| --- |
| title: Reproduction - Causal Selection in Evolution |
| emoji: 📊 |
| colorFrom: blue |
| colorTo: green |
| sdk: static |
| pinned: false |
| short_description: Exact graph audit and native pipeline rerun |
| tags: |
| - trackio |
| - open-reproductions |
| - icml2026-repro |
| - paper-mOcTXKawFY |
| --- |
| |
| # Reproduction logbook |
|
|
| Local-only, semantic-v4 reproduction package for OpenReview `mOcTXKawFY`, “Causal Modeling of Selection in Evolution.” The source is pinned to arXiv `2606.05689v1`. |
|
|
| Verdicts: Claims 1–5 are verified by exact enumeration and native algorithm runs. Claim 6 is falsified as literally registered because the paper-native 750-run finite-sample pipeline does not reproduce the claimed validation ordering: PC oriented-only precision wins only 3/15 grid cells and 0/5 cells at `d=20`. |
|
|
| ## Replay |
|
|
| ```bash |
| python3 -m pip install -r requirements.txt |
| python3 reproduce.py --output-dir fresh_replay |
| python3 validate_evidence.py |
| python3 verify_manifest.py |
| ``` |
|
|
| The committed `outputs/` and `packaged_replay/` trees were generated in separate executions and are byte-identical. Runtime measurements are deliberately excluded from canonical evidence. |
|
|
| ## Evidence map |
|
|
| - `EVIDENCE_MATRIX.json`: semantic-v4 claim contract. |
| - `pages/00-judge-evidence-scorecard/page.md`: deterministic projection. |
| - `outputs/exact_graph_audit.json`: exhaustive Claims 1–5 evidence. |
| - `outputs/oracle_gates.json`: networkx and causal-learn cross-checks. |
| - `outputs/finite_native_algorithms.json`: paired PC and CDNOD executions. |
| - `outputs/synthetic_native_pipeline.json`: paper-scale PC/GES experiment. |
| - `outputs/realdata_native_and_source_audit.json`: raw PanTHERIA rerun and seven-table audit. |
| - `outputs/destructive_controls.json`: one executed break-test per claim. |
| - `BUNDLE_SHA256SUMS.txt`: recursive package manifest. |
|
|
| No publication or remote mutation is performed by any script in this package. |
|
|
