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FOR RELEASE November 25, 2019

U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy

Democrats mostly agree the federal government should do more on climate, while Republicans differ by ideology, age and gender

BY Cary Funk and Meg Hefferon

FOR MEDIA OR OTHER INQUIRIES:

Cary Funk, Director, Science and society research Shawnee Cohn, Communications Manager

202.419.4372

www.pewresearch.org

RECOMMENDED CITATION

Pew Research Center, November,2019 “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

1

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

About Pew Research Center

Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world. It does not take policy positions. The Center conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, content analysis and other data-driven social science research. It studies U.S. politics and policy; journalism and media; internet, science and technology; religion and public life; Hispanic trends; global attitudes and trends; and U.S. social and demographic trends. All of the Center’s reports are available at www.pewresearch.org. Pew Research Center is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts, its primary funder.

© Pew Research Center 2019

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy

Democrats mostly agree the federal government should do more on climate, while Republicans differ by ideology, age and gender

Majorities of Americans say the federal government is doing too little for key aspects of the environment, from protecting water or air quality to reducing the effects of climate change. And most believe the United States should focus on developing alternative sources of energy over expansion of fossil fuel sources, according to a new Pew Research Center survey.

A majority of U.S. adults say they are taking at least some specific action in their daily lives to protect the environment, though Democrats and Republicans remain at ideological odds over the causes of climate change and the effects of policies to address it, according to the survey of 3,627 U.S. adults conducted Oct. 1 to Oct. 13, 2019, using the Center’s American Trends Panel.

Majorities of Americans say the federal government is not doing enough to protect the climate, environment % of U.S. adults who think the federal government is doing too little to …

% of U.S. adults who think the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change

Note: Respondents who said the federal government is doing about the right amount or doing too much and those did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

These findings come amid the Trump administration’s intention to officially withdraw from the 2016 Paris climate accord and ongoing efforts to roll back domestic environmental protection regulations, including relaxing limits on methane and carbon emissions.

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

About two-thirds of U.S. adults (67%) say the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change, and similar shares say the same about government efforts to protect air (67%) and water quality (68%) – findings that are consistent with results from a 2018 Center survey.

While there is strong consensus among Democrats (90%, including independents who lean to the Democratic Party) on the need for more government efforts to reduce the effects of climate change, Republican views are divided along ideological, generational and gender lines. A majority of moderate or liberal Republicans (65%, including GOP-leaning independents) say the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change. In contrast, only about one- quarter of conservative Republicans (24%) say the same, while about half (48%) think the government is doing about the right amount and another 26% say it is doing too much.

There are also divides by age. Among younger Republicans – adults in the Millennial generation and Generation Z, ages 18 to 38 in 2019 – 52% think the government is doing too little on climate. By comparison, 41% among Generation X and 31% of Baby Boomer and older Americans say this. Republican women (46%) also are more inclined than GOP men (34%) to think the government’s efforts on climate are insufficient.

Views about government efforts to protect the environment in areas such as water or air quality show similar differences among Republicans by ideology, generation and gender.

Most in U.S. prioritize renewables over fossil fuels, but there are differences among Republicans % of U.S. adults who say the more important priority for U.S. energy supply should be …

Note: Full response options were “Developing alternative sources, such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology” and “Expanding exploration and production of oil, coal and natural gas.” Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Overall, about three-quarters of Americans (77%) agree that the more important energy priority should be developing alternative energy sources such as wind and solar power and hydrogen technology rather than increasing U.S. production of fossil fuels.

The vast majority of Democrats (90%) believe the U.S. should prioritize alternative energy development over expanded oil, coal and natural gas exploration and production. While generally supportive of prioritizing alternative energy sources, Republicans differ by ideology and generation, and more modestly by gender, in their views of U.S. energy supply priorities.

Most moderate or liberal Republicans (82%) say the U.S. should prioritize alternative energy sources. But conservative Republicans, who represent the party majority, are evenly divided over whether to prioritize alternative energy (49%) or expand fossil fuel production (49%). (Roughly two-thirds of Republicans and Republican leaners – 65% – describe themselves as conservative, while 34% are moderate or liberal, according to an average across four Center surveys conducted this year.)

In addition, a strong majority of younger Republicans (78% of Millennial and Gen Z adults, i.e., those ages 18 to 38) say the U.S. should prioritize alternative energies, compared with 61% of Gen X Republicans and about half of Baby Boomer and older Republicans (53%). GOP women tend to prioritize alternative energy development over expanding fossil fuels (66% to 32%). A smaller share of Republican men prioritize alternative energy development (58%) over fossil fuel expansion (42%).

Compared with 2017, support for prioritizing alternative energy development appears to be up among both Democrats and Republicans. However, in the 2017 survey, which was conducted by telephone, 5% of the public volunteered that both alternative energy and fossil fuels should be equal priorities. These methodological differences could account for the differences in findings over time. (See the Appendix for details. HYPERLINK).

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

How Americans view the impact of climate change depends on where they live

Most Americans today (62%) say that climate change is affecting their local community either a great deal or some. That figure remains fairly steady from last year, when 59% reported at least some local effects of climate change.

The vast majority of this group says long periods of unusually hot weather (79% of those asked or 49% of all U.S. adults) represent a major local impact of climate change. They also say major effects include severe weather such as floods and intense storms (70%), harm to animal wildlife and their habitats (69%), damage to forests and plant life (67%) or droughts and water shortages (64%). More frequent wildfires and rising sea levels that erode beaches and shorelines also are cited by equal percentages (56% of those asked) as major impacts to their local communities.

