id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 2 54 | question stringlengths 1 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,736B | closeTime int64 1,702B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 0 11.6M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s5ijx3q8d5 | will-any-state-have-more-than-50000 | Will any state have more than 50,000 customers without power (orange on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,517,892,203 | 1,730,641,235,205 | 1,730,641,235,205 | YES | 0.742931 | 700 |
4x2ys7xtrg | will-any-candidate-win-a-majority-o | Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,729,514,786,473 | 1,735,611,366,984 | 1,735,611,366,984 | NO | 0.011022 | 17,408.994609 |
sv3zk1ko3n | will-the-ecb-decrease-rates-in-decm | Will the ECB decrease rates in December ? | null | 1,729,508,807,237 | 1,734,049,266,807 | 1,734,049,266,807 | YES | 0.913742 | 257 |
fplb5cjab0 | will-harris-or-walz-work-at-mcdonal | Will Harris or Walz work at McDonald’s before the election? | null | 1,729,506,696,218 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,870,713,451 | NO | 0.01 | 10,272.287467 |
i8b78fvhuu | will-the-first-confirmed-capture-of | Will the first confirmed capture of a North Korean soldier by Ukrainian forces occur before the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,503,923,212 | 1,735,417,044,803 | 1,735,417,044,803 | YES | 0.843127 | 47,486.056343 |
gwr0hks3uh | kamala-harris-2-or-higher-in-nation | Kamala Harris +2 or higher in national polls on October 28th? | null | 1,729,499,178,318 | 1,730,185,140,000 | 1,730,194,596,589 | NO | 0.035663 | 420 |
aah2qhc0d2 | will-israel-launch-an-attack-on-ira | Will Israel launch an attack on Iranian soil before the end of October 2024? | null | 1,729,498,802,025 | 1,729,905,865,245 | 1,729,905,865,245 | YES | 0.99 | 12,822.682905 |
2fyej0us8a | will-manicode-reach-top-5-on-produc | Will Manicode reach top 5 on Product Hunt today? | null | 1,729,496,585,552 | 1,729,580,340,000 | 1,729,800,094,490 | NO | 0.03 | 4,860 |
f4bt2zoe8f | will-twitch-have-a-new-ceo-by-the-e | Will Twitch have a new CEO by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,489,460,236 | 1,735,671,227,168 | 1,735,671,227,168 | NO | 0.01 | 1,105.066611 |
8bygwvnd5a | will-hasan-be-banned-from-twitch-fo | Will Hasan be banned from Twitch for at least 1 day by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,484,301,809 | 1,735,671,726,376 | 1,735,671,726,376 | NO | 0.016169 | 2,347.016989 |
zmnw65lxk8 | will-the-new-york-times-publish-an | Will the New York Times publish an article about Twitch restricting sign ups in Israel by the end of November? | null | 1,729,480,225,196 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,034,397,317 | NO | 0.01 | 900.281784 |
juq3v9nm1u | trump-wins-pennsylvania-by-2-or-mor | Trump wins Pennsylvania by 2% or more? | null | 1,729,470,771,957 | 1,733,519,920,584 | 1,733,519,926,030 | NO | 0.236804 | 2,469 |
ebk9nj5hvr | will-i-use-more-than-70-meal-plan-s | will I use more than 70 meal plan swipes this semester | null | 1,729,462,359,287 | 1,734,750,661,505 | 1,734,750,661,505 | NO | 0.334831 | 2,104.125423 |
rfx23hf71p | will-trump-reach-60-in-nate-silvers | Will Trump reach 60% in Nate Silver’s model again before the election? | null | 1,729,455,428,220 | 1,730,794,360,832 | 1,730,794,360,832 | NO | 0.019449 | 6,991.542852 |
908oznuaud | will-it-snow-in-washington-dc-in-de | Will it snow in Washington DC in December 2024 | null | 1,729,454,267,079 | 1,734,801,268,888 | 1,734,801,268,888 | YES | 0.965594 | 440 |
av1j05i8y3 | will-daniel-penny-take-the-stand-in | Will Daniel Penny take the stand in his trial? | null | 1,729,446,158,779 | 1,733,353,506,634 | 1,733,353,506,634 | NO | 0.00981 | 9,177.98412 |
