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IZRuA2qqun
will-cruz-outperform-trump-in-texas--cash
Will Cruz outperform Trump in Texas?
null
1,729,875,427,313
1,730,904,726,043
1,730,931,781,357
NO
0.033307
136.318362
LOPRZz5Ahs
will-venom-the-last-dance-receive-a--cash
Will “Venom: The Last Dance" receive a worse CinemaScore than “Venom” & “Venom: Let There Be Carnage”? (both were B+)
null
1,729,874,760,798
1,729,915,080,000
1,730,210,946,296
YES
0.663181
169.165814
y9qhdctnLQ
san-francisco-proposition-k-passes--cash
San Francisco Proposition K passes: Great Highway Recreational Space 2024-11
null
1,729,874,351,838
1,731,205,899,144
1,731,352,387,183
YES
0.99
1,459.262111
EdQlQz6PsQ
california-proposition-34-2024-pass--cash
California Proposition 34 (2024) Passes - Regulate Health Care Orgs' Political Spending
null
1,729,874,340,134
1,732,247,037,675
1,732,284,986,892
YES
0.984128
2,863.683736
pPIud6g6nZ
california-proposition-5-lower-thre--cash
California Proposition 5 (2024) Passes - Lower Threshold to Pass Infrastructure and Housing Bonds
null
1,729,874,327,525
1,731,201,270,291
1,731,201,275,818
NO
0.01186
691.356146
t6nRyNIPnR
san-francisco-proposition-d-passes--cash
San Francisco Proposition D passes: City Commissions and Mayoral Authority 2024-11
null
1,729,874,307,122
1,731,125,135,732
1,731,125,135,732
NO
0.01
689.897976
ZntstCh2Rc
will-california-ab-2655-requiring-o--cash
Will California AB 2655, requiring online platforms to label/remove deepfake election content, pass in 2024?
null
1,729,874,259,024
1,729,876,494,421
1,729,876,494,421
YES
0.67
10
pzgt6NEcs2
will-ohio-state-win-against-penn-st
Will Ohio State win against Penn State on November 2?
null
1,729,874,211,036
1,730,586,331,476
1,730,586,331,476
YES
0.989997
9,965.035661
yuys2AzPsR
oakland-mayor-sheng-thao-is-recalle--cash
Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao is recalled
null
1,729,874,202,321
1,731,201,246,548
1,731,201,252,440
YES
0.989175
1,338.169998
dhq0ZCZlyR
will-pia-cramling-win-her-match-aga--cash
Will Pia Cramling win her match against Levy Rozman?
null
1,729,873,874,030
1,730,561,696,313
1,730,689,250,958
NO
0.038498
403.756929
tUI0A6QSpO
will-mark-farrell-win-the-2024-san--cash
Will Mark Farrell win the 2024 San Francisco Mayor's race?
null
1,729,873,528,213
1,731,050,883,333
1,731,050,883,333
NO
0.010029
1,343.12523
zg95AqNU09
will-aaron-peskin-win-the-2024-san--cash
Will Aaron Peskin win the 2024 San Francisco Mayor's race?
null
1,729,873,517,059
1,731,125,106,751
1,731,125,106,751
NO
0.01
575.434306
SLtu5NqSuc
will-the-dallas-cowboys-even-make-t--cash
Will the Dallas Cowboys even make the playoffs in the 2024/25 season?
null
1,729,873,119,466
1,734,915,647,142
1,735,278,175,793
NO
0.01
416.021399
8OOQUOIZRg
2024-formula-1-season-will-charles--cash
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Charles Leclerc beat Carlos Sainz in the Drivers Championship?
null
1,729,873,097,610
1,733,685,468,190
1,733,728,736,742
YES
0.989512
2,694.787253
cpcNLE26Ed
2024-formula-1-season-will-lewis-ha--cash
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Lewis Hamilton finish 3rd or higher in the Drivers Championship?
null
1,729,873,082,115
1,733,173,703,230
1,733,173,721,545
NO
0.034135
142.000044
EQIEldPQRy
2024-formula-1-season-will-a-race-b--cash
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will a race be won by any team besides Red Bull, Mercedes, McLaren, or Ferrari?
