| 1 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| 2024 PEW RESEARCH CENTER’S AMERICAN TRENDS PANEL |
| WAVE 159 POLITICS SURVEY NOVEMBER 2024 |
| FINAL TOPLINE |
| NOVEMBER 12-17, 2024 |
| N=9,609 |
| Note: This survey was conducted primarily online, with some interviews conducted by live telephone. This |
| topline shows the programming language for online administration. For details on how questions were slightly |
| modified for phone administration, visit the questionnaire. |
| American Trends Panel surveys conducted between October 2016 and June 2024 were conducted fully online |
| (with tablets and data plans provided to adults without home internet). American Trends Panel surveys |
| conducted prior to October 2016 were conducted primarily online, with some respondents completing by mail. |
| For additional details, refer to the methodology. |
| * “No answer” includes web respondents who do not answer the question as well as telephone respondents |
| who refuse to answer or who say that they don’t know how to answer. In cases where “not sure” was offered |
| as an explicit option to web and telephone respondents, the “no answer” category includes only web skips and |
| telephone refusals. |
| In addition to the parameters used in weighting each wave of the American Trends Panel, the results of this |
| survey were weighted to the 2024 presidential popular vote and turnout among the voting-eligible population |
| (as of Nov. 18, 2024). For additional information, refer to the methodology. |
| ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED |
| ASK ALL CITIZENS (XCITIZEN=1) [N=9,302]: |
| VOTED Which of the following statements best describes you? |
| Nov 29- |
| Nov 12-17, Nov 16-27, Nov 12-17, Nov 7-16, Dec 12, |
| 2024 20221 2020 2018 2016 |
| I did not vote in the November |
| 22 2024 election 32 22 23 14 |
| 13 I planned to vote but wasn’t able to 20 9 22 8 |
| I definitely voted in the November |
| 65 2024 election 47 67 55 77 |
| 1 No answer* 1 2 1 1 |
| 1 In 2022 and 2018, this question was asked about that November’s congressional election. In 2020 and 2016, this question |
| was asked about that November’s presidential election. |
| www.pewresearch.org |
|
|
| 2 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: |
| VOTEGEN_POST In the 2024 presidential election, who did you vote for? [RANDOMIZE OPTIONS 1 AND 2 |
| FIRST FOLLOWED BY RANDOMIZED OPTIONS 3,4,5,6,7 WITH OPTION 8 AND 9 ALWAYS LAST] |
| Nov 12-17, |
| | 2024 | | | | | | | | | | |
| | ----- | ----------------------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | 49 | Donald Trump, the Republican | | | | | | | | | |
| | 47 | Kamala Harris, the Democrat | | | | | | | | | |
| | * | Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a third party candidate | | | | | | | | | |
| | * | Chase Oliver, the Libertarian Party candidate | | | | | | | | | |
| | * | Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate | | | | | | | | | |
| | * | Cornel West, a third party candidate | | | | | | | | | |
| | * | Claudia De la Cruz, the Socialism and Liberation Party candidate | | | | | | | | | |
| | * | Another candidate | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2 | I did not vote for a candidate for president | | | | | | | | | |
| | * | No answer* | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE |
| |
| ASK IF DID NOT VOTE (VOTED=1-2) [N=1,201]: |
| | WISH_VOTED | Do you wish that you had voted in the election? | | | | | | | | | |
| | ----------- | ------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | Nov 29- | | Nov 17- | | |
| | ----------- | ----------- | ----------- | --- | ---------- | --- | -------- | --- | -------- | --- | |
| | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 7-16, | | Dec 12 | | Dec 15, | | |
| | 2024 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | 2016 | | 2014 | | |
| | 42 | Yes | | 45 | 61 | | 44 | | 55 | | |
| | 57 | No | | 54 | 38 | | 55 | | 43 | | |
| | 1 | No answer* | | 1 | | 1 | * | | 1 | | |
|
|
| ASK IF CITIZEN AND DID NOT VOTE (X_CITIZEN=1 AND VOTED=1,2) [N=1,201]: |
| NOVOTERSN2 There are lots of different reasons why many people don’t vote. For you personally, |
| how much of a reason, if at all, is each of the following for why you did not vote? |
| [RANDOMIZE] |
| |
| | | | | Major | | Minor | | Not a | | No | |
| | ----- | ------------------------------------ | --- | ------- | --- | ------- | --- | ------- | --- | -------- | |
| | | | | reason | | reason | | reason | | answer* | |
| | DIFF | I didn’t think my vote would make a | | | | | | | | | |
| difference |
| | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 35 | | | 26 | 39 | | 1 | |
