Datasets:
FOR RELEASE November 25, 2019
U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy
Democrats mostly agree the federal government should do more on climate, while Republicans differ by ideology, age and gender
BY Cary Funk and Meg Hefferon
FOR MEDIA OR OTHER INQUIRIES:
Cary Funk, Director, Science and society research Shawnee Cohn, Communications Manager
202.419.4372
RECOMMENDED CITATION
Pew Research Center, November,2019 “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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About Pew Research Center
Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world. It does not take policy positions. The Center conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, content analysis and other data-driven social science research. It studies U.S. politics and policy; journalism and media; internet, science and technology; religion and public life; Hispanic trends; global attitudes and trends; and U.S. social and demographic trends. All of the Center’s reports are available at www.pewresearch.org. Pew Research Center is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts, its primary funder.
© Pew Research Center 2019
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U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy
Democrats mostly agree the federal government should do more on climate, while Republicans differ by ideology, age and gender
Majorities of Americans say the federal government is doing too little for key aspects of the environment, from protecting water or air quality to reducing the effects of climate change. And most believe the United States should focus on developing alternative sources of energy over expansion of fossil fuel sources, according to a new Pew Research Center survey.
A majority of U.S. adults say they are taking at least some specific action in their daily lives to protect the environment, though Democrats and Republicans remain at ideological odds over the causes of climate change and the effects of policies to address it, according to the survey of 3,627 U.S. adults conducted Oct. 1 to Oct. 13, 2019, using the Center’s American Trends Panel.
Majorities of Americans say the federal government is not doing enough to protect the climate, environment % of U.S. adults who think the federal government is doing too little to …
% of U.S. adults who think the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change
Note: Respondents who said the federal government is doing about the right amount or doing too much and those did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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These findings come amid the Trump administration’s intention to officially withdraw from the 2016 Paris climate accord and ongoing efforts to roll back domestic environmental protection regulations, including relaxing limits on methane and carbon emissions.
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About two-thirds of U.S. adults (67%) say the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change, and similar shares say the same about government efforts to protect air (67%) and water quality (68%) – findings that are consistent with results from a 2018 Center survey.
While there is strong consensus among Democrats (90%, including independents who lean to the Democratic Party) on the need for more government efforts to reduce the effects of climate change, Republican views are divided along ideological, generational and gender lines. A majority of moderate or liberal Republicans (65%, including GOP-leaning independents) say the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change. In contrast, only about one- quarter of conservative Republicans (24%) say the same, while about half (48%) think the government is doing about the right amount and another 26% say it is doing too much.
There are also divides by age. Among younger Republicans – adults in the Millennial generation and Generation Z, ages 18 to 38 in 2019 – 52% think the government is doing too little on climate. By comparison, 41% among Generation X and 31% of Baby Boomer and older Americans say this. Republican women (46%) also are more inclined than GOP men (34%) to think the government’s efforts on climate are insufficient.
Views about government efforts to protect the environment in areas such as water or air quality show similar differences among Republicans by ideology, generation and gender.
Most in U.S. prioritize renewables over fossil fuels, but there are differences among Republicans % of U.S. adults who say the more important priority for U.S. energy supply should be …
Note: Full response options were “Developing alternative sources, such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology” and “Expanding exploration and production of oil, coal and natural gas.” Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Overall, about three-quarters of Americans (77%) agree that the more important energy priority should be developing alternative energy sources such as wind and solar power and hydrogen technology rather than increasing U.S. production of fossil fuels.
The vast majority of Democrats (90%) believe the U.S. should prioritize alternative energy development over expanded oil, coal and natural gas exploration and production. While generally supportive of prioritizing alternative energy sources, Republicans differ by ideology and generation, and more modestly by gender, in their views of U.S. energy supply priorities.
Most moderate or liberal Republicans (82%) say the U.S. should prioritize alternative energy sources. But conservative Republicans, who represent the party majority, are evenly divided over whether to prioritize alternative energy (49%) or expand fossil fuel production (49%). (Roughly two-thirds of Republicans and Republican leaners – 65% – describe themselves as conservative, while 34% are moderate or liberal, according to an average across four Center surveys conducted this year.)
In addition, a strong majority of younger Republicans (78% of Millennial and Gen Z adults, i.e., those ages 18 to 38) say the U.S. should prioritize alternative energies, compared with 61% of Gen X Republicans and about half of Baby Boomer and older Republicans (53%). GOP women tend to prioritize alternative energy development over expanding fossil fuels (66% to 32%). A smaller share of Republican men prioritize alternative energy development (58%) over fossil fuel expansion (42%).
Compared with 2017, support for prioritizing alternative energy development appears to be up among both Democrats and Republicans. However, in the 2017 survey, which was conducted by telephone, 5% of the public volunteered that both alternative energy and fossil fuels should be equal priorities. These methodological differences could account for the differences in findings over time. (See the Appendix for details. HYPERLINK).
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How Americans view the impact of climate change depends on where they live
Most Americans today (62%) say that climate change is affecting their local community either a great deal or some. That figure remains fairly steady from last year, when 59% reported at least some local effects of climate change.
The vast majority of this group says long periods of unusually hot weather (79% of those asked or 49% of all U.S. adults) represent a major local impact of climate change. They also say major effects include severe weather such as floods and intense storms (70%), harm to animal wildlife and their habitats (69%), damage to forests and plant life (67%) or droughts and water shortages (64%). More frequent wildfires and rising sea levels that erode beaches and shorelines also are cited by equal percentages (56% of those asked) as major impacts to their local communities.
