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03db4428b4b3ad3d7c067bdb436dcc90007076c29b6708a78b04baf727e4e282 | anti-sinoism opinions | These instances of Chinese subjugation must be criticized---being ‘tough on China’ doesn’t support anti-Asian hate or uphold the Yellow Peril.
Hung ’21 [Ho-fung; March 25; professor, Political Economy, Sociology Department and School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University; China File, “Abandoning ... |
041c6379dd5badc42ab443d621e0f4608b31d7ffdf915c5c2a87827f35139116 | tipping points confusion worst-case outcomes | 8. Climate tipping points are unstudied and exaggerated.
Seaver Wang 23, Co-Director of the Climate and Energy team at the Breakthrough Institute, “There Is No Climate Tipping Point,” The Breakthrough Institute, 4/17/23, https://thebreakthrough.org/journal/climate-change-banned-words/climate-tipping-point-real
tippin... |
046aa1b1c6ac0f98755d29fceb39aff9fb5a05371d0f74eedadd5b57d201be34 | Carl Surran best forecasts | Best forecasts are Aff.
Carl Surran 12/31 (covers energy, utilities, and natural resources for Seeking Alpha. He holds a BA from Duke University and an MBA from Rollins College.; Surran, Carl. “Oil Benchmarks Little Changed for 2024; Demand Concerns Dampen 2025 Price Outlook.” Seeking Alpha, 2025, seekingalpha.com/new... |
026bc08790679ee43fe3a0bdd8cf8db5177e48c104b7d466e407f72ab8e52cc8 | Congress Green New Deal | The plan is a radical version of the Green New Deal—Emory’s 1AC solvency advocate admits their mechanism is legally suspicious, requires Congress, would be widely unpopular, and links to politics and backlash.
Hammerschlag 22 – Notes Editor of the Texas Law Review, JD Candidate at the University of Texas School of Law... |
02b98dc5344488dd0314afb87ddddad2e158dd4a61d068b0a41dac84b6286caa | Chiba and Gartzke peace causes democracy | 2. Either causality is the other way (peace causes democracy) or the correlation is spurious (democracy and peace both exist because of some third variable that is unknown)
Dr. Daina Chiba 21, Associate Professor of Political Science in the Department of Government and Public Administration at the University of Macau,... |
02d15913553b770c0984ab7b92791afbc3c19c87c79f07a50f280417e44aedaa | Marxist economics explains economic busts | 4---Boom and bust.
Alan Maass 21. Communications staff for Rutgers AAUP-AFT. Marxism Shows Us How Our Problems Are Connected. Jacobin. 1-5-2021. https://jacobinmag.com/2021/01/marxism-capital-socialism-capitalism-book-review
Marxist economics explains economic busts that inevitably follow booms too much commerce cont... |
003b29261ad74f75a2e3a753f936a3919c6533cc700ba0ef15a57b64a3051ca7 | Land has agential capacity | This is an acknowledgment that land and the environment have agential capacity. The production of archives has erased indigenous legacies for understanding land and interconnectivity, but grounded normativity recenters the debate over how to refuse conquest.
Byrd et. al 18 (Jodi Ann Byrd is an American indigenous acad... |
00a10aa73b3e273d76b8506e0d0230699d0d3571098d297f7149d4cd33599a19 | Tax court precedent | It sets a precedent for other tax areas.
Amandeep Grewal 16. 2016; Joseph F. Rosenfield Scholar and Professor of Law at the University of Iowa; Iowa Law Review, “The Un-Precedented Tax Court,” vol. 101.
A exposition is difficult to ignore taxpayers frequently invoke opinions in connection with tax disputes in front ... |
0188d563903bca421a67309cb6af091d55126139ccad9173a89a3618abca3b24 | Kochan 2020 | 4. The counterplan is illegal---it either gets rolled back or destroys global trade
Donald J. Kochan 2020, Professor of Law and Deputy Executive Director of the Law & Economics Center, George Mason University Antonin Scalia Law School, “The Meaning of Federalism in a System of Interstate Commerce:The Meaning of Federa... |
003c9079af4287ae80d870a34b008279b8a79c9eba5e9a22f74bd2b4097dec58 | Teamsters endorsement Trump | B] Sacred Majority—teamsters endorsement proves
MacKinnon ‘9-21 [Douglas; former White House and Pentagon official; The Hill, “The ‘scared majority’ could deliver a landslide victory for Trump,” https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4891015-the-scared-majority-could-deliver-a-landslide-victory-for-trump/]
scared major... |
010687ce9d48950d024799e567ea1c21b6825b68a252bc7874da86c983ce1621 | US clean energy leadership | 4—Green U.S. leadership revitalizes the liberal order
Deese ‘24 [Brian Deese is an American economic and political advisor who was the 13th director of the National Economic Council, serving under President Joe Biden. "The Case for a Clean Energy Marshall Plan", Foreign Affairs https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-st... |
005aec4bae0b45b020d8dbd1acf2cda5656bf62496a2532f29de0c0d649cc98f | Gulf states prepared for transition | No link---Gulf states are prepared for the transition.
Amy Myers Jaffe 20. senior fellow for energy and the environment director of the Program on Energy Security and Climate Change at the Council on Foreign Relations. “Stranded Assets and Sovereign States.” National Institute Economic Review, No. 25. 2-5-2020. https:... |
000a064a2ed2e6c851497178d5fe27149a4c19044d7f433cb7a4e248e0f78459 | Recycling solves pollution | Recycling and reuse solves pollution – clean energy and security outweigh short-term costs
Erdmann 23 (Major Tyson E. Erdmann, 03-31-2023, "Diversifying the U.S. Rare Earth Element Resource Base is Vital to National Security", US Naval War College Writing & Teaching Excellence Center, https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/trecms/... |
0417531f703dad0b732bd890cac9ec9458fbefe72b2559f429f07a2d8def49ec | Object representations working memory | 2. REPETITION COMPULSION.