| | ----- | -------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 21 | | | 23 | 55 | | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | CARE | I didn’t care who won2 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 17 | | | 21 | 61 | | 1 | |
| | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 12 | | | 23 | 64 | | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | ELGB | I’m not registered or not eligible to | | | | | | | | | |
| vote |
| | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 18 | | | 15 | 66 | | 1 | |
| | ----- | --------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 19 | | | 10 | 70 | | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | INCV | It was too inconvenient for me to vote | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 15 | | | 22 | 62 | | 1 | |
| | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 20 | | | 21 | 59 | | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| 2 In 2018, the reason was worded “I didn’t care who won the congressional election in my area.” |
| www.pewresearch.org |
| |
| 3 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| | NOVOTERSN2 CONTINUED … | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | ----------------------- | --- | ---------------------- | --- | ------- | --- | ------- | ------ | --- | ------- | -------- | --- | |
| | | | | | Major | | | Minor | | Not a | No | | |
| | | | | | reason | | reason | | | reason | answer* | | |
| | LIKE | | I don’t like politics | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 31 | | | 25 | | 43 | 1 | | |
| | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 26 | | | 23 | | 50 | 1 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | FRGT | | I forgot to vote | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | 8 | | 13 | | 79 | 1 | | |
| | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | | 7 | | 15 | | 77 | 1 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED TRUMP (VOTEGEN_POST=1) [N=3,536]: |
| DTFORAGNST_POST Would you say that your vote for Trump was more a vote… |
| ASK IF VOTED HARRIS (VOTEGEN_POST=2) [N=4,185]: |
| KHFORAGNST_POST Would you say that your vote for Harris was more a vote… |
| |
| BASED ON VOTERS [N=8,072]: |
| |
| | | | | | | | Based on registered voters | | | | | | |
| | ------------- | ----------- | --- | ------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --------------------------- | ------ | --- | -------------- | --- | --- | |
| | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, | | | Aug 26-Sep 2, | | | |
| | | 2024 | | | | | | 20243 | | 2024 | | | |
| | | 49 | | Trump | | | | 47 | | 49 | | | |
| | | 40 | | For Trump | | | | 31 | | 33 | | | |
| | | 9 | | Against Harris | | | | 15 | | 16 | | | |
| | | * | | Refused | | | | * | | * | | | |
| | 47 | | | Harris | | | | 48 | | 49 | | | |
| | | 23 | | For Harris | | | | 23 | | 24 | | | |
| | | 24 | | Against Trump | | | | 25 | | 25 | | | |
| | | * | | Refused | | | | * | | * | | | |
| | | 2 | | Vote for Kennedy Jr./Oliver/Stein/West/De | | | | - | | - | | | |
| La Cruz/Another candidate |
| | | 2 | | I did not vote for a candidate for president | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | * | | No answer* | | | | * | | * | | | |
| |
| | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ---------------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | Would you say that your vote for Trump was more a vote… | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Would you say that your vote for Biden was more a vote… | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | | | | | | Based on voters | | | | Based on registered voters | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | ----------------------------------- | --- | ---------------- | ----------- | --- | -------------- | --------------------------- | --- | ----------- | |
| | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | Sep 30-Oct 5, | | | Jun 16-22, | |
| | | | | | | | 2020 | | | 20204 | | 2020 | |
| | | | | Trump | | | 47 | | | 42 | | 44 | |
| | | | | For Trump | | | 36 | | | 30 | | 33 | |
| | | | | Against Biden | | | 11 | | | 12 | | 10 | |
| | | | | Biden | | | 51 | | | 52 | | 54 | |
| | | | | For Biden | | | 24 | | | 19 | | 18 | |
| | | | | Against Trump | | | 28 | | | 33 | | 36 | |
| | | | | Vote for Jorgensen/Hawkins/Another | | | 1 | | | - | | - | |
| candidate |
| | | | | No answer | | | * | | | * | | - | |
| | --- | --- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| 3 |
| Trend for DTFORAGNST and KHFORAGNST asked prior to election combined those who said they were voting for the |