A majority of U.S. adults say climate change is affecting their local community at least some % of U.S. adults who say global climate change is affecting their local community …
Note: Top figure based on all adults. Bottom figure based on those who say that climate change is affecting their local community a great deal or some. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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The degree to which Americans report experiencing effects of climate change in their local community varies by geographic region. Americans in Pacific states (which include California, Washington, Oregon, Hawaii and Alaska) are most likely to see at least some local impacts of climate change (72%). By comparison, 54% of those living in Mountain states (Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, Idaho, Montana and Wyoming) say climate change is affecting their local area at least some.
Large shares of Americans nationwide who report at least some local impact of climate change cite long periods of unusually hot weather as occurring where they live. Other major effects of climate change, however, tend to vary by region.
Most in Pacific states see climate change as affecting their local area % of U.S. adults who say climate change is affecting their local community …
Census region
A great deal 28
Pacific
Some 44
West
South
Mountain
17
38
South Atlantic
East and West South Central
Northeast
24
25
25
39
34
36
Midwest
15
44
NET 72
54
63
59
61
59
Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Americans living in Western states are particularly likely to report increased wildfire frequency, droughts as major local effects of climate change Among U.S. adults in each region who say climate change is affecting their local community at least some, % who say each of the following is a major way climate change is affecting their local community
CENSUS REGION
Long periods of unusually hot weather
More frequent wildfires
Droughts or water shortages
Rising sea levels that erode beaches
West
South
Pacific
Mountain
South Atlantic East and West South Central
Northeast
Midwest
78
85
85
86
76
66
83
78
49
56
46
40
76
85
67
69
50
48
62
38
64
53
64
46
Note: Based on those who say that climate change is affecting their local community a great deal or some. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Those living in Western states stand out as particularly likely to report increasing frequency of wildfires or droughts/water shortages as local effects of climate change. For example, those who see climate effects locally in Pacific and Mountain states say more frequent wildfires are a major effect of climate change in their area (83% and 78%, respectively), compared with 52% of those in the South, 46% in the Northeast and 40% in the Midwest who say the same.
Proximity to coastline also makes a difference, the survey shows. Respondents living within 25 miles of a coastline anywhere in the U.S. are modestly more inclined to say that climate change is having at least some effect in their community; 67% of this group says this, compared with 60% of those living between 25 and 300 miles inland and 59% of those living more than 300 miles inland.
About seven-in-ten (72%) of those who live within 25 miles of a coastline nationwide – and who also report at least some local climate change effects – cite rising sea levels as a major impact. That experience is reported by fewer than half (45%) of those who live at least 300 miles inland and see at least some local effects of climate change.
More than eight-in-ten liberal Democrats say human activity contributes a great deal to climate change % of U.S. adults who say each of the following contributes to global climate change …
A great deal
Some
Human activity
Not too much/not at all Natural patterns in Earth's environment
U.S. adults
49
30
20
35
44
20
Conservative Republican Mod/lib Republican Mod/cons Democrat Liberal Democrat
14
39
45
59
28
11
35
42
21
35
53
10
64
27
8
26
48
84
12
3
15
51
24
33
Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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A partisan lens also plays a role in these perceptions. Democrats and Democratic leaners (82%) are more likely than Republicans (38%, including leaners) to report at least some effects of climate change on their local communities.1
Political groups remain divided over climate change causes and policies
Overall, about half of Americans (49%) say human activity contributes a great deal to climate change, and another 30% say human actions have
1 The share of Democrats living in Pacific states is higher than the share of Democrats in Mountain states. However, in a logistic regression model controlling for political party, people in the Pacific region are significantly more likely than those in the Mountain region to say they are experiencing at least some local effects of climate change.
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some role in climate change. Two-in-ten (20%) believe human activity plays not too much or no role at all in climate change.
Survey respondents also were asked to rate the degree to which they believe natural patterns (such as regular warming and cooling cycles) contribute to climate change.
Roughly a third of adults (35%) say natural patterns in the Earth’s environment contribute a great deal to climate change, and another 44% say natural patterns contribute to some extent.
Of the two-in-ten who think human activity has little or no role in climate change, most say that natural patterns contribute to climate change either a great deal or some. Just 4% of Americans say that neither human activity nor natural patterns contribute to global climate change at least some.
The findings underscore the degree to which Americans remain divided along party and ideological lines when it comes to their beliefs about the causes of climate change.
How surveys ask about climate change matters The new Pew Research Center survey takes a different approach to measuring people’s beliefs about the causes of global climate change and thus is not directly comparable to past Center surveys. The new questions allow respondents to rate how much human activity and natural patterns in the Earth’s climate cycles contribute to climate change. Past surveys have looked at beliefs about the cause of climate change in three broad categories: those who say climate change is mostly due to human activity, those who say it is mostly due to natural patterns in the Earth’s atmosphere and those saying there is no solid evidence that climate change is occurring, reflecting a prominent position in public discourse more than a decade ago.
A strong majority of liberal Democrats (84%) say human activity contributes a great deal to climate change, with near consensus among them that human activity contributes at least some amount to climate change (96%). In contrast, about half of conservative Republicans (53%) say human activity contributes a great deal (14%) or some (39%) to climate change. Another 45% of this group says humans play not too much or no role in climate change.