null
1,729,873,056,393
1,733,685,506,597
1,733,728,689,156
NO
0.026953
589.267653
NusIdpncIq
will-the-san-francisco-49ers-make-i--cash
Will the San Francisco 49ers make it to the Super Bowl in 2025?
null
1,729,873,021,326
1,734,985,145,980
1,734,985,186,168
NO
0.010047
1,440.161726
LznpgZQUq9
will-manchester-united-finish-2024--cash
Will Manchester United finish 2024 with a positive goal difference in the league?
null
1,729,872,913,550
1,735,592,111,739
1,735,604,016,051
NO
0.01504
652.31013
lnPEdphIhC
will-the-new-york-rangers-sign-igor--cash
Will the New York Rangers sign Igor Shesterkin for $11.7M+ AAV before Valentine’s Day?
null
1,729,872,663,127
1,733,531,559,069
1,733,553,459,978
NO
0.444187
106.349961
c5SOzUZAhA
will-the-winnipeg-jets-have-34-poin--cash
Will the Winnipeg Jets have 34 points by end of November
null
1,729,872,650,571
1,732,409,671,577
1,732,578,465,421
YES
0.99
1,280.06872
9Ut8ZS6O6U
will-kamala-harris-appear-on-the-jo
Will Kamala Harris appear on the Joe Rogan podcast before the November 2024 election?
null
1,729,869,772,243
1,730,822,340,000
1,730,831,387,540
NO
0.008361
1,631.533269
OIPtE9OpZt
-tZO8pIIPlO
.
null
1,729,866,679,315
1,729,866,697,900
1,729,866,697,900
YES
0.91
219
EPC8S0NQsO
will-kamala-harris-do-better-than-j
Will Kamala Harris do better than Joe Biden did in California?
null
1,729,865,185,033
1,731,743,940,000
1,731,864,457,071
NO
0.012186
9,802.949535
5A99LA96lA
will-israel-attack-iran-before-the
Will Israel attack Iran before the USA elections?
null
1,729,851,518,267
1,732,453,140,000
1,733,109,512,961
YES
0.990228
20,238.101872
RlsuSIChgh
which-spectrum-is-a-stronger-predic
Which spectrum is a stronger predictor of bodycount in women - their economic (yes) or social (no) views?
null
1,729,831,991,136
1,730,444,340,000
1,731,008,172,741
YES
0.6
11,228.516602
0QyCO5CUUI
will-microsoft-shareholders-vote-fo
Will Microsoft shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
null
1,729,828,895,536
1,733,894,321,903
1,733,894,321,903
NO
0.034336
1,619.12929
pnZNA5plOg
will-pia-cramling-win-her-match-aga
Will Pia Cramling win her match against Levy Rozman?
null
1,729,824,041,202
1,730,561,696,313
1,730,561,696,313
NO
0.01
13,397.68085
zSChAc9Epc
how-many-people-are-going-to-show-u
More than 10 people are going to show up to the ACX Prediction Market meetup tonight
null
1,729,811,854,185
1,729,840,685,165
1,729,840,685,165
NO
0.46
20
NIlQ9R9ElR
will-venom-the-last-dance-receive-a
Will “Venom: The Last Dance" receive a worse CinemaScore than “Venom” & “Venom: Let There Be Carnage”? (both were B+)
null
1,729,810,739,969
1,729,915,080,000
1,729,916,263,847
YES
0.93
3,399.045822
nAOynN2ncQ
will-donald-trump-declare-victory-b
Will Donald Trump declare victory before a major outlet has called the 2024 presidential election?
null
1,729,803,719,114
1,731,139,140,000
1,731,200,740,523
NO
0.001736
25,388.135382
Uy5zLLE5nI
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-2PZCEuAsAl
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 25 than it closed on Oct 24?
null
1,729,800,462,137
1,729,886,529,580
1,729,886,529,580
NO
0.02
2,141.279859
hAstOc2cQL
will-the-winnipeg-jets-have-34-poin
Will the Winnipeg Jets have 34 points by end of November
null
1,729,799,363,768
1,732,409,671,577
1,732,409,671,577
YES
0.99
12,613.100858
IdhQ0yPs8z
will-tsla-reach-280-before-8pm-est
Will TSLA reach >$280 before 8pm EST on October 31st?
