbi3#0269: RLCS matches and various other large tournaments
wetbeef#2417: ggs 📈
Konvertor#3146: oh yeah @r0bbi3 D:<
r0bbi3#0269: predicted right ;)
r0bbi3#0269: predictor is gonna be bold and probably go big on Envy
r0bbi3#0269: not knowing Rogue's momentum
Konvertor#3146: as long as it gets it right
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3
r0bbi3#0269: ```
RGE vs NV
Return ratios: 1:1.4523, 1:3.2111
RGE in BO7: 55.8% (Bet 18.97% on NV) |
RGE reset: 31.13% (Bet 54.78% on NV)
NV reset: 19.54% (Bet 37.26% on RGE)
```
r0bbi3#0269: it thinks Rogue will win :AxelChamp:
r0bbi3#0269: i am proud
L0laapk3#2010: God damnit man
Konvertor#3146: RGE in BO7: 55.8%
r0bbi3#0269: yep
L0laapk3#2010: When i opened the chat i had 2 seconds left
wetbeef#2417: if it wasnt for the 4-0 over spacestation earlier i think envy would have it
Konvertor#3146: NV better upset 😡
Konvertor#3146: back-to-back weekends of losses is rough
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 how does the reset thing work?
L0laapk3#2010: Can you add BO5 again and for BO5 add BO3 thanks
r0bbi3#0269: `X reset` would be X resetting and winning it all |
r0bbi3#0269: kinda confusing but i wanted to keep it concise
L0laapk3#2010: Just rename to BO7+reset
Konvertor#3146: So, it doesn't mater who is upper/lower, it's just who wins it all?
L0laapk3#2010: RGE reset means if rge is lower
r0bbi3#0269: it doesn't know is upper or lower, so it just outputs whether the lower team would reset and win it all
r0bbi3#0269: i can manually remove it when pasting here i guess
r0bbi3#0269: Rogue play 1.5 men back and 1.5 in the opponent's half even when the ball is halfway in their net
L0laapk3#2010: And add BO5 back :D
Konvertor#3146: until they leave first to die in the net
Konvertor#3146: IT DIDN'T GO IN 😩
Konvertor#3146: TURBO
Konvertor#3146: TURBO
r0bbi3#0269: Rogue haven't lost a game today* :squadS:
wetbeef#2417: if they sweep again im gonna lose it
r0bbi3#0269: soon... |
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/373900457845850112/810573762294579210/1pm2pvtjytb61.png
L0laapk3#2010: Shut up man dont do this
r0bbi3#0269: facts don't care about your feelings :4Tare:
Konvertor#3146: what a "read"
wetbeef#2417: wow
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 D:<
Konvertor#3146: I was at 500k at one point, now I'm down to 175k 😢
r0bbi3#0269: if we didn't miss that first match...
r0bbi3#0269: actually accurate predictor chart: 📈
r0bbi3#0269: repeat that trend forever
L0laapk3#2010: Haha
L0laapk3#2010: I tried betting on rogue btw
L0laapk3#2010: But didnt have enough time
L0laapk3#2010: Im not feeling the bbox today
Konvertor#3146: freestyle time HYPE |
r0bbi3#0269: why Ford.
Konvertor#3146: because they paid money
Konvertor#3146: You could have the robbie freesyle invitational if you paid Psyonix a bunch of money too
r0bbi3#0269: and i can have my own transitions during stream too? :O
Konvertor#3146: probably
r0bbi3#0269: btw by "why Ford." i meant "why must you do this, Ford."
r0bbi3#0269: https://twitter.com/Turbopolsa/status/1366146359770898433
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3
r0bbi3#0269: :squadHmm:
Konvertor#3146: what does the black box say for mesko vs reel
r0bbi3#0269: REEL 100% :4Tare:
L0laapk3#2010: ROBBIEEE
r0bbi3#0269: WutFace WUTFACE GUY
L0laapk3#2010: 50s
r0bbi3#0269: just wait a sec |
L0laapk3#2010: PHONE
L0laapk3#2010: Dude
r0bbi3#0269: wait a sec
L0laapk3#2010: Man
L0laapk3#2010: Just release ur shit so i can press the button
Konvertor#3146: ```
REEL: 100% (Bet 100%)
```
r0bbi3#0269: ^
axelalex2#5793: Pianoman :AxelChamp:
L0laapk3#2010: Mesko in his kitchen
L0laapk3#2010: Im waiting for them to shittalk eachother live
L0laapk3#2010: Thats what i really wanna see
L0laapk3#2010: Nice.
Konvertor#3146: almost insane |
axelalex2#5793: not gonna reshow the winning shot?
r0bbi3#0269: this is shameless
L0laapk3#2010: Black box letting me down again
L0laapk3#2010: Tbh this is not very interesting
axelalex2#5793: i like it
r0bbi3#0269: i am, personally, not content with this showing, and would prefer to see the grand finals
L0laapk3#2010: I mean
L0laapk3#2010: I can go any freestyle yt channel and see this
L0laapk3#2010: Which isnt the case for the grand finals
axelalex2#5793: DAMN
L0laapk3#2010: And also the scoring system sucks
Konvertor#3146: Pog
Konvertor#3146: black box looking pretty good
B1ue_F1re#9542: is al of this just for channel points?