Republicans and Democrats in the ideological middle within their respective parties (that is, moderate/liberal Republicans and moderate/conservative Democrats) fall somewhere in between in terms of how they see human activity influencing climate change. For instance, 35% of moderate or liberal Republicans say human activity has a great deal of impact on climate change, while roughly two-thirds of moderate or conservative Democrats (64%) see it as a major contributor.
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Partisan divisions remain when it comes to how Americans perceive the effects of climate change policies on the environment and the economy. (These core differences also were evident in a 2018 Center survey.)
An overwhelming majority of liberal Democrats (81%) say climate policies result in net benefits for the environment, while just 7% say such policies do more harm than good and 11% think they have no effect on the environment. Also, most liberal Democrats (90%) think climate policies either help or have no effect on the economy.
Conservative Republicans stand out as particularly skeptical about the benefits of climate policies for the environment. A minority of this group (25%) says such policies do more good than harm for the environment, and a majority (62%) says these policies hurt the economy.
Partisans at odds over effects of climate policies on environment, economy % of U.S. adults who say policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally …
Do more good than harm for environment Make no difference for environment Do more harm than good for environment
U.S. adults
54
29
15
Conservative Rep
25
47
26
Mod/lib Rep
Mod/cons Dem
Liberal Dem
49
35
15
64
23
11
81
11
7
% of U.S. adults who say policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally …
Help U.S. economy Make no difference to U.S. economy Hurt U.S. economy
U.S. adults
33
35
30
Conservative Rep
10
26
62
Mod/lib Rep
Mod/cons Dem
Liberal Dem
24
39
39
35
42
16
57
34
9
Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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A greater percentage of Millennial and Gen Z Republicans (40%) than those who are Baby Boomers and older (29%) view climate policies as doing more good than harm for the environment, but sizable shares in both generations believe such policies hurt the economy.
Republican men (23%), meanwhile, are about as likely as GOP women (20%) to think that climate policies bring net harm to the environment but are significantly more likely than GOP women (63% vs. 39%) to say that such policies hurt the economy.
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Republicans, young and old, tend to be skeptical about effects of climate policy on the economy % of U.S. adults who say policies to reduce the effects of climate change generally do the following
Effect on the environment Make no difference
More good than harm
More harm than good Help
Effect on U.S. economy Make no difference Hurt
U.S. adults
Dem/lean Dem
Rep/lean Rep Among Republicans/ lean Rep
Boomer & older
Gen X
Millennial &
younger
Men
Women
54
71
34
29
36
40
31
37
29
17
43
47
39
39
45
41
15
10
22
22
24
19
23
20
33
47
15
12
14
21
13
18
35
38
31
31
29
32
23
40
30
13
52
54
55
46
63
39
Note: Respondents who did not give an answer to each question are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Two-thirds of Americans say using fewer single-use plastics makes a big difference for the environment
At a time when individuals are increasingly encouraged to help the environment through changes in everyday behaviors, most Americans say they are taking action, whether it’s reducing food waste or using fewer disposable plastics.
The survey asked respondents whether they engage in any of five specific actions in their everyday life for environmental reasons. Survey respondents also rated the efficacy of each of these five actions when it comes to helping the environment. (Half of the respondents, selected at random, were asked about their potential actions and half were asked about the efficacy of each action.)
Majorities say they reduce food waste, limit use of plastics to help environment % of U.S. adults who say they do each of the following to help protect the environment
Reduce their food waste Use fewer single- use plastics Reduce amount of water they use
Drive less or carpool
Eat less meat
80
72
68
51
41
Note: Respondents who said they do not do this or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Eight-in-ten Americans (80%) report that they reduce their food waste for environmental reasons. Large shares of the public (72%) say they use fewer plastics that cannot be reused such as plastic bags, straws, cups or reduce their water consumption (68%) to help the environment.
About half (51%) of Americans say they are driving less or using carpools, while about four-in-ten (41%) say they are eating less meat for environmental reasons.
On average, people report doing 3.1 of these actions in their everyday lives. About a fifth of Americans (19%) report doing all five activities.
When assessing their overall behavior, one- quarter of U.S. adults (25%) say they make an effort to live in ways that help protect the environment “all the time,” up modestly from 20% in 2016. Another 63% report they live in
One-in-four Americans say they always live in ways that protect environment % of U.S. adults who say they make an effort to live in ways that protect the environment …
All the time Some of the time Not too often/not at all
25
63
11
Note: Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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environmentally conscious ways some of the time. Just 11% say they do not try at all to live in environmentally conscious ways or do so not too often.
Baby Boomer and older Americans are more likely than Millennial and Gen Z adults to report that they try to live in environmentally conscious ways all the time (32% vs. 18%, respectively).
When Americans think about the impact of five types of individual actions, two-thirds (67%) say that using fewer single-use plastics makes a big difference in helping protect the environment. About half of Americans say the same about reducing use of personal vehicles (52%), food waste (52%) or water use (50%). About a quarter of U.S. adults (24%) say that eating less meat makes a big difference for the environment, while 38% say this makes a small difference and another 38% think this makes almost no difference for the environment.
Public opinion about how they can protect the environment sometimes aligns with people’s actions, but not always.
For instance, about the same percentage of Americans who say using fewer single-use plastics makes a big difference for the environment (67%) report using fewer plastics in their daily lives (72%).