| candidate or leaning toward the candidate. Postelection versions of these questions asked those who said they voted for |
| Trump or Harris. |
| 4 |
| Trend for DTFORAGNST and JBFORAGNST asked prior to election combined those who said they were voting for the |
| candidate or leaning toward the candidate. Postelection versions of these questions asked those who said they voted for |
| Trump or Biden. |
| www.pewresearch.org |
| |
| 4 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: |
| VOTEDECTIME As far as you can remember, when did you make up your mind about who you were going to |
| vote for in the presidential election? |
| BASED ON THOSE WHO SELECTED A CANDIDATE (VOTEGEN_POST=1-8) [N=7,977] |
| Nov 29- |
| Nov 12-17, Nov 12-17, Dec 12 |
| 2024 2020 20165 |
| Last few days before Election |
| 4 Day 3 9 |
| The last week before Election |
| 3 Day 2 4 |
| 7 In October 5 9 |
| 6 In September 5 11 |
| 81 Before September 84 67 |
| * No answer* * * |
| PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| When did you make up your mind definitely to vote for “Hillary Clinton;” “Donald Trump;” “Gary |
| Johnson;” “Jill Stein,” “The candidate of your choice”? |
| Nov 10-14 Nov 8-11 Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov |
| 2016 2012 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 |
| On Election Day 4 4 4 5 6 9 6 |
| On Monday (day before the election) * 1 1 2 3 4 3 |
| Over the last weekend * 1 1 2 2 4 2 |
| In the last week 2 2 3 5 6 8 4 |
| In the last few weeks 5 -- -- -- -- -- -- |
| During or just after the Presidential debates 10 10 11 17 -- 12 -- |
| Before debates/after the Conventions 10 9 6 9 12 6 16 |
| Convention period (NET) 22 10 7 7 8 12 15 |
| During or after the Republican convention 13 9 1 4 -- -- -- |
| During or after the Democratic convention 9 1 6 3 -- -- -- |
| This year, before the conventions 22 16 23 21 13 18 19 |
| Before 2016 20 41 38 20 39 12 9 |
| Other -- 0 0 -- * 8 -- |
| Don’t remember 2 1 4 6 6 5 4 |
| Don’t know/Refused 1 4 2 3 2 1 2 |
| ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE |
| 5 In 2016, people who said “another candidate” were not asked this question; question read “As far as you can remember, |
| when did you make up your mind definitely to vote for ‘Donald Trump;’ ‘Hillary Clinton;’ ‘Gary Johnson;’ ‘Jill Stein’?” |
| www.pewresearch.org |
|
|
| 5 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTADMIN_POST_COM AND VTADMIN_POST_US] |
|
|
| ASK ALL: |
| VTADMIN_POST_COM Do you think the elections this November in your community were run and |
| administered… |
|
|
| | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 7-16, | | | | |
| | ----------- | ---------------- | --- | ----------- | --- | ----------- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | | |
| | 55 | Very well | | 42 | | 53 | | 49 | | | | |
| | 35 | Somewhat well | | 42 | | 32 | | 38 | | | | |
| | 7 | Not too well | | 9 | | 9 | | | 8 | | | |
| | 2 | Not at all well | | 4 | | 6 | | | 4 | | | |
| | 1 | No answer* | | 3 | | 1 | | | 1 | | | |
|
|
| TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| Do you think the elections this November in your community will be run and administered… |
|
|
| | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, | Sep 24-Oct 7, | | |
| | --- | ---------------- | --- | -------------- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | -------------- | -------------- | ----- | |
| | | | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | |
| | | Very well | | | 43 | | 40 | | 36 | | 41 | |
| | | Somewhat well | | | 44 | | 45 | | 48 | | 46 | |
| | | Not too well | | | 8 | | 10 | | 11 | | 9 | |
| | | Not at all well | | | 4 | | 4 | | 4 | | 3 | |
| | | No answer | | | 1 | | 1 | | * | | 1 | |
|
|
| [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTADMIN_POST_COM AND VTADMIN_POST_US] |
|
|
| ASK ALL: |
| VTADMIN_POST_US Do you think the elections this November in the United States were run and |
| administered… |
|
|
| | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 7-16, | | | | |
| | ----------- | ---------------- | ----------- | ----- | ----------- | ----- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | | |
| | 37 | Very well | | 25 | | 33 | | 21 | | | | |
| | 47 | Somewhat well | | 46 | | 25 | | 53 | | | | |
| | 11 | Not too well | | 18 | | 20 | | 18 | | | | |
| | 4 | Not at all well | | 8 | | 22 | | 7 | | | | |
| | 1 | No answer* | | 3 | | 1 | | 1 | | | | |
|
|
| TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| Do you think the elections this November in the United States will be run and administered… |
|
|
| | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, | Sep 24-Oct 7, | | |
