| { | |
| "original_study": { | |
| "claim": { | |
| "hypothesis": "If individuals perceive newcomers as a threat to that community, then the \ngoverning institutions are likely to be called into question: those most worried about the effects of newcomers in the multicultural state may question the extent to which national political institutions will continue to represent a national citizenry.", | |
| "hypothesis_location": "Section: Concern about immigration and \npolitical trust; p. 205", | |
| "statement": "...the effect of concern about immigration on political trust remains—even after taking into account this potential automatic correspondence via voting for the far right and via left-right self-placement, as well as pessimism, attitudes to the economy, and attitudes to government provision of health and educational services.", | |
| "statement_location": "Section:Multivariate Analyses ; p. 220", | |
| "study_type": "Observational" | |
| }, | |
| "data": { | |
| "source": "European Social Survey", | |
| "wave_or_subset": "1-4", | |
| "sample_size": "not stated", | |
| "unit_of_analysis": "respondent", | |
| "access_details": "Available at http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/", | |
| "notes": "It is aggregated to the country level for the analysis." | |
| }, | |
| "method": { | |
| "description": "The authors use a multivariate analysis, which adjusts the standard errors for control variables at different levels of aggregation, to estimate the effect of immigration concerns on three measures of political distrust: politicians, parliament, and the legal system.", | |
| "steps": "(1) Reverse the coding of the political trust variable; (2) clean the sample by removing the excluded countries; (3) Run bivariate correlations between variables; (3) Run multilevel, multivariate analysis", | |
| "models": "Multivariate analysis", | |
| "outcome_variable": "political distrust (politicians, parliament, legal system)", | |
| "independent_variables": "concern about immigration", | |
| "control_variables": "far-right popularity;level of spending on social protection; long-term country of migration; governance quality; gdp per capita; unemployment rate", | |
| "tools_software": "not stated" | |
| }, | |
| "results": { | |
| "summary": "These results indicate that after controlling for fairly powerful predictors of distrust in politics, concern about immigration has a statistically significant effect on distrust in politics, with maximum effects of 1.7 on the 11-point measure of distrust in parliament, 1.3 on distrust in politicians, and 1.4 on distrust of the legal system.", | |
| "numerical_results": [ | |
| { | |
| "outcome_name": "distrust in parliament", | |
| "value": "0.17", | |
| "unit": "not stated", | |
| "effect_size": "not stated", | |
| "confidence_interval": { | |
| "lower": "not stated", | |
| "upper": "not stated", | |
| "level": "not stated" | |
| }, | |
| "p_value": "0.00", | |
| "statistical_significance": "5% level", | |
| "direction": "Positive", | |
| "notes": "They also report standard errors = 0.000." | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "outcome_name": "distrust in politicians", | |
| "value": "0.13", | |
| "unit": "not stated", | |
| "effect_size": "not stated", | |
| "confidence_interval": { | |
| "lower": "not stated", | |
| "upper": "not stated", | |
| "level": "not stated" | |
| }, | |
| "p_value": "0.00", | |
| "statistical_significance": "5% level", | |
| "direction": "Positive", | |
| "notes": "They also report standard errors = 0.000." | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "outcome_name": "distrust in legal system", | |
| "value": "0.14", | |
| "unit": "not stated", | |
| "effect_size": "not stated", | |
| "confidence_interval": { | |
| "lower": "not stated", | |
| "upper": "not stated", | |
| "level": "not stated" | |
| }, | |
| "p_value": "0.00", | |
| "statistical_significance": "5% level", | |
| "direction": "Positive", | |
| "notes": "They also report standard errors = 0.000." | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "metadata": { | |
| "original_paper_id": "S0043887112000032.", | |
| "original_paper_title": "The Cultural Divide in Europe: Migration, Multiculturalism, and Political Trust", | |
| "original_paper_code": "not stated", | |
| "original_paper_data": "http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/; http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?DataSetCode=naG; http://titania.sourceoecd.org/vl =3262696/cl=11/nw=1/rpsv/factbook2009/06/02/01/index.htm" | |
| } | |
| } | |
| } |