But in another example, while four-in-ten Americans (41%) say they eat less meat for environmental reasons, only a quarter (24%) believe doing so makes a big difference to the environment.
The quarter of Americans who say they always try to live in environmentally conscious
Majorities in U.S. say they cut back on single-use plastics, believe this makes a big difference for the environment % of U.S. adults who say the following about actions people can do in everyday life to help protect the environment
It makes a big difference when people do this in everyday life They, personally, do this in order to protect the environment
Use fewer single- use plastics
Drive less or carpool
Reduce their food waste
Reduce amount of water they use
Eat less meat
67
72
80
68
52 51
52
50
24
41
24% say eating less meat makes a big difference in protecting the environment, 41% say they eat less meat to protect the environment
Note: Half of respondents, selected at random, were asked to rate how much of a difference it makes when people do each of these things and half were asked whether or not they do each in order to protect the environment. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer to each question are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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ways are particularly likely to take these five specific actions to protect the environment.
Most people in this group say they reduce their food waste (94%), use of disposable plastics (87%) or water consumption (81%) in efforts to help the environment. A smaller majority (68%) say they drive less or are eating less meat (57%) to benefit the environment.
Altogether, those who see themselves as environmentally conscious perform an average of 3.9 of these actions in their everyday lives, and more than one-third (37%) take all five actions.
This stands in contrast to the small percentage of Americans (11%) who describe themselves as doing either nothing or not too much to live in ways that protect the environment. Among this group, about half (51%) say they reduce their food waste. Fewer than half are using fewer disposable plastics (33%) or reducing their water use (35%), while even fewer are driving less (15%) or eating less meat (18%) for environmental reasons. On average, this group does 1.5 actions to help the environment and just 3% perform all five.
Americans who consider themselves environmentally conscious more likely to take action to protect environment % of U.S. adults who say they do each of the following in their everyday life to help protect the environment
Among those who say they live in ways to protect the environment ... All the time
Not too much/at all
Some of the time
51
94
33
35
87
81
68
Reduce their food waste
Use fewer single- use plastics
Reduce amount of water they use
Drive less or carpool
15
Eat less meat
18
57
0
20
40
60
80
100
Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Gender and political affiliations are associated to some extent with whether Americans are changing their daily behaviors for the sake of the environment.
Republican men stand out as less likely to say they are changing their behaviors in any of the five ways included in the survey, from reducing food waste to eating less meat.
On the other hand, Republican and Democratic women as well as Democratic men are about equally likely to make these efforts to protect the environment, overall.
Republican men are less inclined to take each of five specific actions to protect the environment % of U.S. adults who say they do each of the following in their everyday life to help protect the environment
Among Republican/ lean Rep ...
Men
Women
Among Democrat/ lean Dem ...
Men
Women
Reduce their food waste
68
84
80
87
Use fewer single-use plastics
Reduce amount of water they use
54
54
74
71
75
81
72
72
Drive less or carpool
35
49
57
58
42
16
Eat less meat
For example, 54% of Republican men report using fewer single-use plastics for environmental reasons, compared with roughly three- quarters or more of Republican women (74%), Democratic men (75%) and Democratic women (81%). (These figures include Republican- and Democratic-leaning independents.)
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100
43
0
0
Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
57
100
A relatively small percentage of Republican men (16%) say they eat less meat in an effort to help the environment, compared with about two and half times as many Republican women (42%). A more modest gender gap exists among Democrats, with closer percentages of men (43%) and women (57%) saying they eat less meat for environmental reasons.
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Most Americans favor expanding renewable energy sources, but divides remain over expanding offshore drilling, nuclear power
Most Americans favor expanding solar power (92%) or wind power (85%), including strong majorities of both Republicans and Democrats. The public, however, is evenly divided over whether to expand nuclear power (49% on each side). Fewer than half of Americans support more offshore oil and gas drilling (42%), hydraulic fracturing for oil and natural gas, known as “fracking” (38%) or coal mining (35%).
These findings are broadly in line with previous Center surveys, which found strong majorities in favor of increasing solar or wind power and more mixed views about expanding other energy sources. Support for more nuclear power plants has inched up 6 percentage points since 2016 (from 43% to 49% today). Support for coal mining has declined from 41% to 35% in the same period.
Most Americans favor expanding solar or wind power; half or fewer support expanding fossil fuels % of U.S. adults who say they ___ expanding each energy source
Oppose
Favor
More solar panel farms
More wind turbine farms
8
14
92
85
More nuclear power plants
49
More offshore oil and gas drilling
56
More hydraulic fracturing
More coal mining
60
63
49
42
38
35
Note: Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Sizable majorities of both Republicans and Democrats – including those who lean to each party – favor more solar panel farms (86% and 96%, respectively) or wind turbine farms (77% and 92%). More Republicans (59%) than Democrats (41%) support expanding nuclear power plants; support for nuclear power is stronger among conservative Republicans (63%) than among moderate or liberal Republicans (51%).
Long-standing political and ideological divides remain over support for expanding fossil fuel energy sources, including offshore oil drilling, hydraulic fracturing and coal mining. Majorities of Republicans favor expanding these sources, while most Democrats remain opposed. Though, there are some differences within each party. Three-quarters of conservative Republicans (76%) favor expanding offshore oil and gas drilling, as do about half of moderate or liberal Republicans (53%). In contrast, about three-in-ten moderate or conservative Democrats (28%) and just 12% of liberal Democrats support more offshore drilling.