| | --- | ---------------- | --- | -------------- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | -------------- | -------------- | ----- | |
| | | | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | |
| | | Very well | | | 20 | | 20 | | 12 | | 20 | |
| | | Somewhat well | | | 50 | | 49 | | 46 | | 57 | |
| | | Not too well | | | 21 | | 23 | | 30 | | 18 | |
| | | Not at all well | | | 8 | | 7 | | 12 | | 4 | |
| | | No answer | | | 1 | | 1 | | 1 | | 1 | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| www.pewresearch.org |
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| 6 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: |
| VTEASY_POST Overall, was voting in the election this November for you personally... [ROTATE |
| RESPONSES OPTIONS 1-4/4-1] |
| |
| | Nov 12-17, | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | | |
| | ----------- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | | | | 2020 | | | | | | |
| | | 79 | Very easy | | | | 77 | | | | | | |
| | | 15 | Somewhat easy | | | | 17 | | | | | | |
| | | 5 | Somewhat difficult | | | | 5 | | | | | | |
| |
| | | 2 | Very difficult | | | | 1 | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| | | * | No answer* | | | | * | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| Overall, do you personally expect voting in the November elections to be... |
| |
| BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: |
| |
| | | | | | | | Sep 30- | Oct 10- | | Sep 30- | Jul 27- | Sep 24- | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | -------- | ------- | --- | -------- | -------- | -------- | |
| | | | | | | | Oct 6, | 16 | | Oct 5 | Aug 2 | Oct 7 | |
| | | | | | | | 2024 | 2022 | | 2020 | 2020 | 2018 | |
| | | | Very easy | | | | 43 | 45 | | 29 | 23 | 46 | |
| | | | Somewhat easy | | | | 38 | 37 | | 36 | 28 | 39 | |
| | | | Somewhat difficult | | | | 16 | 14 | | 29 | 38 | 13 | |
| | | | Very difficult | | | | 4 | | 3 | 6 | 11 | 2 | |
| | | | No answer | | | | * | | * | * | 1 | * | |
| |
| ASK ALL: |
| SATCAND_POST Now that the campaign is over, how satisfied were you with the choice of presidential |
| candidates? Would you say that you were… |
| BASED ON VOTERS [N=8,072]: |
| | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | |
| | ----------- | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | | | | 2020 | | | | | | |
| | | 32 | Very satisfied | | | | 30 | | | | | | |
| | | 20 | Fairly satisfied | | | | 26 | | | | | | |
| | | 22 | Not too satisfied | | | | 24 | | | | | | |
| | | 25 | Not at all satisfied | | | | 19 | | | | | | |
| | | * | No answer* | | | | * | | | | | | |
|
|
| TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| What is your opinion of the presidential candidates for this year? Would you say that you are… |
|
|
| BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: |
|
|
| | | | | | | 2024 Election | | | | 2020 Election | | | |
| | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | -------- | -------------- | --------- | --- | --- | -------------- | ----------- | --- | |
| | | | | | Aug 26- | | | | | Jul 27- | | | |
| | | | | | Sep 2, | | Jul 1-7, | | | Aug 2, | Jun 16-22, | | |
| | | | | | 2024 | | 2024 | | | 2020 | 2020 | | |
| | | Very satisfied | | | | 15 | 11 | | | 15 | 16 | | |
| | | Fairly satisfied | | | | 32 | 20 | | | 31 | 31 | | |
| | | Not too satisfied | | | | 34 | 32 | | | 35 | 34 | | |
| | | Not at all satisfied | | | | 17 | 37 | | | 19 | 19 | | |
| | | No answer* | | | | 1 | | 1 | | 1 | 1 | | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| www.pewresearch.org |
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| 7 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| SATCAND_POST TREND FOR COMPARSION CONTINUED … |
| |
| PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| Now that the campaign is over, how satisfied were you with the choice of presidential candidates? |
| |
| BASED ON THOSE WHO VOTED: |
| |
| | | | | Nov 10-14, | | Nov 8-11, | | Nov Nov | | Nov Nov | Nov Nov | |
| | --------------------- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | ---------- | --- | ----------- | --- | ----------- | ----------- | |
| | | | | 2016 | | 2012 | | 2008 2004 | | 2000 1996 | 1992 1988 | |
| | Very satisfied | | | | 19 | 37 | | 39 | 33 | 24 18 | 24 26 | |
| | Fairly satisfied | | | | 25 | 33 | | 28 | 33 | 44 33 | 37 36 | |
| | Not very satisfied | | | | 26 | 16 | | 17 | 16 | 18 24 | 21 20 | |
| | Not at all satisfied | | | | 29 | 12 | | 14 | 16 | 9 22 | 16 17 | |
| | Don't | | | | 1 | 3 | | 2 | 2 | 5 3 | 2 1 | |
| know/Refused |
| (VOL.) |
| |
| [DISPLAY CMPGNTRAITPOST_PROUD, CMPGNTRAITPOST_NEG, CMPGNTRAITPOST_POLCY, |
| CMPGNTRAITPOST_INT ON SAME PAGE; RANDOMIZE ORDER OF QUESTIONS; INCLUDE |