A majority of U.S. adults say climate change is affecting their local community at least some % of U.S. adults who say global climate change is affecting their local community …

Note: Top figure based on all adults. Bottom figure based on those who say that climate change is affecting their local community a great deal or some. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

The degree to which Americans report experiencing effects of climate change in their local community varies by geographic region. Americans in Pacific states (which include California, Washington, Oregon, Hawaii and Alaska) are most likely to see at least some local impacts of climate change (72%). By comparison, 54% of those living in Mountain states (Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, Idaho, Montana and Wyoming) say climate change is affecting their local area at least some.

Large shares of Americans nationwide who report at least some local impact of climate change cite long periods of unusually hot weather as occurring where they live. Other major effects of climate change, however, tend to vary by region.

Most in Pacific states see climate change as affecting their local area % of U.S. adults who say climate change is affecting their local community …

Census region

A great deal 28

Pacific

Some 44

West

South

Mountain

17

38

South Atlantic

East and West South Central

Northeast

24

25

25

39

34

36

Midwest

15

44

NET 72

54

63

59

61

59

Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Americans living in Western states are particularly likely to report increased wildfire frequency, droughts as major local effects of climate change Among U.S. adults in each region who say climate change is affecting their local community at least some, % who say each of the following is a major way climate change is affecting their local community

CENSUS REGION

Long periods of unusually hot weather

More frequent wildfires

Droughts or water shortages

Rising sea levels that erode beaches

West

South

Pacific

Mountain

South Atlantic East and West South Central

Northeast

Midwest

78

85

85

86

76

66

83

78

49

56

46

40

76

85

67

69

50

48

62

38

64

53

64

46

Note: Based on those who say that climate change is affecting their local community a great deal or some. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Those living in Western states stand out as particularly likely to report increasing frequency of wildfires or droughts/water shortages as local effects of climate change. For example, those who see climate effects locally in Pacific and Mountain states say more frequent wildfires are a major effect of climate change in their area (83% and 78%, respectively), compared with 52% of those in the South, 46% in the Northeast and 40% in the Midwest who say the same.

Proximity to coastline also makes a difference, the survey shows. Respondents living within 25 miles of a coastline anywhere in the U.S. are modestly more inclined to say that climate change is having at least some effect in their community; 67% of this group says this, compared with 60% of those living between 25 and 300 miles inland and 59% of those living more than 300 miles inland.

About seven-in-ten (72%) of those who live within 25 miles of a coastline nationwide – and who also report at least some local climate change effects – cite rising sea levels as a major impact. That experience is reported by fewer than half (45%) of those who live at least 300 miles inland and see at least some local effects of climate change.

More than eight-in-ten liberal Democrats say human activity contributes a great deal to climate change % of U.S. adults who say each of the following contributes to global climate change …

A great deal

Some

Human activity

Not too much/not at all Natural patterns in Earth's environment

U.S. adults

49

30

20

35

44

20

Conservative Republican Mod/lib Republican Mod/cons Democrat Liberal Democrat

14

39

45

59

28

11

35

42

21

35

53

10

64

27

8

26

48

84

12

3

15

51

24

33

Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

A partisan lens also plays a role in these perceptions. Democrats and Democratic leaners (82%) are more likely than Republicans (38%, including leaners) to report at least some effects of climate change on their local communities.1

Political groups remain divided over climate change causes and policies

Overall, about half of Americans (49%) say human activity contributes a great deal to climate change, and another 30% say human actions have

1 The share of Democrats living in Pacific states is higher than the share of Democrats in Mountain states. However, in a logistic regression model controlling for political party, people in the Pacific region are significantly more likely than those in the Mountain region to say they are experiencing at least some local effects of climate change.

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

some role in climate change. Two-in-ten (20%) believe human activity plays not too much or no role at all in climate change.

Survey respondents also were asked to rate the degree to which they believe natural patterns (such as regular warming and cooling cycles) contribute to climate change.

Roughly a third of adults (35%) say natural patterns in the Earth’s environment contribute a great deal to climate change, and another 44% say natural patterns contribute to some extent.

Of the two-in-ten who think human activity has little or no role in climate change, most say that natural patterns contribute to climate change either a great deal or some. Just 4% of Americans say that neither human activity nor natural patterns contribute to global climate change at least some.

The findings underscore the degree to which Americans remain divided along party and ideological lines when it comes to their beliefs about the causes of climate change.

How surveys ask about climate change matters The new Pew Research Center survey takes a different approach to measuring people’s beliefs about the causes of global climate change and thus is not directly comparable to past Center surveys. The new questions allow respondents to rate how much human activity and natural patterns in the Earth’s climate cycles contribute to climate change. Past surveys have looked at beliefs about the cause of climate change in three broad categories: those who say climate change is mostly due to human activity, those who say it is mostly due to natural patterns in the Earth’s atmosphere and those saying there is no solid evidence that climate change is occurring, reflecting a prominent position in public discourse more than a decade ago.

A strong majority of liberal Democrats (84%) say human activity contributes a great deal to climate change, with near consensus among them that human activity contributes at least some amount to climate change (96%). In contrast, about half of conservative Republicans (53%) say human activity contributes a great deal (14%) or some (39%) to climate change. Another 45% of this group says humans play not too much or no role in climate change.