Johnson and Mosri, 16 [Brian, Psychiatry @ SUNY; and Daniela Flores, Psychology, Psychoanalytic Psychotherapy, and Neuropsychoanalysis @ Universidad Intercontinental (Mexico City): “The Neuropsychoanalytic Approach: Using Neuroscience as the Basic Science of Psychoanalysis,” Hypothesis and Th... |
01fc362e601e76b5ab53e16c4f9129bbaf9532250de1bd3feb65c83b3da1c93d | PES commodification | The plan commodifies traditional ecosystem services, entrapping natives in commodity fetishism.
Nicolás Kosoy 10. Ecosystem Service Economics Unit, Division of Environmental Policy Implementation, United Nations Environment Programme, Esteve Corbera, School of International Development, University of East Anglia; “Pay... |
0264263e31111fd866ee6f90a168b0310222ad2864fda2fb014589afa7e22f1d | banks haven't priced in stranded asset risk | 2. Syndicated loans. Divestiture now is a false flag because firms are offloading risks by switching from bonds to syndicated loans, which causes asset stranding.
Natasha Chaudhary 24. Research Fellow at the Institute for Climate Economics, MBA in Financial Management from Christ University. “From Stranded Assets to A... |
0125ac253c60a6152ef09973c8ede866780bb9375ad2ea6821e11ac07e995436 | Climate change is the root | Their evidence concedes that climate change is the root cause.
Peter Gleick 21, MacArthur Fellow, Member of the US National Academy of Sciences and Hydroclimatologist, B.S. from Yale University and M.S. and Ph.D. from the University of California, Berkeley, “Water Recommendation for the New Administration”, Bulletin o... |
0451a11d0dbf0cd3e9f3a96caa2069a4b3dff43d768c6773617e6457dcd67ef4 | compacts energy policy | Compacts have been the cornerstone of energy policy.
Kevin J. Heron 85 (J.D., 1983, The National Law Center, George Washington University; B.S. in Economics, 1980, Villanova University; Staff Attorney, Pacific Legal Foundation. “The Interstate Compact in Transition: From Cooperative State Action to Congressionally Co... |
030315689b0044784cf2e88134393f2765ad36a4382bfa619beac4df2e5dff02 | owners worry about inflation | Businesses are pessimistic AND uncertain.
Reuters ‘9-10 [Reuters; September 10; news agency present in 200 locations worldwide, citing the National Federation of Independent Business; U.S. News and World Report, “US Small Business Sentiment Ebbs in August Amid Rising Uncertainty,” https://money.usnews.com/investing/ne... |
0073dd983caac8ec90f506bb9082c2728320da3041f4c18412e79c084529bd9f | Dutch court ruling oil futures | Novel & reverse causal data proves.
Norman & Schlenker ’24 – Ray A. Goldberg Professor of the Global Food System Harvard Kennedy School of Government; Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Research Fellow, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) (Maya Norman & Wolfram Schlenker; “Empirical... |
0472a25297b03f841874ce9145cf6bb636abaf19036fd1ccb58a9bcdc21b7a3f | Haydn Belfield | That locks in existential risks---democracies solve them.
Belfield ’23 [Haydn; 2023; Research Associate and Academic Project Manager at the University of Cambridge’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risk; How Worlds Collapse: What History, Systems, and Complexity Can Teach Us About Our Modern World and Fragile Futu... |
046cee85e284bb34cbb502744edc87aaef3168c8c020a5d0b1ec81c114ada2e2 | anomalies funding list | Only a Full-Yr C.R. checks Defense cuts---averts mandatory sequestration and permits a “anomalies funding list”.
N.L.I.H.C. – March 3rd – ’25 – National Low Income Housing Coalition - White House Sends “Anomalies” List to Congress as Republican Leaders Push for Full-Year Continuing Resolution – Take Action! - Mar 03, ... |
0275d83937017fe9a68ada57b3a261aea33396bf7d7d0bbcc546caaaac1bb5dc | Feaver 24 | Trump re-election causes extinction---great-power-wars, U.S. belligerency, AND trade collapse.
Feaver 24, PhD, Professor of Political Science. (Peter, 2-19-2024, “The Real Challenge of Trump 2.0,” Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/real-challenge-trump-20)
Trump 2.0 far less likely to restr... |
0322db37f8a2022fa6bcd3104c72cf0a48635efca0d5726a7752a47a53c86290 | Fed credibility and expertise | That experimental policymaking shores up Fed credibility and expertise necessary to avoid a slew of existential risks.
Peter Conti-Brown & David Wishnick 21. Assistant Professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and Nonresident Fellow in Economics Studies at the Brookings Institution. Academic Fe... |
0318b9f66b2415ed556852de50777a1b2c4bf31845890ec79728116c36221a3c | Abolition ecology and environmental harm | The alt is abolition ecology. It solves the case.
Stephens-Griffin 22 – Nathan Stephens-Griffin is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Social Sciences at Northumbria University. (“Embracing ‘Abolition Ecology’: A Green Criminological Rejoinder,” 2 Nov 2022, pg. 438-439)
the project of abolition ecology brings... |
039eae3bc1a5839217047b52be13614d10dc3db2f4e315eed2887d5d3e7fe13b | new wind and solar | Cost reductions ensure profitability.