| RANDOMIZATION IN DATA FILE. DO NOT RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS WITHIN EACH |
| QUESTION] |
| |
| ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: |
| CMPGNTRAITPOST_PROUD Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... |
|
|
| BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: |
|
|
| | | | | Made you feel proud | | | Did not make you feel | | | No | | |
| | ---------------- | --- | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | ---------------------- | --- | --- | -------- | --- | |
| | | | | of the country | | | proud of the country | | | answer* | | |
| | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 29 | | | 70 | | 1 | | |
|
|
| | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
| | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | Makes you feel proud | | Does not make you feel | | No | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --------------------- | --- | ----------------------- | --- | -------- | |
| | | | | | | | of the country | | proud of the country | | answer* | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | | 19 | | 79 | 2 | |
| | | | Jul 1-7, 2024 | | | | | 12 | | 87 | 1 | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| www.pewresearch.org |
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| 8 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
|
|
| ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: |
| CMPGNTRAITPOST_NEG Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... |
| |
| BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: |
| |
| | | | | Too | | Not too | | No | | | | | | |
| | ---------------- | --- | --- | --------- | --- | --------- | --- | -------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | | negative | | negative | | answer* | | | | | | |
| | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | 74 | | 25 | | 1 | | | | | | |
| |
| | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --------- | ---------- | --- | -------- | --- | |
| | | | | | | | | | Too | Not too | | No | | |
| | | | | | | | | | negative | negative | | answer* | | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | | | 71 | | 27 | | 2 | |
| Jul 1-7, 2024 |
| | | | | | | | | | 68 | | 30 | | 2 | |
| | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON:6 | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Nov 12-17, 2020 | | | | | | 76 | | 23 | | 1 | |
| | | | July 27-Aug 2, 2020 | | | | | | 61 | | 37 | | 2 | |
| |
| ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: |
| CMPGNTRAITPOST_POLCY Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... |
|
|
| BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: |
|
|
| | | | | Focused on important | | | Not focused on important | | | | No | | | |
| | ---------------- | --- | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | ------------------------- | --------------- | --- | --- | -------- | --- | --- | |
| | | | | policy debates | | | | policy debates | | | answer* | | | |
| | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 35 | | | | 64 | | 1 | | | |
|
|
| | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
| | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | Focused on | | Not focused on | | | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --------------- | --- | --------------- | --- | -------- | |
| | | | | | | | | | important | | important | | No | |
| | | | | | | | | | policy debates | | policy debates | | answer* | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | | | 37 | | | 62 | 1 | |
| | | | Jul 1-7, 2024 | | | | | | 23 | | | 76 | 1 | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON:7 | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Nov 12-17, 2020 | | | | | | 27 | | | 72 | 1 | |
| | | | July 27-Aug 2, 2020 | | | | | | 25 | | | 73 | 2 | |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
|
|
| 6 Question asked about the 2020 presidential campaign. |
| 7 Question asked about the 2020 presidential campaign. |
| www.pewresearch.org |
|
|
| 9 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
|
|
| ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: |
| CMPGNTRAITPOST_INT Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... |
| |
| BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: |
| |
| | | | | | No | | | | | | | |
| | ---------------- | --- | --- | ------------ | -------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | | Interesting | Dull answer* | | | | | | | |
| | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | 74 | 24 2 | | | | | | | |
| |
| | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | ------------ | --- | --- | ----- | --- | -------- | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | No | |