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Conservative Republicans also stand out as more inclined to support expansion of hydraulic fracturing for oil and gas as well as coal mining (66% for each). By comparison, fewer than half of moderate or liberal Republicans favor expanding these energy sources (42% and 40% for hydraulic fracturing and coal mining, respectively).
Conservative Republicans and liberal Democrats at odds over expanding fossil fuels % of U.S. adults who say they favor expanding each energy source
Conservative Republican Mod/lib Republican
Liberal Democrat Mod/cons Democrat
More solar panel farms
More wind turbine farms
More nuclear power plants
More offshore drilling
81
71
87
93
98
95 94
91
43
51
63
39
12
28
53
76
9
29
23
42
40
13
66
More coal mining
More hydraulic fracturing
Democrats are largely opposed to expanding either source. For example, a small fraction of liberal Democrats (9%) and about a quarter (23%) of moderate or conservative Democrats favor more coal mining. Support for offshore drilling and for hydraulic fracturing has declined among Democrats in recent years. (Support for coal mining has gone down among both parties since 2016. See the Appendix for details.) [ADD HYPERLINK]
Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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100
66
20
40
60
80
0
While Democratic views about these energy sources tend to be fairly consistent across generational and gender lines, Republican views are not. GOP Baby Boomer and older generations are more supportive of expanding offshore drilling, coal mining and hydraulic fracturing than are Millennial and Gen Z Republicans. In addition, Republican men are more likely to favor expanding fossil fuel energy sources, especially hydraulic fracturing, than women who identify with or lean toward the GOP. (See the Appendix for details.) [ADD HYPERLINK]
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Acknowledgments
This report is made possible by The Pew Charitable Trusts. This report is a collaborative effort based on the input and analysis of the following individuals. Find related reports online at: pewresearch.org/science.
Primary research team
Cary Funk, Director, Science and Society Research Brian Kennedy, Senior Researcher Courtney Johnson, Research Associate Meg Hefferon, Research Analyst Cary Lynne Thigpen, Research Assistant
Editorial and graphic design
Pamela Ferdinand, Freelance Editor David Kent, Copy Editor Margaret Porteus, Information Graphics Designer
Communications and web publishing
Shawnee Cohn, Communications Manager Haley Nolan, Communications Associate Travis Mitchell, Digital Producer
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Methodology
The American Trends Panel (ATP), created by Pew Research Center, is a nationally representative panel of randomly selected U.S. adults. Panelists participate via self-administered web surveys. Panelists who do not have internet access at home are provided with a tablet and wireless internet connection. The panel is being managed by Ipsos.
American Trends Panel recruitment surveys
Data in this report are drawn from the panel wave conducted Oct. 1 to Oct. 13, 2019. A total of 3,627 panelists responded out of 3,954 who were sampled, for a response rate of 91.7%. This does not include three panelists who were removed from the data due to extremely high rates of refusal or straightlining. The cumulative response rate accounting for nonresponse to the recruitment surveys and attrition is 4.9%. The break-off rate among panelists who logged onto the survey and completed at least one item is 0.9%. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 3,627 respondents is plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.
Note: Approximately once per year, panelists who have not participated in multiple consecutive waves or who did not complete an annual profiling survey are removed from the panel. Panelists also become inactive if they ask to be removed from the panel.
Mode Landline/ cell RDD Landline/ cell RDD Landline/ cell RDD
Active panelists remaining
Jan. 23 to March 16, 2014
April 25 to June 4, 2017
ABS/web Total
Aug. 8 to Oct. 31, 2018
Aug. 27 to Oct. 4, 2015
6,320 10,588
9,396 29,114
8,778 18,720
Recruitment Dates
Invited
Joined
9,809
6,004
5,338
2,291
2,976
1,314
3,905
1,628
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The sample consisted of all existing panelists who had completed the annual profile survey as of Sept. 9, 2019. Panelists who had not yet completed the profile survey were ineligible. A subsample from the ATP was selected by grouping panelists into six strata so demographic groups that are underrepresented in the panel had a higher probability of selection than overrepresented groups:
Stratum A consists of panelists that completed interviews for previous ATP Waves 17, 33, or
- They were sampled at a rate of 100%.
Stratum B consists of panelists who are non-internet users. They were sampled at a rate of
72%.
Stratum C consists of panelists with a high school education or less. They were sampled at a
rate of 64.7%.
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Stratum D consists of panelists that are Hispanic, unregistered to vote, or non-volunteers.
They were sampled at a rate of 26.6%.
Stratum E consists of panelists that are black or 18-34 years old. They were sampled at a rate
of 12.8%.
Stratum F consists of the remaining panelists. They were sampled at a rate of 9.6%.
The ATP was created in 2014, with the first cohort of panelists invited to join the panel at the end of a large, national, landline and cellphone random-digit-dial survey that was conducted in both English and Spanish. Two additional recruitments were conducted using the same method in 2015 and 2017, respectively. Across these three surveys, a total of 19,718 adults were invited to join the ATP, of which 9,942 agreed to participate.