mxgk5690sb | will-harris-lead-in-the-economists | Will Harris lead in The Economist's Final election forecast? | null | 1,729,444,985,156 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,731,090,510,317 | YES | 0.99 | 1,165.292714 |
dwe0y5jh15 | will-north-korean-troops-enter-sout | Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of November 2024? | null | 1,729,441,594,357 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,034,390,366 | NO | 0.01 | 1,193.054181 |
d1iujcnkjl | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-95t07111tz | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 55 and 56? | null | 1,729,438,783,784 | 1,730,041,622,972 | 1,730,041,625,921 | NO | 0.43 | 152 |
qbw1wskmmg | will-my-sister-give-birth-before-th | Will my sister give birth before the Formula 1 race finishes today? | null | 1,729,438,162,328 | 1,729,462,734,978 | 1,729,462,741,794 | NO | 0.49 | 70 |
z82diw5vfm | will-carissa-yip-win-the-2024-us-wo | Will Carissa Yip win the 2024 U.S. Women's Chess Championship with 11/11? | null | 1,729,429,801,409 | 1,729,547,967,120 | 1,729,547,967,120 | NO | 0.05 | 3,468 |
m5k0dye2f9 | will-there-be-40-kills-in-at-least | Will there be 40+ kills in at least one of the games in the match between GenG and Flyquest in the LoL Worlds quarters? | null | 1,729,425,828,949 | 1,729,547,940,000 | 1,729,930,888,430 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
jq4xl0wb28 | will-moldovas-eu-membership-referen | Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass? | null | 1,729,424,288,380 | 1,730,156,998,983 | 1,730,156,998,983 | YES | 0.99 | 2,950.010591 |
5gvpdlgtub | will-elon-musk-claim-voter-fraud-in | Will Elon Musk claim voter fraud in Pennsylvania, citing the Super PAC petition numbers? | null | 1,729,407,999,502 | 1,731,941,866,889 | 1,731,941,866,889 | NO | 0.018015 | 10,111.669214 |
hav5n9ox87 | will-bluesky-reach-20-million-users | Will Bluesky reach 20 million users by the end of this year? | null | 1,729,403,701,356 | 1,732,033,223,212 | 1,732,033,223,212 | YES | 0.99 | 1,357.214285 |
emzh95x7h1 | daily-coinflip-mhydj6xum3 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,729,398,555,024 | 1,729,569,540,000 | 1,729,569,944,666 | YES | 0.51 | 6,188.885636 |
4ss19fez8v | will-pete-rose-be-inducted-into-the | Will Pete Rose be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,394,336,721 | 1,729,440,702,246 | 1,729,440,702,246 | NO | 0.02 | 565 |
uwndib4f9f | will-solana-close-above-155-on-octo | Will Solana Close Above $155 on October 25? | null | 1,729,391,776,587 | 1,729,919,561,200 | 1,729,919,561,200 | YES | 0.99 | 915.444557 |
b0kdgz3ar6 | will-opus-35-be-released-this-week | Will Opus 3.5 be released this week? | null | 1,729,385,652,946 | 1,730,098,740,000 | 1,730,738,817,283 | NO | 0.010951 | 10,503.30723 |
ftor3d82bi | will-this-market-close-above-50-per-j46ae4m5vw | Will this market close above 50% percent? | null | 1,729,368,474,568 | 1,730,005,140,000 | 1,730,005,347,551 | NO | 0.1 | 67,140.872905 |
y07g3pba5c | will-the-philly-portal-be-shut-down | will the philly portal be shut down before end of October 2024? | null | 1,729,364,155,297 | 1,730,399,340,000 | 1,730,404,212,393 | YES | 0.922385 | 571.495223 |
crutp6ae7p | will-trump-concede-the-election-as | Will Trump concede the election as part of a deal with Biden for a pardon? | null | 1,729,362,918,697 | 1,730,920,741,722 | 1,730,920,741,722 | NO | 0.000955 | 37,666.437141 |
ggaeb2o764 | musical-turing-test-was-this-song-c | Musical "Turing test": was this song created by models? | null | 1,729,356,014,615 | 1,730,001,540,000 | 1,730,143,427,110 | NO | 0.79 | 1,327.399418 |