null
1,729,798,687,133
1,730,424,796,726
1,730,424,796,726
NO
0.01
11,116.495347
dZcp59tO5Z
will-i2117-pass-in-washington-state
Will I-2117 pass in Washington State?
null
1,729,793,365,609
1,732,221,710,583
1,732,221,710,583
NO
0.01
894.987437
gdOhyUzUsS
will-there-be-significant-rain-in-t
Will there be significant rain in the Philadelphia area by the end of October?
null
1,729,789,446,182
1,730,433,540,000
1,730,433,698,127
NO
0.05087
3,722.445564
ROZ96stOc6
will-puka-nacua-be-active-tonight-1
Will Puka Nacua be active tonight (10/24)?
null
1,729,783,164,714
1,729,810,783,093
1,729,810,783,093
YES
0.48
5
LOU6EqOsnh
will-the-daily-podcast-have-a-polit
Will The Daily podcast have a political round table episode next week [Oct 28-Nov 1]?
null
1,729,781,736,434
1,730,299,967,875
1,730,299,967,875
YES
0.99
910.452553
sQAZOh9hCz
will-cruz-outperform-trump-in-texas
Will Cruz outperform Trump in Texas?
null
1,729,771,844,164
1,730,904,726,043
1,730,904,726,043
NO
0.077505
4,207.424882
ugLZughzuy
will-the-new-york-rangers-sign-igor
Will the New York Rangers sign Igor Shesterkin for $11.7M+ AAV before Valentine’s Day?
null
1,729,761,297,882
1,733,531,559,069
1,733,531,559,069
NO
0.210772
130
ttLN5hRLCu
will-flyio-report-downtime-on-octob
Will Fly.io report downtime on October 25th?
null
1,729,751,629,331
1,730,001,540,000
1,730,451,835,999
NO
0.010389
876
gUUQEsLZng
will-usc-win-the-upcoming-1123-ucla
Will USC win the upcoming 11/23 UCLA v USC Game?
null
1,729,751,522,962
1,732,419,000,000
1,732,649,130,747
YES
0.612635
463
g88R52CS8q
will-usc-win-the-upcoming-1102-wash
Will USC win the upcoming 11/02 Washington v USC Game?
null
1,729,751,318,367
1,730,590,200,000
1,730,679,751,921
NO
0.541771
32
2dAgEzhCdS
who-will-win-the-upcoming-1025-rutg
Will USC win the upcoming 10/25 Rutgers v USC Game?
null
1,729,751,030,189
1,729,911,600,000
1,729,929,041,741
YES
0.76
80
ny9II6C8hE
daily-coinflip-Rd62P5ytOP
Daily coinflip
null
1,729,742,645,852
1,729,915,140,000
1,729,971,243,636
YES
0.51
8,880.766393
LuAcP09CCQ
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-6LhnIuAQ5z
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 24 than it closed on Oct 23?
null
1,729,731,869,803
1,729,800,125,747
1,729,800,125,747
YES
0.97
6,477.531915
u525ZUQQ5O
will-north-dakota-legalize-recreati
Will North Dakota legalize recreational marijuana during the 2024 elections?
null
1,729,725,708,123
1,730,959,140,000
1,731,004,695,318
NO
0.038216
485
5CRgsd6Und
did-donald-trump-grope-a-teenager
Did Donald Trump grope a teenager?
null
1,729,722,632,083
1,730,786,340,000
1,730,806,330,106
NO
0.022927
15,348.390449
RLLt80CSZt
will-a-video-of-trump-saying-the-nw
Will a video of Trump saying the n-word come out before Election Day?
null
1,729,721,329,166
1,730,786,340,000
1,730,788,935,330
NO
0.021899
1,260.588128
Q8c5tqd0zz
will-a-complete-unknown-have-a-toma
Will "A Complete Unknown" have a Tomatometer score 80% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?