In August 2018, the ATP switched from telephone to address- based recruitment. Invitations were sent to a random, address- based sample (ABS) of households selected from the U.S. Postal Service’s Delivery Sequence File. In each household, the adult with the next birthday was asked to go online to complete a survey, at the end of which they were invited to join the panel. For a random half-sample of invitations, households without internet access were instructed to return a postcard. These households were contacted by telephone and sent a tablet if they agreed to participate. A total of 9,396 were invited to join the panel, and 8,778 agreed to join the panel and completed an initial profile survey. Of the 18,720 individuals who have ever joined the ATP, 10,588 remained active panelists and continued to receive survey invitations at the time this survey was conducted.
The U.S. Postal Service’s Delivery Sequence File has been estimated to cover as much as 98% of the population, although some studies suggest that the coverage could be in the low 90% range.2
Weighting
Weighting dimensions Variable
Benchmark source
Gender
Age
Education
Race/Hispanic origin Hispanic nativity Home internet access Region x Metropolitan status
Volunteerism
2017 American Community Survey
2018 CPS March Supplement
2017 CPS Volunteering & Civic Life Supplement
Voter registration 2016 CPS Voting and Registration Supplement
Party affiliation
Average of the three most recent Pew Research Center telephone surveys.
Note: Estimates from the ACS are based on non-institutionalized adults. Voter registration is calculated using procedures from Hur, Achen (2013) and rescaled to include the total US adult population.
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The ATP data were weighted in a multistep process that begins with a base weight incorporating the respondents’ original survey selection probability and the fact
2 AAPOR Task Force on Address-based Sampling. 2016. “AAPOR Report: Address-based Sampling.”
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that in 2014 and 2017 some respondents were subsampled for invitation to the panel. The next step in the weighting uses an iterative technique that aligns the sample to population benchmarks on the dimensions listed in the accompanying table.
Sampling errors and test of statistical- significance take into account the effect of weighting. Interviews are conducted in both English and Spanish, but the American Trends Panel’s Hispanic sample is predominantly U.S. born and English speaking.
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.
The table shows the unweighted sample sizes and the error attributable to sampling that would be expected at the 95% level of confidence for different groups in the survey.
© Pew Research Center, 2019
Margins of error
U.S. adults
Men Women
Boomer and older Generation X Millennial and younger
Rep/Lean Rep Dem/Lean Dem
Cons Republican Mod/lib Republican Mod/cons Democrat Liberal Democrat
Rep/lean Rep by generation Boomer and older Generation X Millennial and younger
Rep/lean Rep by gender Men Women
Region Pacific Mountain South Atlantic East and West South Central Northeast Midwest
Unweighted Sample size 3,627
Margin of error in percentage points +/- 2.1
1,663 1,962
1,799 854 970
1,502 2,023
981 503 1,000 1,006
851 324 323
776 726
535 321 749 602 604 814
+/- 3.2 +/- 2.8
+/- 2.9 +/- 4.2 +/- 4.0
+/- 3.1 +/- 2.9
+/- 3.8 +/- 5.5 +/- 4.0 +/- 4.2
+/- 4.1 +/- 6.5 +/- 6.8
+/- 4.5 +/- 4.4
+/- 5.6 +/- 7.1 +/- 4.7 +/- 5.1 +/- 5.1 +/- 4.3
Note: The margins of error are reported at the 95% level of confidence and are calculated by taking into account the average design effect for each subgroup. Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Source: Survey conducted Oct 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Appendix: Detailed tables
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Conservative Republicans stand out from other political groups on many climate and energy issues % of U.S. adults who say the following
Conservative Republican Mod/lib Republican Mod/cons Democrat
Liberal Democrat
U.S. adults
Climate change having at least some effect on local community
26
Contributes to climate change a great deal Human activity
14
Natural patterns
15
59
Government is doing too little to ... Protect water quality of lakes, rivers and streams
Protect air quality
38
30
Reduce effects of climate change
24
Protect animals and their habitats
29
Protect open lands in national parks
23
84
84
92
94
95
90
86
62
49
35
68
67
67
62
55
U.S. should prioritize developing alternative energy sources
Favor expanding use of ... Solar panel farms
49
94
77
81
98
92
Wind turbine farms
71
94
Nuclear power plants
39
63
Offshore oil and gas drilling
Hydraulic fracturing
Coal mining
12
13
9
0
76
66
66
20
40
60
80
100
85
49
42
38
35
Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Younger Republicans prioritize alternative energy sources more than older Republicans % of U.S. adults who say the following
Among Rep/lean Rep who are ... Boomer and older Gen Xer Millennial and younger
Dem/ lean Dem
Climate change having at least some effect on their local community
32
47
Contributes to climate change a great deal Human activity
14
34
Natural patterns
Government is doing too little to ... Protect water quality of lakes, rivers and streams
Protect air quality
Reduce effects of climate change
Protect animals and their habitats
Protect open lands in national parks
U.S. should prioritize developing alternative energy sources
Favor expanding use of ... Solar panel farms
Wind turbine farms
Nuclear power plants
Offshore oil and gas drilling
Hydraulic fracturing
Coal mining
41
45
34
31
34
29
56
57
55
52
47
41
53
78
80
91
81
71
57
60
54
76
46
45
62
63
82
73
21
84
88
90
81
76
90
96
92
41
21
21
16
0
20
40
60
80
100
Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Republican men and women tend to differ over climate and energy issues % of U.S. adults who say the following
Among Rep/lean Rep who are ...