Republicans and Democrats in the ideological middle within their respective parties (that is, moderate/liberal Republicans and moderate/conservative Democrats) fall somewhere in between in terms of how they see human activity influencing climate change. For instance, 35% of moderate or liberal Republicans say human activity has a great deal of impact on climate change, while roughly two-thirds of moderate or conservative Democrats (64%) see it as a major contributor.

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Partisan divisions remain when it comes to how Americans perceive the effects of climate change policies on the environment and the economy. (These core differences also were evident in a 2018 Center survey.)

An overwhelming majority of liberal Democrats (81%) say climate policies result in net benefits for the environment, while just 7% say such policies do more harm than good and 11% think they have no effect on the environment. Also, most liberal Democrats (90%) think climate policies either help or have no effect on the economy.

Conservative Republicans stand out as particularly skeptical about the benefits of climate policies for the environment. A minority of this group (25%) says such policies do more good than harm for the environment, and a majority (62%) says these policies hurt the economy.

Partisans at odds over effects of climate policies on environment, economy % of U.S. adults who say policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally …

Do more good than harm for environment Make no difference for environment Do more harm than good for environment

U.S. adults

54

29

15

Conservative Rep

25

47

26

Mod/lib Rep

Mod/cons Dem

Liberal Dem

49

35

15

64

23

11

81

11

7

% of U.S. adults who say policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally …

Help U.S. economy Make no difference to U.S. economy Hurt U.S. economy

U.S. adults

33

35

30

Conservative Rep

10

26

62

Mod/lib Rep

Mod/cons Dem

Liberal Dem

24

39

39

35

42

16

57

34

9

Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

A greater percentage of Millennial and Gen Z Republicans (40%) than those who are Baby Boomers and older (29%) view climate policies as doing more good than harm for the environment, but sizable shares in both generations believe such policies hurt the economy.

Republican men (23%), meanwhile, are about as likely as GOP women (20%) to think that climate policies bring net harm to the environment but are significantly more likely than GOP women (63% vs. 39%) to say that such policies hurt the economy.

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Republicans, young and old, tend to be skeptical about effects of climate policy on the economy % of U.S. adults who say policies to reduce the effects of climate change generally do the following

Effect on the environment Make no difference

More good than harm

More harm than good Help

Effect on U.S. economy Make no difference Hurt

U.S. adults

Dem/lean Dem

Rep/lean Rep Among Republicans/ lean Rep

Boomer & older

Gen X
Millennial &

younger

Men

Women

54

71

34

29

36

40

31

37

29

17

43

47

39

39

45

41

15

10

22

22

24

19

23

20

33

47

15

12

14

21

13

18

35

38

31

31

29

32

23

40

30

13

52

54

55

46

63

39

Note: Respondents who did not give an answer to each question are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Two-thirds of Americans say using fewer single-use plastics makes a big difference for the environment

At a time when individuals are increasingly encouraged to help the environment through changes in everyday behaviors, most Americans say they are taking action, whether it’s reducing food waste or using fewer disposable plastics.

The survey asked respondents whether they engage in any of five specific actions in their everyday life for environmental reasons. Survey respondents also rated the efficacy of each of these five actions when it comes to helping the environment. (Half of the respondents, selected at random, were asked about their potential actions and half were asked about the efficacy of each action.)

Majorities say they reduce food waste, limit use of plastics to help environment % of U.S. adults who say they do each of the following to help protect the environment

Reduce their food waste Use fewer single- use plastics Reduce amount of water they use

Drive less or carpool

Eat less meat

80

72

68

51

41

Note: Respondents who said they do not do this or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Eight-in-ten Americans (80%) report that they reduce their food waste for environmental reasons. Large shares of the public (72%) say they use fewer plastics that cannot be reused such as plastic bags, straws, cups or reduce their water consumption (68%) to help the environment.

About half (51%) of Americans say they are driving less or using carpools, while about four-in-ten (41%) say they are eating less meat for environmental reasons.

On average, people report doing 3.1 of these actions in their everyday lives. About a fifth of Americans (19%) report doing all five activities.

When assessing their overall behavior, one- quarter of U.S. adults (25%) say they make an effort to live in ways that help protect the environment “all the time,” up modestly from 20% in 2016. Another 63% report they live in

One-in-four Americans say they always live in ways that protect environment % of U.S. adults who say they make an effort to live in ways that protect the environment …

All the time Some of the time Not too often/not at all

25

63

11

Note: Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

environmentally conscious ways some of the time. Just 11% say they do not try at all to live in environmentally conscious ways or do so not too often.

Baby Boomer and older Americans are more likely than Millennial and Gen Z adults to report that they try to live in environmentally conscious ways all the time (32% vs. 18%, respectively).

When Americans think about the impact of five types of individual actions, two-thirds (67%) say that using fewer single-use plastics makes a big difference in helping protect the environment. About half of Americans say the same about reducing use of personal vehicles (52%), food waste (52%) or water use (50%). About a quarter of U.S. adults (24%) say that eating less meat makes a big difference for the environment, while 38% say this makes a small difference and another 38% think this makes almost no difference for the environment.

Public opinion about how they can protect the environment sometimes aligns with people’s actions, but not always.

For instance, about the same percentage of Americans who say using fewer single-use plastics makes a big difference for the environment (67%) report using fewer plastics in their daily lives (72%).

But in another example, while four-in-ten Americans (41%) say they eat less meat for environmental reasons, only a quarter (24%) believe doing so makes a big difference to the environment.

