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Doug, We were trying to get everybody together for today but with no luck.
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Wednesday next week is the first feasible date.
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Sorry for that.
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Vince
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John, We are trying to hire Rabi De, whose sign-on bonus proposal was sent to you for approval, for RAC.
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He will support vale-at-risk applications, the area where we are hopelessly understaffed.
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dev03.message.text
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Vince
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Barry, Congratulations.
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Well deserved.
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Vince
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Thanks.
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Vince
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Chris, This is very well written and will serve the reader well.
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A few comments.
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1.
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When I think about the taxonomy of the VaR models, I typically use the classification based on 3 categories: a.
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variance/covariance method b.
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historical simulation c.
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Monte Carlo simulation.
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Delta approach is the way of representing a position in a nonlinear instrument.
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2.
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I would define Monte Carlo as an approach based on statistical simulation of behavior of all the market prices/rates, etc., and revaluation of the entire portfolio.
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The revaluation may be based on an approximation (using Taylor's expansion) that may involve delta, delta/gamma, delta/gamma/omega or may be exact (based on the same model that produces the mark-to-market portfolio valuations).
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The main benefit of using the MC simulation in the energy markets is the ability to capture the gapping behavior of the energy markets in a straightforward way.
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I would emphasize that there are attempts to incorporate jumps in the V/C model (I shall send you the references from home).
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3.
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I would mention that historical simulation may break down in the markets that are evolving quickly (new instruments for which we have no comparable prices, behavior of prices may change as markets mature or de-mature).
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4.
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For bigger portfolios, virtually all methods require some level of aggregation into atomic, elemental instruments to reduce the dimensionality of the problem.
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This process may be a source of a big error.
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5.
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The computational burden of MC can be reduced through clever preprocessing of a portfolio that introduces no error.
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Many swaps with the same underlying can be aggregated into one positions ( they are portfolios of forwards and they are linear instruments).
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Please, feel free to use any comment (or none).
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Vince
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Steve, Friday, September 8, 11:30 is fine with me.
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I can cancel the other meeting Vince
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Sophie, I think it's a fair deal.
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Vince
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Norma, Thanks for your message.
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Approved.
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Vince
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Shirley, They are from the UK, Arthur Andersen.
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I could meet with them on Monday.
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Vince
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Shirley, I already have lunch with Steve.
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Please, decline.
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Vince
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Jeff, Christ, Mark and myself are planning to visit Tom Piazze in October.
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I talked to Christy about Wharton and she will be calling Tom to set it up.
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Vince
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Mike, A nice picture of Elaina you can use as a wallpaper.
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Vince
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Eric, I think we can skip the meeting and discuss any issues between us.
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The meeting was convened at the request of Doug Arnell, but Jeff Shankman thinks that there is no need for formal meetings: we can ask them for the information directly on as needed basis.
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Vince Enron North America Corp.
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Meredith, Congratulations.
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Well deserved.
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Vince
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Sophie, Thanks.
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I shall discuss this with Steve as soon as we have the nomination form signed.
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I can do it while he is stioll here at Houston.
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Vince
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Eric, We are looking at the model.
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I shall get back to you next week.
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Enron North America Corp.
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John, This is the list of the business teams within ENA I received Tuesday from accounting.
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As you can see it is hopelessly behind our org chart.
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I shall bring it up with accounting.
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Vince
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FYI Vince
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Sheridan Titman Department of Finance College of Business Administration University of Texas Austin, Texas 78712-1179
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FYI Vince
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I have tons of papers on OAS.
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They are buried in many boxes in my garage.
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Let my try to excavate some of them.
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Vince
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Shirley, No problem.
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Please, coordinate with Kevin and Anita.
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Vince
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Shirley, Please, send him my bio.
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Vince
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FYI Vince
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Anthony, Congratulations.
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Well deserved.
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I am very happy for you.
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Better late than never.
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Vince
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Mike, Please, sign and return to me.
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Vince
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Bob, Can you, please take a look at this problem.
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I shall call you on Monday about it.
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Vince
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Alison, I recommended inviting Duane Seppi and Steven Shreve.
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I would also invite Brian Routledge.
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I don't know him but heard many good things about him.
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Kevin Kindall may have other recommendations.
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Vince Enron North America Corp.
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FYI Vince
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Aram Sogomonian
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