question stringlengths 10 193 | answer stringclasses 2 values |
|---|---|
Will JJK end in 2024? | YES |
Who will be elected to be US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | NO |
Will Caltrain electrification finish by end of 2025? | YES |
Will any world leaders be assassinated by the end of 2024? | NO |
10) U.S. court rule that generative AI models trained on the internet represent a violation of copyright. [Abbreviated] | NO |
Will any Hamas terrorists be arrested in the US in the next year? (Oct 8th, 2024) | NO |
NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Los Angeles Rams (home) beat the Buffalo Bills (away)? | YES |
Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record in the US? | NO |
Will the Milwaukee Brewers play in the 2024 World Series? | NO |
Will Polymarket have a total volume of $4 billion on US 2024 elections? | NO |
Have they found Amelia Earhart's plane? | NO |
Is the firing of Sam Altman and the current situation at OpenAI mainly a consequence of an internal breakthrough? | NO |
At the end of 2024 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be a Land card? (non-Basic) | NO |
Will the Myanmar junta relinquish power before October 2024? | NO |
Will Reddit dip below their IPO price of $34 before October 2024? | NO |
Will Doug Emhoff be a guest on the Lex Fridman Podcast before election day 2024? | NO |
F1 2024 - Will Lewis Hamilton finish ahead of George Russell in the WDC? | NO |
Will Hezbollah's exploding pagers be shown to have explosive material added beyond what is in a normal battery? | YES |
Will Pavel Durov be Forced to spend Christmas in France? | YES |
Will Macron give a speech inside the Notre Dame cathedral during its re-opening? | YES |
WILL Kizaru Awaken His Devil Fruit On Egghead? | NO |
Will Trump win Nevada in the 2024 Presidential Election? | YES |
Will Manifold have 10,000 Twitter/X followers before Election Day (Nov 5)? | NO |
Will Trump win Arizona in the 2024 Presidential Election? | YES |
Will political markets stop dominating Manifold by next month. | YES |
Will Ukraine take control of the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant by the end of this month? | NO |
Daily coinflip | NO |
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania in the 2024 POTUS election? | YES |
Will a test subject die at Neurallink in 2024? | NO |
Bayern Munich 2024/25: to win any Domestic Cup, any European Cup, and any player with ≥41 Bundesliga goals | NO |
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1128 and 1129? | NO |
Will Donald Trump drop out of the presidential election for any reason before Nov 5th ? | NO |
Will Jimmy Carter outlive Manifold Markets? | NO |
will this tweet hold up: Sora will sign an exclusive deal with Sony Pictures | NO |
Daily coinflip | YES |
Will Kamala Harris's highest polling this election cycle occur during or just after the Democratic National Convention? | YES |
Will Israel attack at least one of Iran's nuclear facilities by year-end 2024? | YES |
Will a soundness hole be discovered in lean4checker? | NO |
Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Oct 2024? | NO |
Will this market close above 60% | YES |
Will Vladimir Putin be alive on December 21st, 2024? | YES |
Shrek 5 releases in 2024 | NO |
Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed $3 trillion USD by the end of 2024? | YES |
Will OpenAI launch or announce something new on ChatGPT’s anniversary tomorrow? | NO |
Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1,000 from Manifold "sweepcash" in 2024? | YES |
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2024 elections? | YES |
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%? | YES |
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Los Angeles Rams (away)? | NO |
Will the Israelis bomb Iran before 2025? | YES |
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Montana? | NO |
Will I play at least 50 FIDE-rated classical games this year? | NO |
Will Netflix reverse its ill-advised decision to cast Lera Abova in One Piece? | NO |
Will WI/MI/PA all be won by the same candidate? | YES |
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in North Carolina? | NO |
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