The quarter of Americans who say they always try to live in environmentally conscious

Majorities in U.S. say they cut back on single-use plastics, believe this makes a big difference for the environment % of U.S. adults who say the following about actions people can do in everyday life to help protect the environment

It makes a big difference when people do this in everyday life They, personally, do this in order to protect the environment

Use fewer single- use plastics

Drive less or carpool

Reduce their food waste

Reduce amount of water they use

Eat less meat

67

72

80

68

52 51

52

50

24

41

24% say eating less meat makes a big difference in protecting the environment, 41% say they eat less meat to protect the environment

Note: Half of respondents, selected at random, were asked to rate how much of a difference it makes when people do each of these things and half were asked whether or not they do each in order to protect the environment. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer to each question are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

ways are particularly likely to take these five specific actions to protect the environment.

Most people in this group say they reduce their food waste (94%), use of disposable plastics (87%) or water consumption (81%) in efforts to help the environment. A smaller majority (68%) say they drive less or are eating less meat (57%) to benefit the environment.

Altogether, those who see themselves as environmentally conscious perform an average of 3.9 of these actions in their everyday lives, and more than one-third (37%) take all five actions.

This stands in contrast to the small percentage of Americans (11%) who describe themselves as doing either nothing or not too much to live in ways that protect the environment. Among this group, about half (51%) say they reduce their food waste. Fewer than half are using fewer disposable plastics (33%) or reducing their water use (35%), while even fewer are driving less (15%) or eating less meat (18%) for environmental reasons. On average, this group does 1.5 actions to help the environment and just 3% perform all five.

Americans who consider themselves environmentally conscious more likely to take action to protect environment % of U.S. adults who say they do each of the following in their everyday life to help protect the environment

Among those who say they live in ways to protect the environment ... All the time

Not too much/at all

Some of the time

51

94

33

35

87

81

68

Reduce their food waste

Use fewer single- use plastics

Reduce amount of water they use

Drive less or carpool

15

Eat less meat

18

57

0

20

40

60

80

100

Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Gender and political affiliations are associated to some extent with whether Americans are changing their daily behaviors for the sake of the environment.

Republican men stand out as less likely to say they are changing their behaviors in any of the five ways included in the survey, from reducing food waste to eating less meat.

On the other hand, Republican and Democratic women as well as Democratic men are about equally likely to make these efforts to protect the environment, overall.

Republican men are less inclined to take each of five specific actions to protect the environment % of U.S. adults who say they do each of the following in their everyday life to help protect the environment

Among Republican/ lean Rep ...

Men

Women

Among Democrat/ lean Dem ...

Men

Women

Reduce their food waste

68

84

80

87

Use fewer single-use plastics

Reduce amount of water they use

54

54

74

71

75

81

72

72

Drive less or carpool

35

49

57

58

42

16

Eat less meat

For example, 54% of Republican men report using fewer single-use plastics for environmental reasons, compared with roughly three- quarters or more of Republican women (74%), Democratic men (75%) and Democratic women (81%). (These figures include Republican- and Democratic-leaning independents.)

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

100

43

0

0

Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

57

100

A relatively small percentage of Republican men (16%) say they eat less meat in an effort to help the environment, compared with about two and half times as many Republican women (42%). A more modest gender gap exists among Democrats, with closer percentages of men (43%) and women (57%) saying they eat less meat for environmental reasons.

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Most Americans favor expanding renewable energy sources, but divides remain over expanding offshore drilling, nuclear power

Most Americans favor expanding solar power (92%) or wind power (85%), including strong majorities of both Republicans and Democrats. The public, however, is evenly divided over whether to expand nuclear power (49% on each side). Fewer than half of Americans support more offshore oil and gas drilling (42%), hydraulic fracturing for oil and natural gas, known as “fracking” (38%) or coal mining (35%).

These findings are broadly in line with previous Center surveys, which found strong majorities in favor of increasing solar or wind power and more mixed views about expanding other energy sources. Support for more nuclear power plants has inched up 6 percentage points since 2016 (from 43% to 49% today). Support for coal mining has declined from 41% to 35% in the same period.

Most Americans favor expanding solar or wind power; half or fewer support expanding fossil fuels % of U.S. adults who say they ___ expanding each energy source

Oppose

Favor

More solar panel farms

More wind turbine farms

8

14

92

85

More nuclear power plants

49

More offshore oil and gas drilling

56

More hydraulic fracturing

More coal mining

60

63

49

42

38

35

Note: Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Sizable majorities of both Republicans and Democrats – including those who lean to each party – favor more solar panel farms (86% and 96%, respectively) or wind turbine farms (77% and 92%). More Republicans (59%) than Democrats (41%) support expanding nuclear power plants; support for nuclear power is stronger among conservative Republicans (63%) than among moderate or liberal Republicans (51%).

Long-standing political and ideological divides remain over support for expanding fossil fuel energy sources, including offshore oil drilling, hydraulic fracturing and coal mining. Majorities of Republicans favor expanding these sources, while most Democrats remain opposed. Though, there are some differences within each party. Three-quarters of conservative Republicans (76%) favor expanding offshore oil and gas drilling, as do about half of moderate or liberal Republicans (53%). In contrast, about three-in-ten moderate or conservative Democrats (28%) and just 12% of liberal Democrats support more offshore drilling.

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Conservative Republicans also stand out as more inclined to support expansion of hydraulic fracturing for oil and gas as well as coal mining (66% for each). By comparison, fewer than half of moderate or liberal Republicans favor expanding these energy sources (42% and 40% for hydraulic fracturing and coal mining, respectively).