| | | | | | | Interesting | | | Dull | | answer* | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | 68 | | 30 | | 2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON8 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Nov 12-17, 2020 | | | | 64 | | 34 | | 2 | |
| | | | July 27-Aug 2, 2020 | | | | 39 | | 59 | | 2 | |
| |
| ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: |
| | VOTE_HOW_POST | | | How did you vote in the election? [RANDOMIZE] | | | | | | | | |
| | -------------- | --- | --- | ---------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON (VOTE_HOW_POST=1) [N=5,196]: |
| | VOTEINPWHEN | | When did you vote? | | | | | | | | | |
| | ------------ | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | Nov 16-27, | | | Nov 12-17, | | |
| | ----------- | ----- | ------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | ----------- | --- | |
| | | 2024 | | | | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | |
| | | 65 | In person at a polling place | | | | | 65 | | 54 | | |
| | | 34 | On Election Day | | | | | 44 | | | 27 | |
| | | 32 | Before Election Day | | | | | 21 | | | 27 | |
| | | * | Refused | | | | | * | | | * | |
| | | 35 | By absentee or mail-in ballot | | | | | 35 | | 46 | | |
| | | * | No answer* | | | | | * | | | * | |
| |
| TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| When did you vote in the elections this November? |
| How did you vote in the November election? |
| |
| | | | | | | | Nov 7-16, | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| 2018 |
| | | | On election day | | | | | 55 | | | | |
| | --- | --- | -------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | Before election day | | | | | 45 | | | | |
| | | | Voted in person | | | | | 19 | | | | |
| | | | Mailed in ballot | | | | | 25 | | | | |
| | | | No answer | | | | | * | | | | |
| | | | No answer | | | | | * | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| 8 Question asked about the 2020 presidential campaign. |
| www.pewresearch.org |
| |
| 10 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| VOTE_HOW_POST/VOTEINPWHEN TREND FOR COMPARISON CONTINUED… |
| |
| PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| Did you vote ON Election Day or BEFORE Election DAY? |
| |
| Did you vote in person or did you mail your ballot in? |
| |
| | | | | Nov 10-14 | Nov 6-9 | | Nov 8-11 | | Nov | | Nov | | Nov | Nov | |
| | ------------------------- | --- | --- | ---------- | -------- | ----- | --------- | ----- | ----- | --- | ----- | --- | ----- | ----- | |
| | | | | 2016 | | 2014 | | 2012 | 2008 | | 2006 | | 2004 | 2002 | |
| | On Election Day | | | 59 | | 71 | | 63 | 66 | | 80 | | 80 | 85 | |
| | Before Election Day | | | 41 | | 29 | | 37 | 34 | | 20 | | 20 | 15 | |
| | Voted in person | | | 22 | | 12 | | 19 | 19 | | -- | | | | |
| | Mailed in ballot | | | 18 | | 16 | | 17 | 14 | | -- | | | | |
| | Other way/DK/Ref (VOL) | | | 1 | | 1 | | * | 1 | | -- | | | | |
| | Don’t know/Refused (VOL) | | | 0 | | * | | 0 | * | | * | | * | * | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED BY ABSENTEE OR MAIL (VOTE_HOW_POST=2) [N=2,868]: |
| VOTEMAIL How did you return your absentee or mail-in ballot? [RANDOMIZE] |
| |
| | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | |
| | ----------- | ----- | ------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | 2024 | | | | | | 2022 | | | 2020 | | | | |
| | | 12 | In person to an election official or poll | | | | | | 12 | | 15 | | | | |
| worker |
| | | 38 | At a designated dropbox | | | | | | 36 | | 41 | | | | |
| | --- | --- | ------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | 50 | By mail | | | | | | 52 | | 44 | | | | |
| | | * | No answer* | | | | | | * | | * | | | | |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED BY ABSENTEE OR MAIL (VOTE_HOW_POST=2) [N=2,868]: |
| MAILWHEN When did you mail or return your absentee or mail-in ballot? |
| |
| | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | | |
| | --- | ----------- | --------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | 2024 | | | | | | 2020 | | | | | | | |
| | | 33 | In the week leading up to Election Day | | | | | | 23 | | | | | | |
| | | 67 | Before that | | | | | | 76 | | | | | | |
| | | * | No answer* | | | | | | * | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON (VOTE_HOW_POST=1) [N=5,196]: |
| WAITVOTE When you went to vote, approximately how long did you have to wait in line to |
| vote? |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 17- | | | |
| | ------------ | ----- | --------------------- | --- | --- | ------------ | ----- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | -------- | --- | --- | |