jn1l1368eo | is-red-one-2024-going-to-be-a-flop | Is Red One (2024) going to be a flop? 🎅 | null | 1,729,351,022,412 | 1,735,459,140,000 | 1,735,683,702,258 | YES | 0.970482 | 855.677638 |
4up55sw7qb | will-we-get-a-video-of-claude-35-op | Will we get a video of claude 3.5 Sonnet running a very single minded competent minecraft agent before December 2024? | null | 1,729,350,363,828 | 1,731,967,794,924 | 1,734,731,450,729 | NO | 0.182522 | 13,594.348003 |
x607d0fuir | will-anthropic-release-an-api-relat | Will Anthropic release an API related to agent use on October 22, 2024? | null | 1,729,348,927,483 | 1,729,611,423,184 | 1,729,611,423,184 | YES | 0.91 | 7,051.183637 |
tmi53dwxps | will-anthropic-launch-a-new-product | Will Anthropic launch a new product by October 22nd? | null | 1,729,333,726,638 | 1,729,634,396,303 | 1,729,634,396,303 | YES | 0.99 | 4,163.992788 |
hvdua9k5sf | will-elon-musk-be-at-the-f1-race-in | Will Elon Musk be at the F1 Race in Austin on Sunday? | null | 1,729,315,499,082 | 1,729,450,800,000 | 1,729,469,239,697 | NO | 0.15 | 185 |
vwab4ucv8e | will-both-kamala-harris-and-donald-9aofxkgjtj | Will both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump go on the Joe Rogan Experience before election day? | null | 1,729,311,335,193 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,901,718,442 | NO | 0.008305 | 34,737.433402 |
jgdzmerryb | will-there-be-a-third-assassination-s96e3g1aoh | Will there be a third assassination attempt against Trump before Nov elections? | null | 1,729,307,715,873 | 1,730,950,759,581 | 1,730,950,759,581 | NO | 0.01 | 1,516.120271 |
bfpn7s83rg | ballot-props-will-denver-ban-slaugh | Ballot Props: Will Denver ban slaughterhouses? (Initiated Ordinance 309) | null | 1,729,299,165,634 | 1,730,908,713,418 | 1,730,908,713,418 | NO | 0.093642 | 235 |
v8alcq880o | will-republicans-lead-in-the-final | Will Republicans lead in the final 538 House forecast? | null | 1,729,296,007,453 | 1,730,696,340,000 | 1,730,821,664,037 | NO | 0.766257 | 1,574.926875 |
q76bna297g | will-i-finish-section-1-of-the-duol | Will I finish Section 1 of the DuoLingo Japanese course this year? | null | 1,729,285,333,363 | 1,735,650,897,815 | 1,735,650,897,815 | NO | 0.203545 | 112 |
euzxtni60i | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-j1kww46mqg | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 21 than it closed on Oct 18? | null | 1,729,282,082,791 | 1,729,540,936,454 | 1,729,540,936,454 | NO | 0.03 | 831.692006 |
hvgu4vuiqb | will-the-sun-belt-nv-az-ga-nc-and-r | Will the Sun Belt (NV, AZ, GA, NC) and Rust Belt (WI, MI, PA) swing states be distinct clusters in the 2024 election? | null | 1,729,279,820,560 | 1,731,016,458,072 | 1,731,016,458,072 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
keec8omr4m | will-this-market-close-above-8-perc | Will this market close above 80% percent? | null | 1,729,275,676,380 | 1,729,918,740,000 | 1,729,920,619,539 | NO | 0.01 | 49,197.660707 |
e8l9c10lyg | will-any-3rd-party-candidate-win-ov | Will any 3rd party candidate win over 1% of the popular vote nationally? | null | 1,729,275,652,229 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,732,741,647,290 | NO | 0.479627 | 1,184 |
s04n3e76g2 | will-it-be-blg-vs-gen-final-in-the | Will it be BLG vs. GEN final in the LoL Worlds 2024? | null | 1,729,273,663,334 | 1,730,046,092,463 | 1,730,046,092,463 | NO | 0.01 | 1,041.353771 |
ds9x660yri | will-this-market-close-below-45-per | Will this market close below 45% percent? | null | 1,729,271,701,922 | 1,729,918,740,000 | 1,729,920,506,237 | NO | 0.45 | 634.661377 |
bo0tidk3ua | will-tcb-scans-upload-chapter-1131 | Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1131 of One Piece on November 7th? | null | 1,729,266,424,509 | 1,731,052,740,000 | 1,731,163,925,244 | NO | 0.01 | 9,483.767258 |