Conservative Republicans and liberal Democrats at odds over expanding fossil fuels % of U.S. adults who say they favor expanding each energy source

Conservative Republican Mod/lib Republican

Liberal Democrat Mod/cons Democrat

More solar panel farms

More wind turbine farms

More nuclear power plants

More offshore drilling

81

71

87

93

98

95 94

91

43

51

63

39

12

28

53

76

9

29

23

42

40

13

66

More coal mining

More hydraulic fracturing

Democrats are largely opposed to expanding either source. For example, a small fraction of liberal Democrats (9%) and about a quarter (23%) of moderate or conservative Democrats favor more coal mining. Support for offshore drilling and for hydraulic fracturing has declined among Democrats in recent years. (Support for coal mining has gone down among both parties since 2016. See the Appendix for details.) [ADD HYPERLINK]

Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

100

66

20

40

60

80

0

While Democratic views about these energy sources tend to be fairly consistent across generational and gender lines, Republican views are not. GOP Baby Boomer and older generations are more supportive of expanding offshore drilling, coal mining and hydraulic fracturing than are Millennial and Gen Z Republicans. In addition, Republican men are more likely to favor expanding fossil fuel energy sources, especially hydraulic fracturing, than women who identify with or lean toward the GOP. (See the Appendix for details.) [ADD HYPERLINK]

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Acknowledgments

This report is made possible by The Pew Charitable Trusts. This report is a collaborative effort based on the input and analysis of the following individuals. Find related reports online at: pewresearch.org/science.

Primary research team

Cary Funk, Director, Science and Society Research Brian Kennedy, Senior Researcher Courtney Johnson, Research Associate Meg Hefferon, Research Analyst Cary Lynne Thigpen, Research Assistant

Editorial and graphic design

Pamela Ferdinand, Freelance Editor David Kent, Copy Editor Margaret Porteus, Information Graphics Designer

Communications and web publishing

Shawnee Cohn, Communications Manager Haley Nolan, Communications Associate Travis Mitchell, Digital Producer

www.pewresearch.org

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PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Methodology

The American Trends Panel (ATP), created by Pew Research Center, is a nationally representative panel of randomly selected U.S. adults. Panelists participate via self-administered web surveys. Panelists who do not have internet access at home are provided with a tablet and wireless internet connection. The panel is being managed by Ipsos.

American Trends Panel recruitment surveys

Data in this report are drawn from the panel wave conducted Oct. 1 to Oct. 13, 2019. A total of 3,627 panelists responded out of 3,954 who were sampled, for a response rate of 91.7%. This does not include three panelists who were removed from the data due to extremely high rates of refusal or straightlining. The cumulative response rate accounting for nonresponse to the recruitment surveys and attrition is 4.9%. The break-off rate among panelists who logged onto the survey and completed at least one item is 0.9%. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 3,627 respondents is plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.

Note: Approximately once per year, panelists who have not participated in multiple consecutive waves or who did not complete an annual profiling survey are removed from the panel. Panelists also become inactive if they ask to be removed from the panel.

Mode Landline/ cell RDD Landline/ cell RDD Landline/ cell RDD

Active panelists remaining

Jan. 23 to March 16, 2014

April 25 to June 4, 2017

ABS/web Total

Aug. 8 to Oct. 31, 2018

Aug. 27 to Oct. 4, 2015

6,320 10,588

9,396 29,114

8,778 18,720

Recruitment Dates

Invited

Joined

9,809

6,004

5,338

2,291

2,976

1,314

3,905

1,628

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The sample consisted of all existing panelists who had completed the annual profile survey as of Sept. 9, 2019. Panelists who had not yet completed the profile survey were ineligible. A subsample from the ATP was selected by grouping panelists into six strata so demographic groups that are underrepresented in the panel had a higher probability of selection than overrepresented groups:

 Stratum A consists of panelists that completed interviews for previous ATP Waves 17, 33, or

  1. They were sampled at a rate of 100%.

 Stratum B consists of panelists who are non-internet users. They were sampled at a rate of

72%.

 Stratum C consists of panelists with a high school education or less. They were sampled at a

rate of 64.7%.

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 Stratum D consists of panelists that are Hispanic, unregistered to vote, or non-volunteers.

They were sampled at a rate of 26.6%.

 Stratum E consists of panelists that are black or 18-34 years old. They were sampled at a rate

of 12.8%.

 Stratum F consists of the remaining panelists. They were sampled at a rate of 9.6%.

The ATP was created in 2014, with the first cohort of panelists invited to join the panel at the end of a large, national, landline and cellphone random-digit-dial survey that was conducted in both English and Spanish. Two additional recruitments were conducted using the same method in 2015 and 2017, respectively. Across these three surveys, a total of 19,718 adults were invited to join the ATP, of which 9,942 agreed to participate.

In August 2018, the ATP switched from telephone to address- based recruitment. Invitations were sent to a random, address- based sample (ABS) of households selected from the U.S. Postal Service’s Delivery Sequence File. In each household, the adult with the next birthday was asked to go online to complete a survey, at the end of which they were invited to join the panel. For a random half-sample of invitations, households without internet access were instructed to return a postcard. These households were contacted by telephone and sent a tablet if they agreed to participate. A total of 9,396 were invited to join the panel, and 8,778 agreed to join the panel and completed an initial profile survey. Of the 18,720 individuals who have ever joined the ATP, 10,588 remained active panelists and continued to receive survey invitations at the time this survey was conducted.

