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Will JJK end in 2024?
YES
Who will be elected to be US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.)
NO
Will Caltrain electrification finish by end of 2025?
YES
Will any world leaders be assassinated by the end of 2024?
NO
10) U.S. court rule that generative AI models trained on the internet represent a violation of copyright. [Abbreviated]
NO
Will any Hamas terrorists be arrested in the US in the next year? (Oct 8th, 2024)
NO
NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Los Angeles Rams (home) beat the Buffalo Bills (away)?
YES
Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record in the US?
NO
Will the Milwaukee Brewers play in the 2024 World Series?
NO
Will Polymarket have a total volume of $4 billion on US 2024 elections?
NO
Have they found Amelia Earhart's plane?
NO
Is the firing of Sam Altman and the current situation at OpenAI mainly a consequence of an internal breakthrough?
NO
At the end of 2024 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be a Land card? (non-Basic)
NO
Will the Myanmar junta relinquish power before October 2024?
NO
Will Reddit dip below their IPO price of $34 before October 2024?
NO
Will Doug Emhoff be a guest on the Lex Fridman Podcast before election day 2024?
NO
F1 2024 - Will Lewis Hamilton finish ahead of George Russell in the WDC?
NO
Will Hezbollah's exploding pagers be shown to have explosive material added beyond what is in a normal battery?
YES
Will Pavel Durov be Forced to spend Christmas in France?
YES
Will Macron give a speech inside the Notre Dame cathedral during its re-opening?
YES
WILL Kizaru Awaken His Devil Fruit On Egghead?
NO
Will Trump win Nevada in the 2024 Presidential Election?
YES
Will Manifold have 10,000 Twitter/X followers before Election Day (Nov 5)?
NO
Will Trump win Arizona in the 2024 Presidential Election?
YES
Will political markets stop dominating Manifold by next month.
YES
Will Ukraine take control of the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant by the end of this month?
NO
Daily coinflip
NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania in the 2024 POTUS election?
YES
Will a test subject die at Neurallink in 2024?
NO
Bayern Munich 2024/25: to win any Domestic Cup, any European Cup, and any player with ≥41 Bundesliga goals
NO
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1128 and 1129?
NO
Will Donald Trump drop out of the presidential election for any reason before Nov 5th ?
NO
Will Jimmy Carter outlive Manifold Markets?
NO
will this tweet hold up: Sora will sign an exclusive deal with Sony Pictures
NO
Daily coinflip
YES
Will Kamala Harris's highest polling this election cycle occur during or just after the Democratic National Convention?
YES
Will Israel attack at least one of Iran's nuclear facilities by year-end 2024?
YES
Will a soundness hole be discovered in lean4checker?
NO
Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Oct 2024?
NO
Will this market close above 60%
YES
Will Vladimir Putin be alive on December 21st, 2024?
YES
Shrek 5 releases in 2024
NO
Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed $3 trillion USD by the end of 2024?
YES
Will OpenAI launch or announce something new on ChatGPT’s anniversary tomorrow?
NO
Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1,000 from Manifold "sweepcash" in 2024?
YES
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2024 elections?
YES
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
YES
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Los Angeles Rams (away)?
NO
Will the Israelis bomb Iran before 2025?
YES
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Montana?
NO
Will I play at least 50 FIDE-rated classical games this year?
NO
Will Netflix reverse its ill-advised decision to cast Lera Abova in One Piece?
NO
Will WI/MI/PA all be won by the same candidate?
YES
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in North Carolina?
NO