null
1,729,719,840,806
1,734,408,677,555
1,734,408,677,555
NO
0.01
981.690501
LUN69czcz8
-world-series-game-1-yankees-dodger
⚾️ World Series Game 1 Yankees @ Dodgers: Will there be a run scored in the 1st inning?
null
1,729,719,420,237
1,729,902,453,888
1,729,902,453,888
NO
0.01
11,491.106089
uIqS2hhcUN
will-aaron-peskin-win-the-2024-san
Will Aaron Peskin win the 2024 San Francisco Mayor's race?
null
1,729,718,926,649
1,731,125,112,406
1,731,125,112,406
NO
0.01
9,215.594064
NL5zP6OsCE
will-mark-farrell-win-the-2024-san
Will Mark Farrell win the 2024 San Francisco Mayor's race?
null
1,729,718,672,901
1,731,743,940,000
1,731,744,303,082
NO
0.01
9,354.668916
0oh8fmpm35
will-chatgpt-make-a-profit-on-manif
Will ChatGPT make a profit on Manifold?
null
1,729,703,283,575
1,732,499,421,074
1,732,499,421,074
NO
0.015235
20,819.43295
puikl811yg
will-republicans-lead-in-the-econom
Will Republicans lead in The Economist's Final House forecast?
null
1,729,700,246,440
1,730,955,540,000
1,731,090,519,471
NO
0.01
990.820674
kwbcdx330c
will-shohei-ohtani-hit-more-than-5--cash
Will Shohei Ohtani hit more than 5 home runs in the 2024 postseason?
null
1,729,696,846,371
1,730,379,705,621
1,730,396,788,886
NO
0.01
1,418.724436
yq1fopdl66
will-a-new-york-team-win-the-world--cash
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?
null
1,729,696,798,171
1,730,346,749,265
1,730,492,978,773
NO
0.010458
1,310.408991
ev0o2gx0j7
will-pennsylvania-decide-the-electi--cash
Will Pennsylvania decide the election [read description]?
null
1,729,696,092,181
1,730,937,177,402
1,730,937,177,402
NO
0.010347
1,367.646314
7u0nxxsmv9
will-daniel-lurie-win-the-2024-san--cash
Will Daniel Lurie win the 2024 San Francisco Mayor's race?
null
1,729,695,999,514
1,731,050,444,223
1,731,050,444,223
YES
0.989592
682.851662
qaxizg6rx8
london-breed-is-reelected-mayor-of--cash
London Breed is re-elected Mayor of San Francisco in 2024
null
1,729,695,328,122
1,731,050,276,991
1,731,050,276,991
NO
0.010115
1,448.435005
ws2tyj103j
will-there-be-a-nonbinary-sweepstak--cash
Will there be a non-binary Sweepstakes market in 2024? 🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍🌈✊
null
1,729,695,236,024
1,733,424,486,204
1,733,424,486,204
YES
0.989499
3,552.490455
y3ptzeikco
will-rafael-nadal-win-his-last-prof--cash
Will Rafael Nadal win his last professional tennis match?
null
1,729,695,176,400
1,732,105,191,339
1,732,285,025,551
NO
0.01
1,254.561275
sdma6wtf94
f1-2024-will-lewis-hamilton-finish--cash
F1 2024 - Will Lewis Hamilton finish ahead of George Russell in the WDC?
null
1,729,694,035,091
1,733,728,447,316
1,733,728,463,630
NO
0.01
647.745343
z4g1wqm3i
will-manchester-city-top-the-premie-lljajoy33z--cash
Will Manchester City top the Premier League table on December 2?
null
1,729,693,864,402
1,732,589,901,884
1,732,647,394,209
NO
0.01
1,550.215253
6wg3vlrnmu
will-jake-paul-win-a-boxing-match-a--cash
Will Jake Paul win a boxing match against Mike Tyson by the end of 2025?
null
1,729,692,988,832
1,731,875,122,830
1,731,938,494,765
YES
0.996404
4,280.253782
b1gcemzj04
will-jake-paul-win-a-boxing-match-a
Will Jake Paul win a boxing match against Mike Tyson by the end of 2025?