The U.S. Postal Service’s Delivery Sequence File has been estimated to cover as much as 98% of the population, although some studies suggest that the coverage could be in the low 90% range.2

Weighting

Weighting dimensions Variable

Benchmark source

Gender

Age

Education

Race/Hispanic origin Hispanic nativity Home internet access Region x Metropolitan status

Volunteerism

2017 American Community Survey

2018 CPS March Supplement

2017 CPS Volunteering & Civic Life Supplement

Voter registration 2016 CPS Voting and Registration Supplement

Party affiliation

Average of the three most recent Pew Research Center telephone surveys.

Note: Estimates from the ACS are based on non-institutionalized adults. Voter registration is calculated using procedures from Hur, Achen (2013) and rescaled to include the total US adult population.

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The ATP data were weighted in a multistep process that begins with a base weight incorporating the respondents’ original survey selection probability and the fact

2 AAPOR Task Force on Address-based Sampling. 2016. “AAPOR Report: Address-based Sampling.”

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that in 2014 and 2017 some respondents were subsampled for invitation to the panel. The next step in the weighting uses an iterative technique that aligns the sample to population benchmarks on the dimensions listed in the accompanying table.

Sampling errors and test of statistical- significance take into account the effect of weighting. Interviews are conducted in both English and Spanish, but the American Trends Panel’s Hispanic sample is predominantly U.S. born and English speaking.

In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.

The table shows the unweighted sample sizes and the error attributable to sampling that would be expected at the 95% level of confidence for different groups in the survey.

© Pew Research Center, 2019

Margins of error

U.S. adults

Men Women

Boomer and older Generation X Millennial and younger

Rep/Lean Rep Dem/Lean Dem

Cons Republican Mod/lib Republican Mod/cons Democrat Liberal Democrat

Rep/lean Rep by generation Boomer and older Generation X Millennial and younger

Rep/lean Rep by gender Men Women

Region Pacific Mountain South Atlantic East and West South Central Northeast Midwest

Unweighted Sample size 3,627

Margin of error in percentage points +/- 2.1

1,663 1,962

1,799 854 970

1,502 2,023

981 503 1,000 1,006

851 324 323

776 726

535 321 749 602 604 814

+/- 3.2 +/- 2.8

+/- 2.9 +/- 4.2 +/- 4.0

+/- 3.1 +/- 2.9

+/- 3.8 +/- 5.5 +/- 4.0 +/- 4.2

+/- 4.1 +/- 6.5 +/- 6.8

+/- 4.5 +/- 4.4

+/- 5.6 +/- 7.1 +/- 4.7 +/- 5.1 +/- 5.1 +/- 4.3

Note: The margins of error are reported at the 95% level of confidence and are calculated by taking into account the average design effect for each subgroup. Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Source: Survey conducted Oct 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Appendix: Detailed tables

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Conservative Republicans stand out from other political groups on many climate and energy issues % of U.S. adults who say the following

Conservative Republican Mod/lib Republican Mod/cons Democrat

Liberal Democrat

U.S. adults

Climate change having at least some effect on local community

26

Contributes to climate change a great deal Human activity

14

Natural patterns

15

59

Government is doing too little to ... Protect water quality of lakes, rivers and streams

Protect air quality

38

30

Reduce effects of climate change

24

Protect animals and their habitats

29

Protect open lands in national parks

23

84

84

92

94

95

90

86

62

49

35

68

67

67

62

55

U.S. should prioritize developing alternative energy sources

Favor expanding use of ... Solar panel farms

49

94

77

81

98

92

Wind turbine farms

71

94

Nuclear power plants

39

63

Offshore oil and gas drilling

Hydraulic fracturing

Coal mining

12

13

9

0

76

66

66

20

40

60

80

100

85

49

42

38

35

Note: Republicans and Democrats include independents and others who “lean” toward the parties. Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Younger Republicans prioritize alternative energy sources more than older Republicans % of U.S. adults who say the following

Among Rep/lean Rep who are ... Boomer and older Gen Xer Millennial and younger

Dem/ lean Dem

Climate change having at least some effect on their local community

32

47

Contributes to climate change a great deal Human activity

14

34

Natural patterns

Government is doing too little to ... Protect water quality of lakes, rivers and streams

Protect air quality

Reduce effects of climate change

Protect animals and their habitats

Protect open lands in national parks

U.S. should prioritize developing alternative energy sources

Favor expanding use of ... Solar panel farms

Wind turbine farms

Nuclear power plants

Offshore oil and gas drilling

Hydraulic fracturing

Coal mining

41

45

34

31

34

29

56

57

55

52

47

41

53

78

80

91

81

71

57

60

54

76

46

45

62

63

82

73

21

84

88

90

81

76

90

96

92

41

21

21

16

0

20

40

60

80

100

Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Republican men and women tend to differ over climate and energy issues % of U.S. adults who say the following

Among Rep/lean Rep who are ...

