| # Dashboard Glossary (AI vs Bookmakers) | |
| This glossary defines **UI terms** used on the OddsFlow dashboard. | |
| For log/schema field definitions (timestamp, match_id, market enums), see: | |
| `docs/signal-glossary.md`. | |
| > Educational analytics only — not betting advice. | |
| --- | |
| ## Market | |
| **Meaning:** Market-implied probability derived from bookmaker pricing (odds/lines). | |
| **Intuition:** “What the market is pricing.” | |
| ## Model | |
| **Meaning:** AI-estimated probability based on data/modeling. | |
| **Intuition:** “What the model believes.” | |
| ## Implied | |
| **Meaning (in Trend cards):** the market’s expected rate for an outcome category. | |
| **Intuition:** “The market forecast.” | |
| ## Actual | |
| **Meaning (in Trend cards):** the observed rate in a recent sample window. | |
| **Intuition:** “What really happened.” | |
| ## Deviation | |
| **Meaning:** the difference between Actual and Implied. | |
| - Positive → happening more often than priced | |
| - Negative → happening less often than priced | |
| **Intuition:** “Forecast error.” | |
| ## Market Volatility (as displayed) | |
| **Meaning:** a measured drift indicator between market expectations and outcomes (via deviation). | |
| **Intuition:** “How far reality is drifting from the priced script.” | |
| ## Home Advantage | |
| **Meaning:** whether home teams are performing stronger/weaker than typical assumptions. | |
| **Intuition:** “Is home actually home right now?” | |
| ## awayLean | |
| **Meaning:** drift indicator suggesting away outcomes are outperforming or underperforming market assumptions in the sample window. | |
| **Intuition:** “Is the league leaning away right now?” | |
| ## Edge | |
| **Meaning:** meaningful disagreement between Model and Market, beyond a threshold. | |
| **Intuition:** “The gap worth reviewing.” | |
| ## Threshold (Edge Threshold) | |
| **Meaning:** minimum edge size required before an item becomes a shortlist candidate. | |
| **Intuition:** “Ignore tiny gaps.” | |
| ## Value Detection | |
| **Meaning:** module that scans matches and returns a filtered shortlist of edge candidates. | |
| **Intuition:** “Shortlist builder.” | |
| ## Edge Found | |
| **Meaning:** number of shortlist candidates discovered for the selected league/window. | |
| **Intuition:** “How many disagreements passed the bar.” | |
| ## Filtered | |
| **Meaning:** candidates remaining after applying filters/constraints. | |
| **Intuition:** “How many survived filtering.” | |
| ## Efficiency | |
| **Meaning:** quality indicator for the current filtered set (implementation-specific). | |
| **Intuition:** “How clean the shortlist is.” | |
| ## Sample Window | |
| **Meaning:** the match sample used to compute Actual/Deviation metrics. | |
| **Intuition:** “The timeframe behind league weather.” | |