null
1,729,692,824,361
1,731,875,122,830
1,731,875,122,830
YES
0.99625
57,977.385763
47k6g6gfdq
will-max-verstappen-win-the-2024-f1--cash
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 World Drivers Championship?
null
1,729,692,478,313
1,732,482,449,335
1,732,578,518,533
YES
0.987927
399.900023
p10g7bt445
will-trump-improve-his-margin-with-490adf7c6cf7--cash
Will Trump improve his margin with Black voters in 2024?
null
1,729,692,209,435
1,731,034,070,186
1,731,034,070,186
YES
0.989937
1,532.482975
p2215phjxm
san-francisco-proposition-l-passes
San Francisco Proposition L Passes: Rideshare Tax for Muni 2024-11
null
1,729,669,154,955
1,731,492,507,686
1,731,492,507,686
NO
0.051461
1,059.125083
1slz93dv09
will-the-ny-yankees-win-the-world-s-q413nie8m1
Will the NY Yankees win the World Series?
null
1,729,664,253,830
1,730,576,288,518
1,730,576,288,518
NO
0.010067
1,150.079789
85wonkvs7m
will-polymarket-reach-69-on-trump-w
Will Trump reach 69% on Polymarket before Election Day?
null
1,729,654,939,568
1,730,785,671,126
1,730,785,671,126
NO
0.038781
12,835.255552
in5j4zrcdx
will-there-be-a-nonbinary-sweepstak
Will there be a non-binary Sweepstakes market in 2024? 🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍🌈✊
null
1,729,650,099,046
1,733,424,493,335
1,733,424,493,335
YES
0.99
14,406.402909
ybxdpmd9hr
will-a-mana-market-resolve-differen
Will a Mana market resolve differently from its Sweep market in 2024?
null
1,729,649,719,080
1,735,590,860,386
1,735,590,860,386
YES
0.99
1,251.524894
n1o7gqzocx
will-the-donald-trump-episode-of-jo
Will the Donald Trump episode of Joe Rogan be >2h45m long?
null
1,729,635,374,373
1,729,870,099,853
1,729,972,404,443
YES
0.07
1,073.37956
veohf07uk6
will-russian-forces-take-selydove-b
Will Russian forces take Selydove before the 16th of November, 2024?
null
1,729,627,610,711
1,730,648,827,260
1,730,648,827,260
YES
0.969743
5,029.995815
h53hz23bno
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-izm3wd6deo
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 23 than it closed on Oct 22?
null
1,729,627,541,651
1,729,713,739,145
1,729,713,739,145
NO
0.02
740
onbeudg74s
which-answer-will-resolve-below-50
Which answer will resolve at least twice as high as the other
null
1,729,619,206,078
1,729,865,941,724
1,729,865,941,724
YES
0.76
89.999999
6jfvjakqq5
will-predictit-think-trump-is-going
Will PredictIt think Trump is going to win at 3am ET on Wednesday, November 6th?
null
1,729,616,980,254
1,730,944,089,358
1,730,944,089,358
YES
0.977672
6,160
iqaupcjw7t
will-the-office-australia-be-rated
Will The Office (Australia) be rated fresh on RottenTomatoes at the end of October?
null
1,729,604,162,729
1,730,444,340,000
1,730,469,548,834
YES
0.921492
313.282168
e4vwu2fafn
will-jill-stein-get-more-votes-in-2
Will Jill Stein get more votes in 2024 than she got in 2016?
null
1,729,603,683,151
1,731,139,140,000
1,731,199,817,295
NO
0.011684
1,022.401792
22chlkgr1c
will-the-olivia-rodrigo-guts-world
Will the Olivia Rodrigo: GUTS World Tour open at #1 on the Netflix Top 10?
null
1,729,603,543,829
1,731,311,940,000
1,731,376,575,738
NO
0.186653
120
6ztqgmgwxv
will-i-have-a-draft-of-the-next-man
Will I have a draft of the next Manifold newsletter by noon?
null
1,729,584,898,687
1,729,623,600,000
1,729,623,610,619
NO
0.68
491.588527
10h173z19f
will-the-bse-sensex-close-higher-th
Will the BSE SENSEX close higher than its previous day close?