2ayijgu08d | will-absolute-voter-turnout-in-the | Will absolute voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential election be higher than 2020? | null | 1,729,262,905,438 | 1,731,743,940,000 | 1,731,864,753,335 | NO | 0.008958 | 145,454.928762 |
9kp1w6mx57 | -2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-ken | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat Kentucky? | null | 1,729,254,297,560 | 1,729,395,300,305 | 1,729,395,300,305 | YES | 0.99 | 9,188.756466 |
zxcfeoe2jq | will-the-us-provide-midair-refuelin | Will the US provide mid-air refueling to the Israeli strike group in the anticipated retaliatory strike on Iran? | null | 1,729,245,938,121 | 1,729,965,195,648 | 1,729,965,195,648 | NO | 0.02 | 1,948 |
oyplimzv65 | will-aileen-cannon-recuse-herself-i | Will Aileen Cannon recuse herself in the case of the second Trump would-be assassin? | null | 1,729,245,219,993 | 1,732,361,941,919 | 1,732,361,941,919 | NO | 0.075132 | 2,708.228128 |
ltmiiywczq | will-1-usd-to-cad-hit-139-or-higher | Will 1 USD to CAD hit 1.39 or higher before end of year? | null | 1,729,234,040,385 | 1,730,279,206,981 | 1,730,279,206,981 | YES | 0.816089 | 175.594547 |
1ouu9upb0m | will-the-forbidden-forecast-correct | Will the Forbidden Forecast correctly predict the result of the 2024 election? | null | 1,729,230,239,182 | 1,730,786,340,000 | 1,730,925,007,300 | NO | 0.558222 | 176 |
s5ad77og1a | will-antarctica-be-cold-tommorow | Will Antarctica be cold tommorow? | null | 1,729,228,668,219 | 1,729,317,540,000 | 1,730,344,419,340 | YES | 0.972863 | 1,357.533593 |
qi7p8g6v4a | will-trump-be-leading-in-the-popula | Will Trump be leading in the popular vote at 12:00 AM PT on Election Night? | null | 1,729,228,101,600 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,880,447,856 | YES | 0.956501 | 4,629.884037 |
vjq8nqjnrj | daily-coinflip-xjr807001x | Daily coinflip | null | 1,729,224,547,259 | 1,729,396,740,000 | 1,729,398,543,538 | NO | 0.52 | 6,579.741507 |
p9flg4msrs | will-t1-win-against-tes-in-quarterf | Will T1 win against TES in quarterfinals? (League of Legends Worlds 2024) | null | 1,729,217,297,182 | 1,729,366,734,586 | 1,729,366,734,586 | YES | 0.98 | 5,980.889638 |
6a8nmj557x | will-kate-barr-win | Will Kate Barr win? | null | 1,729,212,938,708 | 1,730,957,467,088 | 1,730,957,467,088 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
cykdu0o63l | will-eminem-record-a-song-for-venom | Will Eminem record a song for Venom 3? | null | 1,729,212,860,046 | 1,729,839,540,000 | 1,729,860,155,107 | NO | 0.3 | 284 |
bbyaykp4bx | will-one-candidate-win-6-out-of-7-s | Will one candidate win exactly 6 out of 7 swing states? | null | 1,729,212,177,354 | 1,731,059,759,162 | 1,731,059,759,162 | NO | 0.01 | 17,748.804905 |
12mapocrmm | will-more-new-york-gop-house-seats | Will more New York GOP held US House seats flip than California GOP held US House seats? | null | 1,729,212,077,556 | 1,733,307,492,640 | 1,733,307,492,640 | NO | 0.113964 | 4,562.615394 |
r8lr4hoiz9 | will-the-us-presidency-be-called-by | Will the US Presidency be called by AP before the House of Representatives? | null | 1,729,211,619,263 | 1,730,889,890,900 | 1,730,889,890,900 | YES | 0.964259 | 5,150.941657 |
zbutra6maa | will-israel-bomb-qatar-syria-and-tu | Will Israel bomb Qatar, Syria, and Turkey after the fall of Hamas this year? | null | 1,729,202,365,279 | 1,729,275,153,865 | 1,729,275,153,865 | NO | 0.12 | 174.429429 |
lgt194e6jw | will-charli-xcx-perform-at-a-kamala | Will Charli XCX perform at a Kamala Harris rally before election day? | null | 1,729,199,674,192 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,923,048,983 | NO | 0.024876 | 6,452.630746 |