| | Nov 12-17, | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 7-16, | | | Dec 15, | | | |
| | | 2024 | | | | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | 2014 | | | |
| | | 42 | Did not wait at all9 | | | | 35 | | 47 | | | | 53 | | |
| | | 30 | Less than 10 minutes | | | | 27 | | 33 | | | | 30 | | |
| | | 17 | 10 to 30 minutes | | | | 20 | | 14 | | | | 13 | | |
| | | 7 | 31 minutes to 1 hour | | | | 11 | | | 5 | | | 3 | | |
| | | 4 | More than 1 hour | | | | 6 | | | 1 | | | * | | |
| | | * | No answer* | | | | * | | | * | | | * | | |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| 9 In surveys prior to November 2024, the response was worded “Not at all”. |
| www.pewresearch.org |
| |
| 11 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED BY MAIL OR ABSENTEE (VOTE_HOW_POST=2) [N=2,868]: |
| MAILFIRST Is this the first time you have ever voted by mail or absentee ballot? |
| |
| | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 12-17, | | | |
| | ----------- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | 2020 | | | |
| Yes, this is the first time I have ever voted by |
| | 12 | | | 39 | | | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| mail or absentee ballot |
| | 88 | No, I have voted by mail or absentee ballot before | | 61 | | | |
| | --- | --------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | * | No answer* | | * | | | |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON BEFORE ELECTION DAY (VOTEINPWHEN=1) [N=2,671]: |
| | EARLYFIRST | Is this the first time you have ever voted early? | | | | | |
| | ----------- | -------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| Nov 12-17, |
| | 2024 | | | | | | |
| | ----- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| 29 Yes, this is the first time I have ever voted early |
| 71 No, I have voted early before |
| * No answer* |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON ON ELECTION DAY (VOTEINPWHEN=2) [N=2,513]: |
| ELECDFIRST Is this the first time you have ever voted in person on Election Day? |
| |
| Nov 12-17, |
| 2024 |
| Yes, this is the first time I have ever voted in person on Election Day |
| 7 |
| 93 No, I have voted in person on Election Day before |
| * No answer* |
| |
| ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED |
| |
| ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: |
| VTCOUNT_OWN How confident are you that your vote was accurately counted? |
|
|
| | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 16-27, | Nov 12-17, | | |
| | ----------- | ------------------- | --- | ----------- | ----------- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | 2022 | 2020 | | |
| | 59 | Very confident | | 57 | 59 | | |
| | 33 | Somewhat confident | | 31 | 26 | | |
| | 5 | Not too confident | | 8 | 9 | | |
| Not at all confident |
| | 2 | | | 3 | 6 | | |
| | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | * | No answer* | | * | * | | |
|
|
| | | PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | |
| | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
|
|
| | | | Nov 10-14 Nov 6-9 Nov 8-11 Nov 4-7 | | Nov Nov | Nov | |
| | --- | -------------------------- | ----------------------------------- | ----------- | ----------- | ----- | |
| | | | 2016 2014 | 2012 2010 | 2008 2006 | 2004 | |
| | | Very confident | 71 68 | 68 64 | 73 70 | 68 | |
| | | Somewhat confident | 19 21 | 22 26 | 22 23 | 24 | |
| | | Not too confident | 4 5 | 5 4 | 3 3 | 4 | |
| | | Not at all confident | 5 4 | 3 3 | 2 2 | 3 | |
| | | Don’t know/Refused (VOL.) | 1 1 | 1 3 | * 2 | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| www.pewresearch.org |
|
|
| 12 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTCOUNT_POST_INP AND VTCOUNT_POST_ABS] |
|
|
| ASK ALL: |
| VTCOUNT_POST_INP How confident are you that votes cast in person at polling places across the United |
| States were counted as voters intended in the elections this November? |
|
|
| | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | |
| | ----------- | --------------------- | ----------- | ----- | ----------- | ----- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | |
| | 38 | Very confident | | 37 | | 42 | | |
| | 47 | Somewhat confident | | 43 | | 35 | | |
| | 11 | Not too confident | | 13 | | 13 | | |
| | 4 | Not at all confident | | 6 | | 8 | | |
| | 1 | No answer* | | 1 | | 1 | | |
|
|
| TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| How confident are you that votes cast in person at polling places across the United States will |
| be counted as voters intend in the elections this November? |
|
|
| | | | | Sep 30- | | | Sep 30- | |