null
1,729,580,583,119
1,729,598,659,157
1,729,598,659,157
NO
0.01
8,949.874371
ca7t44s33d
will-ksis-song-thick-of-it-remain-o
Will KSI's song "Thick of It" remain on the Billboard Hot 100 charts for at least 3 weeks?
null
1,729,579,485,969
1,730,252,000,320
1,730,252,000,320
YES
0.938098
407.94811
xtgv88jhfc
daily-coinflip-la9hr84ero
Daily coinflip
null
1,729,569,968,481
1,729,742,340,000
1,729,742,612,752
YES
0.49
4,698.017455
kttiewspro
will-i-get-an-a-on-my-next-ap-chem
Will I get an A on my next AP Chem Test?
null
1,729,564,610,513
1,730,058,705,000
1,730,058,705,000
NO
0.66
79.41307
vyxlgh6dyz
will-trump-reach-70-before-election
Will Trump reach 70% before election day?
null
1,729,554,899,714
1,730,804,340,000
1,730,804,534,550
NO
0.0153
21,840.033528
urswu5cqny
will-kamala-harris-lose-the-popular
Will Kamala Harris lose the popular vote but win the electoral college?
null
1,729,554,133,087
1,730,928,102,676
1,730,928,102,676
NO
0.01
153,951.412316
x7khudsdzu
will-a-player-get-injured-in-the-20
Will a player get injured in the 2024 MLB World Series?
null
1,729,550,571,773
1,730,032,991,948
1,730,032,991,948
YES
0.77
85
mem573f4ch
will-frogan-be-banned-from-twitch-b
Will Frogan be banned from Twitch by the end of 2025?
null
1,729,546,832,256
1,729,552,785,032
1,729,552,785,032
YES
0.94
9,001.997018
dcbwbqw8x2
will-tesla-stock-go-up-if-trump-win
Will Tesla stock go up if Trump wins or down if Trump loses? (Read Description)
null
1,729,541,821,077
1,731,736,740,000
1,731,750,154,326
YES
0.987885
803
61si09r4qy
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-o83qvn4o4p
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 22 than it closed on Oct 21?
null
1,729,541,107,680
1,729,627,341,873
1,729,627,341,873
NO
0.93
945.63725
xr97rcv3ch
will-north-korean-troops-enter-sout--cash
Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of November 2024?
null
1,729,536,208,453
1,733,029,140,000
1,733,164,975,902
NO
0.010249
355.675668
w2ixexpux9
will-there-be-a-6th-starship-launch--cash
Will there be a 6th Starship launch before end of 2024?
null
1,729,535,366,886
1,732,073,870,877
1,732,118,645,484
YES
0.99
1,466.621172
81ntgfzoli
will-real-madrid-beat-barcelona-el--cash
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona? | El Clásico
null
1,729,535,263,427
1,730,001,540,000
1,730,051,658,602
NO
0.01
727.574118
pi5gfanc2c
will-i-meet-the-minimum-requirement
Will I meet the minimum requirements for partner by January 1, 2025?
null
1,729,534,309,529
1,733,208,820,835
1,733,208,820,835
YES
0.441145
35
h6u153ilnw
yes-2snbcyr3lg
yes
null
1,729,527,590,193
1,729,527,714,016
1,729,527,714,016
YES
0.98
1,097.979727
ln1fywnv6i
will-resolve-yes-9cy87jpc5h
will resolve yes
null
1,729,527,428,249
1,729,527,494,482
1,729,527,494,482
YES
0.98
606
ewj2yf24e4
will-there-be-a-6th-starship-launch
Will there be a 6th Starship launch before end of 2024?
null
1,729,522,480,592
1,732,073,870,877
1,732,073,870,877
YES
0.99043
29,638.397703
ja0s6l7zvx
will-frank-ocean-be-on-tyler-the-cr
Will Frank Ocean be on Tyler, the Creator's new album Chromakopia?
null
1,729,521,084,297
1,730,131,248,903
1,730,131,248,903
NO
0.07
420
21v5t9dxs9
will-any-state-have-more-than-10000
Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024?
null
1,729,518,253,232
1,732,109,145,232
1,732,109,145,232
YES
0.965201
5,668.598499