Men
Women
Dem/ lean Dem
Climate change having at least some effect on their local community
28
48
Contributes to climate change a great deal Human activity
17
Natural patterns
Government is doing too little to ... Protect water quality of lakes, rivers and streams
Protect air quality
Reduce effects of climate change
Protect animals and their habitats
35
34
34
27
44
44
56
56
49
46
47
Protect open lands in national parks
27
38
U.S. should prioritize developing alternative energy sources
Favor expanding use of ... Solar panel farms
Wind turbine farms
Nuclear power plants
Offshore oil and gas drilling
Hydraulic fracturing
Coal mining
58
66
84
88
75
79
46
64
70
71
50
52
64
60
82
73
21
84
88
90
81
76
90
96
92
41
21
21
16
0
20
40
60
80
100
Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Decline in support for more offshore drilling among Democrats since 2016 % of U.S. adults who favor more offshore oil and gas drilling in U.S. waters
85
86
Republican/lean Rep
65
51
56
64
64
68
75
40
27
Democrat/lean Dem
32
22
21
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19
Note: Surveys conducted from 2008 to 2015 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than those in June 2016, April 2018 and October 2019. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Political divides over increasing hydraulic fracturing % of U.S. adults who favor more hydraulic fracturing for oil and natural gas
Republican/lean Rep
71
58 59
58
60
57
37
34
31
28
25
21
Democrat/lean Dem
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 Note: Surveys conducted from 2012 to 2015 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than those in June 2016, April 2018 and October 2019. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Political divides over time on support for nuclear power % of U.S. adults who favor more nuclear power plants to generate electricity
Republican/lean Rep
60
65
59
51
51
53
59
36
38
37
38
39
41
34
Democrat/lean Dem
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19
Note: Surveys conducted from 2008 to 2015 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than those in June 2016, April 2018 and October 2019. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Support for expanding coal mining is down from 2016 % of U.S. adults who favor more coal mining
2016
2018
2019
U.S. adults
Rep/lean Rep
Dem/lean Dem
41
63
22
37
60
20
35
56
16
Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Most say U.S. should prioritize alternative energy sources today % of U.S. adults who say the more important priority for addressing America’s energy supply should be developing alternative sources such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology or expanding production of oil, coal and natural gas
U.S. adults
Republican/lean Rep
Democrat/lean Dem
90
Develop alternative sources
77
63
65
60
65
47
39
29
28 30
Expand production of oil, coal, natural gas
22
27
Both should be given equal priority
48
41
63
24
45
44
62
37
73
21
80
81
15
14
9
'11
'13
'15
'17
'19
'11
'13
'15
'17
'19
'11
'13
'15
'17
'19
Note: Surveys conducted from 2011 to 2017 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than the October 2019 survey. “Both should be given equal priority” was a volunteered response. Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”
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Survey question wording and topline
2019 PEW RESEARCH CENTER’S AMERICAN TRENDS PANEL WAVE 55 FINAL TOPLINE OCTOBER 1-13, 2019 TOTAL N=3,627
ASK ALL: ENV2
Do you favor or oppose EXPANDING each of the following sources of energy in our country? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]
Favor
Oppose
No Answer
a. More offshore oil and gas drilling
in U.S. waters
Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016
b. More nuclear power plants to
generate electricity Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016
c. More coal mining
Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016
d. More solar panel “farms” Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016
e. More hydraulic fracturing,
sometimes called “fracking,” for oil and natural gas Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016
f. More wind turbine “farms” Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016
42 39 45
49 44 43
35 37 41
92 89 89
38 39 42
85 85 83
56 60 52
49 54 54
63 61 57
8 10 9
60 58 53
14 13 14
1 1 3
2 2 3
2 2 3
1 1 2
2 2 5
1 2 3
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ASK FORM 1 [N=1,816]: EN1F1
Right now, which ONE of the following do you think should be the more important priority for addressing America’s energy supply? [RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS]
Oct 1-13 2019
77
22
1
Developing alternative sources, such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology Expanding exploration and production of oil, coal and natural gas No answer
TREND FOR COMPARISON: Pew Research Center survey conducted by telephone: Right now, which ONE of the following do you think should be the more important priority for addressing America’s energy supply [READ AND RANDOMIZE]?
Developing alternative sources, such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology 65 60 65 58 54 47 52
Expanding exploration and production of oil, coal and natural gas 27 30 28 34 34 39 39
(VOL.) Both should be given equal priority 5 5 5 6 7 9 5
63
29
6
(VOL.) DK/Ref 3 4 2 3 4 5 4
2
Jan 4-9, 2017 Dec 3-7, 2014 Feb 12-26, 2014 Sep 4-8, 2013 Feb 13-18, 2013 Oct 24-28, 2012 Mar 7-11, 2012 Feb 22-Mar 1, 2011
OTHER QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE
ASK ALL: ENV17
How often, if ever, do you make an effort to live in ways that help protect the environment?