e0a3yrcmre | north-korea-x-south-korea-military | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | null | 1,729,198,977,574 | 1,735,659,015,547 | 1,735,659,015,547 | NO | 0.01 | 15,697.889343 |
iw5a40qag9 | will-bronny-score-a-3-in-his-first | Will Bronny score a 3 in his first regular season game? | null | 1,729,198,518,077 | 1,729,684,603,586 | 1,729,684,603,586 | NO | 0.01 | 9,914.277553 |
sw60s2tthc | will-warren-place-a-single-bet-on-p | Will Warren place a single bet on polymarket before the 2024 election | null | 1,729,198,406,717 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,732,649,069,453 | NO | 0.21692 | 90 |
lc1edij4ng | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-4b2h1usepi | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 18 than it closed on Oct 17? | null | 1,729,195,642,062 | 1,729,281,774,371 | 1,729,281,774,371 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
zuymhj254r | was-yehia-sinwar-killed-by-the-idf | Was yehia sinwar killed by the IDF in oct 17 | null | 1,729,172,276,261 | 1,729,187,703,582 | 1,729,187,703,582 | NO | 0.99 | 1,228.450235 |
bl58qoznmh | will-the-final-rasmussen-reports-na | Will the final Rasmussen Reports national poll be accurate within 4 points? | null | 1,729,164,907,772 | 1,730,851,200,000 | 1,731,875,490,717 | YES | 0.415814 | 81 |
3eej4qtpex | will-trump-get-more-votes-in-2024-t--cash | Will Trump get more votes in 2024 than he got in 2020? | null | 1,729,162,961,643 | 1,731,121,186,169 | 1,731,121,186,169 | YES | 0.989679 | 7,681.597337 |
p1a2fth22u | will-fredi9999-own-more-than-30-mil | Will Fredi9999 own more than 30 million Donald Trump shares on Polymarket on Election Day? | null | 1,729,156,485,890 | 1,730,826,000,000 | 1,730,839,117,359 | NO | 0.012372 | 2,028.557513 |
qndq34ieh6 | trump-leads-5-or-more-swing-states | Trump leads 5 or more swing states in polls on Election day? (President Election) | null | 1,729,141,257,194 | 1,730,842,345,561 | 1,730,842,345,561 | YES | 0.749178 | 401 |
jy17277ckr | one-month-from-today-will-hollow-kn-gf8lriu6m6 | One month from today, will Hollow Knight Silksong's release date be officially announced and known? | null | 1,729,140,278,290 | 1,731,819,540,000 | 1,731,820,208,807 | NO | 0.010683 | 1,078.719622 |
ysi48qbpe7 | one-month-from-today-will-linda-yac-mm8ze7emku | One month from today, will Linda Yaccarino still be the CEO of Twitter / X.com ? | null | 1,729,140,259,355 | 1,731,819,540,000 | 1,731,820,252,229 | YES | 0.99 | 1,015.334815 |
qnc8kcqay2 | one-month-from-today-will-gamestop-ir8mk6gtkq | One month from today, will Gamestop have the same CEO as today? | null | 1,729,140,240,276 | 1,731,819,540,000 | 1,731,820,183,306 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
k4bfji9rcs | one-month-from-today-will-chat-gpt5-bxrscgww6r | One month from today, will Chat GPT-5 have been announced? | null | 1,729,140,222,417 | 1,731,819,540,000 | 1,731,820,101,986 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
v38wyfi86d | one-month-from-today-will-jimmy-car-2qhom4htu6 | One month from today, will Jimmy Carter still be alive? | null | 1,729,140,211,967 | 1,731,819,540,000 | 1,731,823,560,335 | YES | 0.99 | 927.794006 |
s2lcifpr9x | one-month-from-today-will-trump-hav-birbclrat0 | One month from today, will Trump have filed an appeal in his New York hush money trial? | null | 1,729,140,194,610 | 1,729,828,740,000 | 1,729,857,625,646 | NO | 0.01 | 879.658302 |
4lni8wja5j | one-month-from-today-will-there-be-5l112so00p | One month from Today will there be an official release date for the next Game of Thrones book Winds of Winter? | null | 1,729,140,184,967 | 1,731,819,540,000 | 1,731,823,587,975 | NO | 0.01 | 1,475.360102 |