Men

Women

Dem/ lean Dem

Climate change having at least some effect on their local community

28

48

Contributes to climate change a great deal Human activity

17

Natural patterns

Government is doing too little to ... Protect water quality of lakes, rivers and streams

Protect air quality

Reduce effects of climate change

Protect animals and their habitats

35

34

34

27

44

44

56

56

49

46

47

Protect open lands in national parks

27

38

U.S. should prioritize developing alternative energy sources

Favor expanding use of ... Solar panel farms

Wind turbine farms

Nuclear power plants

Offshore oil and gas drilling

Hydraulic fracturing

Coal mining

58

66

84

88

75

79

46

64

70

71

50

52

64

60

82

73

21

84

88

90

81

76

90

96

92

41

21

21

16

0

20

40

60

80

100

Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Decline in support for more offshore drilling among Democrats since 2016 % of U.S. adults who favor more offshore oil and gas drilling in U.S. waters

85

86

Republican/lean Rep

65

51

56

64

64

68

75

40

27

Democrat/lean Dem

32

22

21

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19

Note: Surveys conducted from 2008 to 2015 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than those in June 2016, April 2018 and October 2019. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Political divides over increasing hydraulic fracturing % of U.S. adults who favor more hydraulic fracturing for oil and natural gas

Republican/lean Rep

71

58 59

58

60

57

37

34

31

28

25

21

Democrat/lean Dem

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 Note: Surveys conducted from 2012 to 2015 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than those in June 2016, April 2018 and October 2019. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Political divides over time on support for nuclear power % of U.S. adults who favor more nuclear power plants to generate electricity

Republican/lean Rep

60

65

59

51

51

53

59

36

38

37

38

39

41

34

Democrat/lean Dem

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19

Note: Surveys conducted from 2008 to 2015 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than those in June 2016, April 2018 and October 2019. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Support for expanding coal mining is down from 2016 % of U.S. adults who favor more coal mining

2016

2018

2019

U.S. adults

Rep/lean Rep

Dem/lean Dem

41

63

22

37

60

20

35

56

16

Note: Respondents who gave other responses or who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Most say U.S. should prioritize alternative energy sources today % of U.S. adults who say the more important priority for addressing America’s energy supply should be developing alternative sources such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology or expanding production of oil, coal and natural gas

U.S. adults

Republican/lean Rep

Democrat/lean Dem

90

Develop alternative sources

77

63

65

60

65

47

39

29

28 30

Expand production of oil, coal, natural gas

22

27

Both should be given equal priority

48

41

63

24

45

44

62

37

73

21

80

81

15

14

9

'11

'13

'15

'17

'19

'11

'13

'15

'17

'19

'11

'13

'15

'17

'19

Note: Surveys conducted from 2011 to 2017 were conducted on the phone using somewhat different question wording than the October 2019 survey. “Both should be given equal priority” was a volunteered response. Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown. Source: Survey conducted Oct. 1-13, 2019. “U.S. Public Views on Climate and Energy”

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Survey question wording and topline

2019 PEW RESEARCH CENTER’S AMERICAN TRENDS PANEL WAVE 55 FINAL TOPLINE OCTOBER 1-13, 2019 TOTAL N=3,627

ASK ALL: ENV2

Do you favor or oppose EXPANDING each of the following sources of energy in our country? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]

Favor

Oppose

No Answer

a. More offshore oil and gas drilling

in U.S. waters

Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016

b. More nuclear power plants to

generate electricity Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016

c. More coal mining

Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016

d. More solar panel “farms” Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016

e. More hydraulic fracturing,

sometimes called “fracking,” for oil and natural gas Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016

f. More wind turbine “farms” Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018 May 10-Jun 6, 2016

42 39 45

49 44 43

35 37 41

92 89 89

38 39 42

85 85 83

56 60 52

49 54 54

63 61 57

8 10 9

60 58 53

14 13 14

1 1 3

2 2 3

2 2 3

1 1 2

2 2 5

1 2 3

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ASK FORM 1 [N=1,816]: EN1F1

Right now, which ONE of the following do you think should be the more important priority for addressing America’s energy supply? [RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS]

Oct 1-13 2019

77

22

1

Developing alternative sources, such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology Expanding exploration and production of oil, coal and natural gas No answer

TREND FOR COMPARISON: Pew Research Center survey conducted by telephone: Right now, which ONE of the following do you think should be the more important priority for addressing America’s energy supply [READ AND RANDOMIZE]?

Developing alternative sources, such as wind, solar and hydrogen technology 65 60 65 58 54 47 52

Expanding exploration and production of oil, coal and natural gas 27 30 28 34 34 39 39

(VOL.) Both should be given equal priority 5 5 5 6 7 9 5

63

29

6

(VOL.) DK/Ref 3 4 2 3 4 5 4

2

Jan 4-9, 2017 Dec 3-7, 2014 Feb 12-26, 2014 Sep 4-8, 2013 Feb 13-18, 2013 Oct 24-28, 2012 Mar 7-11, 2012 Feb 22-Mar 1, 2011

OTHER QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE

ASK ALL: ENV17

How often, if ever, do you make an effort to live in ways that help protect the environment?