Stefanie Burgahn 22. (Institute Manager at the Mannheim Institute for Sustainable Energy Studies, "Renewable energy sources are more profitable than ever." University of Mannheim. 8/1/2022. https://www.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/renewable-energy-sources-are-more-profitable-than-ever/... |
016c5bcf08926d22665c8cf1030ccd3930aa4e56825277b722abd19df96be497 | Trump chaotic foreign policy | 2---They’re wrong---Harris and Trump are two different beasts
Vinjamuri 24 [Leslie Vinjamuri, professor of international relations at SOAS University of London, director of the U.S. and the Americas program at Chatham House, “What Another Trump-Biden Showdown Means for the World,” Foreign Policy, 01-03-24, https://for... |
02161726ec3bcf041a45dda4489a5739b33e4204a87ad7a6772e751a87c87f8e | CBAM drives change | There’s momentum now. Border-adjusteded tax compels follow through.
Bistline 24
approach reliant on subsidies has received mixed response tensions unlikely to disappear CBAM drive change in other countries U.S. influences climate policy abroad through credibility in negotiations and reducing costs of low-carbon tech |
0353ed3a37f29845fe2fa282afeded670b9cd7d8d24665f2ed42912e1420b813 | John Cushman | Specifically, the plan will get horsetraded. That kills solvency.
John Cushman 18. Staff writer at Inside Climate, former board of governors of the National Press Club and professor at Vermont Law School. “Carbon Tax and the Art of the Deal: Time for Some Horse-Trading.” Inside Climate. July 25, 2018. https://insidecl... |
035e17cee9618cdcbd8311dbbf7d7b05f3310cb62d5f74782afd6b7fde284e0c | ungovernability is organized | When we stop and stand in the violence of the world that hates us, we become nobodies in the safety of an atmosphere of voilence
Stanley 21 [Eric A. Stanley, Stanley is the Haas Distinguished Chair in LGBT Equity and an associate professor in the Department of Gender and Women’s Studies at the University of California... |
00dc30871ed92181ca2035ea5191b0797b7e261e48aaed30504a2571adcedc2b | Trump will win | Toss up favors Trump.
Douthat 9-6, Opinion Columnist for the New York Times with over a decade of experience writing on politics (Ross Douthat, September 6, 2024, “Why I Still Think Trump Will Win,” New York Times, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/06/opinion/trump-victory.html)
why expect the coin to fall Trump ? if H... |
0045256964426c8822cb65a516a78945a6bf28109c706e88d79fcbcebaec0bee | David Keith geoengineering emissions | Their CP doesn’t address the root cause of warming emissions. – Their card doesn’t assume David Keith, the creator of this theory, still wants us to reduce global carbon emissions.
Justin Mikulka 18, Director of Communications at Oilfield Witness , BS in Engineering from Cornell, DeSmog, " Warning of Solar Geoengineer... |
03081e8e77b4acdeb88661fd5e3a0748f92d0dce2c906df092eeca2257f93430 | PLARF protect missiles | Alert levels are kept exceptionally low.
Wu ’22 [Riqiang; 2022; Associate Professor of International Studies at the Renmin University of China, Ph.D. in Political Science from Tsinghua University; International Security, “Assessing China-U.S. Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation,” vol. 46 no. 2]
China’s nuclear forces are... |
037147668f0126e3f93b9629734d6c9b22c2d21cd30d0ecfeef7d84f74814c05 | Schröpf et al. 23 | Socialism or economic shock fails to halt pollution—market liberalization massively lowered emissions by increasing production complexity– empirics of 27 former socialist states.
Schröpf et al. 23 (Benedikt Schröpf, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics at the University of Erlangen-Nürnberg School of Business, Econo... |
03382f023543582b7b099a573d7d4d46f95643c755f0b32b6b25b64d4a237770 | definition of policy | B—‘Policy’ by itself could just be proposed.
Facciola 11, Judge, United States District Court, District of Columbia (John Facciola, 2011, “Rayming Chang v. United States,” United States District Court for the District of Columbia, No. 02-2010, University of Kansas Libraries, Lexis)
" policy " means "[a] principle or ... |
038d7fd61b0f594e9f2d81cb7963f166d306ba4008738a4ba08aea3cdc1eb219 | neoliberal consumption | The 1AC’s sonic method is an effect of the repetition economy. The remix and repeat of performances have become a method of social control through the emphasis on neoliberal consumption and accumulation under the subjectivity of the collector.
Di Leo 18, Dean of the School of Arts and Sciences @ UHouston-Victoria. (Je... |
02b8165cc632615071d68c90ee043a3e28519aa2ce1c0be16293c9be40c85bda | carbon tax price increase | Causes unsustainable price increases
Feldman 19, [Sarah Feldman is a Data Journalist at Ipsos based in Paris, Ile-de-France. Previously, Sarah was a Data Journalist at GoToMeeting and also held positions at BerlinRosen, Smith College, International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development, Verité. “Any carbon tax ... |
00ddd7d09c98183df21425b7f076c332e5665bcc4ed94edae5ffaf4f4a6618f6 | Fried et al 22 | Demand effects overwhelm green paradox
Fried et al. ’22 [Stephie Fried, Arizona State University and San Francisco Fed, Kevin Novan, UC-Davis, and William B. Peterman, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, “Climate Policy Transition Risk and the Macroeconomy, 5—13—22, p. 33-35]
climate policy not only alters fossil fu... |
007f0cceee58e997862605568a39e4274d6d17b636fca553f2acb422aa79760c | Demos 23 | It is through this intimate investment into the fantastical power of social democracy that “hope policy rolls like tear gas into the undercommons”.
