question stringlengths 10 193 | answer stringclasses 2 values |
|---|---|
NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Seattle Seahawks beat the Miami Dolphins? | YES |
NFL Week 15 (Dec 15 2024): Will the Cleveland Browns (home) beat the Kansas City Chiefs (away)? | NO |
Will Texas be closer than Florida in the 2024 election? | NO |
Will Trump win Georgia AND Arizona? | YES |
Will any state won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 go for Donald Trump in 2024? | YES |
🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,599.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024? | NO |
Initiative 2117: Will Washington Repeal the “Cap and Trade” Program? | NO |
NFL Week 5 (Oct 6): Will the Cincinnati Bengals beat the Baltimore Ravens? | NO |
Will there be a serious assassination attempt against Harris? | NO |
Will Rep. Dean Phillips win the 2024 presidential election? | NO |
Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of B or above? ("Joker" received a B+) | NO |
Will Destiny be unbanned from Twitch by the end of October 2024 like this Redditor claims? | NO |
Will Scott Alexander endorse Donald Trump (for president) in 2024? | NO |
Will Francis Ngannou fight any of the people who were on PFL's Heavyweight roster at the time he was signed before 2025? | YES |
Will Shikanoko Nokonoko Koshitantan (TV) rate 7.00 or higher on MyAnimeList? | YES |
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)? | NO |
Will anyone die of H5N1 (bird flu) in the United States in October? | NO |
Will Caroline Ellison get a longer sentence than Elizabeth Holmes? | NO |
Will Kamala Harris win all six swing states? | NO |
Will Biden have another televised fall before the 2024 presidential election? | NO |
Will Enel come back before the end of 2024? | NO |
Will Trump win Pennsylvania AND Georgia? | YES |
Will Lady Gaga sing an original song in Joker: Folie à Deux? 🃏🎤🎶 | YES |
Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 68.5% (Trump's Peak) before November 2024? | NO |
Bitcoin $80K in 2024? | YES |
Will the phrase "Machine Learning" be mentioned by anyone in a Presidential debate in 2024? | NO |
Will this market help us find a hardware design contract? (10% USD finder's fee!) | NO |
Will the 120 Star World Record in Super Mario 64 speedrunning be under 1 hour and 36 minutes before the end of 2024? | YES |
Will ghostty will be released in 2024? | YES |
Will Erling Haaland have at least 20 Premier League goals in the 2024-25 season by the end of 2024? | NO |
Will Alex Pereira beat Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC 307? | YES |
Will Bitcoin dominance reach 60% or higher before 2025? | YES |
Will a team without a World Series title in franchise history win one in 2024? | NO |
Will there be atleast 1 more Assassination attempt before the 2025 inauguration? | YES |
Will Lisa Murkowski endorse Trump? | NO |
Will Josh Hawley be reelected to the US Senate from Missouri in 2024? | YES |
Will Jimmy Carter outlive Donald Trump? | NO |
Will there be significant racial depolarization in the 2024 election? | YES |
Will Lula da Silva still be alive through the end of 2024? | YES |
Will Trump say "Genocide Joe" before election day? | NO |
will we still be talking about LLM Hallucinations this time next year? | YES |
Will higher education be a frequent talking point in the US presidential debates? | NO |
Will I endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2024 US presidential election? | NO |
San Francisco Proposition K passes: Great Highway Recreational Space 2024-11 | YES |
Will SpaceX Starship reach orbit at least 2 times in 2024? | YES |
Will any of the 2024 Nobel Laureates be Jewish? | YES |
Will Don Jr appear on a ballot for any office by the end of 2024? | NO |
Will the NDP win a supermajority in the 2024 election in the Canadian province of British Columbia (BC)? | NO |
Will Kyrsten Sinema win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Arizona? | NO |
Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025? | YES |
Jill Stein win at least 0.5% of 2024 Popular Vote? | YES |
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd district in the 2024 POTUS election? | NO |
Will the population of California go up from 2023 to 2024? | YES |
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Oregon? | YES |
Will Altman run for president or any party nomination? | NO |
Will Solana hit $250 in 2024? | YES |
Will an impeachment or criminal conviction disqualify Trump from running in the 2024 presidential elections? | NO |
Daily coinflip | NO |
Will there be any unfaithful electors in 2024? | NO |
Will Trump win Florida by >8 points? [Nate Silver $100k Twitter Bet] | YES |
Will Venom 3 have a record-breaking opening weekend for the franchise? | NO |
Will the Las Vegas Raiders pillage the Kansas City Chiefs? 🏈 (Black Friday) | NO |
NFL Week 15 (Dec 15 2024): Will the Carolina Panthers (home) beat the Dallas Cowboys (away)? | NO |
Will Tim Walz say the word “brat” before the election? | NO |
Will Benoit Saint Denis knockout/tko Renato Moicano? | NO |
Will NASA end the current New Horizons Mission? | NO |
Will Cornell West appear on the ballot in Wisconsin in Nov 2024? | YES |
Will JD Vance be replaced as Republican VP nominee? | NO |
Will the Climate Positive Public License gain adoption in the software industry? | NO |
Will I get a 2nd MtG Regional Championship qualification this weekend? | YES |
Will the Europa Clipper mission successfully launch in October 2024? | YES |
Will Gisèle Pelicot be Time Person of the Year 2024 (POTY)? | NO |
Will Starship launch in September 2024 | NO |
Will be another company hit trillion dollar Mkt CAP within the next 6 months? | YES |
Were the Tesla Optimus robots teleoperated at We, Robot? | YES |
Will Kamala Harris flip a state? | NO |
Will Colorado pass a ballot measure in 2024 to make primaries open and enact ranked-choice voting? | NO |
Will the Republican party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | YES |
Will Israel launch air strikes within 100 km of Tehran by the end of 2024? | YES |
Will bitcoin hit $90k before 2031-09-27? | YES |
Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent. | NO |
Will I run 800km this year? | NO |
Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Nov 2024? | NO |
Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1127 of One Piece on September 19th? | NO |
Will Manifold transform the site in any way for Halloween? | YES |
Will any of the videos uploaded to Joe Rogan's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 2M views? | YES |
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths? | NO |
Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Suella Braverman? | NO |
Will the L. A. Dodgers play the Baltimore Orioles in the 2024 MLB World Series? | NO |
Will iPhone 16 be a foldable phone? | NO |
Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before 2024 ends? | NO |
Will Wikipedia change it's name to Dickipedia? | NO |
Will there be interest free loans on manifold at any point before 2026? | YES |
Will real money political prediction markets be legal in the US before the end of 2025? | YES |
Will Ameya run a mile in 6:00.00 or faster before Jan 1, 2025 | YES |
Will the federal reserve raise interest rates at any time from March to November of '24? | NO |
Will a “good” (fine-tuned) opensource model utilizing chain-of-thought reasoning like o1 be released by EOY 2024? | YES |
Will Twitter/X.com remove Likes OR Retweets counts on posts from public view by the end of September? | NO |
Will GOP win Ohio in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election? | YES |
Will a Democrat win North Carolina in the 2024 POTUS election? | NO |
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