Konvertor#3146: our betting? yeah |
Konvertor#3146: the freestyle competition? no
Konvertor#3146: Reel wants that one so bad
twobackfromtheend#1471: ```py
def v_gittin_jr_rating_algorithm(shot, other_ratings):
return max(other_ratings)
```
L0laapk3#2010: Like
L0laapk3#2010: They just need to score everytime and farm 5/10
twobackfromtheend#1471: doesn't only the best shot count
Konvertor#3146: yeah, best score
axelalex2#5793: ye, best shot
axelalex2#5793: rip twobacks algorithm
twobackfromtheend#1471: F
r0bbi3#0269: unlucky twoback
Konvertor#3146: F |
axelalex2#5793: he is so elated
axelalex2#5793: damn
Konvertor#3146: even my black box only knows how to throw 😢
r0bbi3#0269: wtf i bet 3% on that
@Konvertor D:<
Konvertor#3146: it said to bet 100%
Konvertor#3146: so, that's on you
r0bbi3#0269: cOrReLaTiOn
Konvertor#3146: sandman 😄
L0laapk3#2010: Ping me for next real game pla
L0laapk3#2010: Plz
axelalex2#5793: 144k? they lost about 20k for the freestyle show
L0laapk3#2010: wait we still have to play 5 matches???
L0laapk3#2010: nvm
L0laapk3#2010: lol |
L0laapk3#2010: just one
L0laapk3#2010: or two depending
Konvertor#3146: yeah
Konvertor#3146: only 5 minutes this time 😰
axelalex2#5793: alright, i have to agree a little bit with r0bbi3, the freestyle thing is fun and i did enjoy that, but it destroys the pacing of the Regional a little bit
Konvertor#3146: it was a weird format too
axelalex2#5793: the format was pretty straight forward imo
Konvertor#3146: why not look at like olympics/x games judged competitions for the format
Konvertor#3146: they did like a weird jam session, bracket, best of 3 mash up
r0bbi3#0269: it's been around 2 and a half hours since NRG last played
r0bbi3#0269: talk about coming in cold, they're frozen
L0laapk3#2010: yeah
r0bbi3#0269: ```
BRACKET RESET?
Return ratios: 1:1.7918, 1:2.2629 |
YES in BO7: 60.4% (Bet 10.38% on YES)
```
L0laapk3#2010: imagine having to wait so long to play the finals for this shit
L0laapk3#2010: BO5 Numbers
L0laapk3#2010: D:<
L0laapk3#2010: or fix the correlation
L0laapk3#2010: thatd be even better
r0bbi3#0269: i literally have no clue what you mean with this "correlation"
axelalex2#5793: 60% likelihood of a Bracket Reset? wow
L0laapk3#2010: come on man
L0laapk3#2010: the games within a series are not uncorrelated
L0laapk3#2010: you threat them as perfectly separate events
L0laapk3#2010: while in reality they're the same players on the same day back to back
r0bbi3#0269: so what do you think the formula would be
L0laapk3#2010: for best results |
L0laapk3#2010: you need to rerun your prediction for the past data
L0laapk3#2010: figure out how much you ar off
r0bbi3#0269: :squadHmm:
axelalex2#5793: RGE 26% - 74% NRG
axelalex2#5793: Twitch Chat is 100% on our side
axelalex2#5793: yes
r0bbi3#0269: 📜 ✍️ look at data, fix mistakes, got it
L0laapk3#2010: i dont know how much correlation there is exactly
L0laapk3#2010: but i can tell you its more than zero
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 just make a 100% perfect prediction box
Konvertor#3146: ez
axelalex2#5793: whowhowhowhowohefoioijhg
L0laapk3#2010: no specifically the part where you turn your '% chance for them to win a BO1` to the BO5/BO7
r0bbi3#0269: 📜 ✍️ do better, got it
Konvertor#3146: no, do perfect |
Konvertor#3146: it can never be wrong
axelalex2#5793: welcome @r0bbi3
axelalex2#5793: Rogue losing their first game today
axelalex2#5793: to say that is still crazy
Konvertor#3146: @r0bbi3 that time that Echo Zulu made that deep run at Dreamhack, you box needs to be able to predict that
axelalex2#5793: or Peeps at DH Valencia?
L0laapk3#2010: you assume that all your '% chance to win BO1's are correct, based on that you can calculate the average historic correlation within a series
L0laapk3#2010: thats why i've been asking lower BO numbers, its crude but a positively correlated BO7 might be better approximated by an uncorrelated BO5 depending on how much correlataion there is
r0bbi3#0269: so you're saying you want to adjust the BO1 percentages based on the current match scoreline
L0laapk3#2010: no
L0laapk3#2010: leave everything up until your final BO1 number the same
L0laapk3#2010: to go from `% chance to win BO1` to `% chance to win BO7` you are using formulas that assume zero correlation between events (i assume)
r0bbi3#0269: yes
L0laapk3#2010: ill see if i can find the formulas
r0bbi3#0269: show me the papers |
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