Demos 23 [Life in the Posthuman Condition. Chapter 5: “Climate Control: From Emergency to Emergence” T. J. Demos. Collection Edited by S. E. Wilmer and Audrone. Žukauskai... |
000dddcd4909441ac59d2caa0792216074beb51eb65b9d5fc1f5881c3fc4e6d7 | MBIs not replacing command and control | Literature. Experts purposefully use broad definitions of MBIs to encompass the scope of literature. The topic is MBIs vs Command and Control. Not Cap and trade vs just trade.
Stavins ’01 [Robert; November; A.J. Meyer Professor of Energy and Economic Development, PhD in economics from Harvard, MS in agricultural econo... |
0451e5c2bd4baa8646c872d6edfbd14ee911e7a8a05951ea7fd27ac99549b467 | challenges accumulation | AND, shatters law’s commodity form
Fornasari 24 [Riccardo Fornasari, temporary teaching and research associate at Paris Nanterre University, former post-doc researcher at University of Bologna, PhD private law, University of Bologna and University of Paris Nanterre, LLM Dickson Poon School of Law, King’s College Londo... |
0156656d3f2d0b4d95ece2c1c15210c1e6de934512c11140fc4c1ba8eb13a232 | biotech market 2.44 trillion | Petit zeroes uniqueness for the whole thing! It rose before rate cuts, and will rise after. OR, structural factors overwhelm.
Zelie Petit 24, M.A in Strategy, Cybersecurity, and Intelligence from John Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, “The Strategic Imperative of Biotechnology: Implications for U.S. Na... |
017b2a3b120b5901bb38afae1af41703b9eb9520bc0ae9ec947fb56e9717b032 | Schumer's statements irrelevant | Schumer’s statements are irrelevant.
Mackler 24 – Executive Director of the Energy Program at the Bipartisan Policy Center.
Despite enormous potential Schumer made headlines saying he believed permitting reform was unlikely to become law this year Very quickly leading advocates expressed their continuing commitment D... |
0246bc2cb35e84c7b6290786a13f95d542be9dc85a05f755190495af8b99f0e5 | environmental policy impacts energy | Environmental policy has significant energy effects, but that doesn’t make it energy policy. They blow open the floodgates to any indirect effects.
Emily Cox et al. 16, Emily Cox, research associate at the University of Oxford in the Smith School, part of the CO2RE Greenhouse Gas Removal Hub; Sarah Royston, Senior Res... |
032edef5bb866e6c2057d403e4767db5e8707cf63029cbd6ea679327c83c8d5f | economic crisis game changer | New collapse drives social innovations that solve the transition
Loorbach, et al, 16—DRIFT, Erasmus University, Rotterdam (Derk, with Flor Avelino, DRIFT, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, Alex Haxeltine, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Julia M. Wittmayer, DRIFT, Erasmus University, Rotterdam... |
039a50a45b2e60b07f83d1c0efd2bc4e16dd3df3203c77410b2048d62a275893 | Youth are too diverse | 2. POLYLITHIC---the youth are too diverse AND care about too much to focus on the plan.
Ginsberg ’24 [Kei Kawashima; July 11; contributor; US News, “Youth Are Turned Off by the 2024 Election. We Can Still Engage and Mobilize Them,” https://www.usnews.com/opinion/articles/2024-07-11/youth-are-turned-off-by-the-2024-ele... |
03f9655cd3a5d797dc68f74189ae9aa8e92c77d04a5a5b52629ae8334448d0de | disasters, pandemics, terror | That fends off a list of existential threats.
Keilitz ’19 [Ingo, Katharine Jennings, Susan Ehrlich, Caroline Broun, Kathryn Floyd, and Michael Buenger; Winter 2019; PhD, Former Vice President of the National Center for State Courts, Principal of Court Metrics, and visiting Scholar of the Public Policy Program at the C... |
00c33141ec6d793fafbb1aa9f4fb690be0306e71f04eded4aeb2d19fd5c83030 | clean energy supply essential | Particularly, a lack of renewable sourcing will force the US to go abroad to secure rare earths, producing a supply shortfall.
Stratte 24, JD, Partner at Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP (Martin Stratte, June 13, 2024, “Securing America’s Critical Materials Supply Chains and Economic Leadership,” https://democrats-energycomme... |
0397f3f6edd6248d0f44509bdc8f10652702f16ae0d9e4b5b53883a91e11ea68 | China pacifist tendencies | Mutual interest and public support.
Kim 21 [Patricia M. Kim, Ph.D. in politics from Princeton University, senior policy analyst on China at the United States Institute of Peace, “Enhancing U.S.-China Strategic Stability in an Era of Strategic Competition | Nuclear Forces and Strategic Stability: US Perspective,” 04/26... |
024ee9baeea7cbc99ece8cd5f1d06d7a0a6ff6c28f1d58684722c86a03bee17f | logistic resistance through the state | Logistic resistance through the state is key
Abraham DeLeon 12, Ph.D. Curriculum and Instruction, University of Connecticut, M.A. History, University of Connecticut, Assistant Professor, Department of Educational Leadership & Policy Studies, University of Texas at San Antonio, “Against the Grain of the Status Quo: Ana... |
01be4569f5553f811ce90b35de723560a65ab5076268e26358840d2d962738ae | clean standards effective | Concedes market reform, carbon pricing, energy efficiency, and clean standards for electricity and vehicle are effective---California proves.
