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And we're going to talk about |
one more thing before we stop. |
I've just talked about a vast |
empirical literature in how |
people understand the effects |
of wages on labor supply. |
Well, how do they do it? |
Well, you could say, look, we |
can just look at how you earn |
a higher wage than you do. |
And we'll ask, do you work |
harder than you? |
And we'll say, the guys who earn |
higher wages work harder. |
If guys who earn higher wages |
work harder, that means labor |
supply slopes up. |
If guys who earn higher wages |
don't work harder, that means |
labor supply slopes down. |
What's wrong with that? |
Yeah. |
AUDIENCE: Those who are getting |
paid more probably are |
getting paid because they |
want to work harder. |
PROFESSOR: Yeah. |
Maybe you guys are different. |
Maybe you're talented, |
and you're not. |
And maybe because you're |
talented, maybe you're driven, |
and you're not. |
And because you're driven, you |
work harder and get paid a |
higher wage. |
So I'm not learning anything |
about the causal effect of the |
wage on your labor supply. |
I've just documented a |
correlation between wage and |
labor supply. |
How can we get the causal effect |
of your wage on your |
labor supply? |
Well, once again, ideally |
we'd run an experiment. |
We'd assign you a higher wage. |
We'd find someone |
just like you. |
Not you, you're not driven. |
We find someone just like you. |
No offense. |
You know I'm joking. |
We'd find someone just like you |
and, randomly, by a flip |
of a coin, assign them |
a lower wage. |
And we'd see how your labor |
supply differed. |
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