| | --- | --------------------- | --- | ------- | --- | ----------- | -------- | |
| | | | | Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | Oct 5, | |
| | | | | 2024 | | 2022 | 2020 | |
| | | Very confident | | 36 | | 34 | 42 | |
| | | Somewhat confident | | 46 | | 45 | 44 | |
| | | Not too confident | | 13 | | 15 | 10 | |
| | | Not at all confident | | | 5 | 5 | 4 | |
| | | No answer* | | | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
|
|
| [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTCOUNT_POST_INP AND VTCOUNT_POST_ABS] |
|
|
| ASK ALL: |
| VTCOUNT_POST_ABS How confident are you that votes cast by absentee or mail in ballot across the United |
| States were counted as voters intended in the elections this November? |
|
|
| | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | |
| | ----------- | --------------------- | ----------- | ----- | ----------- | ----- | --- | |
| | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | |
| | 24 | Very confident | | 25 | | 30 | | |
| | 46 | Somewhat confident | | 37 | | 27 | | |
| | 21 | Not too confident | | 23 | | 19 | | |
| | 7 | Not at all confident | | 13 | | 23 | | |
| | 1 | No answer* | | 1 | | 1 | | |
|
|
| TREND FOR COMPARISON: |
| How confident are you that votes cast by absentee or mail-in ballot across the United States |
| will be counted as voters intend in the elections this November? |
|
|
| | | | | Sep 30- | | | Sep 30- | |
| | --- | --------------------- | --- | ------- | --- | ----------- | -------- | |
| | | | | Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | Oct 5, | |
| | | | | 2024 | | 2022 | 2020 | |
| | | Very confident | | 22 | | 21 | 17 | |
| | | Somewhat confident | | 38 | | 38 | 38 | |
| | | Not too confident | | 27 | | 24 | 28 | |
| | | Not at all confident | | 12 | | 16 | 16 | |
| | | No answer* | | | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
|
|
| www.pewresearch.org |
|
|
| 13 |
| PEW RESEARCH CENTER |
| ASK ALL: |
| ELECT_CONFNOVPOS How confident, if at all, are you that... [RANDOMIZE ITEMS] |
| |
| | | | | | | | Very | Somewhat | | Not too | | Not at all | No | |
| | ------ | --- | -------------------------------- | --- | --- | ---------- | ----- | ---------- | --- | ---------- | --- | ----------- | -------- | |
| | | | | | | confident | | confident | | confident | | confident | answer* | |
| | PRVFR | | People who were not legally | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | qualified to vote are prevented | | | | | | | | | | | |
| from casting a ballot |
| | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 27 | | 38 | 26 | | 8 | 1 | |
| | ------- | -------------------------------- | ------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | TREND FOR COMPARISON10: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | 29 | | 30 | 24 | | 17 | 1 | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020 | | | | 23 | | 36 | 28 | | 11 | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | PRVSUP | | People who were legally | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | qualified and want to vote are | | | | | | | | | | | |
| able to cast a ballot |
| | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 45 | | 42 | 9 | | 3 | 1 | |
| | --- | -------------------------------- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | TREND FOR COMPARISON11: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | 44 | | 43 | 10 | | 3 | 1 | |
| | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020 | | | | 36 | | 45 | 14 | | 4 | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED |
| |
| ASK ALL: |
| | PARTY | | In politics today, do you consider yourself a… | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | ---------------- | --- | ------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| ASK IF INDEP/SOMETHING ELSE (PARTY=3, 4 OR REFUSED): |
| | PARTYLN | | As of today do you lean more to…12 | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | -------------- | --- | ----------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | ----- | ----- | --- | |
| | | | | | | | Something | | No | | Lean | Lean | | |
| Republican Democrat Independent else answer* Rep Dem |
| | | | 28 | 27 | 30 | | 14 | | 1 | | 20 | | 20 | |
| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |
| |
| 10 In October 2024 and October 2020, the item was worded “People who are not legally qualified to vote are prevented from |
| casting a ballot.” |
| 11 |
| In October 2024 and October 2020, the item was worded “People who are legally qualified and want to vote are able to cast |
| a ballot.” |
| 12 PARTY and PARTYLN asked in a prior survey. |
| www.pewresearch.org |