hwxtxj4n3e | will-manifold-add-a-withdrawal-fee | Will Manifold add a withdrawal fee for sweepcash before the end of November? | null | 1,729,136,801,954 | 1,729,137,540,772 | 1,729,137,540,772 | YES | 0.99 | 1,078.143387 |
il2nm3ls85 | will-donald-trumps-2024-electoral-c | Will Donald Trump win more vowels in the electoral college than Kamala Harris? | null | 1,729,136,643,148 | 1,731,572,778,599 | 1,731,609,195,569 | YES | 0.89294 | 1,888 |
ehr0buvs3l | one-week-from-today-will-kamala-be | One week from today Will Kamala be above Donald Trump on Polymarket? | null | 1,729,134,412,441 | 1,729,742,340,000 | 1,729,742,957,103 | NO | 0 | 2,277.295997 |
vsh2ouum8r | one-month-from-today-will-israel-an-xbt32frf2f | One month from today, will Israel and Palestine have agreed to a ceasefire deal? | null | 1,729,134,355,536 | 1,731,733,140,000 | 1,731,734,035,389 | NO | 0.012368 | 915 |
ekq1lfyhbg | will-the-margin-in-the-popular-vote | Will the margin in the popular vote in the 2024 election be larger than any individual 3rd party's vote share? | null | 1,729,122,368,457 | 1,734,329,706,832 | 1,734,329,706,832 | YES | 0.99 | 968.456738 |
iuv70dpgb2 | will-francis-ngannou-defeat-renan-f | Will Francis Ngannou defeat Renan Ferreira? | null | 1,729,121,526,671 | 1,729,379,650,597 | 1,729,379,650,597 | YES | 0.99 | 9,153.478606 |
izbvniqfvh | will-trump-win-and-nominate-rfk-to--cash | Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position? | null | 1,729,119,215,916 | 1,733,169,917,154 | 1,733,169,923,963 | YES | 0.8 | 5,054.532722 |
gop4ytjhgx | will-trump-win-and-nominate-rfk-to | Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position? | null | 1,729,113,892,132 | 1,733,169,917,154 | 1,733,169,917,154 | YES | 0.952684 | 670,502.444486 |
z4uz1qiygj | will-smile-2-2024-receive-a-higher | Will "Smile 2" (2024) receive a higher CinemaScore than "Smile" (2022)? (i.e. B or above) | null | 1,729,113,709,216 | 1,729,321,140,000 | 1,729,452,504,920 | YES | 0.98 | 707.214395 |
9ciy3lmfe2 | will-smile-2-gross-20-million-durin | Will "Smile 2" gross >$20 million during its domestic opening weekend? | null | 1,729,113,297,731 | 1,729,569,139,015 | 1,729,569,139,015 | YES | 0.99 | 1,132.691938 |
6eab2ko6zj | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-cxs8ve4yte | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 17 than it closed on Oct 16? | null | 1,729,109,175,996 | 1,729,195,348,156 | 1,729,195,348,156 | NO | 0.01 | 1,469.889953 |
ijjej5t7no | will-adelyn-moore-be-taken-to-japan | Will Adelyn Moore be taken to Japan or Paris before the end of 2024 | null | 1,729,108,434,148 | 1,735,505,047,320 | 1,735,505,047,320 | NO | 0.046685 | 468.112921 |
gsq9zsh552 | will-the-nytimes-correct-their-corr | Will the NYTimes correct their correction to their article on election prediction markets by the end of the week? | null | 1,729,108,298,302 | 1,729,115,140,180 | 1,729,115,140,180 | YES | 0.52 | 731 |
wfuxsvp0x8 | given-trump-wins-all-7-swing-states | Given Trump wins all 7 swing states, will he flip another "Likely Dem" state or district? | null | 1,729,106,771,735 | 1,731,736,740,000 | 1,731,737,930,737 | NO | 0.01 | 1,021.558957 |
840ubkno6i | will-the-super-model-call-the-presi | Will The Super Model call the presidential election correctly? | null | 1,729,101,058,742 | 1,730,904,318,906 | 1,730,904,318,906 | YES | 0.980103 | 75,262.000228 |
0edx2luz7b | will-sheng-thao-be-charged-with-cri | Will Sheng Thao be charged with crimes in relation to the raid on her house by election day? | null | 1,729,100,232,492 | 1,731,095,935,330 | 1,731,095,935,330 | NO | 0.010098 | 8,901 |
cls4yjpwvy | will-i-have-a-31-day-streak | Will I have a 31+ day streak? | null | 1,729,095,231,261 | 1,731,995,940,000 | 1,732,021,301,575 | YES | 0.986617 | 7,780 |
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