Buller 22 (Adrienne Buller is Director of Research at Common Wealth, a UK-based progressive think tank focused on the political economy of ownership. 2022, “The Value of a Whale... |
0161b82f27fc098184d2d05abb8bf6a83974b39e96457897d97eae67c006e6e0 | state regulation federal lands not preempted | Solves federal lands – specificity matters – requiring compliance rather than categorical ban avoids preemption
Biber 16 --- Eric, law prof @ Berkeley, environmental and natural resources law, administrative law, and property. Prior to joining Berkeley in 2006, he worked as a litigator in the Denver office of Earthjus... |
00ad31a925c98ef9aeb3654492113d31fc247a5a51aed1f03b1a80c9acfe96be | Trump challenge Biden offshore drilling | 3. Trump restores OSD inevitably. SCOTUS will rule for him.
David Mercer and Esme Stallard 25. “Biden bans offshore drilling across vast area of US.” BBC. Jan. 6, 2025. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg6dg30vq0o.
Trump will challenge Biden's move A final decision could be made by the Supreme Court which has a maj... |
01dbd78d88c0897eb54683b9e374ddb7a82d627fd3f45096ed746cdf98f534d1 | Pricing models overestimate emissions reductions | Pricing models consistently overestimate achievable emissions reductions. Adjustments are too little, too late.
Tvinnereim & Mehling '18 – Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Bergen; Professor at the University of Strathclyde Law School and Deputy Director of the Center for Energy and Environ... |
03368e4c678a4b8da6e3d43d69e0e2fe97dd37a5f72b3c3e902e06379063a38f | Congressional review act | a) GOP would target the plan with the Congressional Review Act---only requires a simple majority to permanently roll the plan back---if they win ‘no link’, vote neg on presumption
Cara Cook 24, Director of Programs for the Alliance of Nurses for Healthy Environments, 7/12/24, “The Congressional Review Act and Threats... |
03f0db8a38bfeeb60775ffa1a80e40217386597c0d8f744dda6f049551aa4b2f | terrorists cannot make nukes | No nuclear terror.
Fettweis 19, Associate Professor of Political Science at Tulane and Ph.D. from the University of Maryland in US Foreign Policy (Christopher J. Fettweis, 2019, “Pessimism and Nostalgia in the Second Nuclear Age,” Strategic Studies Quarterly, University of Kansas Libraries, Lib Key)
nuc s have remain... |
045da7cb4b53777ff8ce7b2a9f4159f20e1c5483ef6100b4048b2a699a97e1bf | Failure to contain shadow banking | Failure to contain shadow banking zeroes solvency.
Christina Parajon Skinner 21. Assistant Professor, The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. “Central Banks and Climate Change”. Vanderbilt Law Review Vol. 74:5:1301. 2021. https://wp0.vanderbilt.edu/lawreview/wp-content/uploads/sites/278/2021/10/Central-B... |
04603269bdd8e52c55d6c1309b49088e89bb7c5f5973d676b4113d04ea63d36a | renewables outpace demand | Global renewables are up now
IEA 24 – an autonomous intergovernmental organization that provides the world’s leading information on energy.
Renewables are growing rapidly to outpace demand growth clean energy should reduce fossil fuels to account for half the world’s electricity generation by 2026 overtaking coal tha... |
042fcd2b50aa588dadf5a4c4ed0f05844cc01e6a379983ea9ad861a814ff1bc5 | Raju and Wan 24 | 4 – Israel will conduct NC3 attacks, causing miscalc by Russia and China – goes nuclear.
Nivedita Raju & Wilfred Wan 24, Nivedita Raju, Researcher at SIPRI Weapons of Mass Destruction programme; Wilfred Wan, Director of SIPRI Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme, PhD, “Escalation Risks at the Space–Nuclear Nexus,” SI... |
02cadc0da6ff213951869f87cd44d1bce910084e6bcb61a5f3e050c558e10854 | oil and gas industry communication | The aff props up dirty oil – natural gas reinforces carbon lock-in and is a convenient messaging tool for the same corporations that have caused every environmental problem in the first place – this is as much a clean energy policy as it is hegemonic consolidation for the fossil fuel industry
Si et al ’23 – School of ... |
00461f80cf20b04103eb4fbf91ed10e685fd54f725ecef82c21b07446fdfd42d | ECB Israel solidarity internal furor | That matters---their evidence indicates the ECB staff do NOT agree. Yes, the ECB statement was bad, but that doesn’t Apply to Lamichhane and it’s their buden.
Treeck 23 (Johanna Treeck, “ECB’s display of solidarity with Israel sparks internal furor”, https://www.politico.eu/article/ecb-israel-solidarity-hamas-war-deba... |
00821542a2eccd502a5d01c8ab53e046927357f1e34e674767ca2df9936d2bcf | Sam Tenorio | The JUMP is a better analytic to undo the political forms produced by antiblack desires
Tenorio 24 (Sam C. Tenorio (he/they) is an Assistant Professor of African American Studies and Women’s, Gender, and Sexuality Studies. He received his Ph.D. and M.A. degrees in African American Studies, with a subfield in Political... |
0219c14ce577863a07d43b8572d1a0e1053943107e4b68f432bd3dde09a02da6 | decrease in short-term consumption | No link -- RPS stabilizes natural gas generation
Avraam et al. 2021 [Charalampos Avraam, Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University; John E.T. Bistline, Electric Power Research Institute; Maxwell Brown, National Renewable Energy Laboratory; Kathleen Vaillancourt, Esmia Consultants; Sauleh Si... |
022269bf9640e6b6b80cbc30b79b05a3565b34f23117702c7a00b3946f0963db | neuroscience refutes psychoanalysis | Psychoanalytic drive theory is wrong---studies of localized human brain lesions and animal self-stimulus prove
Watt 12, senior clinical Neuropsychologist at the Boston University School of Medicine, Harvard Medical School (Douglas, “Theoretical challenges in the conceptualization of motivation in neuroscience: Implica... |
0389e6927f9ffa09cf255f6d7adf70810aefb666bba1ef6b4c12a3c815f78a6d | water scarcity causes conflicts | INDEPENDENTLY, water scarcity causes extinction.