Oct 1-13 2019 25 63 9 2 <1
All the time Some of the time Not too often Not at all No answer
May 10- June 6 2016 20 63 13 4 <1
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ASK FORM 1 [N=1,816]: EN6F1
Do you do each of the following in your everyday life in order TO HELP PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT, or don’t you? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]
a. Eat less meat
Oct 1-13, 2019
b. Drive less or carpool Oct 1-13, 2019
c. Reduce your food waste
Oct 1-13, 2019
d. Use fewer plastics that cannot be reused
(e.g., plastic bags, straws, cups)
Oct 1-13, 2019
e. Reduce the amount of water you use
Oct 1-13, 2019
Yes, I do this
No, I do not do this
No answer
41
51
80
72
68
59
49
20
28
32
<1
<1
<1
1
<1
ASK FORM 2 [N=1,811]: EN6F2
How much difference does it make when people do each of the following in their everyday lives TO HELP PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]
Makes a big difference
Makes a small difference
Makes almost no difference
No answer
a. Eating less meat
Oct 1-13, 2019
b. Driving less or carpooling Oct 1-13, 2019
c. Reducing their food waste Oct 1-13, 2019
d. Using fewer plastics that cannot be reused (e.g., plastic bags, straws, cups)
Oct 1-13, 2019
e. Reducing the amount of
water they use
Oct 1-13, 2019
24
52
52
67
50
38
40
37
26
40
38
7
10
<1
<1
<1
7
<1
10
<1
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ASK ALL: ENVIR8
How much do you think the federal government is doing to… [RANDOMIZE ITEMS; show on same screen]
Too much
Too little
About the right amount
No Answer
a. Protect air quality Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018
b. Protect water quality of lakes,
rivers and streams Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018
c. Protect animals and their
habitats
Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018
d. Protect open lands in national
parks and nature preserves
Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018
e. Reduce the effects of global
climate change
Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018
4 8
4 6
7 9
5 8
10 13
67 64
68 69
62 63
55 57
67 67
28 27
27 24
31 27
39 34
23 19
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
RANDOMIZE ORDER OF EN7 and EN8 ASK ALL: EN7
How much do you think human activity, such as the burning of fossil fuels, contributes to global climate change?
Oct 1-13 2019 49 30 14 5 2
A great deal Some Not too much Not at all No answer
ASK ALL: EN8
How much do you think natural patterns in the Earth’s environment contribute to global climate change?
Oct 1-13 2019 35 44 13 4 2
A great deal Some Not too much Not at all No answer
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RANDOMIZE ORDER OF CLIM5 AND CLIM6 ASK ALL: CLIM5
Do you think policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally… [RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS 1 AND 2]
Oct 1-13 2019 33 30 35 2
Help the U.S. economy Hurt the U.S. economy Make no difference for the U.S. economy No answer
Mar 27- Apr 9 2018 30 31 36 2
ASK ALL: CLIM6
Do you think policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally… [RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS 1 AND 2 IN SAME ORDER AS CLIM5]
Oct 1-13 2019 54 15 29 2
Do more GOOD than harm for the environment Do more HARM than good for the environment Make no difference for the environment No answer
Mar 27- Apr 9 2018 49 19 30 2
ASK FORM 1 [N=1,816]: CLIM9F1
How much, if at all, do you think global climate change is currently affecting…
A great deal
Some
Not too much
Not at all
No Answer
a. The United States Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018
b. Your local community Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018
41 40
25 22
35 35
38 37
15 16
24 25
8 8
12 15
<1 <1
<1 <1
ASK FORM 2 [N=1,811]: CLIM9F2
How much, if at all, do you think global climate change is currently affecting your local community?
Oct 1-13, 2019
A great deal 20
Some 40
Not too much 25
Not at all 15
No Answer 1
COMBINED FORM 1 AND FORM 2 “YOUR LOCAL COMMUNITY” [N=3,627] A great deal
Not too much
Not at all
Some
No Answer
Your local community Oct 1-13, 2019
22
39
24
13
1
35
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
ASK IF CLIM9F1B=1,2 OR CLIM9F2=1,2 (LOCAL COMMUNITY AFFECTED A GREAT DEAL OR SOME) [N=2,284]: CLIM10
Would you say each of the following is a MAJOR way that global climate change is currently affecting your local community, or not? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]
a. Droughts or water shortages Oct 1-13, 2019
b. Long periods of unusually hot weather
Oct 1-13, 2019
c. Severe weather, like floods or intense
storms
Oct 1-13, 2019
d. Rising sea levels that erode beaches and
shore lines
Oct 1-13, 2019
e. Damage to forests and plant life
Oct 1-13, 2019
f. Harm to animal wildlife and their habitats
Oct 1-13, 2019
g. More frequent wildfires
Oct 1-13, 2019
BASED ON ALL ASKED [N=2,284]
Yes, a major way
No, not a major way
No answer
64
79
35
21
1
1
70
29
<1
56
67
69
56
43
32
30
43
1
1
1
1
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CLIM10 CONTINUED
BASED ON TOTAL [N=3627]
Answered “Local community affected a great deal or some” to CLIM9F1_B or CLIM9F2
Answered “Local community affected not too much/not at all” to CLIM9F1_B or CLIM9F2
No answer to CLIM9F1_B or CLIM9F2
Yes, a major way
No, not a major way
No answer to CLIM10
a. Droughts or water
shortages
Oct 1-13, 2019
62
39
22
1
38
b. Long periods of
unusually hot weather
Oct 1-13, 2019
62
49
13
<1
38
c. Severe weather, like floods or intense storms
Oct 1-13, 2019
62
43
18
<1
38
d. Rising sea levels that erode beaches and shore lines
Oct 1-13, 2019
62
34
27
1
38
e. Damage to forests and
plant life
Oct 1-13, 2019
62
41
20
<1
38
f. Harm to animal
wildlife and their habitats
Oct 1-13, 2019
62
43
19
<1
38
g. More frequent
wildfires
Oct 1-13, 2019
62
35
27
1
38
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OTHER QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE