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00b0a69ce023f553826cd47e5aa1f7ce0d476fabd87bdaa9a526d232cba48d51 | Saradzhyan 10 | That goes nuclear.
Saradzhyan 10 (Simon Saradzhyan, Director, Russia Matters Projec @ the Belfer Center, 5-4-2010, "The Role of China in Russia’s Military Thinking," Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/role-china-russias-military-thinking, accessed 2-17-2024)
... |
0017458e7068c9fad6bd9b7ff946296c0678c45cfcd1e8dda4f54fbbd54ed391 | oil spats were brief nonfatal | 2---Alt causes war, and any real oil wars didn’t escalate.
Meierding ‘20 [Emily; assistant professor of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California, Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Chicago,
the historical record indicates countries fought 180 oil wars a closer... |
01fc364bd231b7e2eab6f9cfb3456c0aee376a7643d93b7a28ff0c4ccf2e5c14 | markets solve green energy | Central planning for the current population with green energy is infeasible and destroys the globe---markets solve.
Cwik and Engelhardt 23, *Professor of Economics and Finance at the University of Mount Olive, **Associate Professor of Economics at Kent State University (*Paul F., **Lucas M., 2023, “Revisiting the Comp... |
031edbb3abc37f798e3c22818784fe2b54547443599af97faa7c60989c4f41ad | mass noun single type example | B — A before a mass noun means single type
AHD 92 – American Heritage Dictionary of the English Language 1992 (Third Edition) p. 1
Used before a mass noun to indicate a single type or example |
014229d8901b92e71b57bc3652e0867660929caa3eed8b28bfe814da082cb46e | dollar resilient post recession | 5. Dollar is resilient.
Joseph POLITANO Financial Management Analyst @ Bureau of Labor Statistics 3-26-22 https://apricitas.substack.com/p/sanctions-on-russia-wont-end-the?r=lllv0&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=direct
The internet runs on negative news financial world is no exception The US dollar wi... |
022269bf9640e6b6b80cbc30b79b05a3565b34f23117702c7a00b3946f0963db | Psychoanalysis outdated drive theory | Psychoanalytic drive theory is wrong---studies of localized human brain lesions and animal self-stimulus prove
Watt 12, senior clinical Neuropsychologist at the Boston University School of Medicine, Harvard Medical School (Douglas, “Theoretical challenges in the conceptualization of motivation in neuroscience: Implica... |
00dccefb42fdd8061e9bd80f5334a501a23b4c1fcff96bc95cfd3dce3a4e3b6a | drastic action can avert IPCC | Acting on warming now is uniquely good.
Fiona Harvey 23, Environment Editor for the Guardian, 3/20/2023, "Scientists deliver ‘final warning’ on climate crisis: act now or it’s too late," https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/20/ipcc-climate-crisis-report-delivers-final-warning-on-15c
warning only drastic a... |
0386bb6aa6833cd29aaf2df168775e55950dfcb7009f5594d79853d47b1b7d69 | Climate tipping points cause extinction | It causes extinction---tipping points are certain and soon.
Spratt ’24 [David; December 2; Research Director, Breakthrough National Center for Climate Restoration, Founder, Climate Action Center, BS, Economics, Australian National University; Breakthrough Center; “Collision Course: 3-degrees of Warming and Humanity’s ... |
00a14d97fa32ef37934ad429af53d73a70eb0af6d1d413bef0d963af6c83c8bf | US failure global south | 4. They read an aff card---it’s bad for the global south because the US hasn’t done anything! Michigan is in green.
Julie de los Reyes & Jewellord Nem Singh 24. *Assistant professor at the Center for Southeast Asian Studies and Hakubi Center for Advanced Research at Kyoto University. **Assistant Professor, Internation... |
015978501a3756eaead67288dea060725194054e5c49db77686a13316aeeb516 | Trump mandate | Trump PC is insufficient for mass deportation now
Montanaro 1-15-2025, political columnist at NPR (“Trump will begin his presidency in delicate position, poll finds,” NPR, https://www.npr.org/2025/01/15/nx-s1-5259893/poll-trump-immigration-economy-favorability)
despite claims of a powerful mandate Trump may have to b... |
02d27ff8bf7c1f479b1aaa7c2a8efff565453d721e4435da195677f6dc8346c1 | clean energy investment double | Clean energy is inevitable, but it’s not fast enough.
Ambrose ’24 [Jillian Ambrose is an energy correspondent for The Guardian. “Investment in Clean Energy Likely to be Double Figure for Fossil Fuels in 2024, IEA Says,” Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/jun/06/investment-in-clean-energy-likel... |
02f7523735d32aab2f3b916b4b042fe88ed9a1e857491336c3717a7a9eb54f54 | Matsuda 23 | The CP solves---avoids high transaction costs
1AC Matsuda 23
procedural downsides may outweigh benefits determining the social cost of g h g requires estimates and resources, and expertise For some those increased transaction costs may become high To limit the impact transaction costs the Council should establish a ... |
0230e357fa8228604638d35c93e0e9d50acbaf084b2c56d58470519bfb577946 | Kearney Reuters | 4. Surface area increases.
Kearney 24 – U.S. Energy Reporter at Reuters. M.A. in Journalism, business and economic concentration, Columbia University.
U.S. grids are increasingly vulnerable to cyberattacks with the number of susceptible points increasing by 60 per day The grids' weak spots susceptible to cyber crimin... |
041b8418d1c86879f083304cf6b2096288db67e43fbd3840655f3e34bac74752 | affect is non-cognitive | Affect-driven politics is a double-edged sword—affect is powerful because it is non-cognitive and autonomous from rationality, but that means its impossible to politically direct or control – all of their arguments for why the law can’t grapple with aff are also reasons why the alt can’t solve
Barnett 8 – Professor of... |
037001e16179541d2837f04844be0c034ce0df4e2dea82a9d28ba1fb6f589696 | minimal risk nuclear waste | 2] Turn- Advanced Nuclear Energy solves and no impact to meltdowns- fear of nuclear energy and waste is unwarranted
Rhem ‘23 – (PhD, PE, CSP, CPSA, CLP, led the Saudi Aramco Compliance Review Team, currently serves as chair of the AIChE South Texas Section Executive Committee, on the Safety & Health Division Virtual M... |
0171c2f3f03ac41f4b76b42b11acd8c8e5e9c6ecbec81b95d5c84bc8fc0c0f00 | black suffering language | There’s no grammar to explain black suffering- plan focus is a smokescreen that distracts from violence in the quotidian
Sexton 2010 (“African American Studies,” A Concise Companion to American Studies (Blackwell Companions in Cultural Studies) pp 221-3)
freedom is preceded ontologically, by a more confounding questi... |
03b1a92a48bdafbac233be3e8f45807bf5b16c3eb6cf12e11d5950fad6a77a93 | colonial subordination | Refuse the “will to forget” subaltern memories, expunging the infinite generations of loss.
Myles Lennon 20. Dean's Assistant Professor of Environment and Society and Anthropology at Brown University; Ph.D in Anthropology and Forestry & Environmental Studies from Yale University; B.A. in Development Studies from Brown... |
046f92c7282bc4c3ad2378e9f8395d2d937ae209fa0d580dfea4c9da5c436fff | WTO not overrule local regulations | WTO is not a Trojan Horse and is not spreading the “neoliberal Agenda”
James Bacchus 23 is known worldwide as a global jurist, activist, writer, scholar, and statesman. “The World Trade Organization: Myths versus Reality”. September 26th, 2023. https://www.cato.org/publications/world-trade-organization-myths-versus-re... |
0039efe24e1439a203ce762cba1fa30ab590a224045aac18ee32c810100e6d92 | Li 24 | And widespread
Li 24 [Marie Li, High Meadows Climate Risk Fellow at the Environmental Defense Fund, “Investors, bipartisan former officials, others defend SEC climate risk disclosure rule,” Environmental Defense Fund, 8-22-2024, https://blogs.edf.org/climate411/2024/08/22/investors-bipartisan-former-officials-others-d... |
029e8fe728de9f74587fc828754a10b1cfdcc1ef768559fac5a289cd19628de8 | military and populism | Populists won’t start wars.
Yilmaz 22, PhD, chair in Islamic Studies and research professor of political science and international relations at Deakin University’s ADI. Previously, he worked at the Universities of Oxford and London, demonstrating a strong track record of successfully leading multi-site international r... |
02a94b6d0bef41763d19c40009125c8057d50e1d0bb6749662b59e33240eb467 | energy transition won't happen | AI innovation requires heaps of energy—REs just can’t keep up.
Mills ’24 [Mark P. Mills, Distinguished Senior Fellow, Texas Public Policy Foundation and Faculty Fellow, McCormick School of Engineering, Northwestern University, ”The ‘Energy Transition’ Won’t Happen,” CITY JOURNAL, 5—23—24, https://www.city-journal.org... |
035dd878a8e3c79e0c1e711c623450c044bbc834691a897431ed344b9f40521f | Trump impounding funds | Trump’s budget freeze and nominees implode Congressional stability, triggers massive controversy.
Cama and Picon 1/31 [Timothy Cama and Andres Picon are reporters for E&E News by Politico. “The fight over spending just got a lot more complicated.” 1-31-25. https://www.eenews.net/articles/the-fight-over-spending-just-g... |
004bf92d7a8ee7b1dbe91c8c1fd80c59960f8ff6b4a75c106c240ec57fb2670e | Affect scale and utopia | Affect doesn’t scale up to material transformation
David Sergeant 18, Lecturer in English, University of Plymouth, School of Humanities and Performing Arts, University of Plymouth, “Representing the Planet: Affect, Scale and Utopia,” Novel: A Forum on Fiction, https://pearl.plymouth.ac.uk/handle/10026.1/12724, [insert... |
038d7f8a18faebce6f9d88e02e941d39058ebeb3800345dd9b65665b5def9b1d | carbon asset plummet | Those investors currently perceive that meaningful climate action is incredibly unlikely. Unanticipated change spurs rapid stranding as the value of carbon assets immediately plummets, which ripples across the financial system and causes recession
Martins and Hendry 24 – Senior Research Fellow in Economics at the Glob... |
02dc5f420b293061fb84daa95a245741072b64ca5a88feac169720ff6fa75eea | avoids the link | The counterplan alone facilitates a gradual shift, avoids the link.
Nkwaira and Poll 23 – Professor at the University of South Africa. Former CEO of Impact Africa Investing Academy. Doctor of Business Leadership from the University of South Africa.
the reasonableness in determining capital adequacy would be built on ... |
046941c0d247e1837dfdffc011a0233ea621f417c335162616a6fac16e5ac732 | Cointelpro era government co-option | Agent provocateurs turn alt solvency – materializes in Cointelpro-era government co-option AND deters public support
Gunderson et al. 23 [Ryan Gunderson is an Associate Professor in the Department of Sociology and Gerontology and Affiliate of the Institute for the Environment and Sustainability at Miami University. Wi... |
005b2969044c02fe12d5373849ec3ea2356e79082f91bcb109ddec3ba32cfa7d | technology led climate change | LCERC solves the aff, avoids the net benefit and picking winners
Isabel Galiana 12, Professor of Economics at McGill University; Christopher Green, Professor of Economics, School of Environment, McGill University; and Jeremy Leonard, research director at the Institute for Research on Public Policy, July 2012, “A Techn... |
03388af0b40a6d4ada7bc06d5666c6ae1a26d8a3284af6c05ef5c3d8122ae6b6 | counterplans must be competitive | Philosophical competition --- if we have a DA than it’s not arbitrary locus
Steve Mancuso 81, “Counterplans Must Be Competitive”, Original Source: Wake Forest University Debater’s Research Guide, “Alternatives in Education: Stagnation or Renewal”, 1981
philosophical competitiveness counterplan are philosophically inc... |
010eaca13ca3e31389c7b1a2640874b4ade1eb3075fb7b527e2c6a97e623916c | Michael J. Albert | Attention to the concrete details of different political strategies is necessary. We should pay attention to how effective and realistic a strategy is, not merely whether an idea is good in the abstract.
Michael J. Albert 23, lecturer in International Relations at SOAS University of London, 28 July 2022, “Ecosocialism... |
02903b2dc043ef7e2738a5a900e01ad00ac4fb2e2e2885622a0e0f872005dc19 | intentional extinction makes rebuilding inevitable | It would give cause for intentional extinction AND if not, makes rebuilding inevitable.
Bostrom 19, Ph.D., Professor in the Faculty of Philosophy at Oxford University, Founding Director of the Future of Humanity Institute (Nick Bostrom, 2019, “The Vulnerable World Hypothesis,” Global Policy, Vol. 10, No. 4, University... |
029ac10121dd280bbc9c0a9625a972450b4e45f59696e4d362ccd4a6d4f9b403 | Trump win collapses alliances nuclear war | Trump win collapses alliances and escalates all hotspots – nuclear war.
Rhodes 24 (Ben, served as U.S. Deputy National Security Adviser for Strategic Communications and Speechwriting in the Obama administration https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/biden-foreign-policy-world-rhodes , July/August)
second Trump... |
00023633797bc6233f00f5974ebfbbff648b8ed7ada57634f96967758c762e8d | climate regulation technocrats | AFF aligns risk across the market causes cascasing failures worse than case
Katz 23, Analyst for the Manhattan Institute and senior advisor at the United States Department of the Treasury (Dan Katz, November 16, 2023, “Financial Regulators: Seers Who Cannot See,” City Journal, https://www.city-journal.org/article/fina... |
0330ab493453cbb33637f002954370c65a935c4c15e112df17c154db85f088e0 | Court undermine EPA solution | 4. Potential court strikes decimate future solvency, past cases prove
Mark Sherman 24, associated press and graduate from Princeton and UC Irvine Law, “Supreme Court halts enforcement of EPA’s plan to limit downwind pollution from power plants” PBS, https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/supreme-court-halts-enforcement... |
00591c9cfa6047b5e57a0491641adbb9392b8fcc72c68dc8560d4e860cfdbc27 | BCA too simple | BCA is useless – too simple and it will be gamed, too complex and it can’t be administered
Morris 18 [Adele C. Morris, senior fellow and policy director for Climate and Energy Economics at the Brookings Institution, Ph.D., Economics, Princeton University, M.S., Mathematics, University of Utah, 7-26-2018, “Making Borde... |
013e60aa444213ff5ebf8c888d897e0b1872e0ce86e7230471869d1b72607a8d | material help needed | Focus on ableist ideology and discourse cedes the political – concrete politics to address social disadvantage are key
Vehmas and Watson 14 (Simo Vehmas – Professor of Disability Studies at the University of Helsinki, and Nick Watson – Professor of Disability Studies at the University of Glasgow, “Moral wrongs, disadv... |
012733f37ae0c2735bb9d4b2cbe9be9f1ba3a2f57bf8d41b1ab4862de8032386 | Eisen virtual energy | Getting a VER on the wholesale market is entirely theoretical---counterplan is the key first step.
Eisen – AFF SOLVENCY ADVOCATE et al 24 [Joel B. Eisen, Professor of Law, University of Richmond School of Law Felix Mormann, Professor of Law, Dean’s Research Chair, Texas A&M University School of Law; Professor of Engin... |
01b57a1ad2a04fc3ef958c1157d20dfb39047be69fcc46589719b185175a86b6 | Rhetorical Federalism | Bargaining. Perm vaporizes opposition both by preempting the condition AND aligning the states with the fed.
Elizabeth Leonard 10. Professor of Law at the University of Kansas and Visiting Professor of Law at the University of Georgia, J.D. from the University of Georgia; Hofstra Law Review, “Rhetorical Federalism: Th... |
01a8a69c3be67c212a51caa7b3611a98e626c8690089b5df050006b83a437338 | carbon tax normative | No link---a tax is only a nominal MBI.
Komanoff and Delucchi 20, *Director of the Carbon Tax Center, A.B., Applied Math, Harvard University, **Professor at University of California, Berkeley (*Charles Komanoff, **Mark Delucchi, October 8, 2020, “The main value of a carbon tax is normative.” Carbon Tax Center, https://... |
040bdf4e9aa80908e66c716b30a47e7e3f1fedaf2a7a3e650f05949d125ddcec | smart city ethical implications | There’s no such thing as ‘smart city innovation.’
Ziosi et al. 22, Marta Ziosi, Ph.D. candidate at the Oxford Internet Institute, Co-Founder of AI for People, M.Sc. in Philosophy and Public Policy from the London School of Economics; Benjamin Hewitt, M.Sc. in the Social Science of the Internet from the Oxford Internet... |
01701ad9eca26d7022d4573c639efb603e3088deea08b28e5fb37c2c606327c0 | drone warfare extinction | Extinction
Dr. Michael J. Boyle 13, Professor of Political Science at La Salle University, Former Lecturer in International Relations and Research Fellow in the Centre for the Study of Terrorism and Political Violence at the University of St. Andrews, “The Costs and Consequences of Drone Warfare”, International Affair... |
001634e216fe55d28a3210584d4a7eb5479b4afa8152736d534daed646ea8ab2 | Tamdgidi 2015 | These practices are not neutral – they are part of a process of Islamophobia in which the Islamic tradition is positioned as inferior and violent while Western epistemologies are represented as “truth”.
Tamdgidi, M. (2015). ISLAM : From phobia to understanding. (Vol. VIII). Ahead Publishing House .
Non-Western episte... |
045bb385dc437f195caa1ae3dd16cdb6b77910a182fe224a7fb92c0d90ed1581 | energy policy relevance erodes sustainable planning | Adhering to hegemonic regimes of energy policy relevance erodes sustainable planning, crowds out democratic control of the energy sector, and locks in global ecological catastrophe. Endorsing counterhegemonic politics against the AFF’s “regime of truth” is a prerequisite for effective energy politics.
Żuk & Żuk 22 – P... |
00821542a2eccd502a5d01c8ab53e046927357f1e34e674767ca2df9936d2bcf | Tenorio 2024 | The JUMP is a better analytic to undo the political forms produced by antiblack desires
Tenorio 24 (Sam C. Tenorio (he/they) is an Assistant Professor of African American Studies and Women’s, Gender, and Sexuality Studies. He received his Ph.D. and M.A. degrees in African American Studies, with a subfield in Political... |
017df8163945c6aeb9264a6d32401cb9ed75e9dd11ae9eb1df2fc4c26606f535 | supremacist relations facing our finitude | Fossil civilization’s fear of death precludes hospitality, making it impossible to cultivate existential affirmation.
James Rowe 23. [Associate Professor of environmental studies and cultural, social, and political thought at the University of Victoria. His interdisciplinary research program is motivated by a desire t... |
0225a92184f5b62fb1764d3f9e50c6d7992c6ad7585a04d752708e26c93f23a2 | cutting commitments simplifies challenge | B. Decline maintains deterrence while preventing aggression.
MacDonald and Parent 18 - Paul MacDonald is Associate Professor in Political Science at Wellesley College. Joseph M. Parent is an associate professor of political science at the University of Notre Dame.
declining powers use retrenchment to shuffle resourc... |
03da0e7d00636d0145b05a065dc8c2b66b0296c273940e2d41e20650b2b522aa | carbon tariffs Ukraine tensions | Carbon tariffs divide allied approaches to Ukraine.
Young & Bakst ‘23 [Ryan Young is a senior economist at the Competitive Enterprise Institute; Daren Bakst is Director of the Competitive Enterprise Institute's Center for Energy and Environment and a Senior Fellow. "Carbon tariffs will hurt trade, national interests, ... |
00eedd305ef09af119e82e4275b93c0bcd522ffb2d2600108911506dc3201238 | Cara Judea Alhadeff | And so we ask the question, ‘Clean energy’ for whom?
Alhadeff 23 [Cara Judea; Professor of Transdisciplinary Ecological Leadership, has published dozens of interdisciplinary books and articles on critical philosophy, climate justice, art, epigenetics, gender, sexuality, and ethnic studies, “Equality as Industrial Capi... |
0137fd9fae578d1501248a85e37c71287c9865bcaf8b7db5871bb571d33a6080 | Bailey 23 | G—Plan is vital to accelerating green tech development
Bailey ’23 [David Bailey, senior advisor, CLC and instructor, Walsh School of Foreign Service, Georgetown University, “Unlocking Net Zero Emissions: Accelerating Innovation & Deployment through Carbon Pricing,” Climate Leadership Council, 3—23, p. 2-17]
avoid the... |
033feaf7a8410bbe7b809c029a66f23945768d29c496efbf9a43e3a90c1a4eed | Hoover institute classical liberalism | 1NC Libecap was from the Hoover Institute---a conservative think tank.
Matthew Dardet 19. "Faculty Senate debates role of Hoover Institution on campus." Stanford Daily. 2-8-2019. https://stanforddaily.com/2019/02/08/faculty-senate-debates-role-of-hoover-institution-on-campus/
Intellectually bankrupt’ Hoover alleged i... |
0197b3b8703bf87a8e3c1d9c39a44c36e6fa2b1f59fb2e8e6c4c9153fc90d5df | Michael Prince 23 | Legal reform is good in the context of disability. The Accessible Canada Act is one example of how liberal states can have a positive relationship to disability.
Michael J. Prince 23, Lansdowne Professor of Social Policy at the University of Victoria, Canada, 2023, “17: The Accessible Canada Act: a political expressio... |
012e24c2b7c01777cc3b972fce2969237e171e8a4acfc5635495d7233003d80a | Texas independence is like Kurds | 4---Texans view independence as a religious movement under God---they will martyr – answers their nuke analytic
Downen 23. Robert Downen, Nov 15 2023. The Texas Tribune “Texas secessionists feel more emboldened than ever” https://www.texastribune.org/2023/11/15/texas-secession-texit/ ///mosuQ
the Movement argues that... |
0302c3873604101b80acb3da319ea9d5a689d199f45a1f687fa0cd56ade8225f | renewables never competitive | Renewables never become competitive without a prohibitively expensive tax.
Elizabeth Baldwin 20. Associate Professor of Economics at Oxford. Yongyang Cai, Professor in Department of Agricultural, Environmental and Development Economics at The Ohio State University. Karlygash Kuralbayev, Senior Lecturer in Economics at... |
044959da6c7e97e6a7630420fe72cd3b58a77155cffac47115346f89f3c3f822 | China green energy leadership | Topic specific solvency advocacy checks – proves they exclude core topic research and predictable neg ground – that’s the 1NC solvency ev – heres more
Wiseman and Osofsky 16 [Hannah J. Wiseman** and Hari M. Osofsky* ** Attorneys' Title Professor, Florida State University College of Law. J.D., Yale Law School, A.B., Da... |
00eedd305ef09af119e82e4275b93c0bcd522ffb2d2600108911506dc3201238 | environmental racism | And so we ask the question, ‘Clean energy’ for whom?
Alhadeff 23 [Cara Judea; Professor of Transdisciplinary Ecological Leadership, has published dozens of interdisciplinary books and articles on critical philosophy, climate justice, art, epigenetics, gender, sexuality, and ethnic studies, “Equality as Industrial Capi... |
00e7210c2595db25802df2aff2c02da6dee56a431cbd8d2cc02fa8cc7c9b06f1 | Elizabeth Popp Berman | The AFF’s economic style of reasoning ensures serial policy failure.
Berman 22 – Elizabeth Popp Berman, Director and Richard H. Price Professor of Organizational Studies at the University of Michigan, Thinking Like An Economist: How Efficiency Replaced Equality in U.S. Public Policy, pgs. 5-10)
assumptions starts wit... |
002ac80dbc4c6471f5ed798a09d642331f0138d702978a5457911607abadc28b | Nagourney 9-23-24 | Sun Belt not key – Pennsylvania is key to Harris path to 270
Nagourney, New York Times national political reporter, et al., 9-23-24
Voters across the Sun Belt say Trump improved their lives when he was president setting the stage for an extraordinarily competitive contest in three key states, according to the latest ... |
01a8a69c3be67c212a51caa7b3611a98e626c8690089b5df050006b83a437338 | Tax is nominal MBI | No link---a tax is only a nominal MBI.
Komanoff and Delucchi 20, *Director of the Carbon Tax Center, A.B., Applied Math, Harvard University, **Professor at University of California, Berkeley (*Charles Komanoff, **Mark Delucchi, October 8, 2020, “The main value of a carbon tax is normative.” Carbon Tax Center, https://... |
012c4bbdf315e451dbf29e639757ce1744feccd4a01f3fb89bcb0ef5ce238aad | border adjustments emissions | Tax administration is simple and unlikely to provoke trade disputes.
Brian Flannery et al. 18. Visiting Fellow at Resources for the Future. Jennifer Hillman, professor at Georgetown University Law Center. Jan Mares, Senior Adviser at Resources for the Future. Matthew Porterfield, deputy director of the Harrison Instit... |
046cee85e284bb34cbb502744edc87aaef3168c8c020a5d0b1ec81c114ada2e2 | Full year CR averts sequestration | Only a Full-Yr C.R. checks Defense cuts---averts mandatory sequestration and permits a “anomalies funding list”.
N.L.I.H.C. – March 3rd – ’25 – National Low Income Housing Coalition - White House Sends “Anomalies” List to Congress as Republican Leaders Push for Full-Year Continuing Resolution – Take Action! - Mar 03, ... |
016dd69fb458656a4843a5075c6e2560b60c98b739098134f309b27a18d5ae37 | reconceptualise the human community | Anticipating extinction breeds empathy and entangled care. Distancing ourselves from considering extinction reifies detached elitism.
Offord, 17—Faculty of Humanities, School of Humanities Research and Graduate Studies, Bentley Campus (Baden, “BEYOND OUR NUCLEAR ENTANGLEMENT,” Angelaki, 22:3, 17-25) [ableist language ... |
0229f1808de0fd9a1cf382bcfaa8752185b9d067c05b5fc37351a1380658d87f | Refuse settler colonial research | The alternative is an ethic of incommensurability toward decolonization – the only ethical move is to refuse settler colonial research.
Tuck and Yang 12 (Eve Tuck, associate Professor of Critical Race and Indigenous Studies at the Ontario Institute for Studies in Education, University of Toronto, State University of N... |
0341bc4b76895d65d31ea38dc31c3f37ea89ea9d32cc0b7e96d0db6c2e9d18ef | Global supply glut | 5. China thumps
Grant Smith 24 Fortune writer. Fortune, “Oil is headed for a steeper dive, and OPEC+ won’t be able to stop it,” 9-6-2024, DOA: 9-9-24, lmc, https://fortune.com/2024/09/06/oil-price-outlook-global-supply-glut-opec-production-cuts-russia-saudi-arabia/
China is showing a diminished appetite Imports dwind... |
037cbeef5759deec69af06b8d1803bc0a3c2b711419a41726ca712bbdf6e4957 | Brill 21 carbon tax | Fossil demand is devastating for warming. Only a carbon tax can dampen it.
Brill 21, Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, M.A., Mathematical Finance, Boston University, B.A., Economics, Tufts University (Alex Brill, April 27, 2021, “Climate Challenges: The Tax Code’s Role in Creating American Jobs, Achi... |
00b0a69ce023f553826cd47e5aa1f7ce0d476fabd87bdaa9a526d232cba48d51 | Russia China conflict ICBMs | That goes nuclear.
Saradzhyan 10 (Simon Saradzhyan, Director, Russia Matters Projec @ the Belfer Center, 5-4-2010, "The Role of China in Russia’s Military Thinking," Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/role-china-russias-military-thinking, accessed 2-17-2024)
... |
0085feb6302a67580a28a65bad777ab7043ba7bec95ca8926d439f189ccf4435 | Denning Bloomberg | Recent congressional proposals prove.
Denning 24 (Liam Denning is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering energy, holding a B.A. in history from the University of Caimbridge. A former banker, he edited the Wall Street Journal’s Heard on the Street column and wrote the Financial Times’s Lex column. Prior to journalism, ... |
0006046cc1102c495fd2f5cdaa2fc28f0d4d7b6ac9b89b2918074631270a8b58 | small businesses disadvantage CBAs | Calculation problems confound effectiveness
Beaumont-Smith ’24 [Gabriella Beaumont-Smith, Policy Analyst, Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies, Cato Institute, “Are Carbon Border Adjustments a Dream Climate Policy or Protectionist Nightmare?” POLICY ANALYSIS n. 978, Cato Institute, 7—30—24, p. 5]
measu... |
0053a3dbfb5f0da03770d40b4f2ad2ed159a7702c19b4dc86a1bf4dce857151c | Financial crises climate change | It entrenches cheaper polluting fuels and divests from green technology.
João Tovar Jalles 23. Senior Associate Professor of Economics at University Of Lisbon. “Financial Crises and Climate Change.” 2023. Springer Nature. Doi: 10.1057/s41294-023-00209-7.
financial crises lead to a deterioration in resilience to cl... |
00da0edbc9a4ec57438e863a9fa204c0d1f24367a67b76861cfa384b5968a977 | overreliance on fossil fuels grid | High electricity prices now are caused by overreliance in fossil fuel and existing infrastructure. Accelerating the shift to renewables solves.
Estes 24. [Adam Clark, Senior technology correspondent @ Vox, previously technology and politics at Gizmodo, Vice, and The Atlantic. BA History and Literature from Harvard. "T... |
01a3d416d6ffb73a5f32e71c3b41a0dcc1118519445427c5d6a35fe8caef6471 | cap and trade policy induced plunge | Cap-and-trade creates a green paradox
Gerlagh (gur-lak), Heijmans, Rosendahl 21. Reyer Gerlagh, Roweno J R K Heijmans, Knut Einar Rosendahl, 3-19-2021, "An endogenous emissions cap produces a green paradox", OUP Academic, https://academic.oup.com/economicpolicy/article/36/107/485/6178790. MSU-shARK
cap-and-trade suf... |
012cb103676920e8e687cedc2453ffec36c80f346731ba8ae445ecc16c4135a0 | Long term semiconductor disruption is existential | Long term semiconductor disruption is existential.
Lord 22 (Ellen Lord served as the first undersecretary of defense for acquisition and sustainment. Prior to that, she was president and CEO of Textron Systems. She is currently a senior adviser of The Chertoff Group, where Mira Ricardel is a principal. Ricardel served... |
0280195dc74d1b4b77b6b6c05c58d213a19590b6b088f882f8a1d6f7b9d8814b | Böhringer 22 | Implementation increases carbon in other markets.
Böhringer 22 [Christoph Böhringer, Professor of Economics at the University of Oldenburg, Carolyn Fischer, Senior Fellow at Resources for the Future, Knut Einar Rosendahl, Professor of Economics at the Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Thomas Fox Rutherford, Profe... |
038ac228466d0cc55b8bfbef0eeda07e2165c1edf47cfed20cb5924d8ef9ec9b | rising prices cause revolution | Unchecked inflation triggers global wars.
Brands 22, PhD, Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. (Hal, 1-20-2022, "Inflation’s Biggest Risk Is Geopolitical Unrest," American Enterprise Institute, https://www.aei.org/op-eds/inflations-biggest-risk-is-geo... |
00486f858a3584a3a5a9e40f0b3cc2e6786245e8a1de7accbf4086ced4f878b7 | CGE models overestimate effectiveness | That estimate is prior to any implementation failure or circumvention arguments.
Weisbach & Kortum 23 – Moffat Professor of Economics at Yale; Blum Professor of Law at UChicago
None of these effects are captured in CGE modeling which means the models substantially overestimate the effectiveness |
0228be477c047f2d50c938f84439acfc238e69e45d9ccfb2667ea3fdaceb3517 | China early and fast approach | China won.
Flowers et. al 24 (Simon Flowers, Chairman, Chief Analyst and author of The Edge; Rory Mccarthy, Director, Power & Renewables Consulting EMEA; Gavin Thompson, Vice Chairman, Energy – Europe, Middle East & Africa; February 29, 2024, “Re-thinking energy transition supply chains,” https://www.woodmac.com/blogs... |
00cedfe3a44fb73a3514d4dfe70656bd6f47a7c25053281a061859a60e6f2b39 | US carbon efficiency advantage | Carbon taxes particularly benefit U.S. industries because of our comparative carbon advantage
Rorke & Bertelsen 20 [Catrina Rorke, Vice President of Policy, CLC and former Director of Energy Policy, R Street Institute and Greg Bertelsen, CEO, CLS and former Senior Director of Energy and Resources Plicy, National Assoc... |
02ef7a10fea43bc3cffbe0c1ade54630dfd05f1eeb8c8aa5975c56e661e4ea42 | renewables require oil products | Demand is surging---the IEA underestimates AND historically’s been wrong.
Al Ghais ’24 [Haitham; June 13; OPEC Secretary General; OPEC, “OPEC Sec Gen: Peak oil demand not on the horizon,” https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/general/OPEC-SG-peak-oil-demand-not-on-the-horizon.pdf]
peak s... |
032b631ad44c8c517ce4be1ef62ebc13c1dee8d126269e2e02cf146561dd6340 | Hanne Svarstad climate education | 8. Effective climate education must include discussions and evaluations of national climate policy.
Hanne Svarstad ’21, Professor in the Department of International Studies and Interpreting at Oslo Metropolitan University, “Critical climate education: studying climate justice in time and space”, International Studies ... |
035762383f7f4f84e9550d9579229f3c07599a0b96ef3c31a5595c5e3d397632 | trading mechanism enable renewable electricity | CP solves and avoids elections.
Schmalensee 15 [Schmalensee, R., V. Bulovic, R. Armstrong, C. Batlle, P. Brown, J. Deutch, H. Jacoby, R. Jaffe, J. Jean, R. Miller, F. O'Sullivan, J. Parsons, J.I. Pérez-Arriaga, N. Seifkar, R. Stoner and C. Vergara (2015): The Future of Solar Energy: An Interdisciplinary MIT Study. Mas... |
0088afc20b1ce9735fe8b653f22096b968e0f97a152b6d935e81dcc44cbbf3f1 | Harris momentum real now | Has flipped script on the ecnomy, but it’s fragile
Knox 8—12 [Olivier Knox, journalist, “Harris Hones Her Economic Message,” U.S. NEWS & WORLD REPORT, 8—12—24, https://www.usnews.com/news/u-s-news-decision-points/articles/2024-08-12/kamala-harris-hones-her-economic-message-to-voters, accessed 8-22-24]
Voters have be... |
027caacbb65c4c40ac2bbd6b99c1c33a862691e7fe2edf1623ee43a720c5e184 | peak uranium near | Expansion = peak uranium
Elliot 11 [David Elliott is Professor of Technology Policy at the Open University, “Nuclear waste- no place to go,” 2011, http://blog.environmentalresearchweb.org/2011/02/19/nuclear-waste-no-place-to-go]
If a global nuclear renaissance occurs, demand for uranium will grow already shortages pe... |
00f26af4035c6f8abb1d546f105f0236da6ca9cdcca7299c9d9dc7400597ec6e | Newest polls say Harris wins | Newest polls say Harris wins
Dorn 9/12 – Forbes news reporter who covers politics.
Harris leads by five points in the first two major polls following Tuesday’s debate up 50% to 45% conducted of 3,317 likely voters , her widest lead yet and a improvement from her lead taken on the day of the debate A two-day Reuters... |
0295c93980ed1cf95d7fc56d2150465bfea2cc0f51673372f04a32e538265c6e | Michael J. Albert 24 | 6. Structural Stagflation. Unstable rates, debt, asset bubbles, and broad financial deregulation guarantee collapse.
Michael J. Albert 24. Lecturer in Global Environmental Politics at the University of Edinburgh. Navigating the Polycrisis: Mapping the Futures of Capitalism and the Earth. MIT Press. 32-35.
assault on ... |
04150555c6af29c834c6e4b5a753a5ac627d71b60786b0f2aa97b190baa3a3b5 | state action avoids politics | Leads to federal follow on AND avoids politics
Nicholas Bianco 20. acting deputy director for WRI United States. He previously served as director of regulatory analysis and strategic partnerships at the Environmental Defense Fund. In that role, he oversaw the analytical research conducted in support of the domestic cl... |
00cd959747bfa5dbddb445d7bac71588168d572a2e6c5b4b2fcea8bd13e741e9 | definition of US federal government | ‘United States federal government’ includes the government AND all subdivisions.
Law Insider ’22 [Law Insider; copyright through 2022; Contract database and resource center serving over 300,000 lawyers and business owners; Law Insider, “United States Federal Government definition,” https://www.lawinsider.com/dictionar... |
02133120d011721a514504aff9b2a965ac8156f625911076b05d4796e05b0c3d | Beckley world politics | The structure of the international system explains conflict.
Michael Beckley 18. Professor of political science at Tufts. Unrivaled: Why America Will Remain the World’s Sole Superpower. Cornell University Press.
world politics is a game of thrones sixteen cases when a rising power challenged Twelve ended in carnage ... |
01f376827475428605034c2bd5dcb929b8898a0c663e2f17b6be749705eb3785 | capitalist AI bad | Growth-oriented AI ensures extinction---but degrowth solves
Pueyo ’18 [Salvador; October 1; Department of Evolutionary Biology, Ecology, and Environmental Sciences, Universitat de Barcelona; Journal of Cleaner Production, “Growth, Degrowth, and the Challenge of Artificial Superintelligence,” vol. 197, pp. 1731–1736]
... |
010c2f9acd4fe9001ad30b80c8152025e35f3cbebe8ac59650bd4d0ff5b541d9 | tech facilitates zero fossil fuel | Capitalism is sustainable and solves warming.
Hill ‘20 [Victor; 11/3/20; Financial Economist with the International Finance Corporation at the World Bank, lead writer for Master Investor, holds degrees from the University of Oxford, Institut Européen d'Administration des Affaires, and Canterbury Christ Church Universi... |
024c2356950606efa522aa30304d3753935d0ff55cfbdf3c50e0097ff3c39889 | changing the words a person speaks does not change the feelings in their heart | Disability rhetoric doesn’t reinforce ableism and rejecting it doesn’t solve – Their linguistic focus just papers over oppression - Turns the K
Pierce 2012 (Samantha Pierce, founder and Executive Director of NeuroDiversity Consulting, a firm dedicated to special needs families and educating parents and the community a... |
040f1374b0654c41ab59f5dd4af289cac1cb77b844b2707c336e5dac1e358f43 | insurance premiums losses | Perception is key to Insurance---insurers are pulling out now but are carefully watching for further developments.
Griggs and Reguero 21 [Gary Griggs and Borja G. Reguero. 2021. Griggs is a Distinguished Professor of Earth Sciences at the University of California Santa Cruz, where he has taught for 55 years. He receiv... |
03fa1fc79f917f15556f0c60eb5ed22f2145e0520e6fbabb9b96643b8e80141a | carbon capture tech essential | Capitalism is sustainable otherwise transition wars.
Karlsson 21 - (Rasmus Karlsson, Department of Political Science, Umeå University; 6-18-2021, Social Theory for the Anthropocene: Thinking and Acting in a Disrupted Planet, "Learning in the Anthropocene," doa: 2-25-2022) url: https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/10/6/233
... |
012ccb1ad519878b5e847bda38f0a32d99a5b071ac01e0d851ce8508b1150620 | Russian economic collapse inevitable | 6--- Short-term Russian economic collapse is inevitable.
Pierre-Marie Meunier 9/11. Served in the French armed forces as an intelligence officer, currently operations director of a communications consultancy, holds a double master’s degree in information/communication and international relations. “Russia is on a Slow ... |
0051d4c0beea7cd6a246f439d1af3f5ef80944c901deb18b3f8dfd77fe6946e5 | shadow banking risk | Shadow banking is huge---it controls almost half of all financial assets AND is set to increase in risk.
Alexander Jones 24. Senior Vice President of Portfolio Management overseeing over $1 billion in debt financing, B.S. in Finance, "Banks’ Ballooning Appetites for Private Credit Raise Shadow Banking’s Risks to the F... |
0024d2e00f41c0946874fcdbd1fae7f01f5ddc076ee7dcbc0bf83b4322566f06 | oil industry PR minerals in batteries | 1NC 2: Not enough minerals is oil industry propaganda.
Russell Ruderman 23. Russell E. Ruderman is an American politician and was a Democratic member of the Hawaii Senate from 2012 to 2020 representing District 2. “Russell Ruderman: Dispelling The Disinformation On Electric Vehicles.” 10/16/23. https://www.civilbeat.o... |
00d5674b9c0315fa734a26e45bbe229187fbea2a4693916011327474ab084731 | Harris 2003 capitalist class | Alt causes transition wars---links especially hard to the thesis that people are hardwired.
Lee Harris 3. Analyst – Hoover Institution. 2003. “The Intellectual Origins of America-Bashing.” Hoover Instituion. Policy Review. http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/3458371.html.
the capitalist class could not be... |
041ed5a44374536345f92b1ae8e0ad86c490fb6d7f4b6e41f2fe1454ef285de6 | renewables magnifies cyber risks | Renewables magnifies cyber risks.
Walton 24, [Robert Walton is a Senior Reporter at Utility Dive. “Renewable energy, microgrids face growing cyber threats: FBI” https://www.utilitydive.com/news/fbi-cyber-threat-renewable-generation-microgrids-dragos/720509/]//sripad
F B I warned expansion of renewable capacity incre... |
0194068dcdd7924ba0b3d86adac8eb8eb93ea08375d4a01806e0be46a5edf373 | Apocalyptic mindfulness activism | Thinking through apocalypse does not erase slow violence, it enables us to challenge it.
Julia Grillmayr & Christine Hentschel 24, Visiting Professor of Cultural Studies at the University of Art and Design Linz, Ph.D. in Comparative Literature from the University of Vienna; Professor in the Institute for Criminologica... |
017f4e5d8c0538a4e066a6450596ec066a15a8f95297995420e496c15aaf559b | states innovate and tailor response | COVID marks a return to traditional federalism that emphasizes state authority and solves national polarization.
Lane 21 – Attorney Practicing Constitutional and Regulatory Litigation, JD from University of Pennsylvania Cary Law School.
Kaytlin Roholt Lane, “Federalism, Now More Than Ever”, Penn Law Journal Opinion, S... |
0438d934d0820c3516c61540de186ba0b06a9055b371867701bf3d5221e78510 | AI is a myth | --Superintelligence won’t exist.
Stearn 22’ – Joseph, Independent Institute. “reviewing “The Myth of Artificial Intelligence” by Erik Larson at Harvard University.”, The Independent Review, Vol. 26, No. 4, https://www.independent.org/publications/tir/article.asp?id=1702, xx-xx-2022
errors in intelligence have led to ... |
032257a62190ab53b8a51eb99d683969ceb85d01d129ae7e81977d015157aa22 | Leadership impact activates America’s crusader mentality | Leadership impact activates America’s crusader mentality and stokes the new Cold War with China
Layne 20, University Distinguished Professor of International Affairs and Robert M. Gates Chair in National Security at Texas A&M University. (Christopher, “Preventing the China-U.S. Cold War from Turning Hot”, The Chinese ... |
0320cb8072fe48f68ad5b76fec01886d8148d1a011ac66f72c03c0233be07b64 | Bundling issues into single bill | Only an omnibus-style reconciliation bill expands visas for high-skilled immigrants
Jones 1-16-2025, *visiting assistant professor of Mathematics at College of the Holy Cross. **the Sterling Professor of Social and Natural Science at Yale University. (*Matthew and **Nicholas A. Christakis, “Why Trump’s ‘One Big Beauti... |
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