Hughson 23, [Lindsey Angus Hughson has a long history of success in diverse fields such as mining, diamonds, and water security. In the world of dam design and construction, Angus Hughson has emerged as a prominent figure, making significant contributions to the field t... |
01a4f5379c4bb5dfefc183da42981aa4a0197e874d7011a72da8e23d8d40dded | food insecurity no impact | No impact on food
Shellenberger 19 – Michael, Founder and President of Environmental Progress and Co-Founder of the Breakthrough Institute.
claims of crop failure ’s sci fi Humans produce enough for 10 billion people scientific bodies predict increases not declines research does not indicate a link between food insec... |
010eaca13ca3e31389c7b1a2640874b4ade1eb3075fb7b527e2c6a97e623916c | Utopianism creates inspiring proposals | Attention to the concrete details of different political strategies is necessary. We should pay attention to how effective and realistic a strategy is, not merely whether an idea is good in the abstract.
Michael J. Albert 23, lecturer in International Relations at SOAS University of London, 28 July 2022, “Ecosocialism... |
00ea955f559974810eadcffd7d8084dd1a794c006031e0b78a8388fbe09f9091 | Atlantic drilling priority | a) Atlantic drilling is the exact priority they’ll push
Ari Natter 17, Bloomberg reporter; and Jennifer A. Dlouhy, Bloomberg reporter, 10/18/17, “Republicans May Use Budget to Open Arctic, Atlantic to Oil Rigs,” https://gcaptain.com/republicans-may-use-budget-open-arctic-atlantic-oil-rigs/
drillers lobbied Trump to ... |
00eb1ab8b02f1e21a0b1c5330c589506c2a1335a766a1a6866e9e4372fa34786 | deterrence prevents conflict | No China war.
von Sydow 24, a China analyst at Swedish National China Centre. (Alexis, 2-23-2024, “Most Experts Agree: China Isn’t About to Invade Taiwan,” The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2024/02/most-experts-agree-china-isnt-about-to-invade-taiwan/)
Alarmist overestimate risk of war China cannot be confident t... |
03a0aa3f204b709b5a7cc5be2a66cb31b8a62b94168f007901792224106fb74e | black panthers organize | The 1AC’s turn towards ‘planning’ articulated as ‘sabotage’ and ‘Undercommon’ is a mode of refusal that retreats from necessary politics and entrenches the violence they critique.
Shulman 20, professor at the Gallatin School of Individualized Study at New York University (George, 2020, “Fred Moten’s Refusals and Conse... |
026f631c44953a2425fc864201b9adde7dfbfdee0b2dc7af048c668f5b5c17b0 | Not even corporate cronyism | 4---Not even corporate cronyism can impede plan solvency.
Chun 21, Engineer at Tapestry, a company working on integrating renewable electricity into the grid, B.A., Computer Science and Economics at Dartmouth University (Steven Chun, January 21, 2021, “Carbon Pricing and its Progressive Discontents,” https://blog.stev... |
036b25e42d5f76d30a0566362e327f2b68d4081838a5baf5d5d37f858e52bf8d | Population growth damaging natural systems | 3. POPULATION GROWTH---exceeds limits and zeros efficiency gains.
Lowe ’21 [Ian; 12/10/21; Emeritus Professor of Science, Technology and Society and former Head of the School of Science at Griffith University, adjunct professor at Sunshine Coast University and Flinders University; "Population Growth," in Sustainabilit... |
03b12e1ed5b336cc4c63873877837acd269324e6acbf351f3c5f29e3603e6436 | bioenergy extinction | Bioenergy pushes us past the tipping points to be able to stop warming. Extinction.
Sterman et al. 22, *Professor of Management, and the current director of the MIT System Dynamics Group at the MIT. **Emeritus professor of international environmental policy and founding director of the Center for International Environ... |
025ae364b28d6daa9521693eb1540ace9b1efadd4b41bfac31bb4cd8a6223e06 | No Ko sell nukes Middle East war | Revenue shortfalls cause nuclear selloffs---leads to prolif, nuke terror, and Middle East war.
Toby Dalton 21, PhD, MA, co-director and a senior fellow of the Nuclear Policy Program @ Carnegie, 4/15/2021, "The Most Urgent North Korean Nuclear Threat Isn’t What You Think", Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, ht... |
04009de6eb682b6e87887395af1bd11bff7b934aa8daebd39998b14290f75ec4 | clean energy definition | A CEP can just reduce consumption.