Oct 1-13 2019 25 63 9 2 <1

All the time Some of the time Not too often Not at all No answer

May 10- June 6 2016 20 63 13 4 <1

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ASK FORM 1 [N=1,816]: EN6F1

Do you do each of the following in your everyday life in order TO HELP PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT, or don’t you? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]

a. Eat less meat

Oct 1-13, 2019

b. Drive less or carpool Oct 1-13, 2019

c. Reduce your food waste

Oct 1-13, 2019

d. Use fewer plastics that cannot be reused

(e.g., plastic bags, straws, cups)

Oct 1-13, 2019

e. Reduce the amount of water you use

Oct 1-13, 2019

Yes, I do this

No, I do not do this

No answer

41

51

80

72

68

59

49

20

28

32

<1

<1

<1

1

<1

ASK FORM 2 [N=1,811]: EN6F2

How much difference does it make when people do each of the following in their everyday lives TO HELP PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]

Makes a big difference

Makes a small difference

Makes almost no difference

No answer

a. Eating less meat

Oct 1-13, 2019

b. Driving less or carpooling Oct 1-13, 2019

c. Reducing their food waste Oct 1-13, 2019

d. Using fewer plastics that cannot be reused (e.g., plastic bags, straws, cups)

Oct 1-13, 2019

e. Reducing the amount of

water they use

Oct 1-13, 2019

24

52

52

67

50

38

40

37

26

40

38

7

10

<1

<1

<1

7

<1

10

<1

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ASK ALL: ENVIR8

How much do you think the federal government is doing to… [RANDOMIZE ITEMS; show on same screen]

Too much

Too little

About the right amount

No Answer

a. Protect air quality Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018

b. Protect water quality of lakes,

rivers and streams Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018

c. Protect animals and their

habitats

Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018

d. Protect open lands in national

parks and nature preserves

Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018

e. Reduce the effects of global

climate change

Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018

4 8

4 6

7 9

5 8

10 13

67 64

68 69

62 63

55 57

67 67

28 27

27 24

31 27

39 34

23 19

1 1

1 1

1 1

1 1

1 1

RANDOMIZE ORDER OF EN7 and EN8 ASK ALL: EN7

How much do you think human activity, such as the burning of fossil fuels, contributes to global climate change?

Oct 1-13 2019 49 30 14 5 2

A great deal Some Not too much Not at all No answer

ASK ALL: EN8

How much do you think natural patterns in the Earth’s environment contribute to global climate change?

Oct 1-13 2019 35 44 13 4 2

A great deal Some Not too much Not at all No answer

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RANDOMIZE ORDER OF CLIM5 AND CLIM6 ASK ALL: CLIM5

Do you think policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally… [RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS 1 AND 2]

Oct 1-13 2019 33 30 35 2

Help the U.S. economy Hurt the U.S. economy Make no difference for the U.S. economy No answer

Mar 27- Apr 9 2018 30 31 36 2

ASK ALL: CLIM6

Do you think policies aimed at reducing the effects of global climate change generally… [RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS 1 AND 2 IN SAME ORDER AS CLIM5]

Oct 1-13 2019 54 15 29 2

Do more GOOD than harm for the environment Do more HARM than good for the environment Make no difference for the environment No answer

Mar 27- Apr 9 2018 49 19 30 2

ASK FORM 1 [N=1,816]: CLIM9F1

How much, if at all, do you think global climate change is currently affecting…

A great deal

Some

Not too much

Not at all

No Answer

a. The United States Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018

b. Your local community Oct 1-13, 2019 Mar 27-Apr 9, 2018

41 40

25 22

35 35

38 37

15 16

24 25

8 8

12 15

<1 <1

<1 <1

ASK FORM 2 [N=1,811]: CLIM9F2

How much, if at all, do you think global climate change is currently affecting your local community?

Oct 1-13, 2019

A great deal 20

Some 40

Not too much 25

Not at all 15

No Answer 1

COMBINED FORM 1 AND FORM 2 “YOUR LOCAL COMMUNITY” [N=3,627] A great deal

Not too much

Not at all

Some

No Answer

Your local community Oct 1-13, 2019

22

39

24

13

1

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ASK IF CLIM9F1B=1,2 OR CLIM9F2=1,2 (LOCAL COMMUNITY AFFECTED A GREAT DEAL OR SOME) [N=2,284]: CLIM10

Would you say each of the following is a MAJOR way that global climate change is currently affecting your local community, or not? [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]

a. Droughts or water shortages Oct 1-13, 2019

b. Long periods of unusually hot weather

Oct 1-13, 2019

c. Severe weather, like floods or intense

storms

Oct 1-13, 2019

d. Rising sea levels that erode beaches and

shore lines

Oct 1-13, 2019

e. Damage to forests and plant life

Oct 1-13, 2019

f. Harm to animal wildlife and their habitats

Oct 1-13, 2019

g. More frequent wildfires

Oct 1-13, 2019

BASED ON ALL ASKED [N=2,284]

Yes, a major way

No, not a major way

No answer

64

79

35

21

1

1

70

29

<1

56

67

69

56

43

32

30

43

1

1

1

1

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CLIM10 CONTINUED

BASED ON TOTAL [N=3627]

Answered “Local community affected a great deal or some” to CLIM9F1_B or CLIM9F2

Answered “Local community affected not too much/not at all” to CLIM9F1_B or CLIM9F2

No answer to CLIM9F1_B or CLIM9F2

Yes, a major way

No, not a major way

No answer to CLIM10

a. Droughts or water

shortages

Oct 1-13, 2019

62

39

22

1

38

b. Long periods of

unusually hot weather

Oct 1-13, 2019

62

49

13

<1

38

c. Severe weather, like floods or intense storms

Oct 1-13, 2019

62

43

18

<1

38

d. Rising sea levels that erode beaches and shore lines

Oct 1-13, 2019

62

34

27

1

38

e. Damage to forests and

plant life

Oct 1-13, 2019

62

41

20

<1

38

f. Harm to animal

wildlife and their habitats

Oct 1-13, 2019

62

43

19

<1

38

g. More frequent

wildfires

Oct 1-13, 2019

62

35

27

1

38

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

OTHER QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE

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