Sakata* et al 13, *Todai Policy Alternatives Research Institute, The University of Tokyo. (Ichiro*, Hajime Sasaki**, Hiroko Nakamura***, and Yuya Kajikawa****, March 31, 2013, "Maps of International Research Collaboration in Clean Energy." Journal of Energy and Power Engineering 7, ... |
04487a60cb21d2b5808cd63c481cc7ef2871fb2d78635c935d12890f33ceaa6a | Keep It in the Ground movement | Challenging environmental injustice through state engagement is key – that includes action through the court
NoiseCat 16 (Julian Brave - enrolled member of the Canim Lake Band Tsq'escen in British Columbia where he was nominated to run for Chief in 2014 AND a graduate of Columbia University and the University of Oxfor... |
032291ddfa1328796da4c1cae64b2f1d612b93120c395b2f5ea7fa89b73594ee | carbon tax fiscal sustainability | Properly designed carbon tax is the only way to substantially reduce emissions while promoting fiscal sustainability---ETS trades-off with the economy.
Yan et. al 23, (Keija Yan – GRA Fellowship of Chemistry at the University of Alberta, Rakesh Gupta – PhD & Department Chair of Economics at U Brisbane, Suneel Maheshwa... |
01455658117b72fb598b22853c18cdc02e345126779ec79a29cbe583fa026427 | Post election tensions will wane | Post-election, tensions will wane – there’s enough bipart in the squo for an NDAA – prefer ev that assumes the NDAA and post-election dynamics
Little – Oct 3rd – ‘24 - Ryan Little, Director of Government Affairs for Dedrone. Ryan began his career in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2009 and held over half a dozen ... |
017f4e5d8c0538a4e066a6450596ec066a15a8f95297995420e496c15aaf559b | COVID marks return to federalism | COVID marks a return to traditional federalism that emphasizes state authority and solves national polarization.
Lane 21 – Attorney Practicing Constitutional and Regulatory Litigation, JD from University of Pennsylvania Cary Law School.
Kaytlin Roholt Lane, “Federalism, Now More Than Ever”, Penn Law Journal Opinion, S... |
04728476bb89beb85aeff47072c6497c65ab04bce4ab1416caf4b658740a8096 | Mills 17 | It’s non-falsifiable. That matters because otherwise I theorize the negative wants to lose: would you like to recline on the couch to talk about it?
Mills 17, Clinical Psychologist, Ph.D., Philosophy, Vanderbilt University (Jon Mills, 2017, “CHALLENGING RELATIONAL PSYCHOANALYSIS: A CRITIQUE OF POSTMODERNISM AND ANALYS... |
028affbb0977ba944bc14799c9291a9f654db0b278e21a67bf66216dc1a17f41 | US faces two nuclear arsenals | Adversary probing and a slew of hotspots make it try-or-die for modernization – extinction
Creedon ‘23 - et al; Technically this is a Report by The Congressional Commission on the Strategic Posture of the United States – which is Chaired by Creedon. The Report itself was requisitioned as an outgrowth of The NDAA. The ... |
03e1777984188cf06aceb25e715c2ddc78382df84efe171f2b27abbe04decbe6 | semiocapitalism and higher education | Their reliance on performativity strengthens the operations of semiocapitalism -- learning communities like higher educational institutions and the debate community specifically construct and shape desire in capitalism through communication.
Peters 2019 [Michael A. "Affective capitalism, higher education and the const... |
0197b3b8703bf87a8e3c1d9c39a44c36e6fa2b1f59fb2e8e6c4c9153fc90d5df | disability groups mobilized for ACA | Legal reform is good in the context of disability. The Accessible Canada Act is one example of how liberal states can have a positive relationship to disability.
Michael J. Prince 23, Lansdowne Professor of Social Policy at the University of Victoria, Canada, 2023, “17: The Accessible Canada Act: a political expressio... |
00fff4173ca81e158527a4a27899dbf09adc5ceed7ebf95bbc801b50554d987d | Sahm rule too simple | Rate cuts will engineer a soft landing.
Claudia Sahm 9-19, former Federal Reserve economist, “I Worked for the Fed. The Interest Rate Cut Is Only One Step in a Larger Plan.”, The New York Times, 9-19-24, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/19/opinion/federal-reserve-rate-cut-unemployment.html, DOA: 9-25-24, JA
the Federa... |
020201cc22934925fa219b1be06e0a54fc88d2bbece6e7741bec5bbccd0b3851 | Net-zero China challenge | The green energy race is a racialized process to exclude China from the LIO at the cost of warming and development of the Global South.
Julie de los Reyes & Jewellord Nem Singh 24. *Assistant professor at the Center for Southeast Asian Studies and Hakubi Center for Advanced Research at Kyoto University. **Assistant Pr... |
0002a82038b544fd273f5b2b451faf60887e0000d5f80919b33ec6ac81612107 | green tech mineral shortage | Mineral shortages doom the green agenda
AFP ’24 [staff, “International Energy Agency Warns of Key Energy Mineral Shortage Risk,” AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE, 5—17—24, https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/renewable/international-energy-agency-warns-of-key-energy-mineral-shortage-risk/110200125, accessed 8-19-24]
... |
000a064a2ed2e6c851497178d5fe27149a4c19044d7f433cb7a4e248e0f78459 | Recycling and reuse clean energy | Recycling and reuse solves pollution – clean energy and security outweigh short-term costs
Erdmann 23 (Major Tyson E. Erdmann, 03-31-2023, "Diversifying the U.S. Rare Earth Element Resource Base is Vital to National Security", US Naval War College Writing & Teaching Excellence Center, https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/trecms/... |
0377687e811b18f44cc45c42c78e3d38e0a27167d1ffc23d50bbf59a3d34d405 | seabed mining alternative to land | Our evidence directly frames seabed mining as an alt to land based mining – that means it solves their offense – if there’s any residual link, it’s outweighed by the benefits of a green transition
Segal 23 – Partner at Bracewell LLP and co-head of Bracewell’s Policy Resolution Group with over two decades of experience... |
04133221244c4ad6578ae2a842a04516bfdea7d2911e11fd1cdea9d89ae014fa | America is ailing and leading | Dollar heg is strong and locked in by the Fed
Dr. Adam Tooze 20. Professor of History and Director of the European Institute at Columbia University, PhD from the London School of Economics, BA from King’s College at the University of Cambridge, “America Is Ailing—and Leading the World”, Foreign Policy, 4/1/2020, https... |
0225a92184f5b62fb1764d3f9e50c6d7992c6ad7585a04d752708e26c93f23a2 | MacDonald and Parent 18 | B. Decline maintains deterrence while preventing aggression.
MacDonald and Parent 18 - Paul MacDonald is Associate Professor in Political Science at Wellesley College. Joseph M. Parent is an associate professor of political science at the University of Notre Dame.
declining powers use retrenchment to shuffle resourc... |
0163eea552fa511bfb99bd5292d1271e531c45e4c2635b8ca8c62bdc5b3c24fd | scarred body avowal ethical injunction | The ethical injunction to avow the scarred body results in an addiction to a savior complex—causes us to artificially create new ones
Baudrillard 94 (Jean, ex-Prof of Sociology at Paris X, “The Illusion of the End” p. 66-71//shree)
We must denounce the sentimental exploitation of charity cannibalism being worse than ... |
006cf0a429b2c2203740c325aad5804676fbf74590792f4458899da7e602a73c | IRA delivers two-thirds climate goals | Decarbonization is coming now.
Denman et al. '22 – Leader of Bain's Utilities & Renewables Practice in the Americas and is a Partner in the Chicago office (Aaron Denman, Cate Hight, and Michael Short; "The Inflation Reduction Act Is a Decarbonization Game Changer"; Bain; https://www.bain.com/insights/decarbonization-g... |
00d64f6b30971fb531b20072819947fe4dd39c25e6f8224864b8dca472325753 | fossil fuel subsidies federal | And – No Solvency – Fossil Fuel Subsidies are federal, even if States tax they can’t access Federal Lands or build on them. Biden’s “carbon tax” doesn’t price externalities, keeping pollution profitable.
Revesz and Sarinsky 22, *AnBryce Professor of Law and Dean Emeritus, New York University School of Law, **Adjunct P... |
0254def6d10ededb397ef2865743838206c9c266c4e359d938ba7d513c2ac3d4 | Organizing today is important | “Elites will crush the movement” accepts failure before trying — multiple examples prove global movements are possible and coming now.
Tavan '21 [Luca; 3/7/21; writer for Red Flag; "Worldwide revolution is possible and necessary," https://redflag.org.au/article/worldwide-revolution-possible-and-necessary/]
In 2011, a... |
007a3d3453a9197ea9a5d088ca74cc039c7ccb9cff27b7c8c46509637b96d265 | thumper no definition of collapse | Thumper – there is no definition of what an actual collapse would look like – they can label everything as a disaster -
Pamlin and Armstrong ’15 [Dennis and Stuart; February 2015; Executive Project Manager at the Global Challenges Foundation; James Martin Research Fellow at the Oxford Martin School at the University o... |
017d930eedb2385487ab57d2932f1d7dbed67d4d814565343272fc482edc7f98 | Taiwo 22 | Worldmaking takes up an intergenerational fight for justice, not a view of the historical march of progress. Neither the dominance of the world we inhabit nor its transformation are inevitable.
Dr. Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò 22. Associate Professor, Philosophy, Georgetown University; PhD, Philosophy, UCLA. “The Arc of the Mora... |
02727c4de23a3c745bdf4c5375d015c726738b7eacb5e7ce39ed1069e1da1c9d | environmental protection is spreading | Deforestation’s declining
Pinker 18—Johnstone Family Professor in the Department of Psychology at Harvard University [Steven, February 2018, Enlightment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress, Chapter 10: The Environment, Viking, Accessed through the Wake Forest Library] AMarb
Though tropical fores... |
043aacdef8c6a4cc9846e0f4070ddc1c447da520aca2cbecffa05c34bb56755a | relational approaches to the environment | Calculative approaches to the environment ignores that non-knowledge is inevitable. The aff is an attempt to regulate emissions in a closed system, that ignores relational approaches to the environment.
Mollie Painter-Morland 17. Professor @ Nottingham Trent University, Geert Demuijnck, Professor & Head of Faculty @ E... |
0087bc706207ab8cddfe7af1286768acc087d0e4010db9bafe75a37e2bf6c09a | Antiblackness explains capitalism | Antiblackness can explain capitalism, but capitalism can’t explain antiblackness.
Dr. George Shulman 20, Professor Emeritus at NYU, 2020, “Fred Moten’s Refusals and Consents: The Politics of Fugitivity,” Political Theory, 49(2), https://doi.org/10.1177/0090591720937375
civilization is built on productivity of black ... |
02d8bfe6430c99abf1ee01b69651e747606c78f5b72dc6ec4fae9ac4fbb65fa6 | Wendy Brown States of Injury | We will critique their call for the ballot — it’s not key to their project and causes dependency on the judge as a liberator.
Brown, 1995—prof at UC Berkeley (Wendy, States of Injury, 21-3)
"resistance" has taken ground vacated by more expansive freedom insofar as resistance is an effect of the regime it opposes Res... |
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